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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. Today,

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Speaker 1: we take a lap around the collegiate landscape with our

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Speaker 1: early picks and line movement predictions for the thirteen biggest

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Speaker 1: games on the slate. Here for week number five, I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Seth Wilcock, and vibes are extremely high, coming

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Speaker 1: off a winning week in the sports betting space, and

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Speaker 1: I'm joined by a guy who's seemed the field pretty

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Speaker 1: well himself right now. He's drinking that arch man in juice.

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Speaker 1: He's a Texas Longhorned life for give it up for

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Speaker 1: Scott big time Bogman. How we feeling today, Boggs?

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Speaker 2: Oh so much better than last week? I mean, finished

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Speaker 2: one game over five hundred. I will take it. This

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Speaker 2: week a winning week. The Longhorns look good, Our Steelers

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Speaker 2: are three to oher. Seth like so, like you said,

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Speaker 2: vibes are high right now, We're feeling pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely. Today's outline for the program includes a quick reaction

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Speaker 1: to the movement in the rankings and the fallout from

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Speaker 1: week number four. We'll also get in an early handicap

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Speaker 1: of our favorite games for the upcoming week as well,

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Speaker 1: and I want to shadow everyone who makes this part

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Speaker 1: of their weekly mix. They're listening to us on your commute,

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Speaker 1: your lunch breaker, even on the commode. We appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you guys are subscribing to support the whole channel.

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Speaker 1: Joey p and the boys are holding it down over

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Speaker 1: on the NFL side this season. Also, we got Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice going off each and every single day with Matt

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Speaker 1: Parrawl as well, so make sure you're checking that out.

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Speaker 1: And before we jump in, I want to remind you

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Speaker 1: if you want a chance to win a signed Chicago

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Speaker 1: Bears DeAndre Swift jersey for free Curse of your Friends

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Speaker 1: over at pristineauction dot com, all you do is subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the benk Pros YouTube channel right now. Drop a

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Speaker 1: common below. Make sure you are subscribed. Make sure you're

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Speaker 1: turning on that that ringer for notifications as well, so

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Speaker 1: when new videos come up, you can make sure that

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Speaker 1: you're claiming your prize all right. Looking at some of

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Speaker 1: the Week four highlights over the weekend here Bogman, Illinois,

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Speaker 1: they took down Nebraska thirty one to twenty four, and

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Speaker 1: overtime they moved up to nineteenth in the rankings. We'll

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Speaker 1: talk about them taking on Penn State here later this week,

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Speaker 1: and then Michigan hands a reality check to USC twenty

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Speaker 1: seven twenty four, jumps to twelfth in the rankings. Number five.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee continues to print money again to spread beats the

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Speaker 1: Sooners twenty five to fifteen, and BYU dominates they laid

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Speaker 1: the trap like you projected here. Kansas State goes down

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Speaker 1: thirty eight to nine. Now they enter this week twenty

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Speaker 1: third in the rankings, and BYU welcome the conversation at

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Speaker 1: number twenty two. What was your biggest surprises any lessons

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Speaker 1: you learned here from week number four? Bogman, Oh so much.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think that the Michigan win was huge,

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Speaker 2: and just to see them get finally find some rhythm

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Speaker 2: on offense, and you know that USC defense has improved,

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Speaker 2: but they're not ready. I think that's kind of what

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Speaker 2: that showed was, you know, giving up almost three hundred

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Speaker 2: yards of rushing and really being able to hold orgy

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Speaker 2: and check passing the ball to know what's coming and

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Speaker 2: not be able to stop it is difficult to watch, man,

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Speaker 2: You know that is it stinks. So USC's defense still

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Speaker 2: suspect much better than last year, So I think they

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Speaker 2: probably would have given up five hundred yards to Michigan

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Speaker 2: last year, but better, but still not good enough to

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Speaker 2: win games obviously, So I think that was a big thing.

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Speaker 2: I mean, look, I expected BYU to be competitive. I

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Speaker 2: did not expect them to roll k State and listen,

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Speaker 2: K State looked bad against Tulane as well. Maybe they're

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Speaker 2: a home team only, right, Yeah, that could be it.

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Speaker 2: Maybe going on the road is just not what K

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Speaker 2: State is built for. They beat a good Arizona school

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Speaker 2: at home. They got Okay State this week, right, so

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Speaker 2: that's going to be an interesting one at home. But

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Speaker 2: I think those were the big things. Miami looked dominant,

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Speaker 2: Utah didn't matter what quarterback they had, Okay State couldn't

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Speaker 2: do anything, and bad news for Sooners fans of course,

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Speaker 2: losing at home to Tennessee is not a good look,

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Speaker 2: but I think they found their quarterback, so at least

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Speaker 2: there's that for them. I mean, Ohio State wasn't challenge.

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Speaker 2: Clemson looks like a different team from week one after

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Speaker 2: putting the SmackDown on NC State at home. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think we learned a lot this week, and you know,

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Speaker 2: stuff is starting to become less gray. Yeah, a little

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Speaker 2: more black and white, which we like.

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Speaker 1: My biggest lesson learned, I think, just from a personal

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Speaker 1: betting perspective, is like trying not to give into the

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Speaker 1: group think. Because the group think, whether it was on

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Speaker 1: this show, our Wednesday show, or just everyone in the

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Speaker 1: industry was picking USC Saturday morning. I found a boost.

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Speaker 1: I hopped on the money line there and it was

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Speaker 1: a terrible bet to ride out. I just wish I

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Speaker 1: would have, you know, like my heart told me to

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Speaker 1: back Michigan, but I gave into the group think a

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Speaker 1: little bit. I rode with USC, and it just didn't

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Speaker 1: work out for me.

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Speaker 2: Man. I just like, why was USC, especially in the

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Speaker 2: first half, trying to go up the gut against Michigan.

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Speaker 2: What are you doing? You know what I mean? Play

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Speaker 2: the sides. That's what Texas did that. That's how you

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Speaker 2: know you're not going to impose your will against Michigan.

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Speaker 2: And then Michigan did it on the other side and

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Speaker 2: beat him down. So yeah, good game. Both are very

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Speaker 2: good schools. I mean, USC is still good. They beat

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Speaker 2: a tough LSU team earlier, but not enough to go

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Speaker 2: into the Big House and stop that rushing attack. Michigan

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Speaker 2: comes away with a big win and right back into

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Speaker 2: the thicke of things here.

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Speaker 1: That's why I love having this show, having our Wednesday

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Speaker 1: show with Terrell as well to get different perspectives, and

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Speaker 1: I love hearing them in the comments as well. So

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Speaker 1: if you guys have any comments on this week's games,

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Speaker 1: make sure you let us know your thoughts if you

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Speaker 1: have any inside information. I know some of these people

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Speaker 1: are die hard for one specific program, so they might

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Speaker 1: have a little more insight on a specific team that

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Speaker 1: we might not have. So make sure you let us

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Speaker 1: know in the comments below if that is you, and

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Speaker 1: let's start this week's games here in Miami, Florida. We're

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Speaker 1: on Friday night, the seventh ranked Hurricanes host the Virginia

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Speaker 1: Tech Hokies. Since last week's look aheadline, Miami has now

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Speaker 1: moved to a seventeen point favorite. That's a ten point

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Speaker 1: swing in their favor, probably because this Virginia Tech team, Honestly, man,

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Speaker 1: they just stink like they lost Rutgers at home this

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Speaker 1: past week, drops them to two and two after already

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Speaker 1: losing to Vandy as a twelve point favorite in the opener. Meanwhile, Bobman,

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Speaker 1: this Miami train, it just keeps on keeps on rolling

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Speaker 1: man now four to oh against the spread after beating

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Speaker 1: South Florida fifty to fifteen on the road, Number two

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Speaker 1: in total offense, number ten in total defense. Cam Ward

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Speaker 1: running away with a Heisman favorite now plus three fifty

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Speaker 1: for that award as well. In the Chris baul Era,

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Speaker 1: Miami is three to zero against VT two and one

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Speaker 1: against the spread. Are we letting the good times roll here?

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Speaker 1: And in seventeen points the best price we're going to get?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean the thing here is if you're on

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Speaker 2: vaw Tech, then you think they're gonna slow down Miami's offense.

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Speaker 2: And my question is how I mean that that's the

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Speaker 2: quint They couldn't slow down Rutgers and Kyle Monagai or

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Speaker 2: how do you say his name? I always screw. But

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Speaker 2: Miami's run greatest fifth on pff AW techs run defense

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Speaker 2: grade is one hundred and twenty, first in the country.

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Speaker 2: They cannot stop them run. So even if they could

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Speaker 2: stop the pass, I don't know if they could stop

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Speaker 2: cam Ward. Right, Miami against South Florida was no sweat.

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Speaker 2: I mean, South Florida covered against Bama. Bama is a

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Speaker 2: good team and Miami rolled them on the road, I

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Speaker 2: bet them because of that, yeah, yeah, And in this game,

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Speaker 2: I just I don't know how how Virginia Tech stands

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Speaker 2: a chance they would have to finally live up to

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Speaker 2: all of those preseats and expectations, which at this point

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Speaker 2: all the evidence is showing us they're not that team.

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Speaker 2: They're not those guys this year. Maybe next year, I

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Speaker 2: don't know, but it ain't this year. So maybe they

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Speaker 2: bow up. But I'm on the Miami side here, and

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Speaker 2: because I just don't think Virginia Tech's going to be

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Speaker 2: able to slow down Miami at all, and they're pretty

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Speaker 2: one sided in the rush game, and Miami's defense is

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Speaker 2: really good right now. So I just I don't see

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Speaker 2: any way you can like vow Tech here.

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Speaker 1: It's seventeen points, probably the best number we're gonna get

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Speaker 1: this week, You think too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so. I mean, there's not enough tickets

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Speaker 2: on this game, and there are tickets trending towards the under,

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Speaker 2: so maybe we'll maybe, maybe we'll see on that. Maybe

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Speaker 2: this line doesn't shift too much, but I would expect

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Speaker 2: it to be big Miami after that huge performance, and

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Speaker 2: after vaw Tech lost again at home, this time to Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: Rutgers might be pretty good though. Rutgers good, good school.

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Speaker 1: Yes, so maybe get on early if you want to

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Speaker 1: keep riding this cam wored trained down in Miami this week.

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Speaker 1: Let's shift to the noonslate on Saturday, which only has

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Speaker 1: a few standout games to me, and that includes Mike

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Speaker 1: Gundy's number twentieth ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys taking a trip

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Speaker 1: to Manhattan, Kansas to take on the twenty third ranked

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Speaker 1: Kansas State Wildcats. Both teams are three and one after

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Speaker 1: a tough loss in Week four. Oklahoma State they did

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Speaker 1: lose to Utah twenty two to nineteen at home. Kansas

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Speaker 1: State we talked about they got clobed in Provo thirty

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Speaker 1: eight to nine. This is kind of where the rubber

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Speaker 1: meets the road for both these teams as playoff hopes

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Speaker 1: are on the line this week. K State has covered

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Speaker 1: just once this season. They're three and one to the under.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State has two and two against the spread, two

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Speaker 1: and two on the total as well. Is there any

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Speaker 1: value here or is there a number we could see

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Speaker 1: later in the week that will maybe create some value.

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Speaker 2: Bogman, I mean, I think this is it's a pretty

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Speaker 2: coin flippy to me, and I agree. The number is

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Speaker 2: like even the BPCE is like right on top of

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Speaker 2: this number. So I don't know that there's really any

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Speaker 2: value one way or the other. And just in this game,

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Speaker 2: who bounces back better? Right? Okay, State gave up a

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Speaker 2: ton of rushing yards in that close win against Arkansas

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Speaker 2: at home obviously to Utah here, they gave up a

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Speaker 2: ton of rushing yards and that's what Case State does, right,

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Speaker 2: But it's Case State going to clean up these issues

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Speaker 2: that they had in BYU. You would expect them to

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Speaker 2: be better at home. Like I said before, maybe they're

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Speaker 2: just a home team. But two interceptions, a fumble, zero

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Speaker 2: for three on fourth down conversions, fumble and punt return touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: eight penalties, this is what lost the game for K State.

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Speaker 2: So can K State clean up these issues at home

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Speaker 2: and play better? I think I would like to be

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Speaker 2: on the k State side, but this is a stay

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Speaker 2: away for me for now. You know, maybe if this

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Speaker 2: shifts one way or the other, maybe if we get

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Speaker 2: something on the injury report, I don't know, but right

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Speaker 2: now I'm probably gonna be staying away because this line

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Speaker 2: looks pretty good and this game looks pretty evenly matched,

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Speaker 2: so I don't really want too much of it as

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Speaker 2: it stands right now.

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Speaker 1: Do you think there will be a lot of cash

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Speaker 1: that comes in on this game?

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Speaker 2: I do. I mean, I think that there's big fans

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Speaker 2: on both sides, but I can tell you right now

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Speaker 2: that it's all on k State. So right now, if

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Speaker 2: it opens up towards Kansas State, then maybe you know,

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Speaker 2: because Mike Gundhi's a Vet and he bounces back pretty

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Speaker 2: well too, so maybe there's gonna be some value on

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Speaker 2: the Okay State side. If this line opens up towards

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Speaker 2: the Wildcats, we'll see.

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Speaker 1: He's a man. Don't you forget it, bagman, He's a man.

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Speaker 2: I know. That was like one of the first things

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Speaker 2: I thought about when I turned forty was ooh, man,

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Speaker 2: I'm forty. Now I could be attacked. I don't like that.

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Speaker 1: Meanwhile, in the Big Ten the twelve the rank, Michigan

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Speaker 1: Wolverines are now nine to a half point favorites over

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Speaker 1: Minnesota after beating USC twenty seven to twenty four into

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Speaker 1: Big House. Alex Orgy threw just twelve passes, but it

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Speaker 1: didn't really matter. Khalil Mullings feels like he just is

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Speaker 1: now the guy there seventeen for one to fifty and

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Speaker 1: two on the ground. Like you said, it was very,

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Speaker 1: very upsetting just to see they're just coming straight at

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Speaker 1: him every time. Wasn't like they were really even getting

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Speaker 1: creative with the run looks at that much outside of

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Speaker 1: doing some different option plays. Meanwhile, Iowa just ran the

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Speaker 1: ball all over Minnesota two hundred and seventy two yards

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Speaker 1: on the ground to win thirty one to fourteen. Last week.

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Speaker 1: I was hyping up this Minnesota team a bit last week.

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Speaker 1: I thought they kind of got cheated out of an

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Speaker 1: early season win against UNC. Looks like that's not wasn't

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Speaker 1: as impressive as I thought it was based on UNC's

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Speaker 1: performance this past week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, how many basketball scores have you seen that

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Speaker 2: reference to one hundred and twenty points in that game?

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Speaker 2: That's crazy play some defense, for God's sake. What is

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Speaker 2: happening over here?

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Speaker 1: Uh? Michigan has covered though The past two meetings here

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Speaker 1: against Minnesota includes a fifty two to ten victory last

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Speaker 1: season in Minnesota. Bogs, can you talk me out of

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Speaker 1: Lange the nine and a half here with the Wolverines,

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Speaker 1: because I think I'm gonna I'm gonna be straight up

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Speaker 1: with you. I think I'm gonna we haven't seen a

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Speaker 1: ton of line movement, although we have seen it up

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Speaker 1: three points. For some reason, they were twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half favorites, so now only down to nine and a

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Speaker 1: half here, it feels like ine some value here. Do

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Speaker 1: you agree with that?

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, there's definitely value here because we just

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Speaker 2: saw Iowa beat up on Minnesota in Minnesota, so now

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Speaker 2: you have to go to the Big House and face

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Speaker 2: Iowa on steroids in Michigan, right Like, I don't know

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Speaker 2: how that's gonna work out for them. I just you know,

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Speaker 2: they look bad in the run against the UNC and

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Speaker 2: that loss as well. They allowed Iowa to run for

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Speaker 2: two hundred and seventy two yards. You know what Michigan

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Speaker 2: wants to do, and I don't think they're gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to stop it. So, you know, maybe they have

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Speaker 2: a better plan than USC did. They're more used to

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Speaker 2: dealing with a tough run game right playing in the

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Speaker 2: Big Ten than USC is playing ol their previous years

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Speaker 2: in the Pac twelve before this year, so maybe they're

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Speaker 2: a little better equipped to deal with it or have

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Speaker 2: a better mindset. But it doesn't matter. I mean, Michigan's

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Speaker 2: gonna run right down their throat this whole game. So

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Speaker 2: I just don't know how they're going to be able

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Speaker 2: to stop Michigan. So no, I would not talk you

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Speaker 2: out of it. In fact, I would say, probably get

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Speaker 2: this number early if you want it, because I expect

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Speaker 2: it to open towards Michigan.

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking a three unitor. I'm gonna be honest, I'm

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Speaker 1: thinking about throwing down like I am. I'm ready to

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Speaker 1: get back in bed with Michigan.

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Speaker 2: I'm ready. Yeah, that's pretty ready. I mean, I don't

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Speaker 2: know if I'm not ready, but that's pretty ready.

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Speaker 1: Before we continue, I want to remind you all if

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Speaker 1: you want to be ready with us, make sure you're

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Speaker 1: joining the College Football podcast group. You can sink your

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Speaker 1: picks and use the quick pick feature on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pro Sports betting app to get a chance to win

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Speaker 1: some free prizes. You can elevate your betting strategy and

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Speaker 1: join the conversation today at bettingpros dot com slash college.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move into the late afternoon slate with

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Speaker 1: two and two Auburn's hosts of twenty first ranked Oklahoma Sooners.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma is now three and one after losing their first

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Speaker 1: SEC matchup against Tennessee twenty five to fifteen over the weekend,

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Speaker 1: one in three against the spread, but they might have

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Speaker 1: a QB controversy on their hands. Jackson Arnold was bench

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Speaker 1: and Michael Hawkins came in and had.

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Speaker 2: A little bit of juice.

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Speaker 1: Had a little bit of juice. Meanwhile, Auburn also kind

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Speaker 1: of still a mess under Hugh Freeze here two and

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Speaker 1: two on the season. They do have losses to Arkansas

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Speaker 1: and Cal just one and three against the spread, and

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Speaker 1: also kind of have a QB controversy on their hands

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Speaker 1: Peyton Thorn and Hank Brown. So where's the edge here, Bogman?

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Speaker 1: Because I just see two teams that are a bit

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Speaker 1: of a mess and a bit of a disarray that

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Speaker 1: I don't think I can lay any money with confidence on.

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Speaker 2: Oh Man, this, I'm pretty confident about this game, and

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Sooners. I like, first of all, why

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Speaker 2: would you not go to Hawkins over Jackson Arnold's done

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Speaker 2: nothing except give you problems and they like Hawkins right,

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Speaker 2: and they said they're going to reevaluate it. I get

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Speaker 2: maybe if they go back to Jackson Arnold I'll have

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Speaker 2: an issue with this game, but right now, I think

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Speaker 2: you put Hawkins in, you let that defense do what

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Speaker 2: it's gonna do. And you know, the Auburn offenses look pathetic.

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Speaker 2: They have losses at home already to Cal and last week.

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Speaker 2: I just this Ou team is yes they lost to Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: and yes they have not looked great, but that defense

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Speaker 2: is still extremely strong. I don't know how Auburn gets

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Speaker 2: many points on the board here. That's my thing. And

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Speaker 2: you know, I think we're gonna have the ball or

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Speaker 2: we're gonna have the ball for Oklahoma for most of

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Speaker 2: this game. I think they're gonna lean on them. I

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Speaker 2: think they're gonna run right at them. And I think

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Speaker 2: this game even at home, and you might have Auburn

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Speaker 2: looking ahead towards Georgia. Oklahoma's got the bye week coming up,

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Speaker 2: so they're laying it all out there. There's angry, they're

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Speaker 2: angry after a loss, they're on a business trip. I'm

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Speaker 2: all on the Sooners here.

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Speaker 1: What do you think about the forty seven and a

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Speaker 1: half point total? Would you maybe attack the under just

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Speaker 1: because there are question marks on both sides of the

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Speaker 1: ball with the quarterback situations.

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Speaker 2: Yes, but I'll tell you, as of right now, tickets

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Speaker 2: and cash are towards the over oh, so maybe sit

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Speaker 2: and wait and see if it opens up. Just a look.

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Speaker 2: It's not like an extreme poll. This could change tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: It's Monday morning as we're recording this, right so you know,

339
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Speaker 2: still most of the bets are left to come in.

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Speaker 2: So maybe this goes one way or the other. Maybe

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Speaker 2: it comes down because there are quarterback issues at both schools,

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Speaker 2: and you know, maybe you do want to get it early,

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Speaker 2: but I think Oklahoma is the team here, so I

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Speaker 2: much more prefer the sooner side than the total side. Here.

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Speaker 1: We have another top twenty five matchup in South Bend

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Speaker 1: where the fifteenth rank to Louisville Cardinals will take on

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Speaker 1: the sixteenth rank fighting Irish. And I gotta say this

348
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Speaker 1: Louisville team, they've impressed me, especially this past week. They

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Speaker 1: beat Georgia Tech thirty one to nineteen, covering the ten

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Speaker 1: and a half point spread. Head coach and Louisville alum

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Speaker 1: Jeff Brome look like the exact perfect fit that they

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Speaker 1: need for this program.

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Speaker 2: Rom is so good, dude, He's a good coach. I

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Speaker 2: like watching him and.

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Speaker 1: Tyler Schuck is looking really good under him too, Like

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Speaker 1: I feel like he's a little bit of a quarterback

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Speaker 1: whisperer there.

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Speaker 2: I think Tyler Shook is closer to my age than

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Speaker 2: your Age's kind of crazy. I mean, the dude who's

360
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Speaker 2: been in college football for a while.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he might take Brandon Weedon for one of the

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Speaker 1: oldest college football quarterbacks I've seen in my lifetime. Meanwhile, though,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame two and two against the spread, But it's

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Speaker 1: been a bit of a roller coaster this season. Riley

365
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Speaker 1: Leonard all of a sudden, looks like he's Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: running the heck out of his ball, but question marks

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Speaker 1: still remain, at least for me, how efficiently he can

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Speaker 1: move it through the air. These two teams played last year.

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Speaker 1: Louisvo won that game thirty three to twenty s seven

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Speaker 1: point dogs. Do we see similar results this season? Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame is a five point favorite here, but South Bend

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Speaker 1: we know how tough a place that is to play.

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Speaker 2: And Notre Dame has looked like a different team after

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Speaker 2: the lost Aniu. Right, they have been pushing the competition around.

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Speaker 2: And Louisville looks great too. I mean that they grade

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Speaker 2: so well in run defense, third in PFF, eighteenth in

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Speaker 2: yards per game if we're just looking statistically, So this

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Speaker 2: game is all going to come down to who wins

379
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Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage and is Notre Dame the team

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Speaker 2: that lost the line of scrimmage to NIU and is

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Speaker 2: that gonna happen against Louisville or are they now refocused

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Speaker 2: and re energized. So for this game right now, I'd

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Speaker 2: say I'm probably on the Notre Dame side at home,

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Speaker 2: but I just don't have a really good feel one

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Speaker 2: way or the other. So I'm probably gonna stay away

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Speaker 2: from this game just because I don't know what Notre

387
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Speaker 2: Dame team is going to show up. Louisville's wins have

388
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Speaker 2: been good, but have they They haven't come against great opponents.

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Speaker 2: Georgia Tech is fine, they're a good school, but they're

390
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Speaker 2: not Notre Dame. So I have just some questions about Louisville.

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Speaker 2: I feel like I'd rather be on the Louisville side,

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Speaker 2: but right now my gut is telling me Notre Dame.

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Speaker 2: So that's why I'm kind of in between on this

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Speaker 2: game right now. I'll say our system shows a little

395
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Speaker 2: bit of favorite towards the Notre Dame side. If you're

396
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Speaker 2: interested in one percent of the cash right now, it's

397
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Speaker 2: on Notre Dame according to all the things that I've seen,

398
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Speaker 2: So this line may open up towards the Irish. So

399
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Speaker 2: if that's so side you want, it's probably one that

400
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 2: you want to get early.

401
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:07,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, we've already had a five point swing earlier this

402
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Speaker 1: week as well, so I think this is the line.

403
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Speaker 1: They'll probably continue to move one way or the other.

404
00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:15,480
Speaker 1: Let's move in the neutral site of Jerry World where

405
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Speaker 1: it's ranked again. Aggie's they're back again, back in SADAS

406
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Speaker 1: top twenty five. They're laying four points on the Razorbacks,

407
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Speaker 1: and you laugh, and I honestly agree with that, Like

408
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Speaker 1: I don't know how this A and M team is

409
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Speaker 1: ranked again, Like they just beat Bowling Green by six.

410
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 1: They're now one and three against the spread, and Marcel

411
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Speaker 1: Reid will probably get the start at quarterback. Here we're

412
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Speaker 1: hearing as well, is backing the Hogs, who are eighth

413
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Speaker 1: in total offense three and one against the spread this season.

414
00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,159
Speaker 1: A bad idea like four and a half does not

415
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Speaker 1: seem like a bad number to me. But this number

416
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Speaker 1: has already shrunk from eleven and a half on the

417
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Speaker 1: look aheadline. So am I getting bad value if I

418
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Speaker 1: do get invested with that four and a half?

419
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Speaker 2: You think no, I mean, if you're taking Arkansas, I

420
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 2: think that's who I would take, and right now grades

421
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:05,639
Speaker 2: one hundred and seventh in defensive On the defense, they

422
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:08,960
Speaker 2: have struggled in coverage against Bowling Green. Bowling Green might

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Speaker 2: just be good, right like, I don't want to knock.

424
00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 2: They might just be a solid team, So I don't

425
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Speaker 2: want to completely knock them. But I mean Arkansas can

426
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Speaker 2: run the ball, and I kind of like the over

427
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 2: in this game more than anything. Arkansas three and one

428
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Speaker 2: to the over, A and m is two and two.

429
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Speaker 2: I know we have quarterback issues with the Aggies here

430
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Speaker 2: and they're at home. I think Arkansas is going to

431
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:33,600
Speaker 2: be able to run the ball, though, well they're not

432
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,879
Speaker 2: at home. I forget. It's the Jerry World game, and

433
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:39,960
Speaker 2: that's why he does it because Arkansas was his school.

434
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,679
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I'm on the Razorbacks here, but

435
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,199
Speaker 2: I like the over more because I just don't. I

436
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 2: think Arkansas is gonna be able to score in this game,

437
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,919
Speaker 2: and maybe we see better offense from a and M

438
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 2: with a different QB. But Weekman was not listed on

439
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 2: the injury report I believe, so he might be up

440
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 2: this week. So we'll see what happens with A and

441
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,520
Speaker 2: M and their offense. But I think A and M's

442
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 2: gonna be able to score on Arkansas, and I think

443
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 2: Arkansas is gonna be able to run. So I don't know.

444
00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 2: I like the Hogs here, but my favorite play right

445
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:15,920
Speaker 2: now is the over.

446
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,439
Speaker 1: Would you wait then if you want to get invested

447
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 1: with Arkansas because if we do here that Connor is

448
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: going to be ready to go. Maybe this goes in

449
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 1: favor of Texas A and M here on the movement.

450
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. A and M has an insane fan base, right,

451
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 2: so they're gonna bet on the Aggies like they do

452
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 2: every week and this the tickets and cash are already

453
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 2: on the Aggies in this game, even with quarterback issues

454
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,360
Speaker 2: and a neutral site. So I do think it will

455
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:40,960
Speaker 2: open up towards A and M. So if you want

456
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 2: Archie wait and see what this opens to.

457
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:46,640
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and round out the afternoon games. Here

458
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:50,400
Speaker 1: as the thirteenth ranked Trojans trying to respond after their

459
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 1: disappointing loss to Michigan their fourteen point home favorites against Wisconsin,

460
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:56,919
Speaker 1: who is two and one straight up but zero to

461
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,119
Speaker 1: three against the spread this season. Brandon Locke takes over

462
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 1: at quarterback for the Badgers, Tyler Van Dyke out for

463
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,440
Speaker 1: the season over there, and now Wisconsin they're coming in here.

464
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 1: They don't have a lot of offensive identity here, but

465
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 1: they do have a couple strong running backs, something the

466
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 1: Trojans could not stop on Saturday. It was good to

467
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 1: see USC finally get Zacharaya branch More involved a bit

468
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 1: against Michigan. He had six for ninety eight. But I

469
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 1: still don't trust the front on either side of the

470
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,160
Speaker 1: ball here. They couldn't run at Michigan. They were giving

471
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,159
Speaker 1: up huge gains on the other side as well. So

472
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 1: do you trust them here enough to lay fourteen or

473
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 1: is there a better price later in the week that

474
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: might be able to get you there.

475
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:38,240
Speaker 2: No, I think this line might open up towards USC.

476
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,119
Speaker 2: So I think if I want USC, I want to

477
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 2: get them early. And I okay, that's the side I like.

478
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 2: And it's really about the struggles of the Wisconsin offense,

479
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 2: because I mean they put up they've had problems scoring

480
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 2: ten on Oklahoma right twenty seven on South Dakota, twenty

481
00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 2: eight on Wisconsin or on Western Mischias can excuse me.

482
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,680
Speaker 2: In week one, so they have not looked good moving

483
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,879
Speaker 2: the ball. Now they're on the backup quarterback. You know,

484
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:11,640
Speaker 2: USC did have Michigan imposed their will. Wisconsin is not Michigan,

485
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: so and Wisconsin's also traveling across the country from this game. Now,

486
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 2: maybe you say, hey, USC is a little bit schewed

487
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 2: up because they just faced Michigan. Wisconsin's coming off of by.

488
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,159
Speaker 2: Maybe they're gassed up, had two weeks to prepare for

489
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,919
Speaker 2: this game. I understand that outset, But for me, I

490
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 2: just don't think that there's enough on offense for Wisconsin

491
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 2: to stick and hang around with USC. So this line

492
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 2: is close to what I like, so I would hope

493
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 2: it moves more towards Wisconsin a lot like A and M.

494
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 2: Wisconsin has an insane crazed fan base and they will

495
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 2: bet on their guys, so maybe that will pull this

496
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 2: game towards Wisconsin a little bit. But I don't know.

497
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 2: I think this line is probably right around where it's

498
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 2: going to stay, I think, but I like the USC

499
00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:58,120
Speaker 2: side here.

500
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go ahead and crack the top off, probably

501
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,880
Speaker 1: the best primetime slate of the season so far. Ohio

502
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,719
Speaker 1: State will be laying twenty four and a half on

503
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:10,639
Speaker 1: the road against Michigan State, and after a week where

504
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 1: we weren't really sure how much we can trust the

505
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 1: buck Geys, they showed up against Marshall, at least on

506
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 1: the offensive side of the ball. I thought Junkins two touchdowns,

507
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: two touchdowns for Henderson as well. Ameca Abuca had that

508
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:24,720
Speaker 1: long screen for the touchdown. Jeremiah Smith continues to do

509
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 1: his thing as well. The defense, they can be a

510
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: little suspect at times. That's probably why they're two and

511
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,840
Speaker 1: one against the spread this season. However, Chip Kelly, he

512
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 1: keeps calling the plays and I keep one to bet

513
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: the over every time he does. For Michigan State, though

514
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 1: their fourteenth ranked in total defense, so not a terrible defense.

515
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 1: Doule threat quarterback Aiden Chiles has been really fun to watch.

516
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:45,960
Speaker 1: He kind of kept him in that game last week

517
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 1: against BC, but he's a bit turnover proneg Yeah, do

518
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,880
Speaker 1: you think he can do enough and score enough that

519
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: maybe we can cash this over again or do you

520
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:56,920
Speaker 1: think maybe just lay the twenty four and a half.

521
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,639
Speaker 2: Let me give you the last eight years this game

522
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 2: and the Ohio State margin of victory. Are you ready?

523
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:07,479
Speaker 2: I don't think you're ready. Thirty five, twenty nine, fifty one,

524
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:13,680
Speaker 2: forty twenty four to twenty forty five and one. Those

525
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 2: are Ohio State margin of victory the last eight times

526
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 2: these teams have faced. Ohio State hasn't been challenged yet.

527
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 2: I understand that. But Chiles has eight interceptions already this season.

528
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,359
Speaker 2: I just don't see how this goes well from Michigan State,

529
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:36,160
Speaker 2: even at home. You know, maybe is Ohio State looking

530
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 2: ahead towards Iowa? I don't know. I don't think so.

531
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:43,399
Speaker 2: So this is a better Michigan State team than a

532
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,919
Speaker 2: lot of those ones that had that gigantic margin of loss.

533
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 2: I just I think this is a better Ohio State

534
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 2: team than some of those other Ohio State teams too.

535
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 2: Maybe so staying away most likely, but I would lay

536
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 2: the points and take Ohio State here because I think

537
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 2: they went in a walk.

538
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: Big ten, baby, God love some big ten football here.

539
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 1: I'm with you here, man, As you kind of allude to,

540
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 1: they're four for four since twenty twenty covering this line here,

541
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:11,679
Speaker 1: So I'm about it. I might even hit that total

542
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 1: as well potentially do a little parlay here. So yeah,

543
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 1: I like that call a lot there from a guy

544
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 1: Bogman staying in the Big ten though. It's homecoming and

545
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:23,639
Speaker 1: Happy Valley, and we got a night game at Beaver

546
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 1: Stadium as the ninth rank Nitney Lions host the nineteenth

547
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 1: ranked fighting a LINEI and for two years, I live

548
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 1: right down the road from Beaver Stadium. And if you

549
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 1: give people from Pennsylvania twelve plus hours to pregame any event,

550
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 1: they are gonna show up rowdy, my friend. I know

551
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 1: the fans will do their part, but I'm unsure if

552
00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 1: James Franklin deserves to be a seventeen point favorite here.

553
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 1: I remember when Illinois beat them in Beaver Stadium in

554
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 1: the nine overtime game back in twenty twenty one. In

555
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 1: the rain. Penn State beat up on kenn State last week, however,

556
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 1: they knocked their starting quarterback out on the very first play.

557
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 1: So Illinois therefore oh against the spread. Including that big

558
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:05,639
Speaker 1: win in Linking last week, Luke Altmeyer was in his

559
00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 1: freaking bag to four touchdowns for the kid, still no interceptions.

560
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:11,840
Speaker 1: This season probably been like if there was a most

561
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: improved Player Award. Oh yeah, he had thirteen touchdowns all

562
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 1: last year. He has almost that many already. So with

563
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,719
Speaker 1: that being said, Bogs, I ain't touched in this one,

564
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: are you? And is there a number that you could

565
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 1: see that would be make you want to get invested?

566
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 2: I mean this is going to come down I think

567
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:33,240
Speaker 2: more towards Illinois. I think people are, you know, maybe

568
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 2: thinking about that nine overtime game as we're going to

569
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 2: get it mentioned for the next twenty years in anytime

570
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 2: Illinois and Penn State Playack they changed the role because

571
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 2: of it, you know, right right, yeah, I mean it's

572
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 2: it's going to be talked about a lot. You know,

573
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 2: is Penn State ready for Illinois? I guess is my

574
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 2: question here. And you're the Penn State fan, so you

575
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 2: can tell me. And I know that we don't have

576
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 2: a lot of faith in James Franklin making the right

577
00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 2: decision late in these huge games either. But last year

578
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,680
Speaker 2: they did smash Altmeyer. He was fifteen of twenty eight,

579
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,399
Speaker 2: he had one hundred and sixty three yards and four interceptions.

580
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,399
Speaker 2: He has no turnovers this year. Like you said, this

581
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 2: seems like a different person, not even a different quarterback,

582
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 2: like a different human being right now, the way he

583
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 2: has played so well. And listen, you know this team

584
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:25,360
Speaker 2: is playing with confidence. They tackle well every year. Illinois

585
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,880
Speaker 2: just is one of the best tackling teams in the country.

586
00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,880
Speaker 2: It feels like, and I think they're rated seventh right

587
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 2: now in tackle grade on PFF. They're just they tackle

588
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 2: the catch, they make it hard to move the ball,

589
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:44,400
Speaker 2: and they are not making those big mistakes on offense

590
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 2: right now. Is that going to continue against this tough

591
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 2: Penn State team? Right This is a lot If you're

592
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 2: on the Illinois side, yeah, probably take it now. But

593
00:28:57,960 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 2: if you're on the Penn States, I just sit back

594
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 2: and wait, and I think the money is going to

595
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 2: roll in towards Illinois. I think we get this to

596
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 2: shift a little bit more towards you know, fourteen and

597
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 2: a half something like that by the end of the week.

598
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 2: So I think this is going to shift towards Illinois

599
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 2: because they were on national TV and had that big

600
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 2: win against a tough Nebraska team on the road. So

601
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,560
Speaker 2: I think if you're on the Penn Site State side,

602
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 2: sit and wait. If you're on the Illinois side, get

603
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 2: it now. So that's kind of how I see this game.

604
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 2: I'm probably on the Illinois side here because I just

605
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 2: don't that's too many points, man. I think this game

606
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 2: is going to be a little bit closer, and if

607
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 2: Altmeyer is the guy that he has proven to be

608
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 2: in the early part of this year, this is definitely

609
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 2: going to be closer than that. It's the big mistakes

610
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,719
Speaker 2: that would get Illinois in trouble because I you know,

611
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 2: I think on defense they are going to be okay,

612
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 2: I don't know that they're going to be ready to

613
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 2: stop everything that Penn State has to throw at them.

614
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 1: Though. Yeah, hey got a little Joyane Fleming siting last week.

615
00:29:58,680 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 1: I know if you saw that.

616
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I'm already rolling my eyes and done

617
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 2: with him. But yeah, thank god they're getting him involved, so,

618
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: you know, nice to see better things happening. Nice to

619
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 2: see Druel are playing so much better as well. Both

620
00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 2: these quarterbacks very improved from last season, so you like

621
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 2: to see it. I don't know. I think my favorite

622
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 2: bet would probably be wait and take Penn State if

623
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 2: it does move down to boil fourteen. But right now

624
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 2: I'm on the Illinois side.

625
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 1: Okay, let's move to the biggest matchup of the twenty

626
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 1: twenty four season. So far, Kaylin de Bor and the

627
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 1: fourth ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. They're gonna be hosting Kirby

628
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 1: Smart in the second ranked Georgia Bulldogs. Georgia is a

629
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:42,480
Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite here. They are just

630
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 1: one and two against the spread after a huge let

631
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 1: down Kentucky where they just barely got out with the win.

632
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,240
Speaker 1: I don't know about that fourth down call by by

633
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: Kentucky either, so you know, I'm just saying I'm cowardly. Yes,

634
00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 1: I know. I don't know how you can do that

635
00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:00,479
Speaker 1: either way. I just don't really like George as much

636
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 1: as I did a couple of weeks ago. I feel

637
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 1: like the deep threat isn't really there after losing lad

638
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 1: after losing brock Bowers. They're still really banged up on

639
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: that defensive line as well. Bama is taking care of

640
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 1: business so far this season. They're two and one against

641
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: the spread, but their steepest competition was Wisconsin, who, as

642
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 1: you kind of alluded to, they're not a great team

643
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 1: this season. Bama is three and one against Georgia since

644
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: twenty twenty. That includes the SEC Championship last season, where

645
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 1: they are five point dogs and went on to win

646
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty four. I cannot wait to watch

647
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 1: this game. Yes, this is appointment television at its best

648
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 1: in college football. But I am not obligated to make

649
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 1: a pick on this game. I will be sitting on

650
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 1: the sideline, Bog mean, you are obligated. So where will

651
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 1: you be going? And where are the sharps going on this?

652
00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 1: You think as well?

653
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the money is going towards Gheorgia right now,

654
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 2: so really, yeah, I mean it's so early, dude, I

655
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 2: mean that that could easily flip, right, you know, depending

656
00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 2: on injury reports, practice reports, whatever, So there's a lot

657
00:31:57,520 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 2: that could go into that. This is such a coin

658
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 2: flip game. I'm more on the Bama side here, but

659
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what I really like is the under

660
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 2: I think that both these teams, our defenses are playing

661
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 2: better than their offenses right now, and I think it's

662
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 2: early in the season, neither offense is really found an

663
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 2: outstanding rhythm, specifically Georgia going against Kentucky, who looked like

664
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 2: a complete mess against South Carolina the week before, and

665
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 2: Carson Beck just didn't seem to have it. Now, they

666
00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 2: both have two weeks to prepare for this game, But

667
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 2: because they both have weeks to prepare and are coming

668
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 2: off that buy, I don't know that that lends an

669
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 2: edge towards either one of them. Maybe it lends an

670
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 2: edge towards the offenses picking it up a little bit

671
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 2: by getting two weeks of practice in here, Maybe those

672
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,320
Speaker 2: first scripted drives are a little bit better. Right But

673
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 2: I just think these defenses for both of these teams

674
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:53,160
Speaker 2: are overwhelming right now, and I like the under more

675
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 2: than I like the side. I would pick Bama at

676
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 2: home right now, but I don't like that, so I

677
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 2: would rather go with the under right now.

678
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 1: I think my favorite thing for this game is maybe

679
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: get on fandle look at what the heisman odds, because

680
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,440
Speaker 1: I think whether it's Beck who comes out the winner

681
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 1: or mill Row, those heisman odds are going to shrink

682
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 1: for whatever quarterback wins this game. So for sure I

683
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 1: wouldn't mind throwing, you know, throw a little something on

684
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:17,680
Speaker 1: that future, see if you can may even cash that

685
00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 1: out in a couple weeks. Vandals always super aggressive with

686
00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 1: their cash outs, so I usually try to get my

687
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 1: futures in over there, So just kind of my thought,

688
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 1: I'll probably get invested that way, instead of laying anything

689
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 1: on this game. Let's go ahead, though, Let's move to

690
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 1: the Big twelve, where we have the tenth ranked utes

691
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 1: laying twelve points on Arizona. On Saturday, Isaac Wilson did

692
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 1: just enough to get Utah passed Oklahoma State and relief

693
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 1: of Cam Rising. Do the Big twelve favorites have enough

694
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 1: though here you think to cover twelve points? We're not

695
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,000
Speaker 1: sure if Rising will be back or not. The last

696
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 1: time we saw Arizona was two weeks ago, and we're

697
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 1: on Friday night. They got dismantled by k State thirty

698
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 1: one to seven on the road. Noah f a Fido

699
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:58,200
Speaker 1: looked extremely mortal in that game, twenty six for forty two,

700
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 1: two hund sixty eight yards and just one interception. Where

701
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 1: are you thinking?

702
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: Look? In this game, Arizona couldn't hang with Kansas State's defense.

703
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:09,680
Speaker 2: How are they going to score against Utah? Is my question?

704
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 2: Especially on the road. Utah is another tough environment to

705
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:18,879
Speaker 2: play in, so that is my question. Utah is not

706
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 2: even one hundred percent on offense, but the defense is

707
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 2: so good. The offensive line pushed around Okay State for

708
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 2: two hundred and forty nine rushing yards. They put up

709
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy on Baylor, two hundred and twenty

710
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 2: one on Utah State. It doesn't matter who the quarterback

711
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 2: is for Utah. Isaac Wilson played decent. You know. I

712
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:38,200
Speaker 2: was making fun of him and said, I don't trust

713
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 2: Isaac Wilson going to Okay State, and I should have

714
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 2: because they won. Our boy, Terrell was one hundred percent

715
00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:47,880
Speaker 2: correct about this game. It did not matter who the

716
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:51,840
Speaker 2: QB was for Utah because the defense just smashed Okay State.

717
00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 2: You know, I like a lot of what Arizona does.

718
00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:57,879
Speaker 2: I just don't think they're ready for Utah. I think

719
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:01,320
Speaker 2: they're going to get smashed here. Tickets and cash state,

720
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 2: This one is going to open up towards Utah. So

721
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 2: if you want the Utes, get them now.

722
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,279
Speaker 1: Arizona won this game forty two to eighteen last year,

723
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 1: but that doesn't seem to bother you or betters here

724
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 1: at Bogman. Utah did have a five game winning streak

725
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 1: dating back to twenty sixteen prior to this.

726
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 2: What do I say every week? This is the most

727
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 2: important week. Last year is last year? You know I

728
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,839
Speaker 2: do Look, I'll look at trends and I'll even mention them.

729
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 2: I mentioned how you know Ohio State has traditionally smashed

730
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 2: Michigan State recently, so I'll look at them. But these

731
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 2: teams are different from what they were last year for sure,

732
00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 2: So I really don't care if cam Rising is playing.

733
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 2: Maybe this is a letdown spot after a big road

734
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 2: win against Okay State. I can get that argument, you know,

735
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 2: I understand it, but I just don't think it's going

736
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:48,240
Speaker 2: to matter in this game. Give me Utah Okay.

737
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:51,359
Speaker 1: Well round out Stay's program with Oregon laying twenty four

738
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:55,000
Speaker 1: points on my Wiley. You see CLA Bruins who covered

739
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 1: last week against LSU on the road. Can we outright

740
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 1: fade UCLA again this week? Bogman Oregon. They looked better

741
00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:04,759
Speaker 1: the last time we saw them against Oregon State. No

742
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 1: punts in that game for Dylan Gabriel and company, but

743
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:09,960
Speaker 1: the defense is still allowed a good amount of points

744
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:12,240
Speaker 1: each and every single week they've been out there this season.

745
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,760
Speaker 1: Both teams are one and two against the spread this season.

746
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 1: Oregan has won by combining twenty one points in the

747
00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:21,200
Speaker 1: last three meetings against UCLA, So twenty four feels like

748
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 1: a lot to me.

749
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:26,040
Speaker 2: It does, and Listen, you were right about UCLA against LSU.

750
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:28,360
Speaker 2: I think it was probably more of your hatred of

751
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,800
Speaker 2: Brian Kelly than your theoretical analysis on the game here.

752
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 2: But you were also sweating that lad the whole fourth quarter.

753
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:40,359
Speaker 2: I feel like you were probably sweating because the first

754
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 2: half I was like, Man, UCLA actually looks okay. They

755
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 2: could not run the ball. Do you know where they

756
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 2: rank right now in rushing yards per game?

757
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 1: Outside of the top one hundred, I'd.

758
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:55,000
Speaker 2: Say probably thirty second. They're one hundred and first in

759
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 2: run grade, ninety seventh in run block grade.

760
00:36:58,440 --> 00:36:59,759
Speaker 1: Did Carson Steel back out?

761
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:05,400
Speaker 2: They need it? He's gone. But Oregon should funnel this

762
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:08,359
Speaker 2: UCLA offense to throw and I think that's where they

763
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 2: make mistakes. But is this is the Oregon offense? And

764
00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 2: is the UCLA offense good enough to hit the over here?

765
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,439
Speaker 2: Is my question because I think this is too many

766
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:24,160
Speaker 2: points twenty three and a half for an Oregon team

767
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 2: that really hasn't looked amazing. You know, they struggled against Boise,

768
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 2: stayed at home, they are coming off of buye here.

769
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 2: I think I've ben to stay away from this game.

770
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:37,479
Speaker 2: I think I would like to take the over if

771
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,799
Speaker 2: we feel like we trust UCLA enough. But I think

772
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 2: what I trust from UCLA is either they're going to

773
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:46,480
Speaker 2: score early like they did against LSU. LSUS defense is

774
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:49,479
Speaker 2: real bad, though, or they're going to make so many

775
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 2: mistakes that Oregon does the majority of the heavy lifting, right,

776
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,479
Speaker 2: So it's just like a forty two to ten game,

777
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 2: which would cover both sides and get us to the over.

778
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 2: I think the over is the better play than the

779
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:04,839
Speaker 2: side here unless this number comes down towards UCLA. So

780
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:09,080
Speaker 2: I'll wait to see what this number does before I

781
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:12,759
Speaker 2: buy on it, and if the total shrinks, I will

782
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:14,279
Speaker 2: definitely go with the over here.

783
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, it's kind of funny. It's like it's almost

784
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 1: like the inverse of the Michigan State Ohio State thing,

785
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 1: Like UCLA, for whatever reason, always seems to get up

786
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: against Oregon. So I don't think you can lay that

787
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 1: many points right now. We'll see what happens later in

788
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:31,720
Speaker 1: the week. But Bog's early on here. He's liking that total,

789
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: so consider that as well. All right, and now'll do

790
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,399
Speaker 1: for today on the Betting Pros College Football Show. Thank

791
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 1: you guys so much for tuning in with us. We'll

792
00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 1: be back later in the week with Terrell with our

793
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:43,880
Speaker 1: picks and predictions until then. Like this video if you

794
00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: enjoyed it, Subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and

795
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 1: the podcast feed, plus download the Betting Pros app For

796
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 1: Scott Boggman, I'm Seth Wilcock. Thanks for watching, y'all.

797
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 2: Take care, Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

798
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 2: If you love the show, The best freeway to support

799
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,960
Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

800
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:04,000
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801
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:07,800
Speaker 2: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

802
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 2: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros