1 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: On this episode of News World. David Bonson is the founder, 2 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: managing partner and chief Investment Officer of the Bonson Group, 3 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: overseeing the manager of seven billion dollars in client assets. 4 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: Prior to launching the Bonson Group, he spent eight years 5 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: as a managing director at Morgan Stanley and six years 6 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: as vice president of UBS. He is consistently named one 7 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: of the top financial advisors in America by Barons, Forbes, 8 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: and The Financial Times. He is the editor of the 9 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: Dividend Cafe newsletter and a new sponsor of Mark Halprin's 10 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: The Morning Meeting on two Way Dot TV, which I 11 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 1: recommend very very highly. David, welcome and thank you for 12 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: anyway the newts World. 13 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 2: Well, thank you so much for having me. 14 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: Now, before we get into the Syria stuff, I have 15 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 1: to ask you a couple of things here, bio says quote. 16 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 1: David's true passions include anything related to usc football, the 17 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: financial markets, politics, and Chinese food. So what is your 18 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: favorite Chinese food? 19 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 2: In terms of restaurants, Manhattan. 20 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 3: Just is the place in America to get Chinese food, 21 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 3: no question, But I will admit it's kind of a 22 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 3: guilty pleasure sometimes I like the more take out greasy 23 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 3: places even than the real, nice, fine dining. But I 24 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 3: do love Chinese food. 25 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: What led you to Chinese food? 26 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 3: Well, you know, I think that it was just sort 27 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 3: of a guilty pleasure when I was younger. My dad 28 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 3: loved Chinese food. You know, he and I were so close. 29 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 3: He passed away pretty young. I have such fond memories 30 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 3: as a kid of eating Chinese food with my dad. 31 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 3: I imagine it's not just the culinary side, but a 32 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 3: little nostalgia as well. 33 00:01:56,560 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: Oh that's great, So we're div into more Serria stuff. 34 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: As you know, the Trump administration stance on trade and 35 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: tariffs has been a defining feature of their economic policy. 36 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 1: From your perspective, how do you see their approach to 37 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 1: trade compared to previous administrations, particularly in terms of tariffs 38 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: international negotiations. 39 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 3: Well, mister speaker, it puts me in a tough position 40 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 3: because I maintain a certain traditionalist, kind of Reaganite Milton 41 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 3: Friedman classical conservatism on the matter. And yet I'm not 42 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 3: sure that I would put President Trump squarely in a 43 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 3: protectionist box either. There are definitely times that he talks 44 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 3: that way, and it isn't my favorite part of his 45 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 3: economic agenda. But at the same time, I think that 46 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 3: there has been a posture so far to use tariffs 47 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 3: for negotiation, and someone like me who wants to see 48 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 3: more total trade and let it be a boost to 49 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 3: American economic interest, American workers, American economic growth, I believe 50 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 3: that there's a possibility of using tariffs to negotiate for 51 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 3: better arrangements. The confusion over the last six weeks has 52 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 3: been I'm not sure that there's a great deal of 53 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 3: clarity for economic actors as to what is about fentanyl, 54 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 3: what is about border security, what is about fairness? And 55 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 3: then what is about some sort of protectionist idea. Of 56 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 3: all the different agendas out there, the one I'm most 57 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 3: comfortable with are all of the above, besides the protectionist one. 58 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 2: I do ultimately believe that using. 59 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 3: Tariffs to try to protect one economic actor against another 60 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 3: American economic actor, I think is problematic overall. 61 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 1: I mean, you've watched the opening couple of months. Have 62 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 1: you been surprised at the number of large investment announcements. 63 00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: I'm not surprised. 64 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 3: I've been watching with a lot of attention a couple 65 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 3: of early on ones from soft Bank, and then this 66 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 3: sort of VC group they want to put together with 67 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 3: open AI and then even the Apple one. They grab 68 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 3: my attention a little less even though they had bigger numbers, 69 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 3: because they were intent to do something. They hoped to 70 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 3: go raise the money to then do a lot of 71 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 3: this large investment. And I think those are beneficial headlines 72 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 3: for the president. They're certainly a great way to curry 73 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 3: the favor of the administration, and so they're positive in 74 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,840 Speaker 3: that sense. But a smaller announcement that is a bigger 75 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 3: deal to me is things like Hyundai this week. Twenty 76 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 3: billion doesn't sound like as big of a number as 77 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 3: five hundred billion, but this is twenty billion real dollars 78 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 3: versus five hundred billion potential dollars. And so I do 79 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 3: think that gaining investment in the United States is a 80 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 3: good thing, and I do believe the best way to 81 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 3: bring capital to our country is to be a place 82 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 3: worthy of other capital, with better environment, better regulatory environment, 83 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 3: rule of law, and all the things we believe in. 84 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 1: In that context, how important is the development of the 85 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: tax cut and Regulatory Reform bill sometime early this year. 86 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 2: It's incredibly important. 87 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 3: I was just at the Treasury Department last week having 88 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 3: meetings to this exact effect. I believe that what people 89 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 3: have to understand right now versus the first administration is 90 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 3: in twenty seventeen, his first year of Trump one point 91 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 3: zero that was the largest corporate tax reform bill in history. 92 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 3: They thought optimistically they may repatriate one trillion US dollars 93 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 3: and it ended up being one point eight trillion. It 94 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 3: is a massive factor as to how the economy held 95 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 3: up so well through the Biden administration and. 96 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 2: Post COVID period. 97 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 3: Not only the reduction of a corporate tax rate that 98 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,239 Speaker 3: was highly known on competitive at thirty five percent coming 99 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 3: down to twenty one percent, elimination of a lot of 100 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 3: loopholes and crony deductions, but there was just a regulatory 101 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 3: and tax reform apparatus that was highly supply side friendly, 102 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 3: in other words, incentivizing the production of the American economy 103 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 3: that we desperately needed. The tariffs came in twenty eighteen. 104 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 3: In the second year, you had one of the best 105 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 3: years you could imagine for the stock market. In twenty seventeen, 106 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 3: you got great real GDP growth. 107 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 2: And you signed that tax bill into law. 108 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 3: Then we went through a kind of choppy year trying 109 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 3: to find our footing around what was going to happen 110 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 3: or not happen with tariffs this time. By going in 111 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 3: the reverse order, I think they risk not having some 112 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 3: of the economic, not to mention, political capital in place. 113 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 3: If there's going to be a period of uncertainty, chaos, 114 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 3: challenge around tariff announcements. 115 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 2: I would rather the TCGA be. 116 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 3: Made permanent first, and that a lot of the benefits 117 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 3: of deregulation and doge. 118 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 2: Sink in first. 119 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 3: What has happened is sometimes you feel like maybe the 120 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 3: administration's lost focus on that issue. I don't think the 121 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 3: President has, and I definitely do not believe Secretary Beson has, 122 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 3: but I think markets have questioned are we going to 123 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 3: get this tax reform or not? Particularly for those of us, 124 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 3: mister Speaker, who know how complex it's going to be 125 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 3: to get the tax reform done with this budget reconciliation process, 126 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 3: People's eyes glaze over when you talk to them about 127 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 3: what has to happen procedurally to get it through. But 128 00:07:35,640 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 3: it matters a great deal, and we still don't have 129 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 3: a policy baseline in place as to what they're going 130 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 3: to base the budget reconciliation off of. There's a few 131 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 3: trillion dollars on the line there in terms of tax cuts. 132 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: I've been impressed partly because Speaker Johnson, with his very 133 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: tiny majority, has just firmly and steadily said we got 134 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: to get this done early. We're going to get this 135 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: done early, has to be bill and gradually. I think 136 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 1: he has convinced the Senate that that's the right strategy, 137 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: and I'm now moderately optimistic that they'll get a bill 138 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 1: done in May or very early June. 139 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's come up a great deal in the probability, 140 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 3: and I'm with you there. The Speaker has been phenomenal, 141 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 3: and I have to say President Trump has had his back. 142 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 3: He's worked the phones behind the scenes where they had 143 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 3: no margin of error to get that budget across the 144 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 3: finish line. 145 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 2: So I'm very hopeful. 146 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 1: To what extent does cutting spending and getting spending back 147 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: under control also create lower interest rates in a better 148 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 1: environment in which to imagine economic investment and growth. 149 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 3: It is probably the single lowest hanging fruit imaginable to 150 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 3: not only control the long end of the yield curve, 151 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 3: move interest rates lower and stimulate capital investment, but then 152 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 3: it also stops digging the ditch that is the whole 153 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 3: that is most impeding us, which is a debt to 154 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 3: GDP ratio is climbed from a post war average of 155 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 3: about seventeen percent to near twenty five percent. The thirty 156 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 3: six trillion of debt gets all the attention because it's 157 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:14,199 Speaker 3: a huge number, and it's sensational and it's obviously problematic, 158 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 3: But the debt to GDP number is the number that 159 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 3: we should be most concerned with, the ratio of debt 160 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 3: growing faster than economic productivity is growing. By getting spending 161 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 3: under control and allowing the private sector to do what 162 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 3: it does and economic growth to move faster than debt 163 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 3: is growing, then we have a chance of saving this. 164 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 2: The only thing I would say. 165 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 3: Versus what you all were heroically doing in the late 166 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 3: seventies and early eighties is we've dug the whole thirty 167 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 3: six times bigger since then. 168 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: I'm very proud of the fact that while we were 169 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 1: the first majority in forty years, we actually balanced the 170 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 1: budget for four three years, which is the only time 171 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 1: in the last century, which is sort of a bad 172 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: comment on how profligate we've been as a country. As 173 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 1: I left the speakership, Alan Greenspan, who was the Chairman 174 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: of the Federal Reserve at the time was giving a 175 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: speech that they were estimating we would pay off the 176 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: national debt by two thousand and nine, and they weren't 177 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,199 Speaker 1: sure at the Fed how they were going to manage 178 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: the money supply if there was no debt. Of course, 179 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:20,959 Speaker 1: it didn't turn out that way, but at the moment 180 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 1: it seemed awfully good. Now, from your perspective, with all 181 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 1: the turmoil we're describing here, big spending cuts, tariffs of 182 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,439 Speaker 1: some kind, a tax cut bill will eventually get done, 183 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: but it's not done yet. How does all that weave 184 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 1: together in terms of the chance of us dipping into 185 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: a recession this summer. 186 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 3: I think if we were to have a recession this summer, 187 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 3: we likely wouldn't know about it until the fall, and 188 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 3: it would be caused by some contraction in capital goods, investment, 189 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 3: in productivity, industrial production that. 190 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 2: Right now is not necessarily in the cards. 191 00:10:56,040 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 3: But President Trump had the highest small business optimism reading 192 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 3: that they've had since the NFIB started doing the data 193 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:08,559 Speaker 3: in the month after the election, and then last month 194 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 3: the small business uncertainty index was the highest it had 195 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 3: ever been. So that's a difficult thing to wrap my 196 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 3: arms around. But I do believe it's a byproduct to 197 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 3: some of the things you're referring to, just a little 198 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 3: bit of uncertainty as to what exactly is going to happen. 199 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 2: My own read on it, and I'm not, by. 200 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 3: Any means a political insider, but I think the messaging 201 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 3: I hear from Treasury gives a little more clarity than 202 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 3: the messaging I hear from commerce, and that's part of 203 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 3: the issue. 204 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 2: And we'll see what happens on April second. 205 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 3: But I do believe markets and not just financial markets 206 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 3: and risk assets. A lot of people think I'm always 207 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 3: talking about the stock market. 208 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 2: That's not what we're really referring to here. 209 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 3: It's businesses being able to invest in a new factory, 210 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 3: new R and D, new hiring plans. 211 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 2: It's tough to do that when uncertainty is high. 212 00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 3: And I think that the biggest risk to recession is 213 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 3: if I'm certain to get so high in April May 214 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:04,760 Speaker 3: that in June July we tip over. 215 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 1: I think with small businesses, they don't quite know what 216 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: the effect of the tariffs is going to be on 217 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 1: the products that they have to buy. I think that 218 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: really the sort of thing you have to look at 219 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:33,960 Speaker 1: and worry about in a serious kind of way. 220 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 3: Can I add to that also what they have to 221 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 3: sell that many of these companies are exporters, and if 222 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:43,559 Speaker 3: they face retaliatory tariffs, there ends up being a knock 223 00:12:43,600 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 3: on effect there as well. 224 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, if you're a small manufacturer, it could have a 225 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 1: devastating potential impact, or at least something that you have 226 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:55,560 Speaker 1: to adjust to and take into account. I noticed that 227 00:12:56,040 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 1: the former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers did say that he 228 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: thought there was about a fifty percent chance of a recession. 229 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 1: Do you think that he's overly pessimistic or does that 230 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: seem about reasonable? 231 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 2: I never like those things. 232 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:11,079 Speaker 3: Wall Street firms do it all the time too, where 233 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 3: they'll say, oh, it was thirty percent and now we 234 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:16,080 Speaker 3: think it's forty percent, and I think that it's a 235 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 3: little bit arbitrary. Do I think that whatever the chances 236 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 3: are of a recession are higher now than they were 237 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 3: two months ago? Yes, fifty percent seems a bit high, 238 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:31,080 Speaker 3: But again I believe that the more important piece is 239 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 3: that we could get subpar growth. That's the thing that 240 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 3: I never understood in the eight years of the Bomb administration. 241 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 3: We did not have a recession after we came out 242 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:44,640 Speaker 3: of the financial crisis, and yet we had eight consecutive 243 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 3: years of subpar growth. I no more want subpar growth 244 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 3: than I want a recession. All of it is bad 245 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:54,599 Speaker 3: for our children and grandchildren, and so we want to 246 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 3: be operating at an optimal full capacity scale. And I 247 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 3: do think that right now they're there are some animal 248 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,079 Speaker 3: spirits on the corporate side that are being held in. 249 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:08,439 Speaker 1: I kind of wonder if Trump once everything stabilizes, if 250 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: it's clear what the tariff policy will be, and we 251 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 1: actually pass the tax cut and regulation reform bill by 252 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 1: mid June, I wonder if you don't see a similar 253 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 1: explosion people finally saying Okay, I get it, I can 254 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 1: understand this, I can work in this operation. 255 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 3: There is a great pent up possibility of a lot 256 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 3: of those things. The other piece that you and I 257 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 3: both would add to the optimistic mix is energy independence, 258 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 3: the ability to combine with a tax and regulatory portfolio, 259 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 3: a real commitment that I think is not ambiguous. There's 260 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 3: a lot of areas for administration. I give them an 261 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 3: eight out of ten, and there's the one area we 262 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 3: talked about. 263 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 2: With trade that I have a lower score. 264 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 3: But energy is one from Chris Wright at the Energy 265 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 3: Department and Secretary Bergham and Interior to Trump one point 266 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,800 Speaker 3: zero and now two point zero legacy that I score 267 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 3: a ten out of ten, and that. 268 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,320 Speaker 2: Supply side growth as well. 269 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 3: That's permitting approval, removing impediments for what is a growth 270 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 3: industry not just environmentally better, not just geopolitically better, but 271 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 3: it's a growth opportunity for good paying wages that do 272 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 3: not require college degrees, to a. 273 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 2: Working class segment of American economy. 274 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 3: I think it's a tremendous aspect of this overall economic story. 275 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 1: It may fit in geopolitically too, because if we go 276 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 1: back to really accelerating liquefied natural gas exports to help 277 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:38,280 Speaker 1: the Europeans wean themselves off of Russian gas, it becomes 278 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 1: a double win for. 279 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 3: US, that's right, and Asian and European customers that are 280 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 3: able to ramp up their intake capacity while the Biden 281 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 3: administration shut. 282 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 2: Off our out take capacity. 283 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 3: It was really a surreal policy decision that was made 284 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 3: late in his administration. 285 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: I don't want to get off on the politics of it, 286 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: but it does strike me that there were an amazing 287 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 1: number of ways in which they did not understand markets 288 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:21,480 Speaker 1: and they didn't understand economies. The opposite of recession, of course, 289 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 1: is the whole inflation problem. It seems to me that 290 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: it's been harder to bring it down than people thought 291 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: it would be. 292 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,200 Speaker 3: Well, and I think a lot of this, mister speaker, 293 00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 3: has to do with what I refer to as the 294 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 3: political problem of inflation. That it doesn't do me any 295 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 3: good to talk about economics or Milton Friedman or monetary 296 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 3: phenomena when someone says egg prices just went up one 297 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 3: hundred percent. Egg prices did not go higher because of inflation. 298 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 3: Inflation is an economic term for the whole price level 299 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 3: going higher. And we have a problem of political inflation 300 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 3: because we have three areas of economy that, for twenty 301 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:05,160 Speaker 3: five years in a reasonably disinflationary period, three areas went 302 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:08,919 Speaker 3: higher and higher and higher above wage growth and above 303 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 3: the price level growth. And that is housing, healthcare, and 304 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:17,920 Speaker 3: higher education, the only three areas of the American economy 305 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 3: subsidized by Washington d C. So I think the political 306 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,920 Speaker 3: story with inflation goods. Inflation year over year has been 307 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 3: zero percent two years in a row. The monetary inflation 308 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 3: we faced in the immediate aftermath of the COVID excesses 309 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:35,400 Speaker 3: and the supply shutdowns. 310 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 2: Has largely been corrected. 311 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 3: One off issues around eggs because of bird flu issue 312 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 3: with chickens. You know, there's no FED governor or president 313 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 3: that can do anything immediately about that. But I think 314 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:52,400 Speaker 3: that housing is where Americans feel inflation. Housing is where 315 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 3: young people are spending fifty percent of their paycheck on 316 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,879 Speaker 3: their rent or It's incredible. 317 00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 1: But isn't the overhang of housing now likely to lead 318 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 1: to a pretty substantial declining cost. 319 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 3: Well, we are not yet out of place of an 320 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:11,359 Speaker 3: overhang in terms of national supply. I mean, there's more 321 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,960 Speaker 3: inventory available than there was last year, but we're still 322 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 3: very tight compared to historical norms, and transactions are at 323 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 3: a thirty year low. There's a sort of seller's strike 324 00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 3: right now. They have three percent mortgages. They're ready to 325 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 3: upgrade to a bigger, better home, but they don't want 326 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 3: to go take a seven percent mortgage. So artificially low 327 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:36,199 Speaker 3: interest rates become a problem later in a period of 328 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:39,679 Speaker 3: more normalized rates. The FED wants to clear the market. 329 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:41,720 Speaker 3: They're not going to get it back down to three, 330 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 3: but perhaps around five versus seven, you start. 331 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 2: Moving that a bit. 332 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 3: But no, I believe that housing represents the biggest inflation 333 00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 3: threat that we have. 334 00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 1: And so that's leading to a lot more multifamily apartments 335 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 1: and condos and things, because young people have to go somewhere. 336 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 2: That's right, And it isn't like those who have gotten 337 00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 2: to either. 338 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 3: You know, rents are still a very high multi family product. 339 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:12,399 Speaker 2: We did build a lot of new inventory for a 340 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 2: number of years, but then that stopped. 341 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 3: Over the last couple of years, permits really came to 342 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:21,639 Speaker 3: a halt. Higher interest rates and higher insurance costs made 343 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:26,959 Speaker 3: multi family construction less economical. Cities that were booming, like 344 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 3: Austin and Phoenix and Nashville and many Florida cities, they 345 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 3: saw a lot of new multifamily inventory come online. But 346 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 3: we're substantially underbuilt as a country in single family residents. 347 00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 1: And you don't think that'll change until you get down 348 00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:45,400 Speaker 1: to much lower mortgage rates. 349 00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 2: Much lower mortgage rates. 350 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 3: And again, the federalist in me has to always point 351 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 3: out that Washington, DC can't do everything states like California 352 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 3: and New York. You know, I sort of jokingly, except 353 00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 3: for I was being serious, said to our friend Mark 354 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:01,199 Speaker 3: Halprin the this morning on Tue. 355 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:03,920 Speaker 2: Apparently we know the blueprint for what. 356 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 3: To do about getting more supply in blue states, because 357 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 3: I heard the Governor of California say it on Meet 358 00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 3: the Press the week or two after the fires. He said, 359 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 3: what they're going to have to do to rebuild is suspend, 360 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:21,159 Speaker 3: seek a give zoning relief, permitting relief, regulatory relief. And 361 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,399 Speaker 3: I thought, I agree with everything he just said, except 362 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 3: for I didn't need the fires to know that that 363 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:25,840 Speaker 3: would work. 364 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 1: And we'll see if you can get the California legislature 365 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:29,199 Speaker 1: to do it. 366 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,680 Speaker 2: What's your reaction to the whole. 367 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:36,440 Speaker 1: Department of Efficiency, the DOGE effort, and the way they've 368 00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 1: moved forward. 369 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:43,200 Speaker 3: Well, I am mostly very supportive and sympathetic. A concept 370 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:46,440 Speaker 3: of it I liked a lot. I think the personality 371 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 3: of it changed publicly with Viv stepping aside to go 372 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 3: pursue his Ohio race. He has a certain eloquence and 373 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 3: skill is a messenger that I think would have been beneficial. 374 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,320 Speaker 3: Mitch Daniels said something about DOJ a couple weeks ago 375 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:06,680 Speaker 3: that stuck with me that his advice would be for 376 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,680 Speaker 3: them to basically do what they're doing, but to talk 377 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,879 Speaker 3: less and do more. And part of me wonders if 378 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 3: we didn't hear anything about it for six months, no tweets, 379 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:23,639 Speaker 3: no videos, no website update, and just in six months 380 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 3: they called a press conference and gave us the list 381 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,399 Speaker 3: of everything they had done. I think it would have 382 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 3: ninety five percent approval with the public. But this kind 383 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:35,120 Speaker 3: of day by day stuff, putting stuff on the website, 384 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,159 Speaker 3: having to take it back, there's mistakes made, There's a 385 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,399 Speaker 3: lot of messaging chaos that could be a reflection of 386 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:44,560 Speaker 3: my personality as a more traditionalist that I'm a kind 387 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,880 Speaker 3: of measure twice cut once kind of guy, And this 388 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 3: lends itself to a certain degree of chaos that I 389 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:54,480 Speaker 3: understand is unavoidable. But I think that the public's approval 390 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: of it dropping twenty percent is largely stylistic, and part 391 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,439 Speaker 3: of me thinks the substance of it is still going 392 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 3: to be very popular. 393 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 1: When you look at all this and you just close 394 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 1: your eyes, we get politics, et cetera. You know Trump 395 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 1: talks about a golden age. Do you think ten years 396 00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 1: from now America is likely to be dramatically better off, 397 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 1: a little better off, or still sort of in the doldrums. 398 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 3: For us to be in a better place than ten years, 399 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,600 Speaker 3: America cannot be as secular as a country as it 400 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 3: is now. It is going to have to re embrace 401 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,000 Speaker 3: and there are signs that it is doing so, that 402 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,639 Speaker 3: gen Z is a bit more open to church and 403 00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 3: to Synagogue into embracing some of the Jeneo Christian principles 404 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 3: of our nation than jen Why was but in ten 405 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:41,800 Speaker 3: years to come out of the doldrums, It's not going. 406 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,000 Speaker 2: To be because of egg prices. 407 00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 3: It's not going to because GDP came up from two 408 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 3: point four to two point eight. There is a spirit 409 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 3: around the country that is not in a good place. 410 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 3: And there's a lot that can be done on a 411 00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 3: policy front, and there's a lot that needs stapen economically. 412 00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 2: But I still believe the largest. 413 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 3: Things that plays are cultural and that sort of restoration 414 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 3: of a Tokvillian vision of the country with strong communities. 415 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 2: It's going to be very hard for that to be 416 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 2: back in ten years. 417 00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,680 Speaker 3: The nineteen sixties radicalism that undid it didn't work in 418 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 3: ten years. It took thirty or forty. We're going to 419 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:17,880 Speaker 3: need more than ten to get back. 420 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 1: This is why I think the twenty twenty six election 421 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,919 Speaker 1: is so important. You have to keep the House, you 422 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 1: have to keep the momentum. You have to win the 423 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 1: election of twenty eight for a president, Senate, and House. 424 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: And if you can get three terms in a row Trump, 425 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 1: and then two terms for the next president, you probably 426 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:38,080 Speaker 1: by then will have locked into place patterns and trends 427 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:40,719 Speaker 1: which will have ended the Roosevelt era and move us 428 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:45,520 Speaker 1: towards a more decentralized, more voluntarism and more faith based 429 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,919 Speaker 1: society than we've been in the last thirty or forty years. 430 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:51,679 Speaker 3: I think that there's a lot of merit to that, 431 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:56,480 Speaker 3: and that for us to conscientiously do that. It also 432 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 3: provides the political capital and do some of the big 433 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 3: difficult things that will have to be done entitlement reform 434 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,679 Speaker 3: and so forth. So there's a lot of wood to chop, 435 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 3: but one election at a time, and in the meantime. 436 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,200 Speaker 2: I still believe, as much as all of us. 437 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:14,639 Speaker 3: Are oftentimes stuck in the political sphere and the economic 438 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 3: sphere policy, so much of this will come down to 439 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 3: our own efforts with our families and communities and churches 440 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 3: as well. 441 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:23,640 Speaker 1: David, this has been a lot of fun I've been 442 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 1: reading your ads with Alprin, so when told me that 443 00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 1: you were available on going to join us, I was 444 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:32,439 Speaker 1: really thrilled and it's certainly lived up to all of 445 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,000 Speaker 1: my hopes. I hope someday in six months or so, 446 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 1: you'll come back and give us another view of how 447 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,760 Speaker 1: the world's evolving. I want to thank you for joining me. 448 00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:41,880 Speaker 1: I want to let our listeners know they can sign 449 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:45,920 Speaker 1: up to get your newsletter Dividend Cafe by visiting your 450 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 1: website at the Bonsgroup dot com slash Dividendcafe. And if 451 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,399 Speaker 1: you're in stued in politics like we both are, you 452 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 1: can sign up to watch the morning meeting sponsored by 453 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: the Bonson Group at two way dot tv. Thank you very. 454 00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 2: Much, Thank you so much for having me. It's been 455 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:02,200 Speaker 2: a privilege. 456 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:09,120 Speaker 1: Thank you to my guest, David Bonsen. You can learn 457 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 1: more about his company, the Bonsen Group on our show 458 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,720 Speaker 1: page at newtsworld dot com. Newtsworld is produced by Gainglishtree 459 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:20,920 Speaker 1: sixty and iHeartMedia. Our executive producer is Guarnsey Sloan. Our 460 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:25,040 Speaker 1: researcher is Rachel Peterson. The artwork for the show was 461 00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: created by Steve Penley. Special thanks to the team at 462 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 1: Ginglishtree sixty. If you're been enjoying Newtsworld, I hope you'll 463 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,560 Speaker 1: go to Apple Podcasts and both rate us with five 464 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: stars and give us a review so others can learn 465 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,880 Speaker 1: what it's all about. Right now, listeners of Newtsworld consigning 466 00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: for my three free weekly columns at Gainglistree sixty dot 467 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,120 Speaker 1: com slash newsletter. I'm Newt Gingrich. 468 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:48,959 Speaker 2: This is Newtsworld