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Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm Ryan Warmley,

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Speaker 1: joined today by Terrell Furman and by my friend PJ

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Speaker 1: Glasser to thank YOULLJ. Well, you guys are both my friends,

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Speaker 1: but the audience I know we follow each other.

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Speaker 2: We're all friends here.

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Speaker 3: A lot of ownership ore.

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Speaker 1: We're all friends here. We did work together back in

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Speaker 1: the day at NBC.

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Speaker 2: We had some good times in the newsroom. PJ. How

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Speaker 2: you doing, buddy, I'm doing good.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's good to be with you guys. Appreciate you

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Speaker 4: having me on. You're you're all my friends. We're all

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Speaker 4: friends here, especially especially this time of year. So excited

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Speaker 4: to talk some ball with you guys.

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Speaker 2: Torell.

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Speaker 1: Not to brag, but PJ did call me right after

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Speaker 1: Derek Queen's buzzer beater today.

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Speaker 3: So I really So here's the thing. At first, I

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Speaker 3: had an apology message about how bad I felt because

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Speaker 3: that was a really tough way to go out, and

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Speaker 3: I was getting ready to send that and then the

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Speaker 3: shot happened and it kind of made me forget about everything.

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Speaker 3: But it's great because while we were actually had our

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Speaker 3: team meeting this week, I saw you for the first

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Speaker 3: time since the shot, and I was like, man, I

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Speaker 3: really owe him an apology, but I actually don't care.

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Speaker 3: So I'm gonna have Ai write me an apology for

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Speaker 3: my co host of the podcast, who's a Maryland fan

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Speaker 3: who hasn't been to the Sweet sixteen since twenty seventeen.

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Speaker 3: And I'm gonna sit here and give that. So here's

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Speaker 3: what the AI said. AI said, Okay, okay, listen, I know,

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Speaker 3: I know I owe you an apology, and not just

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Speaker 3: any apology, but a full blown, heartfelt, deeply remorseful one.

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Speaker 3: So here it is. I'm sorry. I'm sorry, I deeply

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Speaker 3: regret fading your beloved Maryland Turpins in the NCAA tournament.

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Speaker 3: I mean, who would want to bet against a team

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Speaker 3: who hasn't seen the Sweet sixteen in almost a decade.

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Speaker 3: Brilliant move on my part, right, And there's a whole

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Speaker 3: lot of extra that I'm gonna save the folks. But

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Speaker 3: that was just the way of saying, I am sorry

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Speaker 3: for telling you weren't going to get to Sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 3: Now for your for your troubles, here's a date with Florida.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna say, for as exciting as it

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Speaker 1: is and as much flat it is to hear that apology,

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Speaker 1: which I appreciate it, even if it was you know,

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Speaker 1: done through AI there.

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Speaker 2: You know, we'll talk about that game coming.

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Speaker 1: Up, but you know, very possibly going to get stumped

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Speaker 1: in the sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 2: But but what a way to get there.

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Speaker 1: That that kind of leads nicely into where I want

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Speaker 1: to start this conversation with before we get into kind

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Speaker 1: of our.

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Speaker 3: No it was, Well, it doesn't matter if itels a travel.

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Speaker 3: It doesn't matter if it was, if it wasn't, it

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Speaker 3: doesn't matter that, oh that's not where you're going. Oh okay,

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Speaker 3: my bad, my bad. But even it doesn't matter like

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Speaker 3: whether it was or whether it wasn't. I'm perfectly fine

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Speaker 3: with them not making that call because nine times out

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Speaker 3: of ten, if they tried to make that call, they

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Speaker 3: would have made the wrong call.

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Speaker 1: I do believe that it wasn't to travel. I think

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Speaker 1: when you I think when you watch the live angle,

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Speaker 1: it looked worse, and then if you see kind of

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Speaker 1: some of the other angles, I think it's clear that

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Speaker 1: he still is kind of gathering the ball. I know

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Speaker 1: there's not necessarily a gather step to college level, but

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Speaker 1: I think it's clear that like it's not in his

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Speaker 1: full control until he only takes two steps in the shot,

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Speaker 1: but it was close enough to like, I totally get

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Speaker 1: why people would would bring that up and want to

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Speaker 1: make the case of it being a travel even if

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Speaker 1: you said, technically, by the letter of the lot, was

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Speaker 1: a travel and PG, I'm curious your opinion on this.

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Speaker 1: You absolutely cannot call it in that scenario. We spent

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Speaker 1: three and a half days saying where are the buzzer beaters?

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Speaker 1: Where are the march moments? And then we got the

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Speaker 1: best one of the tournament. Ar could be the best

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Speaker 1: one in a few years. It doesn't happen often that

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Speaker 1: you get a true buzzer beater and people are complaining

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Speaker 1: about a tiki tac travel like, no, I'm not here

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Speaker 1: for it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, they're just like in that situation, there's

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Speaker 4: no official that's ever going to make that call, you

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Speaker 4: know what I mean. Like, it's one thing when you

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Speaker 4: slow it down and then after the fact and you

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Speaker 4: look at the replay and you're like, maybe technically like

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Speaker 4: it was a travel, but they're just they're they're never

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Speaker 4: gonna call that so again. And whether it was or wasn't,

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Speaker 4: like it's up for debate, but in that situation because

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Speaker 4: like anybody watching the game live did it at any

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Speaker 4: point did it cross your mind like, oh, that's a travel, right,

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Speaker 4: So unless you're like watching it live, and it's like

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Speaker 4: egregious and it's obvious, like they're not gonna call it

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Speaker 4: in a spall like.

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Speaker 1: That, and like the officials were swallowing their whistle in

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Speaker 1: that game the entire game, Like it wasn't just the

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Speaker 1: flagrant that was missed against Nee Clifford, which could have

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Speaker 1: potentially like ejected Colorado State's best player from the game,

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Speaker 1: depending on how that theoretical review would have gone. But

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Speaker 1: they're like Derek Queen was getting hacked all game, Like

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Speaker 1: there was. It was in both directions, I'll admit, but

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Speaker 1: like they there were not a lot of fouls called

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Speaker 1: in that game at all. Like that was a game

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Speaker 1: where the rest said we're just gonna let the kids play,

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Speaker 1: and to have changed that on the play of the

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Speaker 1: tournament would have been egregious. Like I said, like not

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Speaker 1: only with no official call, No official at any level

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Speaker 1: of basketball is calling that like that just that is

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Speaker 1: not that is not something that's getting called.

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Speaker 2: And also the last thing I'll say about it is.

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Speaker 1: I remember in twenty nineteen, Maryland lost to LSU in

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Speaker 1: the round of thirty two on a much more egregious travel,

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Speaker 1: I would say by Trey Waters to end that one.

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Speaker 3: They didn't. He went down in archives for that one.

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Speaker 2: Ye will never forget my brother.

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Speaker 3: My brother's a D one basketball player, and he said, Hey,

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Speaker 3: when I looked at it, at first, I saw I

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Speaker 3: thought it was a travel, but when they slowed it down,

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Speaker 3: I was like, it's not really a travel. He was like,

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Speaker 3: I'm not mad at that. For me, as somebody who

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Speaker 3: had money on Colorado State and sat here on this

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Speaker 3: show before and said Maryland isn't good for anything. And

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Speaker 3: I had I predicted Maryland having two losses by now,

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Speaker 3: and here they are in the sweet sixteen. But really,

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Speaker 3: I just look at it, like, I'm not mad at

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Speaker 3: the call. I'm not mad at that. I'm more mad

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Speaker 3: at Colorado State in the six minutes and thirty seconds

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Speaker 3: that it's that they only had two points leading up

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Speaker 3: to that, like leading up to that final shot they had,

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Speaker 3: they had two points in the last six minutes and

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Speaker 3: thirty seconds. You can't do that and expect the wind

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Speaker 3: the game so as much as you want to be

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Speaker 3: about the call. If they were able to score in

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Speaker 3: those six minutes at all, it's not even coming down

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Speaker 3: to that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, by the way, shots to Julian Reese, who was

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Speaker 1: like the worst free throw shooter in the country last

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Speaker 1: year and spent all summer working on it, and he

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Speaker 1: hit four big ones.

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Speaker 2: They don't.

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Speaker 1: Maryland doesn't win that game if he doesn't hit those

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Speaker 1: free throws late and he looks smooth doing it, Like

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Speaker 1: for your player, Loyal through coaching changes made his weakness

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Speaker 1: into what ended up being a strength at the end

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Speaker 1: of the game. Like I cannot tell you how cool

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Speaker 1: that was to watch is as.

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Speaker 2: A Maryland fan.

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Speaker 1: But besides the terps PJ before we jump into this

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen, any other kind of opening weekend takeaways. I

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Speaker 1: know there's been a lot of discussion about there's no

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Speaker 1: Cinderellas this year. I don't think that's a long term,

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Speaker 1: you know, concern for me. Like two years ago we

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Speaker 1: had fairly Dickinson veating Purdue, Like you know, we had

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Speaker 1: that boring quote unquote you know, Final four San Diego State,

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Speaker 1: like pretty recently. I don't think this is like a

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Speaker 1: long term issue. This is also the last year with

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Speaker 1: these COVID seniors Like I, to me think it needs

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Speaker 1: to happen a few more years in a row for

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Speaker 1: that to be concerned to me, what do you make

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Speaker 1: of that conversation?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, you know, for me, it's like, I

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Speaker 4: think we're just overreacting because that's what everybody loves to do.

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Speaker 4: I'd like to see a year or two more of

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Speaker 4: this play out where like there's not a lot of

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Speaker 4: upsets before we kind of just are coming away with

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Speaker 4: this take that nil is ruining college basketball. To me, guys,

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Speaker 4: I think there's gonna be a betting opportunity next year

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Speaker 4: when we get to the first round, because this topic

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Speaker 4: is gonna come up again when the bracket comes out

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Speaker 4: and there's gonna be like, oh, there's gonna be no upsets, right,

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Speaker 4: It's gonna be this small school out of the Atlantic

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Speaker 4: Sun going up against this five seed in the SEC

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Speaker 4: with all this nil money, Like they're not pulling the upset,

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Speaker 4: and I think the lines might be bigger than what

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Speaker 4: they were.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 4: So, you know, the past couple of years, with gambling

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Speaker 4: obviously becoming more and more prevalent in all these states

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Speaker 4: and everybody having these like trendy upsets. This year was

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Speaker 4: UCSD and it was high point. Everybody was on these games.

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Speaker 4: And not only you know, these teams not win outright,

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Speaker 4: they didn't cover on the closing lines. I think next year,

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Speaker 4: like there won't be as many popular upsets, and uh,

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Speaker 4: I think the betting markets might might there might be

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Speaker 4: some value there to take some of these dogs. So

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Speaker 4: that was a takeaway. And then also the SEC just

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Speaker 4: like doing well in the tournament. You know, we've seen

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Speaker 4: a bunch like these conferences that are so talked about

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Speaker 4: during the regular season and how good they are and

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Speaker 4: how historic, and the SEC were kind of like on.

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Speaker 5: Their own level.

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Speaker 4: But for like, all of these top teams pretty much,

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Speaker 4: I mean all these ones and twos and three seeds

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Speaker 4: to make their way into the second weekend, I thought

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Speaker 4: was impressive. You know, the league backed it up right,

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Speaker 4: like you're not gonna knock Georgia for losing the Gonzaga

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Speaker 4: Vandy had.

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Speaker 5: Saint Mary's, they blew a lead late.

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Speaker 4: And then you know a bunch of these teams, like

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Speaker 4: Texas was in a playing game they really shouldn't have

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Speaker 4: probably been in the tournament. Oklahoma lost to Yukon so

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Speaker 4: even the SEC teams that did lose it like wasn't

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Speaker 4: a shocker. But all of the top teams making too

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Speaker 4: the sweet sixteen, I think the league, you know, they

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Speaker 4: certainly certainly showed that they did a good job.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Terrell, I mean the four conferences that have made

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Speaker 1: it to the sweet sixteen, which is the fewest ever,

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Speaker 1: as has been noted by other people. It's the best

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Speaker 1: team in the sport, Duke, and then the three best

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Speaker 1: conferences in the sport, you know, the SEC, Big ten,

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Speaker 1: and Big twelve. That's all that's represented in the Sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: We'll dive into that Sweet sixteen matchups. Actually, let's jump

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Speaker 1: in it right now. So Terrell, let's start with Yukon

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Speaker 1: Michigan or to me, I wrote on you Ykon Michigan.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why Auburn Michigan. I think it's because

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Speaker 1: I was transferring over from last year. The number one

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Speaker 1: overall seed is Yukon. At any rate, Auburn Michigan the

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Speaker 1: one versus the five in the South Region. Just kind

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Speaker 1: of early thoughts here on this. Obviously, Michigan a team

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Speaker 1: that kind of didn't finish great but then got really

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Speaker 1: hot during the Tournament and has now made the Sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: We know Dustin May has done this before. Auburn has

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Speaker 1: been the best team for most of the season. Clearly

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Speaker 1: very talented. Maybe a bit of a scare against Creton,

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Speaker 1: at least some resistance against Creighton. What do you make

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Speaker 1: of this matchup from a betting angle, Trell.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I haven't gotten to the window on this one

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Speaker 3: just yet. I'm probably if I'm looking anyway, I'm probably

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Speaker 3: sticking with Auburn here and just saying one, I think

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Speaker 3: that there's a difference between the SEC style of basketball

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Speaker 3: this season and the Big Ten style, and I think

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Speaker 3: the SEC is a little bit more physical. I think

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Speaker 3: the big so Auburn is going to give are going

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Speaker 3: to give them some trouble. But I really really like

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Speaker 3: the depth that Auburn has and being able to bring

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Speaker 3: somebody off the bench like a Petiford and being able

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Speaker 3: to score and do all that, like be that extra motion.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if Michigan's going to be able to

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Speaker 3: keep up with that. So I haven't gotten there yet

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Speaker 3: on this one, but if I looked anywhere, it probably

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Speaker 3: be Auburn.

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Speaker 5: PJ.

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Speaker 1: What do you think I mean Auburn again like had

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Speaker 1: one of the best resumes we've ever seen going into

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Speaker 1: a tournament in terms of some of the Q one

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Speaker 1: stats they had, and then just the pure number of wins.

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Speaker 1: Obviously that the SEC being the level of conference, it

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Speaker 1: was like you already kind of alluded to. But again,

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Speaker 1: Michigan has a coach that's been there before, you know.

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Speaker 2: Bruce Pearl.

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Speaker 1: Like an Auburn, It's not that it's happened a ton

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Speaker 1: of times, but they have been upset. Obviously, everybody remembers

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Speaker 1: Yale last year like it has kind of happened before

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Speaker 1: in the tournament before them. Do you think kind of

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Speaker 1: the dynamic duo the Twin Towers for Michigan can stand

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Speaker 1: up against Auburn or do you think this is a

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Speaker 1: spot where Auburn kind of rolls.

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Speaker 4: I think Michigan is going to play him really tough.

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Speaker 4: I think Michigan has has a chance to pull off

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Speaker 4: this upset.

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Speaker 5: I really do.

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Speaker 4: I look at this team, guys, when I'm handicapping teams,

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Speaker 4: I love to see what they do throughout the season

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Speaker 4: on neutral floors, right because a lot happens during conference

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Speaker 4: play when you're going at home and you're going on

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Speaker 4: the road. But how does a team perform on a

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Speaker 4: neutral site. Well, we all know that Michigan won the

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Speaker 4: Big Ten Tournament, so they did well out in Indianapolis.

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Speaker 4: And then early on in the season you look at

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Speaker 4: their non conference all three of their losses were decided

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Speaker 4: by three points or less, and like, this is the

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Speaker 4: story of Michigan. They play everybody close. Now usually win

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Speaker 4: a lot of those close games. But if you're giving

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Speaker 4: me eight and a half with the team that just

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Speaker 4: plays every body close and an Auburn team that I

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Speaker 4: don't think they're right. You know, this team the first

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Speaker 4: twenty five games of the season looked like the team

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Speaker 4: to beat. They were playing a different level than everybody else.

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Speaker 4: They were knocking off all the top teams in college basketball.

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Speaker 4: But they have gone on a little bit of a

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Speaker 4: rut here. You know, you saw it against Alabama State.

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Speaker 4: They weren't really crisp in the first half. They were

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Speaker 4: trailing Creton at halftime. Like this team they're just they're

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Speaker 4: not the same. And you know, Terrell brings up the

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Speaker 4: SEC and it's fair. They did just play Texas A

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Speaker 4: and M, which I think is going to help them

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Speaker 4: a bunch going into this matchup. They played Arkansas and

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Speaker 4: Oklahoma in the non conference, so those are two more

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Speaker 4: so they have seen SEC teams. They know what they're

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Speaker 4: going up against. And look, I mean, Dusty May. We

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Speaker 4: don't talk about him as one of the elite coaches

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Speaker 4: in the country. Guy's really good, man, He's really good,

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Speaker 4: and he's six and two in March. He obviously took

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Speaker 4: FA to the Final four and flag Golden you know,

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Speaker 4: and Danny Wolf going up against Broom. Broom's obviously the

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Speaker 4: heartbeat of Auburn. You throw two seven footers at him,

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Speaker 4: it's gonna make life tough for him. So I like

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Speaker 4: Michigan to cover the game. Would not shock me if

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Speaker 4: they pull the upset.

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Speaker 2: What do you think about the total? One fifty three

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Speaker 2: and a half.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't do anything with the total. Again, like Michigan,

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Speaker 4: you know, you look at some of these neutral site

305
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Speaker 4: games that they have been playing, and their offense has

306
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Speaker 4: really played well, especially when they've gone up against some

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Speaker 4: of the better teams. They scored eighty six against Perdue,

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Speaker 4: eighty one against Maryland in the Big Ten tournament. They

309
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Speaker 4: just came off ninety one against A and M. I

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Speaker 4: would probably lean towards the over if I had to,

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Speaker 4: but I didn't end up doing anything with the total.

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Speaker 1: Let's look at the other matchup in this region, the

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Speaker 1: number two seed Michigan State. By the way, all four

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Speaker 1: one seeds made Sweet sixteen. Three of the two seeds

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Speaker 1: I think it was two of the three seeds and

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Speaker 1: three of the four seeds.

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Speaker 2: I don't have a written down here.

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Speaker 1: Two of the four seeds, Yeah, Maryland, Purdue, and Arizona,

319
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Speaker 1: so three of them. So again, like as we talked about,

320
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Speaker 1: not a lot of upsets, a lot these kind of

321
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Speaker 1: best teams really outside of Saint John's kind of the

322
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Speaker 1: best teams, like really weren't getting upset even like Wisconsin,

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Speaker 1: Like I didn't think that was like I picked by

324
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Speaker 1: BYU in that game. So so again, it's gonna be

325
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Speaker 1: a lot of one these a lot of two seeds

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Speaker 1: that we're talking about here in these matchups. Michigan State

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Speaker 1: the two see going up against the six seed Old Miss.

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Speaker 1: PG'L start with you on this one. We're your early

329
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Speaker 1: thoughts on this matchup.

330
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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm leaning towards Old Miss. I haven't bet anything

331
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Speaker 4: yet in the game. You obviously got two terrific coaches

332
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Speaker 4: in Izzo and Chris Bear, they kind of build their

333
00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:41,080
Speaker 4: teams the same way. Defensive minded, toughness, that's kind of

334
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Speaker 4: what they're calling card is. I've really been looking to

335
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Speaker 4: fade this Michigan State team though. To me, they're just

336
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Speaker 4: they profile a lot like Saint John's Hall of Fame coach,

337
00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:54,400
Speaker 4: great on defense, great regular season, but they can't shoot,

338
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Speaker 4: and that obviously bit Saint John's against Arkansas. It hasn't

339
00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:00,560
Speaker 4: bit Michigan State yet, and I I think they've been

340
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Speaker 4: fortunate to obviously play a team out of the Mountain

341
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Speaker 4: West and Bryant out of the NEC. But now you're

342
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Speaker 4: going up against the SEC, and you're going up against

343
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Speaker 4: Chris Beard, and you know, a team with really good athletes.

344
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Speaker 4: It's playing really well here down the stretch of the season.

345
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Speaker 4: So I like ole miss Michigan State is a team

346
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Speaker 4: that I'm going to continue to fade. If they win

347
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Speaker 4: and cover, I'll look to fade them against the winner

348
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Speaker 4: of Auburn and Michigan as well. I just think this

349
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Speaker 4: team's gotten of been playing out of their mind, and

350
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Speaker 4: I don't like backing teams they cannot shoot the ball

351
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Speaker 4: well that are higher seeds so I like ole Miss

352
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Speaker 4: here in the game.

353
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Speaker 1: To real I'm curious what you think. I could not

354
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,040
Speaker 1: be more in lockstep with PG on this one. I

355
00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:43,080
Speaker 1: have wanted to fade Michigan State at every opportunity. I

356
00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,360
Speaker 1: just haven't found a really a good chance to yet

357
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Speaker 1: because of the matchups they've had, this feels like the

358
00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:51,520
Speaker 1: right chance to do it. And you know, as amazing

359
00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:54,920
Speaker 1: as tom Izzo is, like just strictly thinking of the

360
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Speaker 1: coaching matchup.

361
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Speaker 2: Chris Beard is a superb coach.

362
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Speaker 1: Like the off the court stuff is its own conversation,

363
00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 1: but like on the court, he is an excellent, excellent coach.

364
00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:10,520
Speaker 1: We've seen him perform in the tourney before. I like, again,

365
00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:12,640
Speaker 1: I can't phrase it any better than PJ, which is

366
00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:15,560
Speaker 1: I've been trying to find a chance to fade Michigan State.

367
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Speaker 2: And this feels like an opportunity to do. So, tell

368
00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:18,280
Speaker 2: what do you think?

369
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Speaker 3: I think it is an opportunity. I think that this

370
00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,240
Speaker 3: is the most concerned I've been for my bracket, at

371
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,200
Speaker 3: least because I have had Michigan State going pretty far,

372
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,960
Speaker 3: but I also had them facing very little resistance on

373
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Speaker 3: the way, and Ole Miss was not intended in my

374
00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,600
Speaker 3: in my bracket, and now we get Ole Miss here,

375
00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:40,400
Speaker 3: and I'm like, well, if there is somebody that's able

376
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Speaker 3: to do it, I do think that it is this group.

377
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:46,600
Speaker 3: I think that Dre Davis has something that he can

378
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,040
Speaker 3: say and have a good game here, try to get

379
00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:52,720
Speaker 3: through that Michigan State defense. But Michigan State is really

380
00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:55,560
Speaker 3: good guys, Like they're two C for a reason, I

381
00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:57,880
Speaker 3: think defensively, like they haven't needed to put up a

382
00:16:57,880 --> 00:16:59,600
Speaker 3: bunch of points or hit a lot of outside shots

383
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:01,920
Speaker 3: because they so good defensively and they're still able to

384
00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:04,600
Speaker 3: get inside the lane and score with these. So I'm

385
00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,439
Speaker 3: not there on this game. However, I will say that

386
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Speaker 3: if I was, I am leaning a little bit more

387
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Speaker 3: to just taking the points and saying that Michigan State

388
00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:14,119
Speaker 3: wins a close one. But I think this one is

389
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Speaker 3: really really close, Like I would not be surprised. And

390
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Speaker 3: this is the most concern I've been for Michigan State,

391
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Speaker 3: because I think that Ole Miss does have a really

392
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Speaker 3: good chance. I'm knocking them off.

393
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Speaker 1: If you think you know college hoops, take your bracket

394
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,520
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395
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400
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Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash contest. So, guys, that was

401
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Speaker 1: the South region. Those games were taking place on Friday.

402
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:54,000
Speaker 1: Let's go to the East. I know, like people like

403
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Speaker 1: when filling out their brackets, some people like to go

404
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,399
Speaker 1: whole left side, whole right side. I've always liked to

405
00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:01,280
Speaker 1: go in order of the seeding for the one seed,

406
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:02,280
Speaker 1: so I always go kind of.

407
00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:04,880
Speaker 2: Upper left, upper right, lower right, lower left.

408
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Speaker 1: That's just the way I do it. So that's the

409
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,479
Speaker 1: way we're going to do it here in the East region.

410
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:10,879
Speaker 1: Obviously it's Duke is the one seed. They you know,

411
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:12,840
Speaker 1: sure look like the best team, especially in terms of

412
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 1: the metrics. They've also been met with maybe the least

413
00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,760
Speaker 1: resistance of any of the one seeds so far in

414
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: the tournament. They it just it has felt like a

415
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:25,200
Speaker 1: Duke year for a while, and nothing that we've seen

416
00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 1: in the first weekend, you know, has made me reconsider that.

417
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:30,080
Speaker 2: Having said that, Arizona is good.

418
00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:32,960
Speaker 1: Also, we all know the history with Caleb Love facing

419
00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,440
Speaker 1: Duke and what he did in the tournament a few

420
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 1: years ago, so that's a really interesting angle to this.

421
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:40,480
Speaker 2: I do like this Arizona team.

422
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:42,560
Speaker 1: Obviously, it's the one seed versus the four so this

423
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:45,040
Speaker 1: is when we're seeds held. This game is gonna be

424
00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,240
Speaker 1: taking place on Thursday, by the way, the East Region,

425
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 1: not on Friday, So Terrell, I'll start with you here.

426
00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:54,400
Speaker 1: Duke versus Arizona seems like a really fun one.

427
00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:55,359
Speaker 2: What do you think about it?

428
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 3: From a betting angle, Yeah, it's fun.

429
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:00,240
Speaker 4: Not.

430
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:04,520
Speaker 3: I mean, I haven't been able to get Arizona right

431
00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,760
Speaker 3: all year. Every seems like every single time I picked

432
00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:09,920
Speaker 3: this Arizona team, I'm wrong. I went again, went with Oregon,

433
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 3: and that was good until it wasn't. First five minutes

434
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,600
Speaker 3: were amazing, they were actually great, And if I could

435
00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 3: cash out the bet at first five minutes, I would have,

436
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:23,239
Speaker 3: but unfortunately I couldn't, So here we go. Ah. I

437
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:25,640
Speaker 3: just think Duke is just really really good this year,

438
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:31,400
Speaker 3: really really good. I have concerns about Arizona's Arizona's defense

439
00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:36,479
Speaker 3: at times, and their inability to even like kind of

440
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,800
Speaker 3: force turnovers, Like it just seems like teams have a

441
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 3: bunch of possessions with them. And if you keep giving

442
00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:44,560
Speaker 3: this Duke team chances and chances and chances to score

443
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 3: the basketball, you don't get enough stops, you're not creating turnovers.

444
00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:48,920
Speaker 3: Like at some point they're going to run the score

445
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 3: up on you and it's going to get away from you.

446
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:53,080
Speaker 3: So I think I'm on Duke here Land nine and

447
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 3: a half. It sounds ugly and disgusting, but they played

448
00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,199
Speaker 3: earlier this season Duke got it done. I think they

449
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 3: get it done getting here.

450
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:01,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, PJ.

451
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,400
Speaker 1: It is a big line for the seat sixteen. It's

452
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,399
Speaker 1: roughly in line with Ken Pomp's projection. I think they

453
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 1: have it as an eight point Duke win in this one.

454
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:13,880
Speaker 2: I get the yeah.

455
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 1: I kind of like a gut feeling that this one

456
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 1: might be a little bit closer. But in no way

457
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 1: do I expect Duke to lose.

458
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 4: Certainly, No, I like Duke to win the game. Look,

459
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 4: I think anything that's under double digits with this Duke team,

460
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,360
Speaker 4: I think you got to lay it. You know, they're

461
00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,680
Speaker 4: kind of giving me yukon vibes that they're just they're

462
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 4: just better than everybody else. And I don't really know

463
00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 4: if there's gonna.

464
00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:36,119
Speaker 5: Be a team.

465
00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 4: Maybe if they play Bama and they go nuclear, you know,

466
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 4: from three, or if they match up with Heaston potentially,

467
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,639
Speaker 4: or maybe Florida Alburn on the other side, maybe one

468
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,320
Speaker 4: of those games are going to be close. But this team,

469
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 4: to me, I mean the way that they looked in

470
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 4: the first two games was just a level but on

471
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 4: its own. And you know, the top end talent that

472
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,199
Speaker 4: Duke has, right like some of these teams in the

473
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 4: field they have that are left. You know, they have

474
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,440
Speaker 4: NBA play, they have lottery picks. I mean, Duke's got

475
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 4: three of them, right, Like we all talk about Flag

476
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 4: Nipple's going to be a lottery pick. Malawatch is going

477
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:11,200
Speaker 4: to be a lottery pick. Proctor is just a great

478
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 4: college player and he's been shooting the lights out of

479
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,760
Speaker 4: the ball the first two games. So these two teams

480
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:18,879
Speaker 4: played earlier in the year in Tucson and Arizona's offense

481
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 4: couldn't do much. I think Duke's defense is going to

482
00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:23,679
Speaker 4: show why they're one of the best in the country

483
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 4: in this game. So yeah, I think anything under double

484
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:31,360
Speaker 4: digits nine and a half nine, I think I would

485
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:32,960
Speaker 4: lay it with Duke PJ.

486
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 1: Do you think at all about the fact that Duke,

487
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:37,919
Speaker 1: like by ken Pom, this is going to be the

488
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 1: best opponent Duke has faced since that Auburn game in

489
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:44,400
Speaker 1: early December, Like they if you just look run down

490
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 1: the line, the acc was so bad. And I know

491
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,359
Speaker 1: this has talked a lot about before the tournament, it

492
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 1: didn't really matter in those first two games. I mean,

493
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,879
Speaker 1: Baylor is like thirtieth on ken Pom. Obviously the sixteen

494
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 1: seed Mount Saint Mary's wasn't ever going to be a

495
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,800
Speaker 1: challenge like Arizona's thirteenth on ken Pom. This is the

496
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: best opponent they have faced since early December. Now, the

497
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: closest in terms of ken Palm efficiency to this suppondent

498
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 1: that they faced it then is number seventeen Illinois, who

499
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 1: they obviously could like beat in a way that I

500
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 1: cannot remember seeing in a long time in that game

501
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 1: in February.

502
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:16,720
Speaker 2: So maybe it just doesn't matter.

503
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 1: And this team is, like you said, almost like Yukon

504
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 1: in recent years, where they just roll through it. You

505
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:23,840
Speaker 1: keep like saying, well, when is this run going to

506
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 1: end and it just isn't. But does that cross your

507
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 1: mind at all, PJA, just given the opponents they faced

508
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 1: for really the last like three months one hundred.

509
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 4: I mean that that's been the concern with Gonzaga all

510
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 4: these years, right, is that they really only play Saint

511
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,159
Speaker 4: Mary's and don't play anybody for three months. That was

512
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 4: the issue with Houston when they were in the AAC.

513
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 4: They're playing Memphis and then they wouldn't play anybody. So

514
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 4: that's definitely a concern with Duke. If we saw, you know,

515
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 4: even the teams that did make it out of the ACC,

516
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,720
Speaker 4: how Clemson looked, how Louisville looks. So I think it's

517
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:56,679
Speaker 4: a concern for sure. Duke's one in three this season

518
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 4: in games decided by six points or less when Cooper

519
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,399
Speaker 4: Flagg played, so obviously when they played UNC and the

520
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 4: ACC tournament flag wasn't available. So that's the name of

521
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 4: the game. Can you get Duke into a thirty five

522
00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 4: thirty six minute game?

523
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,640
Speaker 5: Can you put pressure on those if you say five four.

524
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,000
Speaker 4: Minutes, because if you can't, you're just gonna blow them out,

525
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 4: So that.

526
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 5: That's gonna be right.

527
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 4: That's the thing that Ukon never the last two years,

528
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 4: nobody could get them into those final five minutes, so

529
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 4: there was just never any pressure on them to win

530
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 4: a close game. That's the thing with Duke. That's why

531
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,719
Speaker 4: I think if you're gonna bet Duke like to lose,

532
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 4: if you're gonna bet the underdog on the money line,

533
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 4: you just wait until the final four or five minutes. Like,

534
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,199
Speaker 4: I don't think there's any point on betting Duke at

535
00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 4: the beginning of the game because to me, there's a

536
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 4: lot better chance they're just gonna blow out their opponent.

537
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 5: So if you like Arizona, bet and plus the points.

538
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:47,479
Speaker 5: I get that.

539
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 4: But if you want to pull off the upset, like

540
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 4: see how the game's going, see if they can get

541
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 4: it into like a one score game with four or

542
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,520
Speaker 4: five minutes to go, and then I think you take

543
00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 4: your chance with Zona, because obviously we've seen Caleb love

544
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 4: it big time and time of again in the tournament,

545
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 4: and Duke just doesn't have the experience to play in

546
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 4: those kind of games.

547
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised that total on this one is

548
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,439
Speaker 1: four points lower than Maryland Florida. We'll get to that

549
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,120
Speaker 1: turp Skaters game in a bit. I kind of expected

550
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,679
Speaker 1: a little higher and maybe a little lower on the

551
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: Maryland one one matchup, Who's total I was not surprised

552
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 1: to see, despite as it being as ridiculous as it

553
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 1: is is the other matchup in this East region BYU Bama.

554
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 1: One hundred and seventy five and a half is the

555
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:31,919
Speaker 1: total here before we even get into how you think

556
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 1: the game plays out in terms of who wins and

557
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 1: the spread. Terrell, and we'll save a Pj's thoughts because

558
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 1: he is a Bama guy. Of course, that total being

559
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:40,919
Speaker 1: as high as it is, like, just what do you

560
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 1: make of that, Torell?

561
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 3: I mean, what is the reason why I'm fading Bama?

562
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:51,080
Speaker 3: Is because Bama's not good defensively? They are very, very

563
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:55,080
Speaker 3: very smoking mirrors defensively of being a good defensive team

564
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,439
Speaker 3: and more of taking advantage of a lot of teams

565
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,399
Speaker 3: inefficiencies on offense and that kind of going into their

566
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 3: defensive metters. But Alabama has played some pretty bad defenses

567
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 3: down to stretch. In the SEC tournament they played, I

568
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 3: didn't like the defense that they really played against Robert Morris.

569
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,600
Speaker 3: I felt like they gave Robert Morris a lot of chances,

570
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 3: and it was because that it was Robert Morris. They

571
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 3: didn't take advantage. They go play Saint Mary. Saint Mary's

572
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 3: yet again shoots horrible from three, like they've done since

573
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 3: the WCC tournament. So I just it's a lot of

574
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:28,840
Speaker 3: I don't think that they are committed to all the

575
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,440
Speaker 3: other aspects of playing defense and what people are doing

576
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 3: outside of the ball and who don't have the ball,

577
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:36,879
Speaker 3: and letting those guys get open and then letting the

578
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:40,240
Speaker 3: playmaker make a decision with the basketball. And so I've

579
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 3: been kind of down on Obama. I've been waiting for

580
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 3: the opportunity to fath them. I knew I wasn't gonna

581
00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 3: fath them against Saint Mary's, so that wasn't a choice.

582
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 3: But now BYU here, if you give by BYU chances,

583
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 3: they're going to score like they're gonna put points on

584
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 3: the board. And so I love BYU in this spot.

585
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 3: I love BYU plus the points. I like BYU on

586
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 3: the money line. I think, why you can do something

587
00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 3: really really funny and knock off Bama.

588
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: I actually did have Saint Mary's in my bracket beating Bama,

589
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 1: just kind of trusting the pace and thinking that they

590
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 1: would frustrate Bama not being able to play at the

591
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 1: tempa they usually want to. Obviously, they weren't able to

592
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 1: take advantage of the pace in that game, and a

593
00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: Bama ended up winning. PJ Like, I'm curious your thoughts

594
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: on the game itself, but like, justly looking at that total,

595
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 1: is it almost like an auto you have to take

596
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:28,719
Speaker 1: the under when a total is a hundred and seventy

597
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 1: five and a half. Or is it because of this

598
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 1: matchup you're even considering the over on that.

599
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,159
Speaker 4: No, I would never bet a Bama under. Would I

600
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 4: would never. I would never do that. You know, these

601
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 4: totals are high for a reason. Look, I loved Saint

602
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 4: Mary's in that round of thirty two game. I really

603
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 4: thought Bama was gonna lose. I thought that game was

604
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,680
Speaker 4: San Diego State from two years ago all over again,

605
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:52,879
Speaker 4: when they were the one seed and they had Brandon Miller,

606
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,920
Speaker 4: and they went up against a team just like Saint Mary's,

607
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 4: you know who was great. Defensively, they played a slow

608
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 4: pace that's usualually what a NATO's team struggles with. But

609
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 4: Terrell's point, you know, Saint Mary's just can't shoot from

610
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:08,240
Speaker 4: the outside. And Bama's offense also just played an A

611
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:11,400
Speaker 4: plus game. I mean, Saint Mary's hadn't given up more

612
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 4: than eighty points in three years, one hundred and five

613
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:19,120
Speaker 4: games fellas they played Gonzaga twice usually three a year,

614
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:20,919
Speaker 4: and the Zags have never.

615
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 5: Even cracked eighty on them.

616
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 4: So that just kind of tells you how good Bama's

617
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 4: offense was when they played against Saint Mary's, you know,

618
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 4: so that I just didn't expect that. I thought they

619
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 4: would shoot away, you know, lower percentage, So you got

620
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 4: to give him credit for that. This BYU games really

621
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 4: interesting though, since Oates has been at Bama when the

622
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 4: total is one seventy or higher, he's three and zero

623
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 4: against the spread. And the reason for that is because

624
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:50,479
Speaker 4: it's really tough to out Bama. Bama like when you

625
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 4: want to play at their pace, when you want to

626
00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 4: get into a track meet and play a high scoring game,

627
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:59,439
Speaker 4: unless you're Florida or unless you're Auburn, you're usually not

628
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 4: going to beat that at that kind of game. Now,

629
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 4: where BYU can make this game interesting is the fact

630
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,879
Speaker 4: that Bama just doesn't force turnovers, so BYU's gonna have

631
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 4: plenty of opportunities to get shots and run their offense,

632
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 4: and the fact that this spread is the same as

633
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,200
Speaker 4: the Saint Mary's game is very interesting. I think again

634
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 4: that's Saint Mary's line. It was built into the pace

635
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 4: when mess Bama up, and now the fact that they're

636
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 4: playing a team that's like them is why the spread

637
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 4: is the same.

638
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 5: So I'm staying away from the spread.

639
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 4: I would agree with Terrell, though I almost think there's

640
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 4: value now on BYU just because the game is priced

641
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,120
Speaker 4: the same as the Saint Mary's game was. The play

642
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 4: that I'm taking though, is the first half over telling

643
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 4: you is a Bama fan. Whenever OATS is in a

644
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 4: high profile game like this, whether it's a tournament, whether

645
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 4: it's a SEC game, neutral site game, whatever it is,

646
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 4: whenever you got two great offensive teams like this, the

647
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 4: game is always high scoring in the first half.

648
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 5: It's always like fifty.

649
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:57,200
Speaker 4: To forty five, forty nine, forty seven, like they just

650
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 4: always are. And I think this game is going to

651
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 4: be the same way. So I like the first half

652
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 4: over eighty two and a half, eighty three and a half.

653
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 4: I think this is gonna be like forty seven forty

654
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 4: three and a half time something like that. But these

655
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 4: games are are usually high scoring in the first twenty minutes,

656
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 4: so I like the first half over.

657
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: Gonna be a super fun start to the Sweet sixteen.

658
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: That's the first game on Thursday. Quick reminder to tune

659
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 1: into the Daily Juice podcast to get top picks and

660
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 1: props across all major sports every single day and fifteen

661
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 1: minutes or less. Check out The Daily Juice on the

662
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel at YouTube dot com, slash Betting Pros,

663
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to podcasts and start winning. Today, guys,

664
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 1: let's go to the Midwest region. Houston number one seed

665
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 1: against number four seed Perdue. I did the the way

666
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,320
Speaker 1: I tried to differentiate my bracket from everybody else is

667
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 1: this year was I ended up taking Gonzaga over Houston.

668
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 1: Looked bad early, switching mighty fresh and late. I like

669
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,320
Speaker 1: Houston a lot. I was just trying to find somebody

670
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 1: that I liked. Zenerdog obviously to top ten Ken Pond teams.

671
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,360
Speaker 1: So now like Gonzago is bad, but Houston held on.

672
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 1: They're really really good PG I'll start with you on

673
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:08,160
Speaker 1: this one. Houston going up against Purdue. Can Purdue give

674
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 1: them any trouble in the same way that Gonzaga did late.

675
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: Or is Houston going to just ride this to the

676
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:14,400
Speaker 1: elite eight at least?

677
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 4: Yeah?

678
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 5: No, I like Houston. I laid the seven and a

679
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 5: half with them.

680
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,960
Speaker 4: I think they're a great money line Parla option as well,

681
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 4: if you just want to go that route.

682
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 5: Purdue has one of the worst two point.

683
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 4: Defenses in college basketball since February, and you know, high

684
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,880
Speaker 4: points a great offense, but obviously with the size advantage

685
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 4: that Purdue has, they really couldn't exploit that. And then

686
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:39,080
Speaker 4: McNeese just isn't an elite offensive team, so they really

687
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,880
Speaker 4: couldn't either. But now you're going up against Houston, who

688
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 4: shoots the three as well as anybody in college basketball,

689
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 4: and you don't think about that when you think Houston.

690
00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 4: But I was so impressed with them, you guys against

691
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 4: Gonzaga because I feel like the last couple of Houston

692
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 4: teams would have lost that game. You know, that was

693
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 4: always my biggest concern with them. These teams like Tennessee Houston,

694
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 4: those Tony Bennett Virginia teams, we all know they want

695
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 4: to play slow and they want to lean on their

696
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 4: defense in the tournament. Eventually, you're just going to run

697
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 4: into a team with a good offense, and can you

698
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,360
Speaker 4: win those games in the eighties and Houston was able

699
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 4: to do that. Crier's having an incredible season. He's been

700
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 4: really good here the last couple of months. I like

701
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 4: Houston a role in the game. Another bet that I

702
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,480
Speaker 4: like in this game and also the Tennessee Kentucky game,

703
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,400
Speaker 4: I think we got to take first half unders. Because

704
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 4: it's important to note that this game is These games

705
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 4: are being played at the football stadium. They're being played

706
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 4: at Lucas Oil instead of the basketball arena at Gambridge

707
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 4: where the Pacers play, so it's gonna feel like a

708
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 4: final four. The fact that these guys, you know, the

709
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 4: different site lines, you're shooting in an NFL stadium, and

710
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 4: like the fact that you got to go up against

711
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 4: Houston's defense, I think is going to be an adjustment

712
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 4: for Purdue. Even though they're playing in Indy, they're gonna,

713
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 4: you know, have the home crowd behind them. They were

714
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 4: in a Final four last year, so they are used

715
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 4: to it a little bit. I still think it's gonna

716
00:31:57,360 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 4: throw both teams off. So immediately when I saw that

717
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 4: these games are being played at the football stadium, I

718
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 4: bet the first half under on both games.

719
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 5: But that's my favorite playing to Houston game.

720
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:07,560
Speaker 2: Trell.

721
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 1: I may have taken Nzago last round, I will not

722
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 1: be fading Houston this round. I think they might win

723
00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:14,280
Speaker 1: this game by like eighteen plus.

724
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:18,600
Speaker 2: I think they match up extremely well with Purdue, and.

725
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 1: I think they're going to smash them on I don't

726
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: think this game is going to be close at any

727
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 1: point after the first five minutes.

728
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 3: Truthfully, Yeah, I'm taking Houston first half, laying was it

729
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 3: two and a half, three and a half here, three

730
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:30,360
Speaker 3: and a half, three and a half, four and a

731
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 3: half here, in the first half here with Houston. That's

732
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 3: where I'm looking at with this continue a really good

733
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 3: bet of taking Houston very early in games. Sometimes they

734
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 3: take their foot off the gas in the second end.

735
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: They're up so many points in the second half, they're

736
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 3: up so many points all that. I like backing them

737
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 3: in the first half, getting in and out with my

738
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 3: money really really quickly. I have been on Houston since

739
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 3: the beginning of the tournament. I have said it. They

740
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 3: had that little bit of a rush stretch in the

741
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 3: beginning of the season where they lost a few non

742
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 3: conference games in a row, and everybody ripped them off,

743
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 3: and then what did they do? They ran through the

744
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: Big Twelve with ease at that they lost one game,

745
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 3: ran through the Big Twelve. One of the best basketball

746
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 3: conferences ran through them with these And so Houston they

747
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 3: have the offense. This is one of Sampson's best offensive

748
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 3: units that he's had. I think that Cryer you talking

749
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 3: about Cryer Sharp using those guards, all of that plays

750
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 3: into the three point metrics that I just think it's

751
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 3: too much offense and produced defense isn't good enough to

752
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 3: hold them for a whole game, like an entire game.

753
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 3: I don't even think they hold them in the first half.

754
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 3: So yeah, I agree with you. I think this is

755
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 3: Houston all the way here, no resistance here from Houston.

756
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 3: I think that the Gunzag game is going to look

757
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 3: like a lot better game than this Perdue game.

758
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:44,719
Speaker 2: I totally agree with that.

759
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: PJ already mentioned For Kentucky Tennessee, like in that first

760
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 1: half under Terrell, what do you think about this SEC

761
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 1: match of Kentucky has already won twice?

762
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 2: What do you think about this one?

763
00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 3: I haven't gotten there, I really really do. I mean

764
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 3: Kentucky's once twice. You get to fade Rick Barnes in

765
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:09,839
Speaker 3: the tournament. This sounds amazing, but I could see them

766
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:11,799
Speaker 3: getting up for this spot here, And I think it's

767
00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 3: more because I just trust Tennessee defensively more. I think

768
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 3: that the two losses that they faced earlier in the

769
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 3: season is kind of a little bit of a wake

770
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 3: up call, and hey, let's kind of we tried this out,

771
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:24,319
Speaker 3: we tried that out. Let's kind of figure this out

772
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 3: and beat this team. And let's just lock down defensively

773
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:29,280
Speaker 3: and play the pace of the tournament and really really

774
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 3: force this Kentucky team off of the three point line,

775
00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 3: don't give them a whole bunch of three point opportunities,

776
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 3: make them play you inside the paint, and just trust

777
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 3: that your defense can hold up against them in their offense. Ah.

778
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 3: I haven't gotten there on this one. I really really

779
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,920
Speaker 3: do want to back Tennessee, but Kentucky with the sweep

780
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 3: scared me off.

781
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:51,800
Speaker 2: What do you think, PJ.

782
00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 1: Is it that Kentucky has Tennessee's number or is it

783
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:55,840
Speaker 1: hard to beat a.

784
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:57,440
Speaker 2: Team three times in the same season.

785
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:00,319
Speaker 4: I think it's a little of both. I really think

786
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 4: Kentucky's a bad matchup for them. Even when Calipari was there,

787
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,840
Speaker 4: the Kentucky matchup was never good for Tennessee. You know,

788
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,920
Speaker 4: it's just these offensive teams against Rick Barnes that the

789
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 4: stuff that Kentucky runs and the things that they do

790
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 4: does give Tennessee a lot of problems. So the Balls

791
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 4: are the better team and they're obviously favored three and

792
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 4: a half. I've been impressed with how they played against UCLA.

793
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 4: I really thought there was a chance they could lose

794
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 4: that game. I thought the Bruins would keep it a

795
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:31,680
Speaker 4: lot closer. Lanier's been great, Ziegler's been very good, and

796
00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:34,360
Speaker 4: that's really the story for Tennessee. You know, Barnes, it

797
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:36,360
Speaker 4: feels like on these teams, he's really got one or

798
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,800
Speaker 4: two guys that he leans on to do a majority

799
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:39,480
Speaker 4: of the scoring.

800
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 5: And Lamier has been awesome so far.

801
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:44,759
Speaker 4: Eventually, you would think he's probably gonna have a game

802
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,319
Speaker 4: where he's gonna have a dud. Now, certainly would think

803
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 4: that would maybe come against Houston, but it definitely could

804
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 4: come against Kentucky as well. Again, I like the first

805
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 4: half under. I think the under is probably gonna be

806
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 4: my play, guys. I think this is gonna be a

807
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 4: lower scoring game. I think it's gonna be played like

808
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 4: high sixties somewhere in that neighborhood. So I just like

809
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 4: the under the side too tough for me to call.

810
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 4: I could see that game going either way.

811
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:13,400
Speaker 1: I sprinkled some small bets on a couple of different

812
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:15,319
Speaker 1: futures at the start of the tournament. Tennessee was actually

813
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: one of them that I did. I just I have

814
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,760
Speaker 1: loved watching this team all year. I think Chaslnier is awesome.

815
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,920
Speaker 1: He considered going to Maryland out of the transfer port

816
00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:26,279
Speaker 1: role early on in that process, and I was really

817
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 1: crushed to lose him. I think he's a stud. Obviously

818
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 1: we know the history of Rick Barnes of the tournament,

819
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,560
Speaker 1: but I just thought this team might be a little different.

820
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:36,840
Speaker 1: Of course, now having to beat Kentucky and then Houston

821
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: back to back likely will put a dent into those hopes,

822
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 1: I think.

823
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 2: But yeah, it's hard.

824
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,480
Speaker 1: Like I think you did a good job laying it

825
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 1: out PG, like like Tennessee is the better team, but

826
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 1: I worry having watched those two other matchups already and knowing.

827
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was about to say, are they a better team?

828
00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,640
Speaker 3: I don't know. You beat them twice like he's been twice.

829
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 1: But I think better in a vacuum. But yeah, the

830
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:00,120
Speaker 1: matchup is tough. It's a fair point. I mean it,

831
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 1: it's certainly scares.

832
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:03,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not enough for It's not enough to make

833
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 3: me get to the window on Tennessee. Like the Cno.

834
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 3: Two games. Seeing Tennessee out rebound them on the offensive

835
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 3: glass and still lose the game, getting extra it's not

836
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 3: good for me.

837
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's go to the West Region. Obviously the game

838
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:20,280
Speaker 1: I'm most looking forward to, well, actually I'm not looking

839
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 1: forward to because I think it's going to go poorly

840
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 1: for me. Number one Florida versus Number four Maryland.

841
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,439
Speaker 2: Worth noting. I I don't know if everybody else has.

842
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,480
Speaker 1: Followed this as closely as I have, because I'm obviously

843
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:32,400
Speaker 1: it's I heard Maryland fan. There's a lot of smoke

844
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 1: right now with Willard maybe leaving after this season and

845
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 1: going to Villanova. Even if that doesn't happen, at the

846
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 1: very least, you have to think it's been a distraction.

847
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 3: He said for now.

848
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 1: To a degree, he's made comments that he's.

849
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 3: He said, he's saying for now, he said for now.

850
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:51,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, he I mean, listen, I.

851
00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:56,319
Speaker 1: Florida, I might not be staying He's made all the

852
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 1: right comments quote unquote before like at Seaton Hall, and

853
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:00,840
Speaker 1: then immediately left after that lost to go to Maryland. Like,

854
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,319
Speaker 1: I don't trust him, not even as a knock against him.

855
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,040
Speaker 2: That's just the way coaching goes.

856
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,520
Speaker 1: On the other hand, it's kind of a mercenary sport

857
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:12,000
Speaker 1: right now. These guys are here for one year anyway,

858
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 1: even if Willard was staying, I'm sure Jacoby Gillespie was

859
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 1: going to get offers from Tennessee, you know, to come

860
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 1: replace Ziegler next year or whatever. So like, I don't

861
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:21,760
Speaker 1: know how much it matters in terms.

862
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:23,359
Speaker 2: Of guys feeling abandoned.

863
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:26,240
Speaker 1: But if you are somebody who buys into the narrative

864
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 1: of distractions, maybe making it a good team to bet against,

865
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:31,719
Speaker 1: that is somebody to keep in mind, even aside from

866
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 1: the fact that they're playing a very good Florida team,

867
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:36,360
Speaker 1: but one who is coming off you know, one of

868
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 1: their worst performances in a while. Still one obviously in Yukon,

869
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:43,359
Speaker 1: you know, super well coached, but that game wasn't maybe

870
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,319
Speaker 1: the blowout that some people would have expected. So having

871
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 1: said all that, pjkind of what are your early thoughts

872
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 1: betting Florida Maryland.

873
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:51,640
Speaker 4: The total is what catches my eye, the fact this

874
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 4: open one fifty five and it's going up to one

875
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 4: fifty eight, because I think that's the Turps path to

876
00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 4: victory is they got to try and outscore Florida. I

877
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:04,359
Speaker 4: don't know if they can win a slugfest and try

878
00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 4: to make this game like in the sixties or maybe

879
00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:09,439
Speaker 4: the seventies like Yukon did. I think they're just gonna

880
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:12,560
Speaker 4: have to shoot lights out. I think Gillespie and Rice

881
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,520
Speaker 4: and Miguel they're gonna have to hit their threes. And

882
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 4: the start in this game is gonna be everything for Maryland.

883
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:20,279
Speaker 4: They have to start fast. If they started like they

884
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 4: did against Colorado State, they're gonna have no chance.

885
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 5: They got to rebound the ball better.

886
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 4: That was one of my big takeaways from the Colorado

887
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 4: State game was just how much they really struggled to

888
00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 4: get boards. And now you're going up against Florida with

889
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,920
Speaker 4: Condon and hole Garden and Chinylu, They're gonna have their

890
00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 4: hands full down low so recent Clean are gonna have

891
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:41,840
Speaker 4: to be big on the boards, you know. I mean,

892
00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 4: they're gonna have to gain rebound like Rice is gonna

893
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 4: have to help out and all these guys as well.

894
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 4: I'm more looking at the props, Like for people that

895
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:50,320
Speaker 4: are listening, if you can bet props in your state,

896
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 4: I think this is a really good prop game. I

897
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 4: like Derek Queen under nine and a half rebounds for

898
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:57,920
Speaker 4: everything I was just talking about with the rebounds, but again,

899
00:39:58,280 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 4: high total like this, you would think there's gonna be

900
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,720
Speaker 4: a lot of points, not as many chances for rebounds.

901
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,319
Speaker 4: I think nine and a half's too many. I like

902
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,799
Speaker 4: Walter Clayton over points. I've been blind betting that every game.

903
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 4: You just go if it's under twenty, you go over.

904
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,160
Speaker 4: And it's in nineteen and a half. I think we

905
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:17,279
Speaker 4: all saw against Yukon's he's the guy. So if you're

906
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,400
Speaker 4: a Maryland fan, if you're betting Maryland to cover this

907
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:23,799
Speaker 4: game win, you gotta hope that he's off because if

908
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:25,960
Speaker 4: Clayton's on, the Turps are gonna have no chance.

909
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:27,920
Speaker 5: So I think that's the path to victory.

910
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,160
Speaker 4: They got a rebound, they gotta hope Clayton's off, and

911
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 4: they got to hit their three pointers. I don't want

912
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 4: to bet the game, but I think I am going

913
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 4: to go over it for it to steam this much

914
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 4: I think we're gonna get a lot of points. I

915
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:45,160
Speaker 4: think this is gonna be a highly entertaining game with

916
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:45,880
Speaker 4: a lot of points.

917
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:48,160
Speaker 1: The thing with the rebounding is a great point, because

918
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: you mentioned it's gonna be a team effort. Maryland's guards

919
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,640
Speaker 1: don't really rebound. They say, hey, we have Julian Reese

920
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 1: and Derek Queen and they will clean up the boards.

921
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: And when you go up against a team where that's

922
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,880
Speaker 1: not happening, like I think Florida's guards are going to

923
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 1: outrebound Maryland's guards by a significant margin, and that certainly

924
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:05,840
Speaker 1: concerns me.

925
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 2: I think that.

926
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,880
Speaker 1: So the interesting thing about Maryland is their tempo stats

927
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:13,919
Speaker 1: are not that crazy one direction or the other. They're

928
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:16,280
Speaker 1: a pretty fast paced team on offense and a pretty

929
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:18,240
Speaker 1: slow paced team on defense. They do a good job

930
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:19,960
Speaker 1: of getting teams to kind of slow down and.

931
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 2: Play the half court.

932
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 1: That's not a weakness for Florida, but it's not as

933
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 1: much of an obvious strength as their transition games. So

934
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 1: I wonder if they try to kind of mucket up

935
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 1: defensively but then push the pace offensively. I don't know

936
00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 1: how successful that'll be. It's been kind of a strategy

937
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 1: that they've employed at times this year. Like I said,

938
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 1: maybe I'm just being like a pessimistic Maryland fan.

939
00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:41,760
Speaker 2: I really think.

940
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:44,960
Speaker 1: Florida kind of stops them, honestly, So it's a real

941
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 1: there will be no apology necessary if Maryland does this

942
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:49,799
Speaker 1: win this one, because I'm certainly taking the side of

943
00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:50,399
Speaker 1: fadi them.

944
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 2: Why are you approaching this game?

945
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:53,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think they have a chance. Florida and

946
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 3: Houston are just my two teams that I think are

947
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 3: way above the field here, and I mean, well, you

948
00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:00,399
Speaker 3: can don't duke in here of course, but not giving

949
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 3: the dookies anymore extra. But here, I think the size

950
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 3: is a lie. I mean you talk about, you know,

951
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:11,000
Speaker 3: finally getting that off Clayton game. Yeah, Clayton could be off,

952
00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:14,360
Speaker 3: but then Aji Mitchell goes off and you're like, oh crap,

953
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:17,360
Speaker 3: and then Will Richard and you're like, oh, Man Condon

954
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 3: and all these other guys, all these other options. I

955
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,400
Speaker 3: think the Bigs are gonna be able to feast on

956
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,319
Speaker 3: the offensive glass and where Maryland is gonna really really

957
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:27,880
Speaker 3: have to stay composed composed is when they do not

958
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:30,280
Speaker 3: get the rebound and when it is an offensive rebound,

959
00:42:30,320 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 3: because the bigs for Florida are really really good out

960
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 3: of passing outside of the post and getting the ball

961
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:37,160
Speaker 3: out to three point shooters to the guards, and it

962
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 3: helps extending possessions and getting those second chance points. That's

963
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 3: where you're gonna have to really really stay composed. Yes,

964
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,000
Speaker 3: they may go back up with the shot, but it's

965
00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:47,439
Speaker 3: got to be everybody else of making sure, hey, we're

966
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 3: not giving up points on these offensive rebound chances. Like

967
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:51,799
Speaker 3: I think that Florida is gonna have a lot of

968
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 3: so I don't think that Maryland and the Craft five

969
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 3: we're gonna be able to keep up here. I think

970
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,399
Speaker 3: Florida's gonna be too much for them, like Florida laying

971
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 3: the six and a half win big.

972
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,359
Speaker 1: Florida's too deep, I mean at the end of the day,

973
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:06,920
Speaker 1: and Maryland is not deep, like PJ hit on it,

974
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 1: like you need a Rice and Miguel Heater really both

975
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 1: of them need to go nuclear or like a true

976
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:15,000
Speaker 1: like Derek Queen put him in the rafters legacy game like,

977
00:43:15,040 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 1: I don't see another path to a win, and those

978
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:19,319
Speaker 1: I don't think are going to be easy to have

979
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:22,280
Speaker 1: happened there last matchup here in the swet sixteen Texas

980
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,719
Speaker 1: Tech the three seed against the ten seed Arkansas, the

981
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:28,239
Speaker 1: only double digit seed still alive, and of course it's

982
00:43:28,280 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 1: a talented team that's coached by John Galliperi, So Hartley

983
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:36,000
Speaker 1: feels like a Cinderella. PJL sart with you on this

984
00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 1: one in Texas Tech Arkansas?

985
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:38,760
Speaker 2: Who do you like here?

986
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 4: It's a fun game, especially because both teams should be

987
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,839
Speaker 4: getting some key pieces back. Chance McMillan should be coming

988
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 4: back for Texas Tech, their point guard, to Do Thiero

989
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:52,320
Speaker 4: should be available for Arkansas as well, so that helps

990
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:54,520
Speaker 4: with the depth of both of these teams. I'm going

991
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:58,040
Speaker 4: to keep riding Arkansas though, Fellas plus the points and

992
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 4: even take some money line as well. This team has

993
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:04,200
Speaker 4: a ton of talent, a ton of five stars, and

994
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 4: just Calipari's got him playing really well. And I love

995
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 4: the way that Wagner's playing at point guard. The big

996
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:13,319
Speaker 4: man a Do and Big Z you're playing well for him,

997
00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 4: and now having Boogie Flann back in the mix giving

998
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 4: you another score. I think it's gonna be big for

999
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:21,600
Speaker 4: Arkansas as well. So Texas Tech's an awesome team. Topp

1000
00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:25,359
Speaker 4: and Williams were tremendous in that Drake game. But I

1001
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:28,600
Speaker 4: like the way that Arkansas is playing right now. Calipari

1002
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 4: has been awesome as an underdog in his career against

1003
00:44:30,680 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 4: the spread. He's usually great in the Sweet sixteen as well.

1004
00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 4: So I like Arkansas in this game. I think they

1005
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:38,800
Speaker 4: absolutely can completely upset.

1006
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:43,319
Speaker 1: I love Texas Tech, I love Grant McCasland. I think

1007
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:44,920
Speaker 1: this is a great team. I actually do have them

1008
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:47,720
Speaker 1: in my final four from the brackets I did last

1009
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 1: week upsetting Florida.

1010
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 2: Arkansas is just has played better than I expected. Certainly.

1011
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:56,280
Speaker 1: I don't think a lot of people had them getting

1012
00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 1: to this point, given what they had to go through

1013
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:01,400
Speaker 1: with not just you know, South, but also Rick Patino.

1014
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 2: Of course, Terrell, what do you make of this one?

1015
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: The three seed versus the ten?

1016
00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:05,719
Speaker 5: Yeah?

1017
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,719
Speaker 3: I agree. I like Arkansas. I think that they have

1018
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:12,440
Speaker 3: a really good chance here. Was slightly concerned that maybe

1019
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:14,839
Speaker 3: this gets to be in a high scoring game and

1020
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 3: Texas Tech kind of edges them out here because they

1021
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:20,280
Speaker 3: if this is a high scoring game, I think Texas

1022
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 3: Tech has the weapons that they can actually win a shootout,

1023
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 3: and so I just went ahead and took Arkansas team

1024
00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 3: total over seventy one and a half, Like, I if

1025
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,879
Speaker 3: there's anything that could happen, maybe Texas Tech shoots over

1026
00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:37,360
Speaker 3: that Arkansas defense. But Texas Tech defense is at times obsolete,

1027
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 3: Like they've given up a bunch of points recently here

1028
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:43,400
Speaker 3: over the class month. I mean, look at the totals.

1029
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:45,680
Speaker 3: You have that Drake team that you know, we don't

1030
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:47,560
Speaker 3: really know them. For offense, they give them sixty four,

1031
00:45:47,560 --> 00:45:49,960
Speaker 3: but they still give up over this total, seventy two

1032
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 3: points to to you n C. Wilmington. They gave up

1033
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:56,759
Speaker 3: eighty six to Arizona in the Big twell in the

1034
00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:59,600
Speaker 3: Big twelve semifinal. In the quarterfinal, they gave up seventy

1035
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:01,839
Speaker 3: four to b still like they've still been giving up points.

1036
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,480
Speaker 3: Arizona State wasn't able to get there, but Colorado Kansas

1037
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:07,960
Speaker 3: still got over this number. And Arkansas scored over this

1038
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:13,680
Speaker 3: number and basically every game this month seventy five, seventy nine, eight, eighty,

1039
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:18,479
Speaker 3: seventy two, ninety three, ninety It was the fifty three

1040
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:20,920
Speaker 3: point game on the road to South Carolina that they

1041
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 3: weren't able to get through this, But the whole month

1042
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,400
Speaker 3: of March, Arkansas has been scoring, scoring, scoring, scoring, scoring.

1043
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,279
Speaker 3: They get Boogie Flann back that helps the offense. They

1044
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 3: look good like Arkansas's just in a rhythm offensively that

1045
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,319
Speaker 3: I don't want to fade right now. So maybe they

1046
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 3: don't get there on the spread, and that's kind of

1047
00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,759
Speaker 3: a weird iffy thing here. I think one hundred percent

1048
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:39,440
Speaker 3: they can get to seventy two points here though, So

1049
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:41,000
Speaker 3: I like Arkansas to get it done here.

1050
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 1: Let's wrap up with just some final thoughts on maybe

1051
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:47,040
Speaker 1: predicting a new Final Four now that we're down to

1052
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,360
Speaker 1: the sweet sixteen, if it's changed for you guys, and

1053
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 1: maybe it hasn't given how much chalk we've had, or

1054
00:46:52,160 --> 00:46:55,799
Speaker 1: maybe any other futures title bets. If anything sticks out

1055
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:58,759
Speaker 1: to you that you're interested in, Torell's start with you

1056
00:46:58,840 --> 00:46:59,080
Speaker 1: on that.

1057
00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 3: Nope, I'm still sticking with my two teams that I've

1058
00:47:02,560 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 3: been is Florida and Houston. I think Houston is built

1059
00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:08,399
Speaker 3: where they can beat Duke and they and because what

1060
00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:11,480
Speaker 3: PJ said and what I've been talking about basically the

1061
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:13,799
Speaker 3: whole time is that Duke, when you get them into

1062
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:16,879
Speaker 3: a close game, they are not very good good Cooper

1063
00:47:16,960 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 3: Flag makes turnovers with the ball. That's how they lost

1064
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:21,720
Speaker 3: the game against Clemson. The last big loss that everybody's

1065
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 3: talking about that Duke took it was against Clemson and

1066
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:26,479
Speaker 3: that was the reason because they got into that close

1067
00:47:26,560 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 3: game and Clemson forced the turnover by Cooper flag. So yeah,

1068
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 3: I think that they're gonna have issues when they run

1069
00:47:32,160 --> 00:47:34,040
Speaker 3: into Houston. I still like Houston to go out and

1070
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:35,919
Speaker 3: get this done. I'm be betting Houston all the way.

1071
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:37,759
Speaker 3: And I think Florida's going to come out on their

1072
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,040
Speaker 3: end because the size of those bigs. The bigs are

1073
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:42,520
Speaker 3: playing way too well and I like the really, really

1074
00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:44,919
Speaker 3: good guard play they're getting. PJ.

1075
00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:47,239
Speaker 1: What's your final four as of right now and are

1076
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:48,440
Speaker 1: there any futures bets you like?

1077
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:52,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, I got Duke, Houston, Florida, and then I'll go

1078
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:53,920
Speaker 4: with Michigan as well.

1079
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:54,840
Speaker 5: You guys, I don't know.

1080
00:47:54,880 --> 00:47:57,520
Speaker 4: I'm just getting vibes from this Michigan team, like they

1081
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:00,400
Speaker 4: just they're finding ways to win these close games. I

1082
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:03,200
Speaker 4: think if they can get past Auburn, they match up

1083
00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:05,279
Speaker 4: well with Michigan State or Ole Miss. I know they've

1084
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:07,520
Speaker 4: lost to Michigan State a couple of times. Would kind

1085
00:48:07,520 --> 00:48:10,640
Speaker 4: of be similar to the Tennessee Kentucky game, but I

1086
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 4: would almost trust Michigan more in that game. So and

1087
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 4: the price that you're getting there, like eight to one

1088
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 4: to make the final four, I like that. I also

1089
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 4: like Maryland's price to make the final four. At plus

1090
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:24,799
Speaker 4: four fifty. I don't think they upset Florida, but just

1091
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:28,000
Speaker 4: from a number standpoint, they're plus two forty to beat

1092
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:31,319
Speaker 4: the Gators. They're going to be favored against Arkansas, and

1093
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:33,919
Speaker 4: then they would be like a pick them against Texas Tech.

1094
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,760
Speaker 4: So from a maths standpoint, like it's just the number,

1095
00:48:36,840 --> 00:48:39,320
Speaker 4: the number is not right at plus four fifty. Again,

1096
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:42,600
Speaker 4: I think Florida wins the game. But just like a

1097
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 4: lot of times when you're betting futures, you just look

1098
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:45,960
Speaker 4: at if the price is wrong, and I just think

1099
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:47,280
Speaker 4: that price is wrong on Maryland.

1100
00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 1: We got a pseudo walkoff from Terrell with that pick

1101
00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:54,560
Speaker 1: from Fiji, I will say to that point, I actually agree.

1102
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:56,799
Speaker 1: I don't think they beat Florida, but I think if

1103
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 1: they do, they I will be very interesting.

1104
00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:03,080
Speaker 4: They're going to be a favorite against Arkansas for sure,

1105
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 4: and I think if you beat Florida, like they're going

1106
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 4: to be favorite against Texas Tech. So wouldn't you like

1107
00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:09,360
Speaker 4: to have yourself a plus four fifty going into a

1108
00:49:09,360 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 4: game where they're going to be a favorite.

1109
00:49:10,520 --> 00:49:14,040
Speaker 1: It's a it's borderline, like, yeah, your bet, It's that's

1110
00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 1: almost like just the money line odds. I'm beating Florida

1111
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:19,360
Speaker 1: because if they be Florida, You're going to feel a

1112
00:49:19,360 --> 00:49:22,040
Speaker 1: lot better about the possibility of a Final four run.

1113
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:25,680
Speaker 1: So I get it from that perspective. Yeah, I'm going

1114
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:27,839
Speaker 1: I'm gonna stick with you know, pretty much the finn

1115
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:30,279
Speaker 1: before I had outside of Houston obviously wasn't in it

1116
00:49:30,280 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 1: because I had the good Zaga upset.

1117
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:33,640
Speaker 2: But yeah, like I'm sticking with Auburn.

1118
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:36,280
Speaker 1: I know it's not maybe the same that they were early,

1119
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:38,839
Speaker 1: but I just don't like that region very much. So

1120
00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:41,359
Speaker 1: I'm going to sick with the number one overall seed.

1121
00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:43,120
Speaker 1: You have to go with Duke. I think at this

1122
00:49:43,160 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 1: point you have to go with Houston's even just because

1123
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:47,920
Speaker 1: like I'm more confident Houston makes the Elite eight than

1124
00:49:47,920 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 1: I am Tennessee, even if I do really like Tennessee.

1125
00:49:50,440 --> 00:49:52,799
Speaker 1: So I think Houston's like too obvious with a pick

1126
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 1: there you can't get away from it, and then none,

1127
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:56,919
Speaker 1: I'll stick with what I had before it. I still

1128
00:49:56,960 --> 00:49:59,520
Speaker 1: like this Texas Tech team. I think they have an

1129
00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:02,960
Speaker 1: easier matchup than Florida does in this round, even if

1130
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,640
Speaker 1: Arkansas is playing well, So I think it will be

1131
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 1: Florida Texas Tech. But just kind of playing the odds there,

1132
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,360
Speaker 1: I'll stick with Texas Tech in the final four as.

1133
00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:12,120
Speaker 2: A championship winner.

1134
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:15,360
Speaker 1: PJ last thoughts, do you have any you know I

1135
00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:17,520
Speaker 1: bet you would change at that point, just or.

1136
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 4: Just It's been Duke for me from the start, and

1137
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 4: I don't think it's going to change. I will say

1138
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:24,520
Speaker 4: I think Duke and Houston's the national championship. If that

1139
00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 4: ends up being the final four, I think the winner

1140
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:27,920
Speaker 4: of that game wins it.

1141
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:29,040
Speaker 5: All that would be.

1142
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 4: If Duke doesn't win it, that would be the team

1143
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 4: that I would say would be Houston. So I think

1144
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 4: one of those teams are gonna win.

1145
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 1: Before the tournament, I would have said Duke and Auburn

1146
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:39,200
Speaker 1: were like my very too clear favorites. I just think

1147
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:41,640
Speaker 1: what we've seen enough from I mean, not that we

1148
00:50:41,680 --> 00:50:43,200
Speaker 1: didn't see it earlier in the year, but like, I.

1149
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:44,880
Speaker 2: Can't get off Houston at this point.

1150
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:47,360
Speaker 1: Like I think I think you're right about that in

1151
00:50:47,400 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 1: terms of Duke Houston Obviously, we know where Terrell stands

1152
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:50,960
Speaker 1: in terms of Florida Houston.

1153
00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:55,400
Speaker 3: I mean, I mean, but let me give me a chance.

1154
00:50:56,120 --> 00:51:00,840
Speaker 3: Mike Calvin Sampson really really needs is Kelvin Sam really

1155
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:04,040
Speaker 3: like this is the best offensive team he's had. They're

1156
00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 3: so good. I know I like those two and I

1157
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:10,320
Speaker 3: have futures on those two, but I'm really really pulling

1158
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:11,280
Speaker 3: for the Houston one.

1159
00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 1: So Izzo and Cali Perry are the only two coaches

1160
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 1: remaining with the championship, right am I forgetting anybody?

1161
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:24,759
Speaker 5: M Yeah, I think that's it.

1162
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 1: So and obviously those are two teams that maybe we're

1163
00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 1: fading a little bit. So it's certainly as trending towards

1164
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,480
Speaker 1: a first time a champion coach. We'll see if it

1165
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:33,480
Speaker 1: does end up playing out that way. We're gonna be

1166
00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:35,160
Speaker 1: back next week to talk more about the final four,

1167
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:36,560
Speaker 1: react to what we saw in the Sweet sixteen, and

1168
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:37,840
Speaker 1: lea day. But we will wrap up there. I know

1169
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,560
Speaker 1: Pj's got to get going, so for Terrell and PJ.

1170
00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 1: Thanks everybody for tuning in fun time breaking down the

1171
00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:43,800
Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen.

1172
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:47,040
Speaker 2: Go Terps and nobody else. We'll see again next time.

1173
00:51:47,200 --> 00:51:49,320
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1174
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1175
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:54,080
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1176
00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:55,640
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1177
00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:58,560
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1178
00:51:58,680 --> 00:52:02,320
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1179
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:04,880
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