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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parolta every morning

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Speaker 2: here on Bettingpros dot com, always being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by bet mgm the ten dollars offer to win one

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty dollars with the promo code Juice one

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Speaker 2: fifty with a new account at betmgm or betmgm dot

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Speaker 2: com YouTube for the video anywhere. For the audio, where

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Speaker 2: you get your audio podcast, you can develop me on

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Speaker 2: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt or Betting Pros on Twitter

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Speaker 2: at Betting Pros. Holy bleep, what a weekend and what

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Speaker 2: a day of games man. So the podcast basically no

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Speaker 2: blood on both games. Essentially no blood. We get the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs right, We get the teaser on the Rams because

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Speaker 2: of the over, We tease it to the under that

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Speaker 2: was wrong.

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Speaker 1: We go.

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Speaker 2: We get a couple of prop bets right, Mahomes goes over,

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Speaker 2: we get that right. We get the over for Mike Evans,

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Speaker 2: we get the over for Rob Gronkowski, and no touchdown

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Speaker 2: for knocks anytime touchdown didn't hit those one prop we

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Speaker 2: didn't get to.

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Speaker 1: So essentially it's up a.

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Speaker 2: Little officially, But if you were on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: and this is what these are types of games where

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Speaker 2: and weekends where difficult to track official versus unofficial. So

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Speaker 2: like in the I had what six bets going for

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Speaker 2: the first game, and I had five bets going for

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Speaker 2: the second game, and I wound up, No, I had

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Speaker 2: six bets, I had seven bets in five bets. I

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Speaker 2: think we had twelve. I had twelve bets going in total.

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Speaker 2: I went nine and three yesterday. Okay, Now, a lot

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Speaker 2: of the bets were quarter unit bets that I hit.

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Speaker 2: A lot of them were prop bets, you know, a

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Speaker 2: lot of them were smaller, like I had the over

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Speaker 2: first quarter points for the Chiefs and the Bills. I

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Speaker 2: had under twenty three and a half in the first

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Speaker 2: half against the Bucks.

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Speaker 1: And the Rams.

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Speaker 2: I know people get angry when I list all these

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Speaker 2: things off, But if you're on the Discord channel and

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Speaker 2: there's over eleven thousand of you that are members of

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Speaker 2: the Discord Channel, I don't feel like I'm telling you

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Speaker 2: anything wrong. If you're learning about these bets for the

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Speaker 2: first time right now, that's because you weren't in the

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Speaker 2: Discord Channel and you didn't watch what I was posting,

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Speaker 2: and you didn't watch the interaction as to I gave

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Speaker 2: you my methodology and reasoning as to why I was

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Speaker 2: making these bets, and a lot of them were being

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Speaker 2: made right for kick, and a lot of them were

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Speaker 2: being made just after watching line movements or whatever it

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Speaker 2: might be, because we bet overnight, so it can be

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Speaker 2: difficult to bet overnight, and it could be hard to

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Speaker 2: get the best line or get lines that make sense

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Speaker 2: or lines that I like. I mean, we had the

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Speaker 2: live stream that we did yesterday that we did and

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Speaker 2: we jumped in. I had Tom Brady over his completions

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Speaker 2: in the first game.

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Speaker 1: I had.

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Speaker 2: I had that prop. So like, I just had a

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Speaker 2: bunch of different things that we gave out the over

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Speaker 2: and the Chiefs and the bills.

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Speaker 1: I had that.

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Speaker 2: So like if you trailed everything that I played, and

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Speaker 2: a lot of you did trail a lot of the

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Speaker 2: bets that I did put out on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: we all did really really well and it was a

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Speaker 2: good day, really good day. But officially it's only like

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a winner. Nothing crazy, it's a winner.

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Speaker 2: I think there's just so many bets I've placed that

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Speaker 2: air official or unofficial I don't really remember, but I

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Speaker 2: by my account, I think we were up a little

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Speaker 2: bit because of that chief victory. The Chiefs going ahead,

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Speaker 2: I did hedge back a quarter unit with a live bet.

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Speaker 2: When the game went to overtime, I did take at

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Speaker 2: plus one seventy. It was too good not to take Buffalo. Like,

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Speaker 2: just take the quarter unit, take plus one seventy. It's

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Speaker 2: not the big of a deal, but if we it's

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a hedge in case the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: didn't win the game, the Bills had come back and

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Speaker 2: win the game. But let's talk about the game for

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Speaker 2: a second, the Chiefs and the Bills. And look, I'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna, you know, pour salt in the wounds for Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: That stinks. That's a really hard loss. Is a tough performance.

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Speaker 2: Your team played incredibly well. Look, the rules suck. There's

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Speaker 2: no real nice way of saying it. The rules suck.

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Speaker 2: And the fact that Josh Allen didn't touch the football.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you've got I've said this before. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I've talked about this a lot. I hate the rules.

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Speaker 2: I think they're absolutely unfair and wrong. And it benefited

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Speaker 2: the Patriots in the Super Bowl. It benefited the Patriots.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it happened in the Super Bowl and then

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Speaker 2: it didn't change the rule. So just because it happened

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Speaker 2: against Mahomes, with Mahomes and Josh Allen, they're not changing

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Speaker 2: the rule.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I think in the postseason there has to be an expansion.

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Speaker 2: Like you know how in the NHL when they're in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs, there is no shootout. They just keep on playing.

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Speaker 2: I feel like that has to happen in the in

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Speaker 2: the in the NFL, like when it gets to the NFL,

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Speaker 2: there is no touchdown, first touchdown, when you're done. Like,

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Speaker 2: I think an overtime in the in the playoffs should

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Speaker 2: be a full quarter. Like, look, we're just playing this game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we're playing the entire quarter. We're play in fifteen minutes

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Speaker 2: of football extra and that's just or fine, play ten

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Speaker 2: minutes if you want, say we're gonna play ten minutes,

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Speaker 2: none of this.

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Speaker 1: If I get the ball first and I score a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: the game's over.

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Speaker 2: Or if I kick a field goal, you know, and

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Speaker 2: you score a touchdown, I lose, Like no, Like there

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Speaker 2: should be some type of like let's play the game.

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Speaker 2: And I thought Josh Allen deserved a chance. The Bills

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Speaker 2: deserved a chance in overtime, and I mean everybody knew it, right,

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Speaker 2: I mean, the Bill's defense was gassed, so was the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs defense. Whoever won that coin flip was winning the game.

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Speaker 2: And it sucks to have the game decided on a

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Speaker 2: coin flip. And right now, that's what's happening. The games

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Speaker 2: are being decided on a coin flip. In particular, a

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Speaker 2: game like that where it was just touchdown, touchdown, touchdown,

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Speaker 2: back and forth. If you bet the under in that game, ouch,

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Speaker 2: you probably thought you were looking pretty good there for

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Speaker 2: a while. And then they scored two touchdowns in like

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Speaker 2: fifty seconds and that ended that and then we go

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Speaker 2: to overtime and everything else. The other mistake was Sean

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Speaker 2: McDermott deciding to kick the ball off and not squibkick,

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Speaker 2: because every single second.

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Speaker 1: They are mattered.

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Speaker 2: I'm not so sure if you squibkick it and the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs grab it and go down immediately or give themselves up,

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Speaker 2: so it takes off what two seconds maybe, and so

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Speaker 2: like the Chiefs got the ball a twenty yard line

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and to get in the field goal range.

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Speaker 2: In the past two to Tyreek Hill was incredible, and

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Speaker 2: then the past two to Kelsey was incredible. They get

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Speaker 2: right in the field goal range and then Buckner hits

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Speaker 2: the kick after missing the extra point and the field goal.

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Speaker 2: It was on him really while we were in overtime.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's saying that that was a huge mistake and that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I think it was, but I don't

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Speaker 2: know how much clock. They had three seconds left when

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Speaker 2: they kicked the field goal, so I don't really know

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Speaker 2: how much. Maybe it was one second, I mean, I

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Speaker 2: don't know. I still think the Chiefs get the field goal,

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Speaker 2: even if it does get squib kicked, and you may

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Speaker 2: be giving up a ton of yards too. I mean,

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Speaker 2: squibkick it if it gets fielded by the up guy

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Speaker 2: at the thirty five yard line, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 2: you're dealing with a short field, already giving Mahomes the chance,

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Speaker 2: I mean, kicking it deep, trying to make them be

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Speaker 2: as far back as possible.

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Speaker 1: I think that was the thought process.

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Speaker 2: I didn't have as big of a problem as so

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Speaker 2: many people did with McDermott is deciding to do that. So,

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Speaker 2: I mean, everyone's got their own opinion as to what happened.

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Speaker 2: But huge win. It's way more fun to bet on

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Speaker 2: Mahomes than against Mahomes. And he's now seven and one

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Speaker 2: at home in the postseason. And now the Bills are

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Speaker 2: oh and six in one score games this year, oh

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Speaker 2: and six in one score games for next year. That's

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Speaker 2: got to change. Playoff football is almost always a one

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Speaker 2: score game, as we saw all weekend long with all

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Speaker 2: these games coming down to last second place. So Bills

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Speaker 2: done for the year. Now we've got the Bengals going

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Speaker 2: to Arrowhead. Bengals beat the Chiefs in Cincinnati. Line is seven.

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Speaker 2: Opened at six and a half, quickly jumped to seven.

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Speaker 2: On the other side, you got San Francisco minus three

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Speaker 2: and a half or minus four at start for the Rams.

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Speaker 2: It went all the way down to three, and there's

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Speaker 2: been buyback. It's now three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait a little.

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Speaker 2: Bit before I bet either one of those games, and

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Speaker 2: we're gonna watch. Here is a bet I made tonight

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Speaker 2: that I recommended. I gave out on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: and I'm gonna tell you why. Okay, So right now

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Speaker 2: you can go and get the CINCINNTI Bengals at plus

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Speaker 2: seven point fifty to win the super Bowl, and you

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Speaker 2: might go, Matt Man, really you think the Bengals are

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Speaker 2: gonna win it all. No, I don't need them to

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Speaker 2: win it all. I need them to win one more game.

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Speaker 2: I need Joe Burrow to find the magic. I need

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Speaker 2: Burrow and Chase to find the magic and to be

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Speaker 2: the new kid to do what Mahomes did to the Patriots.

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Speaker 2: I need a win. I need a win for Burrow,

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Speaker 2: and I need a win for this Bengals defense on

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Speaker 2: the road at Arrowhead. If they win that game, we're

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Speaker 2: sitting on a plus seven to fifty money line in

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Speaker 2: the super Bowl, and we can hedge like crazy. It's

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Speaker 2: just too good of value not to bet it. Officially,

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Speaker 2: we're taking the Bengals at plus seven point fifty to

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Speaker 2: win the Super Bowl as a stake play. Now, they've

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Speaker 2: got to win the AFC understood, Okay? And maybe Matt

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Speaker 2: whyn't you just bet them to win the game? You know,

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Speaker 2: win take money line against the Chiefs. Yeah, you can

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Speaker 2: do that too, and I might end up doing that.

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Speaker 2: It's plus two thirty right now for Joe Burrow. I'm

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Speaker 2: done fading Joe Burrow. I'm done questioning Joe Burrow. I

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Speaker 2: knew it going into this season. I rode this Bengals

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Speaker 2: team and come the playoffs, my fault should have believed

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Speaker 2: in them, should have ridden them the entire way, because

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Speaker 2: that team from early on I said they're way better

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Speaker 2: than people think. And Jamar Chase was going to be

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Speaker 2: an absolute monster. He was the best wide out in

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Speaker 2: college football, took a year off, everybody forgot about him

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Speaker 2: except for his buddy. And yeah, sure an offensive lineman

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Speaker 2: would have looked great. Penny Sewell would have looked great

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Speaker 2: protecting Joe Burrow. Nine sacks given up as a lot.

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Speaker 2: You take Jamar Chase because he's Jamar Chase. In what

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Speaker 2: Jamar Chase did so half a unit plus seven to

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Speaker 2: fifty Bengals to win the Super Bowl, I'm on it.

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Speaker 1: Let's see if we can get one win. Let's see.

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of tipping my hand as to where I'm

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Speaker 2: going to go this weekend, but let's let the line

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Speaker 2: kind of say, Look, we may get seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: we may get eight, who knows. I mean, once we're

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Speaker 2: at seven, now, once this thing crosses over, you know,

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Speaker 2: we come on in and jump in here with the

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Speaker 2: Bengals in the points. So I we'll see how high

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Speaker 2: this thing goes. But the public and the pros are

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Speaker 2: all going to be on the Chiefs. They're all going

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Speaker 2: to be on Mahomes And I totally understand why, but

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Speaker 2: I want as many points as possible, and then we

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Speaker 2: may have a chance. It's only a half a unit,

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Speaker 2: but at plus seven fifty, why not we have a

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Speaker 2: huge hedge opportunity if they were to win that game

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Speaker 2: and get to la monster hedge opportunity for us on

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Speaker 2: that San Francisco. Can they do it again? Can they

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Speaker 2: win another game for a third time over the Rams?

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Speaker 2: Can Kyle shanahan continue his dominance over Sean McVay.

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Speaker 1: Maybe?

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Speaker 2: I mean, with the way the one that came at

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Speaker 2: Green Bay, this is going to be a totally different environment.

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Speaker 2: This is so fi, this is win this game you

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Speaker 2: play again in so far? How sick is that for

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Speaker 2: one of these two teams they will play their next

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Speaker 2: two games in the same building. I'm not sure that's

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Speaker 2: ever happened before. I mean, that's really crazy. Remember the

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Speaker 2: Bucks were the first team ever to play at home

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Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl. They played at Lambeau for the

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Speaker 2: NFC Championship Game. So so many wild and cool things

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Speaker 2: to come here. So I'm going like today as you'd

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Speaker 2: expect on a Monday. I may jump in with player

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Speaker 2: props a little bit later on, but Mondays are kind

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Speaker 2: of tough because it's only my second class and I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure I'm gonna have the time to get to

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Speaker 2: the research to do the NBA player props.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna give you two bets.

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Speaker 2: In the NHL, I'm gonna give you two first period

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Speaker 2: bets that I'm eyeballing that I like a lot.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with the Boston Bruins and what they are

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Speaker 2: doing right now in first period overs. It's kind of

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Speaker 2: crazy what they're doing, to be quite honest. The Boston

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Speaker 2: Bruins have now gone over one and a half goals

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Speaker 2: nine consecutive games, nine straight times for the Boston Bruins.

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Speaker 2: But now they've got the Anaheim Ducks, who are seventeen

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Speaker 2: and twenty six. Seventeen and twenty six for the Anaheim Ducks,

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Speaker 2: they're one of the worst teams. If you bet their

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Speaker 2: first period overs, you'd be down eleven units betting it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so there's a darn good chance we're gonna need two

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Speaker 2: goals out of the Boston Bruins themselves here. But Anaheim

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Speaker 2: just had a big win in their last game where

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Speaker 2: they beat the Lightning. I think it happened on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: They beat the Lightning for Tampa Bay. Let me double

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Speaker 2: check on that. Yeah, no, it wasn't Saturday. It was

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Speaker 2: on Let's see what that game was for them to

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Speaker 2: get that victory for the Ducks on Anaheim last came out.

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Speaker 2: Anaheim beat the Lightning. That was a five to one

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Speaker 2: win over the Lightning in a game that took place.

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Speaker 2: When did that game take place? It was a while ago,

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Speaker 2: was a couple of days ago. It was on the

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Speaker 2: twenty first. It was two days ago. Okay, so two

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Speaker 2: days ago that happened for the Ducks. They scored two

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Speaker 2: goals themselves in the first period. So even though they're

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Speaker 2: really bad the last time out, Anaheim did go over

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Speaker 2: with two goals for themselves. Boston's got goaltending problems. Boston's

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Speaker 2: got great offensive firepower. They're twenty and eighteen now to

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Speaker 2: the first period over. They've come storming back here after

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Speaker 2: being pretty far down nine in a row. We're betting

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Speaker 2: the streak over one and a half goals at minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty because the algorithm again the Anaheim. The Anaheim

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Speaker 2: Ducks aren't great here because they're under fire. They're seventeen

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Speaker 2: to twenty six. So the numbers say, Okay, don't juice

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Speaker 2: this heavily. Bet MGM minus won twenty over one and

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Speaker 2: a half goals Bruins and the Ducks in the first period.

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Speaker 2: Then late night the Vegas Golden Knights taking on the

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Speaker 2: Washington Capitals. Washington Capitals also aren't great to the first

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Speaker 2: period over Washington eighteen twenty three one. However, Vegas Golden

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Speaker 2: Knights twenty five fourteen in one. Here, I will always

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Speaker 2: bet Vegas in the first period, first goal in the

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Speaker 2: first ten minutes. Yes, to the goal in the first

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Speaker 2: ten minutes with Vegas, just because you've got a high

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Speaker 2: flying firepower high a lot of firepower with Washington, and

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Speaker 2: you've got a Vegas Golal Knights team that just offensively,

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Speaker 2: whether it be on the road or at home, they

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Speaker 2: score and they score a lot. This is going to

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Speaker 2: be on the NHL network. It is a four o'clock

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Speaker 2: game because it's late night. It's four o'clock Pacific, seven

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Speaker 2: o'clock with Washington at home, Washington in their last game,

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Speaker 2: beating up on the Senators three to two. In that game,

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Speaker 2: only one goal got scored in the first period for

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Speaker 2: that one, but against the Bruins in the game before that,

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Speaker 2: they scored one goal apiece. To go over, we only

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Speaker 2: need Washington score one. I think Vegas will score one,

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Speaker 2: need Washington score one. In previous games, you know, they've

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Speaker 2: had one or one or zero goals being scored, but

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Speaker 2: it's kind of back and forth. Three goals got scored

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Speaker 2: in their game against the Jets, so they're two and

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Speaker 2: two over the last four games. To the first period

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Speaker 2: over Vegas has just been stupid. I mean, Vegas is

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Speaker 2: just you know, they score early, they give up goals early.

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Speaker 2: Against the Canadiens, it was pretty simple.

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Speaker 1: It was one to one.

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Speaker 2: I mean that game was four to three. That game

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Speaker 2: went over total in this game is six. I don't

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Speaker 2: hate that. Against the Penguins, they scored three goals themselves

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Speaker 2: in the first period. So we're going over Vegas and Washington.

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Speaker 2: This one is juiced minus one thirty five at bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: Both those bets for a half a unit for one

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Speaker 2: unit here with hockey, all right, So we're going Bruins

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Speaker 2: Ducks over one and a half goals at minus one

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Speaker 2: twenty and we're going Golden Knights Capitals over one and

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Speaker 2: a half goals in the first period at minus one

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Speaker 2: thirty five. I like this bet having some fun with it.

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Speaker 2: It's more fun than betting an entire hockey game. Just

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Speaker 2: get guys that come out of the gate here with

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Speaker 2: with you know, not some great scoring or goaltending was

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Speaker 2: in good scoring and maybe NBA player props. I may

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Speaker 2: jump back in if I got time, and maybe maybe

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Speaker 2: a couple on the Discord channel that I'll jump in

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Speaker 2: and gives you guys. The link is underneath me here

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Speaker 2: on YouTube, or you guys can go to betting pros

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Speaker 2: dot COM's last chat to get into the Discord channel

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Speaker 2: for the Daily Juice and Betting Pros. Kind of a

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Speaker 2: lighter Monday, we'll kind of tiptoe our way through the

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Speaker 2: week heading into Championships Sunday. We got a lot of

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Speaker 2: good football. We'll be heavy, We'll be loaded up prop

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Speaker 2: bets and whatnot. We've done very well on props recently,

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Speaker 2: which is very exciting. Hope to keep it going. If

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Speaker 2: we keep going this way, we may have to change

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Speaker 2: things up. Let me see, have we updated our track

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Speaker 2: or for NFL props. Let me do that real quick

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Speaker 2: before we run here for totals on NFL props, and

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Speaker 2: we have not, so we're we're woefully behind on that.

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Speaker 2: We got to check that out. It says I've bet

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Speaker 2: four NFL props in the year of twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 2: so that's wrong. I probably bet five times that, four

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Speaker 2: times that, at least for infant NFL player propts. So

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Speaker 2: we need to get that corrected as soon as possible.

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Speaker 2: So but we will, and I'll tell you what what

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Speaker 2: my record is. Want to get going here, so very cool.

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Speaker 2: Mine's Matt Perrault followed me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Each every morning it's a Delijuce podcast I just readbrought

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Speaker 2: to you by Betham GM