1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,040 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p Joe Pi Zapia, 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead, 4 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: the first look ahead of the NFL season. I'm so excited. 5 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 1: Are you excited? I'm pumped up. You should be pumped up. 6 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: I know Andrew Erickson the Undertaker's pumped up because we're 7 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: gonna fly through the game's year, give you our first 8 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: look at these lines. Later in the week, we're gonna 9 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: have more in depth looks at the props for the 10 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: individual players on our shows. We're gonna have our best 11 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 1: bets of the week. We're gonna have some fun data 12 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: analytics conversations around wagering with Sam Hoppin. So we are 13 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: jam packed here betting pros with the most amazing content 14 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 1: you can possibly imagine. But today's the fun show. Today 15 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: is the most fun because that's our first instincts on 16 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: the first games, where you know, basically chaos right ericson 17 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: that a week one, typically things happen that you don't 18 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: see coming. Maybe we'll identify a couple moments where that 19 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 1: might happen. But this is where it all begins. Andrew Erickson, 20 00:00:58,200 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: are you ready to start the race? 21 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 2: Ready to go? Let's kick it off. 22 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 1: Let's kick it off, baby. And by the way, as 23 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: we continue to kick off NFL season, don't forget Draftking 24 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 1: Sports Book right now. Incredible offer if you're a new customer. 25 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: Bet five bucks. Get two hundred dollars instantly in bonus 26 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 1: best plus you enjoy NFL plus premium on them. What 27 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: free money and NFL plus premium on them. Sign up 28 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: today at bettingpros dot com slash DraftKings, make your first 29 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 1: deposit and bet five bucks. Get two hundred n stream 30 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: more football. That sounds amazing only on DraftKings Sportsbook and 31 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: official sports betting partner of the NFL. Let's start with 32 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 1: the opener. Let's go Kansas City. The champs are here again. 33 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: Back to back for the Kansas City Chiefs again. Last 34 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 1: year did not get off to the start that they wanted. 35 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 1: The Lions are a lot pluckier than people realized, and 36 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: they were ready for primetime after all this time to 37 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: get the Baltimore Ravens, a team that they beat in 38 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: their own building in the playoffs on their journey to 39 00:01:57,760 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So a little bit of a grudge 40 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: match to aren't they year off? I love this, of course, 41 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 1: not a lot of you know, movement here in terms 42 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: of what you might expect. Two great teams minus three 43 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: on the Kansas City side. That's what you're getting right 44 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: now on betting pros. Forty six and a half is 45 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: the total, and if you like Baltimore for the upset, 46 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: you're getting plus one thirty ericson. I don't know about you. 47 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: I don't see a whole lot of value on this game, 48 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: except potentially maybe the under, which is gonna surprise people. 49 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 1: But I think early in the season sometimes teams are 50 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: a little sluggish out of the gate, so maybe this 51 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,679 Speaker 1: one might disappoint from a total standpoint. That's my big 52 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: lean for this one. But where do you see it? 53 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 3: I agree if you look at what the Chiefs did 54 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 3: when they were at home last year, they had one 55 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 3: game go over at Arrowhead Stadium one game last year. 56 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 3: They were a team that was more that focused more 57 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 3: on their defense because we knew they had offensive struggles. 58 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 3: I don't think we're going to see as many unders 59 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 3: an Arrowhead this year because they had a ton of 60 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 3: explosive playmakers to their offense. So we're gonna see more 61 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 3: fireworks from Patrick Mahomes and company. But like you said, 62 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 3: first game of the year, Jackson and company, they haven't 63 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 3: played in the preseason at all. So the Chiefs have 64 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,679 Speaker 3: been throwing their starters out there because they're ready to 65 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 3: hit the ground running with their team, where we might 66 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 3: see the Ravens come out a little bit more sluggish. 67 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 3: So for me, yeah, I think that Chiefs with three 68 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 3: makes the most sense. But yeah, i'd probably want to 69 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 3: play the under on the total. 70 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think I'm going anywhere near the three myself. 71 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go the under there. Especially style of 72 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 1: play too. You got that new toy with Derrick Henry. 73 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: You want to run the Derrick Henry as much as 74 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: you can. And we all know that John Harball likes 75 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 1: to slow down the pace of a lot of those 76 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 1: kind of games too, So let's go to you know, 77 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 1: slow down the pace. You give the ball to Patrick Mahomes' hands. 78 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: You actually keep this one, maybe you do cover the three. 79 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 1: Let's go to the next stand alone game. Ericson how 80 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: great is this? We've got standalone football Thursday and Friday. 81 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 1: I love this. This one's on the cock on the peacock. 82 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: Green Bay and Philadelphia. This is what we're gonna call 83 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: it this year. I just just put it out there. 84 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:52,839 Speaker 1: What it's the name of the it's it's what, it's 85 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 1: the network. It's fun, you know, all right. So Philadelphia 86 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites in this one against 87 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers, a team it was very good 88 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: last year. Jordan Love came on strong. You're getting minus 89 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: one eighteen on the Philly side here, minus one oh 90 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 1: two on the green Bay side. The total for this 91 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: one a little higher forty eight and a half, and 92 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: then you got plus one twenty five on green Bay 93 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: for the upset, which, to tell you the truth, ericson 94 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 1: this one kind of interests me. On the plus money side, 95 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: straight up money line for green Bay, you're shaking your head. Yes, 96 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 1: So I feel like you and I are signing, you know, 97 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:29,039 Speaker 1: kind of seeing the same Jordan Love potential here in 98 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 1: this game. 99 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 3: I think that these teams are more evenly matched than 100 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 3: the lines would suggest that the Eagles should be, you know, 101 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,359 Speaker 3: close to a field goal favorite. Again, this isn't a 102 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 3: home game. This is being played in Brazil in a 103 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 3: neutral field, so right, weird stuff just happened. So if 104 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 3: I'm gonna put my money, I'd rather put it on 105 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,719 Speaker 3: a team that I think is pretty pretty much just 106 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 3: as good as the Eagles. Maybe not on paper, but 107 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 3: I think I mean, can the Packers beat the Eagles? 108 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 2: Of course I can. 109 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 3: They were the one They were the team that made 110 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 3: it farther in the NFC playoffs last year. So I 111 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 3: think that the Packers are the best value here, and 112 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 3: like you said, just take them on the money line. 113 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: Question for you with the international travel here too, A 114 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: lot of those international games sintimes play the under. This 115 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,040 Speaker 1: is an actual higher total here forty eight and a 116 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 1: half in that first one, and we like the under 117 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 1: in that one. Do you have any love for that 118 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 1: because it seems like that would also make sense. The 119 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,559 Speaker 1: travel you have to do, the systems still getting in place, 120 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: You got new coordinators over there for the Eagles to 121 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:24,599 Speaker 1: people try to figure things out. Still, what do you 122 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: make of the under potential in this game? Can you 123 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 1: make a case for it? 124 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:28,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that that's exactly what you should be doing. 125 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 3: Last year, this is exactly how things kind of shook out. 126 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 3: The unders were smashing really early in the year. Until 127 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 3: the lines and books adjusted to lower numbers in the 128 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 3: offenses started to catch up with the defenses. Again, it 129 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 3: takes time to get these offenses gelling, especially if they 130 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 3: don't play in the preseason. We barely saw their Packers 131 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 3: play their starters. We saw one don Tavian Wick's touchdown, 132 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 3: and we didn't see Jordan Love since. And then the 133 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 3: Eagles have not played any of their starters in the 134 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 3: preseason either, So I think that you're going to see 135 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 3: these offenses, just take some time. So if you rather look, 136 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 3: especially like first half unders. That was a killing for 137 00:05:58,240 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 3: the Packers last year because I couldn't do anything in 138 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 3: the tops of games. So if you want to make 139 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 3: quick buck maybe first half hunders also been play all right. 140 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: Finally, moving on to Sunday one o'clock Falcons hosting the 141 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 1: Steelers again, This is one great slate Week one scheduler 142 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: is good job. This is a very exciting slate. Falcons 143 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 1: obviously three point favorites in this one and minus one 144 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 1: oh six. You've got forty and a half as the number, 145 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:25,280 Speaker 1: and then you've got on the other side, if you 146 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:28,919 Speaker 1: like Pittsburgh for the upset plus money plus one twenty four. 147 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 1: This one's a tricky one for me. You know, Mike 148 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: Tomlin teams are always coached well. Russell Wilson's got a 149 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 1: lot to prove. However, I really like this this new 150 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: defense and the additions they made for the Falcons. I 151 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,720 Speaker 1: could see, you know, some Matthew Judn sachs he or 152 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson. I could see some turnovers potentially, And because 153 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 1: of that, I'm leaning pretty heavily right now to the 154 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,919 Speaker 1: Atlanta side, the three. I think they can win this 155 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 1: one by a touchdown. What are your thoughts on this? 156 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: I know it's always tough. Tomlin teams are always well prepared, 157 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,039 Speaker 1: but I think the energy in that Atlanta building is 158 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 1: going to be a lot new quarterback, new coach, new 159 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 1: outlook on life, and some big pieces on defense. I 160 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: think Atlanta's gonna be rock And what do you think? 161 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 3: There's a lot of motivation in this game for both 162 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 3: sides because you're Arthur Smith, right, He's first game up 163 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 3: is against his old team that fired him and didn't 164 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 3: want him anymore, and he's the reason why all the 165 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 3: Falcons playmakers couldn't do anything. So, you know, the Drake London, 166 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 3: Kyle Pitts. 167 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 1: Well, here's a question ericson is it the Falcons revenge 168 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: game on Arthur Smith or is it the Arthur Smith 169 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 1: revenge game on the Falcons. I think it might be 170 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: the former. 171 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 2: Not the last exactly, but I think you're going to. 172 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts three touchdowns come in, Like. 173 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 2: I mean, if they're gonna have a big game, it 174 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 2: better be this week. 175 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 3: If they can't show up against their old coach, who 176 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 3: again has been ridiculed and criticized for never using his playmakers. 177 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 3: So hey, it's now it's time to put up Kyle Pitts, 178 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 3: Drake London, show how good you were and why Arthur 179 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 3: Smith was wrong. So this one for me, I wish 180 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 3: I could have more faith than the Falcons like you do. 181 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 3: But it's still brand new offense, brand new quarterbacks have 182 00:07:57,080 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 3: not seen any of this before, so that's where I 183 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 3: am a little bit hesitant. And it's the Steelers, right, 184 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 3: a team that is always overmatched on paper, but it 185 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 3: doesn't matter because they find we used to cover spreads again. 186 00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 3: They were five and four against the spread on the 187 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 3: road and against the money line last year, so in 188 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 3: a bunch of games they were never supposed to win 189 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 3: or be even close to winning. They would win and 190 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 3: cover the spread. So that's what concerns me. So for me, 191 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 3: I'm probably just gonna shy away from this game. 192 00:08:23,120 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 1: All right, understandably, So I'm more excited by Atlanta than 193 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: Erickson is right now. Next up here, everyone's excited in 194 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 1: Chicago about Caleb Williams the debut at home week one, 195 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: taking on the Tennessee Titans. Now, look, they're favored by 196 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,199 Speaker 1: four and a half points here, kind of a weird 197 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: line to be like, I was surprised. I gotta be honest, 198 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: and I am not a supporter of the Tennessee Titans. 199 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson has spent a lot of time with me. 200 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: He knows this. I have a ton of qualms and 201 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: issues with what this team. But I'm kind of curious 202 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: to want the four and a half of the Tennessee 203 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,199 Speaker 1: side here on this one. The number of the total 204 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 1: is forty five. I don't think I want to go 205 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: Tennessee winning outright a plus once. That's depressing. But I 206 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: could see Chicago winning this last second field goal kind 207 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: of scenario. Maybe a little Caleb Williams dramatic drive here 208 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 1: to close it out, But I think the Titans with 209 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: Pollard and Spears are going to run the crap out 210 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: of the football, probably drag down this total two of 211 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 1: the forty five, which again feels spot on to me. 212 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: But Andrew, what do you think? Am I a little 213 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:23,559 Speaker 1: crazy here taking the Titans on the road to open 214 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: the season. 215 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 3: To cover, well, you'd be going against everything that happened 216 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:28,839 Speaker 3: last year where they were zero and eight against the 217 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 3: spread on the road, never covered. 218 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,079 Speaker 1: What's that You gotta establish a new season right away. 219 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 3: I mean, the regression is going to hit eventually, right 220 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 3: and they don't have Derek Henry anymore to kind of 221 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 3: drag these games through the mud, especially on the road. 222 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 3: The offensive line is improved from last year, and that's 223 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 3: one of the big reasons why they struggled so much 224 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 3: on the road last year is because their offensive line 225 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 3: was horrible. For me, I think it's it's the underplay. 226 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 3: I think that it's a way that I can fade 227 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 3: the Caleb Williams hype in his first game. Again, I 228 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,720 Speaker 3: can't back a rookie quarterback making his first start as 229 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 3: a more than a field goal favorite. When the last 230 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 3: time we saw ricky quarterback being his first start be 231 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 3: this heavy as a favorite. It'd be really interested to 232 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 3: see when the last time that's actually happened. But of 233 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 3: course it's only gonna happen when you're facing quarterback like 234 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 3: well Levis on the other side of the field. 235 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 2: So that's kind of my thoughts on the game. 236 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: All right, Next game, we have a fun matchup in 237 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 1: the AFC South, the Houston Texas, the Indianapolis Colts Andrew Erickson. 238 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 1: This looks like a fun matchup, certainly on paper. The 239 00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: numbers high forty eight and a half. Again coming out 240 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:30,560 Speaker 1: of the gate, it's a pretty high number for a 241 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: Week one. The Houston Texans are favorite on the road 242 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: minus two and a half, the Indianapolis Colts at home 243 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 1: under docs plus one twenty andrew any intrigue in this 244 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:42,559 Speaker 1: game for you? 245 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 3: For me, it's the over. I get that the total 246 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 3: is already high. But we've seen these two teams last 247 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 3: year Week two. They combined for fifty one points and 248 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 3: that was an Anthony Richardson vers C. J. Stroud matchup. 249 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,600 Speaker 3: So again, that's how I'm viewing this. When you look 250 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 3: at these teams what they did last year. Shane Steiken, 251 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 3: the Colts were really add to bet as underdogs. They 252 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 3: did not cover when they we underdogs. They're really good 253 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 3: when they were the favorites, and the Texans were bad 254 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 3: bets as favorites. So I'm not picking aside here. I 255 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 3: just think that we're gonna see points. That's why I think. 256 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,960 Speaker 3: I think Shroud can shred this Colts defense, and I 257 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 3: think that Richardson back from the injury from last year 258 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 3: with Shane Steichen, I think they're gonna be to score 259 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 3: points against Houston. 260 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:22,000 Speaker 2: So that's how I'm playing. I just want the over. 261 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 3: It's interesting that the Colts are the only one of 262 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 3: two teams in Week one that is a home underdog, 263 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 3: the other team being the New York Giants. 264 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 1: Yeah wow, rightfully so. But because they're the home underdog, 265 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: I am curious that plus one twenty I'm gonna watch 266 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 1: this one. I want to see how this one goes 267 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 1: in the next couple of days and then revisit it 268 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 1: maybe on Thursday for the best bets of the week, 269 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: to see maybe that one twenty becomes a you know, 270 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 1: plus one forty or something like that. Maybe, I don't know. 271 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 1: If it does, I might get a little more interested. 272 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:51,480 Speaker 1: I think for me, this one Andrew comes down to 273 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: a lot of individual props. I think it is a 274 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:54,959 Speaker 1: game that I wanted to look at some Nico Collins props. 275 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 1: I want to look at Samanthya Richardson rushing props and 276 00:11:57,559 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 1: some fun things there. Let's get to the next one here. 277 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: Jacksonville Miami, Miami at home. Three point favorites. Forty nine 278 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus one thirty five 279 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: If you like Jacksonville, Battle of Florida. Who do you 280 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: like here? 281 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 3: I like the Dolphins. The Dolphins traditionally are a team 282 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:14,800 Speaker 3: that starts out really hot, especially in Miami. E Thei're 283 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 3: playing at home. Last year, they were six and three 284 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 3: to start against the spread at home, and they started 285 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 3: four and zero against the spread through October. So I 286 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,199 Speaker 3: think that the Dolphins are the team to back here. 287 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 3: I know I've seen this line move to three and 288 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 3: a half. 289 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 2: It's points. 290 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 3: If it's at three and a half with the hook, 291 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 3: I don't like it nearly as much, but I'll take 292 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 3: the three with the Dolphins. 293 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: I'm with you. I think I'd like it with the 294 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 1: three more than three and a half. I'm still not 295 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 1: sold on Jacksonville. I don't know, you know, the Jacksonville Jaguars, 296 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 1: I think really disappointed me last year. I thought they 297 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: were poised and ready to make that next leap and 298 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 1: they didn't. And they could very well just have been 299 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 1: a year late. And maybe this is the year. I 300 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,319 Speaker 1: could easily see this being the game too on the slate, 301 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: because that Dolphins defense is suspect to me. Where we 302 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 1: look at it, we go, oh, look at this. Turns 303 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: out Miami ended up losing this game to Jacksonville because 304 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 1: they can't stop anybody. So no matter how many points 305 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 1: you score, you gotta stop somebody from scoring two. This game, 306 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: to me is a bit of a stay away Miami 307 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 1: with the three, I'm comfortable. I'm not comfortable with the 308 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: total at all on either side against just too early. 309 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: I don't know who Jacksonville is yet offensively too. Some 310 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: new pieces there for them as well, some rookie wide 311 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:27,200 Speaker 1: receivers and what now let's go to Buffalo here for 312 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 1: the next game. Buffalo at home, six point favorites against 313 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. Now, the Cardinals are gonna be one 314 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: of my plucky teams. The number for this one is interesting. 315 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 1: Forty eight flat. You have Arizona plus two to twenty 316 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 1: five on the money line for the upset. I don't 317 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 1: think Arizona goes in and upsets Buffalo, but I do 318 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: like them to cover in this game. But the six, 319 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 1: I know their defense isn't very good. I'm not sure 320 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: if Buffalo knows the identity of their offense too. They 321 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 1: have keyon Coleman. We don't know what he is going 322 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: to be. You have Shakir and Dalton Kinkaid and all 323 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 1: these guys have got to step here. I think Josh 324 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 1: Allen's gonna make enough plays. I have no concerns with 325 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:06,959 Speaker 1: Buffalo winning this game, but with Marvin Harrison, Into and 326 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: Trede McBride and I feel like Arizona can keep pace 327 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 1: or potentially make up some grounding garbage time later on 328 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: and actually cover this six. You think I'm crazy here, Andrew? 329 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: What do you think of this Arizona Buffalo game? 330 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 3: No, this is the first game when I was going 331 00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 3: through my projections for BP that I highlighted and I 332 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 3: was so against the market number. 333 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:27,240 Speaker 2: I think it's way closer. 334 00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 3: I think it should be Arizona closer to three than six, 335 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:33,160 Speaker 3: because I just believe in what they've done, all the 336 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 3: improvements they've made over the past two seasons. Kyler Murray 337 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 3: is a good quarterback. He covers games six points against 338 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 3: the Bills, who last year they covered under fifty percent 339 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 3: of their games as favorites. They were seven and nine 340 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 3: against the spread when they were favored to win the game. 341 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 3: They were only eleven to five as favorites straight up, 342 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 3: So they were dropping games last year that they should 343 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 3: have won. Week one last year they lost to the 344 00:14:54,080 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 3: Jets without Aaron Rodgers. So I know you didn't want 345 00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 3: to go as far as saying the Cardinals could come 346 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 3: with the upset. I would not be surprised. I again, 347 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 3: we're gonna get some weird things happen in Week one, 348 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 3: And if I had to bet on one of these 349 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 3: teams to make one of those weird upsets, give me 350 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 3: a quarterback like Kyler Murray that I think is a 351 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 3: top ten guy when he is healthy. So I'm gonna 352 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 3: I'm back in the Cardinals all the way here. 353 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: And it's not your you know, it's not your father's 354 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bill's defense either Payer is gone hurt again. 355 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 2: He's got like. 356 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 1: Milano's out for the year. Tremaine Edmonds was gone last year, 357 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: like it's not the same. I think we have this 358 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: vision of the Bill's defense being this defense, and it 359 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 1: was so good, and it was, but then I got old, 360 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 1: and now those pieces in that leadership has gone, and 361 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: I don't know if they've sufficiently replaced them yet. That's 362 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 1: another reason why I really think this could be the 363 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 1: sneaky cover of the week. I'm glad you see it 364 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 1: the same way. Too, very interesting stuff there, New England 365 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 1: and Cincinnati. The next game on our list. Ooh wee, 366 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,280 Speaker 1: Andrew looks like a tough start for our Patriots taken 367 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 1: on the Bengals in Cincinnati. Cincinnati. Of course, nine and 368 00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 1: a half point favorites in this one. That is a 369 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: big number, but you know Patriots do have problems scoring touchdowns. 370 00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 1: Forty and a half is the total plus three thirty 371 00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 1: on the New England money line. This one's a stay 372 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:10,400 Speaker 1: away for me if anything. Again, if it's early in 373 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: the season, for nine and a half, but it just 374 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 1: kind of tells you where people think the Patriots are. 375 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:16,440 Speaker 1: I will say this, Jacoby bris said, I think is 376 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 1: a very capable guy to manage games and keep you competitive. 377 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 1: If the defense can show up. That's the only reason 378 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:24,760 Speaker 1: that I would take the New England side of the 379 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: nine and a half, just on principle. It's a big number, 380 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 1: it's week one. Sometimes it takes offenses of time to 381 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 1: get going. We don't have any updates recording this with 382 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 1: what the Jamar Chase situation is too. I don't know 383 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 1: if that plays a role in this game for you 384 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: at all, But this again feels a little bit more 385 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: like a stay away, a little bit more like some 386 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 1: individual props as opposed to betting the game itself. But 387 00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 1: what do you think? 388 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, when I was looking at this game in particular 389 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 3: in my notes, I wrote one word and was gross's 390 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 3: that's that's same outright? 391 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 2: Like you said, the number is massive. 392 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 3: If anything, maybe we find get news that, oh Jamar 393 00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 3: Chase is going to miss Week one, they don't need 394 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 3: him to win, and then you see some money coming 395 00:16:57,680 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 3: on the Patriots, and then I would just take the 396 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 3: better number on the Bengals because I just don't have 397 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 3: faith right now with Jacoby Brissette under center. If they're 398 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 3: catching or they're trailing in this game at any point 399 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:11,119 Speaker 3: and Jacoby is taking dropbacks thirty forty dropbacks behind the 400 00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 3: offensive line, that's gonna result in turnovers and that's not 401 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 3: gonna help this spread, and it's gonna help the Bengals 402 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 3: cover a bigger number. So for me, it's a stay away. 403 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,240 Speaker 3: If Drake may was playing, I feel much better about 404 00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:25,159 Speaker 3: backing the Patriots, to be totally honest, but really not so. 405 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:26,880 Speaker 3: I just think that he's gonna be able to maneuver 406 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 3: and make plays downfield. 407 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:30,200 Speaker 2: I don't think with Chico. 408 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:33,400 Speaker 1: Probably, but I think Brissett is less mistake probe. Brissett 409 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 1: showed in Cleveland that he's a good game manager, and 410 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: I think if you could kind of manage this game, 411 00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 1: and let's say it's like a I guess six nothing 412 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 1: first half, right or something like that, we're just kind 413 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:44,159 Speaker 1: of plugging along. If if Cincinnati comes out of the 414 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 1: gates and blows their doors off in the first quarter, 415 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 1: forget it. But if it's a little sluggish, if it's 416 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:50,959 Speaker 1: like a three to nothing Cincinnati lee going into the second. 417 00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 1: This is also a game where live betting it could 418 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: be really intriguing too. That's one too. I would circle 419 00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 1: this game as my favorite live bet game of the week, 420 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 1: just to see how, you know, the Bengals come out 421 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: a little sluggish, is there anything else going on here 422 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 1: with the Chase situation, I don't know, but I want 423 00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: to wait and see. I don't see any early value 424 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 1: on the look ahead. 425 00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:10,439 Speaker 3: I also dream it would be different if they were 426 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 3: at home, the Patriots, But because they're on the road. 427 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:14,640 Speaker 1: You just want you just want Drake Natis show. 428 00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I do want Drake. 429 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:17,879 Speaker 1: I get it. I did too. I want the future 430 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: to be now as well New Orleans Carolina. I don't 431 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 1: know where the future is for either of these two teams. 432 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: New Orleans four point favorites in this one forty and 433 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,399 Speaker 1: a half. But the money line for the Carolina Panthers 434 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:33,159 Speaker 1: plus one seventy five ericson you are, mister Panther? Is 435 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: this where it begins? Oh? Does it the upset? Is 436 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,000 Speaker 1: it the upset special on the money line for the Panthers? 437 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 2: Oh, you know it, let's go. 438 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:43,439 Speaker 3: You know it's Carolina Panthers time. Dave Canalis, you had 439 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 3: to get in early. When you're looking at who could 440 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 3: win Coach of the Year, right the lowest odds besides 441 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 3: Andy Reid or Dennis Allen, because nobody thinks he's gonna 442 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 3: even survive the season. When you look at some of 443 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 3: the shortest odds to win, it's Dave Canallas. So I'm 444 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 3: looking at this as an advantage. Again, you have two 445 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 3: teams in the NFC South, worst division football, two teams 446 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 3: that are probably going to come under the projected totals 447 00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 3: for their offenses. So it's a close scoring game between 448 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 3: two divisional rivals. Dave Canos has experience against the Saints defense. 449 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,400 Speaker 3: He's faced Dennis Allen before, he knows what he's working 450 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 3: up against. So for me, I think this is easily Carolina. 451 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 3: Look last year, the Saints their first five games against 452 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 3: the spread at home. Last year oh and five, they 453 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,720 Speaker 3: didn't cover a single spread till their sixth game at home. 454 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 3: So I think Carolina covers, and I think the Yes, 455 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 3: you want the most bang for your buck, just take 456 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:34,520 Speaker 3: Caroline on the money lines, get Dennis Allen on the Hotweelds. 457 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 1: Was a team that struggled in the red zone Andrew 458 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 1: last year a ton. I watched Derek Carr constantly. 459 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:39,960 Speaker 2: Struggling Tatum Hill. 460 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 1: Now, so that's yere we go more Tasum Hill. But 461 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 1: you know what else, Look, I think there's early value 462 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,680 Speaker 1: here already at the plus one seventy five, I would 463 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: also argue, watch this because I'm sure a lot of 464 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: new money and people betting for the first time. States 465 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: open up, people just trying their hand in it for 466 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: the first time. You know what, we're going to see 467 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints. They're at home. They're gonna bet 468 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 1: the Saints up. Panthers are always terrible. I would not 469 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 1: be shocked if this number gets to plus two hundred 470 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 1: plus two ten plus two twenty five by the time 471 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,199 Speaker 1: you get to Sunday. Watch this one carefully. I do 472 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,120 Speaker 1: think it's going to move. Also, another thing, you want 473 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 1: to make sure you're tracking not just this, but you 474 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 1: want to track all your bets, not just that game 475 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:21,399 Speaker 1: I'm talking about. And at Betting Pros, we have the 476 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,359 Speaker 1: systems here that are designed to help you find winning 477 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 1: trends and make smarter bets. You can create and customize 478 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:29,879 Speaker 1: your own betting system by sport, bet type, timeframe, and 479 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 1: even more to find the most profitable betting opportunities. Our 480 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:37,399 Speaker 1: systems track profitability for bets across MLBNFL, college football, NBA, 481 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,719 Speaker 1: you name it, we can do it. Download and use 482 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app today to find the profitable betting 483 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:45,439 Speaker 1: systems right now and again make sure you're sink all 484 00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 1: your sports books for free when you download the Betting 485 00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 1: pros app. Next game the Minnesota Vikings, no JJ McCarthy 486 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 1: this year, New York Giants at home. Now they are 487 00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:00,280 Speaker 1: underdogs plus one, so this is practically a pick here 488 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:02,400 Speaker 1: for you. Forty one and a half is the number 489 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 1: you're getting even money on the Giants at home on 490 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,640 Speaker 1: the money Live. Can the Giants sneak one out here 491 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 1: at home for even money? Andrew? 492 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:12,560 Speaker 3: I think they can. I think they can. So for me, 493 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,360 Speaker 3: it's the Giants the plane at home. Do I think 494 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 3: the Vikings are that vastly superior of a team to 495 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,200 Speaker 3: the New York Giants. Yes, they have the best receiver 496 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 3: in the NFL on their team, but everything else is 497 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 3: a wash. And you look at defensively, the Vikings have nobody. 498 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 3: So I think lak Naghbors is set up for a 499 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:30,920 Speaker 3: massive game in Week one. I'm gonna be looking at 500 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:32,440 Speaker 3: his props. I think they're going to just be low 501 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 3: out the gates because he's a rookie making his first start. 502 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 3: I think that he's going to have a monster game. 503 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 3: He's going to see a lot of opportunities. Look last 504 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 3: year as bad as the Giants were sixth best team 505 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 3: against the spread at home five to two to one. 506 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 3: So the expectations for the Giants are are rock bottom, 507 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 3: especially in the New York media. Everyone, oh my god, 508 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 3: he threw a pick six, even though other players throw 509 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 3: pick six in preseason games. Trei Lanes through five interceptions 510 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 3: in the preseason game, but now Daniel Jones, we only 511 00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: care about his pick six. So I think the Giants 512 00:21:59,280 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 3: are just it. 513 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: Was pretty bad. It was out of his own end 514 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:01,480 Speaker 1: zone too. 515 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,080 Speaker 3: We could a bunch of good throws in that game too, 516 00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 3: but nobody cares because they just care about the one. 517 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:07,439 Speaker 2: So I think that. 518 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,479 Speaker 1: Because Daniel Jones is the history of turning the football 519 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 1: over and an alarming rate. He led the league in 520 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 1: fumbles a couple of years ago. Let's not forget that. 521 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:14,560 Speaker 3: Arnold would be up there too, but he hasn't been 522 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:15,920 Speaker 3: able to play because well. 523 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 1: So yeah, talk about I mean, do either of those 524 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,199 Speaker 1: two guys have any good memories between them and that building? 525 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 2: Probably not teams. 526 00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,879 Speaker 1: It's a terrible building too. I mean, like I live 527 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: in Jersey, I'm telling you it's one of the worst 528 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:34,600 Speaker 1: buildings to see any concert event. It's terrible. It's no good. 529 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 1: The corners are bad, the food is mid no good, 530 00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:42,360 Speaker 1: no good. I will say this. I agree. I think 531 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,439 Speaker 1: the Giants pulling out, and I could see the Giants 532 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,119 Speaker 1: winning this one, everybody getting super hyped and then like 533 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 1: losing five in a row. 534 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, their schedule much much harder. 535 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:56,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Sorry, sorry Giant fans and sorry Vikings fans. 536 00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 1: Let's get to Denver Seattle here for this next one, 537 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,359 Speaker 1: starting quarterback. He is an underdog in this one. The 538 00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:04,800 Speaker 1: number is five and a half. Seattle, I think has 539 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 1: a lot to prove here. Forty one and a half 540 00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,359 Speaker 1: is the number for this one, plus two hundred on 541 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,360 Speaker 1: the money line for the Denver Broncos. As we get 542 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 1: into the four o'clock games here for Sunday, Look, Andrew, 543 00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 1: my gut instinct says, yeah, let's let Denver cover but 544 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 1: rookie quarterback on the road. Like I know, we played 545 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 1: his college football, you know in the Pacific Northwest. But 546 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,520 Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be as kind to him. 547 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:27,920 Speaker 1: I just don't know if I feel comfortable with Seattle 548 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 1: right now covering five and a half against anybody, because 549 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:32,800 Speaker 1: I don't know the identity of this new team with 550 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,439 Speaker 1: the new head coach. Therefore, this game is kind of 551 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 1: like a giant stay away from me, and the forty 552 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:39,639 Speaker 1: one and a half is kind of a low number 553 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,480 Speaker 1: two maybe the under on this one, maybe, Andrew, what 554 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: do you. 555 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:45,640 Speaker 3: Think, Yeah, this one seems like it's gonna go down 556 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:49,119 Speaker 3: to the wire where the Seahawks win, but Denver gets 557 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 3: the back door cover because they just keep bo Nicks 558 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:52,880 Speaker 3: in the game and they continuing to throw the ball 559 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:53,400 Speaker 3: even though they. 560 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 1: This is like seventeen to thirteen, right, I mean, doesn't 561 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 1: it feel like that? 562 00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 3: It just kind of especially you have a defensive minded 563 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,359 Speaker 3: head coach with Seattle Seahawks. Again, this is they need 564 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 3: to win by six points. So how aggressive are they 565 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 3: going to be on offense knowing that they're facing a 566 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,400 Speaker 3: rookie quarterback and they have a defensive mind to head coach, 567 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 3: do they need to go pedal to the metal? 568 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 2: Then you need to score. 569 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:14,439 Speaker 3: The only way we can beat the Broncos and bick 570 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 3: if we score thirty points. That's probably not what they're 571 00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 3: game planning for. It's probably Hey, we're gonna play solid defense, 572 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 3: we're gonna create turnovers, and we're gonna score in situations 573 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 3: and get the lead and run them ball in the 574 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 3: second half of the game. So I think, yeah, this 575 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:30,159 Speaker 3: game could be pretty low scoring and something that I 576 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 3: probably stay with from the spreads, just because I don't 577 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:34,199 Speaker 3: believe in Seattle's offense to score a ton of points 578 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,120 Speaker 3: and Bo Nick's making his first start on the road. Again, 579 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:38,520 Speaker 3: if I had to pick a team, would Seattle, just 580 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 3: because I want to bet against rookies making their first start, 581 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 3: especially a guy like bo Nicks, who I think has 582 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,120 Speaker 3: gotten hyped up a lot from the preseason. Where we've 583 00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 3: seen before preseason doesn't always carry over to the NFL 584 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:49,680 Speaker 3: regular season. 585 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 1: That is very true. This next game, Andrew, might be 586 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 1: my favorite one on the slate, And you might say, 587 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 1: why doesn't sound very appealing. Los Angeles Chargers are hosting 588 00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,880 Speaker 1: the n Vegas A Raid. As three and a half 589 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 1: point favorites are the Chargers, It's not like this as 590 00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 1: a home field advantage for them. I know Harball' is 591 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 1: there now, but like he's not taking all the old 592 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,160 Speaker 1: players from Michigan with him. That defense is still terrible 593 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,200 Speaker 1: as though Aiden Hutchinson on this defense, I'm sorry forty 594 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:19,360 Speaker 1: two and a half is the number for the over under. 595 00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 1: I like Vegas straight up on the money line plus 596 00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 1: one fifty. To me, I'm my head goes right there. 597 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,360 Speaker 1: You've got DeVante Adams, You've got Minshew, You've got enough here. 598 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,159 Speaker 1: I like Zamir White what he's done last year. I 599 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,040 Speaker 1: don't think we have clarity of how this offense is 600 00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:35,679 Speaker 1: gonna run. We have Herbert working from behind because of 601 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 1: the plan of Fascy injury. I know he's up to 602 00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 1: getting up to speed now, but I like, look, if 603 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: you want to play it safe, it's the three and 604 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 1: a half with the Raiders to cover at minus one fifteen. 605 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 1: I think that's a great bet, very steady beat this week. 606 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 1: But if you want to have a little bit more fun, 607 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 1: straight up on the money line plus one fifty, Andrew, 608 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:52,320 Speaker 1: do you see this differently than me? 609 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:53,680 Speaker 2: This is what I was. 610 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 3: I was going back and forth because I'm really looking 611 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 3: at the two coaches essentially, so Antonio peers against Harbaugh 612 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:02,639 Speaker 3: and and I know Harbaugh is the better coach at 613 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,840 Speaker 3: least that's what I think at least heading into this game. 614 00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 2: So I had trouble. 615 00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:09,160 Speaker 1: He's coached in as Super Bowl, he's won National championships. 616 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,199 Speaker 1: It's not a knock on Pierce. Pierce just isn't a 617 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:14,120 Speaker 1: He's not a seasoned coach yet he was a good player, ray, 618 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,800 Speaker 1: solid player, good leader. Showed you some moments last year 619 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:17,920 Speaker 1: big winning Kansas City. 620 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,679 Speaker 3: But of course, so that's where I'm hesitant, because I 621 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 3: think that horrorball really can change the tides for the Chargers, 622 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,640 Speaker 3: who are a team. If you've been betting on the Chargers, 623 00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 3: you may not have a house anymore after the last 624 00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 3: couple of years, essentially, so, but I feel like we 625 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,800 Speaker 3: could see the tides change with now Harbaugh entering the 626 00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:38,879 Speaker 3: fold as the Chargers head coach. So I guess I 627 00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 3: don't want to be I don't want to chase last 628 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 3: year so much with Pierce, where the Raiders were really 629 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 3: good against the spread when he was the head coach 630 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 3: when he took over his introm because there were no expectations. 631 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 3: But now are we getting more expectations from the Raiders. 632 00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 3: Is he going to have a Dan Campbell esque type 633 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,800 Speaker 3: of impact where we're really not sure this is more of. 634 00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:56,640 Speaker 2: A raw raw guy. 635 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,439 Speaker 3: Well, Dan Campbell obviously delivered it and is now regarded 636 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,280 Speaker 3: as one of the best coaches in the NFL. Is 637 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 3: Antonio Pierce going to follow a similar path? 638 00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,199 Speaker 2: I don't know. I'm skeptical if he's going to do that. 639 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 2: So this one, for me, I. 640 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 3: Kind of want to see and watch these two teams. 641 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 3: Is Pierce that we saw last year is that more 642 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,199 Speaker 3: of a mirage and it's this Raiders team is just 643 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,560 Speaker 3: bad and the Chargers are going to be better coached, 644 00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 3: they have better players on offense. 645 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 2: So for me, I just kind of want to watch 646 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:21,240 Speaker 2: this game. 647 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 1: I will say this, I think you are being very 648 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 1: practical and you are making a lot of good logical arguments. 649 00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: What I'm going to say is this, as you said 650 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 1: the one bit, if you keep betting on the Chargers, 651 00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 1: things have not worked out for you. I don't think 652 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,919 Speaker 1: you can turn around that quickly. It's an indivision, very 653 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 1: important game. I think Las Vegas defensively too, has a 654 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:47,160 Speaker 1: lot to offer in terms of pass rush these days. 655 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 1: And I think when you have a quarterback that's not 656 00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,159 Speaker 1: quite one hundred percent healing to the foot issue, that 657 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:55,200 Speaker 1: could also lead to some turnovers and some problems there potentially. 658 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:58,160 Speaker 1: So I don't think that house that Harbaugh is trying 659 00:27:58,200 --> 00:27:59,880 Speaker 1: to build there is going to be built in a day, 660 00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: and I gotta say this is my favorite, like lock 661 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,520 Speaker 1: it in upset of the week. I am running to 662 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: this game. Put it with a couple other boring money 663 00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,520 Speaker 1: lines on the parlay machine, and I think you could 664 00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:11,280 Speaker 1: do very well for it. 665 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,320 Speaker 3: I do. I do agree that the minus three and 666 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:15,640 Speaker 3: a half with the Raiders is definitely the best bet. 667 00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 1: That's the same, that's the safe one, well the best one. 668 00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:20,919 Speaker 1: But you know me, you know me, I'll get it. 669 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 3: We gotta get money line. We gotta figure out what 670 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:24,400 Speaker 3: his take is if he's taking the Raider. 671 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:24,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, we gotta. 672 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:26,720 Speaker 1: We gotta get Monica back on the show. But look, 673 00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 1: you could make sure you're following all of our bets too. 674 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 1: I'll be logging mine over the weekend too. I'm always 675 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:32,879 Speaker 1: waiting for as long as I can to start logging 676 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: mine before the week starts. But you can follow us 677 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,360 Speaker 1: at betting pros dot com slash Joe, slash ericson to 678 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 1: see what we're betting on this week. I'm gonna assure 679 00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:43,400 Speaker 1: you I'll be betting this h Dallas Cowboys head to Cleveland. 680 00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 1: Maybe hopefully they can make that flight. I don't know 681 00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 1: what the what the weight restrictions are on that flight 682 00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:51,800 Speaker 1: with all that money that Ceedee Lamb has to pack 683 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 1: in the suitcase. Now they are two and a half 684 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 1: point underdogs, though to the Cleveland Browns. In Cleveland, like 685 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,360 Speaker 1: I know, Dallas can be a little soft sometimes. Forty 686 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 1: two and a half is the number plus one twenty 687 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,320 Speaker 1: for the Dallas money line. Again, I'm taking the points 688 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:11,120 Speaker 1: with Dallas right here. I'm not even thinking twice about this. 689 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,000 Speaker 1: I am a very tough critic of Dallas, but I 690 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 1: have zero faith in the Cleveland Browns right now. They 691 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:20,520 Speaker 1: have got to prove it to me. Andrew, where do 692 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:21,280 Speaker 1: you staying with this game? 693 00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 3: Yeah? 694 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 2: I think it's clearly Dallas as the play. 695 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 3: And that's what scares me because it seems like that's. 696 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 1: Why I'm not going my line. I just I just 697 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:31,520 Speaker 1: want to go the two and just cover because even 698 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: if you lose by a point or whatever. Okay, fine, 699 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be miserable. But you're right, it almost 700 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 1: feels too good to be true. 701 00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:38,080 Speaker 2: It does. 702 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 3: When I open up the lines for the first time, 703 00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 3: really took a deep dive. I'm trying to figure out, so, wait, 704 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 3: why are the Browns' favorites in this game. Deshaun Watson 705 00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 3: is gonna start after he's missed so much time. What 706 00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 3: is the status of his shoulder? We have no against 707 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:57,040 Speaker 3: that defense, no idea. So these two teams is interesting 708 00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 3: because these were the two teams last year that both 709 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 3: went eight in one at home, so both very very 710 00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,240 Speaker 3: good home team. So I think that's what the market 711 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:06,800 Speaker 3: is playing. How good the Browns were at home last year, 712 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 3: and how we saw Dallas lay eggs every once in 713 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,680 Speaker 3: a while when they were away from AT and T Stadium. 714 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 3: So that's kind of see where I'm seeing where money 715 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 3: is coming in on the Cleveland Browns. But I'm just 716 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 3: looking at the rosters. I can't bring myself to back 717 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 3: Cleveland here. I think their defense might regress a little 718 00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,720 Speaker 3: bit after they were just so amazing last year. And 719 00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,640 Speaker 3: Dallas has a good defense too, So yeah, like you said, 720 00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 3: I think the value is on Dallas, but I am 721 00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:34,960 Speaker 3: terrified because they aren't favored in this game. 722 00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:39,320 Speaker 1: And yeah, next one on the dock at Tampa Bay 723 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:43,200 Speaker 1: Buccaneers at home against Washington. The Commanders are putting their 724 00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 1: prize possession out there to start Jayden Daniels. I'm super 725 00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 1: excited for this game from a fantasy standpoint. From a 726 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:50,960 Speaker 1: wagering standpoint, it's a little tough to gauge for me. 727 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 1: Tampa three and a half point favorites. Okay, cool, like 728 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 1: that sounds good, It makes the hook, makes me want 729 00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 1: to go on Washington, but not enough for three is 730 00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 1: the total That sounds about right to me. Also plus 731 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,160 Speaker 1: one fifty for Washington upset. That's the way to make 732 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: money on this game is just Washington. The money line 733 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 1: coming out in Jane Daniels just smoking dudes. But it 734 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: is on the road, a rookie quarterback on the road 735 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: for the first time. To me, this game is stay away, 736 00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,520 Speaker 1: watch entertaining, maybe some individual props, but I don't see 737 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 1: any early value on it. To you. 738 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 2: I do like the over in this game. 739 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,360 Speaker 3: I think the two defenses that I'm not concerned about 740 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 3: their secondaries whatsoever. And I think jayde and Daniels with 741 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 3: that mobility can I think he's gonna have some flash 742 00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,280 Speaker 3: plays in this game. And again I can't back to 743 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,080 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay. Look at the Buccaneers last year, another team 744 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,960 Speaker 3: that was really good when they were underdogs, when again, 745 00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,520 Speaker 3: when there was no expectations for the Buccaneers entering a game, 746 00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:44,160 Speaker 3: but when they were favored, they didn't perform well. Underdogs 747 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 3: have won five to the last seven Buccaneers games. So, 748 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 3: like you said, the best money, the best way to 749 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 3: make money in this game is on the Washington Commanders 750 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,920 Speaker 3: money line. But rookie quarterback make his first start on 751 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 3: the road. Let's wait and see. 752 00:31:56,360 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 1: Sunday Night football, another playoff rematch heres, hosting the Rams again. 753 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,040 Speaker 1: Now the Lions are three and a half point favorites, 754 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: and this one the number is pretty high. Fifty one 755 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,280 Speaker 1: here out of the Gay plus one fifty on the 756 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:11,760 Speaker 1: money line for the Rams. I like the Rams to 757 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,080 Speaker 1: cover here. I feel good about Detroit winning this game, 758 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:17,120 Speaker 1: but you know, expectations are gonna be high. If maybe 759 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:18,840 Speaker 1: come out a little flat, I don't know, the building's 760 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:20,960 Speaker 1: gonna be rocking, you know that. You know, the Lions 761 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:22,520 Speaker 1: fans are really feeling like they have a chance to 762 00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:24,280 Speaker 1: win a Super Bowl, and I don't remember last time 763 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:25,959 Speaker 1: the Lions fans went into a season with that kind 764 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 1: of feeling. So what do you think of this one? 765 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 1: I'm kind of on the Rams side. I do think 766 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 1: Detroit wins, but I like the points with the Rams 767 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:33,360 Speaker 1: your thoughts. 768 00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 3: Especially at three and a half they lose by field 769 00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:37,280 Speaker 3: goal they cover. I think that that's probably the last 770 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:40,520 Speaker 3: case scenario, especially with the Rams, where their biggest problem 771 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 3: I think season long is can they have all their 772 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,920 Speaker 3: key pieces stay healthy? And you'd think week one, well, 773 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:48,320 Speaker 3: this is when they're their most healthy. You have staff 774 00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:49,560 Speaker 3: or you have cup, you have an cool you have 775 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 3: the running backs, you have everybody ready to go, versus 776 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,040 Speaker 3: what's gonna happen in week eight, week nine. So if 777 00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 3: you're gonna bet on the Rams, I think this is 778 00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:58,240 Speaker 3: the time to do so, because all their guys are healthy. 779 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 1: Last one, Monday Night Football, Aaron Rodgers, can he make 780 00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:04,360 Speaker 1: it out of the first series we'll see against the 781 00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine Ers. I mean, this is like 782 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,880 Speaker 1: kind of the if you're Aaron Rodgers and you haven't 783 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 1: played all preseason, do you really see the forty nine 784 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 1: ers pass rush is like the first thing out of 785 00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:14,840 Speaker 1: the gate. I don't know if that's the best situation. Again, 786 00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: has not played a snap in the preseason, I don't 787 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 1: understand it. Whatever. The forty nine Ers three and a 788 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 1: half point favorites, that doesn't seem like enough to me. 789 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 1: I feel like we're getting way too much credit to 790 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and this defense in Robert Sola to go 791 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,440 Speaker 1: on the road, and I have my qualms and concerns 792 00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:33,480 Speaker 1: about the forty nine ers this year. Teams with Super 793 00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,280 Speaker 1: Bowl hangovers tend not to play very well. Forty three 794 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus one sixty four 795 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,160 Speaker 1: for the Jets upset. I'm taking San Francisco with the 796 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 1: points here at three and a half. I just I 797 00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:46,600 Speaker 1: don't know. Am I missing something here? I know they're 798 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 1: they're a team that lost in the Super Bowl. I 799 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: just think they're completely overmatched the Jets in just about 800 00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:55,719 Speaker 1: every facet of the game. I just don't see this one. 801 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 1: I don't get it. If this was in New York, 802 00:33:57,240 --> 00:33:59,719 Speaker 1: maybe I feel differently, But it's not. It's in San 803 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 1: frans You gotta travel across the country. I don't know. 804 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, but not like. But Aaron Rodgers is going home, man, 805 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:05,920 Speaker 2: He's going home. 806 00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:10,680 Speaker 1: This is the revenge for them not drafting him twenty years. 807 00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:12,520 Speaker 2: In the game. 808 00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,360 Speaker 3: I'm I'm on the Jets side here. For me, it's 809 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 3: about how overrated the fort nine ers are at home. 810 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 3: They were favored in every single game at home last 811 00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:22,080 Speaker 3: year by double dish, and they never covered three and 812 00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:25,799 Speaker 3: seven worst, fourth worst against the spread at home last year. 813 00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:27,759 Speaker 3: I think the super Bowl hangover is going to kick 814 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:29,440 Speaker 3: in Week one. I don't think it's gonna be one 815 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,479 Speaker 3: of these oh well, you wake up, you feel good, 816 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 3: and then like eleven o'clock hits and then you start 817 00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:35,560 Speaker 3: to have those headaches. I think it's gonna be the 818 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,480 Speaker 3: fort Niners wake up Week one and be like, oh 819 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:39,560 Speaker 3: my god, this is a super Bowl hangover and it's 820 00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:40,520 Speaker 3: gonna happen in Week one. 821 00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 2: So I'm actually on the Jets side here. 822 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,279 Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be week one. I think 823 00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:47,600 Speaker 1: it'll I think it'll be fine. I think they will 824 00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:50,640 Speaker 1: handle the Jets. That's just me, and the Jets have 825 00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:55,040 Speaker 1: a very good defense. Breeze Halls terrific. Wilson's terrific. He 826 00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:57,440 Speaker 1: hasn't play football in a year, andrewd He's already forty 827 00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,440 Speaker 1: something years old. Dude, I get up on forty something. 828 00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:01,239 Speaker 1: I get up in hurting and I don't even know why. 829 00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:04,040 Speaker 1: I can't imagine, like he just goes into this game 830 00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 1: and hits the ground running and looks great with that offense. 831 00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 1: Right away. I think it's gonna take some time for 832 00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:11,480 Speaker 1: the Jets to kind of get up the speed, maybe 833 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:13,560 Speaker 1: even a couple quarters of football before they start to 834 00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 1: look good. I don't know, Andrew, I can't. I'm so 835 00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:18,359 Speaker 1: glad we're on opposite ends of this one. I love 836 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:20,840 Speaker 1: that because that's gonna make Monday night football very fun 837 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:22,400 Speaker 1: when we go in then and watch it together and 838 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,840 Speaker 1: make sure you're with us all season long here on 839 00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,320 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros channel. If you haven't really subscribed to 840 00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:29,400 Speaker 1: Betting Pros wherever you get your podcasts, and of course 841 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:31,839 Speaker 1: subscribe to the YouTube channel, drop your comments below well 842 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 1: your favorite picks of the week. We love to hear 843 00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:35,560 Speaker 1: from you and ring that bell to that goes ding 844 00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,680 Speaker 1: for notification, so you know every time a piece of 845 00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:42,680 Speaker 1: content drops. We have five shows a week, every weekday here, 846 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,439 Speaker 1: unbelievable because you demanded it. We're gonna keep giving you more. 847 00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 1: Of Betting Pros who went to you two two shows 848 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 1: and three shows last year. Now we're at five. So 849 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 1: thanks for coming on this journey with us. It's gonna 850 00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: be a fun NFL season. That'll do it for us. 851 00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,480 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Andrew 852 00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:01,520 Speaker 1: ericson I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, kids, 853 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:05,799 Speaker 1: Happy football. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 854 00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:08,440 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 855 00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,400 Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 856 00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:14,480 Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 857 00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:18,279 Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 858 00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:21,360 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.