1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:10,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 2: Single best ideas maybe to get out of the triple 3 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 2: everge all cash run and possibly participate in the equity market. 4 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 2: That was a great theme today for us, and it'll 5 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 2: be a theme. My own pet theory is June thirty, becons. 6 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 2: That's the end of the second quarter, that's the end 7 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 2: of the first half for so many and there's a 8 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 2: lot of people going, Okay, what do I own? What 9 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 2: do I want to see on paper? June thirty. There's 10 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 2: a little bit of what we call window dressing out there. 11 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,919 Speaker 2: Mona Mahajan is at Edward Jones. They have a century 12 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 2: heritage across America of helping people get over the fear 13 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 2: of being in the market. Here is Mona Mahajan on 14 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 2: what she observes of this great bull market. 15 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: We recently read numbers that show the average SMP five 16 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: hundred bull market lasts about five point six years. You're 17 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 1: up about one hundred and ninety two percent in price appreciation. 18 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: And keep in mind, even if you take out the 19 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: last couple of really big ones, it's still four point 20 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 1: three years and one hundred and twenty five percent. Where 21 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 1: are we now? While we're about a year and a 22 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: half since the low's in October twenty twenty two, and 23 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: we're up about fifty percent. So could you argue that 24 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: there's still time on your side? Is there still price 25 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 1: appreciation ahead of us? History would certainly argue that, And 26 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: so if you haven't gotten in yet, don't fear that 27 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 1: you've missed the big run. History tells us that you 28 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: could have a couple more years to go. And certainly 29 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 1: the backdrop that we're seeing currently with not only know 30 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 1: the FED potentially cutting rate inflation bumpy path, but maybe 31 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: bumpy path lower. And we're also seeing, yes, perhaps a 32 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: cooling in the economy and the consumer, but certainly not 33 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: a recessionary environment. So good backdrop history is on our side. 34 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 2: Monemahajen toward Jones also with us today, Barry Ritholts, he's 35 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 2: been a little bit invisible because he's doing a new book, 36 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 2: which is always timely. His book Out of the Crisis 37 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 2: was really profound. Barry Redolts of course doing master's in business, 38 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 2: and he is really looking at this market concentration story. 39 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 2: He's stealing as much as he can from Sam Row. 40 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 2: Samro Has. I think it's called a sub steck. I'm 41 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 2: not even sure how he's doing it, but it's t 42 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 2: k the initials t k er t k er. Samro 43 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 2: really really suggests a very cost effective subscription to that 44 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 2: with a compendium of charts from Wall Street and Samro 45 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 2: I really had six strong charts this weekend, which mister 46 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 2: Ridholts brought up, suggesting here is how to find the 47 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 2: courage to be in the equity market. Of course we 48 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 2: don't give opinion on this, that's not our job, but 49 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:57,239 Speaker 2: by holds Cell sam Row doing some great work, and 50 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 2: Barry Ridolts mentioning that thank you to Dana Tell for 51 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 2: being with us today as well. Definitive on American retail, 52 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 2: we spent a lot of time on luxury Lewis Viuton 53 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 2: lvm Ah, they're going to the Bulldoze. They're gorgeous skyscraper 54 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 2: at fifty seventh and Fifth Avenue. I guess they're literally 55 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,920 Speaker 2: going to tear it down and build something new, and 56 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 2: Dana was talking about how that's fresh for a luxury. 57 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 2: Her single best buy for those looking for some way 58 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,119 Speaker 2: to spend money today is TJX of Boston. Of course, 59 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 2: the discount merchandisers who do Dana says, such a good job. 60 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 2: Our job is to get outside London, get outside Wall Street, 61 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 2: get outside Hong Kong and Tokyo. You can do that. 62 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 2: With Ian Shepherdson, he's some Newcastle and it was absolutely 63 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 2: fascinating to talk to him about the British election, and 64 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 2: he was piercing on Brexit, really really profound on saying 65 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 2: Brexit's had a profound effect, a negative effect on his 66 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 2: United Kingdom. Ian Shepperton and the economics of the moment. 67 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 3: We've had such a long period where inflation was very 68 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 3: low and people got used to not thinking about the 69 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 3: price of things because they didn't change very much for 70 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 3: a decade. And so now this this price level shock, 71 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 3: I think has really come and disorientated people in a 72 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 3: way that will fade. I mean, prices went up a 73 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 3: lot in the nineteen seventies, but we got over it. 74 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 3: It just took a long time. It took a very 75 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 3: long time. I remember in the early nineties people telling 76 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:29,839 Speaker 3: me that the inflation in the seventies and eighties still 77 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 3: wasn't probably beaten. You know, that was a long time 78 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 3: after the shock. So you know, I don't think that 79 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 3: Biden's going to be rescued by people just saying, okay, 80 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 3: you know inflation is dwan, we're not bothered about the 81 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 3: price level shock. I think that that's what I'll take 82 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 3: A long time. 83 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 2: Ian Shepperton of Pantheon, I can't say enough about his work, 84 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:50,720 Speaker 2: very visible on LinkedIn as well, and I just think 85 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 2: he has a twisted in different view which frankly I 86 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 2: don't understand. Being from Newcastle. I'm told it's rough. It's 87 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:01,279 Speaker 2: like sort of like Philadelphia, Phillies based. Well, it's a 88 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 2: different game and Newcastle. But Ian shepperd'son, they're very very good. 89 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 2: We will go into the rest of the week in 90 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 2: this bull market. Who knows. I'm assuming we close green 91 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 2: in the screen today, which maybe is a dangerous assumption, 92 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 2: but nevertheless, in this extraordinary market, will continue to give 93 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 2: you voices and coverage and just as importantly, not only 94 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 2: a given voice, but the nuances and the change in 95 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 2: their view programming note I learned today David Gura of 96 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: The Big Take will give us debate coverage from Atlanta. 97 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 2: Really looking forward to that. Out to June twenty seventh, 98 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 2: we're on Android playoffs. I was putting the time out here, 99 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 2: the Google time out here today because I'm not talking 100 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 2: about Android Play. Enough Android Play and an ample car 101 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 2: play in your car, on your commute, safer and better, 102 00:05:55,120 --> 00:06:00,039 Speaker 2: and on YouTube, we're absolutely thrilled. Search Bloomberg Podcasts and 103 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 2: then subscribe to Bloomberg Podcasts for what we do on 104 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 2: YouTube with a vigorous live check through the show. An 105 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 2: ample podcasts single best idea