1 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome to another episode of The Odd Laws podcast. 3 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 3: I'm joll Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. 4 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 2: Tracy, you know, we talk all the time about US 5 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: China relations, multiple times a month, games for obvious reasons 6 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:36,239 Speaker 2: we need. We usually get it from something resembling a 7 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 2: US perspective, not always, but I think it's a bit skewed. 8 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, there is a geographic bias at play, for sure, 9 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 3: a linguistic one, yes, But you're right, there is always 10 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 3: a lot going on with US China relations, and especially recently. 11 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 3: Right So we're recording this on September sixteenth, and we 12 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 3: have Chinese and American officials gathering in I think it's 13 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 3: Madrid to talk trade, try to hammer out some sort 14 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 3: of deal on the tear. By the time this episode 15 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 3: comes out, maybe US China relations will have changed completely. 16 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 3: But somehow I doubt it. 17 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 2: There's going to be some new era of peace. Everything 18 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 2: is going to be solved, There's going to be no 19 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 2: more anxiety about trade, A TikTok deal will have been 20 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 2: made with the perfect algorithm that satisfies everyone everything. No, 21 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,680 Speaker 2: probably unlikely. Probably we are going to be talking about 22 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 2: some version of this for a long time. I don't 23 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 2: want say, you know, it's not like our perspectives are 24 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 2: just strictly US. You know, we talked to Cameron Johnson 25 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 2: who works in China regularly, so it's not none. But 26 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 2: we obviously have to change the mix up. 27 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 3: I admire your efforts at being on partisan. 28 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 2: Well cross border. You know, we have to still do 29 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 2: it via zoom obviously. But isn't this a long historic 30 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 2: trying to try like build build dialogue between multiple sides 31 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 2: and get multiple perspectives in the hopes of achieving something. 32 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,279 Speaker 3: All I'm gonna say is we need to go to Beijing, 33 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 3: mostly for the food, but also for in her US 34 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 3: China dialogue. 35 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: The dream is that in twenty twenty six US Alive. 36 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: It's in Beijing. We're putting it out into the world 37 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 2: right now, and I hope that we can manifest it 38 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 2: into existence. Yes, all right, Well, I am really excited 39 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 2: to say that in these efforts, we really do have 40 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: the perfect guest. We're going to be speaking with Henry Wong. 41 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: Here's the founder and president for the Center for China 42 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 2: and Globalization. It's the largest independent think tank in China. 43 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 2: Someone perfectly placed to talk about all of these topics 44 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 2: from a Chinese perspective that we don't usually get. So Henry, 45 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: thank you so much for coming on the. 46 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 4: Podcast, and thank you, yeah that plessure. What is the. 47 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 2: Center for China and Globalization? Why did you found it? 48 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 2: What is its goal? And what is this independent think 49 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:44,399 Speaker 2: tank that exists? 50 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 4: Yes, we actually founded since twenty two oh eight. Actually, yeah, 51 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 4: right after the Beijing Olympic. You know, at that time, 52 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 4: you know, when we watched the Beijing Olympic, the slogan 53 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 4: for the Olympics then was one word, one dream. So 54 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 4: I thought that that's actually it's a globalization and Chinie 55 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 4: actually embarked on a globalization year because I think Olympic, 56 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 4: Beijing Olympics in two eight was something that China's started 57 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 4: to read about globally. And so that's where we start 58 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 4: to found this think tank. At first, I have to 59 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 4: take all of the savings. You know, I was doing 60 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 4: all the business before, but we really want to study. 61 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 4: But I really have found this thing tank that can't 62 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 4: combine my experience in a government, business and academic and 63 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 4: also you know, since then, it's seventeen eighteen years now 64 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 4: and we become one of the top one hundred think 65 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 4: tank in the world, actually ranked four times in the 66 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 4: top hundred by the University of Pennsylvania Think Tank and 67 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 4: the Service Society Program. So, so CCG, you know, abbreviation 68 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 4: for Santa Ma China is a bridge. Is a communication platform, 69 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 4: dialogue platform, and also it's a research platform for big issues, 70 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 4: policy issues regarding US and China, gobal governance, golobal economy, 71 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 4: and of course goobal migration. So just to name a few. 72 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 4: But since then we've been doing Okay, we had about 73 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 4: over sixty seventy people, and we've been based in Beijing 74 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 4: and Honju and Guangdo, a few places in China, and 75 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 4: we've been very active. We're doing one hundred event a year. 76 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:26,159 Speaker 4: We published a dozen books and multiple reports. So thank 77 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 4: you for asking that. 78 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 3: So you described the center as something of a bridge, 79 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 3: and I was reading an Economist article from a couple 80 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,719 Speaker 3: of years ago where you yourself are described as something 81 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 3: of a go between for technocratic government ministries, Chinese entrepreneurs, 82 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 3: and foreign embassies in Beijing. So my question is, how 83 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 3: busy have you been lately? 84 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 4: We are pretty busy. I just give you a few 85 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 4: examples for example, last week I was in sham and 86 00:04:54,440 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 4: attending September eight the twenty five annual China Investment and 87 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 4: Business Forum and Export. There the Vice Premier Relifone, who 88 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 4: is now in Madrid talking with Scott Basin, was there 89 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 4: opening up that forum, and so I was speaking at 90 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 4: the keynote speaker at one of the Bricks Summit conference there. 91 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 4: But also just Friday Santava, China hold another conference at 92 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 4: China International Service Export, you know, held in Beijing, where 93 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 4: there's another one hundred some countries come as well. And 94 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 4: yesterday we had our seventeen's mostly VIP launching, and we 95 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 4: have attend ambassadors from European, from Japan, from Turkey, from 96 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 4: many other countries, quite a member from European countries, and 97 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 4: just yesterday with fifty people I'm represented in China. We 98 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 4: have a lot of multinational global media. And also of 99 00:05:56,000 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 4: course last night I attend relevant riception the US members 100 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 4: a hold the reception were becoming the new Deputy Head 101 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 4: of the Mission, mister Gregg, and he actually made an 102 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 4: action speech there. He said, the China and the US 103 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 4: relation now rather than in the past. I mean, you know, 104 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:16,840 Speaker 4: I know that in the past we had a lot 105 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 4: of a strategic rivalry, but the new head of a 106 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 4: new deputy head of the US mission here in China 107 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 4: and said, now we should put a strategic stability. He's 108 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 4: not talking about strategic arriving now, So it's the strategical 109 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:35,080 Speaker 4: stability you maintained a US channel relation and Secretary of 110 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 4: Rubio also said that in July. So it's very encouraging 111 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,679 Speaker 4: to see the thing going on. But that's also shows 112 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 4: how busy we are meeting all the peoples and talking 113 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 4: to all the parties and the business too. 114 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:51,920 Speaker 2: I get that various people might describe an ambition for stability, 115 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 2: it does not typically feel like it when I read 116 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 2: the headlines that this is a stable relationship for various reasons, 117 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,039 Speaker 2: particularly the headlines that come out of the Trump administration, 118 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:04,560 Speaker 2: which strike me as volatile. Setting aside what you hear 119 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 2: from officials, whether at the embassy or the State Department. 120 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 2: Does it feel like that is the trajectory, because it 121 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 2: certainly feels, especially over the last ten years, that when 122 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 2: I was younger, the relationship felt something more like stability, 123 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 2: and at these days it's much more about rivalry and 124 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 2: anxiety about potential conflict. 125 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 4: That's right, I agree with you. I think that basically 126 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 4: because of this deterioration since the first Trump administration in 127 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 4: twenty seventeen and now eight years later, the resion does 128 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 4: really go down quite a lot already. And because in 129 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 4: the twenty seventeen the National Security Committee of US has 130 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 4: put a strategic report and according China a strategic rivalry 131 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 4: number one, I mean before Russia. Actually, so we see that. 132 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 4: Since then we had a trade war and the tire war. 133 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 4: But this second term, somehow I felt well in China 134 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 4: a bit more, you know, getting used to this kind 135 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 4: of tariff trade war. And China is also better prepared 136 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 4: than the other countries because we already experienced in the 137 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 4: first trum administration. So now I think also china economy 138 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 4: is second only to the US. The two countries are 139 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 4: too much independence among each other. And so, you know, 140 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 4: because geo politically, we are really looking very bad. And 141 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 4: then I think the consensus on post government is that 142 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 4: we need to look for some stability because we can't 143 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 4: change each other. We cannot wepe, you know, delete each other. 144 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 4: We have to coexist and peacefully. And that's probably the 145 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 4: conclusion that we're getting there. And so we have to 146 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 4: seek a common ground and the coexisting even we are 147 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 4: having a lot of different views and ideas. 148 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 3: So you mentioned just then the idea of the world's 149 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 3: two biggest economies being more dependent on each other. Perhaps 150 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 3: less so nowadays, but over I guess the decades of 151 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 3: the early two thousands, certainly they grew more dependent on 152 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 3: each other because of globalization. And this is something that 153 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 3: I wanted to ask you, which is, what exactly is 154 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 3: China's definition or understanding of globalization. And I ask this 155 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 3: because I think in the West it's sort of generally 156 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 3: thought of as this process of more countries trading with 157 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 3: each other and again becoming more economically dependent on each other. 158 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 3: But there's also this sort of social element that's also 159 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:37,439 Speaker 3: in there, because I think the assumption was always that 160 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 3: as countries trade more with each other, they're going to 161 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 3: start sharing, you know, values, whether those are political or social. 162 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 3: And I'm curious if globalization is thought of the same 163 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 3: way in China. 164 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 4: Well, I think that in China because it was a 165 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 4: late commerce you know, for example, you see the globalization 166 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:05,840 Speaker 4: in the nineteenth century, which is, you know, Britain invented 167 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 4: the steam power that led the industrial revolution, in nineteenth 168 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 4: century and twentieth century. American invented the internet, computers and 169 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 4: digital and US has led in the twentieth century. I 170 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 4: think twenty first century Chinese is also you know coming 171 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 4: up now for example on green power, Chinese leading on evs, 172 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 4: on the solar panels and also the wind power and 173 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 4: other sea But in the compalization concept in the Chinese 174 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 4: mind is really more referred to the economic coorgalization because 175 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 4: because that's the benefit they're getting substantially. For example, eight 176 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 4: hundred million people has been lifted out of property since 177 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 4: China embraced opening up, basically embraced the globalization. And then 178 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 4: you can see China now is the largest trading nation 179 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 4: or major trading nation with one fifty seven countries around 180 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 4: the world. And also furthermore, China is have since the 181 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 4: opening up in the last forty seven years, China's about 182 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 4: almost ten million student study the board, I mean almost 183 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 4: half of that in the United States. So that means cooplization. 184 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 4: I think there's a. 185 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 5: Flow of people, flow of talent, flow of goods, you know, 186 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 5: in connect connectivities fast you know, stock marketing, exchange listed 187 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 5: with each other, and also business doing. You know, there 188 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 5: are seventy thousand US company operating in China generating seven 189 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 5: hundred billion revenues here in China. 190 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 4: And also you know Apple will make eighteen ninety percent 191 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 4: of his iPhone in China, and Tesla make fifty percent 192 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 4: of its evy cars in China, and one Apprecious about 193 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,679 Speaker 4: sixty percent. That's a surprise from China. So I think 194 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 4: that's probably the colation in China felt the substantial benefit 195 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 4: probably for both Chinese and as American consumers. They are 196 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 4: less ideological, but they're more probably on an economic sense 197 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:07,959 Speaker 4: that globalizations really bring them a lot of a good 198 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 4: and benefits. Example, since China John A. W Two, twenty eleven, 199 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 4: Chinese GENIP has gone up thirteen fourteen times. So that 200 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 4: really I think in the minds of Chinese when they 201 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:24,680 Speaker 4: talk about globalization, they're really talking about joining economic orbalization 202 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 4: rather than the global securitization. They don't want to see 203 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 4: the Arcust, they don't want to see the Quad. They 204 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 4: don't want to see Camp David of Korea, Japan and 205 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 4: all those security or NATO move into Asia, that kind 206 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 4: of militarized globalization. They want to see more economic clublizations. 207 00:12:56,720 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 2: I'm a huge personal beneficiary of these students, of living 208 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 2: in the East Village, where there's been an absolute explosion 209 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 2: of amazing Chinese restaurants in my neighborhood of New York 210 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 2: City because there's so many students there. So I'm personally 211 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 2: very invested in this trend continuing. But let's talk a 212 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 2: little bit more about the security angle. You've actually written 213 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 2: somewhat recently that China could play some role in the eventual, 214 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 2: hopeful end of Russia's war with Ukraine. But we don't 215 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 2: tend to associate the Chinese government with playing an active 216 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 2: role in global conflicts not directly near the borders, including 217 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,440 Speaker 2: Israel and Gaza, which we should talk about too. But 218 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 2: when it comes to something, you know, when it comes 219 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,959 Speaker 2: to the Russia Ukraine war that tends to be focused 220 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 2: on the Europeans, the role that US will play. Is 221 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 2: there going to be a point in the near future 222 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 2: or is there something we're missing where China sees this 223 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 2: conflict that is far from its direct borders and wants 224 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 2: to play a more activist role in bringing peace or 225 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 2: is this something that is only associated with the sort 226 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 2: of American style, Western led style of globalization. 227 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,800 Speaker 4: Well, I think that's probably now the world is. I 228 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 4: mean I was at Munich Security Conference kickoff meeting Berlin 229 00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 4: earlier this year with the chairman of the Munich Secure Conference. 230 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 4: The issue the report I was discussing. On that report 231 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 4: they called multipolarity. So we're getting into multipolar war. I mean, 232 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 4: China suddenly become one part of of this multipolar war 233 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 4: and then you can see what happened in the Russian 234 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:37,960 Speaker 4: Ukraine War. There it's getting nowhere. We had Alaska sammit. 235 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 4: That's why I published up the Foreign Policy two days 236 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 4: before the Alaska SAMI. Basically, I suggest that if you 237 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 4: as a defense secretary, I heard him saying at the 238 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 4: Munich Security Conference that the one peace making troops coming 239 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 4: from European countries and non European countries. So what'll be 240 00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,240 Speaker 4: by now European countries? So I think that countries could 241 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 4: be these brick countries from China, India, Brazil, you know, 242 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 4: South Africa or Turkey, whatever, bricks countries. But basically, again 243 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 4: you see that when Trump actually after the Alaska talking 244 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 4: to G seven at White House, put an actor talked 245 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:20,400 Speaker 4: to President Ship before he's Alaska and talked to Lulah 246 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 4: talk to Moody and talk to the person of South 247 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 4: Africa after the Alaska So I think that I recently 248 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 4: seen macomb proposing that let's have twenty six European countries 249 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 4: troops placed into Ukraine. But that get very strong reaction 250 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 4: from Russia that Putting is that okay? For that is 251 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 4: the case that we regard it as a NATO violation 252 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 4: or something. So we see that the excuse for Putting 253 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 4: to start the war is because the Natal troops are 254 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 4: puaching Russian border. I mean, after three and a half years 255 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 4: fighted me, you have a NATO European troops there again, 256 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 4: I mean he will not probably ending that war easy. 257 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 4: So I think a more extra guarantee for this peace 258 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 4: making in addition to NATO, EU and and also US, 259 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 4: let's get China, India, Brazil, those the largest buyers of 260 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 4: Russian energy product and what else is really an extra 261 00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 4: safe keeping for the for the border. And then by 262 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 4: having Chinese peace keeping force there, it will really you know, 263 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 4: make you know, make Russia difficult to violate that peace 264 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 4: border because you know, China has a lot of influence 265 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 4: on Russia. Same for India, same for Brazil. So so 266 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 4: I think that we're in there is this, We're stuck 267 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 4: in this. You know, Trump says, you know, he started 268 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 4: to sanction again. You're not going anywhere. But I think 269 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 4: by adding the China bricks element, we probably see a 270 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 4: more security piece that's going to happen. 271 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 3: M What does China actually think its role in the 272 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 3: world should be? And we talked about its role economically 273 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 3: and the idea of globalization, but setting aside economies when 274 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 3: it comes to geopolitical security, be what exactly does China 275 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 3: want to be? 276 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 4: Yes, well, thank you, I think. But basically China is 277 00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:12,240 Speaker 4: a large country, of course, but it's basically agriculture culture. 278 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 4: You know, it's basically you have a five thousand years history, 279 00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:20,719 Speaker 4: I interrupt the civilization. It based on agriculture economy. The 280 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 4: farmers cultivated along the Yan's River and the Yellow River, 281 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,639 Speaker 4: and the confusion said, if your parents alive, don't travel 282 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:31,160 Speaker 4: far away, and then you can only cultivate the land 283 00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 4: for seasons that they can grow enough vegetables and wheat 284 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 4: and grain to feed yourself. So it's really that kind 285 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:41,959 Speaker 4: of a culture cultivated the culture of China, and they 286 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:45,159 Speaker 4: are not really a nation on horses or like Mongolias. 287 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 4: They're going to expeditions or going to have a connalize 288 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 4: any places. In the mid Dallas there's a Marshall called 289 00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 4: had a big expedition trips beyond almost to Africa. Also, 290 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 4: you know as young country socialization, they never they never 291 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 4: stayed anywhere, they never occupy any places. They all returned 292 00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:08,160 Speaker 4: seven times. It was even earlier than Columbia. So you see, 293 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 4: that is really the culture China has until now, for 294 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 4: the last forty years, China hasn't started any wars, stand 295 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 4: any soul journeywhere, or colonize any place, or invaded any 296 00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 4: other country. So I think geopolitically, we had this big 297 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,680 Speaker 4: parade on September third to commemorate in the Second World War. 298 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:29,360 Speaker 4: But I think China has produced enough deteriories so that 299 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 4: you know, probably if they are in any hot conflict, 300 00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:37,119 Speaker 4: they have enough defenses to deter in that. So if 301 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:41,200 Speaker 4: we cannot have a nuclear or hot war to mutually 302 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 4: assure destruction, then the only thing remains is peaceful competition 303 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 4: on the economy, on the soft power, on the culture, 304 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 4: on the people to people exchanges. So I think China 305 00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 4: wants to really see, let's have a level print field 306 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 4: and let's really compete on the economic China now is 307 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 4: having seventy percent of Go Go speed, the railway, five 308 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 4: gen networks of the world, out of the ten largest 309 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:11,879 Speaker 4: container ports, several of them in China. China also has 310 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 4: thirteen million college graduate every year, and you know, they 311 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 4: have a lot of the things that they are doing 312 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 4: on their own and also on energy installation now They're 313 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 4: electricity consumption is two point five times of US, three 314 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 4: times of Europe now and in terms of green power, 315 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 4: China has produced a fifteen to sixteen million EV cars 316 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,560 Speaker 4: total number will be thirty million, and they have a 317 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 4: sixteen million charges stations in China everywhere, you know, very 318 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 4: convenient to charge your EV carnal. So I think, you know, 319 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 4: they want to public compete in those area rather than geopolitically. 320 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,919 Speaker 4: So I think maybe if China can play some maintains 321 00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 4: on peace keeping would be great because China is the 322 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 4: largest the peace keeping budget contributed to the UN. China 323 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 4: is the largest peace keeping sending force amount the P 324 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 4: five countries, so China can do more peacekeeping and also economically, 325 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 4: you know, China larned the money initiative about the ROW initiative, 326 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:14,160 Speaker 4: China just did summit in Tangine where they is so Bank. 327 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 4: They have a bricks Bank, New Development Bank, so they're 328 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,880 Speaker 4: doing all this kind of economic stuff. I think that's 329 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 4: how they view the world should be intertwined the more 330 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:27,960 Speaker 4: economically business wise, rather than we are really divided according 331 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 4: to the ideological divided according to democracy versus autocracy, and 332 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:37,080 Speaker 4: divided by you know this this east or West. So 333 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 4: there's many things. I think China is thinking a little differently. 334 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 2: You mentioned the United Nations, and there's sort of this 335 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 2: question about the relevant or the vitality of a lot 336 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 2: of these Western developed multilateral organizations wto being among them, 337 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 2: but you specifically in your vision, maybe China's vision, or 338 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 2: maybe there's distinct Is it's important to breathe new life 339 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 2: into these organizations or is there a new set of organizations, 340 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,919 Speaker 2: including some of the ones that China has set up itself, 341 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 2: whether it's the be r I, whether we're talking about 342 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:13,919 Speaker 2: the Bricks, whether it talk about some of these others. 343 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:16,679 Speaker 2: Is the future more okay? If we're going to have 344 00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:20,640 Speaker 2: this sort of new style of globalization, we actually genuinely 345 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 2: need new organizations rather than the husks of the organizations 346 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 2: that were sort of built out of the Western liberal order. 347 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 4: Absolutely, I think that's that's quite true. I have written 348 00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:36,680 Speaker 4: to Listen to Me, wrote the book about my dialogue 349 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,720 Speaker 4: with grand Allison, the funding thing of Havard Coundedy School, 350 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 4: which have become a very good seller in China now 351 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:46,440 Speaker 4: also English wise. Basically, we find that in our dialogue 352 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 4: we talk about US China relations as con John tweens. 353 00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 4: You know, we cannot separate each other. You know, if 354 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,640 Speaker 4: we want to separate each other, we end up damage ourself. 355 00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,199 Speaker 4: So that's a given. So we should avoid the so 356 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:04,199 Speaker 4: he hit his trap that Grandma isn't famously defined. But 357 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:05,919 Speaker 4: also on the other hand, we should also avoid the 358 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 4: Kinderberger trap, which means that when new rising power starting 359 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 4: to catching up existing number one power, there's a vacuum 360 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 4: in the global public goods like when US was taking 361 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 4: place in UK, there's a lot of a missing linking points. 362 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 4: You know, we've got big recession in the in the thirties, 363 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,439 Speaker 4: nineteen thirties and things like that. So China actually is 364 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 4: US is now put a bit back on its policy. 365 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 4: Now it's become a mega you know, make me first, 366 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 4: make me great again, and rather than there's no country. Really, 367 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,120 Speaker 4: it's looking at the gob of public goods. So that's 368 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 4: what China is now. China has not backed on a 369 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:47,640 Speaker 4: climate change agreement. China strongly support that and China has 370 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 4: developed a very clime friendly environment now and we reach 371 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 4: cobon neutral and combon peak ahead of time. 372 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 2: But just to be clear, these legacy organizations, specifically like 373 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 2: the U, China feel like these are their bets that 374 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 2: China is intended to make, that these are going to 375 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:12,240 Speaker 2: be important institutions or are they fading like many legacy institutions, 376 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 2: And that the sort of new more stable order that 377 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 2: you may envision doesn't have to be with a fresh 378 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,080 Speaker 2: set of multilateral international organizations. 379 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 4: No. I think China is a strong support of existing 380 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,639 Speaker 4: UN system, and as president, she just recently proposed the 381 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 4: Global Governance institu I mean on five point two or 382 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:34,280 Speaker 4: three point he was emphasized the UN principal view and 383 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 4: chant of UN and also we can't help he has 384 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:42,560 Speaker 4: improved and make it better, but we should not just restart. 385 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 4: But on the other hand, we see you also getting 386 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,960 Speaker 4: quite a marginalized and there's a be awakening and for example, 387 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,240 Speaker 4: China become a second largest donor to the UN budget 388 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 4: now close to you has almost no difference now and 389 00:23:56,440 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 4: also when US putting out of who, China committed the 390 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 4: five hundred million US dollars who and when you know 391 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 4: W two is marginal, China is working with your Europeans 392 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,320 Speaker 4: to do that. But furthermore, I think China is still 393 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 4: the only public big country, one of the largest economies 394 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:18,199 Speaker 4: still proposing economic corporations like a Belgium ROA initiative. For 395 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 4: the last twelve thirteen years, Chinese invest over one trillion 396 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 4: US dollars for three thousand projects. And also furthermore, China 397 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 4: has started the China Africa Economic Summit, China and Latin 398 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:32,439 Speaker 4: American Economic SUMMI, China and US CEO Economic Summit, and 399 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 4: China Central Asia and China Arab Economic su So it's 400 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:40,239 Speaker 4: all economy related. And furthermore, and while Persident Trump has 401 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 4: raised in one hundred some country tariff, China announced they're 402 00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,280 Speaker 4: they're going to reduce the tariff of fifty three least 403 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 4: development country tariff zero for coming to China. So you 404 00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 4: can see the contrast there. So I think China is 405 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:56,159 Speaker 4: really providing enough public goods to fill some to vacuum 406 00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 4: US is backing off on development on the global sal 407 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 4: and on the on the US system. You know, Chinese 408 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 4: US are putting off the UNICO Chinese that was a 409 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 4: big support of UNISICO, UH and so and so forth. 410 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 4: So so I think China is doing a lot of 411 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 4: that kind of activities now. 412 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,639 Speaker 3: When it comes to US China relations. You know, you 413 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:18,680 Speaker 3: mentioned that your book was selling well in China. I'm 414 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 3: really curious what is the biggest misunderstanding or the biggest 415 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 3: concern that you hear from Chinese people on the ground 416 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 3: when it comes to US policy. And I realized it's 417 00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,920 Speaker 3: a little bit unfair word treating you as a spokesman 418 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 3: for an entire country and China. We don't intend to 419 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 3: do that, but I'd be curious, like, what sort of 420 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,760 Speaker 3: questions do you get on a daily basis from the 421 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 3: average Chinese person about America and what it's doing well. 422 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:51,640 Speaker 4: I think the biggest throwing point basically that the bother 423 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 4: of the ordinary Chinese that we see the US you know, 424 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 4: navies coming to Chinese Ivan Street or South Channel Sea 425 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 4: or quite often we see you know, airplan patrol in 426 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 4: this part of the world. We never see Chinese aircraft 427 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,719 Speaker 4: or Navy go to Hawaii or go to Caribbean. You know, 428 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:19,400 Speaker 4: we never see that, but we see the US military 429 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:24,040 Speaker 4: persons very strong. We had the forty thousand US a 430 00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:27,679 Speaker 4: minitary personnality in South Korea. It's just just neighboring China 431 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 4: and another I don't know how many, you know, it's 432 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,639 Speaker 4: quite thirty forty thousand public in Japan and we have 433 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 4: now in Philippine. And then they have also miss cells, 434 00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:38,639 Speaker 4: mid range miss sells place there and also they're going 435 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:41,879 Speaker 4: to place new missiles in Japan now and South Korea. 436 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,480 Speaker 4: So those of them actually bought because because China felt 437 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:48,520 Speaker 4: you know, Taiwan is part of China, and certainly the 438 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 4: people in the USA, oh, China's or democracy. We have 439 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 4: the defender, but China has a Chinese style democracy. Maritocracy 440 00:26:57,280 --> 00:27:00,000 Speaker 4: also works perfect, you know, not perfect, but at least 441 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 4: to work well for this most populous country in the world. 442 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:05,760 Speaker 4: So I think, you know, we all have a different 443 00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,560 Speaker 4: governor style. But just because our governor style is with you, 444 00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,640 Speaker 4: and then that's why you need to because Taiwan, because 445 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,680 Speaker 4: the reason for the protecting Taiwan is Taiwan is the democracy. 446 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:16,560 Speaker 4: Say that we have to protect that but I think 447 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:20,159 Speaker 4: you know, China can also absorbing that. And you know, 448 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,800 Speaker 4: China promised to Taiwan, you know, no tax to be 449 00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:27,399 Speaker 4: given to federal government, a lot of autonomy, and China 450 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,679 Speaker 4: announced that Taiwan Taiwanese will be free to walk in 451 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 4: the mayland. You know, no visa needed, anything needed. We 452 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,160 Speaker 4: already two million taiwan Is working to mainland, and there's 453 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,199 Speaker 4: half a million husband wife married across the street. And 454 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,359 Speaker 4: then before tai when you know formal person of Taiwan, 455 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 4: you know, there's six million mayland flooded the Taiwan with tourism. 456 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,800 Speaker 4: Send me the money spending restaurant, hotels. You know, there 457 00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:57,159 Speaker 4: was almost integrated already if not for the four interference. 458 00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 4: So I think the Chinese said, okay, please maybe just 459 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:06,639 Speaker 4: let us peacefully unified, like like Germany you had the 460 00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 4: you know East Germany, West Germany unified, and let's also 461 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:14,159 Speaker 4: hope in North Korea sALS Care unified. So basically they 462 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,800 Speaker 4: were really looking for less interference on that. And so 463 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 4: I think that would be greatly improve in the reason 464 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:23,160 Speaker 4: because in the communicate that the established three Communicate China 465 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,919 Speaker 4: US have it said very clear US will not maintained. 466 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:30,080 Speaker 4: You know, we're just named the normal time, no official times. 467 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 4: But then we see US officials, parliament managary Nazi policy 468 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:38,040 Speaker 4: keep visiting Taiwan or Taiwanese leaders coming to the visiting US. 469 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 4: So those in public about a bit of ordinary Chinese. 470 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 4: But of course again win then of course US was 471 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 4: a world place man for a long time. But now 472 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 4: we see many countries also the governt model is not 473 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,800 Speaker 4: working perfectly. We have all the domestic issues, US has it, 474 00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 4: European has it, All the countries has that. But China 475 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 4: on the other and seems maintain a pretty good status. 476 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:08,000 Speaker 4: And that's also keep lifting people out of property. So 477 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,040 Speaker 4: I think they should give China some credit for doing 478 00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 4: that rather than okay, is always shown in front of 479 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 4: the China's those steps, and you have a US parade 480 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 4: of military muscles all the time, So that's a bit 481 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:23,400 Speaker 4: of bothered for the Chinese. 482 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:28,120 Speaker 2: Basically, when you think about China's relationship with the other 483 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:33,320 Speaker 2: bricks countries, with African countries, with the global South country 484 00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 2: so to speak, have you seen substantive changes in those relationships, 485 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 2: specifically since the wake of October twenty twenty three and 486 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,640 Speaker 2: the start of the war on Gaza and countries sort 487 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:50,160 Speaker 2: of rethinking. You know, has this prompted a concrete rethinking 488 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 2: about you know, you said the US was the global 489 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,320 Speaker 2: policeman and a lot of people have perceived that in 490 00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 2: the wake of this ongoing war. Has there been a 491 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 2: substantive change the way countries want to have a relationship 492 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 2: with China. 493 00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 4: Well, absolutely, you can. You know, this show was for 494 00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 4: the first time you see China Asian Summit at the 495 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:14,640 Speaker 4: g CC. You know, golf countries all came to CM. 496 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 4: So you had the first China Asian CC Summit. And 497 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 4: now you can see also the bricks countries expanding that. 498 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:28,960 Speaker 4: You had the you know, UAE was there, and there's 499 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 4: a lot of you know, Middle Eastern countries really coming 500 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 4: to China. You have you also have the s Shaha 501 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 4: Corporation summit. Recently, you had the Turkey, you had the 502 00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,959 Speaker 4: Iranian president. You have a lot of people from that region. 503 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:47,160 Speaker 4: So I think China's road does play because China, for example, 504 00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 4: a few years ago, China clinched do between Saudis and 505 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,400 Speaker 4: Iranians rather than you know, we're seeing the current chaos 506 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 4: going on. China also causing the fourteen different fractions of 507 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:03,080 Speaker 4: Palestinian group had aging Palestinian decoration, and China could publicly 508 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:08,400 Speaker 4: do more in making a peace promoting peace between and Palestinian. 509 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 4: China also maintained good religion in the past with issue. 510 00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 4: So I think that sooner or later, probably those countries 511 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 4: we realize that we cannot really let just what happened 512 00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 4: that gods are the humanitarian crisis that you know, deaths 513 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:27,080 Speaker 4: of thousands and tens of thousands of people, what happened 514 00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:29,960 Speaker 4: you're living on a daily basis, I mean, where is 515 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:31,880 Speaker 4: where is the where is the you know, children are 516 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,200 Speaker 4: dying and all these things, so that kind of justice. 517 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,960 Speaker 4: Where is the justice? Now? So of course there's there's 518 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,280 Speaker 4: there's always problem to start with, but I think we 519 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 4: cannot because a two round doesn't make it right. I 520 00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:46,720 Speaker 4: really think that we should continue to have this international 521 00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 4: moral power that the United Nations Security Council should really 522 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 4: exercise rather than you know, being vtled all the time. 523 00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:57,200 Speaker 4: So I'm thinking, you know, China public could play more 524 00:31:57,280 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 4: role in the future. But that's that's let's solve this 525 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 4: Quinn crisis. If the if the breaks country peace making 526 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:06,239 Speaker 4: can happen. Uh left by China and I'm sure that 527 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 4: model could be applied to other conflicts in other regions. 528 00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 4: China also trying to You can see Prime Minister Moodie 529 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,400 Speaker 4: and the Prime Minister of Pakistan was at the same 530 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:18,320 Speaker 4: type a few months after fighting in China, and we 531 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 4: said Armenia and Azerbaijab president coming to sing in Tanging 532 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 4: as well. So probably China is its building up its 533 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 4: mediating power and peace keeping power as time goes on. 534 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:50,080 Speaker 3: M just going back to globalization for a second. I 535 00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 3: think everyone agrees, and you've already talked about this, that 536 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 3: China has been a huge beneficiary from globalization over time, 537 00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 3: but I get the sense that there is still of 538 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:04,720 Speaker 3: feeling within China that some aspects of the global economic 539 00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 3: order or trade agreements are unfair to China. How do 540 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:12,120 Speaker 3: you sort of square that tension and where do you 541 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 3: think the concern or the worries over unfairness actually comes from. 542 00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 3: And by the way, I could ask this question to 543 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:20,680 Speaker 3: American officials as well, Like the US is a massive 544 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,280 Speaker 3: beneficiary of the global economic order, and yet the Trump 545 00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:28,840 Speaker 3: administration clearly feels very aggrieved about America's place in the world. 546 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,280 Speaker 3: But when it comes to China, like where does the 547 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:33,400 Speaker 3: sense of unfairness actually come from. 548 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,800 Speaker 4: Well, there's quite a few actually. You see. One of 549 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 4: the things that US was treating the pure deficit. That's 550 00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,200 Speaker 4: the only reason they started tire for war. I was 551 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 4: giving a talk just the last April to a few 552 00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 4: months ago at the UN Security Council where they called 553 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 4: a specially arena meeting in New York. Eighty countries representably 554 00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:57,800 Speaker 4: un participated. Where I gave a speech there. I was 555 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:01,600 Speaker 4: saying that for example, US only looking at the goods deficit, 556 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:05,120 Speaker 4: you know, merchandise compasite, but all of that deficit was 557 00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:08,879 Speaker 4: maybe you know, thirty forty fifty percent was produced by 558 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:12,719 Speaker 4: multinational thirty percent by US. For example, out of the 559 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 4: four hundred billion deficit, the Trump is a levy on 560 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:20,719 Speaker 4: China's three hundred some billion deficit. He immediately waived one 561 00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 4: hundred billion because a lot of the companies are made 562 00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:27,240 Speaker 4: goods in China. Apple has to source their iPhone from India, 563 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 4: but it's not enough, so they have to lift that 564 00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:34,680 Speaker 4: sanctions on those deficits. Anyway, and there's a lot of 565 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,680 Speaker 4: inter time. But also US and joined one trillion dollar 566 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,759 Speaker 4: trade surplus on the service tree. They're not counting that. 567 00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:45,439 Speaker 4: And also the calculation about China's export. For example, every 568 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,719 Speaker 4: every phone we made in China, I've iPhone made here, 569 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 4: China probably made the labor costs, you know, eighty percent 570 00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:55,439 Speaker 4: was made by multinationals, even cars the same. So why 571 00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:59,239 Speaker 4: is just purely looking at the trade deficit numbers. A 572 00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,200 Speaker 4: lot of money was not made in China, was made 573 00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:04,560 Speaker 4: by international multinational companies and they're not sending back to 574 00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:06,880 Speaker 4: the country. So that's why I agree with the President 575 00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:10,480 Speaker 4: Trump to have more investment back to US because multinational 576 00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,319 Speaker 4: made a lot of money in China and elsewhere, but 577 00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:17,640 Speaker 4: they should really investment back rather than putting the tax heavens. 578 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 4: So that's why the Global minimum taps proposed by OECD 579 00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:23,279 Speaker 4: has a great by over one hundreds some countries, but 580 00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 4: it's not practiced yet on that now. So that's what aspect. 581 00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 4: The other spect I could say is the for example, 582 00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 4: US is starting these sanctions on China, for example, forbidden 583 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:39,239 Speaker 4: the use selling the chips to China, so that is 584 00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:43,600 Speaker 4: really and also they called in the Trump administration, you know, 585 00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 4: high fance, small yard and all those things. And there's 586 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,600 Speaker 4: one thousand and five hundred Chinese companies on the US 587 00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 4: anti the least. I mean, maybe China has a dozen 588 00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,560 Speaker 4: or or two dozen of US companies, but compared with 589 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:59,399 Speaker 4: the magnitude of US, is too much. Too many over 590 00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,920 Speaker 4: the security, over use of the security raises to really 591 00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:06,279 Speaker 4: restrict all the Chinese companies on that. So that really 592 00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:09,760 Speaker 4: become a problem. And so that's why China started to say, okay, 593 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,400 Speaker 4: if chips can be the do use goods, right, you 594 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,880 Speaker 4: can say okay, can be used for security or military. 595 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 4: The same is true for rare earths right, raiers can 596 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 4: be making for airplanes, tanks, everything. So when China started 597 00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:24,800 Speaker 4: a little bit on that, that US starting to relax 598 00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,799 Speaker 4: on the sale of the chips now quite a bit. 599 00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,479 Speaker 4: So you can see, you know, morally, it's the same 600 00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:34,759 Speaker 4: reason if US doing things in the first term, China 601 00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:37,760 Speaker 4: didn't respond like that, but now China starting to respond 602 00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,080 Speaker 4: like that. So I think that's why we see quite 603 00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:43,720 Speaker 4: a few agreement made by between US and Chinese off issues, 604 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:47,799 Speaker 4: because China is much resilient now, much stronger. And also 605 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:51,560 Speaker 4: US has realized if they really sanctioned so hard on China, 606 00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:54,760 Speaker 4: the Christmas shopping sees that we're coming up the shoves 607 00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,600 Speaker 4: will be empty, and we could you know, American consumer 608 00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,959 Speaker 4: will suffer and then that going to hurt the Trump space. 609 00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:03,640 Speaker 4: That's why we keep extending. They have these seems more 610 00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:06,640 Speaker 4: they talk to each other, more friendly than talk to 611 00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,320 Speaker 4: Indian and Brazil and others. So I think they probably 612 00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,240 Speaker 4: realized that too. Lott is economy, they can really organize 613 00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:13,960 Speaker 4: each other. They have to fund the ready to collabor. 614 00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 3: The Christmas shopping season is my personal super Bowl. 615 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:22,120 Speaker 2: Yes, earlier this year, actually not that long ago, Bloomberg reported, 616 00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:26,319 Speaker 2: So therefore it's absolutely true. It says quote officials in 617 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:30,279 Speaker 2: Beijing verbally encouraged regulatory agencies and local governments to curb 618 00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:34,240 Speaker 2: technology transfers and equipment exports to India and Southeast Asia. 619 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:38,080 Speaker 2: And there were some stories about Fox con engineers, for example, 620 00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,560 Speaker 2: who may have been part of some sort of moving 621 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,319 Speaker 2: the supply chain of those Apple iPhones, the men part 622 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:47,400 Speaker 2: of the final assembly perhaps to India. And this report 623 00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:51,920 Speaker 2: that Chinese officials may have been pushing back against it, 624 00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:56,800 Speaker 2: I get like rhetorically, the existing system where American companies 625 00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:59,799 Speaker 2: do a lot of manufacturing or in China has been 626 00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:05,000 Speaker 2: incredibly beneficial. Is China totally comfortable with the fact that 627 00:38:05,080 --> 00:38:08,239 Speaker 2: as part of this globalization, some of this manufacturing may 628 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:10,960 Speaker 2: end up leaving or is you know, US seeks to 629 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,120 Speaker 2: diversify its sources. Is China comfortable with this? 630 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,480 Speaker 4: China, I think it's pretty comfortable now. And that's why 631 00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:20,279 Speaker 4: China is more confident. For example, in twenty nineteen one, 632 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 4: before covid Us is largest trading part of China, and 633 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,680 Speaker 4: now US fall into the third place or the first 634 00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:29,759 Speaker 4: place now because URCI become the largest place trading part 635 00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 4: of China since the Asset Regional Comprehensive Partnership Agreement. And 636 00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:39,319 Speaker 4: then that is actually happening because you know, Viennam become 637 00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:44,239 Speaker 4: China FAS's largest trading partner now and Indonesia, Malaysia and 638 00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 4: now expanded to Latin American, you know, most a lot 639 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,839 Speaker 4: of American countries. China is the largest trading partner. And 640 00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,480 Speaker 4: also with Africa. Now China lifted all the tariff from 641 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:57,719 Speaker 4: African countries products to come to China. You will see 642 00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,360 Speaker 4: a flot of African products coming to China. So so 643 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,480 Speaker 4: I think you know that probably China doesn't mine. There's 644 00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:07,000 Speaker 4: low maybe a little bit labor entires because the labor 645 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:10,680 Speaker 4: average labor workerforce micro workers ages forty three years old. 646 00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,239 Speaker 4: It's getting old China. So there's a lot of shoemaking 647 00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:18,319 Speaker 4: or you know, low low income labor cost jobs went 648 00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:22,040 Speaker 4: to Vienna went to China. Really doesn't mine now. The 649 00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:24,240 Speaker 4: China now is focused on the high end now. For example, 650 00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,280 Speaker 4: Chinese focus on the green power transition. 651 00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 2: No curves like there's no curves as far as like 652 00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:35,400 Speaker 2: from your perspective, there's no impulsive the government to curb 653 00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:38,319 Speaker 2: moving some of these more advanced things again talk about 654 00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,319 Speaker 2: iPhones and such to a country like India. 655 00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:45,440 Speaker 4: Not really. I think China still encourage the investment for 656 00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:50,239 Speaker 4: example Bui d or you know, c ATL and I 657 00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:53,840 Speaker 4: know quite a few companies still very bullished investing overseas. 658 00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:57,320 Speaker 4: There may be sensitive military or rare stuff that China 659 00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:59,760 Speaker 4: may be question a little bit, but on the general 660 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,440 Speaker 4: I think things are still quite open. 661 00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,480 Speaker 3: Is there an argument to be made that China should 662 00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:09,799 Speaker 3: perhaps open its own economy further if you know, it 663 00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:13,680 Speaker 3: actually desires more economic integration with the rest of the world, 664 00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:18,000 Speaker 3: because we're talking about globalization still. But China still has 665 00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:22,759 Speaker 3: capital controls, still has currency controls, still has some restrictions 666 00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 3: on investment and things like that. Should it be more. 667 00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,560 Speaker 4: Open, absolutely, I agree with you. I think China should 668 00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:31,239 Speaker 4: be more open, and that's why we've been that's our 669 00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:34,160 Speaker 4: think time role to promote that. For example, we proposed 670 00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:38,000 Speaker 4: people promoting the visa. Now China has you should beatly 671 00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 4: laterally you should visa for forty some countries in our 672 00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 4: European countries, Australia, Japan, South Korea. I urge also you 673 00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:49,719 Speaker 4: recommend China to policymakers to open visa for US citizens 674 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,920 Speaker 4: for Canadia City this coming to Channel Free. But also 675 00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:54,960 Speaker 4: on the trade policy, I think there should be more 676 00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:58,800 Speaker 4: libilization continuously. I note that the government is located to 677 00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:03,279 Speaker 4: that and fifteen five years plan will probably be even 678 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:06,759 Speaker 4: more open. Of course, there's always rooms to improve. I 679 00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:10,600 Speaker 4: totally agree. And they have opened a financial sector quite 680 00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:13,799 Speaker 4: a long time ago, and as you said, maybe in 681 00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:17,759 Speaker 4: currency they should be more convertible. And also on the 682 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,680 Speaker 4: on the investment in the culture, in the in the 683 00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:25,160 Speaker 4: in the you know, other areas pharmaceutical and now Channa 684 00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:29,000 Speaker 4: also welcome for university come to China to open their 685 00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:32,000 Speaker 4: branches and do it. I'm on the board of a 686 00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:35,960 Speaker 4: Duke Queensland University in China, which is John Vander between 687 00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:39,680 Speaker 4: Duke University and Huhai University. You know, we have so 688 00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:43,440 Speaker 4: many international student there and Yu shang Hai is operating 689 00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:47,640 Speaker 4: very well, so we hope to have more goloble exchanges. 690 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,360 Speaker 4: I agree with you. You know, there's there's still more rooms. 691 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,879 Speaker 4: That's why I think this kind of talk between China 692 00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:56,200 Speaker 4: and US. Now we see tiktoks almost maybe have a 693 00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:59,640 Speaker 4: deal there, and it's great, so we listen, is this 694 00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 4: start we should continuously talk and engage and reach agreement 695 00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:06,640 Speaker 4: and open up further to acm to each other. 696 00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:11,160 Speaker 3: First comes diplomacy through dance videos, Joe, and then comes 697 00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,960 Speaker 3: an easing of currency restrictions. 698 00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:17,320 Speaker 2: Well podcast recordings. Just to be clear, you know, obviously 699 00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,880 Speaker 2: we don't expect you to be the representative of the 700 00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:23,319 Speaker 2: entire Chinese perspective, Tracy, and I need to establish that 701 00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,239 Speaker 2: we do not represent the entire United States and the 702 00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:30,200 Speaker 2: questions that we have. You mentioned the goods trade deficit, 703 00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:32,360 Speaker 2: and of course one of the things is you know, 704 00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 2: obviously China has gotten up much richer thanks to the 705 00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:38,080 Speaker 2: booming industrial sector. The US has benefited from a lot 706 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 2: of less expensive, more sophisticated goods that AD buys. But 707 00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,759 Speaker 2: there is this source of concern, and I say this, 708 00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:47,080 Speaker 2: you know, a couple of weeks after that military prade, 709 00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:50,640 Speaker 2: there is a source of concern that without a robust 710 00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:54,640 Speaker 2: American manufacturing capacity that we can no longer be a 711 00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:57,680 Speaker 2: powerful military country as well. And I know I do 712 00:42:57,760 --> 00:43:00,640 Speaker 2: not believe it is China's role to sort of helped 713 00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:05,919 Speaker 2: the US figure out its industrial capacity questions. Nonetheless, from 714 00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:09,759 Speaker 2: the perspective, does the US concern make sense to you? 715 00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:14,160 Speaker 2: Perhaps there are things that seem unfair, certain technology transfer restrictions, 716 00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:17,880 Speaker 2: seem counter to the spirit of globalization, et cetera. But 717 00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:21,920 Speaker 2: is the US fundamentally wrong to be concerned there is 718 00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:24,560 Speaker 2: more and more of the world's share, however you want 719 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:28,120 Speaker 2: to measure it of manufacturing of advanced goods somehow become 720 00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:32,480 Speaker 2: centered around China, that that long term weakened the national 721 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,480 Speaker 2: security position of the United States. 722 00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:40,399 Speaker 4: Well, I think we are now more intertwined. Warnow, there's 723 00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:45,600 Speaker 4: quite a bit of the competitive advantage, like Davi Kanto 724 00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,399 Speaker 4: mentioned in many years ago. So what I think US 725 00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:53,400 Speaker 4: is still leading. The US is very good at inventing innovation. 726 00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,920 Speaker 4: You see Silicon Valley. You CEI. You know, by the 727 00:43:56,960 --> 00:44:01,040 Speaker 4: way Jason Hulk said, the half of the AA talent's 728 00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:03,760 Speaker 4: coming from China. You know, US is a big harvest 729 00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:07,319 Speaker 4: of Chinese talent too, And that's why we're saying several 730 00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 4: million Chinese student went to the United States. I mean 731 00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:13,120 Speaker 4: probably half of them return still have a remain that 732 00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:17,840 Speaker 4: greatly benefited the US economy. So what I think that 733 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:21,120 Speaker 4: that is really US is good doing zero to one, 734 00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:23,040 Speaker 4: and maybe China is good at one to one hundred. 735 00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:27,560 Speaker 4: So of the world one hundred university top fifty is 736 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,320 Speaker 4: doing the United States. The reason China did allders of 737 00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,920 Speaker 4: manufacturing because as I mentioned, China is seventy percent of 738 00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:37,839 Speaker 4: the global speed railway sixty, golo go five, gen networks ten, 739 00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:41,520 Speaker 4: largest container broad seven. They have the infrastructure to so 740 00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:44,240 Speaker 4: this is a value change supply chain for the world, 741 00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:46,600 Speaker 4: not for China. So maybe in Chinese is made for 742 00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:48,880 Speaker 4: the world. I think US only worried about if they 743 00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:52,640 Speaker 4: can make you cannot make big ships or aircraft. Now 744 00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:55,120 Speaker 4: they go to South Korea to do that now, so 745 00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,040 Speaker 4: they still find a way to do that. But I 746 00:44:57,080 --> 00:45:00,000 Speaker 4: don't think that you have to depend totally on the manufacturer. 747 00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:03,799 Speaker 4: So if if if we're leaving the pre uh you know, 748 00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,440 Speaker 4: the trade war era, you know where we buy so 749 00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:10,480 Speaker 4: much chips from US China China energy depends on the 750 00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,120 Speaker 4: import Channa to spend more money buying the chips than 751 00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:17,120 Speaker 4: China importing energy. So now US said they're not selling 752 00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:20,640 Speaker 4: to China, and then the US company losing a big 753 00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:25,440 Speaker 4: profit center and then they are really reduced their antibuddy, 754 00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:28,560 Speaker 4: and China is forced to do reinvent well, and there's 755 00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:32,800 Speaker 4: a lot of waste there. So we see this separation 756 00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:36,000 Speaker 4: is really no good all on security reasons. We should 757 00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:39,759 Speaker 4: not overseecurize and we should really display our own each 758 00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 4: other's a compartit advantage. 759 00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,920 Speaker 2: I want to ask one more question about security philosophy. Obviously, 760 00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:48,640 Speaker 2: when Russia invaded Ukraine, the US opposed all kinds of 761 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:53,120 Speaker 2: sanctions on Russia and tried to constrain its ability to 762 00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:55,719 Speaker 2: trade it all or make any money. Going back to 763 00:45:56,000 --> 00:45:58,960 Speaker 2: Israel's war in Gaza, and you express the horror that 764 00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:02,719 Speaker 2: you see from that and the sort of response to that. 765 00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:06,800 Speaker 2: But China still trades with Israel as the US does 766 00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:10,800 Speaker 2: in the future in a sort of different global world. 767 00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:11,120 Speaker 4: Order. 768 00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:15,160 Speaker 2: Would it ever be part of China's diplomatic arsenal to 769 00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:18,240 Speaker 2: take a more heavy hand in some of these conflicts 770 00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:19,560 Speaker 2: and say, oh, we're not going to trade you, We're 771 00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:22,120 Speaker 2: not going to sell you advanced technology that you need 772 00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,000 Speaker 2: to run your economy or run your military, et cetera. 773 00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:29,280 Speaker 2: Because so far, despite the sort of concerns or the response, 774 00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,000 Speaker 2: there hasn't been any change in the trading relationship. Could 775 00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,719 Speaker 2: it ever get to that point where China views its 776 00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:38,600 Speaker 2: sort of diplomatic commercial power that way in conflicts that 777 00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:39,839 Speaker 2: it's not directly involved in. 778 00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,080 Speaker 4: Well, I think China certainly would like to do more, 779 00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:46,040 Speaker 4: you know, like what do you happen on the WHL? 780 00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:51,200 Speaker 4: Chinese already fulfilled its objecations too. I think the key 781 00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:54,680 Speaker 4: is really we need to restore the U and authority 782 00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:59,160 Speaker 4: and principle, particularly US Security Council. Maybe we should also 783 00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:03,000 Speaker 4: reform that too. Maybe we should add twenty members are 784 00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:06,640 Speaker 4: the sixteen to twenty members as associated permanent member of UN. 785 00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:10,040 Speaker 4: And we should really not let the Union Lanto single 786 00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:15,279 Speaker 4: veto be abused. For example, since the founding of you 787 00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:21,000 Speaker 4: and Russia abused use the veto one hundred sometimes twenty 788 00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:24,080 Speaker 4: forty times US, one hundred times China and twenty times. 789 00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:26,920 Speaker 4: We need to really control that. So I think we 790 00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:30,319 Speaker 4: reform you wan to reflect this multipolar world. And in 791 00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:33,320 Speaker 4: the future, if there's any other there's any problem happened, 792 00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:36,920 Speaker 4: let's send the UN Peacekeeping Force to do that. And 793 00:47:36,960 --> 00:47:39,600 Speaker 4: so if the old Security member have a big majority 794 00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:42,759 Speaker 4: and general sample have a big majority, we should make 795 00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:45,920 Speaker 4: that happen. So I think reform this multipolar world. We 796 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,600 Speaker 4: also need to reform you and to reflect that because 797 00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:52,800 Speaker 4: the war is no longer fits. The superstructure does not 798 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:53,960 Speaker 4: fit the relative today. 799 00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:57,720 Speaker 2: Now all right, Henry Wong, Founder and President for Center 800 00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:00,440 Speaker 2: for China and Globalization, So fantastic to have you on 801 00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:02,279 Speaker 2: the show. Can we do a live odd Lots in 802 00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:03,520 Speaker 2: Beijing with you at some point? 803 00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:06,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, Pea, welcome back. All right. 804 00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:09,160 Speaker 2: We are gonna as soon as as soon as we 805 00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:11,520 Speaker 2: get off this call, we are going to begin the 806 00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:14,320 Speaker 2: preparations to figure out how we're going to make this happen. 807 00:48:14,520 --> 00:48:16,520 Speaker 2: So great chatting you with you. Thank you for staying 808 00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:18,640 Speaker 2: up late in your time to talk with us, and 809 00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:19,919 Speaker 2: I'll hope to talk to you against him. 810 00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:21,719 Speaker 4: Thank you, Thank you so much, both of you. 811 00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:37,680 Speaker 2: Thank you so much, Tracy. I really enjoyed that conversation. 812 00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:41,080 Speaker 2: It was interesting thinking about, you know, this idea that 813 00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:44,760 Speaker 2: rhetorically there are a lot of people on both sides 814 00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:48,120 Speaker 2: of the aisle who say things like, oh, we need 815 00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:51,640 Speaker 2: to get out of this sort of competition framework, et cetera. 816 00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:54,359 Speaker 2: It doesn't really feel like anything is actually happening on 817 00:48:54,400 --> 00:48:54,920 Speaker 2: that front. 818 00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:58,440 Speaker 3: Yes, one thing that struck me from the conversation was, 819 00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:02,360 Speaker 3: I guess how economic oriented it feels like all of 820 00:49:02,440 --> 00:49:05,600 Speaker 3: Chinese policy actually is. And I suppose maybe that gets 821 00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:08,640 Speaker 3: back to this idea. This is an old idea now, 822 00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:12,399 Speaker 3: but that social contract idea about the CCP, so as 823 00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,120 Speaker 3: long as people feel that their lives are getting better 824 00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:20,319 Speaker 3: right than, the CCP has strong support. I think the 825 00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:23,080 Speaker 3: economic focus really came through in that conversation. 826 00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:28,640 Speaker 2: I think, you know, obviously from the US perspective, there 827 00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:32,879 Speaker 2: is this view that you know, Henry is the word 828 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:37,480 Speaker 2: global policeman. A lot of people would say yes, absolutely, 829 00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,760 Speaker 2: and that a big role of the US Navy specifically 830 00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:45,280 Speaker 2: is enforcing the fact or freeing the world for trade. 831 00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:48,120 Speaker 2: Right that part of the reason that the world could 832 00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:49,240 Speaker 2: trade freely, that. 833 00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:51,360 Speaker 3: That's like a public good provided Bible. 834 00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:53,640 Speaker 2: And Opposer has talked about this, and others have talked 835 00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:56,560 Speaker 2: about this idea that these things go hand in hand. 836 00:49:57,080 --> 00:50:00,840 Speaker 2: And it's interesting because so Henry talked about impulse for 837 00:50:01,040 --> 00:50:04,840 Speaker 2: continuation of global trade, including with the US, et cetera. 838 00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:09,640 Speaker 2: They're clearly, to my mind, seems to be less of 839 00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:14,080 Speaker 2: an appetite from China to like, it's not obvious that 840 00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:16,680 Speaker 2: there is a to fill the gap, yeah, or that 841 00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:19,080 Speaker 2: you know, and I guess there's a question like does 842 00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:21,400 Speaker 2: the world need such muscle to trade? 843 00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:22,040 Speaker 4: Right? Does it? 844 00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:24,239 Speaker 2: Could you have a world of trade where there is 845 00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:28,279 Speaker 2: not one entity that has a truly global military footprint. 846 00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:31,960 Speaker 2: I think these are really interesting questions. Henry of course 847 00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:36,920 Speaker 2: talked about, especially in that last answer, restrengthening the UN, 848 00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:41,800 Speaker 2: et cetera, restructure, restructuring the UN exactly. It's not entirely 849 00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:45,759 Speaker 2: obvious to me that these institutions as they're constructed can 850 00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:51,080 Speaker 2: really be revived, even with lots of Chinese money going 851 00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:53,319 Speaker 2: into them. I think that's still kind of TVD well. 852 00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:55,360 Speaker 3: I think this is it right, even if you restructure 853 00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:58,480 Speaker 3: the Security Council so that, you know, you wouldn't have 854 00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:02,799 Speaker 3: one powerful member vedoing stuff all the time. Even if 855 00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,120 Speaker 3: people agreed to do things, what is the UN actually 856 00:51:05,160 --> 00:51:05,879 Speaker 3: going to do? Right? 857 00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:06,120 Speaker 4: Right? 858 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:08,359 Speaker 2: What is the UAD actually going to do? I don't 859 00:51:08,440 --> 00:51:10,560 Speaker 2: we didn't get into it that much, but like the 860 00:51:10,600 --> 00:51:13,280 Speaker 2: idea of a sort of war, I don't know, bricks 861 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:16,239 Speaker 2: composed peace keeping force. I bet there are a lot of 862 00:51:16,239 --> 00:51:17,719 Speaker 2: people in the US who would love that. They're like, yeah, 863 00:51:17,800 --> 00:51:19,400 Speaker 2: let's have peace, let's. 864 00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:21,359 Speaker 3: Have a sea, someone else take care, let's give a. 865 00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:25,480 Speaker 2: Ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine. And also let's not have 866 00:51:25,560 --> 00:51:29,640 Speaker 2: it be particularly dominated by Western peacekeepers shouldering that burden. 867 00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:31,480 Speaker 2: I bet a lot of people in the US would 868 00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:33,719 Speaker 2: love that. I would, you know, head more time. I 869 00:51:33,760 --> 00:51:36,399 Speaker 2: would love to really explore, like what the constraints on 870 00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,440 Speaker 2: that actually happening are there? But I thought that was 871 00:51:40,040 --> 00:51:42,640 Speaker 2: a very useful sort of overview of some of these 872 00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:44,080 Speaker 2: questions from the Chinese perspective. 873 00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:47,040 Speaker 3: Absolutely don't explore the constraints, Joe, just take credit for 874 00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:50,640 Speaker 3: solving us China attentions on the podcast in less than 875 00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:51,000 Speaker 3: an hour. 876 00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:53,279 Speaker 6: Shall we leave it there, Let's leave it there. 877 00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:56,080 Speaker 3: This has been another episode of the All Thoughts podcast. 878 00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:58,879 Speaker 3: I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy. 879 00:51:58,520 --> 00:51:59,680 Speaker 4: Alloway and I'm Joe. 880 00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,320 Speaker 2: You can follow me at the Stalwart, follow our producers 881 00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:06,680 Speaker 2: Krmen Rodriguez at Carman armand dash O Bennett at Dashbot 882 00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:09,759 Speaker 2: and Kilbrooks at Kilbrooks. For more odd Lots content, go 883 00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:11,840 Speaker 2: to Bloomberg dot com slash odd Lots. Were have the 884 00:52:11,920 --> 00:52:14,640 Speaker 2: daily newsletter and all of our episodes, and you can 885 00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:16,680 Speaker 2: chat about all of these topics twenty four to seven 886 00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:20,719 Speaker 2: in our discord Discord dot gg slash od Lots. 887 00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:23,040 Speaker 3: And if you enjoy odd Lots, if you want us 888 00:52:23,080 --> 00:52:25,480 Speaker 3: to go to Beijing and talk to more people on 889 00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:27,960 Speaker 3: the ground, then please leave us a positive review on 890 00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:31,040 Speaker 3: your favorite podcast platform. And remember, if you are a 891 00:52:31,080 --> 00:52:34,080 Speaker 3: Bloomberg subscriber, you can listen to all of our episodes 892 00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:36,680 Speaker 3: absolutely ad free. All you need to do is find 893 00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:40,320 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg channel on Apple Podcasts and follow the instructions there. 894 00:52:40,560 --> 00:53:07,239 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening. In e