1 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the actual Network. 2 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: I'm Chad Millman. Listen, it's the last show of the 3 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: NFL season, So we're gonna bring it. We're gonna bring 4 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: it with everything we have, and we're gonna go through 5 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: all of the most popular things that we've done all year. 6 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: The last segment, as it has been all year of 7 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 1: the show, will be Darn Ravelle and Professional Better Simon Hunter. Uh. 8 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 1: Last time we were all together, it was a live show. 9 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,920 Speaker 1: Simon was in the studio. It was fantastic. He told 10 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:52,480 Speaker 1: great stories about betters he knew winning seventy tho dollars 11 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: on the Chiefs because they've bet a thousand dollars on 12 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 1: the Chiefs at seventy to one in the first half 13 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:03,279 Speaker 1: against the Texans in that Visional playoff, which was fantastic. 14 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: We're gonna go over the super Bowl. We're gonna go 15 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: over the total, We're going to go over the size. 16 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 1: There's so much interesting stuff happening with that. Before they 17 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: come on, we're going to have the winner of this 18 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 1: year's Get Your Prop Up in Vegas Contest, the eleventh 19 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: annual year that Scooch and I have done it. We 20 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: had another fantastic year of submissions. Scooch and I reviewed 21 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: them last night. I had notified the winner. He was 22 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: super excited, I could tell via email. Even the email 23 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 1: gives no emotional context. But first, before we get to 24 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 1: any of that, from the Orleans representing all the Boyd 25 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: gaming books from the Fighting State of Nevada, Mr Bob Scucci, 26 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 1: boom Chad, what's going on? Are you ready? I am ready? 27 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: What a week? So as a bookmaker, do you look 28 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: forward to the business of Super Bowl? Do you dread it? 29 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:24,920 Speaker 1: Do you make it? Doesn't make you nervous? How do 30 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: you what's your perspective on it? All of the above, 31 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: every possible emotion leading up to the game, because there's 32 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: that that sense of like anxiety because you've got to 33 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 1: get all these propositions up and make sure they're all correct, 34 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: and there's this that whole process, and then of course 35 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: booking them all throughout the week and your mind is 36 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: always going and uh and then of course kind of 37 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 1: the kind of a crescendo up to the game and 38 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: then you know, typically, I mean even days after the 39 00:02:56,440 --> 00:03:00,360 Speaker 1: game is over, you're still dreaming of all these probably 40 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 1: like you have you ever had those work dreams, like 41 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: you feel like you're still working. It takes a couple 42 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: of days after the super Bowl to kind of wind down. 43 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: I mean, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday after the super Bowl, I'm 44 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: still thinking of these props. And then you wake up 45 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: and you're like, oh, game's over, you can forget about it. No, No, 46 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 1: I totally yet it. Listen, I have I'm a terrible 47 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: sleeper and ever since I took this job at Action Network. 48 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: While it's going really well, certainly the stresses of leaving 49 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 1: ESPN two years ago for a startup are challenging, and 50 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: I find myself awake in the middle of the night 51 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 1: all the time dreaming about something from work. This more 52 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: last night. Last night, I woke up in the middle 53 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: of the night and like I I was sweating like crazy, 54 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: and I kept dreaming that I had to be somewhere, 55 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 1: And I woke up fifteen minutes before I had to 56 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: be there, and I couldn't get dressed because I had 57 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: so many shirts on and I couldn't get them all 58 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: off in time to actually to actually to actually put 59 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 1: my clothes on that I had to wear to go 60 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: to this meeting. Oh that is too much. I mean 61 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 1: that just shows the anxiety that you know for all 62 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,720 Speaker 1: these things that you're constantly thinking about, and uh, it 63 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: kind of kind of builds up into those times, manifests 64 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: itself into those dreams. What do you think that means 65 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:34,840 Speaker 1: that I was wearing so many shirts that I couldn't 66 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:39,279 Speaker 1: get them off. You got too much on your shoulders. Man, Wow, 67 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: that is fantastic that. What's most pathetic about this is 68 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: a two thirty in the morning. My wife went to 69 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:57,359 Speaker 1: the bathroom and then I passed her going to the bathroom. 70 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: So so authetic. You can't give me enough melatonin to 71 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: fall asleep at night? Yeah, no, I I'm with you. 72 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:08,239 Speaker 1: You know, I wake up three thirty in the morning, 73 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: four o'clock in the morning remembering an email that I 74 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: should have responded to and that and then that will 75 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:15,720 Speaker 1: keep me up and then I won't be able to 76 00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 1: get back to sleep. Well, it's also like when I 77 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,040 Speaker 1: get in bed at night and I take out my contacts, 78 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: I can't see a thing. I have a degenerative eye 79 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: disease as many people know, called carotaconis, and so without contacts, 80 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 1: I'm really pretty much blind. And so I will get 81 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: in bed and then my mind will be racing and 82 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 1: I'll remember, Shoot, I didn't like remind myself to do X, 83 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 1: Y and Z. So for about five minutes before I 84 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: go to bed, I'm just telling my wife, text me this, 85 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: text me this, text me this. So I wake up 86 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: in the morning and I have like a list of 87 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: things to do from my wife that are things that 88 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 1: I had asked her to text me before. How funny? 89 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 1: What is happening in the live Skeoch that were so stretch? 90 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 1: It's the freaking super Bowl and it's going to be 91 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: a great game. It's the Chiefs and the Niners. I've 92 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: already one, as we know, I've already won because in 93 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 1: my preseason pool, I had the Chiefs and the Niners 94 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:08,119 Speaker 1: both to win the Super Bowl, and so they're playing 95 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: each other. So everybody who was in the pool has 96 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 1: already had to pay me um, which was amazing. Uh. 97 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: My boss was in the pool. He had to pay 98 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: me quite a bit of money. Patrick Keene. He paid 99 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: me in one check. Uh, he paid me in a 100 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: stack of singles, and he paid me in uh two 101 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: dollars worth of coins that he had had his children role. 102 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 1: What do you think of that? That's funny? That's great, outstanding, right. Yeah. 103 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: I had to carry that bag from Manhattan to Connecticut 104 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: and I almost it weighs like pounds. I almost killed 105 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: somebody on the train by accident. Didn't get robbed. Dude. 106 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 1: If someone could carry that and run away, it's a weapon. Uh, 107 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 1: where is your line? Right now? We are at the 108 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: Chief's minus one in the total fifty and Uh, it's 109 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 1: just so. I mean that the picket accounts pretty evenly divided. Obviously. 110 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: I hear conversations. I listen to people talking about the game, 111 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: and everybody's saying how it's hard to make up their mind. 112 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 1: And it's a coin flip. So, and it's reflected in 113 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: the line that we opened to pick them. But the 114 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 1: bigger dollar amounts are on the Chiefs. Sharp guys have 115 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: not weighed in yet as far as I can see. Um, 116 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: we we never went to one and a half, although 117 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 1: I see a lot of places in town did. So 118 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 1: they must have gotten some place some some big bets 119 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: on the Chiefs. So it's kind of vacillating between one 120 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: and one and a half at most places around town. Uh. 121 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 1: And then the money line, of course is minus one 122 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 1: fifteen on the Chiefs, minus one twenty and maybe slightly 123 00:07:57,160 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: higher if you grab a certain places, but great action 124 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: both sides. But I think a lot of people just 125 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: can't make up their mind on this one. I really 126 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: can't either. I have no UM, I have no strong opinion. 127 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: I know that a lot of the guys at the 128 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: Action Network don't forget download the free Action Network gap. 129 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: It's where I'm getting all the data that I will 130 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:21,679 Speaker 1: talk about in these podcasts, including as Scoochs just said, 131 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 1: the Chiefs being one point favorites in Super Bowl. The 132 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: total is fifty looks like about I'd say sixty ish 133 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 1: per cent of the money is on Kansas City right now. UM, 134 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: a lot of guys at Action Network I thought the 135 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 1: value was on San Francisco at plus one and a half, 136 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: and they bet San Francisco at plus one and a half. 137 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 1: Do you think if you are at plus one and 138 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 1: a half with San Francisco you'd be getting some wise 139 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: guy action a little bit. Like I said, they haven't 140 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,439 Speaker 1: really tipped their hand which way they're going yet, so 141 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 1: but I think at one and a half they'd be 142 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: more inclined to take San Francisco. I mean, just on 143 00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 1: the fact that, like you know, a lot of the 144 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: simulations that I've seen, some of the things that we've 145 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 1: used over the years that simulates the games a thousand times. 146 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:17,680 Speaker 1: And if it says that it's fifty point eight percent 147 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: of the time that Kansas City wins, Yeah, then there's 148 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: slightly a more little more value if you're getting one 149 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 1: and a half points, because that translates into a little 150 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 1: higher than that than that percentage. So um, but it's 151 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: not like I said, I mean, we're talking kind of 152 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: you know, splitting hairs here. There's nothing, there's no clear 153 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 1: value and the fact that there's not a big point 154 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: spread actually kind of inhibits betting a little bit. You know, 155 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,040 Speaker 1: like when you have a seven point favorite and eight 156 00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 1: point favorite in the super Bowl and then you have 157 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 1: a three dollar money line and people know they can 158 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 1: get two and a half to one them by betting 159 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: the underdog or you know, take getting seven points, it 160 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:57,599 Speaker 1: stimulates a lot more betting action. When the game is 161 00:09:57,640 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: a pick um, you know, it kind of takes the 162 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 1: they line out of play because you're essentially getting the 163 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: same odds as you would betting the point spread. So um, 164 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: it's a little a little tricky, and the fact that 165 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 1: people can't make up their mind too. There's no clear 166 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: overwhelming favorite. You know, people need to have that that, 167 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 1: you know, someone telling them, hey, this team is supposed 168 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:19,959 Speaker 1: to win and this team is not supposed to win. 169 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: They need to have that, and they don't have that 170 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah. So that's interesting because do you 171 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 1: think that chokes handle a little bit? I think so. 172 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:35,319 Speaker 1: I mean it seems to have, at least initially, unless 173 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 1: you know, something drastically happens in the next week that 174 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 1: kind of goes against the pattern so far. But like 175 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: I said, a lot of people just can't make up 176 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 1: their mind in this one. You know, the years that 177 00:10:48,400 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: we've had kind of record handles have been the ones 178 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: where you have clearly a lot of people thinking this 179 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 1: team should definitely win and and and then you have 180 00:10:57,800 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 1: the wise guys putting a bunch of money on the 181 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 1: other side, you know, fading their action. Um, and we 182 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: don't have that yet, so you know, it could change. Uh. 183 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: You know, I think back to the one year that 184 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: the Broncos in the in the Seahawks played and we opened, uh, 185 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 1: you know, the Seahawks at one point favorite, and by 186 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 1: game time, the Broncos remind US three. I mean, that 187 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 1: was a year that you know, the Wise guys were 188 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: on Seattle, but the public overwhelmingly felt the Broncos should 189 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 1: have won. You've got that big line movement one way 190 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,200 Speaker 1: and then kind of came back the other way. So 191 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 1: that's the kind of thing that stimulates betting. But having 192 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:36,440 Speaker 1: said that, I mean, this year, sports betting in general 193 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 1: is at an all time high, so that alone may 194 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 1: just have created a whole new segment of sports bettors. 195 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 1: So that may translate into a bigger handle. So that's 196 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: really interesting. I don't see a kind of a wild 197 00:11:54,200 --> 00:12:00,320 Speaker 1: point spread swing with this game because they're not going 198 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:02,960 Speaker 1: to be enough money that comes in and believes the Niners. 199 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,760 Speaker 1: The Niners don't have Peyton Manning, you know what I mean, 200 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 1: Like that Broncos team had Peyton man And so I 201 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 1: just don't see anyway in which betters are coming in 202 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: and swinging that number so far in the other direction. Uh. 203 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 1: And it's impossible, Like I don't know the wise guys 204 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:21,959 Speaker 1: are going to weigh in on the side here. I've 205 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: been thinking about it for eight days. I have no 206 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:27,640 Speaker 1: opinion on this game. None. My opinion is in the fandom. 207 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:32,839 Speaker 1: I just want Andy Reid to win. I think that's it. Yeah, yeah, 208 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 1: there's a there's a couple of uh, you know, side 209 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: stories that make it interesting like that, and they finally 210 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: gets over the hump. That'd be nice. But uh, I 211 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: agree with you. I think those sharp guys now they 212 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 1: are on the the over. So you know, we did 213 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 1: open fifty two and a half fifty three on the 214 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 1: total and we're up to fifty five, and that's a 215 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 1: combination of both public and sharp guys. So I think 216 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: the professional handy cappers will find a lot of other angles. 217 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 1: They always do. Um, I think one of them maybe 218 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: you know the fact that the normal first half total, 219 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 1: for you know, a fifty two and a half point 220 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 1: total first half total will be somewhere in the neighborhood 221 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 1: of twenty six. Most of the Super Bowls, you know, 222 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 1: you have a lot of low scoring in the first 223 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 1: half and all the scoring in the second half. So 224 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: if there's some value you're getting twenty seven, possibly twenty 225 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 1: seven and a half in the first half, going under 226 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: that in the first half and then possibly going over 227 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 1: in the second half. There's a lot of the angles 228 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 1: like that that I think the wise they don't necessarily 229 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 1: have to have an opinion on the game itself to 230 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 1: take advantage of the game. Yeah, And I also think 231 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: I think the under is going to be the play. 232 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:43,120 Speaker 1: I think the wise guys might just be setting you 233 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 1: up to sort of take the to take the under, 234 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: like push it a little bit higher. They both see 235 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: this as being one of those things where the Niners 236 00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: are going to try to control the pace and it's 237 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 1: going to be up to the chief to push the pace. 238 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:58,679 Speaker 1: And so I think you're getting set up for the 239 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 1: guy for the wise has to take the other side. Well, 240 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: if we get the under, we're gonna have a decent 241 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: super Bowl, I mean, because the total seems to be 242 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 1: the play right now. More so, like you mentioned six, 243 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 1: the money is on the Chiefs. That's not a lot 244 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 1: compared to other Super Bowls, but you know, we're looking 245 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 1: at a lot higher number close to on the total, 246 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: the on the over, and the fact that we already 247 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: moved the line from fifty two and a half to 248 00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 1: fifty five and it's climbing. We're usually not that far 249 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 1: off on the lines that you see that much of 250 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 1: a point spread, and usually when we are that far off, 251 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 1: we we end up have winning the side and having 252 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 1: a pretty decent, decent day. All right, So we've got 253 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:46,440 Speaker 1: our props contest winner on the phone. Before we get 254 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: to him, I do want to get from you. Are 255 00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:52,640 Speaker 1: there any big props that you've posted that the wise 256 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: guys have hit already? Um, well, you know the typical 257 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 1: ones that they've the typical ones that we always get 258 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 1: action on. Or there will be a two point conversion, 259 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: there will be a safety. Uh, there will be over time. 260 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: And so what happens is the wise guys lay the 261 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: big price. They'll they'll lay eight dollars, they'll lay nine dollars, 262 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:18,720 Speaker 1: knowing that the public overwhelmingly is betting the yes on 263 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: all three of those. As far as the player props themselves. 264 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: The wise guys came in on the uh mahomes is 265 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 1: total pass attempts over under thirty eight and a half, 266 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: and they pounded the under thirty eight and a half 267 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: on this one. So that might go to your point 268 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 1: where they they actually feel like maybe the under might 269 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 1: be the play and uh, you know some of the 270 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: other um uh, the actually the Russian pat mahomes rushing 271 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: yards over twenty nine and a half, they bet over 272 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: that one. I could see that. I actually I think 273 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 1: the right side is the under twenty nine and a half. 274 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: I think I think over as crazy, but I do 275 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 1: think if there's any opportunity to get fleshed out of 276 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: the pocket, it's going to be against this Niners front 277 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:09,600 Speaker 1: for Scooch. Are you ready to bring in our contest winner? 278 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 1: At the end of this me, you and our contest 279 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: winner are all gonna play Scooch Roulette? Are you ready 280 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: to talk about the winner of the get your prop 281 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 1: up in Vegas contest? I am ready on the phone 282 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 1: from the fabulous riverside town of Hoboken, New Jersey, former 283 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: home state of Bob Scucci and Chad Millman Rob Bonano. 284 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: Rob you there, Hey Chad? How are you? I'm gonna 285 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:51,160 Speaker 1: say we hold to Bob Scucci. Hey, Bob, thanks for 286 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:57,040 Speaker 1: having me alright? So, uh Rob, if I can call 287 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: you that? Can I call you Rob? Yes? Are you 288 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 1: a Hoboken native or do you live there now? Because 289 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 1: you transplanted and realized Manhattan was ridiculously expensive? Exactly. So. 290 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: I'm originally from Long Island and didn't move too far, 291 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,440 Speaker 1: but I went to school up in Boston and then 292 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 1: settled back down at my mom's house after that, and 293 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,680 Speaker 1: then shortly thereafter I moved to Hoboken in two thousand nine. 294 00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:23,679 Speaker 1: Have been there for ten years and work in the city, 295 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 1: so it's pretty convenient. Communite Long Island. That's the worst. 296 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: Everybody everybody at Action Network is from Long Island, like, 297 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,360 Speaker 1: honest to God, our head a product is from Long Island. 298 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 1: Darren Ravel is from Long Island. Are head of finance 299 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:46,680 Speaker 1: is from Long Island. Uh Shanzarillo who covers baseball, horse racing, 300 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 1: horse racing, UFC Tennis from Long Island, Long Island. Mike 301 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 1: lieboff are Darren Ravel, wrangler and hockey editor and baseball 302 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 1: editors from Long Island. This place is lousy with Long 303 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: Island people. I'm so glad that you got off a 304 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 1: Long Island. How many people still live there? Two there 305 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 1: you go. Yeah, the traffic is pretty unbearable. It's really 306 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:15,320 Speaker 1: when the train ride into the city isn't isn't great either. Meanwhile, hobo, 307 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 1: can you take the path and you get to bet 308 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 1: legally it's golden. I'm actually on the ferry, so I 309 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: actually haven't even even they call it the civilized community. 310 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 1: It was a much nicer way to get to the city. 311 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 1: Are you going to tell me that, Um, when you 312 00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,400 Speaker 1: went to school up in Boston? Was that like your 313 00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: way of saying you went to Harvard? Absolutely not. I 314 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:40,120 Speaker 1: went to Northeastern, so which is a but I I 315 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 1: I joked that I don't know I would get in 316 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 1: now with the grades I had them so well, nobody 317 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 1: would get into the school they went to twenty years 318 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 1: ago or fifteen years ago, because school has gotten impossibly 319 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 1: hard to get into. Scooch, Do you have anything you 320 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,919 Speaker 1: want to ask Rob right now before I reveal the 321 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:59,919 Speaker 1: winning prop? No, my questions will come after you've revealed 322 00:18:59,920 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 1: the prop. Rob. What do you do in the city? 323 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 1: I worked in finance for an international bank. And um, 324 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:13,639 Speaker 1: how long have you been betting? Well, let's say a 325 00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:17,120 Speaker 1: loaded question. I guess so, um, probably back since high 326 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 1: schools when I started, but probably more frequently. And I 327 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 1: will jokingly say, you have access to my account, so 328 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 1: I'm sure you know, uh know all the action that 329 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:31,719 Speaker 1: I had currently ha ha ha uh And um, do 330 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: you all right? Let me read? Let me read your 331 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 1: winning prop? Are you ready? Sure? Are you ready? It's 332 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:43,920 Speaker 1: called the Montana. Here's your note. I grew up a 333 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:47,399 Speaker 1: huge Montana guy. So the first thing that came to 334 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:51,159 Speaker 1: my mind was these being the only two teams he 335 00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 1: played for. The prop is will the score ever be 336 00:19:55,600 --> 00:20:00,400 Speaker 1: nineteen sixteen? The thought being his jersey numbers with both team, 337 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 1: plus the difference between the two being his jersey number 338 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 1: three to one for his three Super Bowl Finals. I 339 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 1: didn't get what that less sentence meant. Three super wom 340 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:19,080 Speaker 1: vp A wars three to one for his three Super 341 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 1: Bowl MVP Awards. MVP Awards, got it, Rob, We thought 342 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 1: it was elegant, clean, creative, thoughtful Scooch tell him why 343 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 1: he won? From your perspective, Yeah, so we're looking for, uh, 344 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 1: several things. One, something that's really easily confirmed, something that 345 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 1: you can kind of go to the NFL website see 346 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:47,200 Speaker 1: the statistics, see the score and UH. And then something 347 00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 1: that's easy for the public to bet on. Uh. And 348 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 1: and then of course it has to be topical, and 349 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:57,199 Speaker 1: this was topical. So any other year, obviously, if you 350 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 1: just said, um, you know, is the score going to 351 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,160 Speaker 1: be nineteen to sixteen at some point in the game, 352 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: it wouldn't have any relevance other than the fact that 353 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,959 Speaker 1: Montana wore both jerseys nineteen and sixteen, So it has 354 00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 1: the relevance factor of this year's Super Bowl. It's easy 355 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 1: to understand, it's easy to wager. And then the other thing, 356 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:18,040 Speaker 1: I may not use your exact odds on it. I 357 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,679 Speaker 1: think we the the yes and the know have to 358 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,680 Speaker 1: be a little bit higher. I would make the uh, 359 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: you know, the yes probably about the six or seven 360 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: to one, and maybe the no minus eight dollars. But 361 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: what that does is it increases a little betting because 362 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: people like to get five to one, six to one, 363 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:36,919 Speaker 1: seven to one. So I could see a lot of 364 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: people betting on the yes and get some of the 365 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,320 Speaker 1: sharp guys to kind of come in and and fade 366 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: the other the other side. So um, all those things combined, 367 00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,320 Speaker 1: and I know a lot of other entrance had something 368 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:54,239 Speaker 1: similar to it, so along the same idea, but they 369 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 1: were just a little bit more complex and yours was 370 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 1: Yours was simple and easy understand. So congratulations, well done, now, 371 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:07,440 Speaker 1: thank you. I think that was why I was surprised 372 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 1: that I want. I thought maybe it was a little 373 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: too simple, And I actually agree with you on the 374 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: odd that was more for the the cohesion of the 375 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 1: whole the formula there um. But I will say that 376 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 1: I will leave the stats and the quants to people 377 00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: smarter than me, But it seemed like it should be 378 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:25,920 Speaker 1: a little higher, but I didn't. You know, I'm sure 379 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,119 Speaker 1: that people that could figure that bet out, which, uh, 380 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 1: I'm sure you've got a good team to do that. Yeah, 381 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,119 Speaker 1: and we ran it by the guys, you know, I 382 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,480 Speaker 1: ran it by some of the guys are gonna be 383 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 1: booking the props all week long and uh. And they 384 00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 1: liked it, and they felt like it was going to 385 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,480 Speaker 1: be easy enough for them to book and they would 386 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 1: enjoy booking it, So we're happy to have it. I 387 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:50,680 Speaker 1: will say there were a lot of Joe Montana props 388 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 1: because he did play for the Chiefs and Niners, which 389 00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 1: I think raised the bar and winning with this kind 390 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,920 Speaker 1: of prop. We had one one from a guy named 391 00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 1: Bill Lundy who was able to reference both Alex Smith, 392 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 1: Joe Montana, and a town on the Big Horn River 393 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 1: called Fort Smith, Montana. I thought that was a really 394 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: good one. Uh. Matt Hendrickson from d C friend of 395 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 1: the podcast, he did a lot of um extra math 396 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 1: for his UH for his prop, which combines sort of 397 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:26,120 Speaker 1: two point conversions and a lot of different things Matt 398 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,440 Speaker 1: It just got too complicated. Scooch couldn't put it on 399 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,639 Speaker 1: the board. Um, there were a bunch of sign stealing props. 400 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 1: I wrote a column before UM last week announcing the 401 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,439 Speaker 1: prop contest that a lot of times themes helped. So 402 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 1: obviously Joe Montana Alex Smith is a theme that helped. 403 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:45,480 Speaker 1: We had a lot of Astro's sign stealing props penalties 404 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:49,159 Speaker 1: against the Niners or the Chiefs related to the Astro 405 00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:53,679 Speaker 1: signed stealing theme. And um, of course there were a 406 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,800 Speaker 1: ton of Patrick Mahomes. I was surprised that so many 407 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 1: this one thing. Patrick Mahomes Seniors e r a five 408 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:07,399 Speaker 1: four seven versus juniors yards per rush That was also 409 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: a really really big theme. Rob. How long did you 410 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: spend thinking about this problem? Uh? To be honest, about 411 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: five minutes. It's one of those things that just kind 412 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:24,320 Speaker 1: of hit me so Uh. As I mentioned, I'm a big, 413 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,280 Speaker 1: big Joe Montana fan. You know, I'm not that old, 414 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,120 Speaker 1: So it was kind of don't remember the early part, 415 00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,440 Speaker 1: but kind of growing up watching and being a quarterback 416 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 1: in Pop Warner. He was kind of be Tom Brady 417 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 1: of the Super Bowl era before Tom Brady was UM, 418 00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,680 Speaker 1: so I think I was watching City Around on Monday afternoon, 419 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:44,159 Speaker 1: and then you know, I think, I don't know if 420 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,840 Speaker 1: there's something about Montana that came on tv UM. But 421 00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 1: then I kind of just started to build it from 422 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,359 Speaker 1: there and I figured I'd give it a shot. So 423 00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: five minutes, that's all you really spent this thing. Five 424 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 1: minutes that's I figured if I if I spent any 425 00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,120 Speaker 1: more the in that I didn't, I thought I would 426 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 1: overthink it. I kind of got it in my head, 427 00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 1: wrote it down, and I said, you know what, let's 428 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 1: go with the Well I and I like the fact. 429 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 1: So going back to you, Joe Montana, when you think 430 00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,199 Speaker 1: super Bowl, you think, I mean, Tom Brady is the 431 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 1: only one with more Super Bowl m vps than Joe Montana. 432 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 1: So it's it's relevant in several ways. I mean, obviously 433 00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:26,360 Speaker 1: he played for the forty Niners in the Chiefs, but 434 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 1: you think super Bowl and you think Joe Montana, So 435 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,520 Speaker 1: that's another relevancy. Uh, And I agree with you, he's 436 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:36,120 Speaker 1: been uh one of I'm I consider myself a Montana 437 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:40,840 Speaker 1: guy as well. And uh, we we actually had we 438 00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 1: had Joe Montana signing autographs once at the Orleans and 439 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,640 Speaker 1: he needed a chair, and we got him this throne 440 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 1: like chair to set up on the stage to do 441 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 1: the uh uh, the autographs, and that chair as soon 442 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:57,720 Speaker 1: as he was done signing, that chair sat in my 443 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 1: office for about ten years and we called it the 444 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:04,199 Speaker 1: Joe Montana chair. And Chad, you actually sat in the 445 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:08,040 Speaker 1: Joe mont Dana chair many times in my office. So 446 00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:11,880 Speaker 1: so we consider ourselves big Joe Montana fans as well. 447 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: That is a great story, scut I had no idea. 448 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:20,640 Speaker 1: That's so fun. Yeah. Unfortunately, eventually the chair got kind 449 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:24,480 Speaker 1: of old. It's a great wooden chair. Uh, it wasn't 450 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,439 Speaker 1: gonna hold up very much longer, but it was a 451 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:31,160 Speaker 1: great chair and everyone knew it as the Joe Montana chair. Well, 452 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: like quarterbacks themselves, nothing lasts forever. All right, let's let 453 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:39,680 Speaker 1: uh Rob and by the way, Robert, the two Roberts 454 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:49,680 Speaker 1: can play some scootrow Leisure comes to music. Robinana from 455 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:53,760 Speaker 1: Hoboken by Way along Island, winner of get your Prop 456 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 1: up in Vegas contest. There's gonna be a big picture 457 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,199 Speaker 1: that you get sent from us as soon as it 458 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:03,840 Speaker 1: goes up your prop in lights, give us your scooch 459 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:11,280 Speaker 1: roulette pick. So Um, I would be remiss not to 460 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:13,400 Speaker 1: give a small shout out some of my friends who 461 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,439 Speaker 1: have been teasing me for years. Um. They like to 462 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:20,240 Speaker 1: say that I only follow handsome quarterbacks, which probably started 463 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:24,000 Speaker 1: with Joe Montana. So that being said, we've got two 464 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:26,399 Speaker 1: decent looking ones here, But I don't know if you 465 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 1: can get more handsome than Jimmy g So I'm gonna 466 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 1: go with the forty Niners. Wow, I don't disagree. That 467 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: is a good way to make a decision when the 468 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: games are this close, go with an incredibly handsome guy. Scooch, 469 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 1: what do you think of Rob's theory? Are you, um 470 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,439 Speaker 1: rethinking everything you just said about the thoughtfulness of his 471 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 1: prop Yeah, we're gonna have to take that back. No, 472 00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:55,639 Speaker 1: maybe I don't. I don't like the way maybe he 473 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: got there, But I like the final result because I 474 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 1: was also going to pick thet is my Scooch Roulett 475 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 1: pick as well, plus the fact that we're going to 476 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,200 Speaker 1: need them and that's going to be our best result. 477 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,760 Speaker 1: All right, you know what I'm doing. Then, I am 478 00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:14,679 Speaker 1: going with the Kansas City Chiefs, and I'm doing it. 479 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,160 Speaker 1: I'm doing it really like, I don't see any advantage here. 480 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,639 Speaker 1: In this game at all. I'm doing it because I 481 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,720 Speaker 1: just want Andy Reid to win. I feel like Andy 482 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: Reid belongs in the conversation of great coaches, and this 483 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,520 Speaker 1: is what gets in there, so I'm going to root 484 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,280 Speaker 1: for him. I can't. I can't listen to another season 485 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 1: of hoping Andy Reid gets there and how graty is 486 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:39,720 Speaker 1: off of Bye. Just get the guy a title already, 487 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 1: all right, rob Binano, Robert Scucci, this is the end 488 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: of the first part of our Super Bowl preview show 489 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 1: stick Around for Simon Hunter and Dan Revel coming up next, Robin, Rob, 490 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: you guys are dismissed. Thanks for being on the podcast. 491 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:06,080 Speaker 1: Thank you, thanks for having me. And now a word 492 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 1: from a wise guy with Simon Hunter, my man, Simon Hunter, 493 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:17,920 Speaker 1: Professional Better in New Jersey. A couple weeks ago, you 494 00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,000 Speaker 1: were in studio. You lit it up for us and 495 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: then me, you and Darren Scott Miller from the Action 496 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 1: Network team. It sounds like we're an inchor team, the 497 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 1: Action Network team. Uh. We all went out to dinner, 498 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: we tore it up, and then you really tore it up. 499 00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 1: I bet because you know the old people like me 500 00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 1: went to bed. It's good to see you though. Thanks 501 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 1: for coming to New York. You had a good time. Yeah, 502 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:42,640 Speaker 1: but it was a good time. It was definitely uh 503 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 1: cool come into studio. I'm like doing that whole thing. 504 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,760 Speaker 1: I would say that someone that uh is not in 505 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,720 Speaker 1: the podcast world. I've never done that before, so sounds 506 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,920 Speaker 1: cool experience. But once that, I love New York Man. 507 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:56,360 Speaker 1: The best part of the whole thing was a trade 508 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 1: right back to Jersey. Couldn't wait to get out of 509 00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:01,160 Speaker 1: New York. Oh my god, let's into you. Did you 510 00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 1: and much? Did you? Uh? He had a great time. 511 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 1: We had a great dinner. You told us some phenomenal 512 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 1: stories about just betting and part of what your life 513 00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: is like. And you're still riding high. You got some 514 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 1: good actions still to go here. Huh yeah, I mean 515 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,080 Speaker 1: I like I was telling you guys in the last podcast. 516 00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 1: My my big, my big beat coming into the year 517 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,920 Speaker 1: was Chief's Futures. I had them for Division, which I 518 00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:34,960 Speaker 1: think most books was minus two hundred going into the year, um, 519 00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:37,719 Speaker 1: and then for the a f C like that was. 520 00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 1: That was the funny part was if you took preseason 521 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 1: most just because they were the favorite. UM. Some books 522 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:47,360 Speaker 1: had the Patriots to repeat his favorite, but most most 523 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 1: books RAFC had the Chiefs, which was still a good 524 00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:54,720 Speaker 1: value at plus two hundred plus two fifty. But the 525 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:59,040 Speaker 1: funniest thing was he went down, Um, I don't I 526 00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: might be week four or five, and they went on 527 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 1: like a little bit of like they lost three out 528 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,880 Speaker 1: of four games. So that was when I hit him again. 529 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: For the NFC with they were all way up to 530 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:14,280 Speaker 1: plus a thousand at that point, and for the Super Bowl, 531 00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 1: most books had him a plus like one thoive hundred 532 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: plus two thousand. So one of those things where we 533 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: got insane value just because he had gotten hurt, Lamar 534 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 1: had kind of taken over the picture of the FC. 535 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,560 Speaker 1: The Patriots. Patriots are still undefeated, so it's a little 536 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,680 Speaker 1: bit of a perfect storm where the best team in 537 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,200 Speaker 1: the FC people kind of forgot about them. So we 538 00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:37,520 Speaker 1: got really lucky and good value on the on the 539 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,920 Speaker 1: Chiefs this year, and that was to win the a 540 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 1: f C right, and then I have I have a 541 00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 1: couple of more features on them with the Super Bowl. Um, 542 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,080 Speaker 1: the crazy when I had a guy actually in boxed 543 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:52,800 Speaker 1: me on the Emmy on Twitter where he was hitting 544 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: me up last week. Wonder about hedging he had. He 545 00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:58,440 Speaker 1: sent me they take a year a thousand dollars on 546 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 1: one in San France. So I said to him, I said, 547 00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: listen to me, I I really don't think San fran 548 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 1: is gonna lose this. You gotta put at least a 549 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: thousand on the plus seven and a half and maybe 550 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: you can just hit the middle. But I was I 551 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,440 Speaker 1: was like, I wouldn't hedge up like half away. I 552 00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,400 Speaker 1: would let that ride. So he sent me a picture. 553 00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: He put the thousand on the plus seven and a 554 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: half and at halftime he textically goes, thank god, man, 555 00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 1: I didn't hedge out fully. I go, yeah, that's that's 556 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:30,080 Speaker 1: too big to hedge that out. I will say that. 557 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 1: As you know, and I talked about this earlier in 558 00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:36,840 Speaker 1: the podcast, I was in this pretty um decent sized 559 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:40,760 Speaker 1: preseason pool. We chose eight teams UH in the preseason. 560 00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:43,720 Speaker 1: Whoever has the team that wins the Super Bowl wins 561 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,760 Speaker 1: the pot, and going into that championship weekend, I had 562 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,720 Speaker 1: UH the Chiefs and the Titans, so I knew I 563 00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 1: had at least one team in the super Bowl, and 564 00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,400 Speaker 1: I had the Niners, so I had a pretty good 565 00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 1: shot of getting both teams in the Super Bowl and 566 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:02,719 Speaker 1: winning the bat outright before the bet even began, um, 567 00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:05,479 Speaker 1: which is what happened. But I did feel like I 568 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,400 Speaker 1: needed to hedge, so I actually took the train to 569 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:12,479 Speaker 1: Jersey and Fan Duel. If you are a UM, if 570 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:14,560 Speaker 1: you are an Action Network user and you were a 571 00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 1: first time better on Fandel, you go from the Action Network, 572 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 1: click on one of our links, and then go bet 573 00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 1: on Fan Duel legally in New Jersey. Then you get 574 00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:26,120 Speaker 1: a five hundred dollar risk free bet, basically a free roll. 575 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,080 Speaker 1: So I took that five dollar bet and I bet 576 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 1: on the packers at seven to one. So my hedge 577 00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 1: was that five hundred dollars. If they ended up going 578 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: off to win, then I won thirty five dollars and 579 00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,280 Speaker 1: if they didn't, then that money got refunded into my account. 580 00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,960 Speaker 1: Lo behold, I will be flying to Miami tomorrow and 581 00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:50,360 Speaker 1: out of Newark, and I will be there in the morning, 582 00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:52,200 Speaker 1: and I can guarantee you that I am going to 583 00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:58,360 Speaker 1: make one five dollar bet with that free roll. And 584 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,280 Speaker 1: it's funny that you did that, because I think Scott 585 00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:01,920 Speaker 1: was gonna told you, dude, I told you just let 586 00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,719 Speaker 1: it ride, because I was just saying the value you 587 00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: already have all the value. There is no reason to 588 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:10,239 Speaker 1: hedge there. The odds, the odds of I mean, yeah, 589 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 1: it was one out of fourth chance, right, That's how 590 00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,399 Speaker 1: people are looking at that Greenbay. It was gonna advance there. 591 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:16,879 Speaker 1: Like I said to you, you're you're, you have all 592 00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:21,239 Speaker 1: all all the favoritism, and like the odds of them 593 00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:22,960 Speaker 1: winning were so small that I told you just let 594 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:24,160 Speaker 1: it ride. But I can see what you had to 595 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:26,319 Speaker 1: do it. Well. I did it because Scott Miller, as 596 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,879 Speaker 1: you mentioned, Scott Miller, Action Network executive at OR told 597 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:30,399 Speaker 1: me to do it, and I usually do what he says. 598 00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:32,560 Speaker 1: I should have listened to you, because now I got 599 00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 1: to figure out what to bet for five on this 600 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:37,799 Speaker 1: you know, silly game where I can't find a side 601 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,280 Speaker 1: that I like, and I guess I like the total, 602 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 1: but I wanted to go up. So I'm gonna have 603 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:42,920 Speaker 1: to find a prop. I'm gonna have to go into 604 00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 1: the Action Network app. I'm gonna have to choose the 605 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:48,279 Speaker 1: best prop from Matthew Freedman or Chris Raybon and Shawn 606 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,400 Speaker 1: Corner and let it roll, baby right now. Sean Corner 607 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,279 Speaker 1: loves Damien Williams. He loved it over at eleven and 608 00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 1: a half rushing attempts. It's now up to twelve and 609 00:34:57,360 --> 00:34:59,640 Speaker 1: a half. He's probably gonna go up even higher by 610 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:02,319 Speaker 1: the time they it's a new work. Um, but what 611 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 1: say you professional better, Simon Hunter? Yeah, I mean the 612 00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,919 Speaker 1: prop the propp market's kind of funny where um, he's 613 00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:12,799 Speaker 1: obviously I don't know if he's running models, but you're 614 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,160 Speaker 1: running You're running midles that are saying this is how 615 00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:17,239 Speaker 1: the game script is gonna go, and you're getting you're 616 00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 1: seeing where the value is on the numbers that you 617 00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:23,400 Speaker 1: see in the props. So a lot of people like 618 00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 1: last year was kind of a fluke year where there 619 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 1: was just nothing, no points, nothing at all, and every 620 00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,839 Speaker 1: prop pretty much lost because most people, if they're gonna 621 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,040 Speaker 1: bet Joe public, they like kicking me over on these 622 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:38,600 Speaker 1: props just because it's more fun. So this this year, 623 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:40,879 Speaker 1: with these props, if if you're before you do, then 624 00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 1: you really have to think about how you think this 625 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:45,759 Speaker 1: game is going. You obviously aside in mind and think 626 00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:49,719 Speaker 1: about that game script where if if if you in 627 00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 1: your bank account you have a hundred dollars, you should 628 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:53,239 Speaker 1: just be doing a dollar on these props. And you 629 00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:54,839 Speaker 1: should just do a bunch of them. It's more fun 630 00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,560 Speaker 1: that way rather than just loading up on just one 631 00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:01,279 Speaker 1: or two. Um. But for for me in the game, 632 00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 1: it's it's kind of brutal because I I really I 633 00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,279 Speaker 1: kind of went against my system last week. Like you 634 00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:09,719 Speaker 1: talked about, you were like, how do you not love 635 00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,680 Speaker 1: san France? This is such an analytical you just love 636 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:16,160 Speaker 1: them every all the numbers. They are just incredible. Their 637 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:20,040 Speaker 1: D line is just incredible. And I'm looking at at 638 00:36:20,080 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 1: my system again where it's saying that san France should 639 00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 1: be favorite, and the human element comes into our It's like, 640 00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,640 Speaker 1: am I really gonna go against Patrick Mahomes on this 641 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:32,399 Speaker 1: incredible run where he had back to back games where 642 00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 1: he I think he threw one of the four touchdowns, 643 00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:37,080 Speaker 1: which hadn't been done in a in a long time. 644 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:41,720 Speaker 1: So my system saying san France they should be minus too, 645 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,880 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna head you out anyway. I didn't take 646 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,040 Speaker 1: san France. But I think a really really good value 647 00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:50,080 Speaker 1: here is if people can just keep waiting and just 648 00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:54,440 Speaker 1: take this under because I think more often enough becaure 649 00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,640 Speaker 1: public it's more fun to beat these overs, and they've 650 00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,239 Speaker 1: been coming in really big on the over and it's 651 00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:02,080 Speaker 1: moved two or three points um from where you're opened. 652 00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:05,080 Speaker 1: I think some books have it at four uh, fifty 653 00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:08,160 Speaker 1: four and some have a fifty five where if you 654 00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 1: just keep sitting back and this thing hits I mean 655 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 1: hopefully fifty seven, fifty eight. Those are kind of key 656 00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 1: numbers and you can get the under. It's a good 657 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 1: play in the under first halfsket play where it's rare 658 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:23,040 Speaker 1: where these teams don't come out with jitters and just 659 00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 1: don't like last year the team came out kind of 660 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,480 Speaker 1: flat and they were terrible in the first half, the 661 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:31,560 Speaker 1: more shocking parts in the second half they were even worse. 662 00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 1: Where that was kind of a fluke last year, but 663 00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,520 Speaker 1: it's more normal where the Eagles and the Patriots that 664 00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:39,920 Speaker 1: was like I don't even know, it was like eighty 665 00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:42,319 Speaker 1: points combined, where that that's or like seventy points that's 666 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:44,600 Speaker 1: that's more of a flute two where usually this this 667 00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:48,040 Speaker 1: fifty five number, that's a good number. Where it's it's 668 00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 1: I would say more than if they like back in 669 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,960 Speaker 1: the day, it's one time if goes under that. So 670 00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,319 Speaker 1: I think people that they really do have to look 671 00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,320 Speaker 1: at that number I agree with you. I like the 672 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,960 Speaker 1: under in this game. I'm just waiting and aiding and waiting. 673 00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:04,719 Speaker 1: But I think that also it correlates to the props, right, 674 00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:08,160 Speaker 1: like if you said in the beginning, if you're betting 675 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:09,640 Speaker 1: on the props because you have an opinion of how 676 00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:12,759 Speaker 1: you think the script is gonna go, and if you 677 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:16,360 Speaker 1: bet on the under, then you're probably gonna like you know, 678 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:20,320 Speaker 1: Emmanuel Sanders under forty five yards, Greg Kittle under seventy 679 00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:25,480 Speaker 1: one yards, Raheem Mostert under anywhere from sixty to eighty yards. 680 00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:28,320 Speaker 1: We're seeing it spread across the board at the Action 681 00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:31,520 Speaker 1: Network UM, maybe even Damian Williams under fifty four and 682 00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:34,680 Speaker 1: a half rushing yards, like you see, even even Patrick Mahomes, 683 00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:37,560 Speaker 1: like Scooch was saying in the podcast earlier that Patrick 684 00:38:37,600 --> 00:38:42,359 Speaker 1: Mahomes the wise Guys liked his over twenty or nine 685 00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:44,319 Speaker 1: and a half rushing years total. I actually hate that. 686 00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:47,440 Speaker 1: I think it'll be much under UM. But I do 687 00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:50,160 Speaker 1: think this game plays to under you. You're always going 688 00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:53,400 Speaker 1: to get value in the under on individual props too, 689 00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:58,279 Speaker 1: because that's how sort of bookmakers think about those things, right, 690 00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:00,320 Speaker 1: And the reason like the starts on that, like I 691 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:04,040 Speaker 1: took that number two. It's just because he he's really 692 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:07,000 Speaker 1: been showing here that he's just desperate to win. I mean, 693 00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:08,719 Speaker 1: he's only putting his body on the line and he's 694 00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:12,640 Speaker 1: taking with the defensive human. So the game script, if 695 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:14,840 Speaker 1: you if you're just coming by like the numbers, is 696 00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:17,800 Speaker 1: that the same frame is when the heavy the heaviest 697 00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:20,800 Speaker 1: teams to rush for and drop back and coverage. And 698 00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,799 Speaker 1: I think they played Lamar and they used the spy 699 00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 1: with him, but it was one of those things where 700 00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,920 Speaker 1: the spy was still dropping back because Lamar underneath the 701 00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,200 Speaker 1: tight ends, So the spy woul drop back, you cover 702 00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:33,560 Speaker 1: the tight end. Then as soon as Lamar and make 703 00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:35,840 Speaker 1: a step up, he would step up to engage Lamar. 704 00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:37,440 Speaker 1: So I don't know if talking about it kind of 705 00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 1: do that same trick here with um my homes. But 706 00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:43,239 Speaker 1: I'm just taking it just because it's one. It's one 707 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,520 Speaker 1: back to back weeks from where I'm pretty much just 708 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:50,319 Speaker 1: letting a ride over. While Yeah, that game script, I'm 709 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:53,439 Speaker 1: um I like the Chiefs, but I'm gonna be back 710 00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:55,719 Speaker 1: in most of these props. I'm gonna be taken um 711 00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 1: the forty nine side, So it's kind of like I 712 00:39:58,560 --> 00:39:59,600 Speaker 1: don't want to. I don't want to come out here 713 00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:03,840 Speaker 1: until the let's take your room on that because I myself, 714 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:06,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take in a lot of the same frame props. 715 00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:10,319 Speaker 1: I think we know where we all stand right now. 716 00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:13,600 Speaker 1: I mean, are you are you? Do you picked a 717 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:15,759 Speaker 1: side yet? Do you know what's do you like? I 718 00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:19,560 Speaker 1: have no opinion on the side. I probably cowered away. 719 00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,959 Speaker 1: Come on chat all right, I'm taking the chase, right, 720 00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 1: That's what And I think that's most people. People are 721 00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:26,879 Speaker 1: just gonna feel the same way. That's how I feel too. 722 00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,279 Speaker 1: But I'm doing it not because of any statistical anomalies 723 00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,920 Speaker 1: or even edge. I'm just doing because I think I 724 00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:35,800 Speaker 1: want Andy read down. Yeah, and I'll say it on 725 00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:38,120 Speaker 1: here that the number sends to your frame. But I'm 726 00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,239 Speaker 1: back in the Chiefs, so I'm gonna head job my money, 727 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:41,480 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna be in the green, but I'm gonna 728 00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:45,400 Speaker 1: put more on the Chiefs. Simon Hunter, you have been 729 00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:49,040 Speaker 1: a gift this entire football season. Uh, this is our 730 00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:51,799 Speaker 1: last podcast of the football season. We're gonna have you 731 00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:53,080 Speaker 1: back on because I know you do a lot of 732 00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:57,800 Speaker 1: thinking about the draft and um, so you go enjoy 733 00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,319 Speaker 1: your time off, and then keep your phone andy so 734 00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:03,280 Speaker 1: we can call you as we get closer. We'll do buddy, 735 00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:04,920 Speaker 1: We'll be in contact. And that was a great season. 736 00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 1: A man, all right, be good buddy. That was Simon Hunter. 737 00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:14,799 Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites from the Action Network downloaded 738 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Radio, dot com. Search for the 739 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:27,080 Speaker 1: Favorites wherever you get your podcasts. Until next time, I 740 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:27,600 Speaker 1: love you.