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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to play

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Speaker 1: shore bets. It's me Joey p Joe Pie's a pea

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. Scott bog and I are

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Speaker 1: here to break down Thursday night football, and I gotta

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Speaker 1: be honest with you, I'm not super excited about the

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Speaker 1: lines on this one. So hopefully Bogs has some props.

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Speaker 1: I know I've got an SGP for you, and hopefully

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Speaker 1: all of our touchdown calls go ahead and rock and roll.

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogman, Monday night was just as wacky as we

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Speaker 1: thought it would be. Went to overtime. Didn't need that

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Speaker 1: and certainly didn't need all the Jalen Hurts turnovers too.

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Speaker 1: Keep talking about how the Eagles are broken, man, we

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Speaker 1: talked about for weeks and weeks and weeks, going back

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Speaker 1: all the way to the upset on Thursday night when

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Speaker 1: they lost to the Giants. I thought before that they

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Speaker 1: were broken and they might still be broken.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was That was a rough watch from Jalen Hurts.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he just became unbelievably predictable. Didn't he have

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Speaker 2: like one interception going into that game?

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Speaker 1: I was crazy he had two on the same play.

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Speaker 2: Now what he did, He did have two turnovers on

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Speaker 2: the same play. And yeah, so rough day, I.

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Speaker 1: Was like, how many Fantasy points can you lose in

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Speaker 1: one play?

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Speaker 3: Right?

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Speaker 1: Right?

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Speaker 2: Rough day at the office for Hurts. Right, But we

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Speaker 2: kind of thought that was going to happen. We talked

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Speaker 2: about the East Coast going to play prime time on

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Speaker 2: the West Coast typically down work well for them, and uh,

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Speaker 2: you know, it was exactly how that happened.

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Speaker 1: So I thought the Eagles would just muscle their way

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Speaker 1: out of it. But it turns out, you know, the

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Speaker 1: more or just say, the less boring the Eagles are,

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Speaker 1: the more app they are to lose games, which just

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Speaker 1: kind of interesting. People go back, run.

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Speaker 2: Down your throat, Run down people, throat, that's what you

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Speaker 2: should go back, because was working in that game too.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, he is, all right, let's go break down

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Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons four to nine the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Speaker 1: coming off a loss. Oh my goodness, gracious, Tampa Bay

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Speaker 1: Buccaneers got to figure some stuff out quickly here, bogs. Uh,

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Speaker 1: they are four point favorites at home, which makes sense.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a good number. Plus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. I don't see a lot of value here

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Speaker 1: on VP consensus the over under. If you ask me

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Speaker 1: to send it, I would send it at forty four,

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Speaker 1: and it's at forty four. You can get forty four

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Speaker 1: and a half on the under plus two A wait

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Speaker 1: for the Falcons money line upset. I don't love that either.

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Speaker 1: It's just this is a hard pass for me. If

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Speaker 1: I had to lean a certain way, I'd lean towards

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Speaker 1: the Buccaneers with Bucky Irving and Drake London. As of

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Speaker 1: recording this, we don't have an answer if he's gonna play.

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Speaker 1: My guess is he has not. I just don't. I

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Speaker 1: think I don't think Drake Lene's gonna play again this

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Speaker 1: year their four win team. What's the point? Why would

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Speaker 1: you do this? And I think Kirk Cousins makes turnovers

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Speaker 1: and I'm just gonna allow one of those turnovers to

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Speaker 1: be the difference of this game. But I'm going to

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Speaker 1: straight to props. I'm making no bones about this. What's

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Speaker 1: your take on this one?

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Speaker 2: I you know, plus four and a half anything more

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Speaker 2: than a field goal, I'm gonna take points in a

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Speaker 2: game with this right. Tampa Bay just has not been

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Speaker 2: playing their best football at all, Baker Mayfield has not

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Speaker 2: been the same since he you know, took that shot,

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Speaker 2: and he's clearly playing it well less than one hundred percent.

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Speaker 3: So the offense is still very good.

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Speaker 2: I think the roster is better for Tampa Bay as well,

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Speaker 2: So I do think they'll win this game. They're at home,

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Speaker 2: they have more to play for all that Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 2: is not their starting quarterback right, So, like, I do

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Speaker 2: think Tampa Bay will win.

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Speaker 3: But I just have no confidence in them.

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Speaker 2: This to me, reminds me of the Denver versus Vegas

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Speaker 2: game on Thursday that we saw a couple of weeks back,

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Speaker 2: right where we know this should be a drubbing by

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Speaker 2: the Broncos.

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Speaker 3: It's not the way it plays because you're on short.

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Speaker 1: I was on vacation for that game, so I didn't

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Speaker 1: watch that game.

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Speaker 3: It was miserable and all I was you.

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Speaker 1: And and everybody just bitching about it. When I came

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Speaker 1: back about me.

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Speaker 2: And seth Man ten to seven was the final of

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Speaker 2: that game. It was disgusting. I think this game is

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Speaker 2: probably gonna be fairly similar to that, so more. I

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Speaker 2: don't definitely higher scoring, but I was gonna.

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Speaker 1: Say, maybe it's an under then, after all, it's funny

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Speaker 1: because I have the public money, I think I'll still

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Speaker 1: take the Buccaneers, So you're probably right.

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Speaker 2: They're at home, so I understand that, But I just like,

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Speaker 2: I don't have enough confidence to bet the Bucks right now,

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Speaker 2: not with the way they're playing, specifically, not with the

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Speaker 2: way the baker is playing. So and it's not his fault.

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Speaker 2: He's clearly playing at less than one hundred percent, but

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Speaker 2: fifty percent Teddy of him here, a Baker here is

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Speaker 2: still better than whatever Teddy's got left.

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Speaker 3: It's just not working.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, I think they win, but I think

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Speaker 2: it's a field goal game, so I'll take Atlanta, but

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Speaker 2: without a ton of confidence.

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Speaker 3: Let's stick to props in this one.

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Speaker 1: Like you said, yes, props in this one, And where

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Speaker 1: All right, so with the Drake London injury and again,

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Speaker 1: shout out to Scott Bokam. Before you even get to these

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Speaker 1: props four and one on Monday night football. Great night

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Speaker 1: for him. Kudos to Scott Bogging care that's right. Climbing

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Speaker 1: back in, climb back in. That's what we're gonna do

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Speaker 1: with the Drake London injury. It hasn't really been a

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Speaker 1: moony step up really anybody else. Kyle Pitts, I feel like,

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Speaker 1: is the safe, boring guy, and you know me, normally

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Speaker 1: I'm the receiving yards guy, but I actually prefer the

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Speaker 1: receptions here like you do in this one, because I

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Speaker 1: don't have a lot of faith in the explosiveness of

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Speaker 1: what the Falcons can do, but I do think there's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of territory there for him to

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Speaker 1: get targets in this football game. So I love this

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Speaker 1: over five and a half reception. So talk to me

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Speaker 1: about Kyle Pitts in this Thursday night matchup.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, like you mentioned, looks like London is still going

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Speaker 2: to be down. We don't have official word, but it's

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Speaker 2: you know, officially unofficial that he's not going to play here.

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Speaker 2: Eighteen targets in the line two weeks for Kyle Pitts,

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Speaker 2: so you know, obviously getting a lot of looks from

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Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins, and we're just attacking the middle of the

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Speaker 2: field against Tampa Bay because they have injuries here, right

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Speaker 2: and it hasn't been good most of the season as well.

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Speaker 2: Tike Smith has not practiced yet. As we're recording this,

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Speaker 2: Servas Dennis looks like he's gonna be down as well.

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Speaker 2: And then you know the slot corner Jacob Parrish, He's

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Speaker 2: been okay, but he's allowing eighty five point two percent

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Speaker 2: completion rate when targeted. Levonte David eighty nine and a half,

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Speaker 2: almost ninety percent when they're out there. These are two

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Speaker 2: of the worst cover corners in the league right now,

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Speaker 2: or a cover linebackers in the league right now. So

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay also has passes at the six highest percentage,

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Speaker 2: or opponents against them pass at the six highest percentage.

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Speaker 3: Because the rundee is eighth in the league. It's very stout.

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Speaker 2: So I think you're gonna see a lot of passes.

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Speaker 2: I think passes typically over the middle go do Kyle Pitts,

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Speaker 2: And they have injuries the middle and bad slock corner plays,

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Speaker 2: so I think Kyle Pitts can go over this five

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Speaker 2: and a half pretty easy here, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, So what kind of night are we in store

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Speaker 1: in for with Kirk Cousins two six and a half

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Speaker 1: passing yards? Is the total were going over or under?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go over this one. And look, I

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Speaker 2: understand I don't have a ton of faith in Kirk Cousins,

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Speaker 2: and neither should you, right, but this number is low.

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Speaker 2: It's two o six and a half. He's projected over

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Speaker 2: everywhere I looked. And the run defense again has been

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Speaker 2: pretty stout for the Bucks. But they give up two

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty seven point eight yards per game passing

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Speaker 2: and that is twenty seventh in the league, and four

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Speaker 2: out of the last five games the quarterbacks have gone

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Speaker 2: way over this total. And the other was Tyler Schuck

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Speaker 2: with New Orleans last week. So May two seventy, Josh

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Speaker 2: Allen three seventeen, Stafford two seventy three, and Reset three

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Speaker 2: to Zho one against this Bucks defense. So you don't

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Speaker 2: have to get anywhere close to that. All you got

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Speaker 2: to do is get two oh seven from Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 2: in this Thursday night game. I think their idea is

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Speaker 2: going to be to pass the ball here, So I'll

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Speaker 2: go the over on Kirk Cousins as well.

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Speaker 1: All right, so the over on Cousins here, Let's pivot

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Speaker 1: to the next player that we're going to talk about

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Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football, and it is Bijon Robinson. So

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Speaker 1: how do you want to approach Bijon in Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Night's Let's give him reception yards as well, because this

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Speaker 2: is a good matchup for his receiving yards. We talked

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Speaker 2: talked to you about the bad linebacker play against the

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Speaker 2: pass that we've talked about for Tampa Bay, but they

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Speaker 2: also you know, Bijeon has hit this over thirty six

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Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards in nine of thirteen games

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Speaker 2: so far this season. The Bucks are giving up the

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Speaker 2: most receiving yards per game to running backs fifty three

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Speaker 2: point nine, and they're twenty six and twenty plus yard

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Speaker 2: passing plays allowed with forty two this season, and Bijon

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Speaker 2: has six catches over twenty yards, So I expect him

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Speaker 2: to get the majority of this on one big rip,

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Speaker 2: but you know they could feed him as well. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: no Drake London, these receptions are going to be spread around.

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Speaker 2: Darneld Mooney did have a touchdown call back last week,

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Speaker 2: so I have a little more faith in him to

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Speaker 2: help Kirk Cousins get to this and to open up

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Speaker 2: the field underneath a little bit more. But I don't

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Speaker 2: want to depend on Darnell Mooney with my money. I'd

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Speaker 2: rather put it on be Sean. So thirty six and

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Speaker 2: a half just seems low to me, specifically since he's

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Speaker 2: hit this in nine of thirteen games already.

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Speaker 1: All Right, we mentioned Baker Mayfield earlier. We know he's

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Speaker 1: not one hundred percent. He's soldiering through because he's a

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Speaker 1: warrior that Baker Mayfield. So is he more mistake prone?

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Speaker 1: Potentially She'll be looking for maybe an I int prop

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Speaker 1: at plus money when it comes to Bake.

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Speaker 2: It's my favorite pick of the week here, Joe Baker

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Speaker 2: Mayfield over half an interception.

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Speaker 3: He only has six on the season.

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Speaker 2: I understand that, but four have been in the last

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Speaker 2: four games for Mayfield, and between weeks three to ten

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Speaker 2: and seven games he only had eight turnover worthy plays. Well,

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Speaker 2: the last four games he's had eight turnover worthy plays.

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Speaker 2: That's two per game. Atlanta is the fifth highest in

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Speaker 2: hurry percentage at ten point two percent. Atlanta also second

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Speaker 2: highest blitz behind Minnesota and Baker is twenty one of

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Speaker 2: twenty five graded quarter backs under pressure this season, and

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Speaker 2: obviously a little bit of the the you know happy

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Speaker 2: feat because he's already banged up right now as well.

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Speaker 2: So I think this leads to one pick at least

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Speaker 2: for Atlanta. So Jalen Hurts didn't throw a bunch either

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Speaker 2: before his Monday Night experience, I should have taken that bet.

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Speaker 2: I think Baker throws a pick here, at least at

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Speaker 2: least one.

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Speaker 1: All Right, Bucky Irving's been back the last few weeks,

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Speaker 1: which is certainly something the beleaguered offense of the Buccaneers

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Speaker 1: could use. His rushing prop is said at sixty two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It feels like it over to me, Bogs.

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Speaker 1: Do you agree?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I do.

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Speaker 2: Atlanta is twenty fourth and rushing yards allowed. They're allowing

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty one per game. And Bucky went

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Speaker 2: from thirty eight percent snap shared a forty nine percent

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Speaker 2: last week. He's had two ten plus yard rips from

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Speaker 2: Bucky last week we had and you know, we looked

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Speaker 2: early this offseason in the winning We looked earlier this

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Speaker 2: season at the winning teams from Thursday Night Football, and

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Speaker 2: they tend to run the ball a lot late in

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Speaker 2: the third and fourth quarter. If they're up, and you

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Speaker 2: know this is the game plan on Thursday night football,

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Speaker 2: you don't want to do too much. Specifically, if we

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Speaker 2: have Baker throwing a pick earlier, maybe a close one

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Speaker 2: as well. If he's making mistakes in this game, they're

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Speaker 2: going to stick to the ground specifically against Atlanta's blitz

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Speaker 2: heavy packages here. So we're gonna go with Bucky to

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Speaker 2: go over this. I think he's just getting more and

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Speaker 2: more work. He's the lead back now. I think we

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Speaker 2: could see some Sean Tucker in this one as well,

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Speaker 2: if they're you know, stepping on the throat slate. I

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Speaker 2: obviously don't see the playing like that. I think it

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Speaker 2: is going to be closer because it's a weird Thursday

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Speaker 2: night division game. But I think Bucky can get this

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Speaker 2: total and he'll get He'll get a lot of it

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Speaker 2: in Chunk Gains. I feel like we love Chunk Gaines,

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Speaker 2: former offensive line.

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Speaker 1: Coach for Mississippi State University. Chunk Gains, everybody don't forget.

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Speaker 1: If you want more help with your betting, make sure

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Speaker 1: you go over to the betting pros app downloaded today

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Speaker 1: and use the prop betcheet sheet along with the pross

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Speaker 1: Bogs gave you. There's a many props on there for

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Speaker 1: every single category, passing, rushing, receiving and more. So go

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Speaker 1: check it out right now, go to Betting Pros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash props. And we also had giving away free

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Speaker 1: stuff here on the show, so we've got aj Brown

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Speaker 1: helmet to give away before he's not an Eagle anymore.

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Speaker 1: You can check it out at pristineauction dot com. All

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Speaker 1: you need to do is go to Betting Pros dot

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00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:17,560
Speaker 1: com slash contest. That's how you get it. Complete the

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00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:20,000
Speaker 1: form and either download the Betting Pros app, leave review

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Speaker 1: of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social

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Speaker 1: media channels at Betting Pros on x, on TikTok and

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros NFL on the IG. The more actions you complete,

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Speaker 1: the more entries you'll receive, and we'll be announcing the

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Speaker 1: winner right here on the channel. So make sure you

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00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:34,679
Speaker 1: turn on those notifications so you can be alerted when

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Speaker 1: new episodes are up and you can claim your prize.

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Speaker 1: All right, My prize for everybody this week is the

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Speaker 1: SGP Bucky Irving to score plus money you're getting on

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Speaker 1: this plus one thirty, so lock me in. For that one,

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Speaker 1: I think Bucky definitely gets to the end zone in

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Speaker 1: this game. And the other thing I like the most,

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Speaker 1: the Baker Mayfield I int is a good one, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play it a little bit safer with the

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Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts over five and a half receptions. You put

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Speaker 1: those two things together, you get plus two seventy nine.

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Speaker 1: And if you want to put your SGP together, we've

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Speaker 1: got the same game parlay builder tool available right now.

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Speaker 1: You can connect all of the different bets. It'll give

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Speaker 1: you a grade too, which I love in terms of

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Speaker 1: the correlation which things that'll even suggest to you. If

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Speaker 1: you like this bet, you should add this one along

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Speaker 1: with it if you're trying to build an SGP. So

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Speaker 1: let the tools help you. At bettingpros dot Com slash

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Speaker 1: Parlay Bogs. I already gave away my touchdown call Bucky

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Speaker 1: Irving plus one thirty. Who do you have for Thursday night?

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Speaker 2: You mean tylent Algier plus one ninety five. He has

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Speaker 2: eight touchdowns this season. Buck Bejeon excuse me, only has seven.

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Speaker 2: So when they get down there near the goal line,

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Speaker 2: give it to the monster. And he is enormous. He

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Speaker 2: likes to run the guys over, specifically at the goal line.

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Speaker 2: So I love to see Tyler out here getting the

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Speaker 2: end zone. And it's paying almost double your money right

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Speaker 2: now plus one ninety five, So love that number.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So there you have it, everybody. Make sure you

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here at Betting Pros. Ring the

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Speaker 1: belt that goes ding again. Go to Betting Pros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash contest try to win that helmet perfect time here.

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Speaker 1: You know it's the season of giving, and of course

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Speaker 1: support our sponsor, hard Rock bat. That'll do it for us,

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Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Scott Bog.

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Speaker 1: But I'm Joey p We'll see you next time. Kids.

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Speaker 1: Enjoy your Thursday night foot Paul Solo.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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