WEBVTT - 15  ETFs to Watch in '24

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome our chillins.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Joel Webber and I'm Eric Belchernas.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a new year.

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<v Speaker 3>Eric, There's going to be some things that will happen

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<v Speaker 3>this year, no doubt, And I'm wondering what ETFs we

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<v Speaker 3>should share with our listeners to help them get ahead

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<v Speaker 3>in the year head.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, this has become an annual tradition. We at Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 4>Intelligence are tasked with writing outlooks, just like all of

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<v Speaker 4>our Stock and Bond colleagues, but we also in addition

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<v Speaker 4>to that do a listical people like listicles Joel.

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<v Speaker 3>They do you know this numbers seeking to go to

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<v Speaker 3>all together.

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<v Speaker 4>So we thought we would do this is about five

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<v Speaker 4>years ago. I think we started in what eighteen or nineteen.

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<v Speaker 4>We did nineteen ETFs for twenty nineteen, we did twenty

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<v Speaker 4>ets for twenty twenty, and today we're going to unveil

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<v Speaker 4>twenty four ETFs for twenty twenty four.

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<v Speaker 2>See how that works go by the year.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, do we actually have twenty four?

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<v Speaker 4>So in our big note we have twenty four because

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<v Speaker 4>we have Rebecca and Henry contributing from Europe and Asia.

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<v Speaker 4>But today we're just gonna give you the US version

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<v Speaker 4>so it's fifteen of the twenty four.

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<v Speaker 3>Twenty four minus nine for the year ahead, So fifteen

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<v Speaker 3>ETFs to know.

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<v Speaker 4>About the US ones, which I think our audience is

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<v Speaker 4>probably more interested in anyway. So plus some of these

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<v Speaker 4>are gonna cause a little debate. We just won't have

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<v Speaker 4>time to get through twenty four.

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<v Speaker 3>So joining us James Seifert and Athanasius, Sarah Vegas with

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<v Speaker 3>ETF analysts with OBERG intelligence, this time on trillions ETFs

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<v Speaker 3>for the year ahead. Okay, Eric, you're gonna kick it off.

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<v Speaker 3>You have a disclaimer, and then you're gonna give us

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<v Speaker 3>the first ETF to watch.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so just real quick, you know, these these are

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<v Speaker 4>not our picks for what will go up or down.

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<v Speaker 2>We don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>We don't make calls.

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<v Speaker 4>We don't make calls we're not allowed to. And frankly,

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<v Speaker 4>I think most people in the team admit none of

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<v Speaker 4>us know the future. In fact, nobody knows the future.

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<v Speaker 4>If we're we're gonna be really honest, but these are

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<v Speaker 4>ETFs that catch our attention, that we're thinking about, that

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<v Speaker 4>have tapped into some trend or some rarity that just

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<v Speaker 4>you know, gets us as if we're ETF scientists This

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<v Speaker 4>is something we obsess over a little.

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<v Speaker 1>Bit ETFs to watch, that's what.

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<v Speaker 2>That's right to watch.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, okay, My first one is the PACER US Small

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<v Speaker 4>Cap Cash Cows one hundred ETF.

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<v Speaker 1>What's that ticker, CALF.

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<v Speaker 4>So this is the baby brother of cows, which is

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<v Speaker 4>the large cap cash cow ETF. This ETF made what

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<v Speaker 4>we do is called an outliers list we do every

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<v Speaker 4>month which shows ETFs that took in way more that

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<v Speaker 4>month and flows than their average, their twelve month average.

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<v Speaker 4>So if it's more than two standard deviations above it,

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<v Speaker 4>we note it because hey, this is needs something that's happening.

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<v Speaker 4>Something's happening. CALF has made the list three times this year.

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<v Speaker 1>Huh.

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<v Speaker 4>It is really breaking out. If you look at the

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<v Speaker 4>flow chart, it looks a lot like ARC back in

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<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty when it was just coming to be. It's

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<v Speaker 4>a probably the best kind of flow chart you can have.

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<v Speaker 4>It shows totally organic growth, total grassroots interest, a pure phenomenon,

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<v Speaker 4>and I would call PACER indy, So I call this

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<v Speaker 4>the indie feel good hit of the year. And what

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<v Speaker 4>this does is it looks for cash flow yield in

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<v Speaker 4>small caps. Now, as you know large caps crushed this

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<v Speaker 4>past year. Nobody cares about small caps or anything else

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<v Speaker 4>other than like the Super seven. So this ETF basically

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<v Speaker 4>double the performance of the Russell two thousand, which is

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<v Speaker 4>this benchmark for small caps. So, in other words, it

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<v Speaker 4>picked small caps from within this universe and doubled it.

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<v Speaker 2>That is so hard to do.

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<v Speaker 4>If an active manager did, it would be like praising

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<v Speaker 4>them all day. Not only that, this beat the S

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<v Speaker 4>and P. So to think about it, a small cap

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<v Speaker 4>ETF that's picking certain stocks beat the S and P. Shocker, right,

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<v Speaker 4>That's why the flows are coming in. People are like,

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<v Speaker 4>holy moly, this thing has something special going on. Part

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<v Speaker 4>of it is in small caps there's a lot of junk,

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<v Speaker 4>but looking at cash flow yield is actually a pretty

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<v Speaker 4>brilliant way to pick out the better quality type of

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<v Speaker 4>small caps. So it's something got a quality tilt. But

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<v Speaker 4>listen to these flow numbers. By the way, it's taken

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<v Speaker 4>in cash flows for forty four months straight. It's taken

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<v Speaker 4>in flows every week this year but one, and it's

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<v Speaker 4>on a one hundred day inflow streak. These are Vanguard

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<v Speaker 4>numbers only Vanguard, and maybe Schwab can can lay numbers

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<v Speaker 4>down like this and if you look at the holders,

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<v Speaker 4>it's a lot of the big wirehouses Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo.

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<v Speaker 4>It's so hard to get into those places. So this

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<v Speaker 4>ETF defy the odds. Can it keep it going? You

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<v Speaker 4>know if small caps come back, like some analysts are saying,

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<v Speaker 4>because large caps had their year, this thing could have

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<v Speaker 4>a future.

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<v Speaker 2>It could keep actually going.

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<v Speaker 4>So and it could pass Cows, which is its big brother,

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<v Speaker 4>which is rare.

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<v Speaker 5>I think that's a great pick. I love what we said.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, small caps didn't have a great year, so

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<v Speaker 5>so to beat not having like some of that, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>large cap exposure one is really like a pretty incredible feat.

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<v Speaker 1>James, you get the mic. What's your number two?

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 7>So mine is going to be bid Oh the pro

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<v Speaker 7>shares Bitcoin Future Strategy ETF. I talk about bitcoin every year.

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<v Speaker 7>I feel like the last I think the last two

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<v Speaker 7>years I had GBTC on there.

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<v Speaker 6>But it's finally here.

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<v Speaker 7>We're probably going to get a spot bitcoin ETF in

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<v Speaker 7>early January, as Eric and I predicted a few months back.

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<v Speaker 7>So but the question like, what's going to happen to biddo?

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<v Speaker 7>This thing is well over a billion dollars, has a

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<v Speaker 7>couple of billion dollars in assets. Uh, it's done very

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<v Speaker 7>well as bitcoin has risen, but there's some concerns, Like

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<v Speaker 7>most people are if they want exposure to Bitcoin, they're

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<v Speaker 7>going to much prefer a SPOT allocation something like GPTC

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<v Speaker 7>or these other ets that are going to come to market.

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<v Speaker 6>So the question is what's going to happen to biddo.

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<v Speaker 7>I think eventually it will go to the wayside, but

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<v Speaker 7>likely at least initially it's going to be stick around.

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<v Speaker 7>But the problem is Biddo since the beginning of the

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<v Speaker 7>year has underperformed Spot by over fourteen percent because of

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<v Speaker 7>the role cost. So essentially, when you have a futures

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<v Speaker 7>etf and you have to you have to maintain exposure

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<v Speaker 7>to the underlying asset, in this case bitcoin, it's basically

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<v Speaker 7>selling a futures contract for one month and buying the

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<v Speaker 7>next month, and if that next month is more expensive,

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<v Speaker 7>you're losing money every time.

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<v Speaker 6>And as big coin goes on a bull run like.

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<v Speaker 7>It has the last couple months, that that cost goes

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<v Speaker 7>up for every month because basically the curve goes into

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<v Speaker 7>canentango without getting two into the weeds. But this means

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<v Speaker 7>that Biddo like for a long term allocation, isn't that

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<v Speaker 7>great of a strategy? Essentially, not great of as great

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<v Speaker 7>of a tool, because basically that fourteen percent is this

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<v Speaker 7>is your cost for owning this ETF as compared to

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<v Speaker 7>owning the underlying assets.

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<v Speaker 6>So it'll be interesting to see what happens.

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<v Speaker 7>I think this thing will be used heavily by the

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<v Speaker 7>market makers, at least initially when we get those Spot ETFs,

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<v Speaker 7>because they can use them to hedge positions while they're

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<v Speaker 7>creating markets in other areas. But it will be fascinating

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<v Speaker 7>to see, like what happens with the flows. Is money

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<v Speaker 7>gonna pour out of Biddo and into these Spot products?

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<v Speaker 7>Who knows, but it'll be interesting to watch.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, And it's ironic that Biddo's getting so much of

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<v Speaker 4>the attention in the sort of buy the rumor action

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<v Speaker 4>ahead of the Spot approvals. But when Spot gets approved,

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<v Speaker 4>Biddo is gonna get ignored, not totally ignored, but people

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<v Speaker 4>are gonna migrate because any ETF that uses futures, and

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<v Speaker 4>if there's one that does it physical, people like it physical.

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<v Speaker 3>So if that's a billion dollars, then we're on here

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<v Speaker 3>next year where do you guys think that's.

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<v Speaker 4>At I think biddoh, I mean I think bitcoin. Might

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<v Speaker 4>you know, after this big run up, maybe let's let's

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<v Speaker 4>call bitcoin flat. Okay, I would say loses thirty percent

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<v Speaker 4>of its asset seven hundred million, but then two years

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<v Speaker 4>were at five hundred million.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's down to under one hundred million in five.

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<v Speaker 3>Great strategy before the spot vehicle finally got approve.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Proshure has made a nice little coin on this thing,

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<v Speaker 4>and it served the purpose in the market. But yeah, advisors,

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<v Speaker 4>if generally speaking, if you put derivatives I mean futures

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<v Speaker 4>in an ETF, they're not going to buy it. The

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<v Speaker 4>gold futures ETF that used to exist closed, So you

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<v Speaker 4>know that tells you all you need to know everybody?

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<v Speaker 1>What once a physical Athanasios? What's your third?

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<v Speaker 5>So this one is MDiv, which is the first trust

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<v Speaker 5>multi asset income ETF. The reason I picked this one

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<v Speaker 5>is like income was a really high trade this year, right,

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<v Speaker 5>So like JETPY, everyone's just looking at, well, which ETFs

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<v Speaker 5>payout the most income, the highest yield. So for if

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<v Speaker 5>we diversify stocks, we diversify bonds, why not diversify your

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<v Speaker 5>income sources. And this is why I like it, because

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<v Speaker 5>it holds all different income sources, holds your hild bonds, reads, preferreds,

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<v Speaker 5>dividend stocks MLPs. So the risk was sometimes just being

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<v Speaker 5>so attached to one is obviously you're you're you're depending

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<v Speaker 5>on that one income source. So I like this approach

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<v Speaker 5>of diversifying. It has a six percent yield. Jetpy's like

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<v Speaker 5>eight point six and it's at the same place where

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<v Speaker 5>jetpy is this year, and jetpy was probably like the

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<v Speaker 5>hottest trade this year. It's a little bit expensive. It's

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<v Speaker 5>a first trust product, you know, them being cheap is

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<v Speaker 5>not really their mL but it's about sixty five basis points,

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<v Speaker 5>still pretty small ETF, but I like the notion of

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<v Speaker 5>diversifying your different sources of income.

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<v Speaker 1>That one is a little bit more boring than the

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<v Speaker 1>first two.

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<v Speaker 8>What was it taking MDV.

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<v Speaker 6>Right?

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<v Speaker 1>Eric here for it?

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know that.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's see what your next round is.

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<v Speaker 2>Back. I gotta go to the espresso machine.

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<v Speaker 1>With cash.

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<v Speaker 8>Companies that have cash, a lot of cash on hand.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, you know what, I was gonna save this

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<v Speaker 4>one for a late I gotta bring this now. Okay,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm gonna go with the global x MSCI Argentina.

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<v Speaker 1>ETF ooh bringing some heat.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so they just selected this guy who runs around

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<v Speaker 4>with a chainsaw and he calls himself an anarcho capitalist,

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<v Speaker 4>and it's fascinating every time one of these emerging market

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<v Speaker 4>countries goes from like socialism and then swing so far

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<v Speaker 4>the other way to like capitalism. The ETFs love it.

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<v Speaker 4>This thing is up twenty two percent in a month

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<v Speaker 4>since this guy got elected, the volumes up a lot,

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<v Speaker 4>and the emerging markets as a whole is flat. So

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<v Speaker 4>clearly people like this now. I always find it fascinating.

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<v Speaker 4>Can he pull it off? So there's this excitement that,

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<v Speaker 4>oh it's a more business friendly leader.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, his name is Javier Melat, Yes.

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<v Speaker 4>And he's a character and he's got a lot of attention.

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<v Speaker 4>But it's all words right.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, can he?

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<v Speaker 3>And he was elected by saying some stuff and is

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<v Speaker 3>immediately like pivoted in office.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the thing he what he's saying. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>I get it.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a great message, I guess if well, it could

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<v Speaker 4>be a good message if you live there. But words

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<v Speaker 4>to action are different. But we'll see if this works.

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<v Speaker 4>All I know is that when there's any hint of

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<v Speaker 4>a pro business leader getting elected in one of these

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<v Speaker 4>single country Emerging market ETFs, the ETF goes wild for

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<v Speaker 4>a while and we'll see if this. You know, India

0:10:36.960 --> 0:10:40.520
<v Speaker 4>happened with Moti back when he was there Brazil and

0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:42.280
<v Speaker 4>so here we're now in Argentina. So I like to

0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:45.079
<v Speaker 4>watch these because I always call single country ETFs or

0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:47.560
<v Speaker 4>sort of like the sports book of geopolitics. When you

0:10:47.600 --> 0:10:50.400
<v Speaker 4>see that, you know, people use him to like bet

0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:53.040
<v Speaker 4>on that.

0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:54.960
<v Speaker 2>So so I'm watching.

0:10:55.000 --> 0:10:57.280
<v Speaker 4>I'll be watching this next year. Can it maintain this

0:10:57.360 --> 0:10:59.959
<v Speaker 4>sort of excitement or will reality set it?

0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:03.320
<v Speaker 1>And what was that ticket for this ar GT? So

0:11:03.360 --> 0:11:14.200
<v Speaker 1>easy to remember it? All right, James, we're starting round two,

0:11:14.640 --> 0:11:14.959
<v Speaker 1>let's go.

0:11:15.800 --> 0:11:16.120
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:20.679
<v Speaker 7>So I'm gonna go with something that is gonna upset

0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:22.520
<v Speaker 7>Eric a little bit here. I actually did this one

0:11:22.559 --> 0:11:24.360
<v Speaker 7>a few years back, but I but I have to

0:11:24.360 --> 0:11:26.520
<v Speaker 7>bring it back. I'm gonna do the X trackers S

0:11:26.559 --> 0:11:28.760
<v Speaker 7>and P five hundred ESG ETF E S G E

0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:32.599
<v Speaker 7>t F s NPE. So this whole thing that the

0:11:32.640 --> 0:11:35.480
<v Speaker 7>strategy is basically don't rock the boat. So its overall

0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:38.280
<v Speaker 7>goals are to basically give you a very similar risk

0:11:38.360 --> 0:11:40.959
<v Speaker 7>return profile the S and P five hundred, but also

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:45.280
<v Speaker 7>avoid companies that are doing basically things that are against

0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:48.880
<v Speaker 7>ESG practices. So basically what it does is it decides

0:11:48.880 --> 0:11:51.600
<v Speaker 7>what ESG factors are most critical to different sectors and

0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 7>then kicks out the worst performers in each sector by

0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:57.000
<v Speaker 7>whatever those metrics are. So it's gonna be different metrics

0:11:57.040 --> 0:12:00.440
<v Speaker 7>for oil and gas companies versus tech companies. Right So,

0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:03.439
<v Speaker 7>right now it has three hundred and twenty two stocks.

0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:05.800
<v Speaker 7>The reason I'm covering is because one, I've believed for

0:12:05.840 --> 0:12:08.120
<v Speaker 7>a long time that these I'm not a huge fan

0:12:08.160 --> 0:12:10.640
<v Speaker 7>of these esgetfs that are picking bottom up based on

0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:13.960
<v Speaker 7>ESG fundamental criteria. I think you miss out on a

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.280
<v Speaker 7>lot of home runs if you do it that way.

0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:19.199
<v Speaker 7>If you're just picking solely because of some ESG metrics,

0:12:19.440 --> 0:12:22.040
<v Speaker 7>it makes sense to use ESG as an overall investment

0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:24.440
<v Speaker 7>decision in my view. But I'm just not a fan

0:12:24.520 --> 0:12:27.719
<v Speaker 7>of the bottoms up picking solely based on the ESG characteristics.

0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:29.360
<v Speaker 7>And what has this led to? So if you look

0:12:29.400 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 7>at the index, it's beating the S and P five

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:35.400
<v Speaker 7>hundred by over thirty five percent since the index was

0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:37.640
<v Speaker 7>created and back tested in two thousand five, back tested

0:12:37.640 --> 0:12:39.560
<v Speaker 7>through two thousand and five, and I know what Eric

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:41.520
<v Speaker 7>is going to say and what anyone's saying. Well, tell

0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:43.800
<v Speaker 7>me how it's done since it launched. So since it

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:47.199
<v Speaker 7>launched in twenty nineteen, it's beating SPY by eleven percent.

0:12:47.520 --> 0:12:50.760
<v Speaker 7>It charges a ten basis point fee. It's a great

0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:53.559
<v Speaker 7>story for advisors. It's not huge tracking error to the

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:55.559
<v Speaker 7>underlying asset, which a lot of advisors don't want to

0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:57.440
<v Speaker 7>talk about, and that ten percent fee is pretty cheap.

0:12:57.840 --> 0:12:59.600
<v Speaker 6>So, like I said, I don't like.

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.200
<v Speaker 7>I'm not a huge fan of these ESG ETFs that

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:06.000
<v Speaker 7>exclude high returners. A lot of them suffered heavily because

0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 7>they didn't have exposure to oil and gas. They as

0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:09.800
<v Speaker 7>they went on a run the last couple of years.

0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 6>So yeah, I'm.

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 7>Picking SMPE just because it's been performing exceptionally well and

0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:18.720
<v Speaker 7>it's one of the rare ESG cases that's doing well

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:19.040
<v Speaker 7>this year.

0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 6>It's almost a billion dollar fund.

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:22.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, No, you're right.

0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.760
<v Speaker 4>The performance has been good and I have to give

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:27.640
<v Speaker 4>that up. And it's a good ATF. You know the

0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.440
<v Speaker 4>problem is if if you're going in and you're you

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:34.760
<v Speaker 4>want quote ESG, you look at the holdings here. You've

0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 4>got Amazon potentially like worker issues. You've got Tesla that's

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:43.559
<v Speaker 4>got a whole host of issues. You've got Chevron all

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 4>the top twenty. So I mean, what are we really

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:48.280
<v Speaker 4>doing here, James? Why not just buy the stupid s

0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 4>and P five hundred? Like, what what are we really

0:13:51.040 --> 0:13:51.439
<v Speaker 4>doing here?

0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:55.520
<v Speaker 6>How changed four hundred? It's not changing the world.

0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 7>I don't agree with any of those practice those ETFs

0:13:58.040 --> 0:13:59.319
<v Speaker 7>that are bottoms up eat.

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:01.560
<v Speaker 4>In other words, you you say by this because you

0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:05.440
<v Speaker 4>might it's an outperforming potential, you could care less.

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:08.080
<v Speaker 7>And it's no because it's kicking out the absolute worst

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.040
<v Speaker 7>performers from each sector. So like there are people, there

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:14.600
<v Speaker 7>are firms in the sectors of communications or technology or

0:14:15.280 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 7>consumer discretionary that have way worse ESG scores than the

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 7>ones you named.

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 3>So it's like happening like a filtering mechanism that's actually

0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:23.400
<v Speaker 3>attempting to like isolate.

0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:29.080
<v Speaker 4>Pepsi and Cola perform the top twenty five. McDonald's doesn't

0:14:29.120 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 4>him too much. This is he's just giving you things

0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 4>to watch. I know, I know, yeah, this this is

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 4>an actual trying to get horse institution.

0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 2>After MD if we got to get get some action here.

0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:43.000
<v Speaker 3>Well, on that note, as we're on number six terrified,

0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 3>Now are you going to follow Terrified?

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 8>Okay?

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 5>I like this ticker. It's a new ETF. It's desk right,

0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:52.760
<v Speaker 5>so it's the van neck.

0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 1>Office stronger start.

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 5>Okay, what's coming off better on this one? It's the

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 5>van office and commercial re ETF?

0:14:59.120 --> 0:14:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:14:59.640 --> 0:15:01.960
<v Speaker 5>So what a of a contrarian play because it's you know,

0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 5>playing on commercial real estate. But it's a very unique ETF.

0:15:05.560 --> 0:15:09.120
<v Speaker 5>There's really nothing else like it out there because it's

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:12.720
<v Speaker 5>focusing mostly just on the commercial rates in office rates.

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:14.360
<v Speaker 8>You know, you can get.

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 5>This exposure and some of the bigger ETFs, but it

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:19.080
<v Speaker 5>won't be as pure as this one. And while the

0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:21.600
<v Speaker 5>ETF is new, if you look at the index of it,

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 5>it's below where it was even during COVID, and if

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:27.080
<v Speaker 5>you remember, like offices were like done during COVID, So

0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 5>it's like, how is this still at that level? I

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:32.600
<v Speaker 5>think if with a change in rates maybe next year.

0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:35.640
<v Speaker 5>I think it's something to watch. It's very unique, it's small,

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.080
<v Speaker 5>there's really no other ETF like it, So I like

0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:42.080
<v Speaker 5>this one as a contrarian play for next year, especially

0:15:42.120 --> 0:15:44.680
<v Speaker 5>with a push with firms going back to the office

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.040
<v Speaker 5>more right, we're seeing you know, we're seeing it everywhere.

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:49.240
<v Speaker 5>I think this one could be something to watch for

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:49.720
<v Speaker 5>next year.

0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:53.160
<v Speaker 1>I like that that's a little bit of a sleeper. Yeah.

0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's very small.

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:58.240
<v Speaker 4>It just came out as one million, so but yeah,

0:15:58.320 --> 0:16:00.760
<v Speaker 4>this could be a proxy for what you're talking about.

0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 5>We always sort of debate on the team, like getting

0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 5>back to the office or whatnot. And I think you're right,

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:05.840
<v Speaker 5>that's a good thing.

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:08.400
<v Speaker 4>Ernado is the top holding and a lot of people

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:10.320
<v Speaker 4>have used that as a proxy for Yeah.

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:11.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, okay, beginning of round three.

0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:14.880
<v Speaker 7>Eric, Hey wait wait, I want to add something real quick. Okay,

0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 7>good heah, Yeah, yeah, you talked about Vernado. I also agree,

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:20.400
<v Speaker 7>like I love this pick from Athan because commercial real

0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.640
<v Speaker 7>estate has been something that everyone's talking about. I mean

0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:26.920
<v Speaker 7>your Sister or Sibling podcast at odd Lots talks about

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 7>this constantly. So if people are looking for an ETF

0:16:29.720 --> 0:16:31.480
<v Speaker 7>to play this, this looks like a good way to

0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 7>do it.

0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 6>And you mentioned Vernado.

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 7>Fun fact, we're sitting in a Vernado owned building technically speaking,

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 7>so they're definitely estate.

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:41.520
<v Speaker 2>You're in Jersey in your house.

0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:43.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't know.

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 4>Maybe Vernardo built your house. By the way, the second

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 4>company is called kill Roy. Can anybody name the eighty

0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:51.920
<v Speaker 4>song that has the lyric Kilroy?

0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:52.720
<v Speaker 1>Oh Man?

0:16:52.800 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 2>Probably Magnus is my only hope. Yeah, producer Magnus from

0:16:56.280 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 2>the booth kill Roy?

0:16:58.040 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 1>What song? Dix?

0:16:59.360 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Mister Roboto?

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Very good?

0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:02.680
<v Speaker 2>Anyway?

0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:05.120
<v Speaker 1>All right, Round three, Eric.

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:06.520
<v Speaker 2>I love that song when I was a kid.

0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:10.600
<v Speaker 3>Okay, Round three, old, Round three, Eric, You got the

0:17:10.720 --> 0:17:12.119
<v Speaker 3>seventh ETF.

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:14.120
<v Speaker 4>To watch, yep, and I think I'll do my most

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:17.479
<v Speaker 4>boring one just because those last two were really good. Okay,

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:19.639
<v Speaker 4>fbn D, this is the fidelity.

0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:21.159
<v Speaker 1>You like how he's trying to sneak that in.

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:23.720
<v Speaker 8>Okay, you can't tell me this is more This is

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 8>more exciting than this.

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 3>I'm like me, Bond, he is going to try and

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:31.680
<v Speaker 3>sneak it past us.

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 8>You're one step.

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:35.440
<v Speaker 4>I'm like one of those old legacy bands that does shows. Still,

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:38.359
<v Speaker 4>you do a couple hits early, your new stuff in

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 4>the middle, and you close with the headliners. Okay, so

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:43.120
<v Speaker 4>this is the new stuff boring? Okay, all right. Fbn

0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 4>D has six point five billion dollars. This is a

0:17:46.560 --> 0:17:49.520
<v Speaker 4>fidelity bond ETF. This has also made the outliers list

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:53.920
<v Speaker 4>multiple months and I'm looking at this and it's fascinating.

0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:57.760
<v Speaker 4>This is Fidelity at thirty six basis points for an

0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.159
<v Speaker 4>active bond and it outperforms the AG so it's doing

0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 4>a job. It's cheap, it's under the forty basis point mark,

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:05.400
<v Speaker 4>and I think this is representative to me of what

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:08.840
<v Speaker 4>the company to watch next year, which is Fidelity. Fidelity

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:11.200
<v Speaker 4>has done a couple of things. They've converted some ETFs

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:14.800
<v Speaker 4>mutual funds into ETFs. They are gearing up, I think

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:16.960
<v Speaker 4>for what is going to be a massive year. I

0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:20.440
<v Speaker 4>think they've finally sold upper management that ETFs are the future,

0:18:21.080 --> 0:18:23.520
<v Speaker 4>and the guy working inside there, I think he's going

0:18:23.560 --> 0:18:25.200
<v Speaker 4>to be able to do some big moves. I see

0:18:25.240 --> 0:18:28.439
<v Speaker 4>Fidelity cracking the top ten in terms of issuer size,

0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:31.320
<v Speaker 4>and I see them doing all kinds of thing conversions.

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:34.360
<v Speaker 4>They filed for an ETF share class of their mutual funds,

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:36.560
<v Speaker 4>so if they get all this going, look out you know,

0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:39.480
<v Speaker 4>because Fidelity is a behemoth. So one of our big

0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 4>themes in the outlook is the many roads to ETF.

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 4>So Fidelity is a firm that's going to take every road.

0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:46.760
<v Speaker 4>It'll be busy on each road, and each road will

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:50.480
<v Speaker 4>have certain reasons. You don't use conversions all the time

0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 4>or share classes. But Fidelity is going to be very

0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:57.199
<v Speaker 4>specific in how it approaches ets. But essentially it's going

0:18:57.280 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 4>to slowly start to move all of its existing clients

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 4>over from the mutual fund format to the ETF format.

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:05.680
<v Speaker 4>And FBND at six point five billion is crazy because

0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:08.280
<v Speaker 4>remember bond the Pimpco bill gross fund, that was the

0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 4>biggest bond ETF, biggest active bond ETF for a long time.

0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:14.400
<v Speaker 4>This is double that size. So that's how fast they

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:16.120
<v Speaker 4>you know, we have a phrase they grow up so fast.

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:17.119
<v Speaker 4>This is a great example of that.

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:21.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm curious when they discover how they will do

0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:28.439
<v Speaker 3>active ETFs. Fidelity obviously being famous for its active management history.

0:19:28.680 --> 0:19:31.119
<v Speaker 4>That's the thing again, if you can be active, have

0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:34.600
<v Speaker 4>a good name, and be below forty BIPs, that's a

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:37.280
<v Speaker 4>good place to be. It's when if this came over

0:19:37.320 --> 0:19:39.600
<v Speaker 4>at ninety I would not be as optimistic, but it's cheap.

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:42.240
<v Speaker 4>It's made the decision to that. And we had our

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 4>ETFs in Depth event in December and Brian Lake of

0:19:46.359 --> 0:19:48.960
<v Speaker 4>JP Morgan I asked them what they're most excited about,

0:19:49.000 --> 0:19:51.119
<v Speaker 4>and he said active fixed income is probably the biggest

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:54.240
<v Speaker 4>whitespace still, he said, there's just because that's a space

0:19:54.280 --> 0:19:58.800
<v Speaker 4>where mutual funds have way more market share versus CTFs

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:01.920
<v Speaker 4>than in the equity side. So there's early early innings

0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:03.399
<v Speaker 4>in the active bond area.

0:20:04.040 --> 0:20:07.240
<v Speaker 3>That was less boring than I thought. James, how are

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:08.679
<v Speaker 3>you going to follow that with your.

0:20:08.640 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 7>Eighth Yeah, so I'm gonna go with something that's definitely

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:16.120
<v Speaker 7>more exciting than fidelity bond fund.

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 6>But I agree.

0:20:16.640 --> 0:20:20.119
<v Speaker 7>I do agree with Eric's pick, like the the actively

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:22.880
<v Speaker 7>managed fixed income ETF space is going to be very

0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:25.199
<v Speaker 7>interesting just overall because I think that's the way you're

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 7>going to suck assets for the mutual it. We'll come

0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:31.680
<v Speaker 7>back to that, said, my pick is the Round Hill

0:20:31.720 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 7>Cannabis ETF with ticker weed w E D one.

0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:37.440
<v Speaker 6>I just I love the ticker. You can't not love.

0:20:37.760 --> 0:20:40.080
<v Speaker 7>The ticker is just so perfect for what it's doing.

0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:44.320
<v Speaker 7>This is relatively new, right. We've had marijuana slash cannabis

0:20:44.400 --> 0:20:47.120
<v Speaker 7>ETFs for quite a while now, but for the most

0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:50.399
<v Speaker 7>part they weren't offering the purest form of exposure until

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:54.359
<v Speaker 7>basically mjus from Advisor shares came out with this idea

0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:57.639
<v Speaker 7>basically offering exposure to what is known as multi state operators.

0:20:58.560 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 7>They're marijuana compes that operate across state lines, so they're

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:06.520
<v Speaker 7>in this legal gray zone basically that doesn't allow with

0:21:06.560 --> 0:21:07.439
<v Speaker 7>ETF to invest in them.

0:21:07.480 --> 0:21:10.399
<v Speaker 6>And what Advisors Shares pioneered was using.

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 7>Swaps with banks to get those exposures because technically not

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 7>holding in the lying assets, it's look.

0:21:15.000 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 6>It's just a gray area.

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:18.240
<v Speaker 7>But what we does is it takes it a step further.

0:21:18.359 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 7>Those other ETFs still hold a bunch of other stocks

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:24.960
<v Speaker 7>that weren't strictly MSOs. They were investing in Canadian firms

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:27.840
<v Speaker 7>and other international firms. There's a lot of different ways

0:21:27.840 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 7>to do this, but MSO is I mean, weed is

0:21:30.080 --> 0:21:35.280
<v Speaker 7>just holding strictly MSOs five stocks.

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:35.639
<v Speaker 6>That's it.

0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 7>So it's a super concentrated portfolio. And look, these things

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:41.120
<v Speaker 7>have done horribly over the last couple of years. It's

0:21:41.160 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 7>continually making lower and lower highs uh and then sinking again.

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:47.240
<v Speaker 7>So I love, I know Eric likes this too, to

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.040
<v Speaker 7>look at at ETFs that have been just like pushed

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.120
<v Speaker 7>down into the into the bunker here and see what's

0:21:52.119 --> 0:21:52.600
<v Speaker 7>gonna happen.

0:21:52.880 --> 0:21:54.439
<v Speaker 6>But this obviously would be a play in.

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:58.280
<v Speaker 7>This would obviously be a play on like some sort

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:02.359
<v Speaker 7>of federal legalization or further states legalizing marijuana going forward.

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 7>This is this is gonna be a key way to

0:22:04.040 --> 0:22:07.639
<v Speaker 7>do that, and it's super concentrated portfolio a portfolio.

0:22:07.640 --> 0:22:09.440
<v Speaker 6>And the way it gets around it is we've talked

0:22:09.480 --> 0:22:10.919
<v Speaker 6>about the single stock ETFs on here.

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:13.520
<v Speaker 7>They kind of made this loophole by using those swaps

0:22:13.560 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 7>and diversifying who who the swap counterparties are to meet

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:19.720
<v Speaker 7>the diversification requirements. But essentially I need to know is

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 7>that this is really on the cutting edge of like

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 7>what ETFs can do, and they're offering super concentrated exposure

0:22:25.359 --> 0:22:29.920
<v Speaker 7>to those multi multi state operator marijuana firms.

0:22:29.960 --> 0:22:33.399
<v Speaker 3>You have snuck in like so much little like jargon

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:39.120
<v Speaker 3>in there like concentrates and highs and yeah you weren't

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:42.880
<v Speaker 3>even trying and yet you like totally you know did

0:22:42.920 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 3>the cannabis industry is solid there can I.

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:49.639
<v Speaker 4>Ask you how many times a week do you smell marijuana.

0:22:49.400 --> 0:22:51.640
<v Speaker 1>In New York City all the time? Now like once

0:22:51.680 --> 0:22:55.440
<v Speaker 1>a day? Yeah, But I mean like it, so you know.

0:22:55.480 --> 0:22:56.719
<v Speaker 2>I'm fine with it. I'm fine with it.

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:59.639
<v Speaker 4>But I'm telling you five six years ago, it was

0:22:59.680 --> 0:23:02.479
<v Speaker 4>once a week. Now it's every day. I smell more

0:23:02.480 --> 0:23:03.119
<v Speaker 4>than cigarettes.

0:23:03.160 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, this is the future.

0:23:04.800 --> 0:23:09.200
<v Speaker 3>Okay, uh Athanasios, you can follow that RSP. This is

0:23:09.280 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 3>number nine, last one for round three RSPT.

0:23:11.760 --> 0:23:13.960
<v Speaker 5>Which is equal Weight, S and P five hundred Tech

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 5>and this is the Mag seven right all this year.

0:23:17.200 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 5>But remember, like the four hundred or so other companies

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.240
<v Speaker 5>like There's, they're still out there, right, They're still doing stuff.

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 5>I I think Weight could have a year next year.

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:28.040
<v Speaker 5>It's just a way to detox off the Mag seven.

0:23:28.119 --> 0:23:30.280
<v Speaker 5>You don't want to fully give off the exposure. But

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:33.720
<v Speaker 5>I think this year showed that, you know, sometimes you know,

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:36.800
<v Speaker 5>it's a problem with a few stocks just lead everything else.

0:23:37.160 --> 0:23:38.920
<v Speaker 5>I think there could be a little bit of a reversal.

0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:43.000
<v Speaker 5>So I like equal Weight, I'm not I'm not diversify

0:23:43.160 --> 0:23:45.439
<v Speaker 5>divers five and still stay in tech. So you're not

0:23:45.480 --> 0:23:48.000
<v Speaker 5>fully getting off of it, you're just sort of rejiggering it.

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:50.359
<v Speaker 2>RSPT is like the methadone of the ques.

0:23:50.800 --> 0:23:52.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, exactly, gotcha.

0:23:53.240 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 8>I don't know if I didn't know how far you

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:56.760
<v Speaker 8>want to be said detox, But.

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 2>No, I get it.

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 4>You're still getting something, so you're not com splitly going

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:01.040
<v Speaker 4>cold turkeys.

0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:01.560
<v Speaker 2>I get it.

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:04.239
<v Speaker 8>We had a great fifty percent the cues. You know,

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:06.360
<v Speaker 8>whoever said that this year.

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 5>Is lying to you. No one had that on, no

0:24:08.240 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 5>one that share. So we've had a good I think,

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 5>just you know, appreciate it and nothing equal ways.

0:24:14.680 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 3>Round three unexpectedly became a recreational drug reference colore. Let's

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:22.680
<v Speaker 3>see what round four does. Eric kick us off?

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 4>All right, I will stick with the cues because this

0:24:25.040 --> 0:24:28.480
<v Speaker 4>one's related. Which this one is called jep Q, so

0:24:28.560 --> 0:24:32.000
<v Speaker 4>this is the little brother of Jepy and jepy.

0:24:32.080 --> 0:24:34.080
<v Speaker 1>Mine. Remind us what JEPU is. Yeah.

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 4>JEFTP is the Equity Premium Income fund that JP Morgan

0:24:37.080 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 4>put out that became the biggest active ETF hit ever,

0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:42.919
<v Speaker 4>Bigger than ARC, bigger than Pimpco. It's got thirty billion

0:24:42.960 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 4>dollars and it broke just breaking all the records. It's

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:47.879
<v Speaker 4>a covered call strategy, so it invests in the SMP,

0:24:48.359 --> 0:24:51.439
<v Speaker 4>although it does some fundamental picking, but it's largely a

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:52.879
<v Speaker 4>low vall version of the S and P. And then

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:55.280
<v Speaker 4>it writes call options a little bit out of the money.

0:24:55.320 --> 0:24:57.800
<v Speaker 4>So if you give up your upside because the if

0:24:57.800 --> 0:25:00.920
<v Speaker 4>the SMP goes up a lot, you have to those

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 4>options will get called and you won't get that money,

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:06.480
<v Speaker 4>but you get premium from selling the options. So it

0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 4>has a big yield and the yield connect as a

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 4>buffer on the downside. So we sometimes call this boomer candy.

0:25:11.440 --> 0:25:15.440
<v Speaker 4>Boomers love the protection aspect of some of this because

0:25:15.440 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 4>they want to be involved in the markets. They're willing

0:25:17.600 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 4>to give a lot of upside. So jepy has done

0:25:20.080 --> 0:25:22.199
<v Speaker 4>a great job of bringing that. But JEPQ to me

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:25.960
<v Speaker 4>is like JETPY, but with a little more juice, so

0:25:26.080 --> 0:25:29.560
<v Speaker 4>like it's the cues and it's covered call. So for example,

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:33.000
<v Speaker 4>you're to date this thing return thirty five percent, you

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:36.080
<v Speaker 4>still got ten eleven percent yield, and the sharp ratio

0:25:36.200 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 4>was two point five, which is pretty high if you

0:25:38.520 --> 0:25:42.520
<v Speaker 4>compare that to JETPI in terms of those numbers, JETP

0:25:42.720 --> 0:25:46.159
<v Speaker 4>was only up nine percent nine percent yield and the

0:25:46.160 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 4>sharp ratio is point five. So JEPQ has kind of

0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:52.080
<v Speaker 4>come along as the little brother and beat JETPY on

0:25:52.160 --> 0:25:55.200
<v Speaker 4>every single metric, and so it's just catching up and

0:25:55.240 --> 0:25:58.639
<v Speaker 4>flows too. Now It'll be interesting because if you're like

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:00.920
<v Speaker 4>Ethan and you think that the cues might be a

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:04.000
<v Speaker 4>little out of gas. That yield gives you a little buffer,

0:26:04.280 --> 0:26:06.959
<v Speaker 4>so jep Q I think also acts as a methadonish

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:07.879
<v Speaker 4>way to play the cues.

0:26:08.400 --> 0:26:09.800
<v Speaker 5>I think that's a good pick. I think this year

0:26:09.840 --> 0:26:12.000
<v Speaker 5>when that was a tough trade, but I think looking

0:26:12.040 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 5>at it for next year, it could make sense.

0:26:14.400 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 4>The way you're talking, it's like you, we haven't had

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:19.320
<v Speaker 4>reviews yet.

0:26:21.520 --> 0:26:26.840
<v Speaker 2>Come give me, I'm ready turn it up. Yeah, come on, man,

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 2>come at me.

0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:29.400
<v Speaker 8>I think it's I think it's a good pick.

0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:35.720
<v Speaker 3>Okay, thanks, Okay, nothing, James, let's hear your number eleven.

0:26:36.200 --> 0:26:39.720
<v Speaker 7>So so this was this I guess, uh, this wasn't

0:26:39.720 --> 0:26:40.760
<v Speaker 7>going to be the one I was going to go with.

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:42.880
<v Speaker 7>So I'm going out of order here. But it's directly

0:26:42.880 --> 0:26:46.159
<v Speaker 7>in line. I guess great minds think alike. Right. I

0:26:46.200 --> 0:26:48.760
<v Speaker 7>agree with everything that Ethan and Eric said, but I

0:26:48.760 --> 0:26:51.720
<v Speaker 7>think I like a different ETF to look at going forward.

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:55.120
<v Speaker 6>So one is just uh, it's the arrow reverse cap

0:26:55.160 --> 0:26:58.280
<v Speaker 6>weighted ETF. So it's similar the way.

0:26:58.320 --> 0:26:59.919
<v Speaker 7>The one that gets the most play is more than

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:03.560
<v Speaker 7>with Athen's RSPT, but just regular RSP. It's taken in

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:05.479
<v Speaker 7>a lot of money early this year and flows are

0:27:05.520 --> 0:27:08.360
<v Speaker 7>pouring in again late this year. And basically all that

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:10.840
<v Speaker 7>one does is it equal weights the S and P

0:27:10.920 --> 0:27:14.680
<v Speaker 7>five hundred, whereas YPS, the one i'm picking, actually reverse

0:27:14.720 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 7>cap weights it. So basically the smallest ones in the

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:19.280
<v Speaker 7>S and P five hundred you get the highest weight

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:21.639
<v Speaker 7>in YSP. And that's because of all the stuff that

0:27:21.680 --> 0:27:24.080
<v Speaker 7>they all both just talked about. With the magnificent seven,

0:27:24.119 --> 0:27:26.240
<v Speaker 7>super seven, whatever you want to talk about it, they're

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:27.879
<v Speaker 7>like making up seventy five percent of.

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:30.199
<v Speaker 6>The return so far in twenty twenty three. But I

0:27:30.400 --> 0:27:31.560
<v Speaker 6>like YSP to play it.

0:27:31.600 --> 0:27:33.560
<v Speaker 7>Even though it's only a ten million dollar fund, it's

0:27:33.560 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 7>getting no interest from anyone, but everyone's pouring into RSP instead.

0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:38.880
<v Speaker 7>But in my view, I just think it's a more

0:27:38.920 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 7>efficient way to kind of make this play. Rather than

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 7>selling out of your S and P five hundred exposure,

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:46.240
<v Speaker 7>you could only sell a small chunk and then buy

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:48.119
<v Speaker 7>this thing as a compliment to kind of get that

0:27:48.200 --> 0:27:51.320
<v Speaker 7>sort of similar equal weighted type exposure. You don't need

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 7>to sell the whole thing and move into another product.

0:27:53.800 --> 0:27:55.480
<v Speaker 7>So I just think it's efficient from that way, And

0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:58.800
<v Speaker 7>if you really are betting on the smaller cap stocks

0:27:58.840 --> 0:28:01.119
<v Speaker 7>catching up to the large cap stocks are outperforming the

0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 7>larger names in the in the index or ETF in

0:28:04.280 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 7>this case, every time that there's been a run where

0:28:07.080 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 7>equal weight outperforms the regular market cap weighted ETFs in

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:14.440
<v Speaker 7>this space, YSP has outperformed the equal weighted version. So

0:28:14.440 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 7>it's basically like a leverage version of RSP. I mean,

0:28:17.720 --> 0:28:21.520
<v Speaker 7>obviously past past performance not indicative future return, but by

0:28:21.800 --> 0:28:23.960
<v Speaker 7>reverse cap weighting, it ends up being a more leverage

0:28:23.960 --> 0:28:26.120
<v Speaker 7>probably and equal cap waiting. And I think you can

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:28.280
<v Speaker 7>use this to make a more efficient exposure if you

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:31.720
<v Speaker 7>want to dial down your Magnificence seven or Super seven exposures.

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 6>But no one seems to care. No one's buying this.

0:28:33.359 --> 0:28:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Thing, Ethnoxius, would you trade your pick for that pick?

0:28:36.119 --> 0:28:40.080
<v Speaker 8>I'd still stick with mind. Oh it's a good pick.

0:28:40.080 --> 0:28:43.960
<v Speaker 8>But I still like I still like having being still

0:28:43.960 --> 0:28:44.360
<v Speaker 8>in tech.

0:28:44.480 --> 0:28:47.360
<v Speaker 7>Okay, so I'm not saying to get I'm not saying

0:28:47.400 --> 0:28:49.160
<v Speaker 7>to get out of tech. You would just take like

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:51.560
<v Speaker 7>a chunk of your S and P five hundred exposure

0:28:51.960 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 7>and put it in this to kind of lower your

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 7>exposure to the Magnificent seven. That's all it would do.

0:28:56.160 --> 0:28:57.960
<v Speaker 7>I would never say, replace your S and P five

0:28:58.040 --> 0:28:59.360
<v Speaker 7>hundred with this thing. But I think it's a good

0:28:59.400 --> 0:29:01.280
<v Speaker 7>compliment to h to kind of get the same thing

0:29:01.280 --> 0:29:02.440
<v Speaker 7>without having to sell anything.

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:04.800
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, fair, it's a whole positions, just a little bit

0:29:04.840 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 8>of methadone.

0:29:05.680 --> 0:29:08.680
<v Speaker 1>He's still he's still not sold. All right.

0:29:08.760 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 5>This is like the most toxic trade ever. I think

0:29:12.200 --> 0:29:13.880
<v Speaker 5>that you want to love it. It never works its

0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 5>value right. Every year it's like this is it? Like

0:29:16.480 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 5>I've changed, you know, And I've talked to Chris Kaney's

0:29:21.560 --> 0:29:24.160
<v Speaker 5>our quant strategist Bloomber Intelligence, and there's a lot of

0:29:24.200 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 5>stuff that points to value for for next year. And

0:29:27.000 --> 0:29:28.680
<v Speaker 5>if you're gonna do it, you're gonna have to go

0:29:28.760 --> 0:29:29.040
<v Speaker 5>full in.

0:29:29.200 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 1>So it's q VOW.

0:29:29.960 --> 0:29:34.120
<v Speaker 5>It's the alpha architect us Quantitative value ETF, and it's

0:29:34.200 --> 0:29:38.160
<v Speaker 5>very concentrated. It's got the purest exposure to value. So

0:29:38.360 --> 0:29:41.280
<v Speaker 5>if it's if you're gonna do it, do with QVO.

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:43.320
<v Speaker 5>I think you can have a pretty interesting year next year.

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 5>I know we've called value in the past before you

0:29:47.880 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 5>get these little bouts of outperformance, but I think could

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 5>this year be different? I don't know, but I think

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:54.920
<v Speaker 5>QVOW is something to watch for next year.

0:29:55.720 --> 0:30:00.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, this this ETF is in the top five of

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 4>our factor intensity score for value because it's like hot

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.600
<v Speaker 4>sauce value. When value comes back, this thing should be

0:30:06.640 --> 0:30:09.040
<v Speaker 4>at the top of the performers. And I just think

0:30:09.080 --> 0:30:10.880
<v Speaker 4>it makes sense, you know, because you got a lot

0:30:10.880 --> 0:30:12.600
<v Speaker 4>of value already in S and P five hundred or

0:30:12.640 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 4>your total market. This just gives you a little tilt

0:30:15.240 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 4>with only a little dose, so you'll need a little

0:30:17.440 --> 0:30:19.760
<v Speaker 4>bit of this puppy to give you some real exposure

0:30:19.800 --> 0:30:21.480
<v Speaker 4>to value. And there's a junk screen in it, so

0:30:21.480 --> 0:30:23.680
<v Speaker 4>it's not that hardcore where it buys total junk.

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean value.

0:30:25.200 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 7>I feel like every year I've been hearing the value

0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 7>is going to come back, and it has spurts where

0:30:28.520 --> 0:30:30.440
<v Speaker 7>it comes back, and then as Eric likes to say,

0:30:30.440 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 7>the cues and high tech high cap growth just comes

0:30:34.000 --> 0:30:37.959
<v Speaker 7>and runs it over. So yeah, we'll see what happens.

0:30:37.960 --> 0:30:40.480
<v Speaker 7>But it's it's certainly been Uh it's been hard to

0:30:40.880 --> 0:30:43.480
<v Speaker 7>stick with value for a long term, long term play.

0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:44.760
<v Speaker 6>But it's a good pick.

0:30:44.800 --> 0:30:44.960
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:48.360
<v Speaker 4>The last year I did ie val I vow's q

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:51.600
<v Speaker 4>val but worse because international value. So if you really

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:54.800
<v Speaker 4>want to go crazy, eye vow you get the pe

0:30:55.000 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 4>on I val and I want.

0:30:56.000 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 2>To guess it's like seven lower.

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:02.200
<v Speaker 4>Just for context, the pe on the S and P

0:31:02.280 --> 0:31:05.120
<v Speaker 4>five hundred is twenty five ish twenty six.

0:31:05.640 --> 0:31:07.719
<v Speaker 2>So what do you think I vow's public? I mean

0:31:08.000 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 2>price to earning average is five six six, Okay.

0:31:12.080 --> 0:31:14.680
<v Speaker 4>I mean that is like, yeah, at some point right

0:31:16.200 --> 0:31:18.880
<v Speaker 4>would you see this chart in the MSCI world, Apple

0:31:18.960 --> 0:31:22.760
<v Speaker 4>now has a bigger waiting than the UK, bigger than France. Yeah,

0:31:23.080 --> 0:31:24.880
<v Speaker 4>I mean the Super seven make up more than like

0:31:24.920 --> 0:31:26.480
<v Speaker 4>the rest of the world combined pretty.

0:31:26.240 --> 0:31:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Much by Super seven.

0:31:27.240 --> 0:31:28.600
<v Speaker 2>You mean the magnet Magnificent seven.

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:32.360
<v Speaker 4>I like Super seven because alliteration, and Magnificent seven is

0:31:32.400 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 4>a movie.

0:31:33.760 --> 0:31:36.240
<v Speaker 7>Maybe it's worth while to say what what the Magnificent

0:31:36.280 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 7>seven is. Maybe it's worth while to say what the

0:31:37.800 --> 0:31:46.640
<v Speaker 7>Magnificent seven is. So just for anyone, Microsoft's actually say, okay, James, magnificence.

0:31:46.600 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 6>Since we've said it, like.

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:50.720
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, listen, by the way, let's say let's say let's

0:31:50.720 --> 0:31:53.520
<v Speaker 4>say they crash and burn next year and there's one

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 4>of those stock we can throw in. We can call

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:55.520
<v Speaker 4>them the Hateful eight.

0:31:55.680 --> 0:31:57.600
<v Speaker 3>James, let's name the Magnificent seven, just so we have

0:31:57.640 --> 0:31:59.040
<v Speaker 3>it on tape good for.

0:31:59.520 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, yeah, so it's it's it's Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet aka Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla,

0:32:08.720 --> 0:32:11.960
<v Speaker 7>and Meta aka Facebook the artist formerly known as So

0:32:12.040 --> 0:32:14.360
<v Speaker 7>those are the sevenies, like we keep talking about as

0:32:14.360 --> 0:32:16.040
<v Speaker 7>though everyone knows, but just to make sure.

0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:18.560
<v Speaker 3>We kept adding as to Fang and then we were like, wait,

0:32:18.600 --> 0:32:19.720
<v Speaker 3>we just needed something new in.

0:32:19.680 --> 0:32:22.440
<v Speaker 2>The video and video crash the party in a good way.

0:32:22.520 --> 0:32:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah yeah, uh Tesla too.

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:30.400
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:32:31.160 --> 0:32:34.160
<v Speaker 3>Final round, Eric, you're gonna kick us off with number thirteen.

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:35.880
<v Speaker 2>Okay, number thirteen.

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:40.440
<v Speaker 4>My last pick is Tua, which it's not the quarterback

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:42.440
<v Speaker 4>for the Dolphins, although I like him a lot too.

0:32:42.760 --> 0:32:46.400
<v Speaker 4>It's the simplify short Term Treasury Future Strategy ETF. I

0:32:46.440 --> 0:32:48.400
<v Speaker 4>picked this for a few reasons. One, you know, the

0:32:48.440 --> 0:32:52.240
<v Speaker 4>Fed has seemingly said we're, you know, not mission accomplished quite,

0:32:52.240 --> 0:32:54.880
<v Speaker 4>but they're clearly feeling good. So if they were to

0:32:54.920 --> 0:32:57.280
<v Speaker 4>start lowering rates next year, clearly you'd want to be

0:32:57.520 --> 0:33:01.440
<v Speaker 4>long treasury. So this one is like a leveraged it's

0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:05.240
<v Speaker 4>actively managed, uses treasury futures and it's got some leverage

0:33:05.240 --> 0:33:07.520
<v Speaker 4>in it, so if rates fall, this will pop a

0:33:07.560 --> 0:33:12.000
<v Speaker 4>little bit. And futures are a pain to use. A

0:33:12.040 --> 0:33:14.440
<v Speaker 4>lot of institutions do this trade. This is a trade

0:33:14.440 --> 0:33:16.760
<v Speaker 4>that was popular at PIMCO for a while. So I

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:19.640
<v Speaker 4>like this for a few reasons. One next year again,

0:33:19.640 --> 0:33:21.280
<v Speaker 4>if you think rates are gonna fall, this should be

0:33:21.320 --> 0:33:23.959
<v Speaker 4>in a good position. Number Two, it does a lot

0:33:24.000 --> 0:33:25.760
<v Speaker 4>of legwork for you. It does something to pain in

0:33:25.760 --> 0:33:28.720
<v Speaker 4>the butt. Three you only need a little again, just

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:30.360
<v Speaker 4>a little bit to get you where you want to

0:33:30.360 --> 0:33:33.880
<v Speaker 4>go in terms of playing the rate fall. And then

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:37.120
<v Speaker 4>the other reason is this is simplify as a fascinating company.

0:33:37.120 --> 0:33:39.320
<v Speaker 4>But they came along and they've got a lot of

0:33:39.520 --> 0:33:41.960
<v Speaker 4>X hedge fund people there. They're the closest thing to

0:33:42.000 --> 0:33:45.520
<v Speaker 4>an actual real hedge fund in the ETF world. And

0:33:45.760 --> 0:33:48.720
<v Speaker 4>this is proven by the fact that they've gotten multiple

0:33:48.760 --> 0:33:52.160
<v Speaker 4>institutional investors to buy into their funds, like TUA is

0:33:52.160 --> 0:33:55.160
<v Speaker 4>owned by the Michigan retirees, and then they've gotten General

0:33:55.200 --> 0:33:57.960
<v Speaker 4>Electrics Pension. I can't, as a guy who wrote a

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:01.160
<v Speaker 4>book about institutional usage of ETFs, it is so hard

0:34:01.600 --> 0:34:04.400
<v Speaker 4>to get an institution to buy into an ETF that

0:34:04.520 --> 0:34:06.239
<v Speaker 4>isn't just like one of the liquid ones they use

0:34:06.360 --> 0:34:08.799
<v Speaker 4>quickly for some like you know, short term usage, but

0:34:08.920 --> 0:34:11.919
<v Speaker 4>for them to invest in your fund, it's rare. They

0:34:12.080 --> 0:34:14.160
<v Speaker 4>like to be exclusive, they like to go with the

0:34:14.160 --> 0:34:17.000
<v Speaker 4>best brains the ETF to them, or like the public

0:34:17.080 --> 0:34:18.719
<v Speaker 4>pool that all the plubs use, They're like, I don't,

0:34:18.800 --> 0:34:21.879
<v Speaker 4>I'm better than that. So the fact that institutions are

0:34:21.920 --> 0:34:25.839
<v Speaker 4>going in here is a I think tells you how

0:34:25.920 --> 0:34:29.319
<v Speaker 4>serious people take simplify and the people who work there.

0:34:29.880 --> 0:34:33.080
<v Speaker 4>And I think it's fascinating because these ETFs two is

0:34:33.120 --> 0:34:35.759
<v Speaker 4>fifteen basis points. A hedge fune would charge you two

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:38.399
<v Speaker 4>to twenty for this potentially, or at least a lot more.

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 4>So we're talking hedge fund style management for van guardian

0:34:43.000 --> 0:34:45.800
<v Speaker 4>fees with people who are from the hedge fund world.

0:34:46.400 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 4>We're finally seeing that kind of experiment in the alternative

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:51.040
<v Speaker 4>space and I'm here for it.

0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:54.080
<v Speaker 1>So what's in the portfolio treasury futures?

0:34:54.440 --> 0:34:56.520
<v Speaker 2>So it's actively trading treasury futures.

0:34:58.040 --> 0:34:58.279
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:34:58.320 --> 0:35:01.120
<v Speaker 7>I would say that I love this pick because I

0:35:01.120 --> 0:35:04.399
<v Speaker 7>feel like for years, us and pretty much everyone else

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:06.400
<v Speaker 7>is like, this might be the year that like alternative

0:35:06.480 --> 0:35:08.960
<v Speaker 7>ETFs take up like more space, they compete more with

0:35:09.000 --> 0:35:12.359
<v Speaker 7>hedge funds. Well, everyone thinks like the alternative ETF space

0:35:12.360 --> 0:35:13.120
<v Speaker 7>should be larger.

0:35:13.160 --> 0:35:16.799
<v Speaker 6>It just isn't. There's been some like good hits.

0:35:16.880 --> 0:35:19.560
<v Speaker 7>Managed Future Strategies in twenty twenty two did very well,

0:35:19.880 --> 0:35:21.600
<v Speaker 7>some other things like that, but for the most part,

0:35:21.600 --> 0:35:24.440
<v Speaker 7>there just isn't a massive demand. But it's growing heavily

0:35:24.480 --> 0:35:26.279
<v Speaker 7>now and a lot of that is being led by

0:35:26.440 --> 0:35:27.319
<v Speaker 7>by simplify here.

0:35:28.000 --> 0:35:29.520
<v Speaker 6>So I love this pick.

0:35:29.840 --> 0:35:33.200
<v Speaker 3>Like that, All right, James, what's your last pick going

0:35:33.280 --> 0:35:33.480
<v Speaker 3>to be?

0:35:35.280 --> 0:35:37.960
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, So I'm kind of breaking the rules here, but

0:35:38.000 --> 0:35:40.439
<v Speaker 7>I think it's for for for a very good reason.

0:35:41.120 --> 0:35:42.680
<v Speaker 6>Probably the judge of picking and et.

0:35:45.920 --> 0:35:50.799
<v Speaker 7>I'm picking a mutual fund ticker swv xx, which is

0:35:50.840 --> 0:35:53.400
<v Speaker 7>a mutual fund and not an ETF, so I apologize

0:35:53.440 --> 0:35:55.839
<v Speaker 7>in advance, but just swab money market fund. This thing

0:35:55.880 --> 0:35:58.840
<v Speaker 7>is yielding five point two six percent, and I'm probably

0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:00.960
<v Speaker 7>putting people to sleep right now hearing this. But when

0:36:01.000 --> 0:36:02.960
<v Speaker 7>I throw these other numbers out there, it'll be interesting

0:36:03.040 --> 0:36:05.919
<v Speaker 7>to see if people realize this. This thing charges thirty

0:36:05.920 --> 0:36:09.240
<v Speaker 7>four basis points, which again not super expensive, but also

0:36:09.320 --> 0:36:11.080
<v Speaker 7>definitely not cheap like if I don't think a lot

0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:13.160
<v Speaker 7>of people realize that these money market funds make a

0:36:13.160 --> 0:36:15.719
<v Speaker 7>lot of money for these companies, even though they were

0:36:15.760 --> 0:36:19.040
<v Speaker 7>basically money losers, as people were putting money into these

0:36:19.040 --> 0:36:22.839
<v Speaker 7>things when rates were zero or basically negative. That said,

0:36:23.000 --> 0:36:25.120
<v Speaker 7>this thing has taken in. At the end of twenty

0:36:25.200 --> 0:36:27.360
<v Speaker 7>twenty two, it at one hundred and sixty one billion dollars.

0:36:27.760 --> 0:36:31.240
<v Speaker 7>Again not nothing, very good. It now has two hundred

0:36:31.280 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 7>and fifty eight billion dollars. That thing is taken in

0:36:34.640 --> 0:36:36.759
<v Speaker 7>ninety seven billion dollars in one year. If we had

0:36:36.800 --> 0:36:38.400
<v Speaker 7>an ETF that did that, it would have been on

0:36:38.400 --> 0:36:41.120
<v Speaker 7>the front pages of everything. So this, I think is

0:36:41.160 --> 0:36:43.360
<v Speaker 7>the most the most successful fund in the US in

0:36:43.440 --> 0:36:46.280
<v Speaker 7>twenty twenty three. As far as I can tell, money

0:36:46.280 --> 0:36:48.719
<v Speaker 7>market funds as a whole are likely to hit could

0:36:48.800 --> 0:36:51.759
<v Speaker 7>hit a trillion dollars in inflows this year. ETFs have

0:36:51.880 --> 0:36:53.839
<v Speaker 7>never done that. So I feel like we just need

0:36:53.880 --> 0:36:55.879
<v Speaker 7>to kind of point out what's happening here. And part

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:58.440
<v Speaker 7>of the reason swvxx is at the top of this

0:36:58.520 --> 0:37:00.759
<v Speaker 7>is for like going back into some wonky things. We

0:37:00.760 --> 0:37:03.719
<v Speaker 7>always talk about commissions and freeze and everything's free commission now,

0:37:03.960 --> 0:37:06.279
<v Speaker 7>but that's not the case anymore. So Schwab bought td

0:37:06.360 --> 0:37:09.000
<v Speaker 7>Amerri Trade, So anyone who's on Schwab or td Emmer Trade,

0:37:09.280 --> 0:37:11.439
<v Speaker 7>if you want to buy a money market fund, there's

0:37:11.480 --> 0:37:13.840
<v Speaker 7>a commission to do it. It costs like it's not cheap.

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:15.919
<v Speaker 7>But what they've done if they said, you can buy

0:37:15.960 --> 0:37:18.440
<v Speaker 7>our ets with no commission and we'll put you in them.

0:37:18.440 --> 0:37:20.919
<v Speaker 7>So people, it looks like anyone with a tdmmer Trade

0:37:21.000 --> 0:37:23.399
<v Speaker 7>or Schwab account is looking for somewhere to put this.

0:37:23.400 --> 0:37:25.560
<v Speaker 7>This is this is the one they're defaulting to. And

0:37:25.600 --> 0:37:27.399
<v Speaker 7>this thing again is it's going to take in over

0:37:27.440 --> 0:37:28.799
<v Speaker 7>one hundred billion dollars.

0:37:28.560 --> 0:37:28.960
<v Speaker 1>In a year.

0:37:29.000 --> 0:37:32.240
<v Speaker 7>So yes, it sounds sleepy, but like it's just mind boggling.

0:37:32.280 --> 0:37:34.560
<v Speaker 2>That is money thinking about it insane.

0:37:34.719 --> 0:37:36.279
<v Speaker 4>I mean, the ETF that's gonna take in the most

0:37:36.280 --> 0:37:38.400
<v Speaker 4>money this year is vou at about forty billion, and

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:41.200
<v Speaker 4>ETFs are on fire and that's one hundred. Yeah, it's

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:41.800
<v Speaker 4>it's whacked.

0:37:42.360 --> 0:37:42.480
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

0:37:43.320 --> 0:37:45.160
<v Speaker 3>Eric's gonna have some other comments in your review about

0:37:45.160 --> 0:37:47.160
<v Speaker 3>bringing a mutual fund to an ETF party, but you know,

0:37:47.200 --> 0:37:51.200
<v Speaker 3>we'll keep it at that, oh right, number fifteen, Athanasios.

0:37:52.400 --> 0:37:55.520
<v Speaker 5>That also makes MDV look like stewen Man like money

0:37:55.520 --> 0:37:58.040
<v Speaker 5>market fund. Yeah, true, you know, but it's still a

0:37:58.040 --> 0:38:03.640
<v Speaker 5>good pick. Okay, last one I always like to that. Yeah, well,

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:06.520
<v Speaker 5>people are gonna your listener is gonna get that reference.

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:08.080
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna go with it.

0:38:08.160 --> 0:38:10.400
<v Speaker 8>You're just doing it.

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:12.080
<v Speaker 2>It's I like the reference, but I mean that's going

0:38:12.080 --> 0:38:12.520
<v Speaker 2>way back.

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:15.879
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, all right, give us the give us the car chase.

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:18.799
<v Speaker 3>Always like to come on, bring it home. Pick one

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:21.200
<v Speaker 3>that's like synonymous with closures. Last year I used k Pop,

0:38:21.239 --> 0:38:24.640
<v Speaker 3>which was like closing, you know thematics, we're getting a

0:38:24.640 --> 0:38:25.359
<v Speaker 3>little out of hand.

0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:28.600
<v Speaker 5>This one's gonna be Crypto. I think a E T

0:38:28.760 --> 0:38:31.280
<v Speaker 5>H a F, which is the bit wise Ethereum Futures

0:38:31.280 --> 0:38:33.640
<v Speaker 5>E T F. This has gotta go. I think like

0:38:34.160 --> 0:38:36.319
<v Speaker 5>it's eighty five basis points. It's got to know it

0:38:36.400 --> 0:38:40.480
<v Speaker 5>offers nothing different than the other ones. I think it'll

0:38:40.520 --> 0:38:43.840
<v Speaker 5>go because eventually if ethereum spot is approved, because you

0:38:43.880 --> 0:38:46.600
<v Speaker 5>have a better product. But I think Crypto has gotten

0:38:46.600 --> 0:38:48.440
<v Speaker 5>a little chummy and one of them has got it.

0:38:48.880 --> 0:38:50.839
<v Speaker 5>I can see this closing at some point this year,

0:38:51.640 --> 0:38:54.080
<v Speaker 5>So I think that's wonder what. It might not be

0:38:54.200 --> 0:38:56.080
<v Speaker 5>that one, but I think one of the Ethereum futures

0:38:56.080 --> 0:38:56.959
<v Speaker 5>ones are going to close.

0:38:57.200 --> 0:38:59.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and there's a couple to do bigcoin plus Ethereum Futures.

0:39:00.360 --> 0:39:02.440
<v Speaker 4>I'd say, half the category is probably gonna close. I

0:39:02.480 --> 0:39:04.160
<v Speaker 4>mean even the pro chare is one is only ten

0:39:04.160 --> 0:39:08.319
<v Speaker 4>million bit wise is less than that. Look, I think

0:39:08.400 --> 0:39:11.400
<v Speaker 4>what we learned from the Ether Futures ETF's launching is

0:39:11.440 --> 0:39:14.239
<v Speaker 4>that you know, the mania is over. People aren't gonna

0:39:14.239 --> 0:39:16.560
<v Speaker 4>buy any single coin you put out there.

0:39:17.000 --> 0:39:21.319
<v Speaker 2>Also Ether, it's it's ether and futures.

0:39:21.840 --> 0:39:24.400
<v Speaker 4>But I don't think this necessarily takes away from a

0:39:24.440 --> 0:39:27.640
<v Speaker 4>spot Bitcoin ETF. I think that should be a legitimate hit.

0:39:28.440 --> 0:39:32.520
<v Speaker 4>But this definitely was underwhelming by anybody's standards. Really, these

0:39:32.600 --> 0:39:34.160
<v Speaker 4>launched and like almost nobody cared.

0:39:36.320 --> 0:39:38.680
<v Speaker 6>You know, we cared because we were covering the launch,

0:39:38.719 --> 0:39:39.239
<v Speaker 6>but I.

0:39:39.160 --> 0:39:45.040
<v Speaker 7>Think nobody what everybody yeah that said, I'm I'm I agree.

0:39:45.080 --> 0:39:47.280
<v Speaker 7>I love this pick because I honestly would have picked

0:39:47.280 --> 0:39:49.759
<v Speaker 7>one of these if Ethan hadn't already called DIBs on it.

0:39:49.800 --> 0:39:52.600
<v Speaker 7>Because Eric and I mean we we we haven't put

0:39:52.600 --> 0:39:54.440
<v Speaker 7>officialized out there, but I think it's pretty likely that

0:39:54.480 --> 0:39:56.719
<v Speaker 7>we see a spot ethery in ETF in twenty twenty four.

0:39:56.760 --> 0:39:58.640
<v Speaker 7>We have we have a couple of deadlines coming up

0:39:58.640 --> 0:40:00.560
<v Speaker 7>on May twenty third and twenty four for Ark and

0:40:00.640 --> 0:40:03.600
<v Speaker 7>van k bunch of other filers. I think it's likely

0:40:03.640 --> 0:40:05.520
<v Speaker 7>that we get a spot ethereum ETF, and if we

0:40:05.600 --> 0:40:08.440
<v Speaker 7>do get that, bit Wise is probably going to be

0:40:08.480 --> 0:40:09.960
<v Speaker 7>in that race and launching one of these things. And

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:13.440
<v Speaker 7>I can't see them keeping the Etheryum futures ETF open,

0:40:13.480 --> 0:40:15.680
<v Speaker 7>particularly if they don't manage the gun or any assets.

0:40:15.840 --> 0:40:17.560
<v Speaker 6>So I'm with you. I think this is a really

0:40:17.600 --> 0:40:20.160
<v Speaker 6>good pick for a potential closure next year, and I

0:40:20.160 --> 0:40:21.840
<v Speaker 6>think multiple, like both of them.

0:40:21.680 --> 0:40:25.360
<v Speaker 7>Has said multiple etherium futures ETFs or crypto Futures gtfs

0:40:25.360 --> 0:40:26.600
<v Speaker 7>are likely to close too.

0:40:27.160 --> 0:40:30.360
<v Speaker 3>All right, that rounds out fifteen ETFs for twenty twenty

0:40:30.360 --> 0:40:35.239
<v Speaker 3>four at then aussios James, thanks for doing that.

0:40:35.360 --> 0:40:38.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, yeah, thanks for fifteen for twenty four with us.

0:40:38.680 --> 0:40:41.719
<v Speaker 3>There's nine more on the Bloomberg terminal that you can

0:40:41.760 --> 0:40:42.479
<v Speaker 3>find in.

0:40:42.960 --> 0:40:44.360
<v Speaker 2>The days that peak your interest.

0:40:45.440 --> 0:40:46.200
<v Speaker 8>Thanks for having me on.

0:40:46.280 --> 0:40:47.680
<v Speaker 1>All right, have a great year, everybody.

0:40:48.160 --> 0:40:49.000
<v Speaker 6>Thanks for having me on.

0:40:49.080 --> 0:40:57.400
<v Speaker 3>Guys, thanks for listening to trillions.

0:40:57.760 --> 0:40:58.480
<v Speaker 1>Until next time.

0:40:58.640 --> 0:41:01.840
<v Speaker 3>You can find us on the Bloomberg term Bloomberg dot com,

0:41:01.920 --> 0:41:04.359
<v Speaker 3>Apple Podcasts, Spotify.

0:41:04.360 --> 0:41:06.759
<v Speaker 1>Or wherever else you'd like to listen. We'd love to

0:41:06.840 --> 0:41:07.279
<v Speaker 1>hear from you.

0:41:07.719 --> 0:41:10.200
<v Speaker 3>We're on Twitter I'm at Joel Webbers show.

0:41:10.600 --> 0:41:12.600
<v Speaker 1>He's at Eric Walchunas.

0:41:13.480 --> 0:41:19.000
<v Speaker 3>This episode of Trillions was produced by Magnus Hendrickson. Bye