1 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle. Part two of the week. 2 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: This is our buys and sells and it's kind of 3 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 1: a special buys of cells because it's buys and sells 4 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 1: ahead of the real life trade deadline and also the 5 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: trade deadline in a lot of fantasy leagues is coming 6 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: up as well, so we're kind of, you know, taking 7 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 1: the approach of like this can be a by low 8 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: or a buye high, sello and a sell high. It's 9 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:26,440 Speaker 1: really that's kind of what we always do. But it's 10 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: really just like trade targets right in general, because we 11 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: are up against it. This is the stretch run coming 12 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,959 Speaker 1: up here very shortly mayor for fantasy leagues, whether it's 13 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: a roto league or you know, a head to head league. 14 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 1: So these are just some of our favorite targets that 15 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:44,559 Speaker 1: we're looking to trade four or trade away. You can 16 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 1: go first, who's your favorite buye? Yeah. 17 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 2: So normally on fantaspros dot com, we do the weekly 18 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 2: Featured Pros article where we you know, we ask the 19 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,199 Speaker 2: experts or who's your bylow, who's your so high? And 20 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 2: you know, I participate that in every week in that 21 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 2: every week, and so this week, since we are approaching 22 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: the real like you said, the real life MLB deadline 23 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,959 Speaker 2: and the fantasy trade deadline, we did more. We did 24 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 2: more of like a trade deadline addition, but it's still 25 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:06,479 Speaker 2: the same thing, like who you're looking to buy, who 26 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:11,039 Speaker 2: you're looking to sell. The player I said that I 27 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 2: was looking to buy is Edward Cabrera, and it's obviously 28 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:15,679 Speaker 2: in leagues where I need pitching. He's one of my 29 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 2: top targets. He's been, he's been quietly excellent, sense a 30 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 2: rough start this season, and his name is also now 31 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 2: popping popping up in real life trade rumors. And so 32 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 2: going from the Marlins to you know, a better team, 33 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 2: you know, no offense to the Marlins, but a team 34 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 2: with maybe better defense or a better offense to support 35 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 2: him and get some more wins, he could be really valuable. 36 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 2: And so, you know, I don't want to go on 37 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 2: and on, but he had a he had a really 38 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 2: rough start to the season, and he's been, like I said, 39 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 2: really good recently, and I think there's even more upside there, 40 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 2: especially if he can go to a better, better situation. 41 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 2: And just to throw a couple of names out there 42 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 2: that I thought might be in the price range for him. 43 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 2: I listed Austin Hayes, Marcella Meyer, although he just got hurt, 44 00:01:56,960 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: so put a pin in him. Rhyan O'Hearn, your boy, 45 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 2: Spencer Steeer, Addison Barger or Yandy Diz. What do you 46 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 2: think about those? 47 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: I think i'd keep you. I didn't catch every name 48 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: you said, honestly, but I think Yandy Diaz I'd rather 49 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 1: have him than Cabrera. But I like Cabrera as a 50 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: target in general. I think you made a good point. 51 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 1: We just talked on part one of the cycles Luke 52 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:20,519 Speaker 1: with George Bistol of roode World, and we talked a 53 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 1: little bit about Cabrera as a real life trade target 54 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 1: and a guy who could really benefit from moving, Like 55 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: you say, no offense to the Marlins, you know, offence 56 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: to the Marlins, Like it'd be great to see him 57 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: move somewhere else. So I think I think it's a 58 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:34,359 Speaker 1: good Who are some of the other names you threw 59 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 1: out besides Yandy you said Ryan O'Hearn, I would do that. 60 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 2: Washton Hayes, Spencer Steere. 61 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 1: I think I would move Hayes if I had outfield depth, 62 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: because he's a guy that gets banged up a lot 63 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: and tends to be run hot and cold. So I'd 64 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: be willing to move him if I had. You know, 65 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: if I wasn't like desperate at the position, like I said, 66 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:56,359 Speaker 1: I wouldn't move Yandy. I would move O'Hearn. So yeah, 67 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 1: I think those are something like kind of the right 68 00:02:57,680 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 1: names to be thinking about. 69 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 2: Though, awesome about you. 70 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: My favorite target is Dylan sees as somebody that actually 71 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 1: am trying to trade four in a league and have 72 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 1: not successfully done it yet. But he's one of those 73 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 1: guys that has been disappointing this year and disappointing two 74 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 1: of the last three years, but very consistently does seem 75 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 1: to have these underlying metrics that would suggest he is 76 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: better than what the actual production and results have been. 77 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: You know, you're getting the strike cuts right like that 78 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: that hasn't changed at all. Eighty eight percent island strike 79 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: cup percent is just under thirty percent strike out rate. 80 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: That's obviously excellent. If you look at the walk rate, 81 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: it's actually just a hair off his career low. Not 82 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 1: that it's a low number, but it's lower than it 83 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: has been in some of these other seasons. Combining that 84 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 1: with the really high strike cut rate is appealing to me, 85 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: the expected RA, and again this has been the case 86 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: in other years, is over a full run lower than 87 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: his actually is. ERA is four five nine. His expected 88 00:03:57,440 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: ERA is three four eight, and that's in line with 89 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: like his ex FIP is three point thirty, his actual 90 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 1: FIP is three forty nine. Like these numbers all are 91 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 1: kind of uniformly suggesting that this should be lower. It's 92 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: the highest home run to fly ball rate since twenty 93 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 1: twenty for him. It's not like insanely high, but it 94 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 1: is higher, which isn't you know, helping a lot of 95 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 1: this case. The backup against him is pretty high this 96 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: year compared to last year at least, so again this 97 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: is one where it almost feels weird to make the 98 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,880 Speaker 1: case for it based on the underlying numbers, because that's 99 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: been a consistent theme for him in his career. But 100 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: it's really hard for me to look away a guy 101 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: who right now is on a good team that's going 102 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,679 Speaker 1: to win games and could also get traded as somebody 103 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: that applies to who strikes out so many batters, whose 104 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: numbers say that he should be having more success than 105 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 1: he does. And it's one of those things where I 106 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: didn't draft him a lot this year, and yet I 107 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 1: still feel like I have to say I can't quit 108 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:56,360 Speaker 1: Dylan cease. And I know you are in the position 109 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 1: of trading him away in a lot of places because 110 00:04:57,960 --> 00:04:58,920 Speaker 1: you did draft him this year. 111 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 2: Yeah, And as you were talking talk, and I was 112 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 2: thinking back to some of our preseason shows, and I 113 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 2: kind of I remember bringing up Delancey's more than once 114 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 2: and my main talking point was, I pretty much know 115 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 2: what I'm going to get out of Dellancy's mid threes 116 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 2: ZR and two inch strikeouts, and that's what I want. 117 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 2: And I'm getting the two un of strikeouts, but I'm 118 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 2: getting a mid four ZRA, which is not what I wanted. 119 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 2: I wanted to mid threes ZR. But like you said, uh, 120 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 2: it's interesting that, like like you said, fip X, FIPZIERRA, 121 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: and x CRA, they're all like within a few points 122 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 2: of each other. And it's it's, you know, those metrics 123 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 2: use different formulas to to generate their numbers, and so 124 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 2: it's interesting that despite using those, you know, different formulas, 125 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:41,039 Speaker 2: they're all very close to each other and all, you know, 126 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,359 Speaker 2: pointing to significantly better outcomes than what its actual era 127 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 2: is showing. 128 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, and even aside from the ratio numbers, like you're 129 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 1: going to get two hundred strikeouts by the end of 130 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 1: the season for him, So like I, if that's you 131 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: could just straight up the eat strikeouts and say, I'm 132 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: hoping the era gets better. But if I'm in a 133 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 1: points leg where the strikeouts really matter, or if I 134 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: really need them to catch up in the category, and 135 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 1: rote it like, I think it's worth it even for that, 136 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: let alone building in the you know, statistically probable improvement 137 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: of the era, but you, of course, you never know. 138 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 1: It's no guarantee. All right, let's go to the guys 139 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 1: that we're looking to get rid of. I'll let you 140 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 1: go first again. Who do you have? 141 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:26,280 Speaker 2: So the player that I wrote up for the player 142 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,599 Speaker 2: I'm looking to sell is Brandon Woodruff, And like Edward Carberra, 143 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 2: it's a pretty simple, simple formula. For me, it's he 144 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 2: started the year I'm you know, injured. He's been on 145 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 2: the longest rehab assignment of all time, and a consistent 146 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 2: theme throughout his rehab assignment is that his velocity was 147 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 2: way down and he's back now. Velocity is still down, 148 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 2: but the results have been excellent, And so I kind 149 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 2: of don't don't know what to make of him. My 150 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 2: theory is that another shoe is going to drop soon 151 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 2: because we were only as you know, as of this recording, 152 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,039 Speaker 2: we've only gotten three appearances at him, and they've all 153 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 2: been really good. But the concern is the diff in 154 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 2: vel velocity. In twenty twenty three is four symer averaged 155 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 2: nearly ninety six miles an hour. Now it's a hair 156 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 2: under ninety three. And in nineteen ninety five, a ninety 157 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 2: three mile an hour fastball is great. In twenty twenty 158 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 2: five is actually below average. And so while he's he's 159 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 2: mixing a new cutter, which is I think in some 160 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 2: ways helping him because he's he's leading with his fastball 161 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 2: but mixing in the cutter. The problem is the cutter 162 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 2: is getting hit pretty hard. It's got like a six 163 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 2: sixty seven batting average against when I looked at it, 164 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 2: and the velocity of that is even lower. It's hovering 165 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 2: around eighty nine miles an hour. And so while I'm 166 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 2: a Brandon Woodriff fan and he's been really good since 167 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 2: he's returning, I think we're dealing we might be dealing 168 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 2: with a small sample size situation and that the future 169 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 2: results are going to be much much worse, and so 170 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 2: I'm looking to sell high. If I have Brandon Woodriff 171 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 2: and see, you know who I can acquire. 172 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 1: The velocity is definitely concerning. I'm glad you brought up 173 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 1: up because he has been better than I expected in 174 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: these first few starts. So I think he's somebody that 175 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 1: you can convince a manager in your league to say, look, 176 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: Brandon Woodriff was back, this is great, and try and 177 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 1: trade them away. I think it's a great call. I 178 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 1: really struggled to come up with a good sell target 179 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: on my own, so I did something that I used 180 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: to do a lot last year, which is I pulled 181 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: up that article that you referenced that we had on 182 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: the site, and I picked out my favorite one that 183 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: somebody had selected in the article. And I want to 184 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 1: kind of put a shine on the site and tell 185 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 1: everybody that she could read the whole article and see 186 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 1: kind of all the breakdowns of these guys. I also considered, 187 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:36,839 Speaker 1: since I got to the sheet before you putting Edward 188 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: Cabrera and Brandon Woodruff, since those who you picked, and 189 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 1: just taking him from you. I did not do that, 190 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 1: but Brandon Meyers from Rasball was one of the contributors 191 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: to this article this week on fantasypros dot com, and 192 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 1: he picked Paul Skeins, and I thought it was a 193 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: really great case. If you look at the last thirty days, 194 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: he's sp thirty eight, even with his great era and 195 00:08:56,679 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: whip strikeout and all that. Because he plays with the Pirates, 196 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 1: he's not going to win games. And it's not just 197 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:04,440 Speaker 1: the fact that you're not going to get a lot 198 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 1: of wins with the Pirates, it's that they have also 199 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 1: announced they are going to put a limit on his workload, 200 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: which makes sense given that they're not competing for anything. 201 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: They said he's not gonna misstarts, but they're going to 202 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: manage each start. I don't like the sound of that 203 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 1: in terms of trying to get more quality starts out 204 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,679 Speaker 1: of him, just general innings to rack up the you know, 205 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: ratio help or the you know, just getting more strikeouts. 206 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: And the key thing is he's Paul Skeens, so you 207 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: can get something really valuable for him. I would think 208 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: it's not like you're saying, hey, this is a guy 209 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 1: that everything I just described applies to, and he doesn't 210 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: also have a ton of name value, So like, what 211 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: are you what are you going to get for him? 212 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: People will say, oh, Paul Skiens the best picture in 213 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: baseball or second best pind Schooble, Like, yes, of course, 214 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: I'd love to have that on my team. He's bound 215 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 1: to regress to start getting more wins, right, he has 216 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 1: won wins since May. Like, this is not gonna go 217 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: well in terms of fantasy for a as good as 218 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 1: he is in real life. He hasn't thrown ninety pitches 219 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,440 Speaker 1: in a game since June nineteenth. I mean, like, again, 220 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: I want to give credit to Brandon who wrote the 221 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 1: stuff in the article. This was his case, and I 222 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: just think it's a really compelling one that I strongly 223 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: agree with. So I wanted to kind of sell that 224 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 1: He lists, you know, some other options if you don't 225 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: want to move Skans. I think moving Skeins is a 226 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: great call. Like I, he puts it, well, it's a 227 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: smart move that's hard to make, but at the end 228 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: of the day, it is a smart move. So like, I, 229 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: what do you think about moving a guy as kind 230 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: of big time as Skeens? Because I love the idea. 231 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I liked the idea and we talked about it 232 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 2: a little bit last year because the Pirates did the 233 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 2: same thing last year. They slow played him in the 234 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 2: second half, and they you know, they pulled him from 235 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 2: starts early. They they they said, you know, he's going 236 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 2: to have an innings limit, and we're basically going to 237 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:47,840 Speaker 2: shut him down. And last year is because he was 238 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 2: coming in without a ton of innings under his belt, 239 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,200 Speaker 2: and he ended up throwing one hundred and thirty three 240 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 2: innings at the major league level, plus twenty seven more 241 00:10:57,800 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: in the minors. This year, he's already out one twenty 242 00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 2: seven and you know, three weeks into July, and so 243 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 2: I don't know how much, like how many more innings 244 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 2: they're going to let him go. So we're gonna start 245 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 2: like we're probably gonna start seeing him get pulled in 246 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 2: the fourth inning of games or you know, like five 247 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 2: innings max. We're not going to see him pitch deep 248 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,920 Speaker 2: into games because the Pirates are nothing to play for. 249 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 2: He's their most valuable player by a lot, and they're gonna, 250 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: you know, in their mind, protect him and try to 251 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 2: limit the innings. And so not only is he not 252 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 2: going to get winsdasy on the Pirates, he might not 253 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 2: even throw five innings and at that point, like you're 254 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 2: not getting as many strikeouts, and then he really becomes 255 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 2: a less valuable piece. And so if you are going 256 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 2: to trade him, you probably need to do it now, 257 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:38,640 Speaker 2: not only because the like the trade deadlines are coming 258 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:41,680 Speaker 2: up in leagues, but also if he comes out and 259 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 2: then the next two starts and only throws four four innings, 260 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 2: his value is going to go down and you're not 261 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 2: going to get as much in return for him. So 262 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 2: I think if you are going to trade him, you 263 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:49,440 Speaker 2: have to do it soon. 264 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 1: If you're struggling with lineup decisions, our lineup assistant recommends 265 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 1: optimal lineup suggestions to maximize your team's performance each day 266 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 1: or week. Just think your league for tailored guidance. Space 267 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 1: on your roster in league settings, download the Fantasy Baseball 268 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 1: My Playbook app or visit Fantasypros dot com slash MLB 269 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:09,319 Speaker 1: My Playbook to set your winning lineup today. Let's go 270 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: to Waivers Central here. I'll go first on this one. 271 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: We're gonna do a hitter and picture each My favorite 272 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 1: hitter is somebody that has been mentioned in this section 273 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 1: of the show repeatedly this year, but I wanted to 274 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: highlight him again because he continues to be under rostered 275 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 1: Matt Shaw of the Chicago Cubs, you know, second third 276 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: and short eligible, depending on the site you're on. He is. 277 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: This has actually gone up a little since I wrote 278 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: down in the sheets. I'm looking at the updated one. 279 00:12:34,640 --> 00:12:38,199 Speaker 1: He's now twenty two percent rostered on Yahoo, fifteen percent 280 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: roster on ESPN. I had written down forty seven percent 281 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:43,600 Speaker 1: on CBS. I didn't look at the updated on that one, 282 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: but under fifty percent there as of last night. So 283 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 1: a guy who continues to be pretty available. He's on 284 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 1: a bit of a power search. He has three home 285 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: runs in his last five games. He's somebody who has 286 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: given you sole on bases during the season. He has 287 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 1: two of those in his last six games as well, 288 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 1: So that's continued, you know, getting hotter with the batting average. 289 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 1: He's a good hitter that a lot of us really 290 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:08,200 Speaker 1: liked before the season and had higher expectations for that 291 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 1: did not live up to them early. And he has 292 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,200 Speaker 1: gone on slumps. I mean, his batting average for the 293 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: season is due twenty one, but again it's been better lately, 294 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 1: and it just seems like he is a jut we 295 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:20,560 Speaker 1: talked about this with George in rounding the bases this week, 296 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: how the gap between the minor leagues and the major 297 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: leagues is as wide as it's ever been. We've talked 298 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,960 Speaker 1: about it, you and I in previous episodes. So he 299 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: has played sixty nine games this season. I think it's 300 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 1: totally reasonable to expect that adjustments are being made. And 301 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: three of the five homers he's hit this season have 302 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: come in the last week. So I'm kind of viewing 303 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 1: that as something that I think is going to He's 304 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,199 Speaker 1: not gonna keep hitnying three homers every five days, but 305 00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: I think it's going to continue to just see that 306 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: he has progressed a bit. And I'm not saying he's 307 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,439 Speaker 1: a league winner. I feel like I say this every 308 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 1: week with this section, but I'm not saying he's a 309 00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 1: league winner. But he is way too under rostered right now. 310 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 2: I don't know if I can get in on it. 311 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:57,839 Speaker 2: I don't know if I can. I can be hurt 312 00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 2: by Matt Shaw again. He's certainly so many times already 313 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 2: this year. You know, we talked about him in the preseason. 314 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:05,280 Speaker 2: I know Kelly was very high on Mattshalk going in 315 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 2: the season. I know other smart fantasy analysts like George, 316 00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 2: like Mattshaw, but it's just been so inconsistent. And I 317 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 2: get the point that you know, we're talking about these hitters, 318 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 2: they've never seen pitching like this before. They struggle, and 319 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 2: the good ones kind of turned around. I just don't 320 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: know if he's going to turn around enough. Is it 321 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 2: is exciting that he's hit the three home runs, still 322 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 2: batting two seventeen in July after batting one ninety three 323 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 2: in June, And so I still have concerns that you know, 324 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 2: he's just going to go cold again, and. 325 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 1: You know he's going to be do you think don't 326 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:40,640 Speaker 1: you think twenty two percent rostered is just too low? 327 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 2: Maybe? I don't know. 328 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: I think it is. I think a roster for me, 329 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: I think it's too low, and third base is a 330 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: tough spot to fill. I think he should I think 331 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: he should be. Just the upside and the possibility that 332 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: he is kind of taking a step forward and having 333 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 1: adjusted is enough for me to say that never should 334 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 1: be closer to fifty percent. I think's two percent is 335 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 1: way too low. Yeah. 336 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 2: The other bummer there is that he's batting ninth in 337 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 2: the lineup. He's still burned and bottom in the lineup, 338 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 2: and he had he did just face three lefties in 339 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 2: a row, and so I worry when he gets back 340 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 2: to a more righty heavy schedule. Still betting ninth. You know, 341 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 2: I worry about what we're going to see there, But 342 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 2: I hope you're right. I like Matt Shaw. 343 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 1: Well, listen, let's go to your player. You can't sit 344 00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: here and talk about like I'm tired of getting burned 345 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:28,000 Speaker 1: by players and then throw out the name you're throwing out. 346 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 2: Oh man, let's skip mine. I forgot about who I pick. 347 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 1: Well, we could go quickly on it because we don't 348 00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 1: have a ton of time speaking. 349 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 2: Good players who have burned you many times? How about 350 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,800 Speaker 2: Royce Lewis? Can I interest you in any Royce Lewis. 351 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 2: He's he's more roster than Matt Shaw. He's under fifty 352 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 2: percent in most leagues, so in YAHOO under fifty percent, 353 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 2: slightly over in CBS. But he's he's a player that 354 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 2: we've seen the immense talent, but he's just never on 355 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 2: the field. He's always hurt and he's also writing or 356 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 2: writing heater right now, I forget I wrote a stat down. 357 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 2: If I can pull it up, we can go quick. 358 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 2: I hate three home runs in four games, so he's 359 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 2: also heating same amount of home runs in one less 360 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 2: game than one fewer game, one less game, one fewer game. 361 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: It is one, but I'm comparing it to match SHOs. 362 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 2: I think it is one. I think it's fewer. It's right, 363 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 2: You're right, it's fewer. 364 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: It's fewer if you can count it individually, it's less 365 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: if it's like water or air, like some of you 366 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 1: can't count individually. 367 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 2: Okay, So I always une. 368 00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: Little grammar lesson for you. 369 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I always use the grammar lesson. I'm like, 370 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 2: if you if you're like directly comparing, then it's less. 371 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: At trivia last night, one of the rounds of reference 372 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: to jarend and I was like, that's a that's a 373 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: deep cut for grammar. If you remember from like high 374 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 1: school English, is it? I did remember, but like the 375 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: first time I was sitting with that Trivia was like, 376 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:47,720 Speaker 1: what on earth is a Jerrand. 377 00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 2: We'll get into that next, But yeah, it's really we 378 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 2: don't have to spend a lot of time. 379 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 1: You know. 380 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 2: Royce Lewis he can be really good. When he's really good. 381 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 2: If he's on the field, he's been really hurt a lot, 382 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 2: and even when he came back he was not very good. 383 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,120 Speaker 2: But he's also heating up. So even if you pick 384 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 2: him up and stash him, I think he's someone you 385 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 2: should pick up. And again, like you said, third base 386 00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 2: very shallow. 387 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: Position, so s wrap us up quickly with your pitcher. 388 00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 2: Sure, So, Quinn Priester is a He's been pitching really well. 389 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 2: He actually does have a little bit more strikeout upside. 390 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,120 Speaker 2: He's been really good since June. One ninety eight ERA 391 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 2: in June, three point zero four ERA in July, and 392 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,680 Speaker 2: a one point three eight ERA to start the second half. 393 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 2: Only thirteen innings, so small sample size, but he's been 394 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 2: really good and since June more than a strikeout reinnning, 395 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,119 Speaker 2: which is big for him because you know, not necessarily 396 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:40,199 Speaker 2: the biggest strikeout guy only has if I'm looking at 397 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 2: the right page here, only has eighty six strikeouts in 398 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 2: one hundred and one innings. But a lot of that's 399 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 2: probam his kind of slow start, and like I said, 400 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 2: sent June more than a strike up reinning and he 401 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 2: I don't think he's a two star pitcher this week, 402 00:17:53,840 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 2: but oh you know what, I think he actually has 403 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 2: a matchup against the Cubs this week. I think that 404 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 2: was going to be the one down I wanted to 405 00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 2: bring up. Let me just double check that that is correct. Yeah, 406 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:05,879 Speaker 2: he has the matchup against the Cup, So that's the 407 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 2: one caveat is that he has a tough matchup this week. 408 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 2: But I still think he's worth rostering. 409 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 1: I picked him up not not planning to start him 410 00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: this upcoming week, but just because I wanted to kind 411 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:16,720 Speaker 1: of take the swing on him for the stretch run. 412 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I do it all right. 413 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 1: You want to read through these deeply targets quickly. By 414 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:23,239 Speaker 1: the way, I know people don't like when I talk 415 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:24,720 Speaker 1: about quickly. I just have a heart out because I 416 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:26,440 Speaker 1: have to go tape something else. So that's why we're 417 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 1: kind of moving a little quicker here. It's not because 418 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: we don't want to keep talking more baseball, but quickly 419 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 1: give us your deep league targets. 420 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, they really don't like when you say that. So yeah, yeah, 421 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 2: so deep league targets. And I did want to mention 422 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 2: like at this part of the year with like waivers, 423 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 2: like I kind of mentioned before we were chatting, like 424 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 2: it can be just a crapshoot. Out there, and so 425 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,679 Speaker 2: a lot of these targets are almost, you know, deeply 426 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 2: targets by default. But Colson Montgomery is one. He's younger prospect, 427 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 2: he's been playing well. Slade CHACONI I think his name CHACONI. 428 00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: I'll have to check that I'm not the pronunciation guy. 429 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:01,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Chris Paddock. So they're pretty deep name guys. 430 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 2: But Montgomery and Teal are pretty highly talented prospects, especially 431 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 2: in two catcher leaks. For Kyle Teale, he just hit 432 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:07,760 Speaker 2: his first home run the other day. 433 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 1: All right, we'll wrap things up there. Be sure to 434 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 1: check out our conversation with George Bissel from Rotal World 435 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,320 Speaker 1: that was in part one for rounding the bases this week, 436 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,600 Speaker 1: and also be sure to stick around for Part three, 437 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 1: where we talk about some pitching streamers and our two 438 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: start pitcher competition for Mayor. I'm Ryan Warman. Thanks for 439 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,119 Speaker 1: tuning in. We'll see you next time. Thanks for listening 440 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball Podcast. If you love 441 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 1: the show, the best freeway to support us is by 442 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:34,439 Speaker 1: leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 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