WEBVTT - I Believe Science

0:00:09.760 --> 0:00:15.000
<v Speaker 1>Broadcasting live from the Abraham Lincoln Radio Studio, the George

0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Washington Broadcast Center, Jack Armstrong and Joe, Katty Armstrong and

0:00:19.880 --> 0:00:26.200
<v Speaker 1>Jetty and Gee arms Wrong Get.

0:00:25.960 --> 0:00:38.000
<v Speaker 2>It live from the studio Sea signor Teep within the

0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:40.800
<v Speaker 2>bowels of the Armstrong and Giddy Information Complex.

0:00:40.840 --> 0:00:46.199
<v Speaker 1>This is the Armstrong in Getty Show Live, Tuesday, October

0:00:46.240 --> 0:00:48.400
<v Speaker 1>twenty second, the Year of Our Lord twenty twenty four.

0:00:48.440 --> 0:00:52.199
<v Speaker 1>This morning, laboring under the tutelage of Honorary General Manager,

0:00:52.720 --> 0:00:55.120
<v Speaker 1>the Poles is in. I don't want to hear another

0:00:55.320 --> 0:00:58.280
<v Speaker 1>stinking word about the polls. I can wait till the

0:00:58.520 --> 0:01:08.039
<v Speaker 1>two weeks from Tuesday. Whatever it is enough analysis. I

0:01:08.080 --> 0:01:12.280
<v Speaker 1>believe mister Armstrong is approaching the studio rapidly. I saw

0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the the text, Michael, could you interpret that for me?

0:01:15.160 --> 0:01:18.679
<v Speaker 1>Is on as well? Yeah, he should be on his way. Great, Well,

0:01:18.680 --> 0:01:21.399
<v Speaker 1>I hate to get a head of steam going have

0:01:21.560 --> 0:01:26.279
<v Speaker 1>him walk in interrupt with this gibberish as often happens. Katie,

0:01:26.319 --> 0:01:27.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm not wrong, but am I wrong?

0:01:28.080 --> 0:01:31.160
<v Speaker 3>No'm not gonna argue with you on that one.

0:01:31.400 --> 0:01:38.679
<v Speaker 1>Yeah oh there, right, yeah, yeah, anyway, yeah, okay, oh

0:01:38.720 --> 0:01:42.920
<v Speaker 1>hey there's Jack play the door. My hey, it is Hey,

0:01:43.040 --> 0:01:47.280
<v Speaker 1>look it's Jack. What's the giggling about. You're walking around

0:01:47.560 --> 0:01:49.320
<v Speaker 1>you break giggling and everybody looks at you. I've had

0:01:49.400 --> 0:01:53.280
<v Speaker 1>that happen before. You're talking about the World Series coming up?

0:01:53.360 --> 0:01:56.920
<v Speaker 1>Love that Yankees? Uh, what you do? I'm going to

0:01:56.960 --> 0:01:59.320
<v Speaker 1>get the Dodgers had today. That's my goal is go

0:01:59.320 --> 0:02:01.960
<v Speaker 1>to the mall and get a today. Wow. Well that

0:02:02.080 --> 0:02:05.080
<v Speaker 1>heavily on the Yankees, folks. That's right, that's right. I

0:02:05.120 --> 0:02:08.360
<v Speaker 1>do have that effect. Superhuman, your your Greek godlike ability

0:02:08.400 --> 0:02:13.200
<v Speaker 1>to alter the outcome of events. You are the god

0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:18.880
<v Speaker 1>of screwing things. What would it be your superpower as what? Well,

0:02:18.960 --> 0:02:24.760
<v Speaker 1>you're the cooler. It's an odd gift. Yeah, Jack's a cooler.

0:02:25.360 --> 0:02:25.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:02:25.880 --> 0:02:29.680
<v Speaker 1>I have rooted for many very hot teams throughout the

0:02:29.720 --> 0:02:33.440
<v Speaker 1>many years we've been on the air that then lost. Yeah,

0:02:33.520 --> 0:02:35.280
<v Speaker 1>like I bought a forty nine Ers hat when they

0:02:35.280 --> 0:02:37.359
<v Speaker 1>were undefeated last year and then they lost like four

0:02:37.400 --> 0:02:38.920
<v Speaker 1>games in a row until I burnt my hat in

0:02:38.960 --> 0:02:42.440
<v Speaker 1>the grill, and then they started winning again the super Bowl. Yeah,

0:02:42.560 --> 0:02:45.480
<v Speaker 1>that's cause and effect, folks. Yeah, yeah, it's exactly. It's science.

0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:51.120
<v Speaker 1>Believe the science. I believe science. That phrase, Oh that

0:02:51.280 --> 0:02:54.720
<v Speaker 1>makes my skin get up. No kidding, no kidding. We

0:02:54.760 --> 0:02:57.600
<v Speaker 1>are two weeks today from the presidential election. That's pretty exciting,

0:02:57.800 --> 0:02:59.480
<v Speaker 1>and it looks like the closing arguments are going to

0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:00.000
<v Speaker 1>be stupid.

0:03:00.080 --> 0:03:01.160
<v Speaker 4>We can talk about that later.

0:03:01.720 --> 0:03:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Our general manager, for what it's worth, was the polls

0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:06.080
<v Speaker 1>is then I don't want to hear another stinking word

0:03:06.080 --> 0:03:06.560
<v Speaker 1>about them.

0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:11.280
<v Speaker 4>Well, yeah, all of them. Okay, if anybody's going to

0:03:11.320 --> 0:03:12.400
<v Speaker 4>bring them up, it just should be.

0:03:12.480 --> 0:03:14.320
<v Speaker 1>They're tied and doesn't look like they're going to be

0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:16.840
<v Speaker 1>anything butt tied on election day, So there you go.

0:03:18.840 --> 0:03:21.280
<v Speaker 1>I do have what I think will be some interesting

0:03:21.639 --> 0:03:25.720
<v Speaker 1>information about polling that I think most people don't understand.

0:03:26.639 --> 0:03:28.880
<v Speaker 1>If you would like to be more knowledgeable, stay with us.

0:03:29.320 --> 0:03:32.560
<v Speaker 1>The closing arguments, among other things, seem to be the

0:03:32.600 --> 0:03:35.200
<v Speaker 1>last twenty four hour news cycle was minimum wage, which

0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:37.840
<v Speaker 1>makes me insane. I like it being front and center

0:03:37.920 --> 0:03:40.920
<v Speaker 1>is an issue because it's a good basic economics issue,

0:03:41.520 --> 0:03:44.440
<v Speaker 1>but the fact that the sitting vice president and decent

0:03:44.520 --> 0:03:48.200
<v Speaker 1>chance of being president's going around making that moronic, freaking

0:03:48.720 --> 0:03:52.360
<v Speaker 1>you couldn't be more pandering argument that people can't live

0:03:52.480 --> 0:03:57.360
<v Speaker 1>on fifteen thousand dollars a year that's that's starvation wages.

0:03:58.480 --> 0:03:59.960
<v Speaker 4>Minimum wage needs to be racent.

0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:04.640
<v Speaker 1>It's just it makes me so crazy, But that works

0:04:04.640 --> 0:04:06.720
<v Speaker 1>for a big chunk of America, which of course is

0:04:07.160 --> 0:04:08.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, is the problem.

0:04:08.120 --> 0:04:10.120
<v Speaker 4>You got leaders going around, tell them then, the minimum

0:04:10.160 --> 0:04:11.360
<v Speaker 4>wage is designed.

0:04:11.040 --> 0:04:13.960
<v Speaker 1>To live on, right, it will support a family of

0:04:14.040 --> 0:04:19.440
<v Speaker 1>four on obviously, anybody who does anything whatsoever. You go

0:04:19.520 --> 0:04:22.360
<v Speaker 1>down to the mirror fogging plant and you just haugh

0:04:22.400 --> 0:04:23.760
<v Speaker 1>on a mirror and fog it.

0:04:24.120 --> 0:04:26.840
<v Speaker 4>The mirror ought to be able to that ought to.

0:04:26.800 --> 0:04:28.880
<v Speaker 1>Be able to feed a family of four because you

0:04:29.000 --> 0:04:33.320
<v Speaker 1>have shown up and done something literally anything that should

0:04:33.320 --> 0:04:37.920
<v Speaker 1>be a family supporting wage. Says, well, it's not. It's

0:04:37.960 --> 0:04:40.680
<v Speaker 1>the flip side of that argument that really convinced me

0:04:41.279 --> 0:04:44.080
<v Speaker 1>when I was much younger, of the whole minimum wage thing,

0:04:44.520 --> 0:04:49.599
<v Speaker 1>not the because while that makes sense, it sounds like

0:04:49.680 --> 0:04:52.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, there there there are skills that aren't worth

0:04:52.600 --> 0:04:56.400
<v Speaker 1>blah blah blah. The reverse of it is what's always

0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:58.520
<v Speaker 1>made the best argument to me. You've got to be

0:04:58.600 --> 0:05:02.200
<v Speaker 1>able to have jobs that don't require much, but you

0:05:02.279 --> 0:05:05.120
<v Speaker 1>need a human to do that that you can have

0:05:05.400 --> 0:05:09.560
<v Speaker 1>as a I don't know, a restaurant, a bookstore, a

0:05:09.720 --> 0:05:10.400
<v Speaker 1>radio station.

0:05:10.560 --> 0:05:12.880
<v Speaker 4>A whatever you are, you need to have.

0:05:13.160 --> 0:05:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Some positions are really low skilled, but you need a

0:05:15.760 --> 0:05:18.840
<v Speaker 1>human being, and you can't be forced by the government

0:05:19.279 --> 0:05:20.960
<v Speaker 1>to pay them a living.

0:05:20.800 --> 0:05:23.039
<v Speaker 4>Wage to do that stupid job.

0:05:23.320 --> 0:05:25.160
<v Speaker 1>You give it to a college kid or a high

0:05:25.160 --> 0:05:27.040
<v Speaker 1>school kid, or an old person or somebody who wants

0:05:27.040 --> 0:05:30.680
<v Speaker 1>a second job or whatever. But yeah, you have to

0:05:30.680 --> 0:05:34.320
<v Speaker 1>be a You can't have the government outlaw entry level jobs.

0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:36.520
<v Speaker 1>That are side of the argument's always made the best

0:05:36.560 --> 0:05:38.719
<v Speaker 1>sense to me. Yeah, I would agree. We need to

0:05:38.800 --> 0:05:42.039
<v Speaker 1>recapture the concept of the entry level or starter job

0:05:42.160 --> 0:05:44.080
<v Speaker 1>and refer to these jobs in that way. It's not

0:05:44.120 --> 0:05:48.960
<v Speaker 1>an insult. It's a wonderful thing. It's a springboard. It's

0:05:49.200 --> 0:05:53.279
<v Speaker 1>you'd not be littling little league by calling it little

0:05:53.360 --> 0:05:56.559
<v Speaker 1>league and implying it somehow hurtful to say those twelve

0:05:56.600 --> 0:05:59.960
<v Speaker 1>year olds couldn't play in the majors. They can't. They're chill,

0:06:00.640 --> 0:06:05.039
<v Speaker 1>they don't have the skills. Starter jobs are a wonderful thing.

0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:08.720
<v Speaker 1>They're a stepping stone. What do you, stowe, I almost

0:06:08.800 --> 0:06:12.080
<v Speaker 1>used a disparaging term. That would have been unfortunate. What

0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:14.640
<v Speaker 1>do you Poor people who haven't fully thought this through

0:06:15.160 --> 0:06:16.719
<v Speaker 1>need to hear to understand.

0:06:18.240 --> 0:06:20.440
<v Speaker 4>So you got, uh, I don't know.

0:06:20.480 --> 0:06:23.599
<v Speaker 1>You need somebody to answer your phones at your business,

0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:25.039
<v Speaker 1>and you got the kind of business where it's like

0:06:25.040 --> 0:06:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the phone rings four times a day, so it's not

0:06:26.920 --> 0:06:28.960
<v Speaker 1>much to the job. You need somebody to answer your

0:06:28.960 --> 0:06:32.039
<v Speaker 1>phones in case somebody calls. So you can either hire

0:06:32.120 --> 0:06:34.640
<v Speaker 1>somebody for minimum wage that's willing to do that and

0:06:34.680 --> 0:06:37.200
<v Speaker 1>they could study in their free time or do whatever,

0:06:38.400 --> 0:06:41.040
<v Speaker 1>or the government mandates that that has to be a

0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:43.560
<v Speaker 1>living wage, and you can't have somebody answer your phones

0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:45.600
<v Speaker 1>because it just doesn't make sense to pay somebody that

0:06:45.760 --> 0:06:48.159
<v Speaker 1>much to answer the phones. You really don't need a

0:06:48.200 --> 0:06:52.960
<v Speaker 1>PhD in economics to understand this stuff. But it just oh,

0:06:53.680 --> 0:06:55.800
<v Speaker 1>all right, this is our job. This is our job

0:06:55.839 --> 0:06:58.000
<v Speaker 1>to help people understand. And I'm not talking about you

0:06:58.000 --> 0:07:01.839
<v Speaker 1>and me and just the world conserve. This is our task.

0:07:01.880 --> 0:07:04.080
<v Speaker 1>It's our challenge. The reason I bring it up is, uh.

0:07:04.480 --> 0:07:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Trump was asked about it in the French fry window

0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:08.839
<v Speaker 1>the other day and he did kind of a dodge

0:07:08.920 --> 0:07:11.160
<v Speaker 1>answer because he didn't want to commit to raising the

0:07:11.200 --> 0:07:13.800
<v Speaker 1>minimum wage because he understands the economics of it as

0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:16.280
<v Speaker 1>a businessman. Kamala Harris was asked about it and said,

0:07:16.320 --> 0:07:18.280
<v Speaker 1>as you see, Donald Trump does not care about the

0:07:18.320 --> 0:07:20.520
<v Speaker 1>working place, the working person in this country.

0:07:20.520 --> 0:07:23.280
<v Speaker 4>Minimum wage is starvation wages. Blah blah blah blah blah.

0:07:23.400 --> 0:07:25.720
<v Speaker 1>It was the lead story on a couple of the

0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:27.080
<v Speaker 1>national newscasts last night.

0:07:27.120 --> 0:07:29.520
<v Speaker 4>ABC Evening News led with the minimum wage story.

0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:35.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and if you're buying it, put down your delicious paste,

0:07:35.360 --> 0:07:39.240
<v Speaker 1>wipe off the drool, and go vote for Kamala Harris. Well,

0:07:39.760 --> 0:07:43.239
<v Speaker 1>well you shouldn't, actually, because your minimum wage job will

0:07:43.280 --> 0:07:46.320
<v Speaker 1>go away. It's not like you're gonna make more money.

0:07:46.440 --> 0:07:49.280
<v Speaker 1>And we've tried it in California recently and the mask

0:07:49.440 --> 0:07:53.040
<v Speaker 1>in the biggest group of cases. The job is gonna

0:07:53.040 --> 0:07:54.840
<v Speaker 1>go away, or they'll replace it, the replace it with

0:07:54.840 --> 0:07:57.520
<v Speaker 1>the machine, or they'll consolidate hours or something.

0:07:57.680 --> 0:07:59.600
<v Speaker 4>But it isn't going to help you in general.

0:08:00.120 --> 0:08:03.040
<v Speaker 1>Gavin Newsom just put tens of thousands of fast food

0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:05.560
<v Speaker 1>workers out of work in the state of California by

0:08:05.640 --> 0:08:10.720
<v Speaker 1>artificially pushing the minimum way tire. That is the simple truth. Yeah,

0:08:10.800 --> 0:08:13.360
<v Speaker 1>I wish that argument wasn't you know, didn't take three

0:08:13.400 --> 0:08:16.720
<v Speaker 1>sentences to make as they say, if you're explaining you're losing,

0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:19.480
<v Speaker 1>which is a pretty stupid system. So you're not allowed

0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:23.040
<v Speaker 1>to have anything so complicated that it requires explanation to

0:08:23.080 --> 0:08:26.640
<v Speaker 1>become elected. I'm going to say this, well, I'm going

0:08:26.720 --> 0:08:30.760
<v Speaker 1>to say it privately. Okay, this is just between us friends.

0:08:32.040 --> 0:08:38.080
<v Speaker 1>The greatest thinkers of the Enlightenment, which included our founding fathers,

0:08:39.080 --> 0:08:43.160
<v Speaker 1>understood that if you entrusted people who couldn't understand these

0:08:43.200 --> 0:08:47.280
<v Speaker 1>simple concepts to vote, that would kind of ruin everything.

0:08:48.320 --> 0:08:51.559
<v Speaker 1>So you can say landed white males if you want.

0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:53.960
<v Speaker 1>Race got nothing to do with it. Sex has nothing

0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:55.640
<v Speaker 1>to do with it as far as I'm concerned. But

0:08:55.720 --> 0:08:58.679
<v Speaker 1>if you don't get what we've been talking about, you

0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:04.640
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't vote. You're too dumb. Now back to the usual

0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:07.560
<v Speaker 1>tone of voice. Okay, let's start the show Officially. I'm

0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:09.800
<v Speaker 1>Jack Armstrong. He's Joe Getty on this it is How

0:09:09.800 --> 0:09:12.560
<v Speaker 1>did it already get to be? Tuesday, October twenty second,

0:09:12.600 --> 0:09:15.160
<v Speaker 1>the year twenty twenty four. We are Armstrong and getting

0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:19.360
<v Speaker 1>We approve of this program intelligent me that was not elitist,

0:09:19.880 --> 0:09:23.760
<v Speaker 1>because that would imply that, like the first the top

0:09:23.840 --> 0:09:28.400
<v Speaker 1>twenty percent of intellects or wealth or whatever are the

0:09:28.400 --> 0:09:31.440
<v Speaker 1>only people who matter. And that's not my point at all.

0:09:32.000 --> 0:09:36.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm an anti moronest. I just want that bottom twenty

0:09:36.440 --> 0:09:40.520
<v Speaker 1>percent to be eliminated from the electorate. I don't think

0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:44.400
<v Speaker 1>that makes me an elitist. All right, let's begin the

0:09:44.440 --> 0:09:46.880
<v Speaker 1>show officially then, according to FCC rules and rags leaping

0:09:46.960 --> 0:09:47.400
<v Speaker 1>into action.

0:09:47.520 --> 0:09:51.080
<v Speaker 5>At mark, it was announced that more than four hundred

0:09:51.120 --> 0:09:53.679
<v Speaker 5>and seven elevens in the US will be closing by

0:09:53.679 --> 0:09:56.439
<v Speaker 5>the end of the year. These seven elevens are closing

0:09:56.559 --> 0:09:59.920
<v Speaker 5>due to declining sales as consumers pull back due to

0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:04.440
<v Speaker 5>inflationary pressure. Coincidentally, inflationary pressure is also what you feel

0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:07.720
<v Speaker 5>after eating a tube of seven eleven hot roller meats.

0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:16.679
<v Speaker 1>Roller meats, that's a good term, roller meats pressure. Yeah,

0:10:16.760 --> 0:10:19.680
<v Speaker 1>we got a new seven eleven in my orbit that

0:10:19.840 --> 0:10:25.000
<v Speaker 1>is really nice, like brand new one, interesting, hundreds, really clean,

0:10:25.320 --> 0:10:27.480
<v Speaker 1>like just like it's the best convenience store around. It's

0:10:27.520 --> 0:10:30.160
<v Speaker 1>my main stop now if I'm going to stop at

0:10:30.160 --> 0:10:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a comedience store. So m I wonder if congratulations, I

0:10:33.640 --> 0:10:37.280
<v Speaker 1>wonder if they've changed their model. But a lot of

0:10:37.320 --> 0:10:40.800
<v Speaker 1>seven elevens, I've been saying for years. If you're seeing

0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:43.319
<v Speaker 1>seven eleven, you're in a bad area because that has

0:10:43.320 --> 0:10:44.480
<v Speaker 1>been true for a long time.

0:10:45.200 --> 0:10:47.439
<v Speaker 4>So I don't know, maybe they're changing their model AnyWho.

0:10:48.080 --> 0:10:51.480
<v Speaker 1>It's actually mildly interesting why they're closing hundreds of seven elevens.

0:10:51.559 --> 0:10:55.000
<v Speaker 1>It's uh, they say, inflationary pressures, which seems kind of

0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:58.920
<v Speaker 1>silly to me. Also, declining cigarette sales have really hurt

0:10:58.920 --> 0:11:02.920
<v Speaker 1>seventy wow wow yeah, yeah, because they made so much

0:11:02.960 --> 0:11:06.040
<v Speaker 1>other profits on SIG's. And also they don't talk about this,

0:11:06.160 --> 0:11:10.480
<v Speaker 1>but theft, absolutely theft. Another corporate giant makes a huge

0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:14.520
<v Speaker 1>adjustment to the way they conduct retail and is not

0:11:14.559 --> 0:11:18.600
<v Speaker 1>willing to say it's because everybody steals. Now, if you're

0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:22.160
<v Speaker 1>in line at a mid grade convenience store, nine out

0:11:22.160 --> 0:11:25.000
<v Speaker 1>of ten customers are getting cigarettes, an energy drink, and

0:11:25.000 --> 0:11:27.320
<v Speaker 1>a lottery ticket. Nine out of ten. Could I stand

0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:30.480
<v Speaker 1>in line with them all the time buying other things?

0:11:31.160 --> 0:11:35.520
<v Speaker 1>How does mailbag look very nice? Looking forward to it? Fantastic?

0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.400
<v Speaker 1>That's on the way. Our text line is four one, five,

0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:45.680
<v Speaker 1>two nine five KFDZ. The most interesting and terrifying thing

0:11:45.760 --> 0:11:48.000
<v Speaker 1>going on in the world is the Bricks conference that

0:11:48.120 --> 0:11:50.480
<v Speaker 1>is going on starting today in Russia. I wants to

0:11:50.520 --> 0:11:53.480
<v Speaker 1>talk about that a little bit later. Russia not quite

0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:57.040
<v Speaker 1>as isolated over Ukraine as you would like, or maybe

0:11:57.080 --> 0:12:01.520
<v Speaker 1>you're led to believe right solutely true. And speaking of

0:12:01.559 --> 0:12:05.240
<v Speaker 1>foreign policy and foreign relations, the leak of the Israeli

0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:09.440
<v Speaker 1>attack plan is just an outrage. It's almost certainly from

0:12:09.720 --> 0:12:13.959
<v Speaker 1>the State Department, the US State Department. Oh Man, there

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 1>needs to be a hanging on a south lawn, but

0:12:16.040 --> 0:12:20.360
<v Speaker 1>it probably won't be anyway. Why I would assume not, well,

0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:23.360
<v Speaker 1>we call soft now would that would lead the news?

0:12:23.840 --> 0:12:26.840
<v Speaker 1>All right? Then they hungered the National Security Advisor today

0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:27.720
<v Speaker 1>on the south lawn.

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:29.439
<v Speaker 4>It's horrified. Children watched on.

0:12:29.880 --> 0:12:33.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm not I'm not naming any names. A third grade

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:38.360
<v Speaker 1>field trip had to avert their eyes. The tour group said, well,

0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.920
<v Speaker 1>I didn't expect this. Quote unquote, here's your freedom loving

0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:46.199
<v Speaker 1>quote of the day from Thomas Jefferson. This is a classic.

0:12:46.960 --> 0:12:49.320
<v Speaker 1>This reminds me the whole minimum wage thing. I wish

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:53.800
<v Speaker 1>more people are aware of this dynamic. I would rather

0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:58.000
<v Speaker 1>be exposed to the inconveniences attending too much liberty than

0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:02.959
<v Speaker 1>those attending too small a degree of it. People think

0:13:03.840 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 1>of safety and the government stepping in to straighten things

0:13:07.920 --> 0:13:12.079
<v Speaker 1>out as entirely a positive most people do, which is disturbing.

0:13:12.280 --> 0:13:15.679
<v Speaker 1>But again, as I said before, for whatever reason, I'm

0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:19.880
<v Speaker 1>feeling kind of plucky and optimistic today, which is odd.

0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:24.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking, Okay, what's wrong with that? I know, I know,

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:27.960
<v Speaker 1>I was so exhausted yesterday and just worn out and

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:31.360
<v Speaker 1>sleep deprived, and I just feel great today. But anyway,

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:34.839
<v Speaker 1>now my attitude today is all right, that's that's the job. Then,

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:37.920
<v Speaker 1>that's my life's work is to help people understand that,

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:40.000
<v Speaker 1>even if it's just a few people a little bit,

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, as life's work goes, that's it's pretty good.

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.360
<v Speaker 1>So on with the battle. Don't worry. I'll give up

0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:50.240
<v Speaker 1>within a half hour, folks, mail bag. The old me

0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 1>that people have come to love will be back shortly,

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 1>so it's okay, please bear with us. Is the old

0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:03.080
<v Speaker 1>Joe is returning any more than optimistic? Let's see. I've

0:14:03.080 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 1>had to arrange mailback differently because of a technical issue.

0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:08.560
<v Speaker 1>But here we go, guys. I'm an undecided voter. I

0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:11.040
<v Speaker 1>don't like either candidate for my president, so I'm voting

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:13.760
<v Speaker 1>for vice president. I'm choosing the one i'd prefer to

0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 1>be in charge if at some point the next president's

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 1>unable to serve seems reasonable to me in better Nini

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:21.160
<v Speaker 1>meaning miney moo loyal listener for I don't know how

0:14:21.160 --> 0:14:23.800
<v Speaker 1>many years. Thanks Dianne. Nice to hear from you. I

0:14:23.880 --> 0:14:25.880
<v Speaker 1>do want to talk about this we almost did yesterday.

0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:28.640
<v Speaker 1>Just the idea of what your vote means to you.

0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Different people have different thoughts on that. Definitely a lot

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 1>of you seem to cherish your vote a lot more

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 1>or it reflects your personality a lot more than I

0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:45.000
<v Speaker 1>feel mine does. Yeah, let's see on the topic of

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:49.120
<v Speaker 1>men in women's volleyball, Emily as former cal Unicornian who

0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:53.080
<v Speaker 1>recently escaped to beautiful Red, Idaho. That's her words. Since

0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:54.880
<v Speaker 1>you've spent a lot of time discussing the dude playing

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:58.320
<v Speaker 1>on the San Jose State University and women's volleyball team lately,

0:14:58.360 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>I was wondering if you'd heard about the women's high

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:03.880
<v Speaker 1>school volleyball player in North Carolina, Peyton McNabb. I have. Indeed,

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.880
<v Speaker 1>in twenty two she was playing a conference game. There

0:15:06.920 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 1>was a dude playing on the other team. He spiked

0:15:08.680 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 1>the volleyball hit Peyton directly in the face seventy miles

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>per hour. She was immediately knocked unconscious, suffered a brain

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:17.680
<v Speaker 1>bleed and concussion, and permanent whiplash in her neck. She

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 1>has since become an ambassador for Independent Women's Forum an

0:15:20.880 --> 0:15:24.040
<v Speaker 1>advocate for girls' sports, but will have lifelong injuries because

0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>of this woke bull crap. And I wish I could

0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:28.840
<v Speaker 1>say the word and cowardice of those in charge who

0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:31.640
<v Speaker 1>would rather bow down to an ideology than protect young

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 1>girls and women. A men Emily Branch sister, And it's

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 1>amazing that that's not a everyone knows it household name

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 1>national story the way it might be if somebody outwardly misgendered,

0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:50.560
<v Speaker 1>someone like you refuse to call them by their new

0:15:50.720 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 1>trans name, that could blow up into a giant story.

0:15:55.360 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>This Nah, nobody's interesting. It's amazing that women aren't driving this. Yes, absolutely, yeah,

0:16:02.840 --> 0:16:04.760
<v Speaker 1>it's shocking. And I could go into details why I

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 1>think that is, but we don't really have time right now.

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 1>But moving along temporarily and remind me of that topic.

0:16:09.640 --> 0:16:12.840
<v Speaker 1>I have more to say, Seawan writes, guys, new TikTok

0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 1>trends is the topic. I've seen some dumb and problematic

0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:18.200
<v Speaker 1>TikTok challenges at the school I work at. How do

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 1>I start one. I'm thinking the prepared challenge, students taunting

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>me at the start of class with multiple sharpened pencils,

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:28.040
<v Speaker 1>shaking their worksheets at me on the correct page before

0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:30.480
<v Speaker 1>I can even read the slide dunking on me with

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 1>homework completed early sean.

0:16:34.360 --> 0:16:35.640
<v Speaker 4>It's a beautiful fantasy.

0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:40.160
<v Speaker 1>That's pretty good. That is really funny. Total change of

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:44.880
<v Speaker 1>topic from John the impending World War. Regardless of how

0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 1>any of these countries aligned with each other, should we

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:49.640
<v Speaker 1>not be drilling the absolute hell out of oil in

0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>this country. We know we don't have the manufacturing capacity

0:16:52.800 --> 0:16:54.760
<v Speaker 1>we need, but we have no chance of ramping it

0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 1>up without oil. Manufacturing capacity starts with energy, and I'm

0:16:58.600 --> 0:17:02.760
<v Speaker 1>not talking about a friggin win mill, well said Johnny Boy.

0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:06.280
<v Speaker 1>It's right, we'll build the tanks to take on Russia

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:11.119
<v Speaker 1>and China with solar power. And didn't buy oil from Iran?

0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:15.280
<v Speaker 1>I guess I don't know. Wow, Iran's there in Russia too.

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.680
<v Speaker 1>They're fitting in with the whole bricks conference. If you

0:17:18.720 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 1>hadn't heard about it, it's frightening Armstrong and Getty And.

0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:25.159
<v Speaker 6>The big question, of course, is are the Poles and

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:27.679
<v Speaker 6>the and the poll inaccuracies. Are they going to mirror

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 6>what we saw in twenty twenty which would help Trump,

0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:32.119
<v Speaker 6>or are they going to mirror what we saw in

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 6>twenty twenty.

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Two which would help Paris. We don't know, and these

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:38.920
<v Speaker 1>numbers are unreliable. One hundred percent. Yeah, all the poles

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:40.560
<v Speaker 1>are tied, as we said earlier, which is one of

0:17:40.600 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 1>the reasons we're not going to talk.

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:45.960
<v Speaker 4>About poles much. But that is that is the question.

0:17:46.119 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 1>Really. If it is what it has been the last

0:17:48.280 --> 0:17:53.080
<v Speaker 1>two presidential cycles, Trump's gonna win because he overperforms the poles.

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 1>If it's like the twenty twenty two midterms where the

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.399
<v Speaker 1>big giant red wave was coming according to the poles,

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:01.280
<v Speaker 1>but never showed up, and Harris is probably going to win,

0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 1>you have to wait. Coming up in a couple of minutes.

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.200
<v Speaker 1>What most people don't understand about the polls and a

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:09.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of misperceptions that people have about polling in general.

0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:11.920
<v Speaker 1>Who I think you may find at least mildly interesting.

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Love that this should be more than mildly interesting. It's

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:18.359
<v Speaker 1>the most important thing probably going on in the world today.

0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:23.119
<v Speaker 1>And I have read this quote twenty times since it

0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:27.000
<v Speaker 1>happened on March twenty second, twenty twenty three, after Jijing

0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:32.159
<v Speaker 1>Ping visited Vladimir Putin and Moscow and he was leading

0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:34.959
<v Speaker 1>the Kremlin and I don't know if he knew this

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 1>was caught on mike or not, but somebody was standing

0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 1>there and recorded right before he got in the limo

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:45.760
<v Speaker 1>Gee turns to Putin and says, there are changes happening,

0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:48.240
<v Speaker 1>the likes of which we haven't seen for one hundred years.

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Let's drive those changes together, and Putin said, I agree.

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:56.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that will go down as a major moment

0:18:56.480 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 1>in world's history and one of the most chilling gnostications

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:07.680
<v Speaker 1>of things to come ever. Ever, Yeah, I agree completely,

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:09.760
<v Speaker 1>and I'm glad the two of them are as old

0:19:09.800 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 1>as they are. Yeah, hope Spring's eternal lit what comes

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:16.400
<v Speaker 1>next might be better, But yeah, they're absolutely in tentan

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:19.040
<v Speaker 1>on doing harm to the current world order.

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:19.520
<v Speaker 4>And to that.

0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:22.680
<v Speaker 1>The Brick Summit is going on right now in Russia.

0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:26.400
<v Speaker 1>So somebody came up the Brick acronym several years back

0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 1>to represent this is before we saw Russia as evil

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:34.120
<v Speaker 1>as they are now. But at the time it was Brazil, Russia, India,

0:19:34.359 --> 0:19:38.600
<v Speaker 1>China as emerging economies in like the growing big power Block.

0:19:38.760 --> 0:19:41.120
<v Speaker 1>And at the time it wasn't frightening. Now it's frightening,

0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:44.200
<v Speaker 1>and they've added an s to it to include South Africa,

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.000
<v Speaker 1>and now actually they call it bricks plus, kind of

0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>like LGBTQ plus, where you add in a whole bunch

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:50.880
<v Speaker 1>of countries.

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:53.400
<v Speaker 4>And the fact that they're meeting in Russia.

0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>So Vladimir Putin, who we were going to isolate on

0:19:57.640 --> 0:20:00.840
<v Speaker 1>the world stage and he would be all alone and

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 1>a pariah, as our president said over and over again,

0:20:04.440 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 1>not a pariah is so much as he has world

0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:11.240
<v Speaker 1>leaders meeting in his country that represents well over half

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of the world's population and are all happy to get

0:20:14.080 --> 0:20:17.480
<v Speaker 1>together with Vladimir Putin. So she got Brazil, Russia, India, China,

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 1>and South Africa there along with well, just the fact

0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:24.000
<v Speaker 1>that you got Putin and sheet together in Russia is enough.

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 1>But along with Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE, who

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:33.919
<v Speaker 1>in theory is a friend of ours, all getting together

0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:39.080
<v Speaker 1>and talking about how they structure the world to their benefit.

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 1>And obviously we Great Britain, France, these old Western democracies

0:20:45.640 --> 0:20:48.439
<v Speaker 1>are not part of this whole thing. No, No, the

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:52.200
<v Speaker 1>utopian idea that there's anything other than power and self

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:56.520
<v Speaker 1>interest that motivates nations is just kind of silly. If

0:20:56.680 --> 0:21:01.560
<v Speaker 1>your power is completely assured and your self interests are

0:21:01.560 --> 0:21:05.160
<v Speaker 1>being well served well often for pr purposes, you will

0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:09.159
<v Speaker 1>act as if international harmony and moral goodness and the

0:21:09.200 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>rest of it are your highest priority. And it's easy

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:14.720
<v Speaker 1>to do because you got the main two covered. It's like, yeah,

0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:17.560
<v Speaker 1>I've got oxygen and food, so yeah, I'm going to

0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:22.000
<v Speaker 1>carry on about having the right colored dish towels. But

0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:26.840
<v Speaker 1>then when that order, when that power, that structure of

0:21:26.880 --> 0:21:29.840
<v Speaker 1>power stability is shaken up, then you go back to

0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:32.439
<v Speaker 1>the old stuff. And we were just we had that

0:21:32.480 --> 0:21:35.040
<v Speaker 1>power and stability and self interest served for so long

0:21:35.880 --> 0:21:38.160
<v Speaker 1>we fell for the delusions I think as a country

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>well that I've just described right, and this idea that

0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:44.879
<v Speaker 1>we can just force the rest of the world to

0:21:45.440 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 1>treat us as the king forever that we bought into somehow.

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:55.960
<v Speaker 1>And remember when Russia went into Ukraine under Obama's watch,

0:21:56.000 --> 0:21:58.639
<v Speaker 1>and Secretary of State Carrie said that was an eighteenth

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.280
<v Speaker 1>century move in a twenty first world. As if those

0:22:01.320 --> 0:22:04.359
<v Speaker 1>words mattered to Vladimir Putin and all, as if ye

0:22:04.359 --> 0:22:06.800
<v Speaker 1>have Putin cried himself to sleep that night. I've made

0:22:06.800 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 1>a fool of myself and Biden talking about isolating Putin

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 1>him and him becoming a pria. And now he's hosting

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 1>this giant conference that includes the second biggest economy in

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:22.760
<v Speaker 1>the world and an Indian you know, over half the population,

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:26.959
<v Speaker 1>as I said, and Vladimir Zelinsky's really unhappy about this.

0:22:27.320 --> 0:22:30.679
<v Speaker 1>The freaking Secretary General of the UN is going to

0:22:30.720 --> 0:22:35.439
<v Speaker 1>be there. Wow, So Russia invades its neighbor just because

0:22:35.480 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 1>it wants to slaughtering people left around. This is the

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 1>president of the UN that lectures Israel for bombing hospitals

0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:48.480
<v Speaker 1>and genocide. Russia has been bombing kids, little schools, just

0:22:48.720 --> 0:22:52.199
<v Speaker 1>becuz for years now. And the UN Secretary General is

0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:54.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be in Russia at the Bricks conference right

0:22:55.240 --> 0:22:59.480
<v Speaker 1>right well, And unlike the forces of Hamas at Hesbola,

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:04.520
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainians don't house military installations in personnel action elementary

0:23:04.520 --> 0:23:08.359
<v Speaker 1>schools for the very purpose of having those kids killed. Yeah,

0:23:08.720 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 1>it's actually just a kindergarten. And Russia bombs on purpose

0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:16.720
<v Speaker 1>to kill kindergarteners. And Putin's not quite the prior we're

0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:20.480
<v Speaker 1>hoping part of it is, can we bulldoze the un place?

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Can we just bulldoze it or just claim that there's

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:27.040
<v Speaker 1>a bed bug infestation. We've just got to fumigate it,

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:30.439
<v Speaker 1>make everybody leave, and then clear out their crap, and

0:23:30.480 --> 0:23:33.439
<v Speaker 1>then you know, to make it luxury condos or a

0:23:33.440 --> 0:23:35.679
<v Speaker 1>tennis club. I don't care literally anything. Yeah, change the

0:23:35.720 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>locks man would have wasted space and money. Yeah. And

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.320
<v Speaker 1>there's there's a certain amount of hubris that I think

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:44.760
<v Speaker 1>we all have as Americans that when I hear that

0:23:44.920 --> 0:23:47.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of stuff that op Putin's made a mistake and

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:49.080
<v Speaker 1>he's on the wrong side of the United States. You

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:51.680
<v Speaker 1>know that there's you know, it's gonna be tough. Apparently

0:23:51.720 --> 0:23:54.520
<v Speaker 1>not so much. Apparently we do not control the rest

0:23:54.520 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>of the world as much as we as we would

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:59.960
<v Speaker 1>like or claim. Right right now at the same time, man,

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:02.879
<v Speaker 1>that's a bad situation right there. At the same time,

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the isolation has surged to withdraw American power from the

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:10.880
<v Speaker 1>international scene. It's just suicidal, right. I mean to say

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 1>that nature abhors a vacuum understates how much nature really

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:17.840
<v Speaker 1>abhors a vacuum. I mean into that vacuum will flow Chinese,

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:20.840
<v Speaker 1>Russian Iranian and North Korean power quicker and you can

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:24.760
<v Speaker 1>say apocalypse anyway, What a cheery discussion this is. Well,

0:24:24.800 --> 0:24:28.160
<v Speaker 1>and if you care about American interest, having the bricks

0:24:28.240 --> 0:24:31.680
<v Speaker 1>plus group be the dominant power on Earth is not

0:24:31.760 --> 0:24:35.080
<v Speaker 1>going to help your job or anything you care about.

0:24:36.680 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 1>So complete change of topic here, if we may the

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:45.280
<v Speaker 1>question of polling, and you know who's got it right

0:24:45.320 --> 0:24:47.160
<v Speaker 1>and wrong, and how the election looks. Well, I've refuse

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:49.680
<v Speaker 1>to discuss any specific polling, but I've been reading a

0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:54.520
<v Speaker 1>fair amount about the polling as a science and what

0:24:54.560 --> 0:24:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the current polsters are trying to accomplish. And the one

0:24:57.560 --> 0:24:59.359
<v Speaker 1>thing I want to layter rest is, and I hear

0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:01.639
<v Speaker 1>this fair amount on the right, kind of the populist right,

0:25:01.760 --> 0:25:04.840
<v Speaker 1>is that pollsters are intentionally trying to screw Trump and

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:09.480
<v Speaker 1>make them look bad, whether to depress turnout or because

0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:12.960
<v Speaker 1>they don't like Trump or what have you. And I

0:25:13.080 --> 0:25:15.720
<v Speaker 1>happen to know I have a very close relative who

0:25:15.720 --> 0:25:18.600
<v Speaker 1>worked for a while in a polling organization, one you've

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:23.200
<v Speaker 1>heard of, and they are desperate, desperate to be accurate. Yeah,

0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:26.119
<v Speaker 1>I know, I'm not a cynic about polls, the big

0:25:26.240 --> 0:25:28.680
<v Speaker 1>major ones that they usually use for the averages. Right,

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:32.920
<v Speaker 1>They've got so much interest in being right, that's the best.

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 4>Keep the model.

0:25:34.359 --> 0:25:37.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, keep in mind that they do research and polling

0:25:38.040 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 1>three hundred Well, they take vacations with three hundred and

0:25:40.560 --> 0:25:43.359
<v Speaker 1>sixty five days a year for all sorts of political

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:48.159
<v Speaker 1>and corporate interests, governments and just you name it. And

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:52.679
<v Speaker 1>accuracy is their sales pitch, and so they're desperate to

0:25:52.680 --> 0:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>get it right. It's just very, very difficult these days

0:25:56.800 --> 0:26:03.399
<v Speaker 1>on three ish different levels. Number One, reaching people because

0:26:03.440 --> 0:26:07.840
<v Speaker 1>of technological change. And then the people you can reach

0:26:07.960 --> 0:26:12.800
<v Speaker 1>more easily than others tend to be demographically and psychographically

0:26:13.200 --> 0:26:16.639
<v Speaker 1>different than the people who are more difficult to reach,

0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:21.040
<v Speaker 1>So that's a serious challenge. And then you get into

0:26:21.240 --> 0:26:27.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of the multi level quandary of who is going

0:26:27.440 --> 0:26:32.680
<v Speaker 1>to actually vote because that changes, And that's like, that's

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 1>what keeps them up at night, because you can.

0:26:35.359 --> 0:26:38.480
<v Speaker 4>Pull like every single.

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:42.320
<v Speaker 1>Voting person in America, well a registered voter, likely voter

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:46.280
<v Speaker 1>in America, every single one You're sample sizes one hundred

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:50.880
<v Speaker 1>million people in UK. Say we pulled these hundred million

0:26:50.960 --> 0:26:53.679
<v Speaker 1>people and fifty one percent of them are voting for

0:26:53.720 --> 0:26:57.439
<v Speaker 1>Trump forty nine percent Kamala it's it's over, folks. But

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:01.080
<v Speaker 1>then turnout is going to be very different then what

0:27:01.160 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 1>they said that even if they said they were absolutely

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:06.679
<v Speaker 1>likely going to vote. And so they do all this

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:11.359
<v Speaker 1>complicated sociological and technical research on who actually turns out

0:27:11.600 --> 0:27:14.960
<v Speaker 1>in what districts, what sort of person blob, what age,

0:27:15.160 --> 0:27:18.160
<v Speaker 1>all that, and they're trying they put together these complex

0:27:18.200 --> 0:27:21.560
<v Speaker 1>algorithms trying to project who's actually going to vote, and

0:27:21.600 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 1>it's really really hard. And then you've got people who

0:27:25.720 --> 0:27:28.639
<v Speaker 1>who like to mess with folsters. I've done it at

0:27:28.720 --> 0:27:33.880
<v Speaker 1>least once myself, and just to be contrary, because you're

0:27:33.880 --> 0:27:36.920
<v Speaker 1>annoyed by one aspect of it or another, you give

0:27:36.960 --> 0:27:39.920
<v Speaker 1>them an incorrect answer. So have you have you done?

0:27:40.480 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Have you done that with like big political stuff? I've

0:27:44.320 --> 0:27:48.200
<v Speaker 1>done it with like stuff that doesn't matter, but I

0:27:48.200 --> 0:27:50.200
<v Speaker 1>don't think I've ever done it with big politics thing.

0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:52.800
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I stuck around for a politics poll,

0:27:52.800 --> 0:27:55.120
<v Speaker 1>but like, you know, hey, just a quick poll from

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:56.160
<v Speaker 1>blah blah blah corporation.

0:27:56.440 --> 0:27:57.679
<v Speaker 4>Do you eat potatoes in your house? Oh?

0:27:57.720 --> 0:27:59.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, lots of potatoes. How many potatoes do you think

0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:01.560
<v Speaker 1>you eat? I don't know, five pounds a day? You

0:28:01.600 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 1>know something like that. I can't, you know, I wish

0:28:04.800 --> 0:28:06.720
<v Speaker 1>I could remember the specifics. It would really help to

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:08.680
<v Speaker 1>us story to get a potato right now. I really

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:10.359
<v Speaker 1>never stopped. I sought my alarm at night to get

0:28:10.400 --> 0:28:12.000
<v Speaker 1>up in the middle of the night and need another potato.

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:13.959
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, I wake up and think, you know what

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:15.879
<v Speaker 1>I need? I need another potato, and I get out,

0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:16.800
<v Speaker 1>I go to the kitchen.

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:20.280
<v Speaker 4>I brush my teeth with potatoes. I'd bathe in potatoes.

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:25.600
<v Speaker 1>I send my kids to school with a sack of

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:29.679
<v Speaker 1>fll of potatoes real lunch. Uh. No, I've actually been

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:32.359
<v Speaker 1>pulled several times because I have done it out of

0:28:32.400 --> 0:28:35.000
<v Speaker 1>curiosity about the process, and so I'm on some sort

0:28:35.040 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 1>of list. But yeah, I can't remember. It was some

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:40.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of issues pulling, and they said it would take

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 1>two minutes, and it was like four minutes into it,

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.520
<v Speaker 1>and right they're like, what do you think of coastal erosion?

0:28:45.960 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 1>Favor more water less land? Yes, sir, I can't remember

0:28:49.800 --> 0:28:52.480
<v Speaker 1>what the hell it was. It was some obscure thing,

0:28:52.520 --> 0:28:55.000
<v Speaker 1>and I was done. I was through caring, but didn't

0:28:55.040 --> 0:29:00.320
<v Speaker 1>want to hang up anyway, that's funny. Anyway, I suppose

0:29:00.360 --> 0:29:03.120
<v Speaker 1>we could get into more detail, but set a Stanford

0:29:03.240 --> 0:29:07.400
<v Speaker 1>University political scientist, because of the shift of black and

0:29:07.480 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 1>Latino voters toward Trump, the proliferation of online surveys, it's

0:29:11.480 --> 0:29:15.400
<v Speaker 1>all creating potential sources of additional error because they're just there.

0:29:15.680 --> 0:29:18.440
<v Speaker 1>The patterns of yesteryear that they used to make accurate

0:29:18.720 --> 0:29:21.720
<v Speaker 1>turnout predictions are just way up in the air. So

0:29:21.760 --> 0:29:24.840
<v Speaker 1>he says we're headed for a disaster in terms of polling.

0:29:25.080 --> 0:29:26.200
<v Speaker 4>Well, you know what, Mark Alpern.

0:29:26.240 --> 0:29:29.680
<v Speaker 1>I watch his news round up every day because he

0:29:29.680 --> 0:29:32.400
<v Speaker 1>has all these posters and various people on every afternoon.

0:29:32.440 --> 0:29:32.760
<v Speaker 4>I watch it.

0:29:32.760 --> 0:29:34.680
<v Speaker 1>And his big thing he's saying right now is he says,

0:29:34.720 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>I want everybody right now watching everyone be prepared for

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:41.840
<v Speaker 1>your favorite candidate to lose. I want everybody to be

0:29:41.920 --> 0:29:44.600
<v Speaker 1>prepared for their favorite so it doesn't come as a surprise,

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:48.080
<v Speaker 1>because it could. It could be a landslide either direction

0:29:49.320 --> 0:29:52.520
<v Speaker 1>in the electoral College. Yeah, as things stand right now,

0:29:52.560 --> 0:29:56.360
<v Speaker 1>a landslide very easily for Harris or Trump. It wouldn't

0:29:56.360 --> 0:29:59.760
<v Speaker 1>take crutch and so be prepared for your candidate to lose.

0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:02.640
<v Speaker 1>It's not just like, how could that possibly happen?

0:30:03.000 --> 0:30:05.640
<v Speaker 4>Easily? Very easily. It could happen.

0:30:06.200 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>Well, and I wish more people could hear this conversation

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:11.959
<v Speaker 1>for multiple reasons. But uh yeah, because there will be

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:15.640
<v Speaker 1>good cries of outrage. Trump was ahead by half a point.

0:30:15.800 --> 0:30:19.400
<v Speaker 1>How could he have lost Wisconsin? Right? Well, because polling's

0:30:19.400 --> 0:30:21.760
<v Speaker 1>the best that we got. But it's not very good. No,

0:30:21.880 --> 0:30:24.080
<v Speaker 1>and that's all that's within the margin of error, which

0:30:24.120 --> 0:30:25.280
<v Speaker 1>means error.

0:30:25.040 --> 0:30:26.280
<v Speaker 4>Which means it could have been wrong.

0:30:27.200 --> 0:30:30.840
<v Speaker 1>Right, Yeah. Yeah, but there's a lot of money and

0:30:30.880 --> 0:30:34.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of clicks to be had by alleging nefarious activity. Yeah.

0:30:34.520 --> 0:30:39.200
<v Speaker 1>I've never been particularly worried about polls being unfair. That's

0:30:39.240 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 1>of all the things I worry about going on in

0:30:41.400 --> 0:30:44.240
<v Speaker 1>politics in America, that's not one for the reasons you

0:30:44.280 --> 0:30:44.760
<v Speaker 1>just stated.

0:30:44.760 --> 0:30:47.280
<v Speaker 4>They have so much reason to want to be accurate.

0:30:47.480 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 1>You know how much money you would make if you

0:30:49.280 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>emerged as the clear most accurate polling organization. Oh yeah,

0:30:54.320 --> 0:30:57.280
<v Speaker 1>you'd be so rich you wouldn't care who won election. Right.

0:30:57.960 --> 0:30:59.600
<v Speaker 1>We've got Katie's headlines on the way and lots of

0:30:59.600 --> 0:31:06.240
<v Speaker 1>good stuff today trying to find out I heard yesterday

0:31:06.240 --> 0:31:12.240
<v Speaker 1>do you know Andrew Sullivan, gay conservative brighter pundit dude? Anyway,

0:31:12.240 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 1>I read Andrew in a long time. He's a super

0:31:14.480 --> 0:31:17.440
<v Speaker 1>smart guy. Yeah, he doesn't like Trump at all, but

0:31:18.160 --> 0:31:21.120
<v Speaker 1>I saw him right over the weekend. Anybody who thinks

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:26.840
<v Speaker 1>that Colin Kamala, a S Vice president making a joke

0:31:27.000 --> 0:31:32.480
<v Speaker 1>about Arnold Palmer's large junk or the McDonald's drive through

0:31:32.880 --> 0:31:36.600
<v Speaker 1>hurt him as opposed to help him, doesn't understand the

0:31:36.640 --> 0:31:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Trump thing at all. And I would agree, No, they don't. Yeah. Yeah,

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:44.520
<v Speaker 1>if you think this clearly unhinged and people will recognize it,

0:31:44.640 --> 0:31:45.360
<v Speaker 1>are you kidding?

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 4>He killed with all three of those things.

0:31:48.400 --> 0:31:50.200
<v Speaker 1>I can't wait to talk about some of that stuff

0:31:50.240 --> 0:31:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and the most dishonest ad I've ever seen. You're in

0:31:53.200 --> 0:31:56.800
<v Speaker 1>favor of getting rid of misinformation disinformation democrats? You are

0:31:57.360 --> 0:32:00.479
<v Speaker 1>really I'd like to chat with you next hour, please,

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:04.040
<v Speaker 1>But first let's get the lead story with Katie Green

0:32:04.040 --> 0:32:05.360
<v Speaker 1>who's reporting what Katie?

0:32:05.720 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 2>Thanks?

0:32:06.000 --> 0:32:09.040
<v Speaker 3>Guys, Starting with the New York Times. It's leaders are dead,

0:32:09.360 --> 0:32:13.320
<v Speaker 3>it's ranks are depleted, yet Hamas remains hard to defeat.

0:32:13.720 --> 0:32:17.840
<v Speaker 1>Hmm. Oh you gotta say defeated. I mean because it

0:32:17.920 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 1>was rhyming really beautifully fake news. Yeah, well they're pretty defeated. Yeah, yeah,

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:28.280
<v Speaker 1>I would like to read that.

0:32:28.280 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 4>Where was that? That's New York Times. Okay, I will

0:32:30.440 --> 0:32:30.880
<v Speaker 4>check that out.

0:32:31.800 --> 0:32:37.000
<v Speaker 3>NBC Elon Musk's one million dollars swing state voter lottery

0:32:37.120 --> 0:32:40.200
<v Speaker 3>falls into legal gray area according to experts.

0:32:40.240 --> 0:32:42.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Joe brought this up yesterday and made an excellent point.

0:32:42.720 --> 0:32:45.880
<v Speaker 1>The whole people spend more money on that all the time,

0:32:46.360 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>on ads to try to convince you to sign a petition.

0:32:50.000 --> 0:32:52.480
<v Speaker 4>That's okay. But if he just says, hey, I'll give a.

0:32:52.520 --> 0:32:55.960
<v Speaker 1>Million dollars randomly to people, so go out and sign it.

0:32:56.440 --> 0:32:57.640
<v Speaker 4>That's a crime somehow.

0:32:58.040 --> 0:33:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Oh well, every every lefty news outlets is it legal? Yeah,

0:33:02.920 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 1>I have a feeling we'll find out. Yes, it's perfectly legal.

0:33:05.720 --> 0:33:08.000
<v Speaker 1>He's just having people sign a petition, and he's making

0:33:08.240 --> 0:33:11.600
<v Speaker 1>a little a contest, right, it's the idea that he's buying,

0:33:11.800 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, a petition or whatever you're telling me.

0:33:14.200 --> 0:33:17.120
<v Speaker 4>That doesn't happen all the time. That's what's the difference.

0:33:17.160 --> 0:33:19.320
<v Speaker 1>If you spend one hundred million dollars on billboards and

0:33:19.320 --> 0:33:24.080
<v Speaker 1>ads and sending people to my door, it's the same thing. CNN.

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:30.320
<v Speaker 3>Both candidates take millions in donations from elderly dementia patients.

0:33:31.480 --> 0:33:33.959
<v Speaker 1>Oh my gosh, how does that work?

0:33:34.160 --> 0:33:37.880
<v Speaker 3>This this is going along with the non stop barrage

0:33:38.000 --> 0:33:41.640
<v Speaker 3>of text messages that both candidates are sending people for donations,

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 3>and apparently they're getting more of the elderly and the

0:33:45.680 --> 0:33:46.680
<v Speaker 3>sick than anything.

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 1>Man. Thanks, I hope they stop on my phone after

0:33:49.640 --> 0:33:51.200
<v Speaker 1>the election. It's just annoying.

0:33:52.760 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 3>From the Washington Post, housing costs are rising everywhere, but

0:33:56.800 --> 0:33:58.760
<v Speaker 3>especially in the Swing States.

0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:01.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, a number of people have made that point that

0:34:02.120 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the housing situation is even worse inflation, all the stuff

0:34:05.640 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 1>that matters to the election. It's worse in the Swing

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:10.759
<v Speaker 1>States than on average.

0:34:11.480 --> 0:34:12.320
<v Speaker 4>From the Independent.

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:17.759
<v Speaker 3>Music may speed up recovery from surgery, according to scientists.

0:34:19.000 --> 0:34:22.360
<v Speaker 1>I have no doubt Unleash's positive brain chemicals and hormones

0:34:22.360 --> 0:34:24.960
<v Speaker 1>in ways. We probably are just just scratching the surface

0:34:24.960 --> 0:34:25.680
<v Speaker 1>of understanding.

0:34:27.560 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 3>From ABC News, woman stuck upside down between two boulders

0:34:32.600 --> 0:34:35.760
<v Speaker 3>trying to retrieve her phone freed after seven hours.

0:34:36.440 --> 0:34:38.439
<v Speaker 4>Doe, I saw this video. We got to go into

0:34:38.440 --> 0:34:40.319
<v Speaker 4>this story. I got more detail on it coming up.

0:34:41.719 --> 0:34:45.000
<v Speaker 3>Okay, you're meme of the day. It's the picture of

0:34:45.040 --> 0:34:49.160
<v Speaker 3>baby Yoda and he's squinting. That says apparently referring to

0:34:49.200 --> 0:34:52.279
<v Speaker 3>screaming kids in a store as seaman demons is not

0:34:52.360 --> 0:34:53.440
<v Speaker 3>publicly acceptable.

0:34:53.680 --> 0:34:58.560
<v Speaker 1>You wow, wow, No it's not. It's not on the

0:34:58.640 --> 0:35:00.799
<v Speaker 1>show either. It's a worse turn I've ever heard.

0:35:03.080 --> 0:35:07.560
<v Speaker 3>And finally from the Babylon B sixth woman added to

0:35:07.600 --> 0:35:09.160
<v Speaker 3>the cast of the view.

0:35:10.280 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 2>Uh.

0:35:12.800 --> 0:35:13.200
<v Speaker 4>Exactly.

0:35:13.320 --> 0:35:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Oh I like that growing ideas that he's not much

0:35:18.960 --> 0:35:19.359
<v Speaker 1>of a man.

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:23.480
<v Speaker 4>Have you seen the airport that's outlawed? Long hugs. That's

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:25.240
<v Speaker 4>another thing we need to talk about later.

0:35:26.960 --> 0:35:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Armstrong and Getty