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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Spreading the court ten seconds of any so just go

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Speaker 2: show me up to the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 2: The truth for the wind a miracle. I chuck the water,

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Speaker 2: hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast presented by bet MGM. This is the

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Speaker 3: weekend college basketball betting Preview. I'm stucky in joining me

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Speaker 3: as always my fellow BBC cost Mike and Mike, Mike

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Speaker 3: cal Greese and Mike Randall. A lot to get to today.

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Speaker 3: We will add a I guess our our pen ultimate future.

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Speaker 3: We have one more that will add next week to

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Speaker 3: the portfolio. We will talk the week that was, key takeaway,

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Speaker 3: and then most importantly, we'll get into the weekend go

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Speaker 3: rapid fire around the horn style and talk about spots

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Speaker 3: that we like on Friday, Saturday and or Sunday. Let's

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Speaker 3: I guess before we dive right in calabrese, What's I'll

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Speaker 3: throw it to you for? I think first, the first

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Speaker 3: thing I should say is we are less than twenty

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Speaker 3: five days from selection Sunday. This is you know, the

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Speaker 3: next few weeks. We're gonna have bubbles burst, We're gonna

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Speaker 3: have attorney bids locked up. The college basketball is about

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Speaker 3: to hit its stride, and there's no better time of

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Speaker 3: the year than March. We are almost there. But as

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Speaker 3: far as this week leading up to the weekend, you

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Speaker 3: got any key takeaways or rants that you want to

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Speaker 3: get to, I'll start with you calvaries. Remember this is

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Speaker 3: a safe space.

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Speaker 2: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 3: Okay, you're ranting now, baby.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm ran Why not?

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Speaker 3: You gotta let it out somehow.

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Speaker 2: My rant here I kind of feel like a meteorologist

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Speaker 2: where I'm pointing out to like a high pressure system

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Speaker 2: and then things are happening in the Gulf and down

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Speaker 2: the road. There's gonna be this big storm. Everyone's got

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Speaker 2: a brace for the big storm is I think the

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Speaker 2: mid majors are gonna get screwed on the bubble, and

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Speaker 2: my indicator is the AP Top twenty five. I know

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Speaker 2: that it's not a direct correlation, but there's only three

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Speaker 2: mid majors in the top twenty five. This isn't a

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Speaker 2: good year for power program basketball. I think we can

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Speaker 2: all agree that there's a ton of flawed teams even

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Speaker 2: in the top fifteen. But then when you look at

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Speaker 2: the teams that these mid majors are trying to compete

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Speaker 2: with to squeeze into the top twenty five, you have

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Speaker 2: a lot of teams catching votes that I am shocked by,

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Speaker 2: like Virginia I think is like twenty six or twenty seventh, Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: Michigan State all right there on the cusp, like USF,

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Speaker 2: New Mexico, Utah State, Grand Canyon, Nie Drake app State.

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Speaker 2: There's good teams out there, but for some reason, voters

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Speaker 2: are still enamored with a Wisconsin team that's lost five

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Speaker 2: to seven, and that includes a really ugly loss to

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Speaker 2: Michigan and a win over Ohio State in that stretch.

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Speaker 2: Virginia has what two good wins the entire season, a

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Speaker 2: three point win over Florida, one point road win at Clemson.

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Speaker 2: They just lost by thirty four at VA Tech. It

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Speaker 2: was by double digits at home to pit Like I

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Speaker 2: just think these name brands are getting stickier and stickier

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Speaker 2: in the minds of AP voters. And then Michigan State

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Speaker 2: area has ten losses and they recently lost to Iowa

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Speaker 2: and Minnesota. So I think this is just all going

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Speaker 2: to end up breaking my heart on Selection Sunday, where

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Speaker 2: I would much rather see a USF get in there,

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Speaker 2: or you know, an extra team out of the Mountain

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Speaker 2: West as opposed to the broken down, you know wagons

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Speaker 2: of these power program teams that are gonna lose like

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Speaker 2: twelve or thirteen games in the regular season and still

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Speaker 2: sneak in. But I don't want to get too bitter

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Speaker 2: about it before we get into some positivity. There's things

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Speaker 2: to add to our future's portfolio. There's a lot of

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Speaker 2: actually good spots in my opinion on Saturday to play.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just trying to brace myself emotionally for the

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Speaker 2: letdown that will be Selection Sunday.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, my biggest beef with what is inevitably gonna happen

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Speaker 3: is I mean, look, you could always argue this team

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Speaker 3: or that team. The little guys always think it's weird.

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Speaker 3: I just hate when they the committee pits two really

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Speaker 3: good mid majors against each other in the first round.

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Speaker 3: That's my biggest beef. And you have like two teams

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Speaker 3: that could make a run and could be you know

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Speaker 3: from a betting perspective, two teams that I'm looking to

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Speaker 3: potentially back and then they end up playing each other.

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Speaker 3: That's my biggest beef. My ran of the week though,

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Speaker 3: is you know, not to be bitter, but playing off

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Speaker 3: of you is. What are these rumors that they're gonna

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Speaker 3: they're don't mess with the tournament like they're gonna. We

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Speaker 3: don't need to look, you went to sixty eight. Whatever,

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Speaker 3: it's fine. We you know, you get a couple extra games,

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Speaker 3: a couple extra teams in. It's all about TV money.

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Speaker 3: The first four it's fine, Like sixty eight's fine. Sixty

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Speaker 3: four was perfect, but whatever, we can go to six.

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Speaker 3: We don't need to mess with it anymore. Like, please,

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Speaker 3: it is perfect. The NCAA tournament has worked for decades.

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Speaker 3: It is one of the most perfect sports betting and

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Speaker 3: sports entertainment products on the planet. Please don't mess with it.

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Speaker 3: Randall any thoughts there? And what do you got for

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Speaker 3: the week?

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Speaker 4: There was Yeah, once they went to sixty eight, I mean,

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Speaker 4: I feel like the genies out of the bottle here,

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Speaker 4: So I'm open to see what they're gonna do.

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Speaker 1: I get it. We don't want to drag it on, but.

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Speaker 4: Once you get bet down to sixty four, it's always

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Speaker 4: gonna be the real tournament. They can tell us about

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Speaker 4: those first four games, and Dayton the tournament always starts

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Speaker 4: on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: To me, they can say whatever they want.

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Speaker 4: So however they dress it up, we'll find a way

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Speaker 4: to wager on it, and we'll be ready once it

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Speaker 4: starts for real, when it gets down to sixty four.

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Speaker 4: But my focus, guys is we always talk about futures.

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Speaker 4: We're gonna have some here. Let's really get into the

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Speaker 4: conference tournaments.

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Speaker 1: Conference tournament season.

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Speaker 4: At FtM, we got our model sims out, so I

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Speaker 4: started trying to take a look at the Power conferences

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Speaker 4: and see where there's some value and behold, a team

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Speaker 4: that we like, Clemson, Pittsburgh, those are some projected values.

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Speaker 4: How about you know Florida who played well against Alabama, Tennessee,

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Speaker 4: I mean Nebraska. Now they finally went on the road

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Speaker 4: in Indiana. Could they make a run in the Big

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Speaker 4: Ten tournament. It just has a field, guys here, that

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Speaker 4: there could be a lot of upsets in these conference

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Speaker 4: tournaments and a lot of value. People wait to bet

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Speaker 4: for March. You want to bet for the final four.

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Speaker 4: You want to go those first round games. Guys, don't

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Speaker 4: sleep on the conference tournaments. I mean, Sucky's a big

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Speaker 4: fan of the small conferences as well, and we've talked

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Speaker 4: here about Mike with all his small conference love. There

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Speaker 4: are some great opportunities coming up. I can't wait for

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Speaker 4: those to start, not just looking here at the big conferences.

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Speaker 4: I mean, suppose Washington State finds a way to beat

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Speaker 4: Arizona tonight. There's just a lot of value here, and

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Speaker 4: because of the tournament projects to be so wide open.

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Speaker 4: Finally seeing Connecticut lose when Creighton hit sixty five to

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Speaker 4: three pointers against them at home, I just think that

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Speaker 4: we're looking for conference tournament season. I can't wait for

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Speaker 4: it to get started. It's not just about March. It's

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Speaker 4: about building the bank grow for March. Badness here and

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Speaker 4: there's some great value coming up.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, that's an natural leads naturally into a plug

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Speaker 3: for this podcast. We will be doing previews for every

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Speaker 3: single conference tournament. It is one of my favorite times

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Speaker 3: of the year. It is an absolute grind, but it's

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Speaker 3: a labor of love. I'll be doing every single one

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Speaker 3: with some combination of you guys, the three men, Weave

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Speaker 3: and maybe Greg and we'll cover every single conference tournament

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Speaker 3: go through you know, potential paths where the value is

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Speaker 3: from vetting, perspective, talk, matchups, et cetera, et cetera. Those

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Speaker 3: episodes are always awesome, so make sure you stay tuned

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Speaker 3: for those as we approach conference tournament season. I you

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Speaker 3: know I and by the way, I think you mentioned

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Speaker 3: that No, Nebraska finally won on the road. You don't

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Speaker 3: need to one on the road. My favorite SAT of

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Speaker 3: the week, I tweeted this out Connecticut. Two national titles

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Speaker 3: over the past ten years, maybe three zero and twenty

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Speaker 3: one on the road against ranked teams over there.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't I couldn't believe that. When you tweeted that stuck.

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Speaker 2: I was like, there's no way, there's just I had

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Speaker 2: to start double checking. As soon as I saw like

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Speaker 2: five or six recent losses, I was like, Jesus, this

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Speaker 2: is actually.

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Speaker 3: Well, granted, they weren't they they weren't in the Big

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Speaker 3: East until recently. Yeah, so they It's not like so

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Speaker 3: a lot of years, you know, in the American you

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Speaker 3: didn't have a ton of ranked road teams even play

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Speaker 3: a ton of ranked games on the road up until recently.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, O, in twenty one over the past decade,

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Speaker 3: with two national titles, they will get a chance at Marquette,

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Speaker 3: but then out they're the favorite to win a third,

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Speaker 3: but we all know Yukon doesn't win it. When they

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Speaker 3: got to be like a four seed, they gotta be

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Speaker 3: a four to seven. So we'll see what happens come

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Speaker 3: tournament time. But I guess my biggest takeaway, I have

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Speaker 3: two because this will lead us into our futures. And

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Speaker 3: this is all on me. We have two of our

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Speaker 3: final four futures that I gave out Saint John's what

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Speaker 3: I mean, Yes, thank god. They held onto a lead

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Speaker 3: against Georgetown. Up they were their last five games, up

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Speaker 3: twenty one against Georgetown, win by five, up twenty against

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Speaker 3: Seaton Hall, and lose up seven against Providence, lose by three,

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Speaker 3: up fifteen against Marquette, lose by eleven, up thirty against

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Speaker 3: Small They went up. They're up twenty to thirty these

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Speaker 3: last five games and they've gone two and three. Now.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they're underdogs to make the tournament now, but

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Speaker 3: they will. They have an unbelievable opportunity on Sunday against Creighton.

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Speaker 3: You can't ask for a better spot. They lost by

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Speaker 3: one at Crayton. Creyton's probably still celebrating their first win

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Speaker 3: over number one team in program history. Gotta get that game.

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Speaker 3: And the same goes for Texas A and M. Texas

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Speaker 3: A and M, who has I think they're the second

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Speaker 3: most squad one wins in the country. They could lose

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Speaker 3: to anybody on any given night. I mean, it's that's

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Speaker 3: what makes them.

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Speaker 2: Four straight up against the Quad three again, swept by Arkansas.

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Speaker 2: I think that's it. If I'm on a committee, I'm

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Speaker 2: closing the book on A and M. You get swept

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Speaker 2: by Arkansas, you're not making the tournament.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. The The funny thing is, which is so stupid

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Speaker 3: with these quad wins, is that because they lost to

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Speaker 3: Arkansas again, their first loss becomes a Quad three or

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Speaker 3: a Quad two instead of a Quad three. It's a yes,

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Speaker 3: it's target. Yeah, I mean, am if they look they

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Speaker 3: have a great chance at tennis. They have Tennessee and

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Speaker 3: South Carolina coming up, and they gotta win. I think

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Speaker 3: maybe both or one NC. They have to win at

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Speaker 3: least one of them. But disappointing week on that front.

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Speaker 3: But let's get to the futures portfolio. And for those

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Speaker 3: new to the show, each week, I should say, each

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Speaker 3: Thursday night, on our weekend episode, each of us brings

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Speaker 3: a future could be anything, could be a conference final four,

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Speaker 3: national title, or any other derivative, and we make our

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Speaker 3: case and then we all vote on them. We have

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Speaker 3: one national title future in Kentucky, another team like A

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Speaker 3: and M. I don't know Kentucky. When the brackets come out,

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Speaker 3: what are you gonna do with Kentucky. I mean they

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Speaker 3: could lose to Saint Peter's again, or they could go

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Speaker 3: to the Final four. I don't I don't know that

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Speaker 3: team can lose to anyone or beat anyone on any

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Speaker 3: given day. Kentucky national title future, Houston to win the

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Speaker 3: Big twelve, which looks really good. And then a handful

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Speaker 3: of Final four futures which I mentioned before. You know, Wisconsin,

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Speaker 3: we keep jinks in our teams, but Wisconsin, Clemson, South

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Speaker 3: Carolina all should get in. And we need Texas, A

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Speaker 3: and M and Saint John's. Huge weekend and week ahead

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Speaker 3: for those teams. And keep in mind, just when we're

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Speaker 3: talking about the bubble, you can go to like Bracket

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Speaker 3: Matrix or Torvik or Attorney Cast. You can look at,

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Speaker 3: you know, the kind of the percentages of brackets that

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Speaker 3: have certain teams in and a lot's going to change

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Speaker 3: over the next two weeks, and a lot of times

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Speaker 3: teams play their way off of the bubble rather than

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Speaker 3: into the field, So keep that in mind over the

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Speaker 3: next couple of weeks. But let's get to another future.

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Speaker 3: We're going to add one to the portfolio. So let's

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Speaker 3: go to the futures roundtable. Randall. I will start with you,

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Speaker 3: what are you bringing to the table this week?

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Speaker 4: I have been besieged by questions about what is my

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Speaker 4: Florida Atlantic of this year? So guys, I'm done giving

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Speaker 4: middle teams that have a chance to make a run

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Speaker 4: from the power conferences. Let's get a little nuts. I've

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Speaker 4: had enough of doubting South Florida folks. And if you

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Speaker 4: look at their resume, no quad one wins.

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Speaker 1: I get it.

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Speaker 4: But you know what, they have played exceptionally well lately

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Speaker 4: and I saw all I needed to see against Florida

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Speaker 4: Atlantic at home. They are plus ten thousand to make

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Speaker 4: the final four. So what does this team bring us

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Speaker 4: exactly Well, they bring us a great defense that's gotten

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Speaker 4: better here within the AAC. They have the nation's second

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Speaker 4: longest winning streak at twelve games, and they bring in

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Speaker 4: solid defensive metrics, holding teams down from inside the arc,

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Speaker 4: good on the defensive boards, and they have a couple

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Speaker 4: of players who are flammable Chris Youngbudd and Celtan Miguel,

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Speaker 4: both of which have attempted over one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 4: three shooting over forty percent from three point range. They

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Speaker 4: have Prior in the middle who's very active, does a

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Speaker 4: lot of good things, and none of them turn the

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Speaker 4: ball over.

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Speaker 1: Guys.

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Speaker 4: You don't have any turnover machines here, and a mir

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Speaker 4: Abdul Raheem has been a fantastic coach, did a great

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Speaker 4: job with Kennesaw State, finally getting over the Liberty hurd

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Speaker 4: of last year. Yes, South Florida doesn't have any big wins,

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Speaker 4: and no one's really saying anything because they be Florida Atlantic.

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Speaker 4: The Florida Atlantics down this year. Guys, this team could

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Speaker 4: really be legit if they make it in. They have

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Speaker 4: the profile with the big in the middle, they're well coached,

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Speaker 4: they rebound the ball defensively, and they have some players

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Speaker 4: in the back court who can get hot. So give

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Speaker 4: me South Florida a bit off the radar here, because

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Speaker 4: I love my UNC Wilmington, but I can't see odds

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Speaker 4: for them yet to make the final four plus ten thousand.

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Speaker 3: Randall getting a little crazy on this Thursday as we

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Speaker 3: approach March with the tournament in the air. All Right,

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Speaker 3: South Florida super long shot to make the final four.

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Speaker 3: I mean I thought, why not get super crazy, just

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Speaker 3: go to win the national title. But calbarys, what do

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Speaker 3: you got for this week? All right?

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Speaker 2: All this bubble talk? How about a team to make

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Speaker 2: the tournament? Colorado plus three to twenty. I talked about

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Speaker 2: him on the Saturday show. They end up coming back

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Speaker 2: beating USC which was critical for them to split on

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Speaker 2: that road trip in La. The Buffs are probably going

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Speaker 2: to be favored in four of their next five, including

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Speaker 2: a critical lever loser leaves town bubble battle with Utah.

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Speaker 2: That could be a nice two for one for them.

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Speaker 2: If they win that, they push you all off of

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Speaker 2: the bubble and there's a toundle love.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 2: Stuck's talked about it a lot on this podcast. They

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Speaker 2: have three future NBA guys in Simpson, Williams, Da Silva

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Speaker 2: all could be first round picks. They're a great shooting team.

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Speaker 2: Their top ten and three point percentage from the line,

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Speaker 2: shooting from the field shooting efficiency. That's pretty rare to

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Speaker 2: get a team that is truly on the bubble because

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Speaker 2: when you look at the advanced metrics that the committee

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Speaker 2: will have in front of them as well, shot quality

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Speaker 2: forty seventh, Torvic fortieth, Ken Pump thirty seventh, Haslo Metrics

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Speaker 2: twenty eighth. That is a lot of love for a

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Speaker 2: team that just needs to get some more wins. And

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Speaker 2: I think that they have the schedule down the stretch

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Speaker 2: to not only start sacking some wins, but critically get

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Speaker 2: that buy into the Pack twelve quarterfinals, because if they

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Speaker 2: get into the quarters, I think it's just going to

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Speaker 2: require one win, get to the semis, don't get embarrassed,

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Speaker 2: probably in a rematch with Arizona, and I think that

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Speaker 2: will be enough for them to be on the right

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Speaker 2: side of the bubble come selection Sunday. So a four

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Speaker 2: to one finished in the regular season five and zero,

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Speaker 2: I think they get it done. I really like Colorado's

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Speaker 2: ceiling because they're shooting, and I understand that they leave

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Speaker 2: a lot to be desired when they leave Boulder, but

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Speaker 2: at least they won't have to be playing on the road,

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Speaker 2: you know, come tournament time, you know, on both the

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Speaker 2: Pac twelve Conference Tournament and March Madness. So I like

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Speaker 2: the Buffs to not only get in, but maybe win

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Speaker 2: a game or two in the tournament.

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Speaker 3: All right, I do think Colin's eventually gonna make it,

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Speaker 3: so I don't mind that one. But it's definitely gonna

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Speaker 3: be close. And every year we see we might have

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Speaker 3: to we might have to have this with like Saint

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Speaker 3: John's or Saint John's or you know, I took the

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Speaker 3: flyer with Colorado to make the final four Texas A

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Speaker 3: and M. Almost every year we see a team in

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Speaker 3: that first four go on a run, they get that

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Speaker 3: first win and then you can win you know, three

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Speaker 3: or four games and stuck.

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Speaker 1: It's happened. Stuck.

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Speaker 4: It's happened every year except for one. Every year except

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Speaker 4: for one, they've won at least two games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. VCU got to the final four right from from

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Speaker 3: that first four. All right, well, I'm gonna go, look,

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Speaker 3: we need a horse. We need a horse. We have

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Speaker 3: a lot of Final four darts, and I'm gonna propose

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Speaker 3: a national title future to add to the portfolio. I'm

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Speaker 3: betting this tonight myself. I haven't bet it, so I'm

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Speaker 3: waiting to give it out on the podcast, and I

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Speaker 3: wanted to talk about it here first, but I'm going

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Speaker 3: I'm betting Houston to win the national title. You give

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Speaker 3: me a bracket right now, I'm filling it out. I'm

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Speaker 3: putting Houston to win it. They treated us well, I think,

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Speaker 3: assume with our Big Twelve future, but I have them.

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Speaker 3: My raw power ratings have them three points better than

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Speaker 3: every other team in the country, which is crazy. The

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Speaker 3: market would not have that. So like if they played

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Speaker 3: Yukon on the neutral court, they wouldn't be a three

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Speaker 3: point favorite, but that's where my numbers have them right now.

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Speaker 3: This team has been dominant all year, and they've been

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Speaker 3: dominant in the best conference top to bottom in the

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Speaker 3: country in the Big Twelve. They've done it on the road,

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Speaker 3: They've done it on neutral courts, they've done it at home.

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Speaker 3: They're well coached. I think that they're almost upset proof.

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Speaker 3: This team, like they could get they could lose in

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Speaker 3: you know, Elite a Sweet sixteen final four to a

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Speaker 3: team that just goes nuclear from three. But I don't

359
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Speaker 3: think they're at risk of losing, and they're definitely not

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Speaker 3: the first round, but the second round. They're getting to

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Speaker 3: the second weekend. I just trust Jamal shd in the

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Speaker 3: way that he's playing right now. And you know with

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Speaker 3: Crier Sharp, their rebounding ability and it's just a historically

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Speaker 3: great defense. I can you give me Houston versus Yukon

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Speaker 3: on neutral, I'm taking Houston. You do the same with Purdue.

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Speaker 3: I'm taking Houston. And here's the thing, Yeah, Arizona Houston.

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Speaker 3: Even though I haven't power rate to number one, they're

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Speaker 3: number one on Ken Palm, they're number one on any metrics.

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Speaker 3: I think if you go to Torvik, he has him at

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Speaker 3: twenty five percent probability to win the national title. But

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Speaker 3: you're getting you can get Houston at plus nine to

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Speaker 3: fifty to win the national title. Yukon's at five to one.

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Speaker 3: What's Purdue is it at what's six seven to one?

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Speaker 3: I think Houston should be the favorite. They should be

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Speaker 3: five six to one, and we're getting value because they're

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Speaker 3: just not sexy and you know, they're not the raigning

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Speaker 3: champs like Yukon is. I think this Houston team is

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Speaker 3: the best team in the country. I think that they're

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Speaker 3: pretty upset proof. They have the best defense, they have

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Speaker 3: a floor general in shed, and the thing that I

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Speaker 3: love about the way Shed is playing right now is

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Speaker 3: because you know, Crier is kind of like the guy

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Speaker 3: he's the wild card, right Like, if he's on, and

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Speaker 3: you know, when he gets on, he can go, he

385
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Speaker 3: can drop thirty. But some nights he has an off

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Speaker 3: night and Shed will just say, okay, I got to

387
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Speaker 3: take over for you know, if someone's in foul trouble,

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Speaker 3: I got to take over fifteen minutes to score here.

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Speaker 3: And then you know, if other guys are on, he's

390
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Speaker 3: the fast iator. He just runs that team so well.

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Speaker 3: So you give me a bracket right now, Houston's gonna

392
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Speaker 3: be my champ. I think they're the best team in

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Speaker 3: the country. I think that they should be the favorite

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Speaker 3: to win, but they're not. They're not. They just don't

395
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Speaker 3: play a sexy brand of ball. But I think there's

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Speaker 3: value in Houston to win it all. I propose them

397
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Speaker 3: to be our horse to win the national title. We

398
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Speaker 3: got Yukon last year at fifteen to one. Let's add

399
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Speaker 3: Houston at plus nine fifty. So that's my case. Let's

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Speaker 3: go to the voting.

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Speaker 2: Just before you jump into the voting, stuck, I think

402
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Speaker 2: just to add on one thing that Shed brings to

403
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Speaker 2: the table. If you watch that Iowa State game, we

404
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Speaker 2: make a lot of points about, you know, making a

405
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Speaker 2: deep run of March madnesson have that floor general someone

406
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 2: you can trust with the ball in their hands, and

407
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,119
Speaker 2: that's absolutely true. But he is going to make life

408
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,959
Speaker 2: absolute hell for every other point guard that they're playing against.

409
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Speaker 2: Lipsey didn't want anything to do with him by the

410
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Speaker 2: second half, Like the amount of passes he was intercepting,

411
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Speaker 2: Like Lipsey's trying to make a skip pass across Cory,

412
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Speaker 2: He's just trying to get the ball out of his hands,

413
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Speaker 2: and he was just catching the ball on you know,

414
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Speaker 2: these these lob passes, just snatching it right out of

415
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Speaker 2: the air. He's one of the best on ball defenders

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Speaker 2: that I've seen in many years in college basketball, and

417
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Speaker 2: I think he has the potential to take any top

418
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,400
Speaker 2: point guard kind of out of their game like Lipsy.

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Speaker 2: Like I said, there was points in the game where

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Speaker 2: he had I think like six or seven turnovers and

421
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 2: didn't have any points yet on the floor. He just

422
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 2: looked so overwhelmed. And I think the whole country's gonna

423
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,120
Speaker 2: have to get used to that during the Big Dance,

424
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Speaker 2: because he's gonna put a bunch of point guards in

425
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Speaker 2: a straight jacket.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you gotta keep in mind that they don't. Arson

427
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 3: is not even playing for that. I mean he was,

428
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Speaker 3: you know, he would be a big It would be

429
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Speaker 3: huge if they had him. But Malik Wilson is playing

430
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Speaker 3: better of late. Emmanuel Sharp has been amazing.

431
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Speaker 1: You know.

432
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Speaker 3: Then you got just their their factory of bigs down

433
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 3: low with Roberts Francis and company. They just seem to

434
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 3: have a they just have like a back room where

435
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 3: they produce these guys. But all right, let's and look

436
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,440
Speaker 3: and look like I said, they don't turn the ball over.

437
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,360
Speaker 3: They're one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country.

438
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,399
Speaker 3: They're not a great shooting team, but they're not bad,

439
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,440
Speaker 3: and they offense rebound almost all their missus, and they're

440
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 3: historically great defense. There's outside of like some they take

441
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,040
Speaker 3: some bad shots on offense in the free throw line

442
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 3: at times. This team's damn good and they have a

443
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 3: damn good coach. All right, let's go to the voting.

444
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:35,680
Speaker 3: Number one USF. You're feeling crazy tonight, USF to win

445
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 3: to get to the final four. Number two Colorado to

446
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 3: get to the tournament and make the dance and number

447
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 3: three Houston to win the national title. All right, three

448
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 3: two one. This podcast is probably desended by BEMGM.

449
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 5: These bonus cod action when signing up to get up

450
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,840
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451
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:08,600
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452
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:12,439
Speaker 5: the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

453
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:13,400
Speaker 5: West Virginia, and Wyoming.

454
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,200
Speaker 3: Terms causes apply must be twenty one or older. Gambling

455
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 3: problem called one eight hundred gambler to clean sweet. We

456
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 3: are adding Houston to win the national.

457
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 2: Title Bycelama, Jamma baby, let's get it.

458
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 3: Let's look to go back to back. We had Yukon

459
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:36,199
Speaker 3: last year and then this year we have Kentucky and

460
00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:40,119
Speaker 3: now Houston, which now I could change based on the bracket,

461
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 3: but as of right now would be my pick to

462
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 3: win it all. Randal, do you have any thoughts here?

463
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 4: No, I wanted to get somebody there at the end

464
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 4: to have an actional national championship and that's what swung

465
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,919
Speaker 4: me here Houston. That odds are crazy. They're great on

466
00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,440
Speaker 4: the neutral court, they're battling here on the road, and

467
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 4: it makes total sense. We need somebody to have a

468
00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,680
Speaker 4: future to win the national title to his home here.

469
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:01,480
Speaker 1: That's what smung me.

470
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 4: Love Colorado as well. They have sued their Bilow spot

471
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 4: with a lot of talent there, Mike, But that's it.

472
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 4: Let's get a powerhouse in our portfolio to carry us

473
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:10,679
Speaker 4: here all the way to the finals.

474
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, and us that's definitely intriguing. But the I

475
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:16,640
Speaker 3: am a little bit worried. They've been running so hot

476
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 3: from three on both ends more when is that regression.

477
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:20,719
Speaker 2: Hit a little bit?

478
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 3: And they still pulled it out at UTSA, But they've

479
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 3: been shooting like forty over forty percent from three for

480
00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:30,359
Speaker 3: the last month. Teams shooting under thirty percent. That's not

481
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,359
Speaker 3: gonna last forever. But uh, what a job of doorber

482
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 3: Geam has done down there with that team so far

483
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:42,400
Speaker 3: this year and they're now the favorite to win the

484
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 3: regular season title. Any thoughts you want to add Calbary's

485
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 3: for Houston.

486
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 2: No, just the shed commentary. I agree that you know

487
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 2: their their foul shooting scares me a tiny bit, but

488
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 2: I wonder if that can just be something that they

489
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 2: can address the coaching in late game scenarios where it's

490
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 2: like just get it to two or three of the

491
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 2: guards and make sure that you're not setting up plays

492
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,560
Speaker 2: where you have players trapped in the corner. They're getting

493
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:11,440
Speaker 2: fouled because some of their bigs. Really it's it's not

494
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 2: just purely their stats. When you see them take a

495
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,439
Speaker 2: single foul shot, you're like, oh no, like, please do

496
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 2: not get this guy on the line. Many times because

497
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 2: there's some unnatural strokes there for the Kougs. But yeah,

498
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,399
Speaker 2: that's really the only blumish I think that is on

499
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 2: their resume at this point.

500
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're definitely gonna leave some points on you know,

501
00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 3: they're gonna lead some points on the board from the line,

502
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:37,920
Speaker 3: but that's mainly they're bigs like Tuggler, Roberts, Francis. They're

503
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 3: all like fifty to fifty guys from the line. I

504
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:46,280
Speaker 3: worry but at you know, an endgame scenarios, you have Crier,

505
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 3: Shed and Sharp who are all like eighty eighty five

506
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:55,240
Speaker 3: percent guys, which is a good thing. I also I

507
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 3: worry a little bit about And Samson alluded to this

508
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,160
Speaker 3: at the half in an interview during the Iowa State game.

509
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,200
Speaker 3: I worry about Roberts just if he gets in foul trouble.

510
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:12,159
Speaker 3: He's pretty important to what they do. That's something that

511
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 3: would concern me. But I do think this is the

512
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 3: best team in the country.

513
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:16,360
Speaker 1: The other thing.

514
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 4: The other thing, two guys, is you're gonna be Houston.

515
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,440
Speaker 4: It's not gonna be on the second in the second game.

516
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 1: Of that weekend.

517
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 4: It is very difficult to prepare for what they do.

518
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:27,440
Speaker 4: So you're gonna have to focus on that first game.

519
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 4: If you're gonna pick them off, you got to pick

520
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 4: them off in a Final four, You got to pick

521
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 4: them off in a Sweet sixteen, because they are so

522
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 4: tough to prepare for, to adjust to what they do,

523
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 4: because you.

524
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 1: Know they're gonna bring that effort.

525
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 4: You know they're going to be detail oriented on moving

526
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 4: around on box out, so they're going to screen off

527
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 4: to get the ball in bounds. They're gonna do all

528
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 4: the little things, so you really need time to prepare

529
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,440
Speaker 4: for them. So again, it makes it even harder because

530
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 4: I think it's hard guys to beat them on the

531
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,280
Speaker 4: second day in like a round of thirty two or

532
00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 4: an Elite eight. Very difficult with Houston because of their

533
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 4: unique style.

534
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:58,080
Speaker 2: That's a great point.

535
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I mean breezed through the first weekend the

536
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:06,400
Speaker 3: past couple of years, first and second round games complete blowouts.

537
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:12,119
Speaker 3: And you gotta remember this team two years ago. I

538
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,280
Speaker 3: mean they have a ton of experience, this team with

539
00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 3: I think Roberts and Shed were on that team when

540
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 3: they went to and I think both of them were starters.

541
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,960
Speaker 3: They went to the Elite Eight. They lost to Villanova

542
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 3: that year, and a very good Villanova team that went

543
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 3: to the Final four. They lost that game, I think

544
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:37,240
Speaker 3: fifty to forty four. They went one of twenty one

545
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,159
Speaker 3: from three, and I mean you're gonna lose if you

546
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 3: go one of twenty one from three most nights. And

547
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 3: I mean that team easily could have won the national

548
00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 3: title that year, and I think they're even better this year.

549
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 3: All right, let's get to the weekend and we'll go

550
00:27:56,200 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 3: rapid fire around the horn style and circle some spots

551
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 3: that we have targeted. Calabris, I'll throw it to you.

552
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 3: You're going to start us off with any eight to

553
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 3: ten flavor or where you.

554
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 2: Had it right letter, wrong conference. They're going to go

555
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:17,120
Speaker 2: acc here. I alluded to it kind of trashing them

556
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 2: at the beginning of our program. I don't think very

557
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 2: much of Virginia and if I can get less than four,

558
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 2: I'll lay it with the tar Heels in Charlottesville. This

559
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: number is discounted because the Tar Hills have two bad

560
00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 2: road losses in the past month at Georgia Tech at Syracuse.

561
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 2: They also dropped three neutral site games throughout the year

562
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,879
Speaker 2: to Nova Yukon Kentucky, so they haven't been as strong

563
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 2: away from the Dean Dome. But this UVA team is

564
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 2: just dreadful from the field. They're two hundred and seventy seventh.

565
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 2: That's shooting efficiency, one of the worst foul shooting teams

566
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 2: in America. On top of it, and they're below average

567
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 2: on the glass. I don't understand why anyone's enamored with

568
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 2: this team, why they spent some time in the AP

569
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 2: top twenty five. Additionally, you have UNC's attention. They're tied

570
00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:58,640
Speaker 2: to top the acc sandings with Duke and after months

571
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 2: of consistent play from arch Davis, he's been a little

572
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 2: bit off. He's been shooting thirty eight percent from the

573
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 2: field in their past six games. I think he's due

574
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 2: to get back on track and I think he does

575
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 2: it here in this spot, so I'm going to go ahead.

576
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 2: I would play it up to four. I think the

577
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 2: Torvik has it at North Carolina minus two. I'd love

578
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 2: it to get it at just, you know, a hair

579
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 2: below that one possession. But I'm on the tar heels.

580
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, Virginia has been much better at home this year,

581
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 3: but I don't trust that offense as far as I

582
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 3: can throw them. And they yeah, they just go through

583
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 3: prolonged droughts. They struggled to line too, And yeah, I

584
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 3: don't mind North Carolina in that spot staying in the

585
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 3: ACC I have. I'm hoping we can get Look, the

586
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 3: market in these spots is sometimes. Prices is out this year.

587
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 3: But wake Forest against Duke, they were quat catching seven

588
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 3: at Duke in a game where they went six of

589
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 3: twenty six from three. Duke had a really an enormous

590
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:03,160
Speaker 3: home Cameron whistle and that game still went down to

591
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,680
Speaker 3: the wire. Horrible, horrible beat. If you had Wake Forrest

592
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 3: in that game, Duke with a runout dunk, Wake Forest

593
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 3: missus a free throw. No one knew it was a

594
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 3: one in one and very bizarre ending, but there.

595
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 1: Was a parlay. Don't bring that up. Coross me a

596
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 1: big time parlay that game.

597
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 3: Oh that was horrendous ending, but they were in that game.

598
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 3: But wake Forest now gets to play at home. Win

599
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 3: this game, punch your ticket to the dance. And they've

600
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:34,880
Speaker 3: been a juggernaut at home. They're fourteen and oh in

601
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 3: league play. There's seven and oh, winning by an average

602
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:42,440
Speaker 3: of twenty points per game, averaging eighty six points per

603
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 3: game at home in Winston Salem, and they've basically been

604
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:49,080
Speaker 3: if you just look at an advanced metrics standpoint, since

605
00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 3: Efton Reed made his debut and I think early December,

606
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 3: they've been a top ten team if you just filter

607
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 3: for all home games. And Duke has some I mean, look,

608
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 3: there's some positive three point regression that could work in

609
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 3: wake Forest's favor. Duke is I believe, I mean they've

610
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 3: been benefiting from the three point line.

611
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 2: They were.

612
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 3: Let me pull up the numbers here, Duke is just

613
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 3: over the past two games, they're twenty three or forty

614
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 3: five from three, but they've won five straight. Their opponents

615
00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 3: are shooting just twenty three percent from deep, and I

616
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 3: haven't really been impressed with many of their wins outside

617
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 3: of that wake Forest game. Where Wake just missed every three.

618
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 3: Duke got a ton of calls that still went down

619
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 3: to the wire at Cameron. Yeah, they beat up on Miami,

620
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 3: completely shorthanded Miami team that's in a tailspin. An extra

621
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 3: day of rest and prep for Wake who stays home

622
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 3: Duke's second straight road game. I think Wake gets it

623
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 3: done here from a matchup standpoint with the you know,

624
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:50,320
Speaker 3: Wake Forest, with efton red, they're going to drop him

625
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 3: four shoot operate in the mid range. That's not where

626
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 3: Duke has really been efficient this year. Duke stilles trouble

627
00:31:56,760 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 3: defending off the bounce, defending an isolation. Wake Forest have

628
00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 3: multiple guys that can take advantage, and they've just been

629
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 3: a juggernaut at home. I like the demon Deakins here

630
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 3: to get the win at home over Duke and officially

631
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 3: punch their ticket to the dance Randall any thoughts on

632
00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 3: either one of those acc games? And what do you got?

633
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Virginia You know, I got in an argument

634
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 4: with so many Virginia fans early on. Stop telling me

635
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 4: about your two lottery picks unless they're going to the

636
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 4: seven to eleven and re Speakman and Ryan Dunn. Guys,

637
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 4: they are not lottery picks. They are nice, good, solid

638
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 4: defensive players in college, but they are so limited on offense.

639
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 4: Tony Bennett does a great job. They recruit a certain

640
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 4: type of player and why they made the run is

641
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 4: because they were elite shooters with Ty Jerome and Kyle

642
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,480
Speaker 4: Guy and all those players. But now they're just not

643
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 4: at that level. So they once the game gets down.

644
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 4: I mean, guys, would they score thirteen points in the

645
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 4: half of Virginia Tech.

646
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 1: I mean, Virginia Tech is not that good. I mean,

647
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 1: Duke just push them around there.

648
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,600
Speaker 4: I mean, it's just totally totally off on Virginia as well.

649
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 1: I'm looking to Friday Night, guys.

650
00:32:58,040 --> 00:32:59,959
Speaker 4: I've been impressed with Green Bay the Phoenix Ally year

651
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 4: Sundance Twicks has done a great job with this team.

652
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 4: They played a very slow pace, but they're very good

653
00:33:04,320 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 4: with the fundamentals. They're great on offense, they're great on rebounding.

654
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:09,760
Speaker 4: You don't get second chances against them, and they lock

655
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:10,959
Speaker 4: you down from beyond the arc.

656
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 1: Tough loss to Northern Kentucky.

657
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,560
Speaker 4: Why because the North are the class of the Horizon

658
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 4: League and they always are very tough and they're extremely

659
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 4: well coached. Now they had a couple of days, they

660
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 4: had over a week to think about it, and they're

661
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 4: home now against Perdue Fort Wayne. This Purdue Fort Wayne

662
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 4: team has struggled here on the road. You saw them

663
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 4: away at Cleveland State get blown out. They even loss

664
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 4: of Bobby Morris. Youngstown State not a vintage team here

665
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 4: for Purdue Fort Wayne. Normally they could put up a

666
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 4: lot of points. They're not going to do it against

667
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 4: green Bay. This Green Bay team as well coached. Yes,

668
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 4: they are trailing Oakland. Oakland could lose tonight, they could

669
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 4: get back in the Horizon League race. But even if

670
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 4: they don't, it's been a tremendous job by the Phoenix.

671
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,280
Speaker 4: They're great fundamentally, they're great at home, They're solid on defense,

672
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 4: and Purdue Fort Wayne does not impress me on either

673
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 4: side of the bawl, especially with the turnovers. So I'll

674
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 4: take green Bay here is going to be home laying

675
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 4: a couple points to Perdue Fort Wayne. I think they

676
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 4: win this game comfortably on Friday. Very impressed with the

677
00:33:59,080 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 4: Phoenix this year.

678
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 2: I think this is the first sighting of a Mastadon's play,

679
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 2: either tail or fade in the history of this pod.

680
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:08,280
Speaker 2: So welcome to the party.

681
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 3: Guys. Yeah, how bad by the way, was will Ryan

682
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:16,719
Speaker 3: Fred Green Bay right? Right? They were last year they

683
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:20,880
Speaker 3: were one of the worst teams in the country. That

684
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 3: three wins one by one over Milwaukee and overtime they

685
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 3: beat U MKC and I U p U Y at home.

686
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 3: That was it. They were one of the worst teams

687
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:34,920
Speaker 3: in the country. And now Wick says them as with

688
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 3: seventeen wins already this season. So he's done a tremendous

689
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 3: job there, Calvary, what else you got?

690
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,839
Speaker 2: So it was a weird week for coaches calling out

691
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 2: their teams. You know, Penny, I thought kind of did

692
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 2: it in the right way way where he was talking

693
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 2: about motivation. Miszoo's head coach Gates kind of got into,

694
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 2: you know, just the effort in what you need to

695
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 2: do specifically for rebounding. And then you had mister scorched

696
00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:00,319
Speaker 2: Earthrick Patino just throwing his whole team under the us,

697
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,840
Speaker 2: backing it up, rolling over him again. I like what

698
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:05,720
Speaker 2: Hurley did following the Yukon loss. If you watched this presser,

699
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:07,880
Speaker 2: he said, we did a bad job of coaching. I

700
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 2: did a bad job of coaching. Our kids didn't play well.

701
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 2: We had lost in two months, and I think that

702
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 2: we were just shocked by the fact that Crayton was

703
00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:18,000
Speaker 2: knocking down threes. So I think the way that he

704
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 2: phrased it and framed it. I see Yukon bouncing back

705
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 2: in the spot against Villanova. It's kind of like a

706
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 2: pseudo revenge spot. I know that they beat Nova, but

707
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,880
Speaker 2: it was a one point game down in Philly, and

708
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,439
Speaker 2: I think the Wildcats have their attention, so I don't

709
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:34,760
Speaker 2: think you're going to see Yukon look past them at gamble.

710
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:38,239
Speaker 2: And I've railed against Villanova plenty times this year. They

711
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 2: just can't shoot the two hundred and fifty six and

712
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 2: four percentage. They got fewer than eight offensive rebounds per game,

713
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 2: which is two hundred and sixtieth in the country. And

714
00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 2: Klingon has played a lot better since that last meeting

715
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:50,760
Speaker 2: against the Wildcats. I think he's kind of the difference

716
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 2: maker if he can stay out of foul trouble. And

717
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:54,400
Speaker 2: when you look at what Nova's done on the road

718
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:57,919
Speaker 2: recently lost the Xavier, lost by seven at Butler, lost

719
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 2: by twenty at Saint John's, lost by thirteen more, I

720
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 2: think the Dies kind of cast with this Wildcat team.

721
00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:05,680
Speaker 2: They you know, they can't shoot to begin with, but

722
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 2: it only gets worse on the road. So I think

723
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 2: Yukon's going to get back on track here, win comfortably

724
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:12,799
Speaker 2: by what's called fifteen to twenty points. If I can

725
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 2: get somewhere in that eleven to twelve point range, I'll

726
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 2: lay it.

727
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:21,800
Speaker 3: I will throw out this a random spot, but Etsu're

728
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:25,760
Speaker 3: going to be catching double digits at Samford. Stamford huge

729
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 3: come from behind win in thrilling fashion over firm and

730
00:36:29,680 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 3: pretty much locked up the soak On one seed, the

731
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 3: Sokon regular season title. They pretty they just need to

732
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:37,719
Speaker 3: win one of their because of time breakers, one of

733
00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,359
Speaker 3: their last three games, which they played Wafford and home

734
00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:44,320
Speaker 3: against the Citadel. But first they host East Tennessee State.

735
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 3: East Tennessee State not anything to write home about, but

736
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 3: they did take at home. They played Sanford very tight.

737
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:56,839
Speaker 3: It was a three point Sanford win. And in that

738
00:36:56,880 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 3: game Etsu the Bucks did a couple of things really well.

739
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 3: They crashed the offensive glass, one of the best offensive

740
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:12,320
Speaker 3: rebounding teams in the SoCon and among all mid majors,

741
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 3: and they got to the line of ton and they

742
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 3: can repeat that here. Those are two vulnerable areas of Stamford,

743
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 3: and more importantly, I mean Sanford. Not only is it

744
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 3: a tough spot, it's like you came back, you beat firm,

745
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,680
Speaker 3: and you pretty much wrapped up everything. I mean two

746
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,399
Speaker 3: of their starters who are potential All League players, aj

747
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:37,799
Speaker 3: Stton McCrae, he was in a boot, didn't play. And

748
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:41,799
Speaker 3: then your boy Randall a chore. He was in a boot,

749
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:46,240
Speaker 3: tried to play, couldn't only only could go nine minutes

750
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:50,520
Speaker 3: quick turnaround at home. You're already pretty much have everything

751
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 3: wrapped up. I doubt they play. I don't even if

752
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:54,440
Speaker 3: they're helping up to play, But why would you risk it?

753
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 3: So I'm going to look to get Etsu on the open.

754
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:01,279
Speaker 3: So I think Stanford in a bat's spot, it's gonna

755
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:05,040
Speaker 3: be severely shorthanded, and Etsu has a couple pass to

756
00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:08,719
Speaker 3: success here, offensive rebounder thirty eight in the country in

757
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:10,839
Speaker 3: that aspect, and now if it sure doesn't go, he's

758
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,560
Speaker 3: their best rebounder. He's also their best defender. But they

759
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,799
Speaker 3: can live on the offensive glass here. They can get

760
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:20,600
Speaker 3: to the line a ton against Stanford and that aggressive defense.

761
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:23,880
Speaker 3: I hate Etsu because they just chuck a ton of threes.

762
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 3: And they're horrendous shooting team. But they are shooting, like

763
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 3: I think over the past month, like twenty four percent

764
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 3: from three. They're not that man, So they have some potential.

765
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 3: A lot of times when you see these teams and

766
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 3: from a power ratings or if you go to kempomp,

767
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:41,800
Speaker 3: you see these teams drop or rise a lot. You know,

768
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 3: over the course of three weeks. A lot of that

769
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:46,960
Speaker 3: is just three point variants. Right, you have a game

770
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:49,359
Speaker 3: where you go one to you have a three game

771
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,279
Speaker 3: stretch where you go, you know, you shoot eight eight

772
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 3: percent from three and you get blown out. Well, from

773
00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:58,240
Speaker 3: a metrics standpoint, it's gonna hurt you a ton. Really,

774
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 3: a lot of that was just three point arance. And

775
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 3: on the flip side, if you were red hot for

776
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 3: five or six games, you might rise up analytically in

777
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:10,280
Speaker 3: your profile, but really it was just three point variants.

778
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 3: And those are some of the teams that I'm either

779
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,640
Speaker 3: looking to back or fade. In this case, I think

780
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:17,839
Speaker 3: he's East Tennessee State hat will make a you know,

781
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 3: the last the last few weeks of the season, we'll

782
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 3: probably make a few more shots. So I'll be looking

783
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 3: to back the Bucks good spot against a in All

784
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 3: likely had shorthanded Stafford team Randall, what else you got?

785
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,479
Speaker 4: I love East Tennessee State because for some reason, guys

786
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 4: VAM just continues to get down early against teams and

787
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 4: then miraculously cover in the second half. They've been down

788
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:40,359
Speaker 4: like twenty points, So they played East Tennessee State, who

789
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,799
Speaker 4: is burying them by over twenty points the old back

790
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 4: door cover getting fifteen and lust by thirteen. So cheers

791
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 4: to East Tennessee State for keeping going.

792
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:47,799
Speaker 1: Guys.

793
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 4: I am not going to be here on Saturday. The

794
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 4: reason I'm not going to be here is we're putting

795
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 4: the entire Randall family in the truckster with Chevy Chase

796
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:57,440
Speaker 4: and heading up to Amherst, Massachusetts for a family get together,

797
00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,360
Speaker 4: which means I am going to be in attendance for

798
00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 4: UMass St Bonaventure. Last two times last time these teams play,

799
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 4: guys U mass handled them. Why because they are very

800
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 4: physical and they score on the interior, which is where

801
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,920
Speaker 4: Saint Bonaventure is terrible on defense. They were up big

802
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 4: and it was a terrible beat where Saint Bonaventure just

803
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 4: got on fire in the last minute and a half,

804
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 4: ran off a ton of points and covered the six

805
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 4: point spread, even though YOUU Mass led from start to finish.

806
00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:23,319
Speaker 4: So I think U Mass Matt Cross was questionable for

807
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 4: the last game he played, and they looked fantastic. This

808
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,479
Speaker 4: U Mass team is dangerous, not just because of my heart.

809
00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 4: With my head, I still think Dayton is vulnerable in

810
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 4: the A ten tournament. Well coached by Frank Martin. All

811
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:35,839
Speaker 4: you need, like you say, stucky, is some regression from

812
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 4: three point raunch because they played defense and they're physical,

813
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 4: and they rebound and they can score inside Saint Bonaventure.

814
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 4: That's their weakness. U Mass should have got the win

815
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:45,839
Speaker 4: at Saint Bonaventure. I think they get it here. What

816
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:47,879
Speaker 4: is the line three to four, whatever it is, I'm

817
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 4: gonna lay at U Mass is tough at home. They've

818
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 4: played well under Frank Martin. I think they get a

819
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 4: win here that they should have had when they played

820
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:54,959
Speaker 4: the Bonnies the first time.

821
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Bonnie's They've not a couple moments, but for

822
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:02,440
Speaker 3: the most part, not been great on the road. But yeah,

823
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 3: you Mass looked with a healthy Cross there. Talked about

824
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 3: it a lot this year, but they're a different team

825
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 3: and they looked super impressive in that blowout win over VCU.

826
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 3: So in enjoy the state travels and enjoy the trip.

827
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 3: You Mass definitely is going to be in the conversation

828
00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:26,800
Speaker 3: when we talk about the A ten tournament fully healthy.

829
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 3: They're going to be a problem with that offense. Gobrey's

830
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 3: what us You.

831
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:35,720
Speaker 2: Got rare opportunity for a game gambling at two step.

832
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:37,879
Speaker 2: I took A and M to beat Tennessee. Now I'm

833
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:40,640
Speaker 2: going to turn around and fade the aggies. I'll lay

834
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:43,560
Speaker 2: if this is eleven twelve, I don't care. I mean

835
00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 2: A and M is just in a tailspin right now.

836
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:49,879
Speaker 2: And they were lucky against the balls because we needed

837
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:51,719
Speaker 2: them to do one thing. It was make threes, which

838
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:53,879
Speaker 2: they haven't been able to consistently do all season. They

839
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:56,560
Speaker 2: made eleven threes in College Station and they whooped Tennessee.

840
00:41:56,800 --> 00:41:59,919
Speaker 2: Since then, they've lost to Vandy Bamma by twenty five,

841
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 2: Arkansas by seven. They're at large. Hopes are on life support. Meanwhile,

842
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 2: the Tennessee team defensively has really sharpened their focus since

843
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:10,080
Speaker 2: that loss, you know, holding Arkansas to sixty three, Vanity

844
00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:12,560
Speaker 2: to fifty three, Maszou to sixty seven. They've been winning

845
00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:15,280
Speaker 2: some games because of their defense, not just outscoring everybody,

846
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:17,720
Speaker 2: and they can still win the SEC, but they probably

847
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,359
Speaker 2: need to go four and one or win out. And

848
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 2: with games against Auburn, Bama, South Carolina, Kentucky all on deck,

849
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 2: they can't slip up here. So you get the revenge factor,

850
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,240
Speaker 2: you get the focus play on the defensive end, needing

851
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:31,560
Speaker 2: to get this win as a way to kind of

852
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,600
Speaker 2: head into those last four games with a little bit

853
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:36,480
Speaker 2: of wiggle room. And I think it also helps their

854
00:42:36,560 --> 00:42:38,239
Speaker 2: nine to four against the spread on their home floor

855
00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:40,640
Speaker 2: this season, a M just one in three against the

856
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:42,600
Speaker 2: spread as a road dog. I think this is the

857
00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:44,919
Speaker 2: time to step away from the table when it comes

858
00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 2: to the Aggies. I think their season is just about

859
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:48,680
Speaker 2: cooked and this is going to be one of the

860
00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:49,760
Speaker 2: last nails in the coffin.

861
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 3: I'm gonna disagree. Maybe we'll go head to head on

862
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:56,359
Speaker 3: the show Saturday. I'm looking to back Texas A and M.

863
00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:59,839
Speaker 3: I've backed them the first matchup they can. They're one

864
00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:02,520
Speaker 3: of the few teams that can match the physicality at

865
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 3: least of Tennessee, which I think is important. Like Tennessee's

866
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 3: plays like grown men and so a M. Those three

867
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:12,279
Speaker 3: things at the top fifty eight nationally. They don't turn

868
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:18,080
Speaker 3: the ball over, they offensive rebound, and they get to

869
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:21,480
Speaker 3: the fount line, and those are three really important factors

870
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:25,880
Speaker 3: against Tennessee and connect He's I just think he's a

871
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 3: defensive liability in this particular matchup. Him and Barnes were

872
00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:30,680
Speaker 3: going at at the entire game. They had to sit

873
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:33,480
Speaker 3: them against A and M because he couldn't stay in

874
00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:37,800
Speaker 3: front of either of the Texas A and M guards.

875
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,000
Speaker 3: I would expect Texas A and M, who was just

876
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 3: an embarrassing loss at home. I would expect their best

877
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:50,320
Speaker 3: effort here from Taylor, from Radford, and this is a

878
00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 3: team we've talked about it. They're one of the most

879
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 3: inconsistent teams in the country. They could beat anyone, I

880
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 3: was stated, in a neutral and basically a road game.

881
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:00,839
Speaker 3: They took Houston down to the wire. They have six

882
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 3: squad one wins and Tennessee, I know they have revenge

883
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 3: from that game. But next week, you know it's still

884
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 3: Texas A and M that's lost three straight. They're gonna

885
00:44:09,640 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 3: come in as more desperate team here. Next week Tennessee

886
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:15,360
Speaker 3: is Alabama and Auburn, and games are gonna decide the SEC.

887
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:17,880
Speaker 3: So maybe they get caught peeking ahead of it and

888
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 3: Buzz Williams is an underdog of more than six points,

889
00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:26,080
Speaker 3: most profitable coach out of over nine hundred coaches in

890
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:29,480
Speaker 3: that spot over the past twenty years. Uh, he's been

891
00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 3: just unbelievable in the underdog role. I think you get

892
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 3: their best effort here. I think they get after the

893
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 3: offensive rebound, they don't turn the ball over, and then

894
00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 3: get to the free throw line. Yeah, they're gonna have

895
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 3: to make some shots, but I expect Radford and Taylor

896
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 3: to bounce back. I wouldn't be shocked if they pull

897
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:49,959
Speaker 3: it off. I wouldn't. I'm really not shocked at any

898
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 3: result that an MS, but I definitely prefer them as

899
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:56,280
Speaker 3: an underdog. Rada. Do you want to break the tie?

900
00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 3: Who would you take, Say, let's say to Spreads, what's

901
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 3: Kembum having a ten to eleven. Let's say let's call

902
00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:01,760
Speaker 3: it ten and a half.

903
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:07,160
Speaker 1: Who you're taking, Well, I'll take Tennessee. I agree. I

904
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 1: agree with Michael on this one.

905
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 4: I think the volunteers are to me, guys, They're one

906
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:13,439
Speaker 4: of my favorite futures. I think they have it all.

907
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:15,920
Speaker 4: I get it with Texas A and m but again,

908
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:18,839
Speaker 4: the losses have concerned me. They are not consistent here.

909
00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 4: Payback spot for Tennessee. I know he's a defensive liability.

910
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:24,279
Speaker 4: If this game was at Texas in and maybe I'd

911
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 4: feel that way. But Tennessee to me, is coming out.

912
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:30,600
Speaker 4: I believe they are an elite team and a legitimate

913
00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:33,759
Speaker 4: national championship contender, and I think you get a huge

914
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:35,279
Speaker 4: effort like they did in the Kentucky game.

915
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:37,360
Speaker 1: Here, I think they put the wood to Texas A

916
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 1: and M.

917
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 2: Basically, the way I see it stuck is it's like

918
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 2: instant pancakes. Like they're rebounding is the flower mix. Like

919
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:46,759
Speaker 2: the fact that they don't turn the bowl over is

920
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:49,320
Speaker 2: the eggs. But if you can't shoot from the perimeter,

921
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:51,759
Speaker 2: you have no milk, you no water to go into this.

922
00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 2: You're not making the pancakes. So like I think Texas

923
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:57,520
Speaker 2: or Tennessee is just gonna pack it in inside and say, okay,

924
00:45:57,560 --> 00:46:01,000
Speaker 2: make twelve threes again, like actually be able to shoot,

925
00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:02,880
Speaker 2: because they were the worst shooting team in the SEC

926
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:04,800
Speaker 2: from the perimeter. And it's one thing to do it

927
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 2: at home, it's another thing to do it on the road.

928
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 2: I agree that there's a chance that there's a look

929
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 2: ahead factor, at least for the players on the floor.

930
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:14,320
Speaker 2: But I think the fans are gonna be highly engaged

931
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:15,919
Speaker 2: in this one. I think if A and M gets

932
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,439
Speaker 2: off to a slow offensive start, they're gonna be all

933
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:19,400
Speaker 2: over them in this game.

934
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:20,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, Randon, what else you yet?

935
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 1: Last one?

936
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:24,880
Speaker 4: I got, guys, mother God game for Danny Hurley and Yukon.

937
00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:28,279
Speaker 4: Villanova is just not this year playing with any sort

938
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,719
Speaker 4: of consistency. Yes they make their free throws, Yes they

939
00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 4: play at a slow and deliberate pace, and yes this game.

940
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 4: The first time they played them was sixty six to

941
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:38,040
Speaker 4: sixty five at home, But Yukon is now ready to roll.

942
00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 4: They lost that game. They've been blitzing teams at home.

943
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:44,080
Speaker 4: They just get out and transition. If Villanova gets down,

944
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 4: they are in trouble. They are really a glorified Virginia

945
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:49,719
Speaker 4: in my mind, have not shown the cohesiveness. You need

946
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:52,200
Speaker 4: to shoot well from three, You need to battle them

947
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:54,560
Speaker 4: on the boards, and you're gonna have Yukon wanting to

948
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 4: get out and run here coming off a loss. Forget

949
00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 4: that Danny Hurley put out that silly little gift on X.

950
00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:01,520
Speaker 4: I just think Yukon has been dominant last time we

951
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 4: saw them at home. Guys, what they do to Marquette.

952
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 4: This team is just totally superior to Villanova in every

953
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 4: single way. Now you have them come off a loss.

954
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:12,280
Speaker 4: They beat Xavier at home by forty, they beat Providence

955
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 4: by twenty, they beat Marquette by twenty eight. Enough, I

956
00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:17,200
Speaker 4: think they cover. It's gonna be ten whatever it is.

957
00:47:17,560 --> 00:47:19,239
Speaker 4: I don't think Villanova is long in the tooth. I

958
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 4: don't think they're a tournament team. And I think this

959
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 4: is a really bad spot. I can't even get to

960
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:26,839
Speaker 4: a rationale that Villanova covers this number against Yukon. Fans

961
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:28,560
Speaker 4: are gonna be crazy. They're going to hit some threes

962
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 4: to start fifteen to five time out Villanova and ware

963
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 4: we go.

964
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:34,560
Speaker 3: Good stuff there. You guys are on the same page

965
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 3: with Yukon. Let me throw out another spot here. I mean,

966
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:44,120
Speaker 3: I guess I gotta bring up my cats Kentucky at

967
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:48,000
Speaker 3: home against Alabama, hoping to get around a pick. Alabama

968
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 3: not the same team on the road. Why Okay? So

969
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,840
Speaker 3: that's people always say that. Why so every team is

970
00:47:54,880 --> 00:47:58,440
Speaker 3: worse off on the road, but specifically, or I should say,

971
00:47:58,520 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 3: especially Alabama who her ASLME metrics are three hundred and

972
00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 3: fifty second in a way from home metric. Why is that, Well,

973
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,359
Speaker 3: two reasons they're shooting goes way down. They're shooting thirty

974
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 3: three percent from three on the road over forty one

975
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:15,960
Speaker 3: percent at home. I think that's like fifth or sixth

976
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 3: in the country. Actually, I ticked below what Kentucky shoots

977
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:24,240
Speaker 3: at home, and their defense falls off the cliff. They're

978
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:28,040
Speaker 3: adjusted efficiency for Torvik in road games one hundred and

979
00:48:28,160 --> 00:48:33,439
Speaker 3: ninetieth in the country, at home thirty five. And there's

980
00:48:33,520 --> 00:48:39,360
Speaker 3: some key personnel issues here for Alabama, the troll Riitzel,

981
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:41,759
Speaker 3: I assume he's not playing. I don't think he's gonna

982
00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:44,600
Speaker 3: play as a concussion, didn't suit up last game. He's

983
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 3: critical on both ends of the floor. He's their best

984
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:51,360
Speaker 3: perimeter defender, and he's been an absolute flame thrower, shooting

985
00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 3: over fifty percent from three on the season, forty in

986
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:56,880
Speaker 3: league play, forty five percent in the season in a

987
00:48:56,960 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 3: high volume. And because he didn't play last game, you

988
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 3: had the entire you know, Estrada Sears. They had played,

989
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 3: you know, over forty minutes in an overtime game. Quick

990
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:13,200
Speaker 3: turnaround here and now throwing. The fact Waggi their best

991
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:17,800
Speaker 3: overall defender he got suspended for I think in elbow.

992
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:21,320
Speaker 3: So Alabama is going to be severely shorthanded here. Both

993
00:49:21,640 --> 00:49:27,959
Speaker 3: defenses have major issues. But I trust Kentucky at home,

994
00:49:28,160 --> 00:49:31,480
Speaker 3: so don't trust Alabama on the road and they're at

995
00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:34,680
Speaker 3: full strength. I expect them the bounce back from that

996
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:38,200
Speaker 3: LSU loss, and this Alabama team just not the same

997
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,880
Speaker 3: at home. In Kentucky's defense has at least, you know,

998
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:43,920
Speaker 3: they made a few tweaks, has at least showed some improvement,

999
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:49,359
Speaker 3: small sample, but since getting cooked by Gonzaga, and they've

1000
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:52,520
Speaker 3: gone on the road twice, including the Auburn LSU fifth

1001
00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:56,279
Speaker 3: and overall defensive adjusted deficiency, We'll see if they can

1002
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 3: keep that up. But I like the spot for Kentucky.

1003
00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:01,440
Speaker 3: We can get him around a pick. Got anything else, No,

1004
00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:02,040
Speaker 3: that's it.

1005
00:50:02,160 --> 00:50:05,799
Speaker 2: I do like the Kentucky play, particularly coming off of

1006
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:09,440
Speaker 2: the way things ended against LSU. They finally get a

1007
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:12,080
Speaker 2: would be game winning shot. I think Kentucky had gone

1008
00:50:12,120 --> 00:50:14,440
Speaker 2: on that long run of not making shots in those

1009
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 2: spots and then they played pretty good defense. It was

1010
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:19,560
Speaker 2: just kind of a weird ending there. So I think

1011
00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:21,839
Speaker 2: this is a good opportunity to take advantage of kind

1012
00:50:21,880 --> 00:50:24,480
Speaker 2: of a market over correction going against Big Blue Nation.

1013
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, Uh, do I have anything else I want to

1014
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:31,280
Speaker 3: throw out? It's probably a good spot for you. UCF

1015
00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:34,880
Speaker 3: at home by low Sell High Texas Tech, they've been

1016
00:50:34,960 --> 00:50:38,200
Speaker 3: much better at home. They just come off that thrilling

1017
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:41,400
Speaker 3: win against TCU. They have Texas on deck now they

1018
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:46,000
Speaker 3: travel to UCF. That game in Lubbock was a two

1019
00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:49,439
Speaker 3: point game with a minute to go, and Diallo didn't

1020
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:51,960
Speaker 3: even play in that game. He's important for offensive rebounding

1021
00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:54,600
Speaker 3: for UCF, which is where they can live in this game.

1022
00:50:55,440 --> 00:51:00,239
Speaker 3: An elite defense, and they their defense at home just

1023
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 3: on a different level, especially when Shamari's in the lineup.

1024
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 3: He missed a couple games you remove them. This has

1025
00:51:05,640 --> 00:51:08,919
Speaker 3: been a top ten to fifteen defense. And I don't

1026
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 3: think what Warren Washington's going to play. He's so important

1027
00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:16,000
Speaker 3: to Texas Tech. And they just get small so quick.

1028
00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 3: Their rim defense falls apart and U seef their offense

1029
00:51:20,239 --> 00:51:23,879
Speaker 3: can be hard to watch, But I mean, you want

1030
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:26,320
Speaker 3: to talk about a team that has the potential positive

1031
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:30,640
Speaker 3: looming shooting regression over the past month, I mean they're

1032
00:51:30,680 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 3: at like twenty three percent from three. They're not a

1033
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:36,120
Speaker 3: good shooting team, but they're not that bad. I think

1034
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:42,080
Speaker 3: it's a good spot to back UCF, and I don't

1035
00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:43,960
Speaker 3: want to throw anything else out. I will mention a

1036
00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:48,839
Speaker 3: brutal travel spot Long Beach Tonight they played Bakersfield, then

1037
00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:51,320
Speaker 3: they go to the Island to take on Hawaii's playing

1038
00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:54,799
Speaker 3: better of Late with ye as revenge. Why is it

1039
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 3: the week off? So I mean just a brutal travel spot.

1040
00:51:57,680 --> 00:51:59,319
Speaker 3: You're playing Thursday they have to go to the Big

1041
00:51:59,320 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 3: Island to play Why team that has had the week

1042
00:52:02,120 --> 00:52:04,839
Speaker 3: off last played last Saturday. I have a couple more

1043
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,799
Speaker 3: spots that I'll have written up on actionework dot Com

1044
00:52:07,800 --> 00:52:10,680
Speaker 3: in the Action Network gap, but that will do it

1045
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:15,919
Speaker 3: for us. Added a horse to the futures portfolio. Talk

1046
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:19,799
Speaker 3: to Little Games this weekend. A few rants were sketting good.

1047
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:22,759
Speaker 3: We're under twenty five days. The selection Sunday, March will

1048
00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:25,360
Speaker 3: be here before we know it. I do actually have

1049
00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 3: one final thing to do. I said I'd do some giveaways.

1050
00:52:28,800 --> 00:52:31,720
Speaker 3: Let's do two here. So leave a five star review

1051
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:34,839
Speaker 3: where you listening to podcasts and say whatever, as long

1052
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:37,279
Speaker 3: as it's a five star review and we'll send you

1053
00:52:37,320 --> 00:52:45,160
Speaker 3: some gear. So let's go with Logan one, two, three,

1054
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 3: four eight. I was told it didn't matter what I

1055
00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 3: write as long as it's five stars from some BBOC year.

1056
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:55,600
Speaker 3: That's it. That's all it takes. Thank you, Logan. So

1057
00:52:55,800 --> 00:53:00,359
Speaker 3: reach out to myself or our producer at Oval, uncle

1058
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:04,520
Speaker 3: Mitch on Twitter, or email podcasts at Action Nework dot com,

1059
00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:06,879
Speaker 3: and we will get you some gear. That's all takes.

1060
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 3: It's that easy. And if you've already left the review before,

1061
00:53:09,160 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 3: just to grab someone's phone and do it on theirs.

1062
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,719
Speaker 3: And then let's go with Original CP three. It's not

1063
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 3: his titled head Coaches. It's not just head coaches. You

1064
00:53:19,160 --> 00:53:21,280
Speaker 3: should check out the salaries of all the athletic Department

1065
00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:24,880
Speaker 3: administration administrators, not just in the high majors. I coached

1066
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:27,200
Speaker 3: a mid major without a football program. Eight of the

1067
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:30,560
Speaker 3: top ten owners in the department for administrators, they absolutely

1068
00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:34,000
Speaker 3: did not deserve. That's it. I don't know what I

1069
00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:36,279
Speaker 3: don't know what Original CP three is talking about, but

1070
00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 3: he bought the five star review. So send them some gear.

1071
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:42,400
Speaker 3: Reach out. Thank you CB three and Logan. Those really

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Speaker 3: helpless out make sure you subscribe on subscribe to subscribe.

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00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:48,160
Speaker 3: If you're watching on YouTube, hit that like and subscribe button.

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00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,600
Speaker 3: Thank you to Mike and Mike for joining me. Safe

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00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:54,760
Speaker 3: travels to Mike this weekend. We'll miss you on BBOC

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00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,879
Speaker 3: Live ten thirty am Eastern. We'll tweet out that link

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00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:04,040
Speaker 3: on X or Twitter and make sure tell a friend,

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00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:06,120
Speaker 3: tell an enemy. Thanks for our producer on the back end.

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Speaker 3: Thanks most importantly to all of you for listening with

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00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:11,000
Speaker 3: luck on all of your wages this weekend. We will

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00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,920
Speaker 3: see you Saturday for BBOC Live ten Thirday in Eastern

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00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 3: and then for the recap weekend recap Monday afternoon with

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00:54:19,280 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 3: luck on all your wagers.

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Speaker 2: Cheers. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

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00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,200
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

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00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:41,080
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

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Speaker 3: hundred Gambler