1 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh, Rio to Washington, 2 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg Well unders to San Francisco, 3 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine to the Country Serious Exam General one nine 4 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio plus Jappen Bloomberg 5 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: got gone. This is taking stock commercial real estate. Where 6 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: is this very important market heading. I'm Kathleen HAZELNG with 7 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: PIM Fox. We're gonna be speaking to the president and 8 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 1: CEO of Marcus and Miller Champions based in Encino, California, 9 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:39,480 Speaker 1: for the largest brokerage firm in the country that specializes 10 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: in commercial real estate, and they see steady job growth 11 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: creating demand for both housing and commercial space. Pim and 12 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: I want to know a little bit more about the 13 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 1: choices that people make when they decide where to locate, 14 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: for example, urban centers, close knit communities, maybe over suburbs. 15 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 1: Will find out more, but right now, let's find out 16 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: all the business news from Charlie Pellett and the Bloomberg News. 17 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: All right, thank you very much, PIM, thank you, Kathleen, 18 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: The dal the SMP NEZDAC all advancing on this Friday, 19 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: May SMPT five hundred index rebounding from a seven week low, 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: and we are brought to you by Carbonite. You never 21 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: know when disaster will strike your business, from spilled coffee 22 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: to malware attacks. Protect your digital files with secure automatic 23 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: cloud back up from Carbonite. Visit carbonite dot com today 24 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: to get two three months with offer code broadcast. SMPT 25 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: five hundred index up fifteen points, a gain of eight 26 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent, as DAK is up sixty one points, 27 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: a gain of one point three percent, and the down 28 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 1: Jones Industrial Average climbing now by ninety four points. It 29 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 1: is higher by five tenths of one percent. Applied Materials 30 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: surging today after its earnings beat estimates. Supply Materials up 31 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: thirteen point five percent, up to sixty eight to two 32 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: dollars and fifty nine cents. Michael O'Rourke is chief markets 33 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: out of just A Jones trading. On Bloomberg Television today, 34 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: he said, we may be looking at the start of 35 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: a bear market, and that's because of a lack of 36 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: new highs about three and a half percent from the 37 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: from the all time higher registered a year ago. And 38 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: you know time and price are key things in the 39 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: stock market, so what's working for the market right now 40 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: is prices held up. Obviously times working against us, and 41 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 1: what we have is a negative fundamental backdrop and of 42 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: course fed tightening and some decelerating data in the economy 43 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: that's keeping the market from breaking out. So the next 44 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: six months or so I think are going to be 45 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: pivotal because if you if you don't actively make that 46 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: new high, it becomes harder and harder as time goes on. 47 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: And gold down a dollar now a drop of point 48 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: one percent to thirty two on Wall Street. Now, let's 49 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 1: look at other news from around the world. Charlie thank 50 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: you from the Bloomberg news room, and Mark Crumpton. Three 51 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: European security officials say the passenger manifest for egypt Air 52 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: flight eight oh four contained no known names on current 53 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 1: terror watch lists. That's according to the Associated Press with 54 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: sites officials who were not authorized to speak about the 55 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: ongoing investigation. The passenger manifest was leaked online and has 56 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: not been officially verified by egypt Are. Flight eight oh 57 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 1: four was carrying sixty six people from Paris to Cairo Thursday, 58 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:19,119 Speaker 1: when it's believed to have crashed. Officials say some wreckage 59 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: has been found, including human remains. Family members of those 60 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: who were on board a missing egypt Air flight gathered 61 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: in the Cairo Mosque today to pray for the victims, 62 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: many breaking into tears as they were in prayer. One 63 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 1: man with four relatives on the plane says it's very 64 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: hard for the family, and another says his family is 65 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 1: holding out hope their loved ones might still be alive. 66 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: Egyptian officials say it is not likely there are any 67 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: survivors Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio Washington with or without symptoms. 68 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: The Zico virus is linked to birth defects. That warning 69 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: from federal officials today. President Obama's urging Congress to approve 70 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: the one point nine billion dollars he's asked for to 71 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 1: fight the mosquito boy and virus. This is not something 72 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: where we can build a wall to prevent mosquitoes and 73 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: don't go through customers. The agency that owns the World 74 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: Trade Center has reached a deal to end a payment 75 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 1: dispute with a firm that worked on the site. The 76 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: Wall Street Journal reports the Port Authority will pay twelve 77 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:20,559 Speaker 1: point three million to Colvino Construction Company. Global News twenty 78 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: four hours a day, powered by our hundred journalists in 79 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,679 Speaker 1: more than one hundred fifty news bureaus around the world. 80 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: From the Bloomberg news Room by Mark Crumpton. Charlie, and 81 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: we thank you in this headline to pass along. Mexico 82 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: says l Chapo Guzman's extradition has been approved. SMP five 83 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: hundred index up fourteen points as we recap now the 84 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 1: SMP of two thousand fifty four, a gain of seven 85 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. I'm Charlie Pellaton. That's a Bloomberg 86 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: business flash. You're listening to taking stock with pin Box 87 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: and Kathleen News on Broomberg Radio. A new report by 88 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: the Real Estate Board of New York There's spring retail 89 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 1: report says that discounting is a theme, at least in 90 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 1: cities such as New York. While commercial real estate remains 91 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: fundamentally strong, there is a slowdown that is occurring both 92 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,359 Speaker 1: at the national and in global marketplaces. Let's find out 93 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 1: more from Hassan Naji. He is the president and the 94 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:25,359 Speaker 1: chief executive of Marcus Millichap based in Encino, California. Hassan, 95 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: thank you very much for being with us. Tell us 96 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:31,559 Speaker 1: your view of the commercial real estate market today. Happy 97 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 1: to do it. Thanks for having me on the program. 98 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: Always good to be talking with you, PIM. The environment 99 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: for commercial real estate has been ideal in the in 100 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: the fact that we have steady job creation, but not 101 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 1: at a rate that is causing a lot of inflation, 102 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 1: which is given the feed a lot of flexibility. So 103 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 1: you have a combination of improving fundamentals on the supply 104 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: and demand of commercial real estate. Plenty of demand coming 105 00:05:56,120 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 1: in for office space, for apartments, for retail space, and 106 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: so on, occupying more and more space and paying higher 107 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 1: rents at a time when the valuations have been supported 108 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 1: by low interest rates, and so the yield of commercial 109 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: real estate has been compelling for the last several years 110 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 1: and remains very compelling in the average of the five 111 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,919 Speaker 1: or seven percent nationally across the whole spectrum of commercial 112 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 1: real estate at a time of as you know, a 113 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 1: lot of our altility in the stock market and uncertainty elsewhere. 114 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 1: Some how much has the rising home prices in some 115 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 1: parts of California, as you well know, a large part 116 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: of the populationship priced out of home buying if you 117 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 1: look at their their income and debt to income ratios, etcetera. 118 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: More people renting more apartment buildings being built. How's that 119 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 1: played out for commercial real estate. It's been a very 120 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: favorable trend for apartments in that rental demand has been 121 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 1: at record levels for now several years, partially because of 122 00:06:56,880 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 1: the affordability that you're speaking to, and partially because of 123 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,480 Speaker 1: consumers preference. You know, coming out of the financial crisis 124 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 1: and the severity of the housing crisis that we had 125 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight two thousand and nine, a 126 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: lot of people have a whole different view in terms 127 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 1: of looking at at a primary residence as an investment, 128 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 1: and so there has been a lot more caution among 129 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: especially among first time homebuyers, UH, the thirty and the 130 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: young forty somethings that would have normally bought a home 131 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 1: at that particular stage of their lives that are now 132 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 1: choosing to rent. And the apartment industry has been very 133 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: quick to respond to that extra demand by UH constructing 134 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 1: and designing the kind of product that the thirty something 135 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: really prefers, and the empty nester that's now selling a 136 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: home and UM preferring to rent in an urban environment 137 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: is beginning to show. So it's it's been a combination 138 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: of both the affordability issue and only a consumer preference 139 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: towards renting. I wonder if you could pick up on 140 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: that has some and US speak a little bit more 141 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: about this trend of people looking to live in urban 142 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 1: areas and how that is creating a tighter bond between 143 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: residential and commercial real estate them It's a very important 144 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: trend in that we really have observed over the last 145 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: twenty years the revitalization of so many downtown areas urban 146 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 1: areas beyond just creating a twenty four hour environment where 147 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 1: people want to work and live, it's become more than that. 148 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: It is now uh, really much more of a series 149 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: of amenities, both cultural and transportation oriented amenities and access 150 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 1: to different kinds of retail acts, different kinds of services 151 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 1: that have really free sprung back into urban areas that 152 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: we really hadn't seen for a long long time since 153 00:08:56,679 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: the suburban growth dominated basically the death nition of of 154 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 1: US US growth over many decades. This revitalization has created 155 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: the need for mixed use product when it comes to 156 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 1: real estate, So you're seeing a lot of residential being 157 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 1: built along with retail, along with um the kinds of 158 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: services that you would need in order to basically have 159 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 1: a safe, contained population within an urban area. The biggest 160 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 1: challenge is the education system. So when you're talking about 161 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: young adults, typically in their thirties, they're waiting longer to 162 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 1: get married, and those that are getting married or coupling 163 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 1: are waiting longer to have kids. So they're staying in 164 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: these basically revitalized downtown areas and really enjoying it. But 165 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,959 Speaker 1: when it comes time to start a family, there is 166 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: still a major disadvantage in the urban areas when you 167 00:09:48,200 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: talk about schooling and the cost of private school versus 168 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: the quality of public schools. And that's where we're still 169 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 1: seeing a young families begin to move into the suburban area. 170 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 1: And if you can even afford a them in one 171 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: of these areas, a lot of your kids. The prices 172 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 1: have gone up so much, right, But quick final question, 173 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: where are this? Where's this? A couple of sweet spots 174 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: for people who want to invest in commercial real estate. 175 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 1: You've got about twenty seconds. Great. I would look at 176 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:16,200 Speaker 1: Dallas because, unlike Houston, it's still adding a lot of jobs. 177 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:19,360 Speaker 1: I would look at Atlanta and Phoenix as a recovery 178 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: markets from the lower risk uh basically lower yield but 179 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: lower risk markets the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, 180 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:30,559 Speaker 1: New York and and the Boston area. San Francisco and 181 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: New York price down. I don't think they are because 182 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: their supply constrained and the yields are low for a reason. Okay, well, 183 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 1: you're giving us lots of interesting ideas as I'm Nagi, 184 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us today, President and 185 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: CEO of Marcus and millichap uh. They are the largest 186 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 1: brokerage firm specializing in commercial real estate. I'm Kathleen Hazel 187 00:10:53,320 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 1: and pim Fox taking Stock on bloom Brig Radio. Bloomberg 188 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 1: Taking Stock is brought to by Audi Medalands in Secaucus, 189 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 1: New Jersey, powered by Benzelbusch, offering a commitment to service, 190 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 1: luxury and value with total transparency. Start your journey at 191 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: Audi Medalands dot net and define the way you drive