1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: The favorite podcast is presented by fan Duel sports Book. 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: There's no better place to bet the action than on 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: FanDuel Sports Book during the football season. There America's number 4 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: one sports book with an easy to use app that's 5 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: safe and secure, and when I win, I get paid 6 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: out in as little as two hours. And this season, 7 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: fandel Sports Book is making betting easy for everyone with 8 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: great promos like risk free bets, enhanced odds markets, same 9 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: game parlays, and more. 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Chad Milman, chief Content Officer of the Action Network, 25 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 1: in his Thursday the Week of Week eighteen, Week eighteen 26 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: NFL season, I am joined as always by my BFF, 27 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: my companion Mike and Padre professional better Mr Simon Hunter. Hello, 28 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: Hello Chad. You almost forgot where you were. For a second, 29 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 1: I lost I did. I lost track for a second. 30 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: I was trying to think, is there any other housekeeping 31 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 1: I needed to do a little bit of housekeeping for 32 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,559 Speaker 1: our fans. Apparently I missed spoke or maybe it wasn't 33 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: clear enough. And we talked last episode. We were talking 34 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: about our contest. So when I said we didn't make 35 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: any money, I mean we didn't make the money of 36 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: the contest. Yes, we had a winning record, we didn't 37 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,679 Speaker 1: make the contest money. So we were three short or 38 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: two and a half exactly short of making the money. 39 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: So I believe it was top fifty got paid last year, 40 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: Me and Chad we came in twenty fourth place. This 41 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: year we came or eighty nine, so we needed it 42 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: might have been seven thousand or whatever was, but the 43 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: year before it wasn't that many. Obviously, as these contests 44 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: get bigger and more states become legalized, these things are 45 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: gonna keep growing. So yeah, the contest we were in, 46 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: it went up tensefold. Obviously didn't help. So in a 47 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: normal year me and chat I would have made the money. 48 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 1: That was a good record, but the way it's going nowadays, 49 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: you just have to have a really really good year 50 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: and not have any down weeks to make the money. 51 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: So I'm obviously not over. I'm not gonna be over 52 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: until next season. But um, I just want to clarify 53 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: we made money this season. We just didn't make the 54 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,359 Speaker 1: money and this contest we do, son, and I will 55 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: always put my lot in with you. Brother. I'm listen. 56 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: It's week eighteen. Like I said, it's a confusing week. 57 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 1: This is why we do the show twice a week 58 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 1: because what we talked about on Tuesday forty eight hours later. 59 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: In in any season, it's going to be wacky between 60 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 1: market news, injury news. In one into twenty two, it's 61 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: gonna be wacky because of market news, injury news, COVID news, 62 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: playoff seatings, all of that has become a factor in 63 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: the past forty eight hours. We're gonna narrow down. We're 64 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: gonna review sort of the games that we loved on Tuesday, 65 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: Gonna narrow it down to see if we still hold 66 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: those positions. We're gonna talk about some money line parlays, 67 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: which are becoming more interesting this week because of some 68 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: of the seatings and sort of motivations for teams. We've 69 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: got to get some sharp calls, So let's start with 70 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: sharp calls. Hello, who's there? I'm talking maybe love to 71 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: do It is funny how there's some weeks where I 72 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: get never any calls in there's other weeks like this week, 73 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: where I'm getting calls, but it's not like last week. 74 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: And I felt like last week we had like six 75 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: games I had professionals really in on. This week is 76 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 1: a little different. And then just this morning, this isn't 77 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 1: even a sharp call we didn't touch on the last show. 78 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: Antonio Brown the whole thing. He showed his Texas morning 79 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 1: and his text showed arians his head coach saying they're 80 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,359 Speaker 1: not resting, They're playing everyone so it sounds like my 81 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 1: information about Carolina is no good. I still see the 82 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: line coming down. I've seen it now. It's seven and 83 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 1: a half of some books. Seven at other books. I 84 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: don't know that text. It's from the head coach. Ab 85 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: sput it out there, and the coach is literally saying 86 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,479 Speaker 1: in the text, we're not resting, guys, We're playing scary. 87 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:42,039 Speaker 1: Scary because I I really liked that Carolina position. I 88 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:44,159 Speaker 1: thought that was a smart play. We have a banged 89 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 1: up Tampa Bay team. Why would they not take the 90 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 1: week off, try to get healthy, get right head into 91 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:51,480 Speaker 1: the playoffs. I'm still on Carolina. Just kind of muffled that, 92 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:55,160 Speaker 1: and again I had other guys call in saying they 93 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:56,920 Speaker 1: like Carolina. They thought it was still a good number 94 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 1: at seven and a half. I'm just looking at my 95 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: phone right now. It's back up the eight. It's books. 96 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: So it's gonna be interesting following that line. I'm still 97 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 1: on it. I'm still on Carolina. It's just like, what 98 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 1: would you do? Chat? Would you just keep playing it 99 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:09,280 Speaker 1: out and see how it goes on that one? I 100 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 1: don't know really know what to do with the position. 101 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: My opinion, we stay in the Panthers. It's been a 102 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: really interesting the fact that this number sort of moved 103 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 1: down to seven and a half, even when we continue 104 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: to see money in bets coming in on on the 105 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:23,119 Speaker 1: other side, My sense is that some very big money, 106 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 1: some kind of syndicate did come out of the Panthers. 107 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm just gonna hold my position, but 108 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 1: does make it a little scared when you see those texts. 109 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: To be honest, I was more interested this week in 110 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 1: the story about Hub Barkish, who has an m v 111 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: P vote saying he wouldn't vote for Aaron Rodgers because 112 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,839 Speaker 1: he thinks he's a bad guy. True story. How Barkish 113 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: gave me my very first job in journalism. Yeah. I 114 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: feel so bad for the guy. He seems like a 115 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: nice guy and he is just getting destroyed NonStop on 116 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: the internet. I mean, it's it's rough, steam rolled, sweet guy. 117 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 1: For Football Weekly was located ten minutes from my house. 118 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,840 Speaker 1: I looked in the phone book my freshman year of 119 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: college for like magazines and newspapers near my house. I 120 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: came home from Indiana University, Pro Football Weekly was listed. 121 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: I needed a job for the summer. I called Pro 122 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 1: Football Weekly. I went in, uh, thinking I was getting 123 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 1: an interview for like an internship. That day, an editor 124 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 1: for Pro Football Weekly had quit and gone to cover 125 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: the Bears for somebody else locally, and uh, they hired 126 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: me as an editor, making like eight dollars an hour 127 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: and put me in an office, Like I worked at 128 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 1: Pro Football Weekly as an editor for the summer. That 129 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: was my first job. It was. It was insane. That's 130 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 1: actually big money for back then. It was huge. Yeah, 131 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,159 Speaker 1: that's that's really good. Yeah. I was like, I'm like, 132 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: are you kidding me? I'm an editor at a national 133 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: football magazine. It was. It was totally nuts. So I'll 134 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: always have a soft spot for Hub. If you're him, 135 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: would you just post your whoever you've for m d P. 136 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 1: You gotta show who you vote for now, right, he 137 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 1: absolutely has to show you because that was such a 138 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: bad look. Chad Man, I say something really quick. Of course, 139 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 1: your friend and mine. Brandon Anderson of the Action Network, 140 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 1: whose specialty, among other things is the futures market, said 141 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 1: in August recommended that everyone bat Tom Brady to an 142 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: m v P made an incredibly cogent argument at fourteen 143 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 1: to one, mostly about how would be Uh, it's a 144 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: narrative award, A lot of things we're adding up. If 145 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: Tom Brady were to win the m v P, it 146 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: would be by far the most money I've ever won 147 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 1: betting on anything. And as a Thanksgiving and the beginning 148 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 1: of December, tom Brady was a cow wouldn't say size well, 149 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: but he was the favorite and is now a prohibitive underdog. 150 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: I hope every single voter feels the same way as 151 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:55,960 Speaker 1: this gentleman. I wish nothing but the worst to Aaron Rodgers, 152 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 1: the unofficial governor of my state here in Wisconsin. He's 153 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: certainly no more value all then time Brady. As to 154 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, especially this season is full of injuries, etcetera, etcetera. 155 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: And I hope the voters do the right thing. The 156 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 1: best ability is availability, Simon, and Tom Brady was. He 157 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 1: was always available. Tom Brady for m v P if 158 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: you're listening. So a couple other calls. We were dead 159 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 1: on with our Cleveland take. We said, people just take 160 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: the points of Cleveland there plus three at the time, 161 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 1: a couple of pros. That's what they really liked. Now 162 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 1: it's moved so much, there's no value there anymore. It's 163 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 1: up to six now for since he So, if I 164 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: had to pick a side, I'd take since now you're 165 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 1: getting six points, its backup, verse, back up, I'll take 166 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 1: that six. Um with the Bengals on the road, No 167 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: real feel for it though. So the value was on 168 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: that Cleveland at the three, not much value now. The 169 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 1: one I kept hearing from pros about was the Dolphins. Um, 170 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 1: we got a lot of heat for my Newland take. Alright, 171 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: I get it, Newland. No matter what, they're gonna be 172 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: the seventh seed. They could lose and they're still gonna 173 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 1: no matter what, make the playoffs. Doesn't change what I 174 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 1: feel about this Miami number that was too big at seven. 175 00:08:57,679 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: I still think it's too big at six and a 176 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,839 Speaker 1: half for I don't see Miami quitting. They're like they 177 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 1: can still technically if things. A bunch of things have 178 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 1: to happen for them to make it, and it's like 179 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 1: a one out of a hundred chance they do make it. 180 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 1: They don't seem like a team that's gonna quit on 181 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 1: Flores like he had them playing hard. They were one 182 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: in seven, they turned their whole season around. Yeah, they 183 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: let a letdown last week we talked about that was predictable, 184 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 1: that let down game. It's really hard to win eight 185 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,080 Speaker 1: straight games. Oh like, that's really really hard to do. 186 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 1: So from a bounce back perspective, nothing really changed the 187 00:09:28,960 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 1: fact that I've heard some other professionals now staying they're 188 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: coming in on the Dolphins. Woke up this morning, I 189 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: saw the line and moved down to six and a 190 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: half to split all the money, all the tickets coming in, 191 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: all on the Dolphins. Talked to a bookmaker yesterday in Philadelphia. 192 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: He said, one of the biggest teas teams this week 193 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: is New England. Again, this is what people are gonna 194 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: be doing. They're gonna be looking at. Like we talked 195 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 1: about the playoff matchups, New England needs this game again. 196 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 1: They don't need it to make the playoffs, so they 197 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 1: need it for seeding. They depends on the seating what 198 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: they get with this. So I will already like the Dolphins, 199 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: but now I've heard the many pros on it. I 200 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:01,839 Speaker 1: wish I could have made in my screets for Left 201 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,079 Speaker 1: because it feels I feel way better about the Dolphins 202 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:06,719 Speaker 1: I do about Atlanta. And again, another game we can 203 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 1: get to that's a pros versus show's game. The pros 204 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 1: have come in. The money is coming in Atlanta despite 205 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: Pits being out. Pits is out now for Atlanta, that's 206 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 1: a big deal. I was interesting to hear your take 207 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:18,240 Speaker 1: on that, just because what do they have left? I 208 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:21,839 Speaker 1: know they guy Cordell Patterson, but man down, Ridley down 209 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: Pits on all offense. I know the Saints don't have 210 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,600 Speaker 1: anything either, but like maybe that's when we're I'll just 211 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 1: be bigger on the under than than picking a side. 212 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,440 Speaker 1: But I still like Atlanta with the points. But that 213 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 1: that made me feel like ship seeing that pitts his out. 214 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 1: Is that official? Was he officially out? It's not official, 215 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 1: But it's like when Chefter, you like the way Chefter talks. 216 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: It's like he's not practicing this week. It's so rare 217 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 1: for guys that aren't practicing to come in if they 218 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 1: have a serious injury in the last week of the season, 219 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: Like they're looking at it, like, what's the point of 220 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:51,719 Speaker 1: risking it that he has to get surgery in the 221 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 1: off season. Why don't we just take it easy on 222 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,679 Speaker 1: the kid. So that's the only thing I'm wondering, is 223 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 1: he's fifty eight yards away from setting the singles. The 224 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:03,199 Speaker 1: rookie season in receiving yards record for a tight end, 225 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: I know, and like there's a bunch of little things 226 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: like that where it's like I bet I wanted to 227 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: bet his prop. Luckily they don't hang their props earlier 228 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 1: in the week because I would have lost money, Like like 229 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:13,680 Speaker 1: like I would have been all over prop. I still 230 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 1: think you're getting a good number Atlanta. I've heard other 231 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:19,319 Speaker 1: professionals like it saw dropped down to four. This morning's 232 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: right back up to four and a half. So it 233 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,079 Speaker 1: was at pros versus shows game. Now pro money is 234 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: coming on the Saints as well, because again, this is 235 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 1: what we'll see throughout this whole final week. The Saints 236 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 1: are playing for more. They like Tennessee where of the 237 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 1: most banged up teams this year of the Saints. I 238 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: mean no team has had more injuries. They went from 239 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: Jamis to Taysom Hill to Simeon back to Taysom Hill. 240 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 1: It's just it's been a crazy year for that Saints team. 241 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 1: So I'm still I'm still looking at this and trying 242 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: to have a clear mind, saying to myself, that's that's 243 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 1: a lot of points for a home team in Atlanta 244 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:51,959 Speaker 1: playing against a team the Saints. That's not that good. 245 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 1: Like again, both these teams aren't that good, but it's 246 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 1: a divisional game. You're still giving me four and a 247 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 1: half of the Lanta at home. I'm still gonna be honest. 248 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: So it was interesting hearing other pros say that's a 249 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,559 Speaker 1: game they really liked as well. We like Minnesota minus 250 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:06,559 Speaker 1: two and a half. We said we wanted to take 251 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:08,679 Speaker 1: it now, just in case Kirk came back. That's the 252 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 1: game the pros were all over. Kirk got cleared. The 253 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 1: lines up the four, it's up the four and a half. 254 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 1: At some books, I still would take it, but obviously 255 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 1: we liked the way better two and a half three 256 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: it's still a good number against the Barry's team. But 257 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 1: I feel like you touched on the last show, Chad, 258 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: They're just it feels like there are two teams going 259 00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 1: in different directions, like the Bears have been playing well 260 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: these last couple of weeks, where Minnesota just has not 261 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 1: in a close matchup. Now that we're above three, I 262 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: might start looking at taking the Bears, but it's hard 263 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: to say, just because I did bet the Vikes a 264 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 1: two and a half and I don't I don't feel 265 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:41,840 Speaker 1: great about betting Andy Dalton on the road, dude, this 266 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: is a pass. Pass. Yesterday was Virginia mccasky's ninety nine birthday. 267 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: She is, of course, the daughter of George Hallis and 268 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 1: the owner of the Bears. They posted a picture of 269 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 1: her on the Bears Instagram feed and uh said, happy birthday. 270 00:12:57,000 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: The very first comment is from a guy who's handle 271 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: I recognize because it's my buddy Matt, who I mentioned 272 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: in the podcast all the time. The very first comment 273 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 1: underneath it, it just says sell the team. And you 274 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 1: know how I know he said that. My fifteen year 275 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:17,559 Speaker 1: old texted me in the middle of school a screenshot 276 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: with the comment circled. Early in the morning. My best 277 00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: friend was trolling the Bears Instagram account and year old 278 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:28,199 Speaker 1: woman and my fifteen year old was not paying attention 279 00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 1: in school because he was on Instagram looking at the 280 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 1: Bears account, then screen grabbing it and sending it to me. 281 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: Pass on this game. I've got opinions on the Falcons. 282 00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 1: Let's let's go down some of the games here, because 283 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:41,920 Speaker 1: we got a bunch that that we should talk about 284 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:45,840 Speaker 1: Titans Texans. We liked the Texans plus ten and a half. 285 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,840 Speaker 1: I still like the Texans plus ten and a half. 286 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 1: I even might like the Texans on the money line. 287 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: And the Titans team has continued to struggle against teams 288 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 1: like the Texans. They did it this year already. And 289 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: then I was listening to Stucky in Raybound on the 290 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,960 Speaker 1: Action Network podcast this morning, and Stucky at all these 291 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: stats about teams that have to play for something versus 292 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: teams that don't, and in almost every scenario, like it's 293 00:14:13,760 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 1: a wild swing in favor of the team that has 294 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: nothing to play for. Yeah, you're gonna get the Coach 295 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 1: of the Year, though, Mike Vrabel, are you sure you 296 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 1: want to do that chat? That's risky. I'm ready to 297 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 1: do it. I'm with you on Houston and the spread, 298 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 1: but I would not do the money line just because 299 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 1: they've already beaten Tennessee this year. We've seen it divisional games. 300 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 1: If you're gonna sweep a team, you usually you have 301 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 1: to be pretty damn good. Houston the first time they played, 302 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: I think they they beat him, maybe by seven. They 303 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 1: picked off Tano four four times in that game and 304 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 1: they won by seven. So I don't hate the idea, 305 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: like we said, I like the points I just it's 306 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 1: the rare time where I'm not gonna be taking the 307 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: money line just because I just can't see the team 308 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 1: winning back to back, especially where they know Tennessee knows 309 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 1: they in this. They get an extra week off home 310 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: playoffs throughout, and they get Derrick Henry Beck after that 311 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: extra week arrest. So yeah, I love what's stuck he's 312 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 1: saying here, Like we talked about lapsips, I like fading 313 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 1: teams do that need stuff. I'm just I won't be 314 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 1: joining chat on that money line. That's a that's that's 315 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 1: a ballsy bet. I bet they'll be in our money 316 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 1: line parlay though, Yeah, because that's yeah, that's that's great value. Yeah. 317 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: So Texas plus ten and a half, we still like it, 318 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: Washington football team, that line has moved up. Um, I 319 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 1: think we liked it at six and a half. I'm 320 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 1: now seeing it. I think seven still take at seven. 321 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: I've seen some books to a seven and a half. Obviously, 322 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:40,160 Speaker 1: we loved the value of a bunch more at six 323 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 1: and a half. Giants on my worst graded team, Uh, 324 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: they have a backup quarterback plane in this game. Their 325 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 1: head coach talk about Ron rivera Ron Riveria team loves 326 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 1: the play for them. They've been motivated by them all year. Again, 327 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 1: for a team that lost their starting quarterback Week one 328 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 1: or I don't even think it was Week one, might 329 00:15:57,400 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 1: have been before the season Fits went down that injury. 330 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 1: Be amazing what they've done this year. Washington. I'm looking 331 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 1: at two teams that one is completely quit on their 332 00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: head coach. They know the coach is gone. Washington. I 333 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 1: know Rivera is gonna be back. I know that this 334 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 1: team is They're bad, but they're not one of the 335 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 1: worst five teams in football. So you're giving me still 336 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: seven points against Jake from and this Giant's offense. That 337 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 1: what they put up negative ten yards passing last week, 338 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:26,040 Speaker 1: something insane like that. I'm gonna keep Fadom. I'm I'm 339 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 1: gonna take a team that's the team that has not 340 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: quit yet come Week eighteen. That will be like one 341 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 1: of my things for this final week. That's this is 342 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:35,720 Speaker 1: the biggest one. You're You're literally looking at a team 343 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 1: that is straight quit. The Giants have quit. They have 344 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 1: not played hard in three weeks. So nothing changed still 345 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: like Washington, Yeah, Joe Judge has clearly had a little 346 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: bit of a meltdown. This past week, he called out 347 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: the Washington football team for fighting on the sidelines refused 348 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 1: to meet with the Washington media to sort of discuss 349 00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: it and answer questions about it. There's no doubt in 350 00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: my mind Ron Rivera is using this all to build 351 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 1: motivation for one last stand for the Washington football team 352 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: against the division arrival. Uh and embarrass them a little bit. 353 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree. I like the Washington football team 354 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 1: here Jacks plus fifteen and a half. So let me 355 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 1: read you some of those stats that stuck he had 356 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: on his podcast this morning, because I thought they were 357 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: really good and very specific about the Jacks. Uh. Look, well, 358 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 1: you and I talked about this. The Colts haven't won 359 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 1: in Jacksonville and forever. That's my favorite stat whatever it 360 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 1: was one. Yeah, I'm gonna read some of the stats 361 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:33,199 Speaker 1: that I listened to on the Action Network podcast with 362 00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:37,040 Speaker 1: Chris Raybond and Stucky talking about the Jags was big 363 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:40,200 Speaker 1: dogs against the Colts because it was specific to this game. 364 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 1: I mentioned a couple of them in the Texas, but 365 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 1: it's very specific to this game. In addition to the 366 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,920 Speaker 1: Colts not having won in Jacksonville and like seven years 367 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,479 Speaker 1: inflation on must win teams like the Colts in this spot. 368 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: Bookmakers know the public is automatically assuming teams that have 369 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 1: something to play for will come in and be more 370 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 1: motivated the teams than don't have anything to play for it. 371 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:03,879 Speaker 1: Since two thousand three, teams that are in a must 372 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:09,959 Speaker 1: win spot are sixteen and twenty six against the spread 373 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: faves of more than a field goal ten two against 374 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,200 Speaker 1: the spread. If you need a bigger sample size, since 375 00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 1: night these teams are against the spread. The Texans obviously 376 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 1: fit this spot as well. But this feels like if 377 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: you're gonna bet the Jags one last time, this might 378 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:33,399 Speaker 1: be your best bet. Yep. And we've we've seen the 379 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,879 Speaker 1: money coming in, the pro money coming in on the Jaguars. 380 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 1: It's is that the biggest progress show game on the board. No, 381 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:41,640 Speaker 1: not even close like that. That to me just felt 382 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:43,360 Speaker 1: like it would be a pro game where I could 383 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 1: see the money coming in on the Jaguars. I just 384 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,679 Speaker 1: can't see any tickets coming on the Jaguars. If it 385 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 1: feels like one out of every ten better, well would 386 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:52,840 Speaker 1: bet the Jacks. Like that's how much more bets are 387 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,960 Speaker 1: gonna be on the Colts. So I'm right there with him. 388 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,560 Speaker 1: I feel like we're getting three or four points or 389 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: three points just because of what you just said that 390 00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 1: everyone just is like, Okay, the Colts need this game, 391 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: they needed to make the playoffs. When we put them 392 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: in my thirteen point teaser, do whatever so that they 393 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: just inflate this line all yup? So what is it? Fifteen? 394 00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:13,399 Speaker 1: Fifteen and a half? That's way too many points. I 395 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:14,879 Speaker 1: like I talked lash. I think I said I made 396 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:17,239 Speaker 1: this game eleven. I moved to the twelve. There might 397 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,120 Speaker 1: be a couple of starters out for this Jaguars team 398 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:23,800 Speaker 1: on defense. Still too many points if it's over two touchdowns. 399 00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 1: I have to take this with the Jaguars. I hate 400 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 1: doing it too. They're awful. They lost by fifty points 401 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 1: last week. I would love to hear from stuff. But 402 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 1: that status team that loses by fifty points, what they 403 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,560 Speaker 1: do against the spread the following week? Uh? We saw 404 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,120 Speaker 1: last week Washington football team. They lost by fifty whatever 405 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,680 Speaker 1: it was the Cowboys, they showed up, they covered. Obviously. 406 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 1: They are much better and much more motivated team than 407 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:47,919 Speaker 1: the Jaguars. We're getting two touchdowns though, it's two touchdowns, 408 00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,959 Speaker 1: it's it's it's gross, but like Chad just said, this 409 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,400 Speaker 1: is something mathematic, but we have to do the two 410 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,400 Speaker 1: biggest pros Joe's games, which we're gonna get to. One 411 00:19:56,400 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 1: of them is the Bills and the Jets. The Bill 412 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 1: is a sixteen and a half point favorites. We circled 413 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:06,920 Speaker 1: it on Tuesday loving the Bills, and the Bills are 414 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:09,399 Speaker 1: getting all the money and the Jets are getting all 415 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:13,240 Speaker 1: the tickets. Rare, rare time where the money is coming 416 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:16,440 Speaker 1: in on the massive favorite and the public is backing 417 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 1: a huge, huge dog. I think I'm off a little 418 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 1: bit on that line too. I had it at twenty 419 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: scary it's going the other way. I think it's down 420 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:27,080 Speaker 1: to sixteen and a lot of books. So I inflated 421 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:28,639 Speaker 1: that I maybe give me too much value to this 422 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 1: Bills team and not given off respect to the Jets. 423 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 1: But it just felt like it was such a position 424 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 1: that it's it's just a bad spot for this Jets 425 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 1: team coming off a really close loss where Zach Wilson 426 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: played flawless, and we've seen it time and time again. 427 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:43,879 Speaker 1: This kid, he'll have a game like that in the 428 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 1: next week. He'll completely lay an egg. Now he's going 429 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:50,880 Speaker 1: up to the frigid, cold Buffalo. I don't really see 430 00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: how this Jets team is gonna be moving the ball 431 00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 1: on this Bills team. And like again, the Bills are 432 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,240 Speaker 1: in playoff mode. We've seen it the Bills last couple 433 00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 1: of weeks. They've been in playoff mode. They had a 434 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,719 Speaker 1: bit of a letdown game against Atlanta, and what happened. 435 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: They came out the second half and the absolutely dominated 436 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 1: Atlanta and every facet of the field dominated them. I 437 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:09,840 Speaker 1: don't think I Lanta scored a point in the second half. 438 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,160 Speaker 1: So I get why the public is loving the Jets 439 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: because again they covered for us last week against Tampa Bay. 440 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: It feels like a trap, I'll give you. The only 441 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:18,640 Speaker 1: comfort is the fact that the lines moving down. Maybe 442 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,159 Speaker 1: the bookmakers are saying think of the same thing. It's like, okay, 443 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 1: maybe we undervalue this Jets team too much, but it 444 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: only it's only moved by half a point, so it's 445 00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:29,400 Speaker 1: not that much movement. For what Chad just said, all 446 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,440 Speaker 1: those betting tickets coming out the Jets. Uh, I'm still 447 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: on the Bills. I just don't know if I'll be 448 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 1: one of my four or five biggest bets this Sunday. 449 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:40,200 Speaker 1: The other one that we gotta talk about the Rams 450 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: and the Niners, tickets on the Niners, money on the Rams. 451 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: As the weeks going along and the more we've heard 452 00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 1: about Jimmy, it's not gonna be Jimmy. It does not 453 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 1: look like Jimmy's been able to play. His injury seems 454 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 1: like it's pretty pretty serious. We rewatched that houstoning with 455 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 1: Trey Lance Shanahan as what ship does I love to 456 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 1: give the guy we was talking about. I do think 457 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 1: he's one of the best offensive minds of football. They 458 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: had three points in the first half. In the second half, 459 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,239 Speaker 1: he completely changed up what he was doing with this 460 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,840 Speaker 1: offensive tray Lance Trey Lance. My first though was this 461 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 1: kid's first initial reads would be always pull it down 462 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 1: and run. He was going through reads. He had literally 463 00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 1: really smart pocket awareness in that second half, taking long 464 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 1: shots when you could take it, when it were there 465 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 1: stuff underneath you would take that. Just intelligent, very intelligent 466 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 1: for what I was not. Again, I thought Trei Lance 467 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 1: was just gonna be when these athletes have come in 468 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 1: first read not there, pulls it down, runs it. Because 469 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 1: he is a really gifted athlete. He's not He's he's 470 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,119 Speaker 1: way smarter than I thought he was gonna be. But 471 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 1: watching that tape, it could be really bad for this 472 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 1: four ninis team against the Rams. The biggest thing I 473 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 1: saw was that Houston team, if you had a comfortable 474 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 1: quarterback and receivers, you were going to pass all over 475 00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:56,160 Speaker 1: this four uniners team. Their secondary is bad. So looking 476 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: up the matchups, I looked on the defensive side for 477 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 1: this Rams team going up again to our front line 478 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,199 Speaker 1: of the four nineers, he's gonna have a lot of pressure. 479 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 1: And he had any real pressure in his face that 480 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: the whole Houston game, no real pressure on him. That's 481 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 1: gonna change dramatically. So as much as I like him 482 00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 1: taking this time making all his reads, it's not gonna 483 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,560 Speaker 1: be as easy it was against Houston. I told you 484 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 1: I thought this line should be six. The fact that 485 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 1: it's still what is it moves up to four and 486 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 1: a half now a little bit. Yeah, we've seen some 487 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,159 Speaker 1: books at five. I still think you're getting value on 488 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:28,639 Speaker 1: this Rams team. Um, I I thought coming in that 489 00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,760 Speaker 1: Tennessee would be I mean, uh fows would be more 490 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,439 Speaker 1: of a public team. That's not that crazy to hear 491 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 1: the public's on that, just because in the division matchup 492 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,400 Speaker 1: like this. People are looking at this Rams team. They're 493 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 1: saying themselves, Stafford hasn't played well in weeks. He really hasn't. 494 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 1: If you go through what Stafford has done these opt 495 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,960 Speaker 1: couple of weeks, he just has not played well. But 496 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,120 Speaker 1: this is a perfect spot for him to get right. 497 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,240 Speaker 1: This is one of the worst secondaries in all football. 498 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 1: So at home, like we said, we're fading Tray Lance 499 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 1: on the road making his first road start. I love 500 00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: it that it's still under a touchdown. I do think 501 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 1: you're still getting good value on this Rams tea. Yeah, 502 00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:04,400 Speaker 1: I totally agree. I bet him at four. Uh, it's 503 00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 1: creeping back up. So you say get the value. I 504 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,359 Speaker 1: say get it now because you want to get the 505 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:13,320 Speaker 1: best of the number and four is a key number, 506 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 1: So get it as soon as you possibly can. I 507 00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 1: want to make sure we talked about the games that 508 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 1: we talked about on Tuesday. Talked about the Dolphins quite 509 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,399 Speaker 1: a bit real quick. On the Dolphins. I want to 510 00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 1: make that our big balls better the week, big balls 511 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: better the week. The Dolphins is a game that very 512 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,439 Speaker 1: few will be betting with us, and I touched on 513 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 1: that last week. Now I'm looking at the Action app 514 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,400 Speaker 1: and seeing how much money, all the bets everything coming 515 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 1: on the Patriots. This is truly no one's betting this, 516 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:46,840 Speaker 1: this Dolphins team. The fact that it's moved now to 517 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: six and a half, the money and tickets have only 518 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 1: gone up on the Patriots. More people have comment on 519 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,919 Speaker 1: the Patriot because I think they're getting better number. The 520 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:56,120 Speaker 1: book knows what they're doing. They know what they're doing, Chad, 521 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:59,159 Speaker 1: They're they're laying a little trap here. So again the 522 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: amount of pushback God as well, it made me really 523 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: like the Dolphins even more. The fact that it's reverse 524 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: line moving even though we're off no information other than 525 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,159 Speaker 1: professional money is coming on the Dolphins. That's the best. 526 00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: So still loving at six and a half. Still think 527 00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 1: you're getting above a key number, which I talked about 528 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,160 Speaker 1: the time. I think six is a key number. Still 529 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 1: take that Dolphins a six and a half to trap, 530 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 1: no doubt. No one's probably gonna winning this game. It's 531 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,719 Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. They ain't gonna be blowing them out. If 532 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:24,280 Speaker 1: they win this game, it's gonna be about two or 533 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,360 Speaker 1: three points. This is just like the Eagles last week, 534 00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 1: where the Eagles were getting all that smoke went up 535 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 1: their ass. They went on the road to play an 536 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,920 Speaker 1: inferior team and they squeaked out a four point win. 537 00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: It feels like we're in the same kind of scenario 538 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: here with this new England team. We're buying alow on 539 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 1: the Dolphins after they had to blowout loss. We're selling 540 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: the Patriots after a big win at home now going 541 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 1: on the road. I love this position. Big balls were 542 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,160 Speaker 1: on an island. Nobody wants to get the Dolphins with us, 543 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,880 Speaker 1: except professional betters. The other game I want to talk 544 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,920 Speaker 1: about quickly. You mentioned the Falcons, and the Falcons were 545 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 1: our foxhole. It's creeping up a little bit. It got 546 00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:01,160 Speaker 1: down to four now it's up to four and a half. 547 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,119 Speaker 1: A couple of things for me. Number one, the line 548 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: movement on this game has been massive. It opened at 549 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,680 Speaker 1: Falcons minus one and a half. Now it's up to 550 00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,879 Speaker 1: Falcons plus four and a half. The Saints are getting 551 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,880 Speaker 1: way too much credit when they're playing a quarterback who's 552 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:20,720 Speaker 1: grading out to be amongst the four worst quarterbacks in 553 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 1: the NFL this year. Cam Newton, Zack Wilson, Mike Lennon, 554 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 1: Taysom Hill. Those are the four worst quarterbacks in the NFL. 555 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:32,560 Speaker 1: Least year. So you're telling me that this guy is 556 00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:36,120 Speaker 1: gonna go on the road and he's going to win 557 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:41,600 Speaker 1: by more than five points against a Falcon's offense. That 558 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: I know. They're gonna be missing Kyle Pitts, but they 559 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:48,600 Speaker 1: are much much better than a lot of the teams 560 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 1: the Saints have faced throughout the year, and their defense 561 00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:57,760 Speaker 1: is serviceable enough against the quarterback like Taysom Hill, who 562 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,360 Speaker 1: is really just dreadful. I mean, it's amazing that they 563 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,479 Speaker 1: were able to do anything in any of these games. 564 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:08,720 Speaker 1: Um so to me, Like early in the season, the 565 00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 1: Saints were favored by six at home. Now they're favored 566 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,480 Speaker 1: by nearly five on the road. There's a ten and 567 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:19,000 Speaker 1: a half eleven point swing. That's what was so bizarre 568 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:20,959 Speaker 1: to me, Like you just that was the first thing 569 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:22,920 Speaker 1: I thought of when I saw that number. It's like, 570 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: I get it. Atlantis had injuries, like we talked about, 571 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 1: they might be out pits. They already they've been down Ridley. 572 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:33,120 Speaker 1: The mismatch of quarterback, I mean, Matt Ryan. He as 573 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:34,919 Speaker 1: much as I wanted to shoot on Atlanta for passing 574 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:36,760 Speaker 1: at a quarterback because I thought it had been great 575 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 1: they draft a quarterback in that draft. Let him sit, 576 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,359 Speaker 1: learn from Matt Ryan this year, and then they can 577 00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: make him the starting next year. Matt Ryan is probably 578 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 1: gonna be the start next year. That guy is, I believe. 579 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:48,640 Speaker 1: On Pro Football Focus they had him at number four 580 00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:50,600 Speaker 1: for big time throws this year, so he was only 581 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:55,600 Speaker 1: behind Joe Burrow, Patrick mahomes Uh, Tom Brady Like that's 582 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,840 Speaker 1: that's the kind of class he's in without weapons. He's 583 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 1: been down weapons all season. I know Coradol Patterson has 584 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 1: been incredible for them, um, but he missed a bunch 585 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 1: of games too, So I'm right there with e chat 586 00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:11,600 Speaker 1: I Again, I have regret making this my scirtuallep pick um, 587 00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,359 Speaker 1: just because I'm losing a little bit of confidence in 588 00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,919 Speaker 1: this Atlanta team as the week goes alonger and the 589 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: more I read about man across the board. They are 590 00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 1: one of the worst teams. If if Matt Ryan wasn't 591 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,399 Speaker 1: on their team, they projected out to be two and 592 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:26,880 Speaker 1: fourteen right now. That's how important he's been to them 593 00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:30,800 Speaker 1: as a starter this season. So I just Matt Ryan 594 00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:32,720 Speaker 1: at home last game. I'll get four and a half 595 00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,360 Speaker 1: against like you just said, the worst quarterback and football 596 00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 1: this season in Taysom Hill. I gotta take Matt Ryan. 597 00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: I'll take him every time. I'll take the points every time. 598 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,120 Speaker 1: I still believe this stays above three. You're getting a 599 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 1: good number in Atlanta. This is a field goal kind 600 00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 1: of game. I don't know which side is gonna win, 601 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,360 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna be on Atlanta. Atlanta's moneyline just because 602 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,680 Speaker 1: that's where the value is. You're getting free points. In 603 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,240 Speaker 1: my opinion, just because of what you just said. Saints 604 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,600 Speaker 1: are playing for a playoff position. The public knows that 605 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,920 Speaker 1: they're gonna bet them up. Atlanta's plain for nothing that 606 00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:03,800 Speaker 1: people think they're just gonna throw in the towel there. 607 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 1: This will be a walkover for the Saints team. So 608 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:10,040 Speaker 1: it's not surprising. This is um. I mean, if you 609 00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 1: look at the action the action app, it's kind of 610 00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 1: been split. We've seen it now the more Moneys since 611 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,200 Speaker 1: that Pitt news come out, more money is starting to 612 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 1: come in on the Saints team. So if you get 613 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 1: the four and a half, I like it, you might 614 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 1: be able to get a five. Um, if this line 615 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:27,160 Speaker 1: keeps going in the direction I think it might. Um 616 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 1: the what was I just gonna say? I totally forgot 617 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,320 Speaker 1: oh We have been in Atlanta Falcons podcast all season long. 618 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 1: It's totally appropriate that the last week of the year, 619 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 1: one of our biggest bets, one of your scrutual let picks, 620 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 1: is gonna be Atlanta plus four and a half. Maybe 621 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,960 Speaker 1: it gets a little bit higher. Um, I hope it 622 00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 1: does for everybody. The last game I want to talk about, Uh, 623 00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 1: we've covered a lot of them, but the last game 624 00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: I want to talk about the Chargers in the Raiders. 625 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 1: It's gonna be the Sunday night game. Who knows what's 626 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 1: gonna happen. You had a little bit of an opinion 627 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:03,560 Speaker 1: on two his day. Has anything changed I ended up 628 00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 1: been I hadn't been in Las Vegas. Just the fact 629 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: they're at home. I've been disappointed by this Chargers team 630 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 1: all season. They started out so good and they just 631 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 1: faded and we've seen it. They're run. Their run defense 632 00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:18,800 Speaker 1: is what's kind of held them back all year. Um, 633 00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,480 Speaker 1: They've just had moments where they'll put up fourteen points 634 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,920 Speaker 1: really quick. This Chargers team, then Herbert, we'll just go 635 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:25,920 Speaker 1: three and out, three and out. The other team will 636 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 1: get the ball, they'll get a couple of points, and 637 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,240 Speaker 1: then they'll just keep wearing out the defense of the 638 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: Chargers running the ball. So looking at on paper, I'm 639 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 1: shocked this number state at three. That honestly feels like 640 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 1: that's the biggest giveaway to me. I knew the public 641 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,040 Speaker 1: could be coming on the Chargers, so I was assuming 642 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:41,520 Speaker 1: the book would move this a three and a half. 643 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 1: They haven't, so that should be a warning signed everyone 644 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,600 Speaker 1: a standalone game, we know the money will be coming 645 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,640 Speaker 1: on the Chargers. The fact that they haven't moved it 646 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 1: it makes me like the Raiders even more. I want 647 00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 1: to tell people to bet. If I'm wording, I'm gonna 648 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:54,360 Speaker 1: tell people to do that, and it's gonna get the 649 00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:55,720 Speaker 1: three and a half because we talk all the time. 650 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 1: That's that's such a key number. So I like Vegas. 651 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:00,320 Speaker 1: I like taking their money. One here to do. But 652 00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:02,920 Speaker 1: if Waller gets cleared, what do you think this line drops? 653 00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 1: I think it would drop right Yeah, So I've actually 654 00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:07,880 Speaker 1: seen it. I've seen it at two and a half, 655 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 1: so that right there, like I'm just thinking about it 656 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,360 Speaker 1: out loud, you might you might have to take that 657 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,000 Speaker 1: three because if Waller gets cleared, I got him worth 658 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 1: a point of that team, So to me, it will 659 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 1: drop down to two. You can see a movie even 660 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 1: more if he gets cleared. So in fact, in some 661 00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: places it's at two and a half right now, Yeah, yeah, 662 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 1: you got I would take the Raiders now that I'm 663 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 1: trying to get greeting, get the three and a half. 664 00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: But apparently three is the best we're gonna get in 665 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,560 Speaker 1: the spot, So I gotta hate that. But none, that 666 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 1: makes sense because like when I'm thinking about out loud, 667 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: if Waller comes back, that's gonna move that line. So 668 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 1: the word is he's gonna be back that he's been practicing. 669 00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: Looks like that's that's the information is getting out early. 670 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 1: People are betting that number down. So yeah, if you're 671 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,280 Speaker 1: if you're hearing this now, I'd take that three, got it. 672 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 1: The College Football Championship is here to celebrate fandal. Sports 673 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 1: Book is hooking new customers up with the day to 674 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:04,080 Speaker 1: one enhanced odds on either team to win. That means 675 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 1: you can bet five dollars to win a hundred and 676 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:10,440 Speaker 1: fifty bucks on either team to win it all. Personally, 677 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 1: I'm going with the Georgia Bulldogs as short favorites. I 678 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 1: think they get it done in a dramatic rematch. 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All right, let me recap 711 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 1: a little bit, because we went through a lot of stuff. 712 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:23,280 Speaker 1: We still like the Washington football team. We love, love, 713 00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 1: love the Dolphins plus six and a half big balls. 714 00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:29,560 Speaker 1: We still like the Jags plus fifteen and a half. 715 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:32,319 Speaker 1: We like the Bills minus sixteen and a half. We 716 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:36,080 Speaker 1: like the Texans plus ten and a half, the Rams 717 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:39,440 Speaker 1: minus four, maybe even up to five, the Falcons plus 718 00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:41,360 Speaker 1: four and a half, but you might be able to 719 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,640 Speaker 1: wait on that. We'll stick with the Panthers played eight 720 00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:45,600 Speaker 1: plus eight, but that was based on some rumors that 721 00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,560 Speaker 1: don't look like they're gonna be happening. Grab the Raiders 722 00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:50,560 Speaker 1: now at plus two and a half while you can. 723 00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,279 Speaker 1: And I forgot to mention on sharp calls. I did 724 00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:55,759 Speaker 1: make a little bet on Denver. A pro group has 725 00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 1: come in. They bed Denver against the Chiefs. I hate 726 00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:01,319 Speaker 1: betting Drew Lock. I know Teddy's out. They put them 727 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,040 Speaker 1: on injury reserve, so the season is done, so it 728 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:06,000 Speaker 1: is Drew Lock. I trust these guys. They're they're legit. 729 00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:08,879 Speaker 1: There are reasoning behind betting Denver sound They think that 730 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,480 Speaker 1: this is a look ahead game for Kansas City, Kansas 731 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,279 Speaker 1: overlooking Denver. They know all they gotta do is win. 732 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:16,360 Speaker 1: Any reasons gonna take his foot off the gas on 733 00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 1: the second half Denver at home, you're getting ten and 734 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,040 Speaker 1: a half. Take it, I guess, But I mean for 735 00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:23,319 Speaker 1: Saturdays it goes. I'd say I bet I bet more 736 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,400 Speaker 1: on the Cowboys for Saturday compared to this Denver team, 737 00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:27,520 Speaker 1: but I just want to put it out there just 738 00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:29,800 Speaker 1: in case people are wondering what we're doing Saturday. I 739 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,799 Speaker 1: have a little bet on Denver. I have much more 740 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 1: bet on Dallas. Mike McCarthy has said that his starters 741 00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:38,359 Speaker 1: will play. The Eagles really have nothing to play for. 742 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 1: Their position is negligible in terms of ability to change 743 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. They got a ton of COVID, So 744 00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:46,160 Speaker 1: it's really just gonna be Dallas trying to, you know, 745 00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,520 Speaker 1: stay sharp. And I can see that line moving like 746 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:50,279 Speaker 1: I don't. I can see you getting the seven now 747 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,799 Speaker 1: and by Saturday morning it's up to eight, eight or nine. Yeah, 748 00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:55,880 Speaker 1: it's gonna be bet up by the public. Cowboys are 749 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,040 Speaker 1: one of the most public teams, Chad. I've had a 750 00:35:58,040 --> 00:35:59,920 Speaker 1: bunch of people keep reaching out about this end of 751 00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 1: the year review that you and Matt Mitchell like to 752 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:05,800 Speaker 1: bring up. Yeah, they wanted me just to mention you guys, 753 00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,600 Speaker 1: there's only one person here who didn't miss a single show. 754 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:13,160 Speaker 1: All that person's meet Chad. So I'm gonna go ahead 755 00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 1: and skip that review and just say to you guys, 756 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 1: do better next year. Days all Yeah, I think, Yeah, 757 00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,239 Speaker 1: try to find a day. I didn't even know that either. 758 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:27,160 Speaker 1: I had fans point that out. Yead the loyal listeners. Interesting. 759 00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:30,920 Speaker 1: I hate that he's right about that. I was on vacation. 760 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 1: I would still check it. Yeah, I remember a lot 761 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,919 Speaker 1: of it. There's a lot of adversity, and you never 762 00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 1: you never asked off the shows. It's probably your worst quality. Well. 763 00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,920 Speaker 1: He also he had COVID like every week at least 764 00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:45,319 Speaker 1: seven times, keep showing up. You've joined from at least 765 00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 1: three locations. As sucks. I mean, we'll put this in 766 00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,759 Speaker 1: the review, but this might get him, this making him 767 00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 1: above all d well our review processes uh minus check 768 00:36:55,680 --> 00:37:00,399 Speaker 1: minus check check plus plus. America does these kind of things. 769 00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:04,000 Speaker 1: I just made that up because once upon a time 770 00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:08,359 Speaker 1: at ESPN and Disney, that was the review process. And 771 00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:13,760 Speaker 1: my first year at ESPN, I got married in June. 772 00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,400 Speaker 1: I had started in April, the magazine got married in June, 773 00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:19,640 Speaker 1: so I had my honeymoon planned, took off, and then 774 00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:23,239 Speaker 1: right before we closed the NFL preview issue, I had 775 00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:26,279 Speaker 1: an attack of appendicitis. Didn't leave the office for two 776 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:28,759 Speaker 1: days to continue to close the issue, but then had 777 00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:31,960 Speaker 1: emergency appendectomy surgery and was out for ten days. After that. 778 00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,080 Speaker 1: So my review at the end of the year was, 779 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:36,120 Speaker 1: you know, you missed like two weeks in June. I 780 00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:39,480 Speaker 1: was like, for my honeymoon. Then my boss said, you 781 00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:42,239 Speaker 1: also were out for ten days in September, and I 782 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 1: was like for an emergency appendectomy. So for attendance, I 783 00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 1: gotta check minus approven once again. Who's the real man here? Again? 784 00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,560 Speaker 1: I never missed one show all of Chad missed three 785 00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 1: weeks when he had his dream job. I think we 786 00:37:56,040 --> 00:38:00,520 Speaker 1: should pivot to an entirely emoji based review system. I 787 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: would give Simon the face with the straight line mouth, 788 00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:08,080 Speaker 1: no snow reaction. I also wrote a cover story for 789 00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,200 Speaker 1: ESPN the magazine two days after breaking my back in 790 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:15,120 Speaker 1: a in a cab accident. Holy shit, what the fuck 791 00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:19,680 Speaker 1: your thirties sound wild? Chat the saying in my family 792 00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 1: growing up, stifle it. Emotion doesn't matter. You stifle it 793 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:28,080 Speaker 1: and you go to work. I missed that generation. I 794 00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:31,800 Speaker 1: am that generation, not you're the worst generation ever. Let's 795 00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:35,719 Speaker 1: do some money line parlays. I want to put denver 796 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:37,320 Speaker 1: In on money line around Robin, but I know no 797 00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:38,840 Speaker 1: one that listens to the show is gonna bet it, 798 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:41,359 Speaker 1: so there's no point of going out Denver first, We'll 799 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,640 Speaker 1: start off with the Bangals getting six points against case Keenum. 800 00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:47,920 Speaker 1: Take that money line. Put in the round robin Detroit. 801 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,360 Speaker 1: We we talked about it. We think that's one of 802 00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:52,640 Speaker 1: those where the value will be on the live line. 803 00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:54,680 Speaker 1: The Green Bay apparently is gonna start their starters and 804 00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:57,680 Speaker 1: they're gonna take them out throughout the game. Still like 805 00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,080 Speaker 1: the money line. If you gotta get to get in 806 00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:01,279 Speaker 1: the round robin early, it's up the plus four at 807 00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:03,680 Speaker 1: some books. Now take that value. Take that money line 808 00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:07,200 Speaker 1: round robin for Chad. We will put Houston Texans in there. 809 00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:09,920 Speaker 1: Chad loves that one. Uh, because I'm not putting the 810 00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,440 Speaker 1: Jaguars again. I I'm betting their money line for a penny. 811 00:39:14,040 --> 00:39:16,160 Speaker 1: No chance am I putting that in any money line 812 00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,080 Speaker 1: round Robins. I just do not have any faith in 813 00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:21,960 Speaker 1: the Jaguars. They're awful. So again we have the Bengals, 814 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:25,680 Speaker 1: the Lions, Houston. Still like Pittsburgh, I know that's the 815 00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:28,840 Speaker 1: public dog this week. The public money is coming on Pittsburgh. 816 00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:30,640 Speaker 1: We're not taking the points, we're taking the money line. 817 00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,520 Speaker 1: We're just hoping for a miracle against a bang up 818 00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:36,360 Speaker 1: Ravens team. Lamar still is not practiced this week. Again, 819 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:40,319 Speaker 1: a backup quarterback going against that defense in Pittsburgh. How 820 00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 1: can we not take Pittsburgh's money line in this position? 821 00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,319 Speaker 1: And I guess the capital off. Everyone knows I love 822 00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I love the Falcons, So for me, those 823 00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:50,080 Speaker 1: two would be a nice bookend. Do you want to 824 00:39:50,160 --> 00:39:53,160 Speaker 1: end it on the Raiders Sunday night? That's also fun, 825 00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,520 Speaker 1: But I'd rather just get over with the four PM 826 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,680 Speaker 1: and worry about that Veggas game by itself. So to me, 827 00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:00,719 Speaker 1: I'd book ended with the Dolphins that Atlanta. One of 828 00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,920 Speaker 1: those two Dolphins to me better value, just because you're 829 00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,680 Speaker 1: getting extra points with them at home. But I love 830 00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,920 Speaker 1: them both both home dogs divisional matchups. We take that 831 00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:14,040 Speaker 1: every time. I love the Falcons and the Dolphins together. 832 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:16,640 Speaker 1: They'll tell you I got a new phone chat. I'm 833 00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:19,640 Speaker 1: excited for you. They only had red. Luckily I have 834 00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,480 Speaker 1: a Philly sticker, so that kind of helps out. But 835 00:40:21,520 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of red phones. You're such a 836 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:28,399 Speaker 1: fucking john. I heard the most Philly conversation the day 837 00:40:28,440 --> 00:40:31,040 Speaker 1: made me think of you. This one guy the other guy, 838 00:40:31,040 --> 00:40:36,200 Speaker 1: and the guy said, fuck, use you, fucking fox. It's 839 00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:43,279 Speaker 1: so good. The Dolphins Atlanta together is plus one on 840 00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:49,399 Speaker 1: the action app Atlanta. Let's roll. All right, We've done 841 00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 1: our games, We've done our money line parlay, We've done 842 00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:56,960 Speaker 1: our big balls better the week. Last regular season show 843 00:40:57,000 --> 00:41:00,520 Speaker 1: of the year, Chad, last regular seas in show of 844 00:41:00,560 --> 00:41:04,080 Speaker 1: the year. Congrats to you, Congrats to me, Congrats to 845 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:07,919 Speaker 1: you on perfect attendance. Congrats to Matt Mitchell. Even Matt 846 00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:11,560 Speaker 1: Mitchell didn't you didn't have perfect attendance. I did two 847 00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:16,040 Speaker 1: DUTs from a pediatric emergency room and I still feel 848 00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:19,480 Speaker 1: totally ashamed that I most one episode for the holidays. 849 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:24,560 Speaker 1: I hate you, Simon. It's your lack of commitment will 850 00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:29,720 Speaker 1: be discussed in your year end review. Matt understood straight 851 00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:36,480 Speaker 1: faced emoji. All right. This has been the favorites from 852 00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:40,280 Speaker 1: the Volume podcast Network for Simon Hunter, for producer Matt Mitchell. 853 00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:44,440 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. Download us, rate us five stars, 854 00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:46,760 Speaker 1: say whatever you want, just give us the five stars 855 00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:50,600 Speaker 1: from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. 856 00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,200 Speaker 1: Until Tuesday. I love you