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Speaker 1: here at the Volume. Happy Thursday, everybody. Hope all you

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Speaker 1: guys are having an incredible week. Gonna just do a

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Speaker 1: quick show today, Just gonna talk a little bit about

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Speaker 1: the Celtics heat game last night as the Heat just

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Speaker 1: continue to do Miami Heat stuff and upset a Boston

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Speaker 1: Celtics team that is unfathomably more talented last night on

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Speaker 1: the road, winning by double figures, making twenty three threes

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Speaker 1: on fifty four percent. That's the main concept I want

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Speaker 1: to dive in today's shot variants and what went wrong

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Speaker 1: for the Celtics defensively. You guys know the joke before

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Speaker 1: we get started. Subscribe to our brand new YouTube channel

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Speaker 1: so you don't miss any more of our videos. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter, underscore JSNLT so you guys don't miss

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Speaker 1: a show announcement. So forget about our podcast feed wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your podcast under oops tonight, and then also

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Speaker 1: keep dropping mail back questions in the YouTube comments. We

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Speaker 1: hit one in yesterday's show, but we'll hit another one

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Speaker 1: or two every week throughout the rest of the playoffs

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Speaker 1: and the last. But not at least before we get started,

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Speaker 1: I want to talk to you guys a little bit

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Speaker 1: let's talk some basketball. So you know, obviously every time

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Speaker 1: that this sort of thing happens. And when I say

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Speaker 1: this sort of thing, I mean a team gets red

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Speaker 1: hot from three and makes a bunch of shots, the

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Speaker 1: conversation has a tendency to shift in the direction of

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Speaker 1: luck or shot variants or they just got red hot,

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Speaker 1: you know, making it more a product of something that's

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Speaker 1: out of your control rather than something that's in your control. Now,

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Speaker 1: before we go any further, I want to be clear.

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Speaker 1: I do believe that shot variance does play a role

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Speaker 1: in basketball games. Anybody who's ever played knows that that's

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Speaker 1: a thing. I just think it gets overplayed a little

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Speaker 1: bit when we're talking about this sort of thing. In

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Speaker 1: addition to that, I think it's absolutely pointless to focus

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Speaker 1: on in any way, shape or form as a basketball

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Speaker 1: team because it doesn't do anything for you. For all

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Speaker 1: of you guy who were listening. Yesterday, I went on

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Speaker 1: with Ethan Strauss from House of Strauss and we talked

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Speaker 1: for an hour and a half all over the place.

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Speaker 1: We talked a little bit about my origin story. We

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Speaker 1: talked about the media landscape and kind of how interesting

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Speaker 1: things have changed and new avenues to kind of get

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Speaker 1: into the industry. But towards the tail end of the

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Speaker 1: show we got into like a pretty long discussion about

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Speaker 1: the role of luck in sports and how to address

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Speaker 1: that and how to cope with that and deal with

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Speaker 1: that as a basketball team or even just as an individual.

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Speaker 1: And I thought it was super, super interesting and honestly,

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Speaker 1: flowing into last night's game, it's literally like the perfect

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Speaker 1: kind of setup. So make sure you guys check that

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Speaker 1: one out. I tweeted out the link on my Twitter feed,

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Speaker 1: but anywhere you can get House of Strauss there on

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Speaker 1: YouTube as well if you don't have the substack. But

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Speaker 1: Ethan does great work. I recommend you guys subscribe to

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Speaker 1: him on his substack as well. But make sure you

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Speaker 1: guys check that one out. But when we were talking,

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Speaker 1: as far as luck goes, there's a certain amount of

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Speaker 1: trying to take control of what you can control, right

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Speaker 1: and especially as a basketball team, as you're as you're

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Speaker 1: trying to compartmentalize something like what happened last night, you

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Speaker 1: have to focus on it from the perspective of what

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Speaker 1: you can control. So what I did this morning as

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Speaker 1: I went through and I charted every single three point

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Speaker 1: attempt that the Miami Heat attempted in this game against

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Speaker 1: the Celtics, and twenty three may threes on fifty four

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Speaker 1: percent on the surface, feels like, damn man, they just

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Speaker 1: were making everything right, Like, that's the way you're gonna

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Speaker 1: look at that. But of those of those forty three attempts,

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Speaker 1: I had twenty seven of them marked as defensive lapses.

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Speaker 1: Twenty seven out of forty three. I charted all three.

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Speaker 1: I charted all forty three three point attempts into three categories.

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Speaker 1: Make them miss, meaning you get an awesome contest and

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Speaker 1: you'd be surprised if the person makes that shot. They

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Speaker 1: only made them miss, so to speak, on five attempts,

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Speaker 1: and one of them went in. There was a heavily

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Speaker 1: contested Duncan Robinsons shot that went in, so they were

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Speaker 1: one for five. They shot twenty percent on shots that

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Speaker 1: you heavily contested. The next tier is what I call

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Speaker 1: game plan acceptable. These are threes that are like quality

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Speaker 1: looks in the sense that the person is relatively open,

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Speaker 1: has their feed set, it is rising up, but it's

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Speaker 1: either something that you kind of have to concede as

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Speaker 1: part of the coverage, or it's a player that you're

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Speaker 1: comfortable closing out short on. Okay, now, these went in

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Speaker 1: Miami's favor. They went five for eleven on these. That's

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Speaker 1: a really good percentage on those, right, Like normally you're

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Speaker 1: hoping the game plan acceptable type of shots that they

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Speaker 1: go something like three for eleven, right, But I'm a

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Speaker 1: big believer that even that one make them misshot that

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Speaker 1: went in, and the five out of eleven game plan

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Speaker 1: acceptable shots that went in, they are kind of a

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Speaker 1: byproduct of how often you let them get comfortable. Twenty

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Speaker 1: seven times in this game they let a good shooter

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Speaker 1: open by virtue of a defensive laps, and they made

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Speaker 1: eighteen of those, and that's a really really high percentage.

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Speaker 1: I want to be clear, Even there is a universe

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Speaker 1: where you play that same defensive game and they don't

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Speaker 1: shoot fifty four percent, that's the very in sliment. But

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Speaker 1: when I talk about controlling what you control, this is

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Speaker 1: this is literally what I mean. If we all agree

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Speaker 1: that on any given night, it's possible that a team

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Speaker 1: could shoot you out of the gym, if we all

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Speaker 1: just agree that that's a risk, then we have to

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Speaker 1: talk about how often it happens to you and how

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Speaker 1: often you allow it to happen to you. Because if

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Speaker 1: you control what you can control, and you avoid those

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Speaker 1: defensive lapses, and you apply ball pressure and you make

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Speaker 1: shooters feel uncomfortable, and you chase them off the line,

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Speaker 1: and you do all of these things, it is far

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Speaker 1: more likely that you will avoid the barrage. Right, might

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Speaker 1: still happen. We've all seen games where the Miami Heat

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Speaker 1: or other teams just make a bunch of threes despite

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Speaker 1: the fact that you're playing pretty damn good defense, usually

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Speaker 1: not fifty four percent. We've seen teams play really good

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Speaker 1: defense and a team still shoot forty forty two to

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Speaker 1: forty three percent from three. Right, That's something that can

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Speaker 1: happen that is out of your control sometimes. But there

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Speaker 1: if you play defense the way the Celtics did last night,

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Speaker 1: you are inviting a higher likelihood that this could happen.

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Speaker 1: And so again, like I'm not going to bury the

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Speaker 1: Boston Celtics today, I think that's that's not something that

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Speaker 1: I agree with. I think they're clearly playing down to

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Speaker 1: their competition. They are the only team in this sixteen

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Speaker 1: team field right now that is playing with a substantial

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Speaker 1: talent advantage, like a massive talent advantage everyone else. Even

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Speaker 1: series like where Giannis is out, I still think the

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Speaker 1: Pacers and Bucks are kind of close. It's mostly matchups

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Speaker 1: that I think have allowed the Pacers to tie the series. Right,

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Speaker 1: the thunder blew out the Pelicans last night, super impressive,

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Speaker 1: impressive game. They shot the three really well as well.

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Speaker 1: They are more talented than the Pelicans. But it's it's

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Speaker 1: closer than this, right, the Lakers that they have their

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Speaker 1: issues with Denver, but the talent gap isn't some sort

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Speaker 1: of massive chasm and more has to do with matchups

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Speaker 1: and the Jokics problem. Right, this series, Boston has a

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Speaker 1: gigantic talent advantage. They're playing down to their competition. Now,

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Speaker 1: where does that matter in the grand scheme? In my opinion,

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Speaker 1: as I mentioned before we got into this postseason run,

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Speaker 1: Boston is going to have a relatively easy second round too.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna get the winner of Cleveland Orlando and they're

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Speaker 1: gonna go. It'll be a smaller talent advantage than this

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Speaker 1: Miami series because Jimmy Butler's been out right and Terry

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Speaker 1: Rosier has been out But in terms of the UH,

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Speaker 1: in terms of the talent advantage versus Cleveland Orlando, it's

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Speaker 1: still relatively substantial. Right. You're gonna be feeling good and

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Speaker 1: confident in that series. So you're gonna walk into a

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Speaker 1: conference final series against a substantially better team than the

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Speaker 1: first two rounds you played, and then you could potentially

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Speaker 1: run into Denver or the team who survived the Denver

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Speaker 1: Gauntlet in the finals, and you need to be sharp

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Speaker 1: when you get there. You can't afford to drop games

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Speaker 1: early in the series because you're playing bad basketball. And so,

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Speaker 1: while I'm not out on the Celtics or like view

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Speaker 1: last night as some sort of grand indictment of their

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Speaker 1: capability of hoisting the trophy this year, it is concerning

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Speaker 1: in the sense that, like it makes me feel like

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Speaker 1: they're not all that serious. Right now, guys, wait till

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Speaker 1: you see this film. We're about to look at the

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Speaker 1: film here in a minute. It ain't pretty. There are

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Speaker 1: guys getting lost off ball all the time. They're guys

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Speaker 1: chasing Tyler Harrow around, jogging around screens. It's not pretty.

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Speaker 1: They did not have a They looked like a regular

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Speaker 1: season team in January. That's the type of effort that

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Speaker 1: we saw, not a NBA playoff team that's trying to

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Speaker 1: stomp on a team's neck. Right. And so again, like

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Speaker 1: as we kind of zoom out and go to look

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Speaker 1: at the film, I just want us to keep that

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Speaker 1: in mind, Like luck is a thing. That happens in

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Speaker 1: basketball games. Luck is the thing that happens in life.

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Speaker 1: There's a certain amount of things that are out of

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Speaker 1: your control, right, but generally speaking, you can create your

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Speaker 1: own luck. And one of the big ways to do

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Speaker 1: that in the basketball court is if you play the

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Speaker 1: right way, you minimize variance, and that goes on both

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Speaker 1: ends of the floor. But we're gonna focus on shooting

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Speaker 1: for today. So on that note, let's get into the film,

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Speaker 1: all right. So, as I mentioned before, twenty seven of

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Speaker 1: the threes were what I would consider to be defensive lapses,

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Speaker 1: and they made eighteen of them. I'm going to kind

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Speaker 1: of just as we're working through, I'll just kind of

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Speaker 1: tell you my thoughts on the coverage with each shot.

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Speaker 1: So the first three three point shots of the game,

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Speaker 1: we're all for Nikola Yovich and they were all on

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Speaker 1: pointless help here. So we have a ball screen with

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Speaker 1: Jaimihakes coming downhill here, right, So as he's coming downhill,

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Speaker 1: Porzingis is in a drop coverage. Right. In addition to that,

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Speaker 1: you have Jaylen Brown who can kind of help off

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Speaker 1: of this this corner side here, there's people in the paint,

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Speaker 1: but there's no advantage here Porzingis is in a good

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Speaker 1: position to kind of contain both of these guys. Right,

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Speaker 1: Derek White is just sagging down to the block for

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Speaker 1: no particular reason. He's not stunting, he's not doubling, I may,

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Speaker 1: He's just standing there. So we're gonna get a catch

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Speaker 1: and shoot three for nikol Jovitch. Okay, not a bad contest,

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Speaker 1: not a bad defensive possession in like the sense that

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Speaker 1: it was like a catastrophic breakdown, but you overhelped in

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Speaker 1: an unnecessary way, accomplished nothing and gave a relatively clean

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Speaker 1: catch and shoot. Look, especially within the context of the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Next one's worse by the way, Yovic just made one, right,

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Speaker 1: So now you're thinking, Okay, Yovich is feeling good, he's confident.

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Speaker 1: He just made it three. Right. We have Bam here.

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Speaker 1: BAM's working against Porzingis. Tyler Harrow is gonna come off

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Speaker 1: of a dhow Here here comes the dribble handoff coming downhill.

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Speaker 1: Porzingis is in position in the drop coverage to handle this.

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Speaker 1: You have guys digging down on the weak side. Two.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Brown is helping out of the strong side corner

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Speaker 1: for absolutely no reason on a guy who just made

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Speaker 1: a three helps out of the strong side corner, easy

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Speaker 1: read for Tyler Harrow on the kickout knocks it down.

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Speaker 1: So now two, we're two for two with Nikole Yovich,

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Speaker 1: both on overhelp possessions in ball screens. So you'd think

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Speaker 1: we're gonna take this a little bit more seriously. Now

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Speaker 1: Yovich has got it going right, Well, we have a

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Speaker 1: transition possession here. Yovich is gonna catch on the right wing. Now,

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Speaker 1: Jalen Brown knows Yovich just made two. He can see

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Speaker 1: the ball, he knows this is coming here right. So

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Speaker 1: what would you do in this circumstance. You would hard

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Speaker 1: close out to his left hand side to funnel him

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Speaker 1: back towards the baseline. And no matter what, you're chasing

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Speaker 1: him off the line because he just made two. Instead,

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Speaker 1: Jalen's gonna throw a short clothes out at him, look

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Speaker 1: short close out and just kind of offer a token

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Speaker 1: contest that one missed, but I charted that as a

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Speaker 1: defensive breakdown like that. The guy just made two threes

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Speaker 1: off of your overhelp. He's confident and comfortable. Why are

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Speaker 1: you not hard chasing him off the line. This next

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Speaker 1: one is a bam pick and pop, so again Porzingis

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Speaker 1: is in his drop coverage. Notice all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: they're not helping as much out of the corners. Then

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Speaker 1: Bam is popping. Bam shot pretty well on these pick

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Speaker 1: and pop threes and these kind of like wide open,

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Speaker 1: uncontested threes. This year, I want to say he was

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Speaker 1: like eighteen for forty or something like that, nineteen for forty,

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Speaker 1: but again, just pretty low volume, and generally speaking, as

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Speaker 1: a game plan, I consider this to be game plan acceptable.

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Speaker 1: So we're zero for one on the game plan acceptable

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Speaker 1: threes at this point. Now on this one, I viewed

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Speaker 1: this as game plan acceptable too. If you can see

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Speaker 1: here as Tyler Harrow is getting ready for this ball screen,

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Speaker 1: Jalen Brown's just kind of digging down, digging down. I

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Speaker 1: don't have a problem with as long as you're in

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Speaker 1: a position to rotate. It's when you're hard sitting down

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Speaker 1: at the nail and out of positioned to rotate that

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Speaker 1: it doesn't make sense. This is a good a good

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Speaker 1: close out, good short close out, especially at this point.

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Speaker 1: Jime hasn't made a three yet and it's early in

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Speaker 1: the game, so you're not viewing this as a Miami

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Speaker 1: Brage yet didn't have a problem with that one. This

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Speaker 1: is just a really bad pick and roll defense. There's

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Speaker 1: no ball pressure, no one's making Tyler uncomfortable, no one's

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Speaker 1: flattening out his drive. Al Horford is skewed way too

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Speaker 1: far over to Bam, so Tyler is able to kind

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Speaker 1: of get really far downhill into here. That forces porzingis

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Speaker 1: to come over, easy clean catch for Bam, easy pass

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Speaker 1: to Jovich, easy extra pass to Hakez. So again that's

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Speaker 1: just you're giving up way too easy dribble penetration in

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Speaker 1: pick and roll. So again, all three threes that Miami

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Speaker 1: has made to this point have been on defensive breakdowns.

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Speaker 1: Tyler Harrow is their best pull up shooter, right, and

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Speaker 1: this is basically triggering triggering a what a switch, right,

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Speaker 1: So normally the Celtics would switch this action right. So

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Speaker 1: essentially as that balls comes this kind of smart action

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Speaker 1: from uh from Miami to begin with. Usually, when you

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Speaker 1: are switching a screen like this, you want to make

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Speaker 1: sure you don't give up inside position for the slip,

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Speaker 1: so Jalen's dropping onto that low side. But this is

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Speaker 1: we gotta there's gotta be more ball pressure and something

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Speaker 1: making Tyler Harrow uncomfortable. Notice just from the start of

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Speaker 1: this possession, there's no contact, there's no physicality. Tyler Harrow

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Speaker 1: is just confidently and comfortably setting into a step back

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Speaker 1: jump shot. I viewed that as a defensive breakdown as well,

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Speaker 1: simply because Tyler Harrow is their best pull up shooter

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Speaker 1: and their best ball handler and you're doing nothing to

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Speaker 1: make him uncomfortable. Now we're dying on a screen with

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Speaker 1: no show. Okay, Tyler just made one. Tyler just made one.

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Speaker 1: BAM's coming up to set a ball screen. Guy on

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Speaker 1: ball is dying on the screen. No show from from

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Speaker 1: Porzingis that misses. But that's not good defense, Like you're

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Speaker 1: you're fortunate when you when you when Tyler Harrow misses

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Speaker 1: that shot. This was I thought a really uh Tyler

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Speaker 1: Harrow did a lot of this today or last night's game.

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Speaker 1: E would pick on Samer, he'd pick on Horford, get

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Speaker 1: him in switches or porzingis as well to get him

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Speaker 1: in switches and then put him into additional actions. So

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Speaker 1: we have this ball screen and then the dribble handoff right,

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Speaker 1: so that leads to the switch. So now you have

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Speaker 1: to understand the play is developing at this point, So

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Speaker 1: Tyler Harrow gets the matchup he wants. Now they're going

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Speaker 1: to flow into a ghost screen with Duncan Robinson. So

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Speaker 1: Jalen Brown is staring at this entire situation, and he's

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Speaker 1: guarding Caleb Martin, who's a guy who can make shots,

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Speaker 1: especially when he's uncontested, but a guy that you're less

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Speaker 1: worried about than Duncan Robinson. Right, So on the ghost screen,

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Speaker 1: we know we're going to get a hedge from Peyton

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Speaker 1: Pritchard because he wants to cut off that driving lane. Right,

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Speaker 1: So there's our hedge, but there's still no rotation. Jalen

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Speaker 1: Brown hasn't moved Duncan Robinson. You have to understand, as

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Speaker 1: he's just staring at this entire action, he has to

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Speaker 1: see the ghost screen coming and understand that this is

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Speaker 1: going to get open by virtue of the hedge, and

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Speaker 1: instead Duncan Robinson gets a clean look and knocks it down.

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Speaker 1: So every single three point make to this point has

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Speaker 1: been on a defensive breakdown on this one. As we

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Speaker 1: get see Peyton Pritchard just gets caught on another screen.

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Speaker 1: As a result of him getting caught on another screen,

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Speaker 1: Jalen Brown has no choice but to step up, and

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Speaker 1: Horford obviously is worried about the role. And again, Caleb Martin,

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Speaker 1: you're thinking, I'm sure there were a lot of Celtics

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Speaker 1: fans last night, like, damn it, Caleb Martin keeps making shots.

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Speaker 1: This is such bullshit. Caleb Martin always gets hot against us.

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Speaker 1: Caleb Martin wide open catch and shoot threes for the

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Speaker 1: entire regular season one point twenty four points per shot.

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Speaker 1: This is a very high quality shot for Caleb Martin.

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Speaker 1: You can't you can close out short and you can

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Speaker 1: offer token contests, you cannot leave him uncontested. He will

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Speaker 1: make that shot. He did it all season long. And

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00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 1: again we also know he's a streaky shooter, so once

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Speaker 1: he gets going with shots like this, he will make

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Speaker 1: the tougher ones. So we're still at this point. Every

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00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,720
Speaker 1: single defensive breakdown has led to a made shot. Again,

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Speaker 1: same sort of thing here that one I called game

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Speaker 1: plan acceptable. It's a transition pull up three kind of

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Speaker 1: type of shot for Caleb Martin. You live with that

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00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,359
Speaker 1: with the results there. So, by the way, they have

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Speaker 1: not made a shot yet that was either acceptable to

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Speaker 1: the game plan or well defended to the point where

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00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:11,040
Speaker 1: he made the miss. Gotta love the random transition three

383
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 1: is from Boston just a staple at this point. So

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00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:20,040
Speaker 1: so okay, Tyler Harrow has already made a three and

385
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 1: is their best ball hand alert. Nobody picks him up

386
00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 1: and he just walks into a transition pull up three, Like,

387
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,600
Speaker 1: this is not good defense, guys, they'll double drag this time.

388
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:36,360
Speaker 1: Peyton Pritchard stays attached and doesn't get screened. That's good defense,

389
00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 1: but we miss him. Hawks on the backside drives. I

390
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,399
Speaker 1: actually thought this was game plan acceptable as well, so

391
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,399
Speaker 1: as Hi May drives on Peyton Pritchard. Jim has been

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00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,359
Speaker 1: killing smaller guards and post ups most of the season.

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Speaker 1: I understood the aggressive uh the aggressive show here. I

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00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 1: think you kind of have to live with that shot.

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Speaker 1: And also I thought Tatum had a good rotation back again,

396
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Speaker 1: like you're as a game plan, you kind of have

397
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 1: to double here, really good effort and close out from

398
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 1: Tatum and you force a miss even if that goes in.

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Speaker 1: Though I kind of more or less view that one

400
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Speaker 1: as acceptable within the game plan, you know, a little

401
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 1: ghost screen action, So this one too, I put his

402
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:20,400
Speaker 1: game plan acceptable, Like you're closing out short on Hakez

403
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 1: here he just knocks down the shot, the one, the

404
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 1: one gripe, I have theirs. There's not much time left

405
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,119
Speaker 1: on the shot clock. But also it's worth mentioning like

406
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:31,879
Speaker 1: this is where things involving comfort and confidence play into

407
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 1: the equation. Guys are gonna start that's our first shot

408
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 1: that got made. That was a good like kind of

409
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 1: like an acceptable shot within the game plan. You're gonna

410
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 1: see those go in more often on nights when you

411
00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: have defensive breakdowns on twenty seven of your forty three

412
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 1: three point attempts. That's really good defense. That's that's I

413
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 1: put that one as the first one where you made

414
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,679
Speaker 1: him miss. Played excellent defense on the ball, forced him

415
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 1: into a really difficult step back contest to jump shot.

416
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:58,160
Speaker 1: You forced a miss. So for those keeping track, they're

417
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:00,679
Speaker 1: like one or one for five or one for six

418
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,199
Speaker 1: on game plan acceptable shots, and then they've made a

419
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 1: bunch of the defensive breakdown shots I had. That one

420
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,639
Speaker 1: is good defense. He's coming downhill, there's a little bit

421
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,640
Speaker 1: of a token help from a Hoarford, but he immediately

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Speaker 1: identifies the pass, closes out hard and gets a good

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Speaker 1: contest and forces a miss. This one's on Drew Holiday

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Speaker 1: and by the way, guys, there's a lot of Drew

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Speaker 1: Holiday in this set here, so like over the course

426
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 1: of the rest of this game. So Drew's on the ball,

427
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:30,160
Speaker 1: He's guarding Duncan. Right, Tatum kind of digs, recovers back out,

428
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 1: look at Drew. Watch Drew as soon as he passes.

429
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 1: As Duncan passes the ball, Drew relaxes. Duncan's already sprinting

430
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: back out to the three point line. Drew is still chilling.

431
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:44,800
Speaker 1: Drew still chilling. Now there's separation. Now it's a close

432
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,679
Speaker 1: out and Duncan beats him with a pump fake and

433
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,680
Speaker 1: that one actually misses. But that's a huge defensive breakdown.

434
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:55,880
Speaker 1: You lost connection to their best shooter. So on this one,

435
00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 1: Heywood high Smith is one of the best catch and

436
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 1: shoot guys for Miami, and not just contested, but uncontested

437
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 1: as well. He or not just uncontested, but contested as well.

438
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,640
Speaker 1: We're gonna get a guard guard action. So because both

439
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:10,879
Speaker 1: of these guys are guards, you kind of have to

440
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 1: just switch this. But instead of switching it, they treat

441
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: it like a traditional pick and roll. But either way,

442
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 1: Howser has to make the rotation here. You have to

443
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 1: rotate here because this is not BAM out of bio.

444
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:24,920
Speaker 1: You're not going to concede this shot. You have to

445
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,560
Speaker 1: chase high Smith off the line. They leave them wide open.

446
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 1: That's a defensive breakdown. So again, are you guys seeing

447
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 1: Boston make a bunch of really tough contested shots here yet,

448
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:36,399
Speaker 1: or are you seeing them make a bunch of wide

449
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 1: open shots for good shooters by virtue of defensive breakdowns?

450
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 1: It's not I don't view variants as a major factor

451
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 1: at this point in the game. Here we go, Caleb

452
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 1: Martin already made one, Kayleb Martin made a three. Howser's

453
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:53,480
Speaker 1: in pursuit. Okay, off the switch, pull back, dribble right,

454
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 1: Harrow's pulling it back. Howser's still chasing back over. He's

455
00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 1: gonna get a good contest here. Derek White just digs

456
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 1: down for no particular reason. And again we know Caleb

457
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 1: Martin uncontested threes are going in at a high rate

458
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 1: this season. Also, one other thing here, and this is

459
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,199
Speaker 1: a consistent theme. See this dynamic here. This is defending

460
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:15,479
Speaker 1: a two man game with three players, and that is

461
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 1: going to be a consistent theme, especially when we get

462
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 1: into the second half. They just too often were putting

463
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 1: a third man into ball screens and leaving shooters open

464
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: in the process. Turnover, we're out in transition, pick and pop.

465
00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: See that's the rotation. That's the rotation that I was

466
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: just calling for on the on the Haywood high Smith play.

467
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,120
Speaker 1: So again you have a guard a guard guard kind

468
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:39,679
Speaker 1: of action. Yovic obviously is a power forward, but more

469
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 1: or less a perimeter oriented player. Right, So you're getting

470
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 1: a ball screen, so they're defending it the same way

471
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 1: Horford did. Right. But notice Derek White makes the rotation

472
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,679
Speaker 1: the rotation that wasn't made on that last one. I

473
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 1: had this one as a game play discipline one too,

474
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:55,199
Speaker 1: because Caleb's catching on the on the right corner and

475
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,119
Speaker 1: he's made a couple threes, but he's primarily a slasher.

476
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 1: And you can tell this is game play and discipline

477
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,040
Speaker 1: from Houser because watch him close out to the baseline

478
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 1: side right here to handle the rip through remove. See

479
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 1: See how that's part of just understanding your personnel and

480
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 1: knowing like Caleb loves that quick rip through to the baseline,

481
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 1: especially in a rotation situation like this and you turned

482
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 1: it into a late contest. I didn't have any problem

483
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: with that. However, Caleb Martin has it going now, so

484
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 1: maybe that should color some of the coverages the rest

485
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 1: of the way. And also again, Caleb Martin got too easy,

486
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: wide open catch and shoot threes before that shot. So

487
00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 1: if your view on that shot is like, man, Caleb

488
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,679
Speaker 1: Martin's making everything, it's like, well, he's a streaky shooter

489
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 1: that you let get too clean, catch and shoot looks

490
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 1: to get his rhythm. This one is about not a

491
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:44,640
Speaker 1: dunket or Derek White getting caught ball watching a little bit.

492
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:48,439
Speaker 1: So notice Derek White is on Harrow right now. We

493
00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 1: have this two man game over here. Porzingis is in drop. Okay,

494
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,720
Speaker 1: Porzingis is in drop and is capable of handling anything

495
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: that Jovic does. Here, watch Derek White hesitate and lose

496
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: sight of Tyler Harrow's See Derek White's helping here for

497
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 1: no damn reason Porzingis is there. You even have other

498
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 1: guys on the back line. Tyler Harrow is the biggest

499
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,439
Speaker 1: threat on the floor. Derek White loses him for a

500
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 1: second and that buys that separation for Tyler Harrow. To

501
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 1: break for free on the weak side. That's another defensive breakdown.

502
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 1: It's a quality contest. Again, I still don't love this,

503
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 1: like defending every ball screen with four players thing that

504
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,159
Speaker 1: to me is just dumb overhelp. But Tatum gets a

505
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: good contest on it, at least a solid effort to

506
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 1: get out there. Also, you defend the action four on two,

507
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 1: but you still can't get the defensive rebound. Here we are,

508
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 1: guys with Jylen Brown just hits a huge three, gives

509
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:41,439
Speaker 1: the Celtics the lead. All right, guys, we're ready to

510
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 1: lock in, right, let's do this. Let's go on our

511
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 1: run now. Oh wait, no one picked up Tyler Harrow.

512
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,919
Speaker 1: You're like, you're lucky that missed. But like guys, the

513
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 1: vast majority of these attempts are defensive breakdowns, the vast

514
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 1: majority of them this one. I put his game plan

515
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,199
Speaker 1: as acceptable. Within the game plan. Again, if you're with

516
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: Tyler Harrow, you don't want to just blitz him or

517
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 1: come out way too high, because then you're just gonna

518
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:08,399
Speaker 1: exist in rotation all nights. You kind of have to

519
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 1: trust Derek White to offer rear view contests and Al

520
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 1: Horford to kind of make him at least take the

521
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 1: pull up jumper a little further out. And really all

522
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 1: that happened there is Derek White bid on that jab

523
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 1: step too much and gave up separate too much separation,

524
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 1: and that that is a clean look for Tyler Harrow.

525
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,280
Speaker 1: But that's more just Derek White has to do a

526
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 1: better job on the ball. No one's guarding Bam. We

527
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 1: got a kickout pass here. This is Drew Holliday again.

528
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 1: So watch watch as this action is taking place at

529
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 1: the top of the key. Here, watch Drew. So Drew

530
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:42,919
Speaker 1: gets switched onto Yovich. We have our ball screen. We

531
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 1: have a kick to Bam. Okay, Porzingis is there, He's

532
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 1: not compromised. There's no problem there, and you trust Porzingis

533
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,560
Speaker 1: on an island against Bam. Drew Holliday is guarding a

534
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 1: player who has already made two three pointers in this

535
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 1: game and is just sitting at the block for no

536
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 1: particular reason. Look at that. That's not good defense. This

537
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:06,639
Speaker 1: is just not This is not playoff effort. That's January

538
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 1: regular season effort. Good pursuit over the top there, Watch

539
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 1: Jalen Brown. So, Jalen Brown is guarding high mayhawkez Okay

540
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 1: once again, we have a two man game. Two guys

541
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 1: are on the ball. I understand BAM's rolling and someone

542
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 1: needs to tag him, but you need to tag him

543
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 1: with the low man, not one pass away. Jalen Brown

544
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:28,119
Speaker 1: instead is tagging one pass away Jimehawkez just relocates to

545
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 1: the top. That's another huge defensive breakdown to leave a

546
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 1: shooter open. You're very fortunate that that shot was missed.

547
00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:36,640
Speaker 1: This one is bad on ball defense. You're gonna see

548
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 1: a couple of these on harrow. So again it's a

549
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 1: This is a stagger where you're leading with a guarde screen.

550
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:44,800
Speaker 1: This is that play that the Phoenix Suns run all

551
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 1: the time, right, So like normally you want this guy

552
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: to chase, but Boston's gonna switch the first screen, right,

553
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 1: So now Tatum's on ball, but he's too passive and

554
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: passive switching again. The difference between a passive switch and

555
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 1: an aggressive switch is this. As that screen comes, look,

556
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 1: Tatum's now on harrow, but he's not meeting him on

557
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 1: the other side of the screen. Basically, if this has

558
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 1: been communicated to be a switch, you basically need Drew

559
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 1: to immediately switch on to Caleb Martin and you need

560
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 1: Tatum to aggressively meet Harrow with physicality. Instead he doesn't.

561
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 1: He's passive. Since he's passively switched, he's not in position

562
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 1: to navigate the screen that allows Harrow to break free

563
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 1: clean coming off the other side of the screen. That's

564
00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:27,200
Speaker 1: a major defensive breakdown for yet another made three. Remember correctly,

565
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 1: I think this one might be the same. Okay, so

566
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:33,080
Speaker 1: this is really good defense. I put this was the

567
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: one I put down as a make a miss that

568
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,760
Speaker 1: went in, So the one for five on make a misses.

569
00:29:38,120 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 1: This was Caleb Martin with his weird like Kobe kind

570
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 1: of drifting rip through a move like you just have

571
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 1: to live with Caleb Martin to taking that that set

572
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 1: Caleb Martin streaky shooter, gains his confidence can make tough shots.

573
00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 1: So like, the reason that went in, in my opinion,

574
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 1: is directly related to you giving him too clean catch

575
00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:58,959
Speaker 1: and shoot looks to start the game and then him

576
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 1: hitting a more contest one in the right corner after

577
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 1: that airbalald contested three for Boston. I actually put this

578
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 1: as a defensive breakdown to Tyler Harrow's red hot, red hot.

579
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:12,520
Speaker 1: Watch Jalen Brown relax here, watch him relax. See how

580
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: is he not like immediately pressing up on harrow. This

581
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: is I put this one as fortunate to have missed

582
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 1: like that that he's a red hot shooter, best shooter

583
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 1: on the floor from Miami, and you're kind of passively

584
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 1: just letting him sit there comfortably and rise up. Now

585
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 1: watch Jalen Brown. I'm just gonna put this. I'm gonna

586
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 1: put this one in slow motion. Watch watch Jalen Brown

587
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 1: jog to chase Tyler. So again, you're chasing a movement shooter.

588
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 1: This needs to be lock and trail. You need to

589
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 1: be contacting him and following him with contact. Watch Jalen

590
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 1: Brown jog. That's just not good effort. That's a red

591
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 1: hot shooter that you're jogging to chase around screens instead

592
00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 1: of physically aggressively pressuring him into whatever shot he wants

593
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 1: to take. So this is an inverted ball screen. This

594
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 1: is a difficult action to guard for the record, so

595
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 1: we have inverted ball screen. Again, big guys don't know

596
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 1: how to navigate screens. Guards typically don't understand how to

597
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: run a drop or anything along those lines, so they

598
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 1: end up switching it right. Then they immediately double Okay,

599
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 1: but here's the problem. Haywood high Smith is over here

600
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: on the right wing, and he's ready to relocate to

601
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 1: the top. What are Porzingis and Derek White. They're just

602
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 1: standing underneath the basket. They're not accomplishing anybody anything. They're

603
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:24,200
Speaker 1: not guarding anybody. There's already a double team on the ball.

604
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 1: So there's no real point in like helping here. I

605
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 1: understand you want to be in defensive rebound position, but like,

606
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 1: neither guy's in a defensive stance. They're completely upright, and

607
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 1: so of course there's just an easy swing swing to

608
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 1: Haywood high Smith at the top of the key. It

609
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 1: is so it is so appallingly bad the three point

610
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:46,120
Speaker 1: defense in this game. So like a dh O to

611
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 1: Duncan is such an obvious call here, and watch how

612
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 1: passive Tatum is in his on ball defense. You're fortunate

613
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 1: that missed this one. I put as a game plan

614
00:31:56,960 --> 00:32:00,440
Speaker 1: discipline like an acceptable within the game plan any sort

615
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 1: of two man game like this with Duncan. You have

616
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: to trust this guy to chase over the top and contest,

617
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 1: and trust Awl to cut al Horford to contain both.

618
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: You get a really good rear view contest from Howser

619
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 1: and he makes it. So again Duncan actually missed the

620
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 1: open one on the defensive breakdown, and then he made

621
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 1: the one where you did your job. So obviously variance

622
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 1: is a part of this. But again, if you look

623
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:24,080
Speaker 1: at the shot result in this game, what percentage of

624
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:25,840
Speaker 1: the shots have gone in when there's been a defensive

625
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 1: breakdown versus one there's been quality defense within the game plan.

626
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 1: Oh look, you played great defense and chase him off

627
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 1: the line the entire possession and they didn't get a

628
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 1: clean look and they missed. That was the fourth make

629
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 1: them miss attempt of the game. Drew Holiday on the

630
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 1: ball switch. Notice their attacking Howser. A lot of attacking

631
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 1: Hawser in this game. But I didn't think it was

632
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 1: his fault that things went the way they went. Drew

633
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 1: Holliday again, watch Drew so Drew switches Drew's on Delon

634
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:59,640
Speaker 1: Right now, Delon Wright relocates once again, Houser is attached.

635
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 1: Horford's in a drop. There is no reason to defend

636
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 1: this action. Three on two, Drew Holliday gets sucked in

637
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 1: for no particular reason. Al Horford is there. He's there

638
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,560
Speaker 1: and ready to help, even Tatum's in a better position

639
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 1: to tag the roller. You're allowing an easy help or

640
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 1: an easy kickout to the strong side corner for three.

641
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 1: Now he's in a close out situation. He has to

642
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 1: leave his feet. It's the exact same mistake he made

643
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 1: on the Duncan Robinson three in the first half. Duncan

644
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 1: just missed that one. Delon Wright does not miss this one.

645
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 1: Drew Holliday was a major culprit in this one. Two

646
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:34,560
Speaker 1: on the ball that one again, that's good, that's good defense.

647
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 1: Within the game plan. They're targeting Hawser again, Howser fights

648
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: over the top and gets a rear view contest. He

649
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,960
Speaker 1: did his job. Like again, those contested Tyler Harrow pull

650
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 1: up threes, they're not going to go in at nearly

651
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 1: the same rate as those two that Jalen Brown gave up.

652
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 1: Jalen and Jason Tatum gave up when they were just

653
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: jogging around trying to chase him over the top of screens.

654
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 1: So notice this is again game plan discipline from Howser

655
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 1: was really good in this one. On Delon Wright was

656
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 1: like zero point six points per pull up jump shot

657
00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 1: with Miami this season, so clearly the game plan was

658
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,480
Speaker 1: duck underneath the pick. He ducks under both picks and

659
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:11,839
Speaker 1: concedes that pull up three. That's a pull up three

660
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:15,319
Speaker 1: you're willing to give up obviously under the circumstances. Oh look,

661
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:20,560
Speaker 1: you had a really good contest on a screening action

662
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 1: of Duncan Robinson and he missed. They're not making the

663
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 1: super tough contested ones added even in the same stratosphere

664
00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 1: of percentage as they are all of these defensive breakdowns.

665
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 1: This one is a botch switch between Drew Holliday and

666
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 1: Jason Tatum. So again we have our three man action here, right.

667
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:41,840
Speaker 1: Our three man action is Harrow, high Smith and Bam

668
00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:45,479
Speaker 1: with porzingis Tatum and Drew. So the main thing here

669
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 1: is because it's effectively a double stagger, you want to

670
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 1: defend it the same way you did some of those

671
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: other double staggers we're talking about. As soon as this

672
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,280
Speaker 1: screen gets set gets set, you want Tatum to take Harrow.

673
00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 1: Tatum should be sprinting out to Harrow, and you want

674
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 1: Drew to stay on high Smith. It needs to be communicated.

675
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 1: It's clear that Tatum is running over to Harrow instead

676
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 1: Drew goes over there with them. Now they're just randomly

677
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:10,839
Speaker 1: double teaming Tyler Harrow for no reason. Okay, it's very

678
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 1: clear at this point, like right right here, Tatum should know,

679
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 1: Oh shit, Drew's recovering. Okay, no, he no longer needs me.

680
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:20,160
Speaker 1: I'm gonna sprint back. But nope, neither of them do.

681
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: They both stay on the ball, and then all Tyler

682
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:25,240
Speaker 1: Harrow has to do is just dribble off the screen

683
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,320
Speaker 1: this way and he hits Hayward high Smith wide open.

684
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 1: That's a major defensive breakdown because your guards aren't communicating switches.

685
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: Drew Holliday, Look at Drew Holiday. Now Tatum has to

686
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:38,840
Speaker 1: do a better job fighting over the screen. He just

687
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 1: walked into it. But still, even then, if Harrow looks

688
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 1: to push Downhill Porzingis is there and drop. What is

689
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 1: Drew doing? He's not doing He's not accomplishing anything in help,

690
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:52,160
Speaker 1: and he's just leaving a shooter open, still defending the

691
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 1: action three on two for no damn reason at all whatsoever.

692
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 1: And Caleb Martin's wide open. Look at this man, what

693
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 1: are they doing? What is Derek White doing? I just

694
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:05,959
Speaker 1: don't I just don't get it. I really really don't

695
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,279
Speaker 1: get it. These are all wide open looks, guys, high Smith.

696
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 1: So that's got to be a switch, right, there's our switch.

697
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 1: Here comes the ball screen. That needs to be another switch,

698
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:17,879
Speaker 1: And like, I don't I don't understand why that wasn't

699
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:22,839
Speaker 1: immediately switched the second ball screen. And Tatum's actually a

700
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 1: little bit late closing out here, and it allows Tyler

701
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 1: Harrow to get a decent look. But at least he

702
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:30,279
Speaker 1: got him to break his rhythm a little bit. And

703
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 1: then this last one I think was a Caleb Mark

704
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,560
Speaker 1: or heimhak has shot. Let's see. But this one was

705
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 1: a good look too, if I remember correctly. Yeah, just

706
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 1: a random double team from Jalen Brown that left Hawk

707
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 1: has wide open. He just happened to miss it. That

708
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 1: was forty three. So again, guys, if we really dig

709
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,760
Speaker 1: into it, do you think just be honest with yourself?

710
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 1: And I'm curious in the comment Celtics fans, if you

711
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:53,640
Speaker 1: think I'm being overly critical here, I want to hear it.

712
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:58,359
Speaker 1: Do you think the Celtics made Miami uncomfortable last night?

713
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:03,160
Speaker 1: Do you think the Celtics played Miami more into a

714
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 1: lower quality shooting game, or do you think the Celtics

715
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 1: let Miami get comfortable from the opening tip and never

716
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,880
Speaker 1: made a concerted effort to try to break their rhythm

717
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 1: with multiple defensive efforts and making them uncomfortable at the

718
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,359
Speaker 1: three point line. Just be honest. I want to hear.

719
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 1: I want to hear if you guys disagree with me.

720
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 1: And again, like, we also know that there's a psychological

721
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 1: element to this series. Jimmy Butler is talking shit on Instagram.

722
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:33,760
Speaker 1: We know Eric Spolstra is going to play into variance

723
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:35,879
Speaker 1: as much as possible. I would not be surprised if

724
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:38,160
Speaker 1: shoot a ton of threes was the game plan coming

725
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 1: into the game, because we're not as talented and we

726
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:42,280
Speaker 1: need to find a way to try to close the gap.

727
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:45,399
Speaker 1: You know this is coming, you know this is how

728
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 1: they're going to try to beat you. And I don't

729
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 1: look again, I'm not changing my opinion on the Celtics

730
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 1: at all. I still view them as a as the

731
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: second best contender in the league with a legitimate shot

732
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,400
Speaker 1: to beat Denver if they were to get out of

733
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:58,760
Speaker 1: the West and they were to get out of the East.

734
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 1: I still believe in this team, but last night was

735
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 1: not a strong indicator of where their focus is at

736
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,600
Speaker 1: right now, and they're gonna have to sharpen that up

737
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 1: or they're gonna fall into a hole against the team

738
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:13,720
Speaker 1: that they're better than, like in the Eastern Conference finals,

739
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 1: or a team that they're relatively even with, if not

740
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:19,400
Speaker 1: a little bit worse than in Denver in the NBA Finals.

741
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 1: Things need to get sharpened up before we get to

742
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 1: that point. And again, when we talk about shot variants,

743
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,399
Speaker 1: I'm not saying it doesn't exist. I'm not saying it's

744
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:29,880
Speaker 1: not a part of a game. But that was pretty

745
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 1: clear evidence that Boston played a defensive game that is

746
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:36,759
Speaker 1: likely to lead to a shooting barrage, and it did.

747
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 1: There were a lot of clean looks in that game

748
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:41,880
Speaker 1: that Miami missed. And so again, like that's one of

749
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: those things where it's so easy to be like, oh,

750
00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 1: they got one point six to two points per catch

751
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 1: and shoot three in this game. That's kind of ridiculous,

752
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:51,919
Speaker 1: and it's like, yeah, you're you're not wrong in terms

753
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 1: of that being a highly productive three point shooting game.

754
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:57,920
Speaker 1: But if you actually dig into the basketball, basketball is

755
00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 1: more art than science. If you actually dig in the basketball,

756
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:03,320
Speaker 1: those are really high quality shots that we're getting missed.

757
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 1: All right, guys, That is all I have for Today

758
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: is always as sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting the show.

759
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: We're gonna be back tonight live on YouTube. Out to

760
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,200
Speaker 1: the final buzzer of Nuggets Lakers. I will see you guys.

761
00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:37,760
Speaker 1: Then the volume