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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome in to another episode of the

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Speaker 2: Dilly Juice podcast on Championship Saturday.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolti.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt. This podcast being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 2: be required. Okay, So one in one last night? Do

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Speaker 2: you guys know that I got one bet right yesterday?

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Speaker 2: And the one bet was the official play on the

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Speaker 2: over for the Nuggets and the Suns at two twenty four.

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Speaker 1: So here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: Two days ago I went six and oh I think

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Speaker 2: it was on my personal place and a bunch of

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Speaker 2: guys in the discort channel because I was talking about

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Speaker 2: different hockey plays and things I was making, and I said, Matt,

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Speaker 2: why don't you just make everything official? And I said,

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Speaker 2: look it, there are plenty of days where you don't

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Speaker 2: want my personal plays to be official. You want my

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Speaker 2: best plays that are made official, my favorite plays of

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Speaker 2: the day, the ones I like the best. The ones

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Speaker 2: that are official plays are ones that I want tracked,

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Speaker 2: because that should be on the record as to what

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Speaker 2: I am betting, Like that's my place. There are bets

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Speaker 2: and plays I make all the time that I could

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Speaker 2: never track, that would never make any sense. For instance,

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Speaker 2: I told you that I bet the Devil's on the

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Speaker 2: puck line, but I also doubled down when they were

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Speaker 2: down by goal one nothing. I took the Devils at

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Speaker 2: minus one goal. They lost six to three. I lost

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Speaker 2: three units in that game. That one game, knocked out

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Speaker 2: three units. I had team total for Oregon. They almost

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Speaker 2: got there thirty one that lost. I took money Line

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Speaker 2: live Oregon during the game money Line mass one twenty

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Speaker 2: five lost that another two units plus lost there. I had,

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Speaker 2: Uh what else did I bet? Oh? I had I

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Speaker 2: had two A parlay and a teaser. No, no, a parlay.

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Speaker 2: Oh two parlays, money line parlay and a parlay with

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Speaker 2: the spread, a thing we'd do on the Bostonian versus

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Speaker 2: the book. I took to Mexico State plus eleven and

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Speaker 2: a half and money line for them, kind of a

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Speaker 2: Hail Mary money line parlay that would have paid. I

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Speaker 2: think it returned like sexty sixty five to one or something.

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Speaker 2: It was just some crazy lottery ticket type of thing.

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Speaker 2: But I lost all that. Okay, I lost every bet

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Speaker 2: except for the bet, and then we lost obviously the

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Speaker 2: first half over in that game between Washington and Oregon,

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Speaker 2: I lost everything except one bet, and the one bet

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Speaker 2: I made official was the basketball play. So just to

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Speaker 2: give you guys an idea, I got a really really

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Speaker 2: good day on Thursday. I had a really really bad

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Speaker 2: day on Friday. It's gambling. That's how it goes. So

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Speaker 2: that's why I don't make plays official, because I chase sometimes.

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Speaker 2: You know, I make bad bets, I make bad plays,

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Speaker 2: and I you know things. I don't love. That team

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Speaker 2: total was scary, it was high, and they want to

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Speaker 2: make it official. I thought the first half would have

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Speaker 2: been good if Michael Pennix doesn't overthrow the receiver. That

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Speaker 2: that should have been twenty seven ten at the break.

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Speaker 2: We should have gotten there. We were one touchdown short

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Speaker 2: and he overthrew a wide open guy that could have

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Speaker 2: ran in, you know, kept on running for a touchdown

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Speaker 2: that would have gotten this there. Unfortunately we didn't get there.

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Speaker 2: It was short from a thirty three perspectives twenty to ten,

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Speaker 2: so of twenty seven to ten. So that's why that

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Speaker 2: doesn't come in. Got the over on basketball, however. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so I did make or again a one unit plus

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Speaker 2: five hundred official play. Didn't hit again another bet, but

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Speaker 2: that bet doesn't cost us yet because that gets graded

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Speaker 2: at the end of college football. Okay, so that won't

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Speaker 2: be graded until January. So that's the one benefit about

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Speaker 2: betting these things. Your money's tied up, but you don't

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Speaker 2: have to pay it out.

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Speaker 1: You don't.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's not dead until we get to the

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Speaker 2: end of the year, so that bet will be down.

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Speaker 2: So we're down a unit already here on the future wagers.

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Speaker 2: Let's update where we are Florida State ten to one,

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Speaker 2: Michigan ten to one. If you want to buy Texas,

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Speaker 2: I don't hate it, Okay. If you don't want to

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Speaker 2: play Texas, money line here. Just bet Texas to win.

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Speaker 2: Texas wins in they're in to the playoffs. I really

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Speaker 2: do believe that. Okay, even if Alabama beats Georgia, Alabama

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Speaker 2: sec champ.

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Speaker 1: The only hook would be if they put Georgia in

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Speaker 1: over Texas.

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Speaker 2: But Texas would be a big twelve campion and have

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Speaker 2: a win over Bama. That should put them in. That

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Speaker 2: should put Texas in. All right, So the one seed

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Speaker 2: Michigan's gonna win today. There's no way they're losing to Iowa.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I can't see it. Michigan wins, they're the

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Speaker 2: one seed. If Georgia were to lose, Georgia wins, george

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Speaker 2: is the one seed.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So if you want to take a Bama flyer, go

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Speaker 2: right ahead, Okay, I don't hate it. Take a Bama flyer.

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Speaker 2: If you want to take a Texas flyer, don't hate it.

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Speaker 2: You can do that. I'm trying not to get like

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Speaker 2: overly committed because I want to be able to hedge.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to be able to go. You could.

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Speaker 2: There's two theories, right. One is like buy all the

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Speaker 2: tickets at plus money and then you have it surrounded

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Speaker 2: and you could add into your pile as you go.

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Speaker 1: It's one one theory.

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Speaker 2: The other theory is take a couple of futures, wait

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Speaker 2: to see how it plays out, what the bracket's going

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Speaker 2: to be, and then bet and then hedge. I'm kind

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Speaker 2: of gonna go to the ladder officially, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I to get up in the morning or get

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Speaker 2: up tomorrow morning, in this morning, and I go, I'm

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Speaker 2: betting Texas, all right, all right, I'm betting Alabama to

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Speaker 2: win it all okay, But for right now, I might

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Speaker 2: wait to see the bracket because there is chaos potentially

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Speaker 2: lurking for this thing. We know Washington is in. If

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Speaker 2: Michigan wins, which I think they're going to. Michigan wins,

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Speaker 2: Michigan's in. So you have Michigan and Washington who are

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Speaker 2: both in. Georgia loses to Alabama, I think Bama's in.

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Speaker 2: If Texas wins, I think Texas is in. I don't

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Speaker 2: think we're going to see Oregon, who has two losses.

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Speaker 1: They're gone.

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Speaker 2: And I don't think Ohio State gets in because they

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Speaker 2: won't have a college football championship or sorry, a conference

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Speaker 2: championship on their resume. So that's the problem here when

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Speaker 2: you're looking at buying, I think Alabama and Texas are

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Speaker 2: the only two only other two futures that you can buy.

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Speaker 1: It would make sense.

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Speaker 2: So that's kind of why, right, So like that's where

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Speaker 2: I'm at if you cure so like what we're doing

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Speaker 2: with the futures, that's where I am with the futures.

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Speaker 2: I don't think I'm gonna do anything officially, but buying

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Speaker 2: an Alabama future and buying a Florida and buying a

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Speaker 2: Texas future is not that big of a deal because

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Speaker 2: the one hook is Florida State, right, you know, Matt,

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Speaker 2: you forgot about Florida State.

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Speaker 1: You have a ten to one on that. Okay.

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Speaker 2: I think they're losing today, and that's the first play

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Speaker 2: officially for us here today.

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Speaker 1: All right, I bet.

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Speaker 2: Two units on Louisville plus one and a half. Now, technically,

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Speaker 2: if Florida State wins by one, we'll win both bets, okay.

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Speaker 2: So I'm laying two units and mine's one ten okay,

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Speaker 2: so two point two units down to win two units

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Speaker 2: coming back. Why, we have a ten to one on

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Speaker 2: Florida State, all right, So I'm gonna nibble into that.

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Speaker 2: If FSU wins this game, we're going to bet against

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Speaker 2: them in the playoffs. They are not winning two games, Okay,

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Speaker 2: they'll win one more game. They could win the ACC.

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Speaker 2: It's possible this would knock us down early. We'd lose

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Speaker 2: two units two point two units here today and we're

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Speaker 2: not going to recoup it until they play their first

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Speaker 2: playoff game happening a month from now. So yes, it'll

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Speaker 2: put us down a little bit, and that's not great,

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Speaker 2: but not the end of the world. Again, we'll make

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Speaker 2: it back. I think Louisville wins the game outright though.

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Speaker 2: All Right, Tate Ronemaker has a concussion. He's a game

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Speaker 2: time decision, meaning he's iffy to play and he's one

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Speaker 2: hit away from being done. And then you have a

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Speaker 2: true freshman going into that game running the offense against Louisville.

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Speaker 2: Not great, Okay, not great. I understand. The receivers for

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Speaker 2: Florest State are phenomenal. We've backed Florest State. I loved

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Speaker 2: Jordan Travis. I love this team. It's why I took

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Speaker 2: him on a ten to one flyer to say, great,

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Speaker 2: let's just put a stake down and hedge off of it. Well,

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Speaker 2: I think we've got to hedge off of it ahead

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Speaker 2: of time, because if Louisville beats Florida State, they're out.

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Speaker 2: And I think there's a good shot that Louisville is

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Speaker 2: going to win this game here in the ACC two

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Speaker 2: point two units down on this, Okay, Again, only bet

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Speaker 2: this if you have the FSU future. If you don't,

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't bet this, okay, or bet it for one unit,

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Speaker 2: don't bet it for two okay if you have it.

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Speaker 2: But officially, we're going Louisville in the ACC championship game

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Speaker 2: two point two units down to hedge off the Florida

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Speaker 2: State future. Okay, so had to hedge off that ten

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Speaker 2: to one ticket that we've got on FSU. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: hedge off of it. Just FYI on that Okay, bet

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Speaker 2: number two, and I think this is going to be wild.

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Speaker 2: UNLV is hosting a Mountain West Conference championship game and

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Speaker 2: they are a dog.

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Speaker 1: Why are they a dog?

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Speaker 2: Well, Boise's got more experience, Okay, Boise and UNLV did

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Speaker 2: not play.

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Speaker 1: Total of this game is sixty.

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Speaker 2: I'm also going to be on the over of this game, okay,

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Speaker 2: but I'm going to avoid giving away totals here because

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Speaker 2: championship game totals are dangerous.

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Speaker 1: Okay, they're tough.

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Speaker 2: Depending on what number you laid with Oregon Washington. Sixty

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Speaker 2: five is how it fell, sixty six, sixty six and

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Speaker 2: a half, sixty sixty five and a half, all didn't cash.

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Speaker 2: Sixty five pushed Okay, we never saw sixty four and

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Speaker 2: a half. Least I didn't was the low and it

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Speaker 2: landed at sixty five. So these numbers are super sharp

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Speaker 2: for these games. So I'm a little concerned. Total of sixty.

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Speaker 2: I'm on the over, but not officially. That's just a

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Speaker 2: personal play on the over because it's dangerous to bet that.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Rebels at plus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Here's why UNLV did not have to win the game

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Speaker 2: against San Jose State, and they knew it going in.

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Speaker 2: I made the mistake. I bet you and LV against

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Speaker 2: Santse State.

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Speaker 1: I didn't know. Okay, it was my fault.

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Speaker 2: Barry Odom is going to have these guys ready to play.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's just banging on boys to win, and I could

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Speaker 2: be wrong. I'm cold right now. So you want to

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Speaker 2: take Bois, I'm not gonna hate it away. You're like, man,

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Speaker 2: I'm taking boys to State. Okay, Boise in the under,

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Speaker 2: you and V in the over. It's kind of how

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Speaker 2: I think this game is going to go. If UNV wins,

217
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Speaker 2: UNV is going to score a ton of points. They

218
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Speaker 2: were outstanding against the number this year, tremendous. They have

219
00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,040
Speaker 2: two losses on the season, one to Michigan on the road,

220
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Speaker 2: want at home to Sanday State in a game they

221
00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:07,559
Speaker 2: did not need this team. I think they're going to

222
00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:09,959
Speaker 2: find a way to win this game. I think they

223
00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:12,880
Speaker 2: win the game outright. But I'm going to take the

224
00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:14,839
Speaker 2: two and two and a half points just in case,

225
00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:18,079
Speaker 2: and I would love three, but there's no threes out there.

226
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Speaker 2: You can buy it up, but I'm not gonna buy

227
00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:20,839
Speaker 2: it up because I think you, U and V is

228
00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:23,240
Speaker 2: gonna win the game outright. Either they don't cover, okay,

229
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Speaker 2: either they're going to lose by seven or more, or

230
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Speaker 2: they're gonna wind up winning the game outright. And I

231
00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:30,960
Speaker 2: think there's a decent shot that win the game outright.

232
00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:32,640
Speaker 2: You can take it with a flyer money line bet.

233
00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,160
Speaker 2: If you want to take it without the points, go ahead.

234
00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,199
Speaker 2: It's plus money. But I'm gonna take the two and

235
00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,240
Speaker 2: a half just as an insurance. If you will on this,

236
00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:40,560
Speaker 2: but I think U and LV had a chance to

237
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Speaker 2: sit and stew. They're at home dogs in championship games.

238
00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,840
Speaker 2: I like betting the dog in championship games. Look at Washington.

239
00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:54,360
Speaker 2: Look what they just did, same building. Taking the dog

240
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Speaker 2: UNLV plus two and a half up against Boise State

241
00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:02,040
Speaker 2: in the Mountain West Conference championship game. That's bet number two,

242
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Speaker 2: Bet number three. You guys are going to think this

243
00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:09,160
Speaker 2: is a homer play. But Nick Saban is seven and

244
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Speaker 2: zero in the SEC championship game. I have been questioning

245
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Speaker 2: Carson Beck forever. I questioned him, I questioned Jalen Milroe.

246
00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:25,040
Speaker 2: I questioned a lot of teams elite quarterback or elite

247
00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:30,800
Speaker 2: teams with questionable quarterbacks. Alabama, Georgia, other teams as well,

248
00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:35,400
Speaker 2: where we're like, you know what, not seeing it. Alabama's

249
00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:39,080
Speaker 2: been getting better and better and better. Crimson Tider catching

250
00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,960
Speaker 2: five and a half points in this game against Georgia.

251
00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,120
Speaker 2: Georgia's defense is really good, really good.

252
00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:45,959
Speaker 1: But did you know.

253
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Speaker 2: Alabama and Georgia the last ten times they have played,

254
00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,480
Speaker 2: it's gone eight and two to the over. I like

255
00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:54,040
Speaker 2: the over. I bet the over in this game too,

256
00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:59,000
Speaker 2: over fifty five. But because again. Championship game totals worry me,

257
00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:01,000
Speaker 2: and it could be you know, one or two points

258
00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:01,800
Speaker 2: on either side.

259
00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:04,520
Speaker 1: I think Alabama loses this game by.

260
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Speaker 2: Three points if they lose this game, and I think

261
00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:08,679
Speaker 2: there's a real good shot Bama can win this game.

262
00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:12,320
Speaker 2: Kirby Smart has done tremendously well against Nick Saban.

263
00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:12,880
Speaker 1: I give it.

264
00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:14,800
Speaker 2: I'll give it to you. Brock Bowers is going to

265
00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,240
Speaker 2: be a really big problem. Bama's gonna find a way

266
00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:19,920
Speaker 2: to stop him. But Jalen Milroe, I think could be

267
00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,400
Speaker 2: a major problem for Georgia if he doesn't turn the

268
00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:28,240
Speaker 2: football over. He has insane ability. He just doesn't have

269
00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:32,160
Speaker 2: great passing ability. But the pass rush for Georgia is

270
00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:35,680
Speaker 2: always what everyone talks about. Like this unbelievable pass rush. Okay,

271
00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:40,280
Speaker 2: Milroe runs a four four forty. If he gets loose,

272
00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,559
Speaker 2: Jalen Milroe could cause all sorts of problems for Georgia.

273
00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,679
Speaker 2: He needs to play an incredible game for Bama to win,

274
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Speaker 2: but to keep it close. Five and a half. It's

275
00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:52,960
Speaker 2: kind of a squirreling number. The book comes that you

276
00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:55,640
Speaker 2: tell me where to go with this number. I'm gonna

277
00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:57,840
Speaker 2: go with the experience of the Tide. I'm gonna Carson

278
00:13:57,880 --> 00:13:59,520
Speaker 2: Beck has never played in the game this big.

279
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Speaker 1: He hasn't.

280
00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,000
Speaker 2: Now Milroe has neither. Okay, I'll give you that. But

281
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Speaker 2: Mirroll just came up with an unbelievable miracle literally against Auburn,

282
00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:07,200
Speaker 2: and that's huge.

283
00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:07,520
Speaker 1: Okay.

284
00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,200
Speaker 2: You might be like, oh my gosh, Auburn almost beat Alabama.

285
00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,000
Speaker 2: How can they beat Georgia. That's the point. New Mexico

286
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,839
Speaker 2: State beat Auburn. Auburn came and almost beat Alabama.

287
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Speaker 1: That's sports.

288
00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:21,120
Speaker 2: That's what happens when we go out there and every

289
00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,080
Speaker 2: time the ball goes up and the ball gets kicked off,

290
00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,600
Speaker 2: you don't know what's going to happen. Chaos can happen.

291
00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:30,960
Speaker 2: Georgia losing in Alabama winning, that's chaos. Washington in Michigan

292
00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:36,160
Speaker 2: in Alabama. In Who's four Texas, who's the one Michigan

293
00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:43,000
Speaker 2: Michigan versus whom Probably Texas as the four seed or

294
00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:45,560
Speaker 2: maybe Bama as the four seed, and it's Texas as

295
00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:50,960
Speaker 2: a three up against Washington, Alabama Michigan in the national

296
00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 2: semi final. H Wow, you don't get what they're after. Really,

297
00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:01,920
Speaker 2: they would love Washington Michigan. Okay, what they would want

298
00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,720
Speaker 2: is Georgia to win. Georgia plays Texas because then you

299
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:07,880
Speaker 2: put it in the Rose Bowl for the final time.

300
00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:12,320
Speaker 2: Pack twelve Big ten to say goodbye to that connection

301
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,400
Speaker 2: to the Rose Bowl as we know it, because the

302
00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:15,440
Speaker 2: back ten is going away.

303
00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:20,160
Speaker 1: Back twelve, sorry, going away. That's what they would dream.

304
00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:24,520
Speaker 2: Georgia wins, but maybe Bama covers Alabama plus five and

305
00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:27,160
Speaker 2: a half. If you want more, take the over fifty five.

306
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:30,440
Speaker 2: I'm on that as well, but officially Alabama plus five

307
00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:30,920
Speaker 2: and a half.

308
00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:35,080
Speaker 1: All right, all dogs so far Louisville.

309
00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,920
Speaker 2: Plus one and a half for two units, UNLV plus

310
00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:41,120
Speaker 2: two and a half, Alabama plus five and a half.

311
00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:43,680
Speaker 1: You want to tease all these games, go right ahead.

312
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,080
Speaker 2: I don't recommend teasing college football, but you can take

313
00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,080
Speaker 2: Louisville seven and a half Alabama to eleven and a half.

314
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:51,560
Speaker 1: You want to be up to eight and a half.

315
00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:56,000
Speaker 2: Not crazy, Okay, these numbers are sharp, But I'm taking dogs.

316
00:15:56,040 --> 00:16:01,600
Speaker 2: I'm taking points in championship games. Final college bet. I'm

317
00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:03,280
Speaker 2: just gonna do it because we've been doing it for

318
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:07,920
Speaker 2: so long. How is Iowa going to score? Kirk Farrence

319
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:11,840
Speaker 2: is going to try to play this game as close

320
00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:16,360
Speaker 2: to the vest as possible. They don't have Cooper Dejene Dejohon.

321
00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:20,880
Speaker 2: I re say Cooper's last name. I apologize he ain't playing.

322
00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 2: He is their best player, okay, he's their best defensive player,

323
00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,600
Speaker 2: is the best paylet player period. He's out for this game.

324
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:31,840
Speaker 2: You have a backup quarterback for Iowa. You've got an

325
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:34,800
Speaker 2: offensive line that is not gonna move Michigan at all.

326
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:39,360
Speaker 2: This has been the topic of everyone's conversation. In the

327
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:44,040
Speaker 2: first half. The over underrun points for Iowa is a half,

328
00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:46,920
Speaker 2: and at one point that was even money to the over.

329
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:52,320
Speaker 2: Does Iowa score three points in a half? Maybe? How

330
00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,000
Speaker 2: many points is Michigan gonna score? This is my fear.

331
00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,480
Speaker 2: I feel like Michigan wins the game twenty eight nothing,

332
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,520
Speaker 2: eight to three. If it gets twenty eight to six,

333
00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:07,080
Speaker 2: there's your twenty two point number. Now I did bet

334
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,560
Speaker 2: that too. I laid the twenty two points, but I'm

335
00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:11,720
Speaker 2: not gonna have you guys lay twenty two points because

336
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:13,960
Speaker 2: twenty two points officially a championship game is insane. I

337
00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:15,960
Speaker 2: know it's an insane bet. It's dumb. I just can't

338
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:18,960
Speaker 2: get around the idea that Iowa's not scoring, So the

339
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:23,240
Speaker 2: better plays the under under thirty five. How many points

340
00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:26,800
Speaker 2: will Iowa give up? Forget Iowa scoring, How many points

341
00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:30,960
Speaker 2: will Iowa give up? That's the question. I don't see

342
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,199
Speaker 2: them giving up thirty points. Now, they might if they

343
00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:37,320
Speaker 2: turn the ball over, they might. But what does Michigan

344
00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,520
Speaker 2: really want to do with throwing the ball here? Just

345
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:43,399
Speaker 2: run the ball right, run the ball twenty eight nothing,

346
00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:45,240
Speaker 2: Get the hell out of dodge and you're good. Score

347
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,520
Speaker 2: two touchdowns in the first half, be up fourteen to

348
00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,119
Speaker 2: nothing at the break, score two touchdowns in the second half,

349
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,080
Speaker 2: twenty eight nothing, and you're done.

350
00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:53,919
Speaker 1: All good. Moving on.

351
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,200
Speaker 2: It's going to be a pretty boring game. That's why

352
00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 2: I think it's going to go. Thirty five point seems

353
00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:02,800
Speaker 2: to be too many. I'm gonna bet under. If I lose,

354
00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:04,520
Speaker 2: I lose, Okay, if I lose on it, I lose on.

355
00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:06,880
Speaker 2: If I lose on it, I'm gonna cover the twenty two.

356
00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,479
Speaker 2: So you can bet both to kind of, you know,

357
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:15,000
Speaker 2: save yourself, because if I was scoring, then Michigan's gonna

358
00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:16,240
Speaker 2: I think have to open it up, and I think

359
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:18,320
Speaker 2: Michigan could really put up a big number. So like

360
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:21,840
Speaker 2: that's how the game goes over if Iowa scores. But

361
00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 2: I think if Iowa does one up scoring and then

362
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,359
Speaker 2: Michigan's gonna look to turn it on and try to

363
00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,840
Speaker 2: have to really push more, throw the ball more, be

364
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:30,919
Speaker 2: more aggressive, which I don't think they are gonna have

365
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 2: to be. Just give an iowas a nept offense. Like

366
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,960
Speaker 2: I just don't see Iowa suddenly becoming this like team

367
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:38,160
Speaker 2: that could score ten points in the game. They might,

368
00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,680
Speaker 2: but their team's a little six and a half. Two

369
00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,760
Speaker 2: field goals. Twenty eight to six I think is the final.

370
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 2: That's right on the number. It's on twenty two. Okay,

371
00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 2: better bet that's thirty four. By the way, you know

372
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,960
Speaker 2: that's right there. Twenty eight six is right there. That's

373
00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:57,200
Speaker 2: how low this number is. It's gonna be one possession

374
00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 2: either way. We've been very fortunate with Iowa on We've

375
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:03,240
Speaker 2: literally had multiple games come down like the Nebraska game

376
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:07,520
Speaker 2: right just the last game, Nebraska versus versus Iowa. That

377
00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,360
Speaker 2: game probably should have gone over. There are three miskicks,

378
00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:14,240
Speaker 2: but it didn't. They miskicks. This is indoors in Indianapolis,

379
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,600
Speaker 2: so probably the kicks get made. But again, championship setting

380
00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 2: Jim Harbaugh back.

381
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:19,919
Speaker 1: I don't know.

382
00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 2: Let's go for a twenty four to nothing win and

383
00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:25,639
Speaker 2: I'll catch both plays. But just on principle, I'm betting

384
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:28,159
Speaker 2: the under thirty five from Michigan and Iowa.

385
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:28,480
Speaker 1: Here.

386
00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 2: If iowins the game, it's like a ten to seven

387
00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:33,640
Speaker 2: game going it's going under. If Iowa wins, it's going under,

388
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,000
Speaker 2: and then our future bet is up in smoke and

389
00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:36,719
Speaker 2: we're toast.

390
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,199
Speaker 1: So let's see what happens.

391
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 2: There one non college football bet to make and Iowa, sorry, Iowa.

392
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,399
Speaker 2: Vegas is hosting Washington here in town. There are so

393
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,200
Speaker 2: many things going on in tomorrow in Vegas. It's crazy.

394
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,520
Speaker 2: USC is playing Gonzaga in college basketball here in town.

395
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,920
Speaker 2: The gold Knights are hosting the Washington Capitals here in town.

396
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:03,399
Speaker 2: You have the U and Boise State Mountain West Conference

397
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,360
Speaker 2: chimpship game here in town. We just had the Pack

398
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,119
Speaker 2: twelve championship game here last night. This is a crazy

399
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,160
Speaker 2: sports weekend for Las Vegas. I mean, it's just unbelievable.

400
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:16,240
Speaker 2: But Washington has been an under team on the road

401
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,679
Speaker 2: and Vegas is, look, you want to better, first period

402
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 2: under for Vegas very consistent. You get even money on it. Okay,

403
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 2: don't mind it in the least. Here for that, Vegas

404
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,520
Speaker 2: is eight and three to the under at home over

405
00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,160
Speaker 2: their last over the eleven games they've played at home.

406
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 2: Over their last five for Vegas they are three and

407
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,919
Speaker 2: two to the under over their last three three and

408
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 2: oh to the under.

409
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:43,399
Speaker 1: Total is six.

410
00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:47,320
Speaker 2: On the road for Washington, Washington is right there as

411
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 2: well as a team that is consistently going under. On

412
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 2: the year, Washington has gone. Let's see to the under

413
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 2: Washington is. That's for the season. Right on the road

414
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,880
Speaker 2: for Washington, five and three to the under so far

415
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 2: over the last five games for Washington on the road,

416
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 2: Washington is. I supear it was four and one, right, yep,

417
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 2: four and one. Washington's four and one to the under.

418
00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 2: Now it's Darcy Kemper. That's a little scary, but Logan

419
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 2: Thompson at home has a tremendous goals against average.

420
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,120
Speaker 1: He's much better at home. It should be Thompson.

421
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 2: I don't mind if a tail, but it should be

422
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:27,479
Speaker 2: Thompson up against Darcy Kemper. Here. Total is six at

423
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:32,400
Speaker 2: mis one oh five under six goals Vegas and Washington.

424
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 2: I'll be on the under in the first period as well.

425
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 2: If you want to go ahead and jump on that,

426
00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take that shot as well, but officially under

427
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 2: six Vegas and Washington for one point zero five units

428
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 2: on that okay. So I told you it's gonna be

429
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,399
Speaker 2: a big slate. We got a lot of things. I

430
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,320
Speaker 2: was ice on Friday. Hopefully this doesn't carry over. I've

431
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: been sort of ping punking back and forth with hitting

432
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 2: bets and not hitting bets each in the day.

433
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,679
Speaker 1: So I was bad yesterday. Hopefully I'm better today.

434
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 2: Officially, you and l plus two and a half one

435
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:05,400
Speaker 2: point one units, Alabama plus five and a half one

436
00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 2: point one units, Louisville plus one and a half two

437
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,680
Speaker 2: units two point two units.

438
00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 1: Okay, to win two.

439
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:16,399
Speaker 2: These are so win one, win one, win two, Iowa

440
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:20,639
Speaker 2: Michigan under thirty five for one point one units, and

441
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 2: we're going under six Vegas Washington for one point zero

442
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 2: five units. Okay, monster slate. If I'm bad, I bury

443
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 2: the week. We're down in the week already one point

444
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 2: six or seven down. If I'm cold here and I'm bad,

445
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 2: it just blasts us and it ruins the entire week,

446
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 2: and we're dead. And hope we'll go to Sunday, trying

447
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 2: to just kind of stem the bleeding and try to

448
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 2: just get back.

449
00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 1: It's dangerous day. Hopefully it's a good day.

450
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 2: Lots to come in the Discord channel, Betting pros dot

451
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:54,720
Speaker 2: Com slash chat again. The leans plays I've been officially

452
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 2: that are not not official. The over in the Mountain

453
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 2: West Conference championship game at sixty, the over in Alabama

454
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:05,120
Speaker 2: Georgia in the SEC championship game at fifty five. The

455
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 2: Michigan minus twenty two in the game against Iowa in

456
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:13,760
Speaker 2: the first period under for Vegas and Washington. That number

457
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 2: is even money for under one and a half goals

458
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 2: for that So those are four extra plays if you

459
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:22,119
Speaker 2: want extra to go into this as well. Again, I

460
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: don't know what I'm doing with Texas in Alabama. I

461
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:25,320
Speaker 2: don't know if I'm gonna buy it. I'm not going

462
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: to do it official. I think we're just gonna wait. Officially,

463
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait to see what the final four is

464
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,679
Speaker 2: and then play off that. So you can buy them

465
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 2: if you want, but I got to see what's happening.

466
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,239
Speaker 2: Florida State is the really big hook here because if

467
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 2: they win and they beat Louisville, will lose two units

468
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 2: and then we got to have it, and really I'm

469
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 2: losing more than that, but that's officially I'll lose two units.

470
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 1: I bet a lot more on.

471
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,959
Speaker 2: On Florida State and on Louisville for this game, so

472
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 2: hopefully we make some money back here. I want LUGA

473
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: wins the game, or if Florida State wins by one.

474
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 2: Best case scenario is FSU wins by one. That's the

475
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,399
Speaker 2: best case scenario for the game. So let's see if

476
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 2: we can get that to come home. And then we're

477
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 2: really sitting pretty with FSU in the playoff and winning

478
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:10,480
Speaker 2: two units already here coming in off of that Louisville

479
00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:13,680
Speaker 2: ACC final, So good luck to us. I'll talk to

480
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 2: you guys in the Discord channel Betting pros dot com

481
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,919
Speaker 2: slash chat to get in. My name is Matt Parolet.

482
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at sportstock Matt.

483
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 2: Every single morning, the Deal News podcast was being brought

484
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:38,919
Speaker 2: to you by almostakes dot com