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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast. It's on target it.

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Speaker 2: Hey, all right, here we go, Pat growing Jo spectacular.

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Speaker 2: So I'm saying it's a cat touchdown and that's all

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Speaker 2: we'll see.

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Speaker 3: Most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go to wind.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 4: I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kabaya.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway. What up? What up? What up?

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Speaker 3: And welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm your host,

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Speaker 3: Chris Raybond. This is your divisional round betting preview with

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Speaker 3: the odds courtesy of bet MGM, the official odds provider

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Speaker 3: of the Action Network Podcast. I am joined, as always

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Speaker 3: by my Action Network colleague, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 3: Stucky and Stuck. I need I need your thoughts on

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Speaker 3: this last weekend because it was it was kind of

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Speaker 3: a wow.

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Speaker 1: Weekend, particularly that Niner Cowboy game.

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Speaker 2: It was a very interesting weekend. I ended up being

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Speaker 2: pretty chalky. I think your favorites went five to one. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys game was just absolutely insane at the end. Ultimately,

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Speaker 2: it was a pretty boring weekend. I think it was

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Speaker 2: a small winner. It would have been a really good

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Speaker 2: weekend if the Raiders covered and they really should have.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that was that was a really frustrating game

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Speaker 2: to watch. Broger's crew obviously just botched everything. But you

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Speaker 2: have that kickoff that the Raiders botched, probably cost them

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Speaker 2: three points. You have the blown whistle, the blown OPI.

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Speaker 2: And then at the end is if that ball doesn't

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Speaker 2: go off of Sam Hubbard's helmet, Waller walks in and

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Speaker 2: the Raiders cover. So that game was really annoying. But

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Speaker 2: what it ultimately did is it gave us the best

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Speaker 2: possible matchups for this weekend. This is the best weekend

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Speaker 2: of the NFL season in my opinion. Two games on Saturday,

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Speaker 2: two games on some Day, all these really good teams.

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Speaker 2: So I'm excited. I can't wait for it, and I'm

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Speaker 2: excited to break it down, try to find some winners.

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Speaker 1: How'd you like that?

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Speaker 2: Uh?

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Speaker 3: Send the left the best left tackle in the game

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Speaker 3: in motion on a quarterback sneak?

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Speaker 2: Do you know that the most successful from a success

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Speaker 2: rate perspective? So success rate on four, third and fourth

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Speaker 2: down is just conversions. The most successful play in NFL

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Speaker 2: history five percentage, Just math is a Jimmy g quarterback

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Speaker 2: sneak on fourth and one. Tom Brady is like ninety

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Speaker 2: high ninety percentage. Jimmy g twenty five and twenty five

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Speaker 2: in his career, one fourth and one quarterback sneaks, Get

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Speaker 2: up there, bhy Ma, I can sneak the fucking ball, Kyle.

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Speaker 2: That's it. You don't need to you don't need to

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Speaker 2: put your tackle in motion, you don't need any fancy formation.

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Speaker 2: It's snap and move forward a half yard and end

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Speaker 2: the game. And you know then, luckily the Cowboys botched

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Speaker 2: everything at the end. Otherwise, who knows anything can happen.

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Speaker 2: So the forty nine ers eventually escaped. The Cowboys went

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Speaker 2: out in typical Cowboys fashion. Just get up and sneak

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Speaker 2: the ball. That's it. You snap it from you fall forward,

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Speaker 2: that's all.

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Speaker 3: It's crazy because it's like, not only is he twenty

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Speaker 3: five to twenty five, I'm pretty sure I've seen every

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Speaker 3: one of those plays because I watch all the games.

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Speaker 1: Forget the quarterback sneaks. I don't think I've ever seen

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Speaker 1: a left tackle going motion period. Definitely. I don't think

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Speaker 1: on any of those twenty five quarterbacks dukes.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, at it was so Cowboys for them to

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Speaker 3: botch a coaching decision that overrode that silliness that Kyle

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Speaker 3: Shanahan did.

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Speaker 1: But we'll talk more.

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Speaker 3: About the Cowboys because we were bringing back the coaches

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Speaker 3: talk this week. We didn't have one last week. We're

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Speaker 3: bringing one back just for this week, so we'll get

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Speaker 3: into that. We'll get into the six pack in a sec.

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Speaker 3: Just want to give a couple quick notes first. In

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Speaker 3: case you're new here, please download the award winning Action

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Speaker 3: Network app. It's the top rated app for sports betters

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Speaker 3: and it lets you track every bet that you make.

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Speaker 3: Speaking of the app, if you want to reference this

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Speaker 3: episode six Pack Picks anytime, just use the apps follow

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Speaker 3: feature and follow Sunday six Pack where we log our

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Speaker 3: top picks there every Friday during the season. For those

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Speaker 3: of you who love betting on golf, Action Networks, Links

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Speaker 3: and Locks podcast is back for a new PGA Tour

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Speaker 3: season with two episodes every week covering all things betting

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Speaker 3: and dfs. So as the golf season gets in the

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Speaker 3: full swing, check out Links and Locks wherever you like

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Speaker 3: to listen to podcasts, and last, we ask you guys

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Speaker 3: to rate and review to show on Apple Podcasts and

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Speaker 3: you guys came through. We always appreciate it, and we

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Speaker 3: have selected two reviews to win a prize. We will

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Speaker 3: announce those at the end of today's episode. So stick

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Speaker 3: around and of course continue to give us those rating

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Speaker 3: and reviews, and we'll give you guys some more winners

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Speaker 3: throughout the post season. All right, let's get people what

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Speaker 3: they want. Let's open the divisional round. Weekend six pack

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Speaker 3: presented friends at the Athletic Brewing.

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Speaker 2: Company Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: All right, Stuck, you have a fifty five to fifty

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Speaker 3: four lead. You warn me about betting on Cliff and

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Speaker 3: that that was over rather quickly.

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Speaker 1: We'll jump into the six pack in a second.

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Speaker 3: But I thought you had some good information in last

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Speaker 3: week on the wild card, just kind of general trends,

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Speaker 3: So go ahead and set up the divisional round.

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Speaker 2: Typically, it's been well, historically, I should say, it's been

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Speaker 2: a dog round. Conference championships have been more about favorites.

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Speaker 2: Doesn't really mean anything but take take away what you want.

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Speaker 2: But the divisional round has been all about the other dog.

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Speaker 2: Utter dogs have gone forty one, twenty nine and one

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Speaker 2: against the spread. It's fifty eight point six percent, covering

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Speaker 2: by just under two points per game on average, favorites

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Speaker 2: in the divisional round after a bye, right everyone will

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Speaker 2: that coveted by twenty eight thirty eight to one against

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Speaker 2: the spread forty two point four percent, covering by an

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Speaker 2: average margin of negative one point six Very interesting stat there,

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Speaker 2: dogs after being favored against a team on a buy

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Speaker 2: so that would be part of the Bengals for what

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Speaker 2: speare twenty five thirteen and one against the spread, sixty

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Speaker 2: five point eight percent covered by over a field goal

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Speaker 2: per game home teams thirty two thirty nine and one

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Speaker 2: forty five percent against the spread. Teasing any dog, any dog,

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Speaker 2: no matter what the price, seventy six percent, which is

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Speaker 2: well over the hurdle rate's that's even better than teasing.

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Speaker 2: The numbers for teasing like through three and seven during

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Speaker 2: the regular season. In regards to totals, playoff unders with

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Speaker 2: the total between forty seven and fifty five and a half,

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Speaker 2: which is where all the totals are this week, unders

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Speaker 2: have gone forty eight, thirty six and two in that

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Speaker 2: range fifty seven percent since two thousand and three. The

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Speaker 2: numbers get even better for games played outdoors, and all

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Speaker 2: four games we played outdoors, those unders thirty seven, twenty

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Speaker 2: and two sixty five percent, hitting by an average margin

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Speaker 2: about two point seven points per game. Quick weather here,

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Speaker 2: It'll be cold in Nashville, cold in Kansas City, but

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Speaker 2: it doesn't look like anything bad from a weather perspective.

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Speaker 2: Tampa looks like it'll be pretty nice. No major wind

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Speaker 2: concerns like last week. The forecast to watches in Green

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Speaker 2: Bay could see we could see you know, negative wind

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Speaker 2: chill two degree temperatures on Saturday night and you know,

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Speaker 2: some winds ten to fifteen miles an hour, even a

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Speaker 2: chance of snow. It doesn't look like we'll get a

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Speaker 2: lot of accumulation, but it could be you know, flurring

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Speaker 2: all day. So that's the weather forecast to watch. But

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Speaker 2: that's kind of the lay of the land. It's mainly

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Speaker 2: been an underdog weekend. But look when I say that,

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Speaker 2: that that means it's fifty eight percent, So I can't

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Speaker 2: just go and blindly bet the underdogs. We gotta fine

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Speaker 2: winners here. But that just kind of gives you a

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Speaker 2: historical picture of what has happened in the past.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that was great information, and it's interesting because I

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Speaker 3: feel like we've seen some over corrections lately. You know,

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Speaker 3: I know there was a trend about the you know,

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Speaker 3: indoor overs hitting in the playoffs, you know, going back

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Speaker 3: a long time, but over the last you know, three

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Speaker 3: years and change, it's like nine and one now to

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Speaker 3: the under with that forty nine er cowboy under then.

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Speaker 1: I know favorites have been doing.

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Speaker 3: A little better over the last couple of years in

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Speaker 3: the Divisional round, even though the underdog's still fifty eight

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Speaker 3: percent overall. So interesting to see how that goes. And

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Speaker 3: of course we had the favorites go was it five

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Speaker 3: to one last week?

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Speaker 2: So it could also it could just be noise, normal

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Speaker 2: sample size, and when you're talking about four games, it's uh,

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Speaker 2: let's look at the matchups and the lines and try

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Speaker 2: to find the best side or total.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, bottom line is you're you're looking for matchups, you're

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Speaker 3: looking for winners. The trends are just kind of a

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Speaker 3: guiding point maybe to kind of strengthen how you feel

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Speaker 3: about one team or another. But to start it off

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Speaker 3: with my first over all pick of the Divisional Round

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Speaker 3: weekend six pack, I am going with the Buffalo Bills

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Speaker 3: plus one and a half at the Kansas City Chiefs

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Speaker 3: and Wagon.

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Speaker 1: The Bills make me throw your hands, throw your hand back.

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Speaker 1: Now the Bills I'm making it now.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: I like this Bills team.

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Speaker 3: We saw them just destroy and play almost a football

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Speaker 3: equivalent of a perfect game on offense going against the

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Speaker 3: New England Patriots, and that's you know, I know the

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Speaker 3: Patriots looked bad and they were probably would have overrated,

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Speaker 3: but that's still not an easy thing to do to

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Speaker 3: a Belichick defense. So a lot of credit goes to them.

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Speaker 3: But you know, there's a reason that this line isn't

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Speaker 3: going to get to three, you know, despite the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: being at home, coming off a game where they won

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Speaker 3: by you know, twenty in Arrowhead.

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Speaker 1: And that's because I think this Bills team is the

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Speaker 1: real deal.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 3: They do a couple of things well on both sides

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Speaker 3: of the ball that I think can give them the

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Speaker 3: win here for the second time this year in Arrowhead.

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Speaker 3: And the first thing is they can get pressure and

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Speaker 3: they don't really have to.

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Speaker 1: Blitz a ton. They're number one and pressure rate.

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Speaker 3: But more importantly, I have a metric where I subtract

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Speaker 3: blitz rate from pressure rate, and that gives me a

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Speaker 3: proxy for how good at team's four man rushes, you know,

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Speaker 3: because ideally, especially in these playoff games against these elite quarterbacks,

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Speaker 3: you really don't want to have to bring extra guys,

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Speaker 3: you know, to get pressure. It's not that you don't

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Speaker 3: want to bring them at all. You obviously want to

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Speaker 3: dial some things up. Throw, you know, throw the offense

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Speaker 3: off guard, put some pressure on them, but you want

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Speaker 3: to be able to dictate that at.

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Speaker 1: You know when you want to do it.

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Speaker 3: So four man rush the Bills ranked third in my

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Speaker 3: metric at plus four point eight percent because they only

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Speaker 3: blitch twenty six percent of the time to get that

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Speaker 3: thirty point eight pressure rate. So that's crucial against Mahomes.

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Speaker 3: We know he's going to tear up the blitz. You

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Speaker 3: need seven guys in coverage because then you can really

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Speaker 3: start to bracket double whatever you want to call it,

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Speaker 3: Hill and Kelsey. And then that's when Mahomes gets antsy.

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Speaker 3: That's when he starts overthinking things. You know, It's like

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Speaker 3: how many times am I going to have to go

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Speaker 3: to Byron Pringle and DeMarcus Robinson. That's when you really

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Speaker 3: start to throw the Chiefs off the game. Maybe you

220
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Speaker 3: get a turnover two or three or four like the

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Speaker 3: Bills got in the first matchup. Another thing is Kansas

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Speaker 3: City eight point one yards per target against man coverage

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Speaker 3: nine versus zone. So that eight point one versus man

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Speaker 3: that's about week average and nine point zero against zone.

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Speaker 1: That's where they really excel.

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Speaker 3: But the Bills are top headed man coverage rate, so

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Speaker 3: you know they can get that pressure without witzing. They

228
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Speaker 3: can also play man coverage when they want to, and

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Speaker 3: even without Tredavious White, They've been able to do that.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they still have a good cornerback group, they

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Speaker 3: have great safeties, as we saw on display against New England.

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Speaker 3: So obviously you would love to have love to have

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Speaker 3: had White, but this is still a dangerous defense finish

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Speaker 3: the year number one in DVA. So really like what

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Speaker 3: Buffalo can do to kind of disrupt Kansas City on

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Speaker 3: that side of the ball. And then on the other side,

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Speaker 3: you know, we saw this Buffalo offense could do.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not going to get into all their metrics.

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Speaker 3: We know they're great, But if you're betting on Kansas

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Speaker 3: City here, you're putting faith in the fact that Steve

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Speaker 3: Spagnolo can kind of figure something out the second time around.

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Speaker 1: He's been great kind of late in the year schemes.

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Speaker 3: You know, I've always kind of talked about that, So

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Speaker 3: a lot of respect for him, But I think this

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Speaker 3: notion that this Kansas City defense is like this completely

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Speaker 3: different unit than the one that was the worst in

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Speaker 3: football early in the year is a little bit misguided.

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Speaker 3: Like since they're by they've given up four hundred four

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Speaker 3: yards to the Broncos. They gave up four to twenty

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Speaker 3: eight to the Chargers, four to seventy five to the Bengals,

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Speaker 3: another three sixty four to the Broncos. I mean, it

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Speaker 3: just seemed like any team, but they played the Raiders

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Speaker 3: and Steelers. Raiders won Steelers twice over that frame, and

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Speaker 3: I just think that those two teams in general, the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs just had a big edge of them scheme wise,

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Speaker 3: just the way they matched up. But against some of

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Speaker 3: these other teams, the Chiefs really haven't played well on defense.

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Speaker 3: They've given up a ton of yards, and especially against

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Speaker 3: these kind of playoff caliber offenses like the Chargers and

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Speaker 3: Bengals put up, you know, four hundred and twenty five

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Speaker 3: plus on the Chiefs. So I think the defense is

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Speaker 3: still going to struggle here. And in the first matchup,

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Speaker 3: Buffalo outgained the Chiefs four thirty six to three ninety two. Now,

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Speaker 3: Kansas City did have the four turnovers, Buffalo had none.

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Speaker 3: But you look at Kansas City and how they're going

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Speaker 3: to move the ball in this game on offense compared

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Speaker 3: to what you think their defense is going to give up.

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Speaker 1: And I just think it's a bit troubling because.

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen in that game twelve point one yards per attempt,

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Speaker 3: twenty one yards per completion in the first matchup, So

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Speaker 3: there's a lot for respect Nola the correct here on the

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Speaker 3: other side.

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Speaker 1: You know, the final yard is differential. Wasn't that crazy?

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Speaker 3: But Patrick Mahomes five point zer yards per attempt, eight

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Speaker 3: point two yards per completion, and that kind of goes

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Speaker 3: into what I said Buffalo can do well. So this

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Speaker 3: is not going to be an easy matchup by any

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Speaker 3: means for Kansas City on.

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Speaker 1: Either side of the ball.

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Speaker 3: I would I would say they're outmatched on both sides

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Speaker 3: of the ball. And then you look at the Kansas

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Speaker 3: City Chiefs that they kind of righted the ship after that,

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Speaker 3: so start, But Kansas City versus the other final four teams,

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Speaker 3: so the other three teams that made the final four

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Speaker 3: in the AFC Cincinnati Buffalo and the Tennessee Titans. The

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Speaker 3: Chiefs zero to three, outscored ninety nine to fifty four,

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Speaker 3: out gained twelve eighty to eleven forty. I am not

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Speaker 3: sure that the Chiefs that are a better team in

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Speaker 3: this matchup.

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Speaker 1: Give me the Bills.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm sitting there. I have a bunch

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Speaker 2: of futures tickets. My only future from the beginning the Bills.

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Speaker 2: So I will be rooting hard for the Bills. I

294
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Speaker 2: love them, and the teaser piece I would have hammered

295
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Speaker 2: them at plus three. I was all over them plus

296
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Speaker 2: three in the first matchup earlier of the season. I

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Speaker 2: lean that why I had the Bills powered right now

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Speaker 2: is the best team in the NFL. I mean this

299
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Speaker 2: is a team last year they lost to the Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: and they basically spent all of offseason crafting their team

301
00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:58,239
Speaker 2: and adjusting what they want to do for the Chiefs.

302
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Speaker 2: That's all they think and all they've done. And they

303
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Speaker 2: went and you saw the defensive game plan and you know,

304
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Speaker 2: the defensive line improvements and their ability to get pressure

305
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Speaker 2: this year. You saw that translate in the first meeting

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Speaker 2: when they played the Chiefs. I mean Mahomes went from

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Speaker 2: I think like eight and a half yards per attempt

308
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Speaker 2: and no interceptions of the playoffs last year to four

309
00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,480
Speaker 2: point nine yards per attempted two interceptions, so you saw

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Speaker 2: the improvement. I think that the Bills ultimately win this game.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be close. You're gonna hear all Mahomes under

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Speaker 2: a field goal, which is fair, but I mean he's

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Speaker 2: a favorite under a field a field goal or less

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Speaker 2: in his career. It's he's never been a dog at home.

315
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Speaker 2: It's happened five times. He's three and two against the spread.

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Speaker 2: You know, the Bills beat him earlier this year, the

317
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Speaker 2: Patriots beat him in twenty nineteen in the playoffs, and

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Speaker 2: he covered the three other gains. You want to hear

319
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Speaker 2: something really funny, and one of them was against the Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: Chi's probably minus two and a half against the Cowboys

321
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Speaker 2: who were missing like Lamb. And it's pretty funny to

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Speaker 2: think about Chiefs really min us two as Cowboys at

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Speaker 2: home late November. By the way, this is the funniest one.

324
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Speaker 2: In twenty eighteen. In October, the Chiefs were three point

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Speaker 2: favorites at home against the Jags, and Blake Bortles and

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Speaker 2: Mahomes and they won by seventeen.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty funy to think about you've just been bortled.

328
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Speaker 2: Obviously a different Jags day and team, but Josh Allen

329
00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,720
Speaker 2: has great stats as a road underdog throughout his career

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Speaker 2: as well. I think this is basically just comes down

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Speaker 2: to these are two great offenses that are capable of

332
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Speaker 2: keeping up with anyone in the NFL. But at the

333
00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,520
Speaker 2: end of the day, the Bill's defense is a little better,

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Speaker 2: and that ultimately what's going to be the difference. But

335
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Speaker 2: let me I'll break down the game from another perspective.

336
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Speaker 2: I'll go into my first pick and the second of

337
00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:48,880
Speaker 2: the Divisional Round weekend six pack, and I'm going with

338
00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:54,200
Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills Kansasy Chiefs under fifty four and a

339
00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,800
Speaker 2: half at bed MGM. Try to find the fifty five.

340
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Speaker 2: Wait on the fifty five, buy it to fifty five

341
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 2: for the for this contest, it doesn't matter, but it's

342
00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:04,919
Speaker 2: obviously a key number. You know, it's one of the

343
00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:09,600
Speaker 2: ten most important numbers. Since twenty fifteen, when the extra

344
00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,600
Speaker 2: point was moved back, totals land on fifty four to

345
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:16,280
Speaker 2: fifty five over five percent of the time combined, so

346
00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,320
Speaker 2: It's a really important number. Since two thousand and three,

347
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Speaker 2: playoff totals between fifty four and fifty six we've had

348
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Speaker 2: they've had nine of them. The under's gone eight and

349
00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 2: one gone under. The total by fourteen points per game.

350
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Speaker 2: The only exception was last year with the Chiefs and

351
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Speaker 2: Bills there was sixty two points scored. Chiefs and Bills

352
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Speaker 2: scored fifty eight points earlier this season and by the way,

353
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Speaker 2: totals at fifty five are above. In the regular season,

354
00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,639
Speaker 2: unders have gone sixty percent. It's hard to do. You

355
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,040
Speaker 2: have to have a lot of things go right. But

356
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Speaker 2: here's why I like the under. It's scary. This could

357
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,200
Speaker 2: turn into a shootout. If one team gets really far

358
00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,879
Speaker 2: behind that it gets really scary. But look if we

359
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,440
Speaker 2: look at last year's game, and for number one, there's

360
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,720
Speaker 2: a lot of familiarity. This is the fourth time these

361
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,119
Speaker 2: two teams will play in the last two seasons. I

362
00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:03,640
Speaker 2: don't think there's gonna be any surprises here. But if

363
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:05,560
Speaker 2: you look at last year's playoff game that blew up.

364
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:09,639
Speaker 2: What happened there was the Chief's offense dominating the Bills

365
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:12,400
Speaker 2: defense with explosive plays and just they went bonkers. Well,

366
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:15,199
Speaker 2: the Bills have really fixed their defensive issues up front.

367
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,720
Speaker 2: They've kind of they've kind of caught onto the trend

368
00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:19,800
Speaker 2: of Okay, let's take away the Chiefs exposed to play.

369
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 2: We'll get pressure on my homes. We'll see how big

370
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:24,880
Speaker 2: of the loss the Trey White is. This could show

371
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:27,080
Speaker 2: up here. But the secondary is held up without them.

372
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:31,240
Speaker 2: But the defense is now on a different stratspeare, especially

373
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:32,679
Speaker 2: when pressure, like I said, it went from twenty two

374
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:36,879
Speaker 2: to thirty three percent. And on the flip side, the

375
00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:42,160
Speaker 2: Chiefs offense is number one, not as consistent and number

376
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 2: two not as explosive. Right, so they've learned how to

377
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:48,240
Speaker 2: take the you know, take what's given to them. You know,

378
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,320
Speaker 2: Buffalo's gonna play a lot of these two high shelves.

379
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,600
Speaker 2: They're gonna have the thought. They have methoughtical long drives

380
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,040
Speaker 2: now that eat up the clock. That didn't used to

381
00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 2: be the case with the Chiefs. So you could have

382
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,880
Speaker 2: an eight minute touchdown drive from the chief you gonna

383
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,040
Speaker 2: have an eight minute field goal drive. Good luck trying

384
00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:07,520
Speaker 2: to hit over fifty five. That happens on the other

385
00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:09,679
Speaker 2: and then when they played, so you know, you have

386
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:12,480
Speaker 2: the Chiefs offense, which is not as great and not

387
00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 2: as explosive. And then you have the Bills defense, which

388
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,880
Speaker 2: is much better earlier this season, the Bills, the game

389
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 2: went over because the Bills absolutely shredded the Chiefs defense. Well,

390
00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are missing you know, Ward, they were missing

391
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,080
Speaker 2: Chris Jones is probably the most important defender. And the

392
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 2: Chiefs defense at that time was the worst in the league.

393
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:34,760
Speaker 2: They were down there with the Texans and the Jags.

394
00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:37,800
Speaker 2: They were thirtieth in EPA per play. Through the first

395
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 2: eight weeks, the Chiefs ranked thirtieth and EPA per play

396
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 2: and thirty second and success rate. They're basically like the

397
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,399
Speaker 2: Texans if you put them on a charter with them

398
00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:49,720
Speaker 2: in the Texans. But since week nine they are seventh

399
00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:54,399
Speaker 2: in EPA per play and seventeenth in success rate. So

400
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:58,600
Speaker 2: a little lucky on points per opportunity. Their schedules sort

401
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:00,920
Speaker 2: of beneficial. You saw, like the comp at quarterbacks they

402
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,960
Speaker 2: faced did put up a lot of points. But the

403
00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 2: defense is there's no arguing the defense is a lot better.

404
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,600
Speaker 2: They changed, they made some scheme changes. Spagnol. End of

405
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,959
Speaker 2: the year, they got a lot of guys back, and

406
00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:14,959
Speaker 2: you know, they had some acquisitions that have helped in

407
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 2: spec Noa's defenses in the playoffs always overperformed, So the

408
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:21,720
Speaker 2: Chiefs defense is in a much better space here. They're

409
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,199
Speaker 2: also probably gonna come out here. They're gonna, you know,

410
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,159
Speaker 2: they're gonna have some exotic blitz. They're also gonna try

411
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,120
Speaker 2: to take away the explosive deep pass, and they're gonna

412
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,360
Speaker 2: make the Bills beat them underneath them with the balls.

413
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 2: I think you're gonna have some you know, some long

414
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 2: drives here. And on top of all that, both of

415
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 2: these offenses put up forty plus last week, and they

416
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 2: looked phenomenal after the slow start for the for the Chiefs,

417
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,680
Speaker 2: people forget they had like touchdowns on like five straight drives.

418
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 2: It's hard to replicate that effort two weeks in a

419
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 2: row in the NFL, and we've seen these offenses have

420
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 2: just all of a sudden, it's whoa with the offense.

421
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: What's what's wrong the offense this week and the next

422
00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,119
Speaker 2: week it looks great. So if either one of these

423
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 2: offenses has one of their clunkers, this game is going

424
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 2: way under. So there's a lot of reasons why I

425
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 2: like this under at fifty five. The fifty five is

426
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 2: so key. If it's a fifty four, I would not

427
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:12,159
Speaker 2: play it. Fifty four and a half maybe, but I wouldn't.

428
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 2: I would, I would buy it. Why minus won fifteen

429
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 2: fifty five? Fifty five? Is that important? Andy Reid at home?

430
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:23,840
Speaker 2: Forty seven thirty six and one to the under. That

431
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,919
Speaker 2: includes five and two in games with totals of fifty

432
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 2: five or greater, going under by eight point two points

433
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 2: per game. So I think there's a lot more paths

434
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,040
Speaker 2: to the under than there are to the over. I

435
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 2: might end up looking like a fool here, but I

436
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:41,120
Speaker 2: think ultimately the Bills win this game. I think it's

437
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,400
Speaker 2: gonna be a close one. The first last couple haven't been.

438
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say twenty seven twenty four Buffalo Bills.

439
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,159
Speaker 3: I do think there's quite the possibility for one of

440
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 3: those two offenses to have to get at least long drives,

441
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 3: and you know there'll probably be at least a couple

442
00:21:57,520 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 3: of red zone stops in there. So yeah, it's just

443
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,040
Speaker 3: so hard to get to these high totals, cold weather,

444
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 3: outdoor game.

445
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't disagree, all right. For my second

446
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: pick and the third.

447
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 3: Overall in the divisional round six pack, I'm going with

448
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 3: the Tennessee Titans minus three and a half against the

449
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 3: Cincinnati Bengals. You know, this is one of those where

450
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 3: it kind of goes against the trends here. You know,

451
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:24,160
Speaker 3: Titans are a first round have a first round by,

452
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 3: they're the favorite, but I think they match up really

453
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 3: well with this Bengal team, and I think you have

454
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,560
Speaker 3: to kind of throw the metrics away for the Titans.

455
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 3: I know, both of these teams are I mean, from

456
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 3: a matchup perspective, this looks like one of the worst

457
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:39,199
Speaker 3: Divisional round matchups in ages. I mean, both of these

458
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:41,680
Speaker 3: teams are like middle of the pack in DVOA and

459
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 3: it's just not pretty. But you look at this Tennessee

460
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,719
Speaker 3: team and for the first time all year, they may

461
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 3: have all twenty.

462
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,440
Speaker 1: Two starters healthy on offense to defense.

463
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,239
Speaker 3: That's big that that first round by was big for

464
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 3: them in that instance, they use the most players in

465
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,720
Speaker 3: ninety one ninety one players and now they're for the

466
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 3: first time all year, So we haven't even seen this

467
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,679
Speaker 3: Titans team at like true full strength. We also know

468
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 3: that you know, Vrabel hasn't been great as a favorite,

469
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 3: but we have seen him in the playoffs come up

470
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 3: with some him and his staff come up with some

471
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 3: great game plans, and they've especially done that on the

472
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 3: defensive side of the ball.

473
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 1: I think, you know they've they've been here. Now, you know,

474
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 1: this is still the Bengals.

475
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:23,639
Speaker 3: You know, they just won their first playoff game in

476
00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,680
Speaker 3: over three decades, and now they're going into on the road,

477
00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,159
Speaker 3: into a divisional round team that's been doing this, you know,

478
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 3: year in and year out, getting here surprising people, they

479
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 3: know what it is.

480
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 1: But beyond that, you look at when.

481
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 3: The Titans have had Derrick Henry, who practiced, you know,

482
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,359
Speaker 3: full pads, all that stuff, looks like he's gonna go.

483
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 3: When they've had him with AJ Brown and Julio Jones

484
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 3: on the field at the same time, they average seven

485
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 3: yards per play when all three of them are on

486
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 3: the field at the same time.

487
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: For the season, the Titans average five point one yards

488
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 1: per play.

489
00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 3: Now, yards per play is directly correlated with points. Obviously,

490
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 3: the more yards you get, the more points you get.

491
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 3: So you know, we kind of joke about Julio Jones

492
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 3: and the fact that he's never on the field even

493
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 3: when he does suit up. But you know, for the

494
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 3: first time we could see like all these guys, get

495
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 3: you know, eighty plus percent of the snaps here, Jueio

496
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,360
Speaker 3: Jones played eighty five percent of the snaps in the finale.

497
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 3: Aj Brown is at ninety one. So eighty five percent

498
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 3: of the routes, I should say for Julio, which is

499
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 3: what you need. So you're gonna have a full go

500
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:28,359
Speaker 3: Titans team and that's a massive, massive difference. Then you

501
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 3: look at their offensive line, which had injuries at different

502
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 3: parts of the year, well, their worst offensive line now

503
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:38,199
Speaker 3: will still be in the fifty six percentile in PFF grades.

504
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,719
Speaker 3: Taylor Luwan thirty seventh of eighty four and a lot

505
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 3: of people, you know, look at that line and say

506
00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:45,119
Speaker 3: he might be their best offensive lineman.

507
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,479
Speaker 1: But you know, you have the center Jones he's eighth.

508
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 3: You have the right tackle Questenberry, he's seventeenth of eighty

509
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 3: four tackles. Both guards are in the top thirty of

510
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 3: eighty plus guards.

511
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 1: So this is a strong offensive line.

512
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 3: You're gonna have your three play maker on the field

513
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:03,359
Speaker 3: for a good amount of the snaps where you're just

514
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 3: averaging I mean, you're but thirty three percent more in

515
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,639
Speaker 3: terms of your yards per play almost And then you

516
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,480
Speaker 3: look at what Tennessee is gonna do in this game,

517
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,719
Speaker 3: you know, with hen if with Henry back, with Julio

518
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 3: and Brown on the outside, that puts the play action

519
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:22,639
Speaker 3: game back into full force. Well, Cincinnati one seventeen point

520
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 3: seven qbr allowed against play action twenty seventh in the NFL,

521
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 3: second worst among playoff teams. Cincinnati eight point seven yards

522
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:35,119
Speaker 3: per play against play action thirtiest in the NFL, worst

523
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 3: among playoff teams. So this is going to be a

524
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 3: tough matchup for Cincinnati. Hendrickson practice look like he'll play,

525
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 3: but still you have a d line that might be

526
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 3: you know, Oga draft Ogin Jobi went on a season

527
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,640
Speaker 3: ending ir so, still a defensive line that may be

528
00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 3: you know, not quite one hundred percent. Obviously without Oguin

529
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 3: Joby going against now Derek Henry going against this play

530
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,520
Speaker 3: action game just kind of getting warm down as the

531
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,639
Speaker 3: game went on, which almost hurts them against the Raiders

532
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 3: if we're being quite honest.

533
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 1: And then on the other side.

534
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 3: You know, Tennessee, this is still a physical defense that

535
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,879
Speaker 3: has really good game plans. Joe Burrow only threw for

536
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,640
Speaker 3: two forty four against the Raiders. It was like he's

537
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,360
Speaker 3: a he's a juggernaut against these teams that like are

538
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 3: over relyant on man coverage.

539
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee can do both.

540
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 3: And so you also you look at Tennessee and another

541
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 3: thing they can do which is going to be key

542
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:29,119
Speaker 3: against this, you know, this great receiving corps. They're fifth

543
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 3: in four man rush. They have a pressure rate of

544
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 3: twenty four, but their blitz rate's only nineteen point.

545
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 1: Nine, fifth lowest.

546
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 3: So that plus four point one margin between their pressure

547
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:41,960
Speaker 3: rate and their blitz rate, that's fifth best in the NFL.

548
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 3: And we know Joe Burrow kills man coverage, he kills

549
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,679
Speaker 3: the blitz. Tennessee doesn't have to do that at all

550
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:51,040
Speaker 3: to be successful here. So I don't think Tennessee is

551
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 3: going to get every stop. You know they've struggled at times,

552
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 3: but we also haven't seen Tennessee fully healthy.

553
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:57,800
Speaker 1: They're at home.

554
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,280
Speaker 3: And then here's another thing that you know, if you're

555
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,239
Speaker 3: betting on Cincinnati, I know you're getting the hook at

556
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,160
Speaker 3: three and a half. But here's something that would worry

557
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 3: me a little bit. And I talked about this last

558
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 3: week with the Patriots. The Patriots coming into last week,

559
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 3: you know, they were second in DVOA on offense at home,

560
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: but twenty third on the road. That's a minus twenty

561
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,639
Speaker 3: one gap in terms of ranking. The second worst gap

562
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 3: the Bengals minus sixteen. They're ninth in DVOA at home,

563
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 3: twenty fifth on the road. And we saw what happened

564
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,120
Speaker 3: to the Patriots last week. I mean, defense was a mess,

565
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,400
Speaker 3: but it wasn't like the offense exactly did anything either.

566
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 3: This Bengal team that only put up twenty six on

567
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,399
Speaker 3: the Raiders, I think you're going to need more against

568
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,000
Speaker 3: this healthy Titans offense, and I don't think you're going

569
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:37,479
Speaker 3: to get it.

570
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: So I like the matchup for the Titans. Give me

571
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 1: them minus three and a half.

572
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the matchup for the defense because, like

573
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:47,400
Speaker 2: we said it with the Raiders last week, like it's

574
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 2: not it's not the Titans aren't going to blitz you

575
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,919
Speaker 2: like you said they you know, have been able to

576
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 2: generate pressure. For me, this is just a Barrow is

577
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 2: not going to be intimidated, which is one thing. Like

578
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:59,639
Speaker 2: he's playing a lot of big games, so I think

579
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,360
Speaker 2: that that works in since he's favor But I'm having

580
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 2: I just haven't having trouble with this game. Here's something

581
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 2: that's that will back you up and the stat that

582
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 2: you're gonna love for your side. Mike Rabl, who's only

583
00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 2: fifteen twenty and one against the spread as a favorite

584
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 2: like Tennessee, tends to play up and down to everybody,

585
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 2: which is a little concerning here whenever you're laying over

586
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 2: a field goal. But Rabel, who might be becoming one

587
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 2: of the most underrated coaches in the NFL. With nine

588
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 2: or more days the prep so it's bye weeks or

589
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:30,679
Speaker 2: after Thursday night games, It's happened eight times in his career.

590
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,680
Speaker 2: He's eight no straight up, eight to no against the spread,

591
00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:37,920
Speaker 2: covered by an average margin of eighteen points per game.

592
00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 2: The average final score in those games thirty to ten,

593
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 2: four and oh against the spread as a favorite four

594
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 2: and other against the spread as a dog. But you know,

595
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 2: I just can't get to the number. And when we say,

596
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 2: like when I say, oh, the teams off of bye

597
00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:52,240
Speaker 2: haven't covered, well, I mean, like number one, there's a

598
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 2: lot of noise in that. The buye is obviously valuable

599
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 2: for rest for preparation. You know, you're playing other teams

600
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,520
Speaker 2: that you've got injuries, who had a and you know

601
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:05,959
Speaker 2: it's a short week. You know, like all these things,

602
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 2: they matter, But does the market overwegh them. That's the

603
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 2: only question. So I just can't get to this number.

604
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 2: But I don't want to back since he just that

605
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: Tennessee is a very difficult team to handicap because they're

606
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 2: sample size of what they are this year. You know,

607
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 2: at full strength is not much, right, and then it's like,

608
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 2: all right, is Derek Henry gonna get his full workload?

609
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 2: Is there going to be like rust with all these

610
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 2: new parts back? So that's a possibility as well. But

611
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 2: I think from a matchup perspective with the play action,

612
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: you know, with Tennessee liking to throw over the middle

613
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 2: of the field on play action, where since he's vulnerable,

614
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 2: I think Tennessee's defense matches up. While they played really

615
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 2: well in the second half of the year, they all

616
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 2: you know, Vrabel has been great with time to prep

617
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:54,400
Speaker 2: all you Titans at home. I think the Bengals are

618
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 2: generally overrated team. I just have the Titans rated low,

619
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,200
Speaker 2: but you know, I can get to like three. I

620
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 2: just couldn't lay it here, but I can understand anyone

621
00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 2: that wants to. Titans are just a really difficult team

622
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 2: to handicap. For me knowing that third full strike though,

623
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 2: so it's a stay away from me. I will be

624
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 2: looking to bed it live to see based on what

625
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 2: I'm seeing, and I will have a prop though all

626
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 2: prop action, which will take me to my I'll save

627
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:29,240
Speaker 2: my side for my third pick. I'll go into my

628
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 2: second pick. So I'm curious to get your thoughts on

629
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 2: this to see maybe I'm an idiot on my props again.

630
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 2: I have Kittle over last week. I think he had

631
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 2: one catch.

632
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 3: And he's almost killed my under in like the first

633
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 3: quarters though, Yeah, that wasn't wasn't a great week for

634
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 3: us prop betting on tight ends.

635
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 2: Then well that's on you. I'm allowed. So yeah for

636
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 2: my for my second pick and the fourth overall of

637
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 2: the divisional weekend six pack, it's my prop. We have

638
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 2: one prop one side one total, or we have one

639
00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:01,120
Speaker 2: prop and then one side or total for the other two.

640
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 2: I'm going with Jeff Swain. Jeff Swain goff swam over

641
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 2: eleven and a half receiving yards. He is like the

642
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:15,240
Speaker 2: Walmart Travis Kelce. He's like when just looking at him,

643
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 2: like he always look kind of looks like he looks

644
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 2: like you know that sculpture of Ronaldo that's like all

645
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:25,960
Speaker 2: messed up. That's like what Jeff swayn is he is

646
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 2: Travis Kelcey. Sorry, Jeff, I love you. So I'm betting

647
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 2: you're over prop here. The Bengals are the worst team

648
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 2: in the playoffs by far against tight ends. I think

649
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 2: they're bottom five DDA guarding tight ends. On the season,

650
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 2: he averaged like thirteen and a half receiving yards per game.

651
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 2: Now you have Pruitt who is out for the year

652
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 2: with an ankle injury, so you know, his production I

653
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:51,880
Speaker 2: think is gonna go up, especially in this matchup, right,

654
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 2: So I think the number is low just from someone

655
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 2: who doesn't really do projections. I was just kind of

656
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 2: looking at his numbers. And then this is just a

657
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:02,479
Speaker 2: matchup where you want the tight ends. The Bengals they

658
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:04,280
Speaker 2: give it up like sixty three yards per game the

659
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 2: tight ends, which is bottom five in the NFL. They're

660
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 2: a week over the middle of the field. You got

661
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:11,920
Speaker 2: Brown back, you got Jones back, you got Henry back, Like,

662
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 2: why are we going to Jeff Swain, Well, he's probably

663
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 2: gonna be open on play action play action the middle

664
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 2: of the field. Also, I'll throw I'll put this in

665
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 2: the A. I would have throw a couple of dollars

666
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:25,360
Speaker 2: on Jeff swayin first touchdown he actually has. I think

667
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 2: he's like second on the team in receiving touchdowns. He's

668
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 2: like three touchdowns on the air. I could see him.

669
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 2: You have the two or three yard line, everyone sells

670
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 2: out for Henry and then you're gonna you're gonna hit

671
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 2: Swayn for a touchdown. So I think the number is low,

672
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 2: the matchup is good. I think Swayin he's a Texas boy,

673
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,080
Speaker 2: will we'll have. I think he's gonna get like he

674
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 2: averages like two catches a game, so I think he'll

675
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 2: get two catches for like eighteen yards. So that's what

676
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:53,560
Speaker 2: I ended up going with. You can tell me I'm dumb.

677
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:57,360
Speaker 2: I'm curiously your thoughts, Jeff Swain, because the funny thing

678
00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 2: is that's what I picked on. And then I have

679
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,720
Speaker 2: you in the back of my head being like, whenever

680
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 2: you see these random tight ends, just go under the total.

681
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 3: I actually agree, so I have I'm looking at my

682
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 3: projections for him right now. I have him at two

683
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 3: point three catches for sixteen yards, so not eighteen but sixteen.

684
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 3: But that's you know how that's a very valuable. Every

685
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 3: yard is very valuable when you're talking about a prop

686
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 3: of eleven and a half, right, you know, it's not like, yeah.

687
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 2: He's got a couple of games like fifty yard perceptions.

688
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 2: I think that, yeah, the hot the upside is really high.

689
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 3: Here and to your point and just can take me

690
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,120
Speaker 3: into my next but I'll give you. I'll give you

691
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 3: the stat first Cincinnati twenty fourth in Dvoa against tight

692
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 3: ends twelve against non number one, number two receivers. So

693
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 3: just from kind of a schematic standpoint, you know, with

694
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 3: with now Jones and Brown and Henry Now you can

695
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 3: play your two tight ends sets comfortable, like you don't

696
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 3: need that third receiver on the field to give you

697
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 3: a little extra in the pass game that you lacked without,

698
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 3: you know, Huliah. So, I think you see Tennessee kind

699
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 3: of go if they were if they could, they would

700
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,480
Speaker 3: go two tight ends every snap, you know, if that

701
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 3: if the game Pliny kind of dictated it and they

702
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 3: didn't get into.

703
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 1: Third and long. So I think you're gonna see that better.

704
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 2: Not what do you people call it vulture or volvulture,

705
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,799
Speaker 2: that would well, if you go first touchdown, he could

706
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:17,239
Speaker 2: you could definitely VOTU. Yeah, yeah, that's just gonna be

707
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 2: a little little tiny.

708
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 3: But for fun, Ferkser is the you know, better pass

709
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:23,560
Speaker 3: catch of the two. But he has I just learned

710
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:25,680
Speaker 3: this I was reading. I believe it was on the Athletic.

711
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:27,480
Speaker 3: It might have been I might have just saw somebody

712
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 3: posted on Reddit. I forget exactly where I saw it.

713
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 3: But Ferkser gets a thousand dollars uh every time he

714
00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:35,320
Speaker 3: pancake blocks somebody on a chip.

715
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 1: So so you know, take that.

716
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,479
Speaker 3: But again, this is why I like this Titans team

717
00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:43,279
Speaker 3: just overall Bengals first road playoff game and.

718
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 1: This Zach Taylor era, like I just exactly physical.

719
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 3: It's like the most cliche thing in all of Like

720
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 3: I hate when people say it on on those pregame shows,

721
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 3: but I think it rings so true.

722
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 1: The Titans are gonna play such a physical game.

723
00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 3: By the way, but versus teams left in the division

724
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:58,719
Speaker 3: round AFC or NFC, Titans are four to oh one

725
00:34:58,719 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 3: O nine.

726
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 1: To sixty seven point differential.

727
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think I think that Swain will be involved.

728
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 3: I think the two tight end sets will be big.

729
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 3: And that is why for my third pick and the

730
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 3: fifth overall pick in the divisional round six pack. I'm

731
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 3: going with Nick Westbrook Akina under twenty eight and a

732
00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 3: half receiving yard. So he's been under this in ten

733
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 3: of seventeen games anyway, so he trends under this number. Now,

734
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,360
Speaker 3: obviously that's a lot of those games have come without

735
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,960
Speaker 3: a j Brown and or Julio Jones. So there were

736
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,799
Speaker 3: games when Westbrook Aakina was the number one receiver that

737
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 3: are that are contributing to that, and he still went

738
00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 3: over this number in only seven games.

739
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:33,800
Speaker 1: Now he has.

740
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 3: Taken over for the most part that number three roll

741
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,359
Speaker 3: from Chester Rodgers. Thank goodness, because I don't know how

742
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 3: Chester Rodgers is, you know, a top three receiver in

743
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 3: today's NFL. But regardless of that, it goes back to

744
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:49,120
Speaker 3: the point when you have Julio and Brown healthy and

745
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 3: you have Derrick Henry, the Titans are going to every

746
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 3: early down.

747
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 1: The Titans are gonna want to come out in those.

748
00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 3: Two tight end sets, especially because the Bengals are much

749
00:35:57,880 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 3: weaker against tight ends than they are again stat you know,

750
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 3: non primary receivers. That's because Mike Hilton, their slot corner,

751
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 3: is top twenty in PFF coverge ranking among over one

752
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 3: hundred cornerbacks. So Hilton is very good inside. He's not

753
00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 3: that big, but still a very good inside corner. And

754
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 3: Cincinnati really has two corners playing really well, Woozya and Hilton, And.

755
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:21,200
Speaker 1: Then you kind of pick on ey Apple.

756
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 3: So you know, Westbroogakina can line up inside, outside, but

757
00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 3: he is still going to be you know, two out

758
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,560
Speaker 3: of the you know three places he can line up.

759
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 3: He'll be facing a very good cornerback. And then you

760
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 3: just look at Tennessee's their favorite and the books aren't

761
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 3: going to three. At least it hasn't seemed like they are,

762
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 3: which is kind of telling too. So this could be

763
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:43,359
Speaker 3: just a bad game script, you know, for a ton

764
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 3: of throwing, you know, the to the third wide receiver.

765
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:47,239
Speaker 1: Usually those guys go over.

766
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 3: In games where you know the team is trailing, you

767
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 3: get a couple of those you know, two minute drill

768
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,680
Speaker 3: kind of long completions the third receivers not covered because

769
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,080
Speaker 3: you're focusing on the top two guys. So this just

770
00:36:57,160 --> 00:37:00,680
Speaker 3: doesn't set up to me as a game where they

771
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 3: need westbrook Akina. I still think you know, they love

772
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:05,839
Speaker 3: him good, could do every can do a little bit

773
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 3: of everything, kind of Jack of all trades, master of

774
00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 3: none kind of player, So I think you could see

775
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 3: him make a big player to maybe even catches a

776
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 3: red zone touchdown, But I just don't see him being

777
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 3: consistently on a field or the need for him to

778
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 3: be consistently targeted when you have a j and Julio

779
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 3: who you can kind of move around, dictate matchups here

780
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:27,120
Speaker 3: and get them on Eli Apple. So yeah, going under

781
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 3: Westbrook Aakuina twenty eight and a half, and I think

782
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 3: it correlates pretty well to slay over because I'm also

783
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:34,239
Speaker 3: betting on Titans, just using a ton of two that end.

784
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 2: Now, one last question I looked at, I'll throw some

785
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,960
Speaker 2: change on it. So I don't really have a position

786
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:43,920
Speaker 2: in this game, so I'll have some fun with some

787
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:46,760
Speaker 2: propsy that any think pops live, which you can follow

788
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:48,600
Speaker 2: on in the Action Network AP. What did you for

789
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,399
Speaker 2: your projections? What are you and do you have any

790
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:57,040
Speaker 2: just random subjective thoughts? What are you projecting for Henry? Like?

791
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 2: Are you no?

792
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 1: I have him? Yeah?

793
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:00,319
Speaker 4: Yeah.

794
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 3: I usually take about fifteen percent off for a guy

795
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,160
Speaker 3: like with like some injury question.

796
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:09,320
Speaker 1: Mark, So even with that, I still haven't projected for.

797
00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:14,280
Speaker 3: Ninety six rushing yards and about it, about eighty percent

798
00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:15,240
Speaker 3: chance for a touchdown?

799
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 4: All right?

800
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,120
Speaker 1: Were you going for a third and final Yeah.

801
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:21,439
Speaker 2: For my third and final pick of the Divisional Round

802
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 2: weekend six pack, I'm going with trum the Los Angeles

803
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:30,919
Speaker 2: Rams plus three at bet MGM at Tampa Bay. Yes,

804
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 2: I'm going with Matthew Stafford against Tom Brady on the road,

805
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 2: catching only a field goal. I don't show the most

806
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,359
Speaker 2: amount of value in this line, but I do show

807
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 2: some value in the Rams, and I love the matchup

808
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 2: based on what Tampa has left on their roster. And

809
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 2: I like the on field matchup, which I'll get into.

810
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 2: But you look at some of these offensive line injuries

811
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 2: for the box at all pro right tackle, Pro Bowl Center.

812
00:38:57,280 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 2: We're both banged out. I think they're both probably gonna

813
00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 2: give it a go, but they're not gonna be one

814
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 2: hundred percent. There's a chance one or both don't go.

815
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,359
Speaker 2: And you saw once they were hurt and went down,

816
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,960
Speaker 2: the Eagles were just all over Brady. And that's exactly

817
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 2: what the Rams defensive line could do. Top seven and

818
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:17,120
Speaker 2: both adjusted ZACH and pressure rate. That is how you

819
00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 2: have to stop and contain Brady. Aaron Donovan Company have

820
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:23,719
Speaker 2: to get pressure, and they're capable of doing so. It's

821
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why the Rams beat the Bucks

822
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 2: at home earlier this year in dominant fashion, and I

823
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:33,439
Speaker 2: don't see a lot of people talking about this other game.

824
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:38,040
Speaker 2: Last year, the Rams went on the road to Tampa

825
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 2: and dominated the Bucks. They had four hundred and thirteen yards,

826
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,719
Speaker 2: held Tampa to two hundred and fifty came as in

827
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:47,240
Speaker 2: late November last year, Bucks averaged three point seven yards

828
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 2: per play, Jared Goff threw for like five billion yards,

829
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:55,759
Speaker 2: and the Rams averaged five point eight yards per play.

830
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,160
Speaker 2: You're gonna hear all about the Brady stats against the spread.

831
00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 2: Of course, all of us against the spreads, thats are great.

832
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 2: He's only seventeen and seventeen against the spread as a

833
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:06,040
Speaker 2: favorite though in the playoffs, but he's fifty three thirty

834
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,799
Speaker 2: one and four. That's sixty three percent is a dog

835
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 2: or favorite of three or less ten and five in

836
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 2: the postseason. He's also thirteen and five against the spread

837
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 2: at home in Tampa to and own the playoffs. But

838
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 2: I can I can go against the spread. Trends on

839
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 2: the other side as well that I think have some

840
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 2: warrant here McVeigh by the way ten and four against

841
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:29,719
Speaker 2: the spread seventy one point four percent is a road

842
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:33,320
Speaker 2: dog covered by six points per game. Here's an important

843
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,160
Speaker 2: portant nugget. He's ten and five against the spread on

844
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:40,400
Speaker 2: the East Coast, covering by seven points per game, twelve

845
00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 2: and three straight up. That includes that trip to Tampa

846
00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:48,440
Speaker 2: last year's There's something that you see the Rams all

847
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 2: the time, like this is like, oh, short week, you

848
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 2: gotta go out. You have to go out east by Tampa.

849
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 2: Like the Rams have consistently whatever they're doing for a

850
00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:01,879
Speaker 2: preparation standpoint travel samp like they're ready for these games,

851
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:04,359
Speaker 2: which I think is an important point here. Uh. And

852
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:06,960
Speaker 2: for what it's worth, these these short you have a

853
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 2: short week against the team. Uh you know these teams

854
00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:11,760
Speaker 2: are on a short week like five to six days

855
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:15,280
Speaker 2: of prep. You see that with the forty nine ers

856
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 2: against the Packers, like they only have they have a

857
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 2: shorter week than normal, and the Packers are off of bye.

858
00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 2: The Rams obviously have a shorter week Against the spread

859
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 2: numbers are there hasn't been any edge either way. It

860
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:29,759
Speaker 2: might just be priced in the market, but thought it

861
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,600
Speaker 2: was worth noting. But with these offensive line injuries with

862
00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:37,080
Speaker 2: the wide receiver injuries for the Bucks. This this Rams

863
00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:40,480
Speaker 2: defense was built they you know, they said the Bills

864
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 2: kind of constructed their defense to stop the Chiefs, and

865
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 2: all they were worried about was the Chiefs the Rams.

866
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:50,080
Speaker 2: All they were worried about is the Bucks. And this

867
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 2: is how they kind of constructed their defense. They're built

868
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:56,439
Speaker 2: as well as anyone in the NFL to slow down

869
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 2: and contain Brady, as they've done in each of the

870
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:01,240
Speaker 2: past two meetings. On the other side of the ball,

871
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,840
Speaker 2: the offensive line is great for the Rams. They're not

872
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 2: gonna be able to run much here, but I think

873
00:42:07,080 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 2: Stafford will have success throwing against a vulnerable Tampa secondary.

874
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,319
Speaker 2: Stafford got did just a huge game last week just

875
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:17,240
Speaker 2: for his confidence and momentum. You know, Beckham is playing

876
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:19,160
Speaker 2: really well. I didn't think he'd be playing this well.

877
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:22,399
Speaker 2: The Bucks are going to blitz. That is what they do.

878
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 2: They booked as much as anyone in the league. Stafford

879
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:27,640
Speaker 2: is excellent against the blitz. He has receivers that can

880
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 2: win one on one battles on the outside. I think

881
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:33,040
Speaker 2: that's important here. I think McVeigh will have a very

882
00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:36,400
Speaker 2: good script early on, and I just see the Rams

883
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 2: defense matching up well. I think that Stafford can have

884
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:44,200
Speaker 2: some success through the air. And I just think that

885
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:47,360
Speaker 2: these two teams, you know, as right now, when you

886
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 2: take all of the issues with the Bucks roster, I

887
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 2: don't I think the Rams might be the better team

888
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:58,080
Speaker 2: right now, and I do respect Brady, but the field

889
00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:01,279
Speaker 2: goal is obviously so important in a playoff game, and

890
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 2: especially in a game like this, I'll gladly take the

891
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:07,359
Speaker 2: field goal here. I also tease them up with the

892
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:10,880
Speaker 2: Bills over a touchdown. I think the Rams going to

893
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 2: Tampa and get the win. And uh yeah, so I'm signing.

894
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 2: I'm signing with McVeigh and company. I hope he doesn't

895
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 2: let me down on some By the way, these are

896
00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:24,240
Speaker 2: two very conservative coaches when it comes to like fourth downs,

897
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 2: like worse than the league. So if you're looking at

898
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 2: an under here, so I was looking at under, I

899
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 2: might go first half under. Maybe Bucks have started really slow.

900
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 2: These two teams are really fast their top five and

901
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:41,879
Speaker 2: at a trusted pace and situation neutral situation neutral pace.

902
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:45,279
Speaker 2: But like, I think that the Rams are gonna have

903
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,919
Speaker 2: some success. I think that the Bucks are gonna start slow.

904
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:50,440
Speaker 2: And then like but you see in the second half,

905
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 2: if it's like all right, at the Rams start chucking

906
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:54,760
Speaker 2: it all over. You can see Stafford mistake of there behind.

907
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:57,960
Speaker 2: You know, Brady playing from behind, he's gonna score. So

908
00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 2: maybe the first half under is a way to go.

909
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,239
Speaker 2: The only thing that kept me off this total, though,

910
00:44:04,160 --> 00:44:06,680
Speaker 2: is what I think the Bucks are going to do,

911
00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 2: especially if they have offensive line injuries, is they're gonna

912
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:15,399
Speaker 2: go hurry up, and I mean super hurry up I think,

913
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 2: all game. And the reason that I think that is

914
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:22,960
Speaker 2: obviously that would help neutralize the Los Angeles pass rush

915
00:44:23,000 --> 00:44:25,360
Speaker 2: and some of their subs and just keep the defense

916
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:30,839
Speaker 2: on its toes. But the if you look at the

917
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:35,479
Speaker 2: no huddle offensive metrics for the Bucks this year, they're

918
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 2: absolutely elite. I mean, and the pressure rate, sack rate

919
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:43,680
Speaker 2: go down to almost nothing. And if you look at

920
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:46,600
Speaker 2: the you look at some of what they were hinting

921
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:49,600
Speaker 2: at this week. Here's just listen to this quote Bruce

922
00:44:49,600 --> 00:44:51,799
Speaker 2: Arians on the no huddle, You just when you look

923
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 2: back and do the self scout, that's what we've been

924
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:55,920
Speaker 2: our best at this year, so why not do it

925
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:59,240
Speaker 2: more So? I think that if with the offensive line injuries,

926
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 2: you're going against I think Brady's gonna come out here

927
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 2: and go like super fast. I could see it. So

928
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 2: that's and if that happens, like he's going like no

929
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,840
Speaker 2: huddle from the start the entire game. Here the unders cooked.

930
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 2: So I'm staying away from the total, but I think

931
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,880
Speaker 2: the Rams defense has paths to success here to slow

932
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 2: down this really beat up Bucks offense. And I think

933
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,759
Speaker 2: Stafford yea, hopefully it doesn't have a clunker. I like,

934
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:25,439
Speaker 2: I like the Rams. Yeah.

935
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 3: For me, this one is gonna rely heavily on what

936
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:32,560
Speaker 3: happens with the injuries later in the week, specifically as

937
00:45:32,560 --> 00:45:36,920
Speaker 3: it pertains to Tristan Wurst and Ryan Jensen, because Wurfs

938
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:40,480
Speaker 3: and Jensen both did in practice on Wednesday, but that's

939
00:45:40,520 --> 00:45:41,200
Speaker 3: not surprising.

940
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 2: There's swing tackles hurt too.

941
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, Worfs, I don't know if he's gonna go.

942
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 3: I mean, just seeing what what happened with the injury

943
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 3: and you know, coming back in and it just couldn't

944
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:51,920
Speaker 3: really do anything and went down again.

945
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 1: I go to try to play.

946
00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:58,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, so but this is you know that it's it's

947
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 3: obviously big, you know, losing a like Worse, who is

948
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 3: a top top six tackle in among eighty four tackles

949
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:08,080
Speaker 3: in PFF's grades. But Jensen, now, because like you know,

950
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:10,799
Speaker 3: Tom Brady, why are we so hesitant to bet against him?

951
00:46:10,960 --> 00:46:14,360
Speaker 3: Because you know he's essentially the best player in football

952
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 3: when you take like clutch into into account and just

953
00:46:17,120 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 3: you know, expertise and know how I know he's not

954
00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:20,360
Speaker 3: you know, he doesn't have the arm twent of like

955
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 3: a Mahomes or.

956
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 1: Anything like that.

957
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:26,799
Speaker 3: But now if you have Jensen anything less than one

958
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:30,239
Speaker 3: hundred percent, because he's thirteenth among all centers in PFF grades,

959
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:32,800
Speaker 3: but he's just twenty fourth of thirty nine in pass blocking,

960
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 3: so he's already kind of average, little bit below average

961
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:36,760
Speaker 3: here in pass blocking.

962
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,239
Speaker 1: Now you're talking about the best defensive player.

963
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:42,479
Speaker 3: In football with a big edge on the center, which

964
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 3: then affects the best offensive player in football and Brady,

965
00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,360
Speaker 3: because we've always known that's how you beat Brady is

966
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:48,440
Speaker 3: interior pressure.

967
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:48,640
Speaker 2: Right.

968
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 3: It's like it's like he could throw the ball so

969
00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:54,279
Speaker 3: quick that if Wurfs is out, you know, whether they

970
00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:56,800
Speaker 3: have to chip with Cameron Brad Rob Gronkowski's a great blocker.

971
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 3: If they want to chip with him, I mean they

972
00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 3: can probably still make it to a certain extent, especially

973
00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 3: with time to prepare for it, it will be difficult. Obviously,

974
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:07,239
Speaker 3: Rams have a great uh you know, edge rush too.

975
00:47:07,480 --> 00:47:10,719
Speaker 3: But now if you're talking about Aaron Donalds against a

976
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:13,759
Speaker 3: banged up center or anything less than one hundred percent,

977
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 3: that's gonna really mess up what the Bucks are trying

978
00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:16,239
Speaker 3: to do.

979
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 2: If Wurf's is out their swing tackle, Josh Wells, he's

980
00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 2: also I think al that means, you know, you're probably

981
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 2: gonna have Alex Kappa go to right tackle. Then you're

982
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:30,879
Speaker 2: gonna have Aaron Stinney playing guard a banged up Brian

983
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:34,080
Speaker 2: Jensen at center. That's a mess. And then you can

984
00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:36,800
Speaker 2: move down and around. It's like, okay, where's the weak spot?

985
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:40,920
Speaker 2: Where can we exploit this beat up offensive line? But yet,

986
00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 2: just blowing up the pocket against Brady is how you

987
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:46,600
Speaker 2: beat this team and doing it quickly, and that's that's

988
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 2: why you have to do it from the interior. I

989
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:51,760
Speaker 2: think I think this is a matchuphere. They really miss Godwin.

990
00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:54,960
Speaker 2: You could just see last week like they played the Eagles, right,

991
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 2: like the Eagles who haven't beat anyone all year, their

992
00:47:57,760 --> 00:47:59,359
Speaker 2: defense have proved throughout the year, and you saw their

993
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:01,719
Speaker 2: defensive line. After the Bucks offensive line was hurt, like

994
00:48:01,760 --> 00:48:05,040
Speaker 2: they the defensive started to dominate. But the Eagles secondary

995
00:48:05,120 --> 00:48:07,560
Speaker 2: is like, all right, let's play everything, let's play way

996
00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:10,319
Speaker 2: off everything. And they just do have a lot of

997
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 2: talent across the board, whereas the Rams, you know, they

998
00:48:14,239 --> 00:48:17,480
Speaker 2: have a similar philosophy in a lot of ways, but

999
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:22,640
Speaker 2: they have much more raw talent at corner than the

1000
00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:25,640
Speaker 2: Eagles do. And you just hope that Eric Weddle doesn't

1001
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:30,680
Speaker 2: get burnt too much but had some successful some success

1002
00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 2: against Tom Brady. I'll be interested to watch that. But yeah,

1003
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 2: I just think it's all about the defensive line against

1004
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:39,880
Speaker 2: the offensive line that's at best going to be playing

1005
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:42,520
Speaker 2: at way less than one hundred percent. But I yeah,

1006
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:44,239
Speaker 2: based on what worst looks like, I don't see how

1007
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:44,840
Speaker 2: he'd be able to go.

1008
00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:46,520
Speaker 1: I actually think Wells could go.

1009
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,440
Speaker 3: He didn't practice on a limited basis, so that's better

1010
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:50,920
Speaker 3: than Jensen and Hand worse.

1011
00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:52,680
Speaker 1: So maybe he goes, but you.

1012
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:54,400
Speaker 3: Know, and then to play Devil's advocate because I you know,

1013
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:56,879
Speaker 3: I still do see some concerns with the Rams more

1014
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,120
Speaker 3: on the offensive side of the ball. So yeah, they

1015
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 3: dominated the Cardinals. Okay, great, they ran the ball thirty

1016
00:49:02,200 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 3: eight times they caught. They had nineteen dropbacks. Uh So

1017
00:49:06,360 --> 00:49:08,000
Speaker 3: I talked to I've been talking about Stafford and now

1018
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:11,319
Speaker 3: he's kind of declined over this down the stretch, you know,

1019
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:13,839
Speaker 3: all year. So I do have some concerns with both

1020
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:15,919
Speaker 3: of these teams on the offensive side of the ball.

1021
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:18,200
Speaker 3: I think you're on something with that under I do

1022
00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:19,840
Speaker 3: agree that, you know, if you don't.

1023
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:22,560
Speaker 1: Want these teams to obviously go hurry up. But what

1024
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:24,359
Speaker 1: does it for me is just the health of those

1025
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:26,960
Speaker 1: Bucks live and like cause the Lion is dropping a

1026
00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:28,360
Speaker 1: two and a half at a lot of books.

1027
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:30,239
Speaker 3: You know, if the Bucks are gonna have their old

1028
00:49:30,280 --> 00:49:32,839
Speaker 3: line completely healthy, I think, you know, I think it's

1029
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 3: a field goal game.

1030
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:34,600
Speaker 1: I think it's minus three.

1031
00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 3: You're getting two and a half, But if they're not,

1032
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 3: I think it's more like a minus two and a half.

1033
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,320
Speaker 3: So then if you could get to three, that's obviously

1034
00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:43,400
Speaker 3: very valuab because the Rams could just splat out win

1035
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 3: the game anyway.

1036
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 1: So that's what it really comes down to for me.

1037
00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:50,239
Speaker 3: But I do see concerns with both offenses here, and

1038
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 3: I don't think it'll be as high as scoring as

1039
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 3: a game as it was in that first matchup where

1040
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:56,359
Speaker 3: what are they They combined to throw for like over

1041
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:58,879
Speaker 3: eight hundred yards in that game. Think Gronk got hurt

1042
00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:01,040
Speaker 3: and they still went The Bucks still went off and

1043
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:03,759
Speaker 3: Deshaun Jackson, who's not no longer there quite a big one.

1044
00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:05,279
Speaker 3: Yeah for me, it's just going to come down to

1045
00:50:05,719 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 3: what happens with Worsa and Jensen tricap Stuck is going

1046
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:15,279
Speaker 3: with the Rams plus three, Bills Chiefs under fifty four

1047
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 3: and a half and Jeff Swain over eleven and a

1048
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 3: half receiving yards. I'm going with the Bills plus one

1049
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:22,719
Speaker 3: and a half, the Titans minus three and a half

1050
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 3: and Nick Westbrook Aquina under twenty eight and a half

1051
00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:29,000
Speaker 3: receiving yards and.

1052
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:32,480
Speaker 2: Matter thought, Jeff Swain and Westbrook Aquina make it in

1053
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,040
Speaker 2: the Division Round Sunday six pack.

1054
00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 3: That's prop betting for you. You know the stars are

1055
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:40,239
Speaker 3: you know the line. It's just easier to have an

1056
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 3: efficient line. But that concludes our Division Round six pack

1057
00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:47,680
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1058
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1059
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1060
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1061
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1062
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1063
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1065
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1070
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1071
00:51:32,080 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 2: Cheers.

1072
00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:36,920
Speaker 3: All right, now it's time for our divisional round coaches

1073
00:51:37,120 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 3: pep Talk.

1074
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:41,040
Speaker 2: This is by far the worst team that has ever sat.

1075
00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:42,680
Speaker 1: In this locker room, all right, stuck.

1076
00:51:42,760 --> 00:51:46,200
Speaker 3: So after the incompetence we saw last weekends, I felt

1077
00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 3: like we just had to bring back the coaches pep talk.

1078
00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:50,160
Speaker 1: So this one is.

1079
00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 3: From Keegan, Michael Key, and we're dedicating it to Mike McCarthy,

1080
00:51:56,120 --> 00:52:00,359
Speaker 3: Kellen Moore, just that whole Cowboys offensive staff that took

1081
00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:02,680
Speaker 3: part in Spikegate.

1082
00:52:03,719 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 1: Y'all want to play.

1083
00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:06,560
Speaker 4: Are you out of your goddamn mind?

1084
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:08,239
Speaker 2: Do you want to go to war?

1085
00:52:08,480 --> 00:52:11,400
Speaker 4: Because we could go to war, So you better check yourself.

1086
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 2: Y'all feel me you've done messed up. Now take your

1087
00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:17,719
Speaker 2: ass on down to office right now and tell him

1088
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:20,520
Speaker 2: exactly what you did for break my foot off in

1089
00:52:20,560 --> 00:52:24,719
Speaker 2: your ass and subordinate and churlish.

1090
00:52:25,520 --> 00:52:28,279
Speaker 3: I mean, like there was so many things wrong with

1091
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 3: this place, stuck, and it was crazy that it came

1092
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 3: right after Shanahan did what I thought was gonna go

1093
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 3: down as one of the worst play calls ever if

1094
00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:36,200
Speaker 3: they if they ended up, you know, if that ended

1095
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:38,760
Speaker 3: up costing them. But like, not only do you usually

1096
00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:41,200
Speaker 3: need seventeen or eighteen seconds to do anything up the

1097
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:44,880
Speaker 3: middle and then get the spike off, but the Cowboys

1098
00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:47,440
Speaker 3: Dax Slis is like the twenty six, twenty six and

1099
00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 3: a half, maybe even the twenty seven somewhere in between there,

1100
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:50,719
Speaker 3: and then hands it.

1101
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 1: To his center and they spotted it like the twenty four.

1102
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:54,759
Speaker 1: So then then he doesn't eat.

1103
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:57,480
Speaker 3: They don't even give away for like a path for

1104
00:52:57,600 --> 00:52:59,440
Speaker 3: the raft to get in. So he's sprinting down the

1105
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 3: field doing it best. He bangs into Dak, that probably

1106
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:05,200
Speaker 3: cost him a second. He looks, he goes to spot,

1107
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:08,040
Speaker 3: it realizes that there's no way that the offensive line

1108
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:10,279
Speaker 3: is gonna get back to the correct spot, which is

1109
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:13,280
Speaker 3: like two yards two and a half yards behind where

1110
00:53:13,320 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 3: the Cowboys self spotted the ball. So it just decides

1111
00:53:16,120 --> 00:53:18,480
Speaker 3: to throw it down just like a yard back or

1112
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:20,200
Speaker 3: a half yard back to give him a chance to

1113
00:53:20,200 --> 00:53:22,200
Speaker 3: get the spike off. And they still don't do it.

1114
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:24,480
Speaker 3: And then and then Dak goes in credits to fans

1115
00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:27,040
Speaker 3: for throwing Debrie at the refs. I mean, that was

1116
00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:29,840
Speaker 3: just peak Mike McCarthy.

1117
00:53:29,560 --> 00:53:31,440
Speaker 1: And I don't think the Callen Moore cost himself a

1118
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:32,000
Speaker 1: job with that.

1119
00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:37,080
Speaker 2: I mean, like, what the fuck insane.

1120
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:42,600
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1121
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1139
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:46,920
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1140
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1145
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1146
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1147
00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:07,960
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1148
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1149
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:13,239
Speaker 4: much for listening. Let's get back to the show.

1150
00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:17,840
Speaker 3: Let's get into Best of the Rest, which is a

1151
00:55:17,840 --> 00:55:20,960
Speaker 3: game we did not talk about in any other segment.

1152
00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:23,759
Speaker 3: All right, stuck, We got the Niners Packers. Still some

1153
00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:27,120
Speaker 3: question marks here is how healthy Jimmy Garoppolo is. He

1154
00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:29,880
Speaker 3: practiced on a limited basis. Probably gonna give it a go,

1155
00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:34,279
Speaker 3: but that is worrisome, you know. Obviously, I think the

1156
00:55:34,400 --> 00:55:37,600
Speaker 3: Niners set up well in terms that they can run

1157
00:55:37,640 --> 00:55:39,680
Speaker 3: the ball, and the Packers run defense has not been

1158
00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 3: good at all. But you just figure at some point

1159
00:55:44,040 --> 00:55:46,000
Speaker 3: you're gonna have to throw it against this Packer team

1160
00:55:46,040 --> 00:55:48,840
Speaker 3: with Darren Rodgers on the other side. And so, I

1161
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,800
Speaker 3: don't know what do you make of this injury? Are you?

1162
00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:54,960
Speaker 3: Do you still like the Niners here at plus five

1163
00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:58,240
Speaker 3: and a half plus six at some spots.

1164
00:55:58,040 --> 00:56:00,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would lean forty nine ers. I mean that's

1165
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:03,120
Speaker 2: six if I knew they were at full strength. Obviously,

1166
00:56:04,000 --> 00:56:07,680
Speaker 2: Nick Bosa is obviously extremely important to the forty nine

1167
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:11,800
Speaker 2: Ers defense over the second half year has been especially

1168
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:14,160
Speaker 2: up front as playing at an incredible level. They moved

1169
00:56:14,160 --> 00:56:16,160
Speaker 2: both over to the left side with Lardy Key, and

1170
00:56:16,239 --> 00:56:17,839
Speaker 2: I think they made a lot of def You gotta

1171
00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:19,480
Speaker 2: get a credit to Damiko Rans. They made a lot

1172
00:56:19,520 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 2: of schematic changes on the defensive line that and they

1173
00:56:22,680 --> 00:56:27,160
Speaker 2: had acquired some kind of under the radar, underrated names

1174
00:56:27,160 --> 00:56:29,760
Speaker 2: that have helped on that defensive line. But Nick Bosa

1175
00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:33,920
Speaker 2: is the key, and if he can't go against Aaron Rodgers,

1176
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:37,840
Speaker 2: that's a major problem. And then you have Jimmy g

1177
00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:40,960
Speaker 2: with a thumb injury, and then what he says is,

1178
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:42,880
Speaker 2: you know, a new shoulder injury, which is worse, and

1179
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:45,960
Speaker 2: now you're going to the cold. This isn't you know indoors.

1180
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:48,840
Speaker 2: So if I think you know a thumb and that

1181
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:52,280
Speaker 2: shoulder in the cold at Lambeau, it could get ugly.

1182
00:56:53,040 --> 00:56:55,000
Speaker 2: I assume what the forty Niners are gonna want to do,

1183
00:56:55,080 --> 00:56:58,120
Speaker 2: like I kind of what I'm I'm looking at here.

1184
00:56:58,120 --> 00:56:59,239
Speaker 2: And by the way, this is when you want to

1185
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,200
Speaker 2: back Shanahan. It does on the road and as a dog,

1186
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:05,000
Speaker 2: it's very good against the spread. In both Jimmy G

1187
00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:07,600
Speaker 2: fourteen and four, fourteen and four against the spread as

1188
00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:11,319
Speaker 2: a dog seventy eight percent, covering by nine points per game.

1189
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:15,200
Speaker 2: He's thirteen and five straight up as a dog. But yeah,

1190
00:57:15,280 --> 00:57:18,280
Speaker 2: Rogers is a silly sixty nine to thirty seven and

1191
00:57:18,400 --> 00:57:21,600
Speaker 2: four against the spread at home sixty five percent, covering

1192
00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 2: by three and a half points per game, which is

1193
00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:25,960
Speaker 2: just wild because everyone's like, oh, it's Rogers at home,

1194
00:57:26,040 --> 00:57:28,480
Speaker 2: wants to bet them, and they still covers every game.

1195
00:57:29,760 --> 00:57:32,560
Speaker 2: But you know, I mean, the Packers run defense has

1196
00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:35,080
Speaker 2: been bad all year. Everyone knows that. But they should

1197
00:57:35,080 --> 00:57:38,840
Speaker 2: get some reinforcements back on the defense. You know, you

1198
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:42,600
Speaker 2: would think Jiro Alexander Smith, their defense is gonna be

1199
00:57:42,600 --> 00:57:44,120
Speaker 2: a lot healthier. And I assume they're just gonna stack

1200
00:57:44,160 --> 00:57:47,280
Speaker 2: the box and they're gonna say, Jimmy, g you beat us.

1201
00:57:47,760 --> 00:57:52,080
Speaker 2: And because they their run defensive numbers are bad if

1202
00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:55,280
Speaker 2: you look at them across the board. But you have

1203
00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:56,560
Speaker 2: to keep in mind, it's kind of like a run

1204
00:57:56,720 --> 00:57:59,240
Speaker 2: funnel defense, right, they invite you to run a bit,

1205
00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:03,560
Speaker 2: so so here they might say we're gonna stack the

1206
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 2: box and Jimmy, make you beat us, because and look

1207
00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:09,040
Speaker 2: they stopped. They did that in the first meeting they ran.

1208
00:58:09,200 --> 00:58:12,080
Speaker 2: The forty Niners look much different run offense. Now, Deebo

1209
00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 2: wasn't involved, Mitchell wasn't even in the rotation then when

1210
00:58:16,800 --> 00:58:19,600
Speaker 2: they first played earlier this season, but they held the

1211
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:22,440
Speaker 2: fort Unders of twenty carries in sixty yards. When these

1212
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:25,200
Speaker 2: two teams played back in twenty nineteen in the NFC

1213
00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:29,600
Speaker 2: Championship Game, the forty nine Ers rolled out of Packers

1214
00:58:29,600 --> 00:58:31,440
Speaker 2: are my only future that were still we were doing

1215
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:34,240
Speaker 2: the podcast. They want to think thirty seven to twenty.

1216
00:58:34,520 --> 00:58:37,200
Speaker 2: Jimmy G went like six of eight for seventy seven yards.

1217
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:39,840
Speaker 2: The forty Nunders ran it forty three times, average like

1218
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,200
Speaker 2: seven and a half yards per carry. That's all they did.

1219
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:44,480
Speaker 2: I don't think it'll be that easier, but I think

1220
00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:47,720
Speaker 2: that's gonna be the game plan. So, you know, there's

1221
00:58:47,760 --> 00:58:50,720
Speaker 2: just a lot of uncertainty with both what does Jimmy

1222
00:58:50,720 --> 00:58:53,520
Speaker 2: G look like because you can't really trust Trey Lance

1223
00:58:53,560 --> 00:58:55,760
Speaker 2: in this spot. So I think that the forty nine

1224
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 2: Ers are going to come out. They're gonna try and

1225
00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:00,000
Speaker 2: just run, run, run, I think, and then they're gonna

1226
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:03,320
Speaker 2: say shit when they have to use Jimmy G. And

1227
00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:05,240
Speaker 2: they're gonna be counting on their defense, which is playing better.

1228
00:59:05,320 --> 00:59:07,560
Speaker 2: The secondary is a lot healthier now too. And it's

1229
00:59:07,560 --> 00:59:09,960
Speaker 2: not just health, it's just confiden It's like back when

1230
00:59:09,960 --> 00:59:12,800
Speaker 2: they played the Packers Larier the season, it was like,

1231
00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:15,360
Speaker 2: I mean, the names that were in there were horrendous

1232
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 2: and then they all they all got hurt during the game.

1233
00:59:17,560 --> 00:59:19,840
Speaker 2: But you know, I want to bet a first half

1234
00:59:19,920 --> 00:59:23,280
Speaker 2: under here. It's scary knowing the Packers run dye. You

1235
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:26,080
Speaker 2: know you're going against Aaron Rodgers. But here's my case

1236
00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:29,000
Speaker 2: for it. And I wanted forty eight and twenty four.

1237
00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:31,280
Speaker 2: But it's coming down. There's weather, you have winn and

1238
00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:33,280
Speaker 2: it's gonna be freezing, and there's questions with Jimmy g

1239
00:59:33,400 --> 00:59:35,000
Speaker 2: I think the pack is gonna stack the box. They're

1240
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:38,479
Speaker 2: getting some guys back on defense, and if Nick Bosa plays,

1241
00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:40,480
Speaker 2: I think the Frank defense can have some success. The

1242
00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:44,960
Speaker 2: Packers twenty fifth in first quarter points per game, slow

1243
00:59:45,000 --> 00:59:48,280
Speaker 2: starting team all year long on offense for whatever reason,

1244
00:59:48,400 --> 00:59:51,560
Speaker 2: then they kind of Rogers diagnose it in like second

1245
00:59:51,640 --> 00:59:53,640
Speaker 2: quarter and third quarters when they explode, and then fourth

1246
00:59:53,680 --> 00:59:55,240
Speaker 2: quarter they drop off becau usually they have the lead.

1247
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:58,520
Speaker 2: You have two coaches that I think air on the

1248
00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:03,520
Speaker 2: side of caution too often in this game early on

1249
01:00:03,520 --> 01:00:06,080
Speaker 2: on like fourth downs, which might work in that favor.

1250
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:09,680
Speaker 2: But these two teams are bottom three or four in

1251
01:00:09,720 --> 01:00:13,000
Speaker 2: the league in pace, like very slow teams. And why

1252
01:00:13,000 --> 01:00:15,920
Speaker 2: I might prefer the first half under is here's the alternative.

1253
01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 2: Like Rogers is up right, So say Rogers builds a lead,

1254
01:00:20,520 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 2: do you want Jimmy g Like throwing in Lambeau to

1255
01:00:24,200 --> 01:00:25,840
Speaker 2: try and get the forty hunderds back in the game.

1256
01:00:26,280 --> 01:00:29,720
Speaker 2: He's either a healthy and they're gonna hit some passes

1257
01:00:29,720 --> 01:00:31,800
Speaker 2: and they're gonna move the ball without the clock running,

1258
01:00:31,880 --> 01:00:34,440
Speaker 2: or b he's throwing it to the Packers' linebackers and

1259
01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:37,240
Speaker 2: turning it over. Also, if the forty nine ers are

1260
01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:39,840
Speaker 2: running the ball really well and scoring, well, that means

1261
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:42,240
Speaker 2: they're running the ball really well and scoring and then

1262
01:00:42,280 --> 01:00:45,200
Speaker 2: you have Rogers playing from behind, well, you're not gonna

1263
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:49,040
Speaker 2: keep Rogers off the scoreboard in a playing from behind.

1264
01:00:49,320 --> 01:00:52,000
Speaker 2: So and another thing is the Packers tend to go

1265
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:55,280
Speaker 2: pretty conservative on defense late they have a lead. So

1266
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,920
Speaker 2: like so, I don't know, I think that there's a

1267
01:00:57,920 --> 01:01:00,600
Speaker 2: lot of avenues to a first half under twenty three

1268
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:03,360
Speaker 2: and a half. That's my look. I think there's value

1269
01:01:03,360 --> 01:01:05,160
Speaker 2: with the forty nine ers, but there's a lot of

1270
01:01:05,240 --> 01:01:08,800
Speaker 2: uncertainty with your quarterback and then your most important defensive player.

1271
01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:12,960
Speaker 2: So I get why the line is there. So that's

1272
01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:13,720
Speaker 2: my take on it.

1273
01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:17,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's you know, it's worrisome because it

1274
01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:19,560
Speaker 3: looks like what's gonna happen is Jimmy G's gonna play,

1275
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:21,360
Speaker 3: but he's just not going to be one hundred percent,

1276
01:01:21,400 --> 01:01:23,960
Speaker 3: And like you said, it's just I think the Packers,

1277
01:01:24,560 --> 01:01:27,040
Speaker 3: you know, their struggles on run defense, They're gonna come

1278
01:01:27,080 --> 01:01:28,200
Speaker 3: out at some point. I mean, this is still the

1279
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:30,440
Speaker 3: best scheme run defense, but is it going to be

1280
01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:32,880
Speaker 3: enough year? Because if they if they're stacking the box,

1281
01:01:32,920 --> 01:01:34,560
Speaker 3: they may also play some more man coverage. If they

1282
01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:37,080
Speaker 3: get Gyr Alexander back, they can play more man coverage.

1283
01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:39,720
Speaker 3: They are twentieth in man coverage rate on the year,

1284
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:42,440
Speaker 3: but that can go up if they have Alexander back,

1285
01:01:42,440 --> 01:01:44,560
Speaker 3: if they at you know, Smith back helps their pass

1286
01:01:44,640 --> 01:01:47,240
Speaker 3: rush because remember you know the numbers I quoted last week.

1287
01:01:47,280 --> 01:01:50,120
Speaker 3: You know, Deebo Samuel's yards proud against man like cuts

1288
01:01:50,120 --> 01:01:52,200
Speaker 3: in half Kittle even goes down like a full yard

1289
01:01:52,240 --> 01:01:53,720
Speaker 3: and we saw that kind of come out. You know,

1290
01:01:53,800 --> 01:01:56,640
Speaker 3: the pack the Cowboys almost equal man versus his own

1291
01:01:56,720 --> 01:01:59,160
Speaker 3: last week because they're a man heavy team, and so

1292
01:02:00,120 --> 01:02:02,840
Speaker 3: you know, you do worry a little bit about you.

1293
01:02:02,760 --> 01:02:06,280
Speaker 2: Have Alexander Stokes, Yeah, and Douglas you can play man, right,

1294
01:02:06,400 --> 01:02:09,640
Speaker 2: so you have your safeties just bracketing and Kittle and

1295
01:02:09,800 --> 01:02:12,840
Speaker 2: man and like, yeah, I can see it, and everyone

1296
01:02:12,840 --> 01:02:14,640
Speaker 2: else is just you have one safety load in the

1297
01:02:14,680 --> 01:02:17,600
Speaker 2: box you have yeah, I mean like that's I think

1298
01:02:17,680 --> 01:02:20,000
Speaker 2: kitt Will still having an advantageous matchup.

1299
01:02:19,960 --> 01:02:21,960
Speaker 3: Gun In my head, i'd actually lean Packers, like I

1300
01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:24,040
Speaker 3: hate laying the points. I would hate laying the points.

1301
01:02:24,120 --> 01:02:26,040
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll do it, you know, seeing how things shape up.

1302
01:02:26,080 --> 01:02:28,520
Speaker 3: But I just think the Packers have some advantages here,

1303
01:02:28,840 --> 01:02:31,120
Speaker 3: kind of some some some bullets left in the chamber

1304
01:02:31,400 --> 01:02:34,000
Speaker 3: with these guys coming back, almost similar to the Titans,

1305
01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:36,400
Speaker 3: where you know, on paper, it's like all this you're

1306
01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:37,160
Speaker 3: playing this hot.

1307
01:02:37,040 --> 01:02:38,400
Speaker 1: Team that no one wants to see.

1308
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:39,920
Speaker 3: But it's like when you look at the matchup a

1309
01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,440
Speaker 3: little deeper, if the Packers just play it right. I

1310
01:02:42,440 --> 01:02:45,480
Speaker 3: mean again, another guy that we've probably underrated, you know,

1311
01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:48,280
Speaker 3: is La Floor. I mean that whole coaching staff has

1312
01:02:48,280 --> 01:02:51,440
Speaker 3: been pretty on point for the majority of of you know,

1313
01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:53,040
Speaker 3: since he since they took over, I mean they do

1314
01:02:53,080 --> 01:02:53,520
Speaker 3: nothing but win.

1315
01:02:53,720 --> 01:02:53,919
Speaker 2: Yep.

1316
01:02:54,360 --> 01:02:57,240
Speaker 3: So yeah, I lean packers here, but obviously check the

1317
01:02:57,320 --> 01:02:59,680
Speaker 3: Action Network app. You can follow Stuck at Stucky too.

1318
01:02:59,680 --> 01:03:02,080
Speaker 3: You can me at Chris Raybond. That's where you'll find

1319
01:03:02,120 --> 01:03:04,160
Speaker 3: all the picks that we are making. Yeah, we'll have

1320
01:03:04,240 --> 01:03:08,320
Speaker 3: convinced me props on that that Eagles Bucks first half

1321
01:03:08,400 --> 01:03:10,440
Speaker 3: under which I ended up taking for the for the

1322
01:03:10,480 --> 01:03:11,120
Speaker 3: show and that hit.

1323
01:03:11,160 --> 01:03:12,640
Speaker 1: I was hung over as hell too. I had my

1324
01:03:12,680 --> 01:03:13,920
Speaker 1: shades on that whole show.

1325
01:03:13,920 --> 01:03:17,320
Speaker 2: And go figures it was awful at first and then

1326
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:19,920
Speaker 2: I was then then it got yeah, then it got

1327
01:03:19,920 --> 01:03:21,600
Speaker 2: a lot better, then it got dicey, and then luckily

1328
01:03:21,680 --> 01:03:23,400
Speaker 2: hurts through that pick the red Zone.

1329
01:03:24,320 --> 01:03:27,840
Speaker 3: Check Action network dot com for all of our contents.

1330
01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:30,720
Speaker 3: As Stuck mentioned, convinced me we'll have the live show

1331
01:03:31,320 --> 01:03:34,400
Speaker 3: both days on so check our Twitter Action Network HG

1332
01:03:34,440 --> 01:03:37,320
Speaker 3: Twitter handle for that. I'll post it the link as well.

1333
01:03:37,640 --> 01:03:41,520
Speaker 3: Let's get two our winners. We've selected our two favorite

1334
01:03:41,520 --> 01:03:44,880
Speaker 3: Apple podcast reviews uh to win a prize, and those

1335
01:03:45,240 --> 01:03:49,640
Speaker 3: two winning reviews come from the user names time for coffee,

1336
01:03:50,200 --> 01:03:52,320
Speaker 3: uh and Timbo Bill's Mafia.

1337
01:03:52,400 --> 01:03:53,800
Speaker 1: So thank you, Uh.

1338
01:03:53,920 --> 01:03:58,600
Speaker 3: Time for coffee and Timbo Bill's Mafia. Email podcasts at

1339
01:03:58,640 --> 01:04:02,720
Speaker 3: actionnetwork dot com to claim your prize again. That's Podcasts

1340
01:04:02,760 --> 01:04:06,960
Speaker 3: with an s at actionnetwork dot com to claim your prize.

1341
01:04:07,200 --> 01:04:09,040
Speaker 1: Thank you again to all of our listeners.

1342
01:04:09,400 --> 01:04:12,560
Speaker 3: Please keep dropping those five star ratings and reviews and

1343
01:04:12,600 --> 01:04:15,960
Speaker 3: we'll announce more wins doing our Super Bowl preview.

1344
01:04:16,400 --> 01:04:19,439
Speaker 1: Talk to you guys next week. Best of luck. Let's

1345
01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:20,120
Speaker 1: get this money.

1346
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:34,480
Speaker 2: Oh Bill's