WEBVTT - Dan Nathan & Alan Elrod

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<v Speaker 1>Hi, I'm Molly john Fast and this is Fast Politics,

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<v Speaker 1>where we discussed the top political headlines with some of

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<v Speaker 1>today's best minds. And Elon Musk warns that excessive spending

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<v Speaker 1>will plunge the US into debt slavery. Yeah, now he's

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<v Speaker 1>worried about it.

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<v Speaker 2>We have such a great chill for you today.

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<v Speaker 1>Risk Reversal's own Dan Nathan stops by to tell us

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<v Speaker 1>about businesses reactions to.

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<v Speaker 2>Trump's insane tariffs.

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<v Speaker 1>Then we'll talk to Alan Alrod about his brilliant article

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<v Speaker 1>You're not crazy, America has gone mad.

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<v Speaker 3>But first of the news, so Molly, the CBO, which

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<v Speaker 3>this weekend, Mike Johnson had to say, you know is

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<v Speaker 3>a woke institution and you should believe it. But then

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<v Speaker 3>they pointed out how often he cites it. He says

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<v Speaker 3>that the trunk tax bill will add two point four

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<v Speaker 3>trillion to the deficit a leave ten point nine million

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<v Speaker 3>more on insured. Great work, great work, really serving the

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<v Speaker 3>American people.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about this bill because I know

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<v Speaker 1>that I keep talking about this bill, but I just

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<v Speaker 1>want all of our listeners to just take a minute

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<v Speaker 1>to realize how stupid this fucking thing is. Okay, first,

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<v Speaker 1>of all all Republicans in the House signed off on it,

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<v Speaker 1>everyone from Marjorie Taylor Green to Mike Lawler. So if

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<v Speaker 1>you're Mike Lawler and you're in a D plus one

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<v Speaker 1>or an R plus one, you know a very swingy district,

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<v Speaker 1>which he is. Jesse is now going to look up

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<v Speaker 1>what his district is, but it's a very tight district

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<v Speaker 1>that is not supposed to elect a Marjorie Taylor Green.

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<v Speaker 1>That guy also voted for this, so all of them

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<v Speaker 1>have voted for this. In it, nearly a thousand pages,

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<v Speaker 1>is a ton of pork, including crazy stuff like this

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<v Speaker 1>crazy thing that limits judicial power and oversight of this administration.

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<v Speaker 1>You're shocked to hear that, but I bet you're actually

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<v Speaker 1>not shocked to hear that.

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<v Speaker 2>And in it there's also a ton of other stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>Work requirements for parents with children over seven for Medicaid

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<v Speaker 1>and food stamps. That's right, if you have a child

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<v Speaker 1>over seven, you need to be working. You need to

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<v Speaker 1>be having a job, Okay, because children.

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<v Speaker 2>Over seven are adults. I mean, this is what this

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<v Speaker 2>bill does.

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<v Speaker 1>And what this bill does is it saves a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of money clawing back Medicaid. That means rural hospitals

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<v Speaker 1>and nursing homes, and then it spends a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>money doing crazy tax stuff. And I want to have

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<v Speaker 1>one second to talk about the crazy tax stuff because basically,

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<v Speaker 1>this bill BBB, big beautiful bullshit is the purest distillation

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<v Speaker 1>of MAGA. Right, it's a lot of Trump's campaign promises,

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<v Speaker 1>no tax on tips.

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<v Speaker 2>How will they do?

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<v Speaker 1>No tax on tips? I feel like I'm going crazy, right,

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<v Speaker 1>what's a tip? What's not a tip? There's no way

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<v Speaker 1>to deliver this, And there's just a lot of more

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<v Speaker 1>tax bullshit. And then there's also stuff in this big

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<v Speaker 1>beautiful bullshit that is, you know, besides the judicial power stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>there's other stuff in there that's just pork. So Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk has said now that it's a bad bill. Now

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<v Speaker 1>I want to redo something from Jake Sherman at Punchbowl News,

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<v Speaker 1>who was a really really really sourced congressional reporter, and

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<v Speaker 1>he said a Republican aid on Elon Musk opposing the

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<v Speaker 1>Reconciliation bill, the guy was pro the package until he

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<v Speaker 1>realized he wasn't going to get his way on the

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<v Speaker 1>ev tax credits. Right, none of these people give a

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<v Speaker 1>fuck about the deficit. Elon wanted the ev tax credits

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<v Speaker 1>because he thinks it'll be good for TESLA. I want

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<v Speaker 1>people to realize, like, nobody here is acting out of

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<v Speaker 1>any interest but their own self interest.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, strong agree. So we're going to have a real

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<v Speaker 3>survey of stupidity today, and analysis finds the majority of

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<v Speaker 3>Trump cabinet tied to Project twenty twenty five groups. What

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<v Speaker 3>a shocker. It's almost like we said this a year.

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<v Speaker 1>Ago, since you and I did this whole twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>five thing, this YouTube series, and we kept at every point,

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<v Speaker 1>we kept being like, I think you and I together

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<v Speaker 1>would be like, oh my god, these people are just

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<v Speaker 1>going to do twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 3>And yeah, the last episode we did of the thing

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<v Speaker 3>where like we point out Trump lying and showing all

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<v Speaker 3>the evidence that he's going to put exactly who he

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<v Speaker 3>put in, Well, we were right.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like I definitely spend time in this election cycle

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about the ways I was wrong. Well here's one

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<v Speaker 1>where I was fucking right, And so we're you know,

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<v Speaker 1>this was always the play.

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<v Speaker 2>Project twenty twenty five was the ethos.

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<v Speaker 1>Now there are things happening in this administration that are actually,

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<v Speaker 1>I think scarier than Project twenty twenty five, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about like what RFK is is doing right now

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<v Speaker 1>to research and science and health.

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<v Speaker 2>But do not.

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<v Speaker 1>Underestimate the damage that Ross Fought is doing at the

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<v Speaker 1>Office of Management and Budget. And he was on the

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<v Speaker 1>Sunday shows last week. He's doing that because they're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to push this bills through the Senate and he's trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get senators on board. On this show, Dana Bash asks,

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<v Speaker 1>is it fair to say what you're doing now is

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<v Speaker 1>in part enacting Project twenty twenty five, And of course Russvott.

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<v Speaker 2>Says absolutely not.

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<v Speaker 1>But this smart reporter pointed out that sixty to seventy

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<v Speaker 1>percent of Project twenty twenty five's executive action proposals have

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<v Speaker 1>been implemented or initiated, and those are things like environment education,

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<v Speaker 1>and then thirty to forty percent of their proposals are

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<v Speaker 1>being proposed as legislation, and those are Look, you and

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<v Speaker 1>I both remember the goal of Project twenty twenty five

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<v Speaker 1>expand presidential power, take power away from Congress. This Congress

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<v Speaker 1>was really happy to give it to Trump and to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of make the presidency an imperial presidency.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's what we're watching happen in real time.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep. Well, the good news is is what we often

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<v Speaker 3>see is that the small elections in between the big

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<v Speaker 3>mid terms and the of course every four years where

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<v Speaker 3>we pick up president, that we're seeing a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>really good news in districts that could spell good things

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<v Speaker 3>for us pushing back against this administration. Since we had

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<v Speaker 3>just achieved a landslide election when in South Carolina for

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<v Speaker 3>the Democrats.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you know this is like history rhymes right, Remember

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty sixteen, Democrats won every election, and there's a

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<v Speaker 1>reason why. It's because the Republicans are doing something wildly unpopular.

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<v Speaker 1>Work requirements for food stamps, for Medicaid, these are unpopular things.

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<v Speaker 1>The reason Republicans are in such a hurry to get

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<v Speaker 1>it past is a because they know that when people

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<v Speaker 1>read the bills they.

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<v Speaker 2>Won't like it, right like what happened with Marjorie Dale Green.

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<v Speaker 1>And b because ultimately they know this is super unpopular.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think we'll definitely see.

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<v Speaker 1>More of these kind of amazing democratic landslides. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>there are people listening to this podcast right now. A

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people listen to this podcast, and you tend

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<v Speaker 1>to be very civic minded, smart people.

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<v Speaker 2>So here's my.

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<v Speaker 1>Question for you. We see that there's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>this grand swell, we see that Democrats are going to win.

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<v Speaker 1>Why don't you run for office? If you're listening to

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<v Speaker 1>this podcast you live in a red state or a

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<v Speaker 1>blue state, or a city or a town, like, we

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<v Speaker 1>cannot wait for these people to fix our problems. They

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<v Speaker 1>are not motivated, they are not capable. So maybe you

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<v Speaker 1>listeners are the ones that we've been waiting for.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, especially when we see incompetence like this that the

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<v Speaker 3>White House is being mocked after they admit that they

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<v Speaker 3>sent letters to remind countries about trade deal deadlines and

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<v Speaker 3>now we're begging for them to cut deals.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, well, you know who we haven't seen in a

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<v Speaker 2>long time. Tell me Peter Navarro.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh where is that? Follow?

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<v Speaker 2>Where is Peter Navarro?

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<v Speaker 1>Because Peter Navarro promised me ninety deals in ninety days.

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<v Speaker 3>Mall, you're going to be in DC soon, you're going

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<v Speaker 3>to put up missing signs.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, I'm going to be like Peter. I think Peter's

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<v Speaker 2>definitely going.

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<v Speaker 1>To come to my book reading.

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<v Speaker 2>He's a known reader. Yeah, so where are those ninety

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<v Speaker 2>deals in ninety days?

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<v Speaker 1>You know how many deals. We have tell me one

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<v Speaker 1>O one, we have one deal. And it's not even

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<v Speaker 1>a deal, it's a framework of a deal. Dan Nathan

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<v Speaker 1>is a c NBC contributor and the host of the

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<v Speaker 1>Risk Reversal podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>Dan Nathan, Welcome to Fast Politics.

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<v Speaker 4>Favorite podcast other than my own, Molly Dalnas. Great to

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<v Speaker 4>be here. I have a book to read, by the way,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm really excited about I'm excited for you.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you. How to was your mother out yesterday? Because

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we got to self promote.

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<v Speaker 1>I was on a television show interviewing someone who is

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<v Speaker 1>a very smart money guy economists, not an economist, but

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<v Speaker 1>someone who does does what you do, and he was expressing,

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of anxiety about the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>the market seemed to be behaving quite rationally at this moment.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that still true and can you explain to us why.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, A couple things here, So it depends which market

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<v Speaker 4>you're talking about, right, So the stock market was the

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<v Speaker 4>primary focus of most people, most citizens in this country

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<v Speaker 4>when we were you know, post liberation day. I say

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<v Speaker 4>that obviously in air quotes, because we saw the S

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<v Speaker 4>and P koreem lower. That's the largest, you know, stock

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<v Speaker 4>market in the US or at least indussy. And you know,

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<v Speaker 4>but there's other markets, right. There's the US treasury market,

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<v Speaker 4>which you know is basically one of the most important

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<v Speaker 4>you know, interest rates that a lot of stuff is

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<v Speaker 4>kind of quoted against. Right. And then there was the

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<v Speaker 4>currency market, the US dollar.

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<v Speaker 1>I want you to stop and talk about the treasury market,

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<v Speaker 1>because that's been the really important indicator of this moment.

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<v Speaker 2>This treasury market is bond people.

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<v Speaker 1>Usually when the market goes down by bonds because it's

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<v Speaker 1>a hedge against volatility.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's not what's happening right now.

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<v Speaker 4>Right, So Americans have been accustomed to buying US treasury

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<v Speaker 4>bonds because the fact that the US Treasury is not

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<v Speaker 4>going to default, right, And so you have this incidence

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<v Speaker 4>where if you're pulling money, let's say, out of the

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<v Speaker 4>stock market because you think it's risky for whatever reason,

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<v Speaker 4>you can park money in the treasury market. Okay. But

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<v Speaker 4>the problem is in this last couple months or so,

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<v Speaker 4>is that some of the biggest holders of our debt

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<v Speaker 4>of US treasuries are China, are Japan. And when you

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<v Speaker 4>come at some of these countries with like really exorbitant

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<v Speaker 4>tariff rates and they are getting ready to go into

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<v Speaker 4>a protracted trade war because they don't want to be

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<v Speaker 4>bullied right into basically eating this kind of a whole

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<v Speaker 4>new world order as it relates to trade in such

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<v Speaker 4>a short period of time. They have leverage, they own

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<v Speaker 4>these treasuries, right, if they start selling them, that means

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<v Speaker 4>interest rates go higher. And you know, when you think

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<v Speaker 4>back to back in you know, March or so, when

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<v Speaker 4>Treasury Secretary Besson started to kind of prepare investors for

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<v Speaker 4>what might come right if they start, you know, kind

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<v Speaker 4>of putting these big tariffs on, they said, we're more

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<v Speaker 4>focused on the ten year treasure yield. They want that

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<v Speaker 4>to go lower. They have to refinance a lot of debt.

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<v Speaker 4>The higher the treasure yield is, the more expensive it

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<v Speaker 4>is to refinance that debt. And they said, we're not

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<v Speaker 4>worried about the stock market. Well, the stock market koreamed

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<v Speaker 4>in early April, and the US ten year treasure yield

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<v Speaker 4>went up. Why because there were foreign sellers of our debt.

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<v Speaker 4>It did the exact opposite of what the Treasury and

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<v Speaker 4>the White House wanted to happen. And that's why, that's

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<v Speaker 4>why we had that first taco experience back on April ninth,

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<v Speaker 4>which got the stock market going back higher. But the

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<v Speaker 4>real problem is that the US ten year treasure yield

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<v Speaker 4>is stuck at four point four or five percent, and

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<v Speaker 4>it was where you know, it basically was in early April.

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<v Speaker 4>And the US dollar has not rallied because those same

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<v Speaker 4>sellers of treasuries have also been selling dollars and dollar

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<v Speaker 4>denominated assets.

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<v Speaker 1>So the dollar is down, the debt is more expensive, right.

0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:15.360
<v Speaker 4>I would think about it this way. So the dollar

0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:18.520
<v Speaker 4>is where it was in early April, and US treasury

0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:21.400
<v Speaker 4>yields are basically in the ten year about the same spot.

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 4>So to the point you were making about that market

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:27.360
<v Speaker 4>participant who says that the markets are not acting rationally,

0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:31.240
<v Speaker 4>well that's the stock markets not acting rationally. Basically, investors

0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:34.160
<v Speaker 4>are saying that the taco thing is going to happen.

0:12:34.200 --> 0:12:36.040
<v Speaker 4>It's going to happen again. He's going to chick it

0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 4>out again because pretty soon we're going to get to

0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:42.439
<v Speaker 4>that ninety day period where he pushed out reciprocal tariffs

0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:45.680
<v Speaker 4>right on the Chinese. He tweeted out last night that

0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:48.080
<v Speaker 4>g is going to be a hard guy to do

0:12:48.120 --> 0:12:50.840
<v Speaker 4>a deal with. I think he's already lowering expectations there.

0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:53.600
<v Speaker 4>So then the question is do they ratchet it back

0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:55.959
<v Speaker 4>up right, because we know that Chinese are going to

0:12:56.040 --> 0:12:58.280
<v Speaker 4>ratchet it back up. And it brings me back to

0:12:58.440 --> 0:13:02.480
<v Speaker 4>the first Trump administration. They put tariffs on China in

0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:05.959
<v Speaker 4>March of twenty eighteen. They did not have a framework

0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:09.920
<v Speaker 4>for a Phase one deal until January of twenty twenty.

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:13.920
<v Speaker 4>If you think trade wars are easy to prosecute, well

0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.319
<v Speaker 4>good luck with that. We've already seen that they're very difficult.

0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 4>And we also know that our major adversary is going

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:21.920
<v Speaker 4>to call our bluff. And it's also interesting to know

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.040
<v Speaker 4>that the first two countries that we came after, Mexico

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:28.000
<v Speaker 4>and Canada to where our biggest trading partners, have yet

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:30.080
<v Speaker 4>to come to the table. And I think that emboldens

0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 4>the Chinese. Also.

0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:33.400
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about Mexico and Canada because what

0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:38.120
<v Speaker 1>happened there was such a self inflicted wound, right Mexico

0:13:38.160 --> 0:13:40.600
<v Speaker 1>and Canada. You have to work really hard to make

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:44.720
<v Speaker 1>these people furious, and he did right, especially Canada, like

0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:46.679
<v Speaker 1>they're run by a banker.

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:48.360
<v Speaker 2>At this point. He's a liberal.

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>All he wants is to not have drama tried as

0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 1>hard as possible to keep Brexit from blowing up the

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:59.400
<v Speaker 1>UK economy. Now, Brexit fucking disaster. But Mark Carney is

0:13:59.520 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 1>really like the leader you would want, Like, I mean,

0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 1>isn't he kind of your and mind too a little

0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:06.160
<v Speaker 1>bit our dream president?

0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:06.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:14:07.000 --> 0:14:08.920
<v Speaker 4>I mean, you know, here's a guy who actually has

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:12.360
<v Speaker 4>a strong fundamental knowledge of how markets work.

0:14:12.440 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:16.480
<v Speaker 4>He understands the inner complexities of what we just went through. Right,

0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:19.160
<v Speaker 4>what does the treasury market mean? What are interest rates mean?

0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 4>What is FED policy, which is meant to be independent

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:24.440
<v Speaker 4>of politics? What does that mean? What does the stock

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 4>market tell you at certain times? The stock market, you

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:30.480
<v Speaker 4>hear this expression all the time, is a discounting mechanism, right,

0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 4>It looks at all the available news, and then investors

0:14:33.800 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 4>kind of put their money to work. And so you

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:38.520
<v Speaker 4>could say, right now, maybe that is what the stock

0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 4>market is telling you, that the worst case scenarios are

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.640
<v Speaker 4>off the table and maybe some like cooler heads like

0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:48.640
<v Speaker 4>Mark Carney might prevail. If you think about Mexico, shine,

0:14:48.880 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 4>they haven't really been engaging in a way that's particularly antagonistic.

0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:56.240
<v Speaker 4>The EU has suggested that they will come to the table,

0:14:56.480 --> 0:14:59.440
<v Speaker 4>but they don't know who they're negotiating with or what

0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:02.360
<v Speaker 4>we want that sort of thing. The UK that deal

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 4>was a bit of a fugazy They just said, let's

0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 4>just get this out.

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 2>One works of a deal, right.

0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 4>So to your point, I think that there's like some

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 4>definitely level headed folks. But then let's go to a

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:15.240
<v Speaker 4>topic us. Let's go to a topic that I know

0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 4>is near and dear to your heart. Somebody who's kind

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.320
<v Speaker 4>of off kilter a little bit. That would be Elon Musk,

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 4>who just left the administration and now all of a

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:26.960
<v Speaker 4>sudden he's got some real big issues with the tax policy,

0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 4>the tax plan. And don't think for a second that

0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:32.960
<v Speaker 4>these things are not kind of related, because they really

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:34.960
<v Speaker 4>are important if you think about it. If we're trying

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 4>to reorient global trade, if we're trying to work on

0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 4>bringing down our national debt, I.

0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:41.760
<v Speaker 2>Mean, to re orient global trade.

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:45.960
<v Speaker 1>In tariffs are that it's like taking a chainsaw, I mean,

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:49.640
<v Speaker 1>much better to give incentives to use a carrot rather

0:15:49.720 --> 0:15:52.640
<v Speaker 1>than a step. I also wonder how much of Elon

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:58.880
<v Speaker 1>Musk's newfound frugality is his irritation that EV credits are

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 1>no longer the I mean, this is a guy who

0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:07.200
<v Speaker 1>democratic legislation created him, right, he became the richest man

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 1>in the world, EV tax credits, all of this sort

0:16:10.560 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 1>of you know, the help that his company's got.

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, the one thing I just say about

0:16:17.920 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 4>Elon and you know, I think he's a much more

0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 4>effective chaos agent than Donald Trump.

0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:23.320
<v Speaker 5>Right.

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 4>But the one thing that's consistent between the two of

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 4>them is they always say the quiet part out loud, right,

0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 4>And so Elon coming out this tax bill, he has

0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 4>not really mentioned, you know, these EV tax credits. He's

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 4>gone back and forth on that. By the way, over

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 4>the last few years, he's gone back and forth over

0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 4>you know, some sort of trade barriers as it relates

0:16:42.120 --> 0:16:45.000
<v Speaker 4>to China and evs. We don't really know where he

0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:47.440
<v Speaker 4>stands on this. I think one of the positions as

0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 4>it relates to Tesla in particular, has been that they're

0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 4>in a much better spot than not say GM and

0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 4>Ford to kind of have these credits go away. But

0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:58.800
<v Speaker 4>that's actually not the case anymore. The fundamentals of their

0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:01.880
<v Speaker 4>business could not be worse. Right now, the auto gross margins,

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:04.280
<v Speaker 4>the profit that they make on their evs is now

0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:06.679
<v Speaker 4>in line with that of GM and Ford. GM and

0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.360
<v Speaker 4>Ford are pulling back from the ev market and they're

0:17:09.400 --> 0:17:12.199
<v Speaker 4>going more for these plug in hybrids. So when I

0:17:12.240 --> 0:17:15.120
<v Speaker 4>think about the way that he has gone about kind of,

0:17:15.280 --> 0:17:18.000
<v Speaker 4>you know, dealing with a price war, the Chinese are

0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:22.200
<v Speaker 4>eating their lunch. He's expected to have the second consecutive

0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 4>decline in deliveries this year at a time where the

0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 4>price war is eating into their margin. So he needs

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 4>these credits. It's very important. But they haven't said it yet,

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:34.480
<v Speaker 4>and Trump hasn't come out and said it yet, and

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:36.520
<v Speaker 4>this thing is going to be a bit worse. And

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 4>I just think that the lobbing of the grenade at

0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 4>the tax bill is something that basically he's trying to

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.879
<v Speaker 4>maybe reorient the kind of what's going on with tax

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 4>and the expectations about cuts to lower the taxes versus

0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:52.360
<v Speaker 4>what's going on with trade and the fact that our

0:17:52.440 --> 0:17:55.960
<v Speaker 4>government appears to be mired in problems with both of

0:17:56.000 --> 0:17:58.600
<v Speaker 4>them at the same time. It goes back to the

0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 4>first administration. They went for tats Gary Khan came in.

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:04.440
<v Speaker 4>He wanted to get tax cuts through. They got them through.

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:06.560
<v Speaker 4>It was a tailwind for the economy, it was a

0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:09.800
<v Speaker 4>tailwind for the stock market, and then they focused on

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 4>terrafts and trade. And I'm not saying that was effective,

0:18:12.920 --> 0:18:15.360
<v Speaker 4>but it was a much more effective way about it.

0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.080
<v Speaker 2>Oh much more right.

0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you choice the economy with the tax cuts

0:18:19.880 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 1>and then you go in there with the tariffs and

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:26.680
<v Speaker 1>it ends up being actually quite good because it tamps

0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:29.439
<v Speaker 1>down some of the inflationary you know.

0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:32.360
<v Speaker 2>I mean that with Gary Cohen is not the same.

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:35.040
<v Speaker 1>As you know, the people who are in charge right now,

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:37.600
<v Speaker 1>which is Donald Trump's lizard brain. I want to talk

0:18:37.640 --> 0:18:42.359
<v Speaker 1>about China for another minute, because there's so much anxiety

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 1>about China right what the next step is here? What's

0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 1>happening with Taiwan? We are really vulnerable to them. Also,

0:18:49.800 --> 0:18:51.639
<v Speaker 1>the other thing I want to ask you about selling

0:18:51.640 --> 0:18:55.000
<v Speaker 1>the bonds. I didn't realize that this was actually China

0:18:55.080 --> 0:19:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Japan selling bonds. So that is now that's indisputable. It's

0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:04.159
<v Speaker 1>not like technical traders.

0:19:04.040 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 4>No, I mean, like there's definitely market participants here and

0:19:07.040 --> 0:19:10.120
<v Speaker 4>around the globe who basically have a trade on they

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:12.640
<v Speaker 4>called the carry trade. They kind of sell over there

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 4>and they use the proceeds and they buy higher yielding

0:19:15.040 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 4>assets over here. And one of the reasons why you

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:20.439
<v Speaker 4>saw that market volatility in most markets. You know, this

0:19:20.480 --> 0:19:22.480
<v Speaker 4>is back in April, but we also saw it in

0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:25.679
<v Speaker 4>late July in early August. When you see an unwind

0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:28.879
<v Speaker 4>of that, that's when you see markets go haywire. And

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:32.160
<v Speaker 4>so when you think about who has the leverage right

0:19:32.240 --> 0:19:35.360
<v Speaker 4>in a situation like this, the largest holders of your

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:38.120
<v Speaker 4>debt have the leverage right. We also had a situation

0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:39.960
<v Speaker 4>a few weeks ago where moody is one of the

0:19:39.960 --> 0:19:43.199
<v Speaker 4>big rating agencies, came out and lowered the rating on

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 4>our debt, which also makes us vulnerable. Treasury Secretary Bessett

0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 4>said the other day that we will not default on

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:52.080
<v Speaker 4>our debt, but we almost did, you know, about twelve

0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:54.760
<v Speaker 4>years ago. And so there's a lot of unknowns here.

0:19:54.840 --> 0:19:56.480
<v Speaker 4>And so when you think about I'll just kind of

0:19:56.480 --> 0:19:58.400
<v Speaker 4>bring it back to China, which you wanted to kind

0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:01.600
<v Speaker 4>of talk about. You know, Okay, let's take the over

0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 4>on what they might do with Taiwan. You know, some

0:20:03.880 --> 0:20:06.040
<v Speaker 4>of the easiest things they might do, or some sorts

0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 4>of blockades or some sort of trade sort of situations

0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 4>and that sort of thing. That is important because when

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:13.919
<v Speaker 4>you think about generative AI chips and this is the

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:16.520
<v Speaker 4>new world order that we live in. This is going

0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:20.280
<v Speaker 4>to be the most important commodity going forward, especially as

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 4>we deal with our adversaries going forward. They are made

0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 4>in Taiwan, Okay, so if the Chinese try to disrupt

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 4>anything as it relates to Taiwanese production of those chips,

0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 4>that could be a real problem for the entire globe. Right,

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:37.240
<v Speaker 4>So I think about, you know, how this kind of

0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:39.800
<v Speaker 4>new world order is going to be set, Well, we

0:20:39.920 --> 0:20:42.240
<v Speaker 4>can't afford to have any disruption there. So when we

0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 4>think about China, you know, the national security as it

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 4>relates to supply chains is really important. So how do

0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:51.600
<v Speaker 4>the Chinese have leverage on our manufacturing? Okay? They are

0:20:51.640 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 4>thirty percent of the global manufacturing, right, so we went

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:57.040
<v Speaker 4>through this with COVID that was a bit of a problem.

0:20:57.080 --> 0:20:59.760
<v Speaker 4>They also own a lot of the rare earth materials

0:20:59.760 --> 0:21:02.639
<v Speaker 4>that into EV batteries and magnets in this sort, and

0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 4>they also own the purchasing power of let's say Boeing planes, right.

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:10.240
<v Speaker 4>So a headline that hit today is that they're considering

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:14.679
<v Speaker 4>by hundreds of planes from Airbus, which is obviously you know,

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 4>a European company, it's French, and that would be in

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:20.760
<v Speaker 4>place of Boeing planes. Boeing has been mired in problems

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:22.480
<v Speaker 4>for the last six or seven years. They had those

0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:25.320
<v Speaker 4>plane crashes, these issues with the seven forty seven Max,

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 4>and they've been missed you executing for a while. That

0:21:28.320 --> 0:21:30.919
<v Speaker 4>could be a real big hit to our economy, not

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:34.760
<v Speaker 4>just from a manufacturing standpoint, but really from our stature,

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 4>you know around the globe for American exceptionalism.

0:21:37.880 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 2>American exceptionalism. Ha haha.

0:21:39.960 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 1>It's so funny that you just said this thing about Boeing,

0:21:42.600 --> 0:21:46.680
<v Speaker 1>because I really do think part of what happened with Boeing,

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.879
<v Speaker 1>right is a question of regulation, right. I mean, things

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>got at a hand because the regulatory environment wasn't what

0:21:55.160 --> 0:21:58.680
<v Speaker 1>it needed to be to make sure these planes were safe.

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:02.800
<v Speaker 1>And remember Trump was in fact president from twenty sixteen

0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:06.760
<v Speaker 1>to twenty twenty. I just wonder how much like one

0:22:06.760 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 1>of the things Trump loves to do is dismantle regulation,

0:22:10.200 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 1>and we never ever see why that's bad, right, We

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:19.400
<v Speaker 1>only ever see him dismantling regulation and then a catastrophe

0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 1>like that trained derailment in Ohio. I feel like there

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>is a straight line between deregulation and environmental fallout but

0:22:28.119 --> 0:22:29.760
<v Speaker 1>also economic fallout.

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:32.640
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean that's the story of the two thousands, right,

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:34.800
<v Speaker 4>and a lead up to the financial crisis. You know,

0:22:34.920 --> 0:22:38.160
<v Speaker 4>we had some significant regulations as it really to our

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:40.920
<v Speaker 4>financial institutions, and you know it was the Clinton administration

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:44.040
<v Speaker 4>that actually rolled a puncture those back, right. And you know,

0:22:44.240 --> 0:22:47.199
<v Speaker 4>as you think about folks who have incentives right to

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:50.960
<v Speaker 4>kind of take financial instruments and kind of repackage them

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:53.040
<v Speaker 4>and do them in a way where they can make

0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:54.680
<v Speaker 4>a lot of money on them and they can get

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:56.960
<v Speaker 4>around regulations. I mean, that's really what happened in the

0:22:56.960 --> 0:22:59.400
<v Speaker 4>financial crisis, and you have thought on the way out

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:02.679
<v Speaker 4>of that where so many individuals were really burned. They

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 4>were the bag holders in that, and you had you know,

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:07.240
<v Speaker 4>Elizabeth Warren put in the CFPB and all that sort

0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 4>of stuff. And I think this is the point you're

0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:11.360
<v Speaker 4>getting to, is that the administration comes in in this

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:13.439
<v Speaker 4>new administration, it's one of the first things they do

0:23:13.600 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 4>they get rid of the Consumer Protection Organization that was

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:21.479
<v Speaker 4>meant to shield everyday citizens from that sort of you know,

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 4>predatory behavior.

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 2>And so here's because of two thousand and eight.

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:28.640
<v Speaker 4>Because of the financial crisis, and then you can look

0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:32.080
<v Speaker 4>to twenty and eighteen. So the Trump administration rolled back

0:23:32.280 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 4>some regulation about capital levels for smaller banks. Okay, so

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 4>do you remember in March of twenty twenty three, Silicon

0:23:39.840 --> 0:23:41.880
<v Speaker 4>Valley Bank went down. There was a handful of other

0:23:41.920 --> 0:23:44.919
<v Speaker 4>banks that went down. You can draw a line back

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 4>to these capital requirements that were rolled back in the

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 4>twenty eighteen deregulation. And we lost some really important banks,

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:55.919
<v Speaker 4>and we also had some threats to the financial system

0:23:55.920 --> 0:23:58.320
<v Speaker 4>at the time, different than two thousand and eight, but

0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 4>in some ways they could have had big not gun effects.

0:24:00.880 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 4>And what did the government have to do And this

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:04.880
<v Speaker 4>was under obviously the biderministration. They had to go bail

0:24:04.880 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 4>them out, right, And so we see this again and again.

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:09.959
<v Speaker 4>If you give these financiers, if you give these folks

0:24:10.320 --> 0:24:13.680
<v Speaker 4>enough room or enough rope, they will ultimately hang themselves

0:24:13.760 --> 0:24:16.160
<v Speaker 4>because the incentives are too great in the near term,

0:24:16.200 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 4>and they know that they can socialize the losses if

0:24:19.119 --> 0:24:19.760
<v Speaker 4>things go bad.

0:24:20.240 --> 0:24:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I was just going to say, privatize the gain,

0:24:22.680 --> 0:24:26.880
<v Speaker 1>socialize the losses. Speaking of socializing the losses, the BBB,

0:24:27.400 --> 0:24:32.200
<v Speaker 1>big beautiful bullshit bell will in fact cut a lot

0:24:32.200 --> 0:24:35.719
<v Speaker 1>of things right. It'll cut snap benefits, food for hungry children,

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:39.639
<v Speaker 1>it will cut Medicaid, which will cut rural hospitals, nursing homes,

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:43.399
<v Speaker 1>but it will also provide these insane tax cut no

0:24:43.520 --> 0:24:46.479
<v Speaker 1>tax on tips. I mean, what is that even? Like,

0:24:46.600 --> 0:24:49.840
<v Speaker 1>no tax on tips? How would that even be implemented?

0:24:50.160 --> 0:24:52.680
<v Speaker 1>What does that look like? And what would the financial

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 1>sort of fall out be? Right? I mean, clearly it'll

0:24:55.119 --> 0:24:57.679
<v Speaker 1>juice the public markets, but what do you think it'll

0:24:57.720 --> 0:24:59.040
<v Speaker 1>look like in six months?

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 4>Well, it's funny that sun tips thing is obviously a

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:03.880
<v Speaker 4>populous sort of move. When he would go to Nevada

0:25:03.960 --> 0:25:06.439
<v Speaker 4>during the campaign, he would talk about that and you know,

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 4>and again this goes back to maybe some of his

0:25:09.000 --> 0:25:11.920
<v Speaker 4>political genius, but his lack of acumen when it comes

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 4>to policy and the likes. So to me, that is

0:25:14.480 --> 0:25:16.560
<v Speaker 4>probably a bit of a rounding era if you think

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:19.280
<v Speaker 4>about all the folks that will benefit from that, however

0:25:19.320 --> 0:25:23.119
<v Speaker 4>they implement it, versus the expected maybe ten thirteen million

0:25:23.160 --> 0:25:26.440
<v Speaker 4>people in America. We're going to lose access to healthcare

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:29.560
<v Speaker 4>or to your point about snap or you know, free

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:33.080
<v Speaker 4>lunches and breakfast for you know, students of you know,

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:36.000
<v Speaker 4>lower income sort of families in the like, and I mean,

0:25:36.119 --> 0:25:38.960
<v Speaker 4>those are the big things and ultimately, I think those

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:40.560
<v Speaker 4>are the things that are going to get felt right

0:25:40.560 --> 0:25:42.159
<v Speaker 4>out of the gate. Do you feel them? How do

0:25:42.240 --> 0:25:45.119
<v Speaker 4>these things get implemented? You know, who knows. But at

0:25:45.160 --> 0:25:47.639
<v Speaker 4>the end of the day, I mean this sort of

0:25:47.840 --> 0:25:50.040
<v Speaker 4>cuts in a lot of red states. And that's the

0:25:50.080 --> 0:25:52.080
<v Speaker 4>other thing. If you think about some of these policies

0:25:52.080 --> 0:25:54.040
<v Speaker 4>that were put in place during the Biden administration, you

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:55.879
<v Speaker 4>could say, well, the IRA and the Chips Acts and

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:58.720
<v Speaker 4>all this sort of stuff, they deliberately put them in

0:25:58.800 --> 0:26:01.600
<v Speaker 4>some of these red states, so the folks would actually

0:26:01.680 --> 0:26:04.840
<v Speaker 4>have all the benefits of this government spend if you

0:26:04.880 --> 0:26:07.160
<v Speaker 4>think about it, right, and it goes back to really

0:26:07.200 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 4>a social safety net. If Republicans want to push through

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:13.440
<v Speaker 4>a four and a half trillion dollar tax cut over

0:26:13.480 --> 0:26:15.840
<v Speaker 4>the next ten years and throw three or four trillion

0:26:15.920 --> 0:26:19.119
<v Speaker 4>dollars onto the national debt, which is the thing that

0:26:19.160 --> 0:26:22.440
<v Speaker 4>they're supposed to care about, then they better be prepared

0:26:22.480 --> 0:26:26.200
<v Speaker 4>for the repercussions because they lose the soul of the party. Right.

0:26:26.280 --> 0:26:28.240
<v Speaker 4>If this is what and this is why Ran Paul

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:30.399
<v Speaker 4>and some of these folks, and even Elon Musk, we

0:26:30.440 --> 0:26:32.919
<v Speaker 4>don't know Elon Mus's intention. I never knew him to

0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:35.440
<v Speaker 4>be a fiscal hawk by any means, and you think

0:26:35.480 --> 0:26:39.680
<v Speaker 4>of the beneficiaries he's been able to enjoy from government spending.

0:26:39.880 --> 0:26:42.320
<v Speaker 4>But this is one where I don't think it gets

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:45.359
<v Speaker 4>fixed too quickly. I don't think President Trump, as his

0:26:46.000 --> 0:26:49.080
<v Speaker 4>approval rating goes down over these economic issues, especially as

0:26:49.119 --> 0:26:51.240
<v Speaker 4>the trade thing gets pushed out, is going to have

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:53.879
<v Speaker 4>this sort of leverage over the Senate as he did

0:26:54.000 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 4>over the House in the last few weeks.

0:26:56.000 --> 0:27:00.919
<v Speaker 2>That's the twenty four tillion dollar question. Danny. Then, thank you,

0:27:01.000 --> 0:27:02.720
<v Speaker 2>thank you. I hope you'll come back.

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:04.520
<v Speaker 4>Thanks Bally. Great to be here.

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:06.879
<v Speaker 2>Allan L.

0:27:07.000 --> 0:27:10.200
<v Speaker 1>Rod is the President and CEO of the Pulaski Institute

0:27:10.240 --> 0:27:12.400
<v Speaker 1>and a contributor to Liberal Currents.

0:27:12.880 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 2>Welcome to Fast Politics, Alan L. Rod.

0:27:16.320 --> 0:27:18.960
<v Speaker 1>You write a bunch of stuff, very smart. You write

0:27:18.960 --> 0:27:21.360
<v Speaker 1>for Liberal Currents, which I think of as a very

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:26.040
<v Speaker 1>very smart literary magazine in the tradition of the New Republic,

0:27:26.359 --> 0:27:29.040
<v Speaker 1>a little more lefty. And I want to talk about

0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:31.919
<v Speaker 1>this essay, which is why I knew we had to

0:27:31.960 --> 0:27:35.560
<v Speaker 1>have you on, because I was like, Holy moly, this

0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:39.000
<v Speaker 1>is how I feel this. Why didn't I write this piece?

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 1>And the title is You're not crazy America has gone mad.

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 2>So talk to me about sort of how you got here.

0:27:47.680 --> 0:27:50.159
<v Speaker 5>I've only been doing the sort of writing commentary pieces

0:27:50.200 --> 0:27:52.040
<v Speaker 5>for a few years, and really it kind of came

0:27:52.080 --> 0:27:55.880
<v Speaker 5>out of I head also trying to get this policy

0:27:55.880 --> 0:27:58.399
<v Speaker 5>type organization off the ground here in Arkansas called the

0:27:58.400 --> 0:28:03.560
<v Speaker 5>Plaski Institution that I started in twenty twenty one, and

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:06.760
<v Speaker 5>it is focused on a lot of the problems I

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:09.320
<v Speaker 5>think I described in this piece and some other pieces,

0:28:09.359 --> 0:28:15.119
<v Speaker 5>which is challenges that are happening with democracy and with popularism,

0:28:15.880 --> 0:28:18.119
<v Speaker 5>not just in the US, but in really a lot

0:28:18.160 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 5>of Western countries where there's a lot of breakdown in

0:28:20.880 --> 0:28:23.399
<v Speaker 5>not just the electoral politics, but also just sort of

0:28:23.400 --> 0:28:26.480
<v Speaker 5>broad cultural commitments to the important things that make a

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:29.399
<v Speaker 5>liberal democracy work. But I've tried to think about that

0:28:29.440 --> 0:28:31.560
<v Speaker 5>in sort of heartland places, So that was sort of

0:28:31.400 --> 0:28:33.960
<v Speaker 5>the idea I started writing to sort of try to

0:28:33.960 --> 0:28:35.879
<v Speaker 5>get these ideas out there and bring attention to what

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 5>I'm trying to do. And I've been really lucky. I

0:28:38.440 --> 0:28:42.400
<v Speaker 5>think that that's turned into its own sort of separate

0:28:42.440 --> 0:28:45.640
<v Speaker 5>and really rewarding journey. In terms of I started writing

0:28:45.640 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 5>an arc digital back in twenty twenty two, and really

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:53.239
<v Speaker 5>clicked with Brady Belvite or there and Nicholas Grossman, and

0:28:53.320 --> 0:28:55.720
<v Speaker 5>luckily got to do some pieces for other places. And

0:28:56.840 --> 0:28:59.680
<v Speaker 5>Liberal Currents was a place I got connected with thanks

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:03.040
<v Speaker 5>to anac Manus, who's actually a fellow at the plast Constitution.

0:29:03.560 --> 0:29:05.800
<v Speaker 5>He said, you know, reach out to Adam Gurry if

0:29:05.800 --> 0:29:07.520
<v Speaker 5>you're just sting in pitching them, and I did, and

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:09.400
<v Speaker 5>it was one of those kind of we all just

0:29:09.440 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 5>sort of clicked. I got in the little discord with

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:14.880
<v Speaker 5>the other editors and writers at Liberal Currents and there

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 5>was a I think a very happy marriage of thought

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:21.400
<v Speaker 5>and opinion, and so lip O Currens became you know,

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:22.640
<v Speaker 5>I'm a contributing enditor.

0:29:22.720 --> 0:29:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Now, yeah, that's so great. But let's talk about what

0:29:26.360 --> 0:29:30.040
<v Speaker 1>this idea is. So you start with a passage from

0:29:30.080 --> 0:29:34.920
<v Speaker 1>Hannah Rand's origins of totalitarianism. Never has our future been

0:29:35.000 --> 0:29:39.160
<v Speaker 1>more unpredictable. Never have we depended so much on political

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:42.840
<v Speaker 1>forces that cannot be trusted to follow the rules. And

0:29:42.880 --> 0:29:45.320
<v Speaker 1>I think this is the most important point here, of

0:29:45.400 --> 0:29:49.800
<v Speaker 1>common sense and self interest forces that look like sheer

0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:53.960
<v Speaker 1>insanity if judged by the standard of other centuries. So

0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:58.320
<v Speaker 1>much of Trump administration at this moment. You know, from

0:29:58.640 --> 0:30:04.280
<v Speaker 1>RFK Junior to Elon Musk, there's so many things that

0:30:04.320 --> 0:30:07.120
<v Speaker 1>they are doing in this administration that strike me as

0:30:07.400 --> 0:30:11.600
<v Speaker 1>just completely I mean, obviously there's often profit motives behind it,

0:30:11.960 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 1>but I wonder if you could just talk us through

0:30:15.320 --> 0:30:17.840
<v Speaker 1>some of these things that you see.

0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:20.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So, I think I'm really trying to do at

0:30:20.240 --> 0:30:22.760
<v Speaker 5>this piece is to capture something that I think is

0:30:22.840 --> 0:30:26.240
<v Speaker 5>happening that's observable at a few different levels. Right, So

0:30:26.600 --> 0:30:29.560
<v Speaker 5>when I think about you know, I'm not being sort

0:30:29.560 --> 0:30:32.880
<v Speaker 5>of literal, right and kind of madness. I understand mental

0:30:32.920 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 5>illness and that language can sometimes be touchy for people.

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 5>But what I am trying to capture is there are

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:42.160
<v Speaker 5>a lot of ways in which we are not behaving

0:30:42.160 --> 0:30:44.840
<v Speaker 5>in ways that really makes sense. Right. You know, you

0:30:44.920 --> 0:30:47.840
<v Speaker 5>mentioned profit motives, So there's clearly some self interest in

0:30:47.880 --> 0:30:50.120
<v Speaker 5>the Trump administration, but there's a lot of things where

0:30:50.240 --> 0:30:53.040
<v Speaker 5>the kind of even just rational principles of self preservation

0:30:53.360 --> 0:30:56.440
<v Speaker 5>self interest don't feel like they're functioning. I mean, you know,

0:30:56.640 --> 0:31:00.080
<v Speaker 5>what we're doing to our health system right now is crazy,

0:31:00.120 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 5>and even since I wrote the piece, it's gotten crazier. Right.

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:06.000
<v Speaker 5>He said he wants to basically withdraw vaccines for most

0:31:06.040 --> 0:31:10.200
<v Speaker 5>age groups. Right, there's all kinds of further downsizing of

0:31:10.240 --> 0:31:13.120
<v Speaker 5>the FDA. They want to take fluoride, not just not

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 5>you know, earlier they were talking about discouraging fluoride. Now

0:31:16.240 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 5>there's talks about banning it in multiple states. It's really,

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:22.120
<v Speaker 5>I mean, this is just in the wealthiest country in

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:26.320
<v Speaker 5>the world, crazy, right, And he talks about fixing chronic disease,

0:31:26.520 --> 0:31:28.840
<v Speaker 5>even and even if you wanted to take him at

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:31.400
<v Speaker 5>face value in that that's not being done right because

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:35.400
<v Speaker 5>they're defunding all of these research initiatives that have run

0:31:35.480 --> 0:31:38.160
<v Speaker 5>for a year, some of them decades on the sorts

0:31:38.160 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 5>of disease as he says are important. So I think

0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:42.640
<v Speaker 5>the Health Science Fund is a good place to look

0:31:42.680 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 5>at that because you have individual kind of madness, you

0:31:45.880 --> 0:31:48.440
<v Speaker 5>have influencers or are sort of peddling this stuff, and

0:31:48.480 --> 0:31:50.880
<v Speaker 5>you can see how it got into the groundwater over

0:31:50.960 --> 0:31:54.240
<v Speaker 5>time in the US. But you also have the institutional

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 5>problem of like, our institutions are not behaving the way

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 5>they should behave they are fully at this point captured

0:32:00.760 --> 0:32:05.920
<v Speaker 5>by this, I think completely. I kind of feel dystopian

0:32:05.920 --> 0:32:09.200
<v Speaker 5>to me world view of yes, it's grift. But I

0:32:09.240 --> 0:32:11.959
<v Speaker 5>always think that grift is a bad way to think

0:32:12.000 --> 0:32:14.360
<v Speaker 5>about it sometimes because that implies it's just as simple

0:32:14.400 --> 0:32:16.719
<v Speaker 5>as oh, they're just telling you a lie so they

0:32:16.760 --> 0:32:19.360
<v Speaker 5>can get money. And I think that it's just far

0:32:19.480 --> 0:32:25.200
<v Speaker 5>more irrational and sort of dysfunctional and chaotic than that.

0:32:25.600 --> 0:32:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, I wonder what you think about MAHA Make

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:32.600
<v Speaker 1>America Healthy Again. I wonder how much of MAHA is

0:32:32.600 --> 0:32:34.840
<v Speaker 1>an It seems to me there's a straight line between

0:32:34.840 --> 0:32:39.560
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic, MAHA sort of the corruption of multi level

0:32:39.840 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>marketing and MAGA.

0:32:41.560 --> 0:32:43.360
<v Speaker 2>Do you think that's right? And how?

0:32:43.800 --> 0:32:44.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:32:44.080 --> 0:32:45.800
<v Speaker 5>I mean, I do think that that's correct. I think

0:32:45.840 --> 0:32:47.840
<v Speaker 5>what you saw on the pandemic was something that was

0:32:47.880 --> 0:32:50.880
<v Speaker 5>already starting, which was a lot of these sort of

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:55.600
<v Speaker 5>health influencers who have just deeply on scientific beliefs about

0:32:55.640 --> 0:32:58.280
<v Speaker 5>a lot of different things. That was really the I

0:32:58.280 --> 0:33:00.560
<v Speaker 5>think the convergence point with them in MAGA, because there

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:03.320
<v Speaker 5>was a huge amount of objection to just the various

0:33:03.360 --> 0:33:06.520
<v Speaker 5>health precautions that were being sure. I think in the

0:33:06.560 --> 0:33:10.160
<v Speaker 5>pandemic you saw I think a convergence. It had been

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:12.680
<v Speaker 5>building for a bit, but you saw this convergence between

0:33:13.040 --> 0:33:17.320
<v Speaker 5>a lot of health influencers and people who were more

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:22.040
<v Speaker 5>I think you're sort of typical RFK type person, voter

0:33:22.280 --> 0:33:25.360
<v Speaker 5>or just kind of interested in his stuff. That kind

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:28.160
<v Speaker 5>of person really get into the sort of maga world.

0:33:28.240 --> 0:33:29.720
<v Speaker 5>And that's kind of what Maha is right. It is

0:33:29.720 --> 0:33:32.440
<v Speaker 5>this convergence of those two things. And some of that

0:33:32.520 --> 0:33:34.680
<v Speaker 5>was about vaccine hesititency, but I think a lot of

0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:37.400
<v Speaker 5>it was just more broadly about you know, the sort

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:39.720
<v Speaker 5>of existential dread of the pandemic and a lot of

0:33:39.800 --> 0:33:45.479
<v Speaker 5>very unscientific and emotional reactions right to the pandemic. And

0:33:45.560 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 5>so I think what is troubling to me about like Maha,

0:33:49.760 --> 0:33:52.520
<v Speaker 5>is some of it is absolutely grift, but some of

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:55.720
<v Speaker 5>it is belief, right, and I think we have to

0:33:55.840 --> 0:33:56.480
<v Speaker 5>reckon with that.

0:33:56.640 --> 0:33:56.800
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:33:56.880 --> 0:34:00.000
<v Speaker 5>If I thought it was all just opportunism and grift,

0:34:00.040 --> 0:34:01.680
<v Speaker 5>I don't think I would have written an essay called,

0:34:01.800 --> 0:34:04.760
<v Speaker 5>you know, We've all Gone mad, because then it would

0:34:04.800 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 5>just be sort of we're all cynical and we're all opportunists.

0:34:08.200 --> 0:34:11.040
<v Speaker 5>But really, you know, for people to just kind of

0:34:11.120 --> 0:34:16.919
<v Speaker 5>at once in large numbers reject these advancements we saw,

0:34:16.960 --> 0:34:19.200
<v Speaker 5>I think the pandemic was just rocket fuel for this stuff.

0:34:19.200 --> 0:34:21.760
<v Speaker 5>It pushed something that had been there for a long time,

0:34:21.840 --> 0:34:25.520
<v Speaker 5>existing in a kind of particular corner of Instagram and YouTube,

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:29.680
<v Speaker 5>and it just propelled it into a collision with the

0:34:29.760 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 5>maga stuff that had been coming really since since Trump

0:34:32.080 --> 0:34:35.640
<v Speaker 5>came down the escalator, and that combination I think has

0:34:35.680 --> 0:34:39.600
<v Speaker 5>been really quite powerful and dangerous.

0:34:39.480 --> 0:34:40.280
<v Speaker 2>Oh for sure.

0:34:40.520 --> 0:34:43.719
<v Speaker 1>And I do think like part of it is there

0:34:43.960 --> 0:34:49.000
<v Speaker 1>is real anxiety in modern life about what all of

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:52.080
<v Speaker 1>the things around us do and what they cause and

0:34:52.120 --> 0:34:55.320
<v Speaker 1>what the possible. You know, we have younger people getting

0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:57.680
<v Speaker 1>cancer things like that, that is real.

0:34:58.400 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I don't know my own person.

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:04.440
<v Speaker 1>Pecadillo is why is RFK Junior, you know, not focusing

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:07.520
<v Speaker 1>on the stuff that he you know, there's some of

0:35:07.560 --> 0:35:10.479
<v Speaker 1>this stuff is not as crazy, right, this stuff about

0:35:10.760 --> 0:35:13.960
<v Speaker 1>organic food or whatever, But that's not what he's focused on, right,

0:35:14.040 --> 0:35:18.720
<v Speaker 1>He's focused on the stuff that's really vaccines, the stuff

0:35:18.760 --> 0:35:21.640
<v Speaker 1>that the stuff that we were really scared he was

0:35:21.680 --> 0:35:23.319
<v Speaker 1>going to do he is in fact doing.

0:35:23.880 --> 0:35:27.640
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, there is a kind of I think fundamental disorder.

0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:29.120
<v Speaker 5>And this is kind of what I do mean is

0:35:29.160 --> 0:35:31.200
<v Speaker 5>like to his thinking and to a lot of this

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:34.520
<v Speaker 5>thinking where he'll talk about and I think what it

0:35:34.600 --> 0:35:38.040
<v Speaker 5>means is that we misunderstand him when we just let

0:35:38.120 --> 0:35:40.960
<v Speaker 5>him say, oh, chronic disease is a real problem. We

0:35:41.000 --> 0:35:42.600
<v Speaker 5>take that at face value when we say, that's not

0:35:42.640 --> 0:35:45.839
<v Speaker 5>so crazy. But that's not actually the sort of most

0:35:45.880 --> 0:35:49.400
<v Speaker 5>front facing part of his belief system, Right, that's actually

0:35:49.520 --> 0:35:52.640
<v Speaker 5>kind of a that's really a vestige of all this

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:55.839
<v Speaker 5>other stuff, right, and so, and I think that's made

0:35:55.880 --> 0:35:58.040
<v Speaker 5>obvious in the fact that, like, when he actually says

0:35:58.080 --> 0:36:00.279
<v Speaker 5>we're going to fix chronic disease, they're not doing that.

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:03.080
<v Speaker 5>And the things he seems to think count as chronic

0:36:03.120 --> 0:36:06.600
<v Speaker 5>disease is also a bit strange. Right, So you already

0:36:06.600 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 5>are in a weird place. Once you probe that language

0:36:09.719 --> 0:36:12.960
<v Speaker 5>even a little bit, I think what I am kind

0:36:12.960 --> 0:36:15.560
<v Speaker 5>of You're right, there's there's this anxiety. There's this huge

0:36:15.600 --> 0:36:18.400
<v Speaker 5>amount of anxiety. And I find that really interesting in

0:36:18.440 --> 0:36:21.480
<v Speaker 5>the way anxiety has the capacity to disrupt and disorder

0:36:21.520 --> 0:36:24.439
<v Speaker 5>our thinking and get us to cling to sometimes very

0:36:24.960 --> 0:36:28.520
<v Speaker 5>sometimes emotionally comforting or persuasive ideas that are also quite

0:36:28.800 --> 0:36:31.560
<v Speaker 5>erratic and actually not very good for us. Right. I Mean,

0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:33.160
<v Speaker 5>there's a sense in which a lot of this stuff

0:36:33.239 --> 0:36:36.319
<v Speaker 5>I think got popular because people turn to things that

0:36:36.760 --> 0:36:38.120
<v Speaker 5>made them feel better.

0:36:38.200 --> 0:36:40.400
<v Speaker 2>They needed answer, so yeah.

0:36:40.040 --> 0:36:42.279
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and provide answers they kind of I mean, there's

0:36:42.280 --> 0:36:44.600
<v Speaker 5>a religious aspect to this right where it kind of

0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:47.799
<v Speaker 5>is it's basically sort of like it's providing a kind

0:36:47.920 --> 0:36:50.919
<v Speaker 5>of you know, compass or map for how the world

0:36:51.040 --> 0:36:54.080
<v Speaker 5>works and where you stand in it, and a certain

0:36:54.120 --> 0:36:57.520
<v Speaker 5>set of truths that can make you feel I guess comforted.

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:00.719
<v Speaker 5>But it's all I mean, it's very it's I think

0:37:00.960 --> 0:37:02.560
<v Speaker 5>disaggregated from reality.

0:37:03.200 --> 0:37:05.120
<v Speaker 4>And I do think.

0:37:04.960 --> 0:37:08.280
<v Speaker 5>That that that mixture of anxiety and disorder or what's

0:37:08.400 --> 0:37:11.840
<v Speaker 5>so troubling because it doesn't feel like people are following tradition,

0:37:12.000 --> 0:37:16.400
<v Speaker 5>the idea that the American electorate would say somebody who

0:37:16.440 --> 0:37:20.719
<v Speaker 5>wants to put this guy in power is trustworthy. I mean,

0:37:20.719 --> 0:37:23.120
<v Speaker 5>I just you know, we talk all the time like

0:37:23.239 --> 0:37:27.279
<v Speaker 5>Richard Nixon was a crook and a criminal and an opportunist,

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:32.360
<v Speaker 5>but Richard Nixon also helped, you know, enshrining the EPA

0:37:32.400 --> 0:37:35.760
<v Speaker 5>and the Clean Air Act, because Richard Dixon wasn't actually

0:37:35.960 --> 0:37:38.839
<v Speaker 5>a crazy person, right, And that's the distinction I think

0:37:38.840 --> 0:37:40.759
<v Speaker 5>I'm kind of getting at is like Grift just to

0:37:40.800 --> 0:37:44.239
<v Speaker 5>me does not feel like an explanation for what's happening here.

0:37:44.600 --> 0:37:48.400
<v Speaker 5>Oh yeah, a disintegration of ordered thinking feels like a

0:37:49.239 --> 0:37:51.880
<v Speaker 5>better explanation. And it's happening at a cultural level, and

0:37:51.880 --> 0:37:54.400
<v Speaker 5>it's also happening at an institutional level. Institutions that are

0:37:54.400 --> 0:37:58.480
<v Speaker 5>supposed to mediate our thinking and our actions in rational

0:37:58.520 --> 0:38:00.799
<v Speaker 5>ways are not doing that. If we think of them

0:38:00.840 --> 0:38:05.640
<v Speaker 5>as communicative communicative sites, they're not functioning the way rational

0:38:05.680 --> 0:38:07.040
<v Speaker 5>communication works anymore.

0:38:07.400 --> 0:38:08.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, exactly.

0:38:08.840 --> 0:38:12.320
<v Speaker 1>And I think I think that's a I think that

0:38:12.640 --> 0:38:19.080
<v Speaker 1>irrationality is, you know, And I mean there's so many

0:38:19.120 --> 0:38:25.000
<v Speaker 1>different hallmarks of it, from things like the tariffs, to

0:38:25.800 --> 0:38:33.680
<v Speaker 1>things like the anti vax stuff, to the scientific stuff.

0:38:33.880 --> 0:38:37.719
<v Speaker 1>Can we talk about something that I am a little

0:38:37.760 --> 0:38:41.560
<v Speaker 1>bit obsessed with, which is this idea that Elon Musk

0:38:42.120 --> 0:38:44.520
<v Speaker 1>is the richest man in the world, has made almost

0:38:44.560 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 1>all of his money on technology, right, stuff that has

0:38:50.000 --> 0:38:55.920
<v Speaker 1>been created from science done in labs like at Harvard, Right,

0:38:56.440 --> 0:38:59.480
<v Speaker 1>the kind of stuff that's made possible by.

0:38:59.160 --> 0:38:59.799
<v Speaker 2>Things like Ana.

0:39:00.960 --> 0:39:04.640
<v Speaker 1>So why do you think, I mean that irrationality is

0:39:05.000 --> 0:39:07.880
<v Speaker 1>so striking to me? What do you think the operating

0:39:07.920 --> 0:39:10.319
<v Speaker 1>principle there is or do you think this is all

0:39:10.760 --> 0:39:16.319
<v Speaker 1>just kind of like post printing press madness that America

0:39:16.360 --> 0:39:17.279
<v Speaker 1>is engaging in.

0:39:17.840 --> 0:39:20.160
<v Speaker 5>I'm glad you said the printing press, because I do

0:39:20.239 --> 0:39:23.719
<v Speaker 5>think that, like a the the printing press challenge of

0:39:23.760 --> 0:39:26.840
<v Speaker 5>our era, right, which is social media, it is invalant. Like, yeah,

0:39:26.920 --> 0:39:28.840
<v Speaker 5>I mean, I think with Elon, it's this is a

0:39:28.880 --> 0:39:32.879
<v Speaker 5>guy who you know, I can't speak to like how

0:39:33.080 --> 0:39:35.719
<v Speaker 5>smart or insightful Elon might have been a decade ago,

0:39:35.880 --> 0:39:37.719
<v Speaker 5>but I think it's pretty obvious that for the last

0:39:37.719 --> 0:39:40.360
<v Speaker 5>few years he's spent his time. You know, he admits

0:39:40.360 --> 0:39:42.800
<v Speaker 5>to taking inordinate amounts of ketamine.

0:39:42.640 --> 0:39:44.799
<v Speaker 2>Right, and the New York Times just had a big

0:39:44.840 --> 0:39:45.279
<v Speaker 2>piece on that.

0:39:45.360 --> 0:39:47.560
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, go on, he spends like twenty hours a day

0:39:48.120 --> 0:39:50.680
<v Speaker 5>just absolutely soaking in social media, and I mean, I

0:39:50.680 --> 0:39:52.520
<v Speaker 5>think that is a place that just you know, it

0:39:52.560 --> 0:39:56.719
<v Speaker 5>obliterates your sense of up and down. So you know,

0:39:57.160 --> 0:39:59.640
<v Speaker 5>I mean, if he's just taking drugs and he's the

0:39:59.719 --> 0:40:01.600
<v Speaker 5>richest man in the world, which itself can be kind

0:40:01.600 --> 0:40:05.520
<v Speaker 5>of a narcotic, and he's spending more hours a day

0:40:05.560 --> 0:40:10.480
<v Speaker 5>than many people are awake on his own social media platform, right,

0:40:10.880 --> 0:40:13.640
<v Speaker 5>to me, that's just you're just swimming in a kind

0:40:13.640 --> 0:40:18.120
<v Speaker 5>of sea of irrational and sort of disordered behavior. I mean,

0:40:18.600 --> 0:40:21.560
<v Speaker 5>social media doesn't bring out our best in most of us.

0:40:21.760 --> 0:40:23.759
<v Speaker 5>And then you also have places like what he's turned

0:40:23.760 --> 0:40:26.080
<v Speaker 5>to accent to, which is just a full on cess pool.

0:40:26.360 --> 0:40:29.680
<v Speaker 1>Let's go another minute on the printing press here, because

0:40:29.680 --> 0:40:33.160
<v Speaker 1>I do really want to talk about that. I once

0:40:33.320 --> 0:40:38.279
<v Speaker 1>was on a panel interviewing a very famous tech bro,

0:40:39.000 --> 0:40:40.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, and he said everything.

0:40:42.239 --> 0:40:43.240
<v Speaker 2>Very you know, a lot.

0:40:43.080 --> 0:40:45.719
<v Speaker 1>Of that kind of stuff, the tech bro stuff. And

0:40:45.800 --> 0:40:48.840
<v Speaker 1>then I said to you, do you think we're better off?

0:40:49.040 --> 0:40:52.160
<v Speaker 1>And he said, well, we will eventually be better off,

0:40:52.200 --> 0:40:53.960
<v Speaker 1>but it's like the printing press, we may have one

0:40:54.000 --> 0:40:55.520
<v Speaker 1>hundred years of fuckeray.

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:58.359
<v Speaker 2>Do you think that it's a one to one there?

0:40:58.920 --> 0:41:02.440
<v Speaker 5>No, because I think this is true of a lot

0:41:02.440 --> 0:41:04.600
<v Speaker 5>of people who are in kind of the liberally you know.

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:07.279
<v Speaker 5>I came of age under the Obama years camp I

0:41:07.480 --> 0:41:10.439
<v Speaker 5>was at one point fairly optimistic about this stuff, right.

0:41:10.760 --> 0:41:13.040
<v Speaker 5>I was like, oh, Twitter in the Arab spring, and

0:41:13.080 --> 0:41:15.040
<v Speaker 5>like look at Facebook and like this is pretty great.

0:41:15.160 --> 0:41:17.200
<v Speaker 5>I say that as someone who did not start as

0:41:17.239 --> 0:41:18.759
<v Speaker 5>a as a kind of lttite.

0:41:18.520 --> 0:41:19.399
<v Speaker 4>Or anything like that.

0:41:19.560 --> 0:41:22.399
<v Speaker 5>But no, because I think what we've seen is that

0:41:22.760 --> 0:41:25.800
<v Speaker 5>one we know for a fact that the effect of

0:41:25.840 --> 0:41:27.880
<v Speaker 5>screens is different. And I don't mean that in a

0:41:27.960 --> 0:41:30.000
<v Speaker 5>kind of screen addiction way, which is its own thing.

0:41:30.080 --> 0:41:33.320
<v Speaker 5>I mean we know psychologically that our capacity to recognize

0:41:33.360 --> 0:41:35.480
<v Speaker 5>the humanity of a person we're interacting with on a

0:41:35.480 --> 0:41:38.720
<v Speaker 5>phone screen is reduced, Like our brain just doesn't process

0:41:38.719 --> 0:41:41.319
<v Speaker 5>it the way we process in person interaction. And when

0:41:41.360 --> 0:41:44.600
<v Speaker 5>you read a text that someone wrote, that person is

0:41:44.640 --> 0:41:47.520
<v Speaker 5>not there for you to scream at. Actually, right, you

0:41:47.640 --> 0:41:50.600
<v Speaker 5>go and find other paper and write about them. Social

0:41:50.680 --> 0:41:54.440
<v Speaker 5>media is combining these things, so it's taking like the

0:41:54.520 --> 0:41:56.399
<v Speaker 5>text you know, if you're on Twitter, the text based

0:41:56.480 --> 0:41:59.480
<v Speaker 5>aspects right of the printing past, and it's fusing them

0:41:59.480 --> 0:42:01.719
<v Speaker 5>with a bunch of other stuff that we're not evolutionary

0:42:01.760 --> 0:42:05.960
<v Speaker 5>equipped for at all, like just interacting with millions of

0:42:06.000 --> 0:42:09.000
<v Speaker 5>anonymous people. And I think we've seen very clearly that

0:42:09.040 --> 0:42:11.239
<v Speaker 5>the stuff we're willing to say and do there is

0:42:11.320 --> 0:42:14.719
<v Speaker 5>just absolutely unhinged. And there's no you know, because of

0:42:14.719 --> 0:42:17.160
<v Speaker 5>the whole debate over you know, we're not a publishing platform,

0:42:17.160 --> 0:42:20.680
<v Speaker 5>et cetera. There's no editorial process right too. I stud

0:42:20.800 --> 0:42:23.000
<v Speaker 5>wanted to try to write a book about how Molly

0:42:23.120 --> 0:42:24.359
<v Speaker 5>is a terrible person.

0:42:24.440 --> 0:42:26.160
<v Speaker 2>Right now, you can write it.

0:42:27.120 --> 0:42:29.440
<v Speaker 5>I could self publish sure today, but like you know,

0:42:29.960 --> 0:42:32.120
<v Speaker 5>at one point there'd be like a process somebody would

0:42:32.120 --> 0:42:34.280
<v Speaker 5>have to be like agreed to run that and print

0:42:34.280 --> 0:42:37.359
<v Speaker 5>that and like actually do it. And now I could

0:42:37.400 --> 0:42:40.600
<v Speaker 5>just go onto these websites and say really anything I want.

0:42:41.040 --> 0:42:43.359
<v Speaker 5>And so I just think the printing press analogy is

0:42:43.719 --> 0:42:48.439
<v Speaker 5>it's seductive because what it says is don't worry. Look

0:42:48.480 --> 0:42:51.920
<v Speaker 5>how great things are. Thinks to those advancements. That's how

0:42:51.960 --> 0:42:54.200
<v Speaker 5>they'll be because of this. But I think it really

0:42:54.200 --> 0:42:55.880
<v Speaker 5>obscures all the way is that they're just not the

0:42:55.880 --> 0:42:56.399
<v Speaker 5>same at all.

0:42:56.719 --> 0:42:59.920
<v Speaker 1>Oh so interesting, thank you saying you, saying you, saying

0:43:00.000 --> 0:43:07.400
<v Speaker 1>thank you, thank you, thank you.

0:43:04.680 --> 0:43:11.120
<v Speaker 4>Now, Dan Nathan, Yes, Molly jonathast.

0:43:10.600 --> 0:43:12.920
<v Speaker 2>You are a special moment of fuckery guest.

0:43:13.080 --> 0:43:16.600
<v Speaker 1>So I'm going to set you up for a doozy Okay,

0:43:16.600 --> 0:43:17.360
<v Speaker 1>are you ready?

0:43:17.480 --> 0:43:18.040
<v Speaker 4>I'm ready.

0:43:18.239 --> 0:43:23.360
<v Speaker 1>So it involves America's most I want to say something generous,

0:43:23.400 --> 0:43:27.040
<v Speaker 1>but I'm not going to worst congress Woman Marjorie Taylor Green.

0:43:27.320 --> 0:43:28.759
<v Speaker 2>So in the big.

0:43:28.520 --> 0:43:31.839
<v Speaker 1>Beautiful whatever the fuck that thing is, there is an

0:43:31.880 --> 0:43:37.440
<v Speaker 1>insane little bit of whatever that says.

0:43:37.440 --> 0:43:38.440
<v Speaker 2>And I'm going to read it to you.

0:43:38.880 --> 0:43:43.399
<v Speaker 1>It basically says that states cannot regulate AI. So it

0:43:43.480 --> 0:43:46.239
<v Speaker 1>is the opposite of everything that Republicans have been saying

0:43:46.239 --> 0:43:49.279
<v Speaker 1>for so long. And but you know, AI companies want

0:43:49.320 --> 0:43:53.000
<v Speaker 1>it full transparency. I didn't know about this section on

0:43:53.120 --> 0:43:56.839
<v Speaker 1>page two seventy eight to seventy nine of the obb

0:43:57.640 --> 0:44:00.520
<v Speaker 1>B that strip states for the rights to make laws

0:44:00.680 --> 0:44:04.680
<v Speaker 1>or regulate AI for a decade. I'm adamantly opposed all

0:44:04.760 --> 0:44:07.719
<v Speaker 1>caps to this, and it is a violation of state laws.

0:44:07.719 --> 0:44:10.520
<v Speaker 1>And I would have voted no had I known what

0:44:10.680 --> 0:44:15.239
<v Speaker 1>was in there or AKA read the bill, thought Stan Nathan.

0:44:15.239 --> 0:44:17.400
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, let's read the bills here, people, and maybe

0:44:17.440 --> 0:44:20.480
<v Speaker 4>you make these big, beautiful bills something that are digestible

0:44:20.600 --> 0:44:23.839
<v Speaker 4>of all people opining on. This is probably not one

0:44:23.880 --> 0:44:25.520
<v Speaker 4>that I'm going to take to the bank and listen

0:44:25.560 --> 0:44:27.360
<v Speaker 4>to what she has to say here. But at the

0:44:27.440 --> 0:44:29.840
<v Speaker 4>end of the day, I think you nailed it. It's like, okay,

0:44:30.160 --> 0:44:33.560
<v Speaker 4>if Republican politics, okay, for the last call it, one

0:44:33.640 --> 0:44:37.120
<v Speaker 4>hundred and fifty years have centered around whatever the party was,

0:44:37.160 --> 0:44:39.880
<v Speaker 4>you know, prior to that have centered around you know

0:44:39.920 --> 0:44:42.160
<v Speaker 4>what I mean, the states being able to kind of

0:44:42.160 --> 0:44:44.440
<v Speaker 4>make their own laws. And put the power back in

0:44:44.480 --> 0:44:47.759
<v Speaker 4>the people's hands as it relates to whatever the demographics

0:44:47.840 --> 0:44:50.960
<v Speaker 4>or geographic issues specific to them. It just doesn't make

0:44:51.000 --> 0:44:52.399
<v Speaker 4>a whole heck of a lot of sense. You want

0:44:52.440 --> 0:44:54.600
<v Speaker 4>to turn this thing upside down, you know. And some

0:44:54.680 --> 0:44:57.880
<v Speaker 4>of the folks that are these aisars or cryptosars that

0:44:57.880 --> 0:45:01.120
<v Speaker 4>have come into the administration, you know, you would think

0:45:01.160 --> 0:45:04.160
<v Speaker 4>that these people have a code, right, like they've kind

0:45:04.160 --> 0:45:07.600
<v Speaker 4>of built things over amazing things and so it gote valid,

0:45:07.680 --> 0:45:09.719
<v Speaker 4>you know, over the last thirty forty years, that sort

0:45:09.719 --> 0:45:12.880
<v Speaker 4>of thing that have actually advanced the quality of life

0:45:12.920 --> 0:45:15.719
<v Speaker 4>for so many you know, millions of not billions of

0:45:15.760 --> 0:45:19.200
<v Speaker 4>people here, and that's some sort of conformity about this.

0:45:19.360 --> 0:45:23.240
<v Speaker 4>They recognize what the stakes are with AI. That would

0:45:23.239 --> 0:45:25.000
<v Speaker 4>make a whole heck of a lot of sense. So

0:45:25.360 --> 0:45:27.520
<v Speaker 4>in some ways, you know, taking the power from the

0:45:27.560 --> 0:45:30.080
<v Speaker 4>States and taking the power from folks like Marjorie Taylor

0:45:30.120 --> 0:45:32.920
<v Speaker 4>Green who don't understand any of it makes some sense

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:35.160
<v Speaker 4>to me. But these people better get their act together

0:45:35.200 --> 0:45:38.560
<v Speaker 4>because this technology is advancing at a pace that we've

0:45:38.600 --> 0:45:41.400
<v Speaker 4>never seen right now, and it's really at the center

0:45:41.719 --> 0:45:44.000
<v Speaker 4>of a lot of the sort of battles that are

0:45:44.000 --> 0:45:46.560
<v Speaker 4>going to be fought over the next hundred years for

0:45:46.719 --> 0:45:50.919
<v Speaker 4>like global supremacy. I know that sounds really dramatic. Backtion

0:45:51.040 --> 0:45:54.040
<v Speaker 4>one hundred years and let's see how important this is

0:45:54.120 --> 0:45:56.279
<v Speaker 4>right now that we get it right, because you know what,

0:45:56.640 --> 0:45:59.239
<v Speaker 4>you know, who doesn't kind of mess around with this?

0:45:59.320 --> 0:46:01.000
<v Speaker 4>I know is the moment fuckery, so I could say,

0:46:01.400 --> 0:46:05.120
<v Speaker 4>is the Chinese. They're taking a fifty year view about

0:46:05.120 --> 0:46:07.479
<v Speaker 4>this and we are taking an every two year view

0:46:07.600 --> 0:46:09.000
<v Speaker 4>as it relates to our midterms.

0:46:09.160 --> 0:46:11.400
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, thank you, thank you, Dan Nathan.

0:46:11.880 --> 0:46:13.279
<v Speaker 4>All Right, Mollie, thanks for having me.

0:46:14.000 --> 0:46:18.359
<v Speaker 1>That's it for this episode of Fast Politics. Tune in

0:46:18.680 --> 0:46:24.120
<v Speaker 1>every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday to hear the best

0:46:24.200 --> 0:46:28.480
<v Speaker 1>minds and politics make sense of all this chaos. If

0:46:28.520 --> 0:46:31.560
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy this podcast, please send it to a friend

0:46:32.000 --> 0:46:33.640
<v Speaker 1>and keep the conversation going.

0:46:34.080 --> 0:46:35.240
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for listening.