1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,679 Speaker 1: Well, we were talking a moment ago about the news 2 00:00:02,680 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: from FedEx after the bell, the company withdrawing its annual 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:10,280 Speaker 1: earnings forecast and saying at the same time preliminary results 4 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: for the current quarter fell short of estimates. Let's get 5 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg's lead Class Cowie is a transportation and logistics 6 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. Lee, thanks for being with us, 7 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: just judging when you look at the stock in late trading, 8 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: scent of the downside. This must have been a huge 9 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: shock here. What's up coming under the hood here? What's 10 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: going on? Yeah, I mean, sentiment for shares of FedEx 11 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 1: is and pretty low for quite some time, and this 12 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 1: is just another kick in the teeth I guess the shareholders. Uh. 13 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 1: The end of the day is that, you know, like 14 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: a slowing economic activity in uh around the world is 15 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: really impacting its ground and express business. Um, you know, 16 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: we were hoping to see some green shoots of positivity 17 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: from it's a T and T acquisition that it made 18 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: a number of years ago. But you know, because that 19 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: that that that organization was finally fully integrated into FedEx Express. 20 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: But that's gonna take some time. It seems like it's 21 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: just less demand and higher costs really weighing not only 22 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 1: on revenues but earning. Um. You know, it's worth noting that, 23 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 1: you know, consensus um the numbers for their ground business 24 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: was more or less in line with consensus expectations, but 25 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 1: Express was about five lower on the top line. Uh. 26 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: And just the color about you know, the uncertainty that 27 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: is driving management to pull their full year guidance is 28 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: also probably spooking investors as well. Yeah, so no guidance, 29 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: But what's the plan? Do we get any detail on 30 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: this house pittis going to get out of this hole? 31 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 1: And what do we know about potential cost cutting? Yeah? 32 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: I mean they list the whole uh, a whole bunch 33 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: of actions that they're going to do, including you know, 34 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: parking some aircraft, reducing the number of flights that they have, um, 35 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: you know, closing some of their FedEx office locations. I 36 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 1: think they said about ninety differ some of the hiring 37 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 1: that they were planning on doing. Uh, and also kind 38 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: of delay some of the CAPEX programs that it was 39 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 1: planning on doing as well. Um, you know, and this 40 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:19,119 Speaker 1: is supposed to you know, mitigate some of the um 41 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: not only the higher costs that they're that they're facing, 42 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 1: but also I guess better aligned the resources for their 43 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: network to match more closely to the demand that they're seeing. Um. 44 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: You know, obviously the you know, the closures in in 45 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: China to to COVID have had a lot of impact 46 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: in terms of economic activity that are coming and going 47 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: in and out of that country. Uh. And then obviously 48 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: the inflationary pressures that you're facing, especially as it relates 49 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: to energy prices because of you know, the ongoing war 50 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: in Ukraine is also creating some weakness. You know, we 51 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 1: we would also you know, I guess a little positive 52 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 1: is that the US consumer tends to be a little 53 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 1: stronger than those outside of the US, So that might 54 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: you know, be a welcome signed for it's a ground business, 55 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: and it's less than truckload business, which is FedEx straight um, 56 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 1: you know, that continues to do very well. They are 57 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 1: facing probably lower volumes and the details yet, but the 58 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: pricing environment for less than truckload remains pretty strong at 59 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,679 Speaker 1: mid single digits at least that's what we're seeing for 60 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 1: other carriers. So we use this company kind of as 61 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: a proxy for the global economy. Lead very quickly twenty 62 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: seconds or So, is there one region of the globe 63 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: that that is really a very weak right now and 64 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: that would cast the FedEx performance in doubt going forward. 65 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's more or less what's going 66 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: on in Europe followed followed, followed probably by China, and 67 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: then in the the United States. I think Europe is 68 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: the weakest lead. Good stuff. Thank you so much for 69 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: making time to chat with us, League class Cow there. 70 00:03:56,440 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: He is transportation and logistics analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence, joining 71 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: us here on daybreak. Ocasion