1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 3: Karen, we begin this morning with the latest on the 5 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 3: war in Ukraine. President Donald Trump is expected to speak 6 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 3: today with Russia's Vladimir Putin. 7 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:25,640 Speaker 4: The US is pressing for Russia. 8 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 3: To agree to a thirty day ceasefire that Ukraine has 9 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,159 Speaker 3: said it's ready to accept. However, Putin has insisted on 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 3: a number of conditions before committing to any truth. Speaking 11 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 3: to reporters, President Trump sounded a positive note on the 12 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 3: prospects for the call. 13 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 5: It's a band situation in Russia and it's a band 14 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,920 Speaker 5: situation in Ukraine. What's happening in Ukraine is not good. 15 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 4: But we're going to see if we can work. 16 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 5: A peace agreement to ceasefire and peace, and. 17 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 4: I think we'll be able to do. 18 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 3: The news website Semaphore is reporting that the White House 19 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 3: is considering recognizing Crimea as Russian territory in a future agreement. 20 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan Trump has already spark concerns that he may 21 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 2: sacrifice Kiev's interest in a deal after his comments over 22 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 2: the weekend that the US and Moscow are already talking 23 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 2: about quote, dividing up certain assets. Julie Norman is a 24 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 2: professor at University College London. 25 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 6: Obviously there's this discussion now of a thirty day ceasefire. 26 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 6: Ukraine has agreed to it. Putin has not said no, 27 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 6: but has certainly said there are going to be major 28 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 6: conditions and things he wants to discuss. We heard from 29 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 6: Trump's envoy over the weekend that they're moving closer to 30 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 6: some kinds of agreement. But I think what's really going 31 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,199 Speaker 6: to be on the table is what does Putin actually 32 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 6: want and how willing is Trump to essentially give it 33 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 6: to him. 34 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: University College London professor Julie Norman and European leaders so 35 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 2: made no secret of their concern that Trump maken seat 36 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: on points that could weaken both Ukraine and Europe security 37 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 2: in a one on one exchange with Putin. 38 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 3: And along with that exchange, Karen President Trump says Chinese 39 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 3: President Shei Jinping will visit Washington in the not too 40 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 3: distant few mature. The Wall Street Journal has reported US 41 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,639 Speaker 3: and Chinese officials they are discussing a possible birthday summit 42 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 3: between the two leaders in June. 43 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 4: Talks are currently stuck at low levels. 44 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 3: China has said it hasn't gotten clear steps on what 45 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 3: to do about fentanyl to have tariffs lifted. 46 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan, we have new developments in the war in 47 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 2: the Middle Aged. Israel has launched a series of air 48 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:23,839 Speaker 2: strikes on Gaza, effectively ending a nearly two month ceasefire. 49 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Etaniell, who says his government will 50 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 2: go after Hamas with increasing military strength for failing to 51 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 2: release the remaining hostages. We get more from Bloomberg's Dan 52 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 2: Williams in Jerusalem. 53 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 7: Really, this resumption of fighting was just a matter of time. 54 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 7: There may be an element of tactical surprise here. Indeed, 55 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:48,519 Speaker 7: israel Is really public opinion was largely diverted in recent 56 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 7: hours by internal discussions about the fate of Israel's shinn't 57 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 7: Bet security chief, his termination. It could be that discussion 58 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 7: was actually meant to provide a smoke screen for the 59 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 7: resumption of these Israeli. 60 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 2: A Bloomers Dan Williams reports Hamas still holds about sixty 61 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 2: Israeli hostages. Hamasas more than three hundred people have been 62 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 2: killed or are missing in the air strikes. 63 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 3: And the rising tensions in the Middle East have oil 64 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 3: on the rise for a third straight day. Karen Right now, 65 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 3: Nymex Crewed is up one point two percent, trading at 66 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 3: sixty eight dollars forty one cents per barrel. As for 67 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 3: equity markets, futures are modestly lower after two straight days 68 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 3: of games on Wall Street. More than ninety percent of 69 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 3: the companies in the sm P five hundred rows yesterday. 70 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:34,079 Speaker 3: Phil Orlando is chief equity market strategists at Federated Hermes. 71 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 8: It's your long term investor. I couldn't disagree with you 72 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 8: starting to nibble here, but in terms of getting an 73 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 8: all out, full blown market capitulation signal, I don't know 74 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 8: that we're quite there just yet. 75 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 3: Infederated Hermi's equity strategist fil Orlando notes the Magnificent Seven 76 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 3: did not participate in the comeback. A gauge of those 77 00:03:57,400 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 3: megacaps fell one point one percent. 78 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 2: Well. Nathan, one of the mag Seven, will be in 79 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: focus today, and Video CEO Jensen Wong is expected to 80 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 2: unveil more about the firm's next generation AI ships at 81 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 2: its annual Developers conference in Bloomberg's Tom Busby has more. 82 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 9: At today's annual GPU Technology Conference, CEO Hu Wog is 83 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 9: expected to update developers, shareholders, analysts, employees, and others on 84 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 9: the company's next generation Blackwell Ultra AI chip, promising in 85 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 9: February quote some really exciting things to share. Also expected 86 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 9: comments on gross margins, China, competitors, and growth now. This 87 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 9: address comes at a critical time for Video, which has 88 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 9: seen at share price fall about eleven percent so far 89 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 9: this year, amid fears that the AI boom may have peaked, at. 90 00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 4: Least for now. Tom busby Bloomberg Radio. 91 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 3: All right, Tom, thanks and other tech news this morning, 92 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:52,359 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News has learned alphabets and talks to purchase cloud 93 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 3: security company Whiz for thirty three billion dollars. The deal 94 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 3: would be the Google parents largest acquisition to date and 95 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 3: could help it catch up with Microsoft and Amazon in 96 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 3: the competitive cloud computing market well in Asia. 97 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 2: A Nathan consumer sentiment on the rise in China and 98 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 2: a new survey by Deutsche Bank, fifty four percent of 99 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 2: respondents say they feel financially better off than a year ago. 100 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 2: That's up from forty four percent on average in twenty 101 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 2: twenty four. Sixty percent of respondents anticipate an income increase 102 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 2: in the year ahead. 103 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 3: Well back here in the US, Karen, federal agencies say 104 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:28,160 Speaker 3: they fired nearly twenty five thousand probationary employees since inauguration Day. 105 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 3: Let's get the latest done that with Bloomberg's John Tucker. 106 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:32,159 Speaker 4: John, Good morning, Nathan. 107 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 10: These figures actually come from the Trump administration after they 108 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 10: were demanded by a judge. It's the fullest accounting yet 109 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 10: of cuts in the federal workforce. The Treasury Department fired 110 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:45,920 Speaker 10: the largest percent of its workforce at seven percent. That's 111 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 10: about seventy six hundred employees. Agriculture fired six percent of 112 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 10: its employees. The abrupt firings led to lawsuits in California 113 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 10: and Maryland to judges ordered to slew of agencies to 114 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 10: temporarily reinstate the employees. The Trumpet administration is appealing those rulings. 115 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:03,679 Speaker 10: I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 116 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 2: All right, John, thank you. Well, elsewhere in Washington, the 117 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 2: latest move by President Trump's government cost cutting drive has 118 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 2: gotten the police involved. The US Institute a piece says 119 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 2: staffers with elon must Department of Government Efficiency forced their 120 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 2: way into the building last night. That led to a 121 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:22,919 Speaker 2: standoff between the Institute's acting president, George Moose, and the 122 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 2: man that Trump administration wants to replace him with, Kenneth Jackson. 123 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 2: Moose says he's backing down for now. 124 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 11: DC police showed up at my office and said it's 125 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 11: time for you to go. And I didn't think, given 126 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:38,359 Speaker 11: who they are and what they have at their disposal, 127 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 11: that had made a whole lot of sense for us 128 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 11: to put anybody in Tarn's way by resisting. 129 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 2: Georgia Moose says the US Institute of Peace is not 130 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 2: a government agency, but an independent nonprofit that receives its 131 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 2: funding directly from Congress and Karen. 132 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 3: After nine long months, two NASA astronauts are finally leaving 133 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:57,919 Speaker 3: the International Space Station on. 134 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 8: Dock and confirmed is free of its moorings. Sonny Williams 135 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 8: and Butch Wilmore began their the latest trip. 136 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 3: Home mission controlling Houston captured the moment the SpaceX Dragon 137 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 3: capsule left the station early this morning. It is now 138 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 3: due to splash down along the Florida coast around six 139 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 3: o'clock this evening Wall Street time. Butch Wellmore and Sunny 140 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 3: Williams were only supposed to stand the station for eight days. 141 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 3: Back in June, but NASA decided to bring them home 142 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 3: on SpaceX in August. That's because of technical issues on 143 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 3: the Boeing spacecrafts that brought them there. 144 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 2: And it's time now for a look at some of 145 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 2: their stories making news in New York and around the world. 146 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 2: And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr. Michael, 147 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 2: good morning, Good. 148 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 12: Morning, Karen. There was a problem with a Delta flight 149 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 12: at LaGuardia Airport in New York City and investigation is 150 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 12: underway after the wing of the Delta jet clipped the 151 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,960 Speaker 12: runway as it was landing. The plane, with eighty people 152 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 12: on board, was arriving Sunday night from Jacksonville. The pilots 153 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 12: executed to go around and landed safely. A federal judge 154 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 12: is pressing Justice Department lawyer on whether the Trump administration 155 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 12: violated his order concerning the deportation of a group of 156 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 12: Venezuelan migrants being removed under the Alien Enemies Act of 157 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:13,119 Speaker 12: wartime law. The judge had told the administration to hold 158 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 12: off on the deportation, but the migrants were deported anyway. 159 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 12: Deputy White House Staff Stephen Miller. 160 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 13: The President is operating at the APEX of his authority 161 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 13: when you were dealing with questions of invasion and questions 162 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 13: of alien enemy infiltration, as well as the expulsion of 163 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 13: terrorist illegal aliens from the country. 164 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 12: However, Yale Law School professor Harold co said, in this case, 165 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 12: invoking the Alien Enemies Act is illegal. 166 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 14: It's a blatantly illegal invocation of that statute to send 167 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 14: these people abroad. 168 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 12: Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer is postponing several planned events 169 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,719 Speaker 12: this week to promote his new book over security concerns. 170 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 12: It came after criticism from the party's liberal base over 171 00:08:56,080 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 12: Schumer's vote to move forward with GOP spending legislation last week. 172 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 12: Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you 173 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 12: want it with the Bloomberg News Now, Michael Barn, this 174 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 12: is Bloomberg here all right. 175 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 2: Michael Barr, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports update, 176 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: brought to you by Try State Outy. Here's John Stashower. 177 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 4: John, good morning, Good morning. 178 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:20,839 Speaker 14: Hearing the Knicks back home. They were away from the 179 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 14: Garden for eleven days. Plays five games during that trip, 180 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 14: during which time they lost Jalen Brunson. He's gonna miss 181 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,000 Speaker 14: likely another couple of weeks. Miami led early on twelve 182 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 14: to nothing. Knicks came back in the second quarter. They 183 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 14: had a fifteen to nothing run with Karl Anthony Town 184 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 14: scoring all fifteen, then the next one the third quarter 185 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,200 Speaker 14: forty one to fifteen, their most lopsided corner of the season. 186 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 14: They beat the Heat won sixteen ninety five. Mchal Bridges 187 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 14: scored twenty eight points. Josh Hart had his eighth triple 188 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 14: double of the season. The Devils won two to one 189 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,600 Speaker 14: at Columbus that helps the Rangers. The Blue Jackets one 190 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 14: of the teams the Rangers are vine with for a 191 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:54,439 Speaker 14: playoff spot. 192 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:55,600 Speaker 4: The Rangers are at the Garden. 193 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 14: Tonight against Calgary and CAA tournament begins tonight as always 194 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 14: in Dayton, with two first four games, two more there 195 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:05,559 Speaker 14: tomorrow before the Attorney begins in Earnest on Thursday. 196 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 4: In Tokyo this morning, two. 197 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 14: Japanese pitchers on the mat as the Dodgers and Cubs 198 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 14: play the first regular season game of twenty twenty five. 199 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 14: Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the defending world champion Dodgers showed to 200 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 14: Imanaga for the Cubs. Shoe a Otani will be dh 201 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 14: JJ Spondut is t shot on a. 202 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 12: Seventeenth hole into the water. 203 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 14: That was all Rory McElroy needed to win the Players 204 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 14: Championship in a playoff. 205 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 4: Jon Stanhanwick, Bloomberg Sports Kary Nathan. 206 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 1: Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM, 207 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 1: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 208 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 209 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 4: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. 210 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 3: On the morning President Trump is scheduled to speak with 211 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:52,680 Speaker 3: Russian President Vladimir Putin. The US President is sounding hopeful 212 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:55,680 Speaker 3: Russia will agree to a ceasefire with Ukraine today. 213 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 4: We're gonna have a very important call. 214 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:01,840 Speaker 5: You know, We've had calls getting down to a very 215 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:06,000 Speaker 5: critical stage and we want to get the whole Russia 216 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:08,960 Speaker 5: Ukraine thing done. 217 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 3: But there are questions about what the President will do 218 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,599 Speaker 3: when it comes to the conditions Russia wants before it 219 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 3: will stop the fighting for more. We're joined by Tina Fordham, 220 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 3: founder of Fordham Global Foresight. Good morning, Tina, to put 221 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 3: it in President Trump's words, what are the chances that 222 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 3: the Russia Ukraine thing gets done today? 223 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 4: Good morning, Good morning. 224 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 15: I think that chances are slim in fact, despite the 225 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 15: President's optimism, we can see the seeds and what a 226 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 15: likely response is from Vladimir Putin in that it tends 227 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 15: to be something like yes, but yes, we're happy for 228 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 15: a ceasefire, but followed by a list of conditions which 229 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,599 Speaker 15: are unlikely to be acceptable. 230 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 3: Some of those conditions, it sounds as though President Trump 231 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 3: has been alluding to already talking about dividing land, dividing 232 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 3: power plants. What does that tell you. 233 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 15: Well, first of all, this is extraordinary, it suggests in 234 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 15: more than suggests, it highlights the extent to which the 235 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 15: White House position is very closely aligned with that of 236 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 15: the Kremlin. And that's a reversal, of course of US policy, 237 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 15: not just since the full scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia, 238 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 15: but going back to the Maidan. So this should be worrying, 239 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:34,679 Speaker 15: not just for anyone concerned about Russia and Ukraine, but 240 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 15: indeed for wider European security, and China and other powers 241 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 15: will be taking note. 242 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 3: Are you suggesting that the President is putting himself at 243 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 3: complete cross purposes with Europe in an alignment with Russia 244 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 3: as Europe tries to assemble what it's been calling a 245 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 3: coalition of the willing to support Ukraine. 246 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 15: I think that Europe is being very pragmatic in this 247 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:08,560 Speaker 15: moment in terms of trying to develop a peacekeeping force 248 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 15: that could indeed keep the peace on whatever terms are agreed, 249 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 15: which look likely to include significant concessions by Ukraine on territory. 250 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:22,599 Speaker 15: But here is where you don't have to be a 251 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 15: close student of history to recall that Vladimir Putin never 252 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 15: met an agreement that he didn't eventually violate. So, to 253 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 15: my mind, as a Russia watcher of thirty years standing, 254 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 15: it's only a matter of time before the ceasefire is violated, 255 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 15: and that's where anticipation of the so called Putin trade 256 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,679 Speaker 15: may be running a bit faster than the peace process. 257 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 3: Do you see any aspect of the agreement that the 258 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 3: US reached with Ukraine that supports Ukraine in terms of 259 00:13:56,760 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 3: what the President might be willing to provide following these 260 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 3: talks today with Russia's Putin, Well, from what. 261 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 15: I recall, what the President has suggested is that the 262 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:15,120 Speaker 15: agreement on a rare earth minerals deal would be a 263 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 15: de facto security agreement for Ukraine because there would be 264 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 15: US personnel, And the suggestion from President Trump is that 265 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 15: Russia wouldn't dare to attack with that in place. I'm 266 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:30,720 Speaker 15: not sure that that holds up to scrutiny, and it 267 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 15: certainly wouldn't be consistent with any other kind of post 268 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 15: conflict settlement. A bad piece really is worse than no peace. 269 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 3: And while the President is pushing for this at least 270 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 3: temporary piece between Russia and Ukraine, it looks like the 271 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 3: truce between Israel and Hummas after nearly two months, is 272 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 3: shattered at this point, with Israel mounting multiple air strikes 273 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 3: on Humas in Gaza, what is it going to take 274 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 3: to get that process back on track. 275 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 15: Well, the attacks in Gaza, or the resumption of attacks 276 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 15: in Gaza, of course, follow some pretty serious round of 277 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 15: US led strikes against Huti rebels in the Red Sea, 278 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 15: so we've had several days of bombardment following the end 279 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 15: of the ceasefire agreement. And all of this suggests that 280 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 15: Israel will be able to continue to press its war 281 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 15: aims when it comes to the situation in Gaza, and 282 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 15: that it has US backing. 283 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 4: To do so. 284 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 15: And then don't forget that on truth social President Trump 285 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 15: has also issued some pretty serious threats to Iran and Iran, 286 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 15: the Houthi rebels and Palestinian support is what the US 287 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 15: is backing Israel against. 288 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 4: No just thirty seconds left, Tin. 289 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 3: But we've heard a lot of criticism from the families 290 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 3: of hostages about this remounted military operation. Where does this 291 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 3: leave Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Natanyahu? 292 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:17,320 Speaker 15: Well, Natanya, who is really the ultimate political comeback kid, 293 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 15: isn't he? And he has been able to maintain his 294 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 15: support long enough to again press his war aims. The 295 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 15: rather extraordinary peace proposal or you know, resettlement proposal in 296 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:43,000 Speaker 15: Gaza has been rejected by Arab states, by Palestinians themselves, 297 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 15: but we're at a stalemate, and the last reports I've 298 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 15: seen have been about suggestions that some countries in Africa 299 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 15: might take Palestinians, which would not be acceptable to the 300 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 15: Palestinian side. 301 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberry Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 302 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 2: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 303 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 3: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 304 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:10,680 Speaker 3: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 305 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 306 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,400 Speaker 2: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 307 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,400 Speaker 2: in New York Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 308 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 2: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 309 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 2: XM Channel one twenty one. 310 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:25,879 Speaker 4: Plus. 311 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 3: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App now 312 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:31,160 Speaker 3: with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. 313 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,359 Speaker 2: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's 314 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 2: the latest news whenever you want it in five minutes 315 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,360 Speaker 2: or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast 316 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 2: platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. 317 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 4: And I'm Nathan Hager. 318 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 3: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 319 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:49,920 Speaker 3: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg. 320 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 13: Dabraay