WEBVTT - Intel Spending Billions to Revive Manufacturing

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanabek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News Carol Masterlowa, Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stanovik in our Interactive Broker Studio. So we talked about

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<v Speaker 1>some of the headlines today from Anglo Merkel making an

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<v Speaker 1>about face when it comes to shutting down her economy.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got cases, virus cases passing a hundred and twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four million, tim death succeeding two point seventy three more

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<v Speaker 1>than four hundred sixty million those shots have been given worldwide.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get into it with Elizabeth Stewart, Professor of American

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<v Speaker 1>Health at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of public Health

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<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Washington, d C. The

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<v Speaker 1>Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health is supported by

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<v Speaker 1>Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies.

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<v Speaker 1>Professor Stewart, Thanks so much for joining us. What is

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<v Speaker 1>concerning you right now, because there's this interesting dichotomy playing

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<v Speaker 1>out here in the U S which is millions of

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines a day are being given in the US, but

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time we are not seeing that necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>reflected in great news when it comes to cases in

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<v Speaker 1>many parts of the country. Yeah, thanks so much for

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<v Speaker 1>having me to talk about this, And I think you're

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<v Speaker 1>exactly right. There's sort of some feelings of cautious optimism

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<v Speaker 1>with pretty good vaccine rates in the US. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>would be good to speed them up, but we're doing

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<v Speaker 1>pretty well with with the vaccinations. But at the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>we really can't let down our guard, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're sort of people talk about we're kind of at

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<v Speaker 1>a race with the variants that are emerging um, and

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<v Speaker 1>so we really need to kind of get those vaccinations

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<v Speaker 1>out and in some people's arms, and also at the

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<v Speaker 1>same time not let down our guard too much. We

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<v Speaker 1>need to kind of give a little bit more time,

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<v Speaker 1>more physical distancing, continued mask wearing, uh, so that we

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<v Speaker 1>can really sort of look ahead a few months and

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<v Speaker 1>really hope that we're in a much better place then,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Professor Stewart, We have some upcoming coverage in

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business Week magazine that's all about the potential

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<v Speaker 1>for a COVID passport in order to allow traveling happening.

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<v Speaker 1>But one of the concerns is that we don't really

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<v Speaker 1>know how long the vaccine ultimately keeps you immune from

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<v Speaker 1>potentially getting the virus again or getting a variant. And

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<v Speaker 1>I do wonder, what is it that you are watching

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<v Speaker 1>closely to make sure that we get enough population vaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>by what date ahead of any possible variant or another wave. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a it's a great question, and we

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<v Speaker 1>are certainly monitoring that. I want to say that there

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<v Speaker 1>is some sort of growing evidence or sort of emerging

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<v Speaker 1>as evidence I should say that the vaccines actually give

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<v Speaker 1>longer lasting and better immunity than infections, and so I

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<v Speaker 1>want to sort of point out that it does. There's

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<v Speaker 1>hope that the vaccinations will actually kind of help us

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<v Speaker 1>even more than people sort of being naturally infected. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>but we do really need to you know, there are

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<v Speaker 1>these variants emerging in different places. It's unclear whether there

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<v Speaker 1>might be booster shots needed for vaccines, you know, sort

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<v Speaker 1>of like we have flu shots every year. UM. So

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<v Speaker 1>the scientists are working really hard on that, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>hopeful and really quite hopeful that they will sort of

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<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe we'll need those booster shots. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it does seem like the vaccines are really still working

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<v Speaker 1>very well, and I think, well, no much better kind

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<v Speaker 1>of where the country will be in a couple of months,

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully most adults will have access to the vaccine you know,

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<v Speaker 1>sort of early summer, uh, and that I think that

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<v Speaker 1>will really will really start to see some good results

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<v Speaker 1>after that. What do we need to do when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to addressing other issues related to pandemic and lockdown,

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<v Speaker 1>namely mental health and the way that we've seen this

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic in lockdowns affect young people, especially those kids who

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<v Speaker 1>missed out on a year of in person school. Here

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<v Speaker 1>in New York City high schools just went back to

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<v Speaker 1>in person learning on Monday, for example. What do we

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<v Speaker 1>need do? Yeah, thanks so much for raising this I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a topic that hasn't been getting a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of attention, But we need to remember that the mental

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<v Speaker 1>health implications might linger a long time even after this

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<v Speaker 1>sort of infectious disease pandemic results. As you noted, we're

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<v Speaker 1>finding in a lot of studies that sort of eighteen

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<v Speaker 1>to thirty year olds and even those under the eighteen

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<v Speaker 1>are experiencing really high levels of distress. You know. Recent

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<v Speaker 1>Pew Research Center study just in the past month found

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<v Speaker 1>that approximately a third of young adults were experiencing high

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<v Speaker 1>levels of mental distress UM and that was the highest

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<v Speaker 1>rate among age groups. It's a group where they were

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<v Speaker 1>sort of just starting to get you know, emerging into adulthood,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're kind of late teens and early twenties are

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<v Speaker 1>looking very different than they sort of were expecting. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're gonna need really attention to screening for them,

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<v Speaker 1>screening for all of us really also connections to services.

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<v Speaker 1>There are effective mental health services available UM, and we

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<v Speaker 1>need to make sure as those kids can sort of

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<v Speaker 1>recover from this time in their lives. We're gonna talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this a little bit more mental health, uh, and

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<v Speaker 1>what companies are doing. We've got the CEO of Accenter

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<v Speaker 1>North America, and he specifically they've been reaching out to

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<v Speaker 1>their employees creating programs because they realize this is something

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<v Speaker 1>that's had a tremendous impact on their workforce. I do

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<v Speaker 1>wonder too, if this is raised overall our awareness that

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<v Speaker 1>mental well being is as important, uh, Professor Stewart as

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<v Speaker 1>our physical well being, and kind of taken away maybe

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<v Speaker 1>some of the stigma of talking about it. And just

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<v Speaker 1>got about fifty seconds. Yes, I certainly hope so. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I think this new attention is great. It's wonderful to

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<v Speaker 1>hear about companies that are focusing on this, and yes,

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<v Speaker 1>screening programs, mental health well being programs, it's what we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna need in a lot of settings, workplaces, schools, all around.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's great to see this this attention. Alright, we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna leave it on that note. I'm really glad to

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<v Speaker 1>get some time with Elizabeth Stewart. She is Professor of

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<v Speaker 1>American Health at John's Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Washington, d C. Him

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<v Speaker 1>we see the battle. It is finally on, or at

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<v Speaker 1>least it kind of feels that way when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to dominance in the EV market, which begs the question

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<v Speaker 1>is the era of Elon coming to an end? And

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<v Speaker 1>there's an established car company that has beginning a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of attention in terms of its investment into evs. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about folks, Waggett. This is the subject of

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<v Speaker 1>a story the upcoming issue of Bloomberg business Week magazine

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News Europe Auto's team leader Craig Trudel wrote it,

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<v Speaker 1>and he joins us on the phone from our London

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<v Speaker 1>bureau along with Bloomberg business Week editor Joe Weber on

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<v Speaker 1>the access line in Brooklyn, and Joel, I gotta say

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<v Speaker 1>the first line of craig story, he doesn't date a

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<v Speaker 1>synth pop star publicly puff on blunts, so profess to

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<v Speaker 1>want to die on Mars. But Herbert GeSe is starting

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<v Speaker 1>to look and sound an awful lot like Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 1>I love that. Yeah, Craig did a great job of

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<v Speaker 1>the story, And you know, I just want to totally

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<v Speaker 1>be clear that you know, for for more than a

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<v Speaker 1>decade now, I think Tesla has just dominated what a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of naysayers said would never be a viable space,

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<v Speaker 1>and by by being such a leader, in the space.

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<v Speaker 1>It has absolutely transformed the future of the auto industry

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<v Speaker 1>um and the question now is like, are there is

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<v Speaker 1>there going to be meaningful competition? And the head start

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<v Speaker 1>that Tesla has had like leads us to to now

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<v Speaker 1>and Volkswagen is going to basically be of, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a viable competitor in the very near future. They will

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<v Speaker 1>have almost instant scale from from what we're able to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of look at with their numbers, and we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>basically see a version of the world that starts to

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<v Speaker 1>look a little bit more like streaming, where Netflix also

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<v Speaker 1>had a huge lead, but it wasn't like other incumbents

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<v Speaker 1>could enter the space and also have a decent business model.

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<v Speaker 1>So so, Craig, how do you how do you see

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<v Speaker 1>this all all setting out? How realistic of a shot

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<v Speaker 1>does Volkswagen really have here to take on Tesla's market power? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's really interesting that the comparison we made

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<v Speaker 1>to streaming absolutely makes sense. And I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the company that we raise in this story that you

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<v Speaker 1>know is a great example of what v W might

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<v Speaker 1>be like is Disney, where you know, they have uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, all the hits, Uh, they have an ability

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<v Speaker 1>to you know, bring out some new ones you think about,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Disney Plus and what a hit the Mandalorian

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<v Speaker 1>has been. Uh, you know, Volkswagen is a company that

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<v Speaker 1>has a lot of flaws and uh, they still have

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<v Speaker 1>a lot to overcome in that regard. But erber dece

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<v Speaker 1>really is dead set on on you know, really taking

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<v Speaker 1>on Musk and he's not uh, you know, sort of

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<v Speaker 1>dismissive of of Ellen. I think that's one of the

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<v Speaker 1>most interesting things about him. He really, I think takes

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<v Speaker 1>Ellen seriously, has thought highly of him and and has

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<v Speaker 1>said so. He's been very public about the idea that

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<v Speaker 1>they are sort of a yardstick for VW, which is

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<v Speaker 1>really something considering this is a company that sells, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in normal years, more than ten million cars worldwide. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a lot of cars. Hey, Craig, I want to

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<v Speaker 1>home in on something that I really focused on in

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<v Speaker 1>your story, and it reminded me of what Volkswagen has

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<v Speaker 1>gone through over the last year. Skeptics you write could

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<v Speaker 1>be forgiven for raising their eyebrows at the idea of

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<v Speaker 1>going electric. And I'm paraphrasing you here, coming as it

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<v Speaker 1>was from the same car maker that spent years gaslighting

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<v Speaker 1>the world about quote clean diesel. Where is where is

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<v Speaker 1>Volkswagen in getting over that scandal because it is you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a tough message I think for the company given its

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<v Speaker 1>recent history. Yeah, it's it's still something that is playing

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<v Speaker 1>out in the course and it's still haunting them, you know, things,

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<v Speaker 1>things that that they're going to have to deal with

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of more settlements, uh and uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>dealing with even questions about you know, disclosure. A lot

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<v Speaker 1>of those sorts of issues continue to linger. I think,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, largely the world has you know, kind of

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<v Speaker 1>uh more or less moved on. I'm sure there are

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<v Speaker 1>consumers who you know, did buy into the quote unquote

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<v Speaker 1>clean diesel uh, you know messaging who really felt betrayed

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<v Speaker 1>and would will never buy a VW again. But I

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<v Speaker 1>think we have been surprised to see that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in America, where you know, VW has never been

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<v Speaker 1>uh you know, really big in the US. But we

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<v Speaker 1>have seen, you know, this is a company that while

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<v Speaker 1>they're still small there, you know, they really have come

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<v Speaker 1>all the way back in terms of the hits that

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<v Speaker 1>they took in the immediate aftermath of that scandal. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, they remain a sort of bit player, but

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<v Speaker 1>they're back to where they were or were back to

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<v Speaker 1>where they were before COVID hit. And you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>think the thing that there's mentioning their uh Tian and Craig, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>we can turn it back to you on this again,

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<v Speaker 1>is is the fact that as to to make good

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<v Speaker 1>on basically epic deception, they had to agree to Electrify

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<v Speaker 1>America and that has been a huge infrastructure under a

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<v Speaker 1>king UM. Craig talked to us about what they've attempted

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<v Speaker 1>to be building UM quietly during during the past couple

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<v Speaker 1>of years. Yeah, they they it was a massive settlement

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<v Speaker 1>that they agreed to with the US and California and

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<v Speaker 1>Electrify America is this affiliate that you know, is part

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<v Speaker 1>of two billion. Uh was was a portion of that

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<v Speaker 1>settlement that needed to go to setting up charging infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>and uh sort of you know, building up sort of

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<v Speaker 1>educating consumers in the US about electric vehicles. And Electrify

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<v Speaker 1>America is now the largest fast charging network in the US. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a company that was you know, set up

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<v Speaker 1>by Volkswagen, funded by Volkswagen, but as sort of a

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<v Speaker 1>condition of the settlement, it also needs to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>benefit everybody. It can't just favor Volkswagen or be you know,

0:11:51.280 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 1>closed to VW. So this is a network that actually

0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:59.680
<v Speaker 1>is being used by Ford Mustang mach Ee drivers. Uh.

0:11:59.679 --> 0:12:02.480
<v Speaker 1>And it'll it'll be a network that will really come

0:12:02.480 --> 0:12:05.440
<v Speaker 1>in handy for you know, really the broader efforts of

0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:09.240
<v Speaker 1>the industry to go electric electric and take elon Muscan. Hey, Craig,

0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:11.960
<v Speaker 1>really quickly, twenty five seconds. I've seen a picture of

0:12:12.040 --> 0:12:14.800
<v Speaker 1>both Deecee and Musk together. I think it was something

0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:18.640
<v Speaker 1>like the Golden Steering Wheel Awards in Berlin in twenty nine.

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:21.240
<v Speaker 1>Could these two ultimately work together? And you've gotta be

0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:24.920
<v Speaker 1>quick for me twenty seconds. I could see them absolutely

0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 1>wanting to put their their heads together for a project.

0:12:29.440 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 1>H You know, there was a bit of flirtation even

0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 1>that that we learned about back in eighteen during the

0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:40.320
<v Speaker 1>Go Go Private fiasco. So these two could be friends, yeah,

0:12:40.360 --> 0:12:44.319
<v Speaker 1>and then they might actually become SITH pop stars. Who knows.

0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 1>It's an incredible story. Craig Trudal, Europe Autos team leader

0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.960
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg News along with Joel Webber, editor of Bloomberg

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. So it must read on this Wednesday's about

0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger. He's charting a comeback for the

0:12:57.800 --> 0:12:59.960
<v Speaker 1>company really to get back to its past hip making

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:03.000
<v Speaker 1>glory and deal with those current chip shortages. Here's what

0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:06.520
<v Speaker 1>he told Bloomberg a short while ago. COVID caused everybody

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:09.280
<v Speaker 1>a step back a bit from capacity and build out

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:12.480
<v Speaker 1>in the supply chain of the industry, and it induced

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 1>a radical increase in demand. So you have supply chains, uh,

0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:20.720
<v Speaker 1>scaling back a bit and demands scaling up radically. Wow,

0:13:20.760 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 1>and now we're in a position that there's a meaningful shortage,

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:25.480
<v Speaker 1>and you know it's going to be a couple of

0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 1>years until that's fully resolved supply demand and balance or

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:31.080
<v Speaker 1>is there a lot more going on? That? Of course,

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 1>was Intel CEO Pat Gilsinger catching up with our Emily

0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Chang earlier on Bloomberg Television. Let's get into the story

0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:40.160
<v Speaker 1>two of our top chip watchers, Ian King. He is

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 1>u S Semiconductor and Networking reporter at Bloomberg News. He's

0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from our Bloomberg nine sixty. Actually he's

0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:48.800
<v Speaker 1>in our Bloomberg nine sixties studio in San Francisco along

0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:51.319
<v Speaker 1>with an entree of us on he's Bloomberg Intelligence senior

0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:53.800
<v Speaker 1>semi conductor and hardware analyst. He is on the phone

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:56.560
<v Speaker 1>in New Jersey and I want to start with you. Listen,

0:13:56.640 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 1>you and I have talked about this before. I've talked

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 1>about it with a non but let's do the big picture.

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Remind everybody of the big backdrop when it comes to

0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the U S. Semi conductor industry, because it it's been struggling.

0:14:08.200 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 1>It's been struggling in terms of its production, as in

0:14:12.160 --> 0:14:15.480
<v Speaker 1>the ability to physically make chips. That's a skill set

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 1>that's been fading. An Intel was the sort of last

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:22.040
<v Speaker 1>basting of that, and Intel has had its own problems,

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>so that's definitely a fade away if you if you like.

0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:29.040
<v Speaker 1>But frankly, the industry couldn't be stronger in general. You

0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:31.920
<v Speaker 1>have other companies and and you know who are actually

0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:35.320
<v Speaker 1>designing and outsourcing their manufacturing, who are going from strength

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>to strength, and the US is still by far the

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:43.920
<v Speaker 1>biggest you know, beneficiary of of this sort of growth

0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 1>in sales of semi conductors via companies like Callcom by

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:51.400
<v Speaker 1>a companies like Broadcom. What does that supply chain look like, though,

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:55.600
<v Speaker 1>I where does it span? It spans the whole globe.

0:14:55.680 --> 0:15:00.080
<v Speaker 1>Something that could be designed by an American company in

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:04.520
<v Speaker 1>its design bureau in Europe, then gets manufactured in Taiwan,

0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:08.600
<v Speaker 1>then gets shipped to Malaysia to get packaged, then get

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:11.640
<v Speaker 1>shipped to a Chinese factory where it gets put into

0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:14.320
<v Speaker 1>an end device, then get ships out of China for

0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:17.440
<v Speaker 1>sale in the US or Europe or anywhere in the world.

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 1>And non come on in on this and kind of

0:15:19.400 --> 0:15:22.040
<v Speaker 1>layer on top of it globally what's going on because

0:15:22.040 --> 0:15:25.480
<v Speaker 1>we keep talking about uh, kind of a tech war,

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.280
<v Speaker 1>tech cold war that's going on, or we'll be going

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 1>on and you see a lot more, especially the Chinese

0:15:31.240 --> 0:15:34.920
<v Speaker 1>and others looking to develop their own ship industries. UM

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:39.360
<v Speaker 1>layer on that aspect of this too. Yeah, so listen,

0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I think he informed it really well. There's two vectors

0:15:42.120 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 1>of issues, right. One is the chip manufacturing constraints that

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing UM as a result of the spike in

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:51.800
<v Speaker 1>demand and the shortage and supply. And the second is

0:15:51.840 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 1>the technological complexity associated with the production and where Intel

0:15:56.960 --> 0:16:02.960
<v Speaker 1>has been struggling. Now we're Taiwan semiconductor has not been structed.

0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 1>It has been producing advanced semiconductors rather efficiently UM so

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:11.080
<v Speaker 1>much so that it is cornered the market on advanced

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:17.000
<v Speaker 1>transistor based semiconductors that Qualcom and MD and UM and

0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Apple use. So the question is Intel stepping into this

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:24.400
<v Speaker 1>BOYD saying hey, we can not only regain our past

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:29.880
<v Speaker 1>glory UM and manufacture these advanced logic chips UM and

0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 1>compete with the likes of t SMC, but also that

0:16:33.360 --> 0:16:35.880
<v Speaker 1>we can do it here at home, providing a sort

0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>of a geographical counterbalance to t SMC, because right now

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:45.080
<v Speaker 1>all of the advanced logic chipmaking is with t SMC,

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:48.560
<v Speaker 1>primarily which is based out of Taiwan, and secondarily with

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.360
<v Speaker 1>this Samsung, which is based out a career. So the

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:56.440
<v Speaker 1>US is trying to provide a geopolitical counterbalance to that

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 1>East Asian basket. If you may know, how does how

0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 1>does how does intell do this in the US at

0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:09.040
<v Speaker 1>scale for a price and cost that actually works? Yeah,

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:11.919
<v Speaker 1>So over the past couple of years, I'm afraid to

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:15.119
<v Speaker 1>say it hasn't UM, and that's where it has struggled,

0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:19.679
<v Speaker 1>and UM others have taken the mantle of leadership away. Now,

0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:22.080
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, it comes back to

0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>a focus on manufacturing that there again, two factors here

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.240
<v Speaker 1>is making the chips smaller and smaller, or using transitions

0:17:29.240 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 1>that are smaller and smaller so you can have more

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 1>density packed chips, thereby making it more powerful. Doing it

0:17:35.200 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 1>at scale reduces the cost per transistor. The other aspect

0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:43.720
<v Speaker 1>of it is that Intel historically has been architecturally monolithic

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 1>one chip um controlled by one die, and the industry

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 1>has moved away from that. It tries to put together

0:17:50.520 --> 0:17:53.480
<v Speaker 1>a bental box of different kinds of chips and made

0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:58.200
<v Speaker 1>on different transistors and different technologies, and effectively it matches

0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:02.600
<v Speaker 1>a workload, so intels more intercot Geltingers straining to do

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:05.719
<v Speaker 1>multiple things at the same time. Shrink the transistor is

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:08.439
<v Speaker 1>more effectively that they haven't been able to do in

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:11.960
<v Speaker 1>the past, change its architecture and build it at scale

0:18:12.320 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 1>to computer with t smc um I'll tail battle. But

0:18:16.000 --> 0:18:19.800
<v Speaker 1>on a relative basis, we are cautiously optimistic on Intel's

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:26.600
<v Speaker 1>chances before uh compared to when Geltinger came aboard. So

0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:29.640
<v Speaker 1>we think they've got a good shot. And he's he's

0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of a new guy in town. UH. And I mean,

0:18:32.800 --> 0:18:35.680
<v Speaker 1>is he a game changer for this company? Well, he's

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>the new old guy. Yeah, exactly. His tagline was, you know,

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 1>the new Intel is the old Intelli can remember. Yeah,

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:48.679
<v Speaker 1>he joined this company in the nineties seventies as a teenager, right.

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:51.200
<v Speaker 1>He left in two thousand and nine to go and

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>run vm ware. But he was you know, he is

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:57.960
<v Speaker 1>absolutely staped in the company's traditions, and he's also a technologist,

0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:00.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, to he was a chip designer, part of

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 1>the fundamental core of of what Intel is as a

0:19:03.640 --> 0:19:08.080
<v Speaker 1>chip company. He actually physically made himself. So you know,

0:19:08.240 --> 0:19:10.679
<v Speaker 1>back to what An answered, it's that's where the optimism

0:19:10.720 --> 0:19:12.679
<v Speaker 1>comes from. It's like, at least you have somebody in

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.879
<v Speaker 1>control who seems to understand the problem, because that was

0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:19.359
<v Speaker 1>the concern with his predecessor, who's a financial guy. So

0:19:19.400 --> 0:19:22.080
<v Speaker 1>people believe that at least Pat has a handle on

0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 1>the problem. And you saw the stop jump up yesterday

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:28.280
<v Speaker 1>on optimism that hey, he gets it, maybe he can

0:19:28.320 --> 0:19:31.240
<v Speaker 1>fix it. But I think again to what An answaid

0:19:31.280 --> 0:19:33.280
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of other analysts and investors have said,

0:19:33.600 --> 0:19:35.800
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to happen tomorrow. It's going to be

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:39.000
<v Speaker 1>a slow process and there's no guarantee of success here.

0:19:39.000 --> 0:19:42.760
<v Speaker 1>Intel's birthright doesn't exist anymore. Yea. And meanwhile, you've got

0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Apple doing chips right, and other company is doing chips,

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:47.440
<v Speaker 1>so I feel like it's another And I know all

0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:50.040
<v Speaker 1>chips are not the same, but nonetheless it does feel

0:19:50.080 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>like the industry is definitely changing. Um, guys, thank you

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.640
<v Speaker 1>so much. In king US semiconductor networking reporter at Bloomberg

0:19:56.640 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 1>News with us from San Francisco and with an answering

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:01.600
<v Speaker 1>of US and senior MA conductor and hardware analyst at

0:20:01.600 --> 0:20:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence on the phone in New Jersey. I'm road Marco,

0:20:10.800 --> 0:20:14.440
<v Speaker 1>a journal now. But you let me drive. No, no, no,

0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:19.120
<v Speaker 1>he's going to drug home. Please, I'll do the riding gravel.

0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Lets me. I want to drive, Just drive by the

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:38.639
<v Speaker 1>question trying. This is the drive to the globe. Tim

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:42.479
<v Speaker 1>me thanks well, drying us on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:45.399
<v Speaker 1>just about ten minutes left in today's trading session. It

0:20:45.520 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>is time for the drive to the closing with us.

0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 1>As Dave Masa, he's managing director at Direction, which has

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:54.119
<v Speaker 1>a roughly twenty billion dollars in assets under management, and

0:20:54.119 --> 0:20:56.760
<v Speaker 1>that includes its Moonshot Innovator DTF that has about three

0:20:57.480 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>four million in assets under manage. It Dave joins us

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:03.080
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in New York City. Dave, nice to

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:06.320
<v Speaker 1>have you here with Tim and myself. How are you.

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:09.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm doing well, Thanks for having me back. So talk

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:11.680
<v Speaker 1>to me about flows. Where are you guys, what kind

0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:15.320
<v Speaker 1>of money is coming in new investment money that folks

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:16.720
<v Speaker 1>are looking to put to work, What do the fun

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:20.359
<v Speaker 1>flows look like, and where is the money going? So

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:24.000
<v Speaker 1>we're really seeing a contrast and fun flows across are

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:26.720
<v Speaker 1>both our leverage and inverse EPs, which are primarily for

0:21:26.800 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 1>traders to folks for a managing their portfolios on a

0:21:29.600 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>short term basis, and then also in our thematic EPs

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:35.760
<v Speaker 1>like the Moonshot Innovator's fun But what's happening is it's

0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 1>a bifurcation from the highest growth areas, which of course

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>we're Darling's last year in to some extent this year

0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:45.800
<v Speaker 1>to think of semiconductors, thinks of technology, think of other

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 1>disruptors like cloud computing. But then on the other hand,

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:53.679
<v Speaker 1>the most beaten down areas like oil and gas, regional banks.

0:21:54.080 --> 0:21:57.720
<v Speaker 1>Almost nothing in between is seeing flows. So all further

0:21:57.840 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>lineup is a bit quiet. But it's either those on

0:22:00.760 --> 0:22:04.560
<v Speaker 1>the most extreme level with the largest growth opportunities and

0:22:04.600 --> 0:22:08.359
<v Speaker 1>some of the richest valuations, and also those that either

0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:11.399
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily benefit from reopening but just simply have been

0:22:11.400 --> 0:22:13.680
<v Speaker 1>so out of favor. What's the what's the trend when

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 1>it comes to E t F the E t F

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 1>that you're seeing right now, Dave. I mean, we talked

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 1>about ARC all the time, and and it certainly it's

0:22:19.000 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>getting it's getting a lot of interest. Um, But but

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:23.760
<v Speaker 1>why are e t F s having a moment during

0:22:23.760 --> 0:22:29.119
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. Well, as we know, uh, the interest in

0:22:29.320 --> 0:22:33.360
<v Speaker 1>investing in trading has came back markedly as folks were

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:35.600
<v Speaker 1>spending more time at health. But what I find most

0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:38.280
<v Speaker 1>interesting is ets as an invest in vehicle. Has I've

0:22:38.359 --> 0:22:41.879
<v Speaker 1>actually become a favored tool because they offered diversified exposure

0:22:41.960 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 1>to areas in the market. So certainly we spend a

0:22:44.359 --> 0:22:47.399
<v Speaker 1>lot of time thinking about the meme stocks and the

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:50.879
<v Speaker 1>next thing that's getting attention on Reddit. But unless you're really, uh,

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:52.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, looking to make a big bet and some marys,

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:55.399
<v Speaker 1>maybe better off using an e t S because I

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:58.560
<v Speaker 1>can get diversified exposure to the SMP five hundred, or

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:01.920
<v Speaker 1>I could get a basket of thematic stocks like we

0:23:02.040 --> 0:23:04.640
<v Speaker 1>have with you know, with our Moonshot ets that are

0:23:04.680 --> 0:23:08.439
<v Speaker 1>focused on disruption. So in one vehicle, an investor can

0:23:08.520 --> 0:23:12.280
<v Speaker 1>build a fully diversified portfolio or and both have things

0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:14.360
<v Speaker 1>that are more setting and forget it for the long term,

0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:17.600
<v Speaker 1>but complement that with opportunities that they may see over

0:23:17.680 --> 0:23:20.879
<v Speaker 1>shorter time periods or just that they're interested in without

0:23:20.960 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>taking on so much single stock risk. So in terms

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:25.480
<v Speaker 1>of setup forget it, remind me is it based on

0:23:25.520 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 1>an index or is it? Is there active management where

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:32.920
<v Speaker 1>names can change. So when I say that, you know,

0:23:32.960 --> 0:23:34.760
<v Speaker 1>I talked about some of the larger and more well

0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:37.560
<v Speaker 1>known in ets in the market tracking SMP five hundred

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:41.480
<v Speaker 1>and must emerging markets for that. The more recent interest

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:45.920
<v Speaker 1>has been in thematic EPs, and those are either actively managed,

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:48.399
<v Speaker 1>you know, by a team of portfolio managers like we

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:51.680
<v Speaker 1>saw with traditional aps, or done in a rules based

0:23:51.680 --> 0:23:54.800
<v Speaker 1>systematic fashion. So actually what we do, which is different

0:23:54.840 --> 0:23:57.920
<v Speaker 1>than active management in the moon shot ets is we

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 1>actually scan corporate file things just using something which sounds complicated,

0:24:03.160 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 1>but really it's just teaching a computer to learn what

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:08.959
<v Speaker 1>historically has been associated with innovation UH and go out

0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:12.880
<v Speaker 1>and seek those terms. So meaning innovative terms for biotechnology

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 1>versus for industrials. Then we say, do these terms on average?

0:24:17.400 --> 0:24:19.679
<v Speaker 1>Do companies use these terms on average more so than

0:24:19.720 --> 0:24:23.119
<v Speaker 1>their peers? And then actually are they spending money behind it?

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:25.080
<v Speaker 1>So it's a bit of a talk to talk and

0:24:25.160 --> 0:24:29.000
<v Speaker 1>walk the walk type strategy. So by spending money behind it,

0:24:29.080 --> 0:24:31.359
<v Speaker 1>are they actually spending on research and development, Because it

0:24:31.440 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 1>doesn't make any sense just to build a basket of

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:37.439
<v Speaker 1>securities that maybe just simply using innovative terms in their

0:24:37.480 --> 0:24:39.680
<v Speaker 1>corporate filings. But when you pair that with the fact

0:24:39.760 --> 0:24:42.720
<v Speaker 1>that they're actually spending on R and D relative to

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 1>their sales, you end up with companies that are actually

0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:49.119
<v Speaker 1>have a corporate culture focused on disruption innovation and are

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:51.640
<v Speaker 1>actually putting money behind it. So taking a deeper dive

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:53.960
<v Speaker 1>into in the moonshots et f on the Bloomberg, I

0:24:54.040 --> 0:24:57.199
<v Speaker 1>see that the biotechnology is is really overweight more than

0:24:57.280 --> 0:25:01.399
<v Speaker 1>eighteen percent. Software comes in next at it. Why are

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:04.720
<v Speaker 1>you so overweight biotech? So one of the reasons we're

0:25:04.760 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 1>so overweight biotech today, you know, and of course I

0:25:07.600 --> 0:25:10.159
<v Speaker 1>think the pandemic has put this at the forefront of

0:25:10.320 --> 0:25:14.240
<v Speaker 1>investors minds, is that there's so much exciting disruption happening there,

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:17.880
<v Speaker 1>whether we're thinking about areas in genetic engineering or going

0:25:17.960 --> 0:25:20.320
<v Speaker 1>back to you know what happened with UM you know,

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 1>to two of the most successful vaccines for COVID. You

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:26.240
<v Speaker 1>know that's using a brand new technology m n r A.

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:28.280
<v Speaker 1>It's it's really a way to think about it is

0:25:28.320 --> 0:25:31.040
<v Speaker 1>it is a is a technology. It's not the traditional

0:25:31.119 --> 0:25:33.720
<v Speaker 1>way that we have fought have created flu shots. And

0:25:33.760 --> 0:25:36.000
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't mean the efficacy of those vaccines are not

0:25:36.080 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>as strong. It's just this was brand new. And when

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:43.119
<v Speaker 1>that's the case for fighting uh, the the the the

0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:46.240
<v Speaker 1>virus which is so paramount today, you can now commercialize

0:25:46.280 --> 0:25:48.800
<v Speaker 1>that in a in a multitude of different ways. But

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:52.119
<v Speaker 1>there's also you know, other other biotech in the portfolio,

0:25:52.280 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 1>so immunity bio for example. You know, they're creating customized

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:59.159
<v Speaker 1>cancer and disease treatments based off of your own DNA.

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:02.080
<v Speaker 1>So the treatment and sells you might receive today are

0:26:02.080 --> 0:26:04.199
<v Speaker 1>going to be different than what I might receive. UM.

0:26:04.359 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 1>These are these are technologies which were not available even

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:09.720
<v Speaker 1>a couple of years ago. How much, just really quickly

0:26:09.800 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 1>twenty five seconds, Kathy would I mean she has just

0:26:12.560 --> 0:26:15.280
<v Speaker 1>like thrown off, kicked off the roof when it comes

0:26:15.320 --> 0:26:17.960
<v Speaker 1>to innovation, how has that helped kind of even your

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:20.159
<v Speaker 1>play here that people are just want to have some

0:26:20.240 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 1>money and exposure to it just very quickly. So I

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:24.920
<v Speaker 1>think it's great. It's people are focused on it. Our play,

0:26:24.960 --> 0:26:28.119
<v Speaker 1>it's focused more on small and mid cap stocks, so

0:26:28.520 --> 0:26:30.879
<v Speaker 1>great complimentary what they may be doing. All right, Dave Masa,

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:33.159
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much over a direction, joining us on

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:35.840
<v Speaker 1>the phone in New York. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:39.520
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:41.440
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0:26:41.520 --> 0:26:44.080
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