1 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: Welcome back to Drill. I'm Amy Westerveldt Darna Nor from 2 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: Arthur and I are still working on pulling together another 3 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 1: episode for our education series around what can be done 4 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: about this problem of the fossil fuel industry infiltrating schools. 5 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: In the meantime, I wanted to bring you the extended 6 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: version of my interview with Ben Fronta, the Stanford University 7 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 1: researcher we heard from last time, who discovered how much 8 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: fossil fuel interests we're shaping our understanding of economics in 9 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: this country. Ben got into a lot more detail about 10 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: things that he has seen at the university level. I 11 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 1: think you'll find it interesting that conversation is coming up 12 00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 1: right after this quick break. This episode is supported by 13 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: Degrees Real Talk about Planet Saving Careers, an original podcast 14 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: from the Environmental Defense Fund. People ask me all the 15 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: time what they can do about climate change, and I 16 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: feel a little bit like a climate change guidance counselor 17 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: sun time. The short answer is, what do you get at? 18 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 2: What are you interested in? 19 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: Where can you plug in? What I like about Degrees 20 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,360 Speaker 1: is that it helps people figure out how they could 21 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: maybe use their job to make an impact Degrees features 22 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: candid conversations and takeaways from today's most inspiring climate change makers. 23 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 1: Each episode tells a story of how one inspiring change 24 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: maker found their climate career and how you can too. 25 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:32,359 Speaker 1: There's a new season out now, season three, and it's 26 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: all about how, no matter the industry, you can find 27 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: a planet saving job. I got a sneak preview of 28 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: season three of Degrees, and I loved it, especially the 29 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 1: episode about Lake Street Drive, which is a green band, 30 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: which is actually a lot harder to pull off than 31 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: you might think, just in terms of all of the 32 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: disposable things that come along with touring and concerts and 33 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: music venues, trying to convey venues to reduce their waste, 34 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: all of that stuff travel, How do you figure that out? 35 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: It was really good and there's lots more where that 36 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: came from, too. These narrative stories will capture your attention 37 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: and inspire you while giving you practical tips on how 38 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:17,920 Speaker 1: to get a climate focused career. Search for Degrees Real 39 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,679 Speaker 1: talk about planet saving careers anywhere you listen to podcasts 40 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: will include a link in the show notes. Too Big 41 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: thanks to Degrees for their support. I was super interested 42 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: to read your paper because actually Darna and I were 43 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 1: just saying, wow, like I was pulling together a list 44 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: of you know, all of the things that either fossil 45 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: fuel companies or you know, sort of foundations that have 46 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 1: represented them or their interests are investing in at universities, 47 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 1: and you know, there's so many of these economics research 48 00:03:56,720 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 1: chairs and economic centers and whatever that I was like, 49 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: I feel like we need to find we need to like, 50 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: you know, dig into the ways that they're trying to 51 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: shape people's understanding of the economy and how it works. 52 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: And then I found actually in the Newsome archives this 53 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:22,719 Speaker 1: insane like cross industry strategy with like confidential stamps all 54 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: over it that was like in as World War Two 55 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 1: was about to end, all of these it was like 56 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: Standard Oil, GM, General Electric. I can't remember what the 57 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 1: other ones were, but they were all freaking out, maybe 58 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: Ford about that. Not that you know, they were going 59 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: to have a decline in sales because the government wasn't buying. 60 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 3: Stuff from them anymore. 61 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:48,159 Speaker 1: They were worried that Americans, because the government had done 62 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: such a good job of running everything during World War Two, 63 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: that Americans would turn away from the idea of free enterprise. 64 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 1: Oh and they were like, this is the number one 65 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: problem facing every industry, like all hands on deck. 66 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 2: So yeah, the problem was that the government was too 67 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 2: competent based on and they didn't like how that looked. Yes, 68 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 2: that's so interesting. 69 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: They were like, uh, oh, Americans might have actually really 70 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 1: enjoyed this competent government over the last few years. You know. 71 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 3: I think it's only. 72 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:32,280 Speaker 2: A matter of time before the more you learn, the 73 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: more you start to suspect that corporations have controlled your 74 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:42,320 Speaker 2: entire perception of reality from like the moment you're born. Yes, 75 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 2: oh my god, what is even real? 76 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 4: It is so disturbing, and I also just. 77 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: You just yeah, you just see so many of the 78 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 1: talking points that you still see today, you know, kind 79 00:05:56,240 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 1: of being I don't know, being dreampt up and and 80 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:01,479 Speaker 1: sent out back then. 81 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 2: Well it's so you know, the the PR techniques, they're 82 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 2: so smart and going like one or more steps above 83 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 2: the level of just the thing they're trying to sell 84 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 2: in terms of awareness, and like my. 85 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 1: Fav like, they shaped the context, right, Yeah. 86 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 2: It's sort of like yeah, I mean, don't sell don't 87 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 2: don't sell water, put people in a desert, right right. 88 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 2: I think my favorite example was in that propaganda book, 89 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 2: Brene's talks about when he worked for like the piano industry, 90 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 2: and he's instead of putting ads for pianos into like magazines, 91 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: he's like, I went to architecture magazines and got them 92 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 2: to like from highlight and talk about these celebrities homes 93 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 2: that had a music room in them, Wow, the piano 94 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:04,560 Speaker 2: room in them. And then that became like the defined 95 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:07,119 Speaker 2: as like the American dream sort of like you needed 96 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 2: to have a music room, need to have a piano room. 97 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 2: And then it was like people would buy houses with 98 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 2: a piano room. They didn't know how to play the piano, 99 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 2: but they were like, now we need to get a 100 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 2: piano for the piano room. But they never even had 101 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 2: to advertise pianos. Yeah, it was like what, like, it's 102 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 2: so I mean, it's just so smart. 103 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 3: It's so smart. 104 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: I can't remember where I read this, if it was 105 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: there or somewhere else. The watch example, the like pocket 106 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: watches and wrist watches. 107 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 2: I'm not sure. 108 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 3: Okay, this watch. 109 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 1: Manufacturer came to him and to help them, like they 110 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 1: wanted to see if they could break down the gender 111 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: taboo about men wearing wristwatches because apparently at the time, 112 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: it was like if you were a wrist watch, you 113 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: were gay, Like only women wore wristwatches, and like real 114 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: men had pocket watches and whatever. 115 00:07:58,040 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 3: And so he commissioned a rapport. 116 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: Who knows if it was like even valid, but he 117 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 1: commissioned a report like that US soldiers. Well, first he 118 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: was like, who's the most. 119 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 3: Manly man soldiers? 120 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: And then he was like, okay, US soldiers are getting 121 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: picked off in the trenches when they light a match 122 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 1: to look at their pocket watch. And so he convinced 123 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 1: the army to make wristwatches standard issue. 124 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, and there you go. 125 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: It became like a masculine accessory. Just like this guy 126 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: was so smart. 127 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:33,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, he was very. 128 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,200 Speaker 1: Much you know, he knew he was smart and like 129 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: really liked being smarter than me. 130 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 2: Yeah exactly. I mean yeah, it's kind of a godlike 131 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:49,839 Speaker 2: yeah sort of feeling, probably to think that you're shaping 132 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:55,559 Speaker 2: people's like fundamental perceptions about you know, what's cool, what's 133 00:08:55,640 --> 00:09:00,559 Speaker 2: not cool, what's masculine, what's good, all of that stuff off, right, 134 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,720 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, they're making decisions that they think are 135 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 2: their own. 136 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 4: Yes, yeah, I mean about about you know, like silly 137 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 4: things like what kind of watch you're going to have, 138 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 4: but then also about really big things. 139 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: I mean, that's the thing that I find so interesting too, 140 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 1: is it's sort of like the same techniques, whether they're 141 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: trying to sell watches or you know, policy. So I 142 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: was hoping to get you talking about I have I 143 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: think I have you telling me this story a long 144 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: time ago on really bad phone tape. 145 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 3: But when you were at Harvard and you. 146 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: Realized that the Harvard Kennedy School had a lot of 147 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 1: fossil fuel funding, and I think it was you that 148 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: said that someone didn't want students to talk to reporters 149 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: about having that funding. 150 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, so now you're getting into the juicy details. This 151 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 2: is back yeah, spill the dirt, spill the beans. 152 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 3: Just kidding. 153 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:19,719 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. So this was back when I was a 154 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 2: grad student at Harvard and I was working at the 155 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 2: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and you know 156 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 2: that's in the Kennedy School of Government. The role of 157 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 2: fossil fuel companies in academia had started to become a 158 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 2: bigger issue. And this was around probably like twenty fifteen 159 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 2: or so. For instance, I think you know when the 160 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 2: Journalist School journalism school at Columbia came out with the 161 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 2: Exon New Investigation or they started doing some work related 162 00:10:56,080 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 2: to that. Then Exxon responded by kind of threatening to 163 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 2: take away their funding in so many words, and it 164 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 2: just people became more and more interested in you know, 165 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 2: who's who's funding these these programs at universities, and you know, 166 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,559 Speaker 2: is it fossil fuel companies? And what kind of pressure 167 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:22,280 Speaker 2: does that put on those academic programs to do one 168 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 2: thing or another, or study one thing or another, or 169 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 2: or not to study something. And I started to look 170 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 2: into this issue at Harvard, looking at what programs are 171 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:37,440 Speaker 2: funded by by oil companies, and a lot of the 172 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:42,080 Speaker 2: programs at the Kennedy School, the Government school to do 173 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 2: with public policy were funded and as far as I 174 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 2: still know, as I know, they still are funded by 175 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 2: big oil companies. You know, for example, I worked at 176 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:56,559 Speaker 2: the Belfer Center for Science International Affairs. It's one of 177 00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 2: the most influential academic think tanks in the world world, 178 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 2: and the founder of that founded an oil and gas company. 179 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 2: That's how he made his fortune to begin with. The 180 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:14,679 Speaker 2: environmental economics program at Harvard funded by oil companies and 181 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 2: so on. So it's not just that public policy schools 182 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 2: are being funded by oil companies. Sometimes it's that the 183 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 2: programs that are focused on climate or environment or sustainability 184 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 2: in particular, those are often funded by the oil companies. Now, 185 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 2: so back to twenty fifteen, so this issue is starting 186 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 2: to emerge. I'm starting to write about it a little bit, 187 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 2: and it was seen as a very unpopular thing to do. 188 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 1: Yes, I have, Yes, I remember you had quite a 189 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: like Twitter kerfuffle happened about this stuff, right, oh. 190 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 2: Yes, you know, and that was even years later. I 191 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 2: mean that was, you know, only a few years years ago. 192 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 2: And you know, at this early stage, it was seen 193 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 2: as just really uncouth to raise this issue. And I 194 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 2: even had, you know, professors at the Kennedy School who 195 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 2: just wouldn't talk to me, you know, I think because 196 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 2: they were upset that I was writing about the issue. 197 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 2: But anyway, to get to the main point. Once we 198 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 2: were called into an all staff meeting for the researchers 199 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 2: at the Kennedy School in the Belafare Center, and we 200 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 2: were simply told instructed that, you know, if any journalists 201 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 2: come to talk to us about you know, oil companies 202 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 2: funding the research done there, just don't talk to them, 203 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 2: you know, don't talk to the journalists. We don't want 204 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,679 Speaker 2: you know, we were told that we don't want activists, 205 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 2: we don't want journalists digging around and and you know, 206 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 2: finding out that that the programs are being funded by 207 00:13:56,120 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 2: oil companies, and I mean when I heard this, I 208 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 2: you know, I was pretty surprised that that level of 209 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 2: secrecy was being pursued. I mean, at that time, I 210 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 2: was mostly working in physics, because that's what my PhD was, 211 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 2: in applied physics. And you know, often we would get 212 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 2: funded from all sorts of places, including like Department of Defense, 213 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 2: sources that you know, not everybody would think are great. 214 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 2: But regardless, we always advertised and disclosed who was funding 215 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 2: our research, and we were generally proud of it, but 216 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 2: we definitely didn't keep it a secret, right And so, 217 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 2: you know, encountering this secrecy in the public policy space, 218 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:47,360 Speaker 2: I just thought that was so strange. And of course 219 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 2: for me, you know, when they said don't talk about 220 00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 2: this thing, you know, I wanted to talk about it. 221 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 2: My ears bricked up and I was like, you know, 222 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 2: I was, you know, probably dozing off in the back 223 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 2: or something, and I like, my you know, I popped 224 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 2: up alert and I was like, oh, that's something interesting 225 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 2: is going on. So yeah, you know, and but I 226 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:18,160 Speaker 2: think it speaks to the broader issue, which is, which is, 227 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 2: to what degree have has the fossil fuel industry shaped 228 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 2: very public policy responses and paradigms and ways of thinking 229 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 2: about climate change as a problem. How has the industry 230 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 2: shaped those things at the basic level, at the level 231 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 2: of students learning about them and in universities, you know. 232 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 2: And I it's the these these questions, you know, as 233 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 2: we were just talking about, you know, burnets and other 234 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 2: masters of the craft of public perception, they're not just 235 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 2: shaped by you know, the final answer that you get 236 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 2: when you're analyzing a problem. It's shaped by how do 237 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 2: you even think about the problem in the first place? 238 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 2: What's the paradigm with through which you are seeing a 239 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:18,479 Speaker 2: problem defining it? You know, And that's the level that's 240 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:23,440 Speaker 2: the sort of all encompassing scale where that's relevant for 241 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,480 Speaker 2: when people are learning about these issues in universities, you know, 242 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 2: among other scales, but that's a really important one. So 243 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 2: you know, I think, to me, that just speaks to 244 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 2: that broader issue. And of course I think since then, 245 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 2: finally now today there's more and more awareness that. Yes, 246 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 2: especially big oil companies have been very present in these elite, 247 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 2: very influential academic programs in the social sciences, in the 248 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 2: policy arena. And the question that's obvious that we should 249 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 2: ask is what effect has that had, right, What has 250 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 2: been the influence of decades of funding from these special interests. 251 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:14,400 Speaker 2: Obviously there's a conflict of interest when these programs are 252 00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 2: meant to defend society against the problems that these companies 253 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 2: are creating, and yet these programs are dependent on those 254 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 2: companies to exist. So it's a big issue and I 255 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 2: you know, I think the time it's more than ripe 256 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:31,639 Speaker 2: to address it. 257 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:33,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, can you talk. 258 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 1: About some of the other places that you have seen 259 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: this come up? I know that there there's kind of 260 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 1: oil funding at every every really every big universe you 261 00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:45,159 Speaker 1: can think of. But are there other, I guess public 262 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 1: policy or economics examples that you've found that were that 263 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 1: were surprising. 264 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, So, you know, this latest research is a is 265 00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 2: one example some some new research that be out soon 266 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 2: and by the time this airs might already be out. 267 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:04,439 Speaker 3: Yeah. 268 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:09,680 Speaker 2: It tracks the activity of a group of economic consultants 269 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 2: who were hired by the petroleum industry for decades to 270 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:19,639 Speaker 2: produce analyzes that were then used by the companies and 271 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 2: by others opposing restrictions on fossil fuels to tell the 272 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 2: public that it would just be way too expensive to 273 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 2: act on climate and that in any case, climate was 274 00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 2: not going to be a big deal, so the best 275 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 2: thing to do is just do nothing. And this was 276 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:44,640 Speaker 2: the economic ammunition that the industry used alongside their scientific 277 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:49,120 Speaker 2: merchants of doubt. And so if you look back into 278 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 2: the newspaper record and you know that record of communication 279 00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 2: from the oil companies, they often employed this two pronged 280 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 2: stress strategy of using the scientific merchants of doubt to 281 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 2: cast doubt on the science itself. And you know by them, 282 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:14,639 Speaker 2: I mean the people that people like Naomi Orescus and 283 00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 2: other historians, Eric Conway and other historians have have documented 284 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 2: and their think tanks like the George Marshall Institute and 285 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 2: so on. That's the scientific side to litigate the science. 286 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 2: Then on the economic side, you have the economists hired 287 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 2: by the patroleum industry often to say it's just way 288 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 2: too expensive to do anything. And so that's this other 289 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 2: side that has not been examined as much. Yeah, it's 290 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:52,600 Speaker 2: really it has been allowed to survive. I think because 291 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 2: it hasn't been examined. It's sort of flown under the radar. 292 00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:57,440 Speaker 3: Yeah. 293 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 2: And you know when I first noticed this, I was 294 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:09,919 Speaker 2: really shocked because I first noticed this probably around maybe 295 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:14,199 Speaker 2: three years ago, and I I was doing you know, 296 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:18,400 Speaker 2: academic research. One thing I do in my historical research 297 00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 2: is I'll download like the entire online newspaper record. For example, 298 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 2: I studied the American Petroleum Institute, and so I'll download 299 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 2: every newspaper article on an online database with the words 300 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:35,679 Speaker 2: American Patrolling Institute and global warming or climate change in 301 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 2: their record. You know, that might be you know, a 302 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:42,200 Speaker 2: few thousand articles, and I'll sort them in chronological order, 303 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:44,359 Speaker 2: and I'll read all of them just to just to 304 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 2: get the story, just to see, you know, what are 305 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 2: their phases of communication, you know, what are the battles 306 00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:54,199 Speaker 2: they're fighting at different times. And I was doing that 307 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 2: over you know, it takes many days to read that 308 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 2: much material, but I was doing doing that and I 309 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 2: noticed that, huh, like these there are these economists that 310 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:09,439 Speaker 2: keep coming up again and again. Wow, And I was like, 311 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,440 Speaker 2: that's interesting, and this is you know, this was stuff 312 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 2: from like the early to mid nineteen nineties, so this 313 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 2: is a while ago. I thought, Oh, I'm sure they're not, 314 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 2: you know, doing stuff anymore. Then at the same time 315 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 2: I was doing this research, President Trump announced that the 316 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 2: US was going to pull out of the Paris Agreement. 317 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 2: And in his speech, I think this was in twenty seventeen, 318 00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:37,479 Speaker 2: he said that the Paris Agreement was going to cost 319 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 2: you know, an American family, you know, four thousand dollars 320 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,399 Speaker 2: per year or something like that. You know, it's going 321 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:46,159 Speaker 2: to cost a lot of money. And I thought, this 322 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:49,200 Speaker 2: doesn't really make sense, because those parts of the Paris 323 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 2: Agreement are not legally binding to begin with. I thought, 324 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 2: who are the economists that are saying this? Who where 325 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 2: where's this analysis coming from? To give President Trump the 326 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,680 Speaker 2: talking points, you know, to say that in a speech. 327 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:09,159 Speaker 2: And I looked up the economic analysis that that President 328 00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:13,879 Speaker 2: Trump used and it was the same people. It was 329 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:16,879 Speaker 2: the same economists that I had that I had noticed. 330 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:21,120 Speaker 2: We're working on these things in like the mid nineties, 331 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 2: doing giving the same talking points against the Kyoto Protocol 332 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 2: of course ninety seven. 333 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 1: God damn it, I swear that, like the Groundhog Day 334 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:36,000 Speaker 1: miss of all of that is so infuriating. It's just wow, 335 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:37,840 Speaker 1: we're right back at the same place again, and the 336 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,160 Speaker 1: same thing is happening, and we still don't actually know 337 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 1: how it happened the first time. I know, And yet people, 338 00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 1: I think I find this all the time that people 339 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 1: are like, Okay, yeah, we know, we know. What are 340 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,359 Speaker 1: you going to work on next? And I'm like, I 341 00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 1: don't think we do know. 342 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,439 Speaker 3: Actually I don't think we know. I think we've just 343 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,360 Speaker 3: scratched the surface. Oh yeah, of what happened. 344 00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:02,439 Speaker 2: Then you agree, what we have so far I think 345 00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 2: is just a faint trace of what has what occurred, 346 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,359 Speaker 2: And I mean there's much more. I mean, at least 347 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:15,920 Speaker 2: I feel like we're continuing to find important material, important 348 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 2: records that reshape or understanding of what has happened. And 349 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:22,960 Speaker 2: doesn't seem to be close to getting to that to 350 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,399 Speaker 2: the end of it, that's for sure. Yeah, you know, 351 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 2: and people forget it's you know, in the nineties, there 352 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:35,560 Speaker 2: were some some enterprising journalists who did notice the industry's 353 00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:40,120 Speaker 2: influence right at the time, and they, you know, they're heroes. 354 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 2: They were saying things that nobody else was saying. They 355 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 2: were seeing things no one else was seeing, and you know. Unfortunately, 356 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:55,160 Speaker 2: just not enough people listened to them at the time, 357 00:23:55,400 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 2: so some people noticed, but not enough people noticed. And 358 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 2: so you know, just because one person noticed something at 359 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:07,479 Speaker 2: one time doesn't mean that everybody knows. Right, it's very 360 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 2: important fact. 361 00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 1: Did you look into the National Bureau of Economic Research. 362 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: I haven't, ben I just started looking into them. And 363 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 1: Exon Mobile is a funder of. 364 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 2: Them now, uh huh. 365 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,680 Speaker 1: And the Bradley Foundation has funded them forever. They had 366 00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,240 Speaker 1: donations for a long time from Scaife and Olin, all 367 00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:33,680 Speaker 1: the usual suspects. But like I'm looking back now through 368 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 1: the wayback machine to see exactly when Exon came on, 369 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:44,280 Speaker 1: so I can see like what exactly their influence has been. 370 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:45,880 Speaker 3: Because it's crazy. 371 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 1: It's like those guys are like, you know, the president 372 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:54,119 Speaker 1: of the NBER is like the main I don't know, 373 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 1: he's in charge of the economics program at MIT, so 374 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:03,480 Speaker 1: like vice president is like runs the economics department at Harvard. 375 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 1: It's like every economics department at every major university is 376 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:13,640 Speaker 1: run by someone who's part of the NBER, which sounds 377 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,439 Speaker 1: and acts like it's some kind of neutral you know, 378 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 1: or maybe government entity, but is ye at all And 379 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 1: I'm just like, oh my gosh, these guys have been 380 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:27,960 Speaker 1: influencing like how people think about economics, you know, since 381 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:34,440 Speaker 1: the twenties, and they've been you know, funded by sort 382 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,639 Speaker 1: of titans of industry all along. 383 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's like how far back do you want to go? 384 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 2: I mean the development of neoclassical economics, which basically asserted 385 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 2: that you know, the economy, left to its own devices, 386 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 2: would spontaneously find, you know, an equilibrium that was optimal 387 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 2: for natural at least. Yeah, I mean you know, in 388 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:07,639 Speaker 2: many ways that was formulated as a scientific defense against Marxism, 389 00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 2: right right. You know, So it's like how far back 390 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:13,919 Speaker 2: do you want to go in terms of you know, 391 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 2: special interests, moneyed interests, vested interests, corporate interests often you know, 392 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 2: trying to cultivate certain scientific ideas for political advantage, you know. 393 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,399 Speaker 2: And I mean it goes back, you know, at least 394 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:34,679 Speaker 2: that far, you know, and it's been it's never stopped. 395 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:35,960 Speaker 4: Really. 396 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,800 Speaker 1: Like what you see is that the pr industry comes 397 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:44,560 Speaker 1: about right when, like right after the very very first 398 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: regulation is passed on any industry in the US on 399 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,840 Speaker 1: the railroads and the late you know, late eighteen hundreds 400 00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 1: and right when people who don't look like the people 401 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:59,679 Speaker 1: who are running all these companies start to get the vote, 402 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:06,840 Speaker 1: and like it is a tool to circumvent democracy, and 403 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:08,960 Speaker 1: it's I don't know, I'm just even actually even with 404 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,000 Speaker 1: the the economists, you know, what's his face. 405 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 3: Ivy Lee created the. 406 00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:17,920 Speaker 1: Bureau of Railroad Economics for the railroads, and all those 407 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:21,640 Speaker 1: economists were portrayed as being totally independent. Nobody knew that 408 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:25,919 Speaker 1: that thing was created by a PR firm and funded 409 00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 1: by the industry, and those economists got quoted in every 410 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: newspaper all the time about the economic implications of various 411 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:39,479 Speaker 1: policies around the railroads, you know, and that was like 412 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 1: what eighteen ninety eighteen ninety seven, maybe, so yeah, I 413 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: just I don't know. 414 00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 2: Totally, yeah, you know, and so many of those strategies 415 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:55,159 Speaker 2: are dependent on not being seen, not being identified, you know. 416 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 2: I mean that's sort of the whole idea behind like 417 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:03,240 Speaker 2: any third party technique, is to conceal the messenger, of course, 418 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:08,680 Speaker 2: and you know that's why it's so effective. Often simply 419 00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:13,560 Speaker 2: simply revealing what's going on. I know that's not always sufficient, 420 00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:17,199 Speaker 2: but yeah, you know, it can be hugely impactful just 421 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:21,080 Speaker 2: to be able to see to recognize something. Yes, you know. 422 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 2: I mean that's why when I saw, you know, what 423 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,199 Speaker 2: was happening with President Trump in the Paris Agreement and 424 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,879 Speaker 2: he was using the same talking points it is, I 425 00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:36,439 Speaker 2: thought it was worth pointing out that, Look, you know, 426 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 2: we we have seen this before. This isn't new, right, 427 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:44,160 Speaker 2: This is the same exact strategy, same talking points, even 428 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 2: in the same people you know that use this strategy 429 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 2: back in mid nineties, the two thousands to fight the 430 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 2: cap and trade you know, domestic US legislation proposals. You know, 431 00:28:56,080 --> 00:29:00,440 Speaker 2: all of these proposals for decades. It's the same thing. 432 00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 2: So you know, at least if we can come to 433 00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 2: recognize it for what it is, hopefully, you know, some 434 00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:08,440 Speaker 2: of its obstructing power can be taken away. 435 00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,440 Speaker 1: Can you tell us who who this economist or these 436 00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 1: economists were in a little bit about them? 437 00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,760 Speaker 2: Absolutely, yeah, So, I mean it's a small group of them, 438 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,520 Speaker 2: at least the group that I looked at. The main one. 439 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 2: His name is David Montgomery, and you know, he was 440 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:32,800 Speaker 2: a well respected economist. He before the nineties, you know, 441 00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:37,720 Speaker 2: he'd worked in the Ford administration, the Carter administration, the 442 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 2: George H. W. Bush Bush one administration, he worked in 443 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 2: the Energy Information Administration, so he had a lot of credentials, 444 00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 2: and starting in the early nineties, nineteen ninety one or so, 445 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 2: the petroleum industry hired him to estimate how much it 446 00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 2: would cost to to put regulations on fossil fuels to 447 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 2: deal with climate change. You know. So, I mean think 448 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 2: the first the first lesson of this history is that 449 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:13,239 Speaker 2: is that governments have they tried to act, you know, 450 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 2: that early on, and that's when this sort of obstruction 451 00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:23,120 Speaker 2: game really came to force, you know, three three decades 452 00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 2: ago essentially, And you know, so basically, he'd come out 453 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 2: with an analysis that would say, oh, if you want 454 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,479 Speaker 2: to reduce CO two emissions, it's going to cost you know, 455 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 2: all this money, hundreds of dollars per tonnesia two and 456 00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 2: that's going to you know, cost all these jobs, reduce 457 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:45,440 Speaker 2: GDP and so on. And generally he would say it's 458 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:50,200 Speaker 2: going to be really expensive, and climate change is not 459 00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 2: really going to be that bad, you know. So we 460 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 2: had kind of two parts to it, and they were 461 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:58,480 Speaker 2: both they were both misleading in a sense at least 462 00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 2: because on the cost side, his models were inflating the 463 00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 2: costs based on the modeling approach and on the benefit side, 464 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 2: as in global warming avoided. He didn't even address that 465 00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:17,280 Speaker 2: there was zero analysis. It was simply an assertion like 466 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 2: global warming is not really gonna be that bad. I 467 00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:24,280 Speaker 2: think at one point he said, if anything, it'll cost 468 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 2: half a percent of gross national product in the year 469 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 2: twenty one hundred, which is like, you know, it's okay, 470 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,120 Speaker 2: one hundred and ten years from now, you can predict 471 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:38,640 Speaker 2: that with zero analysis. Okay, but you know, and then 472 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 2: he's look at the you know, look at the comparison. 473 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 2: Action costs a lot, in action doesn't cost much. You know, 474 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 2: you do the math. And so the point was, don't 475 00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:51,160 Speaker 2: do anything and wait, and you know, eventually he was 476 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 2: joined by other colleagues. They worked at different economic consulting firms, 477 00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 2: and one of the main one they worked at over 478 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:03,600 Speaker 2: this period time was called Charles River Associates, which still exists. 479 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:08,720 Speaker 2: I mean, it's still a major consulting firm. But you know, 480 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:14,960 Speaker 2: they've moved around. I think that the analysis that Trump 481 00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 2: used to leave the Paris Agreement that was done by 482 00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:20,320 Speaker 2: NIRA near a economic consulting different, you know, and so 483 00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 2: they sort of moved around. But it was the same 484 00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,800 Speaker 2: story again and again. Nineteen ninety three, the Clinton administration 485 00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 2: tried to put out what eventually was called the BTU tax, 486 00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:33,880 Speaker 2: but that was this hybrid energy and carbon. It was 487 00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 2: like an energy tax that was heavier if you were 488 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:43,080 Speaker 2: carbon intensive. And you know, same strategy. The industry litigated 489 00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,000 Speaker 2: the science, brought out their merchants of doubt, said climate 490 00:32:46,040 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 2: science was unproven, then brought out their economists, the same 491 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:52,600 Speaker 2: group of people who said, oh, it's going to be 492 00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 2: really really expensive. Kyoto protocol because domestic policies were failing clearly, 493 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 2: so governments moved to the international approach through through the 494 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:09,520 Speaker 2: UN process, Kyota pro Protocol comes out again, exact same strategy. Now, 495 00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 2: of course Kyota Protocol was you know, adopted, but it 496 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 2: was not ratified by the United States. Of course, the 497 00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:21,840 Speaker 2: United States left that with George with Georgia Bush two 498 00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 2: in the early two thousands, and again, you know, it 499 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 2: is the same strategy. It's that this is going to 500 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:31,800 Speaker 2: be economically disastrous and the science is really is still uncertain, 501 00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 2: and you know, it's the exact same strategy. Then now 502 00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:39,440 Speaker 2: that that failed, goes back to the domestic approach again. 503 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:41,760 Speaker 2: So that's when we had this series of cap and 504 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 2: trade bills in the in the Senate, in the House, 505 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 2: like blacks of Market and so on and again it was, 506 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:52,400 Speaker 2: you know, every time there was a major climate policy proposal, 507 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:58,360 Speaker 2: it's like these same guys would just right would disappear again. 508 00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 2: And you know, generally they were you know, being commissioned 509 00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:07,560 Speaker 2: by the American Patroleum Institute or other industry groups, and 510 00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,799 Speaker 2: you know, it was the same analysis. They were just 511 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 2: you know, turning the crank essentially again and again. And 512 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:21,000 Speaker 2: you know, so it's this, it's this parallel sort of 513 00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:26,920 Speaker 2: this whole shaping of economics. And eventually their analyzes became 514 00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:32,080 Speaker 2: conventional wisdom. I mean, by right, by a twenty ten 515 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,400 Speaker 2: or so. They are they've been at this for twenty years. 516 00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:38,840 Speaker 2: And you know, senators were saying, look, it's like we 517 00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 2: don't even need to study because we know that they've 518 00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:46,040 Speaker 2: already been saying this for twenty years. And so really, 519 00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:52,799 Speaker 2: in a way, the scientific merchants of doubt ultimately, you know, 520 00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:57,880 Speaker 2: were they failed. I guess they over overcome. Their power waned, 521 00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:03,920 Speaker 2: but this the economics part that their power did not 522 00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 2: really wane in the same way. And you know the 523 00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:13,160 Speaker 2: implications are larger as well, because I looked at these 524 00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:19,800 Speaker 2: economic this economic consulting firm, largely because I just stumbled 525 00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:25,160 Speaker 2: upon their activities. But they were not alone. You know, 526 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 2: there were other consulting firms doing very similar work. But 527 00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:34,240 Speaker 2: also their work is not that different from the work 528 00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:38,839 Speaker 2: done at MIT at the Joint program where they do 529 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:43,880 Speaker 2: economic modeling there. That program is funded by the oil industry. 530 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:47,240 Speaker 2: Not only the oil industry, but they do receive funding 531 00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 2: from the oil industry, you know. They these groups participated 532 00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 2: in something called the Energy Modeling Forum at Stanford University. 533 00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:01,799 Speaker 1: I remember you talking about this like BP Shall Chevron, 534 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:02,760 Speaker 1: I mean. 535 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:06,120 Speaker 2: All of the absolutely, and that that group is funded, 536 00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:10,520 Speaker 2: you know, almost entirely by fossil fuel interests. You know. 537 00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:15,600 Speaker 2: So there's the consulting part, then there's the academic environmental 538 00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:20,560 Speaker 2: economics part, and the industry is involved with both in 539 00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:24,960 Speaker 2: terms of their funding. And you know, I think at 540 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 2: the end of the day, the question is, you know, now, 541 00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,120 Speaker 2: like where does this leave us? Is the analysis wrong? 542 00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,440 Speaker 2: First of all? Is a good question to ask, you know, 543 00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:37,560 Speaker 2: I mean, okay, what if it's actually right? Now? One 544 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,520 Speaker 2: of the nice things about this study was that one 545 00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:44,359 Speaker 2: of these economists was willing to talk to me and 546 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:50,880 Speaker 2: you know, and honestly share his perspective and experiences, and 547 00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:55,719 Speaker 2: we talked about the limitations of their models, you know, 548 00:36:55,840 --> 00:37:01,360 Speaker 2: and their models were essentially based on, you know, based 549 00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:05,000 Speaker 2: on assumptions that have become mainstream in American economics, like 550 00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:08,879 Speaker 2: the economy performs optimally without intervention and so on. These 551 00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:13,799 Speaker 2: are unscientific concepts that because they can't be tested, of course, right, 552 00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,920 Speaker 2: And but it's just taken as an article of faith 553 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,440 Speaker 2: that if somebody has to do something that they're not 554 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:25,480 Speaker 2: already doing, it must be suboptimal, right, And you know, 555 00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:29,080 Speaker 2: it's a tautological it's a circular reasoning type of logic, 556 00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:34,719 Speaker 2: and you know, it's based on that. And then there 557 00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,719 Speaker 2: are assumptions built into the model about how expensive clean 558 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:39,640 Speaker 2: energy is going to be, and it's assumed to be 559 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:44,600 Speaker 2: expensive like forever, like really expensive, you know, and things 560 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 2: like that. So the way the model itself is constructed, 561 00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,680 Speaker 2: it's not really like reliable in terms of what is 562 00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,960 Speaker 2: this actually going to cost? So that part's not really 563 00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:56,480 Speaker 2: quantitatively reliable. Then you have the other side, which is 564 00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 2: the benefit side, which is not even being addressed, right, 565 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,400 Speaker 2: So it's impossible to even make it a comparison in 566 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,719 Speaker 2: terms of is this policy worth that are not? And 567 00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:08,880 Speaker 2: so you know, at the end of the day, the 568 00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:12,839 Speaker 2: public has been sold this. I mean, it's a fraudulent 569 00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:17,240 Speaker 2: it's a fraudulent economic product. Right. You have economist saying 570 00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:22,960 Speaker 2: we did the analysis and it's too expensive, and you 571 00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:26,759 Speaker 2: know it's it's you know, now even by their own admission, 572 00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:33,120 Speaker 2: that's not true. And this has been going on for decades, 573 00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:36,920 Speaker 2: you know. So now the question is what do we 574 00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:38,919 Speaker 2: do about What do we do about this? 575 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:41,560 Speaker 4: Right? 576 00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:46,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? And I think that's because so embedded. 577 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:48,839 Speaker 3: This is the thing that like we were saying before. 578 00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:55,239 Speaker 1: That it's it's it's not just the you know, proposed solutions, 579 00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:58,040 Speaker 1: it's the entire framing of the problem. It's like the 580 00:38:58,080 --> 00:38:59,560 Speaker 1: soup that we're all swimming in. 581 00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:02,200 Speaker 2: I thought. 582 00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:08,880 Speaker 1: But you see, particularly the oil industry investing really, really 583 00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:14,600 Speaker 1: heavily in making sure that no one can even think 584 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:16,759 Speaker 1: of an economy that doesn't work this way. 585 00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:21,520 Speaker 2: That's right, that's right. And you have of course, you know, 586 00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:24,799 Speaker 2: students who are going to school to study economics, you know, 587 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,560 Speaker 2: they're taught that this is the way the world works. Yes, 588 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:30,399 Speaker 2: that this is how economies work. And there's been some 589 00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:36,799 Speaker 2: fascinating historical research done on the origins of neoclassical economics, 590 00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,000 Speaker 2: and I think one of the most compelling, some of 591 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,760 Speaker 2: the best work has been done by Phil Morowski, who's 592 00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:45,560 Speaker 2: a historian of economics, and you know, and he shows 593 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:51,880 Speaker 2: quite convincingly, I think that neo classical economics when it 594 00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:58,440 Speaker 2: was formed, the basic ideas of it was an imitation 595 00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:05,279 Speaker 2: of what physics was at that time. And you know, 596 00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:11,080 Speaker 2: physics was being seen as this pretty prestigious, like reliable science. 597 00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:15,640 Speaker 2: You know, it's highly mathematical, and economics wanted to sort 598 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:21,120 Speaker 2: of scientize itself, and so it literally took the equations 599 00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:27,560 Speaker 2: from physics at the time, and it took the ideas 600 00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:33,160 Speaker 2: like ideas of spontaneous equilibrium, and it just said, this 601 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:36,319 Speaker 2: is how the economy works. It just sort of asserted that. 602 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:41,480 Speaker 2: And the sort of fatal flaw in that approach was 603 00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 2: that the physics version was at least testable, it was 604 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:50,759 Speaker 2: at least falsifiable, and eventually it was I mean, you know, 605 00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:56,120 Speaker 2: new fields of physics were developed, like quantum physics, because 606 00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,880 Speaker 2: of the failures of the older models to explain observation 607 00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:08,359 Speaker 2: right now. The economics version was not based on observable 608 00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:11,160 Speaker 2: variables that you can measure and test. It was simply 609 00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:14,640 Speaker 2: an assertion of how the economy works. And no matter 610 00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:20,560 Speaker 2: what you observe, you simply say, that's just a result 611 00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:23,400 Speaker 2: of our theory, more or less. And so it's not 612 00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:28,000 Speaker 2: something that you can test or approve or disprove, and 613 00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:33,280 Speaker 2: so it's sort of persisted as more of an ideology, 614 00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:38,040 Speaker 2: you know, or a pseudo science more than an actual 615 00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:42,719 Speaker 2: scientific theory. And you know, this would just be a 616 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,759 Speaker 2: curiosity in the history of science if it were not 617 00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:53,600 Speaker 2: for its major impacts on public policy today. And obviously 618 00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:57,319 Speaker 2: it's major impacts on climate change, you know, because economists 619 00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:03,200 Speaker 2: are invoking these theories in saying, you know, don't curtail 620 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,719 Speaker 2: fossil fuel use based on this model. It's going to 621 00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,279 Speaker 2: be really expensive. 622 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:12,400 Speaker 1: Right in saying these are the only allowable solutions, Like 623 00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:17,279 Speaker 1: it's it's just it just immediately narrows what can be 624 00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:20,279 Speaker 1: done about about this about this problem. 625 00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:23,879 Speaker 2: You know, and it like, like you said, it's not 626 00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:27,440 Speaker 2: just the oil industry that benefits from these economic ideas, 627 00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:33,040 Speaker 2: it's it's all regulated industries because embedded within you know, 628 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:38,719 Speaker 2: the self optimate, self optimizing market concept is the implication 629 00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:44,640 Speaker 2: that regulation by nature is expensive MM, that you should 630 00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,000 Speaker 2: more or less let things go, you know, or at 631 00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,400 Speaker 2: least you can't really go that wrong if you do so. 632 00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,560 Speaker 2: All regulated industries have a sort of you know, a 633 00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:56,760 Speaker 2: benefit to be gained from from these these economic theories. 634 00:42:57,000 --> 00:43:03,200 Speaker 2: The theories themselves are biased against regulating, you know, big industries. 635 00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:06,440 Speaker 1: I was looking at all of the different law and 636 00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:10,160 Speaker 1: economic centers that the Olan Foundation has set up at 637 00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:14,560 Speaker 1: every university, and you know, they were like big funders 638 00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:18,719 Speaker 1: of climate denile too. But like John Olan was a 639 00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:23,680 Speaker 1: chemicals guy, you know, he and he was like tired 640 00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:27,719 Speaker 1: of regulation, and he was tired of you know. I 641 00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:31,200 Speaker 1: think a lot of these guys saw the lawsuits in 642 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:35,200 Speaker 1: the nineties against the tobacco companies as like a serious 643 00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:40,040 Speaker 1: threat to any industry, and they really set about creating 644 00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:46,359 Speaker 1: conservative litigation infrastructure that would combat what they saw as 645 00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:50,880 Speaker 1: like liberal public interest law. And it's always it's I 646 00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:53,440 Speaker 1: don't know, in every single one of these places. It's 647 00:43:53,560 --> 00:44:00,640 Speaker 1: combined with economics and specifically teaching this sort of lass 648 00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:06,440 Speaker 1: a fair free market economics, as you know, an unquestionable truth. 649 00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 2: And you know, there's the whole economics part, but there's 650 00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:18,120 Speaker 2: also there's other interesting parts that I think we're on 651 00:44:18,160 --> 00:44:21,560 Speaker 2: the verge of being aware of, you know, like some 652 00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:26,080 Speaker 2: of in some of Exxon's internal documents from the nineteen eighties, 653 00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:32,160 Speaker 2: in the late nineteen seventies about climate change, Exxon says 654 00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:35,120 Speaker 2: they need to do research on not just the physical 655 00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:40,319 Speaker 2: impacts of climate change, but on psychology, mass psychology, and 656 00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:45,480 Speaker 2: risk perception, risk perception among lay people, you know, just 657 00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:51,520 Speaker 2: everyday normal, regular people, but also among the policymakers and 658 00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:55,360 Speaker 2: government officials. You know, how do you influence and control 659 00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 2: how people perceive this problem and how to respond to it? 660 00:45:00,360 --> 00:45:04,440 Speaker 2: And you know, that's that's another area of social science 661 00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:08,879 Speaker 2: that you know, it appears at least that the oil 662 00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:12,400 Speaker 2: industry was very interested in being being expert at and 663 00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,600 Speaker 2: potentially influencing. But I think we don't you know, I 664 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:19,480 Speaker 2: certainly don't know yet what you know, what they did 665 00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:22,440 Speaker 2: in that area. But I think it's it's bigger than 666 00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 2: just economics. 667 00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:23,440 Speaker 1: You know. 668 00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:26,960 Speaker 2: Economics is sort of maybe the obvious one because it's 669 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:28,800 Speaker 2: used so much in public policy making. 670 00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:33,840 Speaker 1: Mm hmmmm, well, and it's it is, it's just always 671 00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,200 Speaker 1: used when people are talking about climate action, it's oh, 672 00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,759 Speaker 1: you know, we need a livable planet, and people to 673 00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,200 Speaker 1: have been getting better and better right about making a 674 00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:45,279 Speaker 1: human focus. But I feel like the economics argument did 675 00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:49,919 Speaker 1: that from the beginning, right where it's like, no, no, no, 676 00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:52,680 Speaker 1: you can't do this because it'll make people poor, or 677 00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:56,520 Speaker 1: it'll cost people jobs, or you know, like they they 678 00:45:56,560 --> 00:46:02,360 Speaker 1: were so on that from jump versus the environmental movement, 679 00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,440 Speaker 1: which was like, you know, really stuck on trees and 680 00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:06,239 Speaker 1: polar bears for. 681 00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:06,840 Speaker 3: Quite a while. 682 00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,160 Speaker 1: Not that hey, I have nothing against trees, but it is, 683 00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:15,840 Speaker 1: it is kind of hard to piece it all together. 684 00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:21,480 Speaker 2: It is it's sprawling, and it's one of those topics 685 00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:24,920 Speaker 2: that you only become aware of it if you're in 686 00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:28,560 Speaker 2: a particular vantage point, and it's hard to get to 687 00:46:28,600 --> 00:46:34,120 Speaker 2: that vantage point without being part of the issue, you know, 688 00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:37,319 Speaker 2: without being sort of like, it's hard to know that 689 00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:42,240 Speaker 2: the Kennedy School at Harvard is funded by oil unless 690 00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:44,920 Speaker 2: you're a professor at the Kennedy School, right And at 691 00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 2: that point, you're you're not likely to point that out 692 00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:51,960 Speaker 2: to the public, at least not without risking your career 693 00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:55,839 Speaker 2: or some prospects. So it's the it's one of these 694 00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:58,520 Speaker 2: things it's hard for people to become aware of it 695 00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:00,880 Speaker 2: if they're not, if they don't have already a vested 696 00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:04,719 Speaker 2: interest in maintaining it the way it is. So I 697 00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:08,400 Speaker 2: think finally that's beginning to change. And I don't want to, 698 00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:13,880 Speaker 2: you know, criticize, and I don't mean to criticize all economists, 699 00:47:14,960 --> 00:47:19,200 Speaker 2: because you know, this is a particular approach that I'm 700 00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:23,120 Speaker 2: talking about that unfortunately has become that for at least 701 00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:26,680 Speaker 2: for a long time, very dominant in the United States 702 00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:30,279 Speaker 2: at least, But it's a very diverse discipline, and I 703 00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:35,080 Speaker 2: think now lately there are more and more economists who 704 00:47:35,080 --> 00:47:39,879 Speaker 2: are doing really high quality work to look at, you know, 705 00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:43,399 Speaker 2: how much does like sea level rise cost in terms 706 00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:47,400 Speaker 2: of damage when you get a very different view of 707 00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:49,880 Speaker 2: the cost of climate change if you use that bottom 708 00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:54,000 Speaker 2: up approach rather than the sort of pre determined top 709 00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:58,359 Speaker 2: down approach that was being used before. So it's also 710 00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:02,440 Speaker 2: largely a matter of methodology, and this is beginning to change. 711 00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:05,120 Speaker 2: And I think, you know, why is it important whether 712 00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:10,240 Speaker 2: the industry is funding the work? Well, you know, now, 713 00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:14,719 Speaker 2: like if the industry is is not as dominant, then 714 00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:18,560 Speaker 2: there is going to be that room for you know, 715 00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:24,319 Speaker 2: other economists to use different different approaches, right right, right, 716 00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:27,640 Speaker 2: And you know it's all a matter of what gets 717 00:48:27,680 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 2: amplified and what doesn't. 718 00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:32,040 Speaker 1: I'm curious about that because I feel like with a 719 00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:38,640 Speaker 1: lot of the kind of more obvious oil funding of research, 720 00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:43,239 Speaker 1: you know, them funding research into energy alternatives and things 721 00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:44,480 Speaker 1: like that, that. 722 00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:47,160 Speaker 3: There is pretty clearly laid out. 723 00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:50,000 Speaker 1: I mean like actually Stanford even has had this on 724 00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:51,600 Speaker 1: their website for. 725 00:48:51,719 --> 00:48:54,080 Speaker 2: The Global Climate Energy Project. 726 00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:57,120 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, they had like on their website sort of 727 00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:00,279 Speaker 1: you know, here's how we select projects, and here's two 728 00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:03,440 Speaker 1: ways in where And I mean they just straight up 729 00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:07,840 Speaker 1: admitted that the funders had the final call on what 730 00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:10,759 Speaker 1: would get funded for research. But I don't think that's 731 00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:13,080 Speaker 1: the case with the economic stuff. And it's also just 732 00:49:13,120 --> 00:49:16,280 Speaker 1: not as not as straightforward. So did you get any 733 00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 1: have you ever, you know, from any of these things, 734 00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:24,040 Speaker 1: gotten any sense of how much fossil fuel companies are dictating. 735 00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:25,279 Speaker 3: You know, what they want. 736 00:49:25,320 --> 00:49:27,480 Speaker 1: I guess if the API is commissioning a study from 737 00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:29,200 Speaker 1: an economist, they're just straight up. 738 00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:32,640 Speaker 3: Telling them what. But I wonder if it's that direct 739 00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:34,719 Speaker 3: in university. 740 00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:37,759 Speaker 2: Research, Yeah, I think it varies what I've seen is 741 00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:41,359 Speaker 2: that it doesn't have to be that direct in order 742 00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:44,080 Speaker 2: to have an effect. You know, if you think about 743 00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:48,480 Speaker 2: you have an entire field, let's say climate economics or 744 00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,919 Speaker 2: environmental economics as a field. You know, if you're an 745 00:49:51,960 --> 00:49:57,160 Speaker 2: industry like the oil industry, you can send someone to 746 00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:02,520 Speaker 2: all the environmental economics conferences around the country, right and 747 00:50:02,600 --> 00:50:05,640 Speaker 2: monitor the research that people are doing. And there are 748 00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:09,759 Speaker 2: certain paradigms and people frankly, but you know, if you 749 00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,200 Speaker 2: think about their work in terms of a paradigm, what 750 00:50:12,239 --> 00:50:17,800 Speaker 2: they're interested in, what they're not. There are certain paradigms 751 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:20,719 Speaker 2: that are helpful for the industry and others that are not, 752 00:50:22,239 --> 00:50:26,720 Speaker 2: or more or less of course, and simply by funding 753 00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:31,040 Speaker 2: certain things, you amplify that thing, and that takes up 754 00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:36,360 Speaker 2: more space than what have otherwise, And so the recipient 755 00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:41,480 Speaker 2: doesn't necessarily have to be even aware, you know, that 756 00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:45,200 Speaker 2: they're getting this money for any sort of strategic reason 757 00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:47,400 Speaker 2: on the part of the industry. And I think often 758 00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:50,960 Speaker 2: the recipients either are unaware or they don't like the idea, 759 00:50:51,080 --> 00:50:54,080 Speaker 2: so they kind of ignore it the possibility. But you know, 760 00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:57,960 Speaker 2: I mean that's why in this new research I open 761 00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:03,240 Speaker 2: it with this quote from from a handbook from nineteen 762 00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:05,120 Speaker 2: seventy eight, and this is sort of you know, earlier 763 00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:09,279 Speaker 2: on in the sort of modern regulatory state in the 764 00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:12,480 Speaker 2: United States. You know, a lot of regulatory policies being 765 00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:16,239 Speaker 2: passed in the seventies, and so the big companies are 766 00:51:16,239 --> 00:51:18,319 Speaker 2: trying to figure out, well, how do we respond to 767 00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:24,680 Speaker 2: this new regime. And in this in this handbook written 768 00:51:24,719 --> 00:51:28,440 Speaker 2: for regulated industries to basically game the system, you know, 769 00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:31,799 Speaker 2: it says one of our main recommendations is to co 770 00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:35,640 Speaker 2: opt the experts. You know, And it says, you know, 771 00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:40,440 Speaker 2: this policy is made, you know, with the participation of experts, 772 00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:44,640 Speaker 2: especially academics. It says a regulated firm or industry should 773 00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:48,520 Speaker 2: be prepared whenever possible to co opt these experts. This 774 00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:51,440 Speaker 2: is most effectively done by identifying the leading experts in 775 00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:55,239 Speaker 2: each relevant field and hiring them as consultants or advisors, 776 00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:58,759 Speaker 2: or giving them research grants and the like. It requires 777 00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:02,920 Speaker 2: a modicum of must not be too blatant for the 778 00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:07,319 Speaker 2: experts themselves, must not recognize that they've lost their objectivity 779 00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,440 Speaker 2: and freedom of action. And at a minimum, it reduces 780 00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:13,800 Speaker 2: the threat that these experts will testify against the industry 781 00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:17,440 Speaker 2: or right against the interests of the of the industry. 782 00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:20,719 Speaker 2: You know. So this was recognized as as a major 783 00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:26,520 Speaker 2: central pillar of all regulated industry strategy counter regulatory strategy, 784 00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:28,600 Speaker 2: you know, from very early on, you know, from the 785 00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:31,120 Speaker 2: nineteen seventies. So you know, in the case of climate, 786 00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:32,880 Speaker 2: you know, I think what we see is that there 787 00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:36,200 Speaker 2: are certain areas, like, you know, the fossil fuel industry 788 00:52:36,239 --> 00:52:40,640 Speaker 2: really hates renewable portfolio standards, you know, because I mean, 789 00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:43,360 Speaker 2: you know, maybe your guess is as good as mine is. 790 00:52:43,360 --> 00:52:46,799 Speaker 2: I'm not like super expert renewable portfolio standards, but my 791 00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:49,520 Speaker 2: impression is that they're they're hard to gain. You know. 792 00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:52,359 Speaker 2: It says you have to have this much renewables by 793 00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:56,880 Speaker 2: this year, right, It's very straightforward, right, you know, it 794 00:52:57,040 --> 00:52:59,480 Speaker 2: seems that the oil industry would much rather have a 795 00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:02,680 Speaker 2: cap and try aid system that it can game, that 796 00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:05,759 Speaker 2: it can get little you know, concessions with it. Can 797 00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:08,560 Speaker 2: you know, manipulate the price and make it crash or 798 00:53:08,600 --> 00:53:11,319 Speaker 2: make it make it sore, to like mess it up, 799 00:53:11,600 --> 00:53:13,279 Speaker 2: you know, I mean, there's lots of ways to kind 800 00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:15,360 Speaker 2: of mess up a cap and trade system so that 801 00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:20,600 Speaker 2: it just doesn't work right. And you know, so you know, 802 00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:24,400 Speaker 2: I see environmental economists who are big their whole career 803 00:53:24,520 --> 00:53:27,479 Speaker 2: is based on cap and trade and doing paper after 804 00:53:27,520 --> 00:53:30,319 Speaker 2: paper after paper about cap and trade systems and how 805 00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:31,960 Speaker 2: to make it optimal and how to design it for 806 00:53:32,000 --> 00:53:34,920 Speaker 2: this or that. You know, they're getting funded by the 807 00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:38,960 Speaker 2: oil industry, so that becomes the dominant paradigm through which 808 00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:43,680 Speaker 2: people knew environmental policy. Oh, cap and trade is default. 809 00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:48,680 Speaker 2: Other things like renewable portfolio standard. That's that's alternative. That's 810 00:53:48,680 --> 00:53:51,319 Speaker 2: what we that's not as good, you know, that's what 811 00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:54,040 Speaker 2: we think about. Second, that's what we talk about on 812 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:56,080 Speaker 2: this you know, the last day of class if we 813 00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,720 Speaker 2: have time. But the main thing is cap and trade, 814 00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:02,600 Speaker 2: you know, even though there aren't really very many functional 815 00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:05,600 Speaker 2: cap and trade systems in the world, you know, so 816 00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:10,719 Speaker 2: it's like you can influence the entire way people learn 817 00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:14,160 Speaker 2: about the issue. You know. Another great example is hydrogen 818 00:54:14,239 --> 00:54:17,359 Speaker 2: versus electric vehicles. You know, this is another thing I 819 00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:20,160 Speaker 2: noticed when I was looking at industry funding, was you 820 00:54:20,160 --> 00:54:25,839 Speaker 2: know a lot of oil funding for hydrogen future, you know, 821 00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:30,840 Speaker 2: for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, and like none for electric 822 00:54:31,120 --> 00:54:34,399 Speaker 2: battery vehicles. And I was like, this is sort of weird. 823 00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:37,360 Speaker 2: I mean, do they just think that, you know, hydrogen 824 00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:41,359 Speaker 2: is better and you know, well, I mean, obviously, by 825 00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:45,239 Speaker 2: this point it's clear that at least now, hydrogen you know, 826 00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:51,600 Speaker 2: vehicles are not you know, competitive at least currently. And 827 00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:53,880 Speaker 2: what a lot of people don't realize is that almost 828 00:54:53,920 --> 00:54:57,359 Speaker 2: all hydrogen is made out of natural gas, and so 829 00:54:58,640 --> 00:55:02,840 Speaker 2: a lot of hydrogen, know, presumably would be either largely 830 00:55:03,040 --> 00:55:08,080 Speaker 2: or significantly fossil fuel, you know, just sort of in disguise. 831 00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:10,399 Speaker 2: And you know, so it's these sort of options. It's, well, 832 00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:13,040 Speaker 2: if we have to go to non gas vehicles, we'd 833 00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:17,280 Speaker 2: rather them be hydrogen than battery. You know, it's better 834 00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:22,120 Speaker 2: for us. And so through this selective funding, you know, 835 00:55:22,600 --> 00:55:26,719 Speaker 2: it's it's not that hard to shape the entire discussion. 836 00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:29,520 Speaker 2: And of course, you know, when someone's been receiving funding 837 00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:33,719 Speaker 2: for their research for decades, you know that that certainly 838 00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,520 Speaker 2: shapes the way they think. It certainly shapes you know, 839 00:55:36,560 --> 00:55:41,399 Speaker 2: where their allegiances are. You know, it's gonna dissuade them 840 00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:45,799 Speaker 2: from you know, writing against the industry or testifying against it, 841 00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:48,760 Speaker 2: and you know they're going to have connections within the industry. 842 00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:51,640 Speaker 2: They're gonna they're going to promote the industry with their 843 00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:54,640 Speaker 2: students as a place to work. You know, they're going 844 00:55:54,680 --> 00:55:57,320 Speaker 2: to be getting grants. All of these things have an effect. 845 00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:01,840 Speaker 2: So yeah, I think, you know, it doesn't have to 846 00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:05,160 Speaker 2: be so blatant. It doesn't have to be you know, 847 00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:08,239 Speaker 2: like a quick pro quo arrangement. 848 00:56:08,840 --> 00:56:09,120 Speaker 3: Yeah. 849 00:56:09,360 --> 00:56:12,200 Speaker 1: I think about this with with respect to media influence 850 00:56:12,239 --> 00:56:15,360 Speaker 1: all the time too, like people, I don't know. My 851 00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:19,000 Speaker 1: current obsession on that front is the fact that Ted Boutrose, 852 00:56:19,040 --> 00:56:23,120 Speaker 1: who's like Chevron's attorney, works for every major media outlet. 853 00:56:23,239 --> 00:56:26,520 Speaker 1: Not he's CNN's first amen an attorney, but now he's 854 00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:33,200 Speaker 1: also the New York Times first attorney and Reveal and 855 00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:35,040 Speaker 1: he sits on the board of Pro Publica. 856 00:56:36,920 --> 00:56:38,319 Speaker 3: And I'm like. 857 00:56:38,360 --> 00:56:42,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, like he's not doing that because he loves the media. 858 00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:43,480 Speaker 3: You know. I just think about I'm like, well, you know, 859 00:56:44,080 --> 00:56:44,840 Speaker 3: we have a First. 860 00:56:44,640 --> 00:56:48,359 Speaker 1: Amendment attorney, and I talked to him pretty regularly, and 861 00:56:48,520 --> 00:56:50,239 Speaker 1: I talked to him about all kinds of things, and 862 00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:52,960 Speaker 1: he shares his opinion as attorneys are wont to do, 863 00:56:53,880 --> 00:56:56,399 Speaker 1: you know, Like he's a smart guy who I pay 864 00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:59,200 Speaker 1: a lot of money for his opinion. So like I 865 00:56:59,239 --> 00:57:01,680 Speaker 1: listened to his onion on lots of things, you know, 866 00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:05,279 Speaker 1: and the idea that like somehow Ted Brutros is just 867 00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:08,440 Speaker 1: lurking around the hallways like every major media outlet in 868 00:57:08,480 --> 00:57:11,800 Speaker 1: the country, but it has no influence on how anyone 869 00:57:11,840 --> 00:57:14,360 Speaker 1: thinks of climate liability cases. 870 00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:17,200 Speaker 3: Just seems really unlikely. 871 00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:23,600 Speaker 2: Does seem unlikely now that you mentioned it? 872 00:57:23,720 --> 00:57:26,919 Speaker 1: Yes, Yes, I'm like, like it's weird to me because 873 00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:29,520 Speaker 1: I'm like, do not know where the word influence means, 874 00:57:29,720 --> 00:57:39,480 Speaker 1: Like it's not a bribe, Like it's subtle, you know. 875 00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:39,760 Speaker 2: I mean, it is interesting. You know, that's one of 876 00:57:39,800 --> 00:57:44,040 Speaker 2: the oil company's big defenses is their First Amendment defense, right, 877 00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:49,320 Speaker 2: But unfortunately for them, Yeah, I mean you probably know 878 00:57:50,400 --> 00:58:07,480 Speaker 2: the First Amendment does not protect fraudulent communications. 879 00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:15,280 Speaker 1: Drilled is an original production of the Critical Frequency podcast Network. 880 00:58:15,520 --> 00:58:19,280 Speaker 1: This series is a collaboration with Earther, Gizmoto's climate and 881 00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:21,960 Speaker 1: justice site. My co host and co reporter for the 882 00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,800 Speaker 1: series is Darna Noor. Our editors are Julia Richie for 883 00:58:25,880 --> 00:58:30,360 Speaker 1: Drilled and Brian Kahn for Earther. Our producer is Juliana Bradley. 884 00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:34,160 Speaker 1: Mixing and mastering by Peter duff Our. Fact checker is 885 00:58:34,240 --> 00:58:37,320 Speaker 1: Trevor Gowen. Music is by Martin Wissenberg. 886 00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:39,080 Speaker 3: Our artwork was created. 887 00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:42,440 Speaker 1: By Matthew Fleming. Our First Amendment attorney is James Wheaton 888 00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:47,320 Speaker 1: of the First Amendment Project. You can find corresponding stories, videos, 889 00:58:47,360 --> 00:58:51,320 Speaker 1: and documents for this series on earther dot com. Thanks 890 00:58:51,400 --> 00:59:00,919 Speaker 1: for listening and we'll see you next time. The down back, 891 00:59:02,080 --> 00:59:15,680 Speaker 1: the down back, then the back, the down back,