1 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: Let me fill you in a little something. If you're 2 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: a kid who grew up in the South like me, 3 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 1: you're taught your entire adolescens that the Big ten is 4 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: God's gift to college athletics. And you're just a knuckle 5 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:28,880 Speaker 1: dragger from South and the Mason Dixon and I gotta 6 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: be real as a child, as a vulnerable youth of 7 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 1: the sec footprint, growing up all of a sudden looking 8 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: up at the big tendency and scandal to the left, 9 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: scandal to the right. Welcome to the party, guys. It 10 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: feels like the party, by the way, was going on 11 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 1: for a lot longer than anyone wants to lead on. 12 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: But welcome to the party. Nonetheless, we are jam packed late. 13 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 1: Kick is live earlier than usual because I have a 14 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: flight to catch later tonight. It is Tuesday, November seventh, 15 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: the year of our lower twenty twenty three, and with 16 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: that comes a new chapter of the aforementioned scandal, and 17 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: we'll get into that tonight. But we're high at top 18 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: and earlier than usual, downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Yeah, I got 19 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 1: several things to say about Michigan, and apparently some other 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:12,880 Speaker 1: folks who have joined in on the fun up in 21 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: the big ten. I am certainly going to go a 22 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 1: direction that some of you find abhorrent tonight, So just 23 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: lock in, stick with me. It's not hatred, it's just 24 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 1: an opinion. It is the Tuesday Show, which means we 25 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: have full week eleven predictions. We got big games to 26 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 1: break down tonight. I've got a brand new JP poll 27 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: which we are strategically, yeah, strategically getting out ahead of 28 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 1: the college football playoff rankings tonight. And if you are 29 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: assuming that I'm doing this show early just so I 30 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: don't have to talk about the playoff rankings, factually that's 31 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: not true, but I'm willing to go with it anyway. 32 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: I've got added best bets tonight. We got a lot 33 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: to talk about. Lynn Massachusetts is tuned in, Chandler, Arizona, 34 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: and Arbor, Michigan, thank you guys, and Huntsville, Alabama. As 35 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 1: I said, I'm headed to New York later tonight. I 36 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: will be on Inside College Football tomorrow night with Rick Neuheisl, 37 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: Brian Jones, Brent Stover. It's a really, really fun time 38 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,679 Speaker 1: and who knows, tune in to see what I wear, 39 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: if nothing else, cause frankly, I don't even know the 40 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: answer to that yet. But let's dive into the show tonight. 41 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: We've got a lot to discuss you and I, so, 42 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: as you know, this time of year, apparently, in this 43 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 1: college football season of ours, we can't go a day 44 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: without having off the field distractions. And I say distraction 45 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: very loosely because some people don't view this as a distraction. 46 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: Some people relish in this sort of thing. They bathe 47 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: in it because they let me lean into the microphone close, 48 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 1: because I don't want everyone to hear this. A lot 49 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,079 Speaker 1: of people don't really care about the sport of football 50 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: all that much. A lot of people just love the 51 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: you know, the things that exist in orbit of or 52 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 1: on the periphery of sports. A lot of folks, in 53 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: other words, would much more prefer to talk about scandal 54 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: than they would talk about third and seven this Saturday 55 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 1: and how it pertains to who's going to win the 56 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 1: Michigan Penn State game. I happened to exist in the 57 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: camp that loves the sport. But since I am not 58 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: my audience, you are, and this is all you guys 59 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: are talking about. Look at this, This is me reluctantly 60 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:15,239 Speaker 1: being drug into this conversation. So I'm gonna take a 61 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 1: little sip of much more than room temperature hot water here, 62 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: and I'm going to give you my thoughts on this 63 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: and it will upset some and that's okay. I've already 64 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: spoken about it at length, and I'll continue to do 65 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: so another day, another chapter in the whole Michigan sign 66 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: stealing investigation, which has now expanded. It's not just the 67 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: Michigan sign stealing investigation. It is the Big Ten sign 68 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: stealing investigation, slash scandal, slash conundrum. You probably woke up 69 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: this morning and went to your job or went off 70 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: to school because you're a normal human who has a 71 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: life to live. But elsewhere in college athletics, it was 72 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,119 Speaker 1: a Tuesday. We got big games on the docket for Saturday, 73 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: but no one was talking about it because everyone was 74 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: talking about multiple multiple reports. Now as of just after 75 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: five o'clock Central time today that detail. How Lo and behold, 76 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: it wasn't just Michigan's stealing signs in the Big Ten. 77 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: There was a fairly coordinated effort last year to share 78 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: information behind the scenes between multiple universities in the Big Ten. 79 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:29,159 Speaker 1: And that information was Michigan's signs that they had acquired, 80 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: and it was basically trafficking of information behind the scenes 81 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:36,239 Speaker 1: to take down a familiar phone that foe is Michigan. 82 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: I want you to know that because that's the details. 83 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: That's the what and the why. It's pretty obvious. But 84 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 1: what do you think about that if I just told 85 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:49,719 Speaker 1: you basically what we know. Those were several reports that 86 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:51,720 Speaker 1: came out today. I mean, the folks over at SI 87 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 1: went as far as I think Richard Johnson and forty 88 00:04:54,600 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 1: had like actual PDF screenshots of some of the the documents. 89 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 1: And by the way, do you people not possess the 90 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: capability to do things off of these devices. It's called 91 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: a paper trail. I know it's called a paper trail. 92 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: You don't have to physically have paper, like if you 93 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: have a Google doc that's paper. Guys, you can't be 94 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: leaving the stuff behind. I'm gonna leave that out there 95 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 1: because Mema would never have me make an argument like that. 96 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 1: Mema would just say keep it clean. But if you're 97 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 1: not gonna keep it clean, but word of mouth, word 98 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: of mouth works, okay, hand drawn Look, I still go 99 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 1: hand drawn notes on this show. For a reason. I 100 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 1: don't want any record of this what if I make 101 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 1: a wrong prediction. I don't want any record of that. 102 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 1: But there you guys, went several of you up there. 103 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: Is you really think the lips would be that sealed shut? 104 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: And of course they weren't. So today we get this report. 105 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: Michigan says, well, if you're gonna screw us, we're taking 106 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:51,919 Speaker 1: the rest of you down with us. What did I 107 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: think about that. I didn't think much of it at all, 108 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 1: because it was very expected. I should have said on 109 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:02,040 Speaker 1: the show last week. I told our staff and what 110 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: a lot of coaches, frankly, had admitted, and that was, Hey, 111 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:09,919 Speaker 1: we had this going on. This was done not just 112 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 1: in ann Arbor, Michigan. The devil was in the details, 113 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: so a lot of this information was kind of known 114 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: behind the scenes. It was just that, hey, we didn't 115 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,160 Speaker 1: acquire the information like they acquired the information. You need 116 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: to focus on how they acquired the information. And Frankly, 117 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: that's not the worst point in the world. But I 118 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: think now you've got so much noise in the room 119 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 1: and the lights are so bright in the room now 120 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: that it's really hard to just put the noise cancelation 121 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: headphones on, put the race horse blinders, on and just 122 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 1: focus on what's important. What's important is were rules broken 123 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: to gain a competitive advantage? Now I know this makes 124 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:50,679 Speaker 1: me sound ten, and I'm really innocent here right now, 125 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: Look at how adorable. Let's stroke his cheek, Let's pat 126 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: him on the head. He's worried about rules being broken. 127 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: He thinks only one institution there's breaking the room. Well, 128 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: it's not that, it's just if you're watching this show 129 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:08,159 Speaker 1: to hear my opinion. I've heard about the stuff that 130 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: got reported today being done for a long time, not 131 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: just in the Big ten. I've heard of coordinated efforts. 132 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: But you don't think people in the SEC coordinate to 133 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 1: try and take Nick Saban down? Are you serious that 134 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: stuff's done all the time. I don't really care that 135 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 1: you have the information, and I don't really care that 136 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 1: you share the information. That's the price you pay for 137 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:30,680 Speaker 1: being on top. I care how you got the information. 138 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 1: You know, if you sat there and watched TV copy 139 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: of Alabama games and they were that loose and sloppy 140 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: with their signals versus hacking into a database, well that 141 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: would be two different things, wouldn't it. And so I 142 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 1: didn't really care when I read these reports today, all 143 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: due respect to the work, and it was very thoroughly 144 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: and sourced work. I didn't really care. I didn't gasp. 145 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 1: I didn't look at it and say, well, now we 146 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: know Paul Harvey started the rest of the story. I 147 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: just said, well, how did they get the information? Did 148 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: they also, excuse me, they didn't send anyone. Did a 149 00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: rogue staffer take it upon himself and, let me emphasize, 150 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 1: go rogue and did he just did they all have 151 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 1: guys go rogue and go to another stadium and videotape 152 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: this sort of thing. How did they get it? Really? 153 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: Still all I care about. I've never seen what Michigan 154 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: has been accused of doing, if that's the way it 155 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 1: went down. I have seen what Rutgers in Purdue in 156 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 1: Ohio State and the like we're accused of doing today, 157 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: seeing that several times, so I didn't really get worked 158 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: up about that all that much. But this dropped when 159 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: it did for a reason, Like I strangely am not 160 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: even worried about what got reported today as it relates 161 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 1: to Michigan. What's gonna happen to Michigan. I don't necessarily 162 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 1: know got changed a whole lot by what got released today, 163 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: So that's where the racehorse blinders come in. For me, 164 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: I care about what's going to happen to Michigan because 165 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 1: I really still feel like they're the only ones punitively 166 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: on the hook up there. I don't think anyone involved 167 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:02,480 Speaker 1: in that report is going to get busted for any 168 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: of that, and I don't think it's cause everyone has 169 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: an axe to grind out for Michigan necessarily. I just 170 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 1: think nothing I read today in and of itself rises 171 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 1: to the level of needing to be punished. Now, if 172 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 1: it does come to light that those signals were acquired 173 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 1: using electronics, therefore illegally obtained, well that's a whole nother story. 174 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: No one brought that to me as of again five 175 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: o'clock today. So I go back to the Sunday Show 176 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: because on the Sunday Show I told you I thought 177 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: the Big Ten imminently would be communicating with Michigan about 178 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: potential punishment. That got reported like the next day, and 179 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: so that's happened. And I think it was Pete Fammel 180 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 1: Monday who said, don't expect anything for about forty eight hours, 181 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: because the Big Ten has to give Michigan forty eight 182 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 1: hours to respond and to mount a defense and to 183 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 1: present their side of the argument and whatever. We're rapidly 184 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 1: approaching that deadline. That's still where my focus is. Even 185 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 1: a lot of all this stuff coming out today, that's 186 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: still where my focus is. I think that they suggested 187 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 1: an extremely harsh punishment for Michigan. I think Michigan looked 188 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 1: and called BS immediately on it. And I think that 189 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: they are planning to mount a very very strong legal 190 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 1: counter offensive. And I think that's where rubber meets the road, 191 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 1: cause I guarantee you the folks in Shimbeckler Hall believe 192 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 1: whatever they're mounting is going to be more than effective 193 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: enough to stave off any kind of punishment that would 194 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:37,440 Speaker 1: derail this current run there on. And I have it 195 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:40,719 Speaker 1: on fairly good knowledge there are people on the other 196 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 1: side of that fence that look at that and say, Okay, 197 00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 1: you're about to learn a hard, hard lesson in who 198 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: really swings the bigger hammer here. Now. I sit back, 199 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: and to me, the law is like weather. And what 200 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 1: I mean by that is weather and the law impact 201 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 1: just about every one of you, just about every day, 202 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 1: and ninety nine percent of the population is ignorant about both. 203 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:08,679 Speaker 1: I'm ignorant about one of them. I'm pretty good with weather, 204 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 1: atmospheric science. I can talk to you all day. The 205 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,960 Speaker 1: law not so much. And I say that only to 206 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:16,599 Speaker 1: say I have no clue how this is going to 207 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 1: turn out. And that's where I end that. But I 208 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: would like to address one more thing, and that is 209 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:27,439 Speaker 1: this insinuation. Anytime I talk about this publicly, I'm presenting 210 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 1: one side of the argument, and that's kind of been 211 00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 1: a copy and paste response from the vocal portion of 212 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:39,120 Speaker 1: the Michigan fan base publicly about anyone. Anyone who's talking 213 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 1: about this and doesn't outright paint a script M on 214 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 1: your chest is out to get Michigan. Why Why would 215 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 1: I be out to get Michigan, forget anyone else. I've 216 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,839 Speaker 1: looked at this accusation one too many times in our 217 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 1: live chat or our comment section or in Twitter replies, 218 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,559 Speaker 1: and it's it's not that it keeps me up at night, 219 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 1: and it's really not that it In fact, it doesn't 220 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: bother me at all. That's totally fine. I'm just curious 221 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 1: about it. I'm curious if you truly do believe that 222 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: someone like me grew up in West Central Georgia. That's 223 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 1: my real only affiliation to Columbus. Columbus Georgia is where 224 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:24,559 Speaker 1: I grew up. I have no affiliation to Columbus Ohio 225 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 1: or the Buckeyes at all. I am very curious what 226 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: the evidence is you have that someone like me would 227 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 1: be out to get Michigan. It's not really being out 228 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 1: to get you. It's just seeing the situation outside of 229 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 1: the maize and blue bubble. And I'm not saying anything different, 230 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: nor am I feeling any different towards this as you 231 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: would if it were Nebraska or Arizone. Just pick a 232 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: random school out there. I know, when it comes to 233 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 1: your doorstep, it's a little bit different. And when it 234 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 1: comes to your doorstep, you have an angle. You're emotionally invested, 235 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: whereas otherwise you wouldn't be. You know, it is possible 236 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 1: for someone to have a differing point of view than 237 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,960 Speaker 1: you without them being out to get you. I'm not 238 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: out to get Michigan. Let me tell you what's in 239 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 1: my best interest. Michigan winning football games is in my 240 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:15,240 Speaker 1: best interest, and doing it clean and doing it out 241 00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: of this really really weird tainted spotlight that's on the 242 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 1: program right now. Yeah, that gets you some traffic in 243 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,719 Speaker 1: the short term. I don't care about that because it 244 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 1: is not the kind of show we like to do. 245 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 1: I like to do the kind of show that we'll 246 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 1: do in about twenty minutes when we preview Michigan versus 247 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 1: Penn State and we're just talking about football game. That's 248 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 1: what I would prefer. So no one on this show's 249 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 1: out to get you. But it just doesn't look good, 250 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 1: and it hasn't for a while. And none of the 251 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 1: most popular defense stances that the Michigan fan base has 252 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: taken make much sense to me. I get your point. 253 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: I just don't think they're grounded in any kind of 254 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 1: logic based reasoning. That's what I think, and you're free 255 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 1: to disagree. That's what God invented the comment section for 256 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 1: Let's move on on Tuesday on this show what we 257 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,599 Speaker 1: like to do, and it's a wild concept. You're just 258 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 1: gonna have to follow me and trust me on it 259 00:14:06,160 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 1: for a second. Is we like to talk about football 260 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 1: games and predict them. Yeah. Imagine folks like us left 261 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 1: to our own devices to talk about this great game, 262 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 1: and we got a few of them this Saturday. So 263 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: in the interest of avoiding redundancy. I'm actually not gonna 264 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: do the Michigan Penn State game first. I'm gonna do 265 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 1: it in a few minutes. I'm gonna break up the 266 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 1: monotony a little bit, and I'm gonna lead. Does anyone 267 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:36,080 Speaker 1: have a guest with Old Miss versus Georgia? So this 268 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 1: is Lane Kiffin shot man Old Miss versus Georgia Saturday 269 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: at seven o'clock Eastern on ESPN. I'll promise you Sandford 270 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 1: Stadium is gonna be a factor here. It's gonna be 271 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 1: a big factor. Current fan dual number on this is 272 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 1: Georgia minus ten and a half. You shave out home 273 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 1: field and that's somewhere around a touchdown that is considered 274 00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: to be separating these teams on a neutral field, and 275 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 1: sand Ford Stadium gets a night game, a night game 276 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 1: Top fifteen, I think, Jesse, where does the AP have 277 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 1: Old Miss ranked? They got to be top fifteen, right, 278 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 1: I never look at the AP. I literally have no 279 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 1: clue where the AP has teams ranked. Anyway, I'm very 280 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,560 Speaker 1: interested in a number of things here. The first thing 281 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 1: that I think will go a long way in deciding 282 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: this game is is Carson Beck just going to be sharp? 283 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 1: We talked the other day about how all these first 284 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: year starters at quarterback had had their ups and downs, 285 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: and Beck really hasn't. His downs have been so mild 286 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: compared to what Jalen Milroe went through earlier in the year, 287 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: what Drew Aller went through on the road against Ohio State, 288 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 1: Joe Milton has looked terrible, and like the Florida game 289 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:48,400 Speaker 1: earlier this year, Carson Beck had had That doesn't mean 290 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 1: he can't, just means he hadn't had it yet. Ole 291 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: Miss is seventh in the country in sack rate. It 292 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 1: may be the best pass rush Georgia will have faced 293 00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 1: so far this year. So I'm just interested that confidence 294 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 1: starts to build in the play calling for Carson Beck 295 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: and the execution within Carson Beck. If all of a sudden, 296 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 1: a little bit different kind of pressures put on you, 297 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: is there one or two errant balls? Do you get them? 298 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: Maybe a tip ball to the line of scrimmage that 299 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 1: falls into the wrong pair of hands, that changes the 300 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 1: course of the game early, and maybe you find yourself 301 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: down like you did against South Carolina, maybe it's not 302 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: as easy to come back. That's the first thing I'm 303 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 1: interested in. But the whole question about whether Georgia's defense 304 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,280 Speaker 1: can handle this ole Miss offense is very abstract and 305 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: it's like really wide, too wide of a net for me. 306 00:16:35,760 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 1: So I want to look within the net, and I 307 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: want to focus on explosive plays because ole Miss has 308 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 1: sixty five of them this year of twenty plus yards. 309 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 1: That's good for third in the country. They've been really 310 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: good at popping the explosive play. Georgia is number twelve 311 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:57,040 Speaker 1: defensively in preventing the explosive play. But that's where my 312 00:16:57,120 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 1: ole Miss brethren probably DM me or hot in the 313 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 1: live chat and say, yeah, but what kind of offense 314 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:08,239 Speaker 1: has Georgia faced that would expose that vulnerability even if 315 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:12,440 Speaker 1: it is a vulnerability. And my answer is, I'll grant 316 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:15,639 Speaker 1: you that they haven't really faced any offense that's really 317 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: built to do that. I mean, Auburn wasn't. I'm going 318 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 1: to talk about the Auburn game in a second. I 319 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: think there is something to glean from that South Carolina 320 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 1: really in Sanford Stadium, wasn't. We were dealing with roade 321 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 1: rattler that day instead of home rattler. So I guess 322 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: answer your question, if there is that crack in the 323 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 1: damn for Georgia, maybe no one has been built to 324 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:38,160 Speaker 1: expose it. But that's if that's if the crack is there. 325 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 1: The second thing at which coincides with the most important 326 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 1: player in this game is Jackson Dart has to play 327 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: his full game. When I went to the Auburn game 328 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,200 Speaker 1: and I watched them push Georgia and it was really close. 329 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: It took Georgia into late in that game to grab 330 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,479 Speaker 1: a lead and hold on to it. I asked myself, 331 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: why was it that close? Well, it was that close 332 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: because peyton Thorn had twelve carries for ninety two yards 333 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:04,719 Speaker 1: that day and Auburn ran it for nearly two twenty total, 334 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 1: a lot of that they had by the start of 335 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. So the reason I mentioned that is 336 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 1: because in terms of skill set, Jackson darts well beyond 337 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,120 Speaker 1: what peyton Thorne is, but he is the most dangerous 338 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,880 Speaker 1: mobile threat they have seen since then. And you wonder, again, 339 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 1: if you're looking for cracks in the dam if that's 340 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: one mobile, if that mobile thread at quarterback, if just 341 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 1: the ability to improvise on broken plays, if not designed 342 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 1: play calling and mobility at quarterback may disproportionately give you trouble. Well, 343 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 1: Jackson Dart's the guy to expose that. But he's got 344 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 1: to have that combined with a really, really good showing 345 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,120 Speaker 1: through the air. And that doesn't mean throwing the ball 346 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: fifty times or anything like that. But there's only so 347 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: much you can do with a hot quarterback. You can 348 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 1: go all the way back to when Kirby was at Bama. 349 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 1: You face a hot quarterback in college, especially when you've 350 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:58,120 Speaker 1: had the talent that Georgia has had depart to the NFL. 351 00:18:58,280 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 1: I don't even care if you do have the NFL 352 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 1: time there, but especially when you've watched those guys walk 353 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 1: out the door and you're continually trying to fill and 354 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 1: fill and backfill. I guess, and then you get a 355 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: hot quarterback. You've got a lot of guys who have 356 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,159 Speaker 1: not seen that. There are a lot of guys on 357 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: Georgia's defense right now that if Jackson Dark gets rolling, 358 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: have not phased a quarterback playing like that, it's all in. 359 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:19,199 Speaker 1: If it's all in, I f That's why I think 360 00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 1: he's one of the most important players in this game. 361 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,479 Speaker 1: If Ole Miss can't run it though, they're in major trouble, 362 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 1: major trouble because Georgia is number three in the country 363 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 1: defensively on third downs. They are great at getting teams 364 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,919 Speaker 1: off the field. And ole Miss and this could be 365 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:37,880 Speaker 1: a pre paper pop, this could be a pre padlock here. 366 00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:43,119 Speaker 1: Ole Miss offensively is ninety seventh on converting third downs, 367 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 1: So you got to totally invert that stat profile. That's 368 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,200 Speaker 1: why I think Jackson Dart's legs are so important. And also, 369 00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: you know what, if we were to just take that 370 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: stat further, Georgia's offense is fourth in the country on 371 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:57,199 Speaker 1: third down and ole Miss's defense is eighty first, So 372 00:19:58,200 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: I may have buried the lead. It may just be 373 00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:01,879 Speaker 1: a third down game. Let's take a look at what 374 00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:04,919 Speaker 1: the fan duel number is right now compared to what 375 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: the model thinks. The model is a little bit bigger 376 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:11,200 Speaker 1: on Georgia than the current fan duel number, which is 377 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: Georgia minus ten and a half. The Pate State model 378 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,439 Speaker 1: has Georgia minus eleven and a half. But I'm not 379 00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 1: doing that because I think that we've probably inflated Georgia 380 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: a tad in the model this year. So I'm going 381 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,399 Speaker 1: Georgia to win the game. I will go ole Miss 382 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: with anything ten or more plus the points obviously, is 383 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 1: what I mean by that It could get so real 384 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,159 Speaker 1: so quick. Here though, because I want you to think 385 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: about something for a second. If Georgia wins, forget everything 386 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 1: I'm about to say. If Georgia loses, the next thing 387 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 1: you do is you look at what Tennessee did earlier 388 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 1: in the day, Jesse. What time does the Tennessee game start? 389 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 1: By the way, three point thirty? Okay, so the Tennessee 390 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,000 Speaker 1: game will have already been played. If Tennessee beats Missouri, 391 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,399 Speaker 1: and then later that night you watch Georgia lose to 392 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: Ole Miss, you just set up an SEC East championship 393 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,920 Speaker 1: game next week in Knoxville. You essentially set up an 394 00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:12,359 Speaker 1: SEC championship play in game. It could happen that quick. 395 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 1: And then I want you to think about this. Okay. 396 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:19,480 Speaker 1: Everyone knows what the glass half full scenario is for Georgia, 397 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,600 Speaker 1: and they've earned benefit of the doubt. But there is 398 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: this nightmare scenario. I call it the Oklahoma protocol where 399 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,439 Speaker 1: in the span of eight days, your entire season gets wrecked. 400 00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,359 Speaker 1: You're undefeated, you're on top of the world. You lose 401 00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:34,320 Speaker 1: to Ole Miss or in their case, you lose to 402 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 1: Kansas and then you lose to Tennessee or in their case, 403 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: you lose to Oklahoma State, and it's done. It's over. 404 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: That's how quick it can happen. It's why coach is 405 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 1: actual paranoid all the time. So it's not out of 406 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 1: the Roman possibility. I'm taking Georgia to win. I'm taking 407 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 1: Old Miss to cover. But I at the very least 408 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,840 Speaker 1: think this is the toughest test that Georgia will to 409 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 1: face so far this year. It's a lot to overcome. 410 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 1: It's a lot to overcome for Ole Miss. Play it 411 00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,919 Speaker 1: at a neutral side. It's tough enough that is playing 412 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,400 Speaker 1: twelve men Saturday night, playing against them in Sanford Stadium 413 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:09,640 Speaker 1: night game. They just don't get that a whole lot 414 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,639 Speaker 1: over there. So you got it to do, Lane Kiffin, 415 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 1: you got it to do. But if they do thread 416 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: that needle and make it through there, they'll be in Atlanta. 417 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: Someone's gonna be in Atlanta. I just want you guys 418 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 1: to be there. Courtesy of Academy Sports and Outdoors once 419 00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: we do get that SEC Championship game matchup. Look, these 420 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: people are as real as it gets. They're giving away 421 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 1: a ten thousand dollars Academy gift card. They're giving away 422 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,439 Speaker 1: two tickets to the SEC Championship Game, and what you 423 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 1: need to do to qualify to win those is log 424 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,399 Speaker 1: into the Academy app. That's basically it. I don't know 425 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 1: that we really offer many better deals on this show. 426 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 1: I mean, we keep the show free because of Academy. 427 00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,480 Speaker 1: That's a good deal to me. Academy Sports and Outdoors 428 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,480 Speaker 1: has been sort of locked arm in arm with us 429 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 1: for a while. They've got everything you need. I mean, 430 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: I almost, speaking of Barry in the lead, I bury 431 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,159 Speaker 1: out a lot that you walk in there with a 432 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars gift card, you're a king. With a 433 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 1: one hundred dollars gift card, you're kind of a king 434 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 1: in there. But ten thousand dollars is a number a 435 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 1: little bit too big for medium comprehend right now. But 436 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,919 Speaker 1: you got all the equipment, you got all the grilling, 437 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:17,919 Speaker 1: you got all the fishing and camping supplies. You got 438 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,159 Speaker 1: everything you need at Academy if you can't get there 439 00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:23,040 Speaker 1: in person, Academy dot com. But do me a favor. 440 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,400 Speaker 1: Someone in our audience needs to win this thing now. 441 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: Ten thousand dollars in Academy gift cards and two SEC 442 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,800 Speaker 1: Championship game tickets. Log into that academy at make it Happen. 443 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: Then I want to take a picture with you. It 444 00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 1: is void in Hawaii, Alaska, California, and New York, so 445 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:43,640 Speaker 1: the rest of you game on. We always appreciate our 446 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:49,119 Speaker 1: fine friends at Academy Sports and Outdoors. All right now, 447 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,280 Speaker 1: I think what was it, Jesse, Probably about ten minutes. 448 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,399 Speaker 1: So we let things cool off a little bit, and 449 00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: now it's time to talk about the game we're going 450 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,400 Speaker 1: to be at. So this is precautionary, by the way, 451 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: if anyone is concerned, mainly my mother, this is precautionary. 452 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 1: I'm still drinking the hot water during the show because 453 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 1: I am petrified when we're doing live shows like we 454 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,400 Speaker 1: are right now of the voice going back out, because 455 00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 1: I really think I'm only like eighty five percent in 456 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 1: terms of vocal recovery. And if you don't know what happened, sorry, 457 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,120 Speaker 1: I don't want to revisit that story. It was a really, 458 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,280 Speaker 1: really tough time for me. So I'm going to take 459 00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 1: a sip here and then we're about to get into 460 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:32,760 Speaker 1: what I consider the game of the week. The sip 461 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 1: is completed, let's get into what I consider the game 462 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:40,440 Speaker 1: of the week, Michigan penn State Big noon kickoff from 463 00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,960 Speaker 1: State College Pennsylvania this Saturday. The once upon a Saturday 464 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 1: Tour will be right there on the sidelines in Beaver Stadium. 465 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,160 Speaker 1: The last time I was up there was this spring, 466 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,679 Speaker 1: and we did a full tour. And it's very interesting 467 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,800 Speaker 1: because of what I'll tell you about in just a second. 468 00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 1: But I was driving around nashvillelast all right, and all 469 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,360 Speaker 1: of a sudden, my phone blows up and a bunch 470 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,359 Speaker 1: of folks said, hey, man, Reyes Davis just gave you 471 00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,280 Speaker 1: in the show a shout out over on the College 472 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:10,719 Speaker 1: Game Day pod. So I said, well, what were they 473 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 1: talking about? And they said that James Franklin stat about 474 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:20,440 Speaker 1: being overrated. Ah so, courtesy of Reese Davis. Because until 475 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 1: this point I had largely forgotten we put this stat out. 476 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 1: Let's just brush this bad boy back off. If you 477 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:29,800 Speaker 1: think James Franklin is overrated, you are wrong. If you 478 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 1: think he should win more, that's a different conversation. But 479 00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: that and being overrated two different things. So to be overrated, 480 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,640 Speaker 1: you have to constantly fail to meet the bar that's 481 00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:42,200 Speaker 1: being set for you. I don't think there's any better bar. 482 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:45,360 Speaker 1: I don't think there's any better metric in sports than 483 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: what the odds on your games are. And so here 484 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 1: we go, padlockstat James Franklin, who to me is the 485 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 1: most properly rated coach in major college football, is three 486 00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,280 Speaker 1: and sixteen at Penn State versus Top ten teen games. 487 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,880 Speaker 1: But that's straight up. He's three and sixteen, straight up. 488 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 1: So you think, to yourself, that's terrible, Josh, of course 489 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:10,280 Speaker 1: he's overrated. No, he's not. Out of those nineteen games, 490 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:13,680 Speaker 1: he was a point spread favorite in one of them 491 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 1: and he won that game. He actually won two other 492 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,879 Speaker 1: games he was an underdog in. So look, I'm not 493 00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: going to tell you he's underrated, but he actually qualifies 494 00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,199 Speaker 1: as being underrated more than he does being overrated. And 495 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 1: yet I will still listen to people if they go 496 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 1: on to lose this game Saturday, even if they lose 497 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,720 Speaker 1: by a last second field goal in a game they're 498 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:34,879 Speaker 1: a five and a half point dog in, I'll have 499 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:38,520 Speaker 1: people tell me he's overrated. That's not what that word means. 500 00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:41,000 Speaker 1: I don't think that word means what you think it means. 501 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:46,880 Speaker 1: And so with that in mind, I saw in Ann Arbor, Michigan. 502 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,760 Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh pulled one of the more appropriate strings of 503 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:54,280 Speaker 1: the season, and he brought Rick Flair in. Rick Flair 504 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,000 Speaker 1: was long known as the dirtiest player in the game, 505 00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: the ultimate heel, a traveling champion, And it was interesting 506 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:07,679 Speaker 1: because I think one of the biggest hm it's not 507 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:10,919 Speaker 1: a metric, one of the biggest facets involved in this 508 00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:14,479 Speaker 1: game is what we call squash protocol. You could call 509 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:17,640 Speaker 1: it college football inflation. They always call it squash protocol. 510 00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: And it's very appropriate that he brought a pro wrestler 511 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 1: in like Rick Flair, because Rick Flair was one of 512 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:27,840 Speaker 1: the best of all time, you know, not quite Sean Michaels, 513 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 1: of course, but one of the best of all time. 514 00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:31,800 Speaker 1: We'll have that debate separately, if you guys want to. 515 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,919 Speaker 1: In wrestling, there is something called a squash match. A 516 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:39,720 Speaker 1: squash match is when you have an established star and 517 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,159 Speaker 1: you just need them to get over two and a 518 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,240 Speaker 1: half maybe three minute match. Give the folks what they want. 519 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,399 Speaker 1: They get out there, they break a sweat, they hit 520 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:51,080 Speaker 1: their finisher, one two three squash match, usually against a 521 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:56,399 Speaker 1: no name opponent. In college football, this happens sometimes your 522 00:27:56,440 --> 00:28:00,639 Speaker 1: East Carolina's you're bowling greens all due respect, even the 523 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,280 Speaker 1: Minnesotas Nebraskas of the world as you're Indiana. Those are 524 00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:07,879 Speaker 1: squash matches, man. That's fine. And Michigan beat the devil 525 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:11,520 Speaker 1: out of folks, and that's fine. But sometimes what happens 526 00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 1: in squash protocol is this inflation, This incremental inflation happens. 527 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: It's like if you've got a seventh grader who just 528 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,200 Speaker 1: walks in a third grade classroom and starts fighting third 529 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 1: graders and you know, pounds them all into the ground. 530 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 1: He's still a seventh grader, But imagine how dumb you 531 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: would be if you watched him victorious third grader after 532 00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,160 Speaker 1: third grader after third grader, and you kept building that 533 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,280 Speaker 1: seventh grader up just a little bit more in your 534 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 1: mind after every fight. No, you had him right the 535 00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 1: first time, you had him pegged right the first time. 536 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 1: I have a suspicion about Michigan. When we came into 537 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 1: this season, folks thought pretty highly of Michigan. Most people 538 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: had them top five. They didn't have him a slam 539 00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 1: dunk number one. They didn't have him as a runaway 540 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 1: frame train favorite to win the title. They had them 541 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: squarely in the top five. Then they started beating inferior competition. 542 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,120 Speaker 1: That's no knock on Michigan. They may very well be 543 00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 1: a runaway freight train, but that alone is not evidence 544 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 1: of anything. And so I'm very suspicious if that artificial 545 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 1: inflation has happened a little bit with this team, just 546 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: because you can't help but watch those final scores and 547 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 1: build up a little bit more in your mind week 548 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,600 Speaker 1: by week the quality of that team. It may just 549 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 1: be that Michigan's a really, really good team that's not elite, 550 00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:36,960 Speaker 1: that's posing as elite. The good news is we start 551 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 1: to find out Saturday. So that's the backdrop around which 552 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,480 Speaker 1: I view this game. We were at Penn State in 553 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 1: the spring, like I said, and what was funny about 554 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,240 Speaker 1: that trip is we were in the building multiple days. 555 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 1: It felt like the Michigan game had just happened. At 556 00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:53,160 Speaker 1: Four hundred and eighteen is a number that has burned 557 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 1: into every brain up there. Around every corner you walk, 558 00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:01,080 Speaker 1: four hundred and eighteen yards rushing. That's what Michigan had 559 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: against them last year. Fifty five carries, four touchdowns, four 560 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 1: hundred and eighteen on the ground, multiple explosive plays, and 561 00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 1: that's all anyone really cared to talk about without talking 562 00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,600 Speaker 1: about it, very very clear attitude of making sure that 563 00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 1: never happens again. And nobody has run on Penn State 564 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 1: all year. It's the best run defense in Power five. 565 00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 1: And I'm telling you I don't think Michigan's going to 566 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 1: have a great deal of success doing it Saturday. And 567 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 1: that's not really a one off. Michigan's been good running 568 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:35,840 Speaker 1: the ball this year. I don't think they're an elite 569 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:42,680 Speaker 1: running team now. They could very well have played the 570 00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,200 Speaker 1: games they've played to this point mainly because they've been 571 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,400 Speaker 1: set up with short fields, because they're so good defensively, 572 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:49,920 Speaker 1: and maybe because they've known they can manage games a 573 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,240 Speaker 1: certain way, and maybe they're capable of much more on 574 00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,880 Speaker 1: the ground than we've seen. Maybe that's the case. I 575 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 1: happen to think that Penn State's going to do a 576 00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 1: fairly good job of keeping them contained on the ground Saturday. 577 00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 1: So if that's the case, I think the national perception 578 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,680 Speaker 1: of this game may be off. The national perception with 579 00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 1: a total in the mid forties, the FanDuel over under 580 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,200 Speaker 1: right now is forty five and a half. I think 581 00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 1: the perception is ground and pound plotting running back dominated, 582 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,880 Speaker 1: and I'm not sure that's the case. I think it's 583 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,560 Speaker 1: a quarterback game. I think it's McCarthy. I think it's Holler, 584 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 1: And I'm not saying it's Oller versus McCarthy because they're 585 00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 1: never on the field at the same time. But you 586 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 1: give Drew Aller a clean pocket Saturday, and I think 587 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 1: they have a chance to invert one of the things 588 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,880 Speaker 1: that's cost them big time this year, and that is 589 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,120 Speaker 1: they can't push the ball down the field. They have 590 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: been one hundred and twenty seventh nationally in explosive play rate. 591 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 1: But as me Ma said, and as I continue to maintain, 592 00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,560 Speaker 1: what has been doesn't always have to be. And so 593 00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:56,719 Speaker 1: Dante Seve has looked a lot better. He's come along lately. 594 00:31:57,040 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 1: You got him, you got Lambert Smith, you got those 595 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 1: tight ends. What if they just start popping some plays 596 00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,680 Speaker 1: because he's got a cleaner pocket and plays better at 597 00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 1: home this Saturday. That's the Penn State side of things. 598 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,840 Speaker 1: With JJ McCarthy. There is a lot that's been made 599 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:13,120 Speaker 1: in ann Arbor about how much better he is as 600 00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:17,480 Speaker 1: a complete version of a quarterback. You just not really 601 00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 1: know it until he faces legitimate competition. You guys haven't 602 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,840 Speaker 1: watched Michigan games. This is the first Michigan game we've 603 00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 1: broken down on this show all year. He's been a 604 00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 1: name that's on everyone's radar because he's a superstar in 605 00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 1: the college game, but you haven't been watching him. You'll 606 00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 1: see him this Saturday. A lot of you. The last 607 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:37,680 Speaker 1: time you saw McCarthy play for an extended period of 608 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: time was the TCU game last year. And that's okay. 609 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 1: I'm not begging you to watch Michigan UNLV. I'm not 610 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:47,880 Speaker 1: begging you to do that. But if Penn State does 611 00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,560 Speaker 1: what they're capable of in their secondary, it's not going 612 00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 1: to be a Roman Wilson show. I mean, all due 613 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 1: respect to Wilson, he's not Marvin Harrison. I don't think 614 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,400 Speaker 1: they've got a receiver at Michigan that's just going to 615 00:32:57,440 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: carve up this secondary, which is not the end of 616 00:32:59,920 --> 00:33:02,240 Speaker 1: the world. That just means you better have the quarterback 617 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: that can distribute the ball, and JJ McCarthy can do that. 618 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,920 Speaker 1: And so it may be like this game we watched 619 00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 1: last Saturday down in Tuscaloosa, where Bama's wide receiver one 620 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:16,360 Speaker 1: have three catches for like twenty something yards Jermaine Burton, 621 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:20,200 Speaker 1: and yet seven other guys caught balls. Maybe that's the 622 00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 1: kind of day Michigan has this Saturday. My biggest concern 623 00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,720 Speaker 1: with them, though, is as much as you want to 624 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 1: talk about how veteran laden this team is, as much 625 00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:31,680 Speaker 1: as you want to talk about how mature they've been 626 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 1: and they've embraced the role of villain. They know everyone's 627 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 1: out to get them, they know everyone's pulling against them. 628 00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 1: They're blocking out the noise. They're not. It's impossible because 629 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:44,880 Speaker 1: you're humans, and so you will never convince me they've 630 00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:48,040 Speaker 1: blocked the noise out. You'll never convince me that this 631 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 1: hasn't been somewhat of a distraction. The question is how 632 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 1: do you harness it? Because something like this can actually 633 00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 1: work to your benefit just as easily as it can 634 00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:00,960 Speaker 1: work to your detriment. It's it's all about how those 635 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 1: guys are wired. It's all about who the alphas in 636 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 1: the room are, and when they start pulling a certain direction, 637 00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:11,120 Speaker 1: which direction are they going and does everyone else follow? 638 00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:15,000 Speaker 1: Because they could really go full heel mode if they 639 00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 1: go in here Saturday and it's thirty eight to ten 640 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:20,960 Speaker 1: or it's twenty seven to six or something like that, 641 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,400 Speaker 1: and it's ugly, and they're beaten Penn State the exact 642 00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,799 Speaker 1: same way they've beaten other teams this year. All that's 643 00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:28,920 Speaker 1: on the table. Let's take a look at what the 644 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:32,000 Speaker 1: fan duel number is compared to the model. The fan 645 00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 1: duel number right now and it's Tuesday night as we're 646 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 1: doing this show, is Michigan minus five and a half. 647 00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 1: The totals in the mid forties. Not a lot of 648 00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 1: scoring is expected here. The paid state number is dead 649 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:48,200 Speaker 1: on with FanDuel. We've got Michigan minus five and a half. 650 00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 1: I said earlier in the season that I was circling 651 00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 1: this game, and then after the Penn State Ohio State game, 652 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 1: I said I was circling this game because I think 653 00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:00,480 Speaker 1: a lot of folks had a script and for this 654 00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:03,440 Speaker 1: year they thought when it comes to Penn State, they 655 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:06,640 Speaker 1: thought Penn State matched up okay with Ohio State. They 656 00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 1: matched up horribly with Michigan. I have felt the opposite 657 00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,799 Speaker 1: and nothing's changed about that. Pick Penn State to lose 658 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,720 Speaker 1: to Ohio State. I think they're going to beat Michigan 659 00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:20,480 Speaker 1: outright Saturday, not cover the spread. I think Penn State's 660 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 1: going to win the game outright, because I think there 661 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,759 Speaker 1: is a lot that Michigan will see Saturday for the 662 00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:29,120 Speaker 1: first time. And what I love is that when Penn 663 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 1: State looks backwards, it's nothing but the edge of a cliff. 664 00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,880 Speaker 1: This is it. This is your twenty twenty three college 665 00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,920 Speaker 1: football life is on the line Saturday, and you want 666 00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,600 Speaker 1: to call it wounded animal mode, you can. I just 667 00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:44,319 Speaker 1: think they got a good enough football team. It's not 668 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 1: smoking mirrors. Like I didn't say anything about special teams. 669 00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:50,800 Speaker 1: I didn't say anything about turnover margin. If you win those, 670 00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,600 Speaker 1: great I think Penn State just can win a straight 671 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,400 Speaker 1: up football game against Michigan because I think they're good 672 00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:58,600 Speaker 1: enough to and I think they'll find a way Saturday. 673 00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:04,760 Speaker 1: And if they do, then not that Ohio State Michigan 674 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:08,160 Speaker 1: needed any more marquee around it, but imagine what that 675 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:10,920 Speaker 1: would do. Then we get into tiebreaker scenarios, by the way, 676 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,880 Speaker 1: in the Big Ten, and that will be wonderful. But 677 00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:14,680 Speaker 1: I'm taking Penn State to win the game out right. 678 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,840 Speaker 1: And while I'm at it, that's a Rama Noodle Express 679 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:19,799 Speaker 1: best bet. Penn State plus five and a half will 680 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,200 Speaker 1: go ahind and ad that right now, and if you 681 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 1: so choose, I would encourage you to go to paystatemateial 682 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:28,279 Speaker 1: dot com because that is where our commemorative once Upon 683 00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:31,880 Speaker 1: a Saturday shirt featuring our trip to this game Saturday 684 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,560 Speaker 1: can be found, and it'll be available until Saturday night 685 00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:38,959 Speaker 1: and then it'll be gone. And this is the only 686 00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:40,799 Speaker 1: trip that we're going to make the Penn State this year, 687 00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:43,319 Speaker 1: and we've been looking forward to it, hoped that this 688 00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:45,920 Speaker 1: game would pan out with the magnitude it has. And 689 00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,000 Speaker 1: there you have it. Once Upon a Saturday tour there 690 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:52,239 Speaker 1: in State College, PA, November eleventh, twenty twenty three. Where 691 00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:54,680 Speaker 1: were you? No one can say for sure, it hasn't 692 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,160 Speaker 1: happened yet, but love that shirt. We've been getting rave 693 00:36:57,200 --> 00:36:59,080 Speaker 1: reviews on the quality of those shirts, by the way, 694 00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:01,839 Speaker 1: and yet I still have not gotten my hands on one, 695 00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,719 Speaker 1: which seems a little wrong. I'll be real, seems a 696 00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:07,160 Speaker 1: little wrong. We'll probably have to rectify that. Looking forward 697 00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,239 Speaker 1: to being up there, looking forward to seeing some folks 698 00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,120 Speaker 1: from both programs Saturday, and what a game that's going 699 00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 1: to be. Noon kickoff, So wake up early, get the 700 00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 1: chores done, and settle in. Game of the week is 701 00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:22,399 Speaker 1: high noon on the East coast. Why don't we do 702 00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:25,920 Speaker 1: something for just a second here that's sure to bring 703 00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:29,239 Speaker 1: us all together. Let's just go ahead and unveil the 704 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:31,360 Speaker 1: JP pole for Week eleven, Colin, Let's go ahead and 705 00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,600 Speaker 1: do it. And the JP Pole right now, right in 706 00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,440 Speaker 1: advance of the college football playoff rankings being dropped, has 707 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,240 Speaker 1: nothing to do with the playoff rankings. I almost thought 708 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 1: about releasing to you what my Playoff committee ranking would be, 709 00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:47,239 Speaker 1: but I didn't because I don't care enough about it. 710 00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 1: Having said that, when I'm about to show you has 711 00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 1: nothing to do with rankings, because they're not rankings. But 712 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,680 Speaker 1: what this is is me dialing up the model, which 713 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:59,279 Speaker 1: is built to produce its own unique point spread, and 714 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,000 Speaker 1: tell me who it would favor against two on a 715 00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:03,839 Speaker 1: neutral field. And that's the power ratings we have. So 716 00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:05,720 Speaker 1: this is way different. I mean, we're gonna have multi 717 00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:08,600 Speaker 1: loss teams still in the top twenty five. And you know, 718 00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:10,520 Speaker 1: air Force is a good example. A lot of you 719 00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:13,279 Speaker 1: came at me last week, where's air Force? Why aren't 720 00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:15,400 Speaker 1: they in the top twenty five? Then they got smoked 721 00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 1: by Army, And no one comes at me about air 722 00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:21,600 Speaker 1: Force on Sunday. Not everyone who has a certain record 723 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:25,040 Speaker 1: deserves to be in the JP pole. You may deserve 724 00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,640 Speaker 1: the AP, but we have a little higher standard and 725 00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:31,279 Speaker 1: a different standard around here. Oklahoma State's finally in this thing. 726 00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:34,799 Speaker 1: Finally I had to fight, I had to protest my 727 00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:38,439 Speaker 1: own model, but finally we got Oklahoma State. So let's 728 00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 1: take a look at twenty five through twenty one. The 729 00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:45,120 Speaker 1: Cowboys are at number twenty four. It's SMU twenty five, 730 00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 1: Oklahoma State twenty four. Utah is still holding there at 731 00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 1: twenty three. Ucla I don't know what to do with 732 00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:53,879 Speaker 1: quarterback situation. They lost both quarterbacks in their loss last 733 00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:55,960 Speaker 1: week to Arizona. They're at twenty two, still a good 734 00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:59,560 Speaker 1: football team, and Louisville's at twenty one. I think that 735 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:02,839 Speaker 1: Arizona's the big story. You notice how you don't see 736 00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:06,200 Speaker 1: Arizona there. It's not CAUs they dropped out. It's cause 737 00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:08,880 Speaker 1: they're in the top twenty. Let's roll it, Colin. That's 738 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,760 Speaker 1: actually one of my biggest takeaways from the top twenty 739 00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:15,120 Speaker 1: five is let's get to the top twenty. Missouri's at twenty. 740 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,560 Speaker 1: Clemson's right back there. Once I found out they had 741 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:21,280 Speaker 1: a pulse that they got a plenty talented enough roster, 742 00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,399 Speaker 1: which goes into a lot of what makes this up. 743 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:27,080 Speaker 1: Clemson's at nineteen. I'll get back to A and M 744 00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:29,680 Speaker 1: because I know you're gonna have questions about that. Oregon 745 00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:34,880 Speaker 1: State's at seventeen, Arizona is to sixteen. I cannot believe 746 00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:36,799 Speaker 1: that because a lot of times, as you guys know, 747 00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:40,480 Speaker 1: what happens with some of these flavor of the month 748 00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 1: type teams is they'll be ranked, but you'll look at 749 00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:46,880 Speaker 1: the JP Pole, you'll look at Bill Connolly's numbers, or 750 00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:49,000 Speaker 1: you'll look at the Vegas odds making numbers, and that 751 00:39:49,040 --> 00:39:53,120 Speaker 1: teams nowhere to be found. And Arizona's the exception, legitimately 752 00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:56,440 Speaker 1: good football team like we would favor them, the model 753 00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 1: would favor them against Clemson if they played today. Never 754 00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:03,000 Speaker 1: thought I'd say that in a million years. ANM's at eighteen. 755 00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:08,719 Speaker 1: I knew and still know that I'll get a ton 756 00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,320 Speaker 1: of pushback on that. I knew, what are they a 757 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:14,960 Speaker 1: four loss team? Now, Jesse, three loss, four loss, probably 758 00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,440 Speaker 1: gonna end up being seven and five, and how in 759 00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:19,160 Speaker 1: the world could they be eighteen. I want you to 760 00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:23,160 Speaker 1: think about this. So our whole purpose with this is 761 00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:28,600 Speaker 1: neutral field favorability. Right. So last week ANM was number sixteen. 762 00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:33,640 Speaker 1: They played the number seventeen team ole Miss at ole Miss. 763 00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:37,479 Speaker 1: So if you factor in home field, that would lead 764 00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,480 Speaker 1: to ole Miss minus about three. According to the model, 765 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:45,279 Speaker 1: ole Miss won by three. The casual looks at that 766 00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:47,800 Speaker 1: and says, A and M lost again. Now you gotta 767 00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,120 Speaker 1: bump them out. The model looks at it and says, 768 00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:54,080 Speaker 1: A and M did exactly what I say it should 769 00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:57,000 Speaker 1: have done. That's the model talking, and so it's not 770 00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:58,480 Speaker 1: going to bump A and M at all. A and 771 00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:02,279 Speaker 1: M went virtually unchained this week. They did exactly what 772 00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:05,640 Speaker 1: they should have done. If they are the sixteenth team 773 00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:08,600 Speaker 1: in the country playing number seventeen in number seventeen's building, 774 00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,839 Speaker 1: they should have lost by about two or three. And 775 00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:14,440 Speaker 1: they did. That's validation. That's not an indictment. That's validation. 776 00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:17,319 Speaker 1: And you either get that or you don't move on 777 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,759 Speaker 1: top fifteen. Here. You know who else? I don't hear 778 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:24,680 Speaker 1: about anymore. I won't hear anyone talking about Oklahoma anymore. Oh, 779 00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 1: you beat Texas and we never bumped them up high, 780 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:31,560 Speaker 1: and we got labeled haters and they were undefeated for 781 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,040 Speaker 1: a while. We never bumped them up anywhere close to 782 00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:37,640 Speaker 1: top five, and now they've lost two games, and we 783 00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:41,319 Speaker 1: hadn't dropped them a whole lot. Why because we had 784 00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:44,480 Speaker 1: Oklahoma pegged right the whole season. It's just that the 785 00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 1: people who called us stupid and called it flawed and whatnot, 786 00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:50,520 Speaker 1: they're nowhere to be found. We show up every week, 787 00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 1: me and the model show up every week. Where are you, guys? 788 00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,719 Speaker 1: I haven't gotten a single apology letter? Jesse? Can you 789 00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,920 Speaker 1: believe that one game can be a prison? As MEMI 790 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:03,839 Speaker 1: used to say, don't fall victim to one game. Oklahoma 791 00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:08,520 Speaker 1: against Texas imprisoned some of you mentally, and you refused 792 00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:10,840 Speaker 1: to look and see there may be some falls on 793 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:15,480 Speaker 1: this team. One game may not spell out the entirety 794 00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:17,520 Speaker 1: of what I need to know about a team. You 795 00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:22,640 Speaker 1: know what else I remember is I remembered that I 796 00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:25,320 Speaker 1: explained this the right way. I said, hey, the JP poles, 797 00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:27,279 Speaker 1: about who would be favored against two on a neutral field? 798 00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:31,080 Speaker 1: According to the model, Well, we favored Texas against Oklahoma 799 00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:33,919 Speaker 1: on a neutral field. They played on a neutral field, 800 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:36,600 Speaker 1: Oklahoma wins on the neutral field. I come out the 801 00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,359 Speaker 1: following week and say, well, we'd favor Texas again if 802 00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,640 Speaker 1: they played on a neutral field, and some of you said, 803 00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:45,200 Speaker 1: that makes no sense. They just played, we saw the game, 804 00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:48,360 Speaker 1: and I told them, you saw one version of the game. 805 00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:51,200 Speaker 1: Texas would still be favored this next week. That was 806 00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:54,600 Speaker 1: never opinion, by the way, just a fact, like oddsmakers 807 00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:57,200 Speaker 1: themselves would have told you that. Anyway. I had some 808 00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:00,799 Speaker 1: of you come back at me and say, no, no, no, 809 00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:03,719 Speaker 1: if the game just happened on a neutral field, the 810 00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:06,640 Speaker 1: team that won would be favored. That's the way it works. 811 00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:08,640 Speaker 1: And I said, you, guys, remember a couple of years 812 00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:14,560 Speaker 1: ago SEC Championship game Bama versus Georgia. George is favored, 813 00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,960 Speaker 1: Bama smokes them forty one to twenty four. They play 814 00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:21,440 Speaker 1: a month later, George is still favored, and by the way, 815 00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:25,720 Speaker 1: guess who won the rematch. So one game is one game, 816 00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:29,480 Speaker 1: that's what it is. Now. The next thing that happens 817 00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:31,440 Speaker 1: is a lot of times people will say, oh, so 818 00:43:31,520 --> 00:43:35,319 Speaker 1: you're telling me outcomes on the field don't matter, no, friend, No, 819 00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:38,360 Speaker 1: This thing right here, what we're doing is in a 820 00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:43,120 Speaker 1: total separate bubble. This isn't even merit. It's not competition. 821 00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:46,080 Speaker 1: That's not what our bubble's about This is a bubble 822 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:50,040 Speaker 1: for people who are interested on what an odds maker 823 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:53,640 Speaker 1: would say about teams this upcoming week. It is futuristic, 824 00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,480 Speaker 1: it's forward thinking. We don't care about what has happened 825 00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,000 Speaker 1: in the past in terms of wins and losses. We 826 00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,480 Speaker 1: only care about that as much as it is baked 827 00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:04,799 Speaker 1: into a very weighted stat profile that makes up a team. 828 00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 1: I do this every week. I don't know why I 829 00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:11,040 Speaker 1: do it week get worked up over this, do it 830 00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 1: every single week. But anyway, so you know, one game, 831 00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:18,600 Speaker 1: what does it mean if we're talking about rankings. If 832 00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:22,560 Speaker 1: I'm on the playoff committee, if Oklahoma hadn't blown their shot, 833 00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:26,000 Speaker 1: I'd have Oklahoma above Texas would have because I care 834 00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:27,840 Speaker 1: about results on the field, But when it comes to 835 00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:30,680 Speaker 1: this sort of thing, I don't because this isn't merit based. 836 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,759 Speaker 1: Washington's at eleven is the other thing that I want 837 00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:35,840 Speaker 1: to point out here. I'll get a ton of blowback 838 00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,719 Speaker 1: on that as well. The model is seen in some 839 00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:42,120 Speaker 1: of the same deficiencies in Washington that it saw with Oklahoma. 840 00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,719 Speaker 1: Not a bad team, really good team. Actually, it's just 841 00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:49,040 Speaker 1: that it thinks the ceiling on Washington is lower and 842 00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:52,920 Speaker 1: there are several teams that it the model would favor 843 00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:56,040 Speaker 1: against Washington. Now, I will tell you this, I believe 844 00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:59,719 Speaker 1: odds makers would disagree with me on this. I do 845 00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:01,640 Speaker 1: not think in other words, Colin, in fact, go ahead 846 00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:05,720 Speaker 1: and show me ten through six. I don't think that Vegas, 847 00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:07,960 Speaker 1: for example, I don't think the folks at fan Duel, 848 00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:13,440 Speaker 1: in other words, would favor Kansas State over Washington. I 849 00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:17,399 Speaker 1: doubt that favor Penn State over Washington. So that's where 850 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,880 Speaker 1: the model has gone a little rogue. But you know what, 851 00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 1: it went rogue on Oklahoma too, and it ended up 852 00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:27,359 Speaker 1: being right. So we'll see Kansas State's ten LSU is nine. 853 00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,719 Speaker 1: LSU wasn't going to drop a whole lot because we 854 00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:31,719 Speaker 1: got Bama rated where they should be, not where the 855 00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:37,360 Speaker 1: AP has them. Penn State has vaulted that little offensive 856 00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:41,200 Speaker 1: outburst they have against Maryland matter to the model. It's 857 00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:43,319 Speaker 1: crazy what it values and what it doesn't. By the way, 858 00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:47,360 Speaker 1: Penn State's at eight jumped up seven spots. Penn State's 859 00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:50,799 Speaker 1: power rating jumped up two point six points from last week. 860 00:45:50,800 --> 00:45:54,480 Speaker 1: That's a big jump for those uninitiated. Texas is seven 861 00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:57,640 Speaker 1: FSU is six. Let's take a look at the top five. 862 00:45:58,160 --> 00:46:02,839 Speaker 1: I believe Bama's five. Yep, it's Ohio State four, Georgia three. 863 00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,200 Speaker 1: Oregon is as high as they've ever been. Oregon is 864 00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:07,160 Speaker 1: our number two team in the country this week. Michigan 865 00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:11,160 Speaker 1: is still number one. We have got a five point 866 00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:17,719 Speaker 1: gap between Michigan and Bama. Oregon and Washington is very 867 00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:20,319 Speaker 1: interesting because that may be a rematch in the PAC 868 00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:24,439 Speaker 1: twelve Championship game, and that'll be the next version of well, 869 00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,759 Speaker 1: we already saw the game and someone won, so how 870 00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:30,720 Speaker 1: could you still favor the team that lost? The model 871 00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:33,560 Speaker 1: would favor Oregon by eight and a half points on 872 00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:36,560 Speaker 1: a neutral field against Washington right now. No way Vegas 873 00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:39,560 Speaker 1: puts that out. So if the game happens and not 874 00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:42,840 Speaker 1: much changes, Oregon will be a massive auto play for 875 00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:47,240 Speaker 1: us because there is no shot that Vegas puts Oregon 876 00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:49,920 Speaker 1: out as an eight point favorite. They will have Oregon favored. 877 00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:54,680 Speaker 1: I bet you they will unless quarterbacks get hurt. Also, 878 00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:57,200 Speaker 1: for those interested in what the model would think about 879 00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:01,640 Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game if it happened today, Georgia minus 880 00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:06,880 Speaker 1: one and a half against Bama. Wow, what a winding 881 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,040 Speaker 1: road it took to basically get to where those teams 882 00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:12,400 Speaker 1: are even again. Now Georgia, folks don't believe they're even. 883 00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:14,799 Speaker 1: Don't worry. You'll probably have your chance to back that 884 00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:17,799 Speaker 1: up with your wallet. If if we're headed where I 885 00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:20,719 Speaker 1: think we're headed. All right, let's dive right back in here, 886 00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:22,640 Speaker 1: because we got a couple more games to break down. 887 00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:24,640 Speaker 1: And I got to speed up because they're about to 888 00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:26,319 Speaker 1: do that rankings reveal, and I got to go on 889 00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:30,399 Speaker 1: HQ in a second. But don't worry, don't worry. We're 890 00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:36,600 Speaker 1: going to do this responsibly. Yeah, let's do this. So 891 00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:39,839 Speaker 1: the CBS three thirty Game of the Week this week 892 00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:43,640 Speaker 1: is Tennessee at Missouri. It's a Wounded Animal special. It 893 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:45,879 Speaker 1: is a wounded Animal spot from Missouri. They just lost 894 00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:49,160 Speaker 1: to Georgia and now they come home. They're a one 895 00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:52,280 Speaker 1: and a half point dog according to fan Duel against Tennessee, 896 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:57,200 Speaker 1: Missouri's fourth ranked opponent in their last five games. This 897 00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,280 Speaker 1: is called the meat of your schedule. In other words, 898 00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:03,480 Speaker 1: I want to remind you again how close we are. 899 00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:08,080 Speaker 1: The SEC East feels decided, but it's not. We are 900 00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:12,320 Speaker 1: so close. We are teetering on a chaos situation where 901 00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:16,080 Speaker 1: if Tennessee wins this game and Georgia loses to Ole 902 00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:19,680 Speaker 1: miss Tennessee. Georgia is for the East next week in 903 00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:23,799 Speaker 1: Kneeland Stadium. That's all it takes. There's not a three, 904 00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:25,600 Speaker 1: four and five on that. That's all it would take. 905 00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:29,759 Speaker 1: The matchup of the day. Here is Tennessee's run game 906 00:48:29,760 --> 00:48:33,840 Speaker 1: against Missouri's run defense. Tennessee is averaging two twenty seven 907 00:48:33,920 --> 00:48:37,120 Speaker 1: per game on the ground. Missouri is allowing one to fourteen. 908 00:48:37,760 --> 00:48:40,000 Speaker 1: So that's third in the country for Tennessee. That's about 909 00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:43,080 Speaker 1: twenty sixth in the country from Missouri. If Tennessee can 910 00:48:43,160 --> 00:48:45,480 Speaker 1: run the ball, of course, I don't really need to 911 00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:47,520 Speaker 1: tell you how much that opens up their explosive play 912 00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:51,000 Speaker 1: potential through the air. But they didn't have that against Florida. 913 00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:52,920 Speaker 1: They didn't run the ball well. They didn't run the 914 00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,120 Speaker 1: ball well in the second half against Bama. And so 915 00:48:55,160 --> 00:48:58,960 Speaker 1: if Missouri possesses the ability to bottle up or duplicate 916 00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:00,920 Speaker 1: some of what they were able to do, both of 917 00:49:00,920 --> 00:49:03,360 Speaker 1: those were Tennessee on the road. This is Tennessee on 918 00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:05,319 Speaker 1: the road here. Well, then all of a sudden, my 919 00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:08,920 Speaker 1: eyes turned to Brady Cook, quarterback there at Missouri. He 920 00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:11,560 Speaker 1: started hot his last three games have been nothing to 921 00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:14,200 Speaker 1: ride home about. Passing numbers have dropped off a cliff. 922 00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:19,839 Speaker 1: But while Tennessee's pretty good against the run, their pass 923 00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:24,880 Speaker 1: defense is fifty fourth in the country. So maybe, just maybe, 924 00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:28,120 Speaker 1: this is where Brady Cook finds his second win Missouri. 925 00:49:28,239 --> 00:49:30,560 Speaker 1: It's a funny thing, by the way, about how they 926 00:49:30,640 --> 00:49:33,319 Speaker 1: score when they get in the red zone. There is 927 00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:36,520 Speaker 1: nobody better in America at scoring. They are thirty seven 928 00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:39,840 Speaker 1: of thirty eight in red zone scoring opportunities. The problem 929 00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:42,480 Speaker 1: is it's all field goals. They are fortieth in the 930 00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:44,799 Speaker 1: country in touchdown rate. They don't break the end zone. 931 00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:47,239 Speaker 1: That's what hurt him against Georgia. Georgia had a lot 932 00:49:47,280 --> 00:49:48,920 Speaker 1: to say about that and a lot to do with that. 933 00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:51,920 Speaker 1: They got to score sevens or score sixes and then 934 00:49:51,960 --> 00:49:53,799 Speaker 1: do whatever they want to after that. Keep an eye 935 00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:56,040 Speaker 1: on Tennessee's pass rush in this game, by the way. 936 00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:59,200 Speaker 1: They're a top ten sack unit. It's the best pass 937 00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:02,680 Speaker 1: rush Missouri will have faced. Luther Burden is questionable in 938 00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:05,120 Speaker 1: this game, by the way, which would change the entire 939 00:50:05,160 --> 00:50:08,439 Speaker 1: dynamic of their attack. As you see, the fan dual 940 00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:10,759 Speaker 1: number is Tennessee minus one and a half. Colin what 941 00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:13,640 Speaker 1: does the model thing. You want to talk about some 942 00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:17,760 Speaker 1: tight numbers this week one and a half fandual number, 943 00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:23,240 Speaker 1: peate state model number dead even I trust Josh Heipel 944 00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:28,319 Speaker 1: in this spot. Trust to Josh when going gets tough, 945 00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:30,680 Speaker 1: and so I'm going to go Tennessee to win and 946 00:50:30,680 --> 00:50:33,279 Speaker 1: cover minus one and a half is essentially the same thing. 947 00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,560 Speaker 1: And I am going to really be interested if that 948 00:50:37,680 --> 00:50:40,400 Speaker 1: goes down, because obviously then all eyes turned to that 949 00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:43,040 Speaker 1: Georgia Ole Miss game that night. Tennessee got a ton 950 00:50:43,120 --> 00:50:45,319 Speaker 1: to play for here, and you can see the light 951 00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:47,399 Speaker 1: at the end of tunnel. Now, it's tough when you're 952 00:50:47,400 --> 00:50:50,720 Speaker 1: still in late October. There's so many variables. But now 953 00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:55,000 Speaker 1: you understand, we win this game, Lane Kiffin does something 954 00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:56,840 Speaker 1: for us for a change, and then all of a 955 00:50:56,880 --> 00:51:01,799 Speaker 1: sudden game on next week. Woof. I happen to know 956 00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:05,439 Speaker 1: some folks high up in management around CBS that would 957 00:51:05,480 --> 00:51:09,799 Speaker 1: not be mad if that were to happen. Jesse, let's 958 00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:14,600 Speaker 1: make an executive call here, Let's do usc Oregon Thursday night, 959 00:51:16,640 --> 00:51:20,480 Speaker 1: because well, we're behind schedule right now. I do have 960 00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:24,400 Speaker 1: a flight to catch. After all, they're watching us in Louisville, Kentucky, Houston, 961 00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:27,279 Speaker 1: Texas and Bismarck, North Dakota. I do want to tell 962 00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 1: you one thing. We were just talking about the number 963 00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:33,360 Speaker 1: on that game, and you know, I would imagine a 964 00:51:33,400 --> 00:51:36,640 Speaker 1: lot of folks, especially around Nashville, look at Tennessee minus 965 00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:38,520 Speaker 1: one and a half and say, oh, give it to me, 966 00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:41,319 Speaker 1: we'll go take it. But do it at FanDuel. That's 967 00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:43,680 Speaker 1: my advice to you. Do it at FanDuel. We are 968 00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:47,360 Speaker 1: proud to partner with them. Right now, new FanDuel customers, 969 00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:49,279 Speaker 1: And I want you to listen close because it's going 970 00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:51,879 Speaker 1: to sound like I misspeak, but I'm not. You get 971 00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:55,480 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets guaranteed when 972 00:51:55,520 --> 00:51:58,120 Speaker 1: you place a five dollars bet. Do the math there. 973 00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:00,560 Speaker 1: It really works out in your favor. That's one hundred 974 00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:04,160 Speaker 1: and fifty bucks in bonus bet if you bet five dollars. 975 00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,440 Speaker 1: And I don't care if you win or lose. Let 976 00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:08,720 Speaker 1: me rephrase, they don't care if you win or lose. 977 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,920 Speaker 1: I'll be real with you. They'd prefer you lose. They 978 00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:13,880 Speaker 1: don't want me to tell you that, but we know 979 00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:17,040 Speaker 1: how it works. That's why we mount Up. We in 980 00:52:17,080 --> 00:52:19,799 Speaker 1: this show Mount Up with the ram Noodle Express every 981 00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:23,600 Speaker 1: week and we go to battle. We got their friends. 982 00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:26,200 Speaker 1: FanDuel's our friend, but we go to battle against them 983 00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:28,760 Speaker 1: every Saturday. I'll give you some best bets in a second. Actually, 984 00:52:29,160 --> 00:52:32,960 Speaker 1: just go to FanDuel dot com backslash CFB promotion if 985 00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:34,680 Speaker 1: you don't feel like typing that. The link is right 986 00:52:34,719 --> 00:52:38,080 Speaker 1: here in the YouTube description. So go there and get 987 00:52:38,080 --> 00:52:42,120 Speaker 1: your money. You get your coin. Everybody else has got 988 00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,160 Speaker 1: some out there, go get some of your own. Must 989 00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:46,920 Speaker 1: be twenty one or over and present in select states. 990 00:52:47,080 --> 00:52:50,040 Speaker 1: FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an 991 00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:53,799 Speaker 1: agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC. First online real money 992 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:57,640 Speaker 1: wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is 993 00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:01,080 Speaker 1: non withdrawable. Bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt. 994 00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:04,879 Speaker 1: Gambling problem, call one eight hundred, gambler, or visitfanduel dot 995 00:53:04,920 --> 00:53:12,760 Speaker 1: com backslash RG. In Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, 996 00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:16,200 Speaker 1: and Virginia, call one eight hundred, next step or text 997 00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:19,400 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two. In Arizona 998 00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,560 Speaker 1: one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven 999 00:53:22,640 --> 00:53:27,239 Speaker 1: seven or visit ccpg dot org backslash chat in Connecticut 1000 00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:30,759 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana one 1001 00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:33,680 Speaker 1: eight hundred five two two forty seven hundred, or visit 1002 00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:37,520 Speaker 1: KS gambling heelp dot com in Kansas one eight seven 1003 00:53:37,640 --> 00:53:42,040 Speaker 1: seven seven seven oh stop in Louisiana. Visit MD gambling 1004 00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:45,440 Speaker 1: heelp dot org in Maryland. Visit one eight hundred gambler 1005 00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:48,520 Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia, or call one eight hundred 1006 00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:52,160 Speaker 1: five two two forty seven hundred in Wyoming. Hope is here. 1007 00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:56,640 Speaker 1: Visit gambling heelpline MA dot org or call eight hundred 1008 00:53:56,880 --> 00:53:59,800 Speaker 1: three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support 1009 00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:03,160 Speaker 1: in Massachusetts, or call one eight seven seven eight hope 1010 00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:07,080 Speaker 1: dash in Why or text hope and why in New York. 1011 00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:11,800 Speaker 1: Speaking of which, you know, when FanDuel and I were talking, 1012 00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:15,600 Speaker 1: they said, Hey, the Rama Noodle Express, how do we 1013 00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:18,120 Speaker 1: get to be a part of that? And I said, well, 1014 00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:21,280 Speaker 1: just like this, the Rama Noodle Express, presented by FanDuel 1015 00:54:21,760 --> 00:54:25,080 Speaker 1: is ready to add one to three more best bets, 1016 00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:28,359 Speaker 1: and so we already put pitt minus one on here 1017 00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:30,560 Speaker 1: that move to three. I hope you got on that early. 1018 00:54:30,920 --> 00:54:32,719 Speaker 1: Ball State plus ten and a half was down to 1019 00:54:32,800 --> 00:54:34,440 Speaker 1: nine and a half at last check. Hope you got 1020 00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:36,560 Speaker 1: on that one early in the games tonight. By the way, 1021 00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:41,120 Speaker 1: I'm adding three more games here. I love Oregon minus 1022 00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:44,839 Speaker 1: fourteen and a half. I love that number. I think 1023 00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:47,040 Speaker 1: people look at it and they're scared because it's fourteen 1024 00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:50,160 Speaker 1: and a half. Uh huh uh should be closer to twenty. 1025 00:54:50,560 --> 00:54:52,799 Speaker 1: And So we're taking Oregon minus fourteen and a half, 1026 00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:56,920 Speaker 1: Texas Tech plus three and a half against Kansas. Tricky 1027 00:54:56,960 --> 00:55:00,000 Speaker 1: spot for Kansas with Kansas State on deck next week. 1028 00:55:00,600 --> 00:55:03,319 Speaker 1: And you just heard me about fifteen minutes ago tell 1029 00:55:03,320 --> 00:55:06,680 Speaker 1: you Penn State plus five and a half. We're thinking 1030 00:55:06,680 --> 00:55:08,359 Speaker 1: they may win outright, So we're going to take them 1031 00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:11,920 Speaker 1: plus the points. Penn State, Texas Tech, Oregon, ball State, 1032 00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:15,280 Speaker 1: and pitt Those were our five best bets. Hey about 1033 00:55:15,320 --> 00:55:17,279 Speaker 1: to go up to New York later tonight. Be on 1034 00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:22,120 Speaker 1: Inside College Football Tomorrow night, Normal Show Thursday night. So 1035 00:55:22,200 --> 00:55:24,480 Speaker 1: a lot going on. Keep everyone's fingers crossed that the 1036 00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:27,080 Speaker 1: voice holds up. Appreciate you guys as always. Make sure 1037 00:55:27,120 --> 00:55:29,480 Speaker 1: you subscribe to the channel and subscribe to the podcast. 1038 00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:32,240 Speaker 1: By the way, if you have for producer Jesse, director Colin, 1039 00:55:32,480 --> 00:55:34,480 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Fate, take care, have a great rest. 1040 00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:44,839 Speaker 2: Of your evening, and God bless. 1041 00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:51,000 Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or over and present in select states. 1042 00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:54,120 Speaker 1: FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an 1043 00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:57,919 Speaker 1: agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC. First online real money 1044 00:55:57,920 --> 00:56:01,719 Speaker 1: wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is 1045 00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:05,200 Speaker 1: non withdrawable. Bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt. 1046 00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:09,520 Speaker 1: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visitfanduel dot com, 1047 00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:16,800 Speaker 1: backslash RG and Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, 1048 00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:20,320 Speaker 1: and Virginia. Call one eight hundred, next step or text 1049 00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:23,520 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona 1050 00:56:24,000 --> 00:56:27,120 Speaker 1: one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven, 1051 00:56:27,400 --> 00:56:31,839 Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut one 1052 00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:35,399 Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana one eight hundred, 1053 00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:38,840 Speaker 1: five two two forty seven hundred, or visit ks gambling 1054 00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:42,640 Speaker 1: heelp dot com in Kansas one eight seven seven seven 1055 00:56:42,719 --> 00:56:47,080 Speaker 1: seven oh stop in Louisiana visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org 1056 00:56:47,160 --> 00:56:50,200 Speaker 1: in Maryland. Visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in 1057 00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:53,399 Speaker 1: West Virginia, or call one eight hundred five two two 1058 00:56:53,680 --> 00:56:57,640 Speaker 1: forty seven hundred. In Wyoming, Hope is here. Visit gambling 1059 00:56:57,680 --> 00:57:01,200 Speaker 1: Heelpline MA dot org or call call eight hundred three 1060 00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:04,840 Speaker 1: two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, 1061 00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:07,960 Speaker 1: or call one eight seven seven eight hope dash in 1062 00:57:08,239 --> 00:57:11,160 Speaker 1: y or text hope and why in New York