Speaker 1: Broadcasting live from the Abraham Lincoln Radio Studio, the George
Speaker 1: Washington Broadcast Center, Jack Armstrong and Joe, Katty Armstrong and
Speaker 1: Jetty and Gee arms Wrong Get.
Speaker 2: It live from the studio Sea signor Teep within the
Speaker 2: bowels of the Armstrong and Giddy Information Complex.
Speaker 1: This is the Armstrong in Getty Show Live, Tuesday, October
Speaker 1: twenty second, the Year of Our Lord twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1: This morning, laboring under the tutelage of Honorary General Manager,
Speaker 1: the Poles is in. I don't want to hear another
Speaker 1: stinking word about the polls. I can wait till the
Speaker 1: two weeks from Tuesday. Whatever it is enough analysis. I
Speaker 1: believe mister Armstrong is approaching the studio rapidly. I saw
Speaker 1: the the text, Michael, could you interpret that for me?
Speaker 1: Is on as well? Yeah, he should be on his way. Great, Well,
Speaker 1: I hate to get a head of steam going have
Speaker 1: him walk in interrupt with this gibberish as often happens. Katie,
Speaker 1: I'm not wrong, but am I wrong?
Speaker 3: No'm not gonna argue with you on that one.
Speaker 1: Yeah oh there, right, yeah, yeah, anyway, yeah, okay, oh
Speaker 1: hey there's Jack play the door. My hey, it is Hey,
Speaker 1: look it's Jack. What's the giggling about. You're walking around
Speaker 1: you break giggling and everybody looks at you. I've had
Speaker 1: that happen before. You're talking about the World Series coming up?
Speaker 1: Love that Yankees? Uh, what you do? I'm going to
Speaker 1: get the Dodgers had today. That's my goal is go
Speaker 1: to the mall and get a today. Wow. Well that
Speaker 1: heavily on the Yankees, folks. That's right, that's right. I
Speaker 1: do have that effect. Superhuman, your your Greek godlike ability
Speaker 1: to alter the outcome of events. You are the god
Speaker 1: of screwing things. What would it be your superpower as what? Well,
Speaker 1: you're the cooler. It's an odd gift. Yeah, Jack's a cooler.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I have rooted for many very hot teams throughout the
Speaker 1: many years we've been on the air that then lost. Yeah,
Speaker 1: like I bought a forty nine Ers hat when they
Speaker 1: were undefeated last year and then they lost like four
Speaker 1: games in a row until I burnt my hat in
Speaker 1: the grill, and then they started winning again the super Bowl. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's cause and effect, folks. Yeah, yeah, it's exactly. It's science.
Speaker 1: Believe the science. I believe science. That phrase, Oh that
Speaker 1: makes my skin get up. No kidding, no kidding. We
Speaker 1: are two weeks today from the presidential election. That's pretty exciting,
Speaker 1: and it looks like the closing arguments are going to
Speaker 1: be stupid.
Speaker 4: We can talk about that later.
Speaker 1: Our general manager, for what it's worth, was the polls
Speaker 1: is then I don't want to hear another stinking word
Speaker 1: about them.
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, all of them. Okay, if anybody's going to
Speaker 4: bring them up, it just should be.
Speaker 1: They're tied and doesn't look like they're going to be
Speaker 1: anything butt tied on election day, So there you go.
Speaker 1: I do have what I think will be some interesting
Speaker 1: information about polling that I think most people don't understand.
Speaker 1: If you would like to be more knowledgeable, stay with us.
Speaker 1: The closing arguments, among other things, seem to be the
Speaker 1: last twenty four hour news cycle was minimum wage, which
Speaker 1: makes me insane. I like it being front and center
Speaker 1: is an issue because it's a good basic economics issue,
Speaker 1: but the fact that the sitting vice president and decent
Speaker 1: chance of being president's going around making that moronic, freaking
Speaker 1: you couldn't be more pandering argument that people can't live
Speaker 1: on fifteen thousand dollars a year that's that's starvation wages.
Speaker 4: Minimum wage needs to be racent.
Speaker 1: It's just it makes me so crazy, But that works
Speaker 1: for a big chunk of America, which of course is
Speaker 1: you know, is the problem.
Speaker 4: You got leaders going around, tell them then, the minimum
Speaker 4: wage is designed.
Speaker 1: To live on, right, it will support a family of
Speaker 1: four on obviously, anybody who does anything whatsoever. You go
Speaker 1: down to the mirror fogging plant and you just haugh
Speaker 1: on a mirror and fog it.
Speaker 4: The mirror ought to be able to that ought to.
Speaker 1: Be able to feed a family of four because you
Speaker 1: have shown up and done something literally anything that should
Speaker 1: be a family supporting wage. Says, well, it's not. It's
Speaker 1: the flip side of that argument that really convinced me
Speaker 1: when I was much younger, of the whole minimum wage thing,
Speaker 1: not the because while that makes sense, it sounds like
Speaker 1: you know, there there there are skills that aren't worth
Speaker 1: blah blah blah. The reverse of it is what's always
Speaker 1: made the best argument to me. You've got to be
Speaker 1: able to have jobs that don't require much, but you
Speaker 1: need a human to do that that you can have
Speaker 1: as a I don't know, a restaurant, a bookstore, a
Speaker 1: radio station.
Speaker 4: A whatever you are, you need to have.
Speaker 1: Some positions are really low skilled, but you need a
Speaker 1: human being, and you can't be forced by the government
Speaker 1: to pay them a living.
Speaker 4: Wage to do that stupid job.
Speaker 1: You give it to a college kid or a high
Speaker 1: school kid, or an old person or somebody who wants
Speaker 1: a second job or whatever. But yeah, you have to
Speaker 1: be a You can't have the government outlaw entry level jobs.
Speaker 1: That are side of the argument's always made the best
Speaker 1: sense to me. Yeah, I would agree. We need to
Speaker 1: recapture the concept of the entry level or starter job
Speaker 1: and refer to these jobs in that way. It's not
Speaker 1: an insult. It's a wonderful thing. It's a springboard. It's
Speaker 1: you'd not be littling little league by calling it little
Speaker 1: league and implying it somehow hurtful to say those twelve
Speaker 1: year olds couldn't play in the majors. They can't. They're chill,
Speaker 1: they don't have the skills. Starter jobs are a wonderful thing.
Speaker 1: They're a stepping stone. What do you, stowe, I almost
Speaker 1: used a disparaging term. That would have been unfortunate. What
Speaker 1: do you Poor people who haven't fully thought this through
Speaker 1: need to hear to understand.
Speaker 4: So you got, uh, I don't know.
Speaker 1: You need somebody to answer your phones at your business,
Speaker 1: and you got the kind of business where it's like
Speaker 1: the phone rings four times a day, so it's not
Speaker 1: much to the job. You need somebody to answer your
Speaker 1: phones in case somebody calls. So you can either hire
Speaker 1: somebody for minimum wage that's willing to do that and
Speaker 1: they could study in their free time or do whatever,
Speaker 1: or the government mandates that that has to be a
Speaker 1: living wage, and you can't have somebody answer your phones
Speaker 1: because it just doesn't make sense to pay somebody that
Speaker 1: much to answer the phones. You really don't need a
Speaker 1: PhD in economics to understand this stuff. But it just oh,
Speaker 1: all right, this is our job. This is our job
Speaker 1: to help people understand. And I'm not talking about you
Speaker 1: and me and just the world conserve. This is our task.
Speaker 1: It's our challenge. The reason I bring it up is, uh.
Speaker 1: Trump was asked about it in the French fry window
Speaker 1: the other day and he did kind of a dodge
Speaker 1: answer because he didn't want to commit to raising the
Speaker 1: minimum wage because he understands the economics of it as
Speaker 1: a businessman. Kamala Harris was asked about it and said,
Speaker 1: as you see, Donald Trump does not care about the
Speaker 1: working place, the working person in this country.
Speaker 4: Minimum wage is starvation wages. Blah blah blah blah blah.
Speaker 1: It was the lead story on a couple of the
Speaker 1: national newscasts last night.
Speaker 4: ABC Evening News led with the minimum wage story.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and if you're buying it, put down your delicious paste,
Speaker 1: wipe off the drool, and go vote for Kamala Harris. Well,
Speaker 1: well you shouldn't, actually, because your minimum wage job will
Speaker 1: go away. It's not like you're gonna make more money.
Speaker 1: And we've tried it in California recently and the mask
Speaker 1: in the biggest group of cases. The job is gonna
Speaker 1: go away, or they'll replace it, the replace it with
Speaker 1: the machine, or they'll consolidate hours or something.
Speaker 4: But it isn't going to help you in general.
Speaker 1: Gavin Newsom just put tens of thousands of fast food
Speaker 1: workers out of work in the state of California by
Speaker 1: artificially pushing the minimum way tire. That is the simple truth. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I wish that argument wasn't you know, didn't take three
Speaker 1: sentences to make as they say, if you're explaining you're losing,
Speaker 1: which is a pretty stupid system. So you're not allowed
Speaker 1: to have anything so complicated that it requires explanation to
Speaker 1: become elected. I'm going to say this, well, I'm going
Speaker 1: to say it privately. Okay, this is just between us friends.
Speaker 1: The greatest thinkers of the Enlightenment, which included our founding fathers,
Speaker 1: understood that if you entrusted people who couldn't understand these
Speaker 1: simple concepts to vote, that would kind of ruin everything.
Speaker 1: So you can say landed white males if you want.
Speaker 1: Race got nothing to do with it. Sex has nothing
Speaker 1: to do with it as far as I'm concerned. But
Speaker 1: if you don't get what we've been talking about, you
Speaker 1: shouldn't vote. You're too dumb. Now back to the usual
Speaker 1: tone of voice. Okay, let's start the show Officially. I'm
Speaker 1: Jack Armstrong. He's Joe Getty on this it is How
Speaker 1: did it already get to be? Tuesday, October twenty second,
Speaker 1: the year twenty twenty four. We are Armstrong and getting
Speaker 1: We approve of this program intelligent me that was not elitist,
Speaker 1: because that would imply that, like the first the top
Speaker 1: twenty percent of intellects or wealth or whatever are the
Speaker 1: only people who matter. And that's not my point at all.
Speaker 1: I'm an anti moronest. I just want that bottom twenty
Speaker 1: percent to be eliminated from the electorate. I don't think
Speaker 1: that makes me an elitist. All right, let's begin the
Speaker 1: show officially then, according to FCC rules and rags leaping
Speaker 1: into action.
Speaker 5: At mark, it was announced that more than four hundred
Speaker 5: and seven elevens in the US will be closing by
Speaker 5: the end of the year. These seven elevens are closing
Speaker 5: due to declining sales as consumers pull back due to
Speaker 5: inflationary pressure. Coincidentally, inflationary pressure is also what you feel
Speaker 5: after eating a tube of seven eleven hot roller meats.
Speaker 1: Roller meats, that's a good term, roller meats pressure. Yeah,
Speaker 1: we got a new seven eleven in my orbit that
Speaker 1: is really nice, like brand new one, interesting, hundreds, really clean,
Speaker 1: like just like it's the best convenience store around. It's
Speaker 1: my main stop now if I'm going to stop at
Speaker 1: a comedience store. So m I wonder if congratulations, I
Speaker 1: wonder if they've changed their model. But a lot of
Speaker 1: seven elevens, I've been saying for years. If you're seeing
Speaker 1: seven eleven, you're in a bad area because that has
Speaker 1: been true for a long time.
Speaker 4: So I don't know, maybe they're changing their model AnyWho.
Speaker 1: It's actually mildly interesting why they're closing hundreds of seven elevens.
Speaker 1: It's uh, they say, inflationary pressures, which seems kind of
Speaker 1: silly to me. Also, declining cigarette sales have really hurt
Speaker 1: seventy wow wow yeah, yeah, because they made so much
Speaker 1: other profits on SIG's. And also they don't talk about this,
Speaker 1: but theft, absolutely theft. Another corporate giant makes a huge
Speaker 1: adjustment to the way they conduct retail and is not
Speaker 1: willing to say it's because everybody steals. Now, if you're
Speaker 1: in line at a mid grade convenience store, nine out
Speaker 1: of ten customers are getting cigarettes, an energy drink, and
Speaker 1: a lottery ticket. Nine out of ten. Could I stand
Speaker 1: in line with them all the time buying other things?
Speaker 1: How does mailbag look very nice? Looking forward to it? Fantastic?
Speaker 1: That's on the way. Our text line is four one, five,
Speaker 1: two nine five KFDZ. The most interesting and terrifying thing
Speaker 1: going on in the world is the Bricks conference that
Speaker 1: is going on starting today in Russia. I wants to
Speaker 1: talk about that a little bit later. Russia not quite
Speaker 1: as isolated over Ukraine as you would like, or maybe
Speaker 1: you're led to believe right solutely true. And speaking of
Speaker 1: foreign policy and foreign relations, the leak of the Israeli
Speaker 1: attack plan is just an outrage. It's almost certainly from
Speaker 1: the State Department, the US State Department. Oh Man, there
Speaker 1: needs to be a hanging on a south lawn, but
Speaker 1: it probably won't be anyway. Why I would assume not, well,
Speaker 1: we call soft now would that would lead the news?
Speaker 1: All right? Then they hungered the National Security Advisor today
Speaker 1: on the south lawn.
Speaker 4: It's horrified. Children watched on.
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not naming any names. A third grade
Speaker 1: field trip had to avert their eyes. The tour group said, well,
Speaker 1: I didn't expect this. Quote unquote, here's your freedom loving
Speaker 1: quote of the day from Thomas Jefferson. This is a classic.
Speaker 1: This reminds me the whole minimum wage thing. I wish
Speaker 1: more people are aware of this dynamic. I would rather
Speaker 1: be exposed to the inconveniences attending too much liberty than
Speaker 1: those attending too small a degree of it. People think
Speaker 1: of safety and the government stepping in to straighten things
Speaker 1: out as entirely a positive most people do, which is disturbing.
Speaker 1: But again, as I said before, for whatever reason, I'm
Speaker 1: feeling kind of plucky and optimistic today, which is odd.
Speaker 1: I'm thinking, Okay, what's wrong with that? I know, I know,
Speaker 1: I was so exhausted yesterday and just worn out and
Speaker 1: sleep deprived, and I just feel great today. But anyway,
Speaker 1: now my attitude today is all right, that's that's the job. Then,
Speaker 1: that's my life's work is to help people understand that,
Speaker 1: even if it's just a few people a little bit,
Speaker 1: you know, as life's work goes, that's it's pretty good.
Speaker 1: So on with the battle. Don't worry. I'll give up
Speaker 1: within a half hour, folks, mail bag. The old me
Speaker 1: that people have come to love will be back shortly,
Speaker 1: so it's okay, please bear with us. Is the old
Speaker 1: Joe is returning any more than optimistic? Let's see. I've
Speaker 1: had to arrange mailback differently because of a technical issue.
Speaker 1: But here we go, guys. I'm an undecided voter. I
Speaker 1: don't like either candidate for my president, so I'm voting
Speaker 1: for vice president. I'm choosing the one i'd prefer to
Speaker 1: be in charge if at some point the next president's
Speaker 1: unable to serve seems reasonable to me in better Nini
Speaker 1: meaning miney moo loyal listener for I don't know how
Speaker 1: many years. Thanks Dianne. Nice to hear from you. I
Speaker 1: do want to talk about this we almost did yesterday.
Speaker 1: Just the idea of what your vote means to you.
Speaker 1: Different people have different thoughts on that. Definitely a lot
Speaker 1: of you seem to cherish your vote a lot more
Speaker 1: or it reflects your personality a lot more than I
Speaker 1: feel mine does. Yeah, let's see on the topic of
Speaker 1: men in women's volleyball, Emily as former cal Unicornian who
Speaker 1: recently escaped to beautiful Red, Idaho. That's her words. Since
Speaker 1: you've spent a lot of time discussing the dude playing
Speaker 1: on the San Jose State University and women's volleyball team lately,
Speaker 1: I was wondering if you'd heard about the women's high
Speaker 1: school volleyball player in North Carolina, Peyton McNabb. I have. Indeed,
Speaker 1: in twenty two she was playing a conference game. There
Speaker 1: was a dude playing on the other team. He spiked
Speaker 1: the volleyball hit Peyton directly in the face seventy miles
Speaker 1: per hour. She was immediately knocked unconscious, suffered a brain
Speaker 1: bleed and concussion, and permanent whiplash in her neck. She
Speaker 1: has since become an ambassador for Independent Women's Forum an
Speaker 1: advocate for girls' sports, but will have lifelong injuries because
Speaker 1: of this woke bull crap. And I wish I could
Speaker 1: say the word and cowardice of those in charge who
Speaker 1: would rather bow down to an ideology than protect young
Speaker 1: girls and women. A men Emily Branch sister, And it's
Speaker 1: amazing that that's not a everyone knows it household name
Speaker 1: national story the way it might be if somebody outwardly misgendered,
Speaker 1: someone like you refuse to call them by their new
Speaker 1: trans name, that could blow up into a giant story.
Speaker 1: This Nah, nobody's interesting. It's amazing that women aren't driving this. Yes, absolutely, yeah,
Speaker 1: it's shocking. And I could go into details why I
Speaker 1: think that is, but we don't really have time right now.
Speaker 1: But moving along temporarily and remind me of that topic.
Speaker 1: I have more to say, Seawan writes, guys, new TikTok
Speaker 1: trends is the topic. I've seen some dumb and problematic
Speaker 1: TikTok challenges at the school I work at. How do
Speaker 1: I start one. I'm thinking the prepared challenge, students taunting
Speaker 1: me at the start of class with multiple sharpened pencils,
Speaker 1: shaking their worksheets at me on the correct page before
Speaker 1: I can even read the slide dunking on me with
Speaker 1: homework completed early sean.
Speaker 4: It's a beautiful fantasy.
Speaker 1: That's pretty good. That is really funny. Total change of
Speaker 1: topic from John the impending World War. Regardless of how
Speaker 1: any of these countries aligned with each other, should we
Speaker 1: not be drilling the absolute hell out of oil in
Speaker 1: this country. We know we don't have the manufacturing capacity
Speaker 1: we need, but we have no chance of ramping it
Speaker 1: up without oil. Manufacturing capacity starts with energy, and I'm
Speaker 1: not talking about a friggin win mill, well said Johnny Boy.
Speaker 1: It's right, we'll build the tanks to take on Russia
Speaker 1: and China with solar power. And didn't buy oil from Iran?
Speaker 1: I guess I don't know. Wow, Iran's there in Russia too.
Speaker 1: They're fitting in with the whole bricks conference. If you
Speaker 1: hadn't heard about it, it's frightening Armstrong and Getty And.
Speaker 6: The big question, of course, is are the Poles and
Speaker 6: the and the poll inaccuracies. Are they going to mirror
Speaker 6: what we saw in twenty twenty which would help Trump,
Speaker 6: or are they going to mirror what we saw in
Speaker 6: twenty twenty.
Speaker 1: Two which would help Paris. We don't know, and these
Speaker 1: numbers are unreliable. One hundred percent. Yeah, all the poles
Speaker 1: are tied, as we said earlier, which is one of
Speaker 1: the reasons we're not going to talk.
Speaker 4: About poles much. But that is that is the question.
Speaker 1: Really. If it is what it has been the last
Speaker 1: two presidential cycles, Trump's gonna win because he overperforms the poles.
Speaker 1: If it's like the twenty twenty two midterms where the
Speaker 1: big giant red wave was coming according to the poles,
Speaker 1: but never showed up, and Harris is probably going to win,
Speaker 1: you have to wait. Coming up in a couple of minutes.
Speaker 1: What most people don't understand about the polls and a
Speaker 1: lot of misperceptions that people have about polling in general.
Speaker 1: Who I think you may find at least mildly interesting.
Speaker 1: Love that this should be more than mildly interesting. It's
Speaker 1: the most important thing probably going on in the world today.
Speaker 1: And I have read this quote twenty times since it
Speaker 1: happened on March twenty second, twenty twenty three, after Jijing
Speaker 1: Ping visited Vladimir Putin and Moscow and he was leading
Speaker 1: the Kremlin and I don't know if he knew this
Speaker 1: was caught on mike or not, but somebody was standing
Speaker 1: there and recorded right before he got in the limo
Speaker 1: Gee turns to Putin and says, there are changes happening,
Speaker 1: the likes of which we haven't seen for one hundred years.
Speaker 1: Let's drive those changes together, and Putin said, I agree.
Speaker 1: I think that will go down as a major moment
Speaker 1: in world's history and one of the most chilling gnostications
Speaker 1: of things to come ever. Ever, Yeah, I agree completely,
Speaker 1: and I'm glad the two of them are as old
Speaker 1: as they are. Yeah, hope Spring's eternal lit what comes
Speaker 1: next might be better, But yeah, they're absolutely in tentan
Speaker 1: on doing harm to the current world order.
Speaker 4: And to that.
Speaker 1: The Brick Summit is going on right now in Russia.
Speaker 1: So somebody came up the Brick acronym several years back
Speaker 1: to represent this is before we saw Russia as evil
Speaker 1: as they are now. But at the time it was Brazil, Russia, India,
Speaker 1: China as emerging economies in like the growing big power Block.
Speaker 1: And at the time it wasn't frightening. Now it's frightening,
Speaker 1: and they've added an s to it to include South Africa,
Speaker 1: and now actually they call it bricks plus, kind of
Speaker 1: like LGBTQ plus, where you add in a whole bunch
Speaker 1: of countries.
Speaker 4: And the fact that they're meeting in Russia.
Speaker 1: So Vladimir Putin, who we were going to isolate on
Speaker 1: the world stage and he would be all alone and
Speaker 1: a pariah, as our president said over and over again,
Speaker 1: not a pariah is so much as he has world
Speaker 1: leaders meeting in his country that represents well over half
Speaker 1: of the world's population and are all happy to get
Speaker 1: together with Vladimir Putin. So she got Brazil, Russia, India, China,
Speaker 1: and South Africa there along with well, just the fact
Speaker 1: that you got Putin and sheet together in Russia is enough.
Speaker 1: But along with Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE, who
Speaker 1: in theory is a friend of ours, all getting together
Speaker 1: and talking about how they structure the world to their benefit.
Speaker 1: And obviously we Great Britain, France, these old Western democracies
Speaker 1: are not part of this whole thing. No, No, the
Speaker 1: utopian idea that there's anything other than power and self
Speaker 1: interest that motivates nations is just kind of silly. If
Speaker 1: your power is completely assured and your self interests are
Speaker 1: being well served well often for pr purposes, you will
Speaker 1: act as if international harmony and moral goodness and the
Speaker 1: rest of it are your highest priority. And it's easy
Speaker 1: to do because you got the main two covered. It's like, yeah,
Speaker 1: I've got oxygen and food, so yeah, I'm going to
Speaker 1: carry on about having the right colored dish towels. But
Speaker 1: then when that order, when that power, that structure of
Speaker 1: power stability is shaken up, then you go back to
Speaker 1: the old stuff. And we were just we had that
Speaker 1: power and stability and self interest served for so long
Speaker 1: we fell for the delusions I think as a country
Speaker 1: well that I've just described right, and this idea that
Speaker 1: we can just force the rest of the world to
Speaker 1: treat us as the king forever that we bought into somehow.
Speaker 1: And remember when Russia went into Ukraine under Obama's watch,
Speaker 1: and Secretary of State Carrie said that was an eighteenth
Speaker 1: century move in a twenty first world. As if those
Speaker 1: words mattered to Vladimir Putin and all, as if ye
Speaker 1: have Putin cried himself to sleep that night. I've made
Speaker 1: a fool of myself and Biden talking about isolating Putin
Speaker 1: him and him becoming a pria. And now he's hosting
Speaker 1: this giant conference that includes the second biggest economy in
Speaker 1: the world and an Indian you know, over half the population,
Speaker 1: as I said, and Vladimir Zelinsky's really unhappy about this.
Speaker 1: The freaking Secretary General of the UN is going to
Speaker 1: be there. Wow, So Russia invades its neighbor just because
Speaker 1: it wants to slaughtering people left around. This is the
Speaker 1: president of the UN that lectures Israel for bombing hospitals
Speaker 1: and genocide. Russia has been bombing kids, little schools, just
Speaker 1: becuz for years now. And the UN Secretary General is
Speaker 1: going to be in Russia at the Bricks conference right
Speaker 1: right well, And unlike the forces of Hamas at Hesbola,
Speaker 1: the Ukrainians don't house military installations in personnel action elementary
Speaker 1: schools for the very purpose of having those kids killed. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's actually just a kindergarten. And Russia bombs on purpose
Speaker 1: to kill kindergarteners. And Putin's not quite the prior we're
Speaker 1: hoping part of it is, can we bulldoze the un place?
Speaker 1: Can we just bulldoze it or just claim that there's
Speaker 1: a bed bug infestation. We've just got to fumigate it,
Speaker 1: make everybody leave, and then clear out their crap, and
Speaker 1: then you know, to make it luxury condos or a
Speaker 1: tennis club. I don't care literally anything. Yeah, change the
Speaker 1: locks man would have wasted space and money. Yeah. And
Speaker 1: there's there's a certain amount of hubris that I think
Speaker 1: we all have as Americans that when I hear that
Speaker 1: sort of stuff that op Putin's made a mistake and
Speaker 1: he's on the wrong side of the United States. You
Speaker 1: know that there's you know, it's gonna be tough. Apparently
Speaker 1: not so much. Apparently we do not control the rest
Speaker 1: of the world as much as we as we would
Speaker 1: like or claim. Right right now at the same time, man,
Speaker 1: that's a bad situation right there. At the same time,
Speaker 1: the isolation has surged to withdraw American power from the
Speaker 1: international scene. It's just suicidal, right. I mean to say
Speaker 1: that nature abhors a vacuum understates how much nature really
Speaker 1: abhors a vacuum. I mean into that vacuum will flow Chinese,
Speaker 1: Russian Iranian and North Korean power quicker and you can
Speaker 1: say apocalypse anyway, What a cheery discussion this is. Well,
Speaker 1: and if you care about American interest, having the bricks
Speaker 1: plus group be the dominant power on Earth is not
Speaker 1: going to help your job or anything you care about.
Speaker 1: So complete change of topic here, if we may the
Speaker 1: question of polling, and you know who's got it right
Speaker 1: and wrong, and how the election looks. Well, I've refuse
Speaker 1: to discuss any specific polling, but I've been reading a
Speaker 1: fair amount about the polling as a science and what
Speaker 1: the current polsters are trying to accomplish. And the one
Speaker 1: thing I want to layter rest is, and I hear
Speaker 1: this fair amount on the right, kind of the populist right,
Speaker 1: is that pollsters are intentionally trying to screw Trump and
Speaker 1: make them look bad, whether to depress turnout or because
Speaker 1: they don't like Trump or what have you. And I
Speaker 1: happen to know I have a very close relative who
Speaker 1: worked for a while in a polling organization, one you've
Speaker 1: heard of, and they are desperate, desperate to be accurate. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I know, I'm not a cynic about polls, the big
Speaker 1: major ones that they usually use for the averages. Right,
Speaker 1: They've got so much interest in being right, that's the best.
Speaker 4: Keep the model.
Speaker 1: Yeah, keep in mind that they do research and polling
Speaker 1: three hundred Well, they take vacations with three hundred and
Speaker 1: sixty five days a year for all sorts of political
Speaker 1: and corporate interests, governments and just you name it. And
Speaker 1: accuracy is their sales pitch, and so they're desperate to
Speaker 1: get it right. It's just very, very difficult these days
Speaker 1: on three ish different levels. Number One, reaching people because
Speaker 1: of technological change. And then the people you can reach
Speaker 1: more easily than others tend to be demographically and psychographically
Speaker 1: different than the people who are more difficult to reach,
Speaker 1: So that's a serious challenge. And then you get into
Speaker 1: kind of the multi level quandary of who is going
Speaker 1: to actually vote because that changes, And that's like, that's
Speaker 1: what keeps them up at night, because you can.
Speaker 4: Pull like every single.
Speaker 1: Voting person in America, well a registered voter, likely voter
Speaker 1: in America, every single one You're sample sizes one hundred
Speaker 1: million people in UK. Say we pulled these hundred million
Speaker 1: people and fifty one percent of them are voting for
Speaker 1: Trump forty nine percent Kamala it's it's over, folks. But
Speaker 1: then turnout is going to be very different then what
Speaker 1: they said that even if they said they were absolutely
Speaker 1: likely going to vote. And so they do all this
Speaker 1: complicated sociological and technical research on who actually turns out
Speaker 1: in what districts, what sort of person blob, what age,
Speaker 1: all that, and they're trying they put together these complex
Speaker 1: algorithms trying to project who's actually going to vote, and
Speaker 1: it's really really hard. And then you've got people who
Speaker 1: who like to mess with folsters. I've done it at
Speaker 1: least once myself, and just to be contrary, because you're
Speaker 1: annoyed by one aspect of it or another, you give
Speaker 1: them an incorrect answer. So have you have you done?
Speaker 1: Have you done that with like big political stuff? I've
Speaker 1: done it with like stuff that doesn't matter, but I
Speaker 1: don't think I've ever done it with big politics thing.
Speaker 1: I don't know if I stuck around for a politics poll,
Speaker 1: but like, you know, hey, just a quick poll from
Speaker 1: blah blah blah corporation.
Speaker 4: Do you eat potatoes in your house? Oh?
Speaker 1: Yeah, lots of potatoes. How many potatoes do you think
Speaker 1: you eat? I don't know, five pounds a day? You
Speaker 1: know something like that. I can't, you know, I wish
Speaker 1: I could remember the specifics. It would really help to
Speaker 1: us story to get a potato right now. I really
Speaker 1: never stopped. I sought my alarm at night to get
Speaker 1: up in the middle of the night and need another potato.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I wake up and think, you know what
Speaker 1: I need? I need another potato, and I get out,
Speaker 1: I go to the kitchen.
Speaker 4: I brush my teeth with potatoes. I'd bathe in potatoes.
Speaker 1: I send my kids to school with a sack of
Speaker 1: fll of potatoes real lunch. Uh. No, I've actually been
Speaker 1: pulled several times because I have done it out of
Speaker 1: curiosity about the process, and so I'm on some sort
Speaker 1: of list. But yeah, I can't remember. It was some
Speaker 1: sort of issues pulling, and they said it would take
Speaker 1: two minutes, and it was like four minutes into it,
Speaker 1: and right they're like, what do you think of coastal erosion?
Speaker 1: Favor more water less land? Yes, sir, I can't remember
Speaker 1: what the hell it was. It was some obscure thing,
Speaker 1: and I was done. I was through caring, but didn't
Speaker 1: want to hang up anyway, that's funny. Anyway, I suppose
Speaker 1: we could get into more detail, but set a Stanford
Speaker 1: University political scientist, because of the shift of black and
Speaker 1: Latino voters toward Trump, the proliferation of online surveys, it's
Speaker 1: all creating potential sources of additional error because they're just there.
Speaker 1: The patterns of yesteryear that they used to make accurate
Speaker 1: turnout predictions are just way up in the air. So
Speaker 1: he says we're headed for a disaster in terms of polling.
Speaker 4: Well, you know what, Mark Alpern.
Speaker 1: I watch his news round up every day because he
Speaker 1: has all these posters and various people on every afternoon.
Speaker 4: I watch it.
Speaker 1: And his big thing he's saying right now is he says,
Speaker 1: I want everybody right now watching everyone be prepared for
Speaker 1: your favorite candidate to lose. I want everybody to be
Speaker 1: prepared for their favorite so it doesn't come as a surprise,
Speaker 1: because it could. It could be a landslide either direction
Speaker 1: in the electoral College. Yeah, as things stand right now,
Speaker 1: a landslide very easily for Harris or Trump. It wouldn't
Speaker 1: take crutch and so be prepared for your candidate to lose.
Speaker 1: It's not just like, how could that possibly happen?
Speaker 4: Easily? Very easily. It could happen.
Speaker 1: Well, and I wish more people could hear this conversation
Speaker 1: for multiple reasons. But uh yeah, because there will be
Speaker 1: good cries of outrage. Trump was ahead by half a point.
Speaker 1: How could he have lost Wisconsin? Right? Well, because polling's
Speaker 1: the best that we got. But it's not very good. No,
Speaker 1: and that's all that's within the margin of error, which
Speaker 1: means error.
Speaker 4: Which means it could have been wrong.
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah. Yeah, but there's a lot of money and
Speaker 1: a lot of clicks to be had by alleging nefarious activity. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I've never been particularly worried about polls being unfair. That's
Speaker 1: of all the things I worry about going on in
Speaker 1: politics in America, that's not one for the reasons you
Speaker 1: just stated.
Speaker 4: They have so much reason to want to be accurate.
Speaker 1: You know how much money you would make if you
Speaker 1: emerged as the clear most accurate polling organization. Oh yeah,
Speaker 1: you'd be so rich you wouldn't care who won election. Right.
Speaker 1: We've got Katie's headlines on the way and lots of
Speaker 1: good stuff today trying to find out I heard yesterday
Speaker 1: do you know Andrew Sullivan, gay conservative brighter pundit dude? Anyway,
Speaker 1: I read Andrew in a long time. He's a super
Speaker 1: smart guy. Yeah, he doesn't like Trump at all, but
Speaker 1: I saw him right over the weekend. Anybody who thinks
Speaker 1: that Colin Kamala, a S Vice president making a joke
Speaker 1: about Arnold Palmer's large junk or the McDonald's drive through
Speaker 1: hurt him as opposed to help him, doesn't understand the
Speaker 1: Trump thing at all. And I would agree, No, they don't. Yeah. Yeah,
Speaker 1: if you think this clearly unhinged and people will recognize it,
Speaker 1: are you kidding?
Speaker 4: He killed with all three of those things.
Speaker 1: I can't wait to talk about some of that stuff
Speaker 1: and the most dishonest ad I've ever seen. You're in
Speaker 1: favor of getting rid of misinformation disinformation democrats? You are
Speaker 1: really I'd like to chat with you next hour, please,
Speaker 1: But first let's get the lead story with Katie Green
Speaker 1: who's reporting what Katie?
Speaker 2: Thanks?
Speaker 3: Guys, Starting with the New York Times. It's leaders are dead,
Speaker 3: it's ranks are depleted, yet Hamas remains hard to defeat.
Speaker 1: Hmm. Oh you gotta say defeated. I mean because it
Speaker 1: was rhyming really beautifully fake news. Yeah, well they're pretty defeated. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: I would like to read that.
Speaker 4: Where was that? That's New York Times. Okay, I will
Speaker 4: check that out.
Speaker 3: NBC Elon Musk's one million dollars swing state voter lottery
Speaker 3: falls into legal gray area according to experts.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Joe brought this up yesterday and made an excellent point.
Speaker 1: The whole people spend more money on that all the time,
Speaker 1: on ads to try to convince you to sign a petition.
Speaker 4: That's okay. But if he just says, hey, I'll give a.
Speaker 1: Million dollars randomly to people, so go out and sign it.
Speaker 4: That's a crime somehow.
Speaker 1: Oh well, every every lefty news outlets is it legal? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I have a feeling we'll find out. Yes, it's perfectly legal.
Speaker 1: He's just having people sign a petition, and he's making
Speaker 1: a little a contest, right, it's the idea that he's buying,
Speaker 1: you know, a petition or whatever you're telling me.
Speaker 4: That doesn't happen all the time. That's what's the difference.
Speaker 1: If you spend one hundred million dollars on billboards and
Speaker 1: ads and sending people to my door, it's the same thing. CNN.
Speaker 3: Both candidates take millions in donations from elderly dementia patients.
Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, how does that work?
Speaker 3: This this is going along with the non stop barrage
Speaker 3: of text messages that both candidates are sending people for donations,
Speaker 3: and apparently they're getting more of the elderly and the
Speaker 3: sick than anything.
Speaker 1: Man. Thanks, I hope they stop on my phone after
Speaker 1: the election. It's just annoying.
Speaker 3: From the Washington Post, housing costs are rising everywhere, but
Speaker 3: especially in the Swing States.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a number of people have made that point that
Speaker 1: the housing situation is even worse inflation, all the stuff
Speaker 1: that matters to the election. It's worse in the Swing
Speaker 1: States than on average.
Speaker 4: From the Independent.
Speaker 3: Music may speed up recovery from surgery, according to scientists.
Speaker 1: I have no doubt Unleash's positive brain chemicals and hormones
Speaker 1: in ways. We probably are just just scratching the surface
Speaker 1: of understanding.
Speaker 3: From ABC News, woman stuck upside down between two boulders
Speaker 3: trying to retrieve her phone freed after seven hours.
Speaker 4: Doe, I saw this video. We got to go into
Speaker 4: this story. I got more detail on it coming up.
Speaker 3: Okay, you're meme of the day. It's the picture of
Speaker 3: baby Yoda and he's squinting. That says apparently referring to
Speaker 3: screaming kids in a store as seaman demons is not
Speaker 3: publicly acceptable.
Speaker 1: You wow, wow, No it's not. It's not on the
Speaker 1: show either. It's a worse turn I've ever heard.
Speaker 3: And finally from the Babylon B sixth woman added to
Speaker 3: the cast of the view.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 4: Exactly.
Speaker 1: Oh I like that growing ideas that he's not much
Speaker 1: of a man.
Speaker 4: Have you seen the airport that's outlawed? Long hugs. That's
Speaker 4: another thing we need to talk about later.
Speaker 1: Armstrong and Getty