Speaker 1: Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan ger Duski.
Speaker 1: Thank you guys for being here. Will Texas go blue
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six? That's the question I'm asking today
Speaker 1: in today's episode. But before we talk about that, I
Speaker 1: need to talk a little bit about race and identity
Speaker 1: on the American left.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: I know we're a country that seems to never stop
Speaker 1: talking about race and identity. It's more of a lecture
Speaker 1: than a conversation. That's the best thing. The media always says,
Speaker 1: So let's have a conversation, and then they do a
Speaker 1: one sided argument. They yell at you the entire time.
Speaker 1: But some that's going on among attention seeking progressives who
Speaker 1: are both influencers and politicians, where they're talking about white
Speaker 1: Americans in a dehumanizing way. They're othering white Americans, making
Speaker 1: sure their followers understand that their time, that white Americans
Speaker 1: time has come and gone, and that whites are oppressors
Speaker 1: who must suffer for the sins of their fathers. They're
Speaker 1: doing all of this again. First, let me go to
Speaker 1: a clip that happened last year, but it's been circling
Speaker 1: over social media actually over the weekend. This is from
Speaker 1: the Democrat minority leader in the Texas State House of
Speaker 1: Representatives named Jean Wu. He's an immigrant from China, liked
Speaker 1: it to the state Texas State Representatives to play clip one.
Speaker 3: I think you've hit exactly the right points. And it's
Speaker 3: not just Latinos, it's not just Asians, it's not just
Speaker 3: African Americans, it's everybody.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 3: We are country, and the forces that be, the powers
Speaker 3: that be, have spent tremendous time, effort, and money to
Speaker 3: make sure that those groups are never united, that they
Speaker 3: always see each other as enemies and as.
Speaker 4: Competitors, without ever realizing that they share one thing in common,
Speaker 4: that their oppressors all are the same. Right, the oppression
Speaker 4: comes from one place.
Speaker 3: And I always tell people, the day it's the Latino, African, American,
Speaker 3: Asian and other communities realize that they are that they
Speaker 3: are the same oppressor, is the day we start winning.
Speaker 3: Because we are the majority in this country. Now we
Speaker 3: have the ability to take over this country and to
Speaker 3: do what is needed for everyone and to make things fair.
Speaker 3: But the thumb is our communities are divided.
Speaker 1: So we spoke to the Houston Chronicle over the weekend
Speaker 1: and he gave some context, and he said, of course,
Speaker 1: he wasn't speaking about white people, even though very clear
Speaker 1: dog whistle that you could hear from a million miles away.
Speaker 1: Now he was talking about Republicans being the pressers. Well,
Speaker 1: if that's true, why didn't he mentioned working class whites
Speaker 1: in West Texas who earn a lot less than wealthy
Speaker 1: Asians in the suburbs of Dallas and Austin, who have
Speaker 1: shorter life expectancy and who work very tough jobs in
Speaker 1: the Texas heat. It's so obvious on his face he's
Speaker 1: not talking about Republicans. He's talking about white people, no
Speaker 1: matter what he says, because there are loads of minorities
Speaker 1: in Texas that but Republican South Texas is very supportive
Speaker 1: of Donald Trump, and you've brought into the whole nation.
Speaker 1: There are there are groups everywhere except for Black Americans,
Speaker 1: that support Republican, that vote majority Republican. So he's not
Speaker 1: talking about minority talking about minorities being oppressed by Republicans
Speaker 1: because minorities are voting for Republicans in large pockets of
Speaker 1: this country. Now he's talking about white people. And the
Speaker 1: Houston Chronicle, by the way, bent over backwards. I was
Speaker 1: in a Twitter spat with the editor there they were talking,
Speaker 1: bending over backwards, talking about how he you know, the
Speaker 1: criticism wasn't fair because he was really not talking about
Speaker 1: white people. He wasn't trying to hint hint, wink, wink,
Speaker 1: dog whistle about white genocide and taking over the country.
Speaker 1: They didn't They really didn't have a problem with that
Speaker 1: as much as they should have, and they should have
Speaker 1: set there and held his feet to the fire. Now
Speaker 1: I know, we didn't say that white people were the oppressors.
Speaker 1: He's leaving up to the imagination of every person who
Speaker 1: listens to that video, including his supporters. He was on
Speaker 1: the podcast, by the way of a former illegal immigrant
Speaker 1: whose story frankly never made any sense to me because
Speaker 1: I think there were big holes in it. But he
Speaker 1: was on a conversation with immigrant who's made identity and
Speaker 1: race his entire personality and talked about at every given moment.
Speaker 1: So whose audience are you talking to? What are you
Speaker 1: talking about? The Houston Chronicles said it couldn't have been
Speaker 1: talking about white people because he didn't name them, as
Speaker 1: if The only standard we have for judging politicians on
Speaker 1: what they say when it comes to inflammatory speech is
Speaker 1: explicitly what they say. President Trump has been accused of
Speaker 1: racism every second for the last ten years for things
Speaker 1: he did not say, because that is what the left heard.
Speaker 1: And yet this man who's talking about minorities taking over
Speaker 1: the country in a very explicit way, we're supposed to
Speaker 1: hear something completely different. Now, let's go to a progressive
Speaker 1: talking head was shat Ali. He late last year told
Speaker 1: white people that they that their nation was over, and
Speaker 1: that they and that, by the way, their nation is
Speaker 1: over because they've been too generous to immigrants. That's what
Speaker 1: he says. They're and says and then the entire history
Speaker 1: of Western civilization sucks.
Speaker 2: Let's go to a club too. You have lost, you lost.
Speaker 2: The mistake that you made is you let us in
Speaker 2: the first place. That's the thing with brown people. And
Speaker 2: I'm going to say this is a brown person. There's
Speaker 2: a lot of us, like a lot. There's like one
Speaker 2: point two billion in India that's born than two hundred
Speaker 2: million in Pakistan. There's like one hundred and seventy million
Speaker 2: in vagualadation. Those are just the people there. I'm even
Speaker 2: talking about the folks who are expats or immigrants. There's
Speaker 2: a bunch of us, and we breed. We're a breeding people.
Speaker 2: And the problem is is you let us in an
Speaker 2: nineteen sixty five, there was a few, There were a
Speaker 2: few of us before. But once you let one of
Speaker 2: us in, you know what happens with brown folks. Our
Speaker 2: grandmother comes, our grandfather comes, our uncle comes, our aunt comes,
Speaker 2: our cousin comes, our second cousin comes, our third cousin comes.
Speaker 5: Then we have kids, a bunch of kids.
Speaker 1: And then guess what.
Speaker 2: Some white women, you know, the Western civilization women, the
Speaker 2: pure women, the American women, quot unquote, the Ross Belt women,
Speaker 2: the real women. They like some of us brown folks,
Speaker 2: we don't take them.
Speaker 5: They come to us.
Speaker 2: So we're embedded. We are everywhere. We are everywhere I
Speaker 2: have traveled this country. I almost speak as a brown person.
Speaker 2: Brown people are every There will be a Patel motel,
Speaker 2: or there will be a Daisy restaurant everywhere. I want
Speaker 2: you to realize this. You have lost. Your story is
Speaker 2: a shitty story, filled with misery. It's filled with bland chicken.
Speaker 2: It's filled with terrible, terrible, dry assed meat. Your music
Speaker 2: sucks all, your culture sucks nobody. That's why the kids
Speaker 2: like listening to black people and their music. That's why
Speaker 2: the kids love Latinos. Your parties suck because they're monochromatic.
Speaker 2: Our parties have better food, better music, better looking women.
Speaker 1: Right, It's the reason why constantly brown people like Bajade's
Speaker 1: family decided to move to a majority white country. Because
Speaker 1: it's so terrible, because our narratives are so bad, and
Speaker 1: because our history is so bad. For those of you
Speaker 1: who don't know who he is, once, you're better off.
Speaker 1: Before listenings podcast Bajada all these parents immigrated from Pakistan
Speaker 1: in the nineteen eighties, and he says he's been scarred
Speaker 1: by America because his parents were arrested and convicted of
Speaker 1: over thirty counts of conspiracy, male fraud, wire fraud, and
Speaker 1: money laundering. While A Lei has repeatedly said in his
Speaker 1: book and other events that anti Muslim sentiments after nine
Speaker 1: to eleven were the reasons for the convictions his parents
Speaker 1: pled guilty along with two white guys. Two white guys
Speaker 1: were also co conspirators who were pled guilty, and maybe
Speaker 1: European surnames. So I don't know how anti Islamic feelings
Speaker 1: after nine to eleven would possibly be the reasoning that
Speaker 1: these two white guys also face jail time and why
Speaker 1: they pled guilty. The victimhood is cultural currency, and this
Speaker 1: man knows that. That's how he plays into the white
Speaker 1: guilt for his white liberal audience and his other audience
Speaker 1: and trying to embold them. And he promotes narratives that
Speaker 1: aren't true, but they feel good or they make someone
Speaker 1: feel bad. That's that's the greatest irony. I mean, his
Speaker 1: numbers as statistics that they put out there on birth
Speaker 1: rates are completely incorrect. His statistics on what kind of
Speaker 1: preferred music as popular is incorrect. You know that's but
Speaker 1: that doesn't matter. The numbers don't matter. The facts don't matter.
Speaker 1: The narrative matters. And if you want to see a
Speaker 1: hilarious clip of him, watch the I mentioned this episode
Speaker 1: before because it's just so good than Mary Trump podcast.
Speaker 1: When Donald Trump wins the presidency and he thinks that
Speaker 1: Trump's going to, you know, Kamala Harrison was going to
Speaker 1: sweep this election. It's very very funny. But of course
Speaker 1: he also says that that ran was just simply taken
Speaker 1: out of context. He wasn't sitting there and saying that
Speaker 1: the country is over. He wasn't trying to radicalize young
Speaker 1: white people, and he certainly doesn't understand why young white
Speaker 1: men are so far right wing than they used to be.
Speaker 1: It couldn't possibly be because of people like him, No,
Speaker 1: it must be someone else, because everything, everything is taken
Speaker 1: out of context. Then there's also a congressman, Representative J.
Speaker 1: Powell from Washington State, who has some very interesting opinions
Speaker 1: about American history. Play clip three.
Speaker 6: The majority of Americans across the country, regardless of political party,
Speaker 6: know that immigrants from all over the world Somalia, India,
Speaker 6: wherever they're from, Latin America, Africa, that immigrants have built
Speaker 6: to this country and make this country what it is today.
Speaker 1: Just because an immigrant has a fraudulent daycare system in
Speaker 1: Minnesota does not mean that they built this country. Some
Speaker 1: immigrants did build this country. Some immigrants were very very prosperous,
Speaker 1: Some immigrants built fabulous businesses, and some immigrants children built
Speaker 1: fabulous built businesses. That doesn't mean every class of immigrant
Speaker 1: has That doesn't mean that every group of immigrants since
Speaker 1: nineteen sixty five has That doesn't mean that America could
Speaker 1: be easily replicated by the different people on different countries.
Speaker 1: We don't have magic dirt. No, the American people built
Speaker 1: this country. The American people, whose majority of which as
Speaker 1: recently as twenty ten date back to the founding of
Speaker 1: this country. At least one ancestor built this country. Jpal
Speaker 1: also said that once Democrats get in charge, she's going
Speaker 1: to sit there and push to abolish ice and border patrol.
Speaker 1: Come one, come all to this Halloween ball. This is
Speaker 1: what Jaypow wantsngress on j Powell, and of course it's nothing.
Speaker 1: What she says, by the way, is nothing compared to
Speaker 1: what Philadelphia DA Larry Krasner said about what they want
Speaker 1: to do with ICE agents. Play clip four.
Speaker 7: This is a small bunch of wanna be Nazis, that's
Speaker 7: what they are. In a country of three hundred and
Speaker 7: fifty million, we outnumber them. If we have to hunt
Speaker 7: you down the way they hunted down Nazis for decades,
Speaker 7: we will find your identities, we will find you, we
Speaker 7: will achieve justice.
Speaker 1: This is going to be the left's push that people
Speaker 1: who worked for Trump, and even if they were just
Speaker 1: ICE agents, even if they just work for the Department
Speaker 1: of Home Security, they should be jailed. They are going
Speaker 1: to January sixth, everybody. That's what their goal is. This
Speaker 1: is violent, violent rhetoric. They view these people as others
Speaker 1: and as some of the worst people in human history.
Speaker 1: And then there's Bacari Sellers, who I used to be
Speaker 1: on CNN with a few times and who said that
Speaker 1: he liked me. I don't remember when he said that
Speaker 1: on Twitter. I don't remember him ever coming to my
Speaker 1: defense when Abby Phillips was attacking me relentlessly. But he's
Speaker 1: a friend of former Vice President Kamala Harris. He was
Speaker 1: a you know, a kind of an advisor to the
Speaker 1: Vice President Kamala Harris. And he said something very interesting
Speaker 1: on Don Lemon's podcast. He said that the country needs
Speaker 1: to be quote fumigated and from maga and it needs
Speaker 1: to be surgically removed from the country.
Speaker 8: Play Cliff five. You know, Joe Biden was somewhat of
Speaker 8: a bridge. He was supposed to be a bridge or
Speaker 8: a palette cleanser, or somebody who morally and ethically was
Speaker 8: antithetical to who Donald Trump was. You know, Uncle Joe
Speaker 8: was the nice guy, older white guy comes in and
Speaker 8: you want to eat ice cream with him? Right, Well,
Speaker 8: I think what that episode in our entry's history showed
Speaker 8: us is that we really need some fumigation, right.
Speaker 1: We need an exorcism, for lack of a better term.
Speaker 8: We need a more aggressive approach to go in and
Speaker 8: surgically remove the cancer that is the Donald Trump and
Speaker 8: Baga movement.
Speaker 1: This is not an accident. I want everyone to realize.
Speaker 1: I played a lot of clips, more than I usually
Speaker 1: never play clips. But this is not an accident. Any
Speaker 1: of this language is not an accent. Of course, when
Speaker 1: they're pressed, they're going to sit there and say it's
Speaker 1: taking out of context. You know, don't worry about what
Speaker 1: your eyes or ears tell you. This is not true.
Speaker 1: What you're hearing is not true. We're all just good
Speaker 1: and we're playing around and it's it's light and it's interesting,
Speaker 1: but it's not really dangerous speech. And then their friends
Speaker 1: in the mainstream media will have them on the air,
Speaker 1: I'm sure, Butkari will be back on CNN much sooner
Speaker 1: than I will be, and he will sit there and
Speaker 1: you know, just just play it off as if it's nothing.
Speaker 1: No only even question on it. See Democrats and Progresses,
Speaker 1: for the most part, came out of the twenty twenty
Speaker 1: four election cycle and said, wow, we really got a
Speaker 1: little wild out there for a while. Maybe we shouldn't
Speaker 1: have said all the things we said out race and identity.
Speaker 1: But it's it's clear this all these all these clips
Speaker 1: were happened since the election. They meant every word of it.
Speaker 1: They meant everything they said during the height of the
Speaker 1: twenty twenty George Floyd riots. They want to erase borders,
Speaker 1: they want to rewrite history. They want to otherwise other
Speaker 1: otherwise white Americans, including Jews. Mind you, I know a
Speaker 1: lot of Jews, liberal Jews, not conservatives, but liberal Jews
Speaker 1: who sit there and say, well, I'm not really white,
Speaker 1: I'm Jewish, as if that's going to be a get
Speaker 1: at a jail free card. No, you are lumped right
Speaker 1: into the camp of white people, just like Persians are
Speaker 1: in a lot of places, just like Armenians are. We're
Speaker 1: all in the same white whiteness camp. I guess together.
Speaker 1: Once they come into power, they want to put in laws.
Speaker 1: They want to put forward laws that are discriminatory, racially
Speaker 1: discriminatory against whites. And they're not they're not hiding it.
Speaker 1: Once they get into power, it's just going slightly unnoticed.
Speaker 1: In New York City, Mayor Mandani said during the campaign
Speaker 1: tro he wanted a property tax system that punished whites
Speaker 1: more than non whites. Now what he was saying, I
Speaker 1: know that that was the headline that got news. What
Speaker 1: he was saying on how propt New York, New Yor
Speaker 1: City property tax is conducted currently actually made a tiny
Speaker 1: bit of sense. Older homes or tax at a lower
Speaker 1: price than newer homes are which punt which gives tax
Speaker 1: breaks like build de Blasio. But that's not how he
Speaker 1: framed it. That's that's not the conversation he wanted to
Speaker 1: have about people, people and wealthy people buying old brownstones
Speaker 1: versus you know, working class, middle class people buying newer
Speaker 1: condos or apartments or houses. No, he talked about it
Speaker 1: in the racial context because that was what he cared about.
Speaker 1: Racial justice was economic justice to him. In Virginia Democrats
Speaker 1: that put forward legislation that discriminates against white men for
Speaker 1: government contracts. The fever dream with a post Floyd radicalis
Speaker 1: hasn't gotten away. It's just gotten a lot quieter. You're
Speaker 1: just not hearing it so often. But every once in
Speaker 1: a while they slip up and they tell you, and
Speaker 1: then when they get into power, they show you and
Speaker 1: while white continued to become a smaller percentage of this
Speaker 1: country because we've had birth rates below replacement level since
Speaker 1: the nineteen seventies, they will continue to be an economic powerhouse.
Speaker 1: What happens in many countries when there's an economic dominant
Speaker 1: minority is that they're preyed upon, that they're blamed, they're
Speaker 1: discriminated against, And the left is setting up this language today.
Speaker 1: I know that it's not where people expect me to
Speaker 1: go to have this podcast. I'm not a doom and
Speaker 1: gloom person. I'm not a fire and brimstone person. But
Speaker 1: jing Wu, I guess set me off a little bit
Speaker 1: because it's so clearly obvious. And the fact that the
Speaker 1: Houston Chronicle sat there and said, well, let's really talk
Speaker 1: about how Ted Cruz reacted to it, rather than what
Speaker 1: ging Wu actually said shows how pathetic the media is.
Speaker 1: The fact that Bacari Sellers is back on CNN any
Speaker 1: day of the week that he wants to be the
Speaker 1: fact that half of these people are accepted in play company.
Speaker 1: Anti white language is going to be filed by anti
Speaker 1: white legislation. Take it to the bank. It already is
Speaker 1: in New York City in Virginia and anywhere else. Democrats
Speaker 1: will sit there and win this November. I know I
Speaker 1: just said sit there, and I always try to stop
Speaker 1: myself to say sit there, but I did it. Anywhere
Speaker 1: Democrats win this November. Let's talk about an election. Let's
Speaker 1: talk about the great state of Texas. This special election
Speaker 1: in Texas has opened up the you know, open up
Speaker 1: the idea that Texas is in play, especially, you know,
Speaker 1: with incumbent Senator John Cornyn down significantly in the polls,
Speaker 1: especially in a runoff. He's down really badly in a runoff.
Speaker 1: A lot of donors already considering cutting him loose. Recent
Speaker 1: polls by the NRSC found that Cornyn only wins against
Speaker 1: Democrats James to Larico by three points. A poll by
Speaker 1: the University of Houston put every potential matchup within the
Speaker 1: margin of error. And Republicans are worried if Ken Paxton,
Speaker 1: Attorney General Kim Paxson, who's a controversial figure for many reasons.
Speaker 1: I'm not going to go into a whole Kenn Paxson
Speaker 1: episode if he is the nominee, that Democrats have a
Speaker 1: chance of winning the state new Remember, I may know
Speaker 1: everyone outside Texas like that's so far FROs far fetch
Speaker 1: Trump won Texas by a huge margin, and he did.
Speaker 1: But remember in twenty eighteen, in the last midterm, Democrats
Speaker 1: came within two percentage points of beating Ted Cruz. So
Speaker 1: what could happen this year? And the special election in
Speaker 1: the Texas State Senate are giving Democrats even more hope.
Speaker 1: Polls suggest the worst candidate for the Democrats is Jasmine Crockett.
Speaker 1: So that's what I've told all my Republican friends to
Speaker 1: go vote for. Because Texas doesn't have strict party registration,
Speaker 1: you can kind of vote for any primary that you want.
Speaker 1: But this special election is giving them all hope. So
Speaker 1: will the lone star state go blue? That's what we're
Speaker 1: talking about next. Callen Jones is a senior investigator reporter
Speaker 1: at the Dallas Express. He knows a lot about Texas.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much for being here, Callen. Thank you
Speaker 1: for having me Ryan. So my first question for you
Speaker 1: is what does this special election in Texas mean for
Speaker 1: Republicans in November. You're of course talking about the SD
Speaker 1: nine race.
Speaker 5: Yeah, well, I live funny enough in that district. It's
Speaker 5: being interpreted right now as a big upset that mag
Speaker 5: is over this is the sign that Republicans have given
Speaker 5: up on Trump. One thing I would like to point out,
Speaker 5: and I have done in my reporting on this matter,
Speaker 5: is that this was an off year special election runoff,
Speaker 5: and it happened during January. And what typically does not
Speaker 5: happen during Texas's elections is we don't get snowstorms because
Speaker 5: we don't have them in January. And many of the
Speaker 5: polling locations were closed during that election and so disturbed
Speaker 5: to the execution of the election in a way we
Speaker 5: haven't seen before. Republicans were discouraged, I think, partly by
Speaker 5: this known partly by some of the political happenings we
Speaker 5: have going on in this district, and Democrats had a
Speaker 5: reason to turn out. They were mad, they were fired up,
Speaker 5: and the Democrats ran a competent and likable candidate in
Speaker 5: t Would you say.
Speaker 1: Though that, would you say that there were things that
Speaker 1: are divorced. Obviously, the national environment's notcher for Republicans, But
Speaker 1: would you say there were things happening in this election
Speaker 1: that were unique to this election. I've heard from people
Speaker 1: on the ground that the Republican with a virtually pronounceable
Speaker 1: last name, you know, the fight between her and the
Speaker 1: former mayor of the his or her Republican primary opponent
Speaker 1: turned down support things that don't have implications for a
Speaker 1: state wide election. Certainly, there is a battle of personalities
Speaker 1: and of ideology going on in this in the Republican
Speaker 1: primary in this race and the former Republican or there
Speaker 1: wasn't a primary.
Speaker 5: It was three people running against each other. Was wams Goans.
Speaker 5: That's how I say it. Look now I've mispronounced it
Speaker 5: many times. Now it's Wamscons. Lee wams Guns was Republican.
Speaker 5: John John Huffman was the other Republican. He was the
Speaker 5: former mayor of South Lake, and they were running against
Speaker 5: Taylor Remmitt, who was the Democrat union boss. And of
Speaker 5: course the Republican vote was split, and the general election
Speaker 5: vote was split three ways, which forced the runoff. It
Speaker 5: cost a lot of money, and there's sort of an
Speaker 5: ideological difference coming out of the suburbs. There's the Trump
Speaker 5: base which is with him one hundred percent, and Trump,
Speaker 5: of course, at the very end, endorsed Wamscans. And you know,
Speaker 5: the MAGA people were there, but some of the softer
Speaker 5: managerial class moms in the suburbs did not necessarily support
Speaker 5: womscons and there were reasons for that, one of which
Speaker 5: being the potential split of the school district in Iste. Now,
Speaker 5: I'm actually a graduate of Keller High and this was
Speaker 5: a very controversial issue. From my understanding of the issue,
Speaker 5: womscans and some of the other people that ended up
Speaker 5: getting painted with this did not necessarily know about this beforehand.
Speaker 5: This kind of spilled out of the Keller isd School
Speaker 5: board with no preparation to the public. This was, in
Speaker 5: their view, sprung upon them, and the battle was over
Speaker 5: whether to break Keller id into several, possibly two or
Speaker 5: more districts, with Keller High kind of anchoring the Keller
Speaker 5: district and then some of the other.
Speaker 1: Basically an economic splits me in the wealthier parts of
Speaker 1: the town and then the working class parts of the town.
Speaker 1: Definitely created a lot of blood and tention. Okay, So
Speaker 1: here's the main part of it. Right outside this election,
Speaker 1: are Republicans in trouble losing any state wide seats in
Speaker 1: Texas in this year for the first time in twenty
Speaker 1: five years.
Speaker 5: You know, the number one you would think about is
Speaker 5: the Senate race. And there was a poll out from
Speaker 5: the University of Houston just yesterday and it showed whoever
Speaker 5: the Republican nominee is is going to win between one
Speaker 5: and four points, and they had to head match up
Speaker 5: against the likely Democrat nominee, which is Jasmine Crockett, the
Speaker 5: congresswoman from Dallas.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've told all my Republican revents of over Jasmin
Speaker 1: Crockett what well, I mean, she's definitely the easiest one
Speaker 1: to beat in this election. So, I mean, Texas is
Speaker 1: definitely not the I mean when it comes to winning
Speaker 1: the majority for the Senate, Democrats are looking at North Carolina,
Speaker 1: m Maine. But they still need to pick up two
Speaker 1: seeds and I was one of them in Texas and
Speaker 1: Texas and Alaska or the other two. Texas has twenty
Speaker 1: eighteen was a very close year for Ted Cruz. They
Speaker 1: were expecting there was a big pushback among Latinos. Are
Speaker 1: Republicans feeling nervous about a similar pushback this time among
Speaker 1: the Latino population.
Speaker 5: There does seem to be some realignment amongst the Latino population,
Speaker 5: but they're not returning to the numbers that we've seen
Speaker 5: in the past. They're not returning to the Hillary numbers
Speaker 5: where maybe some decrease the polling is signaling, but it's
Speaker 5: not that the Latinos have completely given up on Republicans.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 5: They may not get the numbers they got in twenty
Speaker 5: twenty four, but presidential elections are a little bit different
Speaker 5: than midterm at Senate elections.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I mean, I know, I was just in Texas.
Speaker 1: I was actually in Dallas. The should have given you
Speaker 1: a qull but I was there for like eighteen hours,
Speaker 1: so it was a very brief trip. But when I
Speaker 1: was there, it's interesting. Texans are very Texas Republicans, as
Speaker 1: to say, are very aware of the immigration issue changing,
Speaker 1: especially the Dallas area. Right, there's a huge influx of
Speaker 1: Indian immigrants, a use flux as a Muslim population in Texas.
Speaker 1: There's the Epic City, which, as the don't know that
Speaker 1: was trying to build like basically a Shuria city in Texas.
Speaker 1: And it's a conversation that everyone's kind of having. And
Speaker 1: yet you still have among the Texas delegation a lot
Speaker 1: of squishes, John Cornyn being one of them. John Cornyn
Speaker 1: is incredibly weak on immigration. He's probably one of the
Speaker 1: weakest Republicans left in the Senate. Immigration. Where is this
Speaker 1: disconnect between the voters and the elect is coming from.
Speaker 1: Is it all just money and donors or what is it? Well,
Speaker 1: John Cornyn is very cozy with the Chamber of Commerce,
Speaker 1: and of course the Chamber of Commerces, you know, is
Speaker 1: suing the President to halt the one hundred thousand dollars
Speaker 1: h one BFE. So the feelings of Cornyn's donors and
Speaker 1: his voters are very far apart. Now.
Speaker 5: Cornyn has been able to skate by for many decades
Speaker 5: on kind of the support of the long gone now
Speaker 5: sort of Bush establishment that's been in decay for many decades.
Speaker 5: But he's but now there's sort of a reckoning because
Speaker 5: people are very frustrated with him, and the Magabase in
Speaker 5: Texas feels that they could soon be without a major
Speaker 5: ally in the Senate. Of course, Marsha Blackburn is running
Speaker 5: for governor of Tennessee, Tommy Tulberbill is running for governor
Speaker 5: of Alabama, and there's a thinning out in the Senate
Speaker 5: and in the House of sort of the Magabase, and
Speaker 5: they view this is their opportunity to get their guy in,
Speaker 5: who appears generally to be Kin Paxton. I'll make one
Speaker 5: more point on this is that voters in Texas are
Speaker 5: connected at a personal level with Paxton in a way
Speaker 5: they're not connected with Cornyn. Coryn may be a name
Speaker 5: they know because he's been around thirty something years. But
Speaker 5: during that impeachment hearing, a lot of people bought with
Speaker 5: Paxton because they viewed it as a real roading sort
Speaker 5: of in the same style of the indictments brought against
Speaker 5: President Trump. They are emotionally connected to him at a
Speaker 5: visceral level that they are just not connected to John
Speaker 5: Cornyn or Wesley Hunt.
Speaker 1: When I was in Texas for Brandon Gills race, I
Speaker 1: was his GC for his run, his first run, and
Speaker 1: the word on the the word on the street was
Speaker 1: always Packson's a crook, but he's urkrook. That was what
Speaker 1: Republicans told me. I mean, you know, to say that
Speaker 1: was what verbatim what they told me was he's a crook,
Speaker 1: but he's r crook. And they thought he was a fighter.
Speaker 1: And it's with a Cornyn. There's a lot of established
Speaker 1: in dent Republicans in the United States Senate. I mean,
Speaker 1: Lindsay Graham. You don't get more established from that. Lindsay
Speaker 1: and Graham managed to marry himself to Donald Trump in
Speaker 1: certain respects and managed to evade criticisms in certain areas
Speaker 1: because he became so closely aligned to Trump. Well, I'm
Speaker 1: sure he disagrees with like this, really disagrees with but
Speaker 1: that is what he did to survive politically. John Cornyn
Speaker 1: never did that, and it's very strange that he kind
Speaker 1: of maybe thought he was going to outlast Trump. So,
Speaker 1: I mean, is this the end of Cornyn that we're seeing?
Speaker 5: All the polling would suggest that he may make it
Speaker 5: to the runoff, But the people who are supporting Wesley
Speaker 5: Hunt are probably going to line up behind Paston. They
Speaker 5: have to get when they have to make a binary
Speaker 5: choice in the likely runoff election.
Speaker 1: Is there a chance of a Hunt versus Paston run off?
Speaker 5: There is there is. The polling doesn't suggest most polling
Speaker 5: and the more recent pulling doesn't suggest that's likely. I
Speaker 5: think Wesley Hunt, based off the University of Houston poll,
Speaker 5: either has slightly higher favorability or ride on par They're
Speaker 5: like within a few points of each other on favorability.
Speaker 5: But the thing is is that Wesley Hunt is not
Speaker 5: a known commodity to the public in the way Kim
Speaker 5: Paxton is or in the way John Cornyn is many
Speaker 5: people did not hear of him before he jumped into
Speaker 5: this race. Okay, last question, Do Democrats have anything going
Speaker 5: for them in terms of a possible upset?
Speaker 1: Is there a possibility in which way that Democrats have
Speaker 1: a perfect I mean, I know that the other Democrat,
Speaker 1: not Jazz and Crockett, has raised a lot of money
Speaker 1: although people aren't supporting him, and I know that there
Speaker 1: are a lot of other seats up for grabs. Is
Speaker 1: there any possibly Democrats that there and pull a rabbit
Speaker 1: out of a hat?
Speaker 5: Well, I don't want to sound like the Huffington Post
Speaker 5: on the morning of the election in twenty sixteen. And
Speaker 5: you know, Hillary has a ninety nine percent chance of winning.
Speaker 5: It's in the bag for Hillary, but the odds are
Speaker 5: very strongly in the Republican's favor. You would be hard
Speaker 5: pressed to find a high quality pull that would show
Speaker 5: you that husband Crockett is likely to defeat Tim Paxton
Speaker 5: or John.
Speaker 1: Cornyn orz and with one and with the Jerry manner
Speaker 1: that they just had, is there any chance of losing
Speaker 1: one of these new House seats? Is there any chance
Speaker 1: of the Democrats losing one of the Republicans losing any
Speaker 1: of the House sets that they drew for a Republican
Speaker 1: seat or do you know that's pretty safe. They've done
Speaker 1: a good job.
Speaker 5: I think they've done a good job. They've made these
Speaker 5: races very expensive and the way they've gone the seats,
Speaker 5: but I don't think they've made them unwinnable, and I
Speaker 5: think they're likely to win in Texas. The mood on
Speaker 5: the ground in Texas is that the Republicans are going
Speaker 5: to get the seats that they drew, and they're going
Speaker 5: to get this. They're going to maintain their Senate seat.
Speaker 1: All right, Callen? Where can we go to read more
Speaker 1: about you, what you do and all your stuff.
Speaker 5: You can find me at the Dallas Express website, which
Speaker 5: is www dot Dallas Express dot com, and you can
Speaker 5: always find me on Twitter at Cowtown Caller.
Speaker 1: Callen. Thank you for coming this podcast. I really appreciate it.
Speaker 1: Are you're right.
Speaker 2: Now?
Speaker 1: It's time for the Ask Me Anything segment. If you
Speaker 1: want a part of the Ask Me Anything segment. Emily
Speaker 1: Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com. That's Ryan at Numbers
Speaker 1: gamepodcast dot com. Numbers Plural, I have a number a
Speaker 1: lot in the dock but I'm going through them one
Speaker 1: by one. I will get to your question if you
Speaker 1: haven't heard it yet. First one comes from Mary. Mary
Speaker 1: brings up an op ed that I wrote for my substack,
Speaker 1: the National Populist newsletter about the birth rate and the
Speaker 1: increasing births of white couples having children, well the white,
Speaker 1: non Hispanic white father and non a Hispanic white mother,
Speaker 1: and why that that was such an anomaly in the
Speaker 1: overall numbers, where you see numbers declining among all groups
Speaker 1: except for Biracials. And she says, hi Ryan given to
Speaker 1: the most people from the Middle East are classified as white.
Speaker 1: Could this baby bump be a Muslim baby bump? That's
Speaker 1: thanks Mary, Mary's a great question. So there were about
Speaker 1: three point five to five million Middle Easterners. Not all
Speaker 1: Muslims are classified as white, right, by the way, just
Speaker 1: Middle Easterners. They're about three point five to five million
Speaker 1: Middle Easterners in America. They predominantly live in Michigan, California,
Speaker 1: New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts. Remember when you say
Speaker 1: Middle Easterners, that includes Lebanese Christians, that includes agnostic people,
Speaker 1: that includes not just Muslims. Right, Israeli Jews. Perfect example,
Speaker 1: Middle Easterners, so they're not all Muslims, you know, by
Speaker 1: the fact that they're Middle Eastern. Secondly, because the overall
Speaker 1: population grew in almost every single state, including like Upper
Speaker 1: New England, like Vermont, Maine and New Hampshire, which is
Speaker 1: very low Muslim population. It increased in the Deep South,
Speaker 1: and increased in Ohio and Pennsylvania and Vermont, and like
Speaker 1: in Kentucky. These are places that have very very low
Speaker 1: Muslim populations. I take it back in Kentucky. Maybe they
Speaker 1: didn't go to Kentucky, but I have to look that up.
Speaker 1: But it grew in most other parts of the country
Speaker 1: that have very very low Muslim populations. So if it
Speaker 1: was just a Muslim thing, you would see the numbers
Speaker 1: being connected with the states that have large Muslim populations.
Speaker 1: Like I thought originally, Oh, it must be because of
Speaker 1: ultra religious communities like Amish and Orthodox Jews, and maybe
Speaker 1: like traditional Latin mask Catholics and Mormons. But it's not.
Speaker 1: It doesn't. It doesn't correlate with just one population living
Speaker 1: in one area. I don't know the reason why. I'm
Speaker 1: going to explore it. As the numbers come in for
Speaker 1: twenty twenty six and we can sit there and start
Speaker 1: breaking down more data. But something unusual is happening. And
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a cultural thing across the
Speaker 1: country or if it's just you know, a flair from them,
Speaker 1: but the fact that happened two years in a row
Speaker 1: is very very odd. So I will let you know
Speaker 1: as I know more. But no, it's not simply just
Speaker 1: because Muslims are having more children. And also I think
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure most Muslim birth rates are now at
Speaker 1: or below replacement levels in the United States. They're not
Speaker 1: very high. People people think when they hear Muslim birth
Speaker 1: rates that everyone's Afghanistan or they do have a lot
Speaker 1: of children, And in fact, most parts of the Middle
Speaker 1: East are now settled around like two point five two
Speaker 1: point six children for women. Most parts of Northern Africa
Speaker 1: even have now slept below replacement levels, So it's not
Speaker 1: like most Muslim countries or even having tons of kids
Speaker 1: like they used to. So Saturn Africa is the extreme
Speaker 1: third world like Afghanistan is, but they're not. They're People's
Speaker 1: opinions of how Muslim birth rates are very outdated. Okay,
Speaker 1: second question, Hello, Ryan. This comes from Greg. He says,
Speaker 1: as a big Billy as a big fan of Billie
Speaker 1: Eilish's music and a fan of Ice. I'm not going
Speaker 1: to educate our on her opinion because she's wrong on
Speaker 1: stolen part. And actually we're living on rented land, and
Speaker 1: that's not just Americans, that's our entire planet. We also
Speaker 1: pay taxes for our land on our property, and we're
Speaker 1: not going to live forever. Okay, so he says, so
Speaker 1: as we mock Billy Eilish. Yes, she's on rented land
Speaker 1: from a population. I'll probably live there, but she herself
Speaker 1: will she herself and all of us will probably not
Speaker 1: live on the current land within one to two hundred years.
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts? I think, listen, I don't know
Speaker 1: about the whole rented land thing. I guess we're all
Speaker 1: just temporary in our shown skin, and only souls are forever.
Speaker 1: But souls, cockroaches and share, right, those are the three
Speaker 1: things that last forever.
Speaker 2: But the.
Speaker 1: Thing about Billie Eilish, the thing about Sabrina Carpenter who
Speaker 1: was clapping like a train seal, the thing about bad
Speaker 1: Bunny and all the rest of these things is like
Speaker 1: people are trained to want to feel good, to say
Speaker 1: the right thing Billy Eilish doesn't care about it being
Speaker 1: on Native American land. Otherwise she give her house back,
Speaker 1: would she would self deport to Ireland or England wherever
Speaker 1: her family's from. She has no interest in doing that whatsoever.
Speaker 1: And it's all just to sit there and show a
Speaker 1: group of people like, hey, I'm a good white person.
Speaker 1: And the irony is that Billie Eilish and Sabrina Carpenter,
Speaker 1: these are multi multi millionaires who have far more ability
Speaker 1: to give back or to do something for populations of
Speaker 1: Native Americans than other people do. Than Indigenous Americans than
Speaker 1: other people do. I mean the poorest population in the
Speaker 1: kN our Native Americans live in South Dakota. Some of
Speaker 1: them don't have running heat correctly and they don't have
Speaker 1: proper refrigeration. There's amazing articles written about the devastating poverty
Speaker 1: in South Dakota. They don't do a thing for them.
Speaker 1: They don't care. They want to cater and to tell
Speaker 1: middle class, working class and upper class white people you
Speaker 1: should feel bad, you should want to do more. I'm not,
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna say the right thing so your kids
Speaker 1: can sit there and say, well, this is what I
Speaker 1: should be doing. It's all. I don't say it's brainwashing,
Speaker 1: but it is brainwashing. It's all performance are and it's
Speaker 1: all performative. Nothing is about this as authentic or real.
Speaker 1: Billy Eilish has made a good song or two. I
Speaker 1: don't hate her, don't. I don't think about her. But
Speaker 1: it would be great if the next person on stage
Speaker 1: at the Grammys after she said that, said, Okay, Billy,
Speaker 1: give your give your house away. Give your house the
Speaker 1: Native American tribe that lived there, they're still around. You
Speaker 1: could do that, But of course she's not going to.
Speaker 1: It's all hypocrisy and it's all performative, like most things
Speaker 1: that white liberals do. Okay, I'm liberals in general. Don
Speaker 1: Lemon has a white husband who says there and talking
Speaker 1: about whole white supremacy is terrible. Okay. Last question comes
Speaker 1: from Julia. She writes, I'm enjoying the show as always.
Speaker 1: It keeps me, It keeps me a company my commute
Speaker 1: to work. Oh, I hope you have a good day
Speaker 1: of work today, Julia. I'm thankful for your New York
Speaker 1: sense of humor. My questions as the Republicans are doing
Speaker 1: badly and special elections, for example in Texas, the district
Speaker 1: that we talk about today, that when strongly for Trump
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four just slung left. That's troubling. But
Speaker 1: then on X I regularly see clips of Harry Anton
Speaker 1: from CNN reporting on how strong the numbers are for Trump,
Speaker 1: how jd Vance is at eighty four percent ratings. Is
Speaker 1: this a disconnect? How can Anton, of all people, report
Speaker 1: the strength of the GOP if apparently is losing all
Speaker 1: the special elections. Please explain, Julie. I hope you have
Speaker 1: a wonderful day of work and I will explain. So,
Speaker 1: Trump and Vance are popular within the Republican Party. One
Speaker 1: that doesn't mean that every person running for reelection is
Speaker 1: popular within the Republican Party. There's a number of people
Speaker 1: that are not that popular. Dan Crenshaw is not super popular.
Speaker 1: Corey Mills is not super popular within his own party.
Speaker 1: Brandy Fine is not super popular in his own party.
Speaker 1: So it doesn't always transfer over to the person running
Speaker 1: for office. Secondly, there are more people in the country
Speaker 1: than just Republicans, So voter enthusiasm voter turn out mean
Speaker 1: a lot. Just because someone really loves Donald Trump and
Speaker 1: they get out and they go vote for Donald Trump
Speaker 1: and a primary general doesn't mean they're going to go
Speaker 1: vote in a special election that's held on a Saturday.
Speaker 1: Something I still don't understand why Texas is holding special
Speaker 1: elections on Saturdays. It truly boggles my mind. But they
Speaker 1: don't go vote on a Saturday, or they're not informed
Speaker 1: that there's an election going on. Never underestimate people's ability
Speaker 1: to just ignore what's happening. They're busy with their own lives.
Speaker 1: They got kids, they got work, they got you know,
Speaker 1: sports teams, fantasy football. Who knows what's going on. So
Speaker 1: that is that's the condition of why they're losing. And
Speaker 1: when you look at if they prefer if people prefer
Speaker 1: the solutions from the Republican Party or the Democratic Party,
Speaker 1: they usually prefer the Republicans. It's just that certain things
Speaker 1: are not as Americans expected them. We're very I don't
Speaker 1: want to say angry, but we're a very frustrated population.
Speaker 1: We expected the economy in different places. The unemployment rate
Speaker 1: for young people, including people who got good jobs, is
Speaker 1: very high. People are nervous about AI, people are nervous
Speaker 1: about costs of electricity other things. So the two parties,
Speaker 1: it's not like we live in the Netherlands, where there's
Speaker 1: thirty and you can choose one or the other. There's
Speaker 1: only two to pick from. So what happens when the
Speaker 1: party gets into power, the opposite party usually wins because
Speaker 1: people were saying, oh, I want it to be better.
Speaker 1: It is what it is. It's a fact of life.
Speaker 1: But it does. But what Harryington is saying about Trump
Speaker 1: and about Vance are true. Vance is very very popular
Speaker 1: among Republican primary voters. He's a very very likely next
Speaker 1: nominee if he chooses to run. And Trump is still
Speaker 1: to pop among Republican Party voters, and that does not
Speaker 1: mitigate from the fact that people are very angry at
Speaker 1: the president and the party a lot of times over
Speaker 1: economics up or feeling like he's not looking at the
Speaker 1: right issues, that he's not focused enough on the interior
Speaker 1: of the country. He's doing so much on foreign policy. Anyway,
Speaker 1: that's the today's show. Thank you so much for listening.
Speaker 1: If you like this podcast, please like and subscribe in
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Speaker 1: your friends and family and trying to grow this show,
Speaker 1: hoping to take big things in the end of this
Speaker 1: year and into next year. So please like and subscribe
Speaker 1: and I'll see you guys on Friday.