WEBVTT - Micron Warns of Heavy Spending Amid Memory Crunch

0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:12.959
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is a

0:00:13.039 --> 0:00:16.760
<v Speaker 1>live from coast to coast with Caroline Hyde in New

0:00:16.840 --> 0:00:20.560
<v Speaker 1>York and Edlow in San Francisco.

0:00:21.960 --> 0:00:23.600
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

0:00:23.600 --> 0:00:26.400
<v Speaker 3>Micron wanns of heavy spending on production to meet demand

0:00:26.440 --> 0:00:29.440
<v Speaker 3>for its memory chips. Will break down the company's results.

0:00:29.760 --> 0:00:32.360
<v Speaker 3>Rasali Baba says it's aiming to generate one hundred billion

0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:35.080
<v Speaker 3>dollars in cloud and AI revenue within the next five years,

0:00:35.360 --> 0:00:38.400
<v Speaker 3>even as earnings come on pressure and Uber and Rivian.

0:00:38.440 --> 0:00:40.479
<v Speaker 3>They team up with Uber set to invest up to

0:00:40.479 --> 0:00:43.720
<v Speaker 3>one point twenty five billion dollars in Rivian's Robotaxi fleet.

0:00:44.320 --> 0:00:46.680
<v Speaker 3>The details on the deal, but first we have the

0:00:46.680 --> 0:00:49.120
<v Speaker 3>details on the macro picture. Once again, stocks are under

0:00:49.159 --> 0:00:51.960
<v Speaker 3>pressure today. This is because oil pushes high, the conflict

0:00:52.280 --> 0:00:55.720
<v Speaker 3>intensifying in the Middle East, and energy infrastructure under fire.

0:00:55.760 --> 0:00:58.680
<v Speaker 3>We're currently seeing up three percent on Brent, but boy

0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:01.600
<v Speaker 3>headed spiral hire earlier huge moves in the bond market

0:01:01.640 --> 0:01:03.800
<v Speaker 3>start to dial down. We've seen eighteen basis points on

0:01:03.800 --> 0:01:07.280
<v Speaker 3>the two year, extraordinary moves in the UK on its guilts. Look,

0:01:07.280 --> 0:01:09.640
<v Speaker 3>we are worried about inflationary pressure and the ability of

0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:12.040
<v Speaker 3>central banks to make a move. We saw the ECB,

0:01:12.160 --> 0:01:14.360
<v Speaker 3>the BOE, and of course I've fed yesterday in the

0:01:14.440 --> 0:01:17.160
<v Speaker 3>Japanese overnight. All keep rates on hold, but all of

0:01:17.160 --> 0:01:19.280
<v Speaker 3>them eyeing whether or not policy moves when we needed

0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:21.679
<v Speaker 3>in the near term, move on to individual stocks, because

0:01:21.760 --> 0:01:26.800
<v Speaker 3>Micron down two point six percent when the chip maker

0:01:27.000 --> 0:01:31.720
<v Speaker 3>posted a quadrupling in its revenue, it saw six hundred

0:01:31.760 --> 0:01:35.000
<v Speaker 3>percent increase in its earnings press share. However, it is

0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:37.280
<v Speaker 3>spending big and we want to get the details with

0:01:37.319 --> 0:01:40.200
<v Speaker 3>Dinabas because this stock has run up because well, the

0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:43.720
<v Speaker 3>pricing pressure in memory chips in particular, that aids the

0:01:43.760 --> 0:01:46.360
<v Speaker 3>revenue and the profitability of Micron, but it's going to

0:01:46.440 --> 0:01:47.960
<v Speaker 3>have to spend to keep up with demand.

0:01:53.840 --> 0:01:56.160
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, you would think that the numbers they

0:01:56.200 --> 0:01:59.400
<v Speaker 4>posted yesterday would cause the stock to go up. As

0:01:59.440 --> 0:02:01.920
<v Speaker 4>you mentioned, there's a bit of an issue here that

0:02:02.080 --> 0:02:03.960
<v Speaker 4>the reason the stock is going up, as you said,

0:02:04.000 --> 0:02:08.359
<v Speaker 4>is because we are seeing an almost unprecedented increase in

0:02:08.480 --> 0:02:11.240
<v Speaker 4>the price of memory. What's gone on is that there's

0:02:11.240 --> 0:02:14.119
<v Speaker 4>a thing called high bandwidth memory, which is really critical

0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:16.640
<v Speaker 4>for all of the AI chips that in Nvidia has

0:02:16.680 --> 0:02:20.080
<v Speaker 4>been talking about this week at its TC conference. And

0:02:21.520 --> 0:02:26.720
<v Speaker 4>you know, while that's demand has accelerated, the three makers

0:02:26.720 --> 0:02:29.359
<v Speaker 4>of that memory, that's Micron, Samsung and s k Heinex,

0:02:29.560 --> 0:02:32.920
<v Speaker 4>have been focusing on that product, which is you know,

0:02:33.000 --> 0:02:37.079
<v Speaker 4>short supply, and they have focused less on other memory products,

0:02:37.080 --> 0:02:39.880
<v Speaker 4>things like d RAM. So the people that use DRAM,

0:02:39.880 --> 0:02:43.400
<v Speaker 4>we're talking about PC makers, phonemakers, car makers, are paying

0:02:43.480 --> 0:02:46.600
<v Speaker 4>dramatically higher prices for that. That's good for Micron, and

0:02:46.639 --> 0:02:50.120
<v Speaker 4>you saw that in those numbers. But Micron and you know,

0:02:50.160 --> 0:02:53.560
<v Speaker 4>Samsung has also announced extra extra spending, so they're trying

0:02:53.560 --> 0:02:57.680
<v Speaker 4>to expand you know, their capital expenditures, build more facilities,

0:02:57.720 --> 0:03:01.840
<v Speaker 4>make more of this memory, you both kinds. And so

0:03:02.000 --> 0:03:04.919
<v Speaker 4>you're seeing, you know, a forecast for higher capex this year,

0:03:05.000 --> 0:03:09.080
<v Speaker 4>for continued increasing capex next year, and so investors are

0:03:09.080 --> 0:03:11.279
<v Speaker 4>trying to wrangle with what all of that means.

0:03:12.080 --> 0:03:15.200
<v Speaker 3>Was there a risk when we go to HBM four

0:03:15.240 --> 0:03:19.079
<v Speaker 3>in particular and just the desire for more these high

0:03:19.080 --> 0:03:22.280
<v Speaker 3>boundwidth memory chips in AI accelerators, Is there any risk

0:03:22.360 --> 0:03:23.960
<v Speaker 3>that Innvidia uses.

0:03:23.760 --> 0:03:26.120
<v Speaker 2>Skhinex or Samsung more than Micron.

0:03:27.200 --> 0:03:30.480
<v Speaker 4>So there have been some reports, you know, some analysis

0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:33.360
<v Speaker 4>said something out a couple of weeks ago, raising concerns

0:03:33.360 --> 0:03:37.400
<v Speaker 4>about whether Micron will be you know, as important to

0:03:37.640 --> 0:03:41.840
<v Speaker 4>in Vidia's next Vera Ruben chips as some of its competitors.

0:03:42.960 --> 0:03:46.760
<v Speaker 4>Micron has said this week that they are now shipping

0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:49.680
<v Speaker 4>that HBM four in volume, and they have said that

0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:52.000
<v Speaker 4>it is designed for Vera rubin. I think we were,

0:03:52.160 --> 0:03:55.280
<v Speaker 4>you know, waiting to see what that means, what exactly

0:03:55.320 --> 0:03:58.000
<v Speaker 4>in Vidia is going to use who and how much.

0:03:58.320 --> 0:04:00.320
<v Speaker 4>But that has been a concern and that has been

0:04:00.320 --> 0:04:02.280
<v Speaker 4>weighing on the stock at various points, even though this

0:04:02.400 --> 0:04:05.080
<v Speaker 4>dock has been over overall has been up.

0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:08.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, maybe just a bit of profit taking

0:04:08.280 --> 0:04:10.920
<v Speaker 3>on the day. Dinabas, who has been incredibly busy this

0:04:10.960 --> 0:04:13.560
<v Speaker 3>week at GtC and now on Micron, we so appreciate

0:04:13.560 --> 0:04:15.800
<v Speaker 3>you joining this morning. Now let's turn our attention to

0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:19.000
<v Speaker 3>the Fedshair Japwell, who says that look, while AI holds

0:04:19.080 --> 0:04:22.080
<v Speaker 3>long term promise, is near term impact may actually be

0:04:22.160 --> 0:04:25.080
<v Speaker 3>adding to inflation, such as with these chips as companies

0:04:25.160 --> 0:04:26.719
<v Speaker 3>ramp up investment, just take a listen.

0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:31.040
<v Speaker 5>In the short term, what's happening is we're building data

0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:35.760
<v Speaker 5>centers everywhere, and that's actually putting pressure on on all

0:04:35.839 --> 0:04:39.000
<v Speaker 5>kinds of goods and services that go into building these things.

0:04:39.040 --> 0:04:41.960
<v Speaker 5>So that's actually probably pushing inflation up at the margin.

0:04:42.720 --> 0:04:45.720
<v Speaker 3>That perspective comes as investors continue to pass the real

0:04:45.800 --> 0:04:47.159
<v Speaker 3>world payoff.

0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:49.039
<v Speaker 2>Or not from AI for more.

0:04:49.160 --> 0:04:52.960
<v Speaker 3>Martin Norton Empowered Chief investment strategist joins us, look, Micron

0:04:53.080 --> 0:04:56.960
<v Speaker 3>speaks to this inflationary pressure that we see coming from AI.

0:04:57.040 --> 0:04:59.760
<v Speaker 3>Marta just dig in there as to what fedshair powers,

0:04:59.800 --> 0:05:02.760
<v Speaker 3>saying how much are we likely to see just bottlenecks

0:05:02.800 --> 0:05:03.520
<v Speaker 3>being the issue?

0:05:04.560 --> 0:05:07.560
<v Speaker 6>Well, it is the question or what are the questions

0:05:07.600 --> 0:05:10.920
<v Speaker 6>of the hour when we think about AI in twenty

0:05:10.960 --> 0:05:14.240
<v Speaker 6>twenty six, in twenty twenty seven, we know that timeline

0:05:14.560 --> 0:05:16.560
<v Speaker 6>for the AI build is quite long, we know it's

0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:20.400
<v Speaker 6>quite expensive, and we know that it is creating bottlenecks

0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:22.200
<v Speaker 6>not just for memory chips but.

0:05:22.120 --> 0:05:23.400
<v Speaker 2>Also for energy.

0:05:23.480 --> 0:05:26.120
<v Speaker 6>So there's all these kind of hot pockets that are

0:05:26.160 --> 0:05:30.120
<v Speaker 6>related to the build. I don't know if we're looking

0:05:30.320 --> 0:05:33.240
<v Speaker 6>at a FED chair or a committee that's saying that

0:05:33.279 --> 0:05:36.599
<v Speaker 6>this is going to excessively move core inflation, but I

0:05:36.600 --> 0:05:39.039
<v Speaker 6>think it's coming at an inopportune time when, of course

0:05:39.080 --> 0:05:41.760
<v Speaker 6>we also have an oil shock, and we have an

0:05:41.800 --> 0:05:45.400
<v Speaker 6>inflation picture that continues to linger. So I think it's

0:05:45.440 --> 0:05:48.799
<v Speaker 6>more the sum total of all the different questions from AI,

0:05:48.920 --> 0:05:51.880
<v Speaker 6>from energy, from lingering inflation that puts us in the

0:05:51.880 --> 0:05:52.960
<v Speaker 6>position we're in today.

0:05:53.120 --> 0:05:55.520
<v Speaker 3>Go to the oil shock, Malta, go to the conflict

0:05:55.560 --> 0:05:58.440
<v Speaker 3>with the Middle East, and what that means for invested

0:05:58.480 --> 0:05:59.280
<v Speaker 3>demand right now.

0:06:00.279 --> 0:06:04.640
<v Speaker 6>Well, it's so interesting right now because Powell couched his

0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:09.839
<v Speaker 6>comments yesterday around inflation uncertainty by also noting that typically

0:06:10.040 --> 0:06:13.560
<v Speaker 6>wisdom would suggest that you look through an oil price

0:06:13.800 --> 0:06:17.600
<v Speaker 6>shock because it's not a permanent change in inflation. And

0:06:17.640 --> 0:06:20.120
<v Speaker 6>in fact, when you look at the summary of Economic

0:06:20.160 --> 0:06:25.640
<v Speaker 6>projections yesterday, yes, the committee mood inflation expectations higher for

0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:28.520
<v Speaker 6>this year, but then the expectation and of course these

0:06:28.560 --> 0:06:30.680
<v Speaker 6>have a wide range of outcomes around them, but the

0:06:30.800 --> 0:06:34.240
<v Speaker 6>expectations for next year weren't really that much higher than

0:06:34.279 --> 0:06:37.160
<v Speaker 6>they already were, and so that would reflect this idea

0:06:37.200 --> 0:06:41.480
<v Speaker 6>that we're looking at a near term disruption but not

0:06:41.560 --> 0:06:44.719
<v Speaker 6>necessarily longer term. But of course the juries out we're

0:06:44.720 --> 0:06:48.359
<v Speaker 6>seeing destruction of energy infrastructure in real time, and that's

0:06:48.560 --> 0:06:50.880
<v Speaker 6>one of those tipping variables that could put us in

0:06:50.920 --> 0:06:54.360
<v Speaker 6>a much more difficult position from an energy and oil

0:06:54.400 --> 0:06:55.479
<v Speaker 6>price shock perspective.

0:06:55.560 --> 0:06:58.080
<v Speaker 3>I mean, boy, does it put a difficult position on

0:06:58.200 --> 0:07:01.200
<v Speaker 3>Asia and Europe more so than the US.

0:07:01.240 --> 0:07:01.880
<v Speaker 2>In particular.

0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:04.280
<v Speaker 3>It's interesting that we have a meeting between the Japanese

0:07:04.360 --> 0:07:08.200
<v Speaker 3>leader and the United States today and we are expecting

0:07:08.200 --> 0:07:09.480
<v Speaker 3>actually nuclear deals to.

0:07:09.440 --> 0:07:10.360
<v Speaker 2>Be announced from that.

0:07:10.640 --> 0:07:14.400
<v Speaker 3>But how are you seeing in particular a long term

0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:18.760
<v Speaker 3>change in geopolitics and what that means more ultimately for

0:07:18.840 --> 0:07:20.880
<v Speaker 3>investor risk on attitude.

0:07:21.320 --> 0:07:23.400
<v Speaker 6>Well, I mean, the observation that this is a very

0:07:23.400 --> 0:07:26.160
<v Speaker 6>different scenario for the US versus the rest of the

0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:28.840
<v Speaker 6>world is spot on, because of course the US is

0:07:28.880 --> 0:07:31.840
<v Speaker 6>the er is the world's largest producer of natural gas

0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:34.440
<v Speaker 6>and of oil. That doesn't necessarily shelter it from all

0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:36.920
<v Speaker 6>shocks on the oil front. It certainly provides protection on

0:07:36.960 --> 0:07:39.640
<v Speaker 6>the natural gas front. In Asia and Europe are in

0:07:39.760 --> 0:07:42.119
<v Speaker 6>very different positions, and we're seeing them kind of thread

0:07:42.160 --> 0:07:45.440
<v Speaker 6>the needle on the geopolitics front. They're not necessarily putting

0:07:45.440 --> 0:07:48.320
<v Speaker 6>pressure on the US to stab as attacks, but they're

0:07:48.360 --> 0:07:50.560
<v Speaker 6>certainly not joining in it. And of course we also

0:07:50.640 --> 0:07:54.400
<v Speaker 6>have all the new dynamics that were released last year

0:07:54.440 --> 0:07:57.280
<v Speaker 6>around tariffs, so there does seem to be a shifting

0:07:57.520 --> 0:08:01.480
<v Speaker 6>of how countries are inner or are relating to one another.

0:08:01.840 --> 0:08:03.600
<v Speaker 6>I think one of the things we want to watch

0:08:03.640 --> 0:08:06.840
<v Speaker 6>longer term is what kind of regionalization does this create

0:08:07.200 --> 0:08:10.320
<v Speaker 6>from how economies operate versus how they've been operating on

0:08:10.360 --> 0:08:13.000
<v Speaker 6>a much more global scale. But I don't think we

0:08:13.040 --> 0:08:15.240
<v Speaker 6>want to jump to conclusions there. There's still a lot

0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:17.280
<v Speaker 6>to understand about how things are unfolding.

0:08:17.360 --> 0:08:19.560
<v Speaker 3>Look, I'm going to thread a difficult needle here of

0:08:19.600 --> 0:08:23.200
<v Speaker 3>how it impacts technology, because there have been stark warnings

0:08:23.280 --> 0:08:26.560
<v Speaker 3>that if infrastructure is decimated in the Middle East, those

0:08:26.600 --> 0:08:29.440
<v Speaker 3>pools of capital that have been very important to some

0:08:29.480 --> 0:08:32.920
<v Speaker 3>of the big foundational modules here in the United States.

0:08:32.960 --> 0:08:35.160
<v Speaker 2>The AI growth story has been.

0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:36.800
<v Speaker 3>Dependent on Middle East of money and that might be

0:08:36.840 --> 0:08:39.960
<v Speaker 3>diverted to far more immediate concerns.

0:08:40.040 --> 0:08:41.760
<v Speaker 2>March or Is that something you're hearing about.

0:08:42.040 --> 0:08:44.920
<v Speaker 6>That's a great observation. It isn't something that I've heard about,

0:08:44.960 --> 0:08:48.319
<v Speaker 6>but I think it's a very astute topic to raise.

0:08:48.640 --> 0:08:51.559
<v Speaker 6>I've also heard folks talk a little bit more about

0:08:51.800 --> 0:08:54.840
<v Speaker 6>the supply chain disruption that could come from AI if

0:08:54.880 --> 0:08:57.640
<v Speaker 6>we're looking at places like Taiwan and we're looking at

0:08:57.679 --> 0:09:01.880
<v Speaker 6>manufacturing capabilities and there's an energy import element there. What

0:09:01.960 --> 0:09:04.360
<v Speaker 6>can we expect in terms of what that disruption looks

0:09:04.360 --> 0:09:06.839
<v Speaker 6>like and how does that ultimately play through to AI

0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:10.280
<v Speaker 6>cost Again, a lot of you know, the jury is

0:09:10.320 --> 0:09:12.559
<v Speaker 6>still out, so I don't want to assume too much.

0:09:12.880 --> 0:09:16.160
<v Speaker 6>But right now we're seeing tech mag seven software. We're

0:09:16.160 --> 0:09:18.760
<v Speaker 6>seeing strength and a lot of those areas at least

0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:21.520
<v Speaker 6>relative to the sell offs that we're seeing elsewhere. But

0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:24.040
<v Speaker 6>should we start to see some disruption both from a

0:09:24.080 --> 0:09:27.800
<v Speaker 6>funding perspective and from the perspective of the AI supply chain,

0:09:28.160 --> 0:09:30.520
<v Speaker 6>I think that's something that could you know, at least

0:09:30.559 --> 0:09:32.360
<v Speaker 6>be a headwind for some of those areas up have

0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:33.320
<v Speaker 6>been holding up well?

0:09:34.400 --> 0:09:35.000
<v Speaker 2>Does it?

0:09:35.080 --> 0:09:36.800
<v Speaker 3>And I might not be a out of expertise, but

0:09:36.840 --> 0:09:39.320
<v Speaker 3>doesn't mean anything for the IPO pipeline and the idea

0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:40.679
<v Speaker 3>that we were set to be having some of the

0:09:40.679 --> 0:09:42.720
<v Speaker 3>biggest companies private companies coming.

0:09:42.480 --> 0:09:45.559
<v Speaker 2>To the market well IPO and M and A.

0:09:45.720 --> 0:09:48.280
<v Speaker 6>Those were areas that people were looking at as being

0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:51.920
<v Speaker 6>a real source of excitement for twenty twenty six with

0:09:51.960 --> 0:09:55.439
<v Speaker 6>a lot of momentum building. Again, I don't want to

0:09:55.480 --> 0:09:59.080
<v Speaker 6>assume too much on what this geopolitical event means for

0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:01.880
<v Speaker 6>the broad economy and whether it unhinges it all together.

0:10:02.200 --> 0:10:04.760
<v Speaker 6>My base case at the moment, even though we're seeing

0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:07.880
<v Speaker 6>energy infrastructure getting destroyed in real time, is that this

0:10:08.000 --> 0:10:11.679
<v Speaker 6>does have a near term end point. We're not necessarily

0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:13.800
<v Speaker 6>looking at the most severe scenario. So a lot of

0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:16.360
<v Speaker 6>the trends that were in play. My estimation is that

0:10:16.400 --> 0:10:18.520
<v Speaker 6>they remain in play, but we're on a pause for

0:10:18.559 --> 0:10:21.960
<v Speaker 6>the moment. Of course, we have to keep our options

0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:22.720
<v Speaker 6>open on that front.

0:10:22.880 --> 0:10:25.160
<v Speaker 3>We do Martin norton a time of uncertainty, and we

0:10:25.200 --> 0:10:26.679
<v Speaker 3>so appreciate you joining us on it.

0:10:26.920 --> 0:10:28.679
<v Speaker 2>From Empower coming.

0:10:28.480 --> 0:10:31.640
<v Speaker 3>Up, ali Baba sets an ambitious one hundred billion dollar

0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:34.440
<v Speaker 3>target for cloud and AI revenue, even as earnings come

0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:35.040
<v Speaker 3>under pressure.

0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:37.440
<v Speaker 2>That's next. This is brtting their tech.

0:10:46.200 --> 0:10:48.920
<v Speaker 3>Ali Baba says it's aiming to generate one hundred billion

0:10:48.960 --> 0:10:51.600
<v Speaker 3>dollars in cloud and AI revenue within the next five years.

0:10:51.640 --> 0:10:53.800
<v Speaker 2>This is CEO dy Wu really laid out the.

0:10:53.800 --> 0:10:56.720
<v Speaker 3>Ambitious target out of the company reported a sixty seven

0:10:56.760 --> 0:10:59.959
<v Speaker 3>percent drop in quarterly earnings alongside some pretty sluggish revenue growth.

0:11:00.400 --> 0:11:02.920
<v Speaker 3>For more Bloomberg's Asia stuctural Portos here in New York

0:11:02.960 --> 0:11:03.560
<v Speaker 3>for US.

0:11:03.480 --> 0:11:08.360
<v Speaker 2>Hyukang Lee Yang. Why the pressure on the profitability in particular.

0:11:08.440 --> 0:11:10.280
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I think that's a really good question that all

0:11:10.280 --> 0:11:12.680
<v Speaker 7>the investors are asking, and I think the sixty seven

0:11:12.720 --> 0:11:15.480
<v Speaker 7>percent drop in that income pretty much shows how much

0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:19.240
<v Speaker 7>profit or how much investment in the quick commerce or

0:11:19.280 --> 0:11:22.680
<v Speaker 7>the AI are eating into the profitability of the company.

0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:25.080
<v Speaker 7>I mean, the sixty percent drop, it was a huge

0:11:25.200 --> 0:11:28.640
<v Speaker 7>miss and it was the smallest that income since early

0:11:28.679 --> 0:11:32.760
<v Speaker 7>twenty twenty four, So it was the biggest disappointment to investors,

0:11:33.600 --> 0:11:34.319
<v Speaker 7>that being.

0:11:34.160 --> 0:11:37.560
<v Speaker 3>A big disappointment even with these big Bowld ambitions to

0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:41.200
<v Speaker 3>drive up the revenue side the profitability side by charging

0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:44.000
<v Speaker 3>more for cloud, charging more for what is their AI

0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:47.360
<v Speaker 3>agentic offering. How are we seeing sort of investors pay

0:11:47.360 --> 0:11:48.800
<v Speaker 3>attention to this in the stop because at the moment,

0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:50.880
<v Speaker 3>it's having its worst day since October of last year,

0:11:50.880 --> 0:11:52.440
<v Speaker 3>at one point of April of last year.

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:55.160
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, the stock was down almost like ten percent earlier

0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:57.920
<v Speaker 7>this morning, and investors are apparently very unhappy. And I think,

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:01.840
<v Speaker 7>especially under this macro environment, investor tends to punish these

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:06.680
<v Speaker 7>statement unless they're accompanied by some clear profitability paths or

0:12:06.720 --> 0:12:10.720
<v Speaker 7>the monetization plan and especially the competition the AI is

0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:15.800
<v Speaker 7>getting heated in China. Alibaba is facing steper competition from Tencent,

0:12:16.080 --> 0:12:17.880
<v Speaker 7>and if you look at the share price in March,

0:12:17.920 --> 0:12:20.160
<v Speaker 7>ten Cent has been performing a lot better than Ali

0:12:20.200 --> 0:12:22.400
<v Speaker 7>Baba in the month of March, so you can see

0:12:22.440 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 7>there how investors are more hopeful and more optimistic about

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 7>one company's AI plan than the others. So how it

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 7>is going to profit rather than how much reavenue is

0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:34.400
<v Speaker 7>going to be making in the coming years might be

0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:37.000
<v Speaker 7>the bigger focus for investors going forward, if you want to,

0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:37.840
<v Speaker 7>if you want to.

0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:40.920
<v Speaker 3>Guess about his future share price, you're currently I'm very

0:12:40.960 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 3>pleased to say with us when it matters on all

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 3>things in Asia.

0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:44.480
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much.

0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:47.720
<v Speaker 3>Indeed, look, let's stick with the Alababa story and Jacob

0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:51.119
<v Speaker 3>Cookies with us. Wpic CEO joining us and your expertise

0:12:51.160 --> 0:12:53.440
<v Speaker 3>really has been in the e commerce in marketing areas

0:12:53.720 --> 0:12:56.560
<v Speaker 3>within Asian businesses and companies looking to penetrate Asia, but

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:59.360
<v Speaker 3>you're also looking much more on AI adoption as well. First,

0:12:59.360 --> 0:13:02.679
<v Speaker 3>with Alibaba, just general numbers, how worrying is it that

0:13:02.679 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 3>their profitability is being so hit by competition.

0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:09.000
<v Speaker 8>It's not that worrying. I think this was very well announced.

0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 9>They were telling us about the investments in twenty twenty

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:13.840
<v Speaker 9>five that were going into AI, and they've also announced

0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:15.960
<v Speaker 9>that that's going to double in twenty twenty six, so

0:13:16.000 --> 0:13:20.679
<v Speaker 9>that probably holds. In terms of pressure on income. Some

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:23.120
<v Speaker 9>of the numbers were pretty optimistic, and certainly in terms

0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 9>of the AI announcements and what they're doing with their

0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 9>token hub, you know, we see pretty good potential.

0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:29.079
<v Speaker 8>And again, I think this has.

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:31.320
<v Speaker 9>Been part of a well announced plan that's in a

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:33.960
<v Speaker 9>couple of years of execution right now and seems to

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:35.600
<v Speaker 9>be relatively on schedule.

0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Okay, let's talk about what's on schedule when it comes

0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:41.360
<v Speaker 3>to AI adoption and competing against say like a ten

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:43.560
<v Speaker 3>cent We were just hearing from yuk Lang about why

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:45.400
<v Speaker 3>ten cents high and many people feeling that the we

0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:49.440
<v Speaker 3>chat optionality that it gives you, particularly with openclare and

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 3>agentic AI penetration is just far clearer. How is Ali

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:56.959
<v Speaker 3>Barbar going to make sure that it's AI tech stat works.

0:13:57.400 --> 0:14:00.440
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think there's two things. One, quens open source

0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:02.720
<v Speaker 9>model is incredible. I've got it running on my new

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 9>M five laptop right now. And it actually is one

0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:07.040
<v Speaker 9>of the best models that you can get running locally.

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:09.760
<v Speaker 9>So they've got incredible adoption there. And you talk about

0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 9>open claw, and then again, what are these agents and

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:14.760
<v Speaker 9>the agentic ai going to be doing. They're going to

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:18.240
<v Speaker 9>be buying token So opening up that token hub is great.

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 8>And let's not forget.

0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 9>I mean, this was their tenth quarter of triple digit

0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:24.880
<v Speaker 9>AI revenue, so when they're talking about these massive ambitious

0:14:24.880 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 9>goals of one hundred billion in revenue, you know, I

0:14:28.240 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 9>think there's a real clear path for them to get there.

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:33.080
<v Speaker 9>And you know, another thing that we notice in China

0:14:33.120 --> 0:14:34.640
<v Speaker 9>as well is you know, they may not be.

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 8>Dealing with the top models or winning the.

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:40.000
<v Speaker 9>Contest there, but the adoption rates among users even open Claw,

0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:42.560
<v Speaker 9>you know, a little later adoption there, but now it's

0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:46.480
<v Speaker 9>having more uses installations inside China than the US. So

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:49.360
<v Speaker 9>I think all of those adoption rates in China in

0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:51.640
<v Speaker 9>general with the a the way the AI market looks

0:14:51.680 --> 0:14:54.080
<v Speaker 9>like in the willingness of employers now to spend on

0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 9>tokens to enhance the productivity of their offices, I think

0:14:57.240 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 9>is very positive and should lend to more triple growth.

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:02.600
<v Speaker 8>You know, throughout twenty twenty six.

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean, Jacob, you've always been this great read on

0:15:04.960 --> 0:15:08.600
<v Speaker 3>the consumer over in Asia and China in particular. What's

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:11.360
<v Speaker 3>it like on the streets, the sort of fanfare, the

0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 3>hype around open tool.

0:15:15.280 --> 0:15:17.640
<v Speaker 9>It's not just on the streets, it's all over social media.

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.240
<v Speaker 9>It's pretty amazing. And the levels of innovation that are

0:15:20.240 --> 0:15:22.920
<v Speaker 9>coming out, you know, they're using different models, it's running

0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:26.040
<v Speaker 9>so much more locally than the installations did. But it's

0:15:26.160 --> 0:15:29.960
<v Speaker 9>basically allowed on premise to come back to being an option.

0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:33.960
<v Speaker 9>They don't need to, you know, have a very tech

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:37.600
<v Speaker 9>background to open up you know, a WUS or alien equivalence.

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.800
<v Speaker 9>They can actually just go buy older Mac hardware that's

0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 9>readily available on the market and get some of these

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 9>systems running up in their apartments or houses or offices.

0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 9>So that's really allowed it to go from being a

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:51.680
<v Speaker 9>maybe having a very technical background, to general acceptance among

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:52.200
<v Speaker 9>the masses.

0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 3>Why Mac minnie is are flying off the shelves, why

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 3>Raspberry Pie and the UK share prices spiraled higher, Jacob,

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:02.200
<v Speaker 3>what though of the pushback from a regulatory perspective. If

0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 3>you own Ali Baba, if you own Tenson or any

0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:07.520
<v Speaker 3>of the Chinese giants, you know about regulatory risk. While

0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 3>we're starting to see regulators and state governments slightly pushed

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:13.360
<v Speaker 3>back against open claw just running rife andin state backed businesses.

0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:16.000
<v Speaker 9>Well, I would say that that would be the case.

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 9>Put the government in terms of where we operate in

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 9>Junk Sun Ju John just outside of Shanghai, there's been

0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 9>very supportive. There's even been local government classes, you know,

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.000
<v Speaker 9>for getting people to set these up, which so we've

0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 9>never seen adoption from the governments like that. So I

0:16:31.560 --> 0:16:35.360
<v Speaker 9>don't think that there's there might be some security with

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:37.600
<v Speaker 9>the open club, but let's not also forget Windshot launched

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:39.640
<v Speaker 9>Kimney claud too, So there's going to be alternatives that

0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 9>do roughly the same thing that might be just a

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 9>little bit more suited to the Chinese market too as well,

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:47.640
<v Speaker 9>a little bit more firewall compatible as well.

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:51.040
<v Speaker 2>Let's just therefore put this all in context, Jacob.

0:16:51.080 --> 0:16:53.360
<v Speaker 3>As people are as the brands that you work with

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:56.000
<v Speaker 3>are looking to access an Asian virus, people are looking

0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:59.120
<v Speaker 3>to take on the various ways of getting to consume

0:16:59.160 --> 0:17:02.800
<v Speaker 3>AS via chap. How does that landscape look for you

0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:03.320
<v Speaker 3>right now?

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:06.679
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, Well, I think in terms of AI in general,

0:17:06.760 --> 0:17:10.520
<v Speaker 9>It's made accessing Asia way more easy. The chatbots are

0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 9>probably not the best way to interact with your customers

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.080
<v Speaker 9>at that point, but being able to use you know,

0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:17.800
<v Speaker 9>generative so you know, you're maybe taking model shots for

0:17:17.920 --> 0:17:20.080
<v Speaker 9>China and being able to adjust them for Japan and Korea,

0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:22.360
<v Speaker 9>not having to do three shoots for example, being able

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 9>to change your languages, being able to interact with your

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:27.639
<v Speaker 9>customers in multiple languages throughout Asia has really kind of

0:17:27.720 --> 0:17:30.959
<v Speaker 9>laid economies of scale to being able to get access

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 9>to the entire region and not looking at this like

0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:35.600
<v Speaker 9>you know, maybe twelve different markets and more looking at

0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:38.000
<v Speaker 9>it like just a couple AI is going to make

0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:40.800
<v Speaker 9>that easier and easier. And inventory projections, you know, we're

0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 9>looking at social media now to see you know what

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 9>you know might be selling really well in the summer.

0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.360
<v Speaker 9>All these things are really helping, you know, brands get

0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:51.639
<v Speaker 9>access to the market at cheaper you know, or a

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:54.360
<v Speaker 9>less barrier, a smaller barrier to entry than they were

0:17:54.400 --> 0:17:55.639
<v Speaker 9>doing free AI.

0:17:56.760 --> 0:18:00.760
<v Speaker 3>Who else should a potential market here be wanting to

0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 3>access Asia be looking at We talked Alibaba, Tencent, but

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 3>there are plenty of other options.

0:18:06.880 --> 0:18:09.560
<v Speaker 9>Well, Kimmi ka is one of the best on premise

0:18:09.600 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 9>models that exists out there too, and that's by Moonshot.

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 9>So there's just a ton I mean, we have an

0:18:14.520 --> 0:18:17.080
<v Speaker 9>office in Honjo too, and there's just AI companies all

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:18.960
<v Speaker 9>around us. I mean, Deep Seek's not too far from

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:22.639
<v Speaker 9>Ali Babadian's sandwiched in between them Red Notes in that neighborhood.

0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:25.720
<v Speaker 9>So there's just a whole, you know, environment of innovation,

0:18:25.920 --> 0:18:28.560
<v Speaker 9>very similar to what's been going on in Silicon Valley.

0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:30.720
<v Speaker 8>So you know, we don't know all of.

0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 9>The total winners, but the barrier to entry again with AI,

0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:36.480
<v Speaker 9>it's smaller and smaller. Deep Seak was launching you know,

0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 9>their models with only one hundred and twenty five people,

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:42.159
<v Speaker 9>so we would expect a lot more innovation and you

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.520
<v Speaker 9>know it's going to be an exciting year, that's for sure.

0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:47.160
<v Speaker 3>Play can cook wpic CEO. It's always great to catch

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 3>up with you.

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Thank you.

0:18:49.119 --> 0:18:51.879
<v Speaker 3>Now coming up, the pressure on social media ramps up

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:55.400
<v Speaker 3>here in the US, California joining the chorus of localities

0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:56.159
<v Speaker 3>calling for bands.

0:18:56.240 --> 0:19:08.440
<v Speaker 2>We're on that. Next. This is a blue megtech open AI.

0:19:08.480 --> 0:19:10.919
<v Speaker 3>When it's expanding, it's pusher to coding, the plans to

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:14.320
<v Speaker 3>acquire Astral, and that's a startup that makes Python tools

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:16.880
<v Speaker 3>for developers. The deal hasn't get closed, but the companies

0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:19.560
<v Speaker 3>say that it will bring Astral's team into open AI's

0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:22.480
<v Speaker 3>codex effort and broaden its suite of developer services.

0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:23.640
<v Speaker 2>Open Ai, of course, has.

0:19:23.560 --> 0:19:26.639
<v Speaker 3>Been racing with competitors like Anthonopic, Microsoft and startups like

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:31.119
<v Speaker 3>Cursor to appeal to corporate customers using AI as coding assistants.

0:19:31.720 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 2>Meanwhile, social media companies were they're facing increasing pressure.

0:19:34.400 --> 0:19:38.040
<v Speaker 3>From mounting lawsuits and laws dictating age limits on their platforms,

0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:42.280
<v Speaker 3>in a particular blow to the industry. California home to Meta.

0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:44.240
<v Speaker 3>Of course, TikTok operates there too, but it's home to

0:19:44.359 --> 0:19:47.639
<v Speaker 3>Google Snap. It's joined the list of US states in

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:51.000
<v Speaker 3>countries globally proposing a ban on social media for children.

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:53.919
<v Speaker 3>Let's get the latest from Lumos Kirk Wagner, who's covering

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:56.200
<v Speaker 3>the industry, who's put out a tech in depth about

0:19:56.200 --> 0:19:58.680
<v Speaker 3>this all today and really home Turf.

0:19:58.800 --> 0:19:59.840
<v Speaker 2>Could this be a reality?

0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 10>I think it could be a reality. We're definitely seeing

0:20:03.880 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 10>a snowball effect here. And Caroline, to the point you

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 10>just made the fact that California is getting in on

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:12.920
<v Speaker 10>the mixture. I think is pretty significant. It's certainly symbolic

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:16.359
<v Speaker 10>of how big this issue has become and how strong

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:19.359
<v Speaker 10>this conversation has happened. Now, I want to be clear,

0:20:19.800 --> 0:20:22.400
<v Speaker 10>a lot still has to happen for these sort of proposals,

0:20:22.520 --> 0:20:26.479
<v Speaker 10>these bills to become laws. But we are talking about

0:20:26.920 --> 0:20:29.119
<v Speaker 10>a thing that has really been a little bit on

0:20:29.160 --> 0:20:31.520
<v Speaker 10>the periphery for the last several years, and now we're

0:20:31.520 --> 0:20:35.440
<v Speaker 10>seeing California, several countries in Europe, of course Australia start

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:37.639
<v Speaker 10>to float and push for these social media bands. So

0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:39.040
<v Speaker 10>I think that's pretty significant.

0:20:39.760 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 3>As you say, a lot has to happen for the

0:20:41.640 --> 0:20:43.679
<v Speaker 3>bands to come into force and hook, We've been waiting

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 3>decades for any sort of talk to become a walk

0:20:47.960 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 3>in terms of law on social media, and it hasn't

0:20:50.560 --> 0:20:52.879
<v Speaker 3>occurred in the United States. But what's interesting is we

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Speaker 3>are seeing more courts ruling or potentially about to rule

0:20:56.160 --> 0:20:58.960
<v Speaker 3>on the addiction of these sorts of offerings as well.

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:00.720
<v Speaker 3>Can you bring us the latest and what's happening in

0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 3>LA and New Mexico.

0:21:02.840 --> 0:21:05.920
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, So, for the last several weeks in Los Angeles,

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:10.640
<v Speaker 10>meta and YouTube, So Instagram and YouTube have been facing

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:13.639
<v Speaker 10>these allegations that they are intentionally creating their products to

0:21:13.640 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 10>be addictive, and right now the jury is deliberating whether

0:21:19.920 --> 0:21:22.239
<v Speaker 10>that is in fact in the case. The jury has

0:21:22.280 --> 0:21:25.040
<v Speaker 10>been deliberating for three and a half days at this point,

0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:27.119
<v Speaker 10>so we're sort of on pins and needles waiting for

0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:30.879
<v Speaker 10>an answer. But this is really the first in thousands

0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:35.880
<v Speaker 10>of similar cases accusing these platforms of creating addictive technology,

0:21:36.320 --> 0:21:38.880
<v Speaker 10>and so it's meaningful and that it's going to sort

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:41.040
<v Speaker 10>of set the narrative around the rest of these cases

0:21:41.080 --> 0:21:44.000
<v Speaker 10>that are coming later this year. And as you can imagine, Caroline,

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:46.800
<v Speaker 10>if these companies are deemed to be, you know, intentionally

0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:49.760
<v Speaker 10>making their products addictive, that only adds more fuel to

0:21:49.800 --> 0:21:52.360
<v Speaker 10>this fire for lawmakers who are already trying to rain

0:21:52.400 --> 0:21:52.639
<v Speaker 10>them in.

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:55.800
<v Speaker 3>Of course, companies such as Meta would dispute that sort

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:58.280
<v Speaker 3>of typecasting, and in many ways have put in place

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 3>a lot of new safety tools for parents and.

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 2>Children to use.

0:22:02.359 --> 0:22:05.000
<v Speaker 3>But want to keep a track of Bloomberg's Kirk Wagner,

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:08.040
<v Speaker 3>we so appreciate you joining us now. Coming up, electric

0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:11.760
<v Speaker 3>boat maker ARC looks to expand beyond the consumer market

0:22:11.960 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 3>into work and actually defense vessels too. We'll talk to

0:22:15.320 --> 0:22:17.600
<v Speaker 3>the CEO about its latest fundraise to do just that.

0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 3>This is bluebg Tech. Welcome back to bloom Beg Tech.

0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:32.600
<v Speaker 3>Let's check in on markets because they're intent to hooks,

0:22:32.600 --> 0:22:36.160
<v Speaker 3>to put it mildly, as we see conflict seemingly intensifying

0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:38.960
<v Speaker 3>in the Middle East, particularly involving the infrastructure of energy.

0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 3>That's why brencrud is up four point four percent.

0:22:40.800 --> 0:22:41.240
<v Speaker 2>We've seen it.

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 3>Spiral ever higher NASDAC and stock markets. Risk assets more

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 3>generally have been on the downside. Particularly keep an eye

0:22:47.240 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 3>on the bond market as we see yields and spiked

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:51.359
<v Speaker 3>on the two year here in the US, significantly in

0:22:51.400 --> 0:22:55.199
<v Speaker 3>the UK. In Europe there is a concern about inflatiary pressure. Certainly,

0:22:55.240 --> 0:22:56.760
<v Speaker 3>that's a lot of the questioning for all of the

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:59.000
<v Speaker 3>central bankers that we heard from overnight and into today.

0:22:59.040 --> 0:23:02.920
<v Speaker 3>That's Japan, Europe, UK and the United States course have

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:05.480
<v Speaker 3>been yesterday. Let's move into what's happening in terms of

0:23:05.480 --> 0:23:06.320
<v Speaker 3>individual stocks.

0:23:06.560 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 2>That there is AI news as always.

0:23:08.600 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 3>And we're up by two point eight percent and Shao

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:13.199
<v Speaker 3>me this is as the company announces an update to

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:16.680
<v Speaker 3>its SU seven electric vehicle, but also released its latest

0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:20.600
<v Speaker 3>ultificial intelligence models. Really, this refresh seems to be boring

0:23:20.640 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 3>investor sentiment when the rest of the market have been

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:24.280
<v Speaker 3>down over there, So it's a key out performer.

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk elsewhere in the EV.

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 3>Space, though, because another big development happening closer to home,

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:32.040
<v Speaker 3>Uber Rivian teaming up with the Uber set to invest

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:34.720
<v Speaker 3>to one point two five billion in Rivian's robotaxi fleet

0:23:35.080 --> 0:23:37.400
<v Speaker 3>for more those consumer apps and gig economy report.

0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:41.119
<v Speaker 2>Natalie Lang joins US now and Wow, Uber has been busy.

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:44.520
<v Speaker 3>This is what it's upteenth partnership that it's been announcing.

0:23:44.640 --> 0:23:47.919
<v Speaker 11>Yes, there's been more than twenty partnerships, and most of

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:51.240
<v Speaker 11>them struck in the past year, and today it's about Rivian.

0:23:51.680 --> 0:23:55.119
<v Speaker 11>They're already committed three hundred million of that investment and

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:58.560
<v Speaker 11>they're going to buy ten thousand robotaxis to launch in

0:23:58.600 --> 0:24:01.000
<v Speaker 11>San Francisco and Miami starf in twenty twenty eight. So

0:24:01.040 --> 0:24:03.359
<v Speaker 11>if it will take some time to ramp up, but

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:07.159
<v Speaker 11>they're starting to, you know, put together these arrangements to

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:10.240
<v Speaker 11>piece together this narrative that they can be a commercialization

0:24:10.359 --> 0:24:12.000
<v Speaker 11>partner for these developers.

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 3>They're the platform, they're not on the competitive threat from

0:24:16.119 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 3>these robotaxi made because they can just harness them. And

0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:20.800
<v Speaker 3>then it's all about the infrastructure that's needed. When we

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:22.879
<v Speaker 3>look at perhaps what Rivian needs to get these on

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 3>the road's charging facilities and cleaning, what happens.

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:29.160
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, So there's a lot of sort of the unglamorous

0:24:29.200 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 11>work that goes behind running fleets, the charging, the daily cleaning.

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:36.040
<v Speaker 11>What if people lost an item they have to retrieve

0:24:36.040 --> 0:24:37.840
<v Speaker 11>if someone has to pick it up. And so Uber

0:24:37.880 --> 0:24:40.960
<v Speaker 11>wants to be that sort of partner for these developers.

0:24:41.280 --> 0:24:44.120
<v Speaker 2>And what do we know about Rivian and the rto robotaxis.

0:24:44.680 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 11>So they're trying to add a new in house autonomy

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:50.560
<v Speaker 11>chip and a new lighter sensor into this new art

0:24:50.720 --> 0:24:54.919
<v Speaker 11>vehicle starting in twenty twenty seven. So that's when you

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:57.919
<v Speaker 11>see production happening, and that's when Uber will probably make

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:00.920
<v Speaker 11>the purchases and ramp it up. This is really part

0:25:00.960 --> 0:25:05.400
<v Speaker 11>of their broader ambitions to want to produce these consumer

0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 11>vehicles for individuals.

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:11.360
<v Speaker 2>Hi Lang, it's great to have you, Thank you very much.

0:25:11.400 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 3>Indeed, on all things Uber and Rivian, we can stick

0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 3>with autonomous or at least electric and go from road

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:21.000
<v Speaker 3>to waters. Electric boat maker ARC has raised fifty million

0:25:21.080 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 3>dollars and it aims to expound me on leisure vehicles,

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:27.679
<v Speaker 3>with tubboats, ferries, defence vehicles. Let's discuss this all with

0:25:27.720 --> 0:25:32.359
<v Speaker 3>our CEO, Mitchley Mitch for the cynics among us, maybe

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:35.640
<v Speaker 3>someone would say, of course they've become a defense company.

0:25:36.040 --> 0:25:38.560
<v Speaker 3>How much was this a pull in terms of demand,

0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:40.560
<v Speaker 3>not a push from your vcs.

0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 12>It was very much a pull for us from day

0:25:44.800 --> 0:25:46.800
<v Speaker 12>one of the company. We've always had the vision that

0:25:46.840 --> 0:25:50.080
<v Speaker 12>we wanted to go electrify and power everything on the water,

0:25:50.760 --> 0:25:53.479
<v Speaker 12>and we are just doing that even faster than we

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 12>expected because of the incredible demand we've seen across both

0:25:56.840 --> 0:25:58.480
<v Speaker 12>the commercial and the defense sectors.

0:25:59.440 --> 0:26:03.480
<v Speaker 3>How will you use your technology that you've proved out

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:06.479
<v Speaker 3>in the consumers realm into the world of commercial I mean,

0:26:06.520 --> 0:26:07.200
<v Speaker 3>already you've been.

0:26:07.160 --> 0:26:08.320
<v Speaker 2>Developing a tugboat.

0:26:08.320 --> 0:26:11.280
<v Speaker 3>How does that look like some sort of well case

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:13.920
<v Speaker 3>study that you bring into the defense realm.

0:26:14.359 --> 0:26:19.119
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I'll start with electric propulsion is just a fundamentally

0:26:19.160 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 12>better technology for the water than combustion. This is very

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:26.520
<v Speaker 12>similar to the transition that rail went through many decades ago,

0:26:26.800 --> 0:26:29.240
<v Speaker 12>and now the marine industry is transitioning over to better

0:26:29.280 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 12>technology we are. We've developed that technology, we've hardened it

0:26:33.560 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 12>in the consumer space with our consumer boats, we've scaled

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:38.919
<v Speaker 12>up production of that, we've built a team around that

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:41.719
<v Speaker 12>and the credibility that we know what we're doing, and

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:44.080
<v Speaker 12>now we're taking that same technology and deploying it into

0:26:44.119 --> 0:26:48.600
<v Speaker 12>the commercial and defense sectors to electrify those fleets and

0:26:48.640 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 12>make them more reliable, give them greater uptime, better performance,

0:26:52.600 --> 0:26:54.040
<v Speaker 12>and better operating costs.

0:26:54.600 --> 0:26:57.160
<v Speaker 3>When we think about how much you will be making,

0:26:57.720 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 3>I mean we see the boat, the consumer folks one

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:03.119
<v Speaker 3>you're building that, how much you're having to work in

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:07.480
<v Speaker 3>partnership with with you know, the clean key primes. Will

0:27:07.520 --> 0:27:10.840
<v Speaker 3>you be building out an entire for them or is

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 3>it more about just the propulsion and the engines.

0:27:13.880 --> 0:27:16.919
<v Speaker 12>What we specialize in is in that electric powertrain and

0:27:16.960 --> 0:27:22.200
<v Speaker 12>basically the technology platform powering these vessels, so the motors

0:27:22.240 --> 0:27:28.200
<v Speaker 12>and the battery packs, the wiring, the thermal controls, the firmware, software, telemetry,

0:27:28.240 --> 0:27:32.679
<v Speaker 12>all of those systems. We do design the vessels around

0:27:32.720 --> 0:27:35.919
<v Speaker 12>those powertrains as well, but we do that in partnership

0:27:36.000 --> 0:27:41.160
<v Speaker 12>with commercial operators with defense primes. So we are approaching

0:27:41.200 --> 0:27:45.360
<v Speaker 12>this through the lens of partnerships where we bring what

0:27:45.600 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 12>we do best, which is that electric powertrain, and partner

0:27:48.840 --> 0:27:51.399
<v Speaker 12>with vessel manufacturers or shipyards boatyards.

0:27:51.640 --> 0:27:54.040
<v Speaker 3>We've just seen the vcs that are backing you on

0:27:54.080 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 3>this latest round fifty million dollars Series C. A lot

0:27:56.960 --> 0:27:59.639
<v Speaker 3>of them very focused on defense tech, very focused on

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:03.800
<v Speaker 3>American dynamism, to use a phrase. Has that been helpful

0:28:03.840 --> 0:28:05.000
<v Speaker 3>in terms of the partnerships.

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:09.280
<v Speaker 12>Absolutely, These are a fantastic group of investors. We are

0:28:09.320 --> 0:28:11.760
<v Speaker 12>thrilled to have their support behind us as we continue

0:28:11.800 --> 0:28:14.800
<v Speaker 12>to scale as a company. I mean Eclipse and Memlo,

0:28:14.960 --> 0:28:20.240
<v Speaker 12>lower carbon, necessary interes and horror with These are amazing

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:24.400
<v Speaker 12>investors and we're lucky to have their support and their

0:28:24.520 --> 0:28:26.320
<v Speaker 12>enthusiasm for what it is that we're doing.

0:28:26.680 --> 0:28:29.639
<v Speaker 3>What is is that you now need the fifty million?

0:28:29.880 --> 0:28:32.440
<v Speaker 3>Is it about going to market? Is it about sales?

0:28:32.600 --> 0:28:35.200
<v Speaker 3>Is it about still getting the technologists in house.

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:38.800
<v Speaker 12>There's so much demand for the technology that we're bringing

0:28:38.800 --> 0:28:41.760
<v Speaker 12>to market. This is very much a supply side problem

0:28:41.800 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 12>for us. We need to ramp up our supply of

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:48.800
<v Speaker 12>the technology that we're building. That's increasing production of the

0:28:48.840 --> 0:28:52.840
<v Speaker 12>consumer boats we're making. It's increasing production and the speed

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:55.520
<v Speaker 12>at which We're bringing the power trains to the commercial

0:28:55.520 --> 0:28:58.080
<v Speaker 12>and defense markets as well. So this is really an

0:28:58.160 --> 0:29:03.360
<v Speaker 12>accelerant on our bild to supply these sectors with this

0:29:03.360 --> 0:29:04.640
<v Speaker 12>this electric technology.

0:29:04.800 --> 0:29:06.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean, they look really cool and our team has

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:09.120
<v Speaker 3>been on them before. How many of you made in

0:29:09.160 --> 0:29:11.760
<v Speaker 3>the consumer realm? How many are already being contracted in

0:29:11.800 --> 0:29:13.080
<v Speaker 3>the commercial and the defense realm?

0:29:13.880 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, we are now making multiple boats a week out

0:29:17.800 --> 0:29:20.760
<v Speaker 12>of our Los Angeles based factory on the consumer sides.

0:29:20.840 --> 0:29:23.880
<v Speaker 12>On the smaller vessel side, we are under contract for

0:29:24.000 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 12>one hundred and sixty million dollars worth of tugboats. And

0:29:29.200 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 12>I can't disclose much more about this, but we are

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:35.960
<v Speaker 12>working with a major defense prime on autonomous surface vessels

0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:39.200
<v Speaker 12>so basically drone ships out on the water Mitch.

0:29:39.400 --> 0:29:42.480
<v Speaker 3>Unfortunately, defense is front and center right now, and we

0:29:42.480 --> 0:29:45.480
<v Speaker 3>think about a Middle Eastern conflict that does impact supply chains.

0:29:45.720 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 3>How much are you able to keep the supply chain

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:50.800
<v Speaker 3>us and local? How much are we now self sufficient

0:29:50.840 --> 0:29:53.600
<v Speaker 3>in the terms of electric vehicle batteries that you need.

0:29:54.840 --> 0:29:57.840
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, we are a Los Angeles based company. We have

0:29:57.880 --> 0:30:00.640
<v Speaker 12>two hundred people working out of our headquarters here in

0:30:00.720 --> 0:30:05.360
<v Speaker 12>Los Angeles. We pride ourselves on making things here in America.

0:30:05.680 --> 0:30:08.920
<v Speaker 12>It certainly helps our supply chain that we do this locally.

0:30:09.520 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 12>That doesn't mean that we are entirely insulated from disruption

0:30:13.760 --> 0:30:16.360
<v Speaker 12>in supply chains across the world. But we've got a

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:18.720
<v Speaker 12>big jump start on this and have since we first

0:30:18.720 --> 0:30:20.120
<v Speaker 12>started this company five years ago.

0:30:20.360 --> 0:30:23.360
<v Speaker 3>Oks Mitchley, it's great to catch up with you. Congratulations

0:30:23.360 --> 0:30:25.479
<v Speaker 3>on the fundraise and the scaling of the business.

0:30:26.080 --> 0:30:27.080
<v Speaker 2>Now thank you for having me.

0:30:27.480 --> 0:30:31.120
<v Speaker 3>Coming up, we'll discuss the race for leadership between AI labs,

0:30:31.560 --> 0:30:33.360
<v Speaker 3>what it means for the labor market to Ethan Choy

0:30:33.400 --> 0:30:45.360
<v Speaker 3>of Coaslaventure's stick around as a BLUEBG Tech time now

0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:47.959
<v Speaker 3>for Talking Tech and first up K Pop demon Hunters.

0:30:48.000 --> 0:30:49.680
<v Speaker 2>They're heading out on a world tour.

0:30:50.000 --> 0:30:52.600
<v Speaker 3>Netflix is seeking to capitalize on this most popular movie

0:30:52.720 --> 0:30:55.760
<v Speaker 3>ever by planning live shows next year featuring songs from

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:59.200
<v Speaker 3>the film, head of a planned sequel. Plus, Samsung is

0:30:59.240 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 3>devoting amount of capital seventy three billion dollars to seize

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.560
<v Speaker 3>the lead in AI semiconductors from Korean rival s k Heinex.

0:31:05.600 --> 0:31:07.920
<v Speaker 3>Now Look, the tech giant is hiking investments twenty two

0:31:07.920 --> 0:31:10.480
<v Speaker 3>percent this year. Is it sees a surge in orders

0:31:10.480 --> 0:31:14.040
<v Speaker 3>for high bandwidth memory and server grade storage, and Google

0:31:14.240 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 3>is moving ahead with plans for a major data center

0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:19.560
<v Speaker 3>in Michigan, and the project requires a company to cover

0:31:19.640 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 3>the full cost of adding new clean power. The deal

0:31:22.720 --> 0:31:25.800
<v Speaker 3>is unusual, featuring a twenty year electricity contract for as

0:31:25.840 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 3>much as one gig or what of power, but it

0:31:27.880 --> 0:31:30.280
<v Speaker 3>may serve as a playbook for other firms desperate for

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:34.280
<v Speaker 3>electricity to power the AI boom, and discussions on the

0:31:34.360 --> 0:31:39.440
<v Speaker 3>AI boom and productivity promised The impact dominated conversations by

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 3>tech leaders and policymakers of late. But how far does

0:31:42.400 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 3>the AI boom? I'd love to go? Our next guest

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:49.240
<v Speaker 3>says infinitely. Ethan Joy, partner at Coast Adventures, joins us. Now,

0:31:49.600 --> 0:31:52.800
<v Speaker 3>so where it's the first innings, how much more can

0:31:52.840 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 3>actually the economy be able to support an infinite demand

0:31:56.880 --> 0:31:59.840
<v Speaker 3>as it seems for compute and for the latest AI agent.

0:32:01.880 --> 0:32:05.760
<v Speaker 13>It's great to be here. Thanks for having me. It's

0:32:05.760 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 13>great to be here, Thanks for having me. Look, we're

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:10.680
<v Speaker 13>just at.

0:32:10.520 --> 0:32:13.320
<v Speaker 14>The beginning stages. I say, we're not even in the

0:32:13.360 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 14>first innings yet.

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:19.280
<v Speaker 13>The biggest constraint today is data centers and gear watts

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:23.680
<v Speaker 13>of compute, but in terms of demand I viewed as infinite.

0:32:24.600 --> 0:32:28.720
<v Speaker 13>We haven't even scratched the surface of robotics starting to

0:32:28.760 --> 0:32:33.640
<v Speaker 13>infiltrate our workplaces, our homes, and we're just beginning to

0:32:33.720 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 13>have agents in the enterprise that can do things across

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:40.320
<v Speaker 13>the enterprise at the intelligence level and at the speed

0:32:40.360 --> 0:32:40.920
<v Speaker 13>of humans.

0:32:41.120 --> 0:32:43.440
<v Speaker 3>And so we're just at the very beginning, just at

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 3>the very beginning of the pushback as well in many ways.

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 3>And I'm interested actually as the first one that we

0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 3>push back against some of the valuations that we're seeing

0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:55.640
<v Speaker 3>at the moment. Ethan I got to Sweetly Gradient yesterday,

0:32:55.680 --> 0:32:57.680
<v Speaker 3>who'd just been raising a new fun talking about some

0:32:57.760 --> 0:33:00.880
<v Speaker 3>of the numbers involved in the latest fun rounds. Darren

0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:02.040
<v Speaker 3>Schure's just hey.

0:33:01.960 --> 0:33:02.680
<v Speaker 2>What he had to say.

0:33:03.720 --> 0:33:06.400
<v Speaker 15>We actually think that there is a bubble in certain

0:33:06.440 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 15>parts of AI. There are bubbles. There is a bubble

0:33:09.200 --> 0:33:13.120
<v Speaker 15>in foundational model companies, contenders to open Ai, contenders to Google,

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:15.920
<v Speaker 15>contenders to Xai, and Anthropic. When it comes to a

0:33:15.960 --> 0:33:17.960
<v Speaker 15>lot of these other companies that are raising a billion

0:33:18.040 --> 0:33:21.120
<v Speaker 15>dollars here or there, it seems as though those are

0:33:21.160 --> 0:33:24.719
<v Speaker 15>a lot of venture capitalists or investors that want to

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:28.520
<v Speaker 15>chase the next open AI. But realistically the moat at

0:33:28.560 --> 0:33:31.680
<v Speaker 15>the model layer is just capital. How much money can

0:33:31.720 --> 0:33:32.240
<v Speaker 15>you raise?

0:33:33.000 --> 0:33:34.760
<v Speaker 2>Cos was backed open Ai.

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:38.760
<v Speaker 3>All people in VC still trying to chase investments right now?

0:33:38.840 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Are the rounds too high? Some of the foundational models

0:33:41.440 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 3>not even the applications.

0:33:43.840 --> 0:33:47.480
<v Speaker 13>Look, it's it's clear that we have clear leaders at

0:33:47.480 --> 0:33:50.400
<v Speaker 13>the LM level for the foundational models. And you know

0:33:50.440 --> 0:33:54.800
<v Speaker 13>today here in the US it's really full companies Open Ai, Anthropic, XAI,

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:58.880
<v Speaker 13>and Google, Gemini. But there are there's a lot of

0:33:58.920 --> 0:34:03.840
<v Speaker 13>research being done novel model architectures, things like state space models,

0:34:04.280 --> 0:34:08.200
<v Speaker 13>neurosymbolic models, math based models, and there is a lot

0:34:08.239 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 13>of optimism that there'll be some kind of leap ahead

0:34:11.600 --> 0:34:15.600
<v Speaker 13>of the transformer architecture that was so fundamental to chat,

0:34:15.680 --> 0:34:18.400
<v Speaker 13>GPT and GPT three that calls.

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:19.080
<v Speaker 14>This AI boom.

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:24.719
<v Speaker 13>And so you know, to some degree it's justified that

0:34:25.120 --> 0:34:28.640
<v Speaker 13>you know, vcs like us and others are going to

0:34:28.719 --> 0:34:31.719
<v Speaker 13>back teams that are going to take a crack at

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:36.000
<v Speaker 13>building the next open AI and Anthropic And if there's

0:34:36.040 --> 0:34:39.760
<v Speaker 13>a company that has that potential with a research team

0:34:39.920 --> 0:34:42.239
<v Speaker 13>that has a caliber to produce a.

0:34:42.239 --> 0:34:45.279
<v Speaker 14>Novel model architecture. It's the kind of bets that we

0:34:45.320 --> 0:34:46.760
<v Speaker 14>should be making as an industry.

0:34:47.080 --> 0:34:47.279
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:34:47.440 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 13>Are the valuations too high? You could argue that, but

0:34:51.000 --> 0:34:52.560
<v Speaker 13>we have to work backwards.

0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:54.640
<v Speaker 14>In some ways. These teams need to.

0:34:55.120 --> 0:34:58.960
<v Speaker 13>Hire very expensive researchers, they need they need to have

0:34:59.000 --> 0:35:02.399
<v Speaker 13>giggle wats of computer to train models, and that's very,

0:35:02.480 --> 0:35:05.720
<v Speaker 13>very expensive. And as you think about the cap table,

0:35:06.160 --> 0:35:07.920
<v Speaker 13>we have to make sure that the founders and the

0:35:07.960 --> 0:35:11.080
<v Speaker 13>team are incentivized and to some degree, if they're going

0:35:11.120 --> 0:35:14.200
<v Speaker 13>to raise hundreds of millions or a billion dollars out

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:16.960
<v Speaker 13>of the gate, it means working backwards. If we're going

0:35:17.000 --> 0:35:21.280
<v Speaker 13>to buy twenty percent as vcs, then the math kind.

0:35:21.120 --> 0:35:22.880
<v Speaker 14>Of takes care of itself in terms of the valuation.

0:35:23.000 --> 0:35:26.040
<v Speaker 13>So that's where we are today, somewhat justified, a little

0:35:26.080 --> 0:35:27.480
<v Speaker 13>overvalued even.

0:35:27.920 --> 0:35:31.880
<v Speaker 3>Can Silicon Valley Adventure, American venture can develop world venture

0:35:32.239 --> 0:35:35.400
<v Speaker 3>support the sort of numbers that are involved. If Middle

0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:38.160
<v Speaker 3>Eastern money becomes harder to access at this moment.

0:35:40.320 --> 0:35:44.600
<v Speaker 13>Yes, Look, today there's a lot of debate about whether

0:35:44.640 --> 0:35:48.640
<v Speaker 13>the model company should be profitable and self sustaining. I

0:35:48.640 --> 0:35:51.520
<v Speaker 13>don't believe that's the right approach. We're just at the

0:35:51.640 --> 0:35:54.480
<v Speaker 13>very beginning and there's a lot of R and D

0:35:54.640 --> 0:35:55.080
<v Speaker 13>left to do.

0:35:55.800 --> 0:35:57.160
<v Speaker 14>There's a lot of business.

0:35:56.800 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 13>Model transformation that's happening today. Obviously with the SaaS pocalypse,

0:36:00.800 --> 0:36:04.719
<v Speaker 13>fundamental existing business models are being disrupted heavily, and so

0:36:04.880 --> 0:36:07.400
<v Speaker 13>it's a time where we are as an industry still

0:36:07.440 --> 0:36:11.480
<v Speaker 13>figuring out what to do in terms of how to

0:36:11.560 --> 0:36:17.440
<v Speaker 13>fund all these investments. Today, at least globally, the foundational

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:20.279
<v Speaker 13>model companies have been able to raise capital, but at

0:36:20.320 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 13>some point I do believe it becomes somewhat sovereign and

0:36:24.160 --> 0:36:27.120
<v Speaker 13>at coastal ventures we have been investing behind themes and

0:36:27.200 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 13>companies like Salvam and Sicanta in Japan where they're raising

0:36:32.040 --> 0:36:35.279
<v Speaker 13>money and being funded by governments, and there is a

0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:37.319
<v Speaker 13>question and we're seeing some of these play out with

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:41.640
<v Speaker 13>a dow between open AI andthropic. Does the government step

0:36:41.680 --> 0:36:45.719
<v Speaker 13>in and through either big contracts continue to fund some

0:36:45.800 --> 0:36:48.719
<v Speaker 13>of the developments and the investments that need to be

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:51.319
<v Speaker 13>made into compute and to the R and D for

0:36:51.360 --> 0:36:52.120
<v Speaker 13>the research models