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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: And yes, the first round of the College Football Playoff

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Speaker 1: is just about upon us. Of course, we've got our

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Speaker 1: official picks and predictions for all four of the matchups,

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Speaker 1: plus the next wave of Coca Cola Bowl season games.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, coming off a fantastic day

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Speaker 1: of andy capping while hearing the kind amish gentleman working

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Speaker 1: on my front porch, and we're also tapping into the

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Speaker 1: big brain of a man who honestly maybe could pass

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Speaker 1: as an amish elder if he trimmed up that flow

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Speaker 1: a little bit. He's got big time bogman, Bob, how

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Speaker 1: are you as we begin another fantastic run in the CFP.

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Speaker 2: I am doing great, man. You know, look, my big

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Speaker 2: bet of the week last week was Washington, honestly for us,

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Speaker 2: so that was great. And I'm watching your big bet

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Speaker 2: of the games that we picked last week is currently

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Speaker 2: on as we're recording. What's your number on this Old

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Speaker 2: Dominion South Florida game?

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Speaker 1: I think I have a fifty four and a half

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Speaker 1: point total.

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Speaker 2: Un is what I am only ten points in the

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Speaker 2: first quarter, So like that and no Byron Brown. Remember

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Speaker 2: I was on the over. Yep, if Byron Brown played,

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Speaker 2: he decided to opt out. So South Florida only has

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Speaker 2: three points now in the first quarter, so that bed

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Speaker 2: is looking like it is going to sail to the under,

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Speaker 2: so hopefully we cannot stick with that.

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Speaker 1: Also, a little Jack State covering for you yesterday as well,

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Speaker 1: So yeah.

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Speaker 2: That was on that one by the Chinny chin Chin

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Speaker 2: That Hail Mary was pretty close, almost a connection there.

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Speaker 2: So but yeah, Jack State looked good last week as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let me tell you what I was contemplating all week,

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Speaker 1: whether I was going to go back to Jack State.

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Speaker 1: I've been on them so much this season. I was like,

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Speaker 1: you know what, I'm just good missing on this last one.

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Speaker 1: And then the way that game shook out, I was like, okay,

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Speaker 1: I find that. You know, it came through, but I

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Speaker 1: was happy to sit on the sidelines for it. Today's show,

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Speaker 1: Bogs does look like this. We're gonna get into all

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Speaker 1: four CFP games and then the next four bowl games.

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Speaker 1: Kind of a weird slate of bowl games. I will say,

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Speaker 1: a lot of opt outs on coaching change, so just

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Speaker 1: something to kind of keep in mind for you. But

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Speaker 1: we still have a ton of bowl games left, Boggs.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if you've looked ahead to your Texas Longhorns

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Speaker 1: by already have a bet on them for a couple

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Speaker 1: weeks from now, so looking forward to that one. And

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Speaker 1: as always, shout to everyone who is still pulling up

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Speaker 1: a stool joining us either on the Bank Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel or the audio feed. Thank you so much for

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Speaker 1: all sports so far this season, the easiest freeway sports.

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Speaker 1: Please give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy

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Speaker 1: this type of content. Also make sure you subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the channel if you're new. You don't want to miss

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Speaker 1: a moment of college football and NFL betting coverage the

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Speaker 1: rest of the way. And if you want to win

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Speaker 1: a signed AJ Brown Philadelphia Eagles helmet for free, Courtisy

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Speaker 1: is our friends over at pristineaction dot com. All you

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Speaker 1: need to do to get invested with this is go

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Speaker 1: to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the form neither

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Speaker 1: a go ahead and download that free Betting Pros app

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Speaker 1: b leave review for the Betting Pros podcast or see

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to our social media channels. We are at Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros on x TikTok and at bank Pros NFL on

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Speaker 1: the Instagram. The more actions you complete, the more entries

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Speaker 1: you're gonna receive, and we will of course announce a

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Speaker 1: winner right here on the program. So make sure you

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Speaker 1: ring the bell so you can be a learn we

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Speaker 1: have new shows up and claim your prize if you

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Speaker 1: are that lucky winner Box. I don't know about you,

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Speaker 1: but like my entire life, I was never a big

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Speaker 1: giveaway winner. Like in school, they give away like a

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Speaker 1: free bike every year from like mister moneyman would come

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Speaker 1: in with the you know, uh school fundraiser or whatever.

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Speaker 1: I was never that kid. I did win a giveaway

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Speaker 1: a few years ago, like an autograph frame Tyreek Hill

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Speaker 1: jersey at the Fans Football Expo. Are you big giveaway winner?

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Speaker 2: I am? Actually I have weird luck affles and like

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Speaker 2: not like the lottery. I played the lottery and never

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Speaker 2: won that scratchers also okay, at like that's all just

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Speaker 2: random luck, but for whatever reason, I come away with raffles.

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Speaker 2: I remember winning my first one at like ten. I

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Speaker 2: was the Alvin Opry in Alvin, Texas, home of Nolan Ryan.

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Speaker 2: By the way, I listen to a bunch of you know,

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Speaker 2: awesome country music and my aunt gave all of the

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Speaker 2: kids a raffle ticket. Right, there was five of us

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Speaker 2: or ten of us. There was a bunch of us there,

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Speaker 2: but we all got a raffle ticket and I won

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Speaker 2: like a cup. So they only drew like thirteen prizes

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Speaker 2: and they're like three hundred people there, and I won

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Speaker 2: one of them. So I thought that was pretty funny.

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Speaker 2: And I've done like a lot of those classroom raffles.

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Speaker 2: I would win it. I would also save, like I

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Speaker 2: would hoard whatever I had for those raffles to get

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Speaker 2: the big ticket item. So you know, a little bit

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Speaker 2: of skewed luck there, of course, But yeah, I've been

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Speaker 2: pretty good raffles. I'll say this, it stops at whatever

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Speaker 2: the raffle for the money at a baseball stadium is.

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Speaker 2: I've never won one of those, Okay, So if it's

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Speaker 2: over I think it's over five hundred people, that's where

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Speaker 2: my luck stops. But under five hundred people giveaways things

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Speaker 2: like that, I do have. Okay, look at I have

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Speaker 2: to admit I'm pretty good at those for whatever reason.

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Speaker 2: Whatever dumb luck.

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Speaker 1: Well, good to know, and good to know. You're also

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Speaker 1: employed by betting pro so you cannot enter the these raffles,

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Speaker 1: so come get it while Bogs is still employed, so

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Speaker 1: you can still keep winning these and we really appreciate y'all.

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Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and jump in though. Here at Scottie,

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Speaker 1: there's been absolutely no line movement for a Friday night

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Speaker 1: game in Norman where the number nine Alabama Crimson tie.

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Speaker 1: They are still one and a half point favorites. We

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Speaker 1: were seeing kind of flip flopping across the board where

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Speaker 1: they were favored, they were underdogs. We kind of always

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Speaker 1: thought they would come in here as the favorites against

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Speaker 1: the eighth ranked Oklahoma Sooners. Bama, they have questionable their

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Speaker 1: h back Josh Quavis. Also out for them is their

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Speaker 1: RB three Kevin Riley, their defensive end, and their left tackle.

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Speaker 1: We also have some depth issues for them at cornerback.

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Speaker 1: The Sooners, meanwhile, they're pretty good across the board. No

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Speaker 1: new injuries to report on, except they may get back

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Speaker 1: their running back Javonte Barnes, who has missed most of

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Speaker 1: the seasons. I don't know if he'll get a full

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Speaker 1: workload even if he's out there. BP rejections right now,

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Speaker 1: we have this at a pick them, so I think

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Speaker 1: I'll with them Bogs. Like I do believe Bama is

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Speaker 1: the better team. They're more well rounded. I think I

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Speaker 1: think they're not gonna get swept by OU. But their

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Speaker 1: lack of a run game, it's real, man. They cannot

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Speaker 1: run the ball really with anyone right now. And it

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Speaker 1: feels like going up against one of the nation's best defenses.

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Speaker 1: It gives me a little bit of hesitation. So how

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Speaker 1: do you see this one going, Scotti?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna stick with my original thought process in

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Speaker 2: this game. And I've listened to a lot of opinions

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Speaker 2: on this game, on every game over the course of

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Speaker 2: the last week. We've seen a lot of content come

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Speaker 2: out about these games, of course, but I just stick

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Speaker 2: to what we saw in the first game. And yes,

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Speaker 2: we did see a bad performance by Alabama in that game,

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Speaker 2: but offensively, it was a worse performance for Oklahoma. I

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Speaker 2: mean Bama had four hundred and six yards two hundred

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Speaker 2: and twelve for Oklahoma. That was thirty four to twenty

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Speaker 2: eight possession of twenty five thirty two. Oh you had

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Speaker 2: six punts and five penalties or only four punts and

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Speaker 2: two penalties for Bama in that game. Oh you was

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Speaker 2: three thirteen on third downs. Like all, if you look

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Speaker 2: at the backs, at the box score, you would have

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Speaker 2: no idea that Alabama lost this game, right, And I

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Speaker 2: think I'm going to stick with that. I will say

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Speaker 2: it's not with you know, a mountain of confidence here.

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a very razor

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Speaker 2: thin game, right. A big play, a big mistake one

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Speaker 2: way or the other is going to be the difference

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Speaker 2: in this game. And Alabama is a little bit more

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Speaker 2: beat up, but I think they are the better team.

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Speaker 2: So I think with extra time to prepare, I think

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Speaker 2: Ty Simpson is going to play his best game in

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Speaker 2: about a month here and they are going to move

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Speaker 2: to the next round. The next round will be tough

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Speaker 2: for them against Indiana, but I do like them in

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Speaker 2: this game against Oklahoma. Oklahoma, you know, Norman, in a

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Speaker 2: playoff game, it's going to be a lot of it's

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Speaker 2: going to be a great atmosphere for them, So they

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Speaker 2: do have that advantage and I do expect this one

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Speaker 2: to be razor thin. But I'm on the Crimson tide here,

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Speaker 2: and you know, take it with a grain of salt

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Speaker 2: because I hate the Sooners, but I do respect them

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Speaker 2: and they've had a great year and I picked them

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Speaker 2: against the in Alabama the first time, so I'm going

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Speaker 2: to go with Alabama this time. I just think this

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Speaker 2: is gonna be a different result.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you there, bugs, Like, I really think

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Speaker 1: probably Bama does slide out ahead. But I think, as

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Speaker 1: you mentioned, it's razor thin, right. I see this one

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Speaker 1: going twenty one to twenty. I think it's a low

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Speaker 1: scoring I think that total is kind of in the

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Speaker 1: right place. But for me, I'm actually going to go

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Speaker 1: with a teaser route for this Bogs, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: teaser this total up to forty eight and a half

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna go under that for the first leg

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Speaker 1: of this teaser and then I'll talk about the second

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Speaker 1: leg later on. But only two times has an OU

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Speaker 1: game this season gone over forty eight and a half points.

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Speaker 1: That was against Ole Miss and Tennessee, who I believe

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Speaker 1: both have two of the best offenses in the country,

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Speaker 1: especially because they're much more efficient with the run game

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Speaker 1: and in the past game as well than Alabama is.

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Speaker 1: In Bama right now, they haven't cleared this total in

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Speaker 1: four of their last four SEC games. Only two of

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Speaker 1: their nine conference games this season have gone over this total.

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Speaker 1: So I just don't see this being a shootout. Specifically

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Speaker 1: being in Norman. I think also will help Oklahoma. The

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Speaker 1: only way I think Oklahoma gets the wind Bogs is

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Speaker 1: if Jo Matier capes up, and I just don't Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he can do that game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm with you. I like to play on

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Speaker 2: this under as well. I think, you know, Alabama is

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Speaker 2: very one dimensional, as you mentioned, they passed the ball

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Speaker 2: a lot and they haven't had an effective run game,

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Speaker 2: so it does make them easier to attack. So you know,

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Speaker 2: I like the undercall in this one as well. I

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Speaker 2: think this has played pretty tight.

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Speaker 1: If Justice Haynes was here, I think this would be

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Speaker 1: a really different Alabama team this season. I think they

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Speaker 1: could be like legitimately like championship contenders, but without him,

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Speaker 1: I'm good on it. And a reminder as well that

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Speaker 1: with this college football playoff action starting on Friday, December nineteenth,

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Speaker 1: the betting pros are going live for it. Yes, join

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Speaker 1: myself and Scott Bogman seven forty five pm Eastern Time

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Speaker 1: for the first half betting live stream as number eight

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma takes on number nine Alabama and Norman or tracking

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Speaker 1: line movement in real time, breaking down live odds and

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Speaker 1: calling out bets as the game unfolds. Get in before

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Speaker 1: kickoff and catch us live on the Bank Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel right here where you always are, or also over

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Speaker 1: on the Fantasy Pros twitch channel at twitch dot tv

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Speaker 1: slash Fantasy Pros. And if you want to comment, make

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Speaker 1: sure you're going over there to the twitch channel because

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Speaker 1: we can only bring up twitch comments. So just something

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Speaker 1: to keep in mind there. But we really appreciate you

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Speaker 1: all hanging out with us. Really excited for that one, Bog.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be really a great Friday, especially because I

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Speaker 1: feel like that is almost like the official start of

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Speaker 1: the holiday season, right where people a lot of people

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Speaker 1: take all their PTO the week of Christmas. You and

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Speaker 1: I don't get that pleasure, right, We're gonna here, but

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Speaker 1: it really just feels like it's a celebration, especially of

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Speaker 1: the sport that we love so much.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna I mean, first playoff game of this

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Speaker 2: tournament that a lot of people are calling weird. I

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Speaker 2: love it. But I think this is going to be

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Speaker 2: a lot of fun, and I'm excited to stream live.

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Speaker 2: It's all is fun, you know. I do the live

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Speaker 2: streams with Welsh on playing Madden every single Tuesday. I

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Speaker 2: do that on ITL on Thursdaynight Football as well for

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Speaker 2: my subscribers on my Patreon over there. So I'm a

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Speaker 2: veteran of live games. Hopefully we can get our times

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Speaker 2: to sync. That's gonna be big on our stream here,

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Speaker 2: seth that you got the upgraded Internet, like, we're ready

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Speaker 2: to rock and roll styles. Yeah, let's show, let's let's

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Speaker 2: let's get everything going. So I am absolutely excited for that.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be a good time.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely man looking forward to it. And before we get

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Speaker 1: to that, though, we have a bunch of more games

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Speaker 1: to break down bogs and it starts where we actually haven't.

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Speaker 1: Also seen a ton of line movement in College Station

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Speaker 1: for the noon showdown. With the tenth ranked Miami Hurricanes

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Speaker 1: still between a two and a half and three and

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Speaker 1: a half point dog to the seventh ranked Texas A

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Speaker 1: and m Aggie's Miami, they are expected to get back

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Speaker 1: their nickel cornerback Keante Scott. This guy is a stud

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Speaker 1: and he's been out really for most of the back

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Speaker 1: half the season, suffered an injury in early November. A

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Speaker 1: and M their only question mark on the injury front

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Speaker 1: is whether running back leve On Moss will return after

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Speaker 1: missing the last eight games. I don't know if you

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Speaker 1: will or won't. Like I think that might have been

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Speaker 1: a season ender, but I appreciate the gamesmanship from Mike

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Speaker 1: Elko in this one. BP projections Right now we have

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Speaker 1: this line at two and a half points. So Boggs,

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Speaker 1: do you still see value on the Canes at anything

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Speaker 1: over a field goal?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's I think it's Miami here, man.

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Speaker 2: I'm just I think they went on the road, and

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Speaker 2: it's weird to take the two road teams when you

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Speaker 2: work all year to get this home field advantage, and

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of throwing it out the window. But my

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Speaker 2: concern with A and M and again, this is going

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Speaker 2: to be a very close game where mistakes are going

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Speaker 2: to be the name of the game.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 2: But I think what we saw with A and M

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Speaker 2: was they played a baby soft schedule in the SEC

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Speaker 2: until they face Texas, and Texas kind of exposed them. Now,

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Speaker 2: maybe I'm overreacting to this game. We've seen some tough

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Speaker 2: games from Miami earlier this year as well, but I

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Speaker 2: think really they've gelled down the stretch. I I don't

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Speaker 2: trust Mario Cristobal very much, right, But I don't trust

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Speaker 2: Elco either in a game spot like this. And I

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Speaker 2: really think it's going to come down to which defense

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Speaker 2: makes a bigger impact, Right, I'm gonna go with Ruben

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Speaker 2: Bain and a Kee mezidor like I think these guys

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Speaker 2: are going to tilt the favor into Miami's hands. We've

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Speaker 2: seen Marcel Reid make some mistakes whin he's pressured. Now, look,

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Speaker 2: we've also seen him, you know, pull that ball down

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Speaker 2: and run out the gate for long touchdowns, right, So

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Speaker 2: he can make some big plays in this game. I'm

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Speaker 2: not trying to take that away. That's why this game

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Speaker 2: is a field goal game for the team at home,

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Speaker 2: the team that only lost one game this entire season. Right.

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Speaker 2: But I do think Texas is kind of built similarly

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Speaker 2: to Miami. Very good defense, specifically on the defensive line,

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Speaker 2: and I think when you put pressure on Marcel Reid

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Speaker 2: and force him into mistakes, you can take advantage of that. Now,

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Speaker 2: Carson Beck makes massive mistakes as well, and we've seen

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Speaker 2: him do this in crunch time, so he's not above

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Speaker 2: you know, he's not above reproach here at all. There

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Speaker 2: are definitely downside to him, but he has been I

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Speaker 2: think with all of his experience, he is going to

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Speaker 2: be way more calm. I feel like all the pressure

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Speaker 2: because Miami just snuck in, right, I feel like all

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Speaker 2: the pressure is on A and M. It's battered aggie syndrome.

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Speaker 2: It's a home game, right, It's all of this pressure

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Speaker 2: is on the AGGI He's like, Okay, we spent all

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Speaker 2: this money, we got our coach, now we have to win.

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Speaker 2: I could easily see a letdown of Miami is a

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Speaker 2: very good team to face in the first round. I mean,

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Speaker 2: just beat Texas and you have a bye week A

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Speaker 2: and M. But this is the nature of the Beast,

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Speaker 2: and I think that loss to Texas is really going

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Speaker 2: to end up hurting them in the end. And I

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Speaker 2: am a Texas fan, so again, take that with a

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Speaker 2: grain of salt if you wish. But I'm trying to

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Speaker 2: speak from a neutral spot here right where. I just

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Speaker 2: saw them get exposed a little bit. They got exposed

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Speaker 2: South Carolina in the first half as well. Now Marcel

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Speaker 2: Reid is good enough to make that comeback. Is he

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Speaker 2: able to do that against the Miami defense if they

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Speaker 2: get down. I just doubt it. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 2: Miami in this game straight up and plus the points.

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Speaker 1: This just feels like, you know, when you're at that

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Speaker 1: point in your life where you have a toxic X

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Speaker 1: and then he get involved with another relationship turns out

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Speaker 1: they're also a toxic person as well, and then you

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Speaker 1: have two toxic exes. Like that's how I feel, because,

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Speaker 1: like Carson Beck, I can't trust this guy in a

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Speaker 1: big spot, man, especially against an SEC defense, albeit one

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Speaker 1: of the softer ones. And like kind of seeing with

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Speaker 1: Marcel Reid, right, like, what is Marcel Reid ever done

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Speaker 1: in a big game? He had his biggest game a

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Speaker 1: couple weeks ago against Texas and he kind of folded

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Speaker 1: like in oorrigami, right, And you know, credit to him

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Speaker 1: for coming back against South Carolina back there earlier in November.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, this one's really tough because

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Speaker 1: I love Miami like in this spot, like I really do.

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Speaker 1: Like you said, they're playing with house money, nothing to lose.

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Speaker 1: Malakai Tony I think is maybe the best offensive player

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Speaker 1: on the field, which is crazy because this guy's like

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Speaker 1: eighteen years old, right, But I also think they have

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Speaker 1: the best front or one of the best fronts in

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Speaker 1: college football in Miami. So I do lean Miami. I

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Speaker 1: just can't bet it, man, I have a role. I

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Speaker 1: don't go back. I was burned by Carson Back mid

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Speaker 1: season with Georgia last year, and I said, I'll never

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Speaker 1: bet on Carson Beck again. I got to follow through

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Speaker 1: at least for one more game here.

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Speaker 2: Well, look, you have two games at most left for

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Speaker 2: Carson Beck, because the winner of this game is gonna

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Speaker 2: get to play Ohio State, I mean in the Cotton Bowl,

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Speaker 2: so A and m would have, you know, a nice

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Speaker 2: home field to go on.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to win so I can fade him next week.

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Speaker 1: That's what was baby.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I feel the same way.

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Speaker 1: So all right, Well let's go ahead and move forward

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Speaker 1: where things remain really really quiet on the odds front.

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Speaker 1: For a three point thirty matchup in Oxford, where the

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Speaker 1: number six ole Miss Rebels. They host their first college

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Speaker 1: football playoff game to date as seventeen to seventeen and

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Speaker 1: a half point favors over the eleventh seed two lane

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00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,399
Speaker 1: Green Wave TWU lane. They should have everybody up for

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Speaker 1: this game. Ole Miss should also be at full health.

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Speaker 1: They also got four assistant coaches back that Lane Kiffen

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Speaker 1: allowed to return to prepare for this game. BP projections.

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Speaker 1: Right now, we have this line at nearly twenty points.

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Speaker 1: So are you willing to lay at least seventeen seventeen

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Speaker 1: and a half points with the ReBs in their first

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Speaker 1: game under Pete Goulding.

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Speaker 2: I'm back in Mississippi again. Here. This game was forty

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Speaker 2: five to ten. I know that there are extenuating circumstances

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Speaker 2: with the coaching staff, obviously, but Charlie Weis's coming in,

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Speaker 2: I think is going to just keep this flowing for

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Speaker 2: at least another week against Tulane. If they were playing

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Speaker 2: they were playing Miami, if they're playing A and M,

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Speaker 2: if they're playing Oregon, I feel like I want to

378
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Speaker 2: pick against ole Miss, but it's just it's gonna have

379
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Speaker 2: to wait until next week when they go play Georgia.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that this game is going to be

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Speaker 2: particularly close. In the last matchup, again, it was a

383
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Speaker 2: while ago, and Tulane has gotten better. I would say

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Speaker 2: ole Miss has gotten better since this game as well,

385
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Speaker 2: though Tulane held the ball longer and they had two

386
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Speaker 2: hundred and eighty two yards to five hundred and forty eight.

387
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Speaker 2: The biggest difference in this game is that Toulane's defense

388
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Speaker 2: is not going to be able to stop Ole Miss

389
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Speaker 2: even without Lane Kiffen, Right. I just think Shambliss is

390
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,080
Speaker 2: too much. I think Lacy is too much. I think

391
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Speaker 2: that this defensive line is obviously good enough to hold

392
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Speaker 2: Jake Retz laugh. In the passing game, they had one

393
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Speaker 2: hundred and four yards passing in the game. Last time

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Speaker 2: they went four on three fourth downs, they were zero

395
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Speaker 2: for three. I just I don't see the path to

396
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Speaker 2: Tulane making this a close game. So it's going to

397
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Speaker 2: be Ole missing a walk from me, This one is

398
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Speaker 2: not going to be very close.

399
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Speaker 1: Yeah, man, Rett's loss a fun story, right, you know

400
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,640
Speaker 1: it goes to BYU has the magical season out there

401
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 1: with the Cougars. Then you know, who knows what happened

402
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 1: in the offseason. He ends up here too Lane because

403
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Speaker 1: of it and takes them on a wild run into

404
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Speaker 1: the CFP. So good for Jakes Retzel it is. But

405
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Speaker 1: I just think this Old Miss defense is too good

406
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Speaker 1: and he's going to really struggle against them. I mean,

407
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Speaker 1: he struggled against some of the top defenses in the

408
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Speaker 1: Big twelve A year ago. So for me, like, I'm

409
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Speaker 1: gonna actually opt for the Old Miss aultline minus thirteen

410
00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 1: and a half bogs and with some of these boots

411
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Speaker 1: that we're gonna see get out there over the weekend.

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Speaker 1: This is minus one sixty four right now. I bet

413
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:31,520
Speaker 1: you can probably get a fifty to fifty boost on that,

414
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,919
Speaker 1: so you could probably you could probably get this for

415
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,560
Speaker 1: a round minus one twenty five, minus one thirty something

416
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Speaker 1: like that. That's gonna be my play. I just don't

417
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Speaker 1: want to go anything over two touchdowns in this one,

418
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Speaker 1: just because it is a little weird. But like you said,

419
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Speaker 1: Charlie Weiss Junior, who gotta say, every time I see

420
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Speaker 1: this guy, he's just like a skinny version of his dad. Yeah,

421
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Speaker 1: he looks just like him. Luckily he's obviously been in

422
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Speaker 1: the gym a bit more than Old Senior was, right,

423
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Speaker 1: But uh, you know, credit to Ole Miss for maintaining

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Speaker 1: some identity. And I just think like, at the end

425
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 1: of the day, someone like Trendad Chambliss, whether he's auditioning

426
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Speaker 1: for a new program or not, or whether he's gonna

427
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Speaker 1: stay committed to Old Miss, he's got a lot to

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Speaker 1: play for. And when you have one of the best

429
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Speaker 1: backs in the entire country. I don't think that's gonna

430
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Speaker 1: get stopped by what, in my opinion, is not the

431
00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 1: best team in the G five and two lane despite

432
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:21,360
Speaker 1: them being here.

433
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 2: And we keep talking about the distractions that Ole miss

434
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 2: has had with Lane KIFFI Lee, John Sumrall's leaving as well. Sure,

435
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,160
Speaker 2: when the clock said zero in this game, he's out

436
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 2: the door to Florida. So uh, I mean that obviously

437
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,159
Speaker 2: has to affect Tulane a little bit as well. So like,

438
00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 2: if this was just Lane Kiffin leaving and that was it,

439
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,399
Speaker 2: and you have this team singularly focused on this game,

440
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 2: then great, But there's a lot of guys that are

441
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:48,440
Speaker 2: gonna leave Tulane as well, maybe going to Florida, maybe

442
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 2: going to other programs. So I just think both teams

443
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,560
Speaker 2: could be distracted. And I'm going to lean on talent.

444
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 2: And we've already seen this game once it was dominated

445
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,919
Speaker 2: by Mississippi. It's got to be all missed for me.

446
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 1: Is there a big pipeline between two lane and LSU? Look,

447
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:04,959
Speaker 1: I would just assume there is.

448
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't I haven't looked up the history

449
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 2: of it. Yeah, sure, I mean I wouldn't doubt it.

450
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just feel like these two lane players are

451
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 1: gonna get picked off. I mean, most good G five

452
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,879
Speaker 1: players really do ye in this, you know, college football

453
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 1: and you get more money. I just think, you know,

454
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 1: there's a guy in Lane Kiffin who he might have

455
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: his eyes on this game.

456
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 2: Didn't he post the the Trinidad flag the other day

457
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:29,120
Speaker 2: as well?

458
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,919
Speaker 1: Yes? Yeah, so so I don't only think he'll be

459
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 1: rooting for his former team, but I also think he'll

460
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 1: be scouting potentially some two lane Green Wave players to

461
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 1: make potential small offer to in the portal.

462
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 2: I gotta be honest, Shambles should go to l SU, right,

463
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,159
Speaker 2: Like you came up from Division two and Lane Kiffin

464
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 2: put you in and kept you there at that spot.

465
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: I mean, why wouldn't you go? Uh if he's getting

466
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 2: an offer.

467
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 1: It's like a cam Ward story, right Yeah?

468
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, keep moving, Go where the money is and what

469
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 2: is going to boost your NFL stock the most. And

470
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,440
Speaker 2: I don't think sticking at Old miss Wood. I think

471
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 2: going to LSU and being impressive there would help him

472
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,160
Speaker 2: out a lot. Now going to Ole Miss and getting

473
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 2: bench or going to LSU and getting bench though, yeah,

474
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,320
Speaker 2: that would hurt you a lot as well, so he

475
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 2: does have a decision to make for sure.

476
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,120
Speaker 1: Got to take care of the family, right, Gotta take

477
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 1: my family just like just like old Vince. Oh, geez

478
00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 1: slip the guy from Fast and Fears. Who am I

479
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 1: thinking of? Oh Vin Diesel Vin Diesel. There you go, family.

480
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:30,639
Speaker 1: I want to say Vince Vonn at first, so that

481
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:34,159
Speaker 1: would be of you a little bit of a weird,

482
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 1: a weird position I.

483
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,119
Speaker 2: Can think of inappropriate Vince Vaughn lines to say, so

484
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 2: I won't say any.

485
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: Of them fair enough. We have these spread somewhat shrinking

486
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: for a Saturday night showdown in Eugene, with the fifth

487
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 1: seed Oregon Ducks laying between twenty and a half and

488
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 1: twenty one and a half points on the twelve seed,

489
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 1: James Madison, Duke's jam You at full strength, Oregon's wide

490
00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 1: receivers Gary Bryant, Junior Decoryan, and even Evan Stewart, who

491
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 1: has been out all seasons with a knee injury. They

492
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:09,359
Speaker 1: were seen pre practice stretching on Monday. No confirmation whether

493
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 1: they'll be up or not, but take that for what

494
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,919
Speaker 1: it's worth. The media only got to see fifteen minutes

495
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 1: of that practice, we did see Bryant, Junior, More and

496
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 1: Stuarts all out on the field BP projections. Right now

497
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: we have this line under sixteen points, so without movement,

498
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,840
Speaker 1: I think there's still some value on the Dukes. But Boggs,

499
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,600
Speaker 1: you wanted to see this, maybe go the other way,

500
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 1: see if we could get a twenty three and a half,

501
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 1: maybe a twenty four and a half we didn't. Are

502
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 1: you willing to get invested at twenty one and a half?

503
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 2: You know this game. I think I'm probably out on

504
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 2: I don't like twenty one and a half points, but

505
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 2: I can tell you there's just not a chance that

506
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 2: I would take James Madison here. I don't care how

507
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:54,679
Speaker 2: many points it is. Really I think that Oregon, specifically,

508
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,159
Speaker 2: if they get all three of those, if Evan Stuart

509
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:00,199
Speaker 2: plays in this game too, which would be shocking, I

510
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 2: guess not shocking for the time that he's missed, but

511
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 2: it would be surprising to see him get up. But

512
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,400
Speaker 2: I mean, hey, give him a handful in this game

513
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 2: because you don't really need him to be JMU and

514
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,960
Speaker 2: you know, keep him healthy for the next two games.

515
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 2: I think that's what you would want, like get him

516
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 2: back acclimated in this one. But this is just a

517
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:25,879
Speaker 2: massive difference in talent level. To me, like Oregon just

518
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 2: one of your better rosters. You know their roster strength

519
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,399
Speaker 2: is thirteenth in the nation right now, sixty third for

520
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 2: JMU great sum belt team, very fun team, but eight

521
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 2: and five against the spread. Oregon was also eight and four,

522
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 2: right Obviously, the strength is schedule much much more difficult

523
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 2: for Oregon thirty eighth to one hundred and ninth for

524
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:53,399
Speaker 2: James Madison statistically better almost everywhere outside of like total defense,

525
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:57,119
Speaker 2: and again you can see the difference in the strength

526
00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 2: of schedule there between these two teams. We saw jam

527
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 2: you play Washington State close, and that was a home game.

528
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 2: The level of difference that you are stepping into between

529
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,879
Speaker 2: Oregon and Washington State is at least twenty one and

530
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 2: a half points, so I know they won that game.

531
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 2: They also had a nice pick six in that one,

532
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 2: to see what I think. If they don't get that,

533
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,439
Speaker 2: they probably don't beat Washington State. Oregon is leaps and

534
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 2: bounds better than that team. A lot on the line. Again,

535
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: Chesney on his way out going to UCLA as well.

536
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 2: Dan Lanning is reafirmed Dan Lanning even shot down NFL

537
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 2: rumors this week. I don't know if you heard about that,

538
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 2: but he said, I used to have it up on

539
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 2: my board of accomplishments, and I've taken it off because

540
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 2: I love this job at Oregon so much now whatever

541
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 2: coach blah blah blah, but he wants to win a

542
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 2: Natty at Oregon before he does anything else in his career,

543
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 2: and I think that is what he's going for here.

544
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 2: I think they're the most dangerous team playing in this

545
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 2: round right now, and I don't think this game is

546
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:58,080
Speaker 2: going to be close at all. I understand the crying

547
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,080
Speaker 2: that people have about like these aren't the twelve best

548
00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 2: teams and all that. I have no issues with JMU

549
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 2: being in over Notre Dame. Is Notre Dame a better team? Yeah?

550
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 2: They probably are. Win your games then, you know, and

551
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 2: schedule harder and win games. So I would have been

552
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 2: saying the same thing if they decided to put Notre

553
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 2: Dame in over Miami, I'd be saying the same thing.

554
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 2: There is this going to be a close game.

555
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:21,159
Speaker 3: No?

556
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 2: Is it going to be an entertaining game? Probably not

557
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 2: unless you're betting on the over or under of you

558
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 2: know Oregon's team total and jmu's under it's not going

559
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 2: to be particularly close game. I think it's going to

560
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:34,640
Speaker 2: get ugly. But JMU deserve to be here. They won

561
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,880
Speaker 2: the games in front of them, so I like it.

562
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:40,440
Speaker 2: I hope that it's closer than I'm saying it's not

563
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:42,240
Speaker 2: going to be. Oregon is going to beat down this

564
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:43,680
Speaker 2: team going into the next round.

565
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 1: I think what you think of this game and what

566
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 1: you think of James Madison really depends, like where are

567
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:54,359
Speaker 1: they on the like actual national level, because we've seen

568
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 1: teams like Washington who at least stayed in the fight

569
00:26:57,960 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 1: against them for a little while. Right, didn't put up

570
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 1: a top points, but stay in the fight, kept it

571
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: somewhat close within a score or two for most of

572
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 1: that game. And what did they have success to him?

573
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,639
Speaker 1: Well running the ball right. And you look at what

574
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,119
Speaker 1: Iowa did that one day out there in Iowa City

575
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,119
Speaker 1: when the Ducks came to town and a lot of

576
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 1: people had them on upset alert. You're myself included, Right,

577
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 1: what did they do well? They ran the ball pretty well, right,

578
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 1: Gronowski got out, he got in for a score. We

579
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 1: saw Molten go for eighty seven yards as well. I

580
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,440
Speaker 1: think that's kind of the recipe for JAMU here.

581
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 2: They held the ball to thirty three to twenty in

582
00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 2: that game.

583
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 1: And so for me, this isn't my second leg of

584
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:34,920
Speaker 1: that teaser I brought up earlier again that first like

585
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 1: Alabama versus Oklahoma, I'm going under forty and a half.

586
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 1: The second leg, I'm taking JMU plus twenty eight and

587
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 1: a half points. That is where I'm going. This is

588
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,600
Speaker 1: given me minus one thirty five. I have multiple, multiple, multiple, multiple,

589
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: multi more units on it. This is my favorite bet

590
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,120
Speaker 1: of the week in here bogs and really like, like.

591
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 2: That's over four touchdowns though, I mean that's significantly higher

592
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 2: than the line. So yes, yes, I think, yeah, if

593
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 2: you're gonna put a bunch of units on it, altered

594
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 2: to that absolutely, So yeah.

595
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 1: I just think with Oregon like they in my mind,

596
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 1: I really don't think those receivers are playing or I

597
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 1: just at least don't think like maybe Bryant comes back

598
00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:13,359
Speaker 1: in plays because it seems like his injury was less

599
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 1: worse than more who missed pretty much all the last

600
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 1: four games of the season, and of course Evan Stewart

601
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 1: who missed the entire season. I don't think they bring

602
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 1: them back at least at a full capacity for this time.

603
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 2: They don't need them. They won't they won't have to

604
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 2: have them exactly.

605
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:29,840
Speaker 1: So I think with that, and like what's Oregon had

606
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 1: success with lately, it's been running the ball with no

607
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,880
Speaker 1: Winnington and then check down to Sadik Like that's really

608
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 1: kind of been their offense last few weeks. So I

609
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 1: just don't see a lot of explosion in this game

610
00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 1: unless it's like someone like no Winnington taking off for

611
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:43,959
Speaker 1: a sixty yard house called, which he can do that

612
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 1: he has those wheels. But I just think, jmu, they

613
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 1: like to run the ball. They're gonna burn some clock

614
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: here and not let Oregon get over twenty and a half.

615
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,960
Speaker 1: So that's my play. I'm going with a teaser bet.

616
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 1: We'll see how this goes. And yeah, that's what I'm

617
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 1: rocking and rolling with there, So bugs that is going

618
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 1: to be it for the call Football playoff discussion. I

619
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 1: do want to move us to the bowl games though.

620
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 1: Bowl season has been super fun so far. Let's see

621
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,479
Speaker 1: if we can get some more entertaining games. And it

622
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,080
Speaker 1: starts with maybe one of my favorite bowls in particular,

623
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 1: which is the Myrtle Beach Bowl. Of course, this is

624
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: coming with Kanansas State and Western Michigan. Western Michigan of

625
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,440
Speaker 1: course being that MAC champion at nine and four overall.

626
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: Kanasas State, they are also a champion of their conference

627
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 1: coming out of Conference USA after just honestly coming out

628
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 1: of the FCS not too long ago, right, So, Kanisas State.

629
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 1: They come into this one after a really nice comeback

630
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: victory over Jacksonville State in that title game. Western Michigan

631
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 1: controlled pretty much the entire game against Miami Ohio in

632
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:51,719
Speaker 1: that MAC championship game. They also beat their rival Eastern

633
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,360
Speaker 1: Michigan the week prior, and now they have five straight wins.

634
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 1: So it's been a really strong season. Four Western Michigan.

635
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 1: You know how I feel about this run game, Bogs.

636
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 1: I think it is fantastic. However, we do have some

637
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: opt outs that could potentially and some injuries that potentially

638
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 1: hurt Western Michigan. First of all, their defensive end, the

639
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,479
Speaker 1: Dommy Tucker, he is potentially opting out. We also then

640
00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 1: have running back Jaden Buckley. He hurt his hand before

641
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 1: that MAC title game. I'm expecting he probably will still

642
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 1: be up for this one. And then on the opt

643
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 1: out side for Kennessa State, we have their cornerback. Caleb offered,

644
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: who I'm expecting he is gonna play? Is that what

645
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 1: we're hearing, Bogs?

646
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, the all conferences?

647
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 1: Yeah okay, and that is actually Jerika watching.

648
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's gonna play, for sure, he's transferring, but he's

649
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 2: gonna play the ball game, so okay.

650
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 1: And then no real big injuries that haven't been new

651
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: for Kennessas State. So pretty much what you see is

652
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 1: what you get with these type of games right here, Bogs.

653
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 1: I love Western Michigan because I love their defense. I

654
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:53,959
Speaker 1: love what they've been doing this season with the ground

655
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 1: and pound style. However, it scares me here because we've

656
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: talked about it before on the show, Bogs. They typically

657
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 1: get behind in games right Western Michigan, and beside from

658
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,880
Speaker 1: that MAX Championship game, usually it's a claw their way back.

659
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 1: Kennesa Stay a very lethal passing offense, one of the

660
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 1: best pass catcher receiver combos coming out of the entire

661
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 1: G five area of the country. So I don't want

662
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 1: to get invested with this one. Do you have a play? Yeah?

663
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 2: I like the under in this game more than anything,

664
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:24,120
Speaker 2: and I also like Kennesaw State as well. It's been

665
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 2: a miracle season for them right they they won their conference.

666
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 2: They're in a nice bowl game here against another conference

667
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 2: winner in Western Michigan as well, and they have been

668
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 2: clicking with Odum at the helm. And we haven't heard

669
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 2: anything about ed Rusher Nadami Tucker yet playing in this game.

670
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 2: It looks like he's going to play, so but that

671
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 2: would be a massive loss. He was huge, by far

672
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 2: their best defensive player for Western Michigan. If he doesn't play,

673
00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 2: and you know, I mean, the guy is going with

674
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 2: the draft, he shouldn't be playing in this game, but

675
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 2: he may want to finish out with the teammates. And

676
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 2: we've heard nothing yet, so I'm going to assume that

677
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 2: he's going to play here. But my main concern for

678
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 2: Western Michigan is exactly what you mentioned, Seth. It's if

679
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 2: Kennisaw State moves early twenty fourth highest piece in the

680
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 2: country this year, if they score the ball and move

681
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 2: the ball early, I don't think that brock Lowry has

682
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 2: the chops to play catch up in this game against

683
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 2: Kennessauw State. So that's why I like Kannisas State. However,

684
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 2: the defense is so good for Western Michigan. I do

685
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 2: think that this is going to be a lower scoring game.

686
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 2: This is you know, Western Michigan's offense is slow moving,

687
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 2: grind you down, score on the fourth quarter. But if

688
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 2: you're not getting that and you have to pass, Brock

689
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 2: Lowry has seven passing touchdowns this year. He has fourteen

690
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 2: rushing touchdowns. So this is basically a triple option that

691
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 2: Western Michigan is running here. So you know, I like

692
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 2: the under. Western Michigan drags teams in the mud. They

693
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 2: haven't allowed more than twelve points since the end of October,

694
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 2: and only Miami, Ohio and North Texas put up more

695
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:01,760
Speaker 2: than twenty one on them the entire season. We saw

696
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 2: Jacksonville State slow down Kennesaw a bit, and I think

697
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 2: Western Michigan will be able to keep them low but

698
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 2: also have issue struggling themselves. So the under is my

699
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 2: favorite this game. The toll right now forty nine and

700
00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 2: a half. We have it at forty three point seven.

701
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 2: Through are significantly under that total, and I like Kannessas

702
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 2: State to win the game. But my play here is

703
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 2: going to be the under. Forty nine and a half.

704
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's probably the right play like, the

705
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 1: only thing that Kanessas State can't have happen is to

706
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,239
Speaker 1: just have Western Michigan's run game go wild on this one, right,

707
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: because their rushing attack has really been what's feeding this

708
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: offense and Kanisas State one hundred and second in rushing defense. However,

709
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 1: they handle themselves with cook right like like they did

710
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:45,920
Speaker 1: out there with Jacksonville State, who has a really lethal

711
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: run game as well. So I think you might appeal

712
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 1: and they can catch up this one.

713
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:53,120
Speaker 2: Kennesau can catch up if they get behind. Western Michigan cannot,

714
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 2: so even if they're grinding them down for three quarters,

715
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 2: they have enough birth plays for Kannessas State to get

716
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,160
Speaker 2: back in that game if it's low score.

717
00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 1: And a Friday filled with college football continues at the

718
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 1: gasprillable for Memphis versus the NC State wolf Pack. This

719
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 1: is at two thirty pm Eastern time. Right now. We

720
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 1: are seeing Memphis really anywhere from a four and a

721
00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 1: half point dog all the way to a five and

722
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 1: a half at some books as well. So a lot

723
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 1: of movements still happening with this one, and part of

724
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 1: that movement probably does have to deal with the coaching

725
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 1: changes in this one. Ryan Silverfield. Of course, he's leaving

726
00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 1: for the Arkansas job. That will mean Reggie Howard will

727
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 1: serve as the interim He is the dB coach. Hey

728
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,919
Speaker 1: dB coaches speaking up here from a Penn State fan.

729
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 1: Not too bad as an interrum. But we also have

730
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,600
Speaker 1: the Huff Daddy, Charles Huff, who will be likely in

731
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:49,720
Speaker 1: the building for this one. He's coming from Southern miss

732
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: He was at Marshall the year before. He will be

733
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 1: the new head coach for Memphis moving forward. Kind of

734
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 1: a bit of an odd hire to me, honestly, just

735
00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:58,279
Speaker 1: because you know, he's only been with a couple of

736
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:01,840
Speaker 1: programs for a year or so. Jump ship. But Memphis

737
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 1: right now their injuries. Brendan lewis their quarterback. He's been

738
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:09,319
Speaker 1: hit or miss all season long as far as availability,

739
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 1: as far as what he's gonna be as far as

740
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 1: one hundred percent or not. And then they do have

741
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,200
Speaker 1: a stud right tackle in Travis Burke who missed their

742
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 1: finale game, and a couple of cornerbacks who've been out

743
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:24,320
Speaker 1: really for the last month or so. We are expecting

744
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:27,440
Speaker 1: four NC State most of their potential opt outs to

745
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:30,360
Speaker 1: be in and play for this game. With who's healthy

746
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:32,640
Speaker 1: they have a couple two deep members who are gonna

747
00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 1: be banged up for this one though, so Bogs. This

748
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:39,360
Speaker 1: is another one where if we had all the coaching staffs,

749
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 1: if we had all the players, I think this would

750
00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:43,879
Speaker 1: be a really fun game. I just don't know if

751
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,400
Speaker 1: I can trust Memphis in this spot, particularly with how

752
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 1: they played kind of down the stretch light right, like

753
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 1: losing the dam, lost to East Carolina, They didn't look

754
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: great at times against Tulane like so, I just think

755
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 1: I'm okay on missing this one. What side of the

756
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:00,839
Speaker 1: boat are you getting it on though?

757
00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll be on the wolf pack here, and I

758
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:04,640
Speaker 2: think you're right. I think the Wheels have come off

759
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 2: from Memphis at the end of the season here they

760
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,960
Speaker 2: lost three straight. They really seem to have let the

761
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:11,880
Speaker 2: win come out of their sales when they lost to

762
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 2: Tulane ECU and Navy beat them. After that game, Ryan

763
00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:19,919
Speaker 2: Silverfield left to take the Arkansas job, and now it's

764
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 2: a one off with the Charles Huff being hired with

765
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:27,279
Speaker 2: their their interim coach. Here, Dorin has everybody back and

766
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 2: it looks like but I'll say this, his record in

767
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:33,320
Speaker 2: Bowl games is three and six and joining n C

768
00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 2: State with five straight losses as well. I think this

769
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 2: one can be different though for NC State that it

770
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 2: really looks like they're getting a lot of players to

771
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:49,959
Speaker 2: stay like Washington did. But because we just we haven't

772
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 2: heard like smothers leaving and a lot of those other

773
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 2: guys leaving quite yet, I'm gonna lay the points and

774
00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:58,760
Speaker 2: take the team that seems to be the most in textill.

775
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,920
Speaker 2: Memphis quarterback Brandon Loue, like you said, has been playing

776
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 2: at less than one hundred percent and the roster might

777
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 2: see some opt outs or phantom injuries with the change

778
00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:09,799
Speaker 2: at head coach from Memphis as well, So I'll take

779
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 2: the wolf Pack in leay of the points here. It's

780
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 2: four and a half, so anything less than a touchdown

781
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:15,600
Speaker 2: I think I'm good on NC State here.

782
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,120
Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to the s Murph Turf, which will

783
00:37:18,120 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 1: be buzzing in Boise for the famous Idaho Potato Bowl

784
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: on Monday, December twenty second, two pm Eastern times. This one,

785
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:28,279
Speaker 1: we have the six and six Washington Cougars. There were

786
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,160
Speaker 1: in a half to two and a half point dogs

787
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:34,560
Speaker 1: to the six and six Utah State Aggies Wazoo. They

788
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 1: had a really solid six and six season in what

789
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,879
Speaker 1: remained of the Pac twelve, and honestly, Bogs, I'd say

790
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,839
Speaker 1: they had a pretty freaking tough schedule right San Diego State,

791
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:49,319
Speaker 1: North Texas, Washington, Ole, Miss Virginia, Toledo JMU, So it

792
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 1: wasn't like they were playing a bunch of cupcakes this year.

793
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:55,920
Speaker 1: And their defense was particularly strong, ranking fourteenth against the

794
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:58,920
Speaker 1: past twenty ninth against the run. And I'd really like

795
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 1: this Washington eight team on that defense because they get

796
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:04,879
Speaker 1: a ton of pressure on the quarterback. They limit big

797
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 1: plays at a top forty rate. Wazoo's head coach Jimmy Rogers,

798
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 1: though he has left for Ames in the wake of

799
00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 1: a certain coach over there getting hired. Welcome to a

800
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 1: happy Gully Baby. We appreciate you, and yes, sir, I

801
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:19,920
Speaker 1: am super excited a.

802
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,719
Speaker 2: Great fire for being as laid the process as y'all were.

803
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 1: It saved it, It really did save it. And also

804
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:30,280
Speaker 1: we probably will see more players jump into the portal

805
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,239
Speaker 1: after that. But right now we do have questionable to

806
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:37,400
Speaker 1: play in this game. Their cornerback Kenny Worthy, their linebacker

807
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:41,279
Speaker 1: Anthony Palano, and their wide receiver Tony Freeman, who's been

808
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 1: a bit of a jolt of energy for this team.

809
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 1: Also questionable with injury is their center Brook Dau and

810
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:53,320
Speaker 1: their wide receiver Carter Patel so Utah State. Right now,

811
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 1: they were six and six on the season, pretty middling

812
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 1: Mountain West team in Bronco Mendenhall's first season at the Helm.

813
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:03,680
Speaker 1: Their offense was really though, firing and all cylinders under

814
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:07,919
Speaker 1: Bryson Helm, who had eighteen touchdowns just four interceptions through

815
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:10,440
Speaker 1: the air, also add another seven hundred plus yards on

816
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 1: the ground nine scores as well with his legs. The

817
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 1: defense though absolutely terrible outside of the top one hunderd

818
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 1: and almost every single metric. So they're gonna be without

819
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:23,360
Speaker 1: their leaning wide receiver Brandon Pagan, who hit the portal

820
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 1: after going over nine hundred yards. Their tight end one

821
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 1: brock Lane, also questionable with an injury. BP projections right

822
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:34,040
Speaker 1: now we have this actually flipped with Wazoo favored by four,

823
00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 1: but that was before the Jimmy Rodgers news. So Boggs,

824
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 1: this is one of those Bowl games where it's just

825
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:41,920
Speaker 1: a bit too much uncertainty for me to want and

826
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,399
Speaker 1: get involved with. I think if I were to get involved, though,

827
00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 1: it would be with Washington State. I think they're the

828
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 1: better team. I just don't know how much the head

829
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:51,720
Speaker 1: coach leaving has the impact on this program.

830
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:54,240
Speaker 2: How about the total seth do you see the total?

831
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 2: Do you like the under fifty two and a half?

832
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:00,320
Speaker 2: It has to be the under, right, Washington States defense

833
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 2: has been good all year. Utah State is losing their

834
00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 2: number one wide receiver, and Wazoo did a good job

835
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 2: against James Madison this year, right, Like we talked about

836
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 2: that a little bit earlier when we talked about James Madison.

837
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:17,120
Speaker 2: So the d C. Bobbittt is taking over as well.

838
00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:21,880
Speaker 2: He will leave to go with Jimmy Rodgers to Iowa

839
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:25,280
Speaker 2: State after this game, So I don't want to trust

840
00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:27,880
Speaker 2: the side in this game. Like, I think that it

841
00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:30,879
Speaker 2: could easily be a Utah State win. They are ten

842
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 2: and two against the spread this year as well. We

843
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,520
Speaker 2: like that way better than their six and six records,

844
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:38,760
Speaker 2: So we like that spread record for them for sure.

845
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 2: But I like the under here. You know, obviously it's

846
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:45,319
Speaker 2: not as bad as last year for Washington State when

847
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 2: everybody left, but it's not ideal specifically late in the process.

848
00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:54,359
Speaker 2: But you combined the strong defense and the fact that

849
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 2: Pagan is leaving. Utah State is a number one wide out.

850
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,279
Speaker 2: I just think Washington State is going to keep this

851
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:05,640
Speaker 2: slow and struggling here. Their pace this year was one

852
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:10,319
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty ninth, Utah States was twenty fifth, right,

853
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:12,839
Speaker 2: But I just think that Washington State is a team

854
00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 2: that grinds their opponent down. They hold onto the ball

855
00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:18,839
Speaker 2: and they make it hard to move. I think that's

856
00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 2: gonna happen. I think they're getting get after the quarterback here,

857
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 2: and I think Washington State at least keeps this game

858
00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 2: to lower than fifty two and a half. So I'm

859
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:29,479
Speaker 2: gonna go under on this game.

860
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:32,399
Speaker 1: I think it's sharp. I think that's probably the right

861
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 1: move in this one if you are going to put

862
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,360
Speaker 1: some US dollars down on it. Honestly, like, I'm not

863
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:40,279
Speaker 1: a big Mountain West better and I really just don't

864
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: know how to handicap Utah State. I'm gonna be frank

865
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:45,759
Speaker 1: with you, Bogs is like, because like when I've watched

866
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 1: them this season, they put up points like most of

867
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 1: the Mountain West does, right, So it just kind of

868
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,400
Speaker 1: scares me. But I do agree. I think the best

869
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,720
Speaker 1: overall unit in this game is that Washington State defense,

870
00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:58,239
Speaker 1: so I would want to lean that way with you there.

871
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,879
Speaker 2: Mountain West is the big twelve of the G five,

872
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 2: I feel yep.

873
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:03,880
Speaker 1: No, I think I think it's a great fairs and

874
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,279
Speaker 1: I think that's the spot on there. And also the

875
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:09,560
Speaker 1: following day at two Eastern time is an acc MAC

876
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 1: clash in the Boca Raton Bowl from FAU Stadium. They

877
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 1: in four Toledo Rockets. They opened as nine and a

878
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 1: half point underdogs, but they have now moved under a

879
00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:23,000
Speaker 1: touchdown to six and a half. Toledo arguably I think

880
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 1: had the top G five defense in the country. They

881
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 1: finished third in total defense. The Rockets were six and

882
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,880
Speaker 1: two in the MAC eight and four ats this season,

883
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:33,880
Speaker 1: in the final year of the Jason Kandell era, he

884
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,200
Speaker 1: has left for the Yukon job. Still, you know, I

885
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:39,720
Speaker 1: know everyone's you know, kind of papoo me on Twitter,

886
00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:41,400
Speaker 1: but I don't know if the Yukon job is that

887
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:44,120
Speaker 1: much better than the Toledo job. You can say what

888
00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 1: you want about it, but they will be without their

889
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:50,400
Speaker 1: defensive end. Malachai Davis, who hit the portal potential opt

890
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 1: outs also include for them their top four defensive backs.

891
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 1: They're running back Chip Trenham, who was just a monster

892
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 1: this year over eleven hundred and fifty yards, their leading receiver,

893
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 1: junior Vander krast the third, plus their starting left tackle

894
00:43:05,640 --> 00:43:09,879
Speaker 1: Carter Fully as questionable with an injury Lowville. Meanwhile, they

895
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 1: were also a very strong defensive team, at least from

896
00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:16,480
Speaker 1: ACC standards, coming off a season that looked very promising

897
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 1: at the start. They fell apart late though, going four

898
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:23,279
Speaker 1: and foreign conference play also foreign four ATS record down

899
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 1: the stretch really due to Miller Moss. I would say

900
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:30,920
Speaker 1: this overall offensive inconsistencies that we saw. They could be

901
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:34,120
Speaker 1: without their top three running backs, including Isaac Brown, who's

902
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 1: a monster, their stud wide receiver Chris Bell, he is

903
00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 1: also out with an injury after going for over nine

904
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,200
Speaker 1: hundred yards this season. Two of their starting defensive linemen

905
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 1: have opted out. Also, their top linebacker questionable BP projections.

906
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 1: Right now, we have this at five points. But Box,

907
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:51,399
Speaker 1: this is just another one, man Like, there's too much

908
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 1: happening here for me to want to get involved this one.

909
00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:57,480
Speaker 2: I hate. I really do not like this game. So

910
00:43:57,680 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 2: and I Toledo, you know me, I know, I know,

911
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:03,839
Speaker 2: but they're missing pieces here, specifically on defense, right potentially,

912
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,799
Speaker 2: we'll see when we get there. But McNeil Warren is

913
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:09,600
Speaker 2: like he's going to the senior ball. I don't know

914
00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:11,560
Speaker 2: why he would play in this game. They've already had

915
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:14,799
Speaker 2: to opt out of one of their defensive ends as well,

916
00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:18,520
Speaker 2: so they are missing pieces. But Louisville might be down

917
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:22,120
Speaker 2: their top three running backs right and no Chris Bell

918
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,600
Speaker 2: in this game either, So I think we're gonna have

919
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 2: a low score in this game. Louisville is down maybe

920
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:32,120
Speaker 2: their top three running backs. Toledo's offense has looked nice

921
00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 2: this year behind Tucker Gleeson, but this MAX schedule was

922
00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:38,320
Speaker 2: super soft if strength of schedule is one hundred and twenty. First,

923
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 2: they played a soft defensive schedule even by MAX standards.

924
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:45,400
Speaker 2: WKU had the forty eighth highest scoring offense, but the

925
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 2: next highest MAC offense they faced was eighty fifth in

926
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:52,480
Speaker 2: scoring in Miami. Louisville is also missing two thirds of

927
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:55,920
Speaker 2: their defensive line, Conga and Bailey opting out Cleft Lubin

928
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,480
Speaker 2: who led them in snaps on the defensive line as

929
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,120
Speaker 2: a maybe right now. So I think it's going to

930
00:45:01,160 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 2: be a closer game than it should be in terms

931
00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 2: of roster strength. With those major losses to Louisville. Toledo

932
00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:11,000
Speaker 2: is punching up and doing it without their head coach

933
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 2: as well, so it's just a difficult game for me

934
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:16,360
Speaker 2: to pick. But I think if we're getting more than

935
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 2: a touchdown, if we're not getting more than a touchdown,

936
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 2: like I'm not taking Louisville right, but if we're if

937
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,239
Speaker 2: we're not getting seven and a half, I'm altering this

938
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:26,040
Speaker 2: to seven and a half. I want it over a

939
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:30,439
Speaker 2: touchdown for Toledo. Also don't hate going under, but this

940
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 2: total of forty four and a half might be too low,

941
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 2: so I want to find something to get invested here.

942
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:38,319
Speaker 2: I'm going to alter this to seven and a half

943
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:41,799
Speaker 2: and take Toledo. With all those opt outs for Louisville,

944
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,319
Speaker 2: I just think it's going to be too much. And

945
00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:46,439
Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to get a running back

946
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:48,799
Speaker 2: to play in this game either, so they're probably gonna

947
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 2: be fairly one dimensional. So maybe Toledo six with them,

948
00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:54,480
Speaker 2: maybe not. This is not my favorite game. This is

949
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 2: if I'm in my Bowl confidence group, this one's way

950
00:45:58,040 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 2: at the bottom for me. I do not like this game.

951
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:04,120
Speaker 1: I just think there are different levels of head coach departures,

952
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 1: like we've talked about a ton tonight man, and I

953
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 1: just think, like Jason Kandell, he's been the institute right

954
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: like say what you want. Is not the most emotional

955
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,399
Speaker 1: guy and he's not a big, raw raw guy that's

956
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 1: gonna get the media fired up with a bunch of quotes.

957
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:17,839
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how many quotes have come

958
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:21,839
Speaker 1: out of Toledo Weekly anyways, but I mean eleven years there, Yeah,

959
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:24,000
Speaker 1: should he have won some more MAC championships? He only

960
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:26,359
Speaker 1: had two? Yes, but he was so dang consistent every

961
00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:28,000
Speaker 1: single year, it felt like So I just feel like

962
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,400
Speaker 1: this is a really big loss for Toledo. Therefore, I

963
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,319
Speaker 1: can't get invested with them. But I do agree with

964
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:36,600
Speaker 1: you that I think without some of these stars for him,

965
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 1: like Vander Cross is really good. Their running games certainly

966
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,400
Speaker 1: took a big step forward this year when a lot

967
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 1: of people were thinking it was not going to as well.

968
00:46:45,160 --> 00:46:47,879
Speaker 1: So I just think with out there starting running back

969
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:51,000
Speaker 1: out there and Chip is that I just I can't

970
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 1: get invested here. But I think the under is probably

971
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 1: my favorite. Lean Bog's better job Yukon or Toledo.

972
00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 2: Probably Yukon's slightly, But I don't know.

973
00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:03,840
Speaker 1: A conference, find a conference.

974
00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:05,840
Speaker 2: I don't know. If I uproove my life to go

975
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,239
Speaker 2: to Yukon, I think I would probably have made a

976
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 2: waited another year for a better job to open.

977
00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:14,520
Speaker 1: Listen, I've been to Connecticut, beautiful state, love the shore

978
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:15,080
Speaker 1: up there.

979
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:17,360
Speaker 2: I mean, if my guy John Lobb heard me saying this,

980
00:47:17,560 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 2: he would be very upset with me. But because he's

981
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 2: a big Yukon guy in a Yukon grat so I

982
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:25,239
Speaker 2: have a lot of respect for Yukon. I do think

983
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 2: it's a slightly better job. I also think living in

984
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 2: Connecticut's better than living way better than living in Toledo.

985
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:34,200
Speaker 2: So I'll say that cheaper cost of living in Ohio, baby,

986
00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 2: and it's okay, ye'll call her out better chance stab

987
00:47:37,680 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 2: as well.

988
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 1: So you know, easy easy.

989
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:44,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just you know, Jo.

990
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,279
Speaker 1: We head to the Big Easy next for the New

991
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: Orleans Bowl, kicking off from the super Dome on December

992
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,319
Speaker 1: twenty third at five thirty pm Eastern time. I've been

993
00:47:54,360 --> 00:47:56,239
Speaker 1: pretty gun shy in some of these Bowl games so

994
00:47:56,239 --> 00:47:58,480
Speaker 1: far in this slate. Not in this one where we

995
00:47:58,520 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 1: have the eight and four Western can Tachi Yel toppers.

996
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 1: They are four and a half to five and a

997
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:05,560
Speaker 1: half point favorites over the seven to five Southern Miss

998
00:48:05,680 --> 00:48:09,759
Speaker 1: Golden Eagles. It was another really solid season for WKU.

999
00:48:09,840 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 1: They finished third in Conference USA six and two in

1000
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:17,520
Speaker 1: conference play, also nine to three ats. WKU once again

1001
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:20,080
Speaker 1: led by the air Raid, ranking twenty fourth in passing.

1002
00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:23,680
Speaker 1: They did have to switch quarterbacks to Rodney Tisdale Junior

1003
00:48:23,719 --> 00:48:28,840
Speaker 1: midway through the Seasonale, I might be Ricky Tisdal. I

1004
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:30,400
Speaker 1: think you think you got me on that one. I

1005
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:33,400
Speaker 1: think you got me on that one. Their starting quarterback

1006
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:36,719
Speaker 1: Dylan Flowers, though and their RB two Lavelle Wright are

1007
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:40,720
Speaker 1: hitting the portal Southern Miss. Meanwhile, they would have likely

1008
00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 1: been without their starting cornerback Josh Morgan due to an

1009
00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:48,680
Speaker 1: opt out and Blake bustered with an injury. And now

1010
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:50,839
Speaker 1: they also had Charles Huff who just signed a deal

1011
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:53,439
Speaker 1: with Memphis in the last week. So maybe some more

1012
00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 1: portal opt outs over the past week that we are

1013
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:58,879
Speaker 1: not aware of right now, box, So this is one

1014
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:00,920
Speaker 1: keep your head on a swivel four. If we do

1015
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:05,080
Speaker 1: see more Southern Miss players planning not to play, however,

1016
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 1: like I just gotta be honest, with you, man like,

1017
00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:09,799
Speaker 1: I think these are two really evenly matched teams as

1018
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 1: far as all the metrics go. Dude, I just think

1019
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 1: that WKU they finished the season really strong. Yes, it

1020
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,000
Speaker 1: was two straight losses, but they were to LSU and

1021
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:22,320
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State. They lost by and combined six points. Handled

1022
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:25,040
Speaker 1: themselves really good down there in Baton Rouge on a

1023
00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 1: Saturday night. Southern miss They've lost three in a row

1024
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:32,000
Speaker 1: to end the season to Texas State, Southern Alabama, and Troy.

1025
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 1: Troy's really the only decent G five team in that mix.

1026
00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 1: Then we had the Huff departure, right, and this is

1027
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:40,160
Speaker 1: just after one year, so I think it's a bit

1028
00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:42,319
Speaker 1: of chaos there, right, because they just brought him in.

1029
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 1: Now he's gone. Blake Anderson the offensive coordinator, he has

1030
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,040
Speaker 1: elevated the permanent head coach for twenty twenty six and

1031
00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:52,400
Speaker 1: beyond WKU four and two in bowl games under Tyson Helton,

1032
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 1: which is only one of those losses coming to JMU

1033
00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:58,839
Speaker 1: arguably a top three G five team over the past

1034
00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:01,320
Speaker 1: few years. They won buy an average of twelve points

1035
00:50:01,320 --> 00:50:04,839
Speaker 1: in that game. So for me, it's go tops. I'm

1036
00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 1: all in. The BP projections do not like this they

1037
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:08,880
Speaker 1: have under a field goal? What do you have it

1038
00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:09,440
Speaker 1: at Bogs?

1039
00:50:09,520 --> 00:50:11,479
Speaker 2: By the way, you're right if Rodney Tysdale not Ricky.

1040
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:13,000
Speaker 2: I don't know why I was thinking it was Ricky.

1041
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 2: It said I've looked up his name basketball player, so

1042
00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:21,640
Speaker 2: maybe I'm mixing that up from a while back. But

1043
00:50:22,320 --> 00:50:25,640
Speaker 2: it is Rodney, So my bad on that. But I'm

1044
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:29,240
Speaker 2: gonna take smu here plus the points. And it's because

1045
00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:33,840
Speaker 2: I don't really trust either one of these teams, you know,

1046
00:50:34,080 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 2: I think Rodney. I don't know if Rodney Tisdale is good.

1047
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:40,360
Speaker 2: Southern Miss defense has been better against the past than

1048
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:44,480
Speaker 2: the run as well, and they rank fourth in turnovers

1049
00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:48,440
Speaker 2: this year at plus. I think it was plus eighteen,

1050
00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 2: so no plus more than that because WKU is ninety

1051
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 2: six with eighteen given, so I think maybe it was

1052
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,399
Speaker 2: twenty six that they had for whatever reason, they didn't

1053
00:50:57,400 --> 00:50:59,120
Speaker 2: write it down. But some of the Miss is good,

1054
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:03,120
Speaker 2: been good enough offense to score points against Western Kentucky.

1055
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:06,000
Speaker 2: That's not my concern at all with Southern Miss. They

1056
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 2: should be able to stick in this game with a

1057
00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:11,480
Speaker 2: high paced offense as well, but we haven't seen opt outs, right.

1058
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:15,479
Speaker 2: Charles huff Is leaving to take this Memphis job. Oc

1059
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:18,960
Speaker 2: Blake Anderson is taking over. So I'll say, right now

1060
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:20,719
Speaker 2: my pick is going to be Southern Miss because we're

1061
00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:23,560
Speaker 2: getting points, right, That's the only reason I really like them.

1062
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:26,000
Speaker 2: I want the team. When I don't trust both the teams,

1063
00:51:26,040 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 2: I just want to take the points. But if Brayln

1064
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,720
Speaker 2: Braxton leaves and he doesn't play in this game, which

1065
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:33,880
Speaker 2: we'll know more by the time we get there, we

1066
00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:36,360
Speaker 2: haven't heard anything about him leaving. Now, if he leaves,

1067
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:40,000
Speaker 2: I think Southern Miss crumbles. So right now, it's going

1068
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:41,960
Speaker 2: to be Southern Miss. But like I said, it's with

1069
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 2: that a lot of con I don't nearly have the

1070
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,480
Speaker 2: confidence you have about this game and your boy Rodney

1071
00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 2: Tisdale in this one. But I will take SMU just

1072
00:51:51,680 --> 00:51:53,200
Speaker 2: because I'm getting the points here.

1073
00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:56,120
Speaker 1: Look, I get it, and thank you for putting a

1074
00:51:56,160 --> 00:52:01,120
Speaker 1: little respect on my boy Rodney's in there. I will say,

1075
00:52:01,200 --> 00:52:04,440
Speaker 1: like Southern Miss bogs, if you flash back about a

1076
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:07,120
Speaker 1: month and a half ago, they were really supposed to

1077
00:52:07,160 --> 00:52:09,400
Speaker 1: be the favorite coming out of the other side of

1078
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:11,840
Speaker 1: the Sun Belt to go face jam you in that

1079
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 1: championship game. They crumbled down the stretch I just think

1080
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,200
Speaker 1: all the gases out of the tank, specifically now with

1081
00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:20,000
Speaker 1: Huff leaving, like I can't believe with how they really

1082
00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 1: perform down the stretch that he got that job in

1083
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:25,960
Speaker 1: the first place. Like Charles Huff must be a great interviewer.

1084
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:28,719
Speaker 1: He might. He must know that all his weaknesses are

1085
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:32,240
Speaker 1: also his strengths. When they all asked that backwards.

1086
00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:35,920
Speaker 2: Clea, he is, yes, you just just want to get

1087
00:52:35,960 --> 00:52:37,719
Speaker 2: their hands on Saban disciples.

1088
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:41,080
Speaker 1: I get it. And like, I don't think Tisdale is

1089
00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:43,800
Speaker 1: as good of a quarterback as Maverick mcgiver. Definitely doesn't

1090
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:47,000
Speaker 1: have as good of a name as mcgiver did, but

1091
00:52:47,080 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 1: he's at least I mean, dude, like he's been a

1092
00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:49,600
Speaker 1: big right.

1093
00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:51,719
Speaker 2: He still sounds like a great Nascar name.

1094
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 1: Man, it ain't bad, it ain't bad, it ain't bad.

1095
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,279
Speaker 1: It an't bad. Or like an actor. I see like

1096
00:52:56,360 --> 00:52:58,839
Speaker 1: kind of an actor out of that too. But like dude,

1097
00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:01,120
Speaker 1: he's been to death Valley at night, man, I think

1098
00:53:01,120 --> 00:53:03,520
Speaker 1: he's played in some big games here, So I'm ready

1099
00:53:03,560 --> 00:53:06,400
Speaker 1: to fire up Rodney here. Let's go. Let's go wku baby,

1100
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:10,640
Speaker 1: go tops tops all right, and let's go ahead and

1101
00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 1: round it out with another bowl game that you know,

1102
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:16,920
Speaker 1: we always get these strange matchups, these weird occurrences. We

1103
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:20,400
Speaker 1: talked about it all night long. I don't think it

1104
00:53:20,440 --> 00:53:23,359
Speaker 1: gets any stranger than the Frisco Bowl kicking off at

1105
00:53:23,440 --> 00:53:26,799
Speaker 1: nine pm Eastern Time from the Ford Center at the

1106
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:30,799
Speaker 1: Star Aka Bugs the Dallas Cowboys practice facility. This is

1107
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:34,400
Speaker 1: where this game's taking place. There where renovations due to

1108
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:37,040
Speaker 1: the usual stadium this is taking place at. So we're

1109
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:39,759
Speaker 1: going to the Cowboys practice facility. The ten and three

1110
00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:41,960
Speaker 1: un l V ReBs. They are now six and a

1111
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:44,919
Speaker 1: half point favorites over the eight and five or Aan

1112
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:50,239
Speaker 1: fors us me Ohio Bobcats. This line has opened at

1113
00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:52,719
Speaker 1: four and a half. It has swung two points and

1114
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 1: even swung a point today win head coach Brian Smith,

1115
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:59,279
Speaker 1: who was on leave after his first year at the program.

1116
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:03,480
Speaker 1: He is now been fired for quote serious misconduct.

1117
00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:05,839
Speaker 2: We still have no idea what that is. By the way,

1118
00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:08,400
Speaker 2: and by the way, what is with us recording the

1119
00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:11,480
Speaker 2: day a guy gets fired. In a weird situation that

1120
00:54:11,560 --> 00:54:14,399
Speaker 2: happened to us with Sharon Moore in Michigan last week,

1121
00:54:14,440 --> 00:54:17,160
Speaker 2: we had no idea about the details. We were like

1122
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,560
Speaker 2: at the tail end and then Charon Moore got fired.

1123
00:54:19,840 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: So yeah, very weird occurrences here for sure.

1124
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say is I think hopefully Brian Smith handles

1125
00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:29,200
Speaker 1: it a little better than Sharon did, just because you know,

1126
00:54:30,040 --> 00:54:32,440
Speaker 1: you losing while a love of Ohio, I think losing

1127
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:35,200
Speaker 1: that gig is not as you know, detrimental to your

1128
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:38,359
Speaker 1: life as maybe losing the Michigan job. Not as hope,

1129
00:54:38,960 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 1: profile and scrutinized.

1130
00:54:40,040 --> 00:54:42,040
Speaker 2: For sure, nothing nearly as bad.

1131
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,120
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, absolutely, and you know, just you know, we're

1132
00:54:46,160 --> 00:54:48,319
Speaker 1: not really going to touch on that, but just like

1133
00:54:48,520 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 1: I hope everyone's doing okay, like his family and a

1134
00:54:51,760 --> 00:54:55,640
Speaker 1: right yeah. So yeah, so that's a tragedy, bad situation.

1135
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 1: And with Brian Smith out bogs like this, couldn't mean

1136
00:54:58,560 --> 00:55:01,399
Speaker 1: we see more opt outs for Ohio over the next week.

1137
00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:04,279
Speaker 1: We have no idea right now as this windows about

1138
00:55:04,320 --> 00:55:06,680
Speaker 1: to open them for them. They ran the ball though

1139
00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:08,799
Speaker 1: at a top ten clip on the backs of their

1140
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:13,040
Speaker 1: quarterback Parker Navarro and their running back cy Bruinkua. He

1141
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:16,200
Speaker 1: led the Mac in rushing yards and in touchdowns. Was

1142
00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:19,000
Speaker 1: quite the upgrade over what they had last year in

1143
00:55:19,040 --> 00:55:21,759
Speaker 1: the backfield there and un l V. They delivered a

1144
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:24,920
Speaker 1: ten and three record in Dan Mullen's first season returning

1145
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:28,520
Speaker 1: as a head coach in college football. Their quarterback, Anthony Calandria.

1146
00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:32,560
Speaker 1: This guy was sensational this year. He led the conference

1147
00:55:32,560 --> 00:55:36,040
Speaker 1: in nearly every single metric from a passing standpoint. Also

1148
00:55:36,080 --> 00:55:38,719
Speaker 1: a really good rusher, he was named the Mountain West

1149
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:42,040
Speaker 1: Offensive Player of the Year. They have no opt outs.

1150
00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:44,960
Speaker 1: The only injury is to their tight end var Kis Gums,

1151
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 1: who also missed the Mountain West championship game a week ago. Bugs.

1152
00:55:49,680 --> 00:55:51,960
Speaker 1: I hate to do it. You know, I love Ohio.

1153
00:55:53,400 --> 00:55:55,200
Speaker 1: You know I love the people. You know I love

1154
00:55:55,239 --> 00:55:57,640
Speaker 1: the school. You know I love the bars downtown there.

1155
00:55:57,760 --> 00:56:00,839
Speaker 1: I gotta do it, though, BVP projections with me as well.

1156
00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:04,600
Speaker 1: Send this line closer seven a half. Give me after

1157
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:06,600
Speaker 1: weeks and weeks there my first, one of my first

1158
00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:08,799
Speaker 1: bets of the season. Un l V reps they did

1159
00:56:08,880 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 1: not cover. I'm getting back in today. Let's go U

1160
00:56:11,680 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 1: and LV.

1161
00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:15,960
Speaker 2: Come on to open the show by saying I can't

1162
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:19,160
Speaker 2: go back on these teams that I bet. I promised

1163
00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,120
Speaker 2: I wouldn't bet on. Who was it earlier in the show.

1164
00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:26,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's Carson back. You and LV, but they definitely

1165
00:56:26,880 --> 00:56:27,800
Speaker 1: scared me for a while.

1166
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:31,239
Speaker 2: But this is this is I'm with you on this one,

1167
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 2: by the way, it's un LV, and it's not particularly close, right,

1168
00:56:35,040 --> 00:56:40,200
Speaker 2: It's too many weird swirling things within this Brian Smith. Uh,

1169
00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:42,279
Speaker 2: you know, up until today we did we didn't even

1170
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:43,920
Speaker 2: have an explanation of why he's put on leave. We

1171
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:45,960
Speaker 2: still don't know why he's been fired, but we know

1172
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:48,880
Speaker 2: he has been fired at least, there's no ambiguity there.

1173
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:52,080
Speaker 2: But even beyond that, right, I do think that this

1174
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:54,960
Speaker 2: is a game that potentially Ohio could have competed in.

1175
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:58,960
Speaker 2: They do have very good rush offense. UNLV's rush defense

1176
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:02,879
Speaker 2: has been awful all year long. But I just think

1177
00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:05,680
Speaker 2: we have a much better graded team here forty nine

1178
00:57:05,680 --> 00:57:09,000
Speaker 2: to seventy nine in univ's favor. We have a much

1179
00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:12,960
Speaker 2: higher roster strength team in UNOV over Ohio, and fifty

1180
00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:16,280
Speaker 2: five to eighty one is the number there. You know,

1181
00:57:16,440 --> 00:57:20,160
Speaker 2: v has been awful against the run, but they've been

1182
00:57:20,160 --> 00:57:23,280
Speaker 2: able to run everyone without a decent defense off the

1183
00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:26,000
Speaker 2: field this year. That's just what they have done. So

1184
00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 2: Ohio should be able to run. But I don't think

1185
00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:31,160
Speaker 2: they're going to be able to slow down Clandria like

1186
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:34,000
Speaker 2: Boise State and the Weather did in their last game.

1187
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:37,360
Speaker 2: So hard to say because it is a weird spot

1188
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:39,600
Speaker 2: for Ohio, but give me the ReBs. I'm laying this

1189
00:57:39,640 --> 00:57:41,920
Speaker 2: four and a half. Is it still four and a

1190
00:57:41,960 --> 00:57:43,600
Speaker 2: half or as it ticked up again to five and

1191
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:44,240
Speaker 2: a half six and a.

1192
00:57:44,240 --> 00:57:46,680
Speaker 1: Half, I'd say it's six and a half everywhere now.

1193
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I took them at I'm gonna take it

1194
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:52,360
Speaker 2: at anything below nine and a half, nine and a

1195
00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 2: half in below, I'm fine taking U and OV. I

1196
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 2: don't know what's going on with Ohio. I think we

1197
00:57:57,320 --> 00:57:59,240
Speaker 2: are going to get more opt outs and this is

1198
00:57:59,280 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 2: just an ugly sitch situation for them. So yeah, give

1199
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:03,240
Speaker 2: me you and OLV. I'll lay those points.

1200
00:58:03,640 --> 00:58:06,840
Speaker 1: Parker Navarro. If this is our last game together, brother,

1201
00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:09,760
Speaker 1: I appreciate everything you've done for me and rat a

1202
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:11,560
Speaker 1: lot of joy to a lot of Action fans over

1203
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:13,840
Speaker 1: the previous years. But it is time to fade you.

1204
00:58:14,080 --> 00:58:16,360
Speaker 1: It is time to fade you, and it's also time

1205
00:58:16,520 --> 00:58:19,240
Speaker 1: Bogs for our best bets of the week. Where are

1206
00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:20,600
Speaker 1: you heading this seek, my friend.

1207
00:58:20,840 --> 00:58:24,560
Speaker 2: Man, I am going to I'm going to go back

1208
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:28,560
Speaker 2: to the under in Washington State in Utah State. I

1209
00:58:28,680 --> 00:58:31,640
Speaker 2: just this defense for Washington State. Yes, there are some

1210
00:58:31,840 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 2: questions here, but I just think they're going to be

1211
00:58:34,960 --> 00:58:38,120
Speaker 2: able to slow down Utah State. I think this one

1212
00:58:38,200 --> 00:58:40,720
Speaker 2: is going to be ugly Haymaker type of a game

1213
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,080
Speaker 2: where maybe you see some big plays but not a

1214
00:58:43,120 --> 00:58:47,080
Speaker 2: lot of long sustained scoring drives. I think there's gonna

1215
00:58:47,080 --> 00:58:49,080
Speaker 2: be some field goal kicking as well. So give me

1216
00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:52,000
Speaker 2: the under in Washington State in Utah State.

1217
00:58:53,040 --> 00:58:55,080
Speaker 1: I actually really like how this card is setting up

1218
00:58:55,080 --> 00:58:57,120
Speaker 1: for me. Bogs, I love you and LV I like

1219
00:58:57,320 --> 00:58:59,480
Speaker 1: WK you A lot ole miss is going to be

1220
00:58:59,520 --> 00:59:01,720
Speaker 1: fun on that a total. My biggest bet and my

1221
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:03,840
Speaker 1: best bet of the weekend, though, it is that teaser

1222
00:59:03,880 --> 00:59:07,520
Speaker 1: play Alabama versus Oklahoma under forty eight and a half points.

1223
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:10,880
Speaker 1: I just think their defenses are both very very good,

1224
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:14,920
Speaker 1: the offenses both over over underwhelming. I think we see

1225
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:17,720
Speaker 1: some crowd noise involved in this one, maybe a little

1226
00:59:17,760 --> 00:59:19,800
Speaker 1: sloppy play out of the gates for two teams coming

1227
00:59:19,800 --> 00:59:21,760
Speaker 1: off a little bit of a rest here, and then

1228
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:24,440
Speaker 1: that second half that teaser JAMU plus twenty eight and

1229
00:59:24,480 --> 00:59:26,960
Speaker 1: a half versus Oregon. I think the running in this

1230
00:59:27,040 --> 00:59:30,840
Speaker 1: game just does not allow Oregon to get over four touchdowns.

1231
00:59:31,200 --> 00:59:33,000
Speaker 1: Jam you, I think we'll have a little bit of pap,

1232
00:59:33,120 --> 00:59:35,200
Speaker 1: a little bit of grit, and a little bit of

1233
00:59:35,240 --> 00:59:37,560
Speaker 1: showing just hey, we belong to be here. We are

1234
00:59:37,600 --> 00:59:39,720
Speaker 1: the best G five team in the country, and hey,

1235
00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:41,960
Speaker 1: maybe we even make things a little comfortable for Dan

1236
00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:45,919
Speaker 1: Lanning and company by halftime. Folks, real quick for minor,

1237
00:59:46,040 --> 00:59:48,520
Speaker 1: Please track these bets and get line alert straight to

1238
00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:52,160
Speaker 1: your device by download the free Betting Pros app today.

1239
00:59:52,520 --> 00:59:55,600
Speaker 1: With swartbook Sink, you economically track your bets across all

1240
00:59:55,640 --> 00:59:59,720
Speaker 1: major sportsbooks in just one simple spot. You can easily

1241
00:59:59,800 --> 01:00:02,640
Speaker 1: mark order your bet performance by sport and bet type,

1242
01:00:02,680 --> 01:00:05,880
Speaker 1: including game picks, props, and of course parlays great custom

1243
01:00:05,920 --> 01:00:09,919
Speaker 1: betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get

1244
01:00:09,920 --> 01:00:12,400
Speaker 1: a seven day free trial of Betting Pros Premium by

1245
01:00:12,440 --> 01:00:15,720
Speaker 1: downloading the app now at Benning Pros dot com slash apps,

1246
01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:19,320
Speaker 1: using the promo code Juice, and activating your trial on

1247
01:00:19,360 --> 01:00:23,280
Speaker 1: the offgrade screen. All right, and that's gonna do it

1248
01:00:23,320 --> 01:00:26,200
Speaker 1: for us. On this episode of the Betting Pros College

1249
01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:29,360
Speaker 1: Football show, Boggs He'll be back with you for his

1250
01:00:29,440 --> 01:00:33,200
Speaker 1: best bets and his player prop picks episode on Friday.

1251
01:00:33,600 --> 01:00:36,160
Speaker 1: I'll also be live with Bogging right here on the

1252
01:00:36,200 --> 01:00:39,840
Speaker 1: VP YouTube channel and the Fantasy Pro Twitch account for

1253
01:00:39,960 --> 01:00:43,320
Speaker 1: the first half of that OU Alabama game this Friday night,

1254
01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:47,120
Speaker 1: seven forty five pm Eastern Time for an in game

1255
01:00:47,200 --> 01:00:49,960
Speaker 1: betting experience, so make sure you mark your calendars for that.

1256
01:00:50,400 --> 01:00:52,919
Speaker 1: We're going all in, baby, I can't wait. I'm gonna

1257
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:55,640
Speaker 1: wake up hungover the next day. It's gonna be great.

1258
01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:58,000
Speaker 1: The holiday break is here for many of us, so

1259
01:00:58,000 --> 01:01:00,680
Speaker 1: we're gonna celebrate that with you in the Howege Football

1260
01:01:00,680 --> 01:01:03,640
Speaker 1: Playoff start. Let us know down the comments below your

1261
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:06,560
Speaker 1: favorite picks for any of the games we handicap today,

1262
01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:08,680
Speaker 1: and while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like

1263
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:10,920
Speaker 1: button for us and subscribing to the channel. If you're

1264
01:01:10,960 --> 01:01:14,000
Speaker 1: new for Scott, Big Time, Bogman, Obsessed Wilcock, take care

1265
01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:17,360
Speaker 1: of y'all. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1266
01:01:17,600 --> 01:01:19,960
Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1267
01:01:20,040 --> 01:01:22,120
Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on.

1268
01:01:22,040 --> 01:01:23,680
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1269
01:01:23,960 --> 01:01:26,600
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1270
01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:28,560
Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

1271
01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:30,000
Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our

1272
01:01:30,040 --> 01:01:38,520
Speaker 3: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros