WEBVTT - It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind Texas Going Blue in 2026: Cornyn’s Poll Slide, Paxton Factor & GOP Turnout Alert

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan ger Duski.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you guys for being here. Will Texas go blue

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty six? That's the question I'm asking today

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<v Speaker 1>in today's episode. But before we talk about that, I

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<v Speaker 1>need to talk a little bit about race and identity

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<v Speaker 1>on the American left.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>I know we're a country that seems to never stop

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<v Speaker 1>talking about race and identity. It's more of a lecture

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<v Speaker 1>than a conversation. That's the best thing. The media always says,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's have a conversation, and then they do a

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<v Speaker 1>one sided argument. They yell at you the entire time.

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<v Speaker 1>But some that's going on among attention seeking progressives who

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<v Speaker 1>are both influencers and politicians, where they're talking about white

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<v Speaker 1>Americans in a dehumanizing way. They're othering white Americans, making

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<v Speaker 1>sure their followers understand that their time, that white Americans

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<v Speaker 1>time has come and gone, and that whites are oppressors

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<v Speaker 1>who must suffer for the sins of their fathers. They're

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<v Speaker 1>doing all of this again. First, let me go to

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<v Speaker 1>a clip that happened last year, but it's been circling

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<v Speaker 1>over social media actually over the weekend. This is from

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<v Speaker 1>the Democrat minority leader in the Texas State House of

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<v Speaker 1>Representatives named Jean Wu. He's an immigrant from China, liked

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<v Speaker 1>it to the state Texas State Representatives to play clip one.

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<v Speaker 3>I think you've hit exactly the right points. And it's

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<v Speaker 3>not just Latinos, it's not just Asians, it's not just

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<v Speaker 3>African Americans, it's everybody.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 3>We are country, and the forces that be, the powers

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<v Speaker 3>that be, have spent tremendous time, effort, and money to

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<v Speaker 3>make sure that those groups are never united, that they

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<v Speaker 3>always see each other as enemies and as.

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<v Speaker 4>Competitors, without ever realizing that they share one thing in common,

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<v Speaker 4>that their oppressors all are the same. Right, the oppression

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<v Speaker 4>comes from one place.

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<v Speaker 3>And I always tell people, the day it's the Latino, African, American,

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<v Speaker 3>Asian and other communities realize that they are that they

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<v Speaker 3>are the same oppressor, is the day we start winning.

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<v Speaker 3>Because we are the majority in this country. Now we

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<v Speaker 3>have the ability to take over this country and to

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<v Speaker 3>do what is needed for everyone and to make things fair.

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<v Speaker 3>But the thumb is our communities are divided.

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<v Speaker 1>So we spoke to the Houston Chronicle over the weekend

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<v Speaker 1>and he gave some context, and he said, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>he wasn't speaking about white people, even though very clear

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<v Speaker 1>dog whistle that you could hear from a million miles away.

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<v Speaker 1>Now he was talking about Republicans being the pressers. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>if that's true, why didn't he mentioned working class whites

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<v Speaker 1>in West Texas who earn a lot less than wealthy

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<v Speaker 1>Asians in the suburbs of Dallas and Austin, who have

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<v Speaker 1>shorter life expectancy and who work very tough jobs in

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<v Speaker 1>the Texas heat. It's so obvious on his face he's

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<v Speaker 1>not talking about Republicans. He's talking about white people, no

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<v Speaker 1>matter what he says, because there are loads of minorities

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<v Speaker 1>in Texas that but Republican South Texas is very supportive

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<v Speaker 1>of Donald Trump, and you've brought into the whole nation.

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<v Speaker 1>There are there are groups everywhere except for Black Americans,

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<v Speaker 1>that support Republican, that vote majority Republican. So he's not

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<v Speaker 1>talking about minority talking about minorities being oppressed by Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>because minorities are voting for Republicans in large pockets of

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<v Speaker 1>this country. Now he's talking about white people. And the

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<v Speaker 1>Houston Chronicle, by the way, bent over backwards. I was

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<v Speaker 1>in a Twitter spat with the editor there they were talking,

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<v Speaker 1>bending over backwards, talking about how he you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>criticism wasn't fair because he was really not talking about

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<v Speaker 1>white people. He wasn't trying to hint hint, wink, wink,

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<v Speaker 1>dog whistle about white genocide and taking over the country.

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<v Speaker 1>They didn't They really didn't have a problem with that

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<v Speaker 1>as much as they should have, and they should have

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<v Speaker 1>set there and held his feet to the fire. Now

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<v Speaker 1>I know, we didn't say that white people were the oppressors.

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<v Speaker 1>He's leaving up to the imagination of every person who

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<v Speaker 1>listens to that video, including his supporters. He was on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast, by the way of a former illegal immigrant

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<v Speaker 1>whose story frankly never made any sense to me because

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<v Speaker 1>I think there were big holes in it. But he

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<v Speaker 1>was on a conversation with immigrant who's made identity and

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<v Speaker 1>race his entire personality and talked about at every given moment.

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<v Speaker 1>So whose audience are you talking to? What are you

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<v Speaker 1>talking about? The Houston Chronicles said it couldn't have been

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<v Speaker 1>talking about white people because he didn't name them, as

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<v Speaker 1>if The only standard we have for judging politicians on

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<v Speaker 1>what they say when it comes to inflammatory speech is

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<v Speaker 1>explicitly what they say. President Trump has been accused of

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<v Speaker 1>racism every second for the last ten years for things

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<v Speaker 1>he did not say, because that is what the left heard.

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<v Speaker 1>And yet this man who's talking about minorities taking over

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<v Speaker 1>the country in a very explicit way, we're supposed to

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<v Speaker 1>hear something completely different. Now, let's go to a progressive

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<v Speaker 1>talking head was shat Ali. He late last year told

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<v Speaker 1>white people that they that their nation was over, and

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<v Speaker 1>that they and that, by the way, their nation is

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<v Speaker 1>over because they've been too generous to immigrants. That's what

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<v Speaker 1>he says. They're and says and then the entire history

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<v Speaker 1>of Western civilization sucks.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's go to a club too. You have lost, you lost.

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<v Speaker 2>The mistake that you made is you let us in

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<v Speaker 2>the first place. That's the thing with brown people. And

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<v Speaker 2>I'm going to say this is a brown person. There's

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of us, like a lot. There's like one

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<v Speaker 2>point two billion in India that's born than two hundred

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<v Speaker 2>million in Pakistan. There's like one hundred and seventy million

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<v Speaker 2>in vagualadation. Those are just the people there. I'm even

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<v Speaker 2>talking about the folks who are expats or immigrants. There's

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<v Speaker 2>a bunch of us, and we breed. We're a breeding people.

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<v Speaker 2>And the problem is is you let us in an

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<v Speaker 2>nineteen sixty five, there was a few, There were a

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<v Speaker 2>few of us before. But once you let one of

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<v Speaker 2>us in, you know what happens with brown folks. Our

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<v Speaker 2>grandmother comes, our grandfather comes, our uncle comes, our aunt comes,

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<v Speaker 2>our cousin comes, our second cousin comes, our third cousin comes.

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<v Speaker 5>Then we have kids, a bunch of kids.

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<v Speaker 1>And then guess what.

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<v Speaker 2>Some white women, you know, the Western civilization women, the

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<v Speaker 2>pure women, the American women, quot unquote, the Ross Belt women,

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<v Speaker 2>the real women. They like some of us brown folks,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't take them.

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<v Speaker 5>They come to us.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're embedded. We are everywhere. We are everywhere I

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<v Speaker 2>have traveled this country. I almost speak as a brown person.

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<v Speaker 2>Brown people are every There will be a Patel motel,

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<v Speaker 2>or there will be a Daisy restaurant everywhere. I want

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<v Speaker 2>you to realize this. You have lost. Your story is

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<v Speaker 2>a shitty story, filled with misery. It's filled with bland chicken.

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<v Speaker 2>It's filled with terrible, terrible, dry assed meat. Your music

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<v Speaker 2>sucks all, your culture sucks nobody. That's why the kids

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<v Speaker 2>like listening to black people and their music. That's why

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<v Speaker 2>the kids love Latinos. Your parties suck because they're monochromatic.

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<v Speaker 2>Our parties have better food, better music, better looking women.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, It's the reason why constantly brown people like Bajade's

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<v Speaker 1>family decided to move to a majority white country. Because

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<v Speaker 1>it's so terrible, because our narratives are so bad, and

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<v Speaker 1>because our history is so bad. For those of you

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<v Speaker 1>who don't know who he is, once, you're better off.

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<v Speaker 1>Before listenings podcast Bajada all these parents immigrated from Pakistan

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<v Speaker 1>in the nineteen eighties, and he says he's been scarred

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<v Speaker 1>by America because his parents were arrested and convicted of

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<v Speaker 1>over thirty counts of conspiracy, male fraud, wire fraud, and

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<v Speaker 1>money laundering. While A Lei has repeatedly said in his

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<v Speaker 1>book and other events that anti Muslim sentiments after nine

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<v Speaker 1>to eleven were the reasons for the convictions his parents

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<v Speaker 1>pled guilty along with two white guys. Two white guys

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<v Speaker 1>were also co conspirators who were pled guilty, and maybe

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<v Speaker 1>European surnames. So I don't know how anti Islamic feelings

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<v Speaker 1>after nine to eleven would possibly be the reasoning that

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<v Speaker 1>these two white guys also face jail time and why

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<v Speaker 1>they pled guilty. The victimhood is cultural currency, and this

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<v Speaker 1>man knows that. That's how he plays into the white

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<v Speaker 1>guilt for his white liberal audience and his other audience

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<v Speaker 1>and trying to embold them. And he promotes narratives that

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<v Speaker 1>aren't true, but they feel good or they make someone

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<v Speaker 1>feel bad. That's that's the greatest irony. I mean, his

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<v Speaker 1>numbers as statistics that they put out there on birth

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<v Speaker 1>rates are completely incorrect. His statistics on what kind of

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<v Speaker 1>preferred music as popular is incorrect. You know that's but

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<v Speaker 1>that doesn't matter. The numbers don't matter. The facts don't matter.

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<v Speaker 1>The narrative matters. And if you want to see a

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<v Speaker 1>hilarious clip of him, watch the I mentioned this episode

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<v Speaker 1>before because it's just so good than Mary Trump podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>When Donald Trump wins the presidency and he thinks that

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's going to, you know, Kamala Harrison was going to

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<v Speaker 1>sweep this election. It's very very funny. But of course

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<v Speaker 1>he also says that that ran was just simply taken

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<v Speaker 1>out of context. He wasn't sitting there and saying that

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<v Speaker 1>the country is over. He wasn't trying to radicalize young

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<v Speaker 1>white people, and he certainly doesn't understand why young white

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<v Speaker 1>men are so far right wing than they used to be.

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<v Speaker 1>It couldn't possibly be because of people like him, No,

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<v Speaker 1>it must be someone else, because everything, everything is taken

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<v Speaker 1>out of context. Then there's also a congressman, Representative J.

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<v Speaker 1>Powell from Washington State, who has some very interesting opinions

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<v Speaker 1>about American history. Play clip three.

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<v Speaker 6>The majority of Americans across the country, regardless of political party,

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<v Speaker 6>know that immigrants from all over the world Somalia, India,

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<v Speaker 6>wherever they're from, Latin America, Africa, that immigrants have built

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<v Speaker 6>to this country and make this country what it is today.

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<v Speaker 1>Just because an immigrant has a fraudulent daycare system in

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<v Speaker 1>Minnesota does not mean that they built this country. Some

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<v Speaker 1>immigrants did build this country. Some immigrants were very very prosperous,

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<v Speaker 1>Some immigrants built fabulous businesses, and some immigrants children built

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<v Speaker 1>fabulous built businesses. That doesn't mean every class of immigrant

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<v Speaker 1>has That doesn't mean that every group of immigrants since

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen sixty five has That doesn't mean that America could

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<v Speaker 1>be easily replicated by the different people on different countries.

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<v Speaker 1>We don't have magic dirt. No, the American people built

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<v Speaker 1>this country. The American people, whose majority of which as

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<v Speaker 1>recently as twenty ten date back to the founding of

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<v Speaker 1>this country. At least one ancestor built this country. Jpal

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<v Speaker 1>also said that once Democrats get in charge, she's going

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<v Speaker 1>to sit there and push to abolish ice and border patrol.

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<v Speaker 1>Come one, come all to this Halloween ball. This is

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<v Speaker 1>what Jaypow wantsngress on j Powell, and of course it's nothing.

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<v Speaker 1>What she says, by the way, is nothing compared to

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<v Speaker 1>what Philadelphia DA Larry Krasner said about what they want

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<v Speaker 1>to do with ICE agents. Play clip four.

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<v Speaker 7>This is a small bunch of wanna be Nazis, that's

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<v Speaker 7>what they are. In a country of three hundred and

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<v Speaker 7>fifty million, we outnumber them. If we have to hunt

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<v Speaker 7>you down the way they hunted down Nazis for decades,

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<v Speaker 7>we will find your identities, we will find you, we

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<v Speaker 7>will achieve justice.

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<v Speaker 1>This is going to be the left's push that people

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<v Speaker 1>who worked for Trump, and even if they were just

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<v Speaker 1>ICE agents, even if they just work for the Department

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<v Speaker 1>of Home Security, they should be jailed. They are going

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<v Speaker 1>to January sixth, everybody. That's what their goal is. This

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<v Speaker 1>is violent, violent rhetoric. They view these people as others

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<v Speaker 1>and as some of the worst people in human history.

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<v Speaker 1>And then there's Bacari Sellers, who I used to be

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<v Speaker 1>on CNN with a few times and who said that

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<v Speaker 1>he liked me. I don't remember when he said that

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter. I don't remember him ever coming to my

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<v Speaker 1>defense when Abby Phillips was attacking me relentlessly. But he's

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<v Speaker 1>a friend of former Vice President Kamala Harris. He was

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<v Speaker 1>a you know, a kind of an advisor to the

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<v Speaker 1>Vice President Kamala Harris. And he said something very interesting

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<v Speaker 1>on Don Lemon's podcast. He said that the country needs

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<v Speaker 1>to be quote fumigated and from maga and it needs

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<v Speaker 1>to be surgically removed from the country.

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<v Speaker 8>Play Cliff five. You know, Joe Biden was somewhat of

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<v Speaker 8>a bridge. He was supposed to be a bridge or

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<v Speaker 8>a palette cleanser, or somebody who morally and ethically was

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<v Speaker 8>antithetical to who Donald Trump was. You know, Uncle Joe

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<v Speaker 8>was the nice guy, older white guy comes in and

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<v Speaker 8>you want to eat ice cream with him? Right, Well,

0:11:57.600 --> 0:12:00.960
<v Speaker 8>I think what that episode in our entry's history showed

0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:03.520
<v Speaker 8>us is that we really need some fumigation, right.

0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:06.960
<v Speaker 1>We need an exorcism, for lack of a better term.

0:12:07.040 --> 0:12:09.960
<v Speaker 8>We need a more aggressive approach to go in and

0:12:10.000 --> 0:12:13.200
<v Speaker 8>surgically remove the cancer that is the Donald Trump and

0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 8>Baga movement.

0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:18.319
<v Speaker 1>This is not an accident. I want everyone to realize.

0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:20.480
<v Speaker 1>I played a lot of clips, more than I usually

0:12:20.520 --> 0:12:24.319
<v Speaker 1>never play clips. But this is not an accident. Any

0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 1>of this language is not an accent. Of course, when

0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:28.840
<v Speaker 1>they're pressed, they're going to sit there and say it's

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:31.599
<v Speaker 1>taking out of context. You know, don't worry about what

0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:33.959
<v Speaker 1>your eyes or ears tell you. This is not true.

0:12:34.000 --> 0:12:36.160
<v Speaker 1>What you're hearing is not true. We're all just good

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.320
<v Speaker 1>and we're playing around and it's it's light and it's interesting,

0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:42.760
<v Speaker 1>but it's not really dangerous speech. And then their friends

0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 1>in the mainstream media will have them on the air,

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:47.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure, Butkari will be back on CNN much sooner

0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:49.480
<v Speaker 1>than I will be, and he will sit there and

0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:51.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, just just play it off as if it's nothing.

0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 1>No only even question on it. See Democrats and Progresses,

0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:56.760
<v Speaker 1>for the most part, came out of the twenty twenty

0:12:56.760 --> 0:12:59.719
<v Speaker 1>four election cycle and said, wow, we really got a

0:12:59.720 --> 0:13:02.480
<v Speaker 1>little wild out there for a while. Maybe we shouldn't

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 1>have said all the things we said out race and identity.

0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 1>But it's it's clear this all these all these clips

0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 1>were happened since the election. They meant every word of it.

0:13:13.160 --> 0:13:15.360
<v Speaker 1>They meant everything they said during the height of the

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:19.079
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty George Floyd riots. They want to erase borders,

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:21.760
<v Speaker 1>they want to rewrite history. They want to otherwise other

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.080
<v Speaker 1>otherwise white Americans, including Jews. Mind you, I know a

0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:28.440
<v Speaker 1>lot of Jews, liberal Jews, not conservatives, but liberal Jews

0:13:28.600 --> 0:13:30.280
<v Speaker 1>who sit there and say, well, I'm not really white,

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:31.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm Jewish, as if that's going to be a get

0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:33.719
<v Speaker 1>at a jail free card. No, you are lumped right

0:13:33.760 --> 0:13:36.720
<v Speaker 1>into the camp of white people, just like Persians are

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 1>in a lot of places, just like Armenians are. We're

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 1>all in the same white whiteness camp. I guess together.

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Once they come into power, they want to put in laws.

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 1>They want to put forward laws that are discriminatory, racially

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:56.439
<v Speaker 1>discriminatory against whites. And they're not they're not hiding it.

0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Once they get into power, it's just going slightly unnoticed.

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:02.319
<v Speaker 1>In New York City, Mayor Mandani said during the campaign

0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 1>tro he wanted a property tax system that punished whites

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 1>more than non whites. Now what he was saying, I

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:11.960
<v Speaker 1>know that that was the headline that got news. What

0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>he was saying on how propt New York, New Yor

0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 1>City property tax is conducted currently actually made a tiny

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 1>bit of sense. Older homes or tax at a lower

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.880
<v Speaker 1>price than newer homes are which punt which gives tax

0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.640
<v Speaker 1>breaks like build de Blasio. But that's not how he

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:31.240
<v Speaker 1>framed it. That's that's not the conversation he wanted to

0:14:31.280 --> 0:14:35.119
<v Speaker 1>have about people, people and wealthy people buying old brownstones

0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:38.000
<v Speaker 1>versus you know, working class, middle class people buying newer

0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 1>condos or apartments or houses. No, he talked about it

0:14:42.240 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 1>in the racial context because that was what he cared about.

0:14:47.200 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Racial justice was economic justice to him. In Virginia Democrats

0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 1>that put forward legislation that discriminates against white men for

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:59.920
<v Speaker 1>government contracts. The fever dream with a post Floyd radicalis

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:04.240
<v Speaker 1>hasn't gotten away. It's just gotten a lot quieter. You're

0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:07.800
<v Speaker 1>just not hearing it so often. But every once in

0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:10.520
<v Speaker 1>a while they slip up and they tell you, and

0:15:10.560 --> 0:15:13.920
<v Speaker 1>then when they get into power, they show you and

0:15:14.000 --> 0:15:16.400
<v Speaker 1>while white continued to become a smaller percentage of this

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:19.120
<v Speaker 1>country because we've had birth rates below replacement level since

0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen seventies, they will continue to be an economic powerhouse.

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:26.440
<v Speaker 1>What happens in many countries when there's an economic dominant

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:30.600
<v Speaker 1>minority is that they're preyed upon, that they're blamed, they're

0:15:30.640 --> 0:15:35.200
<v Speaker 1>discriminated against, And the left is setting up this language today.

0:15:35.880 --> 0:15:37.720
<v Speaker 1>I know that it's not where people expect me to

0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 1>go to have this podcast. I'm not a doom and

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:42.320
<v Speaker 1>gloom person. I'm not a fire and brimstone person. But

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:45.840
<v Speaker 1>jing Wu, I guess set me off a little bit

0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:51.680
<v Speaker 1>because it's so clearly obvious. And the fact that the

0:15:51.720 --> 0:15:55.360
<v Speaker 1>Houston Chronicle sat there and said, well, let's really talk

0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 1>about how Ted Cruz reacted to it, rather than what

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:03.320
<v Speaker 1>ging Wu actually said shows how pathetic the media is.

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:07.080
<v Speaker 1>The fact that Bacari Sellers is back on CNN any

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 1>day of the week that he wants to be the

0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:11.640
<v Speaker 1>fact that half of these people are accepted in play company.

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 1>Anti white language is going to be filed by anti

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 1>white legislation. Take it to the bank. It already is

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 1>in New York City in Virginia and anywhere else. Democrats

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:25.760
<v Speaker 1>will sit there and win this November. I know I

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 1>just said sit there, and I always try to stop

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:31.080
<v Speaker 1>myself to say sit there, but I did it. Anywhere

0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:35.440
<v Speaker 1>Democrats win this November. Let's talk about an election. Let's

0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:39.520
<v Speaker 1>talk about the great state of Texas. This special election

0:16:39.600 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 1>in Texas has opened up the you know, open up

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 1>the idea that Texas is in play, especially, you know,

0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 1>with incumbent Senator John Cornyn down significantly in the polls,

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>especially in a runoff. He's down really badly in a runoff.

0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 1>A lot of donors already considering cutting him loose. Recent

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 1>polls by the NRSC found that Cornyn only wins against

0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:03.680
<v Speaker 1>Democrats James to Larico by three points. A poll by

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the University of Houston put every potential matchup within the

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:09.399
<v Speaker 1>margin of error. And Republicans are worried if Ken Paxton,

0:17:09.359 --> 0:17:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Attorney General Kim Paxson, who's a controversial figure for many reasons.

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to go into a whole Kenn Paxson

0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:17.520
<v Speaker 1>episode if he is the nominee, that Democrats have a

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:20.679
<v Speaker 1>chance of winning the state new Remember, I may know

0:17:20.760 --> 0:17:24.000
<v Speaker 1>everyone outside Texas like that's so far FROs far fetch

0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>Trump won Texas by a huge margin, and he did.

0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:30.040
<v Speaker 1>But remember in twenty eighteen, in the last midterm, Democrats

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:33.159
<v Speaker 1>came within two percentage points of beating Ted Cruz. So

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:36.359
<v Speaker 1>what could happen this year? And the special election in

0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:40.680
<v Speaker 1>the Texas State Senate are giving Democrats even more hope.

0:17:40.920 --> 0:17:44.959
<v Speaker 1>Polls suggest the worst candidate for the Democrats is Jasmine Crockett.

0:17:45.000 --> 0:17:46.639
<v Speaker 1>So that's what I've told all my Republican friends to

0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:49.919
<v Speaker 1>go vote for. Because Texas doesn't have strict party registration,

0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:52.480
<v Speaker 1>you can kind of vote for any primary that you want.

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:56.440
<v Speaker 1>But this special election is giving them all hope. So

0:17:56.640 --> 0:17:59.120
<v Speaker 1>will the lone star state go blue? That's what we're

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:05.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about next. Callen Jones is a senior investigator reporter

0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:08.080
<v Speaker 1>at the Dallas Express. He knows a lot about Texas.

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for being here, Callen. Thank you

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:13.320
<v Speaker 1>for having me Ryan. So my first question for you

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:17.159
<v Speaker 1>is what does this special election in Texas mean for

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Republicans in November. You're of course talking about the SD

0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 1>nine race.

0:18:22.000 --> 0:18:26.720
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well, I live funny enough in that district. It's

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 5>being interpreted right now as a big upset that mag

0:18:30.880 --> 0:18:34.920
<v Speaker 5>is over this is the sign that Republicans have given

0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:37.959
<v Speaker 5>up on Trump. One thing I would like to point out,

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 5>and I have done in my reporting on this matter,

0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:44.080
<v Speaker 5>is that this was an off year special election runoff,

0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 5>and it happened during January. And what typically does not

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:51.520
<v Speaker 5>happen during Texas's elections is we don't get snowstorms because

0:18:51.520 --> 0:18:55.119
<v Speaker 5>we don't have them in January. And many of the

0:18:55.119 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 5>polling locations were closed during that election and so disturbed

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:03.399
<v Speaker 5>to the execution of the election in a way we

0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:07.200
<v Speaker 5>haven't seen before. Republicans were discouraged, I think, partly by

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:10.800
<v Speaker 5>this known partly by some of the political happenings we

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.920
<v Speaker 5>have going on in this district, and Democrats had a

0:19:13.960 --> 0:19:17.800
<v Speaker 5>reason to turn out. They were mad, they were fired up,

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:21.879
<v Speaker 5>and the Democrats ran a competent and likable candidate in

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:22.920
<v Speaker 5>t Would you say.

0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:25.199
<v Speaker 1>Though that, would you say that there were things that

0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:28.840
<v Speaker 1>are divorced. Obviously, the national environment's notcher for Republicans, But

0:19:28.840 --> 0:19:32.600
<v Speaker 1>would you say there were things happening in this election

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:36.159
<v Speaker 1>that were unique to this election. I've heard from people

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 1>on the ground that the Republican with a virtually pronounceable

0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:45.000
<v Speaker 1>last name, you know, the fight between her and the

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 1>former mayor of the his or her Republican primary opponent

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:52.919
<v Speaker 1>turned down support things that don't have implications for a

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:57.840
<v Speaker 1>state wide election. Certainly, there is a battle of personalities

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:02.280
<v Speaker 1>and of ideology going on in this in the Republican

0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:06.160
<v Speaker 1>primary in this race and the former Republican or there

0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:06.879
<v Speaker 1>wasn't a primary.

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:09.280
<v Speaker 5>It was three people running against each other. Was wams Goans.

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:12.480
<v Speaker 5>That's how I say it. Look now I've mispronounced it

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 5>many times. Now it's Wamscons. Lee wams Guns was Republican.

0:20:16.320 --> 0:20:19.560
<v Speaker 5>John John Huffman was the other Republican. He was the

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:23.359
<v Speaker 5>former mayor of South Lake, and they were running against

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:28.720
<v Speaker 5>Taylor Remmitt, who was the Democrat union boss. And of

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 5>course the Republican vote was split, and the general election

0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 5>vote was split three ways, which forced the runoff. It

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:37.719
<v Speaker 5>cost a lot of money, and there's sort of an

0:20:37.760 --> 0:20:43.119
<v Speaker 5>ideological difference coming out of the suburbs. There's the Trump

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:46.560
<v Speaker 5>base which is with him one hundred percent, and Trump,

0:20:46.560 --> 0:20:50.960
<v Speaker 5>of course, at the very end, endorsed Wamscans. And you know,

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:54.400
<v Speaker 5>the MAGA people were there, but some of the softer

0:20:55.320 --> 0:21:02.640
<v Speaker 5>managerial class moms in the suburbs did not necessarily support

0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:07.359
<v Speaker 5>womscons and there were reasons for that, one of which

0:21:07.800 --> 0:21:13.520
<v Speaker 5>being the potential split of the school district in Iste. Now,

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:17.800
<v Speaker 5>I'm actually a graduate of Keller High and this was

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:21.560
<v Speaker 5>a very controversial issue. From my understanding of the issue,

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 5>womscans and some of the other people that ended up

0:21:25.080 --> 0:21:30.480
<v Speaker 5>getting painted with this did not necessarily know about this beforehand.

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:34.439
<v Speaker 5>This kind of spilled out of the Keller isd School

0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:38.920
<v Speaker 5>board with no preparation to the public. This was, in

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:43.440
<v Speaker 5>their view, sprung upon them, and the battle was over

0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:47.159
<v Speaker 5>whether to break Keller id into several, possibly two or

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:51.480
<v Speaker 5>more districts, with Keller High kind of anchoring the Keller

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:53.120
<v Speaker 5>district and then some of the other.

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:56.119
<v Speaker 1>Basically an economic splits me in the wealthier parts of

0:21:56.160 --> 0:21:58.520
<v Speaker 1>the town and then the working class parts of the town.

0:21:58.600 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Definitely created a lot of blood and tention. Okay, So

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:05.240
<v Speaker 1>here's the main part of it. Right outside this election,

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:08.439
<v Speaker 1>are Republicans in trouble losing any state wide seats in

0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Texas in this year for the first time in twenty

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:11.200
<v Speaker 1>five years.

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 5>You know, the number one you would think about is

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 5>the Senate race. And there was a poll out from

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 5>the University of Houston just yesterday and it showed whoever

0:22:20.359 --> 0:22:23.480
<v Speaker 5>the Republican nominee is is going to win between one

0:22:23.520 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 5>and four points, and they had to head match up

0:22:25.600 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 5>against the likely Democrat nominee, which is Jasmine Crockett, the

0:22:30.720 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 5>congresswoman from Dallas.

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I've told all my Republican revents of over Jasmin

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:40.880
<v Speaker 1>Crockett what well, I mean, she's definitely the easiest one

0:22:40.960 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 1>to beat in this election. So, I mean, Texas is

0:22:45.760 --> 0:22:48.720
<v Speaker 1>definitely not the I mean when it comes to winning

0:22:48.720 --> 0:22:51.680
<v Speaker 1>the majority for the Senate, Democrats are looking at North Carolina,

0:22:51.800 --> 0:22:53.840
<v Speaker 1>m Maine. But they still need to pick up two

0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:56.600
<v Speaker 1>seeds and I was one of them in Texas and

0:22:56.680 --> 0:23:00.760
<v Speaker 1>Texas and Alaska or the other two. Texas has twenty

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:03.520
<v Speaker 1>eighteen was a very close year for Ted Cruz. They

0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 1>were expecting there was a big pushback among Latinos. Are

0:23:07.840 --> 0:23:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Republicans feeling nervous about a similar pushback this time among

0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the Latino population.

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:18.119
<v Speaker 5>There does seem to be some realignment amongst the Latino population,

0:23:18.240 --> 0:23:21.000
<v Speaker 5>but they're not returning to the numbers that we've seen

0:23:21.040 --> 0:23:23.680
<v Speaker 5>in the past. They're not returning to the Hillary numbers

0:23:24.359 --> 0:23:29.560
<v Speaker 5>where maybe some decrease the polling is signaling, but it's

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:34.919
<v Speaker 5>not that the Latinos have completely given up on Republicans.

0:23:34.960 --> 0:23:35.120
<v Speaker 3>Now.

0:23:35.160 --> 0:23:37.359
<v Speaker 5>They may not get the numbers they got in twenty

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 5>twenty four, but presidential elections are a little bit different

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 5>than midterm at Senate elections.

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:45.919
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well, I mean, I know, I was just in Texas.

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 1>I was actually in Dallas. The should have given you

0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:48.840
<v Speaker 1>a qull but I was there for like eighteen hours,

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:51.560
<v Speaker 1>so it was a very brief trip. But when I

0:23:51.600 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 1>was there, it's interesting. Texans are very Texas Republicans, as

0:23:57.359 --> 0:24:02.440
<v Speaker 1>to say, are very aware of the immigration issue changing,

0:24:02.840 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 1>especially the Dallas area. Right, there's a huge influx of

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 1>Indian immigrants, a use flux as a Muslim population in Texas.

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:11.440
<v Speaker 1>There's the Epic City, which, as the don't know that

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:15.240
<v Speaker 1>was trying to build like basically a Shuria city in Texas.

0:24:16.640 --> 0:24:19.479
<v Speaker 1>And it's a conversation that everyone's kind of having. And

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:22.640
<v Speaker 1>yet you still have among the Texas delegation a lot

0:24:22.640 --> 0:24:25.480
<v Speaker 1>of squishes, John Cornyn being one of them. John Cornyn

0:24:25.600 --> 0:24:27.919
<v Speaker 1>is incredibly weak on immigration. He's probably one of the

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:31.879
<v Speaker 1>weakest Republicans left in the Senate. Immigration. Where is this

0:24:32.000 --> 0:24:35.359
<v Speaker 1>disconnect between the voters and the elect is coming from.

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Is it all just money and donors or what is it? Well,

0:24:39.080 --> 0:24:42.400
<v Speaker 1>John Cornyn is very cozy with the Chamber of Commerce,

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.840
<v Speaker 1>and of course the Chamber of Commerces, you know, is

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 1>suing the President to halt the one hundred thousand dollars

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:54.320
<v Speaker 1>h one BFE. So the feelings of Cornyn's donors and

0:24:54.359 --> 0:24:56.960
<v Speaker 1>his voters are very far apart. Now.

0:24:57.000 --> 0:24:59.960
<v Speaker 5>Cornyn has been able to skate by for many decades

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 5>on kind of the support of the long gone now

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:07.920
<v Speaker 5>sort of Bush establishment that's been in decay for many decades.

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 5>But he's but now there's sort of a reckoning because

0:25:13.000 --> 0:25:17.919
<v Speaker 5>people are very frustrated with him, and the Magabase in

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 5>Texas feels that they could soon be without a major

0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 5>ally in the Senate. Of course, Marsha Blackburn is running

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:30.240
<v Speaker 5>for governor of Tennessee, Tommy Tulberbill is running for governor

0:25:30.280 --> 0:25:33.159
<v Speaker 5>of Alabama, and there's a thinning out in the Senate

0:25:33.320 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 5>and in the House of sort of the Magabase, and

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 5>they view this is their opportunity to get their guy in,

0:25:39.880 --> 0:25:42.840
<v Speaker 5>who appears generally to be Kin Paxton. I'll make one

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 5>more point on this is that voters in Texas are

0:25:46.119 --> 0:25:50.120
<v Speaker 5>connected at a personal level with Paxton in a way

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:52.880
<v Speaker 5>they're not connected with Cornyn. Coryn may be a name

0:25:52.960 --> 0:25:56.600
<v Speaker 5>they know because he's been around thirty something years. But

0:25:56.920 --> 0:26:01.040
<v Speaker 5>during that impeachment hearing, a lot of people bought with

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:05.080
<v Speaker 5>Paxton because they viewed it as a real roading sort

0:26:05.119 --> 0:26:08.080
<v Speaker 5>of in the same style of the indictments brought against

0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:11.840
<v Speaker 5>President Trump. They are emotionally connected to him at a

0:26:11.920 --> 0:26:14.880
<v Speaker 5>visceral level that they are just not connected to John

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:16.080
<v Speaker 5>Cornyn or Wesley Hunt.

0:26:16.359 --> 0:26:18.399
<v Speaker 1>When I was in Texas for Brandon Gills race, I

0:26:18.480 --> 0:26:21.240
<v Speaker 1>was his GC for his run, his first run, and

0:26:22.480 --> 0:26:24.760
<v Speaker 1>the word on the the word on the street was

0:26:24.800 --> 0:26:27.960
<v Speaker 1>always Packson's a crook, but he's urkrook. That was what

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:29.960
<v Speaker 1>Republicans told me. I mean, you know, to say that

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 1>was what verbatim what they told me was he's a crook,

0:26:32.880 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 1>but he's r crook. And they thought he was a fighter.

0:26:35.720 --> 0:26:38.640
<v Speaker 1>And it's with a Cornyn. There's a lot of established

0:26:38.640 --> 0:26:41.760
<v Speaker 1>in dent Republicans in the United States Senate. I mean,

0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:44.679
<v Speaker 1>Lindsay Graham. You don't get more established from that. Lindsay

0:26:44.720 --> 0:26:47.800
<v Speaker 1>and Graham managed to marry himself to Donald Trump in

0:26:47.840 --> 0:26:54.720
<v Speaker 1>certain respects and managed to evade criticisms in certain areas

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:58.920
<v Speaker 1>because he became so closely aligned to Trump. Well, I'm

0:26:58.960 --> 0:27:01.600
<v Speaker 1>sure he disagrees with like this, really disagrees with but

0:27:01.760 --> 0:27:04.879
<v Speaker 1>that is what he did to survive politically. John Cornyn

0:27:05.000 --> 0:27:08.280
<v Speaker 1>never did that, and it's very strange that he kind

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:12.520
<v Speaker 1>of maybe thought he was going to outlast Trump. So,

0:27:14.119 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean, is this the end of Cornyn that we're seeing?

0:27:17.480 --> 0:27:20.800
<v Speaker 5>All the polling would suggest that he may make it

0:27:20.840 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 5>to the runoff, But the people who are supporting Wesley

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:29.600
<v Speaker 5>Hunt are probably going to line up behind Paston. They

0:27:29.640 --> 0:27:31.840
<v Speaker 5>have to get when they have to make a binary

0:27:31.960 --> 0:27:36.040
<v Speaker 5>choice in the likely runoff election.

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:39.480
<v Speaker 1>Is there a chance of a Hunt versus Paston run off?

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:43.240
<v Speaker 5>There is there is. The polling doesn't suggest most polling

0:27:43.320 --> 0:27:47.479
<v Speaker 5>and the more recent pulling doesn't suggest that's likely. I

0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:51.000
<v Speaker 5>think Wesley Hunt, based off the University of Houston poll,

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:56.360
<v Speaker 5>either has slightly higher favorability or ride on par They're

0:27:56.400 --> 0:27:59.320
<v Speaker 5>like within a few points of each other on favorability.

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 5>But the thing is is that Wesley Hunt is not

0:28:02.200 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 5>a known commodity to the public in the way Kim

0:28:05.080 --> 0:28:08.320
<v Speaker 5>Paxton is or in the way John Cornyn is many

0:28:08.359 --> 0:28:10.640
<v Speaker 5>people did not hear of him before he jumped into

0:28:10.680 --> 0:28:15.520
<v Speaker 5>this race. Okay, last question, Do Democrats have anything going

0:28:15.560 --> 0:28:18.560
<v Speaker 5>for them in terms of a possible upset?

0:28:19.160 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Is there a possibility in which way that Democrats have

0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:25.400
<v Speaker 1>a perfect I mean, I know that the other Democrat,

0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:27.200
<v Speaker 1>not Jazz and Crockett, has raised a lot of money

0:28:27.200 --> 0:28:31.040
<v Speaker 1>although people aren't supporting him, and I know that there

0:28:31.080 --> 0:28:33.680
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of other seats up for grabs. Is

0:28:33.720 --> 0:28:37.160
<v Speaker 1>there any possibly Democrats that there and pull a rabbit

0:28:37.160 --> 0:28:37.720
<v Speaker 1>out of a hat?

0:28:38.480 --> 0:28:40.920
<v Speaker 5>Well, I don't want to sound like the Huffington Post

0:28:41.000 --> 0:28:43.320
<v Speaker 5>on the morning of the election in twenty sixteen. And

0:28:43.360 --> 0:28:45.800
<v Speaker 5>you know, Hillary has a ninety nine percent chance of winning.

0:28:45.840 --> 0:28:50.520
<v Speaker 5>It's in the bag for Hillary, but the odds are

0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:55.920
<v Speaker 5>very strongly in the Republican's favor. You would be hard

0:28:55.960 --> 0:28:59.080
<v Speaker 5>pressed to find a high quality pull that would show

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:03.920
<v Speaker 5>you that husband Crockett is likely to defeat Tim Paxton

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:04.640
<v Speaker 5>or John.

0:29:04.520 --> 0:29:07.960
<v Speaker 1>Cornyn orz and with one and with the Jerry manner

0:29:08.040 --> 0:29:10.120
<v Speaker 1>that they just had, is there any chance of losing

0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 1>one of these new House seats? Is there any chance

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:14.800
<v Speaker 1>of the Democrats losing one of the Republicans losing any

0:29:14.840 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>of the House sets that they drew for a Republican

0:29:16.920 --> 0:29:18.520
<v Speaker 1>seat or do you know that's pretty safe. They've done

0:29:18.560 --> 0:29:19.080
<v Speaker 1>a good job.

0:29:19.400 --> 0:29:21.200
<v Speaker 5>I think they've done a good job. They've made these

0:29:21.280 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 5>races very expensive and the way they've gone the seats,

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:27.400
<v Speaker 5>but I don't think they've made them unwinnable, and I

0:29:27.400 --> 0:29:29.480
<v Speaker 5>think they're likely to win in Texas. The mood on

0:29:29.520 --> 0:29:32.680
<v Speaker 5>the ground in Texas is that the Republicans are going

0:29:32.720 --> 0:29:34.959
<v Speaker 5>to get the seats that they drew, and they're going

0:29:35.000 --> 0:29:37.000
<v Speaker 5>to get this. They're going to maintain their Senate seat.

0:29:37.680 --> 0:29:39.280
<v Speaker 1>All right, Callen? Where can we go to read more

0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:41.600
<v Speaker 1>about you, what you do and all your stuff.

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:44.440
<v Speaker 5>You can find me at the Dallas Express website, which

0:29:44.480 --> 0:29:46.920
<v Speaker 5>is www dot Dallas Express dot com, and you can

0:29:47.000 --> 0:29:49.480
<v Speaker 5>always find me on Twitter at Cowtown Caller.

0:29:50.000 --> 0:29:52.200
<v Speaker 1>Callen. Thank you for coming this podcast. I really appreciate it.

0:29:52.320 --> 0:29:53.000
<v Speaker 1>Are you're right.

0:29:56.200 --> 0:29:56.360
<v Speaker 2>Now?

0:29:56.360 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 1>It's time for the Ask Me Anything segment. If you

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:00.440
<v Speaker 1>want a part of the Ask Me Anything segment. Emily

0:30:00.560 --> 0:30:04.560
<v Speaker 1>Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast dot com. That's Ryan at Numbers

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 1>gamepodcast dot com. Numbers Plural, I have a number a

0:30:07.680 --> 0:30:09.600
<v Speaker 1>lot in the dock but I'm going through them one

0:30:09.640 --> 0:30:11.080
<v Speaker 1>by one. I will get to your question if you

0:30:11.160 --> 0:30:14.280
<v Speaker 1>haven't heard it yet. First one comes from Mary. Mary

0:30:14.280 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 1>brings up an op ed that I wrote for my substack,

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:20.280
<v Speaker 1>the National Populist newsletter about the birth rate and the

0:30:20.440 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 1>increasing births of white couples having children, well the white,

0:30:24.440 --> 0:30:26.720
<v Speaker 1>non Hispanic white father and non a Hispanic white mother,

0:30:26.760 --> 0:30:29.640
<v Speaker 1>and why that that was such an anomaly in the

0:30:29.720 --> 0:30:32.640
<v Speaker 1>overall numbers, where you see numbers declining among all groups

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:35.520
<v Speaker 1>except for Biracials. And she says, hi Ryan given to

0:30:35.600 --> 0:30:38.200
<v Speaker 1>the most people from the Middle East are classified as white.

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Could this baby bump be a Muslim baby bump? That's

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:44.200
<v Speaker 1>thanks Mary, Mary's a great question. So there were about

0:30:44.200 --> 0:30:47.200
<v Speaker 1>three point five to five million Middle Easterners. Not all

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.080
<v Speaker 1>Muslims are classified as white, right, by the way, just

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Middle Easterners. They're about three point five to five million

0:30:53.120 --> 0:30:58.240
<v Speaker 1>Middle Easterners in America. They predominantly live in Michigan, California,

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:00.800
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts. Remember when you say

0:31:00.800 --> 0:31:05.200
<v Speaker 1>Middle Easterners, that includes Lebanese Christians, that includes agnostic people,

0:31:05.200 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 1>that includes not just Muslims. Right, Israeli Jews. Perfect example,

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Middle Easterners, so they're not all Muslims, you know, by

0:31:12.560 --> 0:31:18.440
<v Speaker 1>the fact that they're Middle Eastern. Secondly, because the overall

0:31:18.480 --> 0:31:22.400
<v Speaker 1>population grew in almost every single state, including like Upper

0:31:22.440 --> 0:31:25.000
<v Speaker 1>New England, like Vermont, Maine and New Hampshire, which is

0:31:25.120 --> 0:31:29.360
<v Speaker 1>very low Muslim population. It increased in the Deep South,

0:31:29.360 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 1>and increased in Ohio and Pennsylvania and Vermont, and like

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:36.920
<v Speaker 1>in Kentucky. These are places that have very very low

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:39.840
<v Speaker 1>Muslim populations. I take it back in Kentucky. Maybe they

0:31:39.840 --> 0:31:41.360
<v Speaker 1>didn't go to Kentucky, but I have to look that up.

0:31:41.400 --> 0:31:43.720
<v Speaker 1>But it grew in most other parts of the country

0:31:44.000 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 1>that have very very low Muslim populations. So if it

0:31:47.240 --> 0:31:49.719
<v Speaker 1>was just a Muslim thing, you would see the numbers

0:31:50.120 --> 0:31:54.480
<v Speaker 1>being connected with the states that have large Muslim populations.

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Like I thought originally, Oh, it must be because of

0:31:57.320 --> 0:32:00.600
<v Speaker 1>ultra religious communities like Amish and Orthodox Jews, and maybe

0:32:00.640 --> 0:32:04.719
<v Speaker 1>like traditional Latin mask Catholics and Mormons. But it's not.

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:08.920
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't. It doesn't correlate with just one population living

0:32:08.960 --> 0:32:11.840
<v Speaker 1>in one area. I don't know the reason why. I'm

0:32:11.840 --> 0:32:13.480
<v Speaker 1>going to explore it. As the numbers come in for

0:32:13.560 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty six and we can sit there and start

0:32:15.400 --> 0:32:18.720
<v Speaker 1>breaking down more data. But something unusual is happening. And

0:32:18.760 --> 0:32:20.520
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if it's a cultural thing across the

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:24.400
<v Speaker 1>country or if it's just you know, a flair from them,

0:32:24.480 --> 0:32:25.960
<v Speaker 1>but the fact that happened two years in a row

0:32:26.040 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>is very very odd. So I will let you know

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:30.200
<v Speaker 1>as I know more. But no, it's not simply just

0:32:30.240 --> 0:32:33.479
<v Speaker 1>because Muslims are having more children. And also I think

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:37.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm pretty sure most Muslim birth rates are now at

0:32:37.600 --> 0:32:40.080
<v Speaker 1>or below replacement levels in the United States. They're not

0:32:40.200 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 1>very high. People people think when they hear Muslim birth

0:32:43.240 --> 0:32:45.360
<v Speaker 1>rates that everyone's Afghanistan or they do have a lot

0:32:45.400 --> 0:32:47.160
<v Speaker 1>of children, And in fact, most parts of the Middle

0:32:47.200 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 1>East are now settled around like two point five two

0:32:50.040 --> 0:32:53.040
<v Speaker 1>point six children for women. Most parts of Northern Africa

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:56.959
<v Speaker 1>even have now slept below replacement levels, So it's not

0:32:57.120 --> 0:32:59.840
<v Speaker 1>like most Muslim countries or even having tons of kids

0:32:59.880 --> 0:33:02.720
<v Speaker 1>like they used to. So Saturn Africa is the extreme

0:33:02.800 --> 0:33:06.800
<v Speaker 1>third world like Afghanistan is, but they're not. They're People's

0:33:06.840 --> 0:33:10.720
<v Speaker 1>opinions of how Muslim birth rates are very outdated. Okay,

0:33:10.800 --> 0:33:15.000
<v Speaker 1>second question, Hello, Ryan. This comes from Greg. He says,

0:33:15.200 --> 0:33:17.600
<v Speaker 1>as a big Billy as a big fan of Billie

0:33:17.600 --> 0:33:20.040
<v Speaker 1>Eilish's music and a fan of Ice. I'm not going

0:33:20.080 --> 0:33:23.080
<v Speaker 1>to educate our on her opinion because she's wrong on

0:33:23.160 --> 0:33:26.760
<v Speaker 1>stolen part. And actually we're living on rented land, and

0:33:26.800 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 1>that's not just Americans, that's our entire planet. We also

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:32.560
<v Speaker 1>pay taxes for our land on our property, and we're

0:33:32.560 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 1>not going to live forever. Okay, so he says, so

0:33:37.360 --> 0:33:39.920
<v Speaker 1>as we mock Billy Eilish. Yes, she's on rented land

0:33:39.960 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 1>from a population. I'll probably live there, but she herself

0:33:43.080 --> 0:33:45.640
<v Speaker 1>will she herself and all of us will probably not

0:33:45.800 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 1>live on the current land within one to two hundred years.

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:51.480
<v Speaker 1>What are your thoughts? I think, listen, I don't know

0:33:51.480 --> 0:33:53.920
<v Speaker 1>about the whole rented land thing. I guess we're all

0:33:53.960 --> 0:33:57.440
<v Speaker 1>just temporary in our shown skin, and only souls are forever.

0:33:57.680 --> 0:34:01.080
<v Speaker 1>But souls, cockroaches and share, right, those are the three

0:34:01.080 --> 0:34:01.880
<v Speaker 1>things that last forever.

0:34:02.040 --> 0:34:02.760
<v Speaker 2>But the.

0:34:04.520 --> 0:34:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Thing about Billie Eilish, the thing about Sabrina Carpenter who

0:34:07.440 --> 0:34:10.840
<v Speaker 1>was clapping like a train seal, the thing about bad

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:13.440
<v Speaker 1>Bunny and all the rest of these things is like

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:17.719
<v Speaker 1>people are trained to want to feel good, to say

0:34:17.760 --> 0:34:20.879
<v Speaker 1>the right thing Billy Eilish doesn't care about it being

0:34:20.920 --> 0:34:23.680
<v Speaker 1>on Native American land. Otherwise she give her house back,

0:34:24.000 --> 0:34:27.160
<v Speaker 1>would she would self deport to Ireland or England wherever

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:31.200
<v Speaker 1>her family's from. She has no interest in doing that whatsoever.

0:34:31.360 --> 0:34:34.960
<v Speaker 1>And it's all just to sit there and show a

0:34:35.040 --> 0:34:38.280
<v Speaker 1>group of people like, hey, I'm a good white person.

0:34:38.440 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 1>And the irony is that Billie Eilish and Sabrina Carpenter,

0:34:42.480 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 1>these are multi multi millionaires who have far more ability

0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:51.480
<v Speaker 1>to give back or to do something for populations of

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 1>Native Americans than other people do. Than Indigenous Americans than

0:34:55.880 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 1>other people do. I mean the poorest population in the

0:34:59.760 --> 0:35:02.440
<v Speaker 1>kN our Native Americans live in South Dakota. Some of

0:35:02.440 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 1>them don't have running heat correctly and they don't have

0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:09.560
<v Speaker 1>proper refrigeration. There's amazing articles written about the devastating poverty

0:35:09.600 --> 0:35:12.399
<v Speaker 1>in South Dakota. They don't do a thing for them.

0:35:12.440 --> 0:35:16.120
<v Speaker 1>They don't care. They want to cater and to tell

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:20.480
<v Speaker 1>middle class, working class and upper class white people you

0:35:20.600 --> 0:35:25.719
<v Speaker 1>should feel bad, you should want to do more. I'm not,

0:35:26.560 --> 0:35:29.359
<v Speaker 1>but I'm gonna say the right thing so your kids

0:35:29.440 --> 0:35:31.200
<v Speaker 1>can sit there and say, well, this is what I

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 1>should be doing. It's all. I don't say it's brainwashing,

0:35:35.160 --> 0:35:38.359
<v Speaker 1>but it is brainwashing. It's all performance are and it's

0:35:38.400 --> 0:35:42.319
<v Speaker 1>all performative. Nothing is about this as authentic or real.

0:35:42.640 --> 0:35:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Billy Eilish has made a good song or two. I

0:35:44.560 --> 0:35:48.960
<v Speaker 1>don't hate her, don't. I don't think about her. But

0:35:49.040 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 1>it would be great if the next person on stage

0:35:52.200 --> 0:35:54.280
<v Speaker 1>at the Grammys after she said that, said, Okay, Billy,

0:35:54.280 --> 0:35:56.400
<v Speaker 1>give your give your house away. Give your house the

0:35:56.480 --> 0:35:59.000
<v Speaker 1>Native American tribe that lived there, they're still around. You

0:35:59.040 --> 0:36:01.279
<v Speaker 1>could do that, But of course she's not going to.

0:36:01.320 --> 0:36:04.000
<v Speaker 1>It's all hypocrisy and it's all performative, like most things

0:36:04.040 --> 0:36:08.120
<v Speaker 1>that white liberals do. Okay, I'm liberals in general. Don

0:36:08.200 --> 0:36:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Lemon has a white husband who says there and talking

0:36:09.960 --> 0:36:13.560
<v Speaker 1>about whole white supremacy is terrible. Okay. Last question comes

0:36:13.719 --> 0:36:16.800
<v Speaker 1>from Julia. She writes, I'm enjoying the show as always.

0:36:16.920 --> 0:36:18.800
<v Speaker 1>It keeps me, It keeps me a company my commute

0:36:18.840 --> 0:36:20.000
<v Speaker 1>to work. Oh, I hope you have a good day

0:36:20.000 --> 0:36:22.440
<v Speaker 1>of work today, Julia. I'm thankful for your New York

0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 1>sense of humor. My questions as the Republicans are doing

0:36:24.719 --> 0:36:27.720
<v Speaker 1>badly and special elections, for example in Texas, the district

0:36:27.880 --> 0:36:30.000
<v Speaker 1>that we talk about today, that when strongly for Trump

0:36:30.000 --> 0:36:33.040
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty four just slung left. That's troubling. But

0:36:33.080 --> 0:36:35.440
<v Speaker 1>then on X I regularly see clips of Harry Anton

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:38.759
<v Speaker 1>from CNN reporting on how strong the numbers are for Trump,

0:36:38.880 --> 0:36:42.000
<v Speaker 1>how jd Vance is at eighty four percent ratings. Is

0:36:42.040 --> 0:36:44.720
<v Speaker 1>this a disconnect? How can Anton, of all people, report

0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:47.960
<v Speaker 1>the strength of the GOP if apparently is losing all

0:36:48.040 --> 0:36:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the special elections. Please explain, Julie. I hope you have

0:36:50.640 --> 0:36:52.360
<v Speaker 1>a wonderful day of work and I will explain. So,

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Trump and Vance are popular within the Republican Party. One

0:36:57.120 --> 0:37:00.239
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean that every person running for reelection is

0:37:00.239 --> 0:37:02.720
<v Speaker 1>popular within the Republican Party. There's a number of people

0:37:02.760 --> 0:37:06.719
<v Speaker 1>that are not that popular. Dan Crenshaw is not super popular.

0:37:06.920 --> 0:37:09.800
<v Speaker 1>Corey Mills is not super popular within his own party.

0:37:09.880 --> 0:37:12.279
<v Speaker 1>Brandy Fine is not super popular in his own party.

0:37:12.280 --> 0:37:15.920
<v Speaker 1>So it doesn't always transfer over to the person running

0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:19.800
<v Speaker 1>for office. Secondly, there are more people in the country

0:37:19.880 --> 0:37:23.239
<v Speaker 1>than just Republicans, So voter enthusiasm voter turn out mean

0:37:23.320 --> 0:37:26.719
<v Speaker 1>a lot. Just because someone really loves Donald Trump and

0:37:26.760 --> 0:37:28.359
<v Speaker 1>they get out and they go vote for Donald Trump

0:37:28.400 --> 0:37:30.480
<v Speaker 1>and a primary general doesn't mean they're going to go

0:37:30.560 --> 0:37:32.680
<v Speaker 1>vote in a special election that's held on a Saturday.

0:37:32.719 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Something I still don't understand why Texas is holding special

0:37:35.960 --> 0:37:40.439
<v Speaker 1>elections on Saturdays. It truly boggles my mind. But they

0:37:40.520 --> 0:37:42.920
<v Speaker 1>don't go vote on a Saturday, or they're not informed

0:37:42.920 --> 0:37:47.440
<v Speaker 1>that there's an election going on. Never underestimate people's ability

0:37:47.480 --> 0:37:50.520
<v Speaker 1>to just ignore what's happening. They're busy with their own lives.

0:37:50.520 --> 0:37:52.160
<v Speaker 1>They got kids, they got work, they got you know,

0:37:52.239 --> 0:37:55.560
<v Speaker 1>sports teams, fantasy football. Who knows what's going on. So

0:37:56.239 --> 0:37:59.040
<v Speaker 1>that is that's the condition of why they're losing. And

0:37:59.080 --> 0:38:02.200
<v Speaker 1>when you look at if they prefer if people prefer

0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:05.040
<v Speaker 1>the solutions from the Republican Party or the Democratic Party,

0:38:05.239 --> 0:38:08.200
<v Speaker 1>they usually prefer the Republicans. It's just that certain things

0:38:08.239 --> 0:38:12.319
<v Speaker 1>are not as Americans expected them. We're very I don't

0:38:12.320 --> 0:38:15.680
<v Speaker 1>want to say angry, but we're a very frustrated population.

0:38:15.880 --> 0:38:19.640
<v Speaker 1>We expected the economy in different places. The unemployment rate

0:38:19.719 --> 0:38:22.440
<v Speaker 1>for young people, including people who got good jobs, is

0:38:22.680 --> 0:38:26.320
<v Speaker 1>very high. People are nervous about AI, people are nervous

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:32.040
<v Speaker 1>about costs of electricity other things. So the two parties,

0:38:32.080 --> 0:38:33.759
<v Speaker 1>it's not like we live in the Netherlands, where there's

0:38:33.760 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 1>thirty and you can choose one or the other. There's

0:38:35.680 --> 0:38:38.560
<v Speaker 1>only two to pick from. So what happens when the

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:41.319
<v Speaker 1>party gets into power, the opposite party usually wins because

0:38:41.320 --> 0:38:43.160
<v Speaker 1>people were saying, oh, I want it to be better.

0:38:44.080 --> 0:38:46.000
<v Speaker 1>It is what it is. It's a fact of life.

0:38:46.080 --> 0:38:48.600
<v Speaker 1>But it does. But what Harryington is saying about Trump

0:38:48.640 --> 0:38:52.040
<v Speaker 1>and about Vance are true. Vance is very very popular

0:38:52.040 --> 0:38:57.399
<v Speaker 1>among Republican primary voters. He's a very very likely next

0:38:57.400 --> 0:39:00.000
<v Speaker 1>nominee if he chooses to run. And Trump is still

0:39:00.200 --> 0:39:03.080
<v Speaker 1>to pop among Republican Party voters, and that does not

0:39:03.200 --> 0:39:05.920
<v Speaker 1>mitigate from the fact that people are very angry at

0:39:06.160 --> 0:39:08.759
<v Speaker 1>the president and the party a lot of times over

0:39:08.840 --> 0:39:11.200
<v Speaker 1>economics up or feeling like he's not looking at the

0:39:11.280 --> 0:39:14.360
<v Speaker 1>right issues, that he's not focused enough on the interior

0:39:14.360 --> 0:39:16.680
<v Speaker 1>of the country. He's doing so much on foreign policy. Anyway,

0:39:16.680 --> 0:39:18.799
<v Speaker 1>that's the today's show. Thank you so much for listening.

0:39:18.840 --> 0:39:20.840
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0:39:23.960 --> 0:39:25.920
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0:39:25.920 --> 0:39:28.040
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0:39:28.040 --> 0:39:29.800
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0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:31.560
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0:39:31.680 --> 0:39:33.760
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<v Speaker 1>and I'll see you guys on Friday.