1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,680 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pisapia, and 3 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,319 Speaker 1: it's time for DFS. It's time for Week eleven. Help 4 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: me do it, of course, is Debro Derek Brown, the 5 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: King of Bros, the Fantasy pro We're gonna take a 6 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: look at the Week eleven slate. We got a lot 7 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: of football to talk about, a lot of fun games 8 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: and Derek Brown, let's start with the Dallas Cowboys coming 9 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: off a very impressive ass whooping. Let's call what is 10 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: it was? An ass who of the New York Giants? 11 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 1: Who it was? Take you out in the back of 12 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: the shed, and uh, you probably can't sit down for 13 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: the next couple of weeks. So they're gonna face the 14 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. The number for this one right now, you're 15 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:35,879 Speaker 1: getting somewhereround forty one and a half to forty two 16 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: and a half. There's a range in this game. Obviously, 17 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: it's been a flying high time for Dak Prescott and company. 18 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: So I guess the big question is this, do you 19 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 1: want to go right back into that well against the 20 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. Are those two guys. 21 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 2: You bet we are, Dude. Look, I think that people 22 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 2: are going to I'm kind of curious where Tony Pollard 23 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 2: comes in this week. Are people going to still chase that? 24 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 2: Looking at ten to fifteen percent projected roster percentage. I 25 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 2: was on this last week. Well, I talked about it. 26 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: I said, Dak has been crushing it. Literally, this guy 27 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 2: has been QB one, QB three, QB two, QB one 28 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 2: over the last four games. We're going right back to Dak. 29 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: There's no reason not to do it, Joe. The Dallas 30 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,680 Speaker 2: Cowboys are throwing at like a top ten rate. They're 31 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 2: leaning into their passing game, and so we need to 32 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: follow suit. It is Dak Prescott, it is Ceedee Lamb, 33 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 2: and it is Brandon Cook's baby, Ceedee Lamb against what 34 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 2: the Carolina Panthers do because since Week six, they had 35 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:31,039 Speaker 2: the third highest rate of single high coverage. Well, since 36 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 2: Dallas has been on this beautiful little tear of Cede 37 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,559 Speaker 2: Lamb and all Ceedee Lamb all the time, he has 38 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 2: four point five eight yards per route run against single high. 39 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:45,479 Speaker 2: Let's go, baby, just like last week, people the pay 40 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 2: up wide receiver last week, Joey, they got squeezed at 41 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 2: the top that was not as popular as Keenan Allen 42 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 2: and A'm andros Saint Brown with Ceedee Lamb, You're gonna 43 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 2: see people do the same thing yet again, and we're 44 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 2: just diving in and the ants is give me more. 45 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 1: Hey man. Last week all my lineups had Ceedee Lamb 46 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: and i'm Mon Ross and Brownham every single one. I 47 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 1: was like, this is how I'm starting to line up with. 48 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 2: Two of those guys, and that was the winning sauce. 49 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 1: It's interesting that you're going back to Cooks though. I 50 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:17,920 Speaker 1: was one gonna ask you, you're gonna go chase what 51 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 1: you saw last week at all? And the answer I 52 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: guess is yes from you, So let's move on. I 53 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: assume you want nothing on the Carolina side of this game, 54 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: because you know. 55 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 2: You can go with feeling. But still he's pricey and 56 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 2: I'm not a Bryce shown. I think this is one 57 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 2: of those games where we play the line and we say, okay, 58 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 2: Vegas is telling us that Dallas stomps them, and I'm 59 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:36,679 Speaker 2: just gonna lean into that. And with Brandon Cooks over 60 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,959 Speaker 2: the last four weeks against single high coverage, fifteen percent 61 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: targets here, but he has two point eighty five yards 62 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 2: per route run. So I'm willing to buy in. 63 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: And does it change anything for you about any of 64 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 1: these guys if Jase Horn comes back, does that change anything. 65 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 2: I don't think we see Horn this week. Everything that 66 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 2: I've seen from reports about Horn is Horn is. 67 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: Like, look, I need to get back to normal practices 68 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: and feel like I'm okay before I come back. 69 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 2: I don't think we see him this week. Maybe next 70 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 2: week though. 71 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on with the next game on 72 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 1: the slate. We jump right in, and of course that's 73 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: what we like to do here because we're just talking ball. 74 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:09,919 Speaker 1: And don't forget. If you want to make sure you're 75 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 1: optimizing all the best lineups you possibly can for dfs, 76 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 1: go to Fantasybros dot Com slash optimizers. Use that. Use 77 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 1: that optimizer over at Fantasy Pros. You can create one 78 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty lineups at one time. You can export 79 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 1: them right to DK or FD. So make that a 80 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: priority against Fantasybros. Dot Com slash optimizer. Let's go to 81 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 1: the next game on the slate. The total for this 82 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: game is thirty two and a half. Right now, it's 83 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns defense. So the 84 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: Browns defense to me is always in play. You know 85 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: how I feel about the Browns defense, Derek. But it's funny. 86 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: The implied team total of the flag football teams that 87 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: I coach for my daughter typically goes over the thirty two, 88 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: Like we are a high powered offense. So this is 89 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: kind of pathetic and hilarious. So do you want to 90 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 1: invest in this game at all from an opos standpoint? 91 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: Or is this just like take the Browns defense in 92 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: hard pass. 93 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 2: So I think one of the best pivots on this 94 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 2: entire slate because right now we have not gotten to 95 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: this game, but right now, the highest projected roster running 96 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 2: back on the entire slate, I'm not saying gets wrong. 97 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 2: But here is where the pivot comes. Joe playing Jerome 98 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 2: Ford over Devin Singletary is the pivot of the slate. 99 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 2: He is going to carry a fraction of the roster percentage. 100 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 2: And what we've seen out of Jerome Ford, we've seen 101 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 2: massive games where he's gotten twenty to twenty five touches 102 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 2: in them over the last two weeks sixty four percent 103 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 2: of the snaps, and back to back weeks he's averaging 104 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 2: almost twenty two touches per game. The Steelers. You can 105 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 2: run the ball against baby. Over the last five games, 106 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 2: they've given up the fifth highest yards per carry to 107 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 2: gap runs four point sixty two yards per carry. That 108 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 2: is fifty three percent of forward's rushing volume is on 109 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 2: gap plays. I think Jerome Ford is one of these 110 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 2: skeleton keys of the entire slated to see what that's 111 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 2: my only play the Steelers. You want to go and Warren, 112 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 2: that's fine. 113 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: The split backfields are baked in the lost good but 114 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 1: total solo it's hard to get excited about it. And 115 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to Dorian Thompson Robins getting a legit 116 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: shot here to see what he could do. 117 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 2: You need more than like two hours to get ready 118 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 2: for this. 119 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: You know everyone's killing him on that. I'm like, you 120 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: can't kill the kid on that. He didn't get any 121 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 1: reps that week, didn't get any reps'. That's that's totally unfair. 122 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 1: The Brown and next one is a much better total 123 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: forty eight for the Detroit Lions hosting the Chicago Oh Mama, 124 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,600 Speaker 1: this one, let's go. I'm on Rossain Brown going right 125 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: back there. The question is Jamiir Gibbs, who is very 126 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 1: expensive this week, and I'll have you seen this on 127 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: Fandel eighty four hundred compared to David seventy seven hundred. 128 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: So do you want to pay up or do you 129 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: want to pay down? 130 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 2: Dude? 131 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 1: For me in this game, I think it's easy on 132 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 1: the Lions side. 133 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 2: If you look at the matchup, the Bears have been 134 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: extremely good as a run defense. Now I'm fine with 135 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 2: Gibbs if you're going to stack him with Jared Golf, 136 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 2: now that price is prohibitive. This is more of a 137 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 2: DK play than a fan do play his price on 138 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 2: Fandel is whe is bonkers, but so I like him 139 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 2: on DK. But as far as the Lions go, the 140 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 2: Bears you can throw against them running and not so 141 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 2: much so with with this game. I think it's easy, man. 142 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 2: I think if Gibbs is gonna come in even a 143 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 2: modicum of popular for me, it's Jared Golf, it's amonas 144 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 2: Saint Brown, and it's Sammy ball game because the Bears 145 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 2: have been given up a lot of production to the 146 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 2: tight ends. But really, my favorite way to attack this game, 147 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 2: Joe is we're gonna We're gonna. 148 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 1: Invest in all the Justin fields this week, justin Field's 149 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: coming back being fully healthy. 150 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 2: We've seen what that ceiling looks like. We know that 151 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 2: the Lions can push teams on the other side. They 152 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 2: could put up thirty forty points. The Bears, if they 153 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 2: can push back fields, could go nuclear in this spot. 154 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: This game could be the game that you need for 155 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: the entire week. I love fields in this game. I 156 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: think it's easy with your stacking options. It's fields, It's 157 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 1: DJ Moore, It's comet if you want to get wild 158 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 1: in large field g I love Darnell Mooney this week. 159 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:03,679 Speaker 1: Brian Branch has been good. 160 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 2: He's given up a lot of production, the most receiving 161 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 2: touchdowns for a sample size of almost thirty slot corners. 162 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 2: So a lot of ways to get get different with 163 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 2: this and find some value with Darnel Mooney. But fields 164 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 2: and double stacking him is my favorite way to go 165 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 2: in this game. 166 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: Did you add an extra U in the word nuclear? 167 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: I just wanna just want to check that out. It's nuclear, 168 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:30,239 Speaker 1: not nuculear. Just just just throwing that out there. Word Smith. 169 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 1: I don't I don't know, I. 170 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 2: Don't know if you meant tomato, timiado, no, no, no, no, 171 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:39,239 Speaker 2: all right, let's get to the next. 172 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 1: One here, Pato Pia Toadawo, I'm gonna go nuclear on 173 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: this bed Arizona at Houston. Now, this one all of 174 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 1: a sudden. If I told you in August, we'd be 175 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: excited about this. But he told me I'm drunk, and 176 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 1: he'd probably be right because it's summertime. But Houston, forty 177 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: nine is the number for this one. Houston, obviously, you 178 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: know Singletary's look good. We've talked about that, We've talked 179 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 1: about CJ. Stroud being a revelation is the last few weeks, 180 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: another huge win for them. Last week, this one was 181 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 1: on the road in Cincinnati, and then look, Kyler Murray 182 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: literally hit the ground runn last week. That huge run 183 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: at the end really sort of made that day end 184 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: up with thirty three rushing yards. I can't remember exactly 185 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: how many it got on that last one was at 186 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:19,240 Speaker 1: least twenty, but he finished with eighteen points, so he 187 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: is cheaper than Stroud by four hundred dollars over on FanDuel, 188 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 1: this one has a good total. I feel like this 189 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 1: one is the one where a lot of people are 190 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: gonna start looking to is that the right answer? 191 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 2: Though it absolutely is the right answer. And what we've 192 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 2: noticed Joe out of the tournament, winning the GPP, winning 193 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 2: lineups and the builds. The answer with if you think 194 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 2: you've diagnosed and you've found the game of the week, 195 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 2: and this easily could be the game of the week, 196 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:49,840 Speaker 2: you overstack it. You just go full game stack and 197 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 2: you say, Okay, the things that I have to get 198 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 2: right this week, I'm gonna lessen those. If I get 199 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 2: this game right and the pieces that I can have 200 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 2: to fit around it, then it's yatzi dude. So for me, 201 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 2: both quarterbacks are in play, Stroud and Kyler. I love 202 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 2: both of them on this slate. And the other part 203 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 2: about this is all the stacking options are so cheap. 204 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: They're so cheap. I love both sides of this game 205 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,199 Speaker 2: because the stacking options for CJ. Stroud are super easy 206 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 2: right now, Like we don't even know if Noah Brown plays, 207 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 2: He's he misspractice to open the week, but if he plays, 208 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 2: he's firmly in play. He's Him and Tank Dell are 209 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 2: my favorite two pass game options. And I talked about 210 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 2: Devin Singletary and I want to bring him up really 211 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 2: quickly here. He is the easiest fade of this entire slate. 212 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 2: People are going to chase what he did last week 213 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,560 Speaker 2: against a bottom basement level run defense. And I'm not 214 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 2: telling you that Arizona hasn't other moments, but this was 215 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:45,679 Speaker 2: really interesting when I wrote this up with the Primer Joe. 216 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 2: Since Week five, Arizona has allowed the tenth lowest yards 217 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 2: are to contact per attempt and the thirteenth lowest yards 218 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 2: per carry three point eight to gap runs. That's comprised 219 00:09:57,000 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 2: fifty two percent of Singletary's rushing plays. So Singletary, I'm 220 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,200 Speaker 2: not going to chase and say, okay, the thirty the 221 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 2: thirty touches in the one sixty of last week. Do 222 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:09,320 Speaker 2: we get to be kind of rewind remember what he 223 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,160 Speaker 2: did and that that. 224 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:15,959 Speaker 1: Role in the previous game he flopped, So why are 225 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 1: we going to chase that? Okay, fine, we missed out 226 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: on it. Don't get caught chasing it. You want to 227 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 1: play him, that's fine, but I'm not playing an extremely 228 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 1: chalky Devin Singletary, No, thank you. 229 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 2: But getting back to how to stack this game. When 230 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 2: I looked at the coverage metrics, this game stood out 231 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 2: as a way to get easily different Hollywood Brown is 232 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 2: not popping for me this week. His his target shares 233 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 2: have dropped against what Houston does and for all of that, 234 00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:44,679 Speaker 2: I'll just keep it brief. Don't play him this week. 235 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:48,199 Speaker 2: I'm fading Hollywood Brown. If I'm playing Kyler, I'm willing 236 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 2: to single stack him with Trade McBride. Trey McBride's my 237 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 2: favorite tight end play this entire slate. His numbers have 238 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:58,320 Speaker 2: been bonkers every single week. He's getting alpha wide receiver, 239 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:02,079 Speaker 2: one type of target s, so his price he's the 240 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 2: reason why you can go double tight end. And I 241 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 2: think double Titan is totally fine because if we had 242 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 2: a wide receiver that was his price point on multiple sites, 243 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 2: you would say, oh, that's almost lock button. 244 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:12,160 Speaker 1: Let's go. 245 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 2: That wide receiver is gonna get eight to ten targets 246 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 2: and it can go for one hundred receiving yards. Oh 247 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 2: good lord, Yes, I'm playing him. So double tight end 248 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:23,439 Speaker 2: is viable this week. But Kyler Trey McBride, and I'm 249 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 2: gonna bring on Michael Wilson because Houston since week six 250 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 2: third highest rate of too high against two high, Michael 251 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 2: Wilson almost an eighteen percent target share two point three 252 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 2: yards per route run. So my favorite way to stack 253 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 2: Kyler in this game is Michael Wilson and McBride. And 254 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:42,719 Speaker 2: on the Houston side it is Stroud, it's Tank Dell, 255 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 2: and of Noah Brown plays, it's Noah Brown. 256 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:46,440 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one here, 257 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: Miami at Vegas. Devon h Chan supposedly back for this one. 258 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:51,839 Speaker 1: That's a good thing. Also, a little bit of a 259 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: rest and reset for the Dolphins, who you know, have 260 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: looked a little bit more human against some better competition. 261 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,199 Speaker 1: The Raiders have looked really good, very competitive, but it's 262 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 1: easy to look god against the just and Giants offenses. 263 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 1: Now they're gonna have to deal with Miami. I guess 264 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:04,559 Speaker 1: the question is that we want to go right back 265 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 1: into a HM. We want to go right back into Miami. 266 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 1: Yere in this game? Where do we think Vegas travels 267 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: in this new Antonio Pierce regime is for real? 268 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 2: I don't have any love for the Raiders. Miami has 269 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: been good on boats well really in both facets, so 270 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:22,200 Speaker 2: I'm full fading the Raiders this week. I think Jacobs 271 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 2: gets the volume, but his tackle breaking metrics still are 272 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 2: terrible for Miami. 273 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 1: He don't discount on HM by the way he is 274 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:28,559 Speaker 1: a k ON fan. 275 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 2: He is eight K and he's sixty six hundred. Off 276 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:34,440 Speaker 2: top of my head, I think on DK you're not 277 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 2: getting a discount on him. So for a Chan, I'm 278 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 2: gonna let the market dictate how I play a Chan. 279 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:43,720 Speaker 2: If he's extremely popular, I'm likely to fade him and 280 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 2: just just embrace the variants. If he's not popular, then 281 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna go head over heels for a 282 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 2: Chan and GPPs. My favorite player out of this entire 283 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 2: game is Jalen Waddle. Though the Raiders have run a 284 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 2: ton of his own coverage, they're coverage metrics. Jalen Waddle 285 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 2: has woken up since wee week five, twenty two percent 286 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 2: target share, two point nine to five yards per route run. 287 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 2: It's weird, Joe. It's like the Dolphins all of a 288 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 2: sudden after four weeks rolled over and said, you know what, 289 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill is good, but man, we got this guy, 290 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 2: Jyleen Waddle, and he could play ball too. So it's 291 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 2: a guy that's probably going to come in under five 292 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 2: percent roster this week. I like a lot of Jaylen Waddle. 293 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:19,839 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one. Here. 294 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 1: It is not great. The New York Giants and the 295 00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,839 Speaker 1: Washington Commanders. This one's in Washington. This one was gross 296 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 1: a few weeks ago. And now you know have Tyron Taylor, 297 00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 1: you have Tommy Devido playing quarterback. So the number for 298 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 1: this game is low. It's thirty six and a half. Look, 299 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 1: I can understand wanting to maybe go for you know, 300 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 1: some of the pieces on the Commanders here. Do you 301 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 1: see that being something viable this week with this lower 302 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 1: total or do you have to stick to the games 303 00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: kind of like Houston, Arizona and some of the other 304 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:45,319 Speaker 1: ones we're going to talk about. 305 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 2: I think this game has some parts of pieces that 306 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 2: are interesting. I don't care about the Commander's running backs 307 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 2: unless Antonio Gibson misses with the toe injury, then maybe 308 00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:58,440 Speaker 2: a smidge of Brian Robinson. We've already seen him flop 309 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,559 Speaker 2: in this exact same spot four, so I don't want 310 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,360 Speaker 2: to go head over heels for him. For me, the 311 00:14:04,400 --> 00:14:08,599 Speaker 2: most interesting parts of this game Terry McLaurin versus man coverage. 312 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 2: Sure I can get exposure to that, But on the 313 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:16,079 Speaker 2: Giant side, the Commanders have given up everything versus wide receivers. 314 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 2: If you were trying to find a value piece. Then 315 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 2: I think Darius Slayton needs to be in the player pool. 316 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 2: So over the last two weeks he has gotten a 317 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 2: nineteen percent target chair, twenty six percent first reach here, 318 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:33,160 Speaker 2: he's in play, large field, GPPs millionmaker stuff. Outside of that, 319 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 2: I'm probably just full fad in this game. 320 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 1: All right, Next one on the slate, we've got the 321 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers at green Bay Packers. Forty four is 322 00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: the number for this one. The Packer offense is lacklesser. 323 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 1: Let's be honest, and like Herbert and Allen, that's an 324 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: easy stack. But is that uppairing that is? Look, I 325 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 1: think it's very much in play because you know, we 326 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: talked on Monday about the woes of the secondary of 327 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 1: green Bay Packers. To me, I think Herbert, you know, 328 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: I know it's a road game when people can say, 329 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 1: well they're going into you know, green Bay, it's November 330 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: and all that noise. But I think Herbert Allen is 331 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 1: still very much viable this week. You saw Geiton get 332 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 1: involved a little bit last week too. What do you 333 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: make of this one here from a DFS standpoint? Any 334 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 1: pieces you like? 335 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 2: So Allan, I worry he did miss practice on Wednesday 336 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 2: with the shoulder. We'll see what his health update is 337 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:14,960 Speaker 2: for the rest of the week. If he is. 338 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: Gonna be out, then no, I can't even play justin 339 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: Herbert Alan. I think you don't have to play Herbert 340 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 1: though for me it's considering with the way this offense looks, 341 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 1: you can get most of Herbert's production, if not all 342 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: of it, by just playing Keenan Allen. 343 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 2: But if Keenan Allen is out, even if he plays 344 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:33,560 Speaker 2: in this week, my favorite play on the Charger side 345 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 2: is Austin Eckler. We know that you can run the 346 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 2: ball versus Green Bay. Austin Eckler's efficiency metrics coming back 347 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 2: from the injury are finally starting to show some life. 348 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 2: So Eckler is my favorite Charger to play this week. 349 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 2: On the green Bay side, I know people are going 350 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,280 Speaker 2: to talk themselves into Jordan Love. Look, I've done it 351 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 2: in previous weeks. I can't. I can't go back to 352 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 2: Jordan Love. 353 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: Now. 354 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 2: Can I pick apart if I'm playing Austin Neckwork? Can 355 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 2: I pick apart one of these receiving options for the 356 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers and say, Okay, this is gonna be 357 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 2: my mini correlation to get exposure to this game, and 358 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 2: hopefully I just hit the nuts with it, then that's 359 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 2: possible for me. One of these Packers receivers is going 360 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 2: to walk away with a good game. It's just a 361 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 2: question on who the heck it is. 362 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: And look, I'm gonna go with Reid if that's the case. 363 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 1: If you're at like, if you're asking me to throw 364 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:21,480 Speaker 1: that dart, it's read, but I don't think it's worth 365 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 1: it this week. I'd much rather go double tight end 366 00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 1: and go Kincaid on FanDuel. I'm cheaper, by the way 367 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: than your Trey McBride. And look, I agree with you 368 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 1: on Eckler too much better last week. You know, it's 369 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 1: funny he hasn't yet one hundred and seventeen yards rushing 370 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: that first week. He hasn't had over fifty in any 371 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 1: game since. Last week was the first time sixty seven 372 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 1: yards and they gave nineteen carries. So that's telling you 373 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 1: the health is definitely bounced, right, Like that's the thing, 374 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 1: Like the number of that the carries I think is 375 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 1: the most important thing at the night. 376 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 2: I think too, if I'm gonna go with a with 377 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 2: a Green Bay Packers receiving option. I think I lean 378 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 2: towards Christian Watson or Luke Musgrave. The thing with Watson since. 379 00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 1: He's been back Joe, he has eight freaking end zone 380 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 1: targets and no touchdowns on them. That regression has to 381 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,360 Speaker 1: hit at some point and now versus the secondary that's 382 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 1: given up basically everything to wide receivers every single week. 383 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 2: I think the recency bias and this is what we 384 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 2: lean into for GPPs. It's when everybody says, oh, no, no, 385 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 2: but the numbers in the matchup say yes. We need 386 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:19,919 Speaker 2: to get over the bias and just click the button. 387 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: Something you should say yes to is leaving a review 388 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 1: of the show. So go over to Bettingpros dot com 389 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 1: slash review, or I'll go on Spotify. You can go 390 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,080 Speaker 1: to Apple Podcasts at betting Pros dot com slash review 391 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 1: and drop a review of the Betting Pros show. It's easy, 392 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: it's fun. Tell everybody how much you love it, especially 393 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 1: the DFS winning stuff. If we've been helping you win 394 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: on the betting side and the DFS side, we want 395 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:40,880 Speaker 1: to hear from you, So drop a comment below there 396 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,919 Speaker 1: in the YouTube channels whenever you're watching, but also go 397 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 1: and give us a review again at betting pros dot com, 398 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: slash review on Apple Podcasts, or just go on Spotify 399 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 1: if you listen there. Tennessee and Jacksonville. This one's at 400 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 1: forty and a half. I got nothing for Tennessee. I 401 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: think this one actually might play a little to the under. 402 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 1: I think there's reason to buy back in. It'll be 403 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:00,440 Speaker 1: interesting if you want to do that. Against the is 404 00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 1: an appo play, But there's too many other things that 405 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 1: I like more this week, so this one's a pass 406 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:05,639 Speaker 1: for me, compleekly, what about you? 407 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 2: The only play I like out of this game is 408 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 2: Christian Kirk, and this comes down to Since week six, 409 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 2: the Titans have utilized too High at the tenth highest 410 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 2: rates of fifty two percent of their defensive snaps against 411 00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 2: too High. Christian Kirk is a twenty seven percent target 412 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,360 Speaker 2: chair and a thirty two percent are ar Chaer. So 413 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 2: I think you can get most of the production from 414 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,679 Speaker 2: this Jaguars offense this week by either playing Travis Eten 415 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 2: or Christian Kirk. I'm more on the Kirk side. 416 00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,359 Speaker 1: All right, let's see what side you're on the this one. 417 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 1: San Francisco looked really good last week. Against Tampa. They're 418 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,360 Speaker 1: hosting the Tampa Buccaneers. Now forty one and a half 419 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 1: is the number for this one. It's funny. We just 420 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 1: wrapped up our pick show and I picked Tampa to 421 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:45,840 Speaker 1: cover the eleven and a half. I picked them to 422 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:47,280 Speaker 1: cover the eleven and a half. I actually moved to 423 00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 1: twelve and Joe Lisi picked it two, who was our 424 00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 1: guest on the show. So we all think that Tampa, 425 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 1: even in garbage seime, can compete. Now. I know Evans 426 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 1: was dealing with a quad injury, so we got to 427 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,159 Speaker 1: keep a close eye on that one. But you know, 428 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,240 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield in the last few weeks, you know was in 429 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,240 Speaker 1: that shootout with CJ. Stroud last week. He did a 430 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:04,439 Speaker 1: good job against the Titans defense. What do you make 431 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 1: of this game here? How do you approach this one? 432 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: Because this one also has a lot of pieces that 433 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: are expensive but appealing. 434 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,280 Speaker 2: I've already bet the over on this when I bet 435 00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 2: the over when it first opened, because I I, for 436 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 2: the life of me, I don't understand why that line 437 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:17,760 Speaker 2: is as low as it is. The Buccaneers have shown 438 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 2: they can push back even in tough matchups. So Buccaneers 439 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:23,440 Speaker 2: can put up some points. Even if you wanted to 440 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 2: say San Francisco boat races them, then we can't go 441 00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,159 Speaker 2: over the forty one total. Come on, man, I mean 442 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 2: I think Buccaneers can put up enough resistance to do that. 443 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 2: But as far as the DFS perspective, I love brock Perdy. 444 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:38,359 Speaker 2: You're telling me that San Francisco is put into a 445 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 2: situation where it's a pass funnel defense Tampa Bay. The 446 00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 2: best thing they do is to stop the run, so 447 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 2: they're gonna have to air the ball out. And if 448 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 2: you look at the coverage metrics, the numbers are easy here, Joe, 449 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:54,880 Speaker 2: it's Brandon Ayuk and it's George Kittle. Tampa Bay has 450 00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 2: the tenth highest rate of single high against single high. 451 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 2: Ayuk has rushed twenty eight percent target share, forty six 452 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:07,680 Speaker 2: percent air yard share. Same thing for George Kittle against 453 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 2: single high seventeen percent target share, three point two yards 454 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 2: per route run. If you want to bring it back 455 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,120 Speaker 2: on the other side, we have not seen a monster 456 00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:19,000 Speaker 2: game out of this man yet this year, Joe. He 457 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 2: has only gone for one hundred perceiving yards in one week. 458 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 2: I'm telling you right now, this is Chris Godwin week. 459 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 2: This is when it happens. Chris Godwin is going off 460 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 2: against single high coverage, which the forty nine ers love. 461 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:36,959 Speaker 2: He has a twenty four percent target share, a thirty 462 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 2: two percent first read share. I'm all in on Chris Godwin. 463 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 2: My favorite mini correlation of the week is Brandon Ayuk 464 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:45,480 Speaker 2: and Chris Godwin. 465 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: And now you and Chris Godwin. There you have it. 466 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 1: Godwin's cheap, too, sixty five hundred on Fandel too. 467 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 2: Cheap, baby, too cheap, and he's not going to be popular. 468 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 1: It's not gonna be popular to buy back into Buffalo. 469 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,760 Speaker 1: But I'm going through Ken Doris. He's out forty and 470 00:20:58,119 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 1: is the number right now against New York Jets. No, 471 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 1: the desk defense is really good. But I think Josh 472 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,960 Speaker 1: Allen and Stefon Diggs bounce back. I think Kinkaid bounce 473 00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 1: it like I think it's a big Buffalo Bills bounce back. 474 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 1: They're five and five. And I told everybody and I 475 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:13,520 Speaker 1: picked the Denver Broncos on Monday night and I was right. 476 00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 1: And you know, now we talk and now I'm going 477 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,239 Speaker 1: the other direction here, which is I said, and then 478 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 1: I'm going to pick the Buffalo Bills. And I said 479 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,600 Speaker 1: in my video this week, and from a DFS standpoint, 480 00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:24,400 Speaker 1: I think the ross percentage is going to be really low, 481 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 1: but I think they can do enough against the Jets 482 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:30,919 Speaker 1: to return, you know, return their value. And I think 483 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: the ross percentage is going to be really low because 484 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:35,480 Speaker 1: of the fact that it is the Jets defense. But 485 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 1: do you see people investing in this more now that 486 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 1: Dorsy's out? 487 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:42,000 Speaker 2: So my problem is is you're going to if you're 488 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 2: gonna spend up for the Stefan digs, for the Josh Allen, 489 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:47,919 Speaker 2: do they hit their absolute ceilings to make those prize 490 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 2: tags worthwhile? And that's what I don't know. It's it's yes, 491 00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 2: we can look at digs and say, okay, Week one 492 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 2: against the secondary, Yeah, he had one hundred and two 493 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 2: receiving yards in a score. Was that something that was 494 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 2: gonna help you take down a GPP Maybe, But there 495 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:03,959 Speaker 2: are other spots where I like the totals better. I 496 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 2: like guys that can put up maybe similar numbers in 497 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,680 Speaker 2: better game environments. For me, Joe, I think the answer 498 00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 2: is you play Dalton Kincaid. For me, I want I 499 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 2: want to to one offs in this game. I don't 500 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 2: the Jets, no hell no, just just no. But for me, 501 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 2: the Bills, I want to to one offs and that 502 00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 2: it's either Dalton kink because Josh Allen has been feeding 503 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:29,359 Speaker 2: that man and he's he's showing you why because he 504 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,400 Speaker 2: is the next Travis Kelsey. He is that dude. He's 505 00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:36,080 Speaker 2: awesome and he's how you avoid the Jets amazing corners. 506 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,879 Speaker 2: It's just feed the ball to Dalton Kincaid. But the 507 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,840 Speaker 2: other thing that we could see with this entire turnaround, 508 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 2: do we finally see the Bills? Was this a Dorsey thing? 509 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 2: Do we finally see the Bills commit to James Cook. 510 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna rule it out, man, like all this 511 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 2: Latavious Maurice stuff and blah blah blah. Sean McDermott coming 512 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 2: out and saying, you know what what we really want 513 00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:01,000 Speaker 2: is for If you read all the quotes, it basically 514 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,679 Speaker 2: said like there was division in that room. He's like, 515 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,359 Speaker 2: we want people to gel and come together in that room. 516 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 2: James Cook is in a fantastic spot. You can run 517 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 2: on the Jets since week five, fifth highest explosive run 518 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:16,360 Speaker 2: rate allowed, fifth highest yards up to contact per attempt. 519 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 2: So if James Cook gets the work this week, fifteen 520 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 2: to twenty touches, you can break two long ones. That's 521 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 2: probably the way that I'm going in this game. 522 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,119 Speaker 1: All right, one more game on the slate here to 523 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 1: talk about Seattle and La the Rams. This one's forty 524 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,720 Speaker 1: six and a half. I like ken Walker in this game. 525 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 1: Stafford's health just worries me too much. I think he's 526 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 1: really been battling, and I heard Andrew Wentworth on talking 527 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 1: about all the other injuries he's not talking about, and 528 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:42,960 Speaker 1: that gives me a lot of pause in this game, 529 00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 1: because if he should reinjure something, if he should not 530 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:46,919 Speaker 1: be able to finish the game, it really tanks a 531 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: lot of the value of guys who are pretty expensive, 532 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:50,880 Speaker 1: like Cooper Cups. So to me, this one's a tough one, 533 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,959 Speaker 1: and Seattle's been a little up and down, but I 534 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 1: like what I saw last week out of ken Walker. 535 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,360 Speaker 1: The rams not the greatest against the runs. So give 536 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 1: me ken Walker in this game specifically, any pieces that 537 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 1: you like, specifically, cherry pick from this one. 538 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 2: If Cup doesn't come in very popular, which right now 539 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:09,680 Speaker 2: he's sitting between ten to fifteen percent that's too high 540 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 2: for my liking, then I'm more interested in him him 541 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 2: or Pukinakua depending on their roster percentages. But really it's 542 00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 2: more of a leverage play, but they are both in play. 543 00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 2: For me, my favorite play out of this entire game, 544 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,000 Speaker 2: Joe is DK Metcalf. I love him in this game. 545 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 2: So since week four of the rams have utilized single 546 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 2: high on fifty three percent of their snaps. Versus single 547 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,199 Speaker 2: high Metcalf has almost a thirty percent target chair a 548 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:38,120 Speaker 2: fifty two percent air r chair. We have not seen 549 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:42,439 Speaker 2: the mega blow up monster game. Gino Smith looked amazing 550 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,680 Speaker 2: last week. He crushed. He was a top five quarterback 551 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 2: on the week. This could be the blow up spot 552 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,480 Speaker 2: that we've been waiting for for DK Metcalf. So dk 553 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 2: favorite play of the game, and you can you can 554 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 2: use him as a one off all right, go. 555 00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: Help yourself to the lineup optimizer at fantasypros dot com 556 00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,680 Speaker 1: slash optimizer. Use the tools we have here to help 557 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,680 Speaker 1: you as well as the podcast. Make sure you subscribe 558 00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 1: wherever you hear podcasts and drop the review too. We 559 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: appreciate you. That'll do it for us. But the story 560 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Dbro, I'm Joey P. 561 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time kids. 562 00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 563 00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,959 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 564 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,880 Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 565 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:23,040 Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 566 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 567 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,639 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.