1 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of 3 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. Monday is Matt Parupt. You guys 4 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 2: can follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. 5 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by Omas stakes dot com, 6 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 2: slash Juice the customized url. You're going to go there 7 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 2: to get your subscription to Omas Steaks dot com, olmah 8 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 2: Steaks dot com. 9 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: Slash Juice that. 10 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 2: Will get you ten percent off your first purchase and 11 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 2: free burgers for life at olmos stakes dot com. Slash 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 2: Juice on money back satisfaction guarantee at almost steaks dot com. 13 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: Slash Juice. 14 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 2: All right, one and three day yesterday, fun day though, tough, 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 2: but fun because I mean the under the first app 16 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 2: under missed by a point. 17 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: And a half. 18 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,279 Speaker 2: That was annoying. The only bet really I got dead 19 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 2: wrong was CSU. That wasn't very good. They didn't perform 20 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 2: very well there, but we got the Samford cover and win. 21 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 2: But they covered. They lost by five, so they covered 22 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: the seven there on that, so that was good. To 23 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 2: get a one in three day. Now an zero and 24 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 2: four days, so four and oho into one and three. 25 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 2: Let's see what we do here coming up for today, 26 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:19,400 Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you this right now, I'm exhausted. I 27 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 2: did a show from a casino on the strip, and 28 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: so like, I'm gonna give you my thoughts, but I'm 29 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 2: not going to go really heavily in depth here tonight. 30 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 2: On the picks, you can do what you want with them. 31 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 2: You can fade or follow them. These are bets I've made, 32 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 2: bets I like going into tomorrow. Remember we have Houston 33 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 2: in the first half minus fifteen up against Longwood. We 34 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: laid that about three days ago. Okay, so that BET's 35 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 2: already locked in. I got three more plates to give 36 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: you guys coming up here for a Friday. No NBA 37 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: player props. I'm not watching NBA basketball at all. I 38 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,919 Speaker 2: haven't seen a game in like four days in the NBA. 39 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: I'm not betting hockey right now. It's just not what 40 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: I'm watching. So I'm gonna be focused on college basketball 41 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 2: for sure. And man, these in game you need to 42 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 2: be in game betting. If you're not in game wagering, 43 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 2: You've got to, Okay, you just have to. There's too 44 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 2: many great opportunities, too many big numbers to take. Taking 45 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 2: Sanford plus fourteen, I laid BYU mis three. I lost 46 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,880 Speaker 2: that one. But they're just just the volatility in these games, 47 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 2: it's incredible. So get those apps ready, line them up, 48 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: get them ready, and fire away on your bets because 49 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 2: in game, even if you you bet in pre you 50 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 2: got in game opportunities right to kind of come in good. 51 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: So far on the futures, North Carolina, Creighton, Arizona all win. 52 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 2: We have Marquette coming up here today. Uh oh, more 53 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 2: on that here in a second. We've got Tennessee they 54 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 2: won too, though they killed. 55 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: They were one going away. That was good. 56 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 2: Iowa State they won, they went so day won going away, 57 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: which was good. So we've got one more here today, 58 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 2: right from a future perspective of blanking on the last 59 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 2: future that we've got flying around there, creating Marquette, Iowa State, Tennessee. 60 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:09,520 Speaker 1: It's late. I'm tired. 61 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 2: Two other future bets I'm forgetting, but we're so far, 62 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 2: so good. They're all alive, which is which is a 63 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 2: good thing. Before I get to the picks for today, 64 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 2: let me tell you guys about the opportunity to win 65 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 2: a lifetime subscription to Betting Pros in the Betting Pros 66 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 2: app the contents will take place in the new NTAA 67 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 2: tournament group in the Betting Pros app an exclusive leaderboard 68 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 2: to stead up at track performance and showcase the bets 69 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 2: being placed. In addition to the bragging rights, the top 70 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: five users in the ROI on. 71 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: The leaderboard return on investment We'll win prizes. 72 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 2: First place is a lifetime premium subscription to Betting Pros 73 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 2: and Fantasy Pros. Second place through fifth place is a 74 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 2: one year premium subscription to Betting Pros and Fantasy Pros. 75 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 2: To enter, very easy, download the Betting Pros app. Go 76 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 2: to Bettingpros dot com slash app. To get it, go 77 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 2: to Bettingpros dot com slash NC double A, click on 78 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 2: the button to join the group. Either log your NSUAA 79 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 2: bets in the app or synk it with your bets 80 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: to use the app easily. Approach either approach for you. 81 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 2: Tracking your bets will count. Submit a minimum of ten bets. 82 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: During the tournament. 83 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 2: For the nt double A tournaments to enter and be qualified, 84 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 2: monitor a leaderboard he you're performing up against the rest 85 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 2: of the group in the tournament. To recap, download the 86 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 2: Betting prosapp and visit Bettingpros dot com slash NC double 87 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: A to join the group and to make your picks. Okay, 88 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 2: so I may sound a little different. I got a 89 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,919 Speaker 2: different light, only have one light. A ton of the 90 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 2: equipment is all down at Resorts roll. We're back there 91 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 2: tomorrow doing that another live show. So I apologize to 92 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 2: a sound or I look a little bit different today. 93 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 2: We'll go back to the normal thing here in just 94 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 2: one second. All right, I mentioned the Gonzaga, sorry, mentioned 95 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 2: the Marquette future. They've got Grand Canyon at plus five. 96 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 1: And a half. Oh boy, so Marquette is a really 97 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:06,239 Speaker 1: good team. 98 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,720 Speaker 2: But even if Tyler Kohleik plays, we don't really know 99 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 2: what Tyler Kok's gonna look like. 100 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: Okay, he hasn't played. 101 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 2: In a while, abd him injury, Like, I don't know. 102 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 2: I made the joke that I thought like they lied 103 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 2: to the committee that he was gonna play due to 104 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:25,039 Speaker 2: getting a better seed. This is, according to Ken Palm, 105 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 2: a six point win for I'm sorry, I'm confusing my games. Sorry, 106 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 2: hold on, let's go to Grand Canyon. We're not gonna work. 107 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. 108 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 2: Saint Mary's not Grand Canyon Marquette, sorry, Greg Canyon. 109 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 1: Saint Mary's told you it's very late. I'm very tired. 110 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:42,159 Speaker 2: Grand Canyon plus five and a half again Saint Mary's. 111 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:42,520 Speaker 1: Okay. 112 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 2: So here's the thing with Grand Canyon. They are extremely experienced. 113 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 2: They've been in the tournament three or four years. I've 114 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 2: watched them play here in in Vegas a couple of times. 115 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 2: They're a ball of fun. They're experienced, they are good, 116 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 2: they are long, and they can run and they can 117 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 2: score with anybody. This is going to be one of 118 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 2: those games where if Saint Mary's is not one hundred 119 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 2: percent locked in and not. 120 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 1: That they would take it in easily. But this is 121 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: a four point win. 122 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 2: According to Kempong the numbers plus five and a half. 123 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 2: Grand Canyon has won a ton of basketball games this year. 124 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 2: They're twenty nine to four. The four losses were to 125 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 2: South Carolina, Seattle, Charlton State, and Albilene Christian all on 126 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,919 Speaker 2: the road, one semi home I guess neutral site with 127 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 2: South Carolina. But three losses since the turn of the 128 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 2: year have all been on the road. They've won every 129 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 2: of the home game, they've won every neutral site game. 130 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:45,920 Speaker 2: Now you might say, Matt, you know their schedule strength 131 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 2: is not that great, but frankly, they just know how 132 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 2: to win, and teams that get to the dance just 133 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 2: know how to win are a pain in the neck. 134 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:57,840 Speaker 2: They're going to be up in your business. They're going 135 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 2: to be forcing you to play this tempo. Now that 136 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 2: normally is Saint Mary's bag. Okay, Saint Mary's normally is 137 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 2: the one who's going to force you to play their tempo. 138 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 2: But Grand Canyon defensively effective field goal percentage ninth Saint 139 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 2: Mary's third two heavy defensive oriented teams. 140 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: On offense. 141 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 2: Grand Canyon is sixtieth inefficiency offensively and one hundred and 142 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 2: second in field goal percentage. For Saint Mary's their forty 143 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 2: second inefficiency and sixty six in effective. 144 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: Field goal percentage. 145 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:31,559 Speaker 2: Saint Mary's does not hit their free throws sixty seven 146 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 2: point four percent. 147 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: We saw Drake last night. Drake lost that game. That 148 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: was the game. I was likek enough, Drake. 149 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 2: Drake lost that game because they went I think it 150 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 2: was five for fourteen from the foul line in the 151 00:07:43,800 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 2: second half or in the game. That's pathetic, Like you 152 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 2: can't do that. You can't lead them many points on 153 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 2: the on the board. I mean, you can miss two 154 00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 2: or three, but you can't miss like that many free throws. 155 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 2: That's just absolutely unacceptable for Drake, and Saint Mary's doesn't 156 00:07:56,440 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 2: hit their free throws. Grand Canyon does seventy five percent shooting. 157 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 2: Grand Canyon gets forty eight point four percent of their 158 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 2: points inside the arc and just twenty six point nine 159 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 2: percent of their points outside the arc. Saint mary gets 160 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 2: thirty one percent of their points outside the ark, and 161 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 2: they shoot thirty five percent from three. That's ninety third 162 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 2: best in college basketball. Grand Canyan doesn't shoot a ton 163 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 2: of threes, but they get to the rim a lot 164 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 2: fifty two percent more than fifty percent shooting inside the 165 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 2: inside the arc ninety fifth Saint Mary's. 166 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 1: It's hard to score on. 167 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 2: I'm not debating that, but I really like Grand Canyon's 168 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 2: opportunity here to keep this game closed. I think the 169 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 2: under is very much in play in this game in 170 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 2: terms of how it's going to be slowed down. I 171 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 2: think you're going to see Grand Canyon push tempo. I 172 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 2: think this game comes down to a last second possession. 173 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 2: And I mean I think this is a tough match 174 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 2: up here. I mean this is a tough matchup If 175 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 2: GCU can force tempo and make Saint Mary's play their tempo. 176 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 2: They can win this game out right, It's gonna be 177 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 2: really fun to watch this. 178 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the five and a half points. 179 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:06,840 Speaker 2: I like Grand Canyon plus five and a half here 180 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 2: up against a Saint Mary's team that look, yes, they 181 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 2: lost the Mountain West Conference or so sorry, they won 182 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: the Mountain West Conference title by beating in Zaga, shocking everybody. 183 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 1: Was that their super Bowl? Like, here's the tournament. Grand Canyon. 184 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:25,079 Speaker 2: They might I'm not saying they're overlooking them, but they 185 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:28,079 Speaker 2: might be kind of overlooking them. Grand Canyan plus five 186 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units bet number two, 187 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 2: Western Kentucky. This is the Marquette play. Okay, so Marquette. 188 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:44,040 Speaker 2: If Tyler Kolloch plays, what do they look like? I 189 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 2: think he has to get himself back into this. And 190 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:51,719 Speaker 2: this is a fourteen point win according to Ken Pom 191 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 2: numbers fourteen and a half. It was fifteen. No, it's 192 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 2: fourteen and a half. Western Kentucky. I had head coach 193 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 2: Steve Lottz of Western Kentucky on my other show at 194 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 2: the BOSTONI verse of the book. I've known coach Lutz 195 00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 2: for a long time. He told us that they want 196 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 2: to shoot the basketball within fifteen seconds, sorry, within twelve 197 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:11,319 Speaker 2: seconds of the shot clock. 198 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 1: Okay. 199 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 2: Tempo wise, they are the number one fastest tempo team 200 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 2: in college basketball. They have the fourth fastest average possession 201 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 2: time in college basketball. They do not want to wait. 202 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 2: They want to run, run, run, Okay, telling you right now, 203 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 2: here's the thing with this game, and here's the thing 204 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 2: that I think we have to take a long, hard 205 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:42,079 Speaker 2: look at for this game. The total for this game 206 00:10:43,080 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 2: and Marquette's gonna have to want to run this is 207 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 2: one fifty eight and a half. Does Marquette want to run? 208 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 2: That's a large, large question. They may be forced into it, 209 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 2: They may have no choice but to have to run. 210 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 2: But Western Kentucky was only nine to ten to the 211 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 2: over this year on the road, seven and eleven for Marquette. 212 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 2: One fifty eight and a half seems high. Just don't 213 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,199 Speaker 2: think we can jump in on this number and feel 214 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,079 Speaker 2: confident with it, just because I think Marquette might try 215 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 2: to try to play defense and keep the game low. 216 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:24,080 Speaker 2: But if we go under, were going a slower tempo, 217 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 2: that means Marquette's not going to kill Western Kentucky. So 218 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 2: if I lean towards the under in the game and 219 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 2: go all right, I think Marquezes can take the air 220 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 2: out of the ball and not let anyone run and 221 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,079 Speaker 2: not try to allow the tempo to be established by 222 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 2: Grand Canyon. If I think that it's dogging under, it's 223 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 2: a correlated play. 224 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 1: It's dogging under, and. 225 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 2: I think that's kind of what we have to take 226 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:51,320 Speaker 2: a look at here for Western Kentucky and go all right. 227 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 2: If we think the game which opened at one fifty 228 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 2: nine has been bet down to one fifty seven and 229 00:11:57,200 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 2: a half and we actually one fifty seven at circa 230 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 2: underplay big time. Why Marquet's gonna take the air out 231 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 2: of the ball. Well, if Marquete takes the air out 232 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:07,439 Speaker 2: of the ball, I like the plus fourteen and a half. 233 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 2: I'm taking plus fourteen and a half. We just saw 234 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:13,680 Speaker 2: it with Stamford, too many points. If Marquet's gonna play slow, 235 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 2: which people are projecting them to play slow, and play 236 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 2: defense and not get into or track meet with Western Kentucky, Okay, we're. 237 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: Going plus fourteen and a half. Game goes over. 238 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 2: Frankly, plus fourteen and a half is probably good either 239 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 2: or fourteen a half's a lot of points Marquette wins. 240 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 2: But I'll take Western Kentucky at plus fourteen and a half. 241 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 2: Here it's a fourteen point win according to Ken Palm, 242 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 2: so we get a half a point there. And again, 243 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 2: I think Marquette without Tyler Kolloch being one hundred percent 244 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 2: and him being you know, how many minutes will he 245 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 2: wind up playing. He's questionable, probable is what he's been 246 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 2: upgraded to. He's probably gonna play well. Can he drive 247 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 2: in and get hit on that oblique? You comfortable, you know, 248 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:57,560 Speaker 2: backing a guy who may or may not be able 249 00:12:57,559 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 2: to take a punch, a hit, a check to the 250 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:03,559 Speaker 2: mid section. Western Kentucky is twelve and seven this year 251 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 2: ats on the road. They've covered four straight games and 252 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 2: they're seven and three over their last ten. For Marquette 253 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 2: they went nine eight and one ats on the road. 254 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 2: But Marquette without Tyler Colick, they've been okay, dcent three 255 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:20,839 Speaker 2: in three ats. 256 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: Without Tyler Coleck. Let's see what he looks. He looks like, 257 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 1: what Markette looks like. 258 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 2: I'll take the fourteen and a half points Western Kentucky 259 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 2: plus fourteen and a half for one point one units. 260 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 2: And finally, this number is off market. This is at FanDuel. 261 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 2: Texas A and M is plus one and a half 262 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 2: against Nebraska. Everybody else is at pick or minus one 263 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:41,559 Speaker 2: for the Huskers. They went first, They went ahead of 264 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:45,079 Speaker 2: the move here overnight, which is really pretty stunning. Nebraska 265 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:51,079 Speaker 2: one and a half pick at Caesar's FanDuel plus one 266 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 2: and a half for Texas A and M. Did you 267 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: know that Nebraska is ozh and seven all time in 268 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: the NAA tournament. Nebraska has never won a tournament game. 269 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 2: Everyone's going to talk about this shooting. Everyone's going to 270 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 2: be all in love here. Nebraska was five and nine 271 00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 2: straight up away from home this year five and nine. 272 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:14,679 Speaker 2: Nebraska was horrific in the Big Ten on the road. 273 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 2: They beat on the road, they beat Indiana. But other 274 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 2: than that, Northwestern loss, Illinois loss, Maryland loss, North Sorry, 275 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 2: Rutgers loss, Iowa loss, Wisconsin loss. 276 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 1: They just didn't play well away from home. 277 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 2: And I don't think you can know them as favorites 278 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 2: as favorites plus one and a half. 279 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 1: I mean, this is off market. 280 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:44,360 Speaker 2: Everyone has Nebraska miss one Fando's at plus one and 281 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 2: a half. I'll take the extra half a point here 282 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 2: at plus one and a half. It's a one point 283 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 2: win for Nebraska according to Ken Palm, which on the 284 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 2: number is now Nebraska miss won most places, but at 285 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 2: Texas and M plus one and a half. I think 286 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 2: it's a better opportunity here. A and M was sixteen 287 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 2: and eight ATS overall, but eleven and eight away from 288 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 2: home this year ATS. Nebraska was fifteen and four ATS 289 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 2: at home, but six and eight when they were away 290 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 2: from home ATS and yes, they've covered seven in the 291 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 2: last ten games, including the neutral site game against Indiana. 292 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 2: Were the one by twenty seven, and then they lost 293 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 2: as four point dogs to Illinois lost by eleven. I 294 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 2: just think A and M in the SEC with Buzz 295 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 2: playing hard. Great coaching matchup. Buzz versus Fred is a 296 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 2: phenomenal coaching matchup. But I'm gonna take the plus one 297 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 2: and a half tex A and M plus one and 298 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,880 Speaker 2: a half for one point one units until Nebraska shows 299 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 2: they can win a tournament game. I'm not back at 300 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 2: them to win a tournament game, all right, Three bets 301 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 2: or four bets. Houston minus fifteen in the first half 302 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 2: one point one units, tex A and M plus one 303 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 2: and a half one point one units, Western Kentucky plus 304 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 2: fourteen and a half one point one units and Grand 305 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 2: Canyon plus five and a half for one point one units. 306 00:15:55,080 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 2: Like I mentioned on the podcast yesterday, not laying points, 307 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 2: not laying points in the tournament. I'm looking for dogs. 308 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 2: I'm looking for dogs to bet on. Maybe it's a 309 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 2: stupid move, Maybe all favorites are going to hit again today, 310 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 2: because favorites are pretty profitable today. But I'm taking dogs. 311 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 2: I think dogs are going to be barking, and I 312 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 2: think it's going to be a difficult for anyone laying 313 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 2: points consistently in this tournament to make any money. 314 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:19,320 Speaker 1: All Right, my name's Matt Parolt. 315 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 2: You guys have follow me across all socials at Sports 316 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 2: Talk Matt every morning Dale Juice podcast. I was being 317 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 2: brought to you by olmastakes dot com