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Slash us underscore disclaimers. 11 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 3: Welcome in. It is What's Right with Nick Right the 12 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 3: podcast and YouTube show. It is episode sixty nine. It 13 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 3: is at Work, Week two NFL Gambling Show. Before we 14 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 3: get into what we did in week one, little parameters. 15 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 3: If you're new to it, if you didn't listen to 16 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 3: week one, we break We don't necessarily break down, but 17 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 3: we at least touch on all sixteen games. We put 18 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 3: them into four different categories. Stay away, we'll explain that 19 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 3: when we get there. Be careful. We'll explain that perfectly priced. 20 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:12,960 Speaker 3: That self explanatory. And then the fourth category is our picks. 21 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,960 Speaker 3: We do five picks every week. We give you one 22 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 3: of those will be our lock of the week. We'll 23 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 3: also give you a survivor pick at the end of 24 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 3: the show, and we will keep track of how we're 25 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 3: doing throughout the year. And my commitment to you is 26 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 3: I will bet these games that I tell you myself 27 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 3: each and every week. So last week started off terribly. 28 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 3: This show came out on Friday. I talked all about 29 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 3: why I thought the Rams shouldn't be two and a 30 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 3: half point underdogs. They end up losing by twenty one 31 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 3: points the rest of the weekend. Though, I'm proud of 32 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 3: how we did, even though we only went two and 33 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 3: two the rest of the week, which is two and 34 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 3: three overall. So why am I happy with it? Carolina, 35 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 3: when we did the show was minus one and a half. 36 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 3: By kickoff, they were plus one and a half, so 37 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 3: the line had moved against us, but in the direction 38 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 3: that we were thinking on the bet. Caroline ends up 39 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 3: losing at the gun on a fifty eight yard field goal. 40 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 3: I don't think we were on the wrong side of 41 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 3: that bet. Jacksonville, I know we weren't on the wrong 42 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 3: side of that bet. They dropped two touchdown passes despite 43 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 3: all that they had a lead. We had them catching 44 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 3: two and a half points. They had a lead, a 45 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: two point lead, by the way, with a minute remaining, 46 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,399 Speaker 3: minute and a half remaining, and they let Carson Wentz 47 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 3: drive the length of the field for a touchdown two 48 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 3: point conversion. If they had just held into a field goal, 49 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 3: we cover that one. And then obviously Miami covered by 50 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 3: a million, Baltimore covered by a million. So we were 51 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 3: two and three. But in my opinion, we were only 52 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 3: truly off, way off on one game. We got a 53 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 3: little unlucky on the Jags game. Even if the Carolina 54 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 3: and Cleveland, I don't think we got on lucky, but 55 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:54,360 Speaker 3: I don't think we're on the wrong side of it, 56 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 3: So I'm happy with it. Two and three is not great, 57 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 3: but it's obviously not a disaster, and I'm I'm fine 58 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 3: with how we did. We can deal with two in 59 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 3: three weeks. What we can't deal with is one in 60 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 3: four weeks, and we certainly can't deal with only five weeks. 61 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: So the five games will be picking today are the following. 62 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 3: I'm not going to tell you which side of these yet, 63 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 3: but the five games we're picking is Miami at Baltimore, 64 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 3: Cincinnati at Dallas, Arizona at the Raiders, Chicago at Green Bay, 65 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 3: and Minnesota at Philly. Those will be our five picks. 66 00:03:25,480 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 3: So what about the other eleven games? They're in three 67 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 3: different categories. We start with the stay aways, and I 68 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 3: explained give you a little analysis on the games and 69 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 3: why they are where they are. Demons. What's the first 70 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 3: stay away? 71 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 2: First stay away is Browns favored by six points at 72 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 2: home against the Jets. 73 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 3: Okay, there's two games in this category that are stay 74 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 3: aways for multiple reasons, the first of which being you 75 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 3: don't want to watch this game. This is a disease 76 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 3: if you wait all year when we start the clock 77 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 3: for Sunday football. Unless you have a huge lean on 78 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 3: a game as awful as Joe Flacco against against Jacoby Brissett, 79 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 3: I have no idea why you would ever want to bet, 80 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 3: why you'd want to watch this game? Now, gambling wise, 81 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 3: that's not sound. Gambling wise, you don't not bet something 82 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 3: because you don't want to watch it. But for tie breakers, 83 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 3: I'm fine with it. So now, also, why is this 84 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:33,160 Speaker 3: a stay away? Well, I said last week that we 85 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 3: were going to bet against Joe Flacco every game the 86 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 3: rest of his career. Okay, but in order to do that, 87 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 3: I have to lay six points with Jacoby Brissett. I 88 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:52,080 Speaker 3: have to lay six points with Jacoby Brissett not interested. 89 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 3: So because I'm certainly not backing Flacco, I'm certainly not 90 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 3: laying nearly a touchdown with Jacoby Brissett. Flatly, stay away, 91 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 3: all right? What's the next on. 92 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 2: The next one? Is Detroit favored by one and a 93 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 2: half at home against Washington? 94 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 3: Okay, So the first reason this is in the stayway 95 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 3: category is the same reason Jet's Cleveland is you don't 96 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 3: want to watch this awful football game. The second reason 97 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:18,239 Speaker 3: this is in the stayweay category is I don't really 98 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 3: know what I was seeing week one with either team. 99 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 3: So we know what Carson Wentzy is. He's going to 100 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 3: make the occasional great play like he did in Week one, 101 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 3: and make the occasional disastrous play like he did a 102 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 3: couple times in Week one. We know that. But is 103 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 3: Washington better than I expected? Or are the Jaguars worse 104 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 3: than I thought they'd be, or was it just kind 105 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:47,039 Speaker 3: of week one, new coach in Jacksonville, some bad luck. 106 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 3: I don't know. Detroit, on the other hand, is their 107 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 3: defense that awful? But On the flip side, is their 108 00:05:56,520 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 3: offense that potent, is their offensive line that good? Or 109 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 3: is Phillys d line a little overrated? I just don't know. 110 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 3: I just feel like there are so many unknowns here. 111 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 3: Plus it's a gross game. I don't want to watch it. 112 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 3: We're staying away from it. 113 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 2: Next one, Niners favored by nine and a half at 114 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 2: home against Seattle. 115 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 3: Okay, so the Niners favored by nine. 116 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 2: And a half, your super Bowl team. 117 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 3: It's my super Bowl team. I believe they're going to 118 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,919 Speaker 3: get it right. Week one, it was in a monsoon, 119 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 3: so a lot of stuff happening. I am certainly not 120 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:42,479 Speaker 3: going to back Seattle coming on a short week on 121 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 3: the road, coming off that emotional win. However, as high 122 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 3: as I am on San Francisco, I am not ready 123 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 3: to lay two scores on Trey Lanx. I think he's 124 00:06:57,800 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 3: going to be very good by the end of the year. 125 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 3: But I'm not gonna lay nine and a half points 126 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 3: on a guy who now was in the monsoon. They 127 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 3: didn't have Kittle. I understand all of that, but in 128 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 3: his one NFL start they scored ten points. I'm not 129 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 3: gonna lay nine and a half. I'm also not gonna 130 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 3: back Seattle, who might be as bad as people thought 131 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 3: they were gonna be. They were not. They scored zero 132 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 3: points the second half, and people are maybe slightly now 133 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 3: overrating them a bit because they're overrating the Broncos, like, oh, 134 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:28,239 Speaker 3: they're betting so so to me, that is a vented 135 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 3: stay away game. I'm not If I had to bet 136 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 3: a side, I'd bet the Niners. But I don't want 137 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 3: to lay nine and a half points with Trey Lance 138 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 3: making his fifth start in the last three years. I don't. 139 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 3: I'm not saying he's not that good, just too many 140 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 3: points and I don't want to bet. Usually, if it's 141 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 3: too many points, it means take the underdog. I don't 142 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 3: want to back Seattle. It's a stay away if you've 143 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 3: got to have discipline, demon's we gotta find the games 144 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 3: we're staying away from so we can find the games 145 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 3: we want to bet. It's not complicated. 146 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 2: Next, all right, the Giants favored by two at home 147 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 2: against the Panther. 148 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 3: Here's the deal on that. My initially inclination was this 149 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 3: was one of my picks. I had Carolina plus two 150 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 3: is one of my picks, and then the little you know, 151 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 3: one final review. I'm like, Nick, how much of this 152 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 3: is you hoping your takes are right? Because that's a 153 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 3: problem with me gambling Sometimes sometimes I bet my takes 154 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 3: rather I bet with what I want to happen, because 155 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 3: it makes my life easier on television rather than cojin analysis. 156 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 3: And while Carolina looked good in the fourth quarter and 157 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 3: Baker looked good in the fourth quarter, they looked horrifyingly 158 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 3: bad on offense the first three quarters. I don't think 159 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 3: the Giants are very good. I think people are. The 160 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 3: Giants looked as bad offensively in the first half as 161 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,840 Speaker 3: Carolina did. And in a situation like this, two bad teams, 162 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 3: you know, I think Baker's better than Daniel Jones that 163 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 3: you usually would just say take the points. But it's 164 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 3: not a lot of points. It's less than a field goal. 165 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: I don't trust the Giants. I want to trust the Panthers, 166 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 3: but I'm what I'm not gonna allow this. I'm not 167 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 3: gonna allow that in the first two weeks of the season, 168 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 3: two of my ten picks are on Baker Mayfield and 169 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:22,880 Speaker 3: the Carolina Panthers. They haven't earned that, So that's what 170 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 3: it was initially. Carolina plus two was the bet and 171 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:27,440 Speaker 3: now it's a stay away. All right. What's the last 172 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 3: one in the category? 173 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,199 Speaker 2: Last one is Indy three and a half point road 174 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 2: favorites against the Jags. 175 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 3: Okay. So I know what a lot of people are thinking, Nick. 176 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 3: You like the Jags. Yeah, picked them to make the playoffs? 177 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 3: Go ahead? Do you? I mean go ahead? 178 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 2: You need them play out seven wins this season? 179 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:45,839 Speaker 3: Yeah? I bet the over them. 180 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 2: They threw away a really easy game in Week one, 181 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,319 Speaker 2: so you know, no love for your Jags at home? 182 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 3: Okay. And they play Indie well, they knocked Indy out 183 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,719 Speaker 3: of the playoffs last year in the final week of 184 00:09:56,800 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 3: the season. Yeah, they are catching points at home. And 185 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:03,199 Speaker 3: while I am high on the Jags, I'm also very 186 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 3: high on the Colts. If you remember, Yea and the 187 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 3: Colts played terribly for three quarters, rallied and then in 188 00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 3: overtime took that you know, ended up getting a tie. 189 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 3: They rallied in the fourth quarter, didn't play well in overtime. 190 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 3: I I feel if I was going to take a 191 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 3: side in this game, I would take the Jags. But 192 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 3: it's to stay away for me for the same reason 193 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 3: that the Panthers are. Am I going to the first 194 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:31,559 Speaker 3: two weeks of the season. Each week, use one of 195 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 3: my five precious picks on a Jacksonville Jaguars team that 196 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 3: has not earned the level of faith that I that 197 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 3: I want to have in them. The answer is no, 198 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 3: and so I think the smart side is Jacksonville plus 199 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 3: three and a half. I think that is the smart side. 200 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 3: But do I think it's in play that Jonathan Taylor 201 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:52,640 Speaker 3: runs rough shot all over them? 202 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 2: Absolutely? 203 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:57,959 Speaker 3: And so do I also think that it's in play 204 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 3: that Indy is act actually oddly the more desperate team, 205 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,400 Speaker 3: even though they got a tie in Week one and 206 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 3: Jacksonville had a close loss, because Indy has real not 207 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,559 Speaker 3: only playoffs, but maybe you know, division championship aspirations, the 208 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 3: Jacksonably don't have. I do. So my lean is Jacksonville 209 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 3: plus three and a half. It is not strong enough, 210 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:19,959 Speaker 3: given that they bit me last week, and they should 211 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,079 Speaker 3: have covered that game, should have won that game out right. 212 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 3: That sucked. I'm staying away from it all right, there's 213 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:28,440 Speaker 3: the full stayaways. Now we're to the be carefuls. What's first? 214 00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 2: Be careful? We got the Steelers are two point home 215 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 2: underdogs to the Patriots. 216 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 3: Okay, this is a vintage. Be careful, and let me 217 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 3: tell you why this is a vintage. 218 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 2: Be careful. 219 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 3: I'm gonna read from our What's right group chat yesterday 220 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 3: or in the evening. Okay, what we have? Okay? So yeah, 221 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 3: Mac Jones a road favorite. You said that. I also 222 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 3: got this from. Let me find it real quick from 223 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 3: your How the bleep are the Steelers underdogs at home 224 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 3: to the Patriots. Matt then chimed in injured Mac Jones 225 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 3: victin again. They could play the Patriots offense with ten 226 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:15,960 Speaker 3: minute on the field and I'd still pick them to win. 227 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 3: This is why we created the be careful category. No 228 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 3: disrespect to Victor, no disrespect to Matt. They're not what 229 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 3: I would call sharp betters. And the whole football world 230 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 3: saw how awful New England looked in week one. They 231 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 3: saw Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati in Week one, and they're like, 232 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:44,960 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh's at home and they're getting points. Oh my god, 233 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:49,360 Speaker 3: Vegas is made a mistake. Oh my goodness, gracious, how 234 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 3: could this happen? And then I'll tell you what's gonna happen. 235 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:56,960 Speaker 3: It's gonna be Sunday around three thirty pm Eastern, and 236 00:12:57,080 --> 00:13:01,680 Speaker 3: Mitch Trubisky is gonna have had two turn and betrailing 237 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 3: six points midway through the fourth quarter, and Matt and 238 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 3: Vick are gonna be saying, I don't I'm down a 239 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:15,880 Speaker 3: touchdown and I think I'm drawing dead here. I don't 240 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 3: think I have put all my faith in Mitch Trubisky. 241 00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 3: A Steelers team that forced five Joe Burrow turnovers and 242 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:28,319 Speaker 3: still needed a miss extra a blocked extra point, a 243 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 3: bad snap, and a miss thirty yard field goal to win. 244 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 3: With their own fifty yard field goal at the gun, 245 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 3: they needed five turnovers, a blocked extra point, a missed 246 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 3: field goal to escape in the final play of overtime. 247 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 3: Also a Steelers team, and while the Patriots got their 248 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:48,800 Speaker 3: ass kicked on Sunday, at least that game didn't go 249 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 3: five quarters. The Steelers game went five quarters. So you 250 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:54,559 Speaker 3: might say, Nick, with all this, why are you're not 251 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:56,959 Speaker 3: including the Patriots and your picks. So I'll be damned 252 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 3: if I'm betting Mac Jones as a road favorite. I'm 253 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:01,680 Speaker 3: not doing that either. I'm been telling you guys, be 254 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 3: careful out there, kids, Be careful, all right? 255 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 2: Next a lot of sense. Denver is ten point favorites 256 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 2: at home against the Texans. 257 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 3: All right, I challenge you to find one person in 258 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 3: America that's bet in the Texans. I challenge you and 259 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 3: that to be careful. If everyone in the world is 260 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 3: going to be on Denver, which they will, because oh 261 00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 3: they have to win. It's a bounce back. They're going 262 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 3: to be in all these teasers, be careful. Nobody likes 263 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 3: the Texans. The Texans melted down. They also played a 264 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 3: five quarter game. They're gonna say, oh, Russ has something 265 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 3: to prove and all that, and he very well might 266 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:46,640 Speaker 3: do it. Be careful doesn't mean necessarily that I have 267 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 3: a strong inclination on one side of the bed. It 268 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 3: simply means I know that the gambling public loves Denver, 269 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 3: and if the gambling public loves it, I'm skeptical of it. 270 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 3: Do I think Denver probably kicks the Texans? Ass? I do, 271 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:07,560 Speaker 3: but I be careful out their kids. No one's betting 272 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 3: the Texans this week. It's always a dangerous spot. When 273 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,640 Speaker 3: you're getting ready for Sunday football. You put your bets 274 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 3: in your scrolling Twitter and you see Chad Millman tweet 275 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 3: eighty eight percent of the Action Networks handle is on 276 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 3: Denver minus ten you're like, oh boy, I'm in that 277 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 3: eighty eight percent. All right. 278 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 2: Next, Oh, Buffalo is ten point home favorites against the Titans. 279 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 3: Every single thing I just said about Houston Denver applies 280 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 3: to Tennessee Buffalo. Everyone's on the Bills. Every single person 281 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 3: thinks the Bills are a juggernaut. The Titans embarrass themselves 282 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 3: this week. It's at home, the Bills have an extra 283 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 3: four days of rest, It's on Monday, so they even 284 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 3: have They basically have a full almost a full bye 285 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 3: week between games. All of these reasons. Again, I'm not 286 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 3: saying they're not gonna blow them out. What I am 287 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 3: saying is no one is betting Tennessee and the only 288 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 3: people who are betting Tennessee are the sharps. Now, I'm 289 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 3: not good enough to to bet the Titans even getting 290 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 3: ten points against Buffalo after how Buffalo looked on Thursday. 291 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 3: But be careful, folks. There are three games that Vegas 292 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 3: knows the public is gonna not have even actional Buffalo 293 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:20,920 Speaker 3: minus ten, Denver minus ten, and Pittsburgh plus two. Be careful, 294 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 3: all right, Now to the perfectly priced. 295 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 2: Perfectly priced Chiefs are four point favorites at home against 296 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 2: the Chargers. 297 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 3: R this game will have already happened by the time 298 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 3: you see this show. I think that's just right. You 299 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 3: might say, Nick, you think the Chargers are almost price, Yeah, 300 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 3: what's your prod? 301 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 2: Chief said, four point favorites is perfectly priced. Yeah. So, 302 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 2: or if they were six point favorites, you would have 303 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 2: taken the Chargers, your beloved Chiefs. 304 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 3: Well. I don't bet against the Chiefs. Okay, gambling, I 305 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,760 Speaker 3: don't bet against the Chiefs, but it doesn't mean I 306 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 3: always bet on them. The Chiefs at minus six, I 307 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 3: would say the smart side is the Chargers. And here's 308 00:16:56,720 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 3: why the Chiefs don't have their kicker. I understand the 309 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 3: Chargers don't have Keenan Allen, but the Chiefs don't have 310 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:07,679 Speaker 3: McDuffie their first round rookie corner. But more importantly, the 311 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 3: Chargers have played the Chiefs incredibly close over the last 312 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 3: few years. The Chiefs won last year, they lost to 313 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 3: them once and beat them the other time in overtime. 314 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 3: They play them well, and so I think the Chiefs 315 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 3: are a deserved to be greater than four point favorites 316 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:33,120 Speaker 3: at home against every team in the league except the Chargers. 317 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 3: I'm not saying the Chargers the second best team in football. 318 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,639 Speaker 3: I'm saying the Chargers play the Chiefs better than anybody. 319 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 3: They are built to play the Chiefs. They've built that 320 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 3: team smartly with the Chiefs in mind. I think Chiefs 321 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 3: minds four is a perfect line. All right? 322 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:48,240 Speaker 2: Next, all right, well that makes sense. The Bucks are 323 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 2: two and at you got it? Yeah, the Bucks are 324 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 2: two and a half point favorites on the road in 325 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:53,720 Speaker 2: New Orleans. 326 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 3: All right, I think this line's exactly right. I think 327 00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:00,880 Speaker 3: that New Orleans has played the Bucks credibly tough since 328 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 3: Brady's gotten there. I understand that they won three out 329 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:06,240 Speaker 3: of four. I also know that that you know, some 330 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 3: of those came with Drew Brees. They all came with 331 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 3: Sean Payton. And New Orleans didn't look great this weekend, 332 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 3: but you don't want to if it were New Orleans 333 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 3: plus three, that's an obvious New Orleans bet at three 334 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 3: three and a half, certainly at two and a half. 335 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 3: I think the I think the odds makers got this 336 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:28,880 Speaker 3: exactly right. It's I don't I what do I expect? 337 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 3: I expect the Bucks to win by about three points, 338 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:33,639 Speaker 3: and so I think that I think they got this 339 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:37,439 Speaker 3: exactly right. I don't think New Orleans is going to 340 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 3: win the game, but I wouldn't be shocked if they did. 341 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 3: I think the line's just right. We can move on next, 342 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 3: all right. 343 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 2: The Rams are ten and a half point favorites at 344 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:46,640 Speaker 2: home against the Falcons. 345 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's exact. Again, I think it's exactly right. I 346 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 3: think the Rams, with the extra rest after looking so 347 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 3: terribly this past weekend, I think they are going to 348 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 3: be up fourteen seventeen points throughout the majority of the 349 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 3: second half. And there's the strong potential, as always with Atlanta, 350 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:05,679 Speaker 3: for a backdoor cover to come get you. You're up 351 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,359 Speaker 3: by seventeen, all of a sudden, the Falcon score a 352 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 3: garbage time touchdown, Marcus Mariota runs it in. Now they're 353 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 3: winning by ten game over year. Ten and a half 354 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 3: doesn't cover. I think that's the exact right line. I 355 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 3: expect the Rams to win easily, but I wouldn't bet 356 00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:21,200 Speaker 3: either side of it. The five games I would bet 357 00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 3: are the Vikings at the Eagles, the Cardinals at Arizona, 358 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:28,680 Speaker 3: I'm sorry, the Cardinals at Arizona, the Cardinals at the Raiders, 359 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:33,159 Speaker 3: Cincinnati at Dallas, Chicago at Green Bay, and Miami at Baltimore. 360 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 3: We'll give you our five picks and have our first 361 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:39,160 Speaker 3: winning week of the year. Next Almo's Right. 362 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 4: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 363 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 4: inspiring true story about Anthony Roblasts, who defined every expectation 364 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,159 Speaker 4: to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 365 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,760 Speaker 4: original movie from Amazon MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg, 366 00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 4: evoking the excitement and camaraderie of six sports dramas and 367 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 4: thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 368 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 4: including Joel Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Pania, and 369 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 4: Bobby Knavalli. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 370 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick Great 371 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 3: Episode number sixty nine at Week two NFL Gambling Show. 372 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 3: So here are five picks. We've told you the five games. 373 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 3: Let's start with the first one. Demonsee, what's the first game? 374 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 3: And I'll give you my analysis. These are the five 375 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:29,879 Speaker 3: picks we are making. We are betting. We are two 376 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 3: and three on the year. We are one to zero 377 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,600 Speaker 3: in the locks, we are undefeated, Soil and Survivor what 378 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 3: is our first what's the first game? 379 00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:43,560 Speaker 2: Minnesota is two point underdogs in Philadelphia. Love love Minnesota 380 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 2: plus two. So here's the rationale. Philadelphia was very impressive offensively. 381 00:20:53,400 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 3: In Week one. Defensively, real question marks. Letting de Troit 382 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 3: pushed them around the way they did lot scores, Letting 383 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 3: Detroit score thirty five points. Minnesota, on the other hand, 384 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 3: I think can play offensively better than they did in 385 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,359 Speaker 3: Week two. In Week one, it was really just justin Jefferson. 386 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 3: Dalvin Cook might be able to run all over Philadelphia. 387 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:23,360 Speaker 3: It is the I don't you know. One of the 388 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 3: weaknesses of doing this on Thursdays is we don't have 389 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:30,680 Speaker 3: the weather yet, a real good weather forecast for this game, however, 390 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 3: and this is a Monday night game, if I'm not mistaken, 391 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 3: so we certainly don't have it. This is a Monday 392 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:37,880 Speaker 3: night game, correct, Yeah, it's the late Monday night game 393 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 3: this weekend. Or but assuming there's not a weather disaster, 394 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:49,960 Speaker 3: I think Minnesota's going to score twenty eight thirty one points. 395 00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 3: I don't think Minnesota has as good of a defense 396 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 3: as it looked like in Week one against Green Bay, 397 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 3: but they have a far better defense than Detroit. Detroit's defense, 398 00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 3: this is a mess. I as good as Philly looked, 399 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:09,919 Speaker 3: I was still left that game relatively unimpressed with Jalen 400 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 3: Hurt's ability throw the football. So he's gonna get out 401 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,639 Speaker 3: and have some scrambles and AJ Brown's gonna get his yards. 402 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:20,080 Speaker 3: But aside from AJ Brown, there wasn't much there. And 403 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 3: so I think Minnesota wins this game out right. I 404 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 3: think this is a bad matchup for Philly. I think 405 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 3: Philly also, I It's weird to say this this early 406 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 3: in the year, but I don't think they necessarily have 407 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 3: a huge amount of urgency right now because of the 408 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,400 Speaker 3: Dak Prescott injury. I think Philadelphia. You know, they got 409 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 3: some great news this week, which is that Dallas this 410 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 3: season essentially ended. And I know Washington the Commanders won, 411 00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 3: but Philly knows this is their division to be had, 412 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:53,440 Speaker 3: even if they lose this game. I think Minnesota. I 413 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 3: would I would take Minnesota straight up. I'm certainly taking 414 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 3: them plus two points. I like this is my probably 415 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 3: my second favorite bet of the weekend is Minnesota plus two. 416 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 3: What's next? 417 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 2: Okay? Arizona is five and a half point road dogs 418 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 2: and against Las Vegas or in Las. 419 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 3: Vegas, Arizona plus the points. This to me is a 420 00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:23,239 Speaker 3: no brainer. I'd like it at six. If you are 421 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 3: going to bet this, wait because if the line moves 422 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:30,440 Speaker 3: against you and it goes down to five, that doesn't 423 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,479 Speaker 3: cost you anything. There between five and five and a half, 424 00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 3: it's almost negligible. There between five and a half and 425 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 3: six matters. So wait and see if it moves up 426 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 3: to six and then make the bet. But at five, 427 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,160 Speaker 3: even at five and a half, I liked a lot. 428 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 3: So why so Arizona right now? While you know I 429 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 3: wouldn't have on them going into the year. I don't 430 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 3: think they're a playoff team. They are right now a 431 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 3: little undervalued because the Chiefs embarrassed. 432 00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 2: M just got destroyed. 433 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:04,159 Speaker 3: They just got destroyed. And yes they're traveling, but the 434 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 3: Phoenix to Las Vegas, they were at home and now 435 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 3: they're going to short trip to Vegas. So the travel 436 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 3: edge is negligible, if existing at all. And the Raiders, 437 00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 3: there's a listen. I'm not a Cliff Kingsbury guy. I'm 438 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:21,640 Speaker 3: not gonna say he has a coaching edge on anybody. 439 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,160 Speaker 3: But Josh McDaniel's first game with the Raiders wasn't exactly 440 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:30,399 Speaker 3: a clean operation, Derek Carr. I think career high, Titus 441 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,960 Speaker 3: Carey and interceptions, fumbled the ball late. There's there's a 442 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:38,080 Speaker 3: lot not to like about what you saw from the Raiders. Now, 443 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:41,200 Speaker 3: do I expect the Raiders to win the game? I do. 444 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,520 Speaker 3: Do I expect them to win the game by a touchdown? 445 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 3: I don't. Do I think this is a this is 446 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 3: a game that comes down to the fourth quarter. Absolutely. 447 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 3: Do I think this is a game that has lead 448 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 3: changes in the fourth quarter? Possibly? Do I think this 449 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 3: is a most likely a three or a four point 450 00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 3: Raiders win. Yeah, So Arizona get it. Five and a 451 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 3: half points is the right side of the bet Arizona. 452 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 3: Arizona and the Raiders are somewhat equivalent teams, So this 453 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 3: line probably should be the Raiders by three. It is 454 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 3: the Raiders by five and a half, purely because Arizona 455 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,440 Speaker 3: looks so bad against the team that actually is the 456 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,639 Speaker 3: best team in football, the Chiefs. So you're getting two 457 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 3: and a half three points of value there, Arizona plus 458 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,719 Speaker 3: the five and a half. Demons's looking at me, quizz 459 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 3: you know, with a quizzical look. This is the tricky thing. 460 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,399 Speaker 3: Even if, like I say, you were like, wait, so 461 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,399 Speaker 3: you think the Raiders are gonna win, but you're picking 462 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,399 Speaker 3: the Cardinals. Those five and a half points are so 463 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 3: valuable if there were If the Raiders win by one, two, three, four, five, 464 00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 3: I win the bet. And there are a lot of say, 465 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:50,240 Speaker 3: there's twenty one to twenty, twenty one, seventeen, twenty seven 466 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 3: to twenty four, twenty eight to twenty four, a lot 467 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 3: of the l twenty seven to twenty three. I think 468 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 3: I said that one already. There's a lot of the 469 00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:00,919 Speaker 3: likely range of outcome scores fall in that exact window. 470 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 3: I like Arizona plus the points next. 471 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:08,119 Speaker 2: Okay, so excellently scrolled here, Yeah we got Cincinnati is 472 00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,440 Speaker 2: favored by seven in Dallas. 473 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, listen, road underdogs you always gotta be careful, or 474 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 3: road favorite j always gotta be careful. But I don't 475 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 3: know why this line isn't ten and a half. It's 476 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 3: Cincinnati's the play. Dallas right now is the worst offensive football. 477 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 3: Cincinnati scored twenty points in regulation in a game where 478 00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:36,199 Speaker 3: they turned the ball over five times, right they I 479 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,480 Speaker 3: understand they didn't deal well with TJ. Watt, And so 480 00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:40,680 Speaker 3: you might be like I'm not gonna deal well with 481 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,360 Speaker 3: Michaeh Parsons. Maybe or maybe they will simply double team 482 00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:47,120 Speaker 3: Michah Parsons every play of the game and say Dallas 483 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 3: can't beat us. Otherwise. 484 00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,160 Speaker 2: I actually want to put money in on this bet 485 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:51,440 Speaker 2: since I like this bet. 486 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:56,080 Speaker 3: Lot Cincinnati minus seven with Dallas starting Cooper Rush, worst 487 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,119 Speaker 3: quarterback in the league right now and the only offense 488 00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 3: they didn't score a toucho on Week one, and that 489 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 3: was with Dak Prescott, Cincinnati is going to win this 490 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:07,320 Speaker 3: game by multiple scores. 491 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it is. 492 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:15,440 Speaker 3: I think there is an under reaction to how bad 493 00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 3: Cooper Rush is going to be. I think that people 494 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:22,480 Speaker 3: are not recognizing that Dallas, for all its wards, Dak 495 00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:26,040 Speaker 3: Prescott's a good player and the offense still he couldn't 496 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,080 Speaker 3: deal with the bad offensive line and lack of receivers, 497 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 3: with Gallup still hurt and Noah Muri Cooper this year, 498 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,720 Speaker 3: all of that now there's some Cooper Rush to do it. 499 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:36,920 Speaker 3: If they don't score a defensive touchdown. I do not 500 00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 3: see how Dallas gets more than fourteen points. So can 501 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:47,439 Speaker 3: Cincinnati get twenty one of they got twenty last week 502 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,919 Speaker 3: in a game with five turnovers against a better defense 503 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,679 Speaker 3: than Dallas is in Pittsburgh. So I don't love the 504 00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,920 Speaker 3: five quarter component. I don't love backing team, especially teams 505 00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 3: that are traveling that just played a only an overtime game, 506 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,120 Speaker 3: but an overtime game that went down to the final moment. 507 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:07,200 Speaker 3: It's basically playing a five quarter game. I don't love that. Flipside. 508 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:11,199 Speaker 3: Dallas played Sunday night, so the rest is almost negligible. 509 00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 3: I think Cincinnati blows him out. Yeah, I am. I 510 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 3: think that this is a Dallas is staring one in 511 00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 3: five in the face. Cooper Rush was an undrafted two 512 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 3: star player who has one career start. That offensive line 513 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:31,399 Speaker 3: is banged up. Cincinnati minus seven. It goes against a 514 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 3: lot of the rules road favorites of that much, but 515 00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,439 Speaker 3: I love it anyway, Cincinnati, My sevens will played next, 516 00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 3: all right? 517 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 2: Green Bay is favored by ten at home against Chicago. 518 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:48,720 Speaker 3: Okay, this is this is the week that Rogers reminds 519 00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 3: everybody when things are going well. He looks as good 520 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:54,600 Speaker 3: as any player in league history. 521 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 2: So you think last week was a fluke, I. 522 00:28:57,600 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 3: Don't think it was a fluke. I think I think 523 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:03,560 Speaker 3: there were some issue shoes last week. That show you 524 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 3: why when things get a little harried in the playoffs, 525 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,560 Speaker 3: Rogers hasn't come through. I think is the way he 526 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 3: abandoned the rookie wide receiver. I think there were I 527 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:14,280 Speaker 3: think there were some parts of that game that are 528 00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 3: concerning long term for the Packers, but not this week. 529 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 3: Pardon me. Against the against the Bears, Justin every Justin 530 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,600 Speaker 3: Fields completed eight passes. I know it was in a month. 531 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 3: Soon green Bay blows out Chicago. That's what they do. 532 00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 3: Chicago goes to Green Bay and they get their asses kicked. 533 00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 3: And I think Rogers, coming off an awful game, is 534 00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 3: going to try to run it up. 535 00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:39,720 Speaker 2: Probably sent his receivers to training camp over the weekend. 536 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this feels this honestly feels like thirty 537 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 3: one to seven, thirty one, ten, twenty eight to thirteen, 538 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:52,480 Speaker 3: maybe like green Bay. Laying ten points is usually not 539 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 3: the sharp side. But green Bay, Chicago goes to Green Bay, 540 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 3: Chicago leaves getting blown out. That's what happens. The Bears 541 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 3: have sixty million dollars of dead money, they don't even 542 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 3: have a full roster. The offensive line stinks, the receivers stink. 543 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 3: The Packers are blowing them out. Next and last one. 544 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 2: Oh we got Baltimore is favored by three and a 545 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 2: half at home against Miami. 546 00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:24,440 Speaker 3: This is an insane line, utterly insane. They're three and 547 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 3: a half point. When I first saw this line, I 548 00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 3: thought Baltimore was on the road. I was like, Oh, okay, 549 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 3: that makes sense, Baltimore being just a three and a 550 00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,479 Speaker 3: half point. I understand Ronnie Stanley's dinged up. The offensive 551 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:41,400 Speaker 3: line is singed up. I get it. But Vegas or 552 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 3: the general public has not caught up to how good 553 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 3: Baltimore is. They or they're way over value with Miami. 554 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,520 Speaker 2: I'm sorry we're hyping up the Patriots a little bit 555 00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 2: too much, but I don't think anybody's hypening No. 556 00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:56,920 Speaker 3: They're way over yeah right, they're overvaluing Miami's win against 557 00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 3: the Patriots, which by the way, was not overly impressive. 558 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,040 Speaker 3: They I mean they went by two scores, one of 559 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 3: the scores on a fumble six the stripsack touchdown. Baltimore 560 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 3: is a great team, particularly in the regular season. Baltimore 561 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:16,320 Speaker 3: should be at least six point favorites at home against 562 00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 3: everyone in football, but like five teams to only be 563 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,959 Speaker 3: three and a half point favorites. I'm gonna keep riding 564 00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 3: Baltimore until the market catches up to how good they are. 565 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:30,880 Speaker 3: So Baltimore minus three and a half I would I 566 00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 3: would include this at Baltimore minus six and a half. 567 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 3: I love the Ravens this week, so they are the five. 568 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 3: I don't even know. I could give more analysis on it, 569 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:48,440 Speaker 3: but Miami's not that good. Baltimore just had an easy victory. 570 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 3: Lamar looked great throwing the football. The adjustment for Miami 571 00:31:55,040 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 3: Stevens going from Mac Jones that they're playing to Lamar R. 572 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 3: Jackson is startling. So Baltimore minus three and a half, 573 00:32:05,760 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 3: Cincinnati minus seven, Green Bay minus ten, Arizona plus five 574 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 3: and a half, Minnesota plus two. Those are the five 575 00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 3: picks of the week. Take quick break, come back, give 576 00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 3: you the lock, tell you if we have any teasers 577 00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 3: or parlays for the week, give you our survivor pick 578 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 3: of the week, and Demonsey's gotten offer for me. That's 579 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:31,440 Speaker 3: all next as we wrap up the show. All right, 580 00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 3: welcome back. In final segment, I just gave you my 581 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 3: five picks of the week. If you're just joining us, 582 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,760 Speaker 3: which I don't think that actually ever happens. In podcasts. 583 00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:39,560 Speaker 3: But I don't think anyone's like, oh, I'm just gonna 584 00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 3: skip to the end. I think listening throughout. But the 585 00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 3: five picks are Minnesota plus two, Arizona plus five and 586 00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 3: a half, Cincinnati minus seven, Green Baby Mint ten in 587 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:50,080 Speaker 3: Baltimore minus three and a half. Last week, the lock 588 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:56,600 Speaker 3: was Baltimore. This week, the lock is Baltimore. We're gonna 589 00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,040 Speaker 3: call it the right move. Evidently that's my lock. I 590 00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:00,720 Speaker 3: don't know why we're still using that picture of me. 591 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:03,920 Speaker 3: I'm overweight and bald, but that's fine, doesn't matter. Demand 592 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:08,240 Speaker 3: looks great, I look terrible. That's fine, don't worry about it. Uh, Listen, 593 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:12,479 Speaker 3: the public in Vegas aren't properly pricing the Ravens, and 594 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,959 Speaker 3: we're going to hammer them until they do. We are 595 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 3: this is you. There is right now at a little 596 00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:25,760 Speaker 3: area of value, and it's surrounding the greater DMV area 597 00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 3: of the country, and we are we are swirling it. 598 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 3: We're swirling around it, we're circling it, and we're we're 599 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 3: seizing the advantage. We're taking the opportunity. Baltimore minus three 600 00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:39,040 Speaker 3: and a half. You listen. I was asked if this 601 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,920 Speaker 3: week if we have any teasers or exotics or parlays. 602 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 3: I don't. But what I would tell you is, and 603 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 3: I'll look at it real quick. I am interested in 604 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,959 Speaker 3: an alternate line on Baltimore. Let me go ahead and 605 00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:58,640 Speaker 3: click here more wagers alternate spread right now, Baltimore minus 606 00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:05,120 Speaker 3: six and a half is plus one thirty four. Or 607 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:07,040 Speaker 3: you can get Baltimore minus three and a half at 608 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:10,319 Speaker 3: minus one ten. That's probably not enough value. You want 609 00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:13,640 Speaker 3: to get real crazy Baltimore minus nine and a half 610 00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:16,760 Speaker 3: at plus two hundred. I don't hate that one, Okay, 611 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 3: I don't hate that one, but I'm just gonna I'm 612 00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:21,560 Speaker 3: not doing it this week. Once again, again we're staying disciplined. 613 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,279 Speaker 3: We got no teasers or parlays this week. We will 614 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 3: at some point to this week. We have no teasers 615 00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:29,520 Speaker 3: or parlays. We do have a survivor pick for you. 616 00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 3: Last week, the survivor pick was Baltimore. This week, the 617 00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,799 Speaker 3: survivor pick is green Bay. Might say you're gonna use 618 00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:36,799 Speaker 3: the Green Bay this early, We are gonna use green 619 00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:38,880 Speaker 3: Bay this early. There's not a game on their schedule 620 00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:40,839 Speaker 3: that is going to be easier than their home game 621 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,480 Speaker 3: against the Bears. Coming off a loss survive and Advancing Survivor. 622 00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:47,920 Speaker 3: Green Bay's our survivor pick this week, Demanse, you look 623 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:50,760 Speaker 3: like you're plotting something for me. You have an offer 624 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:51,799 Speaker 3: for me, my friend. 625 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:53,520 Speaker 2: Do my hands like this when I'm giving an offer? 626 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:55,120 Speaker 3: Okay, go ahead, all right? 627 00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 2: So all seven point underdogs to win outright? 628 00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:00,960 Speaker 3: This picture is so funny, it's really good. 629 00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:07,960 Speaker 2: The Atlanta Falcons, Seattle Seahawks, Houston Texans, Chicago Bears, Tennessee Titans, 630 00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:11,239 Speaker 2: and Dallas Cowboys will all win this. 631 00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:12,680 Speaker 3: What is one hundred dollars? Bet? 632 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,840 Speaker 2: Pay one hundred dollars pace three hundred and fifty five 633 00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,120 Speaker 2: thousand on Fox. Bet they're about. 634 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:23,319 Speaker 3: Okay, So one hundred hundred fifty, three hundred and fifty. 635 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 2: The real numbers three hundred and fifty four thousand, three 636 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:31,799 Speaker 2: hundred and seventy three. But we're calling two hundred. Do 637 00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:32,799 Speaker 2: you have taking it? 638 00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:33,799 Speaker 3: Do you have a lighter on you? 639 00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:34,520 Speaker 2: I don't? 640 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,759 Speaker 3: You don't good for you? I was just gonna say, 641 00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:40,439 Speaker 3: like we could just light one hundred dollars on fire? 642 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 3: Would that give you more enjoyment? Bet? I've ever heard 643 00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:54,360 Speaker 3: of my line? Who's coming up with these? Can I 644 00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:59,239 Speaker 3: give you the alternate version of that if you bet now. 645 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,840 Speaker 3: I don't recommend this bet either, but it's certainly better 646 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:08,960 Speaker 3: than what this dufe is just suggested. All six touchdown 647 00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 3: favorites just to win parlay that. So the Rams, Niners, Broncos, Packers, Bills, 648 00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 3: Bengals all to win. That's plus two point fifty. Okay, 649 00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:25,920 Speaker 3: so that's one hundred bucks to win two hundred and 650 00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 3: fifty dollars. Now, I don't think there's enough value. You're 651 00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:30,200 Speaker 3: only getting two and a half to one on a 652 00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:34,239 Speaker 3: six event, you know, six uncorrelated event thing, but that 653 00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:38,799 Speaker 3: actually has a decent chance coming through. My guess is 654 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:42,640 Speaker 3: one team up. You know, there's one team that upsets 655 00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 3: somebody in that so I wouldn't bet it. But the 656 00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:52,680 Speaker 3: idea that we are going to have Marcus Mariota go 657 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:54,720 Speaker 3: on the road and beat Matt Stafford in the Rams, 658 00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 3: Gino Smith go on the road and beat the forty 659 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:02,600 Speaker 3: nine ers, Dave Mills go on the road to Mile 660 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:06,760 Speaker 3: High and beat mister Quite Limited, Russell Wilson Limited, Justin 661 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:11,760 Speaker 3: Fields go on the road and beat Aaron Rodgers, Ryan 662 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,959 Speaker 3: Tannehill go on the road and beat Josh Allen and 663 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:20,080 Speaker 3: final piece Cooper Rush to beat the Bengals and have 664 00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:24,239 Speaker 3: the Bengals drop to zero and two. It is an impossibility. 665 00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:25,919 Speaker 2: That's thee I want in there. That I've really got 666 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:26,919 Speaker 2: doubts on the other ones. 667 00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,120 Speaker 3: The other ones are not happening. Buddy, all right, you 668 00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 3: want this guy. It's just unbelievable that I just want to. 669 00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 2: I will be betting again this, This Dallas Cowboys bet 670 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 2: will be my first ever bet. 671 00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:41,359 Speaker 3: Your first ever NFL bet. 672 00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:44,040 Speaker 2: Yes, I've never made a bet on the NFL. 673 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,839 Speaker 3: Okay, you're in there, so Dallas minus seven. So let 674 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 3: me tell you something. Oh, I mean sorry seven bed 675 00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 3: uh yeah, and you gotta get it in that. 676 00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,280 Speaker 2: Listen for that number line changes. 677 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:02,160 Speaker 3: You don't want to be seven and a half. There's 678 00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,000 Speaker 3: big d Enters seven and seven and a half. And 679 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,400 Speaker 3: my guess is that thing is gonna start moving by kickoff. 680 00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 3: It might be eight and a half. People, nobody's betting 681 00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:12,440 Speaker 3: the Cowboys there, I'll tell you that much. You might 682 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,200 Speaker 3: say nicks, and then isn't that a stay away or 683 00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:17,359 Speaker 3: a be careful? No man, not not with Cooper rushes both. 684 00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:19,640 Speaker 3: There are certain times in the NFL where you only 685 00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:22,799 Speaker 3: have a singular opportunity to fade a quarterback. This might 686 00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:27,120 Speaker 3: be Cooper Rush's open grand opening grand clothes. We might 687 00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 3: not see him again, so we're gonna take advantage of it. 688 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:33,120 Speaker 3: All right, great gambling show. Good luck to everyone. Gamble responsibly. 689 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:36,560 Speaker 3: We'll talk to you guys on Monday. Hey, thanks for 690 00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:40,560 Speaker 3: watching Smash. Or just lightly tap that subscribe button. It 691 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:42,800 Speaker 3: all works the same to get more from the show, 692 00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 3: and make sure you click why don't wanted to match 693 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,399 Speaker 3: the bell too, Guys are just you know, lightly tap 694 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:50,880 Speaker 3: the bell to get notified every time new content drops. 695 00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:54,120 Speaker 3: Check out full episodes of What's Right wherever you get 696 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:58,840 Speaker 3: your podcasts, or just hit a link in the description below.