Speaker 1: Check it on, Man down Man. This is a numbers
Speaker 1: game traditions unlike any other. The annual pre Master's appearance
Speaker 1: by the man who literally wrote the book on Masters analytics.
Speaker 1: You even remember it from a couple of years ago,
Speaker 1: or actually a few years ago. Now called Joe Peters
Speaker 1: Tour Guide presents a twenty nineteen Masters preview, including a
Speaker 1: never before seenen Augusta National Strokes Gained report at that time,
Speaker 1: literally the only guy who dove into the non public domain,
Speaker 1: very proprietary deep dive of analytics there at Augusta's Joe Peter,
Speaker 1: everybody its duty. How are you doing? Man? Great to
Speaker 1: be here, Gil enjoying btbash too? Yeahhaps absolutely it's and
Speaker 1: it's great. It was great to be down here so
Speaker 1: I could come in studio, and I wanted to dress
Speaker 1: an honor of a couple of your esteemed guests. Uh,
Speaker 1: this is in honor the white sweat shirt. That's not
Speaker 1: our Jimmy Icaro. Yeah, it's He always looks great when
Speaker 1: he sits in studio in his white white sweatshirt. And
Speaker 1: who is your guest who? Whenever he comes on, he
Speaker 1: always has an obscure minor league baseball cap for you,
Speaker 1: Dan Besperus, Dan, So I thought, all right, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: wear a hat from an obscure golf club, very very obscure.
Speaker 1: I see a gust the National, the most obscure of
Speaker 1: them all. At the tournament. You may have heard of
Speaker 1: a little club down there and right in the South
Speaker 1: Carolina Georgia border. We we have to start by by saying,
Speaker 1: so Joe is Joe is. I don't know if reeling
Speaker 1: is a little too heavy of a word, but when
Speaker 1: we mentioned the part about it wind expected Friday, so
Speaker 1: round two right now, if you look at the forecast,
Speaker 1: and we all know how forecasts go, but right now,
Speaker 1: the way that it looks is that there will be
Speaker 1: twenty mile per hour winds on Friday. So a little
Speaker 1: part of you died when you heard that. Yeah, it did,
Speaker 1: just to say as a viewer and a fan standpoint,
Speaker 1: because and then you also mentioned it was cooling off
Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. Uh, when I watched the Masters. This
Speaker 1: goes back from you know, coming out of a fall
Speaker 1: in the Northeast. When I watched the Masters. That's one
Speaker 1: of the spring Harvinger's I want to see the patrons
Speaker 1: in short pants on Saturday and Sunday. Uh. And if
Speaker 1: there's too much wind, to borrow your phrase, I don't
Speaker 1: want to. I don't want a US Open to break out,
Speaker 1: you know. Yeah, we we need birdie's ambogies, um, And
Speaker 1: we don't want win to take away the birdies on
Speaker 1: the weekend for excitement. So uh, I hope maybe it's
Speaker 1: just a localized Friday thing. Yeah, hopefully, because otherwise that,
Speaker 1: you know, like you said, off air kills the sort
Speaker 1: of distribution of the outcomes and makes for a kind
Speaker 1: of different tournament. Let's begin with we'll get to the
Speaker 1: Tiger question, but let's begin with your something you sent
Speaker 1: me about top course factor adjustments at the Masters. First
Speaker 1: of all, let's explain what that means. Sure, that's so,
Speaker 1: and you alluded to it earlier. Um, the Masters the
Speaker 1: year to year correlation of an individual golfer stroke gained
Speaker 1: from his past to future. So like T minus one
Speaker 1: or T to T plus one, UM is stronger at
Speaker 1: the Masters and than any other course on tour, and
Speaker 1: it's not even close. And and at the other end
Speaker 1: of that range is TPC saw Grass, where there is
Speaker 1: literally nothing about your prior year strokes. Game, explains UM,
Speaker 1: your future years. And so with the Master's it's it's
Speaker 1: really important to understand course factor. And then, as I
Speaker 1: talked about in the book, you really want to you
Speaker 1: want to calculate it correctly. And course factor doesn't just
Speaker 1: mean you play well at Augusta. There's a lot of
Speaker 1: guys that play well at Augusta, UM, because they're great golfers.
Speaker 1: What you want to find our guys who raise their
Speaker 1: game at Augusta. For instance, Tiger has a positive course
Speaker 1: factor at Augusta. Phil has a very high course factor.
Speaker 1: And that's amazing because their baselines coming into Augusta, the
Speaker 1: baseline being how did they perform over that whole year?
Speaker 1: UM is you know, amazing. So and that's why I
Speaker 1: say it's stronger at Augusta than any other. So what
Speaker 1: I have done is I've calculated UH the and I
Speaker 1: think we're gonna have a graphic of the time. There
Speaker 1: we go. Yeah, the top ten course factors at Augusta.
Speaker 1: So these are and this is a minimum twelve rounds played,
Speaker 1: and these are the guys who have UH strokes gained
Speaker 1: essentially over expectation and expectation just being their baseline for
Speaker 1: the year, how they performed at Augusta. And it's an
Speaker 1: interesting list because there are some names you definitely expect
Speaker 1: on there and there are some names that that you
Speaker 1: might not. Um. And it's really the name some of
Speaker 1: the names that are missing that uh that might surprise you. Um.
Speaker 1: But so I don't know if you want to, you know,
Speaker 1: put up the list, are we go? Well, what do
Speaker 1: you start? Before we put it up? We put it up?
Speaker 1: There you go, it's the start at ten and so
Speaker 1: tennis Tony Fenelle. Tony Fenel has been a staple of
Speaker 1: mine in uh predict you know, in my predictions for
Speaker 1: the Masters. You may recall in twenty nineteen I picked
Speaker 1: him to win it, which was a really out there
Speaker 1: call when the book was published in January before the Masters.
Speaker 1: It you know, he didn't win, but it worked out.
Speaker 1: After the third round when he walked off the course
Speaker 1: in the third round, he was he was leading, he
Speaker 1: was guaranteed to be in the final group. At that
Speaker 1: point Mulinary did catch him, uh and was leading going
Speaker 1: into the final round. And and I still feel if
Speaker 1: they hadn't moved up the torny early they had to
Speaker 1: remember if you remember, there was call for rain on Sunday,
Speaker 1: they moved tea times way up by hours. They put
Speaker 1: him in groups of three, and that brought Tiger into
Speaker 1: the final group. And I really feel well, you know,
Speaker 1: I I project that that that hurt Tony Feenelle a
Speaker 1: little bit. He didn't need the pressure of playing next
Speaker 1: to Tiger Um. And when Mulinary dumped his ball on
Speaker 1: twelve and raised creek, I still can't believe Fenel then
Speaker 1: did it as well. MOLTI that was that was the
Speaker 1: turning point of that tournament, because finally Mullinari crack. Mulinari
Speaker 1: looked like he was gonna win the Masters. And then
Speaker 1: in the water and then Phene now in the water.
Speaker 1: Who's a Dean or our mutual friend Dean was telling
Speaker 1: us yesterday was an interesting story about how Kepka had
Speaker 1: had Kepta gone in the water before this was the
Speaker 1: last group, kept the group before dumped it in the water.
Speaker 1: And apparently he and this is part of his plan.
Speaker 1: He shows no emotion, yes, so he didn't toss any
Speaker 1: grass in the air. He didn't like look up at
Speaker 1: the wind like what's up? And you know kept what
Speaker 1: Kepka says is I don't want to give any clues
Speaker 1: to anybody watching as to whether you how the course plays.
Speaker 1: So Mulinari, who was coming up the eleventh at that point,
Speaker 1: wouldn't have been able to tell at a glance of
Speaker 1: of Kepka that anything had gone wrong, and so in
Speaker 1: some weird, vague way, it's almost like he almost assisted
Speaker 1: Tiger if you believe right that Mullinari saw no end,
Speaker 1: there's no no danger. Will Robinson on the horizon right,
Speaker 1: and and then him and female both going in and
Speaker 1: then Tiger to the to the house exactly exactly you
Speaker 1: see Tiger's course factor adjustment. He was number nine. That
Speaker 1: is incredible because of the high level of play that
Speaker 1: Tiger was, you know, has always been at at the Masters.
Speaker 1: And then some names that might surprise you, uh, Corey Connors,
Speaker 1: Russell Henley. That probably has to shock people, but again
Speaker 1: these are golfers who have raise their game at Augusta.
Speaker 1: They may end up I think in the case of
Speaker 1: of Henley and Connors, a couple appearances where they finished
Speaker 1: with seven seven strokes gained or more, um, you know,
Speaker 1: and that's almost averaging two around. That's way above what
Speaker 1: they've they've done on the p g A tour. We'll
Speaker 1: hear those names later coming up Joe's top ten Masters picks,
Speaker 1: and I'm sure there's overlap. Yeah, we'll have some overlap here.
Speaker 1: Interesting number six Justin Rose there, um, I used I
Speaker 1: bar when we spoke last year when I gave my
Speaker 1: top ten list last year, you were doing it from
Speaker 1: the circle pool. I remember, and you may have had
Speaker 1: west On as your your co host. And I borrowed
Speaker 1: one of your herbs that you had used during the
Speaker 1: Nationals playoff run in twenty nineteen, and I said that
Speaker 1: you are compelled to walk into certain at least take
Speaker 1: a twenty or fifty dollar billot and put it on
Speaker 1: Justin Rose, who was like a hundred and forty to
Speaker 1: one last year before teeing off purely because of his
Speaker 1: course factor. And of course he led after round one,
Speaker 1: and he led well into round three last year until
Speaker 1: Hideki I think I was after the rain delay in
Speaker 1: RAM three really took over. But the Nationals word, by
Speaker 1: the way was obligation. Okay, yes, right, you were obligated
Speaker 1: to do that. I do have an obligated for you
Speaker 1: this year too, at the end of this super segment,
Speaker 1: like um, and then you've got you know, Leishman Ram, Hideki,
Speaker 1: Cam Smith and Jordan's speech. Jordan's speech always raises his
Speaker 1: game here, cam Smith number two, didn't he he had
Speaker 1: one all four rounds in the sixties. Yes, I think
Speaker 1: he was the first guy right that didn't win. Right,
Speaker 1: that's right, he did not win. But that was that
Speaker 1: might was that the year Dustin ran away d J.
Speaker 1: That was the Fall Masters where Cameron Smith had four
Speaker 1: rounds in the six season, didn't even come close to DJ,
Speaker 1: come close to there and then Hideki's touch and go
Speaker 1: here right, well, exactly Hideki And this was again Hideki
Speaker 1: has been a staple of my top ten calls. You know,
Speaker 1: I've been calling for sushi at the UH at the
Speaker 1: Champions dinner since twenty nineteen. You know, again, he just
Speaker 1: raises his game here and he's always had a pretty
Speaker 1: high baseline. Anyway, you won't see him on my top
Speaker 1: ten list this year because I have given thanks to
Speaker 1: what I call the Jason Day factor. I have stopped
Speaker 1: trying to handicap injuries because I've been burned with Jason
Speaker 1: Day so many times. I'm not so Hudeki. I've just
Speaker 1: left off. I don't know where his health wise, if
Speaker 1: he's healthy, he has great you know, we saw it
Speaker 1: last year. He finally but last year wasn't the only
Speaker 1: year he'd have been on this list, you know, even
Speaker 1: without last year's But Jordan's speed is number one on
Speaker 1: the top course factor adjustments. That's right now. What's important
Speaker 1: to remember, Gil is that is above the baseline he's
Speaker 1: playing at. Jordan's speed has never had a lower baseline
Speaker 1: than than right now. The last six months are are
Speaker 1: like replacement level. So yeah, you know, he won't be
Speaker 1: on the top ten list. It kind of a just
Speaker 1: miss thing um because I'm still expecting him to play
Speaker 1: above his baseline, but his baseline is lower than it's been,
Speaker 1: so that's why he doesn't crack the top ten. Interesting
Speaker 1: we will find out what Joe's top ten Masters picks
Speaker 1: are for the two Masters which begins Thursday. Will do
Speaker 1: that next. And his thoughts on Tiger specifically coming back
Speaker 1: numbers games these Sports Betting Network we talked about him
Speaker 1: last week. Are you in the camp that it's laughable
Speaker 1: that anyone would make any positive wagers whatsoever on Eldrick
Speaker 1: Tiger Woods or are you in the camp of you
Speaker 1: better not laugh about this? Dude? At this course. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you bet right. Yeah, I don't. And I don't think
Speaker 1: he's going up there for any ceremonial reasons. I think
Speaker 1: he is fully intending to play, and you know, maybe
Speaker 1: it's a game time decision, but he he did in
Speaker 1: fact to use those that phrase and and so yes,
Speaker 1: I believe he will be playing. Uh, you know, you
Speaker 1: cannot count him out. I remember I was very high
Speaker 1: on him in nineteen, had actually picked him third that
Speaker 1: year and ahead of everybody that was favored over him. Um,
Speaker 1: but he had played outstanding golf for the six to
Speaker 1: nine months leading up to last year's Matt to the
Speaker 1: to the nineteen Masters. You know, we don't have any
Speaker 1: baseline like that for this, so I look at the props.
Speaker 1: It's very entertaining. Congratulations to Circa for you know, having
Speaker 1: entertaining bets out there entertaining and this is an entertainment business.
Speaker 1: And we talked about it at betbash er Matt Metcalf
Speaker 1: did where he is like, hey, look it's just fun. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's fun. Those are fun bet so I'm not touching them.
Speaker 1: I hope that they all win, you know, on the
Speaker 1: bullish side, because we'd love to see Tiger and again
Speaker 1: for those looking at the bottom, there's and make the cutty, Yes,
Speaker 1: it's plus one twenty that's all Again. Remember the Masters
Speaker 1: is like a ninety one field, you know, group field,
Speaker 1: not any one player field. And fifteen of those guys
Speaker 1: are sandy Lyle basically right, So it's right, fifty plus
Speaker 1: ties may the cut, which really means you're gonna probably
Speaker 1: have anywhere from fifty five to sixty sixty one guys
Speaker 1: making the cut. And yeah, so that's only thirty that
Speaker 1: miss and the fifteen of them are ceremonial you know. Okay, um,
Speaker 1: this is the so before we get in your top ten,
Speaker 1: the real development, you haven't remained static with your with
Speaker 1: your master's data to tell us what that. So when
Speaker 1: I wrote the book, the book had twenty eighteen detailed
Speaker 1: stroke gains data strokes gained data for any Masters we
Speaker 1: can get strokes gained total, but the components of it
Speaker 1: were only available in twenty eighteen when I wrote the
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen book. I have then added I also got
Speaker 1: a tip from someone, a reader who said to me,
Speaker 1: would you like access to seventeen and eighteen or sixteen
Speaker 1: and seventeen? I was like, of course, I would. So
Speaker 1: that was another eighty hours of work each tournament, logging
Speaker 1: every shot into But I now have a six year database,
Speaker 1: and after this year be seven and I think for Christmas,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put together a big book and really dive
Speaker 1: into the details of the seven years of strokes gained.
Speaker 1: But so what we have this year, Gil is we
Speaker 1: do have a new development. Not only do we know
Speaker 1: that you know that strokes gained have the highest correlation
Speaker 1: year to year um at this event, but now I
Speaker 1: can tell you which components are the ones that are
Speaker 1: driving that. And it was a surprise, and I will
Speaker 1: reveal I won't get into the standard deviations or the correlations,
Speaker 1: but the most important thing year over year at the
Speaker 1: Masters is strokes gained off the tea. That is surprisingly
Speaker 1: has a very very high correlation. And I've got some
Speaker 1: great stats on a couple of guys in the top
Speaker 1: ten that we'll get to a number ten ten Masters
Speaker 1: predictions from jail. Yeah, number ten. We just saw his name,
Speaker 1: Corey Corey Connors. Um Corey Connors and this is purely
Speaker 1: based on Corey Connors has played well in his three
Speaker 1: or four other appearances here, but this year he's coming
Speaker 1: in with his highest baseline in the last uh six
Speaker 1: and last twelve months, he's been about a stroke in
Speaker 1: a quarter better than uh uh than you know the
Speaker 1: field in strokes game total. Add to that higher baseline
Speaker 1: with his history here he sneaks into number ten. Number
Speaker 1: nine Isander Shoffley. I don't think people remember how close
Speaker 1: he came to threatening Hideki last year until he dumped
Speaker 1: the ball in the water on sixteen. But if you
Speaker 1: watch that and and this was going over all the strokes,
Speaker 1: he didn't dump the ball in the water on sixteen.
Speaker 1: He came up just short in hitting that you know
Speaker 1: that that area in the back left on sixteen on Sunday, um,
Speaker 1: Now you're probably supposed to hit it onto the hill
Speaker 1: and let it roll down to the right, but he
Speaker 1: was very close. Uh. Number eight is Russell Henley. And
Speaker 1: again this has to be a bit of a shocker.
Speaker 1: This is a very high high odds guy. However, Henley
Speaker 1: played in the Masters in every year from thirteen to
Speaker 1: eighteen except for sixteen, and in those four appearances they're stellar,
Speaker 1: no misscuts uh and way over his base line. Now
Speaker 1: he revamped his game. He's coming in with a higher
Speaker 1: baseline than ever before he liked Connors. Over the last
Speaker 1: twelve months he's about a stroke in a quarter better,
Speaker 1: But over the last six months he's about a stroke
Speaker 1: in three quarters better uh than the than the average
Speaker 1: PJ player. So this is a compelling long shot to me.
Speaker 1: Now maybe you don't want you know, we're gonna throw
Speaker 1: a little bit on the outright, but this might be
Speaker 1: a very top twenty, top ten type interesting that to
Speaker 1: place on Henley UH. Number seven is Patrick can't lay.
Speaker 1: He does not have a good uh of course adjustment
Speaker 1: history here. It's pretty much flat versus his baseline. He
Speaker 1: puts very poorly here, but you cannot ignore how high
Speaker 1: his performance level has been over the last twelve months.
Speaker 1: So I've got him at number seven. It's a probably
Speaker 1: a little bit of a fade based on his actual
Speaker 1: outright odds. So you but you know, you just can't
Speaker 1: discount how well he's played over the last twelve months.
Speaker 1: But despite coming close in nine teen, he really has
Speaker 1: not played here well. And his putting X I say,
Speaker 1: like the components, I can do his round by round
Speaker 1: putting um and it's it's not it's not favorable. Number
Speaker 1: six is DJ DJ when you get into the components.
Speaker 1: This is a surprise. The Dustin Johnson has been uh
Speaker 1: from one year to the next, the best strokes gained
Speaker 1: approach player at the Masters. He has of the of
Speaker 1: all the rounds he has played here, he has the
Speaker 1: highest percentage of anybody who we have strokes gained Detail
Speaker 1: four in terms of positive strokes gained round uh um approach.
Speaker 1: That is, in eighteen rounds he has sixteen or eight
Speaker 1: nine percent um that have been positive strokes gained approach um.
Speaker 1: Number five is Cameron Smith. Cameron Cameron Smith has played
Speaker 1: very well here. Uh. Even before he won the you know,
Speaker 1: before he wanted a TPC Sawgrass. Um. You know, I
Speaker 1: like him here. That obviously shortened his odds. Um. I
Speaker 1: like the top four better. But camp Smith, you know,
Speaker 1: look for him to be a factor. He just puts
Speaker 1: so well here and he's such a great potter. Um.
Speaker 1: So that that's number four, Number five, Number four Scottie Scheffler. UM.
Speaker 1: I wish Scottie Scheffler hadn't won three tournaments in the
Speaker 1: last you know, two and a half months, because those
Speaker 1: were some great odds at the beginning of the year.
Speaker 1: And he, you know, I had it tied up, but
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't try to guess these in the future,
Speaker 1: but I knew was his course factor was great, his
Speaker 1: details on his eight rounds here. He didn't appear on
Speaker 1: the course factor list because he's only played eight rounds
Speaker 1: with only played eight rounds here. But he's just got
Speaker 1: positive readings across the board. Um and obviously he's playing great.
Speaker 1: Uh I you know, I think he's gonna be a
Speaker 1: factor here for a number of years. Number three is
Speaker 1: here a big surprise. We got a guy up around
Speaker 1: fifty two one, and that's Daniel Berger. Yeah, Daniel Berger.
Speaker 1: And this is the shocker I mentioned about off the
Speaker 1: strokes gained off the tea being so important from year
Speaker 1: to year. Daniel Berger has played fourteen rounds here and
Speaker 1: of him, so, I guess that's thirteen thirteen out of
Speaker 1: fourteen rounds have been positive strokes gained off the tea.
Speaker 1: There's only one guy better, and we will get to him,
Speaker 1: um and so. And he puts tremendously here. The weakness
Speaker 1: is the irons, for sure, that's the weakness of his game.
Speaker 1: But he's got a nice baseline coming in. He has
Speaker 1: just displayed such excellence here that I think we can
Speaker 1: put him down for three or four strokes gained off
Speaker 1: the tea, then he's putting well, all right, He's just
Speaker 1: got to get hot iron scoring and I you know,
Speaker 1: price wise, I love it. I can't take him above
Speaker 1: the top two guys because number two is Rory. Um.
Speaker 1: Rory has played better in the last six months than
Speaker 1: people think. You know, he's you know, I think there's
Speaker 1: more narrative hurting him than uh than actual performance. Obviously,
Speaker 1: he has also had some meltdowns and majors. Um. I
Speaker 1: do wonder what goes on in his head. Um, But
Speaker 1: you know, this is Rory off the tea obviously is
Speaker 1: tremendous here as well. But no one, no one is
Speaker 1: better off the tea at Augusta. Think John rom He
Speaker 1: has had twenty rounds here. He has never had a
Speaker 1: negative strokes gained off the tea in those twenty rounds,
Speaker 1: and in fact, his worst was gaining a half stroke
Speaker 1: on the field. It's just incredible. And his putting of
Speaker 1: everybody in the field that we have data on to
Speaker 1: his worst stroke scawn round game putting was negative one
Speaker 1: and third strokes. That's the best of any worst so
Speaker 1: John Ram is my pick to win it. I know
Speaker 1: it's Chalky. I wish it weren't, but there's a reason
Speaker 1: just any any way, you're weighing these different factors. John
Speaker 1: Rom's gonna come out and I haven't play on Rory,
Speaker 1: so I'm happy about that. By the way, here's a tweet.
Speaker 1: Is this one of your college buddies right here? Who
Speaker 1: just sent a picture of you from your from your
Speaker 1: younger days? Joe who said, Gil, he said, uh, I'll
Speaker 1: get the exact quote here from the tweet, but he said,
Speaker 1: a picture of you as a young man. He said, Hey, Gil,
Speaker 1: are you sure you want to trust this s bestimen
Speaker 1: with your hard earned dollars with his master's pick hashtag
Speaker 1: bet profit. It is my understanding those records had been
Speaker 1: sealed forever. That is a picture of man, you know,
Speaker 1: whether it's Billy, Joel or Adele. That's when we were young.
Speaker 1: And now to break down the eighties six the Masters
Speaker 1: at Augusta, which of course begins this Thursday. It's my
Speaker 1: primetime Action partners Matt Brown and Kelly Bitlin as we
Speaker 1: do this from the South Point Studio. Gentlemen, how you doing?
Speaker 1: You're excited you've got masters fever. I do know. I
Speaker 1: do know. All of a sudden, yes, after after the
Speaker 1: week of last week gets by, and you know, we
Speaker 1: get through everything, and I sat down yesterday and started
Speaker 1: really focusing in on everything. I am I'm pumped. I'm
Speaker 1: pretty pumped. How many outright you got right now? I
Speaker 1: have one, two, three, four, five, six and seven likes?
Speaker 1: Kelly you Yeah, I'm I have five made two at
Speaker 1: least two dads, So yeah, I'll be up to help
Speaker 1: me up to seven. Okay, before we get into all
Speaker 1: your picks, whether it's outrights or derivatives, can I ask
Speaker 1: you the same question I asked of really everybody I
Speaker 1: had on but Joe p to before this on the
Speaker 1: podcast as well, Where do you guys stand on the
Speaker 1: whole Tiger Woods deal? Here? As we sit here recording
Speaker 1: this on Monday, it appears as though he is going
Speaker 1: to try a tea off on Thursday, and there is
Speaker 1: a faction of people I'm guessing maybe this is you, guys,
Speaker 1: but there's a faction of people who before you could
Speaker 1: almost finish the sentence, Hey, what do you think Tiger
Speaker 1: has a shot? The chuckles the snickers will begin, But
Speaker 1: then there's a group of people who are like, yeah,
Speaker 1: you probably shouldn't laugh whenever Tiger Woods is involved at
Speaker 1: the Masters. Yeah. I watched one American hours of him
Speaker 1: just hitting balls on the range today because Golf Tannel,
Speaker 1: Golf Channel went out and they were like the title
Speaker 1: of the broadcast was you know, you know range, and
Speaker 1: they were gonna have interviews with players and this that not.
Speaker 1: It was not that they just basically sat a camera
Speaker 1: on Tiger Woods for an hour and it was nothing
Speaker 1: but him hitting balls for an hour. So and your
Speaker 1: conclusion was, he's out there with Justin Thomas, his good buddy.
Speaker 1: They're chucking it up, you know, laughing and you know,
Speaker 1: hooping and hollering and all that, and like he seemed
Speaker 1: in great spirits, looked like, you know, things fine, didn't
Speaker 1: you know, there's no win thing, there was no whatever.
Speaker 1: It looked like a dude who was warming up to
Speaker 1: play that week, so he's gonna play. I didn't watch
Speaker 1: an hour of it, but I watched about twenty minutes
Speaker 1: of it, and I had multiple quotes from players right
Speaker 1: like Kucher was out there, He's like he's ready to go,
Speaker 1: He's ready to go right now. Um, so I think
Speaker 1: he's gonna play too. I think that these I think
Speaker 1: the markets with him are interesting as you get further
Speaker 1: than that. Like I mean, we've seen a circle that
Speaker 1: complete one stroke prob. I mean that's up to minus
Speaker 1: fifteen fifty as of Monday afternoon. I think he's gonna
Speaker 1: tee off. I think that you should. I think with
Speaker 1: Tiger Woods, how well he knows this course. I don't
Speaker 1: think I would not be making a bet either way
Speaker 1: on him making or missing the cut. Um. I think
Speaker 1: his finishing position could become interesting. I think it's up
Speaker 1: to fifty seven right now at circa uh kind of
Speaker 1: wishing I would have jumped on it, A back to
Speaker 1: seven kind of wishing I would have jumped on it. Friday.
Speaker 1: I think we were talking about it. It was forty seven,
Speaker 1: was hoping it was going to continue to think and
Speaker 1: then play over. I think the four days and we
Speaker 1: talk it's a little bit about this on Primetime Action
Speaker 1: last week. I think the four days is gonna be
Speaker 1: tough for him to get all the way through that
Speaker 1: two days though, and to make the cut. I'm not
Speaker 1: betting either one way or the other on Tiger Woods
Speaker 1: that the number had fallen just to kind of get
Speaker 1: back to your original quick the number had fallen to
Speaker 1: like a laughable state where when he got down to
Speaker 1: forty two one, that's just ridiculous, right, I'm looking right now.
Speaker 1: I mean at points bet out there it is gotten
Speaker 1: back up to eighty to one right on Tiger, which
Speaker 1: I still think that's not enough. We're getting there, but
Speaker 1: it's it's approaching right like, like I don't think that's enough,
Speaker 1: but it's at least approaching where it should be, right,
Speaker 1: like somewhere appropriate for a guy that hasn't played a
Speaker 1: competitive stroke of golf in seventeen months should be hundred
Speaker 1: twenty something like that or whatever. I don't care if
Speaker 1: it is Tiger Woods, you know. I mean, this is
Speaker 1: a guy who has not played a tournament in seventeen months,
Speaker 1: you know, on tour and so uh and not all
Speaker 1: that coming back off of a horrible, horrible injury that
Speaker 1: almost ended his career. So sure, because in nineteen he
Speaker 1: was playing like great golf before that a hundred. He
Speaker 1: had like a hundred holes like leading into that tournament
Speaker 1: where he was like on like, I mean, it was
Speaker 1: kind of like where everyone kind of started going dude,
Speaker 1: what is what's going on with tighter like this is weird?
Speaker 1: You know, it's not the same scenario. Okay, Um, So
Speaker 1: unlike saw Grass, which would be the least predictive of
Speaker 1: all golf courses, Augusta is actually the most predictive from
Speaker 1: year to year. What are you specifically looking for as
Speaker 1: the number one skill set at Augusta and then break
Speaker 1: it down from there, sir? Yeah, So I mean, like
Speaker 1: I said, it's it's played on the same at least
Speaker 1: the same grounds since so this is one of those
Speaker 1: things where the course is morphed over the years. For sure,
Speaker 1: it's gonna be playing at yards this year, which is
Speaker 1: the longest that it's ever played. They added to the
Speaker 1: par four, eleventh, they added to the par five. Both
Speaker 1: of those have been lengthened. So the one of them
Speaker 1: five yards now when five fifty yards now. But the course, yes,
Speaker 1: the land that's the same, The stra is still the same.
Speaker 1: The greens have still are still lightning fast with all
Speaker 1: kinds of undulations. The faraways are still wide, but all
Speaker 1: kinds of slanted and all different things like that. So
Speaker 1: it's basically all the same. So you know, for me,
Speaker 1: first and foremost, I kind of just started to look
Speaker 1: at the field in general to start to whittle down, right,
Speaker 1: because we're not only one players now becausej spawn one
Speaker 1: on Sunday, so he's he gets in, so ninety one
Speaker 1: players that's including Tiger Woods. You you start to look
Speaker 1: at this and it's like, Okay, Sandy Lyle, Jose, Mariel
Speaker 1: athobl VJ seeing Larry Miys, Mike Weir, Fred Couples, Patrick Harrington,
Speaker 1: and Bernard Longer are all playing, right, that's eight players
Speaker 1: right off the top. You can just whack right out
Speaker 1: right out of consideration, you know, I mean, like, for
Speaker 1: an example, Larry Miys played last year, he shot seventy nine,
Speaker 1: you know, like Sandy Leisle played last year, shot seventy five.
Speaker 1: You know, it's it's they're to us, they're awesome. Well,
Speaker 1: I mean like like they just exactly what I was
Speaker 1: thinking about. It's like if they were playing with us. Yeah,
Speaker 1: they're a comparatively yes to the best golfers in the world,
Speaker 1: Like they have they've got no shot, right, and then
Speaker 1: you've then you've got amateurs in here. So there's six amateurs.
Speaker 1: I'm not saying they have no chance of winning, very
Speaker 1: very very little chance of winning. So if there's ninety one,
Speaker 1: you subtract those fourteen players were sitting at seventy seven.
Speaker 1: Then you add in Bryson to Shambo, Paul Casey, Hitechi Matsiyama,
Speaker 1: Abe Answer, Webb Simpson, all these guys coming in injured, right,
Speaker 1: these five more guys that you take out of there.
Speaker 1: So like now we're we've whittled down from ninety one
Speaker 1: to about seventy now right like at once you kind
Speaker 1: of take out the olds and the amateurs and the
Speaker 1: old so it's like all those So now we're down
Speaker 1: to seventy gal and fifty and ties make the cut.
Speaker 1: So it's so it's like, you know, we're down like
Speaker 1: seventy players that we really consider having a chance here
Speaker 1: in the fifteen ties make ties you and it usually
Speaker 1: ends up seven somewhere like that. So yeah, something like that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I would say more probably more than closes makes me
Speaker 1: something like that, which is why I get back to
Speaker 1: Tigre for as second, the reason that he's so close
Speaker 1: to a coin flip maker miss the cut because we
Speaker 1: just identified the window in between those two days, like
Speaker 1: thirteen golfers right between making it and being sandy Lyle
Speaker 1: or whoever. And the other point I think with with
Speaker 1: you know, how what what Matt just laid out is
Speaker 1: it requires you if you bet golf every if you
Speaker 1: only bet the majors and you're a lightbet, you know
Speaker 1: golf better, this doesn't really matter. We're about to safe.
Speaker 1: You bet golf regularly, like Matt and I do, you
Speaker 1: kind of need to adjust numbers then in your head
Speaker 1: of you know, what is a fair outright price? What
Speaker 1: is a fair top ten price? It was a fair
Speaker 1: top twenty price when you consider the field is already
Speaker 1: shorter than what you normally get on the PGA Tour,
Speaker 1: but they're extra shorter when you're eliminate guys like that already.
Speaker 1: So I think that's that's one thing that you kind
Speaker 1: of if you're doing this regularly, have to be able
Speaker 1: to adjust as you go in and started price shopping
Speaker 1: and betting on plane just took ten minutes and avoided
Speaker 1: Gil's question altogether, which was what are we looking for
Speaker 1: in golfers? But you know, kind of like whittling down
Speaker 1: some of so first and four most, I like just
Speaker 1: I lopped off a bunch of guys like yeah, so
Speaker 1: first and foremost I lopped off a bunch of the
Speaker 1: guys and then going to here. You know, listen, we
Speaker 1: do off the tea every single week, so that obviously
Speaker 1: has to be something that we look at. But this
Speaker 1: is this is act. This is a bomber's course, right,
Speaker 1: Like driving distance matters, So driving distance is super prominent
Speaker 1: for me this week. Um, you're looking at guys that
Speaker 1: play long par four as well, because we're looking at
Speaker 1: a lot of you know, four to five yard par four,
Speaker 1: so we're looking at that type of stuff. Me personally,
Speaker 1: I took in bogie bogie avoidance and three put avoidance
Speaker 1: into my model this week because you gotta kind of
Speaker 1: be patient here at this at this course, and so
Speaker 1: you just gotta take some pars sometimes, right like you
Speaker 1: just gotta be able to kind of take your medicine
Speaker 1: because these greens are super super tough, experience are super
Speaker 1: super fast, so sometimes you just gotta lie get up
Speaker 1: there and take your two pud and move on right
Speaker 1: and not trying to be super super aggressive on all
Speaker 1: this stuff. And so that was really what I was
Speaker 1: looking at this week, Kelly. I mean I did a
Speaker 1: short game as well, because again, like I said, these
Speaker 1: greens have a lot of runoff, and so there's gonna
Speaker 1: be a lot of guys that think they're on the
Speaker 1: green and it's gonna roll right off, and they gotta
Speaker 1: have some nice little touch and and and be able
Speaker 1: to get it back up there close. But that's really
Speaker 1: all I looked at this week. I didn't go super
Speaker 1: complicated in the model. Yeah this uh you know me there,
Speaker 1: I think the masters and the Master's model is kind
Speaker 1: of you know, basically rinse and repeat from the years before.
Speaker 1: You may maybe add a little bit, uh not for me,
Speaker 1: it wasn't much, though, I would say I'm looking at
Speaker 1: it now. So over sixty percent of my model is
Speaker 1: distributed between uh stroke skate, approach, stroke screened off the tea,
Speaker 1: driving distance, and green and greens and regulation games. So
Speaker 1: that's you know, greens of regulation hand in hand was
Speaker 1: shot with approach. You know, it's uh that they kind
Speaker 1: of go hand in hand. Your approach shots are off
Speaker 1: and getting on the green. But just pulling up some
Speaker 1: of these stats from Justin Ray he had earlier for
Speaker 1: just for people to understand how important these are out there. Uh,
Speaker 1: since strokes gained approach at AUGUSTA, leaders are Jordan's speed,
Speaker 1: Louis Oostays and Corey Connors and Deckie Mazy Young i'm
Speaker 1: a Paul Casey and Webb Simpson some interesting names in there,
Speaker 1: and then most strokes game ball striking, which combines off
Speaker 1: the team approach at the Master's last four years, DJ,
Speaker 1: Corey Connors, John rom Justin Thomas, Bubba Watson and Brooks
Speaker 1: kept in that or so those are things that you know,
Speaker 1: you know, I was looking at heavy as far as
Speaker 1: other stats that I did sprinkle in there, Matt scrambling
Speaker 1: a little bit, and you know something we always I
Speaker 1: there's been years where there has been massive outliers of
Speaker 1: guys that have scrambled well at the Master's really keeping
Speaker 1: the exactly it was just how he chose to. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I did a little bit of scrambling. I did a
Speaker 1: little bit of short game like yourself to just as
Speaker 1: my putting, uh kind of it's note of strokes game putting,
Speaker 1: when strokes game short game did bogie avoidance like you
Speaker 1: did as well, um. And then a little bit of
Speaker 1: strokes Game Part five, Part four and some proximity to
Speaker 1: two hundred, which includes a couple of the Part three's
Speaker 1: in there, as well, so yeah, that that was you know,
Speaker 1: pretty similar models, just lightly adding uh some things they
Speaker 1: year as opposed to last year. Um, and just kind
Speaker 1: of tweaking, tweaking how I waited some things. But it's
Speaker 1: it's heavy off the tea and heavy approach. And you
Speaker 1: you've you've done enough shows with us to know like,
Speaker 1: I don't ever I don't ever wait putting like it's
Speaker 1: just not a not a thing for me. And if
Speaker 1: we want to kind of drive that home here at
Speaker 1: Augusta because it's two random it's so hard, like it
Speaker 1: they you talked to anybody right, like they can't read
Speaker 1: these greens. It's super super hard to read these their
Speaker 1: lightning fast with all kinds of it. So the last
Speaker 1: fourteen winners of this tournament strokes game putting rank in
Speaker 1: the world. So Headeki won it last year. He was
Speaker 1: a hundred and seventy five in the world and putting,
Speaker 1: you go back. Dustin Johnson's forty eight tiger Woods was
Speaker 1: seventy four, Patrick Reid was seventy second, Sergio Garcia was
Speaker 1: a hundred and sixty second, Danny Willett was sixtieth. The
Speaker 1: only guy that was inside the top twenty guy, the
Speaker 1: only guy that was inside the top sixty. Jordan's speed
Speaker 1: was ninth overall, Bubble Latson one oh nine, Adam Scott
Speaker 1: one thirty, Bubble Watson one two, Charles Swartz six, Phil
Speaker 1: Mickelson one thirty three. So you get the picture, like,
Speaker 1: you don't have to be a good putter to win here, right,
Speaker 1: because it's so hard for everyone that it's you don't
Speaker 1: have to be good because you can't really be all
Speaker 1: that good. That's good advice because I'm sure there's some
Speaker 1: people out there trying to figure this out based on
Speaker 1: putting stats, and if you're doing that, you're if you're
Speaker 1: going down the road. It's I mean, that doesn't mean
Speaker 1: whoever wins this probably will have a great putting week.
Speaker 1: To say, you know, it's just hard to predict. It
Speaker 1: is extremely hard, difficult to predict, especially at this golf
Speaker 1: course before we get your pigs. And I asked this
Speaker 1: earlier because the deal on the weather forecast. If you
Speaker 1: look at the weather forecast, so Friday Friday looks like
Speaker 1: you remember when we do football games, and here the
Speaker 1: three of us and we're like, well, you know, anything
Speaker 1: over fifteen miles per hour kind of gets dicey. You're
Speaker 1: at twenty miles per hour. It's like a thing, and
Speaker 1: it's supposed to be twenty mile per hour. Wins on Friday?
Speaker 1: Do you have? Does it? First of all? Does that
Speaker 1: screw the pooch on your models a bit? Does it
Speaker 1: scare you a little bit? Not a ton for me,
Speaker 1: just because this course is so tree lined, like it'll
Speaker 1: it'll be swirling and it'll certainly mess with those guys
Speaker 1: some for sure, but a little bit less here for
Speaker 1: me than most places to where I would be worried
Speaker 1: about something like that, So I didn't factor in all that.
Speaker 1: I think it's one of those things for me and
Speaker 1: almost every golf tournament that it's hey, be aware of it,
Speaker 1: like you just said, Gil, and then keep your eye
Speaker 1: on it. And if it's something that like, there's a
Speaker 1: lot of bet there's a lot of bets that I
Speaker 1: haven't put in yet that maybe, uh, you know, I'm
Speaker 1: gonna wait till things maybe clear up two days from
Speaker 1: now you've got a clearer vision of how it's really
Speaker 1: gonna look on Wednesday instead of a Monday, Right, I
Speaker 1: think that all matters a lot. I don't think you
Speaker 1: can be sitting here, you know, on a Monday before
Speaker 1: a golf tournament and really making bets based off of
Speaker 1: what you think the weather is gonna be. Even when
Speaker 1: you try to do that on on a Wednesday, it's
Speaker 1: sometimes shift. I mean if it shifts by a couple
Speaker 1: hours and you're targeting certain certain groups, that strategy can
Speaker 1: go completely out the window. So I think it's something
Speaker 1: to to always keep in mind, and you know, you
Speaker 1: keep your eye on it. And for this this week
Speaker 1: for sure, you know the way they are predicting, it
Speaker 1: could absolutely mess with how you might want to do, uh,
Speaker 1: you know, make or misscut bets, uh, first round leader bets,
Speaker 1: you know who. It could be several things that impact
Speaker 1: that get impacted by that. But I think as far
Speaker 1: as this whole tournament betting, think it's something to keep
Speaker 1: in mind, you know, look at it as you get
Speaker 1: closer to the tournament. I just wouldn't be building in
Speaker 1: building that into how you're gonna predict, you know, make
Speaker 1: your bets right now on a Monday. I mean, yeah,
Speaker 1: what else are you gonna do? Right? I gotta throw
Speaker 1: it out everything, But something to keep in mind for sure,
Speaker 1: because that could that could obviously reak havoc. All right, um,
Speaker 1: let's get to it. Let's get to some names. However
Speaker 1: you want to do this, yeah, I mean, so look
Speaker 1: you look at the top, and you can basically make
Speaker 1: a case for so many of these dudes at the top, right,
Speaker 1: I mean, like you look at John Ram's last four
Speaker 1: Masters T five, T seventy nine and four. You know, Peter,
Speaker 1: for what it's worth, he had Rama is the best,
Speaker 1: like cam Smith in three of his last four Masters
Speaker 1: T tin T two, T five, Jordan's Speed T three
Speaker 1: last year forty six and that fall version, that weird
Speaker 1: fall version UM one third T eleven T two one
Speaker 1: it and then a T two he like like Jordan
Speaker 1: Spie like of course history here eight starts, eight made cuts,
Speaker 1: five top threes and at eleven. Right. If so, if
Speaker 1: we're we're talking outside of Tiger Woods, as far as
Speaker 1: like course history of modern players, I understand we're not
Speaker 1: going back to like Ben Hogan and all these people
Speaker 1: like modern players here as far as course history outside
Speaker 1: of Tiger Jordan's Speece is like the guy, right, I mean,
Speaker 1: like and and again we talked about this is maybe
Speaker 1: the only course where of course history really and truly
Speaker 1: does play into kind of how you go so you
Speaker 1: get to the top of the board here just quickly
Speaker 1: again again back, Like that's what leads an approach strokes
Speaker 1: game to approach Jordan Spieth, Like, that's not you know,
Speaker 1: he's a good approach player. Not sure we would necessarily
Speaker 1: have I wouldn't have guessed that he laid that in
Speaker 1: that statistics the Masters, that's for sure. Yeah, So just
Speaker 1: you make a case for all these guys. I just
Speaker 1: started to kind of whittle down from an odds perspective
Speaker 1: and then at least a little bit of a little
Speaker 1: bit of recent form perspective, and it's like, listen, John
Speaker 1: rom is phenomenal, awesome, awesome golfer. I just can't get there.
Speaker 1: Whereas current odds are a comparatively to the rest of
Speaker 1: the guys at the top of the board, right, Like
Speaker 1: I'm able to get like I'm able to get Cam
Speaker 1: Smith at eighteen to one, which I do have in
Speaker 1: my account, Like I'm able to get Cam Smith at
Speaker 1: eighteen to one. A guy who has he also has
Speaker 1: good course history here. He is also a guy who's
Speaker 1: won this year. He's also a guy who what for
Speaker 1: whatever reason, continues to find his way into the top
Speaker 1: tens when we get to Sundays and he's always around
Speaker 1: and I don't have to pay that premium that I'm
Speaker 1: having to pay for John Rom you know, and listen,
Speaker 1: he very well might go out there and win this thing,
Speaker 1: as I said, T five, T seventeen nine and fourth
Speaker 1: last four trips. Yeah, like his last four trips here.
Speaker 1: You very well might go do that. But you know,
Speaker 1: we're looking at at some places eight nine, ten, ten
Speaker 1: to one on that. I'm really getting double that up there,
Speaker 1: you know. Yeah, I'm just I'm really getting double that
Speaker 1: on a guy that I think, as far as skill
Speaker 1: set and for him and and all that has has
Speaker 1: about the same amount of win equity is as wrong.
Speaker 1: So I mean, my shortest guy is Justin Thomas. He
Speaker 1: is a guy that if you go over the model,
Speaker 1: he does not have the kind of master's history that
Speaker 1: you've just been talking about. No, he he really doesn't.
Speaker 1: He just has the skill set history that that I've
Speaker 1: that's going on here. So in the model that I
Speaker 1: ran fifty rounds, he's second overall thirty six rounds, he
Speaker 1: is first overall twenty four rounds, he is first overall
Speaker 1: and then when I go to even twelve rounds, he's
Speaker 1: first overall in the model that ran. So this is
Speaker 1: just a trust the numbers, trust that this guy is
Speaker 1: one of the very best golfers in the world, and
Speaker 1: go ahead and play him there. And listen, we were
Speaker 1: able to get a little bit better number here than
Speaker 1: we talked about this. We're not able to make all
Speaker 1: the bet you guys are rest of the country, but
Speaker 1: we at least get some outright numbers that are rogue
Speaker 1: every now and then. And I was able to get
Speaker 1: him kind of like sixteen to one ish whenever I
Speaker 1: got him, which you can't find anywhere restling. I haven't
Speaker 1: even that's the one I haven't even chopped round on yet.
Speaker 1: Was hoping I could find find a better number here
Speaker 1: in town. So love hearing that from Matt, because uh,
Speaker 1: same here. I didn't even run the last fifty round
Speaker 1: model for this mad but thirteve he has painted across
Speaker 1: the board number one in my model, Like I said,
Speaker 1: cam Smith at eighteen one. This is a guy who
Speaker 1: in every single version is top twenty, if not top
Speaker 1: ten in this And also we're talking about win equity here,
Speaker 1: and that's you know, we're betting out rights, I won't
Speaker 1: win equity. This guy can go and win tournaments. He
Speaker 1: has proven that he can go and win on a Sunday,
Speaker 1: and he can track people down. He can also protect
Speaker 1: leads as well. And so who is your number one, Kelly?
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, Thomas, but just number one basically. So he's
Speaker 1: in there at eighteen to one. I'm playing the number
Speaker 1: one player in the world as well. Kelly turned me
Speaker 1: on to a better number that I was even seeing
Speaker 1: here in town, got Scottie Shecheffer at twenty two one,
Speaker 1: and I can't I feel really really good about that.
Speaker 1: I mean, this is the most consistent golfer pretty much
Speaker 1: going right now. And we talked about win equity. I mean,
Speaker 1: he's gone out one three times in his last five starts.
Speaker 1: And once you you know you you kind of get
Speaker 1: that ball rolling with the guy that's as talented as
Speaker 1: he is. We've seen guys rattle off and we've seen
Speaker 1: guys continue to to pound the leaderboards after they kind
Speaker 1: of get that monkey off their back of that first
Speaker 1: win where everyone kept saying, when Scotty Shelfer gonna finally win,
Speaker 1: when's it gonna finally what's what's his number if he
Speaker 1: didn't win three tournaments in the last two months, let alone,
Speaker 1: even if he only one, like once thirty not higher
Speaker 1: maybe third thirty. Well it was thirty five, I mean
Speaker 1: it was thirty five six weeks ago. Was there, It
Speaker 1: was thirty five six weeks ago. So so three wins
Speaker 1: just knocked it down to twenty. So have him at
Speaker 1: twenty um and listen, this is the long time, the
Speaker 1: long time ticket that I've been holding on too. It's
Speaker 1: Sam Burns, and and this is I wanted to get
Speaker 1: out ahead of the number. It was. I found eighty five.
Speaker 1: Kelly even got it better than that. At eighty seven.
Speaker 1: You can't find him. I mean, he's he's fifty or
Speaker 1: forty everywhere right now. So we did beat that number
Speaker 1: by a ton. But the thing that made me feel
Speaker 1: really good is in every single version of this model
Speaker 1: that I ran, Sam Burns finished inside the top five
Speaker 1: in every single version of this model. Because the guy
Speaker 1: doesn't three put, the guy doesn't the guy doesn't bogey
Speaker 1: a lot, and he's out there able to to hit
Speaker 1: the approach shots. He's good. He's good from a short
Speaker 1: game perspective, and then he's also pretty good off the
Speaker 1: tea as well with driving distance, and so he's inside
Speaker 1: the top twenty, top sixteen actually in this field and
Speaker 1: driving distance as well, and so he just has everything
Speaker 1: that I was looking for in this and and so
Speaker 1: he'd be able to get him at that type of number.
Speaker 1: Was fantastic for me. In my last two plays were
Speaker 1: just number plays so off market that there's it's impossible
Speaker 1: for you to pass up. I got Luke List at
Speaker 1: four hundred and fifty two one. You can't find him anywhere,
Speaker 1: like he's won thirty everywhere else like the rest of
Speaker 1: country right now. Got him at four hundred and fifty one.
Speaker 1: A guy that's one a tournament this year, a guy
Speaker 1: that's one a tournament this year, you know, like it's
Speaker 1: it's so that's just strictly a numbers playing. The others
Speaker 1: was just a number play. Was Robert McIntyre. He is
Speaker 1: a guy that actually does show up pretty well in
Speaker 1: in my models, like overall as well. But two hundred
Speaker 1: and four two to one here in town, down the
Speaker 1: street at Circa there, Kelly, this guy is one ten
Speaker 1: at DraftKings, he's one twenty at FanDuel. So you were
Speaker 1: getting more than double at Circle what you're getting at
Speaker 1: the books the rest of country or whatever. And and
Speaker 1: they just you know, they move their odds pretty aggressively.
Speaker 1: And and sometimes for a guy like like McIntyre, he's
Speaker 1: a lefty as well. We know lefties have had a
Speaker 1: tell of success at at Augusta, and he has fault.
Speaker 1: He he keeps showing up in kind of like the
Speaker 1: top thirty in my model, and at two seventy four
Speaker 1: to one, that just doesn't add up to me, that
Speaker 1: just doesn't equate. So that's that's the type of stuff
Speaker 1: I look for when I play these these longer shot guys,
Speaker 1: and so that's kind of my card right now. I'll
Speaker 1: probably add another name or two here before it's all
Speaker 1: said and done, but I'll probably just start getting aggressive
Speaker 1: in the head to heads, getting aggressive in the groupings,
Speaker 1: trying to target guys to go after and fate, you know.
Speaker 1: I mean, again, these guys that are coming in and
Speaker 1: playing injured, I'm gonna go after those guys. I did
Speaker 1: it at the I did it at the AT this
Speaker 1: past week. So you haven't done the head to heads yet? No, No,
Speaker 1: I have put them. Who's the two seventy four to
Speaker 1: one now again Robert McIntyre. Okay, uh do you so
Speaker 1: do you end up now with more masters with more
Speaker 1: outrights on this tournament than you typically do on other tournaments? Yes?
Speaker 1: And is the reason for that because the field is smaller.
Speaker 1: The field is smaller thing you said at the top, Yes,
Speaker 1: and so I'll have some more more outrights than usual
Speaker 1: because of like we said, I only think that there's
Speaker 1: about seventy guys that have a shot in the first place.
Speaker 1: Of those seventy x amount of them don't fit what
Speaker 1: I'm looking for to gover that. I mean, they won't win,
Speaker 1: but that's what not what I'm looking for. And so
Speaker 1: now I've got this little pool here of like thirty
Speaker 1: guys that I think really can can win this thing.
Speaker 1: So bets on a significant portion. So I'll put you know,
Speaker 1: I'll put in eight to ten kind of outright. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think that the you know, it's the same for me.
Speaker 1: I don't think there's even more that goes into that.
Speaker 1: It's just the you know a lot of the ones
Speaker 1: that that Mad and I have both bet together over
Speaker 1: the past several months. You're just you're trying to pick
Speaker 1: good and pick off good numbers at the right time, right,
Speaker 1: and so that's Luke List. Uh you know that was
Speaker 1: Sam Burns where we got him. Even Scotty Scheffler just
Speaker 1: a week ago, whatever the heck that was, Man, it
Speaker 1: was it was only a week ago, week and a
Speaker 1: half ago. Um, you're just trying to jump on some
Speaker 1: of these numbers before you know they're gonna move too.
Speaker 1: So I think that some of those, like I bet
Speaker 1: a little lighter than normal. But you know, because I
Speaker 1: hadn't run models, hadn't run everything for this week yet,
Speaker 1: but kind of knew those were guys that numbers were
Speaker 1: gonna fold drastically on. So I wanted to get out
Speaker 1: ahead of him. Um, as far as outright said I
Speaker 1: have right now are everything that was made before, before today,
Speaker 1: before this week. I'll be adding on a couple here,
Speaker 1: Scotty Scheffler twenty two one. Like Matt talked about Daniel
Speaker 1: Berger fifty five to one, which is maybe the only
Speaker 1: bat I've made the past few months that I would
Speaker 1: say I maybe regret a little bit, but it's still
Speaker 1: a good number on him. He's still not seeing him
Speaker 1: early around that he's a little shorter, about forty five
Speaker 1: to one in most places. Uh, Sam Burns eighty seven
Speaker 1: to one, Gary Woodland a hundred to one. Uh, I
Speaker 1: am on because I will not miss Gary with Len's
Speaker 1: next win. Uh. The perpetis that's all right, luc is
Speaker 1: four one. Like Matt brought up other ones that I
Speaker 1: plan on adding. Justin Thomas, I'm going to play and
Speaker 1: that is one that UM like like Matt's in his models,
Speaker 1: in my models where we're seeing him number one painted
Speaker 1: across the board in all my models that iran Uh,
Speaker 1: Matt's two outside of his top fifty. Uh. That is
Speaker 1: a bet I will be putting in. I think that
Speaker 1: if I see a sixteen to one, I will jump
Speaker 1: on it. I think the other good advice out there,
Speaker 1: Matt is if you if you're looking to bet, you
Speaker 1: know a ram Or and JT, one of these guys
Speaker 1: at the top of the board, you know a lot
Speaker 1: of the betting that's gonna occur over the next few
Speaker 1: days is not gonna be on them. Per Se, You're
Speaker 1: gonna get a lot of the public coming in on
Speaker 1: longer numbers, and there's not only so much room those
Speaker 1: guys can drop. So I think if you can also
Speaker 1: wait a little bit, if you see some books and
Speaker 1: I'm starting to go down, maybe jump on it. But
Speaker 1: a lot of times those numbers will go up, you know,
Speaker 1: at one or two or you know, you know, three
Speaker 1: little points there, So get on that point too. And
Speaker 1: and this is something like if you want to keep
Speaker 1: a bullet or two kind of in the tank, right
Speaker 1: and fire in tournament. So only ten of the of
Speaker 1: the players that have finished t ten or better played
Speaker 1: their best round on Thursday over the last five masters, right,
Speaker 1: So you're only talking about ten percent of the guys
Speaker 1: that finished inside the top ten that their best round
Speaker 1: came on a Thursday. So you're you're gonna get guys
Speaker 1: that that again, play kind of the long game here.
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe just go out one under, maybe two under
Speaker 1: on Thursday, find themselves three four strokes off the lead
Speaker 1: and you can't get a more favorable number. And you
Speaker 1: have that kind of in I pocket on some of
Speaker 1: these guys that we're talking about the top of them exactly.
Speaker 1: And you're right, that is something that I will probably
Speaker 1: play that strategy with j T. One of the one
Speaker 1: of the other things that if you can do if
Speaker 1: you do have access to the to the draft kings
Speaker 1: and the point bets points batting MGMs and fanduels out there.
Speaker 1: We we laugh at this all the time. Is you
Speaker 1: can wait till Thursday. If your guy teas off later
Speaker 1: in the day, wait till these early guys go off
Speaker 1: and then score a score a few uh, you know,
Speaker 1: scored a few holes, and sometimes those odds jump up
Speaker 1: a few points just because other guys have teed off
Speaker 1: and posted semi decent numbers already. So if you're like
Speaker 1: me and you and you're you're, you're upset over just
Speaker 1: a small difference in numbers, you might just have to
Speaker 1: wait a little bit and you can get a better number.
Speaker 1: So j T I will I will add pre tournament,
Speaker 1: but like Matt said, will probably also leave some wiggle
Speaker 1: room to jump on him in tournament as well. One
Speaker 1: guy that I definitely have that plan with his Victor Hovland. Um.
Speaker 1: I'd like to play Vic this week, Matt. Uh. You know,
Speaker 1: the tournament history obviously is not exactly there with a
Speaker 1: player like that, but he was top five in every
Speaker 1: model that I ran. Um, I'd like to be on
Speaker 1: him at some point this week. I don't know if
Speaker 1: I'm willing to bet him at twenty one, which is
Speaker 1: where he's painted at across everywhere East Coast. If I
Speaker 1: can find longer numbers than that here in town, maybe
Speaker 1: I'll hop on in pre tournament, but he might be
Speaker 1: an in tournament play for me. Another guy who was
Speaker 1: top ten and every one of my models, Jakin Neiman. Um.
Speaker 1: You know another young guy not exactly a ton of
Speaker 1: course history here, um, but for everything that I weighed
Speaker 1: in models in recent form wise walking Hman coming in
Speaker 1: play really strong. We saw him win you know earlier
Speaker 1: this year out in California at the Genesis. Uh. He's
Speaker 1: fourth in my last twelve twelve rounds model for everything
Speaker 1: I punched him with him, So I'll probably take a
Speaker 1: small piece of an outright on him, love him as
Speaker 1: a top twenty bet this week also mix it up.
Speaker 1: This is where I think again, if you're betting at
Speaker 1: his DraftKings, vandel Points, met MGM, look for some of
Speaker 1: these other markets. If there's top South American posting or
Speaker 1: something like that, you might be able to get a
Speaker 1: good number on him there. Um. Other guy that's it
Speaker 1: for outrights that I was targeting. Other guys that I
Speaker 1: have circled for finishing position and match finishing position and
Speaker 1: matchup bets Matt Adam hadwin you you've been on him
Speaker 1: in the past few weeks. I mean, he's just coming
Speaker 1: in hot right now. I think he's he could be
Speaker 1: a good top forty bet had him circled for that.
Speaker 1: Shane Lowry kind of same thing. Top thirty, top thirty
Speaker 1: or top forty market. I have him circled for that.
Speaker 1: Like you said about Sam Burns, numbers continue to back
Speaker 1: it up even to this week. So I think even
Speaker 1: outside of the outright bet on have on him, I'll
Speaker 1: be looking to at a top twenty with him um
Speaker 1: Luke list as well. Top forty I think is a
Speaker 1: good market met him in there. Uh So those are
Speaker 1: some of the guys that I'm targeting finishing positions. You know,
Speaker 1: a lot of those markets just opening today, a lot
Speaker 1: of matchups not even available to us yet. But those
Speaker 1: are some other guys that I had circled that might
Speaker 1: not have the win equity that we always talk about,
Speaker 1: you know here on on Primetime Action. We talked about
Speaker 1: it often when we're breaking down some of these golf tournaments.
Speaker 1: I'm not sure I'm running too bets Shane Lowry or
Speaker 1: Adams had When to go out and win the Masters.
Speaker 1: But these guys are coming in hot. I think you
Speaker 1: can take a nice finishing position back. We're gonna say
Speaker 1: to Sam Burns, to my thing, and I listen, I
Speaker 1: have a an awesome number on him. Whatever they're gonna say,
Speaker 1: uh heaving the first time winner since Fuzzy Seller. I agreed,
Speaker 1: there hasn't been. Sam Burns also has multiple you know,
Speaker 1: like Sam Burns also has multiple wins under his belt,
Speaker 1: Like heading into to this tournament here, I don't think
Speaker 1: that this is like I don't think this is gonna
Speaker 1: be too big for him. So I'm not incredibly worried
Speaker 1: about that. If you do want to. You know, these
Speaker 1: guys that we all talked about, we talked about course history,
Speaker 1: we talked about how this played on the same grounds
Speaker 1: over the last five years. They're thirteen. There's only thirteen
Speaker 1: guys that have multiple top ten finishes in this tournament
Speaker 1: of the last five years. A lot of the names
Speaker 1: you'd expect Rom Dustin Johnson, Jordan's Speeth, Justin Rose, Rory McElroy,
Speaker 1: cam Smith, Patrick Reid, Tony fen now actually has played
Speaker 1: this course really well. Now he's coming in and in
Speaker 1: not the greatest reform, but he started to play a
Speaker 1: little bit better this past week as well. Webb Simpson,
Speaker 1: we talked about him with an injury situation, but he
Speaker 1: does fall into that category. Brooks Kepta, Marc Leishman, Xander Chaffle,
Speaker 1: and Corey Connor's actually is another guy. Grey Connor's anecdotally
Speaker 1: has come up over and over and over again that
Speaker 1: I just want to go back to the advice you
Speaker 1: both gave one. Matt, you said, hey, listen, and there's
Speaker 1: a reason, like we're doing this podcast obviously before the
Speaker 1: master starts, but it doesn't mean you are confined to
Speaker 1: bending out right now. You can wait after the first
Speaker 1: round to get better prices on guys that were much
Speaker 1: shorter shots. Um, that's always a good strategy. And Kelly's
Speaker 1: saying the same thing. But you know, during the first
Speaker 1: round even right the folks who can have not teed
Speaker 1: off in the afternoon, that's always good advice. What one
Speaker 1: follow up to this, well, a couple of follows, but
Speaker 1: one with a guy like Jordan's Speed, who we were
Speaker 1: talking earlier. His course factor is the best at this
Speaker 1: particular of course that Augusta he is just has a
Speaker 1: great course history, but he's coming into this Master's probably
Speaker 1: the worst he's ever played as a body of work.
Speaker 1: So what what wins out in that case for you?
Speaker 1: So there have been if you go to like some
Speaker 1: case studies, right like, it kind of says, don't really
Speaker 1: buy like, you know, don't really let it buy into
Speaker 1: So for example, Patrick Reed was kind of stumbling when
Speaker 1: he came in, and then and then and then he won,
Speaker 1: right like, even Hadeck was not like playing very well
Speaker 1: at all, and then Headecki one, right, and then there
Speaker 1: are several guys leading in. I think Adams. I think
Speaker 1: the year that Adam Scott one, he had missed like
Speaker 1: three cuts or something leading into the leading into the Masters.
Speaker 1: You know, So a guy like speech that has played
Speaker 1: as this as well as Speech has, I think I'd
Speaker 1: probably look past the form just a little bit here
Speaker 1: because it just seems like, for whatever reason, this just
Speaker 1: this just fits him, This course just seems to to
Speaker 1: fit him. That being said, he is not the longest
Speaker 1: off the tea. He's not. Will monitor this over the
Speaker 1: next couple of days as well, and certainly you know
Speaker 1: in our on our big final preview for this on
Speaker 1: Prime Time Action River. But I want to see how
Speaker 1: soft the conditions are out there, because again we talked
Speaker 1: about distance distance being a help specifically on these par fives,
Speaker 1: and if there's no runout, you're you're gonna need to
Speaker 1: be long because you you need to get to these
Speaker 1: par fives and two score on this course like it
Speaker 1: is it is. I mean, so Patrick for example, the
Speaker 1: year the Patrick Read one, he was thirteen under on
Speaker 1: the par five's right. Uh, Dustin Johnson and Hedeck you
Speaker 1: might there the last two winners both were eleven under
Speaker 1: on the par five's right. Yeah, if you look at
Speaker 1: like the collective aggregate scory of all that, like the
Speaker 1: part of three's in the par four, it's nobody makes
Speaker 1: their hands on those. It's all on the par fives.
Speaker 1: So it's like if there's no run out and you're
Speaker 1: not long and you can't get up there in two
Speaker 1: and they have two puts at getting a birdie and stuff.
Speaker 1: So I would I if I find out it's like
Speaker 1: super super soft out there, I'm gonna wait driving distance
Speaker 1: even more. Yeah, that's h I that's a great point
Speaker 1: because that's one that um I didn't really a factory.
Speaker 1: I guess I hadn't really thought about it that way, Matt,
Speaker 1: But I have already been factoring off the tea and
Speaker 1: distance so much anyways. But you know, I mean, that's
Speaker 1: you need guys that can get on the green and
Speaker 1: two on these par fives, and I'm I'm really, I'm
Speaker 1: really not interested in playing anybody else in this tournament
Speaker 1: and guys that can do that. So that that is
Speaker 1: if it whether whether even if it's not, even if
Speaker 1: it's done, raining can still affect things like that, So
Speaker 1: that is that's that's a great point. So have you
Speaker 1: done any derivative bets, any top tens, top twenties, anything
Speaker 1: like that yet? Not not yet. We are not not
Speaker 1: posted here quite yet. So we're in Nevada, bout the
Speaker 1: way I've seen them, I have seen them rest of countries,
Speaker 1: so at least have a decent idea of what they're
Speaker 1: gonna look like whenever they get posted. So I've kind
Speaker 1: of started to get some some ideas of where I
Speaker 1: want to go with this. But um as always, like
Speaker 1: pretty much, any any guy that I unless it's like
Speaker 1: these super long shots or something like, pretty much any
Speaker 1: guy that I that I bet an outright on, I'll
Speaker 1: have some sort of placement market bet on them. Um,
Speaker 1: so with you know, j T. Smith, Scheffler, Burns like
Speaker 1: all those guys, I'll have some sort of placement bet
Speaker 1: on those guys for sure. Um, but I don't know
Speaker 1: exactly which one it will be, whether we attend whatever
Speaker 1: might be only that same same for you, Kelly, Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's uh you know. Besides, so I've got the five
Speaker 1: out outrights bet already. I will be adding JT and
Speaker 1: maybe Hoveland if I find a good number on him,
Speaker 1: I will bet a top twenty. I haven't bet anything yet, Gil,
Speaker 1: but I aready know I'll bet a top twenty on Hoflin. Um,
Speaker 1: I'll bet a top twenty on Neiman and then top
Speaker 1: forty on Hadwin. Is what I saw, Like like Matt
Speaker 1: said it was, I saw the numbers on the East coast.
Speaker 1: I kind of have a rough idea of where I'm
Speaker 1: gonna be bet what numbers something to be betting? Uh,
Speaker 1: top forty on Adam had When, a top thirty on
Speaker 1: Shane Lowry Um and Sam Burns, top twenty on and
Speaker 1: probably a top forty on lucal List as well. All Right,
Speaker 1: last thing here, last couple of days, I didn't I
Speaker 1: don't believe I heard either of you mentioned Brooks CapCo. Nope,
Speaker 1: I didn't. And it's a player, and it's a player
Speaker 1: that I struggled with more than than others. Like I
Speaker 1: didn't even speak up when you asked about Jordan Speith
Speaker 1: because you kind of know my feelings about him. Already
Speaker 1: talks a lot, talks a lot, shut up on a
Speaker 1: damn course Jordan's which it doesn't have anything to do
Speaker 1: with Betty. But I just checked my bottles. I don't
Speaker 1: have him the best. I have his last twelve. He
Speaker 1: comes in at thirty fourth in my bottle. That is
Speaker 1: the recent form I do value to the absolutely. Of course,
Speaker 1: form matters here as much as as much in tournament history. Man,
Speaker 1: it matters here more than anywhere else on tour. But
Speaker 1: I still gonna trust my numbers a little bit. I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna play speed. He goes and wins. You have
Speaker 1: to be able to accept certain guys going out and
Speaker 1: win winning, and I think Brooks it falls into that
Speaker 1: category for me too. I am more of a Brooks guy.
Speaker 1: Usually like betting him. He is rounding a bit into form.
Speaker 1: It seems like over the past couple of months this
Speaker 1: is definitely not the Brooks of last year. Um, but
Speaker 1: he's still just number of wise in my models, not
Speaker 1: anywhere near a spot I'm looking at playing. Yeah, it's
Speaker 1: he's just he's the guy that I have. He's one
Speaker 1: of the guys, if not the guy I have the
Speaker 1: most trouble betting because it's just he's and he makes
Speaker 1: you perhaps the angriest if he wins. He never he
Speaker 1: never ranks very high in my in the stuff that
Speaker 1: I'm that I find important. But he just goes out
Speaker 1: and somehow figures out a way to get it done
Speaker 1: all the time. And you look at his here, I
Speaker 1: mean a T eleven, a T two, a T seven,
Speaker 1: and then I MISSCUTT, you know, and you're so you
Speaker 1: just go like what the hell? Like, you know, what
Speaker 1: what does that make of that? You know? So it's
Speaker 1: um and no more Rikawe either for either of you know.
Speaker 1: I will actually be on full full fate of Morcalis,
Speaker 1: So I'll be targeting. I'll be targeting him Harden head
Speaker 1: to heads, I'll be targeting to Shambo Harden head to heads.
Speaker 1: I will likely be targeting as if he decides to
Speaker 1: uh to play um. If he didn't end up withdrawing
Speaker 1: because I mean it must be something it just had
Speaker 1: undisclosed for him. But I mean, you know, he pulls
Speaker 1: out of his hometown tournament the night before, there's obviously
Speaker 1: something going on, you know, with him as well. So
Speaker 1: any of these guys that I think are that I
Speaker 1: perceived to be injured, so long as that makes sense,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be targeting them. It is interesting that the
Speaker 1: age I agree with you to Shambo, I will be
Speaker 1: targeting against the Ambram answer. I think you bring up
Speaker 1: good points. Um, you know, morrical we love betting Morricale.
Speaker 1: He is so last twelve, he's seventeen in my model.
Speaker 1: But other than that, he didn't crack the top forty
Speaker 1: on the top last twenty four, the last thirty six
Speaker 1: I we've just seen. I think it's with him. It's
Speaker 1: pretty simply he doesn't have you know, all the all
Speaker 1: the tournament history here that some of these other guys
Speaker 1: we've been talking about do gil And then I mean,
Speaker 1: as hot as more a cow has been at certain
Speaker 1: points in his career, he's not exactly like, you know,
Speaker 1: very hot right now. So I'm I'm okay with I'll
Speaker 1: be okay with passing on him. But I think, I mean,
Speaker 1: every one of those guys you brought up him Brooks me,
Speaker 1: I'd be shocked. I think if we're sitting here on
Speaker 1: Sunday and they're winning. No, not at all. Random question
Speaker 1: to Sergio at eighty five to one or or better
Speaker 1: interest you at all? Just because of the number. No. No.
Speaker 1: I had to talk with somebody about Sergio today. They
Speaker 1: were wondering he's moved, and its not. It's not rightfully
Speaker 1: so in my mind, but he's like he's almost moved
Speaker 1: into that the old category. The old it's hard, it's not.
Speaker 1: It's hard for Chris rock Line, not really old, just
Speaker 1: a little too old to be in the club kind
Speaker 1: of thing. Like in the modern era, guys forty three
Speaker 1: and older to uh to to win this tournament. You
Speaker 1: might have heard of him. Tiger Woods and Jack Nicholas
Speaker 1: only two guys I've ever done to guy. Yeah, alright,
Speaker 1: last question then, because I put words into your mouth
Speaker 1: the first time, but I want to get your honest answer. This.
Speaker 1: The person who will win this, assuming you don't have
Speaker 1: some in match you know, in in tournament, bet on him.
Speaker 1: The person who will win this that will piss you off.
Speaker 1: The most based on the fact that you perhaps thought
Speaker 1: about betting them but you didn't, or whatever other reason.
Speaker 1: For me, it'll probably be Rory because I have because
Speaker 1: let's just he's a guy that I typically get on
Speaker 1: whenever the odds start to drift and stuff, and so
Speaker 1: I've been on him several times when the odds start
Speaker 1: to drift. Fortunately was able to catch the win on him,
Speaker 1: you know, last year whenever the odds drifted all the
Speaker 1: way up to like one in that one tournament or
Speaker 1: something like that. And but it just it's just not
Speaker 1: there for me with with him right now. And so
Speaker 1: if he wins, I will feel great for him because
Speaker 1: completing that Grand Slam is awesome and all that it
Speaker 1: that'll be that that would be the one that just
Speaker 1: pisces me off the most, because this is this is
Speaker 1: typically where I where I pull the trigger and get
Speaker 1: back in. I will be thrilled. It's uh, it's it's
Speaker 1: a I think it's a great question because I think
Speaker 1: it would right right as you were saying it right away,
Speaker 1: it was Rory or Brooks. In my head, I think
Speaker 1: it is Rory just looking at my numbers more because
Speaker 1: he isn't arrange as far as what I'm seeing on
Speaker 1: my models of absolutely I could, you know, I could
Speaker 1: back up a bed for him, you know, easily. So
Speaker 1: I think there's I think it's probably him, because I
Speaker 1: think he's probably the guy will end up leaving off
Speaker 1: of my card and he'd probably he'll probably be one
Speaker 1: of the kind of last cuts that wouldn't what didn't
Speaker 1: make it. I can't wait for this on Thursday? Is
Speaker 1: there anything better than sitting on your butt on a
Speaker 1: couch watching the Masters and the coverage is is jacked up?
Speaker 1: On Sunday? Is that what you were saying earlier? Do
Speaker 1: we have this conversation No, that was what I had
Speaker 1: that with Pete earlier, which is do we get to
Speaker 1: see all eighteen holes of the Masters on network television
Speaker 1: or do they like fluff off the first because I remember,
Speaker 1: like the Tiger year, we saw everything but did and
Speaker 1: we like only get the CBS coverage, you know on
Speaker 1: the greatest tournament of them all? Not quite at the beginning.
Speaker 1: Masters is always limited. Yes, that pisces me off, So
Speaker 1: you have to like go streaming for the first part
Speaker 1: of it. Why why would they do this? Is in
Speaker 1: for we think a lot of revolutionary stuff like the
Speaker 1: coverage needs to get exponentially. Well, you know, I think
Speaker 1: you two should have your own podcast. You guys should
Speaker 1: have your own golf podcast. What would you call it if?
Speaker 1: If you and what's the working title? What? What was
Speaker 1: the first one? Birdies with Brown and Berni with Brown
Speaker 1: and bid Three Bertie's with Brown and Bidlin. Alright, make
Speaker 1: that happen. Appreciate it. Thanks for listening for Joe, Peter,
Speaker 1: Matt Brown, Kelly Bidlin. Good luck with all your bets
Speaker 1: in the eighties six Masters stuff,