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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt PEARLTZ.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and we're taping this. It's currently

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Speaker 2: ten o'clock in the morning on the West Coast, so

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Speaker 2: one am one pm Eastern time. So the reason is

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Speaker 2: I'm about to do the Bostonian Versus of the Book,

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Speaker 2: which is my other show that I'm teaching at UNLV,

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Speaker 2: and then I'm on a plane. I don't get to

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Speaker 2: New England until one am Eastern. Then I got a

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Speaker 2: drive from Boston to New Hampshire which will get me

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Speaker 2: there around two am or so. There's no time to

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Speaker 2: tape this, so I have to tape this early. But

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Speaker 2: the plays for today, I've already given you the plays

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Speaker 2: on the Tuesday live stream that's Rell Furman and I

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Speaker 2: do every Tuesday at five thirty Eastern on the YouTube channel.

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Speaker 2: We are also doing Twitch streams on Saturday morning. No

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Speaker 2: longer the Discord channel chat, which happens at eleven am

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Speaker 2: on Saturday mornings. We're now doing it on Twitch, Twitch

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Speaker 2: dot Tv, Slash Fantasy Pros. That is our sister. We're

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Speaker 2: kind of combining with our sister's site using their Twitch

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Speaker 2: channel kind of to see if it works, to see

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Speaker 2: if you guys will go over there and basically you know,

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Speaker 2: hang out on Twitch as well. So new audience, new platform,

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Speaker 2: all that good junk. So that happens Saturday morning. That'll

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Speaker 2: be for the Elite eight. So I get places for

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Speaker 2: today on Thursday, I have plays for Friday, which I'll

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Speaker 2: give you at some point during Thursday when I tape

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Speaker 2: heading into Friday. Now, there very well might be an

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Speaker 2: NBA player prop that I give you guys on Thursday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: during the day, I may get up on the East

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Speaker 2: Coast and see a play I like, and I'll post

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Speaker 2: it there on the Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com slash Chat.

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Speaker 2: I will also put it on the app at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt on the Betting Pros app.

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Speaker 1: There could be two, could be one.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, but I will potentially have more than

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Speaker 2: just the three plays I'm gonna give you right now.

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Speaker 2: For Thursday's NC DOUBLEA Tournament Sweet sixteen games. There are

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Speaker 2: four games on Thursday, four games on Friday. I'm going

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Speaker 2: to be involved in all four. I'll explain how here

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Speaker 2: in just one second. But before we tell you about

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Speaker 2: the place for Thursday, a reminder about the NC doublea

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Speaker 2: pickum contest that's going on right now. It's being presented

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Speaker 2: by FanDuel. To enter, you go to Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 2: slash Contests. It's one hundred percent free. You have a

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Speaker 2: chance to compete for up to one thousand dollars in

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Speaker 2: fandual DFS credits, autographed jerseys, annual Betting Pros subscriptions, in more,

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Speaker 2: all being presented by FanDuel. You can do it against

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Speaker 2: the spread, you can do it straight up. It happens

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Speaker 2: all throughout the entire tournament. So we're not done yet

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Speaker 2: with the Betting Pros and to Douba Pick Them contest

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Speaker 2: presented by FanDuel. To enter, go to Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 2: slash contests. Now, like I was telling you, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to put the hopefully the player props one or two

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Speaker 2: on the app if you want to do your own research.

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Speaker 2: We went one in three a couple days ago yesterday

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Speaker 2: on the player props, so we didn't do great yesterday,

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Speaker 2: but we've done pretty well. They went and corrected the record,

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Speaker 2: by the way, that record was wrong.

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Speaker 1: I was right.

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Speaker 2: I mean the record, I think the record officially now

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Speaker 2: is like forty two and twenty one or something like that.

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Speaker 2: But like we're way up, like it was only like

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Speaker 2: eleven games up and that wasn't right. I was like,

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Speaker 2: that record's wrong, Like we're way up on that. We're

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Speaker 2: over twenty plus twenty on the NBA player props. But

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Speaker 2: so that's being corrected. We didn't have a bad day.

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Speaker 2: But if you guys want to do your own research,

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Speaker 2: easy time to do it. Just go and download the

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros app and use the code ju to get

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Speaker 2: a seven day free trial, very easy, seven day free

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Speaker 2: trial of Betting Pros Premium. You can use the prop

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Speaker 2: bet cheat sheet, you can use the prop bet analyzer

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Speaker 2: for the NBA, and you can really find a way

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Speaker 2: to make your own pick in place. There is a

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Speaker 2: very real potential that I will not bet NBA player

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Speaker 2: props overnight for the rest of the season. The amount

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Speaker 2: of players like I get a notification whenever a player

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Speaker 2: gets scratched, The amount of notifications I'm getting on my

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Speaker 2: phone right now for the NBA is ridiculous, And we

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Speaker 2: got burned with the Donovan Mitchell thing a couple days ago,

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Speaker 2: and so he was probable or he was questionable, I guess,

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Speaker 2: and I scratched him, changed the whole handicap. I went

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Speaker 2: oh in too because Darius Garland took every shot, so

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Speaker 2: we were bet in the under on Darius Garland. But

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Speaker 2: that's because he normally is the secondary option, not the

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Speaker 2: primary option when Donovan Mitchell's on the court. So I

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Speaker 2: very well and I used to do this until we

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Speaker 2: got super hot. Once we got to hot, I was like, ah, okay,

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Speaker 2: we'll do it. Overnight prop betcheat sheets really meant to

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Speaker 2: be done day of so I was sort of, you know,

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Speaker 2: we got into a good rut. We got into a

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Speaker 2: good run, but I mainly very well need to go

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Speaker 2: back like it is today where we give out the

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Speaker 2: overnight games and the props come during the day on

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Speaker 2: either the Betting pros app or on Discord or both.

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Speaker 2: Today it'll be on both so at sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 2: on both the Discord channel the search and on the

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros app. You can get there by going to

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot com slash sports Talkmat. I believe that handle

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Speaker 2: that url still works, but download the app, use Juice

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Speaker 2: the code, get the betting Pros premium, and you can

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Speaker 2: see everything yourself. If you want to do your own

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Speaker 2: handicapping for the NBA player props here for tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's start with BYU and Alabama again. If you were

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Speaker 2: on the live stream, you know I'm on BYU. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I've taken five and a half. It's a pretty simple handicap. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I don't believe that Alabama's defense can stop BYU. In fact,

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Speaker 2: I have BYU winning the game outright, so I think

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Speaker 2: this is a bad matchup for Alabama. The total for

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Speaker 2: this game is one of the most ridiculous things I've

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Speaker 2: ever seen in the NCUBA tournament. It just keeps on climbing.

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Speaker 2: It won't stop, and I'm and I'm actually like kind

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Speaker 2: of going, how high are we going to go? It's

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Speaker 2: one seventy five and a half for an NCAA tournament game.

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Speaker 2: It opened up in one seventy one and a half,

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Speaker 2: or at one seventy five and a half.

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Speaker 1: This is wow.

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Speaker 2: BYU and Bama both shoot a ton of threes. They

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Speaker 2: both are incredibly fast in terms of pace, and they

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Speaker 2: both don't play a ton of defense. Okay, BYU almost

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Speaker 2: blew it in their last game because you know, they

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Speaker 2: wound up not playing great defense down the stretch and

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Speaker 2: they almost lost. But BYU, according to Kempum, they are

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Speaker 2: the second lowest Ken Palm ranked team left in the tournament.

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Speaker 2: Only Arkansas at thirty six is lower than BYU at

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Speaker 2: twenty fourth. I don't care. This is a five point

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Speaker 2: loss according to ken Palm, eighty nine to eighty four.

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Speaker 2: And while I told you going into the dance, I

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Speaker 2: love the draw for BYU, I like the VCU matchup,

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Speaker 2: I love the Wisconsin matchup, and I love the Alabama matchup.

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Speaker 2: I mean, these are these are the teams that b

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Speaker 2: YU wants to see. You know, they want to see

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Speaker 2: a team that they're going to get into a three

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Speaker 2: point shooting contest with. And BYU is twenty eighth and

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Speaker 2: three point shooting in the country. They are sharpshooters, Okay,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and sixteenth for Alabama. Defensively, the Tide, they're

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Speaker 2: good defending the three. They're twenty second in defending the three,

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Speaker 2: but byused offense efficiency they are ninth. Effective field goal

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Speaker 2: percentage they're sixth. Okay, Alabama is fourth and effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage is eleventh. For efficiency and offense fourth and

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Speaker 2: efficient and EFFECTI field percentage, they're eleventh. BYU's defense is

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Speaker 2: good enough. Okay, they're good enough. They're not great defending

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Speaker 2: the three, by the way, but Bama's not great shooting

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Speaker 2: the three. Bama's really good with two point shots and

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Speaker 2: rim runs and whatnot. And they're gonna have to take

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Speaker 2: care of Grant and Nelson and not let Mark Sears

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Speaker 2: get to the rim. And I think they've got the

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Speaker 2: defense to be able to do it. I think BYU

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Speaker 2: can can do some good things defensively here to slow

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Speaker 2: down Bama's dribble penetration. And I like Kevin young Alott

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Speaker 2: here as to the year he's had. They've had some

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Speaker 2: big wins and they've been hot. The only game they

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Speaker 2: have lost since February the eighth is against Houston. They've

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Speaker 2: won everything else. Okay, they lost by twenty in the

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Speaker 2: Big Twelve tournament to Houston. There's no shame in that. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's Houston. Everything else, it's Kansas State, Kansas, Arizona, Arizona State,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State, Wisconsin, Iowa State twice. I mean, these are

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Speaker 2: teams I mean they scored ninety six on Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: They can score ninety six on Alabama. Give me the

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Speaker 2: points plus five and a half for BYU up against Alabama.

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Speaker 2: I mentioned Arkansas, Arkansas. Maybe people are sleeping on Arkansas

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Speaker 2: just a little bit. They may get healthy, okay, and

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Speaker 2: they may get some players back who THEEO may play. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they already got Boogie flanback. They're getting healthy. This team

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Speaker 2: had huge expectations coming into the year because the number

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Speaker 2: of NBA prospects that they had and how much nil

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Speaker 2: money John Kellapari spent. John Kellapari is a Hall of Famer.

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Speaker 2: How is he one hundred and twenty to one to

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Speaker 2: win the NAA Tournament. If you don't have a sprinkle

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Speaker 2: on Arkansas to win it all, you're leaving money on

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Speaker 2: the table. Not because they may win it if they

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Speaker 2: get to the final four. It's the hedge of hedge opportunities. Now,

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Speaker 2: they got to win this game obviously against Texas Tech

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Speaker 2: six point loss according to Kenpom. I think they win

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Speaker 2: the game outright now. I'm taking the points obviously at

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Speaker 2: five and a half. But Texas Tech I like topping

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Speaker 2: a lot. But I think with extra time to prepare.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, man.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think this is kind of where the

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Speaker 2: magic may run out here. For Texas Tech, they had

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Speaker 2: some games this year and they lost to Arizona, they

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Speaker 2: lost to TCU, they lost to Arizon twice. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they beat Drake, and but that was a game until

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Speaker 2: about five minutes to go. This is a much better

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Speaker 2: team than Drake. This is a much more athletic team.

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Speaker 2: And again, this is a team rounding into form in March.

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Speaker 2: That is scary. They're not tired, they're getting healthy, they're

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Speaker 2: not banged up, They're getting basically their whole team back.

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Speaker 2: I think this Arkansas team, I think the books are

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Speaker 2: really disrespecting Arkansas here. I know, Ken Palm and the

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Speaker 2: numbers and everything else won Arkansas plus five and a half,

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Speaker 2: but you would one hundred percent should go and shop.

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Speaker 2: It was plus one thirty yesterday for Arkansas when I

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Speaker 2: took it, five bucks.

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Speaker 1: Put a cup of coffee on it.

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Speaker 2: You don't gonna put a lot on it, just put

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Speaker 2: something on it just to have it so you can

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Speaker 2: work off of it. If Arkansas beats Texas Tech, I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is gonna be really interesting to see how the

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Speaker 2: whole thing plays out. But do you put it past

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Speaker 2: John Keliparti to shock the world because I don't.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't. This is why they hired him.

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Speaker 2: This is you know, the players are playing if you will. Okay,

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Speaker 2: these are these are talented, talented basketball players. And Boogie

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Speaker 2: Flann looks like he feels good. If they beat Texas Tech,

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Speaker 2: Arkansas is gonna match against Florida, their conference mate. Okay,

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Speaker 2: if by chance Maryland beats Florida, Oh my, Arkansas is

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Speaker 2: beating Maryland to get to the final four. So that's like,

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Speaker 2: oh my, but you have art again. If you have

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Speaker 2: a plus, you have one thirty to one ticket on

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Speaker 2: this talk about hedging opportunities, you should absolutely be taking

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Speaker 2: Arkansas to win the national championship at plus one thirty. Finally,

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Speaker 2: this handicap is not special. But I bet it on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I'm betting it again on Thursday. Duke money line Florida

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Speaker 2: money line. Mine's one fifty two getting kind of expensive.

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Speaker 1: Don't care. Duke is killing.

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Speaker 2: Everyone against Arizona. They may cover, notine and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's a lot of points. Not interted in laying nine

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Speaker 2: and a half points in a Sweet Sixteen game. But

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Speaker 2: I don't think Duke loses the game. I think Arizona

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Speaker 2: may push him a little bit, but Duke's not losing

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Speaker 2: the game. Duke hasn't been pushed yet. Florida's been pushed,

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Speaker 2: Duke has not, So maybe Arizona's the team to pushes Duke,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not really worried about it.

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Speaker 1: I think Duke wins. It may be a.

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Speaker 2: Little sweat, but person to person, player to player, Duke

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Speaker 2: is just better. Doesn't mean they'll win guaranteed, but I

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Speaker 2: think that they do. And then Florida against Maryland, like

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I think Florida had their scare, they didn't

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Speaker 2: get burned. Maryland had their scare, and they walked traveled

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Speaker 2: to the Sweet sixteen. Not so lucky to you take

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Speaker 2: on a Florida team has extra time to prep. If

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Speaker 2: Florida was playing Maryland on one day's rest, I might

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Speaker 2: think Maryland could hang. But I like Queen, but Florida

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Speaker 2: is just kind of like a better version of Maryland.

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Speaker 2: Their second in offensive efficiency, their thirty fifth in effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage. Maryland offensively is twenty second in efficiency,

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Speaker 2: fifty ninth in effective field goal percentage Duke defensively is

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Speaker 2: tenth in efficiency on defense their fifth and effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage on defense, Maryland is sixth in efficiency on defense,

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Speaker 2: and they're twenty first in effective field goal percentage on

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Speaker 2: defense Maryland all year stats wise. Talking about Ken Palm

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Speaker 2: and the national champion, Maryland's been in that category where

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Speaker 2: they have the numbers that qualify for the Kenpom trends

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Speaker 2: of national champions over the last thirty years. They're just

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Speaker 2: running into the wrong team here, like this is bad.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I know Derek Queen's great, and I know

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Speaker 2: Rodney Rice can really shoot, but Walter Clayton is a

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Speaker 2: different animal. I mean, this kid is unbelievable. He is

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Speaker 2: the best guard in college basketball. He played like it

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Speaker 2: down the stretch. And again, I think Florida got their

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Speaker 2: scare already. I think Will Richard and company and Alex

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Speaker 2: Condon they go to work, extra rest and extra chances

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Speaker 2: to get ready here. It stinks that it's all the

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Speaker 2: way in Florida, So I mean all the way in

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Speaker 2: San Francisco. So two East Coast teams are playing out west.

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Speaker 2: There's no real advantage there on this Gator fans travel

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Speaker 2: Maryland do two but eight straight wins for Florida, make

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Speaker 2: it nine Florida money line parlayed with Duke money line. Okay,

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Speaker 2: sorry we didn't. That didn't get put up. Let me

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Speaker 2: put up that right, that slide so you guys can

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Speaker 2: can have it here for us, there is your slide.

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Speaker 2: BUYU plus five and a half Arkansas plus five and

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Speaker 2: a half Duke in Florida money line. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to play around with either spread here with that, and

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Speaker 2: like I mentioned, there very well might be two NBA

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Speaker 2: player props to be added on the Betting Pros app

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Speaker 2: and on the discord channel bettingpros dot com slash chat.

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Speaker 2: To get in and download the Betting Pros app and

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Speaker 2: use the code Juice for a seven day free trial

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Speaker 2: of Betting Pros Premium.

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Speaker 1: Mine's Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 2: I'll talk to you from New Hampshire coming up for

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Speaker 2: the Thursday night into a Friday morning for the other games,

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Speaker 2: the four remaining games for the Sweet sixteen coming up

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Speaker 2: following me.

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Speaker 1: Because all my socials

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Speaker 2: At Sports Talk Matt every single morning wherever you guys

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Speaker 2: get your podcasts, it is the daily Juice