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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Do us proud

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Speaker 1: read enough?

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Speaker 2: No, We're running again, so smooth, so sweet, Standard.

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Speaker 3: Sixteen just glorious execution. Guys, all I'm looking for is

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Speaker 3: sixty percent effort four thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: How shut with that? Shop with mind? Good buddy, and.

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Speaker 3: That's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 1: Look at his movements, the most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 3: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying. The love is left.

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Speaker 3: Too, the wide eyed, drilled bibus how old earth pick

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Speaker 3: that happens?

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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome back to Wonder Goal of the

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Speaker 1: soccer betting podcast from the Action Network. My News Michael

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Speaker 1: leap up and joining me for this our Euro twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty four. Our final preview is BJ Cunningham. We're also

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Speaker 1: going to hear from our man Sam Ingram, who was

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Speaker 1: in Dortmund. He was in the building to watch his

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Speaker 1: beloved England, his beloved three Lions, defeat the Netherlands to

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Speaker 1: make it to the final. Sam was going to join

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Speaker 1: us for this episode, but he got bit by the planes,

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Speaker 1: trains and automobiles bug, so he's been delayed. However, we

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Speaker 1: do have a voice note from him bj and I

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Speaker 1: have no idea what he's going to say at all.

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Speaker 1: We don't know where what he's thinking in terms of betting,

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Speaker 1: what he's going to say about the environment or anything.

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Speaker 1: But here is sam our man on the ground right

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Speaker 1: now from I think is he from getting to us

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Speaker 1: from a ferry or bus. He's somewhere in Europe. But anyway,

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Speaker 1: take it away, Sam.

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Speaker 2: I am not long back from a sixteen hour door

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Speaker 2: to door road trip from going cer the Netherlands versus

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Speaker 2: England over in Dortmund. It was a special atmosphere up

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Speaker 2: and following England for a long time home and away,

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Speaker 2: and that might well be the best that I've ever

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Speaker 2: come across and a last minute winner from Olie Watkins

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Speaker 2: will definitely help that in terms of atmosphere. And it

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Speaker 2: was a special goal for a number of reasons. Not

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Speaker 2: only is it sent England through to their first major

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Speaker 2: tournament final away from England, but it was also scored

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Speaker 2: by a guy who his formative years were spent in

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Speaker 2: the fourth year of English football at Exeter City, where

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Speaker 2: he huned his craft. He also had a loan spell

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Speaker 2: at non league with Western super Mare, and he's had

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Speaker 2: to claw and fight his way to the Premier League

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Speaker 2: and claw and fight his way into the England national

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Speaker 2: team set up, and here he is scoring a go

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Speaker 2: to send the nation through to a major tournament final.

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Speaker 2: And on the whole in terms of the game, in

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Speaker 2: terms of the result, I think England's deserve that we've

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Speaker 2: controlled the first half. We didn't create too many clear

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Speaker 2: cut chances, but it felt like we controlled proceedings. We

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Speaker 2: had the penalty. In all fairness, I don't think that

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Speaker 2: was a penalty. We got lucky with that one, but

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Speaker 2: sometimes you get them, sometimes you don't. And on behalf

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Speaker 2: of everyone in England, we will gladly take that. The

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Speaker 2: second half sloped down a bit, I thought, and the

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Speaker 2: Netherlands will think like the edge that that forty five minutes.

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Speaker 2: England created only zero point one to eight XG in

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Speaker 2: the second half and the Dutch zero point three to

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Speaker 2: nine XG. It was a low margin game, just like

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Speaker 2: the France versus Spain semifinal, but still both goals went

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Speaker 2: over two point five goals and considering there was a

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Speaker 2: pretty good strike in either of those games, that was

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Speaker 2: probably one of the reasons why. From Javi Simmons and

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Speaker 2: then La Migna Mau, which was I thought one of

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Speaker 2: the goals of the tournament.

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Speaker 4: So good.

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Speaker 2: Sixteen years old as well, seventeen on Saturdays, not long

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Speaker 2: finished his school exams, and he's in line to win

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Speaker 2: both Young Player of the Tournament and Player of the Tournament,

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Speaker 2: which is just exceptional. And I was really impressed with

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Speaker 2: Spain's game management on the whole, where they came from

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Speaker 2: and go behind against the France and then took the

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Speaker 2: lead in a prompt fashion, and then in the second

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Speaker 2: half they bought the ball around really well, kept it

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Speaker 2: away from France. They didn't create too much of a

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Speaker 2: note on the second half, similarly to England, but they

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Speaker 2: didn't need to. They were two one up and in

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Speaker 2: the final stages with France desperate for an equalizer, I

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Speaker 2: thought Spain were great.

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Speaker 4: France couldn't get near them. For Spouse.

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Speaker 2: Spain had sixty one percent session in the second half

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Speaker 2: despite losing the game, which feels very on trend for

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Speaker 2: a Spanish national team. And now looking ahead at Spain

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Speaker 2: versus England in the final, I am honestly a scared Englishman,

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Speaker 2: unworried Spain should beat England going up what we've seen

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Speaker 2: this tournament England will have to rely on their defensive

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Speaker 2: setup being as stingy as we've seen or tournament. If

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Speaker 2: we're to get beat I wanted to buy be via

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Speaker 2: a wonder strike like lamin your mouse. We need to

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Speaker 2: get keep it tight, create another low margin game, and

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Speaker 2: if they do that, I think England has a chance.

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Speaker 2: If England win, I'd imagine it will come in extra

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Speaker 2: time or penalties. I imagine will grind that out. But what

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Speaker 2: we need to do, what we should do is we

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Speaker 2: need to knock Spain out with their stride. They've won

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Speaker 2: six and six. They're coming into this game with their

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Speaker 2: tails up. We need to make sure they don't get

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Speaker 2: into a rhythm. We need to get into their faces.

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Speaker 2: They'll want the ball, they want to attack England. They

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Speaker 2: won't want to be pressed aggressively. They won't want England's

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Speaker 2: front line and forward players in the midfield to be

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Speaker 2: all over their defensive line and midfield three. They won't

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Speaker 2: want that. But I'm not sure we're going to see

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Speaker 2: that kind of approach. It might play out as England

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Speaker 2: retreating further and further back into their defensive third, with

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Speaker 2: Spain keeping the ball nicely, they'll be happily do that

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Speaker 2: and ultimately in the end punishing England. If that happens,

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Speaker 2: then it's going to be a really tricky game for

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Speaker 2: England to navigate successfully. Come the end of ninety minutes,

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Speaker 2: the goal line is at two point zero a semi

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Speaker 2: considered that at better next we've got the projected goals

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Speaker 2: coming in out below that line, and even though we've

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Speaker 2: seen over two point five goals in each of the semis,

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Speaker 2: I could see why some people would still want to

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Speaker 2: go for unders. At plus one twenty for Spain to

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Speaker 2: win in ninety minutes in a major tournament final, that's

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Speaker 2: a bit too short for me.

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Speaker 4: They should be favorites, yes they should.

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Speaker 2: They might as well win, They might well win in

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Speaker 2: ninety minutes, but the price is just a bit too

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Speaker 2: short for me personally to take on England.

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Speaker 4: That plus two fifty. There's a bit of juice in that,

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Speaker 4: but not too much.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't take that, but I know there's going to

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Speaker 2: be a lot of people in England that will out

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Speaker 2: of blind faith. More than anything, I fear Spain. They've

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Speaker 2: seen off Germany, they've handled France, they've won every game

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Speaker 2: this tournament. They will fancy their chances. Like I said,

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Speaker 2: their tails are upcoming into this, and with me not

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Speaker 2: being fully sold on any of the current odds and

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Speaker 2: the main markets that are in front of me right now,

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Speaker 2: what I'm going to do is I'm going to take

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Speaker 2: two bets and I'm going to split unit stakes straight

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Speaker 2: down the middle of zero, putting five units on each

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Speaker 2: of these bets, with me thinking that it may go

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Speaker 2: into extra time in maybe a low margin game. And

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Speaker 2: if it's not a low margin game, if we see

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Speaker 2: you two to two of three to three, then excellent.

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Speaker 2: The drawl gets us to this stage of the game.

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Speaker 2: We've got Spain to win an extra time at nine

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Speaker 2: to one. If Spain and England get to extra time,

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Speaker 2: I think England the looking leggy Declan Rice, for example,

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Speaker 2: looks leggy. Kyle Walker looks the shadow of the player

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Speaker 2: he has been for Man City.

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Speaker 4: He looked a bit better last night.

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Speaker 2: In all fen He's got Harry Kane up top, looks

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Speaker 2: like he can't run for ninety minutes. He probably won't

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Speaker 2: even make extra time the way things are going. So

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Speaker 2: if this thing gets to extra time, I would hate

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Speaker 2: to see it. But I think Spain might have the

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Speaker 2: edge in terms of fitness and in terms of we've

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Speaker 2: seen it this tournament. They have a knack of getting

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Speaker 2: results over the line. They've won six and six. I

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Speaker 2: know England the grinding out results. I know England are

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Speaker 2: scoring late goals. But Spain again results over the line

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Speaker 2: time and time again, and I think they might just

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Speaker 2: have enough if this thing goes to extra time.

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Speaker 4: Now, if it does and it rumbles on.

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Speaker 2: All the way to penalties, you can get England to

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Speaker 2: win on penalties at eight to one. This might be

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Speaker 2: a bit of blind faith sweeping in to my punting,

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Speaker 2: I admit, but we did see the other night on

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Speaker 2: penalties England looks really really good and you got Drawding

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Speaker 2: Pickford in there, who's a really safe pair of hands,

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Speaker 2: And if he has five penalties taken against him, I'm

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Speaker 2: expecting him to save one of them or come close

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Speaker 2: to saving one of them. So England to win on

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Speaker 2: penalties at eight to one, Spain to win an extra

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Speaker 2: time at nine to one. It's a bit of a

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Speaker 2: lean more than anything. Obviously small stakes, and I think

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Speaker 2: that could be a really good way to get involved

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Speaker 2: in this final. If you think like me, maybe that

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Speaker 2: the values a little bit lacking across the main markets.

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Speaker 2: And if you look at a historical data since the millennium,

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Speaker 2: in the six finals at the World Cup in the Euros,

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Speaker 2: five out of six finals have seen under two point

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Speaker 2: five goals, So placing a one unit stake on each game,

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Speaker 2: each of those games for under two point five goals

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Speaker 2: would have seen a forty one point five return on investments.

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Speaker 2: So if we get the same again, if it's another

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Speaker 2: low marching game, if we get a nil, nil or

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Speaker 2: one one, or yeah, like I said, even a two two,

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Speaker 2: this thing gets the extra time. And I think we've

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Speaker 2: got two live runners in Spain to win at nine

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Speaker 2: to one, an extra time in England to win Senate

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Speaker 2: eight to one.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so BJ and I have no idea what Sam

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Speaker 1: just said at all, but I'm.

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Speaker 3: Gonna assume it's coming home.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna sue he's saying it's coming home. BJ,

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Speaker 1: and that's a good way to start this episode. Let's

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Speaker 1: let's just talk and talk about the ads. It is

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Speaker 1: a final, so you can throw the four and book

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Speaker 1: out the window, you can throw the script out the window,

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Speaker 1: you can throw whatever you want out the window. The

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Speaker 1: ads from Bet three sixty five are spaining minus one

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Speaker 1: fifty to lift the trophy. England at plus one twenty

200
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Speaker 1: the three way line La Furia Roha is a plus

201
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Speaker 1: one forty five favorite England plus two forty, and the

202
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Speaker 1: draw is sitting at a very short plus one eighty seven. Here,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you start. We'll get it to the

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Speaker 1: what we like in terms of the match. If we

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Speaker 1: like any props, all that stuff, well we'll send you

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Speaker 1: out with a bang here in our final episode of

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Speaker 1: this year twenty twenty four, which has been an absolute treat. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: what do you think? What do you think about the odds? Anything? Here?

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Speaker 1: You want to play?

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Speaker 3: You know my goal? I think everybody's just running to

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Speaker 3: the window to bed Spain because of the performances that

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Speaker 3: England's been having throughout this tournament. But I thought against

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Speaker 3: the Dutch that was their best performance of the entire tournament.

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Speaker 3: I thought they were actually really good in that the

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Speaker 3: whole first half. They were just controlling things from the start. Now,

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Speaker 3: obviously you know Simon's hit one from outside the box,

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Speaker 3: great goal. You know Pickford, you know, maybe if he's

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Speaker 3: in a neverton, sure he saves that one. But after

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Speaker 3: they went down. The onus was on them. They had

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Speaker 3: a real, like actual onus to play through the middle

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Speaker 3: of the pitch, which is something I really haven't seen.

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Speaker 3: It's kind of just been safe pass after safe pass.

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Speaker 3: Let's just get the ball wide out to Sock and

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Speaker 3: let's just kind of hope he does something. Really, it

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Speaker 3: was more of a let's try to get a four

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Speaker 3: or five man overload in the central parts and even

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Speaker 3: if we can't play it through there, at least we

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Speaker 3: can isolate Soccer or Tripier coming out on the left wing.

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Speaker 3: We can isolate them and get them into a good situation.

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Speaker 3: And that worked. And what really worked well is that

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Speaker 3: you know, every time, whether he's playing for Arsenal or England,

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Speaker 3: whenever Sokka gets the ball, he gets doubled every single time.

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Speaker 3: And when he was getting doubled, Phil Foden was always

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Speaker 3: in somewhere in the middle of the pitch. He was

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Speaker 3: floating around the box. He's been doing it all tournament.

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Speaker 3: They just haven't been giving him the ball. They finally

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Speaker 3: started falling the funneling the ball and he gets one

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Speaker 3: shot cleared off the line. He hits the outside of

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Speaker 3: the post of the other one and he completes all

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Speaker 3: forty of the passes that he attempted, like he was

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Speaker 3: his best game of the entire tournament. So now England,

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Speaker 3: I'm sure, in this type of tournament, is going to

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Speaker 3: try to overload that right side of the pitch because

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Speaker 3: that's where Spain is weakest defensively. With Kokarea, I know

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Speaker 3: he's had a good tournament, you know, in terms of

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Speaker 3: his defense, but I mean Socca is the best right

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Speaker 3: wing in the world, like you know, in terms of

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Speaker 3: what he does, not only from a creation standpoint, but

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Speaker 3: he does defensively. How good he is on the ball

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Speaker 3: from passing, He's just the best, and I love him

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Speaker 3: to death. But for me, I actually think England's pretty

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Speaker 3: undervalued here. You can find England to lift the trophy

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Speaker 3: at plus one twenty five. I think Spain has shown

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Speaker 3: both in their matches against Germany and against France. They

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Speaker 3: were playing with a positive game state for pretty much

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Speaker 3: the entire match against France, and then also you know

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Speaker 3: late against Germany that when they sit off and they

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Speaker 3: play passively defensively, they are not a good defensive team.

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Speaker 3: So far this tournament, they have conceded three goals off

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Speaker 3: of six point two expected simone and goal has been

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Speaker 3: outstanding as post Shat actually plus minus is he's almost

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Speaker 3: you know, he's close to saving points, you know, three

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Speaker 3: quarters of a goal more than he should have per match.

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Speaker 3: But against France again they allowed twenty nine penalty box touches.

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Speaker 3: France ended up creating one and a half expected goals.

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Speaker 3: Killian and Boppe had you know, a golden chance to

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Speaker 3: tie it at the end that he just doesn't put away.

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Speaker 3: You know, we could have been having a very different story.

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Speaker 3: And I think that game against France, you know, even

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Speaker 3: when France went ahead, they were still kind of dominating

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Speaker 3: the ball and it wasn't like France or Spain was

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Speaker 3: just like overwhelming them. Jamal hit one from outside the

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Speaker 3: box and then suddenly the game gets turned on its head.

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Speaker 3: Spain gets one chance in the box, they take it,

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Speaker 3: and then they basically didn't take a shot for the

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Speaker 3: rest of the match and just tried to hold France off.

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Speaker 3: So if we get into a situation where you're not

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Speaker 3: saying that Spain's going to be in a positive game

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Speaker 3: state here, but if we get into a situation where

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Speaker 3: England is actually controlling a majority of the possession, which

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Speaker 3: We've seen a lot of teams do to Spain this tournament.

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Speaker 3: You know, that's something we haven't seen in decades now

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Speaker 3: from them, then I think that puts a good advantage

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Speaker 3: in terms of England and the other aspect of it

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Speaker 3: is okay, Well, if Spain does control a majority of

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Speaker 3: the possession, we know how good England is sitting in

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Speaker 3: a compact defensive block. Now they're going to need to

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Speaker 3: give Trippy or some help or over on the right

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Speaker 3: because I'm guaranteeing you the ball is going to go

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Speaker 3: out wide to you a mall a lot and tried

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Speaker 3: to get him in one v one situations with him,

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Speaker 3: and that's kind of what Spain's been doing throughout this

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Speaker 3: entire tournament. They've have two really good creative wings, so

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Speaker 3: they're just getting the ball to them and they are

295
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Speaker 3: making magic hap because the rest of the attack outside

296
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Speaker 3: of Almo really isn't doing much. So England should be

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Speaker 3: able to keep those two guys quiet. They'll probably give

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Speaker 3: you know, Tripa are a lot of health. They'll probably

299
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Speaker 3: double them all. The one thing that England really needs

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Speaker 3: to do though, and whether that's Menu or bringing on

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Speaker 3: somebody else to beat Spain you have to not let

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Speaker 3: Rogery touch the ball, which I know is a very

303
00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,240
Speaker 3: hard thing to do because of his positioning and how

304
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Speaker 3: he moves and how he drops into the back line

305
00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:33,760
Speaker 3: and pulls a lot of you know, defenders and midfielders

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Speaker 3: out of position. But that is the guy that's going

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Speaker 3: to hurt England. If they continually let him get the ball,

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Speaker 3: then that's going to be a problem. So England has

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Speaker 3: to be good in their defensive block. They have to

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Speaker 3: be able to pressure the ball well, and I think

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Speaker 3: that makes them really live here.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 3: Again, Spain has overformed defensively. You know, it's not like

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Speaker 3: they have put up just crazy good numbers throughout this tournament.

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Speaker 3: The two elite teams they've played, they've lost the expected

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Speaker 3: goals battle. So now they're going to play another elite

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Speaker 3: team in England, who on paper, England's a more talented team.

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Speaker 3: I know that, you know, for just if you're going

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Speaker 3: you know, person for person, they're more talented. So I

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Speaker 3: had Spain minus one fourteen to lift the trophy. You

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Speaker 3: can find a plus one twenty five on England out

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Speaker 3: there right now, and I like England to lift the trophy.

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Speaker 3: A plus one twenty five, and I think football smiling

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Speaker 3: coming home.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I tend to agree with you in terms of

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Speaker 1: the betting here. I think that the odds are just

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Speaker 1: too wide for this matchup, and as you said that,

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Speaker 1: it's just too many people betting into the fact that

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Speaker 1: Spain has It's really you're really nitpicking if you're trying

330
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Speaker 1: to find something that Spain's not doing well in this tournament.

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Speaker 1: Sure you can talk about the defense of the fact

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Speaker 1: that they've tried to like shut games down, all that stuff,

333
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Speaker 1: but considering their path Italy Croatia in the group stage,

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Speaker 1: then they get France and Germany and knockout rounds before England,

335
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Speaker 1: like they have ticked every box in terms of going

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Speaker 1: out and winning a tournament like that. When you asking

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Speaker 1: a team to go go win it, that's Spain. When

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Speaker 1: you're asking a team to just survive in advance, that's England.

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Speaker 1: And betters are going to always flock to the team

340
00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:10,360
Speaker 1: that is going and grabbing the results by the scruff

341
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Speaker 1: of their neck, and I think that that's what we're

342
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Speaker 1: going to see here. So I do like England. I

343
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Speaker 1: think plus two forty on the three way line is fine.

344
00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 1: I actually think like alternate spreads as well as fine,

345
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Speaker 1: because look it's a cup final. If England's up one

346
00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 1: nothing late in the game, Spain will just bomb forward.

347
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Speaker 1: And that we saw it with the Uruguay Columbia match,

348
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Speaker 1: like you're when it was the rubber hit the road

349
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Speaker 1: for Uruguay when they needed a goal, even against a

350
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Speaker 1: ten man side. When a team leaves themselves that exposed

351
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Speaker 1: in the back because there is no tomorrow, you're going

352
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Speaker 1: to have a couple of clear, clear cut opportunities, and

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Speaker 1: you'd expect that if that does happen, England would be there.

354
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Speaker 1: So I actually think that the three way line is

355
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,720
Speaker 1: pretty good. I don't mind being on the alternate line

356
00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,520
Speaker 1: on the on England at minus one and a half.

357
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Speaker 1: It's it's going to be a pretty big price, like

358
00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:06,399
Speaker 1: six to one or longer, so I'm probably going to

359
00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:10,360
Speaker 1: be doing that. And then in terms of props, I've

360
00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,200
Speaker 1: got a couple I like in terms of like there's

361
00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:14,960
Speaker 1: every chance of the world Spain wins this match, I

362
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,080
Speaker 1: think they deserve to be favorites. And another note we

363
00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:21,159
Speaker 1: should actually jot down about these odds is that England

364
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Speaker 1: was the betting favorite before this tournament and I don't

365
00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:24,880
Speaker 1: want to talk about I don't want to talk about

366
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,119
Speaker 1: how they were the favorite after the group stage because

367
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Speaker 1: that had all everything to do with the draw. So

368
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Speaker 1: the betting market saw England as the more talented team,

369
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:34,560
Speaker 1: as you said before that. But I do think Spain

370
00:17:34,600 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 1: does deserve to be the favorite here. I like, should

371
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,119
Speaker 1: we start, you know, we'll go goals. I have a

372
00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:44,600
Speaker 1: couple of card crops I like. But I think Fabian

373
00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:50,000
Speaker 1: Ruiz is a live bet for a goal scorer here.

374
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Speaker 1: I think everyone's going to be flocking to the sixteen

375
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Speaker 1: year old BJA. I don't know if you know it,

376
00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,720
Speaker 1: but La mean Yamal is sixteen years old. He will

377
00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,760
Speaker 1: be I think.

378
00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:02,520
Speaker 3: He's gonna be seventeen by Sunday, though.

379
00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:06,560
Speaker 1: There you go. Everyone's gonna be out Luke Hitler and

380
00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:10,240
Speaker 1: and La mean Jamu, Yeah exactly. It's we're just being

381
00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,879
Speaker 1: taken over. But I think that Fabian Ruiz has just

382
00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 1: been all over the place in this tour. Yeah, yes,

383
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,600
Speaker 1: and he's been maybe the I don't think he'll win

384
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:20,359
Speaker 1: the Player of the Tournament, but he's been awesome and

385
00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:22,639
Speaker 1: he's sitting out there plus six to fifty is at

386
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,679
Speaker 1: any time goals scorer. I like that a little bit.

387
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 1: Then I've got two more for you that I really like.

388
00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:32,960
Speaker 1: The first player to be booked here and Trippier, Oh okay,

389
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 1: he's eleven to one. Oh he's going to be the guy.

390
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 1: I think that's going to be chasing Jam all around

391
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,159
Speaker 1: and like just gonna be kicking at his ankles. So

392
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,480
Speaker 1: I look at eleven to one, that early tone setter foul,

393
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,560
Speaker 1: and also knowing that, hey, I he only has to

394
00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,040
Speaker 1: play forty five minutes. He might not even start obviously

395
00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:51,280
Speaker 1: this this is contingent with him starting over Shaw, but

396
00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:54,960
Speaker 1: he'll know that I don't uh like, I don't have

397
00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:56,399
Speaker 1: to go the full ninety, so I could take some

398
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,479
Speaker 1: risks in terms of picking up a card or two.

399
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 1: So I think getting him at eleven to one as

400
00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:03,920
Speaker 1: the first player to be booked is a fun bet.

401
00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 1: I also like, on the Spanish side, your man Rodri,

402
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,000
Speaker 1: who is a Pep Guardiola defensive midfielder. So what does

403
00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:15,359
Speaker 1: he do. He takes those those technical fouls, those play killing,

404
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:19,000
Speaker 1: smart savvy stop up four on three counter attack fouls.

405
00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: So I think Rodri at ten to one and trip

406
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:25,000
Speaker 1: Yer at eleven to one for me, are are worth

407
00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:28,720
Speaker 1: a bet. I was thinking about Jordan Pickford too. He's

408
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 1: but he's only twenty two to one. I was hoping

409
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 1: to get on like a forty or something Eddie props

410
00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 1: you like.

411
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 3: Well, just speaking of the referee, Francois, I'm gonna butcher

412
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 3: this last name I paused as Lextierre.

413
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:44,399
Speaker 1: Does he have any match fixing allegations?

414
00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 3: I don't believe he does, not that I can see

415
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:49,840
Speaker 3: from this article I'm reading right now. But he has refereed.

416
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:54,720
Speaker 3: He's typically referees in League One and then also in

417
00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:59,639
Speaker 3: the Champions League. But he has reffed three matches so

418
00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 3: far this tournament. One of them was Spain, Georgia, Denmark, Serbia, Croatia, Albania,

419
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 3: and he gave out see four cards in his first

420
00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:09,920
Speaker 3: four cards in his first two matches than two in

421
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 3: the Spain Georgia match. So pretty average comparatively to you know,

422
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,399
Speaker 3: most referees throughout this tournament. So really no like, you know,

423
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,200
Speaker 3: not anybody who's gonna like let things go or you know,

424
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 3: try to take control of the game. I think he's

425
00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:26,520
Speaker 3: pretty you know, an average referee in that aspect, So

426
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 3: no real edge there in terms of props. I like

427
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:34,800
Speaker 3: a couple here, so I like voting anytime goalscore at

428
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,679
Speaker 3: four to one. You know, I think getting him more

429
00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 3: involved against the Netherlands actually gives him a better shot here.

430
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 3: I like him also over one and a half shots

431
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,560
Speaker 3: a minus one twenty he's averaging. He's taken the second

432
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 3: most shots behind Harry Kane in this tournament. Again, he

433
00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 3: could get subbed off in like, you know, the eightieth minute.

434
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 3: But the thing about Southgate is is he's not somebody

435
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 3: who's gonna let you know, vote in play for only

436
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,959
Speaker 3: sixty minutes. He typically subs very very late into these,

437
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,680
Speaker 3: so you're at least probably gonna at eighty minutes of

438
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 3: Voton before potentially Cole Palmer comes on. But I like

439
00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:05,719
Speaker 3: him over one and a half shots and minus one

440
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:08,120
Speaker 3: twenty else, like soccer over one and a half shots

441
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,880
Speaker 3: at plus one twenty five. Again, if Kukaa is gonna

442
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:12,439
Speaker 3: be guarding him in Spain, is gonna be sitting off

443
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 3: a little bit passively. You know a lot of those shots,

444
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,159
Speaker 3: those cutback shots to the left side that Soccer likes

445
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 3: to take, I think are going to be there for him.

446
00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 3: So both of those guys over one and a half shots,

447
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:26,879
Speaker 3: Foten anytime goal scorer, and then yeah, I think that

448
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 3: is that is about it for me. You know, stay

449
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,320
Speaker 3: tuned the action of our gap uh in case I

450
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 3: play anything else. But for me, yeah, I think Foden

451
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:38,720
Speaker 3: and Soccer are the two guys that you'd want to

452
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 3: target uh for England in terms of any type of

453
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 3: shots on target props or like that if you're looking

454
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,720
Speaker 3: to play a same game parlay. I think those two guys.

455
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 3: I love the Fabian Ruiz one Michael, and I'll tell

456
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 3: you why. It's because he has been their main aerial

457
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:54,120
Speaker 3: threat in the box. If you remember that France match,

458
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 3: he had a wide open header.

459
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, in my head right away.

460
00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 3: And if England's gonna play very compact and they're gonna

461
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 3: then Spain's in a funnel, the ball out wide and

462
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 3: they're gonna try to double you mall or they're gonna

463
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 3: try to you know, Walker is probably gonna be on

464
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 3: Nico Williams. There's gonna be a lot of crosses set

465
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 3: into the box. And right now Alva Marata is not

466
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 3: being their main aerial threats. So I like that Fabian

467
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 3: Ruiz angle. And he's also somebody like you saw in

468
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,200
Speaker 3: the match against Croatia. He is always in and around

469
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 3: the box to get those shots.

470
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:20,359
Speaker 1: So I really like that.

471
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 3: Angles I'll probably join you on Ruize anytime goals scorer.

472
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,800
Speaker 1: He's how about this BJ, He's eighty to one to

473
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:29,960
Speaker 1: score two? Well, so maybe that, and how about this

474
00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 1: Fabian Ruiz to score a header at beta sixty five

475
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 1: sixty six to one.

476
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 3: Yep, that's it, Yep.

477
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 4: I was just I was.

478
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 3: If you say anything anything thirty to one or.

479
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 1: Better, I was in perfect all right, Yeah, join us

480
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 1: at that one. That'll be a lot of fun.

481
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 3: Uh. One, that's the way wonder that you want to

482
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 3: you want to you want a underdog parlay for the

483
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,880
Speaker 3: uh for the following.

484
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 1: It with Fabian Lui used to score aheader.

485
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:56,880
Speaker 3: That's right, that's our that's an underdog parlay there.

486
00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 1: Uh that's beautiful. Yeah, I like that. I'm gonna bet

487
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,720
Speaker 1: that too. All right, So just to recap, we have

488
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: no idea what Sam said, so whatever he said. And

489
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:08,360
Speaker 1: then BJ is on England to lift the trophy plus

490
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 1: one twenty five the soka, the pot and props. We're

491
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 1: both on Fabian Luiz to score. Fabian Mauiz and to

492
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,959
Speaker 1: score with his head sixty six to one. A lot

493
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 1: of fun for that one. I like England inside the ninety.

494
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 1: Also like England might just one and a half. I

495
00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 1: think this is this has I said it before that

496
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: semi final, and I'm gonna say it again. I think

497
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 1: that the win over Switzerland was like the pressure valve

498
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 1: getting lifted, and I don't think that changes even though

499
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,360
Speaker 1: it's a final here. I just think that this team

500
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:37,639
Speaker 1: is I think, I mean, like.

501
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 3: I understand that, like they've played terribly, but they're still

502
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 3: I mean like they're still an incredible defensive I don't

503
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,879
Speaker 3: really care, Oboy says, and guess what. Here's the thing

504
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 3: with Southgate. I know he gets a ton of crap

505
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 3: and everything. He is an unbelievable like player manager. Like

506
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 3: they obviously love him and they're buying into what he's doing.

507
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 3: He sets them up incredibly well defensively every single match.

508
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 3: They just haven't been able to do much in the

509
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 3: final third. So you know, it is what it is.

510
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: It is what it is, all right, that does it.

511
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 1: For our Euro twenty twenty four episode, we also recorded

512
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:14,199
Speaker 1: a Copa America preview. We this is technically the end

513
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 1: of the season for us again, but so thank you

514
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 1: for listening. If you've been listening along this whole we're

515
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,479
Speaker 1: watching on YouTube, If you've been watching along with our

516
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,679
Speaker 1: Euro and COPA coverage, thank you to our sponsor's Spectory

517
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 1: sixty five and our producer Noah. We will be back

518
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:31,960
Speaker 1: in less than a month with our season preview episodes

519
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 1: for the Premier League, and then we're here the August sixteenth,

520
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 1: and then we're here till May. So there you go.

521
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 1: Thank you once again for listening into Fabian Ruiz Baby

522
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 1: Go Ahead, Go Ahead. One in.

523
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:54,879
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

524
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

525
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