1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:05,319 Speaker 1: Live from our nation's camera. How do we reopen this economy? 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 1: The latest on how this pandemic is impacting farmers. What 3 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:11,639 Speaker 1: does this do? From the United States Relationship with China? 4 00:00:11,840 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound On, the Insiders, the influencers, the insides. We're 5 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,959 Speaker 1: responding to this crisis and manufacturers are stepping up like 6 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: never before. We're looking at seventy kendidates for different vectines. 7 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: How do we make sure a pandemic of this scale 8 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 1: never happens again? This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 9 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: Surrelate on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: m h D two President Trump heads amount rushmore for 11 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:43,240 Speaker 1: a fourth of July, addressed to the nation. The latest 12 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,879 Speaker 1: on how it's impacting the race. US cases rise two 13 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: percent above past weeks one point eight average. The White 14 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 1: House says that they're catching asymptomatic cases. What does that 15 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 1: mean in terms of reopening or reclosing? Sent a Majority 16 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: Leader Mitch McConnell expects new by of his relief bill 17 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: by the end of the month. Wow. End of the month. 18 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: We thought we weren't going to get until the fall. 19 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: We've got a lot to get through. All of that, 20 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: plus Kanye West easy launching a bid. You knew I 21 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: was gonna have to talk about that. Come on, yea, 22 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: we were gonna have to talk about Yeah, Kim Kardashi 23 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: and Kanye you know, we gotta We're gonna cover it all. 24 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: I hope everyone had a safe and happy Fourth of 25 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: July weekend, celebrating with your loved ones. You know, I 26 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: gotta say the fire there's no better place to watch fireworks, 27 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,760 Speaker 1: no better place to watch fireworks in the nation's capital. 28 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: Every year that I've been here, I look up at 29 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: the sky and I see those fireworks. I get goose bumps. 30 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: I mean, we're in Washington, d C. Take a moment, 31 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: folks on Independence Day. I love it. I love it. 32 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: I love it. I love it. And that flyover was 33 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 1: something else. I felt like I was a kid watching 34 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: them back home when my dad used to take me 35 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: we were growing up, growing up in Delco. We would 36 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: go to the see the flyovers. Amazing, amazing. I'm gonna 37 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: ask Jim Kessler about that. Jim Kessler of Third Way 38 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: is going to join us this first time on the show. 39 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: He used to work for Chuck Schumer. Jimmy, we got 40 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: a lot to talk about all right, first, let's kick 41 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: things off with Jordan Fabian. He is, of course, Bloomberg 42 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 1: White House reporter. Jordan's I want to begin by framing 43 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,519 Speaker 1: this segment up by talking about that speech at the 44 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: President gave it Mount Rushmore. That was in many ways 45 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: a resetting for the President's re election campaign to say 46 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: it's us against them, was it not. Yeah, that's right, Kevin. 47 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:35,639 Speaker 1: And it really seems like he's now completely abandoned any 48 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: pretense of wanting to make any kind of gesture towards 49 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: the protesters who are protesting against police brutality, police perform, 50 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: and that's he used to be all at the window, 51 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 1: and he's now focused on really attacking these protesters and 52 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: in flaming racial divisions in a in a way to 53 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: you know, appeal to his mostly white bass and get 54 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 1: them fired up to come out and vote for him 55 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: in November. Take us behind the scenes to the President's 56 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: re election campaign. What is Tim Mertal telling individuals in 57 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 1: battleground states about messaging to try to win over some 58 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: of those independent swing voters. Take us behind the scenes 59 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: on on on how they've been trying to to break 60 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 1: through beyond the base. Yeah. Well, It's it's an interesting dynamic, Kevin, 61 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 1: because you have some advisors to the president who wish 62 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: he would do things differently, like take Joe Biden on 63 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: more directly and really draw some contracts with China and 64 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 1: other issues. But instead the President has decided to focus 65 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 1: on these racially divisive issues and go all in on 66 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: issues like the Confederate Flag statues and monuments, and as 67 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 1: we saw today, you know, NASCAR and the name of 68 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 1: the Washington Redskins, of the Cleveland Indians. These are all 69 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: these divisive issues that he's playing up, while some of 70 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 1: his advisors would wish you would focus on on other things, 71 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 1: like you said, would appeal to more of independent voter 72 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: people on the suburbs, people who he really needs to 73 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 1: win a second term. You know, I want to keep 74 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: it focused, but I don't see how the Washington Redskins 75 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: keep that name. I just I don't see it, especially 76 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: given everything going on in the dynamics. But I mean, 77 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:19,359 Speaker 1: it seems like the president is running not a national campaign, 78 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: but a MacComb County campaign McComb County in Michigan, a 79 00:04:23,680 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 1: key battleground state, and he's really essentially trying to double 80 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: down on how these are going to play in these 81 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: swing counties, and there's only about a hundred of them 82 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 1: throughout the country, representing about you know, a hundred thousand 83 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 1: swing voters. And so I'm I'm really struck in terms 84 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:44,479 Speaker 1: of just how the Biden campaign really is going to 85 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: be able to do this or to go uh in 86 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: terms of just riding it out, because if you play 87 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: this forward, there's gonna be some turbulent debates and some 88 00:04:54,440 --> 00:05:00,839 Speaker 1: turbulent study in contrast for for the conventions. Jordan Fabiu, Right. 89 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: I think that's one thing that the President's team is 90 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: hoping for that once you get the president into a 91 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: room with Joe Biden, that the dynamic is going to change, 92 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: because in this period of of lockdowns, we've seen the 93 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: President really lose ground as he fumbled the coronavirus response, 94 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 1: has this this response we've been talking about to the 95 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 1: protest against the police brutality, while Joe Biden sort of 96 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: lays back and is able to kind of let Trump 97 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: trip over himself. But again, once they get toe to toe, 98 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: the Trump people are hoping that, uh, this dynamic will change. 99 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: All right. Now, let's switch gears now, because some of 100 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: the P P P loan transparency was released, and really 101 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:47,119 Speaker 1: it was a anybody was connected got alone. You've got 102 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: a firm that was linked to Speaker of the House, 103 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi's husband, she got that got a virus loan, 104 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 1: President Trump's partner, and the Betsy Divos tied company, among 105 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: other PPP recipients. What has been the buzz around the 106 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: p p P recipients about who got access to this money? Well, 107 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 1: first of all, I said, we still don't have a 108 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 1: complete list because there's still those smaller firms that the 109 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: government hasn't released yet. And I know news organizations are 110 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: pushing to get full access to the figures. But from 111 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: what we do know, as you said, a number of 112 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: politically connected folks have gotten loans forced on all of 113 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: the loans. But some interesting names. You have Grover Northwest 114 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: of Americans or tax Reform, someone who's advocated for small 115 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:34,159 Speaker 1: government and little to no taxes, taking you know, thousands 116 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: of dollars in government funds to keep this organization afloat. 117 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 1: And so you have these interesting uh you know, a 118 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 1: little uh little maybe hypocrisy as you see, and some 119 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: of the people who have applied to these things. So 120 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 1: I know, another one media matters on the left, somebody's 121 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 1: been very critical of the president's virus response taking advantage 122 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: of of that loan as well. So I know reporters 123 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: here in Washington if it had fun time today digging 124 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: through these names and number and looking for some interesting 125 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: interesting names. You know, if there's one thing we in 126 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 1: the media do well, it's it's fake outrage. So I'm 127 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: on the one hand, I rolled my eyes. On the 128 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: other hand, on the other hand, I'm enraged. But you know, 129 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 1: regardless of that, I think what everyone can agree on 130 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: is the one dred and thirty seven million dollars that 131 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 1: was left over in the in the loans, I could 132 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: have gone to um to two small businesses, to Main Street. 133 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 1: And so I was really struck by this by hearing 134 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 1: from Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell that on the day 135 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: when we're getting some of these transparency numbers, he's saying 136 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: that the next round of stimulus could actually come Jordan's 137 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: by the end of the month, so before the August recess. 138 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: And so I'm curious what the White House is saying 139 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 1: about that, because Republicans that I've spoken to on both 140 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: you know, on all sides of the ideological conservative um 141 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 1: spectrum are very divided in terms of how this ought 142 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: to play. I think, Kevin, from what I've heard from 143 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: senior Administration official, there's a broad knowledge with is going 144 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 1: to be another rescue package. The despite all of the 145 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: loans we saw that went to politically effected people, Uh, 146 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: there's no arguing that those loans did help number of 147 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: small businesses stay afloat during the COVID crisis when the 148 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 1: economy is essentially closed. So there's broa acknowledgement that with 149 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: this problem ongoing, uh, with with states having still not 150 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 1: fully reopened, they need some more assistance. But what that 151 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: looks like is still up for debateing you know, the 152 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 1: White House is pushing for things like a payroll tax cut, 153 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 1: um other measures that liability protections that Democrats might hold 154 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: their nose that and so, uh, we're really not going 155 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: to know how it looks like one until the lawmakers 156 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 1: come back from July four and really get down the 157 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: brass tacks. But there's some big ideological golf here between 158 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: Republicans Democrats, which could make a big package hard to 159 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,320 Speaker 1: pass through the cogress Jordan very quickly, right now, what 160 00:08:56,480 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: is your go to fourth of July song. Wow, you're 161 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,079 Speaker 1: really on the spot here, Kevin. I mean Board of 162 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 1: the USA by Bruce Branton is always a closset. I agree, 163 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: we're gonna leave it there. I listen to that over 164 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: the weekend. Yeah, it's a good one, all right, Jordan 165 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,680 Speaker 1: Fabian to keep up great reporting, Bloomberg White House Reporter. 166 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 167 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 1: and one oh five point seven f M HD two. 168 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: Did did you hear what Dr Fauci said over the weekend. 169 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: Let's really grabbed my attention. Um here it is. Dr 170 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 1: Fauci says that the vaccines likely are going to offer 171 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: only finite protection. Any vaccine I'm reading on the Bloomberg terminal, 172 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: any vaccine developed to ward off the novel coronavirus would 173 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 1: likely be limited and how long it would shield against 174 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 1: infection top Us Infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci said Monday, 175 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 1: you can assume that we'll get protection at least to 176 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 1: take us through this cycle. Fouchi said, but we're still 177 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 1: knee deep in the first wave, so I mean, it's 178 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: it's really unclear in terms of when the vaccine is 179 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: going to come, when it's going to be in production, 180 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 1: and what that will essentially mean in terms of getting 181 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: it into the supply chain like the farm the national 182 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:15,959 Speaker 1: pharmacies and the small town pharmacies all throughout the country. 183 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 1: I want to continue reading from this report quote A 184 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 1: shot to protect against COVID nineteen won't work like the 185 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:27,319 Speaker 1: measles vaccine, which lasts throughout a person's lifetime. Fauci said, 186 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 1: we may need a boost to continue the protection, but 187 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 1: right now we don't know how long it lasts. So 188 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:39,079 Speaker 1: I think this is incredibly important, folks, because this isn't 189 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: like a one shot cure all vaccine that we're waiting for. 190 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 1: It is a temporary fix. This is according to what 191 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 1: Dr Fauci said earlier today. UM Kevin CEREALI chief Washington 192 00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:51,960 Speaker 1: correspondent for Bloomberg Television and from Bloomberg Radio, and I 193 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 1: want to welcome in my nest next guest to get 194 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 1: the reaction not to Dr Faucci, but to terms of 195 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: how this will impact the economy, which of course is 196 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 1: going to be waiting for there to be some type 197 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 1: of vaccine to reopen to stay closed. You know all 198 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 1: of that. Calvin Schnore returns to the program. Calvin is 199 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: a senior economist at nay Read. Calvin, I want to 200 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: get to jobs numbers in the economic outlook, but first 201 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:21,320 Speaker 1: I do want to get the reaction of waiting for 202 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: the vaccine and how the markets and businesses are are 203 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 1: factoring that in. You know, we've all been hoping to 204 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: get the vaccine, but that's really like saying we're waiting 205 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: for a silver bullet. We're waiting for something that's just 206 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 1: going to solve our problem miraculously, and it would be 207 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: really nice if we can get that, and that will 208 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:43,079 Speaker 1: give us comfort that we would really really love to have. 209 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:45,400 Speaker 1: But there are a lot of countries that have been 210 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 1: effective in controlling this virus without the vaccine, and they've 211 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: just done old school public health in terms of the 212 00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 1: social distancing, the testing, the contact tracing, and you look 213 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 1: at what they've done and read a lot of the 214 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 1: Asian countries, and you look what New York State has done. Um, 215 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 1: I think we're all going to be you're just waiting 216 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 1: for the vaccine to say we can have real certainty, 217 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: but we can do an awful lot and have economic 218 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: activity if we get this under control using those old 219 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: school techniques. So I think it's interesting for how economists 220 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 1: like yourself have been factoring in and the data that 221 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 1: they've been relying on in order to see where the 222 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:32,680 Speaker 1: economy is moving along. And we were talking about this 223 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: last week, but I want to continue it into this 224 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:38,439 Speaker 1: week's conversation on this program, which is it's not necessarily 225 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: the number of reported cases. It's more looking at the 226 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: number of hospital beds that is on that are that 227 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:53,079 Speaker 1: are that are that are filled, because if the hospitals 228 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 1: are prepared h then you know then that things can 229 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 1: be open. But the hospitals are not prepared, that's when 230 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 1: we run into trouble. Yes, that's true. There there are 231 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 1: many different levels of this, and the number of recorded 232 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 1: reported cases is an easy number that we can get quickly. 233 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 1: That is a rough guide of what's going to be 234 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:15,559 Speaker 1: going on. The hospital bids are important because that tells 235 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:19,440 Speaker 1: you if your public health system is being overwhelmed. But 236 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: really we want to know is whether there is enough 237 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 1: virus in the community that you are at risk if 238 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:29,680 Speaker 1: you go about your daily business and you need to 239 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:33,680 Speaker 1: protect yourself. And that's ultimately what we're looking for is 240 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: if this can be under control enough under control through 241 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 1: through the social distancing, wearing a mask, testing um and 242 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:47,439 Speaker 1: contact tracing so that you can find cases fairly quickly, 243 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:49,880 Speaker 1: so you can have some confidence that you can go 244 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: to the mall and if you behave reasonably well, you 245 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: don't have an undoe risk. Right now, we can't do 246 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 1: that in a lot of places because there's just so 247 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: much of the virus out there. There's a selected both 248 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: in the number of new cases and the hospital bits. 249 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:04,640 Speaker 1: So we have a long way to go on a 250 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 1: lot of fronts, you know, and and and even though 251 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 1: we're still getting through it, Calvin, we're still going to 252 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: make it through Calvin stories on the line. He's a 253 00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 1: senior economist that they read. And that's okay because we 254 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 1: talked about playing it forward. But the jobs numbers last 255 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: week we're pretty good. I mean, the unemployment rates eleven 256 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 1: point one percent, near the eighteen millions people still unemployed. 257 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 1: That's tragic, but but they've beat expectations last month. What 258 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:31,280 Speaker 1: is what is going on? Is it because of the reopenings. 259 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: Do you think that now that states had have had 260 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: to issue some new closures that they could we could 261 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 1: be in for a rocky summer how do you figure this? Sure? 262 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 1: This is this is all because of the reopening. And 263 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: I just say this is this was the strongest job 264 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 1: game we've ever seen. You can't say it's the strongest 265 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 1: jobs report because there's still almost eighteen million people unemployed 266 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 1: in that rate is higher than it had been in 267 00:14:55,640 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 1: the previous recession. Um. But this is what this really else. 268 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 1: This is the economic engine is not broken as long 269 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 1: as the pandemic is under control and people can go 270 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 1: out to the shops and the stores and so on. Um. 271 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: So that that's good news, But that's a big asterisk 272 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: just because these numbers were put together early June, before 273 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: the virus started surging again. So I think we're all 274 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: a little bit anxious whether the July and August is 275 00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: going to keep be able to keep up this pace 276 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 1: of improvement or we're gonna have some re regression. All right. 277 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 1: I want to ask you about something just in the 278 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 1: in then two minutes that we have left, because it's 279 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 1: something that economists are starting to talk about, and that's 280 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: the education system and schools. Because we're right around the 281 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 1: corner from schools going back or not going back, and 282 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: no one has it figured out. It's not going to 283 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 1: be a one size fits all program, but that could 284 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 1: be an economic driver, and and and and explain to 285 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 1: us from an economic sense how school openings or non 286 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 1: openings will impact the economy. Well, workers are more than 287 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: just an employee. They're people, and they have families, and 288 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 1: they have live and anyone who has children at home 289 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: has to coordinate that and your your family and children 290 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 1: are going to come first. Um. Schools are a place that, 291 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 1: if you're not careful, could transmit the virus very rapidly 292 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 1: through a lot of the rest of the community, including 293 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 1: older people. So you want to be careful. And what 294 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 1: happens if the school is only open two or three 295 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: days a week and those aren't the days that you 296 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: have to go to the office and you're in trouble. 297 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: The schools need to be synchronized with the office work, 298 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 1: and that's gonna be really difficult to do. Remarkable, remarkable, 299 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 1: All right, Calvin Schnort, I'm gonna have to leave it there. 300 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: He has senior economists at Navy. Thank you so much 301 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 1: for coming on and giving us your insights. This is 302 00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Sound On with Kevin Surley on Bloomberg and one 303 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 1: or five point seven f m h D two. That's 304 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: such a great song, bitter sweet symphony by the verb 305 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 1: so good, so good. It's really a song for the moment. 306 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 1: My name is Kevin's really I'm chief Washington correspondent for 307 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:12,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. And now let's talk politics 308 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 1: with our political panel. Jim or Nacy is a former 309 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 1: Republican Ohio congressman. He returned to the program. Jim. Great 310 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:24,120 Speaker 1: to have you and Jim Kessler. Jim Kessler of Third Way, 311 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 1: the centrist democratic think tank in Washington, d C. Jim, 312 00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 1: we used to talk all the time, but this is 313 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,679 Speaker 1: your first time on the program. I am thrilled to 314 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:34,720 Speaker 1: have you on. How have you been? How is your 315 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 1: Fourth of July? It was excellent. I did not go 316 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:40,639 Speaker 1: down to them all to the Fourth of July because 317 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 1: so many people set off their own fireworks in my neighborhood. 318 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:46,919 Speaker 1: It's like a private showing for me, and that's what 319 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: I did. Jim, you know, it's I had the same feeling. 320 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:51,919 Speaker 1: I mean, they've been setting off fireworks, not just in 321 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:55,040 Speaker 1: d C, New York, Philly, They've been setting off fireworks 322 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:57,439 Speaker 1: all summer. I don't really understand it, but you know 323 00:17:57,480 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 1: we're gonna go with it. However, I did go to 324 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:02,439 Speaker 1: the Kennedy Center. I sat on the lawn, you know, 325 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 1: I saw the flyover, uh and got to see yeah, 326 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 1: and got to see h a great view. And I 327 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 1: love that flyover. I mean, it really is just gives 328 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 1: you so much another moment to reflect and pause for 329 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 1: all the brave and the women who have served our country. 330 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 1: All right, Renassy and Kessler, I gotta refer to you 331 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,399 Speaker 1: by your last names, because you're both named Jim Barratta, 332 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:27,360 Speaker 1: our executive producer. She just said in the chat, call 333 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:31,159 Speaker 1: them by their last names. You can't call them Jim's Jimmy's. 334 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's start with this. Did you see this 335 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 1: in Politico? Renaissy? Did you see this in political I 336 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 1: want to get your reaction. Democrats smell a route and 337 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 1: the chance to control redistricting in twenty twenty one. The 338 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:51,280 Speaker 1: party is starting to think bigger than just beating Trump. 339 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:56,360 Speaker 1: Christopher Caldago and the Tasha Correcti report, Donald Trump's collapsing 340 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,679 Speaker 1: poll numbers have Democrats thinking bigger than just winning the 341 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 1: White Allison seizing the Senate. They're imagining a route that 342 00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 1: extends all the way down the ballot. What do you think, Well, Kevin, 343 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 1: thank you for having me. And you know, it's interesting 344 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 1: because we seem to always talk about polls. But one 345 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 1: thing I learned I was a businessman long before I 346 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 1: got into politics, and I got into politics. I learned 347 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 1: that the only poll that really matters is one on 348 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:25,680 Speaker 1: November three this year, and everything prior to that means 349 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,440 Speaker 1: very little because it just depends on the temperature of 350 00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:31,120 Speaker 1: the day. But I did a little uh. I went 351 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,600 Speaker 1: back in the history in two thousand sixteen and and 352 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: the polls that were being pushed out at this exact 353 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 1: same time in two thousand and sixteen, the Tender average 354 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:44,359 Speaker 1: had Clinton up six points. The Reuters on July second 355 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 1: had Clinton plus eleven. So the ten day average was 356 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 1: Clinton plus six. But July second through six, Clinton was 357 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 1: plus eleven. Michigan, the Gravis Pole July seven, Clinton plus six, Wisconsin, 358 00:19:56,800 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 1: Marquet Pole July seven through tenth, Clinton plus for the 359 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 1: p A NBC, so I fifty printing plus nine. So 360 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:06,480 Speaker 1: I think what that tells you is it doesn't really 361 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,640 Speaker 1: matter what's going on in July. What really matters, that's 362 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:12,680 Speaker 1: what's going on in November three, there's a twenty days left, 363 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 1: and I think it's going to come down to what 364 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: candidate can make people feel most comfortable on November three. 365 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 1: Al Right, I hear you on that. And speaking of 366 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 1: taking the temperature, it's a hot and humid one here 367 00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:28,159 Speaker 1: in Washington, D C. Kessler. When you look and to 368 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 1: analyze the down ballot races though, this really would appear 369 00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,639 Speaker 1: an opportunity for the Democrats to said, to make some 370 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 1: significant gains on on down ballot races. Where where do 371 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:43,880 Speaker 1: you have your eye on? So I'm optimistic. Look, Democrats 372 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 1: are equally optimistic and petrified about November. Because Democrats thought 373 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: they were going to win. They weren't over you know, 374 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 1: they weren't eufork about. They were worried. But you know, 375 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,920 Speaker 1: Trump's win was a shot. So Democrats are worried that 376 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: it could it could happen again. I am confident going 377 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: into this. So if you look at the polling and 378 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 1: you know, um, Mr Vernacia is right the uh You 379 00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: know that the polls do fluctuate. But if you look 380 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: at the question on the voters who say I don't 381 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: like either candidate and who are they going to vote for? Well, 382 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 1: in the folks that didn't like both Hillary and Donald 383 00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 1: Trump ended up voting for Trump by seventeen points. Right 384 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,560 Speaker 1: now in the polls, they're voting for Joe Biden by 385 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: thirty points. And that is the difference between being incumbent 386 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,240 Speaker 1: and in a way, Hillary Clinton ran as an incumbent, 387 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 1: has a third term Democratic term, and now that's what 388 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 1: Trump has right now. So I do feel pretty optimistic 389 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:49,560 Speaker 1: that Democrats are gonna win, that Joe Biden is gonna win, 390 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 1: and I think Democrats are going to retake the Senate. 391 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:56,719 Speaker 1: I think this is a disastrous election shaping up for Republicans. 392 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 1: And I would even look at some states where you know, 393 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:04,080 Speaker 1: looking steel pretty solid, like Iowa and Montana, and those 394 00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 1: those states could fall, Those could fall too Democrats. Well, 395 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,920 Speaker 1: I mean, I've find this fascinating because Jim Kesler knows 396 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: all the ins and outs, and he was the policy 397 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 1: director for Truck Schumer, that was his previous old boss. 398 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:18,639 Speaker 1: And I find it absolutely fascinating to hear this type 399 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:22,400 Speaker 1: of smart analysis because it really captures I think where 400 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,920 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party is, and there are so many he 401 00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:26,880 Speaker 1: talks about. I don't want to put words in his mouth, 402 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,280 Speaker 1: but He's talking about this almost political anxiety that exists 403 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 1: right now on the Democratic Party because there is so 404 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,439 Speaker 1: many unanswered questions on a host of different policy issues 405 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: relating to the economy, for for example, on foreign policy, 406 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,360 Speaker 1: for example, on a host of different issues, and yet 407 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 1: they are the assumed front runner at this particular moment. So, 408 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 1: Jim Urnacy, former Ohio congressman, Republican, I want to put 409 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,720 Speaker 1: this to you. What does the Trump campaign have to do, 410 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 1: not to size up the base, but to go into 411 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,679 Speaker 1: Ohio and win over those folks who are looking at 412 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:02,879 Speaker 1: these two candidates and saying, I don't like either of them, 413 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna lean right now to Ward Biden. How 414 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:10,439 Speaker 1: does he win back that voter? Well, it's interesting, and uh, 415 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 1: it's it's funny because today I was actually with a 416 00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 1: Democrat voter and a Republican voter. The Democrat voter, well, first, 417 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 1: the Republican voters said he's not going to vote for 418 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 1: Trump again. So um, Mr Kessler would agree that there 419 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,520 Speaker 1: are some Republican voters to say that. But the Democrat 420 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:29,159 Speaker 1: voter who actually voted for Clinton, UM said to me that, uh, 421 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:33,200 Speaker 1: he cannot vote for Joe Biden because Joe Biden. Uh. 422 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,400 Speaker 1: Number one doesn't really have the pulse of the country anymore. 423 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,119 Speaker 1: Number two he used or is see now, which I 424 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 1: don't believe that I've known Vice President Biden, but um, 425 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 1: and number three he has no idea where the Democrat 426 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,879 Speaker 1: Party and totality is going to take the country, and 427 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,399 Speaker 1: they're afraid of the far left swing. This guy was 428 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 1: afraid of the far left swing that the Democrat Party 429 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: has taken. So I think what the president has to 430 00:23:57,800 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 1: do is he has to get out there and explain. 431 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 1: But look, where were we when when I took over? 432 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,800 Speaker 1: Where did I take us prior to coronavirus? And where 433 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 1: can I take us afterwards? And then he's got to 434 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:12,240 Speaker 1: make sure that he shows the difference between the Obama 435 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: Biden eight years and what he was able to do 436 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,200 Speaker 1: prior to coronavirus. That's what I said. I don't think 437 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 1: things really matter until November, because it's November. If the 438 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 1: economy is still down, if the coronavirus is in its 439 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 1: second waves, it could be problematic for the president because 440 00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,639 Speaker 1: it's hard to for people to look back at what 441 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,480 Speaker 1: the president has done. But let's look at our economy, 442 00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:37,640 Speaker 1: let's look at our unemployment. Let's look at what things 443 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 1: are starting to tick back up again, and let's get 444 00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:44,119 Speaker 1: back to really explaining the differences between Joe Biden and 445 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,320 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. And that's how I think Donald Trump wants 446 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,080 Speaker 1: Jim Jim Kessler. I want to pick up on what 447 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 1: Jim or Nacy just said there, because when when when 448 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 1: you look at what Nassy is saying, is for some 449 00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 1: independent voters, they're unsure of what Abiden administration would look 450 00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:02,160 Speaker 1: like and how much the far left progressive flank, how 451 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 1: much clout they would have excuse me in the administration. 452 00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 1: So is it does Biden need to get out there 453 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 1: and say this is what my economic agenda would look like, 454 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 1: or does he just need to continue to make this 455 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:18,200 Speaker 1: a referendum vote and not really put out what what 456 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: his economic plan would look like or what a Biden 457 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:25,040 Speaker 1: Treasury secretary would look like. Joe Biden is a moderate 458 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 1: and he is going to campaign as a moderate. That 459 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,879 Speaker 1: is his sensibility. That's what he's been his entire career. 460 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 1: He won the Democratic nomination separating himself from that far 461 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: left wing of the Democratic Party. At the same time, 462 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,920 Speaker 1: he is also one who tries to build coalitions and 463 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,719 Speaker 1: to his credit, he has reached out to Bernie Sanders 464 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,760 Speaker 1: and Sanders supporters, and Sanders has reciprocated and has behaved well. 465 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 1: And there's a lot of unity within the Democratic Party. 466 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,879 Speaker 1: But Joe Biden, for his entire career, and it's a 467 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:59,440 Speaker 1: long career, has been a moderate. Here's the problem for 468 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. Yes, the economy might pick up a little 469 00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 1: bit and it might go back, but he mishandled the 470 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:11,360 Speaker 1: coronavirus outbreak, you know, to a level that no other 471 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:15,719 Speaker 1: country can match. And you can't open up this country 472 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 1: and have fifty new cases per day. So what Donald 473 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 1: Trump is trying to do is trying to make this 474 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 1: race either about Joe Biden is too far left, and 475 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 1: you know he will try and do that, and about 476 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:33,880 Speaker 1: things like Confederate monuments, Colin Kapernick and Bubba Wallace. You're 477 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Currele on Bloomberg 478 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,200 Speaker 1: and one oh five point seven f M H D two. 479 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 1: I still don't really understand what's going to happen with 480 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,960 Speaker 1: the NBA for the MLB. The only thing I know 481 00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 1: is that I think the Washington Redskins are going to 482 00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:51,639 Speaker 1: have to change their name. My name is Kevin Cirelli. 483 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: I'm the chief Washington correspondent to Bloomberg Television and the 484 00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. The Gym's we should call this segment to 485 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:03,359 Speaker 1: Jim's that a keV Jim n a c former Ohio congressman, Republican. 486 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 1: He's on the line. He's a businessman, you know, before 487 00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:09,200 Speaker 1: he was in office, and I understand was very involved 488 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:12,359 Speaker 1: in sports as well. Uh. And Jim Kessler of Third 489 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 1: Way an stp over the guy over a third Way 490 00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: who I used to talk with all the time in 491 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 1: another life, Jim when I was at the Hill newspaper 492 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:23,920 Speaker 1: all those years ago, back in the day, back in 493 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: the day. Uh. But Renee, see, let me ask you this, though, 494 00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,199 Speaker 1: the Redskins are gonna have to change their name. Am 495 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 1: I wrong on this or no? Well, you know what, 496 00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: it's going to really be up to what the ownership 497 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 1: in the NFL believes. Uh. In the end, we've gotten 498 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 1: through many many years with those names. It'll be interesting 499 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,440 Speaker 1: to see what the decisions they make. I mean, look, 500 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:50,120 Speaker 1: this is not a subject that just didn't come up today. 501 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: It's it's been up a number of times, and inians 502 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 1: took the chief y'all who offer their symbol and just 503 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,760 Speaker 1: have the scene now. But there's the Indians and um 504 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,120 Speaker 1: and they seem to continue to have a fan base, 505 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,080 Speaker 1: and of course the Redkin and Redskins have done the 506 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:10,719 Speaker 1: same thing. So um it. Look, we're in changing times 507 00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,640 Speaker 1: the NBA and the NFL and some of these team 508 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,720 Speaker 1: owners are going to have to make some decisions as 509 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: to where they want to be going forward. But I'm 510 00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 1: not too sure the change is guaranteed because, like I said, 511 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,120 Speaker 1: we've been through this before. Okay, But you who has 512 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:30,280 Speaker 1: been behind the scenes in the executive management of professional 513 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,000 Speaker 1: sports take us behind the scenes. What is what is 514 00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 1: the process? Like? I mean, what is the pressure that 515 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:38,760 Speaker 1: they're under? Is it from is it from you know, 516 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: the is it from executives that the league? Is that 517 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:45,560 Speaker 1: the players association? I mean, what what's going on? Well? 518 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,480 Speaker 1: I always chuckle because I don't care whether in politics 519 00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 1: or business or in baseball, football or basketball, it all 520 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 1: comes down to money. So it does come down to 521 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:59,160 Speaker 1: UH sponsorships. It comes down to UH the fans and 522 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 1: the stands by in the seats as we called it, 523 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:03,480 Speaker 1: and you need to be able to make sure you 524 00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:06,480 Speaker 1: continue to bring your sponsors in. You can continue to 525 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 1: get people in the seats, and you've got you have 526 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,240 Speaker 1: to make sure that the decisions you may continue to 527 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: you know, fill the seats and continue to bring sponsors him. Hey, Kessler, 528 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,760 Speaker 1: you know what I say, Fly Eagles fly, That's all 529 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 1: that matters. All right, We're gonna bring it back. Go ahead, 530 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 1: whoever wanted to talk about them. I'm just it's over 531 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 1: for the Redskins. I mean, they will not be the 532 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 1: Red skin by the opening day the season. Colin Kaepernick 533 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 1: just signed a contact with Disney to do programming on 534 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 1: race and social issues. That's how fast this has moved. 535 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:49,560 Speaker 1: And frankly, you look at Trump speech at Mount Brushmore 536 00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 1: and and he's not even in the last centers in 537 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: the previous century. It seems we've created these myths. These 538 00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 1: myths have turned out to be lies, and the house 539 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,360 Speaker 1: of cards is crumbling around them. So I think, you 540 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,640 Speaker 1: know this is gonna move fast, and thankfully so. And 541 00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 1: that's why. Oh yeah, I know, Keslo is a Philly guy. 542 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 1: All right, uh so let me let I want to 543 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 1: do now this segment where we want to return we 544 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,120 Speaker 1: used to do it for those who been listening since 545 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,480 Speaker 1: the start um. We used to have this segment called 546 00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:21,480 Speaker 1: What's on Your Radar, and now that we have a panel, 547 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: I wanted to bring it back, and I'm gonna kick 548 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 1: things off because this is not What's all my Radar? 549 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 1: But I wanted to get it all the way. And 550 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:29,719 Speaker 1: that's Kanye West because he says he's running for president. 551 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna turn to CNN for the Kanye update. 552 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,800 Speaker 1: Uh and CNN has reported that he hasn't actually taken 553 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 1: any steps yet. Getting on the ballot won't be easy. 554 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 1: According to CNN dot Com, Kanye West said Saturday he 555 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,800 Speaker 1: is running for president in the U s election and 556 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: apparent challenge to go head to head with President Trump. 557 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 1: We must now realize the promise of America by trusting God, 558 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,040 Speaker 1: unifying our vision, and building our future. I am running 559 00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 1: for president of the United States. But then he hasn't 560 00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 1: really done anything with it, so I don't know, got 561 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 1: a lot of clicks, you know, I'm reading off the CNN, 562 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 1: but as of now, nothing, It's it's not even all 563 00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 1: my radar, which is a prologue to this segment. Okay, 564 00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 1: so that's out of the way, Kessler, I'm gonna come 565 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 1: to you first, what's on your radar? So um, I 566 00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 1: am fascinated by how the pp A Tour is going 567 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: to hand the Masters Tournament in this new era of 568 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 1: racial consciousness. The p A Tour has never been ahead 569 00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:30,520 Speaker 1: of the game on race. The Masters has been even 570 00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 1: further behind. I'm just wondering how the color and pageantry 571 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:39,000 Speaker 1: of this wonderful place of Augusta, which is steeped in racism, 572 00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 1: is going to have to deal with it in this 573 00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 1: new era and is a really good one. It is fascinating. 574 00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:46,240 Speaker 1: It really fits with sort of the conversation that we 575 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,960 Speaker 1: were having about the Washington Redskins about what's been going 576 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:52,200 Speaker 1: on in NASCAR. You know, you've got just so many 577 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 1: different I mean sports really is one could make the 578 00:31:55,880 --> 00:32:02,400 Speaker 1: argument at the first round of businesses from a national 579 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 1: perspective that are having to deal head on with how 580 00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 1: to return to work with all of the different uh 581 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:12,400 Speaker 1: new socially social consciousness that has been injected into the 582 00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: American culture UH and and come to the forefront. It 583 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 1: really is very, very remarkable. And then I'm obsessed. I 584 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 1: always talk about this, but the n b A and 585 00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 1: the relationship with the Communist Party, the SI Jing Ping 586 00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:27,040 Speaker 1: and and what's been going on with Hong Kong. But 587 00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 1: that's a great one in terms of the PJ Rene, 588 00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 1: see what's on your radar? Well, first, King, and I 589 00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 1: want to tell you my new friend Jim Cussler says 590 00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,479 Speaker 1: something about the Redskins. He guaranteed that the Redskins are 591 00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 1: going to be a change name. And I was remembering politics, 592 00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: you never guarantee anything, So just throw that out as 593 00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 1: a little trivia because you never want to say you 594 00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:53,840 Speaker 1: guarantee something. And and but um, we'll see, I guess 595 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,040 Speaker 1: as the year passes. You know what's interesting, I'd like 596 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,200 Speaker 1: to divert back to something that was on my radar 597 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:01,920 Speaker 1: when I fust got to Washington and still is on 598 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 1: my radar. And we don't seem to talk about it 599 00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 1: enough because people don't like to talk about it. But 600 00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 1: most people aren't aware that our national dint went from 601 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:15,160 Speaker 1: twenty three trillion to twenty six trillion in the span 602 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 1: of just a couple of months. And I remember back 603 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:20,400 Speaker 1: into I remember back in two thousand and ten one 604 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,520 Speaker 1: I ran and people said, you have to stop this 605 00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:26,240 Speaker 1: national debt from growing. And then it was only ten 606 00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 1: trillion dollars but amazing from from March fifteenth to June fifteenth, 607 00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:35,840 Speaker 1: we have gone from twenty three point five trillion to 608 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:39,600 Speaker 1: twenty six point two trillion and two point four times 609 00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,320 Speaker 1: what we were estimating the national debt to increase of share. 610 00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,360 Speaker 1: And by the way, that is both a Republican and 611 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:49,120 Speaker 1: the Democrat member's fault. I realized we had to do 612 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 1: a stimulus. I'm not saying I was against it, but 613 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 1: at some point in time, the day of reckoning will 614 00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 1: come when you continue to spend account of money we're 615 00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,160 Speaker 1: spending and buckle up because they're passing another stimulustic ring 616 00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:01,920 Speaker 1: to McConnell by the end of the month. So, I 617 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 1: mean it is I think, Nas, where you're at, what 618 00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:07,040 Speaker 1: you're talking about is really where I think that the 619 00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 1: Republican Party is going to be talking about ahead of two. 620 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:12,520 Speaker 1: But I I mean, yeah, there are a lot of 621 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,160 Speaker 1: Republicans like you who are who are very concerned you 622 00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: gotta run for governor. I gotta ask you every time 623 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:18,640 Speaker 1: you're on I'm gonna ask you that question. You're running 624 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 1: for governor of Ohio. Everybody asked that question, you know, 625 00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 1: I just continue to say, I'm going to continue to 626 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,080 Speaker 1: do what I'm doing. I sit on a few boards. 627 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:28,920 Speaker 1: I know what's going on in the business world and 628 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,760 Speaker 1: the trenches, and uh, I'm gonna do what I feel 629 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,880 Speaker 1: I can do to change things. I'm gonna have a 630 00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:41,480 Speaker 1: grandson tomorrow, right, and so you know he's gonna be 631 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,240 Speaker 1: guaranteed born because Mike donald Law is going into hospital. 632 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 1: And I keep telling everybody we have lost vision. Leadership 633 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:51,960 Speaker 1: across the board has lost their twenty vision when it 634 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 1: comes to debt and policies and racism, all these things 635 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:57,440 Speaker 1: we just talked about. We better start having a vision 636 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 1: so that all those children being born this year, what's 637 00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:05,640 Speaker 1: our That's my new discussion point. You know, I gotta, 638 00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,440 Speaker 1: I gotta, I gotta tell you, Jim. I was going 639 00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:09,879 Speaker 1: to talk about how Janet Yellen says another DoD Frank 640 00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 1: is necessary. That was going to be the thing on 641 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:16,400 Speaker 1: my radar. But your grandson being born tomorrow, that's what 642 00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:17,919 Speaker 1: I have. That's how I want to end this show. 643 00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:19,800 Speaker 1: You know, my sister had a baby during all this. 644 00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:23,200 Speaker 1: I have so much respect for any parent out there 645 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 1: who is brought a child into this world during this time. 646 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 1: My my prayers for your family, Jim and and and 647 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,840 Speaker 1: congratulations and I hope it's a safe, safe, safe delivery. 648 00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:35,240 Speaker 1: Thank you to Jim Ornac, Thank you to Jim Kessler. 649 00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:39,080 Speaker 1: Thank to you truly for listening, for giving me the 650 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 1: time and the opportunity. I'm Kevin CURRELLI, Chief Washington correspondent 651 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,960 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television and from Woomberg Radio, and you're listening 652 00:35:45,000 --> 00:36:00,160 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg w