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Speaker 1: Welcome to One Bill's Light, a fresh and different look

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Speaker 1: at the Bills in our daily show, One Bills Live,

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Speaker 1: where we cram as much football into forty minutes as

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Speaker 1: humanly possible. Coming up, can Josh Allen really boost his

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Speaker 1: completion percentage numbers into the seventies? There are a few

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Speaker 1: who think it's possible. Steve is tested on the history

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Speaker 1: of high completion percentage quarterbacks in our numbers game and

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Speaker 1: for Bill's Camp, we weigh in with who will be

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Speaker 1: first tee up the ball at a Steve tester who

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Speaker 1: has been all over our fields. Kind of unique. He

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Speaker 1: was kind of a dual role players for you, Steve,

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Speaker 1: Steve a blimp. We're not even in the stratosphere of normalcy. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: thanks for joining us here on One Bill's Light, our

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Speaker 1: bonus coverage of the Bills that is fresh and different

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Speaker 1: from our daily show, One Bills Live. Chris Brown and

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Speaker 1: Steve Tasker with you as always in Steve with high

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Speaker 1: expectations for the Bills in twenty twenty one, there are

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Speaker 1: equally high expectations for Josh Allen. We have Bruce Feldman

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Speaker 1: from Fox Sports and The Athletic, who was on our

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Speaker 1: daily show this week, who did a long form piece

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Speaker 1: on Josh and Joe Barrow for that matter, and his

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Speaker 1: anticipated improvement production wise for Josh Allen this year. What

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Speaker 1: did you make of his belief that Josh could hit

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Speaker 1: seventy two to seventy five percent completion percentage this year.

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Speaker 1: That's a big number, but he's not the only one.

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Speaker 1: We've heard that from. Jordan Palmer, Josh's coach, thought that

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Speaker 1: that was a logical and an expected step this year.

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Speaker 1: And while that may happen, Brownie, he may go to

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Speaker 1: seventy two seventy four percent completions, I still don't know

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Speaker 1: that he's gonna throw any more effectively than he did

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Speaker 1: a year ago. It will depend on how the offense goes,

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Speaker 1: the defense and and what teams will be able to

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Speaker 1: do against the Buffalo Bills. With seventeen games, it'll be

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Speaker 1: easier to replicate the forty eight hundred he had this

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Speaker 1: last year. I've said I think he could go to

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Speaker 1: five thousand, and I think there'll probably be a couple

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Speaker 1: of guys who do. But this you know, there will

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Speaker 1: be some statistical things that will look not as good

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Speaker 1: as last year, and there will be some that Luca

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Speaker 1: is good. I think the guy we saw last year

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Speaker 1: is who Josh is gonna be going forward, and what

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Speaker 1: the statistics looked like after it's going to be an afterthought.

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Speaker 1: Whether he's around sixty nine point two where he was

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Speaker 1: last year, or whether he jumps five percent or four

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Speaker 1: percent and gets up into the seventy three seventy four,

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Speaker 1: it won't be demonstrably different. But Josh is still going

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Speaker 1: to be in the MVP conversation. Yeah, it's we're talking

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Speaker 1: rare air here of the completion percentage. This is not

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Speaker 1: accomplished all that often, as we'll soon find in the

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Speaker 1: numbers game when we quit Steve. But the thing that

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Speaker 1: I keep coming back to is was last year a

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Speaker 1: career year for Josh. Certainly you say it was because

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Speaker 1: it was the best season he's put up, but he's

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Speaker 1: only in his fourth year now. There are a lot

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Speaker 1: of years to come. There may be years that surpassed

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Speaker 1: what he did last season. But you look at Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady's almost perfect year in two thousand and seven when

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Speaker 1: he threw for fifty touchdowns. He didn't throw for fifty

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Speaker 1: touchdowns the next year or the year after that or

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Speaker 1: the year after that. Aaron Rodgers may not get to

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Speaker 1: the same numbers that he had last year, and he's

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Speaker 1: done it before, and he's won the MVP three times.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes did not throw for fifty touchdowns. The year

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Speaker 1: after he threw fifty, he threw twenty six. The team

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Speaker 1: was just as successful, you know what I mean. So

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Speaker 1: I think there is a natural order of things where

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Speaker 1: maybe Josh does see some numbers go down slightly, but

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to impact the success of

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Speaker 1: the team this year necessarily. Of course, then again there's

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Speaker 1: the thought they've got Emmanuel Sanders in the mix. Now,

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Speaker 1: who is a more diversified receiver. He Beasley and Stefan

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Speaker 1: Diggs and then Gabe Davis on the other side. I mean,

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Speaker 1: are you kidding me? There is a multitude of options there.

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Speaker 1: And I'm gonna say this too. I want to throw

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Speaker 1: this in here. I think Brian Dabele He's not gonna

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Speaker 1: say it publicly, but going into this season he's pissed off. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and I think he's gonna roll it up on anyone

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Speaker 1: he has an opportunity to do it against. If he

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Speaker 1: can hang forty burgers on people fifty burgers, he's gonna

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Speaker 1: do it. He is not taking his foot off the gas.

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Speaker 1: They are not shortening the game. They are chucking it

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Speaker 1: all over the yard. What do you think about that?

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Speaker 1: I will say this about that. There's a lot of

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Speaker 1: layers to this. You're right. The Chiefs the year after

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Speaker 1: they got to the championship game where when Mahomes emerged

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Speaker 1: on at the scene was MVP, and they lost in

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl or they lost in the FC Championship game.

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Speaker 1: Then they went the next year and got to the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl and won it. He won the Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: in the year that was a down year for him.

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Speaker 1: They won games different ways. And here's why teams will

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Speaker 1: do what they can to make the Bills do something

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Speaker 1: diff to beat them left handed. But this is a

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Speaker 1: Bill's team. Unlike the Aaron Rodgers teams that you spoke about,

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Speaker 1: and unlike the Tom Brady teams you spoke about, this

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Speaker 1: Bill's team in large measure could be better than it

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Speaker 1: was around Josh this year there they did not take

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Speaker 1: a step back. John Brown, yes, but Emmanuel Sanders in

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Speaker 1: the offensive line brought in a ton of guys that

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Speaker 1: are going to compete to play. This offensive line will

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Speaker 1: play better because of that competition. And because of the

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Speaker 1: weeding out process, the defense has been refurbished. Up front,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna play better. So what will happen is the

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Speaker 1: team will get better around Josh and they'll never be

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Speaker 1: a time when they get into the third not not

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Speaker 1: say never, there won't be as many times when they

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Speaker 1: get into the third and fourth quarter where they're sweating it.

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Speaker 1: Josh is not going to be thrown deep to Stefan

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Speaker 1: Diggs in the corner of the Arizona game to come

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Speaker 1: back and beat them, or at least put them ahead

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Speaker 1: with twenty four seconds before the hell Mery may be

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Speaker 1: comfortably ahead, they're not. Yes, They're not gonna be in

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Speaker 1: a position where Josh has to come back against the

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Speaker 1: La Rams and throw a touchdown with nine seconds left

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Speaker 1: in the back of the end zone to Tyler Craft.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to be in a position where, you know,

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Speaker 1: they have to do that late in games. Now. Having

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Speaker 1: said that, because the team's gonna play better around him,

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Speaker 1: and teams are gonna do things against them like they

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Speaker 1: did against Mahomes and Tyree Killed and Travis Kelsey the

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Speaker 1: year they went to the Super Bowl, but they're gonna

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Speaker 1: win games now. Having said that, you're right. I don't

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Speaker 1: think there's a I don't think there's an off switch

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Speaker 1: for Brian day Bowl and Sean McDermott. The only well,

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Speaker 1: the only thing that turns the switch off is if

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Speaker 1: Sean McDermott believes his running game is more effective. And

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Speaker 1: it's five minutes left in the game, they're up by seventeen,

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Speaker 1: and he says, and the game here, Let's run the thing,

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Speaker 1: kill the clock, put this thing to bed, let's show

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Speaker 1: the end. That's the only thing that gets in the

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Speaker 1: way of Brian Dable, who I think is going to

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Speaker 1: harbor some ill feelings about not getting a head coaching job.

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Speaker 1: And I don't know that. I'm just saying like, if

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Speaker 1: that was me and I had the credentials that he

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Speaker 1: had and I didn't get a head coaching job, I'd

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Speaker 1: be like, what the hell, man, what do you gotta do?

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Speaker 1: Get it? There's a lot, So let me show you

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Speaker 1: all over again. There's a lot in there, and there's

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Speaker 1: a lot about Brian Dable. But Brian Table's gonna do

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Speaker 1: what he's told when when Sean said, absolutely, I will

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Speaker 1: say this, at some point, you're gonna get if you're

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Speaker 1: running the ball and trying to run the clock out.

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Speaker 1: At some point you're gonna get into the third down, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and whether it's not third and two or whether it's

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Speaker 1: third and twenty, you're gonna try and pick it up

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Speaker 1: and you don't have to worry about We saw froze

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Speaker 1: on first. We saw evidence of them shifting gears when

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Speaker 1: they were up big in Denver when they got snapped

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Speaker 1: off a fifty one yard or we had signs of

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Speaker 1: this when Matt Barkley was in the game week seventeen

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Speaker 1: and they were up forty nine to fourteen. Keep on

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Speaker 1: trucking and they kept on trucking and throw the big

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Speaker 1: one over the middle to Gabe Davis with Matt Barkley.

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Speaker 1: You saw it in and certainly you saw it against

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Speaker 1: the division opponent in New England when they were winning

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Speaker 1: thirty one thirty thirty two to nine and through the

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Speaker 1: one to the back of the end zone and go

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Speaker 1: thirty nine. I mean, so there's no difference there. So

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Speaker 1: there's every reason to believe this is a team that's

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Speaker 1: gonna shift gears rather than just play well enough to win.

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Speaker 1: And if that's the case, then Josh's numbers will reflect that. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: If let's just say Alan hits those completion percentage marks

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Speaker 1: we talked about with Feldman. What does it mean first

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Speaker 1: for how quarterbacks are judged going forward. Second, what does

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Speaker 1: it mean for the fortunes of the Bills this season?

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Speaker 1: It'll mean this. I said this a long time ago.

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Speaker 1: There was a year five or six, seven years ago

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Speaker 1: where four quarterbacks through for five thousand. Now, Drew Brees

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Speaker 1: has done it more than anybody through for like, there

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Speaker 1: were like four or five twelve seasons were a quarterback

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Speaker 1: through for five thousand. He had seven of them. Everybody

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Speaker 1: else had one. And then there was that year where

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Speaker 1: three or four guys did it and Eli Manning was

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Speaker 1: like sixty yards from it. So it was one of

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Speaker 1: those years. I think if Josh does it and nobody

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Speaker 1: else does, that's different. They'll say that's an anomaly. But

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Speaker 1: if Josh doesn't and there's three or four other guys

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Speaker 1: that are right there with him, then it will change

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Speaker 1: the bar for our quarterbacks. Or it depends. If Josh

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Speaker 1: is a loane up there, then it's gonna be one

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Speaker 1: of those unicorn seasons. But an he's MVP. But yes,

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Speaker 1: but you think about this, oh Brownie, if Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: completes seventy three and a half percent of his passes

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Speaker 1: this year and throws for fifty three hundred yards and

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Speaker 1: has never in his career taken a step backwards. What's

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Speaker 1: it gonna look like going into twenty twenty two. I

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Speaker 1: mean people will crown him. Yeah, we'll be on the

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Speaker 1: front of Madden and yeah, yeah he'll have or whatever,

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Speaker 1: and yeah, yeah, they'll be happy they got him for

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Speaker 1: that ext this season. Hopefully, with this high rate of

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Speaker 1: completion in mind, we spun it right into our numbers

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Speaker 1: game this week. Steve, there have been just eleven quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: in the history of the league who have completed seventy

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Speaker 1: percent of their passes or more in a single season.

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Speaker 1: And just so you know, they had to throw at

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Speaker 1: least two hundred and twenty four pass attempts in a

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Speaker 1: season to qualify. Steve, are you ready to try to

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Speaker 1: name the eleven quarterbacks in NFL history with a completion

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Speaker 1: percentage of seventy percent or more in a single season.

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Speaker 1: Two up the game music here, Let's see see what

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Speaker 1: Steve can do. How will begin with Drew Brees. Drew

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Speaker 1: Brees is correct. In fact, he has seven of the

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Speaker 1: seventeen single season completion percentages of seventy or more, including

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Speaker 1: the top one seventy four point four percent. That is otherworldly. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the second guy will say, will be l t be Brady.

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Speaker 1: Believe it or not, Brady does not have a season

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Speaker 1: in which he finished at above seventy percent. Roethlisberger, Ben

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Speaker 1: Roethlisberger not on this list. Now, I will tell you, Steve,

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Speaker 1: there are one, two, three, four quarterbacks that played in

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Speaker 1: your era or earlier. Oh really on this list, because

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Speaker 1: remember only two hundred and twenty four pass attempts to

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Speaker 1: qualify like three games or sorry, completions to qualify game.

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Speaker 1: It's like eight games. Nounda. Yeah, okay, so there are

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Speaker 1: a handful. Let me say this. I will go Montana

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Speaker 1: correct seventy point two percent. I'll say Young, Steve Young

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Speaker 1: is correct seventy point three percent. They did it in

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Speaker 1: eighty nine and ninety four, respectively. All Right, so I

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Speaker 1: got three of the three of the level. Yeah three,

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Speaker 1: want you to try to get more than half? Here

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Speaker 1: in Rivers, Philip Rivers is not on this list. Eli,

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Speaker 1: No on Eli? Oh how about Warren Moon? Not Warren Moon?

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Speaker 1: Are they household names? Tell me yes, all right, you

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Speaker 1: would read, well, there's one name. Dang it, there are

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Speaker 1: one Dan fouls not Dan fouls. One two, I'm trying

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Speaker 1: to four. There are five more active quarterbacks on this

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Speaker 1: list high completion percentage. Come on, Russ Wilson. No active

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks mine. Think about some of the most accurate quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: you can think of that are still playing right now.

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Speaker 1: Mahomes not Mahomes been in the news. Ryan been in

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Speaker 1: the news an awful lot through the course of the

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Speaker 1: off season. Oh, Aaron Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, seventy point seven percent.

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Speaker 1: And what about the other guy that I just said.

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Speaker 1: There's another guy that's been in the news allot this offseason.

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Speaker 1: He's also on this list, DeShawn Watson. Shawn Watson seventy

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Speaker 1: point two percent. All right, how many of I got

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Speaker 1: that is one, two, three, four, five. I don't know

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Speaker 1: that you'll get the others. So just trying to get

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Speaker 1: her minshow you went with the fu Man Minshoe leave.

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Speaker 1: I didn't get that. I will give you the other okay,

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Speaker 1: so we'll start from the bottom. Seventy point one percent.

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins did it with the Vikings in twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 1: We also have This one's gonna shock you. Ryan Tannehill

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Speaker 1: did in twenty nineteen with the Titans. Then we have

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Speaker 1: Sammy Ball who did it in nineteen forty five, probably

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Speaker 1: through two hundred and twenty five times, Ken Anderson in

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Speaker 1: nineteen eighty two, which was a strike shortened season, so

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Speaker 1: put an asterisk there. And then in two thousand and sixteen,

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Speaker 1: Sam Bradford, how about that he probably played a shortened

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Speaker 1: season due to injury game yeah, or than anything else.

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Speaker 1: Six games. But eleven quarterbacks in the history of the

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Speaker 1: league have completed seventy percent or more in a single season.

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Speaker 1: There are seventeen total such seasons. Breeze has seven of them.

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Speaker 1: Knew that. Yeah, he's unbelievable. He's a phenomenal Yeah, and

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Speaker 1: he doesn't he doesn't he's never gotten his his due.

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Speaker 1: Well he won one World championship. Yeah and uh and

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Speaker 1: got you know, no called out of the other. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's he was a phenomenal player. And it's amazing that

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Speaker 1: when he moved from the San Diego Chargers that time

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Speaker 1: when he became a free agent, because the Chargers and

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Speaker 1: this is why, this is why I dogged the charge.

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Speaker 1: The charges were pretty sure he couldn't play. Well, apparently

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Speaker 1: so were the Dolphins. Well, the Dolphins thought he was unhealthy.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't gonna pass the physical. Let me fix that.

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Speaker 1: The Dolphins doctors thought he was unhealthy and couldn't play,

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Speaker 1: and that prompted Nick Saban to leave the Dolphins and

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Speaker 1: go back to college. Yeah, he actually admitted that recently. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I saw that, and I'll tell you that too. That

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Speaker 1: It's interesting too. Coaches around the league thought the guy

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Speaker 1: could play, except for the guys in San Diego. And

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Speaker 1: the guy goes on to another to at least another

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Speaker 1: dozen years in the league. Right he was, I was

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Speaker 1: in fourth year. He's another dozen league years in the league.

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Speaker 1: Throws has seven seasons where he throws for five thousand plus.

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Speaker 1: He's got seven seasons, wins the World Championship, gets the

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Speaker 1: NFC Championship. He's in the mix, oh every year. And

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Speaker 1: the San Diego charges were pretty sure he couldn't play. Yeah, hey,

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Speaker 1: you win some, you lose some, right, the wrong call.

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Speaker 1: I'll say this. And I and I sat and talked

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Speaker 1: with him way way back twenty years ago, right, yes,

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Speaker 1: when I when I was sitting with him as a

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Speaker 1: first year, second year player, he was not committed. Oh,

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Speaker 1: he was not committed. He was fully invested. He was

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Speaker 1: he was he liked it, he was playing. He'd do

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Speaker 1: what he did and stuff and all that. And he

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Speaker 1: played a lot of golf and he was just kind

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Speaker 1: of living the living, the San Diego Live. They drafted

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Speaker 1: Philip Rivers, and then he got real and he changed

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Speaker 1: from one year to the next. It was unbelievable. He

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Speaker 1: was unbelievably different after they drafted his replacement and the Charge.

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Speaker 1: By that time, the Chargers had moved on obviously because

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Speaker 1: they drafted Philip Rivers, and Breeze saw that guy looking

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Speaker 1: over He's like, what do you do what? And then

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Speaker 1: from then on he was a film junkie, a study junkie,

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Speaker 1: a workout junkie, a jim rat, a school student of

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Speaker 1: the game. And he becomes who he was. But yet

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Speaker 1: he had to get another number one, Yeah, to get it.

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Speaker 1: I wonder if in his Hall of Fame speech, if

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Speaker 1: he thanks the Chargers for lighting the fire under him

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Speaker 1: to propel him to untold heights in the I don't

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Speaker 1: know if he sees it the same way I do either.

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Speaker 1: So I'm making you know, that's what I say. I

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Speaker 1: don't see it that way. Training camp obviously under way,

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Speaker 1: Steven we want to apply our question called who will

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Speaker 1: be first to Bill's camp? Okay, so first up, who

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Speaker 1: will be first to win a starting job that's currently

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Speaker 1: up for grabs. I will give you some names. You

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Speaker 1: tell me who you like the best. Okay, you're ready.

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Speaker 1: Dane Jackson, Levi Wallace, Cody Ford, Ike Butcker, Isaiah McKenzie, Marquez, Stevenson.

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Speaker 1: So we're obviously talking about CB two left guard and

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Speaker 1: return man. Which guy you're like, who will be first?

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Speaker 1: Levi Wallace? I think Levi Wallace because he's used to

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Speaker 1: this is another day at the office, been there done.

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Speaker 1: They have been trying to replace that guy for four

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Speaker 1: years and they can't get it done. They brought him

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Speaker 1: back and he's on a he's on a one year

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Speaker 1: deal with the Bills, and uh, I think Cody Ford.

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Speaker 1: There's too big a question mark there for me and

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Speaker 1: I Butker. I don't. I think those Cody Ford and

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Speaker 1: I Butker are in a a pool full of guys

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Speaker 1: that can play guard, right. There's a ton of guys

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Speaker 1: in there. So I don't know if even those two,

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Speaker 1: if it's either one of those guys that will emerge.

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Speaker 1: So that's that. And then at the kickoff return, Well,

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Speaker 1: you just picked the first guy. All I needed to

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Speaker 1: do is who will be first? You said, Levi Wallace

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Speaker 1: is gonna win his job before anybody else. I think

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Speaker 1: Levi Wallace will will be the guy. I tend to

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Speaker 1: agree with that. I would say one A would probably

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Speaker 1: be Isaiah mackenzie provided he demonstrates ball security that is

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Speaker 1: first for Sean McDermott when it comes to return men.

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Speaker 1: And provided he does that, I think they will put

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Speaker 1: their trust in him to be their primary return man.

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Speaker 1: Who will be first to pancake an opponent in O

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Speaker 1: line D line one on ones in camp Steve, as

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Speaker 1: we know, once the pads go on, we get those

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Speaker 1: O line D line one on ones. Who will be

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Speaker 1: first to pancake someone in this scenario. Don't give me

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Speaker 1: a choice, because I got it. John Feliciano. Feliciano with

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Speaker 1: the first pancake, yes, you say, and probably also the

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Speaker 1: first fight. I'll say, first fight. Wow, Okay, I'm really

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Speaker 1: fight though anymore? No, not so much. It's good for them.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go We're smarter than we were. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go with Dion Dawkins. I think he's gonna pancake somebody.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why. It's just the first name that

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Speaker 1: popped into my so I'm just gonna go. Okay. Who

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Speaker 1: will be first to sign a new contract Josh Allen,

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Speaker 1: Tremaine Edmonds, Stefan Diggs, Tarn Johnson, Josh Allen, Okay, Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: I would tend to agree with that as well. I

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Speaker 1: think we even though they were downplaying the significance of

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Speaker 1: getting it done before the season starts, I believe behind

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Speaker 1: the scenes they are hard at work on that. Who

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Speaker 1: will be first to make an interception in the preseason

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Speaker 1: Tredavious White, Micah Hyde, Jordan Poyer, Tarn Johnson. I will say,

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Speaker 1: since they're going to Detroit, Detroit's got Jared Goff will

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Speaker 1: be an interception? I will say Taron Johnson, the slot guy. Dang,

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Speaker 1: you took mine. I was gonna take Taran john I

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Speaker 1: don't think. I don't think Jared Goff's gonna have a

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Speaker 1: chance to look outside. I think he's gonna be waist

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Speaker 1: deep in pass rush. Okay, next one. Who will be

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Speaker 1: the first to throw a touchdown pass in the preseason?

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Speaker 1: Alan Trubisky, Davis Webb, Jake from, Mitch Trubisky, Mitchie Biscuits. Yes,

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Speaker 1: why you just think he's gonna get more playing times.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Josh gonna be out there. I think

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Speaker 1: Josh will be out there long enough to hic up

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Speaker 1: and then get off, especially in the first game, right, Like, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think Trubisky's gonna get some reps. Yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna have an opportunity to really kind of showcase

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Speaker 1: his advancement, particularly in this system, particularly playing back against

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Speaker 1: the NFC North. Yeah. Yeah, I've seen this defense, although

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Speaker 1: it's different with new coaching again, but he knows the personnel,

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Speaker 1: so yeah, I think that will benefit him. That's a

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Speaker 1: good point that you made there, So yeah, I'm with

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Speaker 1: Mitch Trubisky as well. That was who will be the first?

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Speaker 1: And that'll do it for this edition of One Bill's Light.

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Speaker 1: We remind you to subscribe so you know when the

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Speaker 1: next episode is released on whatever podcast platform you choose.

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Speaker 1: You can also watch unless and to us on the

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Speaker 1: Bills YouTube channel. Thanks for listening, and remember when there

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Speaker 1: isn't enough time for our three hour daily show, One

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Speaker 1: Bills Live, there is always enough time for One Bill's Life,

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Speaker 1: for Steve, task around Chris Brown. We'll see you next week. Everybody,