WEBVTT - The 2022 All-Breakout Team (Ep. 479)

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<v Speaker 1>Super breakout. Let's talk to the pros. Welcome in everybody

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<v Speaker 1>to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast. It

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<v Speaker 1>is me, Joey Paid, Joe Pisapia.

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<v Speaker 2>That guy over there is the Welsh, and it's you

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<v Speaker 2>and today it's all about the breakouts. And yes, there's

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<v Speaker 2>many different definitions of what a breakout is and we're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna try to give you as many as we can

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<v Speaker 2>on today's podcast. But before we do, I want to

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<v Speaker 2>remind everybody make sure that you are getting involved in

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<v Speaker 2>the giveaway because we've got a new one. It's that

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<v Speaker 2>Austin Reiley Jersey courtesy of our friends at Pristine Auction

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<v Speaker 2>dot com. Just head over to Fantasypros dot com slash

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<v Speaker 2>MLB contest. All you gotta do, you know the drill,

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<v Speaker 2>Subscribe to our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Fantasy.

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<v Speaker 1>Pros MLB Again, that's the MLB one. That's what you're

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<v Speaker 1>looking for.

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<v Speaker 2>Specifically, we know you subscribe to the regular Fancy Pros

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<v Speaker 2>and we love you for that. We've got to give

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<v Speaker 2>the MLB channel some love because every day we've got

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<v Speaker 2>leading off starting with Welsh and myself and our cast

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<v Speaker 2>of characters Monday through Friday, baseball right in your face.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's gonna be out there on that YouTube channel

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<v Speaker 2>as well. But like I said, you screenshot your subscription,

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<v Speaker 2>you go to fantasypros dot com slash MLB contest and

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<v Speaker 2>you enter, and that Austin Ridley, Jersey could very well

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<v Speaker 2>be yours.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right, it could be yours. Also, I know y'all

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<v Speaker 1>got drafts coming up.

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<v Speaker 2>We're kind of in that last weekend of drafts, so

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<v Speaker 2>make sure you go check out our MLB draft kit

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<v Speaker 2>over fantasypros dot com slash kit.

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<v Speaker 1>Because it's free. It's awesome, Welsh. I mean, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>have as many things in life that are free and awesome?

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<v Speaker 1>Do you know of many? Because I don't.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's see this podcast, that kit, Sunshine, that's it.

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<v Speaker 1>Those are those are good things. That's that's a good

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<v Speaker 1>list of things.

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<v Speaker 2>Perhaps a slap from somebody if you get out of line,

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<v Speaker 2>that could be free.

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<v Speaker 4>The five fingers say to the safe safe slap. Did meme?

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<v Speaker 4>Did you see my memes?

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<v Speaker 3>I did not see your meme, But it's a well

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<v Speaker 3>it's a whole nother story to talk about. But a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of John Lack something else A lot of John

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<v Speaker 3>Lackey's were for me and I had to do a

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<v Speaker 3>meme of I did a Chris Rock will Smith meme

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<v Speaker 3>of someone calls me John Lackey and the Welsh goes slap.

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<v Speaker 2>There is a John Lackey quality to the Welsh and

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<v Speaker 2>this is also why you subscribe to the YouTube channel.

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<v Speaker 2>But going back to the draft kit, you do have

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<v Speaker 2>to go to Fancypros dot com slash kit to get it.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm telling you're gonna dominate your drafts with the

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<v Speaker 2>MLB Draft kit that we're offering right now Fantasy Pros.

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<v Speaker 2>You got the consensus rankings, projections, the salary cap values

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<v Speaker 2>for all you guys who with salary cap drafts. You

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<v Speaker 2>got the principle cheat sheets. Also, our sleepers are bus

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<v Speaker 2>or draft strategies. All that is together, even the prospects

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<v Speaker 2>up for the dynasty leagues at Fancypros dot Com slash kit,

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<v Speaker 2>So go check that out as well. Now, Welsh, I

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<v Speaker 2>know that you might not have seen John Lackeye this

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<v Speaker 2>past weekend, but you did run into San Diego padre Ore.

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<v Speaker 1>And it was the greatest picture ever. So what was

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<v Speaker 1>it like you and Blake Snell having a private moment together.

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<v Speaker 3>Me and Blake Snell Man we got we would stay

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<v Speaker 3>in hydrated. We was crazy, He's crazy. Yes, I did

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<v Speaker 3>get to take a picture and meet the aforementioned Blake Snell,

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<v Speaker 3>who my and I gotta tell you. Of all the

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<v Speaker 3>things I've posted, the thing that got the most traction

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<v Speaker 3>I've ever posted, obviously is my home run call, the

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<v Speaker 3>Fernando Tatis Junior home run call, because that had its

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<v Speaker 3>own life, it was on ESPN and stuff. This though,

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<v Speaker 3>had the funniest comments, you know, because like easily to

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<v Speaker 3>hurt my feelings in the Fernando Tatis call when not

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<v Speaker 3>liking my voice or something. This everybody jumped in on it,

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<v Speaker 3>and one of the common themes though was everybody asking,

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<v Speaker 3>does Snell know your impression?

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<v Speaker 1>Uh?

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<v Speaker 4>No, If he did might have gone a little bit different. Though.

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<v Speaker 3>I did kind of get a pseudo threatened by our

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<v Speaker 3>dear friend Paul spor who is friends with Blake Snell,

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<v Speaker 3>and he said, he said, I'm gonna share with him

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<v Speaker 3>your impression.

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<v Speaker 4>That was like, oh God, be.

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<v Speaker 2>Pleasing, hoping you were doing the impression right to his

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<v Speaker 2>face and he really didn't even notice.

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<v Speaker 1>That was my no, what was going on? Inside my head.

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<v Speaker 4>No, you have to.

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<v Speaker 3>You have to do total troll mentality. Man, you have

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<v Speaker 3>to internet tough guy. You have to do your internet

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<v Speaker 3>thing or your podcast thing. And then in person you

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<v Speaker 3>gotta go.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh, hi, Blake, I'm such a fan. Can I take

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<v Speaker 4>a picture? That's what you gotta do.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the impression of what you do when you do

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<v Speaker 3>an impression of him. But Scott Bogman did right, So

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know if you saw this. This dropped today.

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<v Speaker 3>That picture got so much traction that our dear friend

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<v Speaker 3>Scott Bogman wrote lyrics because I joked around how it

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<v Speaker 3>could be an album cover, and we do have an

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<v Speaker 3>album cover. I saw the album picture. Would you like

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<v Speaker 3>to hear some of the lyrics or not the lyrics

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<v Speaker 3>the tracks?

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<v Speaker 4>On tracks? You want to hear the track? Okay?

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<v Speaker 1>Track?

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<v Speaker 4>So track number one is gotta get mine? Uh? Two

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<v Speaker 4>is mud people.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a me thing. Three is not very nice. Can't

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<v Speaker 3>get out of the six? And he said, out of

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<v Speaker 3>the six, four is sweating for water, sweating for well,

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<v Speaker 3>it's so hot out here, man. Number five is traded

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<v Speaker 3>and faded. Number six is change or not to change up.

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<v Speaker 3>Number seven is mean spotty facial hair. And number eight

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<v Speaker 3>is I'm risking my life, risking I think that's the

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<v Speaker 3>album title. I think that'll be me and Blake's at

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<v Speaker 3>album title.

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<v Speaker 2>Risking my life definitely, And I love that it was

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<v Speaker 2>spelled with a y.

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<v Speaker 1>That was that was the most important, That life was

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<v Speaker 1>spelled with a why.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, the worst part about it is Blake couldn't

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<v Speaker 3>be a nicer, more funny person as well. He's not like,

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<v Speaker 3>he's not like Creudgi or anything. He's he's very funny.

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<v Speaker 3>He's very funny how he interacts with people. Loved to

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<v Speaker 3>take pictures and stuff, and you know, he didn't know

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<v Speaker 3>what he was getting into, just this dummy taking a

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<v Speaker 3>picture with him and then going online and everybody, everybody

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<v Speaker 3>having a lot of fun with it. A few mean

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<v Speaker 3>ones out there about Blake getting at the six. I

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<v Speaker 3>did it, man, I got mine. We stayed hydrated, we

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<v Speaker 3>did a thing, and I did not like your tweet

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<v Speaker 3>by the way. We were like, if we get a thousand,

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<v Speaker 3>it'll do an impression the entire show. I didn't sign

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<v Speaker 3>up for that, and that would be a night you didn't.

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<v Speaker 2>Well give a thousands, so you're out of that. So

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<v Speaker 2>if you want to go find that tweet at Joe

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<v Speaker 2>PCPs seventeen. Again, it's two thousand likes. We could do that,

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<v Speaker 2>So that's still on the table. Guards are on the

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<v Speaker 2>table now. Today we're gonna go through the All Breakout Team,

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<v Speaker 2>which last week we did the All Bus Team. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 2>you know that went over huge because you know we

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<v Speaker 2>do such great work over here at Fantasy Pros. But

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<v Speaker 2>the Breakout team is a little trickier because you were

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<v Speaker 2>mentioning before the show, you're sort of limited, right, you

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<v Speaker 2>don't have a lot of guys. You're typically looking for

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<v Speaker 2>the young guys, but you don't want to go with

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<v Speaker 2>all rookies on this kind of team because that's just

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<v Speaker 2>too easy because.

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<v Speaker 1>Not all rookies are the guys that have breakouts.

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<v Speaker 2>You have guys who have breakouts sometimes in their third

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<v Speaker 2>or even fourth season or later in the major leagues.

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<v Speaker 1>It's hard to identify them.

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<v Speaker 2>We're gonna do our best today, and I gotta say

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<v Speaker 2>most of the guys in this list are either I

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<v Speaker 2>would say young or post hype sleepers, or guys that

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we see that there's still potential and they

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<v Speaker 2>haven't realized it. I feel like that's kind of what

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<v Speaker 2>breakout is. Breakout is is a much wider definition. But

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<v Speaker 2>I feel like we're gonna have a bunch of those

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<v Speaker 2>different definitions and some of the guys that were going

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<v Speaker 2>to be picking today.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, but it is tougher, That's what I was saying

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<v Speaker 3>to you, Like, I felt like, you know, if you're

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<v Speaker 3>talking about bus, you really can go to anybody.

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<v Speaker 4>But I felt like this.

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<v Speaker 3>Pool was just it's a smaller pool to pick from

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<v Speaker 3>because there's so many guys that you're not going to

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<v Speaker 3>qualify as your breakouts. So I felt, you know, you

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<v Speaker 3>had a really good list. Your list was out before

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<v Speaker 3>mine was, and it took me a little bit to

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<v Speaker 3>kind of, I think, really identify you know, where the

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<v Speaker 3>breakouts are going to come from. And I think I

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<v Speaker 3>even tow the line a little bit of the uh,

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<v Speaker 3>the identifying of what a breakout really is.

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<v Speaker 4>But we'll see what people think.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Well, let's see what people think of the

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<v Speaker 2>catcher Welsh, who you have as your breakout catcher for

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty two.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I thought you stole the good one. You stole

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<v Speaker 3>the really really good one. But you know, I think

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<v Speaker 3>this is the other guy. And again, if you got

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<v Speaker 3>you look at catchers like how many I don't know

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<v Speaker 3>about you, but like when you look like how many

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<v Speaker 3>catchers were there really out there for us to choose from?

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<v Speaker 3>If you're talking about breakout, there's some older guys that

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<v Speaker 3>have kind of like, i'll behind the scenes. Max Stacey

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<v Speaker 3>was one that I kind of thought about, but I

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<v Speaker 3>was like, it's not like a breakout, Mitch Garver, that's

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<v Speaker 3>not a breakout.

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<v Speaker 2>So I would had a huge breakout season a couple

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<v Speaker 2>of years ago exactly. I felt like that was kind

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<v Speaker 2>of cheating because it already happened. That's the now that's

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<v Speaker 2>more of a bounce back than.

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<v Speaker 3>Had you identified this as maybe like the All value team,

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<v Speaker 3>I think this could have been a different discussion and

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<v Speaker 3>it would have been a different set of players and

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<v Speaker 3>Garver and Stacy probably Stacy, honestly what might have been

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<v Speaker 3>my pick. But with this one, I'm going over to

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<v Speaker 3>the Giants and I'm going to go with the guy

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<v Speaker 3>that's replacing Buster Posey, and I'm going to take Joey Bart.

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<v Speaker 4>Now I'm gonna have kind of a theme to a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of my guys.

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<v Speaker 3>I have a lot of these second year kind of

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<v Speaker 3>underperforming rookies giants. GM just recently said that Bart has

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<v Speaker 3>looked as bad as good as he's ever looked. He's

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<v Speaker 3>been working with definitely a big crew of catchers. He's

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<v Speaker 3>going to go between being able to play catcher or

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<v Speaker 3>DH because they want to keep his.

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<v Speaker 4>Bat in the lineup. Is bat just hasn't been consistent.

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<v Speaker 3>But I think one key here, especially for him staying

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<v Speaker 3>in the lineup is this is, if I know it correctly,

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<v Speaker 3>it's the first real off season that he has had

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<v Speaker 3>a full run with all of the starting pitchers, all

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<v Speaker 3>of the major leaguers and a job that he is

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<v Speaker 3>walking in with him and that is significant. I think

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<v Speaker 3>that is significant enough. Even Joey Dell is a guy

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<v Speaker 3>that didn't have that, and this is like that first year.

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<v Speaker 3>Those guys jumping into that space is pretty important. And

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<v Speaker 3>Joey Bart has been always a pretty decent contact guy.

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<v Speaker 3>There's big, there's thirty plus power in there.

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<v Speaker 4>For sure. He could go the way of actually think

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<v Speaker 4>he could.

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<v Speaker 3>Be very mimic like a Gary Sanchez, where he could

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<v Speaker 3>have a couple of really good years of high batting

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<v Speaker 3>average and high homers and then they could fall apart

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<v Speaker 3>as well. But Joey Bart is free in drafts right now.

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<v Speaker 3>He's got a home in multiple spots. The DH is

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<v Speaker 3>really important to his bat and I think when you're

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<v Speaker 3>just playing around at the bottom pool of catchers, if

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<v Speaker 3>you really want to talk about breakouts, Joey Bart is

0:09:49.760 --> 0:09:53.440
<v Speaker 3>a guy that could potentially move himself up into a

0:09:53.520 --> 0:09:56.120
<v Speaker 3>catcher one in a twelve probably more like a fifteen

0:09:56.120 --> 0:09:59.040
<v Speaker 3>man league. You're hitting in Colorado, you're hitting in Arizona,

0:09:59.200 --> 0:10:02.320
<v Speaker 3>there's some really a good hitter, friendly parks, inner division Wise,

0:10:02.800 --> 0:10:03.960
<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna take Joey Bart.

0:10:04.720 --> 0:10:05.240
<v Speaker 1>I like it.

0:10:05.600 --> 0:10:07.640
<v Speaker 2>And the guy that Welsh is alluding to that I

0:10:07.640 --> 0:10:10.280
<v Speaker 2>took for catchers Tyler Stevenson, who you know last year

0:10:10.360 --> 0:10:12.600
<v Speaker 2>hit for two eighty six average, had ten home runs.

0:10:12.920 --> 0:10:14.760
<v Speaker 2>I think the reason why I'm hi on Stevenson this

0:10:14.880 --> 0:10:16.320
<v Speaker 2>year is I think a better spot in the batting

0:10:16.400 --> 0:10:19.040
<v Speaker 2>order is going to be there for him. So that

0:10:19.200 --> 0:10:22.360
<v Speaker 2>is huge, and were always evaluated his talent. I think

0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:25.240
<v Speaker 2>now that you've gotten rid of Winker and Suarez, there's

0:10:25.280 --> 0:10:27.400
<v Speaker 2>no way you can't imagine Stevenson if you want to

0:10:27.440 --> 0:10:30.360
<v Speaker 2>hit him six or five, who knows, maybe some days

0:10:30.360 --> 0:10:32.400
<v Speaker 2>you want to hit him two potentially. So basically he

0:10:32.480 --> 0:10:34.880
<v Speaker 2>was left in that lineup, you got Joey Vada left

0:10:34.880 --> 0:10:37.439
<v Speaker 2>in that lineup, you got Jonathan India left in that lineup.

0:10:37.640 --> 0:10:38.880
<v Speaker 1>Tyler Nake wins around.

0:10:39.320 --> 0:10:41.559
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think that Stevenson is a player that

0:10:42.080 --> 0:10:43.800
<v Speaker 2>I know catchers don't play every day, but I do

0:10:43.880 --> 0:10:45.920
<v Speaker 2>believe even with that DH maybe he's going to see

0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:47.840
<v Speaker 2>a little bit more at bats to get that bat

0:10:47.840 --> 0:10:49.719
<v Speaker 2>in the lineup. So there's two things going for his

0:10:49.760 --> 0:10:51.839
<v Speaker 2>favorite I like so much. Besides the nice season he

0:10:51.920 --> 0:10:54.440
<v Speaker 2>put together last year. The good preferrals from last year

0:10:54.480 --> 0:10:56.439
<v Speaker 2>we all know of. But what's going from this year

0:10:56.559 --> 0:10:58.280
<v Speaker 2>is I think a move up the lineup and that

0:10:58.400 --> 0:11:01.200
<v Speaker 2>DH because if he is swinging the bat pretty well,

0:11:01.520 --> 0:11:03.200
<v Speaker 2>you can still get him in the lineup. And I

0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:06.360
<v Speaker 2>think those DHF bats are going to be crucial because

0:11:06.400 --> 0:11:08.200
<v Speaker 2>when you have catchers that are going to not just

0:11:08.240 --> 0:11:09.679
<v Speaker 2>take a day off, but take a day off and

0:11:09.720 --> 0:11:13.120
<v Speaker 2>still swing the bat, that's big. That really matters a

0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.440
<v Speaker 2>great deal because that's gonna be an extra what you

0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:20.040
<v Speaker 2>say four times three carry the one, I mean that

0:11:20.080 --> 0:11:21.880
<v Speaker 2>could be an extra hundred at bats over the season.

0:11:22.400 --> 0:11:24.679
<v Speaker 3>And rush a resource has him set at four right now,

0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:27.840
<v Speaker 3>which is a you know, fantastic part of the lineup

0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:30.439
<v Speaker 3>to hit. Like you said, the DH allowing him to

0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:32.960
<v Speaker 3>move spots. He could play first base, you know, if

0:11:33.080 --> 0:11:33.960
<v Speaker 3>there's any injury.

0:11:33.760 --> 0:11:34.720
<v Speaker 4>Stuff with Joey Vada.

0:11:34.960 --> 0:11:37.960
<v Speaker 3>Kind of flexible, really smart kid. I actually interviewed him

0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:40.520
<v Speaker 3>in the Arizona Fall League. He won the I forget

0:11:40.559 --> 0:11:43.120
<v Speaker 3>the name of it, so apologies, but it's kind of

0:11:43.200 --> 0:11:47.080
<v Speaker 3>like the the personality, you know, like the guy of

0:11:47.160 --> 0:11:49.480
<v Speaker 3>the Year in the AFL, not the best performer, but

0:11:49.559 --> 0:11:52.040
<v Speaker 3>like the best like team leader. Cole Tucker had won

0:11:52.080 --> 0:11:54.160
<v Speaker 3>it and Tyler Stevenson won it the year after.

0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:55.679
<v Speaker 1>He's just in geniality.

0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:57.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's kind of what it is.

0:11:57.480 --> 0:11:59.280
<v Speaker 2>And he came out with the Sandra Bullock of the

0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:03.160
<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati Red Organization totally and he was all like cowboyed

0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:04.559
<v Speaker 2>up when he came out to its some big old

0:12:04.600 --> 0:12:06.000
<v Speaker 2>boots on and he was out in the field.

0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 3>He's just like a really nice guy, good hitter, he is.

0:12:09.200 --> 0:12:11.360
<v Speaker 3>He's actually best friends with Taylor Tremmell, who's now with

0:12:11.440 --> 0:12:14.680
<v Speaker 3>the Seattle Mariners, and he's got a big bat and

0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:17.040
<v Speaker 3>there's big home run potential and he's played some first

0:12:17.040 --> 0:12:18.760
<v Speaker 3>so a little bit of flexibility I.

0:12:18.760 --> 0:12:19.400
<v Speaker 4>Like out of him.

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:22.000
<v Speaker 3>High in the lineup, I like at him. It just

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 3>got to determine our guys going to be on base.

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:26.360
<v Speaker 3>But you do have Jonathan India, who roster resource has

0:12:26.400 --> 0:12:28.640
<v Speaker 3>his leading off, Tyler Naquin and Joey Vado in front

0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:28.960
<v Speaker 3>of him.

0:12:29.160 --> 0:12:30.400
<v Speaker 4>That's not a bad group.

0:12:30.600 --> 0:12:33.160
<v Speaker 3>That might be a sneaky seventy five eighty RBI that

0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:35.559
<v Speaker 3>come into a guy like Tyler Stevenson. And the thing

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:39.280
<v Speaker 3>we have to quantify for all catchers is there's more

0:12:39.320 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 3>potential at bats for every single one of these guys.

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:44.040
<v Speaker 3>We just don't one hundred percent know who like Will

0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:45.640
<v Speaker 3>Smith well, but that doesn't.

0:12:45.360 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>Guys just sitting clean up every day is far more

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:50.280
<v Speaker 1>likely it's gonna be somebody like Stevenson. Because that's what

0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:51.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm saying, that spot when he's out.

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:55.440
<v Speaker 3>Varshow Will Smith. Will Smith, like I said, not the puncher,

0:12:55.520 --> 0:12:57.880
<v Speaker 3>the Dodger. He's a guy that's gonna be in the

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 3>d H spot and then you're gonna get Tyler Stevens.

0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:02.480
<v Speaker 3>It's not every single catcher, but it's on the table

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:04.760
<v Speaker 3>for any catcher with a bat to get more at

0:13:04.760 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 3>bats this year, which also might even be a little

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:11.240
<v Speaker 3>bit of a separator when we look at like, you know, ooh,

0:13:11.400 --> 0:13:13.800
<v Speaker 3>Dalton Varshows so much more valuable because he's an outfielder.

0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 3>It's like, well, it's probably gonna be a level playing field.

0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:18.520
<v Speaker 3>It's more valuable because of the stolen bases. But I digress.

0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:20.800
<v Speaker 3>Stevenson and Bart breakout catchers.

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:23.079
<v Speaker 1>All right, who's the first basement on your list? Welsh?

0:13:23.720 --> 0:13:26.439
<v Speaker 3>Oh, first baseman? I really liked yours, so this one

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:30.680
<v Speaker 3>is I think. No, I mean, I love your guy,

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:33.080
<v Speaker 3>but no, I picked extra guy that hasn't done anything,

0:13:33.120 --> 0:13:34.839
<v Speaker 3>so he's not only gonna break out, he's got a

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 3>break in. And I'm going with Spencer Torkelsen because I

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:40.400
<v Speaker 3>went through the first baseman and I didn't see really

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:42.240
<v Speaker 3>any that I would like. I said, I would quantify

0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:45.040
<v Speaker 3>as like a breakout first baseman. I think there's some

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 3>great values later on with a whole bunch of guys,

0:13:47.640 --> 0:13:51.360
<v Speaker 3>even into the CJ crones and stuff. But Torkelsen, the

0:13:51.440 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 3>breakout is simply him breaking through the roster, and I

0:13:54.600 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 3>think he will. I think he's got a legit shot.

0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.200
<v Speaker 3>I've said it a gajillion times over. Miggey wants him

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:01.040
<v Speaker 3>to play first, even though he was drafted as the

0:14:01.040 --> 0:14:04.079
<v Speaker 3>third basement. They want him there. He's got multi position eligibility,

0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:07.600
<v Speaker 3>good defender, and he's got a live bat, and he's

0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:10.600
<v Speaker 3>kind of free. You know, these rookies, Bobby WIT's not free,

0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 3>He's sure not. He's been moving up into.

0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:16.320
<v Speaker 1>The top out after draft. Seat well, Bobby Woit's awesome.

0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 3>The NFBC some of the drafts, I think the main events,

0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:20.960
<v Speaker 3>he was going in the top fifty to sixty. So

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 3>he's not free anymore. Torquosen is still free, and he

0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 3>has got a very good opportunity to break camp. And

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 3>you know, there's it's tough to say with the rookie

0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:31.520
<v Speaker 3>in the bumps he's going to go through. He's a

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 3>little bit susceptible to stuff in the zone. It's kind

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 3>of been his little, you know, notch that guys have

0:14:37.080 --> 0:14:40.480
<v Speaker 3>known on him. Has rubbed since ASU, since he was there,

0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:42.720
<v Speaker 3>and he's been working on that lower half, especially on

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:44.600
<v Speaker 3>breaking pitches, and that.

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:45.680
<v Speaker 4>Could be a little bit of a problem.

0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:48.840
<v Speaker 3>I've also seen him get really really heavy kind of

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 3>singles hittory, like not lofting the ball the whole bunch,

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:55.200
<v Speaker 3>which could maybe have shades of like first year Vladimir Guerrero,

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:56.000
<v Speaker 3>but it doesn't matter.

0:14:56.040 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 4>He's free.

0:14:57.000 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 3>So I'm going to take as a first baseman as

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:02.520
<v Speaker 3>my my all breakout team, I'll go with Spencer Torkelsen.

0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:04.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's a good one. It's a good one.

0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I know it's sort of trendy rookie, but

0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't mean it can't come to fruition for me.

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 1>It's a guy that got tasted in.

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 2>The big leagues last year and he was okay, Alex Kiroloff.

0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 2>Not everybody comes up and just absolutely mashes from the

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 2>get go. But if you look at the track record

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 2>historically of Alex Kierloff, you go back at two hundred

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 2>and eighty one minor league games, the guy hit three

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:26.360
<v Speaker 2>eighteen with a three sixty six obp, a five to

0:15:26.400 --> 0:15:29.360
<v Speaker 2>zero three, slugging an eight sixty nine ops. This is

0:15:29.400 --> 0:15:32.520
<v Speaker 2>a guy who can get on base. He's gonna make contact,

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:34.160
<v Speaker 2>he's got some pop. I think he's gonna grow a

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 2>little bit more power as time goes by. You have

0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:38.320
<v Speaker 2>to go back a couple of years to see like

0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:41.000
<v Speaker 2>a bigger power season that combination. But he's only twenty

0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:43.000
<v Speaker 2>four years old, so there's still you know some growth

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 2>potential there.

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:45.240
<v Speaker 1>But Kira Lof qualifies at first.

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:47.360
<v Speaker 2>He qualifies an outfield, so it gives you a position

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:49.120
<v Speaker 2>for flexibility. And I feel like he's a player people

0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 2>have kind of forgotten about, and that's perfect because he

0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:53.520
<v Speaker 2>is going to be a nice player.

0:15:53.640 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking like.

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:57.360
<v Speaker 2>Player profile wise, could he be an all star level

0:15:57.400 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 2>nice player? Probably at some point he could get there,

0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:02.160
<v Speaker 2>but the very least right now, when you're looking at

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 2>ADP and you're looking at the opportunity for guys like

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 2>kiralof Uh, to me, it's a no brainer, especially if

0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:09.440
<v Speaker 2>you're looking in those leagues where you're playing in those

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:10.720
<v Speaker 2>corner infielders.

0:16:11.000 --> 0:16:13.280
<v Speaker 1>You're looking for a guy who might have some upside.

0:16:13.320 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 2>Still, to me, it's kiral Off and right now he

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 2>is going at one eighty five overall. He's the twenty

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:21.040
<v Speaker 2>fifth first basement off the board. So I'm a Kira

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 2>Loff guy. Why are you a Kira lov guy? Wa?

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 3>I love think is another guy I got to actually

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.520
<v Speaker 3>speak to some years ago on my show Prospect One.

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:31.400
<v Speaker 3>His dad is a pretty prolific hitting coach. He's got

0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 3>to think like a whole hitting series that he does,

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:35.440
<v Speaker 3>and he trains kids to Lemanski.

0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 1>That is that nod.

0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 4>I think it's an actual career off.

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 3>It's an actual well you don't I remember like the

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:43.720
<v Speaker 3>videos that like late at night videos where.

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:45.040
<v Speaker 4>It's like do you want to learn exactly?

0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:45.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:47.480
<v Speaker 3>Didn't Billy Ripkin also have Doesn't he still have like

0:16:47.520 --> 0:16:48.080
<v Speaker 3>a hitting series?

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but he's got banned because they had bad language

0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:50.680
<v Speaker 1>in it.

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 3>Well, at the bottom of the bat and a rookie card.

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 3>Uh No, kiraal Off really really smart hitter that's always been.

0:16:56.800 --> 0:16:58.560
<v Speaker 3>That's kind of a thing I really attached myself to

0:16:58.600 --> 0:16:59.520
<v Speaker 3>with a lot of prospects.

0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:01.280
<v Speaker 4>Is this a guy?

0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 3>Is this a high contact type of hitter? And that's

0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:05.119
<v Speaker 3>who Kilof has always been? You said, he's been three

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 3>hundred plus throughout his minor league career. His first step

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.760
<v Speaker 3>into the majors hits two fifty. He kind of was working.

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:12.520
<v Speaker 3>He's been working over the last couple of years. He's said,

0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 3>little Nixon injuries. He had a wrist injury that left

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:18.040
<v Speaker 3>him coming out of the AFL in twenty nineteen. So

0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 3>getting like real distinct at bats has been important for him.

0:17:21.000 --> 0:17:23.200
<v Speaker 4>He's a groove guy. He's got a beautiful swing.

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:26.360
<v Speaker 3>He does get loft into his swing, and I don't

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:29.119
<v Speaker 3>think two fifty is indicative of who he is. I truly,

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:33.199
<v Speaker 3>truly believe that Alex Kiloff is a two eighty to

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 3>three hundred type of hitter consistently, and I would actually

0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:37.800
<v Speaker 3>like in him maybe to a little bit more like

0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:39.440
<v Speaker 3>a Goldie as far as a hitter, he's going to

0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 3>be that with that type of contact, he's going to

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:44.120
<v Speaker 3>step into power. I don't think he's going to steal

0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 3>a whole lot. And athleticism is a little bit in question.

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:48.960
<v Speaker 3>So first base I think is his ultimate home. But

0:17:49.080 --> 0:17:51.000
<v Speaker 3>I believe in him as a hitter. And this is

0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:52.879
<v Speaker 3>a guy that just doesn't have enough Major league at

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.199
<v Speaker 3>bats to prove anything. So if I were keeping with

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:57.200
<v Speaker 3>my trend of some of the guys I'm trying to

0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:00.479
<v Speaker 3>go with, this is a prime candidate of the You know,

0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:02.840
<v Speaker 3>all of those high end rookies over the last year

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:04.439
<v Speaker 3>and a half that have been coming up and not

0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.480
<v Speaker 3>been producing. You know, you had COVID, you had weird

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:10.320
<v Speaker 3>training regimens, you had all of the restrictions that were

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 3>out there, and then also these guys take a little

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 3>bit sometimes And kier Lof is a prime example of that,

0:18:14.920 --> 0:18:15.960
<v Speaker 3>and I love that pick.

0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Honestly, had COVID not happened, there might be a

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:22.640
<v Speaker 2>chance he might be further along already. So I think

0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:24.760
<v Speaker 2>that twenty twenty death he said a lot of guys

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 2>like him who will right on that precipice that year

0:18:27.520 --> 0:18:28.160
<v Speaker 2>in development.

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 1>It set them back a whole season. For me.

0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:33.639
<v Speaker 3>Also, in twenty nineteen in the Arizona Fall League, I

0:18:33.760 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 3>got to speak with Royce Lewis, and when I was

0:18:37.119 --> 0:18:39.520
<v Speaker 3>interviewing him, I kind of asked like, Hey, where is

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:42.560
<v Speaker 3>Alex you know? And he had hurt his wrist earlier

0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:45.280
<v Speaker 3>that year and it was leading up and he got

0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:47.040
<v Speaker 3>right back in time for the minor league playoffs, and

0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:49.480
<v Speaker 3>he just didn't want to come, like he wasn't ready yet.

0:18:49.680 --> 0:18:52.119
<v Speaker 3>And then you had COVID, and then you had the

0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:54.600
<v Speaker 3>two thousand and one season all stapped on top of it,

0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:56.800
<v Speaker 3>and it pushed guys like Royce Lewis got pushed back

0:18:56.840 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 3>as well. Royce lost the entire last year with injury.

0:18:59.119 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 3>So both of those guys, had you not had the

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:04.639
<v Speaker 3>COVID here probably would have been big impacts. In twenty

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.480
<v Speaker 3>twenty one, Carrelf was a little bit this will be

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:11.040
<v Speaker 3>the adjustment period for Alex Kerlof, and then this will

0:19:11.040 --> 0:19:15.080
<v Speaker 3>probably be the actual run for Royce Lewis this year.

0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:16.719
<v Speaker 1>Let's stick a quick break in the action to tell

0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:17.720
<v Speaker 1>you about fan Tracks.

0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:20.640
<v Speaker 2>I want to tell you about an awesome baseball giveaway

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0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:25.720
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0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:29.200
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0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:33.000
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0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:36.080
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0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:39.240
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0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:42.480
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0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:46.320
<v Speaker 2>All existing fan tracks leagues are automatically included in the giveaway.

0:19:46.359 --> 0:19:48.800
<v Speaker 1>And remember more leagues you're a part of, the more

0:19:48.920 --> 0:19:49.920
<v Speaker 1>chances you have to win.

0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 2>Each active league counts as one active entry and the

0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:56.120
<v Speaker 2>winner will be chosen and emailed by April twenty nine.

0:19:56.200 --> 0:19:58.680
<v Speaker 2>So get on that again. Go to fantracks dot com

0:19:58.720 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 2>slash Fantasy Pros to end. Now that's fantracks dot com

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:05.920
<v Speaker 2>slash Fantasy Pros and now back to the action, all right.

0:20:05.880 --> 0:20:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's move across the diamond to second base.

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 2>Now, who is the second baseman that make sure all

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:12.360
<v Speaker 2>breakout team Welsh.

0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:14.840
<v Speaker 3>So this is one of probably like two players that

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:18.000
<v Speaker 3>might push the limits of this trend that I'm going with.

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:20.640
<v Speaker 3>But I'm going with Josh Rojas with the Arizona Diamondbacks.

0:20:20.960 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 3>Josh Rojas, who by the way, has forty nine games

0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:26.720
<v Speaker 3>played last year at second base. He had I think

0:20:26.800 --> 0:20:29.680
<v Speaker 3>like eleven or twelve or something at shortstop and outfield.

0:20:29.720 --> 0:20:32.560
<v Speaker 3>So pinning the league or the format site that you

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:36.479
<v Speaker 3>play on, he might have two to three different position eligibilities.

0:20:35.800 --> 0:20:37.000
<v Speaker 4>For him, which is really nice.

0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 3>Josh Rojas looks like he's going to lead off for

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:42.840
<v Speaker 3>the Arizona Diamondbacks this year, something that it's not the

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 3>biggest deal in the world. The Diambacks just resigned katetel Marte,

0:20:46.160 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 3>which they look like they're in a really bad spot

0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:50.720
<v Speaker 3>for what they're doing and how much money they don't

0:20:50.760 --> 0:20:53.399
<v Speaker 3>want to spend. But they just resign kateel Marte to

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:56.560
<v Speaker 3>keep him for five more years. Really says something to

0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:59.400
<v Speaker 3>me about a guy like him not going this year,

0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 3>and then, oh my god, who is going to hit

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:03.840
<v Speaker 3>Josh Rojas in who is going to be there?

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:06.240
<v Speaker 4>Is it going to be Peven Smith, Christian Walker and Rojas?

0:21:06.280 --> 0:21:08.320
<v Speaker 3>No, Katl's going to stay and he's going to be

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 3>here for a while and maybe they'll be more aggressive.

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 3>And how does that relate to Rojas? Well, these are

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:14.800
<v Speaker 3>the guys are going to be hitting behind him. He

0:21:15.080 --> 0:21:18.040
<v Speaker 3>leads off for the Diamondbacks, which is huge, more at bats.

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.919
<v Speaker 3>This is a double digit steals and homer. Guy hit

0:21:20.920 --> 0:21:22.560
<v Speaker 3>a homer just the other day in spring training.

0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:22.800
<v Speaker 1>Crush.

0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 3>I'm trying to remember who it was off of. I

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.280
<v Speaker 3>want to say Granky or something. He just absolutely crushed it.

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 3>This is a fifteen to fifteen guy who's going to

0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 3>lead off for the Diamondbacks. Probably eighty plus runs is

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:35.040
<v Speaker 3>not a very good team. But I think this is

0:21:35.080 --> 0:21:37.280
<v Speaker 3>the opportunity where I think most site projections have him

0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:39.800
<v Speaker 3>around like eleven or twelve homers, eleven or twelve stolen

0:21:39.840 --> 0:21:41.679
<v Speaker 3>bases that he could push twenty twenty.

0:21:41.800 --> 0:21:42.920
<v Speaker 4>Because he's going to push.

0:21:42.920 --> 0:21:44.840
<v Speaker 1>At bass to twenty twenty twelve.

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:46.320
<v Speaker 4>You think the power is there.

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:46.640
<v Speaker 1>I think.

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:48.679
<v Speaker 3>I mean, if I were like putting money on it,

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 3>I would go more fifteen to twenty. But the problem

0:21:51.040 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 3>is or The positive is he's going to get so

0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:55.520
<v Speaker 3>many more at bats than the rest of these Diamondbacks,

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:59.240
<v Speaker 3>assuming they can actually turn the lineup over more opportunities.

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:01.360
<v Speaker 3>As long as he doesn't struggle is great. Plus he's

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 3>roster flexible where he can move around. There's not a

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:05.919
<v Speaker 3>lot of reason to take him out of the lineup

0:22:05.960 --> 0:22:08.360
<v Speaker 3>because he can play outfield, shortstop, second base. How many

0:22:08.359 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 3>guys do you have like that that I think you

0:22:11.040 --> 0:22:12.920
<v Speaker 3>know you're gonna push high into the six hundreds of

0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:15.399
<v Speaker 3>it bats that might get him a couple more homers,

0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:18.359
<v Speaker 3>So fifteen plus if I were breaking out, but maybe

0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:19.400
<v Speaker 3>twenty stolen bases.

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:21.920
<v Speaker 4>Lavello is bad about stealing bases.

0:22:22.280 --> 0:22:24.679
<v Speaker 3>His job is on the line, and the Diamondbacks have

0:22:24.960 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 3>got to manufacture runs. And that's what I like about Rojas.

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:30.640
<v Speaker 3>The stolen bases might be extra sneaky. So I'm gonna

0:22:30.640 --> 0:22:32.440
<v Speaker 3>pick him for my second base breakout.

0:22:33.000 --> 0:22:35.720
<v Speaker 2>All right, for my second base breakout, It's Brendan Rodgers.

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:40.480
<v Speaker 2>Let's go, baby, I'm excited. Colorado bats always make me happy.

0:22:40.960 --> 0:22:42.960
<v Speaker 2>And last year, I mean, if you're looking at what

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 2>he did last year too, eighty four, three, twenty eight, four,

0:22:46.080 --> 0:22:48.200
<v Speaker 2>seventy slash. Okay, I'll take that for a guy who's

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 2>twenty four years old. Again, it's funny say Mage's kill off.

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:50.760
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:52.520
<v Speaker 2>So a lot of my breakout guys are kind of,

0:22:52.960 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 2>you know, a little past the prospect age of you know,

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:57.600
<v Speaker 2>maybe a little bit of ballooms off the rows. But

0:22:57.880 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 2>once upon a time, Brendan Rodgers was this guy that

0:23:00.080 --> 0:23:03.600
<v Speaker 2>everybody was basically falling over themselves to draft. If you

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 2>look at his minor league track record. I know some

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:09.200
<v Speaker 2>favorable ballparks there too, but the minor leagues for him,

0:23:09.320 --> 0:23:11.680
<v Speaker 2>this is a guy at two ninety eight, three fifty four,

0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 2>five oh four. You always saw the power there a

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:17.359
<v Speaker 2>career eight fifty eight ops there in the minor league.

0:23:17.400 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 2>So to me, that's gonna track. He's gonna get a

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:21.920
<v Speaker 2>fair amount of playing time. The Rommel Tapia trade really

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:25.080
<v Speaker 2>opens up time for Connor Joe now. So I feel

0:23:25.080 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 2>like Brendan Rodgers this is his job now, I feel

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:28.439
<v Speaker 2>like and we had one hundred and.

0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:30.919
<v Speaker 1>Two games last year he performed pretty well.

0:23:31.119 --> 0:23:33.159
<v Speaker 2>You're always gonna worry a little bit about guys outside

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:35.120
<v Speaker 2>of Colorado. I get that, But at the same time,

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:37.600
<v Speaker 2>when you're looking at value and you're looking at potential

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:40.160
<v Speaker 2>that you're gonna look. He's going after guys like Labor

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:42.800
<v Speaker 2>Torres is going after guys like cronin Worth. He's going

0:23:42.840 --> 0:23:45.399
<v Speaker 2>all the way down at second basement number twenty one.

0:23:45.440 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 2>He's won seventy five overall. That is really cheap. So

0:23:48.760 --> 0:23:50.320
<v Speaker 2>for me, Brent Rodgers is this guy that I think

0:23:50.359 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 2>is gonna hit for a decent average, probably gonna approach

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 2>twenty bombs. That's pretty good at second base because there's

0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:56.560
<v Speaker 2>not a lot of guys at second base have to

0:23:56.560 --> 0:23:59.399
<v Speaker 2>get past that first grouping. I feel like Polanco's that cutoff,

0:23:59.400 --> 0:24:01.840
<v Speaker 2>and then after that it's a little dicey from like

0:24:01.880 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 2>ten to twenty, and then there's guys I like after

0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:06.560
<v Speaker 2>that in one of them is definitely Brendan Rodgers. So

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:09.240
<v Speaker 2>let's move over to the third base side, the hot corner.

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:11.280
<v Speaker 2>Who's man in the hot corner on the all breakout

0:24:11.280 --> 0:24:12.800
<v Speaker 2>team for the Welsh.

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:14.200
<v Speaker 4>I am going with Alec Bohm.

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:17.119
<v Speaker 3>This is one of those guys I've talked about a

0:24:17.160 --> 0:24:19.280
<v Speaker 3>couple of times where it's like there's just not enough

0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:21.880
<v Speaker 3>career at bats. I think he's got just under six

0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:26.399
<v Speaker 3>hundred career plate appearances, it's spread out from twenty twenty

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 3>and it feels like he's got a lot more. But

0:24:28.760 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 3>this guy has like one legit season under his belt

0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:34.440
<v Speaker 3>spread across these last two years. He's turned in twenty five.

0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:37.440
<v Speaker 3>He's always been He's a field guy. That's the thing

0:24:37.480 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 3>that when I spoke with him, like he wasn't into

0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:42.680
<v Speaker 3>like a lot of analytics, and he wasn't into launching.

0:24:42.880 --> 0:24:44.800
<v Speaker 3>He was a field guy with pure raw power, so

0:24:44.840 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 3>he knew when he made contact the ball was going

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:49.399
<v Speaker 3>to travel. Now, since that time, he's made it to

0:24:49.440 --> 0:24:52.680
<v Speaker 3>the majors. He's gotten to work with Bryce Harper, who

0:24:52.680 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 3>took him under his wing.

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:56.560
<v Speaker 4>I think he's felt some serious struggles. His strikeout rate.

0:24:56.480 --> 0:24:58.000
<v Speaker 3>I think was kind of one of the highest that

0:24:58.040 --> 0:25:01.200
<v Speaker 3>he's dealt with. It was a twenty six almost twenty

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:04.199
<v Speaker 3>seven percent last year, and he's usually sat. I think

0:25:04.240 --> 0:25:07.600
<v Speaker 3>he's at a career twenty four percent. That might actually

0:25:07.600 --> 0:25:09.400
<v Speaker 3>only be doing the majors. I mean in the miners,

0:25:09.640 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 3>he really never had outside of like ten plate appearances,

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:16.919
<v Speaker 3>he never had a season over twenty strikeout person. So

0:25:16.920 --> 0:25:18.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean he's striking out a little bit more. He's

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:20.359
<v Speaker 3>pressing as he's learning who he is as a hitter.

0:25:20.640 --> 0:25:22.639
<v Speaker 3>This is prime time for him to learn who he

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:24.520
<v Speaker 3>is as a hitter. And there's a lot of good

0:25:24.560 --> 0:25:27.200
<v Speaker 3>boppers in there. They bring in like Castianos and Schwarber

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:28.639
<v Speaker 3>as well.

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:30.320
<v Speaker 2>And these are just in that lineup now, so much

0:25:30.400 --> 0:25:32.360
<v Speaker 2>less pressure. There's so much pressure on that kid.

0:25:32.359 --> 0:25:32.879
<v Speaker 1>I felt like and.

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:36.480
<v Speaker 3>Also and also think about the possibility of like I'd

0:25:36.520 --> 0:25:37.720
<v Speaker 3>have to look where he is in the lineup. I'm

0:25:37.720 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 3>assuming he's gonna hit like six or seven, but the

0:25:40.359 --> 0:25:41.679
<v Speaker 3>guys that are gonna be in front of him are

0:25:41.680 --> 0:25:44.920
<v Speaker 3>most likely going to be the Schwarbers, the Castianos and

0:25:45.040 --> 0:25:48.199
<v Speaker 3>the Harpers. There might be really great there might be

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:51.240
<v Speaker 3>really great RBI opportunities. And for a guy that is

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 3>more hit than he is power, he's like an anti Schwarber,

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:57.760
<v Speaker 3>Like Schwarber is just a gripe and rip it type.

0:25:57.560 --> 0:25:58.560
<v Speaker 4>Of guy that's not Boem.

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:01.840
<v Speaker 3>So I to lean a little bit hopefully you know,

0:26:01.880 --> 0:26:03.960
<v Speaker 3>he's embraced analytics a little bit more. And you know,

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:06.159
<v Speaker 3>having a guy like Harper and your Bilt is fantastic.

0:26:06.200 --> 0:26:07.840
<v Speaker 3>And there's a lot of other good power hitters that

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:10.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, maybe can rub off on different ways to

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:13.160
<v Speaker 3>attack the ball that this seems like the prime yere

0:26:13.200 --> 0:26:15.480
<v Speaker 3>you talk about it. This is the post hype sleeper.

0:26:15.520 --> 0:26:17.880
<v Speaker 3>A lot of these guys are these. Alex Kureloff prime example,

0:26:17.880 --> 0:26:20.760
<v Speaker 3>post hype sleeper. Everybody loved him, came up, he was

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:21.480
<v Speaker 3>all right.

0:26:21.320 --> 0:26:23.119
<v Speaker 1>Rogers went extent like everybody.

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 4>Rodgers is post post post hype sleeper.

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:27.720
<v Speaker 1>But he's only twenty four. I mean, I'm not in

0:26:27.800 --> 0:26:28.960
<v Speaker 1>a break and he's in Colorado.

0:26:29.040 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean, if he plays one hundred and forty games

0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 2>this year, there's no way he's not going to.

0:26:32.640 --> 0:26:35.320
<v Speaker 1>Give you productivity. I mean, it's just it's just crazy.

0:26:35.359 --> 0:26:37.760
<v Speaker 1>But I love to make about bowlm in that lineup too.

0:26:37.800 --> 0:26:37.919
<v Speaker 4>Now.

0:26:37.960 --> 0:26:40.399
<v Speaker 2>I think it's a very different feel for him coming

0:26:40.400 --> 0:26:42.439
<v Speaker 2>into the twenty twenty two season, which really matters.

0:26:42.760 --> 0:26:44.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and you know, like I said, full season of

0:26:44.680 --> 0:26:47.760
<v Speaker 3>the bat's post hype sleeper. These are these are a

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:50.880
<v Speaker 3>lot of Rogers is Like, let me look here at

0:26:50.880 --> 0:26:53.640
<v Speaker 3>the guys that we've talked about, because I'm forgetting Rogers

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:57.400
<v Speaker 3>is probably Stevenson and Rodgers maybe the most expensive guys

0:26:57.440 --> 0:26:59.600
<v Speaker 3>that we've talked about. Most of these players are like

0:26:59.600 --> 0:27:02.199
<v Speaker 3>post hundred for the most point, like maybe post one

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:05.919
<v Speaker 3>seventy five. These are in the free range of players.

0:27:06.359 --> 0:27:09.520
<v Speaker 3>Especially Boom is a guy that I've done plenty of

0:27:09.560 --> 0:27:11.639
<v Speaker 3>drafts where he doesn't go, so you can get him

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:13.480
<v Speaker 3>as a corner infielder. Maybe you want to put him

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:15.960
<v Speaker 3>on the watch just watch out because like I said,

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:19.200
<v Speaker 3>this is a more feel hitter than he is a

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:23.760
<v Speaker 3>you know, struggling big power hitter who's not finding his way.

0:27:23.840 --> 0:27:26.879
<v Speaker 3>Like him hitting two twenty doesn't really make sense unless

0:27:26.880 --> 0:27:29.639
<v Speaker 3>he's gone as a prospect. Him hitting two seventy with

0:27:29.680 --> 0:27:32.280
<v Speaker 3>a bunch of doubles and maybe lower on homers, that

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:35.480
<v Speaker 3>is a more plausible range. But those are good possibilities.

0:27:35.520 --> 0:27:37.760
<v Speaker 3>Maybe high RBIs just watch out for Alec Bohm.

0:27:38.359 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 2>All right, watch out for Gabrian Hayes. That's my third

0:27:40.880 --> 0:27:44.160
<v Speaker 2>basement and my breakout guy. We often talk about the

0:27:44.200 --> 0:27:45.680
<v Speaker 2>guys who show up in the camp in the best

0:27:45.680 --> 0:27:47.879
<v Speaker 2>shape of their life. Well, Hayes actually in pretty good shape, Like,

0:27:47.880 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 2>he looks pretty good, he looks like he is ready

0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:50.919
<v Speaker 2>to have a healthy season.

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:52.200
<v Speaker 1>So hoping for the best there.

0:27:52.720 --> 0:27:54.399
<v Speaker 2>It was kind of a disappointment because it kind of

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:56.959
<v Speaker 2>started off quick if we recall last April, and then

0:27:57.000 --> 0:28:00.679
<v Speaker 2>he got hurt right away and it was just basically chasing, chasing.

0:28:00.440 --> 0:28:04.639
<v Speaker 1>Waterfalls after that, Poor Brian Hayes. I love that.

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.520
<v Speaker 3>By the way, later that tweet they put out, I

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:07.960
<v Speaker 3>think it was like the Pirates or something, or I

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:08.880
<v Speaker 3>don't remember who did it.

0:28:09.000 --> 0:28:11.200
<v Speaker 4>They did everything but say he's in the best shape

0:28:11.200 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 4>of his life.

0:28:11.680 --> 0:28:14.359
<v Speaker 3>They just they danced around the idea he was just

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:16.800
<v Speaker 3>jacked and he's out there and they're like, Brian Hayes

0:28:16.840 --> 0:28:19.720
<v Speaker 3>physically looks amazing and they're all talented.

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:21.480
<v Speaker 4>Just say best shape of his life. Just say it.

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:23.640
<v Speaker 2>But I mean, when you're a career four hundred slugging

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:26.120
<v Speaker 2>percentage guy and you play a corner spot, you better

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 2>be like Matt Chapman glove, you know, like that.

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:30.000
<v Speaker 1>You've got to be that level.

0:28:30.040 --> 0:28:32.200
<v Speaker 2>So I think, you know, he realizes it, like I've

0:28:32.200 --> 0:28:34.320
<v Speaker 2>got to hit for more power. So if you're gonna

0:28:34.320 --> 0:28:35.680
<v Speaker 2>bulk up a little bit in the off season and

0:28:35.720 --> 0:28:37.440
<v Speaker 2>come in there ready to go hit some more home runs,

0:28:37.480 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 2>you can get up to that twenty mark. Once again,

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:41.280
<v Speaker 2>I think he's more of a corner guy than it

0:28:41.440 --> 0:28:43.719
<v Speaker 2>is a starting third basement lest in a very deep lead.

0:28:43.800 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 2>But when you have to start taking shots of guys

0:28:45.440 --> 0:28:48.520
<v Speaker 2>because third base isn't great this year, you end up

0:28:48.520 --> 0:28:51.560
<v Speaker 2>in that mix of the Ty France, Joha Mancatta, Gabrian Hayes, Right,

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:53.720
<v Speaker 2>Brian Hayes at won sixty nine. I think I'd rather

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 2>have Cabrian Hayes at this point at the cheaper ADPs

0:28:56.680 --> 0:28:59.400
<v Speaker 2>eighteenth third basement off the board, and then you go

0:28:59.440 --> 0:29:01.760
<v Speaker 2>after a little bit too what's.

0:29:01.560 --> 0:29:04.440
<v Speaker 4>That and Hayes can run a little bit too exactly?

0:29:05.760 --> 0:29:08.160
<v Speaker 3>He might be a sneaky source of Yeah, like how

0:29:08.160 --> 0:29:09.840
<v Speaker 3>many guys at third base? Are you really going to

0:29:09.880 --> 0:29:12.840
<v Speaker 3>get significant soolen bases for? Obviously Jose Ramirez I think

0:29:12.880 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 3>really late a guy like John VR might be kind

0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:17.280
<v Speaker 3>of sneaky now that he's with the Cubs and he.

0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:18.160
<v Speaker 4>Qualifies a third.

0:29:18.320 --> 0:29:20.480
<v Speaker 3>But Hayes is one of those guys where you know,

0:29:20.480 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 3>it's interesting what you said too. You've seen a lot

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:26.560
<v Speaker 3>of teams do this opposite where you have these power guys,

0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:29.320
<v Speaker 3>they want to move to these other positions that aren't

0:29:29.360 --> 0:29:31.760
<v Speaker 3>necessarily prime, like Andrew Vaughn when I told you he

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:34.520
<v Speaker 3>did some workout at second and stuff like that where.

0:29:34.360 --> 0:29:36.000
<v Speaker 1>You moved to the last year.

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:39.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they don't necessarily They want power everywhere. So Hayes

0:29:39.840 --> 0:29:42.920
<v Speaker 3>has obviously got to embrace that, and he is. He's

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:45.320
<v Speaker 3>a pure raw power guy. He just has not tapped

0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:45.760
<v Speaker 3>into it.

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 4>But this is a young kid.

0:29:46.920 --> 0:29:49.280
<v Speaker 3>He gives the contact kid in the miners who has

0:29:49.320 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 3>not tapped into it.

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:52.200
<v Speaker 2>If he plays a full season and he gives me

0:29:53.040 --> 0:29:56.360
<v Speaker 2>like eighteen home runs and eight stolen bases or something

0:29:56.400 --> 0:29:58.360
<v Speaker 2>like that and hits two sixty five or two seventy,

0:29:58.400 --> 0:29:58.880
<v Speaker 2>I'll take that.

0:29:59.160 --> 0:30:01.120
<v Speaker 1>I'll take that the eighty. I think that's a decent

0:30:01.120 --> 0:30:01.720
<v Speaker 1>return on event.

0:30:01.800 --> 0:30:02.600
<v Speaker 4>Let me ask you something.

0:30:02.640 --> 0:30:04.800
<v Speaker 2>There's a chance you could even have more if how

0:30:04.840 --> 0:30:07.040
<v Speaker 2>he is indeed tapping into that power ceiling.

0:30:07.120 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 1>What's the question?

0:30:07.680 --> 0:30:11.720
<v Speaker 3>Have you looked at any of the projections on him.

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 4>That we're looking at him?

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:13.400
<v Speaker 1>That that was kind of close to that. What does

0:30:13.440 --> 0:30:14.320
<v Speaker 1>ATC have? Man?

0:30:14.320 --> 0:30:15.560
<v Speaker 4>Why? Well, I wanted to ask you.

0:30:15.600 --> 0:30:18.160
<v Speaker 3>I wanted you to take a guess at projection, like

0:30:18.200 --> 0:30:21.160
<v Speaker 3>pick a system and then you guess.

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:24.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, let's do let's do Ariel because he's our Franks.

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:25.120
<v Speaker 4>Okay, well, we'll do Aril.

0:30:26.520 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 2>I would think it would be fifteen home runs or

0:30:28.360 --> 0:30:29.720
<v Speaker 2>fourteen home runs something like that.

0:30:29.760 --> 0:30:31.240
<v Speaker 1>Probably it might right, you.

0:30:31.240 --> 0:30:32.040
<v Speaker 4>Absolutely nailed it.

0:30:32.120 --> 0:30:35.680
<v Speaker 3>Fifteen Homersteen runs six in one hundred and forty one games.

0:30:35.600 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 1>Two sixty five batting average, give or take.

0:30:38.720 --> 0:30:39.760
<v Speaker 4>I mean, are you looking at it?

0:30:39.760 --> 0:30:40.160
<v Speaker 1>Two second?

0:30:40.200 --> 0:30:40.280
<v Speaker 4>Now?

0:30:40.360 --> 0:30:40.520
<v Speaker 2>Look?

0:30:40.760 --> 0:30:42.880
<v Speaker 4>Two seconds is two sixty five? All right, Now, let's

0:30:42.960 --> 0:30:44.040
<v Speaker 4>do runs.

0:30:45.000 --> 0:30:47.400
<v Speaker 1>That's the tricky one of the seventy two.

0:30:48.200 --> 0:30:50.360
<v Speaker 3>Oh my god, I was about to say, what numbers

0:30:50.360 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 3>for the power of all tonight? Uh, seventy seven, seventy

0:30:53.880 --> 0:30:55.760
<v Speaker 3>sixty Why I just ruined it?

0:30:55.800 --> 0:30:56.560
<v Speaker 4>Sixty three RBA.

0:30:56.560 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 3>How many stolen bases do you think ATC hasn't projected.

0:30:59.080 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 2>At I'm gonna stick with my eight because that was

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 2>my number.

0:31:02.720 --> 0:31:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Anyway, I think that's a good twelve. Okay, that great.

0:31:06.120 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 3>So fifteen and twelve with the two sixty five batting average,

0:31:09.960 --> 0:31:13.000
<v Speaker 3>that's not really build I don't think ATC, in order

0:31:13.000 --> 0:31:16.719
<v Speaker 3>to any projection systems really build in the upside of

0:31:16.760 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 3>these guys like finding their way in their sophomore years.

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 3>So I just want to say, a projection system which

0:31:22.400 --> 0:31:25.000
<v Speaker 3>has got to model the median line, and this is

0:31:25.040 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 3>an aggregate system, has ATC is the highest in stolen

0:31:28.320 --> 0:31:32.040
<v Speaker 3>bases and highest in homers this So think that's the middle.

0:31:32.240 --> 0:31:34.240
<v Speaker 3>So if you believe that kee Brian Hayes is going

0:31:34.320 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 3>to make the proper adjustments this year, you believe in

0:31:36.240 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 3>him as an athlete. Could you be twenty fifteen on

0:31:39.040 --> 0:31:41.880
<v Speaker 3>a third baseman hitting two seventy five and go seventy

0:31:41.920 --> 0:31:44.600
<v Speaker 3>five to seventy five. Guess what if you do that's

0:31:44.600 --> 0:31:46.640
<v Speaker 3>top one hundred value and you're getting them near the

0:31:46.640 --> 0:31:49.160
<v Speaker 3>two hundreds. It's risky because you're betting on a rookie

0:31:49.280 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 3>or you know, a sophomore young player. But the idea

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 3>of the breakouts is this, and this is why he's

0:31:54.680 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 3>like a fun corner infielder to get.

0:31:56.640 --> 0:31:57.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, still very cheap.

0:31:57.680 --> 0:32:00.520
<v Speaker 2>That's we're all about now, shortstop. I mean, this is

0:32:00.520 --> 0:32:02.480
<v Speaker 2>probably the easiest one for both of us. I'm sure

0:32:02.520 --> 0:32:05.200
<v Speaker 2>you had I'm sure you knew exactly who you were

0:32:05.240 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 2>going to say, and I knew exactly who I was

0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:07.640
<v Speaker 2>gonna say.

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:09.880
<v Speaker 1>So no spoilers. If you listened to the show, you

0:32:09.880 --> 0:32:12.400
<v Speaker 1>know who Welsh is, So go ahead talk about Amed Rosario.

0:32:12.800 --> 0:32:13.720
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Ahmedrosario.

0:32:13.800 --> 0:32:15.120
<v Speaker 3>I mean I went through I tried to find like

0:32:15.160 --> 0:32:17.600
<v Speaker 3>other guys, but again, going with the breakouts, it's I

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:20.000
<v Speaker 3>don't know, there's rookies I think about, but that's not

0:32:20.040 --> 0:32:21.720
<v Speaker 3>really the break up. I go with the mid Rosario.

0:32:21.800 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 3>He kind of broke out last year. We did do

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:26.720
<v Speaker 3>the show where we were talking about, you know, who

0:32:26.760 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 3>is the next Cedric Mullins, and I picked him what

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:32.960
<v Speaker 3>was it six most hits from July to September, power speed,

0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:35.280
<v Speaker 3>combo hitting at the top of the lineup. He's really

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:37.600
<v Speaker 3>kind of found himself as a power hitter, which he

0:32:37.680 --> 0:32:40.200
<v Speaker 3>was never in in the minors. I think fifteen to

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 3>twenty is the mac. So I don't think he can

0:32:42.960 --> 0:32:45.320
<v Speaker 3>truly be Cedric Mullins, but I believe he can steal

0:32:45.320 --> 0:32:46.760
<v Speaker 3>more than fifteen stolen bases.

0:32:46.920 --> 0:32:48.239
<v Speaker 4>Oh and I think he can hit.

0:32:48.360 --> 0:32:49.800
<v Speaker 1>He's done. He's done it twice.

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, and in twenty four and year's with the Mets.

0:32:52.520 --> 0:32:54.960
<v Speaker 2>Speed's not the problem for Azario. The problem with Ario

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 2>was always the glove and the range at shortstop. That

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 2>to me, there was always a problem. And also I found,

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, watching him as much as I did over

0:33:02.800 --> 0:33:05.760
<v Speaker 2>the years, he didn't hit good pitching, Like you know,

0:33:05.840 --> 0:33:07.760
<v Speaker 2>he could go out there and the quality guys or

0:33:07.800 --> 0:33:08.959
<v Speaker 2>the relievers he'd beat up on.

0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:11.520
<v Speaker 1>But if he gave him any good pitching, he was toast.

0:33:11.560 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 2>Now again, I didn't watch a lot of com at

0:33:13.400 --> 0:33:16.320
<v Speaker 2>Rosario at bats last year on full disclosure. But if

0:33:16.360 --> 0:33:18.440
<v Speaker 2>he can make that adjustment here, you know, a little

0:33:18.480 --> 0:33:21.160
<v Speaker 2>later in his career, that's going to help him certainly

0:33:21.320 --> 0:33:23.360
<v Speaker 2>kind of maybe reach that potential you're talking about.

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:26.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and he's like a twenty to the twenty strikeout marker.

0:33:26.760 --> 0:33:29.320
<v Speaker 3>He walked more this past year than he ever did before,

0:33:29.920 --> 0:33:32.480
<v Speaker 3>and projections are not favorable. Even though you say, you know,

0:33:32.480 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 3>he did steal twenty four bases in twenty eighteen. He's

0:33:35.720 --> 0:33:38.200
<v Speaker 3>failed to get twenty any other year. But even ATC

0:33:38.280 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 3>has him at fourteen stolen bases but almost a two

0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:42.960
<v Speaker 3>to eighty batting average, hitting near the top of the lineup.

0:33:42.960 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 3>It's not a great lineup, but again, this is going

0:33:44.960 --> 0:33:47.320
<v Speaker 3>to be an aggressive team. I think twenty stolen bases

0:33:47.480 --> 0:33:50.200
<v Speaker 3>is pretty easy in line. You could be in that

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:52.840
<v Speaker 3>fifteen homer marker. I know, I feel like I've mentioned

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:55.240
<v Speaker 3>multiple guys in this same place, but this is the

0:33:55.280 --> 0:33:57.800
<v Speaker 3>marker that I have on him. I'm not afraid to

0:33:57.840 --> 0:33:59.480
<v Speaker 3>go into battle with Josh Rojas and I'm me and

0:33:59.560 --> 0:34:02.800
<v Speaker 3>Rosario on my team. Preferably middle and corner. But those

0:34:02.800 --> 0:34:05.280
<v Speaker 3>are guys that are this cheap stolen base. They qualify

0:34:05.400 --> 0:34:11.719
<v Speaker 3>multiple positions. And if Rosario does, let's say, push that twenty, like,

0:34:11.800 --> 0:34:13.479
<v Speaker 3>let's see, he'll eeds to be I think a twenty

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:16.399
<v Speaker 3>stolen base guy. Even though projections at fourteen. I think

0:34:16.480 --> 0:34:19.800
<v Speaker 3>if he pushes the twenty twenty, you're talking about Rosario

0:34:19.920 --> 0:34:22.719
<v Speaker 3>maybe being inside the top fifty this coming year. So

0:34:22.920 --> 0:34:25.319
<v Speaker 3>he's just a guy that I want to jump all over,

0:34:25.400 --> 0:34:27.840
<v Speaker 3>get all the stuff and even the runs. You know,

0:34:27.840 --> 0:34:30.280
<v Speaker 3>if we can push eighty plus runs, he's a pretty

0:34:30.360 --> 0:34:31.560
<v Speaker 3>easy breakout candidate.

0:34:31.600 --> 0:34:33.840
<v Speaker 2>I think you know what I was just thinking, Welsh,

0:34:34.280 --> 0:34:37.360
<v Speaker 2>all those people who spend all those hours and weeks

0:34:37.480 --> 0:34:40.360
<v Speaker 2>and months working these projection systems. All you need is

0:34:40.400 --> 0:34:42.520
<v Speaker 2>Joe p's a pee his brain. Really, I could just

0:34:42.520 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 2>spout out the numbers. Apparently it's the same stuff.

0:34:44.520 --> 0:34:47.560
<v Speaker 3>Apparently, Nic I mean, if you had gotten one more,

0:34:47.640 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm telling you had gotten one more, I say, all right,

0:34:50.440 --> 0:34:51.640
<v Speaker 3>I'll call you in twenty minutes.

0:34:51.880 --> 0:34:52.839
<v Speaker 4>We're gonna go over.

0:34:53.000 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna go to the store, we're gonna play some

0:34:54.640 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 3>Arizona power Ball, and you're gonna pick my numbers for me.

0:34:57.200 --> 0:34:59.359
<v Speaker 2>But I mean, you know, projection systems are all trying

0:34:59.360 --> 0:35:02.160
<v Speaker 2>to give you the best I think, the most accurate,

0:35:03.560 --> 0:35:06.600
<v Speaker 2>best ish case scenario, and they're all based in something

0:35:06.640 --> 0:35:09.000
<v Speaker 2>that the guy has just done previously for the most part,

0:35:09.200 --> 0:35:12.000
<v Speaker 2>with some sort of mild rehash. So the mild the

0:35:12.040 --> 0:35:15.520
<v Speaker 2>mild look ahead after the rehash is a little bit

0:35:15.560 --> 0:35:17.040
<v Speaker 2>of growth. So if you just kind of take what

0:35:17.120 --> 0:35:18.600
<v Speaker 2>you saw last year and put a little growth, that's

0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:20.080
<v Speaker 2>kind of what it it would be.

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:21.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's tough.

0:35:21.280 --> 0:35:24.440
<v Speaker 3>It's tough because, like you can predict some things. Whatever

0:35:24.480 --> 0:35:27.439
<v Speaker 3>a picture's x FIP was the year before, that will

0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:30.320
<v Speaker 3>be the projected era most likely for a picture.

0:35:30.680 --> 0:35:31.760
<v Speaker 4>If you look over.

0:35:31.600 --> 0:35:34.919
<v Speaker 3>Three years, and if you can mentally do math quick

0:35:34.920 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 3>and you look over a three year marker, you can

0:35:37.160 --> 0:35:38.799
<v Speaker 3>probably find the averages pretty quick.

0:35:38.840 --> 0:35:40.560
<v Speaker 4>If you know it's thirty.

0:35:40.440 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 3>And twenty and twenty five, guess you're probably going to

0:35:44.080 --> 0:35:44.879
<v Speaker 3>have twenty five.

0:35:45.400 --> 0:35:47.200
<v Speaker 4>Well, that's what a lot of projection systems go off.

0:35:47.239 --> 0:35:49.520
<v Speaker 4>I mean, you're probably gonna find the average twenty five.

0:35:50.080 --> 0:35:52.920
<v Speaker 2>Because your coverage gives you a really strong sample size

0:35:52.920 --> 0:35:55.600
<v Speaker 2>of the identity of a player over a period of time.

0:35:55.920 --> 0:35:58.440
<v Speaker 3>Where they're differing themselves a little bit. Is like CARDI

0:35:58.560 --> 0:36:01.400
<v Speaker 3>with the bat X is there's lot more ballpark factors

0:36:01.440 --> 0:36:03.319
<v Speaker 3>that are being involved in it, which I think open

0:36:03.400 --> 0:36:06.520
<v Speaker 3>it up. And ATC specifically is really unique because it's

0:36:06.520 --> 0:36:09.560
<v Speaker 3>an aggregate of everything. So if you don't like I

0:36:09.560 --> 0:36:12.160
<v Speaker 3>think there's some people that love Steamer, there's some that

0:36:12.600 --> 0:36:15.040
<v Speaker 3>you know, love the bat or the bat X and

0:36:15.120 --> 0:36:17.680
<v Speaker 3>if you don't want to play that game, ATC just

0:36:17.680 --> 0:36:19.360
<v Speaker 3>gets them all and finds you a good media and

0:36:19.440 --> 0:36:22.240
<v Speaker 3>value and that's why, you know, to Ariol's credit, Ariol

0:36:22.640 --> 0:36:26.520
<v Speaker 3>ariols ATC is three time Fantasy Pro most Accurate projection system.

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 1>And not only that, I was gonna say, now, I

0:36:28.040 --> 0:36:28.640
<v Speaker 1>was gonna pop them.

0:36:28.680 --> 0:36:30.840
<v Speaker 2>Not only did you win last year at the most accurate,

0:36:30.880 --> 0:36:33.880
<v Speaker 2>but guess who was number two the Fantasy Pro system?

0:36:33.920 --> 0:36:36.120
<v Speaker 1>How about them appen? Oh that's right, not bad.

0:36:36.320 --> 0:36:37.319
<v Speaker 4>I didn't know that. I didn't know that.

0:36:37.600 --> 0:36:38.959
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's right, number two.

0:36:39.480 --> 0:36:40.400
<v Speaker 4>You know, let's go.

0:36:40.520 --> 0:36:42.560
<v Speaker 2>You can't give yourself awards though, and he's got to

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:43.439
<v Speaker 2>slap yourself in the face.

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:45.680
<v Speaker 3>I mean you can you could also like, yeah, we

0:36:45.719 --> 0:36:47.560
<v Speaker 3>could also put us in the you know, running to

0:36:47.600 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 3>win those autograph jerseys too. I mean, we can do

0:36:49.640 --> 0:36:50.399
<v Speaker 3>things if you want.

0:36:50.840 --> 0:36:53.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean, technically I could unsubscribe to the channel and

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:55.400
<v Speaker 2>resubscribe and try to win the Austin Riley jersey, but

0:36:55.520 --> 0:36:56.799
<v Speaker 2>you know that seems like a lot of work at

0:36:56.800 --> 0:36:58.480
<v Speaker 2>this point for me. I want to talk to you

0:36:58.520 --> 0:37:01.800
<v Speaker 2>about Willie Adams. That's my sh shortstop of choice.

0:37:02.320 --> 0:37:02.920
<v Speaker 1>Last year.

0:37:03.640 --> 0:37:06.000
<v Speaker 2>You know, he's been complaining for years about the batter's

0:37:06.040 --> 0:37:09.200
<v Speaker 2>eye in Tropicana Field, and it showed. He had a

0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:11.520
<v Speaker 2>buck ninety seven over forty games last year there.

0:37:11.760 --> 0:37:13.360
<v Speaker 1>He was just dreadful. He was terrible.

0:37:13.680 --> 0:37:16.560
<v Speaker 2>They deal him to Milwaukee, and what a difference the

0:37:16.600 --> 0:37:19.080
<v Speaker 2>move makes. He then goes on over the last ninety

0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:21.040
<v Speaker 2>nine games of the season to hit two eighty five

0:37:21.440 --> 0:37:23.360
<v Speaker 2>with a three sixty six OBP and a five to

0:37:23.400 --> 0:37:26.800
<v Speaker 2>twenty one slugging and eight eighty six ops. Just getting

0:37:26.840 --> 0:37:29.880
<v Speaker 2>the heck out of Tampa is all he needed. He

0:37:29.960 --> 0:37:32.480
<v Speaker 2>hit twenty bombs there, so twenty five on the year,

0:37:32.520 --> 0:37:35.839
<v Speaker 2>but twenty of them in those ninety nine games for Milwaukee,

0:37:36.080 --> 0:37:37.279
<v Speaker 2>and I just think this is a guy that's got

0:37:37.280 --> 0:37:38.400
<v Speaker 2>a whole new lease on life.

0:37:38.480 --> 0:37:40.160
<v Speaker 1>I also like the fact that they've got had a

0:37:40.200 --> 0:37:40.839
<v Speaker 1>renfro there.

0:37:41.040 --> 0:37:42.719
<v Speaker 2>I also like the fact that you know, if you

0:37:42.760 --> 0:37:45.080
<v Speaker 2>do believe that you can get Christian Yellish to bounce

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:46.759
<v Speaker 2>back in this lineup, this lineup might be better than

0:37:46.800 --> 0:37:49.279
<v Speaker 2>people realize. If Yelwich bounces back, he is kind of

0:37:49.280 --> 0:37:51.760
<v Speaker 2>the lynchpin for me. I wish they had done maybe

0:37:51.800 --> 0:37:54.719
<v Speaker 2>one more thing to give them a little bit more

0:37:54.719 --> 0:37:55.320
<v Speaker 2>of a cushion.

0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:57.600
<v Speaker 1>But William Doms.

0:37:57.280 --> 0:37:59.879
<v Speaker 2>To me is that guy that I'm all over this year.

0:38:00.280 --> 0:38:02.440
<v Speaker 2>I love draft in him at shortstop. I think he

0:38:02.480 --> 0:38:04.640
<v Speaker 2>can give you power. I think when you everybody talked

0:38:04.640 --> 0:38:06.239
<v Speaker 2>about deep shorts up it's so deep.

0:38:06.239 --> 0:38:09.319
<v Speaker 1>It's so deep it is, but you.

0:38:09.280 --> 0:38:11.160
<v Speaker 2>Could also wait on it and if you choose to,

0:38:11.520 --> 0:38:13.520
<v Speaker 2>then you can get him at one thirty six overall,

0:38:13.560 --> 0:38:15.040
<v Speaker 2>and he's the twenty shorts up off the board.

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:18.239
<v Speaker 3>He's one of those guys. He kills me too. Man,

0:38:18.360 --> 0:38:20.440
<v Speaker 3>He's one of those guys I was so big on

0:38:20.680 --> 0:38:23.000
<v Speaker 3>when he was a Ray and he never clicked, and

0:38:23.000 --> 0:38:23.400
<v Speaker 3>then I just.

0:38:23.400 --> 0:38:25.000
<v Speaker 2>Want playing in the minor leagues, and you're like, this

0:38:25.080 --> 0:38:26.319
<v Speaker 2>guy's got and let him go.

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:26.719
<v Speaker 1>Got it.

0:38:26.760 --> 0:38:29.320
<v Speaker 2>He's got that thing, but he just couldn't see the baseball.

0:38:29.360 --> 0:38:31.480
<v Speaker 2>I mean literally, you look at the splits and it's there.

0:38:31.840 --> 0:38:33.960
<v Speaker 2>It's just so obviously how bad he was in that ballpark.

0:38:34.000 --> 0:38:36.200
<v Speaker 2>And I think when you have any major league talent,

0:38:36.280 --> 0:38:38.399
<v Speaker 2>I think it's are so ware on them mentally where

0:38:38.440 --> 0:38:39.880
<v Speaker 2>it's like, oh, why can't I do this? And then

0:38:39.920 --> 0:38:41.839
<v Speaker 2>they press and then they have the pressure of who's

0:38:41.840 --> 0:38:42.840
<v Speaker 2>the next kid coming behind me?

0:38:42.840 --> 0:38:44.839
<v Speaker 1>Oh, it's this Wander Franco guy. He's unbelievable.

0:38:45.280 --> 0:38:46.600
<v Speaker 4>And well that's also for him.

0:38:46.719 --> 0:38:48.239
<v Speaker 2>Just need the change of salary. And people say, well,

0:38:48.239 --> 0:38:51.000
<v Speaker 2>he broke out already. Ninety nine games isn't enough for me.

0:38:51.280 --> 0:38:53.680
<v Speaker 2>I want a full season breakout. That's what I'm looking

0:38:53.719 --> 0:38:55.440
<v Speaker 2>for here. We're really I think he can go from

0:38:55.480 --> 0:38:58.440
<v Speaker 2>twenty wels. Honestly, I think he could be a thirty

0:38:58.440 --> 0:39:00.520
<v Speaker 2>home run guy, and that to me is breakout.

0:39:00.880 --> 0:39:03.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And that's why you know they talk about change

0:39:03.160 --> 0:39:05.279
<v Speaker 3>the scenery. Sometimes it is necessary. It just kills me.

0:39:05.280 --> 0:39:06.759
<v Speaker 3>He's one of those guys we all have it where

0:39:06.840 --> 0:39:09.399
<v Speaker 3>you're in, you're in, you're in, then it doesn't work,

0:39:09.440 --> 0:39:11.520
<v Speaker 3>then it doesn't work again. Like I think like two

0:39:11.560 --> 0:39:12.880
<v Speaker 3>year three, three years ago, I had him as like

0:39:12.920 --> 0:39:14.279
<v Speaker 3>a breakout and then it was like, all right, we're

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:16.480
<v Speaker 3>just not happening, and the change of scenery was everything

0:39:16.520 --> 0:39:19.479
<v Speaker 3>for him. And people also forget Willie Damas was the

0:39:19.560 --> 0:39:22.239
<v Speaker 3>core piece in the David Price trade. The David Price

0:39:22.280 --> 0:39:24.560
<v Speaker 3>trade between the Rays and the Detroit Tigers. It was

0:39:24.560 --> 0:39:26.400
<v Speaker 3>like four guys. Everyone got up in arms about it.

0:39:26.440 --> 0:39:29.040
<v Speaker 3>But Adama's at that time was like low a and

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:32.840
<v Speaker 3>he was the lynchpin to that move. So he's a

0:39:32.920 --> 0:39:34.400
<v Speaker 3>rock star and he's one of those reasons why you

0:39:34.400 --> 0:39:34.839
<v Speaker 3>can wait.

0:39:35.120 --> 0:39:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Some of those guys you love.

0:39:35.920 --> 0:39:37.839
<v Speaker 2>And they never figured out who's that angel's third base?

0:39:37.880 --> 0:39:38.759
<v Speaker 2>But was that Brandon Wood?

0:39:38.840 --> 0:39:41.960
<v Speaker 4>Was that Dallas McPherson, Brandon Wood? Both of them? Brewood

0:39:42.080 --> 0:39:43.400
<v Speaker 4>was the big one. Yeah uh.

0:39:44.000 --> 0:39:46.480
<v Speaker 2>And Gordon Beckham remember him too. It was another guy

0:39:46.560 --> 0:39:48.759
<v Speaker 2>white socks, trying to wait for him to break out

0:39:48.800 --> 0:39:50.960
<v Speaker 2>and it just never happened. Some guys never happens. It

0:39:51.000 --> 0:39:52.680
<v Speaker 2>happened last year. You saw the beginning of it, and

0:39:52.719 --> 0:39:54.160
<v Speaker 2>now it's for the full season version.

0:39:54.320 --> 0:39:56.239
<v Speaker 3>All right, remember, let's do it, hold on, Let's do

0:39:56.280 --> 0:39:58.520
<v Speaker 3>a whole show one time where we just go remember that,

0:39:58.680 --> 0:40:00.000
<v Speaker 3>like remember dustin act.

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:04.439
<v Speaker 2>Member berries are going to be tangents like this all

0:40:04.480 --> 0:40:07.080
<v Speaker 2>the time, it will do a random player of the day.

0:40:07.120 --> 0:40:07.920
<v Speaker 1>Maybe we could do that.

0:40:08.320 --> 0:40:11.480
<v Speaker 4>Remember, yeah, it'll just be called yeah.

0:40:11.640 --> 0:40:13.879
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, members only, that's what we got.

0:40:14.600 --> 0:40:16.440
<v Speaker 4>I like that. I like it, all right, sorry, all right?

0:40:16.600 --> 0:40:19.160
<v Speaker 1>It was the outfielder. Oh I made your team here

0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:20.440
<v Speaker 1>for the all breakout list.

0:40:20.719 --> 0:40:23.640
<v Speaker 3>Well, you went with the most obvious one that I

0:40:23.680 --> 0:40:26.319
<v Speaker 3>agree with, So I'm going with the secondary one.

0:40:26.560 --> 0:40:28.560
<v Speaker 4>And I'm not even so sure.

0:40:29.560 --> 0:40:31.600
<v Speaker 3>I don't I don't know how people feel about him,

0:40:31.600 --> 0:40:33.480
<v Speaker 3>and I'm not sure I would go like out on

0:40:33.520 --> 0:40:36.560
<v Speaker 3>a huge limb for it. But it's the same theme,

0:40:36.880 --> 0:40:40.239
<v Speaker 3>and I'm picking Jared Kelnick. And here's one of those

0:40:40.280 --> 0:40:43.080
<v Speaker 3>reasons as well. Let's go back to what we were

0:40:43.080 --> 0:40:45.120
<v Speaker 3>talking about a little bit earlier in the show, and

0:40:45.160 --> 0:40:47.880
<v Speaker 3>I was mentioning with Joey Bart. Kelnick is in the

0:40:47.960 --> 0:40:52.520
<v Speaker 3>exact same situation where, uniquely this offseason, he is in

0:40:52.560 --> 0:40:56.920
<v Speaker 3>a position where he has this back run of major

0:40:57.080 --> 0:41:00.360
<v Speaker 3>like real major league you know experience. He has failing,

0:41:00.640 --> 0:41:05.080
<v Speaker 3>like really big failing under his back, and he has

0:41:05.160 --> 0:41:06.440
<v Speaker 3>a little bit of a run on the back end

0:41:06.440 --> 0:41:08.480
<v Speaker 3>of the year where he started to connect a little bit.

0:41:08.680 --> 0:41:11.920
<v Speaker 3>So then come this spring training, what's happening he is

0:41:12.000 --> 0:41:15.320
<v Speaker 3>being treated as the guy with the job. He hasn't

0:41:15.360 --> 0:41:17.760
<v Speaker 3>always had that, you know, send him down to the miners.

0:41:18.040 --> 0:41:20.440
<v Speaker 3>He's working. I've been over to the marine facility four

0:41:20.520 --> 0:41:23.759
<v Speaker 3>or five times. Every time. He is attached at the

0:41:23.840 --> 0:41:27.120
<v Speaker 3>hip with usually Mitch Haniger and now Jesse Winker. I

0:41:27.200 --> 0:41:29.640
<v Speaker 3>see those guys working every single day. He's one of

0:41:29.640 --> 0:41:33.480
<v Speaker 3>the last guys out on the field. It's bp heading practice.

0:41:33.600 --> 0:41:37.040
<v Speaker 3>He looks locked in, you know. I think for a

0:41:37.040 --> 0:41:39.760
<v Speaker 3>guy like Jared Kilnick, who has always succeeded, he's always

0:41:39.840 --> 0:41:41.040
<v Speaker 3>kind of been the guy. He was one of the

0:41:41.040 --> 0:41:44.240
<v Speaker 3>most prolific contact hitters coming out of high school.

0:41:44.400 --> 0:41:45.600
<v Speaker 4>He was a face of a trade.

0:41:45.640 --> 0:41:47.800
<v Speaker 3>He was a face of an organization, him and Julio

0:41:48.200 --> 0:41:51.240
<v Speaker 3>where you know, this team didn't have superstars and weren't winners.

0:41:51.440 --> 0:41:53.920
<v Speaker 4>That's a lot of pressure. I don't mean to keep

0:41:53.960 --> 0:41:54.239
<v Speaker 4>doing this.

0:41:54.280 --> 0:41:56.600
<v Speaker 3>But another guy I talked to in nineteen in the

0:41:56.640 --> 0:41:59.640
<v Speaker 3>foll League, he told me his goal in twenty twenty

0:41:59.880 --> 0:42:02.360
<v Speaker 3>was to make the major leagues. And he also he

0:42:02.440 --> 0:42:04.839
<v Speaker 3>thinks of stats like he had a goal of being

0:42:04.840 --> 0:42:07.880
<v Speaker 3>a twenty twenty guy in that twenty nineteen season, and

0:42:07.920 --> 0:42:10.000
<v Speaker 3>he said that was a goal that I hit, and

0:42:10.040 --> 0:42:12.120
<v Speaker 3>he wants to hit the majors, So you know he's

0:42:12.200 --> 0:42:14.640
<v Speaker 3>re established new goals. But he has the one thing,

0:42:14.800 --> 0:42:16.640
<v Speaker 3>like I said, I don't think he really had under

0:42:16.719 --> 0:42:19.799
<v Speaker 3>him was failing. And you know, there's a lot of

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:22.040
<v Speaker 3>really really good hitters there that he gets to bounce

0:42:22.080 --> 0:42:24.640
<v Speaker 3>off of. Now you've got obviously Mitch in the breakoup,

0:42:24.640 --> 0:42:26.279
<v Speaker 3>but you guys got you got like Jesse Winker, I

0:42:26.320 --> 0:42:28.480
<v Speaker 3>think is a really important one for him to kind

0:42:28.480 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 3>of be able to rub off on. And he's being

0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:34.239
<v Speaker 3>given the opportunity to have that job, and I think

0:42:34.239 --> 0:42:37.600
<v Speaker 3>it's all prime stuff. We're taking very short sample sizes

0:42:37.640 --> 0:42:39.800
<v Speaker 3>on why we don't like Jared Kelnick, why he doesn't

0:42:39.840 --> 0:42:42.839
<v Speaker 3>work Indy of the day. He is a significant five

0:42:42.920 --> 0:42:45.640
<v Speaker 3>tool player, he has been in the minors and it

0:42:45.760 --> 0:42:47.480
<v Speaker 3>just might be taking a little bit of time here.

0:42:47.520 --> 0:42:49.680
<v Speaker 3>So I'm going to take my all breakout Jared Kelnick.

0:42:50.280 --> 0:42:52.480
<v Speaker 1>Any concern that Rodriguez just blows.

0:42:52.280 --> 0:42:55.759
<v Speaker 3>Right by him, I think that can happen, but I

0:42:55.760 --> 0:42:58.240
<v Speaker 3>don't think it's at the expense of his job.

0:42:58.600 --> 0:43:00.680
<v Speaker 4>Kyle lewis prepared actually hurt.

0:43:00.719 --> 0:43:03.080
<v Speaker 3>He's hurt again. He's not doing anything on the camps.

0:43:03.080 --> 0:43:05.319
<v Speaker 3>He's just like kind of like walking around and he's

0:43:05.360 --> 0:43:08.920
<v Speaker 3>not out there. Taylor Trammel, I think they see him

0:43:08.920 --> 0:43:10.440
<v Speaker 3>as a four out fourth outfielder.

0:43:10.520 --> 0:43:12.080
<v Speaker 4>I could be incorrect about that.

0:43:12.400 --> 0:43:15.080
<v Speaker 3>Julio is starting almost every day and he's starting in center,

0:43:15.160 --> 0:43:17.160
<v Speaker 3>but I don't think that's Kelnick's job. I think it

0:43:17.239 --> 0:43:20.600
<v Speaker 3>is Winker and left, kel Nick and right, and Julio

0:43:20.680 --> 0:43:22.520
<v Speaker 3>in center. And you got Mitch Hannager at diggate. So

0:43:22.560 --> 0:43:25.359
<v Speaker 3>what's the problem here. Taylor Tremil is the only other guy,

0:43:25.400 --> 0:43:27.160
<v Speaker 3>and Kyle Lewis who is always hurt.

0:43:26.960 --> 0:43:29.000
<v Speaker 4>In missing time that I think.

0:43:29.280 --> 0:43:31.560
<v Speaker 3>I think Julio Rodriguez, I've thought this for a long time,

0:43:31.719 --> 0:43:34.000
<v Speaker 3>is the better dynasty option, even when Kelnick was.

0:43:33.920 --> 0:43:36.040
<v Speaker 1>Close Shrew, Oh no, you always were that, You always

0:43:36.120 --> 0:43:38.600
<v Speaker 1>right three years.

0:43:38.840 --> 0:43:42.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And Julio is the bigger personality, he's the bigger star.

0:43:42.320 --> 0:43:44.520
<v Speaker 3>He's going to get more attention, which could be good

0:43:44.640 --> 0:43:46.759
<v Speaker 3>or bad for Jared Kelnick. But if Kelnick focuses on

0:43:46.800 --> 0:43:49.600
<v Speaker 3>the game, he's not going to be overpassed for Julio

0:43:49.680 --> 0:43:52.320
<v Speaker 3>Rodriguez unless he starts hitting a buck fifteen again.

0:43:52.600 --> 0:43:54.719
<v Speaker 4>I'll make the bet that it's going to turn and

0:43:54.800 --> 0:43:55.600
<v Speaker 4>if it does.

0:43:55.920 --> 0:43:58.200
<v Speaker 3>Watch out because this could he could be Robert, Like

0:43:58.360 --> 0:43:59.640
<v Speaker 3>that's the type of guy that he is.

0:43:59.680 --> 0:43:59.839
<v Speaker 2>Her.

0:44:00.280 --> 0:44:01.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, he hits.

0:44:01.360 --> 0:44:05.640
<v Speaker 3>He hits, a big, big homers, huge barrel contact type

0:44:05.640 --> 0:44:08.520
<v Speaker 3>of guy. But he completely fell apart the last two years.

0:44:08.800 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 3>So I will go with Jared Kellent. I think Kelln

0:44:10.680 --> 0:44:13.279
<v Speaker 3>is like like twenty two years old, still twenty three

0:44:13.360 --> 0:44:13.680
<v Speaker 3>years old.

0:44:13.719 --> 0:44:15.239
<v Speaker 1>He's still very young. He's still very young.

0:44:15.360 --> 0:44:17.120
<v Speaker 2>You were always a Julio guy over Keller Nick and

0:44:17.160 --> 0:44:18.480
<v Speaker 2>all those arguments back in the day.

0:44:18.560 --> 0:44:21.799
<v Speaker 3>So twenty two, thank you, just a.

0:44:21.880 --> 0:44:25.200
<v Speaker 4>Toy maybe toy boy. He could be our he could

0:44:25.239 --> 0:44:27.239
<v Speaker 4>be our child. We could be like kind of like

0:44:27.320 --> 0:44:28.120
<v Speaker 4>young parents.

0:44:28.239 --> 0:44:29.759
<v Speaker 1>That's more of an indictment on us.

0:44:30.040 --> 0:44:31.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but now now we're young parents, and now we're

0:44:32.000 --> 0:44:34.120
<v Speaker 2>out there enjoying life. See that's the thing if you

0:44:34.160 --> 0:44:36.279
<v Speaker 2>are a young parent, like my buddy, he had his

0:44:36.360 --> 0:44:38.920
<v Speaker 2>kids when he was on the younger side, and now

0:44:38.960 --> 0:44:42.240
<v Speaker 2>they're in college or you know, just getting to college,

0:44:42.440 --> 0:44:43.920
<v Speaker 2>and now he's like out of this free time and

0:44:43.960 --> 0:44:45.480
<v Speaker 2>he's still like young enough to enjoy it.

0:44:45.520 --> 0:44:47.200
<v Speaker 3>So we're like a little bit older, Like I had

0:44:47.200 --> 0:44:49.320
<v Speaker 3>my first kid at like twenty eight or something.

0:44:49.360 --> 0:44:51.439
<v Speaker 4>Like or no, obviously he was like twenty nine or something.

0:44:51.640 --> 0:44:56.719
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, eh, what again. Anyway, Joe Adell's still let's talk

0:44:56.719 --> 0:44:58.560
<v Speaker 1>about let's.

0:44:58.360 --> 0:45:01.520
<v Speaker 2>Talk about him. He is just twenty two years old,

0:45:01.600 --> 0:45:05.120
<v Speaker 2>so to be twenty three. I know last year was

0:45:05.400 --> 0:45:07.359
<v Speaker 2>not great for jo Adell at the major league level.

0:45:07.400 --> 0:45:09.719
<v Speaker 2>It was kind of a disappointment. But the minor league

0:45:09.760 --> 0:45:11.000
<v Speaker 2>track record is there.

0:45:11.239 --> 0:45:12.000
<v Speaker 1>I believe in it.

0:45:12.080 --> 0:45:14.680
<v Speaker 2>An eight ninety three career OPS over two hundred and

0:45:14.760 --> 0:45:18.080
<v Speaker 2>ninety seven games, a career two ninety six hitter in

0:45:18.120 --> 0:45:21.480
<v Speaker 2>the minor leagues. He's got power, he's got speed. He's

0:45:21.960 --> 0:45:23.080
<v Speaker 2>crushing the ball.

0:45:24.440 --> 0:45:25.839
<v Speaker 4>On a spring under him right now.

0:45:26.360 --> 0:45:29.480
<v Speaker 2>Three home runs already, three steals, hitting two seventy three.

0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:33.040
<v Speaker 2>The ops is ten ninety three right now for him.

0:45:33.120 --> 0:45:36.440
<v Speaker 2>So look, jo Adell, it's all about playing time. And

0:45:36.440 --> 0:45:38.839
<v Speaker 2>I know marsh is a nice player too, so it's

0:45:38.880 --> 0:45:40.800
<v Speaker 2>whether or not he can crack over the three.

0:45:40.680 --> 0:45:42.040
<v Speaker 1>Hundred at that plateau.

0:45:42.560 --> 0:45:44.440
<v Speaker 2>If he does, I think he's gonna have a breakout season,

0:45:44.440 --> 0:45:46.080
<v Speaker 2>and I think he's gonna force their hand. I really

0:45:46.080 --> 0:45:48.680
<v Speaker 2>do Welsh, I mean, Justin Upton's old and hurt all

0:45:48.680 --> 0:45:51.440
<v Speaker 2>the time, just like us, So I think that you're

0:45:51.480 --> 0:45:53.960
<v Speaker 2>gonna see jo Adell get an opportunity, and if he

0:45:54.000 --> 0:45:56.080
<v Speaker 2>plays the way he's playing right now and carries this over,

0:45:56.480 --> 0:45:58.719
<v Speaker 2>there's a good chance that he does go over that

0:45:58.760 --> 0:46:02.239
<v Speaker 2>three hundred and or three hundred three fifty plate appearances.

0:46:02.280 --> 0:46:04.240
<v Speaker 2>And when you get that in the app bats area,

0:46:04.880 --> 0:46:05.959
<v Speaker 2>then this guy's the limit.

0:46:05.960 --> 0:46:07.640
<v Speaker 1>Then he could really have a huge breakout.

0:46:07.640 --> 0:46:09.480
<v Speaker 2>But I think, yeah, this people just get too sour

0:46:09.560 --> 0:46:12.000
<v Speaker 2>too fast on guys with talent. It's just it's crazy.

0:46:12.040 --> 0:46:14.080
<v Speaker 2>Not everybody's Wander Franco or Juan Soto.

0:46:14.520 --> 0:46:16.799
<v Speaker 4>This is the exact same celnic thing.

0:46:16.800 --> 0:46:18.879
<v Speaker 3>And I hate to I don't want to be like, oh,

0:46:19.000 --> 0:46:21.960
<v Speaker 3>listen to me, and I've been, but Jodell is somebody

0:46:22.000 --> 0:46:24.799
<v Speaker 3>for about two years, even through all the struggles, I said,

0:46:24.840 --> 0:46:26.040
<v Speaker 3>I'm just not done with Jodell.

0:46:26.120 --> 0:46:26.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm not.

0:46:26.640 --> 0:46:28.719
<v Speaker 4>He is a freak athlete.

0:46:28.760 --> 0:46:30.920
<v Speaker 3>He really is a big problem. He had those when

0:46:30.960 --> 0:46:34.680
<v Speaker 3>he came up. Nobody looked more fooled by any pitching

0:46:34.719 --> 0:46:37.000
<v Speaker 3>than him. And you realize, like, oh, man, this is

0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:40.440
<v Speaker 3>a freak athlete who was taking advantage of maybe not

0:46:40.520 --> 0:46:42.560
<v Speaker 3>advanced pitching that he was going through the minor league

0:46:42.600 --> 0:46:43.280
<v Speaker 3>for whatever reason.

0:46:43.400 --> 0:46:44.560
<v Speaker 4>It was well That's how I.

0:46:44.520 --> 0:46:45.360
<v Speaker 1>Talked about Buxton.

0:46:45.400 --> 0:46:47.920
<v Speaker 2>He was always a much better athlete than a baseball player,

0:46:48.280 --> 0:46:50.120
<v Speaker 2>and he had to kind of get that over time.

0:46:50.200 --> 0:46:53.000
<v Speaker 2>He was just he was a freakishly good athlete, and

0:46:53.040 --> 0:46:54.880
<v Speaker 2>then over time he had to kind of become a

0:46:54.920 --> 0:46:56.680
<v Speaker 2>baseball player. There's been plenty of guys that have had

0:46:56.680 --> 0:46:59.080
<v Speaker 2>success and then some guys that never happened.

0:46:58.760 --> 0:47:01.520
<v Speaker 3>For But it doesn't really smart too. He's like a

0:47:01.600 --> 0:47:03.759
<v Speaker 3>really he's like really in tune to like who he

0:47:04.040 --> 0:47:07.879
<v Speaker 3>is and he was. This is one more anecdotal thing.

0:47:07.960 --> 0:47:10.319
<v Speaker 3>So this is like name droppy all day long. But yes,

0:47:10.400 --> 0:47:12.520
<v Speaker 3>I did interview Jodell as well on prospect.

0:47:12.560 --> 0:47:14.640
<v Speaker 1>We just got to get like a think like a

0:47:14.640 --> 0:47:16.600
<v Speaker 1>broom to Welsh interviewed.

0:47:17.239 --> 0:47:18.440
<v Speaker 4>But see, here's the problem.

0:47:18.480 --> 0:47:21.000
<v Speaker 3>Though I've been doing this for quite a while, we're

0:47:21.160 --> 0:47:24.160
<v Speaker 3>now in the place where I've gotten my hands on

0:47:24.400 --> 0:47:27.680
<v Speaker 3>so many minor leaguers that all the major leaguers arazing.

0:47:28.360 --> 0:47:31.080
<v Speaker 3>But now we're at the point where I've gotten through

0:47:31.200 --> 0:47:33.400
<v Speaker 3>multiple years that all these guys are major leaguers. So

0:47:33.400 --> 0:47:35.400
<v Speaker 3>I have all this reference point. It's just gonna happen.

0:47:35.640 --> 0:47:39.880
<v Speaker 3>But Adele was the one guy everybody ever everybody always.

0:47:39.600 --> 0:47:41.600
<v Speaker 4>Tiptoes around answers. You know.

0:47:41.880 --> 0:47:44.799
<v Speaker 3>Oh you know, I've asked like, what type of hitter

0:47:44.840 --> 0:47:45.080
<v Speaker 3>are you?

0:47:45.160 --> 0:47:46.759
<v Speaker 4>And how do you change as a hitter? Blah blah blah.

0:47:46.840 --> 0:47:48.440
<v Speaker 3>All the guys that kind of give that same answer

0:47:48.640 --> 0:47:50.600
<v Speaker 3>be like, well, you know, kind of a gap to

0:47:50.640 --> 0:47:52.560
<v Speaker 3>gap hitter, and I'm not really trying to hit for power.

0:47:52.600 --> 0:47:54.840
<v Speaker 3>It's like a cookie. Jodelle is the only guy that

0:47:54.880 --> 0:47:56.920
<v Speaker 3>didn't give me that. He's just like, no, I know

0:47:57.000 --> 0:47:59.360
<v Speaker 3>when to turn on a ball. I'm absolutely trying to

0:47:59.400 --> 0:48:00.759
<v Speaker 3>hit a home And that's probably.

0:48:00.480 --> 0:48:02.440
<v Speaker 4>A little bit of his mistake, by the way, maybe.

0:48:02.200 --> 0:48:04.320
<v Speaker 3>But he was the only one that was really honest

0:48:04.360 --> 0:48:07.040
<v Speaker 3>about how he would approach different at bats and how

0:48:07.040 --> 0:48:10.200
<v Speaker 3>he could hit for power. I'm definitely into it. The

0:48:10.239 --> 0:48:12.279
<v Speaker 3>spring looks like a big connection. He had a little

0:48:12.280 --> 0:48:14.719
<v Speaker 3>bit of a thing with some people that I knew

0:48:14.719 --> 0:48:18.680
<v Speaker 3>about that feared he couldn't hit anything above like ninety

0:48:18.760 --> 0:48:22.280
<v Speaker 3>three up in the zone because he was so looking

0:48:22.360 --> 0:48:24.879
<v Speaker 3>for offspeed trying to be able to adjust off speed

0:48:24.920 --> 0:48:27.360
<v Speaker 3>breaking stuff that he was beaten like crazy. And that

0:48:27.440 --> 0:48:29.160
<v Speaker 3>doesn't seem to be the case now. But let me

0:48:29.200 --> 0:48:32.280
<v Speaker 3>ask you this. Two things Jodell. Let's play the Jodell

0:48:32.600 --> 0:48:35.120
<v Speaker 3>projection game again, and I got one more for you.

0:48:35.320 --> 0:48:38.240
<v Speaker 3>Let's go to ATC. What do you think the Jodell

0:48:38.320 --> 0:48:39.719
<v Speaker 3>production projectionsone.

0:48:39.719 --> 0:48:42.360
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna ask you first for how many at bats

0:48:42.400 --> 0:48:42.880
<v Speaker 2>is he getting?

0:48:43.120 --> 0:48:45.560
<v Speaker 4>Okay, you got it, he is getting.

0:48:45.120 --> 0:48:46.600
<v Speaker 1>That's the gauge. If I don't know the at bats,

0:48:46.600 --> 0:48:48.040
<v Speaker 1>I can't even come close to these.

0:48:48.440 --> 0:48:51.759
<v Speaker 3>One hundred and da da da. Let's see, this is

0:48:51.800 --> 0:48:54.320
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and twenty two games, five hundred and twenty

0:48:54.320 --> 0:48:58.440
<v Speaker 3>five played appearances. I'm sorry, five oh three played appearances,

0:48:58.440 --> 0:49:01.240
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and twenty six games, twenty six on ATC.

0:49:01.800 --> 0:49:03.600
<v Speaker 1>That's pretty good. So what do you want? You want

0:49:03.640 --> 0:49:04.440
<v Speaker 1>stolen bases?

0:49:04.719 --> 0:49:06.520
<v Speaker 4>Let's start with homers.

0:49:08.200 --> 0:49:13.000
<v Speaker 2>Uh wow, I thought he's gonna give him eighteen.

0:49:14.200 --> 0:49:18.040
<v Speaker 3>You are very very close nineteen homers. The bat X

0:49:18.120 --> 0:49:20.960
<v Speaker 3>projects him at eighteen, so that's very good. How about runs?

0:49:22.000 --> 0:49:27.400
<v Speaker 1>Uh sixty five, almost sixty?

0:49:27.520 --> 0:49:28.280
<v Speaker 4>How many RBI?

0:49:28.520 --> 0:49:31.240
<v Speaker 1>Okay, fifty seven?

0:49:31.640 --> 0:49:32.520
<v Speaker 4>Oh see, you you.

0:49:32.440 --> 0:49:34.640
<v Speaker 3>Would have the last one. Sixty five is the RBI

0:49:36.280 --> 0:49:37.239
<v Speaker 3>batting average?

0:49:38.239 --> 0:49:43.799
<v Speaker 1>Batting average? Give me a let's go to sixty. That's

0:49:43.800 --> 0:49:44.759
<v Speaker 1>my overunder on it.

0:49:45.480 --> 0:49:51.400
<v Speaker 4>Two forty one. Yeah, and stolen bases.

0:49:51.960 --> 0:49:55.840
<v Speaker 3>Nine seven. So check this out. Let's come back to

0:49:55.880 --> 0:49:58.640
<v Speaker 3>that same thing we did before. These are baseline. This

0:49:58.719 --> 0:50:00.440
<v Speaker 3>is the baseline for a rookie the doesn't have a

0:50:00.440 --> 0:50:06.600
<v Speaker 3>long projection struggle. Yeah Jodell nineteen or yeah nineteen homers

0:50:06.680 --> 0:50:10.040
<v Speaker 3>seven at two forty essentially sixty and sixty if we

0:50:10.120 --> 0:50:12.799
<v Speaker 3>round up, think of upside here. What if Jodell does

0:50:12.920 --> 0:50:16.080
<v Speaker 3>hit two sixty twenty five homers, maybe he steals a

0:50:16.120 --> 0:50:18.080
<v Speaker 3>little bit more. So here's the other thing I asked you,

0:50:18.160 --> 0:50:20.000
<v Speaker 3>And this might be a really great, good poll question.

0:50:20.080 --> 0:50:22.600
<v Speaker 2>I mean, everybody that twenty eight overall right now too,

0:50:22.680 --> 0:50:24.719
<v Speaker 2>by the way, getting potentially there.

0:50:25.000 --> 0:50:28.280
<v Speaker 3>So this might be a poll question. Is which breakout

0:50:28.280 --> 0:50:32.439
<v Speaker 3>outfielder do you want? Jared Kalnick, who costs a top

0:50:32.520 --> 0:50:37.560
<v Speaker 3>one twenty five overall pick or Joeydell, who costs a

0:50:37.600 --> 0:50:39.960
<v Speaker 3>two twenty and well, which breakout any one?

0:50:40.840 --> 0:50:43.239
<v Speaker 2>I'll we should definitely put that pole out. But I

0:50:43.280 --> 0:50:47.720
<v Speaker 2>think the fallacy hero iguins the trap is that thinking

0:50:47.719 --> 0:50:50.799
<v Speaker 2>that kalen Nick's at bats are completely locked in and

0:50:51.000 --> 0:50:53.440
<v Speaker 2>Adele's aren't. That at the end of the day, it

0:50:53.520 --> 0:50:56.000
<v Speaker 2>might be the inverse, like Adele might find his way

0:50:56.000 --> 0:50:57.680
<v Speaker 2>into it and Calenick could play his way out of

0:50:57.719 --> 0:50:58.680
<v Speaker 2>it potentially.

0:50:58.719 --> 0:50:59.919
<v Speaker 4>Again, see that's a putt.

0:51:00.080 --> 0:51:02.239
<v Speaker 3>I think they're both in so I would even be

0:51:02.360 --> 0:51:04.759
<v Speaker 3>comfortable take away their possibility.

0:51:04.760 --> 0:51:06.520
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's what you see the variance in

0:51:06.520 --> 0:51:07.520
<v Speaker 1>their ADP so much.

0:51:07.920 --> 0:51:10.040
<v Speaker 3>But maybe that's why also you take ADP out of

0:51:10.040 --> 0:51:13.040
<v Speaker 3>the equation and you just go, who is the better

0:51:13.120 --> 0:51:15.880
<v Speaker 3>breakout star for this year? Because here's the other caveat

0:51:16.080 --> 0:51:20.080
<v Speaker 3>Adele is breaking out spring. He is a hot hot

0:51:20.080 --> 0:51:22.040
<v Speaker 3>bat in spring, where kel Nick is really not done

0:51:22.080 --> 0:51:23.680
<v Speaker 3>a whole lot. So I think he's out of people's

0:51:23.680 --> 0:51:27.160
<v Speaker 3>minds right now. So who is the better breakout outfield

0:51:27.280 --> 0:51:30.600
<v Speaker 3>star to you know, for you to take a shot on.

0:51:30.800 --> 0:51:33.000
<v Speaker 3>Is it Jared Keelnick or is it jo Adell? I mean,

0:51:33.040 --> 0:51:34.959
<v Speaker 3>what should you pick? You had Jodell on him.

0:51:34.840 --> 0:51:35.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna take Joydell.

0:51:35.640 --> 0:51:37.480
<v Speaker 2>I want the cheaper one because I still know what

0:51:37.800 --> 0:51:40.120
<v Speaker 2>the Kellenick Rangers guys that can really I know are

0:51:40.160 --> 0:51:42.600
<v Speaker 2>going to contribute still on a certain level, Kellenick still

0:51:42.600 --> 0:51:43.680
<v Speaker 2>a little bit of an unknown.

0:51:44.040 --> 0:51:46.000
<v Speaker 3>I think I would pick Joeydell right now too, based

0:51:46.040 --> 0:51:48.279
<v Speaker 3>on that exact same thing. Guys like alex fordual, I'm not.

0:51:48.200 --> 0:51:49.200
<v Speaker 1>Getting ten by the spring.

0:51:49.200 --> 0:51:50.920
<v Speaker 2>I've seen guys have great springs and then fall in

0:51:50.960 --> 0:51:52.480
<v Speaker 2>their face a million times, so like I'm not.

0:51:52.480 --> 0:51:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Being dupe by them.

0:51:53.480 --> 0:51:55.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm buying into what I saw in the minor leagues

0:51:55.960 --> 0:51:58.200
<v Speaker 2>and the track record and like you said, the athleticism

0:51:58.200 --> 0:51:59.880
<v Speaker 2>that he can make adjustments. All right, let's go to

0:51:59.880 --> 0:52:02.160
<v Speaker 2>the pitchers. Give me two pictures on the breakout team

0:52:02.160 --> 0:52:04.120
<v Speaker 2>for the Welsh And why the.

0:52:04.080 --> 0:52:05.399
<v Speaker 4>Two pictures I have got?

0:52:05.440 --> 0:52:08.480
<v Speaker 3>Oh, mister Michael Kopek, who we have talked about a

0:52:08.480 --> 0:52:10.200
<v Speaker 3>whole bunch who I didn't take it from you.

0:52:10.840 --> 0:52:12.640
<v Speaker 4>I know, I was happy. I was happy about that.

0:52:12.680 --> 0:52:13.839
<v Speaker 1>It's a crumb I gave you.

0:52:14.120 --> 0:52:17.680
<v Speaker 3>Michael Kopek. You know he's always in fantastic shape. I

0:52:17.840 --> 0:52:19.520
<v Speaker 3>just was over at White Sox camp where I got

0:52:19.560 --> 0:52:22.200
<v Speaker 3>my nice little Lanceln picture and he was out there

0:52:22.239 --> 0:52:23.239
<v Speaker 3>and he was interacting.

0:52:23.440 --> 0:52:23.960
<v Speaker 4>Looks good.

0:52:23.960 --> 0:52:26.640
<v Speaker 3>I mean physically, he just is so imposing. He's probably

0:52:26.960 --> 0:52:29.920
<v Speaker 3>like Lucas Giolito is Jack, dude. I don't know if

0:52:29.960 --> 0:52:31.720
<v Speaker 3>everybody has seen it, like when you see him in person,

0:52:31.880 --> 0:52:34.440
<v Speaker 3>Oh my god, he is absolutely Jack, but the second

0:52:34.560 --> 0:52:37.560
<v Speaker 3>most physically imposing picture out there is Kopek and the

0:52:37.560 --> 0:52:39.400
<v Speaker 3>same thing as before. You know, he was with the

0:52:39.440 --> 0:52:41.600
<v Speaker 3>major league team last year, but he was returning from

0:52:41.800 --> 0:52:44.319
<v Speaker 3>Tommy John. He had these injuries and he was going

0:52:44.320 --> 0:52:46.520
<v Speaker 3>in a relief role. This is a year for him

0:52:46.520 --> 0:52:48.319
<v Speaker 3>to be working more with the starters, even though I

0:52:48.320 --> 0:52:50.200
<v Speaker 3>have seen him with like Garrett Crochet and the relievers

0:52:50.200 --> 0:52:52.799
<v Speaker 3>a little bit. I am hopeful that he has stretched out.

0:52:52.840 --> 0:52:56.120
<v Speaker 3>He's such a big strikeout option. I love Michael Kopek

0:52:56.239 --> 0:52:58.280
<v Speaker 3>as a big breakout. And the other one is Logan

0:52:58.320 --> 0:53:02.200
<v Speaker 3>Gilbert with the Seattle Mariners. This is a year and anecdotally,

0:53:02.239 --> 0:53:03.840
<v Speaker 3>I could just tell you I was just at Mariners

0:53:03.840 --> 0:53:07.399
<v Speaker 3>camp and this guy is so intense and locked in.

0:53:07.480 --> 0:53:09.960
<v Speaker 3>Two days ago, they had a spring he wasn't in

0:53:10.040 --> 0:53:12.040
<v Speaker 3>the game, and they have the minor league games in

0:53:12.080 --> 0:53:14.120
<v Speaker 3>the back. He was out at the minor league games

0:53:14.160 --> 0:53:16.759
<v Speaker 3>watching and like scouting and going through. Was just at

0:53:16.800 --> 0:53:20.399
<v Speaker 3>the Mariners camp. Everybody was gone, all the pitchers far

0:53:20.520 --> 0:53:23.000
<v Speaker 3>gone for the day. He stayed out on the throwing

0:53:23.080 --> 0:53:26.200
<v Speaker 3>mound working by himself for over an hour. All the

0:53:26.280 --> 0:53:28.200
<v Speaker 3>hitters were gone, all the pitchers are gone, and he

0:53:28.320 --> 0:53:32.359
<v Speaker 3>kept out there just working, working, working, throwing at They

0:53:32.400 --> 0:53:35.720
<v Speaker 3>have these like mannequin looking hitters with a strike zone

0:53:35.840 --> 0:53:36.839
<v Speaker 3>and then you know, a.

0:53:36.800 --> 0:53:37.680
<v Speaker 4>Bucket for the ball.

0:53:38.239 --> 0:53:41.880
<v Speaker 3>That guy was out there before I left, like I

0:53:41.960 --> 0:53:43.480
<v Speaker 3>left and he was still out there. He's one of

0:53:43.480 --> 0:53:47.080
<v Speaker 3>the hardest working guys major League. Remember when that's like

0:53:47.120 --> 0:53:48.920
<v Speaker 3>what it was, That's exactly like what it is. It's

0:53:48.920 --> 0:53:49.720
<v Speaker 3>a one hundred percent.

0:53:51.320 --> 0:53:51.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:53:51.520 --> 0:53:53.040
<v Speaker 3>And I don't know if it was the owner, if

0:53:53.040 --> 0:53:57.480
<v Speaker 3>it was the lady owner, but he's a high command

0:53:57.480 --> 0:53:59.480
<v Speaker 3>guy who I don't think he has the most insane

0:53:59.480 --> 0:54:02.600
<v Speaker 3>stuff ever, but it's a really great organization as far

0:54:02.640 --> 0:54:05.040
<v Speaker 3>as you know, teaching spin and being able to work

0:54:05.080 --> 0:54:07.640
<v Speaker 3>through all that stuff that this is a good command pitcher.

0:54:07.640 --> 0:54:10.120
<v Speaker 3>It's why I picked him last year. I thought is

0:54:10.160 --> 0:54:13.120
<v Speaker 3>maybe the number one pitching prospect between him and Alec Manoa,

0:54:13.200 --> 0:54:14.680
<v Speaker 3>and I think this is going to be a really

0:54:14.719 --> 0:54:15.760
<v Speaker 3>important year when he's.

0:54:15.640 --> 0:54:16.680
<v Speaker 4>Got a rotation spot.

0:54:16.840 --> 0:54:19.600
<v Speaker 3>There's a fantastic team built around him with lots of runs.

0:54:19.880 --> 0:54:22.120
<v Speaker 3>I hope the er keeps down, but I think he's

0:54:22.160 --> 0:54:24.600
<v Speaker 3>going to walk into double digit wins this year just

0:54:24.640 --> 0:54:26.080
<v Speaker 3>based on the team. And he's one of the hardest

0:54:26.080 --> 0:54:28.839
<v Speaker 3>workers I've ever seen as far as a pitcher goes,

0:54:28.840 --> 0:54:31.279
<v Speaker 3>so Logan Gilbert an easy breakout pitcher for me.

0:54:31.760 --> 0:54:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I love the Gilbert pick too.

0:54:33.360 --> 0:54:35.200
<v Speaker 2>I Mean, everybody knew Kopek was going to get on

0:54:35.239 --> 0:54:37.200
<v Speaker 2>this list, but the Gilbert one to me, and I

0:54:37.280 --> 0:54:39.600
<v Speaker 2>was actually just looking a little bit more at him,

0:54:40.239 --> 0:54:43.040
<v Speaker 2>and it all just makes sense, man Like to me,

0:54:43.120 --> 0:54:44.120
<v Speaker 2>it's an easy one.

0:54:44.160 --> 0:54:46.560
<v Speaker 1>As you're saying, sometimes these are just easy now for me.

0:54:47.680 --> 0:54:51.480
<v Speaker 2>One of them is Jill Ryan, who of the Minnesota

0:54:51.520 --> 0:54:53.520
<v Speaker 2>Twins that you'd heard Ariel Cone on this show a

0:54:53.520 --> 0:54:56.200
<v Speaker 2>few weeks ago talk about him and what he thinks

0:54:56.200 --> 0:54:59.000
<v Speaker 2>so far of his potential to really take that next

0:54:59.000 --> 0:55:01.640
<v Speaker 2>step forward. You saw a little teas of it last

0:55:01.680 --> 0:55:03.680
<v Speaker 2>year on the big league level, you know, just just

0:55:03.719 --> 0:55:06.400
<v Speaker 2>to tease. Though five starts, twenty six innings pitch, he

0:55:06.440 --> 0:55:07.520
<v Speaker 2>struck out thirty.

0:55:07.200 --> 0:55:08.520
<v Speaker 1>Guys you walked only five.

0:55:09.880 --> 0:55:12.840
<v Speaker 2>Look, and I think he's like the number ninety seven

0:55:13.000 --> 0:55:15.680
<v Speaker 2>prospect or something like that overall. So for some reason

0:55:15.719 --> 0:55:17.560
<v Speaker 2>he's not as higher up on the prospect list. But

0:55:18.280 --> 0:55:20.520
<v Speaker 2>sometimes the guys that show up and dominate aren't always

0:55:20.600 --> 0:55:21.759
<v Speaker 2>the guys one through ten.

0:55:21.960 --> 0:55:22.920
<v Speaker 1>It's just always like that.

0:55:23.040 --> 0:55:25.360
<v Speaker 4>It's right, he is Zach Gallon. By the way, is

0:55:25.400 --> 0:55:26.440
<v Speaker 4>that like Joe Ryant?

0:55:26.480 --> 0:55:28.919
<v Speaker 3>Like I remember Zach Gallin, he didn't have he didn't

0:55:28.960 --> 0:55:31.719
<v Speaker 3>have like the best stuff on the planet, but he

0:55:31.800 --> 0:55:33.480
<v Speaker 3>kept dominating and dominating through the miners.

0:55:33.560 --> 0:55:36.680
<v Speaker 2>Joe thing dominating is the right word because in the

0:55:36.719 --> 0:55:39.720
<v Speaker 2>minor leagues, two hundred and twenty six innings, three hundred

0:55:39.719 --> 0:55:42.799
<v Speaker 2>and twenty six strike its three hundred and twenty six strikeouts.

0:55:42.840 --> 0:55:45.040
<v Speaker 2>That's an enormous number and just fifty three walks.

0:55:45.480 --> 0:55:49.040
<v Speaker 4>So to me, it's just like Gallit just yeah, I

0:55:49.080 --> 0:55:49.520
<v Speaker 4>love that bit.

0:55:49.560 --> 0:55:51.920
<v Speaker 1>It's a great comp. The Gallon comp is a great one.

0:55:51.960 --> 0:55:55.280
<v Speaker 2>And the other one is a guy with Tampa who

0:55:55.360 --> 0:55:59.560
<v Speaker 2>I don't think everybody even remembers about is Louis Patino, who,

0:56:00.120 --> 0:56:02.480
<v Speaker 2>if he could just get healthy and on the mound,

0:56:03.120 --> 0:56:05.239
<v Speaker 2>this was a prime pitching prospect just a couple of

0:56:05.280 --> 0:56:07.600
<v Speaker 2>years ago with the Padres that everybody was once again

0:56:07.880 --> 0:56:09.400
<v Speaker 2>pushing their grandmother out of the way to get a

0:56:09.400 --> 0:56:13.000
<v Speaker 2>hold of. And now now it's about does he get

0:56:13.000 --> 0:56:13.920
<v Speaker 2>a crack at the rotation?

0:56:14.040 --> 0:56:14.880
<v Speaker 1>Is he healthy enough?

0:56:15.160 --> 0:56:18.799
<v Speaker 2>Because this is another player that has vast potential, had

0:56:18.880 --> 0:56:21.840
<v Speaker 2>good control of the minor leagues, has that strikeout upside

0:56:21.840 --> 0:56:24.799
<v Speaker 2>that you're looking for ten point nine k per nine

0:56:24.800 --> 0:56:27.239
<v Speaker 2>in the minor leagues over two hundred and sixty three innings.

0:56:27.280 --> 0:56:29.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, this dude was a couple of years ago

0:56:29.239 --> 0:56:30.920
<v Speaker 2>people would ask you who was the best pitching prospect

0:56:30.920 --> 0:56:33.920
<v Speaker 2>in baseball. Many people would say Patino, right, and the

0:56:33.960 --> 0:56:36.359
<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay Rays have a pretty good track record last

0:56:36.360 --> 0:56:39.319
<v Speaker 2>time I checked a grooming young pitching. So I'm all

0:56:39.360 --> 0:56:41.160
<v Speaker 2>in on Patino this year everywhere I can get him

0:56:41.360 --> 0:56:44.279
<v Speaker 2>and then last and maybe least or maybe not. But

0:56:44.400 --> 0:56:46.919
<v Speaker 2>let's get to the relief pitchers here, and once again

0:56:46.960 --> 0:56:50.080
<v Speaker 2>we like to sometimes, you know, tweak.

0:56:49.840 --> 0:56:50.399
<v Speaker 1>This a little bit.

0:56:50.400 --> 0:56:52.440
<v Speaker 2>And I already have a mea culpa because I think

0:56:52.480 --> 0:56:55.560
<v Speaker 2>a guy that I had on the bus list, you

0:56:55.600 --> 0:56:57.520
<v Speaker 2>have on the breakout list now at this position, and

0:56:57.560 --> 0:56:59.600
<v Speaker 2>I think I have in a week or so of

0:56:59.640 --> 0:57:02.799
<v Speaker 2>watching him pitch twice, I think I've come around. I

0:57:02.840 --> 0:57:04.719
<v Speaker 2>think I'm already going to take him off my list

0:57:04.760 --> 0:57:05.360
<v Speaker 2>and agree with you.

0:57:05.800 --> 0:57:07.879
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you don't want to, like you know, you don't

0:57:07.880 --> 0:57:09.840
<v Speaker 3>want to take what happens in spring for the be

0:57:09.960 --> 0:57:13.319
<v Speaker 3>all end all. But when you see a picture, when

0:57:13.320 --> 0:57:16.960
<v Speaker 3>you see a pitcher have their average velocity on their

0:57:16.960 --> 0:57:19.959
<v Speaker 3>fastball rise by around three miles per hour. It's something

0:57:20.040 --> 0:57:21.600
<v Speaker 3>that you have to take notice on, and that's his

0:57:21.720 --> 0:57:24.200
<v Speaker 3>use lozarda I didn't go with like a closing option here,

0:57:24.680 --> 0:57:27.640
<v Speaker 3>you know, finding the right next young closer, especially young

0:57:27.680 --> 0:57:29.280
<v Speaker 3>guys that are going to break out and be closers.

0:57:29.320 --> 0:57:31.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean at that point it's Camilla daval, which I

0:57:31.160 --> 0:57:33.160
<v Speaker 3>think you could if there was a young young guy

0:57:33.200 --> 0:57:35.360
<v Speaker 3>who could start closing, he would qualify at that and

0:57:35.680 --> 0:57:36.200
<v Speaker 3>that might be.

0:57:36.160 --> 0:57:39.360
<v Speaker 4>A good breakout. But the guys that qualify it relief pitchers.

0:57:40.200 --> 0:57:40.959
<v Speaker 4>That's what you've got.

0:57:40.960 --> 0:57:42.560
<v Speaker 3>That's what you've got, and he's just Lozardo who will

0:57:42.640 --> 0:57:45.040
<v Speaker 3>qualify and over those spots a lot of injury issues.

0:57:45.160 --> 0:57:48.080
<v Speaker 3>Looks like he's commanding his pitches better, his secondaries are

0:57:48.080 --> 0:57:50.920
<v Speaker 3>setting up the fastball. His fastball is going even more

0:57:50.960 --> 0:57:53.320
<v Speaker 3>and in his last couple starts, I think Chris Clegg

0:57:53.880 --> 0:57:56.240
<v Speaker 3>from Vantrax had noted it, which is a great note

0:57:56.440 --> 0:58:00.480
<v Speaker 3>that in his last start in spring, Lizardo threw his

0:58:00.600 --> 0:58:03.560
<v Speaker 3>curveball more than his fastball. I think it was forty

0:58:03.600 --> 0:58:07.520
<v Speaker 3>to thirty five, thirty six percent curveball in favor of fastball.

0:58:07.840 --> 0:58:09.160
<v Speaker 4>Which that's a great mix.

0:58:09.200 --> 0:58:11.480
<v Speaker 3>If you can command your curveball to that level and

0:58:11.480 --> 0:58:14.720
<v Speaker 3>get enough swings and misses on it where you can

0:58:14.960 --> 0:58:17.840
<v Speaker 3>overpower that than your fastball, then you're gonna have hitters

0:58:17.840 --> 0:58:19.680
<v Speaker 3>guessing all the time. And then guess what, By the way,

0:58:19.800 --> 0:58:21.640
<v Speaker 3>if you can throw off speed breaking stuff and then

0:58:21.640 --> 0:58:23.760
<v Speaker 3>you can command a ninety eight mile an hour fastball

0:58:23.800 --> 0:58:26.560
<v Speaker 3>that's coming off of that, you're gonna give hitters fits.

0:58:26.320 --> 0:58:26.880
<v Speaker 4>All day long.

0:58:27.040 --> 0:58:30.920
<v Speaker 3>I've also always loved Lozardo because he's a really smart,

0:58:31.040 --> 0:58:34.680
<v Speaker 3>weird pitcher who does the different pitching mechanics. I don't

0:58:34.720 --> 0:58:36.800
<v Speaker 3>know if he's scrapped it at all. I haven't really

0:58:36.840 --> 0:58:38.400
<v Speaker 3>seen that yet, but he's one of those guys he

0:58:38.400 --> 0:58:40.959
<v Speaker 3>would have his normal rotation and then maybe his next

0:58:41.000 --> 0:58:43.640
<v Speaker 3>pitch he would like stop and he would sit for

0:58:43.680 --> 0:58:46.120
<v Speaker 3>three seconds and then throw it like he literally would

0:58:46.160 --> 0:58:48.000
<v Speaker 3>have like five or six different ways to pitch, and

0:58:48.040 --> 0:58:50.400
<v Speaker 3>it keeps timing off. And I love that with pitchers,

0:58:50.520 --> 0:58:53.000
<v Speaker 3>and I hope to see that more. With more confidence,

0:58:53.080 --> 0:58:56.520
<v Speaker 3>better health, a better fastball, and command of secondaries that

0:58:56.600 --> 0:59:00.000
<v Speaker 3>Lozardo's Yeah, He's just gonna be one of those beneficiaries

0:59:00.120 --> 0:59:01.880
<v Speaker 3>for spring that I'm going to buy into and if

0:59:01.880 --> 0:59:02.960
<v Speaker 3>I'm wrong, who cares?

0:59:03.040 --> 0:59:04.040
<v Speaker 4>What's so cheap?

0:59:04.200 --> 0:59:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he's where I mean, he's so free right now?

0:59:06.680 --> 0:59:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Where is he right now?

0:59:07.640 --> 0:59:08.840
<v Speaker 4>I think it's post three hundred?

0:59:08.840 --> 0:59:11.400
<v Speaker 1>I want to say, is it still after this week?

0:59:11.680 --> 0:59:12.640
<v Speaker 1>That's my only.

0:59:12.600 --> 0:59:15.640
<v Speaker 3>Well if you, yeah, if you, if you're able to

0:59:15.760 --> 0:59:18.280
<v Speaker 3>like time search it over the last week, I'll bet

0:59:18.320 --> 0:59:21.800
<v Speaker 3>you he's probably Jesus three.

0:59:22.200 --> 0:59:24.520
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, to eighty nine right now in the consensus

0:59:24.560 --> 0:59:26.800
<v Speaker 2>and Fantasy pros NFBC to eighty four.

0:59:27.600 --> 0:59:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Uh so, all right, so let's gets in there, getting more,

0:59:30.240 --> 0:59:30.640
<v Speaker 1>getting up.

0:59:30.680 --> 0:59:32.240
<v Speaker 4>It's getting up there. It is getting drafted.

0:59:32.280 --> 0:59:33.720
<v Speaker 2>He's no longer going to be a free you know,

0:59:34.160 --> 0:59:36.400
<v Speaker 2>like on fan tracks though, he's even higher because you

0:59:36.440 --> 0:59:38.800
<v Speaker 2>have a lot of dynasty leagues there. Yeah, so you

0:59:38.840 --> 0:59:41.120
<v Speaker 2>know people are taking those shots early on that.

0:59:41.200 --> 0:59:41.480
<v Speaker 1>All right.

0:59:41.560 --> 0:59:43.840
<v Speaker 2>Last guy for me is Christian Xavier. You know that

0:59:44.320 --> 0:59:48.200
<v Speaker 2>the relief picture that I'm very enamored of. Everybody you

0:59:48.240 --> 0:59:50.440
<v Speaker 2>know knows he's probably gonna start in the bullpen.

0:59:50.560 --> 0:59:51.440
<v Speaker 1>That's fine. It's April.

0:59:51.480 --> 0:59:53.320
<v Speaker 4>Actually, I think they announced it. They announced it today,

0:59:53.400 --> 0:59:54.120
<v Speaker 4>Dusty Baker did.

0:59:54.200 --> 0:59:57.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and I'm not surprised, but If you think that

0:59:57.720 --> 1:00:00.880
<v Speaker 2>Jacob Derizi and Lance mccollors and those guys are gonna

1:00:00.880 --> 1:00:03.600
<v Speaker 2>all pitch, you're nuts. Like I've it's like a James

1:00:03.600 --> 1:00:06.960
<v Speaker 2>Bond movie, Like you know, you know the formula, you

1:00:07.120 --> 1:00:09.880
<v Speaker 2>know what's coming down the pike. I wish Lance mccullors

1:00:09.920 --> 1:00:11.760
<v Speaker 2>was going to be healthy enough to pitch and make

1:00:11.800 --> 1:00:14.160
<v Speaker 2>thirty starts this year. I'm just very skeptical it's going

1:00:14.160 --> 1:00:15.880
<v Speaker 2>to be the case. And you're also telling me that

1:00:15.920 --> 1:00:18.080
<v Speaker 2>no one else in this rotation is going to misstart.

1:00:18.640 --> 1:00:20.479
<v Speaker 2>Christian Haavierre is gonna make starts. I think he's gonna

1:00:20.480 --> 1:00:22.760
<v Speaker 2>make somewhere between fifteen and twenty this year. I really do,

1:00:23.320 --> 1:00:25.480
<v Speaker 2>And I think that's really worth investing in, especially those

1:00:25.480 --> 1:00:28.080
<v Speaker 2>mandatory RP spot leagues, because I think he's a guy

1:00:28.080 --> 1:00:29.920
<v Speaker 2>that's got already gonna give you a ton of strikeouts

1:00:29.960 --> 1:00:32.440
<v Speaker 2>to strikeout rates off the chart. I think another year

1:00:32.440 --> 1:00:35.000
<v Speaker 2>in the big leagues once again, this guy is just electric.

1:00:35.120 --> 1:00:37.640
<v Speaker 2>So I'm bidding on the talent because I think the

1:00:37.680 --> 1:00:39.959
<v Speaker 2>opportunity is gonna present itself sooner than later. So let's

1:00:39.960 --> 1:00:42.800
<v Speaker 2>recap the team here for the Welsh A catcher Joey

1:00:42.800 --> 1:00:46.360
<v Speaker 2>Bart at first base, Spencer Toorklesen, then Josh Rojas at second,

1:00:46.440 --> 1:00:50.400
<v Speaker 2>at third, Alec Bohm, almed Razzario which shortstop, the outfielder

1:00:50.480 --> 1:00:53.200
<v Speaker 2>Jared Kalnick, then Michael Kopek, Logan Gilbert are the pitchers,

1:00:53.240 --> 1:00:56.080
<v Speaker 2>with Jesus Lozardo and for me behind the dishes, Tyler

1:00:56.120 --> 1:00:59.200
<v Speaker 2>Stevenson at first is Alex kiro loov Bran Rodgers at second,

1:00:59.280 --> 1:01:03.560
<v Speaker 2>Caprian Hayes a third at shortstop, Willia Doms, Joe Adell

1:01:03.960 --> 1:01:06.760
<v Speaker 2>and the outfield Joe Ryan and Louis Patino are the

1:01:06.760 --> 1:01:09.080
<v Speaker 2>pictures with Christian Javier as the reliever.

1:01:09.320 --> 1:01:11.680
<v Speaker 1>So pretty good list of names, Welsh. I feel like

1:01:11.720 --> 1:01:12.200
<v Speaker 1>these guys.

1:01:12.080 --> 1:01:14.720
<v Speaker 2>Are gonna have some really good seasons potentially ahead of

1:01:14.800 --> 1:01:17.200
<v Speaker 2>us in twenty twenty two. And just as a reminder

1:01:17.240 --> 1:01:19.280
<v Speaker 2>to everybody out there, I know you got drafts coming up.

1:01:19.680 --> 1:01:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Get on that.

1:01:20.360 --> 1:01:22.520
<v Speaker 2>Go to Fantasypros dot com slash kit and get our

1:01:22.680 --> 1:01:23.640
<v Speaker 2>MLB draft kit.

1:01:23.720 --> 1:01:24.440
<v Speaker 1>It's free.

1:01:25.080 --> 1:01:29.760
<v Speaker 2>Dominate your draft right now with the projections, the salarycap values,

1:01:29.800 --> 1:01:32.960
<v Speaker 2>the cheat sheets, everything you need and don't forget. We've

1:01:32.960 --> 1:01:35.280
<v Speaker 2>also got great content at fantasypros dot com two because

1:01:35.280 --> 1:01:38.280
<v Speaker 2>we got the consensus Sleeper list, which is coming out

1:01:38.320 --> 1:01:40.760
<v Speaker 2>I think Tuesday, So depending on when you're listening to

1:01:40.800 --> 1:01:44.080
<v Speaker 2>this that Consensus Sleepers Featured Pros article, it's gonna have

1:01:44.080 --> 1:01:45.720
<v Speaker 2>a ton more names they're gonna be looking for in

1:01:45.760 --> 1:01:46.200
<v Speaker 2>your draft.

1:01:46.240 --> 1:01:48.960
<v Speaker 1>So get on that as well. And don't forget.

1:01:48.760 --> 1:01:51.480
<v Speaker 2>About the giveaway right now Fantasypros dot com slash MLB

1:01:51.640 --> 1:01:54.640
<v Speaker 2>contest when you subscribe to our YouTube channel, YouTube dot

1:01:54.640 --> 1:01:58.919
<v Speaker 2>com slash Fantasy Pros MLB, that's the channel you need.

1:01:59.160 --> 1:02:01.320
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for our friends at pre Steen Auction that Austin Riley,

1:02:01.400 --> 1:02:02.400
<v Speaker 2>Jersey can be yours.

1:02:02.560 --> 1:02:04.080
<v Speaker 1>And don't forget the Welsh and.

1:02:04.000 --> 1:02:07.080
<v Speaker 2>Me Joey p five days a week talking baseball and

1:02:07.160 --> 1:02:09.240
<v Speaker 2>leading off right here on our YouTube channel, live at

1:02:09.280 --> 1:02:12.040
<v Speaker 2>noon so you have lunch, or you get to your

1:02:12.080 --> 1:02:14.080
<v Speaker 2>office at nine o'clock if you're on the West coast

1:02:14.200 --> 1:02:14.640
<v Speaker 2>or whatever.

1:02:14.960 --> 1:02:18.200
<v Speaker 1>You get your home office, whatever people do nowadays, home office,

1:02:19.880 --> 1:02:21.600
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have. The ratings are gonna be through the

1:02:21.640 --> 1:02:22.240
<v Speaker 1>roof this year.

1:02:23.080 --> 1:02:23.479
<v Speaker 4>The roof.

1:02:23.560 --> 1:02:25.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean, there's gonna be a little bit of a

1:02:25.880 --> 1:02:27.880
<v Speaker 3>like Dan Harris miss that's gonna happen.

1:02:27.960 --> 1:02:30.040
<v Speaker 4>But hopefully we can hopefully.

1:02:30.000 --> 1:02:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Wait for the person on the chat there in the commons, say,

1:02:33.080 --> 1:02:34.840
<v Speaker 1>who's this guy? Where's Dan Harris?

1:02:35.200 --> 1:02:36.640
<v Speaker 4>Dan Harris gained a lot of weight.

1:02:38.640 --> 1:02:42.760
<v Speaker 1>Dan Harris looks different. I don't understand what, but anyway,

1:02:42.840 --> 1:02:43.960
<v Speaker 1>they will love fighting.

1:02:44.520 --> 1:02:45.800
<v Speaker 4>He's a superhero now, so.

1:02:45.840 --> 1:02:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Everybody loves you already. He's fighting. He is the Bruce

1:02:49.680 --> 1:02:52.680
<v Speaker 1>Wayne to the Gotham city somewhere.

1:02:52.280 --> 1:02:52.360
<v Speaker 3>And.

1:02:54.680 --> 1:02:56.040
<v Speaker 4>Dan Harris is walking around.

1:02:56.240 --> 1:02:57.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm vengeance, Like, all.

1:02:57.880 --> 1:03:00.320
<v Speaker 4>Right, Dan, I thought you were Dan Harris like this,

1:03:00.960 --> 1:03:01.840
<v Speaker 4>I'm vengeance.

1:03:01.960 --> 1:03:03.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm pretty sure it's more.

1:03:02.920 --> 1:03:04.520
<v Speaker 3>Like, Oh, he'll make fun of his voice. I'm gonna

1:03:04.520 --> 1:03:05.720
<v Speaker 3>tell him I just did that impression.

1:03:05.760 --> 1:03:07.600
<v Speaker 2>You could tell me because he didn't make fun of

1:03:07.680 --> 1:03:10.080
<v Speaker 2>me on the live stream. That's what friends do. You

1:03:10.160 --> 1:03:13.480
<v Speaker 2>make fun of each other and then inevitably someone slaps somebody.

1:03:13.680 --> 1:03:15.120
<v Speaker 1>That'll do it for us. But the story of the

1:03:15.120 --> 1:03:18.600
<v Speaker 1>game goes on for the Welch, I'm Joey b We'll

1:03:18.600 --> 1:03:21.320
<v Speaker 1>see you next time. Kids,