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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pod. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five Horning Cody five

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Speaker 2: fifty and the kick as Black Comic Football Laura Stunner.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and bumble the latter turn

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Speaker 2: a car on the inside, Gulna cap them off the

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Speaker 2: field to night. It's not the side of the dog

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Speaker 2: in the fight, it's the size of the fight in

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Speaker 2: the dog.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I'm Mike

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Speaker 1: Calvert's joint as always by Mike Iello. This is the

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Speaker 1: five D type. We're gonna break down everything that we

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Speaker 1: like in the week eleven card. But let me address

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Speaker 1: the elephant in the room, which of course was my

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Speaker 1: money line pick last week with Tulsa. Let's just check

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Speaker 1: the app real quick. How was Tulsa doing? They're down

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Speaker 1: forty five nothing. Oh my god, my mention's on fire.

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Speaker 1: It's time for me to take accountability. But I think

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Speaker 1: I'd like to start by stating the obvious. I was

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Speaker 1: just watching the Yanks Red Sox two thousand and four

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Speaker 1: Comeback documentary on Netflix and the paraphrase Pedro Martinez and

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Speaker 1: I will spare everybody a Dominican accent. What else can

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Speaker 1: I do but tip my cat to Trent Dilfer and

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Speaker 1: call on my daddy, because that was the one opportunity

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Speaker 1: he had to absolutely dunk on me from this podcast

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Speaker 1: he did. I overlooked a few key things. I have

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Speaker 1: to have accountability here. It was homecoming, it was the

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Speaker 1: Children's Harbor Game, which is when they play for kids

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Speaker 1: with sickle cell anemia and all these other things, so emotionally,

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Speaker 1: they did have somebody to play for it. That was

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Speaker 1: a part of my handicap saying that their season was

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Speaker 1: over it was a sinking ship. Clearly they rallied around

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Speaker 1: that they played really well. It's a big deal for

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Speaker 1: the community. I also didn't take into account Yes, Tulsa

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Speaker 1: was hot offensively, but there's always those opportunities to fade

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Speaker 1: a team off of a big comeback. I overlook that

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Speaker 1: with their win against Utsa and their defense has been

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Speaker 1: a sieve for much of the season. They're one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty seventh in explosive plays allowed. My hatred of

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Speaker 1: Trent Dilford blinded me to a few of those facts.

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Speaker 1: So hand up, I'm going to take my medicine. On

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Speaker 1: that one. I deserved all the harsh words on social media,

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Speaker 1: but I'm back on the horse here. In week eleven,

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Speaker 1: I got this in the mail for my good buddy Stefan.

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Speaker 1: He was in Nashville. He picked up a Diego Pavia

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Speaker 1: jersey shirt for me. That's the kind of vibes that

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Speaker 1: I need to change things a little bit. And as

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Speaker 1: ionel O is demonstrating here, he is in his Mac gear,

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Speaker 1: it's time to raise the Mac flag. Max is back baby.

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Speaker 1: It is Tuesday, the night we are recording. I believe

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Speaker 1: the only major event going on tonight is maction. So

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Speaker 1: we're going to stick in the college football world, keep

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Speaker 1: this political free. Thank god, my phone is now no

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Speaker 1: longer blowing up here in a battleground state now that

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Speaker 1: I voted and the election, at least for my purposes,

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Speaker 1: is over, So let's jump in. I knowl what are

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Speaker 1: your thoughts here? In week eleven, We're trying our best

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Speaker 1: to pull out of this nosedive. You said before we

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Speaker 1: started recording, you kind of liked this card a little

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Speaker 1: bit more than you thought you would. I'm on the

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Speaker 1: same page. There's a lot that jumped out to me

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to hear some of your picks this week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you started the show with Tulsa, so I will

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Speaker 3: give myself a little credit with that Wyoming call that Hey,

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Speaker 3: thank god you in first took Tulsa because we joked

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Speaker 3: that I had Tulsa too, I had to pivot to Wyoming.

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Speaker 3: They pulled out a great upset with I still think

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Speaker 3: it is funny, like we haven't hit the parlay since

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Speaker 3: what week three? I think that if you combine them,

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Speaker 3: but if you just bet separately, every single money line pick,

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Speaker 3: we've given out your way up because one of us

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Speaker 3: have hit it every single week except I think two.

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Speaker 3: There was one week we both took Hawaii like idiots

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Speaker 3: and that loss. There was one week that I had apps,

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Speaker 3: one of us had apps state in the game that

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Speaker 3: they got canceled, and there was just one we missed both.

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Speaker 3: But every other week at least one of our dogs

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Speaker 3: has hit. So if you just bet both of them,

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Speaker 3: you've been doing pretty well. Yeah. I had to. You know,

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Speaker 3: I'm not going to sit here and too my own

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Speaker 3: horn like it wasn't the best week, but I'll take

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Speaker 3: two and two after the stretch I've had, I did

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Speaker 3: go to and two. I was a Yukon push away

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Speaker 3: from three and two, a winning week which would have

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Speaker 3: been awesome were taken Yukon against you B. You think Trent,

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Speaker 3: I think Trent has that in his bag. Twice Husky's

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Speaker 3: are rolling. Yeah, I'm excited for this week, although I

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Speaker 3: will say it so I didn't think I was gonna

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Speaker 3: when I started. It's a weird week. There's an oddly

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Speaker 3: amount of big spreads in the G five. I was

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Speaker 3: looking through of twenty five G five games this week,

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Speaker 3: seventeen are a spread of more than a touchdown. Fourteen

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Speaker 3: of the twenty five or double digit spreads. So this

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Speaker 3: is going to be a week where you're either rooting

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Speaker 3: for you know, I'm sure we'll get into our I'm

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Speaker 3: sure you have similar picks to me in terms of

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Speaker 3: you either need good teams to step on the gas

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Speaker 3: or you need bad teams to keep it close. So

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Speaker 3: that's kind of what we're in for this week. So

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Speaker 3: it should be interesting. This might be a week where

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Speaker 3: if we lose a pick it'll be like really wrong,

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Speaker 3: and if we win, it'll probably be a sweat. So

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Speaker 3: it should be interesting.

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Speaker 1: As with tradition, with tradition, Let's go ahead and throw

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Speaker 1: out our g five heroes from Week ten.

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Speaker 3: Lacking hero babe game, what do the.

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Speaker 1: I gave some thought to Alex Golish for the whole

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Speaker 1: Tom Herban snub. I thought that was exactly what the

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Speaker 1: South Florida Bulls needed. They needed an edge. They kind

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Speaker 1: of slept walk through a big portion of this season.

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Speaker 1: They had quarterback injuries, they had a lot of issues

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Speaker 1: getting four quarters of quality football all strung together in

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Speaker 1: a single game. But I'm actually going to go with

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Speaker 1: Nick Senecal, the wide receiver from Hawaii. Twelve catches one

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Speaker 1: hundred and thirteen yards, two fourth quarter touchdowns, including the

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Speaker 1: game winner with about fifteen seconds left. Four to Brotherhood.

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Speaker 1: They finally did it. They are now back on track

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Speaker 1: to potentially get to that meaningful sixth win Bowl eligibility.

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Speaker 1: And we know what bull bids mean to these programs

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Speaker 1: that are trying to build something. It gives you extra

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Speaker 1: practice time, it helps in terms of your exposure in recruiting,

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Speaker 1: and certainly to take a coach off of the hot seats.

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Speaker 1: So I'm pulling for the Rainbow Warriors to get to six.

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Speaker 1: And they got a roadie at Utah State coming up.

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Speaker 1: They got a home game against New Mexico in their finale.

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Speaker 1: They certainly can do it. Now that they flipped that

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Speaker 1: Fresno game, which was looking like a loss in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter, they make it a win. Senecle my hero

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Speaker 1: of the week, also a former number one receiver recruit

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Speaker 1: from the Great White North. He was the top receiver

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Speaker 1: out of Canada. I love it when you have these

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Speaker 1: like weird intersectional players. He goes from Ottawa to Honolulu.

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Speaker 1: The natural pipeline there for Timmy Chang and his staff

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Speaker 1: feeling good for the bows.

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Speaker 3: It's perfect that we're getting international here on election Day

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Speaker 3: because from my G five here of the week, I'm

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Speaker 3: going with Jordan Noy's the Colorado State kicker. One of

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Speaker 3: my wins last week on Colorado State, Nois meant three

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Speaker 3: for three for field goals in a thirty eight to

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Speaker 3: twenty one win. He was kind of a difference in

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Speaker 3: that game. He hit a sixty yard bomb before the half.

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Speaker 3: That thing was good from seventy eight. He crushed it

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Speaker 3: with Rumna spare and I did the Calibrez deep dive

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Speaker 3: and I just love this guy even more. Now, do

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Speaker 3: you know anything about Jordanoys or Am I about to

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Speaker 3: drop some knowledge on you?

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Speaker 1: No, this is all fresh for me, so laid on me.

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Speaker 3: He is thirty two years old.

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Speaker 1: Love it.

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Speaker 3: He's older than me. He is married with three kids.

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Speaker 3: He's from England, grew up playing soccer, rugby and gymnastics.

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Speaker 3: He didn't start playing like organized football until twenty eighteen

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Speaker 3: at his wedding when NFL kicker Matt Gay, who is

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Speaker 3: married to his wife's cousin, was talking to him at

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Speaker 3: the wedding and I guess he was like a really

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Speaker 3: good soccer player. And he told him he was going

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Speaker 3: to the University of Utah, and he told him he

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Speaker 3: should try to walk on at the University of Utah

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Speaker 3: as a kicker.

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Speaker 1: He did.

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Speaker 3: I believe he was there for two or three years.

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Speaker 3: I've got to write that down. Transfers to Colorado State.

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Speaker 3: Now he's hitting sixty yard bombs to give the Rams wins.

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Speaker 3: So Jordanoy's thirty two year old love it one too.

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Speaker 3: Nice little nice little English Canadian talk on the pod.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. If I was putting together a dream roster from scratch,

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Speaker 1: I want an international kicker or a kicker which is

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Speaker 1: a wild backstory or somebody who has just like a

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Speaker 1: funny body shape, like either really lanky or really chubby,

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Speaker 1: like a creative player mode. I want to have it

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Speaker 1: so that they have some swag and they're easy to

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Speaker 1: pick out of a crowd as not a regular football player.

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Speaker 3: For the YouTube crowd. That's Jordan Noise. That is a

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Speaker 3: grown ass man kicking kicking balls in college. He looks

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Speaker 3: like he works at a bank. I love this guy.

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Speaker 1: All right, heads up to our audience. In case you

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Speaker 1: missed it, this last week, Stuck in Colin will no

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Speaker 1: longer be doing a live third and out show on YouTube. Instead,

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Speaker 1: they'll be releasing their entire main betting preview episodes on

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Speaker 1: Thursday evening instead of Friday mornings. So if you want

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Speaker 1: more time to listen to those bigger Friday episodes, they

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Speaker 1: now hit your podcast feed by or before eight pm

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Speaker 1: on Thursday evenings for the rest of the regular season.

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Speaker 1: All right, time for us to hop in our best

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Speaker 1: bets here in week eleven. As you mentioned, you were

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Speaker 1: very close to a winning week last week. You're certainly

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Speaker 1: trending back in the right direction, So why don't you

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Speaker 1: lead off here with your best bet for week eleven?

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Speaker 3: So we mentioned, I mentioned how you know this week

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Speaker 3: we're gonna need good teams to kind of step on

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Speaker 3: the throat a little bit here, and I'm going James

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Speaker 3: Madison minus sixteen and a half against Georgia State. Look,

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Speaker 3: this is just a great, great spot for James Madison.

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Speaker 3: They're coming off a bye week after throttling Southern miss

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Speaker 3: and Georgia State has lost five straight games and this

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Speaker 3: is gonna be their fourth road game in a row.

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Speaker 3: They have gone from Huntington, West Virginia, to Boone, North Carolina,

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Speaker 3: to East Hartford, Connecticut, and now to Harrisonburg, Virginia. The

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Speaker 3: Panthers are just in free fall here and look, it's

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Speaker 3: hard to blame them. I feel bad for them. We

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Speaker 3: talked about this a lot before the season, that this

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Speaker 3: is a true year zero for the Panthers, if not

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Speaker 3: like a negative year negative one. Because Sean Elliott was

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Speaker 3: a piece of shit and left the team halfway through

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Speaker 3: spring practice to be the tight ends coach at South Carolina.

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Speaker 3: They bring in Del McGee from Georgia, you know, extremely late.

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Speaker 3: And this is the guy who's a running backs coach

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Speaker 3: at Georgia. He has never even been a coordinator before

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Speaker 3: He's known for being an excellent recruiter, that's why they

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Speaker 3: hired him. That doesn't help you with March. He didn't

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Speaker 3: get to recruit this team. I think he's just over

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Speaker 3: his skis here. They somehow managed to upset Vanderbilt, which

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Speaker 3: you know it's going to age really well. But they've

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Speaker 3: lost every other FBS game this year, and you know,

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Speaker 3: I do appreciate that they showed last week against Yukon

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Speaker 3: that they haven't quit, which is good, but I watched

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Speaker 3: every second of that game. Obviously, Yukon had a roughing

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Speaker 3: the passer and off sides on a fourth down and

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Speaker 3: they dropped the easiest interception I've ever seen, and that's

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Speaker 3: how Georgia State scored their last touchdown to cut it

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Speaker 3: to seven. The touchdown before was fourth down and they

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Speaker 3: busted a fifty five yard run. It was two fluky plays.

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Speaker 3: Yukon was up like twenty, So yeah, I'm not really

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Speaker 3: that wasn't that good of a game from them. Score

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Speaker 3: score should have been more lopsided either way. Georgia State

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Speaker 3: is one hundred and twenty first in success rate on defense.

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Speaker 3: Their defense is horrible, so Barnett and Pataway should have

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Speaker 3: no problem moving the ball on this defense for the Dukes.

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Speaker 3: Zach Gibson has looked okay at quarterback for the Panthers,

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Speaker 3: but James Madison's defense is third in the nation in

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Speaker 3: success right, they're elite. They're eleventh against the pass, twelfth

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Speaker 3: against the run. They're fourteenth in coverage grade. They're gonna

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Speaker 3: make things very, very hard on Gibson this game. The

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Speaker 3: Dukes have allowed two hundred and fifteen passing yards just

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Speaker 3: once all season. They've allowed six rushing touchdowns all year.

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Speaker 3: This defense is awesome. They fly around, they create a

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Speaker 3: ton of turnovers. They lead the country with twenty three

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Speaker 3: turnovers forced in eight games. They've picked off sixteen passes

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Speaker 3: this year. I think they're gonna give Gibson hell here.

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Speaker 3: They lead the country with a twenty three to six

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Speaker 3: turnover margin. That's crazy. Some people you know, oh, they're

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Speaker 3: due for negative regression. I don't think so. I think

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Speaker 3: they just they force sturnovers on defense. They're super aggressive,

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Speaker 3: they play really well, and if they're gonna regress, I'm

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Speaker 3: not picturing it being against this team. And when Bob Chesney,

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Speaker 3: who we love, has the Dukes rolling, they're killing teams.

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Speaker 3: Their six wins this year have come by twenty three, seven,

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Speaker 3: twenty fifty, six, thirty two, and seventeen, So James mass

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Speaker 3: is still very much alive in the Sun Belt race.

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Speaker 3: They still have plenty to play for. They're the much

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Speaker 3: better team. This is a great situational spot for them,

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Speaker 3: and Colin Wilson dropped this great little nugget on Twitter

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Speaker 3: that since twenty nineteen, teams coming off a bye against

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Speaker 3: teams playing its fourth consecutive road games are seven to

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Speaker 3: zero against the spread. So give me the Dukes here.

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Speaker 3: I think they blow them out. I think they went

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Speaker 3: by twenty.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I like that play a lot. I think to

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Speaker 1: your point about turnover margin, you look at Barnett's numbers

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Speaker 1: in terms of protecting the football, I think that is

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Speaker 1: more indicative of what he's gonna do against a defense

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Speaker 1: that's a little bit listless. Yeah. Maybe if they punch

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Speaker 1: up in bowl game and they play a defense has

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Speaker 1: some better athletes, then get some pressure on them. Perhaps

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Speaker 1: they get closer to a zero or negative one turnover

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Speaker 1: margin for a game as opposed to what they've been experiencing.

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Speaker 1: But I don't foresee any reason to kind of fade

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Speaker 1: them at this point, and I like what you bring

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Speaker 1: to the table in terms of when they get a

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Speaker 1: chance to step on somebody's throat, they're doing it, including

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Speaker 1: a team like North Carolina. So it doesn't really matter

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Speaker 1: in terms of the quality. When they have an opportunity

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Speaker 1: and they get teams down, they're pouring it on. So

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Speaker 1: I like that a lot. I'm gonna go Jacksonville State

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Speaker 1: here against La Tech on the road traveling down to Rustin.

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Speaker 1: They are a ten point favorite here. I love it.

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Speaker 1: Go grab that number right away. I think this number

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Speaker 1: is going to steam up closer to two touchdowns because

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Speaker 1: you start to look into some of the situational angles

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Speaker 1: and some of how the Cocks have been playing offensively

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Speaker 1: and everything starts trending red and black in this game,

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Speaker 1: rich Ron with the rest advantage at Jacksonville State seven

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Speaker 1: and two against the spread. The buy couldn't have come

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Speaker 1: at a better time for this team because they dominated Liberty,

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Speaker 1: they moved to four to zero conference to USA, lots

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Speaker 1: of time for pats on the back and kind of

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Speaker 1: to reset the situation and the locker room after getting

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Speaker 1: such a big win with that bye week, But that

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Speaker 1: extra time also allows them to refocus because sam Houston

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Speaker 1: is still looking at four and one in the conference standing,

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Speaker 1: so they can't just coast to the title game. And

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Speaker 1: they have a finale with back to back games with

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Speaker 1: sam Houston and at Western Kentucky. So you can't miss

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Speaker 1: any of your layups if you want to be able

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Speaker 1: to get into the conference title game with a split

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Speaker 1: in those last two. Now, back in August, I basically

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Speaker 1: called for sunny Comby's job. I said that this guy

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Speaker 1: was going to get fired. During the season. I said

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Speaker 1: they lost way too much offensively to be competitive in

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Speaker 1: conference play. They failed to exceed fourteen points in three

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Speaker 1: of their five matchups. Fourteen points against UTEP, three against

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Speaker 1: a sam Houston State team that was just looking to

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Speaker 1: give that game way they were at quarterback issues with

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Speaker 1: Watson being banged up, clearly not being himself. That was

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Speaker 1: a game that the Bearcats were giving LA Tech opportunity

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Speaker 1: after opportunity. Just move the ball a touchdown, maybe can

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Speaker 1: win this game for you. They couldn't do it. So

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Speaker 1: I think LA Tech is basically challenged in such an

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Speaker 1: extreme way that they're not going to be able to

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Speaker 1: take advantage of Jacksonville State defense that listen They're one

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Speaker 1: hundred and third in rush success rate on the defensive

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Speaker 1: side of the ball, but they don't give up many

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Speaker 1: explosive plays, and that's LA Tech's issue. When your offense

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Speaker 1: is broken in the fundamental way that the Bulldog's offense

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Speaker 1: is broken, you're hoping for those a trick play, you know,

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Speaker 1: two or three broken tackles go for a seventy yard touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville State's not giving those up. They're twenty second in tackling,

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Speaker 1: which is one of the top rates in the G five.

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Speaker 1: So from a fundamentals perspective, they're really good there. They're

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Speaker 1: going to make La Tech earn it, and I just

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Speaker 1: think LA Tech's going to do what they've done all year,

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Speaker 1: which is shoot themselves in the foot if you make

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Speaker 1: them go on long drives. They're one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: first in offensive success rate, they're one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: first in giveaways, and one hundred and six and have

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Speaker 1: it allowed. That's a lot of negative components recipes to

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Speaker 1: you add into this formula. So I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: with Jacksonville State here. And then finally, you know, in

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Speaker 1: terms of the game, within the game, giving ten may

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Speaker 1: seem like a lot on the road in November for

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Speaker 1: a Jacksonville State team that under Ritrod. Over the past

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Speaker 1: two years, they've been kind of jeckylling high at times.

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Speaker 1: But what I know is that I got Huff and

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Speaker 1: Stewart in this game. Offensively, they are the offensive engine,

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Speaker 1: and they've been running the crap out of the ball

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Speaker 1: this season, particularly in October. In the month of October

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Speaker 1: the four game Stewart ran for six hundred and ninety

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Speaker 1: four yards and eleven touchdowns just in the month of October.

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Speaker 1: Nearly identical height and weight to Steve Slayton. He's kind

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Speaker 1: of this plug and play guy in the rich Rod system.

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Speaker 1: He looks a lot like Slayton. He's decisive, he makes

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Speaker 1: his cuts, he gets north and south. He's putting up

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Speaker 1: huge numbers. They're fourteenth in line yards, they're sixteenth in

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Speaker 1: rushing success. They've gone nuclear in CONCES and Conference USA play.

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Speaker 1: There's no other way that I can say it. Almost

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Speaker 1: forty eight points per game in conference, five hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty five yards, three hundred and seventy nine rushing yards

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Speaker 1: per game. That's first, first, first across the board in

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Speaker 1: the CUSA. This is the best team This is a

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Speaker 1: team I said would make it to the title game

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Speaker 1: back in August. They're proven me right here. I think

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Speaker 1: they're going to roll over La Tech here and even

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Speaker 1: if this bubbles up to thirteen thirteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: keep taking it all the way to the edge of

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: Man, I thought q Sil was out of our life.

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Speaker 3: I was a good talking about a little maction on

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Speaker 3: the TV. I'm like, you're just dragging his back down

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Speaker 3: into the gutter.

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Speaker 1: Huh, Okay, you know what, Let's do a pala cleanser.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk maction for a second. For audience members who

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Speaker 1: maybe have not been all that locked in on the

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Speaker 1: Mid American Conference this year, who were three players that

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Speaker 1: you think everybody should be watching. We talked a little

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Speaker 1: bit about this before we got on air, and we

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Speaker 1: had some shocking synergy in terms of who we considered

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Speaker 1: the top three players that are must watching this conference.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we blindly did this. We had the same three guys.

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Speaker 3: I think number one. Everyone who's listened to the show

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Speaker 3: should know who Number one is. Gotta be Harrold Fan

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Speaker 3: and Junior Bowling. Green's tight end. He's not only the

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Speaker 3: best tight end in the MAC, he is the second

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Speaker 3: best tight end in the country, although I'm sure Bowling

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Speaker 3: Green gives him the ball more than whatever seven in

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Speaker 3: their biggest game of the year, But I digress. Anyway,

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Speaker 3: he leads all tight ends and yards. He's fourth in

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Speaker 3: the country among all players in receiving yards and catches.

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Speaker 3: He is an absolute star. He's a guy who's going

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Speaker 3: to be playing on Sundays. Harrol Fan was absolutely my

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Speaker 3: number one. Number two Sean Dolach, Buffalo linebacker, leads the

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Speaker 3: conference with over thirteen tackles per game, leads the conference

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Speaker 3: in tackles for loss, and he's just one of those

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Speaker 3: guys where he just does even when he's not then

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Speaker 3: up the statuet. He is the heart and soul of

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Speaker 3: that Buffalo defense. Everything they do runs through him. Like

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Speaker 3: I said, he's great at pressure, he's great, he's getting

387
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Speaker 3: coverage like he does everything. And then number three might be,

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Speaker 3: you know, maybe one of the most fun players to watch.

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Speaker 3: I would say Jayden Dixon, the Western Michigan running back,

390
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Speaker 3: is just so fun to watch. He's so good. He

391
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Speaker 3: leads the MAC with ninety four yards per game this year,

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Speaker 3: He's got ten touchdowns, He's averaging over seven yards per

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Speaker 3: carry on over one hundred carries. He's like a walking

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Speaker 3: first down. He's got like I forget the exact number.

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Speaker 3: I think it was like twenty five runs of ten

396
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Speaker 3: plus yards this year. Leads the conference by a lot.

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Speaker 3: So Harold Fannin, Sean Dolac, Jaden Dixon, those are three

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Speaker 3: names that you absolutely have to be watching on Tuesdays

399
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Speaker 3: and Wednesdays. Breeze, you get anybody else that or that

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Speaker 3: was your three two?

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Speaker 1: Right? I mean that was my three. Sean Dolac is

402
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Speaker 1: an absolute monster when you watch him play. He is

403
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Speaker 1: all over the field. He's got one hundred and twenty

404
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,639
Speaker 1: tackles alrighty this season. He's got two interceptions, almost returned

405
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Speaker 1: one to the house. He's got pass breakups. You mentioned

406
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Speaker 1: what he brings to the table in terms of coverage,

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Speaker 1: and it's a buffalo defense between him and Red Murdoch

408
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Speaker 1: at linebacker, Like they gotta be making plays for them

409
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Speaker 1: to stick around because their offense is challenged in a

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Speaker 1: really significant way. So I love what Pete Lombo has done.

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Speaker 1: He's breathed life right back into that program. The coaching

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Speaker 1: upgrade was one that both you, me and Stucky we

413
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Speaker 1: all flagged as one of the biggest upgrades, going from

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Speaker 1: a coach that really just he made bizarre decisions the

415
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Speaker 1: way that he managed his roster. Everything. Lombo's in the adult.

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Speaker 1: We finally got an adult back into the Greater Buffalo

417
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Speaker 1: area in western New York. I think the MAC is

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Speaker 1: a better conference for Buffalo being feisty, and I really

419
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Speaker 1: want to see them, you know, continue to get to

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Speaker 1: Bowl eligibility and play in one of those December Tuesday

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Speaker 1: afternoon games. That that's Buffalo football to mate, baby.

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Speaker 3: So let's the Cure Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Cure Bowl, whatever it takes, you know, Myrtle Beach,

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Speaker 1: Beach Bash. Whatever. Let's get him there. So I have

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bet on at two thirty on like

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Speaker 1: December eighteenth or whatever. All right, let's go to the

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Speaker 1: G five high five. We got five picks bundled together

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Speaker 1: here for you.

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Speaker 2: The G five high five should be high five high five.

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Speaker 1: Ianell O is I know this is not much of

431
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,119
Speaker 1: a competition. He is the hot hand right now in

432
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:46,879
Speaker 1: terms of our duo. So I'm gonna let him do

433
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:48,639
Speaker 1: three of the five here. Get a start in.

434
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 3: Mike, boys, that's scary. Let's think of the mac Wednesday night.

435
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:54,159
Speaker 3: I hope you're listening to this early get it in

436
00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:58,240
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois minus one and a half against Western Michigan.

437
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,400
Speaker 3: Powski's have a four games this year, all of them

438
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,520
Speaker 3: by one score, and I think you can argue they

439
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:05,879
Speaker 3: outplayed their opponent in every single one of those losses,

440
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:09,560
Speaker 3: because they lost to Buffalo on a brutal spot coming

441
00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,479
Speaker 3: off Notre d eight game. The Notre Dame upset, they

442
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,320
Speaker 3: outgained NC State by over one hundred yards, they outgained

443
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,680
Speaker 3: Toledo by over one hundred yards with their backup quarterback,

444
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,479
Speaker 3: and then ball State won on a bomb field goal

445
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 3: after the Huskies took the lead of fifteen seconds left.

446
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 3: So they should have probably won all of those games,

447
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 3: if not, you know, half of them. And I was

448
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 3: dealt with a ton of injuries this year, but Antario

449
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 3: Brown is back, their best running back, receiver Treyvon Rudolph

450
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,640
Speaker 3: is finally fully healthy, and quarterback Ethan Hampton returned last week.

451
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:42,440
Speaker 3: He didn't start for some reason, but then came in

452
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 3: like early and basically played the whole game.

453
00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 1: So it was kind of weird. Is that not the

454
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,359
Speaker 1: most maction thing? So well, it's just like there'll be

455
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 1: no information, they'll make a strange decision. He's the kind

456
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 1: of the starter, but not really. It's like, why does

457
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 1: this conference?

458
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 3: And that was I had them against Ball State last

459
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:03,159
Speaker 3: week and obviously they didn't win, but I remember I

460
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 3: was looking. I'm like, okay, Hanpa's not starting whatever. I

461
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 3: still like them. And then all of a sudden I

462
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,679
Speaker 3: looked up in like the second Cromwy Hampton's playing, they

463
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:11,119
Speaker 3: played with the whole game. I was like, why how

464
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 3: didn't he start the game. Very weird, But they're finally

465
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 3: one hundred percent healthy, they're finally all together, and they're

466
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,879
Speaker 3: playing a defense that is dreadful. Western Michigan is one

467
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty seventh in success rate. They're allowing thirty

468
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,120
Speaker 3: three point eight points per game, six and a half

469
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 3: yards per play. They have allowed at least twenty one

470
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,919
Speaker 3: points in every single game. And look who they've played

471
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 3: in their last six games Butthune, Cookman, Marshall, Ball State, Akron, Buffalo,

472
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:45,160
Speaker 3: and Kent State. Those are the offenses tearing up this defense. Now,

473
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:50,120
Speaker 3: I love Western Michigan's offense. This is a Hayden Wolf podcast, obviously,

474
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,400
Speaker 3: but the Huskies defense has been terrific. They rank six

475
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,480
Speaker 3: in the country in success rate. They're allowing seventeen points

476
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 3: per game, four and a half yards to play, they're

477
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:00,960
Speaker 3: allowing just two hundred and seventy five I have total

478
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 3: yards per game. All of those are the best in

479
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 3: the MAC. The secondary is outstanding. I really trust them

480
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 3: to be able to keep Wolf in check, slow down

481
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,719
Speaker 3: this passing attack. And at the end of the day,

482
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,680
Speaker 3: the worst unit on the field by a mile will

483
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 3: be the Western Michigan defense. So I think that does

484
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 3: them in here, and then this also might just need

485
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 3: to become a system play every week. Open up the

486
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 3: MAC standings. Whoever's at the top, bet against them, because

487
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 3: that's the way this conference has gone all year. So

488
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:33,960
Speaker 3: they're just gonna keep dragging each other back into the

489
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 3: middle of this pit. So give me Northern Illinois as

490
00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,479
Speaker 3: a short favorite here against Western Michigan.

491
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 1: You're dealing in maclands. You understand what's going on there.

492
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:45,920
Speaker 1: You have a feel. I'm going to go for a

493
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 1: team out of a conference that I have a good

494
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 1: feel for. Cusa Butch, don't kill my vibe, baby. I

495
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 1: said it a couple of weeks ago. This Arkansas State

496
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,919
Speaker 1: at Louisiana game. I had it circled. When this number popped,

497
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 1: I was like, are you kidding me? Wait to place

498
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 1: this bet? Arkansas State catching just about seventeen points on

499
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 1: the road here, big picture narrative, let's back up, because

500
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 1: I'm taking my medicine. I learned from the Tulsa debacle

501
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: of last week. I want to make sure that I

502
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,359
Speaker 1: can frame the matchup properly and I'm not missing anything.

503
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 1: Arkansas State fell short of every expectation in the first

504
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: you know, let's call it six weeks of the season.

505
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 1: They're squeezing out wins against Central Arkansas and Tulsa. They

506
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,880
Speaker 1: get drilled by Texas State. They go to their paycheck games,

507
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 1: they lose those as well. Meanwhile, Louisiana picked to finish

508
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,719
Speaker 1: third in the West by the media. All they've done

509
00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:36,959
Speaker 1: is played great football basically all season long. They were

510
00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: a one possession home loss to Tulane away from still

511
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 1: being perfect and being in the driver's seat to get

512
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 1: the G five auto bid. But let's be fair to them.

513
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: That loss to Tulane, I think you can make a

514
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: good argument was their best performance the whole year, because

515
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 1: you look at the rest of their Slate, Grambling, Kennesau,

516
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,879
Speaker 1: Southern Miss ten point wins over an app State and

517
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 1: Coastal teams, and a one possession win over Texas State.

518
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,959
Speaker 1: I mean, yes, it's great to win the games you're

519
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 1: supposed to win and to be in control. With the

520
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,479
Speaker 1: exception of the Texas State game, they were never at

521
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 1: risk of losing any of those. So yes, that's plenty

522
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: to be excited about in terms of the program that

523
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 1: we all thought would take maybe a half step back

524
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: in the Sun Belt this year. But you look through

525
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,160
Speaker 1: the rest of their profile, the Ragent Cajuns have been good,

526
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 1: but not great in just about everything. Their lone exception

527
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:27,440
Speaker 1: to that is they don't get behind the six. They're

528
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 1: fourth and havoc allowed. They're always on schedule, and they're

529
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: highly successful passing the football on standard downs and passing downs.

530
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:36,320
Speaker 1: That is where they hang their hat on. But there's

531
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: a lot of holes to exploit in this defense. You

532
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 1: can run on them. They're one hundred and thirty fourth

533
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 1: in success rate against the run. Just the reminder, there's

534
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,120
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty four teams in FBS football. They're

535
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifteenth in tackling. So even if they

536
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 1: run to the ball, they go for the gang tackling element,

537
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 1: the team tackling. They're blowing those tackles and they have

538
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,879
Speaker 1: no pass rush at all. So that's translated to nearly

539
00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: zero havoc for them on that side of the ball.

540
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 1: What does that tell me, Well, it means that, you know,

541
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 1: in terms of the law firm of Rayner, Cross and Rucker,

542
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 1: I think they can hang around and backdoor this thing.

543
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,199
Speaker 1: I'm also going to sprinkle on the money line at

544
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: plus five fifty because I think if they play let's

545
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 1: call it turnover free football or just one turnover in

546
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 1: the entire game, I think this will be a four

547
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,399
Speaker 1: quarter battle. And then, finally, when I look at this,

548
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 1: Ben Woolridge has been no fluke for Louisiana. He's top

549
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 1: twenty in QBR. He's got a four to one touchdown

550
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 1: interception ratio. Davis and Perry have been great as a

551
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 1: rushing tandem. But I still come back to this, with

552
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 1: everything they had going right for them offensively, all their

553
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 1: impressive metrics. They've won their Sun Belt games by ten,

554
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 1: by ten, by ten, and by six. I'll take the

555
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,240
Speaker 1: sixteen and a half year. I think this number is

556
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,280
Speaker 1: off by about a field goal. I love it over

557
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:47,440
Speaker 1: the key number of two touchdowns. Give me the Red

558
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 1: Wolves and Butch Jones to make this a sixty minute battle.

559
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love it. I hope you're right. I love

560
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 3: the money line Springle because I'm not going to tail

561
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,400
Speaker 3: it with you because i have that Arkansas State six

562
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:00,240
Speaker 3: to one to win the West from the preseason, so

563
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,880
Speaker 3: I'm not really gonna, you know, double down on it here,

564
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 3: but I desperately need them to win this game for

565
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 3: that ticket to have some juice. So I hope you're right. Yeah,

566
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 3: I are gonna say's just been such a jackal and

567
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 3: high team. But I do agree with you where if

568
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 3: they're playing the way they should. Yeah, this number is

569
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 3: way too high. Yeah, I like it. I'm gonna go

570
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 3: with the Thursday night under a little weekday action. Give

571
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 3: me under fifty seven and a half. Between FAU and

572
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:32,400
Speaker 3: East Carolina. There's just gonna be another bet against two offenses.

573
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 3: I don't like. FAU is one hundred and seventh, EASCU

574
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,919
Speaker 3: ranks ninetieth, and success right. Neither of these teams can

575
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 3: consistently run the ball at all. They both struggle on

576
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 3: early downs. They end up playing behind the chains and

577
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:46,800
Speaker 3: having to throw the ball, and that's where they both

578
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,640
Speaker 3: had a lot of trouble that's led to turnovers. East

579
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:54,400
Speaker 3: Carolina has sixteen touchdowns passing and sixteen interceptions this year.

580
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 3: Florida Atlantic has thrown six touchdowns and eight interceptions this year.

581
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 3: Everyone knows we hate Cam Fancher on this podcast. He sucks.

582
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:05,680
Speaker 3: He had that weird game where he just turned into

583
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 3: like Joe Montana against North Texas, which everyone seems to do,

584
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 3: and then turn right back into a pumpkin. I think

585
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,680
Speaker 3: he had like eighty yards in the following week. He

586
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 3: has won multi touchdown game all year. That was the

587
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 3: North Texas game. He's only thrown a touchdown in half

588
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 3: his games. He's just bad. The Owls are ninety eighth

589
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:25,880
Speaker 3: in scoring this year, and you look at East Carolina.

590
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 3: They bench Jake Garcia for Kateen Howser a few weeks ago.

591
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:33,280
Speaker 3: He's definitely been better, but he still struggles with his accuracy.

592
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 3: And surprisingly, both these defenses have actually been pretty above average.

593
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 3: I mean, I like Eascs the defense I kind of

594
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 3: had for a while. FAU ranks forty eighth in success rate.

595
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 3: They've been better against the pass, which is what EC

596
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 3: was gonna want to do. So hopefully they'll be able

597
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:51,959
Speaker 3: to slow down Howser with their passing defense. And then

598
00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 3: East Carolina is seventeenth in the country. They're elite against

599
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 3: the run, as they have been for the last couple

600
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 3: of years. So if they can just continue to shut

601
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 3: down the running game like they do against most most teams,

602
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 3: you're going to force the ball in a cam Fanser's hand,

603
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 3: and that's what we want it. The one caveat here

604
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:12,200
Speaker 3: is unless we see a bunch of pick sixes, which

605
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,719
Speaker 3: this game could have one or two, that would screw us.

606
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 3: But it's very possible that will have some pick sixes.

607
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 3: But if we don't get that turnovers. I like this

608
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 3: game to standard of total. I don't like either offense,

609
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 3: so at least if the turnovers are down the field

610
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 3: and don't result in touchdowns, we should be good here.

611
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:31,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was actually the question I was going to

612
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: ask you. If you could lay juice where it would

613
00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 1: be avoided bet if you were to lose the under

614
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 1: because there was a non offensive touchdown, how high would

615
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 1: you go? Would you go? Like minus one fifty, minus

616
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 1: one seventy five?

617
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 3: I mean, there's definitely gonna be a non offensive touchdown.

618
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: I guess the question too. I mean, look out in

619
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 1: the prop market.

620
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 3: You know a lot of these g I'm banking. I'm

621
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 3: banking that I'm making one two would concern me.

622
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 1: All right, I will close out my contributions here to

623
00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 1: the high five. Utah State travel into the polooe Wazoo

624
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 1: lay in twenty and a half, Go get it before

625
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 1: it's three touchdowns. Get this number immediately. This is the

626
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,440
Speaker 1: benefit of Utah State playing that tight game against Wyoming,

627
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 1: because I think if they had got it blown out

628
00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: in that game, I think this would clearly be over

629
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 1: the key number of three touchdowns. Utah State does not

630
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 1: have it offensively without Royals in the lineup, and I'm

631
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: not sure that the betting public is aware just how

632
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 1: integral he was to what they were doing. You look

633
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 1: at some of their offensive numbers. They get in a

634
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 1: huge shootout with New Mexico that skews the numbers in

635
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,240
Speaker 1: a significant way. This will be a track meet, but

636
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:40,200
Speaker 1: it's because Wazoo is one of the most underrated offenses

637
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,120
Speaker 1: in the entire country. They're also getting healthier coming off

638
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 1: of a bye and I think this offense will rev

639
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:47,480
Speaker 1: back up to where they were for much of September.

640
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 1: And the final piece is they protect mateir their seventh

641
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 1: in past protection, eighteenth in past success rate, twenty first

642
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 1: in quality drives and for a comp. This is where

643
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: this entire handicap is living. For a comp. How is

644
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 1: you touched? Eight done? Against mobile quarterbacks? Devin Dan Pierre

645
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: and New Mexico scored fifty and ran up five hundred

646
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 1: and fifty two yards. Well, maybe that was a fluke.

647
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: Hodjmelake Williams and UNLV another fifty burger and five hundred

648
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,760
Speaker 1: and forty six total yards. I have this graded out

649
00:31:13,800 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 1: as Wazoo minus twenty nine. Getting them under the key

650
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: number of three touchdowns, I think is a gift. I

651
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 1: see them winning. Let's call it another fifty burger, fifty

652
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 1: to twenty one, fifty twenty somewhere in that range. I

653
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 1: think Wazoo is still criminally underrated. I think there's public

654
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: perception issues with them being in the wilderness in the

655
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 1: Pac two with Oregon State. They're off of the national radar.

656
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 1: They are nationally ranked, folks. John Mattier is a really

657
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 1: good quarterback, and when you cannot get pass rush as

658
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 1: Boise State did against them, and really create negative plays.

659
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 1: They can sack up yards, they can sack up points.

660
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,239
Speaker 1: I'm shocked to see this number where it is right now.

661
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 1: Utah State, I just do not think have the horses

662
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 1: to hang around for four quarters with the Kops.

663
00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, Washington Fan has also been a completely different team

664
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 3: at home. If you look at their scoring on the

665
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:02,280
Speaker 3: season this year, and they're They've been held under thirty

666
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 3: in their four games either on the road or out

667
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 3: of neutral site their home games seventy thirty seven, fifty four,

668
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 3: forty two. So just dramatic scoring splits home versus road.

669
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 3: So yeah, I like you. I agree with you. This

670
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 3: is this game could get sideways quick. Speaking of getting

671
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 3: sideways quick, we're gonna need another big blow out here.

672
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 3: Gimme Tulane minus twenty six and a half at home

673
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 3: against Temple.

674
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 1: I was close to pulling the trigger on the Temple

675
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,640
Speaker 1: of Doom. The Dooms I think could be in for

676
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 1: it in this one.

677
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 3: Kiline just watched the Memphis and Navy lose, which is

678
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 3: huge for their AAC title. Hopes they play those two

679
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 3: teams next, So trip to the AACS in their hands

680
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: and just got a little easier. So I mean the

681
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 3: only message here this team should be against Temple should

682
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 3: be played loose in letter rip, and I think they do.

683
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 3: The offense is humming under Darien Mensa. They're averaging forty

684
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 3: points per game. Mensa has fourteen touchdowns three only three

685
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 3: interceptions on the AAR. He's pretty good with his legs.

686
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 3: Eighth in the country, averaging nine point three yards per attempt.

687
00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: That's tied with Dylan Gabriel. He is slinging the ball

688
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 3: throwing it downfield. Mario Williams and Dante Fleming are both

689
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 3: really explosive receivers. Makai Hughes is one of the best

690
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 3: running backs in the country. If it wasn't for gent,

691
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 3: we'd be talking about him a lot more on this show.

692
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,239
Speaker 3: He's one of seven backs who already have gone over

693
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 3: a thousand yards on the season. He has scored in

694
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 3: every single game except one. He didn't score in the

695
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 3: Oklahoma game. And this offense is explosive. They're well balanced

696
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 3: and there's no way Temple can keep up with them.

697
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 3: Bowles offense is one hundred and twenty third in the country.

698
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 3: They're dead last in rushing success they average just four

699
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 3: point eight yards per play, which is one hundred and

700
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 3: twenty fifth. They're averaging twenty yards twenty points per game.

701
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 3: Temple offense stinks, and I love this Temple defense would

702
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 3: actually take a pretty significant step step back given all

703
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,480
Speaker 3: the pieces they lost, all the talent they lost, lost

704
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 3: guys to the NFL, guys to the SEC. But I

705
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 3: guess it was just dumb not to think John Sumrall

706
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 3: would have an awesome defense. It's just kind of what

707
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,240
Speaker 3: he does. I mean, the Green Wave or top twenty

708
00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 3: five in success right on defense, they're allowing just twenty

709
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 3: points per game and conference plays so far, they have

710
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:16,760
Speaker 3: allowed ten points or less in three of their five games,

711
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,759
Speaker 3: and they only allowed twenty points to UAV because they

712
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,839
Speaker 3: were up seventy and had like the freshman soccer team

713
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 3: playing in the fourth quarter, So I don't really blame

714
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,080
Speaker 3: them for allowing twenty Fourteen of them came in the

715
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,360
Speaker 3: fourth quarter when they basically they were up one hundred.

716
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 3: So this team is rolling. They're blowing teams out, and

717
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 3: they're still underrated in the market. Tulane is seven to

718
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:41,040
Speaker 3: two against the spread this season. They are six and

719
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:44,720
Speaker 3: one against the spread as a favorite. They're rolling teams

720
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 3: up back to wave here.

721
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:51,440
Speaker 1: On to the money line underdog parlay. Here in week eleven,

722
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:02,439
Speaker 1: we'll see if we had the same one. I'm gonna

723
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,839
Speaker 1: go first here and I'm not going to shy away

724
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 1: from the AAC even though it basically pants me last

725
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 1: week with the anti Dilfer pick, maybe traveling to South

726
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 1: Florida taking the Bulls money line plus one thirty. Listen,

727
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,959
Speaker 1: last year USF gave it to Navy at their place.

728
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 1: They beat him forty four to thirty. The veer and

729
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 1: shoot was a problem for the Navy defensive staff, and

730
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 1: we know that Navy has looked out of its depth

731
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 1: against quality offenses like Memphis and Notre Dame the season.

732
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 1: I understand that the Notre Dame game turnovers got away

733
00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 1: from them and thinks snowballed. But when you look at

734
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:36,799
Speaker 1: South Florida, this is a different team than they were

735
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 1: even three weeks ago. Bryce Archie seems to be getting it.

736
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 1: Last two starts, He's been responsible for five touchdowns just

737
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 1: one giveaway. They're running the ball really, really well, and

738
00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:49,640
Speaker 1: they simply weren't doing that in September. They're finding massive

739
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 1: success running outside of the tackles. In particular, they're now

740
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: above seven yards per carry outside the tackles on those runs,

741
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: placing them top fifteen in the entire country. And they're

742
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: back are just dominating after contact. They're closing in on

743
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 1: four yards per carry after contact, which only trails Auburn,

744
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 1: Washington and Boise. But if we're being on just Ash

745
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 1: and gen Z, he's just basically that statistical outlier that's

746
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:16,319
Speaker 1: almost off of the screen. So that's how far South

747
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:18,719
Speaker 1: Florida has come in the past month in terms of

748
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 1: their rushing success. And let's call it what it is,

749
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,239
Speaker 1: this new wing t offense. I was banging the drum

750
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 1: for months about it and Drew Chronic and all the

751
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,960
Speaker 1: sound drops. We were having fun with it. They looked

752
00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 1: like a lot of fun. They've put a lot on tape,

753
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 1: and I think defenses have finally caught up a little bit.

754
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 1: In the past eight quarters. They've scored just twenty four points.

755
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 1: And I think there's also serious health concerns with Lake

756
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 1: Corvas's thumb.

757
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 3: I was gonna say, I was just gonna say that

758
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 3: has to be heard.

759
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, the service academies are always cagy. If you know,

760
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 1: not a full media blackout when it comes to player injuries.

761
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:54,400
Speaker 1: It's not national security, it's actuality, natural security. His thumbs

762
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 1: mixed up, and you do not want that. I know

763
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:59,320
Speaker 1: that it's a different hybrid triple option offense, but he

764
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:01,520
Speaker 1: still has the ball in his hand with reeds and

765
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:04,880
Speaker 1: pitches and throws. He just is responsible for so much

766
00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 1: of what makes their offense go. And without him at

767
00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:10,600
Speaker 1: one hundred percent, the ceiling for them comes down significantly.

768
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:14,080
Speaker 1: And I'm catching plus money on this at home, so

769
00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 1: I'm a little bit surprised that this number is where

770
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: it is, you know, in terms of Goalish and his

771
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,640
Speaker 1: behavior against Fau and everything with Tom Herman. I think

772
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 1: this team needed it. I think they needed a little

773
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:27,880
Speaker 1: bit of an edge. I think this is an opportunity

774
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 1: for them to turn it on and go on the

775
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 1: war path down the stretch in the AAC for a

776
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:34,800
Speaker 1: season where they had some you know, sleeper dark horse

777
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 1: aspirations in the AAC. It didn't materialize, but there's no

778
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 1: reason they can't get hot and ride that in the

779
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: bull season, just as they did last year. Navy looks

780
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 1: wounded right now, and it pains me to say it,

781
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 1: but this is their seventh straight game without a bye week.

782
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 1: They are in desperate need of it to get right,

783
00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:51,759
Speaker 1: to get healthy. They're not going to get it this

784
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:54,040
Speaker 1: week against the Bulls. So I'll take the plus one thirty.

785
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, do on know it? The ships are taking on

786
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 3: water a little bit. Is Brown number for the year.

787
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 1: They haven't. I don't believe they've ruled him out for

788
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 1: the entire year, but it's it's Archie's job right now.

789
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,040
Speaker 3: As I mentioned, all the double digit spreads at the top,

790
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:09,160
Speaker 3: so I'm not gonna lie. I had a lotch all

791
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 3: picking one here. I'm gonna go with San Jose State

792
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 3: plus one twenty five against Oregon State. Now, both of

793
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,960
Speaker 3: these teams are coming off of bye week, but I

794
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 3: think San Jose State needed it more. You know, the

795
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:24,840
Speaker 3: Spartans had been juggling quarterbacks between EMMITTT Brown and Walker Eggott,

796
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 3: and I would think they have a better grasp on

797
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 3: who's the guy coming off the bye week. And this

798
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 3: offense had been humming you know, Nick Nash justin Locker

799
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 3: on the outside. If they're able to trust his passing

800
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,480
Speaker 3: attack again, I do still like the Spartans offense. They're

801
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 3: averaging six point three yards for play on the year

802
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 3: four hundred and twenty two yards per game. And you know,

803
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 3: Oregon State runs the ball really well, but that's about it.

804
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 3: The passing game is an absolute dumpster fire. Giovanni McCoy

805
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 3: has been terrible. He got bench last week for Ben

806
00:38:57,320 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 3: Golbranson and Beavers defense has been the opposite of a

807
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:04,279
Speaker 3: damn this season. That's a little little Beaver joke there.

808
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:06,719
Speaker 3: They're one hundred and twenty third in the country. They

809
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 3: are putrid against the run. They're allowing six point four

810
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:13,719
Speaker 3: yards per play. They have gotten worse as the season's gone.

811
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 3: On their last three games, they allowed forty two points

812
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 3: to Nevada, thirty three to UNLV UNLV, and forty four

813
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 3: to Cal. They let Fernando I don't even think played

814
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:29,719
Speaker 3: in that game. They let Fernando Mendoza just shred them

815
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:31,399
Speaker 3: through the air. He had like three hundred and fifty

816
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:35,840
Speaker 3: yards or something crazy. And I know, going to Corvallis

817
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 3: is scary place to play. I don't love that aspect

818
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,640
Speaker 3: of it. Obviously, I wish this was in San Jose,

819
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:43,759
Speaker 3: but I just think when you're looking for a moneyline pick,

820
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 3: both of these teams are just super inconsistent. I'm not

821
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 3: really sure if either one of them is any good.

822
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,880
Speaker 3: And there's just a lot of variants here, like there

823
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:55,400
Speaker 3: weren't many options, like I said, so, I mean the

824
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:57,719
Speaker 3: other option was going to be Kannessas State, so be happy.

825
00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:59,600
Speaker 3: I'm not making root for Kannessas State. But when you

826
00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:01,399
Speaker 3: look at the game, if you look at the box

827
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 3: score on Sunday, and San Jose State blew out Oregon State,

828
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,359
Speaker 3: or Oregon State blows out San Jose State, like neither

829
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:12,359
Speaker 3: would surprise you at all, Right, Like both teams are

830
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 3: kind of just who knows. So I like the variance here,

831
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 3: So I'll take the Spartans as the road dog.

832
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's as bold of you giving the

833
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:24,480
Speaker 1: last performance State put on film, But I agree. I

834
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 1: mean they're coming off a bye, they have an opportunity

835
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:28,800
Speaker 1: to circle the wagons a little bit. They they played

836
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:31,399
Speaker 1: really good football in the month of September. It's in them.

837
00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:33,960
Speaker 1: They have the players on the perimeter. I think this

838
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,719
Speaker 1: quarterback battle is just kind of messed up. Not only

839
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,520
Speaker 1: are their quarterbacks heads, but also kind of the team

840
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,320
Speaker 1: who they're following. So hopefully they made a quarterback decision

841
00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 1: early in this bye week situation, and they got a

842
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:48,280
Speaker 1: game plan together and they're going to come out guns blazing.

843
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:50,480
Speaker 1: So I don't hate that in terms of that being

844
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:53,759
Speaker 1: the add on for underlying money line underdog money line

845
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 1: parlay here in week eleven. All right, let's finish it

846
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 1: out with some cutting room floor pieces. I only have one.

847
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,960
Speaker 1: We are joking about it national security. It's like opening

848
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:05,479
Speaker 1: up the nuclear missile vaults for the Naval Academy, reading

849
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: the authenticators Alpha Zulu Tango chaser. Is Horvat healthy or not?

850
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 1: Same thing, but on the land, like is Bryson Daily healthy?

851
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:16,200
Speaker 1: Is he sick? Did he have the flu? Did he

852
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 1: have an injury? They won't tell us, and it pisses

853
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:21,239
Speaker 1: me off because as much as I love Army and

854
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 1: I want them to go into the AAC title game

855
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,760
Speaker 1: undefeated with the chance to make the College to Well playoff,

856
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 1: I would love to fade them and take North Texas

857
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,960
Speaker 1: probably straight up to win in a shootout. If they

858
00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 1: have to go with Coleman as their backup, but there

859
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: is no intel, there will be no intel. So that's

860
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:39,960
Speaker 1: my frustration. That's why it's on my cutting room floor. Certainly,

861
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 1: if it's Coleman, I'm taking the points, but I think

862
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:45,720
Speaker 1: it'll probably shrink down from five and a half closer

863
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: to three if that's the case, if that becomes official

864
00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:50,960
Speaker 1: on game day. So it's a pass for me. It

865
00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:54,680
Speaker 1: pains me because you know they're keeping what is it,

866
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,400
Speaker 1: loose lips saying ships. They're they're carrying that out onto

867
00:41:57,440 --> 00:41:58,279
Speaker 1: the work for Army.

868
00:41:58,440 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 3: No, no, I think we're talking about Army, not Nate.

869
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 3: Why don't you pull that one out during the Navy talk?

870
00:42:05,080 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 3: I only have one as well. I mean, why too,

871
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 3: Kennislugh would have been my other dog. I probably won't

872
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:10,759
Speaker 3: bet it just because I don't have to, And why

873
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 3: would I want to bet on me? I don't have

874
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 3: to because I'm not. I don't have to watch CUSA anymore.

875
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:16,520
Speaker 3: So they're out of my life. This is more of

876
00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:20,080
Speaker 3: a question for you. Thursday night. This is the time

877
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,800
Speaker 3: we jump back on app State against Coastal Carolina.

878
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 1: Now Apupstates in jail, right to jail. I believe I

879
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:27,120
Speaker 1: put them in podcast prison.

880
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 3: They're there and there, Hey boy, this is this isn't

881
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,399
Speaker 3: podcast talk. They're not a pick on the bot I'm

882
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:33,440
Speaker 3: talking about. Do I bet them against Tim Beck and

883
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,160
Speaker 3: the coastal offense that managed to put up twenty four

884
00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:38,840
Speaker 3: points against the horrific Troy defense coming out, they did

885
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:41,200
Speaker 3: lose my over, but you personally.

886
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,720
Speaker 1: Are allowed to do it because you have been waging

887
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:47,200
Speaker 1: this campaign against Beck for years. I mean, you would

888
00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:49,440
Speaker 1: think that Beck stole your girl from back in the day.

889
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,920
Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on, but clearly you have

890
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 1: that animus when it comes to them, so feel free

891
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:55,840
Speaker 1: to fire on. No.

892
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 3: I used to bet NC State all the time because

893
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 3: their defense was sick. They had I forget, I don't

894
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,040
Speaker 3: remember who it was. They had two really good receivers

895
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 3: and like that. This is when they had a Devin

896
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 3: Leary at quarterback. And I mean Devin Leary. Literary is like,

897
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:10,680
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go to Kentucky because I have they have

898
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:14,840
Speaker 3: a more explosive offense. That's how bad dinback is that

899
00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:17,719
Speaker 3: he's like, ooh, look at the Chinese Toya Kentucky, Kentucky.

900
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 1: For Mike Guyanello, I'm Mike Calvaries. This has been the

901
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:23,440
Speaker 1: group of five deep dive under the Big Bets on

902
00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 1: campus banner. A reminder to our audience a little bit

903
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 1: of a programming shift. If you're interested in hearing the

904
00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:33,320
Speaker 1: entire Week eleven card from the absolute top of the

905
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 1: Marquee battles all the way into the trash. Stucky and

906
00:43:36,520 --> 00:43:38,760
Speaker 1: Colin have you covered, and now they have you covered

907
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:42,080
Speaker 1: for the full episode starting earlier on Thursday evenings instead

908
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,919
Speaker 1: of Friday morning. So update your podcast speed right around

909
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: eight pm Eastern on Thursday and you can get that

910
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:50,319
Speaker 1: episode early. And that all leads into the Saturday Live

911
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 1: show with Bret McMurphy, Colin Stuck, Johnny Football, and myself.

912
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:56,240
Speaker 1: We're going to give out our best bets the Marquee

913
00:43:56,280 --> 00:44:00,400
Speaker 1: matchups and go through injury availability. Some of john Football

914
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 1: is hell Mary parlays and picks upsets as well. It's

915
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:06,719
Speaker 1: can't miss content there. We are deep in the season now,

916
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:08,840
Speaker 1: there's only you know, a few weeks left in the

917
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 1: regular seasons. Who want to make sure that every Saturday

918
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:15,360
Speaker 1: counts enjoy it. Also, we're working up some scheduling in

919
00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 1: terms of programming for college basketball. We're certainly gonna have

920
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,360
Speaker 1: you covered during Feast week with the Malley Invitational and

921
00:44:21,440 --> 00:44:26,320
Speaker 1: all those fun tournaments that are played either at exotic

922
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,680
Speaker 1: locales like Mali or some of them across the country.

923
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 1: I think the Phil Night one is there. We're gonna

924
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:34,680
Speaker 1: get into every single game that's on national television that

925
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:36,920
Speaker 1: gives you an opportunity to not have to talk to

926
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 1: your in laws and bet on college sports. That's what

927
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:42,120
Speaker 1: we're here for. So rest assured we're gonna take care

928
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 1: of you. We're gonna put that together, and we'll have

929
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 1: a plan coming up in the next few weeks so

930
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:49,799
Speaker 1: you can schedule your handling around us. Thanks so much

931
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,279
Speaker 1: for listening, and hopefully you have a great Saturday and

932
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: a profitable one Thanksgiving.

933
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

934
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:14,320
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

935
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:17,400
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler