WEBVTT - At The Money: Algorithmic Harm with Professor Cass Sunstein

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Algorithms are everywhere. They determine the price you pay for

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<v Speaker 2>your Uber, what gets fed to you on TikTok and Instagram,

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<v Speaker 2>and even the prices you pay in the supermarket. Is

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<v Speaker 2>all of this algorithmic impact helping or harming people? To

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<v Speaker 2>answer that question, let's bring in Cass Sunstein. He is

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<v Speaker 2>the author of a new book, Algorithmic Harm, Protecting People

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<v Speaker 2>in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, co written with ornbar Gil.

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<v Speaker 2>Cass is also a professor at Harvard Law School and

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<v Speaker 2>is perhaps best known for his books on Star Wars

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<v Speaker 2>and co authoring Nudge with Nobel Laureate Dick Taylor. So, pass,

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<v Speaker 2>let's just jump right into this and start by defining

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<v Speaker 2>what is algorithmic harm?

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So let's use Star Wars. So let's say the

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<v Speaker 3>Jedi Knights use algorithms, and they give people things that

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<v Speaker 3>fit with their tastes and interests and information, and people

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<v Speaker 3>get If they're interested in books on behavioral economics, that's

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<v Speaker 3>what they get at a price that suits them. If

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<v Speaker 3>they're interested in a book on Star Wars, that's what

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<v Speaker 3>they get at a price that suits them. The Sith

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<v Speaker 3>by contrast, take advantage with algorithms of the fact that

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<v Speaker 3>some consumers lack information and some consumers suffer from behavioral biases.

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<v Speaker 3>So we're going to focus on consumers first. If people

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<v Speaker 3>don't know much, let's say about healthcare product, an algorithm

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<v Speaker 3>might know that that they're likely not to know much

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<v Speaker 3>and might say, we have a fantastic baldness cure for you.

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<v Speaker 3>Here it goes, and people will be duped and exploited.

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<v Speaker 3>So that's exploitation of absence of information. That's algorithmic harm.

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<v Speaker 3>If people are super optimistic and they think that some

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<v Speaker 3>new product is going to last forever, when it tends

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<v Speaker 3>to break on first usage, then the algorithm can know

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<v Speaker 3>those are unrealistically optimistic people and exploit their behavioral bias.

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<v Speaker 2>So I referenced a few obvious areas where algorithms are

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<v Speaker 2>taking place. Uber pricing is one the books you see

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<v Speaker 2>on Amazon is algorithmically driven. Clearly, a lot of social

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<v Speaker 2>media for better or WORSEUS algorithmically driven, and even things

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<v Speaker 2>like the sort of music you like on Pandora. What

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<v Speaker 2>are some of the less obvious examples of how algorithms

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<v Speaker 2>are affecting consumers and regular people? Every day.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So let's start with us straightforward once and then

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<v Speaker 3>we'll get a little subtle. So straightforwardly, it might be

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<v Speaker 3>that people are being asked to pay a price that

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<v Speaker 3>suits their economic situation. So if you have a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of money, the algorithm knows that maybe the price will

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<v Speaker 3>be twice as much as it would be if you

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<v Speaker 3>were less wealthy. That I think is basically okay. It

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<v Speaker 3>leads to greater efficiency in the system. It's like rich

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<v Speaker 3>people will pay more for the same product than poor people,

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<v Speaker 3>and the algorithm is aware of that. So that's not

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<v Speaker 3>that subtle. But it's important. Also, not that subtle is

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<v Speaker 3>targeting people based on what's known about their particular tastes

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<v Speaker 3>and preferences. Let's put wealth to one side, and so

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<v Speaker 3>it's known that certain people are super interested in dogs,

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<v Speaker 3>other people are interested in cats. And there we go,

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<v Speaker 3>and all that is very straightforward's happening. If consumers are

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<v Speaker 3>sophisticated and knowledgeable, that can be a great thing to

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<v Speaker 3>make markets work better. If they aren't, it can be

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<v Speaker 3>a terrible thing to make consumers get manipulated and hurt.

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<v Speaker 3>Here's something a little more subtle. If an algorithm knows

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<v Speaker 3>for example, that you like Olivia Rodrigo, and I hope

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<v Speaker 3>you do, because she's really good, then there are going

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<v Speaker 3>to be a lot of Olivia or Rodrigo songs that

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<v Speaker 3>are going to be put into your system. And let's

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<v Speaker 3>say no one's really like Olivia Rodrigo, but let's suppose

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<v Speaker 3>there are others who are vaguely like her, and you're

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<v Speaker 3>going to hear a lot of that. Now, that might

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<v Speaker 3>seem not like algorithmic harm, that might seem like a

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<v Speaker 3>triumph of freedom and markets, but it might mean that

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<v Speaker 3>piece of people's tastes will calcify, and we're going to

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<v Speaker 3>get very bulkanized culturally with respect to what people see

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<v Speaker 3>in here. So they're going to be Olivia or Arigo people,

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<v Speaker 3>and then they're going to be led Zeppelin people, and

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<v Speaker 3>they're going to be Frank Sinatra people. And there was

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<v Speaker 3>another singer called Bach. I guess I don't know much

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<v Speaker 3>about him, but there's Bach, and there would be Bach people.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's culturally damaging, and it's also damaging for the

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<v Speaker 3>development of individual tastes and preferences.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's put this into a little broader context than

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<v Speaker 2>simply musical tastes and I like all of those, so

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<v Speaker 2>I haven't become bulkanized yet. But when we look at

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<v Speaker 2>consumption of news media, when we look at consumption of information,

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<v Speaker 2>it really seems like the country has self divided itself

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<v Speaker 2>into these happy little media bubbles that are either far

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<v Speaker 2>left leaning or far right leaning, which are is kind

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<v Speaker 2>of weird because I always learned the bulk of the

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<v Speaker 2>country and the traditional bell curve, most people are somewhere

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<v Speaker 2>in the middle. Hey, maybe they're center right or center left,

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<v Speaker 2>but they're not out on the tails. How does the

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<v Speaker 2>these algorithms affect our consumption of news and information?

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<v Speaker 3>About fifteen twenty years ago, there is a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>concern that through individual choices, people would create echo chambers

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<v Speaker 3>in which they would live. And that's a fair concern

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<v Speaker 3>and it has created a number of, let's say, challenges

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<v Speaker 3>for self government and learning. What you're pointing to is

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<v Speaker 3>also emphasized in the book, which is that algorithms can

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<v Speaker 3>echo chamber you. An algorithm might say, you know, you're

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<v Speaker 3>keenly interested in immigration, and you have this point of view,

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<v Speaker 3>so boy, are we going to funnel to you lots

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<v Speaker 3>of information because clicks are money, and you're going to

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<v Speaker 3>be clicking, clicking, clickling, click kicking, And that might be

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<v Speaker 3>a very good thing from the standpoint of the seller,

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<v Speaker 3>so to speak, or the user of the algorithm, but

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<v Speaker 3>from the standpoint of view, it's not so fantastic. And

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<v Speaker 3>from the standpoint of our society it's less than not

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<v Speaker 3>so fantastic, because people will be living in algorithm driven

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<v Speaker 3>universes that are very separate from one another, and they

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<v Speaker 3>can end up not liking each other very much.

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<v Speaker 2>Even worse than not liking each other. Their view of

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<v Speaker 2>the world aren't based on the same facts or the

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<v Speaker 2>same reality. Everybody knows about Facebook and to a lesser degree,

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<v Speaker 2>TikTok and Instagram and how it very much bulkanized people

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<v Speaker 2>into things. And we've seen that in the world of media.

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<v Speaker 2>You have Fox News over here, in MSNBC over there.

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<v Speaker 2>How significant of a threat does algorithmic news feeds present

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<v Speaker 2>to the country as a democracy, self regulating, self determined democracy.

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<v Speaker 3>Really significant? And there's algorithms and then there's large language models,

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<v Speaker 3>and they can both be used to create situations in which,

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<v Speaker 3>let's say, the people in some city let's call Los Angeles,

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<v Speaker 3>are seeing stuff that creates a reality that's very different

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<v Speaker 3>from the reality that people are saying, and let's say,

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<v Speaker 3>boise Idaho. And that can be a real problem for

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<v Speaker 3>understanding one another and also for mutual problem solving.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's apply this a little bit more to consumers

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<v Speaker 2>and markets. You describe two specific types of algorithmic discrimination.

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<v Speaker 2>One is price discrimination and the other is quality discrimination.

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<v Speaker 2>Why should we be aware of this distinction? Do they

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<v Speaker 2>both deserve regulatory attention?

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<v Speaker 3>So if there is price discrimination through algorithms in which

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<v Speaker 3>different people get different offers depending on what the algorithm

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<v Speaker 3>knows about their wealth and tastes, that's one thing, and

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<v Speaker 3>it might be okay. People don't stand up and cheer

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<v Speaker 3>and say hooray. But if people who have a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of resources are given an offer that's not as let's

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<v Speaker 3>say seductive, as one that is given to people who

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<v Speaker 3>don't have a lot of resources, just because the price

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<v Speaker 3>is higher for the roots than the poor, that's okay.

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<v Speaker 3>There's something efficient and market friendly about that. If it's

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<v Speaker 3>the case that people who are let's say, not caring

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<v Speaker 3>much about whether a tennis racket is going to break

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<v Speaker 3>after multiple uses, and other people who think that tennis

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<v Speaker 3>racket really has to be solid because I play every day,

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<v Speaker 3>and I'm going to play for the next five years.

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<v Speaker 3>Then some people are given the let's say, immortal tennis racket,

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<v Speaker 3>and other people are given the one that's more fragile.

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<v Speaker 3>That's also okay, so long as we're dealing with people

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<v Speaker 3>who have a level of sophistication. They know what they're

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<v Speaker 3>getting and they know what they need. It's the case

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<v Speaker 3>that for either pricing or for quality, the algorithm is

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<v Speaker 3>aware of the fact that certain consumers are particularly likely

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<v Speaker 3>not to have relevant information, then everything goes haywire. And

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<v Speaker 3>if this isn't frightening enough, note that algorithms are an

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<v Speaker 3>increasingly or an increasingly excellent position to know. This person

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<v Speaker 3>with whom I'm dealing doesn't know a lot about whether

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<v Speaker 3>products are going to last, and I can exploit that.

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<v Speaker 3>Or this person is very focused on today and tomorrow

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<v Speaker 3>and next year doesn't really matter. The person's present biased

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<v Speaker 3>and I can exploit that. And that's something that can

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<v Speaker 3>damage vulnerable consumers a lot, either with respect to quality

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<v Speaker 3>or with respect to pricing.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's flesh that out a little more. I'm very

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<v Speaker 2>much aware that when Facebook sells ads, because I've been

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<v Speaker 2>pitched these from Facebook. They could target an audience based

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<v Speaker 2>on not just their likes and dislikes, but their geography,

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<v Speaker 2>their search history, their credit score, their purchase history. Like,

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<v Speaker 2>they know more about you than you know about yourself.

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<v Speaker 2>It seems like we've created an opportunity for some potentially

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<v Speaker 2>abusive behavior. Where is the line crossed from Hey, we

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<v Speaker 2>know that you like dogs and so we're going to

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<v Speaker 2>market dog food to you to we know everything there

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<v Speaker 2>is about you, and we're going to exploit your behavior

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<v Speaker 2>biases and some of your emotional weaknesses.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So suppose there's a population of Facebook users who

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<v Speaker 3>are super well informed about food and really rational about food.

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<v Speaker 3>So they particularly happen to be fond of sushi, and

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<v Speaker 3>Facebook is going hard at them with respect to offers

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<v Speaker 3>for sushi and so forth. Now let's suppose there's another population,

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<v Speaker 3>which is they know what they like about food, but

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<v Speaker 3>they have kind of hopes and false beliefs both about

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<v Speaker 3>the effect of food on health. Then you can really

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<v Speaker 3>market to them things that will lead to poor choices.

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<v Speaker 3>And I've made a stark distinction between fully rational which

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<v Speaker 3>is kind of economic speak, and you know, imperfectly informed

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<v Speaker 3>and behaviorally biased people. Also economic speak, but it's really intuitive.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a radio show maybe This Will Bring It Home,

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<v Speaker 3>that I listen to when I drive into work, and

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<v Speaker 3>there's a lot of marketing about a product that is

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<v Speaker 3>supposed to relieve pain. And I don't want to criticize

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<v Speaker 3>any producer of any product, but I have reason to

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<v Speaker 3>believe that the relevant product doesn't help much. But the

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<v Speaker 3>the station that is marketing this product to people, this

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<v Speaker 3>pain relief product, must know that the audience is vulnerable

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<v Speaker 3>to it, and they must know exactly how to get

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<v Speaker 3>at them. And that's not in the interest of that's

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<v Speaker 3>not going to make America great again.

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<v Speaker 2>To say the very least. So we've been talking about algorithms,

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<v Speaker 2>but obviously the subtext is artificial intelligence, which seems to

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<v Speaker 2>be the natural extension and for the development of algos

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<v Speaker 2>tell us how as AI becomes more sophisticated and pervasive,

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<v Speaker 2>how is this going to impact our lives as employees,

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<v Speaker 2>as consumers, as citizens.

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<v Speaker 3>Chat GPT, chances are, knows a lot about everyone who

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<v Speaker 3>uses set. So I actually asked chat GPT recently, I

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<v Speaker 3>use it some not huge. I asked it to say

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<v Speaker 3>some things about myself, and it said a few things

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<v Speaker 3>that were kind of scarily precise about me based on

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<v Speaker 3>some number dozens, not one hundreds. I don't think of

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<v Speaker 3>engagements with chatch ept. So large language models that track

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<v Speaker 3>your prompts can know a lot about you, and if

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<v Speaker 3>they're able also to know your name, they can, you know, instantly,

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<v Speaker 3>basically learn a ton about you online, and we need

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<v Speaker 3>to have privacy protections that are working there. Still, it's

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<v Speaker 3>the case that AI broadly is able to use algorithms,

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<v Speaker 3>and generative AI can go well beyond the algorithms we've

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<v Speaker 3>gotten familiar with both to make the beauty of algorithmic engagement,

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<v Speaker 3>that is, here's what you like, here's what you want,

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<v Speaker 3>we're going to help you, and the ugliness of algorithms,

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<v Speaker 3>here's how we can exploit you to get you to buy.

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<v Speaker 3>And of course I'm thinking of investments too, so in

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<v Speaker 3>your neck of the woods, it would be a child's

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<v Speaker 3>play to get people super excited about investments, which AI

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<v Speaker 3>knows the people with whom it's engaging are particularly susceptible to,

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<v Speaker 3>even though they're really dumb, engagements.

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<v Speaker 2>Really really interesting. So since we're talking about investing, I

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<v Speaker 2>can't help but bring up both AI and algorithms trying

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<v Speaker 2>to increase so called market efficiency, and I always go

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<v Speaker 2>back to Uber's surge pricing. As soon as it starts

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<v Speaker 2>to rain, the prices go up in the city. It's

0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:47.360
<v Speaker 2>obviously not an emergency. It's just an annoyance. However, we

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:52.160
<v Speaker 2>do see situations of price gouging after a storm, after

0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:54.760
<v Speaker 2>a hurricane, people only have so many batteries and so

0:15:54.960 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 2>much plywood, and they kind of crank up prices. How

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<v Speaker 2>do we determine what is the line between something like

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<v Speaker 2>surge pricing and something like, you know, abusive price gouging.

0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 3>Okay, so you're in a terrific area of behavioral economics.

0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 3>So we know that in circumstances in which let's say

0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 3>demand goes up high because everyone needs a shovel and

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 3>as a snowstorm, people are really mad if the prices

0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 3>go up, though it might be just a sensible market adjustment.

0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 3>So as a first approximation, if there's a spectacular need

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 3>for something, let's say, shovels or umbrellas, the market inflation

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 3>of the cost, while it's morally abhorrent to many, and

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 3>maybe in principle morally abhorrent from the standpoint of standard economics,

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:53.480
<v Speaker 3>it's okay. Now, if it's the case that people under

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<v Speaker 3>short term pressure from the fact that there's a lot

0:16:56.720 --> 0:17:02.320
<v Speaker 3>of rain are especially vulnerable and some kind of emotionally

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:06.680
<v Speaker 3>intense state, so they'll pay kind of anything for an umbrella,

0:17:07.480 --> 0:17:11.880
<v Speaker 3>then there's a behavioral bias which is motivating people's willingness

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<v Speaker 3>to pay a lot more than the product is worth.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's talk a little bit about disclosures and the

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<v Speaker 2>sort of mandates that are required when we look across

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<v Speaker 2>the pond, when we look at Europe, they're much more

0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 2>aggressive about protecting privacy and making sure big tech companies

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.640
<v Speaker 2>are disclosing all the things they have to disclose. How

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<v Speaker 2>far behind is the US and that generally and are

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<v Speaker 2>we behind when it comes to disclosures about algorithms or

0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:42.000
<v Speaker 2>AI I.

0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:45.560
<v Speaker 3>Think we're behind them in the sense that we're less

0:17:45.640 --> 0:17:50.200
<v Speaker 3>privacy focused. But it's not clear that that's bad, And

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:53.920
<v Speaker 3>even if it isn't good, it's not clear that it's terrible.

0:17:54.560 --> 0:17:57.960
<v Speaker 3>I think neither Europe nor the US has put their

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 3>regulatory finger on the actual problem. So let's take the

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<v Speaker 3>problem of algorithms not figuring out what people want, but

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<v Speaker 3>algorithms exploiting a lack of information or a behavioral bias

0:18:13.800 --> 0:18:16.600
<v Speaker 3>to get people to buy things at prices that aren't

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:19.880
<v Speaker 3>good for them. That's a problem. It's in the same

0:18:20.040 --> 0:18:23.040
<v Speaker 3>universe as fraud and deception, and the question is what

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<v Speaker 3>are we going to do about it. A first line

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:29.520
<v Speaker 3>of defense is to try to ensure consumer protection, not

0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:32.960
<v Speaker 3>through heavy handed regulation. I'm a long time University of

0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 3>Chicago person. I have in my DNA not liking heavy

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 3>handed regulation, but through helping people to know what they're

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:47.000
<v Speaker 3>buying and helping people not to suffer from a behavioral

0:18:47.119 --> 0:18:52.160
<v Speaker 3>bias such as, let's say, incomplete attention or unrealistic optimism

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:55.600
<v Speaker 3>when they're buying things. So these are standard consumer protection

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:59.120
<v Speaker 3>things which many of our agencies in the US, home

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:03.840
<v Speaker 3>grown America. They've done that, and that's good and we

0:19:04.000 --> 0:19:06.639
<v Speaker 3>need more of that. So that's first line of defense.

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:12.120
<v Speaker 3>Second line of defense isn't to say, you know, privacy, privacy, privacy,

0:19:12.240 --> 0:19:14.600
<v Speaker 3>though maybe that's a good song to sing. It's to

0:19:14.680 --> 0:19:19.000
<v Speaker 3>say right to algorithmic transparency. So this is something which

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:23.520
<v Speaker 3>neither the US, nor Europe, nor Asia, nor South America

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:27.359
<v Speaker 3>nor Africa has been very advanced on. So this is

0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 3>a coming thing where we need to know what the

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:34.960
<v Speaker 3>algorithms are doing. So it's public what's Amazon's algorithm doing?

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.879
<v Speaker 3>That would be good to know, and it shouldn't be

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 3>the case that some efforts to ensure transparency invade Amazon's

0:19:43.600 --> 0:19:44.480
<v Speaker 3>legitimate rights.

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:51.080
<v Speaker 2>Really, really fascinating, thanks Cas. Anybody who is participating in

0:19:51.240 --> 0:19:56.920
<v Speaker 2>the American economy and society, consumers, investors, even just regular

0:19:57.040 --> 0:20:01.440
<v Speaker 2>readers of news, needs to be away of how algorithms

0:20:01.480 --> 0:20:05.480
<v Speaker 2>are affecting what they see, the prices they pay, and

0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 2>the sort of information they're getting. So with a little

0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 2>bit of forethought and the book Algorithmic Harm, you can

0:20:13.680 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 2>protect yourself from the worst aspects of algorithms. And AI,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Barry Redults you're listening to Bloomberg's at the Money