WEBVTT - This Is What President Biden's CHIPS Office Actually Did

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway.

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<v Speaker 2>Tracy, I just wrote about this in our newsletter like

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<v Speaker 2>five minutes ago. But it drives me nuts. How on

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<v Speaker 2>all of the talk about reindustrialization of America everyone had

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<v Speaker 2>just completely memory hold, like twenty twenty two and twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty three.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, this is the amazing thing, right, We did have

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<v Speaker 3>a big investment program actually announced under the Biden administration,

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<v Speaker 3>like huge amounts of money, billions of dollars, and no

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<v Speaker 3>one seems to be talking about it that much, or

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<v Speaker 3>at least a very important segment seems to be ignoring it,

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<v Speaker 3>and that is the Trump administration. Trump. I think he

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<v Speaker 3>said before that he thought it was a horrible policy.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>I suspect the reason he thinks it's horrible is because

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<v Speaker 3>it was a Biden thing. But it is also amazing

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<v Speaker 3>that like even this, even making more semiconductors in the US,

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<v Speaker 3>ended up being politicized and a sort of culture war issue.

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<v Speaker 4>It's just crazy to me.

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<v Speaker 2>It's totally insane to me, of all these influencers and

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<v Speaker 2>LARPers or so we need to bring back physical manufacturing

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<v Speaker 2>and national security, etc. As if this hasn't been a

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<v Speaker 2>dominant thing in US discourse for years, is if there

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<v Speaker 2>weren't literally battery and chip factories being announced almost every day.

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<v Speaker 2>Throw at twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three, all

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<v Speaker 2>across the US. It was not just a program. It

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<v Speaker 2>was like an actual like breaking ground and new things

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<v Speaker 2>were going up and dollars spent by the private sector

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<v Speaker 2>partially to get public subsidies, et cetera. You could certainly

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<v Speaker 2>say that it was like badly designed, or that it

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<v Speaker 2>was wrong, or there were too many rules whatever, like

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<v Speaker 2>all you know, that's all of this is fair play.

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<v Speaker 2>But the idea that suddenly this is just some new

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<v Speaker 2>impulse and not like something that's real, existing reindustrialization that's

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<v Speaker 2>going on, I find it infuriating or at the very

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<v Speaker 2>least very annoying.

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<v Speaker 3>Shall we fix that, Joe, Let's fix it.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we should talk about what actually happened, right, because

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<v Speaker 2>it does seem like, either literally or de facto or

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<v Speaker 2>dejerie or whatever, the plug is being pulled on a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of these different programs, and now there's talk about

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<v Speaker 2>industrialization but the hope is that tariffs themselves spur all

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<v Speaker 2>of this domestic investment in physical things for people to

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<v Speaker 2>do assembly line jobs, et cetera. But we should learn

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit more.

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<v Speaker 3>We should talk about what trips actually are as well,

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<v Speaker 3>because you know, yes, boost manufacturing in the US, create

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<v Speaker 3>new jobs, spur some private investment, sort of public private idea,

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<v Speaker 3>But there are a lot of different like threads that

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<v Speaker 3>you can pull here into in terms of the actual goals.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we should learn a little bit more about what

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<v Speaker 2>the Chips program actually was, and I it does still exist,

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<v Speaker 2>but I'm not really sure if it seems like it's

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<v Speaker 2>more of a husk than it was. We're going to

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<v Speaker 2>be speaking with someone we know very well, someone we've

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<v Speaker 2>known on the internet a long time, someone who even

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<v Speaker 2>came on Odd Lots one several years ago, who actually

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<v Speaker 2>worked in the Chips Program office. We were speaking with

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<v Speaker 2>Hussan Khan. He was the director of Economic Security at

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<v Speaker 2>the Chips Program Office. I believe he's officially left the

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<v Speaker 2>job so he could talk now about what he saw

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<v Speaker 2>inside Hustin. Thank you so much for coming back on

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<v Speaker 2>Odd Lots Joe Tracy.

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<v Speaker 4>It's always a pleasure you know your intro there. I

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<v Speaker 4>feel very similarly. I really do feel like we forgot

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<v Speaker 4>about what was accomplished in honestly less than two years,

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<v Speaker 4>so excited to talk about it. What are you tells us?

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<v Speaker 2>What did you do as the Director of Economic Security

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<v Speaker 2>at the Chips Program Office? What was that job?

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<v Speaker 4>So if you look at why we passed the Chips

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<v Speaker 4>and Science Act, Congress and the President came together and said,

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<v Speaker 4>our reliance on offshore manufacturing for semiconductors presents both an

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<v Speaker 4>economic and national security threat. And we saw that play

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<v Speaker 4>out in real time during the pandemic. When we couldn't

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<v Speaker 4>make cars, we couldn't make a whole host of goods.

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<v Speaker 4>Prices went up that posed an economic security threat because

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<v Speaker 4>people were losing their jobs. Obviously there's a national security

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<v Speaker 4>angle as well, because we were reliant on overseas factories

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<v Speaker 4>for chips that go into military equipment. And as the

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<v Speaker 4>Director of Economic Security, my role was for it was

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<v Speaker 4>sort of twofold first, helping sort of set the strategy.

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<v Speaker 4>What was our vision for what we wanted to accomplish

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<v Speaker 4>with the Chips Program Office. So before I joined, we

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<v Speaker 4>published a vision for success paper in February of twenty

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<v Speaker 4>twenty three. I'm actually quite astonished. I think very few

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<v Speaker 4>people who talk about chips actually read that paper, and

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<v Speaker 4>I still think it's worth reading because it laid out

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<v Speaker 4>a roadmap for what we wanted to do within the

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<v Speaker 4>different categories. And then the second job that I had

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<v Speaker 4>was helping our teams understand the value of each proposed

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<v Speaker 4>project to US economic security. So why would the factory

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<v Speaker 4>that X company is proposing improve our economic security? And

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<v Speaker 4>obviously there are different ways in which you can do that,

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<v Speaker 4>whether that's advancing technological capabilities, improving supply chain resilience, plugging

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<v Speaker 4>various gaps in the supply chain, et cetera, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's why we did sort of a deal by

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<v Speaker 4>deal analysis on those metrics. But it was really that

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<v Speaker 4>twofold going not just strategically across the portfolio, but on

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<v Speaker 4>a deal by deal basis.

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<v Speaker 3>I wanted to ask you about exactly this because I

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<v Speaker 3>imagine there are trade offs when you're deciding what or

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<v Speaker 3>who to fund. Do you fund stuff that's going to

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<v Speaker 3>have the most immediate impact make headlines, or do you

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<v Speaker 3>finance stuff that maybe it takes longer to build but

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<v Speaker 3>it's going to have a bigger effect on the economy

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<v Speaker 3>or national security. If you're looking at two pitches on

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<v Speaker 3>your desk or I guess it was an online application

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<v Speaker 3>like a portal, but you're looking at those applications and

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<v Speaker 3>one is for building I don't know, in video GPUs

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<v Speaker 3>and the other is like making an improvement on basic

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<v Speaker 3>chips that go into MCUs and cars or whatever, lagging

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<v Speaker 3>versus leading. How do you decide between those different proposals.

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<v Speaker 4>So, Tracy, that's a great question, and I would say

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<v Speaker 4>what complicated that decision making process was when the bill

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<v Speaker 4>was passed in August of twenty twenty two, we were

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<v Speaker 4>solely focused as a country on the impact of shortages.

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<v Speaker 4>And then it was in November of twenty twenty two

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<v Speaker 4>that chat GPT came out and suddenly the conversation shifted

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<v Speaker 4>very rapidly to AI supremacy. So in real time, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>if you ask Congressman why are you passing this bill,

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<v Speaker 4>they would have said, well, we can't have these car shutdowns,

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<v Speaker 4>or we can't have car factory shutting down. Appliances are

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<v Speaker 4>too expensive. And then by early twenty twenty three, it

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<v Speaker 4>was what we have to win the AI race so

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<v Speaker 4>we sat back as an office and we really said,

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<v Speaker 4>we don't want to be chasing just one category. And

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<v Speaker 4>I think again our strategy was, we want to make

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<v Speaker 4>sure we're making investments across the entire supply chain. So

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<v Speaker 4>we said, hey, we're going to functionally target a majority

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<v Speaker 4>of our funding, the vast majority of our funding towards

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<v Speaker 4>the leading edge. Why those are the most expensive facilities.

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<v Speaker 4>So Intel, TSMC, Samsung and Micron between them got nearly

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<v Speaker 4>twenty eight twenty nine billion dollars and don't you know,

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<v Speaker 4>you can check my math afterwards. Knowing that getting those

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<v Speaker 4>facilities in the United States at the scale that they

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<v Speaker 4>were investing in has downstream consequences too, because now you're

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<v Speaker 4>building out the supply chain necessary for the entire industry,

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<v Speaker 4>and that spills over to some of the other facilities

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<v Speaker 4>that are going to come up online. We did have

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<v Speaker 4>a statutory requirement to invest at least two billion dollars

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<v Speaker 4>in what we're called legacy node chips, and our office

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<v Speaker 4>spend a lot of time trying to understand what our

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<v Speaker 4>strategy could be on shoring up legacy supply. So we

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<v Speaker 4>made investments, you know, large ones in TI and global

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<v Speaker 4>foundries that are in the sort of meat of the

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<v Speaker 4>legacy node supply chain. But we also made actually dozens

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<v Speaker 4>of investments that I think at short shrift because they

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<v Speaker 4>just aren't as headline grabbing, but they plugged up a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of our capabilities in rf in power, summi conductors,

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<v Speaker 4>the sort of un sexy types of electronics that are

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<v Speaker 4>critical not just for infrastructure today but infrastructure in the future.

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<v Speaker 4>And how we thought about trade offs. I think the

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<v Speaker 4>way we tried to think about it was we really

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<v Speaker 4>tried to bucket our funds and say, hey, for the

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<v Speaker 4>leading edge, we want to be able to say, preserve

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<v Speaker 4>x amount of our budget. It was about that twenty

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<v Speaker 4>eight billion dollars for the leading edge and make sure

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<v Speaker 4>that we retain sufficient funding on the back end for

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<v Speaker 4>the legacy nodes, for advanced packaging, for the supply chain,

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<v Speaker 4>because we knew that we needed to make investments across

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<v Speaker 4>the entire supply chain just get to the resilience. That was,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, the reason that the bill was passed.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, I have a question, and you could just

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<v Speaker 2>be totally honest, you know, I'll give it to one

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<v Speaker 2>of the criticisms of Biden era industrial policy that is

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<v Speaker 2>frequently made from our abundance brothers and sisters, is that yes,

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<v Speaker 2>there were all of these efforts, but you know, you

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<v Speaker 2>couldn't get the money unless you had a certain amount

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<v Speaker 2>of workforce diversity, and you had to do a land

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<v Speaker 2>acknowledgment on where you were going to build the factory,

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<v Speaker 2>and also you had to have like childcare, etc. And

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<v Speaker 2>it's like, well, do you want to build the chip

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<v Speaker 2>plant or not? Because if you do, then why did

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<v Speaker 2>you put all of these other burdens that have nothing

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<v Speaker 2>to do with building chips per se onto the money?

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<v Speaker 2>In your experience, what is the role of these other

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<v Speaker 2>elements in the speed of grant programs or project development

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<v Speaker 2>in the US?

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<v Speaker 4>I know this is a topic that gets Frankly, I

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<v Speaker 4>think it gets way too much air time. And I'll

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<v Speaker 4>tell you why. First, there were statutory requirements that came

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<v Speaker 4>from Congress on what the proposals had to be. Right.

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<v Speaker 4>So Congress themselves came and said, hey, if you're making

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<v Speaker 4>a project proposal, you need to have opportunity and inclusion

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<v Speaker 4>language or what your commitments are to community investments. If

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<v Speaker 4>you look at the DFAs that we write, the direct

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<v Speaker 4>funding agreements, the terms that we had around what you

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<v Speaker 4>might call everything. Bagel policy basically codified the commitments the

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<v Speaker 4>firms themselves had made to the communities that they were

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<v Speaker 4>investing in. It essentially said, hey, you told the community

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<v Speaker 4>that you were going to be investing in, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the schools or water reclamation projects, whatever those community investment

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<v Speaker 4>funds could be. All we're doing is memorializing that commitment

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<v Speaker 4>that you've made. Secondly, on childcare, this is another one

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<v Speaker 4>that first in terms of the amount of funding that

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<v Speaker 4>we put towards it, I think it was a total

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<v Speaker 4>of about ten million dollars across the thirty nine billion, Okay,

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<v Speaker 4>So it was never a focus. It never became in

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<v Speaker 4>any of the negotiations that I set in a discussion

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<v Speaker 4>where the company came back and said, hey, we really

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<v Speaker 4>want to build this plant, but the million dollars that

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<v Speaker 4>you're giving us for childcare and the requirements that you

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<v Speaker 4>have simply aren't enough. Many of these firms are investing

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<v Speaker 4>in child care facilities for their workers anyways, and you

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<v Speaker 4>see it like there's Wall Street Journal report a few

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<v Speaker 4>months ago about a company that wanted to expand and

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<v Speaker 4>with new workers that were mostly coming from like Hispanic background,

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<v Speaker 4>and they found that the biggest thing they could do

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<v Speaker 4>to help bring them on was have childcare on site,

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<v Speaker 4>because their workers were like, I can't come to the

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<v Speaker 4>office because I don't have a place to leave my kids.

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<v Speaker 4>So it's just it's actually what the private sector is

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<v Speaker 4>doing anyway, And oftentimes the funding that we brought to

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<v Speaker 4>those initiatives actually helped them think outside the box and

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<v Speaker 4>think across firms to come up with regional solutions that

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<v Speaker 4>scaled better than they would on a firm by firm basis.

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<v Speaker 4>I will say, however, where I think critics of sort

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<v Speaker 4>of the everything bagel approach do have a point is

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<v Speaker 4>whereas a lot of the terms that I just described

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<v Speaker 4>were not deal stoppers. They didn't slow down negotiations, they

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<v Speaker 4>weren't the points of contention where there are points of

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<v Speaker 4>contention between different stakeholders, I think you need top leadership

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<v Speaker 4>to be able to come and say our number one

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<v Speaker 4>goal is to get the factory built, and various stakeholders

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<v Speaker 4>have to get in line. And where I'm talking about

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<v Speaker 4>stakeholders is where I think the abundance folks also speak

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<v Speaker 4>to them, groups like labor and environment, right, you have

0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:03.160
<v Speaker 4>to come and say, hey, do we want this project

0:12:03.160 --> 0:12:06.040
<v Speaker 4>to happen? There will inevitably be trade offs. There is

0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:08.640
<v Speaker 4>no world in which you can build a massive factory

0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:13.120
<v Speaker 4>and have zero environmental impact. Right. You have to also

0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:15.960
<v Speaker 4>even in the context of labor, we have to understand

0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:18.960
<v Speaker 4>that this is a globally competitive industry, and so the

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:22.199
<v Speaker 4>demands that labor is making have to be viewed from

0:12:22.240 --> 0:12:24.480
<v Speaker 4>the context of like what does it take for the

0:12:24.520 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 4>factories in the US to be globally competitive? And I

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:30.920
<v Speaker 4>think you need top leadership to come and say we're

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:34.880
<v Speaker 4>not going to allow concerns that are being raised by

0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:39.280
<v Speaker 4>the community to sort of halt negotiation. So there is

0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:41.960
<v Speaker 4>a balance to be struck in terms of what's our

0:12:42.040 --> 0:12:44.160
<v Speaker 4>number one goal. Is it to get the factory done

0:12:44.320 --> 0:12:46.000
<v Speaker 4>or is it to make sure that no one's upset

0:12:46.040 --> 0:13:01.800
<v Speaker 4>at the fact that the factory is getting done.

0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:06.920
<v Speaker 3>Give us a sense of the actual timeline for the

0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:11.480
<v Speaker 3>application process, like how quickly could you actually approve things

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:14.320
<v Speaker 3>on average? And then I'm curious, like what was the

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 3>longest negotiation that you had and what were the sticking

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:18.400
<v Speaker 3>points there?

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:22.360
<v Speaker 4>Okay, so the process the way it worked, you first

0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:24.640
<v Speaker 4>had to submit a what's called the statement of interest,

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:27.640
<v Speaker 4>and this was honestly like a one to two paragraph

0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:32.320
<v Speaker 4>submission via Salesforce portal that basically said, we are from

0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:35.480
<v Speaker 4>company why, and we want to build a manufacturing plant

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:39.240
<v Speaker 4>for semiconductors in Excity. It did not require a lot

0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:42.400
<v Speaker 4>of details that basically, you know, it puts you on

0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:44.520
<v Speaker 4>the map of our office to say, hey, we should

0:13:44.520 --> 0:13:46.080
<v Speaker 4>go and talk to these people and understand what they're

0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 4>really trying to build. Then we had what we called

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:51.240
<v Speaker 4>a pre app process, and we can come back to

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:53.360
<v Speaker 4>that in just a moment my thoughts on the process,

0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:57.600
<v Speaker 4>but it essentially said, hey, submit a simplified version of

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.040
<v Speaker 4>your final application and we'll give you some preliminary a

0:14:00.160 --> 0:14:03.559
<v Speaker 4>feedback kind of like a draft application, and will help

0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:07.679
<v Speaker 4>identify where we think on our scoring rubric you need

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:10.720
<v Speaker 4>to make adjustments in order to score better. By the way,

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:12.680
<v Speaker 4>our response to the pre app was non binding, so

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 4>if we basically said hey we don't like your pre app,

0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 4>you could still apply and submit a full application. But

0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 4>you know, we did take into consideration whether or not

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:22.160
<v Speaker 4>you responded to the feedback from the pre app. The

0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:25.720
<v Speaker 4>full application was sort of your final submission. We started

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 4>to receive for our first full applications in the late

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.240
<v Speaker 4>summer early fall of twenty twenty three, and so you

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 4>saw we got to a first preliminary announcement by the

0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:39.920
<v Speaker 4>end of twenty twenty three with BAE. So it took us,

0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 4>you know, on the order of about a little more

0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 4>than a quarter to get through a first full announcement.

0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:48.280
<v Speaker 4>The exact longest negotiations that it took, I have to

0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 4>think back for a moment, but we had one final

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:54.240
<v Speaker 4>step after the preliminary announcement following sort of exactly how

0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:55.800
<v Speaker 4>you do it in the private equity world, you know,

0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:59.040
<v Speaker 4>have a preliminary announcement saying, hey, we intend to make

0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 4>this investment, we intend to go forward with this, but

0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:02.920
<v Speaker 4>it's subject to due diligence and i'd be the direct

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 4>funding agreement. Those negotiations did drag on through twenty twenty four,

0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:10.560
<v Speaker 4>and I think a lot of it came down to

0:15:10.560 --> 0:15:12.480
<v Speaker 4>sort of dotting the eyes and crossing the t's on

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 4>what did it mean for the government and semiconductor firms

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:20.440
<v Speaker 4>to make a commitment to each other on these facilities. Right,

0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 4>There was a lot of not on the sort of

0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 4>everything bagel terms, but there was a lot of negotiation

0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:27.920
<v Speaker 4>and what does it mean if your company is sold?

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 4>What does it mean if you violate guardrails statutory requirements? Right?

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 4>We really had to work through that because we'd never

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 4>worked through it as a country before with firms at

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:40.200
<v Speaker 4>this scale. But what you saw routinely was as we

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:43.360
<v Speaker 4>reached a milestone, So as we reached the first preliminary

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 4>memorandum of terms and we reached the first direct funding agreement,

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.680
<v Speaker 4>the second, third, fourth agreements would happen much faster because

0:15:49.720 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 4>we at that point had worked out a template and

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 4>could say, hey, here's how other firms are thinking about

0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:57.320
<v Speaker 4>doing it. There's already comfort with this format. Let's try

0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 4>and you work off that, and you saw them happen

0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:00.720
<v Speaker 4>in rapid succession.

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:03.160
<v Speaker 2>I want to go back to what you said we're

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:07.120
<v Speaker 2>talking about earlier, that the abundance people do have some

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:12.720
<v Speaker 2>sort of point when it comes to environmental and labor stakeholders.

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:15.800
<v Speaker 2>What did you see specifically? Now you don't have to

0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:18.720
<v Speaker 2>like identify the names of the projects, but look, these

0:16:18.760 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 2>are different parts of the Democratic Party constituency. Late, I'll

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 2>say this, the Democratic Party really wants to be liked

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:28.960
<v Speaker 2>by organized labor. I don't know if the organized labor,

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 2>especially in the private sector, is a big Democratic constituents anymore.

0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:36.040
<v Speaker 2>But Democratic Party certainly wants to be liked by organized labor.

0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 2>They certainly want people who concern about the environment talk

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:43.000
<v Speaker 2>to us about the reality of how these different impulses

0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:44.200
<v Speaker 2>can collide with each other.

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:47.440
<v Speaker 4>So I think we have to take one step back

0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:51.320
<v Speaker 4>and be honest about where we stand in terms of

0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:55.240
<v Speaker 4>our manufacturing competitiveness. Right. I think they're a broad understanding

0:16:55.360 --> 0:16:57.960
<v Speaker 4>that we are no longer at the frontier in a

0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:00.640
<v Speaker 4>range of industries, and so what is it going to

0:17:00.680 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 4>take for us to catch up to the frontier and

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:07.120
<v Speaker 4>be globally competitive again? We have cost disadvantages to operating

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.400
<v Speaker 4>in this country, it takes longer to build. We do have,

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 4>you know, existing regulatory frameworks that can complicate some of

0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:19.920
<v Speaker 4>these projects, right. So, I think one of the consequences

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:23.160
<v Speaker 4>of this tension of there's an urgency to move fast,

0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:27.199
<v Speaker 4>an urgency to catch up to our geopolitical competitors, but

0:17:27.720 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 4>not really a readiness to sort of tear down the

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:31.560
<v Speaker 4>frameworks that we had. And I think for good reason,

0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:32.960
<v Speaker 4>you have to come back and say, well, what is

0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:34.240
<v Speaker 4>it going to take for us to catch up and

0:17:34.280 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 4>so on. A lot of these projects, you saw environmental

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:40.480
<v Speaker 4>groups raising concerns on you know, pollution impacts. You saw

0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:43.120
<v Speaker 4>labor groups sort of saying, hey, unions are being left

0:17:43.119 --> 0:17:45.960
<v Speaker 4>out in the cold. And I would come back and say,

0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:48.680
<v Speaker 4>I think a lot of that really was noise because

0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:52.000
<v Speaker 4>there was like an open negotiation going on sometimes through

0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:54.960
<v Speaker 4>the media where these various groups were trying to say, hey,

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:57.240
<v Speaker 4>make sure you don't forget about us. But I do

0:17:57.320 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 4>also think for policy, you have to be able to

0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:05.400
<v Speaker 4>come out and say what is the most important thing.

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 4>Is it for the factory to get done on time,

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 4>or is it that we leverage union labor or is

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:15.600
<v Speaker 4>it that we make no impact to the environment. And

0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:19.639
<v Speaker 4>there will be times in every complex project in the

0:18:19.640 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 4>public or private sector, you have to make trade offs

0:18:21.840 --> 0:18:26.360
<v Speaker 4>between different objective functions, and I think for what we

0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:29.679
<v Speaker 4>saw was there was like an unwillingness sometimes to really

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:34.440
<v Speaker 4>say to stakeholders, hey, we hear your needs, but they're

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 4>gonna be second priority in order to get the project

0:18:37.520 --> 0:18:42.120
<v Speaker 4>done right. And that complicates the discussion on how are

0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:44.560
<v Speaker 4>we going to get these things done quickly? And I

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:47.640
<v Speaker 4>think there was a tension between the urgency that firms

0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 4>and folks within the Chips Program Office felt, and outside

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 4>stakeholders who really were saying, well, don't forget about us.

0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:59.080
<v Speaker 3>So you mentioned a bunch of competitive disadvantages that the

0:18:59.240 --> 0:19:01.919
<v Speaker 3>US has, you know, things like we're starting from a

0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 3>lower base at least in terms of manufacturing, higher labor costs,

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 3>more rules and regulations, whether it's about the environment or

0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 3>something else. Do we have any competitive advantages? I'm actually

0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 3>struggling here, but there must be something.

0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:22.240
<v Speaker 4>You know. Okay, so I think maybe not? No, I

0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:24.520
<v Speaker 4>do we do? Right? We have? If you think about it,

0:19:25.440 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 4>the world's most advanced firms were all designing the best

0:19:28.119 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 4>chips in the world. They're all based in the US.

0:19:29.640 --> 0:19:31.720
<v Speaker 4>We have the best university system, so we have a

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 4>deep talent pipeline. We have a tech stack than in

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:38.199
<v Speaker 4>the United States, I think is unparalleled anywhere else. But

0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:40.320
<v Speaker 4>when it comes to being able to build a factory,

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:43.000
<v Speaker 4>you know, I like to use the analogy of we

0:19:43.080 --> 0:19:46.159
<v Speaker 4>basically stopped going to the gym. Do you know before

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:48.920
<v Speaker 4>the TSMC fab came online in late twenty twenty four,

0:19:49.200 --> 0:19:51.840
<v Speaker 4>when the last leading edge fab in the United States

0:19:51.880 --> 0:19:54.080
<v Speaker 4>was built, came online, No it's good. What is it?

0:19:54.080 --> 0:19:54.800
<v Speaker 2>What's the answer?

0:19:55.200 --> 0:20:00.000
<v Speaker 4>Twenty thirteen. So for basically a decade, we stopped building large,

0:20:00.280 --> 0:20:03.480
<v Speaker 4>leading edge fabs in the United States, and so the

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 4>muscle for how to build those factories atrophied. And that

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:10.200
<v Speaker 4>doesn't just mean construction workers, like obviously all those people

0:20:10.240 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 4>went and probably found jobs elsewhere, but it also means

0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:15.440
<v Speaker 4>for the regulatory apparatus for what does it mean to

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 4>understand the environmental impacts of these facilities? And so when

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 4>you talk about the delays in construction, oftentimes those delays

0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:24.399
<v Speaker 4>are from the permitting processes that are handled at the

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 4>state and local level. Well, in a lot of the

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:29.440
<v Speaker 4>places that we're building these facilities, state and local regulators

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:32.680
<v Speaker 4>hadn't seen a facility like this before because we hadn't

0:20:32.680 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 4>been building them in over a decade, and so they

0:20:34.800 --> 0:20:38.240
<v Speaker 4>didn't know what the impacts were, and you know, it

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 4>required an education process. And I think a lot of

0:20:41.440 --> 0:20:44.240
<v Speaker 4>the noise that we heard in the last two years

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.639
<v Speaker 4>was because we were kind of starting this again after

0:20:46.720 --> 0:20:49.119
<v Speaker 4>not going to the gym for over a decade. And

0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:50.440
<v Speaker 4>you know what happens when you don't go to the gym,

0:20:50.480 --> 0:20:52.480
<v Speaker 4>you go back one time you're really really sore the

0:20:52.520 --> 0:20:56.200
<v Speaker 4>next day, but if you keep going, your body kind

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:58.359
<v Speaker 4>of gets used to it. And that's why, for example,

0:20:58.400 --> 0:21:01.360
<v Speaker 4>take TSMC's FABS in Arizona, you don't hear the same

0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:05.640
<v Speaker 4>noise about labor unions or permitting concerns over Fab two

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 4>because the entire system sort of got into shape, right.

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:13.399
<v Speaker 4>And I think if the chips program off is going

0:21:13.440 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 4>to be looked at as a success, it's going to

0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:19.359
<v Speaker 4>be because the second, third, fourth, fifth facilities that are

0:21:19.359 --> 0:21:22.440
<v Speaker 4>being built at these sites are showing rates of learning

0:21:22.920 --> 0:21:26.120
<v Speaker 4>in how long it takes for them to get brought online,

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 4>brought up to speed, brought up to a similar capacity

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:32.159
<v Speaker 4>to what they have and their overseas benchmarks. So I

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:34.040
<v Speaker 4>would look at it's like the first fabs are like

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:36.600
<v Speaker 4>a proof of concept, can we do this? And it's

0:21:36.680 --> 0:21:39.440
<v Speaker 4>really in the second, third, fourth fabs at these local

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:41.880
<v Speaker 4>projects that you'll start to see the ecosystems of the church.

0:21:57.680 --> 0:22:02.480
<v Speaker 2>I asked earlier about whether environmentalists in unions are restraint.

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:05.960
<v Speaker 2>Something else that I'm very interested in is you mentioned,

0:22:06.080 --> 0:22:09.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, the top semiconductor companies in the world are

0:22:09.040 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 2>actually in the United States. We just don't really make them,

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 2>but we design them, and that's actually much more valuable.

0:22:14.119 --> 0:22:18.000
<v Speaker 2>And in Nvidia is a much more valuable company than TSMC,

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:21.200
<v Speaker 2>the legendary TSMC. And so, you know, I've been writing

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:23.560
<v Speaker 2>about for a while like how much of this is

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:29.120
<v Speaker 2>an issue of capitalism? And investors in semiconductor companies don't

0:22:29.160 --> 0:22:34.040
<v Speaker 2>want US manufacturing because that's lower margins. You move that overseas,

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:38.440
<v Speaker 2>et cetera. You don't want design and fabrication in house

0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:40.560
<v Speaker 2>together because then you mix a high margin company with

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:43.679
<v Speaker 2>a low margin company, et cetera. Obviously, to some extent,

0:22:43.960 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 2>the idea of using public money is to solve this problem.

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:49.240
<v Speaker 2>But just when you're look in general at the questions

0:22:49.280 --> 0:22:52.679
<v Speaker 2>of US manufacturing and high tech areas or whatever, how

0:22:52.760 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 2>much is it about capitalist incentives.

0:22:55.480 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 4>I do think there is a tension here. I know

0:22:57.760 --> 0:23:00.359
<v Speaker 4>you've covered this as well. You saw TI, which is

0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 4>engaging in one of the most aggressive expansions in the

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 4>United States, hoping to build seven fabs by the middle

0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:10.240
<v Speaker 4>of next decade. Overall, had activist investors basically pressuring them

0:23:10.240 --> 0:23:14.200
<v Speaker 4>to reduce their capital investments. And there is a tension

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:17.200
<v Speaker 4>where shareholders are going to say, hey, you could return

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:18.920
<v Speaker 4>money to me that would have better and I could

0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:22.280
<v Speaker 4>go use it in other use cases. Yeah, I mean famously,

0:23:22.320 --> 0:23:24.480
<v Speaker 4>look at the case of Intel, which for a long

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:28.080
<v Speaker 4>time was returning a lot of cash to shareholders through

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:32.280
<v Speaker 4>dividends and stock buybacks and fell behind the leading edge curve.

0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:35.120
<v Speaker 4>So that tension is absolutely real. But I do think

0:23:35.720 --> 0:23:39.679
<v Speaker 4>firms and investors understand the value of having these facilities.

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:44.880
<v Speaker 4>I think the challenges creating a structure where the government

0:23:44.960 --> 0:23:49.399
<v Speaker 4>can help equalize the returns so that the private value

0:23:49.960 --> 0:23:52.000
<v Speaker 4>is similar to the public value. Let me put it

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 4>in another way, the government highly values these manufacturing facilities being

0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:57.959
<v Speaker 4>in the United States for the economic and national security

0:23:58.000 --> 0:24:01.720
<v Speaker 4>reasons I laid out above, right, But private shareholders don't

0:24:01.760 --> 0:24:03.919
<v Speaker 4>value them as much. But there are levers that we

0:24:03.960 --> 0:24:07.480
<v Speaker 4>can pull to help make them look more attractive. And

0:24:07.520 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 4>I think the biggest under discuss lever was the Investment

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:14.080
<v Speaker 4>tax credit. Right. The investment tax credit is a twenty

0:24:14.080 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 4>five percent tax credit for firms that invest in manufacturing

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 4>in the United States. I think there's a world where

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 4>the future of industrial policy I'm putting quotes around that

0:24:23.400 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 4>really comes and says, hey, the focus should be on

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:31.600
<v Speaker 4>tax credits that give firms certainty on what their cost

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:33.760
<v Speaker 4>structure and return structure is going to look like for

0:24:34.440 --> 0:24:37.680
<v Speaker 4>capital investments made in the United States, and maybe the

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:41.919
<v Speaker 4>disbursement funding that's subject to review by bureaucrats is a

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 4>smaller pot that is really geared towards firms that have

0:24:45.640 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 4>capital shortcomings or capital concerns. Right, So, I think you

0:24:49.640 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 4>could plausibly make the claim that the intels and tsmcs

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:56.400
<v Speaker 4>of the world don't necessarily need cash from the government

0:24:56.680 --> 0:24:59.359
<v Speaker 4>because what they're optimizing for is like an NPV function

0:24:59.600 --> 0:25:02.520
<v Speaker 4>on their capital investments, and tax credits can solve all

0:25:02.520 --> 0:25:05.760
<v Speaker 4>of that, in fact, can happen with less government intervention.

0:25:06.600 --> 0:25:09.000
<v Speaker 4>But there are smaller firms who really do need cash

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 4>infusions in order to bring, you know, to bridge the

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 4>value of death that we've been talking about for decades

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:16.240
<v Speaker 4>in this country but never really had an approach to SAULT.

0:25:16.640 --> 0:25:18.800
<v Speaker 4>And I think there's a slim down version of industrial

0:25:18.800 --> 0:25:22.160
<v Speaker 4>policy in the future that really focuses on ay tax

0:25:22.160 --> 0:25:25.639
<v Speaker 4>credits can equalize our cost structure and make investments attractive

0:25:25.960 --> 0:25:29.199
<v Speaker 4>where you know, we take target smaller amounts of funding

0:25:29.359 --> 0:25:32.000
<v Speaker 4>to critical technologies that we want to make sure happen

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:32.679
<v Speaker 4>in the United States.

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 3>So on this note, I mean one of the discussions

0:25:36.560 --> 0:25:39.399
<v Speaker 3>that inevitably pops up when you're doing this type of

0:25:39.440 --> 0:25:43.879
<v Speaker 3>policy is public versus private and the sort of crowding

0:25:43.960 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 3>in or crowding out effect on private capital. I imagine

0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:51.720
<v Speaker 3>that part of the intent of the Chips Act was

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:56.719
<v Speaker 3>to encourage private investors to get excited about not only

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.840
<v Speaker 3>you know, the importance of manufacturing here in the US,

0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:03.600
<v Speaker 3>but also the potential returns. To your point about the

0:26:03.640 --> 0:26:07.760
<v Speaker 3>tax credit, did you see a change in behavior on

0:26:07.800 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 3>the part of private investors. Did you ever talk to

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:13.080
<v Speaker 3>them about, you know, what their concerns were or what

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 3>they wanted to see from this program. And were you successful,

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 3>I guess in making chips manufacturing cool again.

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:23.720
<v Speaker 4>I think we were. I think the Investment Office, led

0:26:23.760 --> 0:26:26.239
<v Speaker 4>by Todd Fisher, did a lot of outreach to the

0:26:26.240 --> 0:26:31.360
<v Speaker 4>investment community broadly to help them understand not just our approach,

0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:33.360
<v Speaker 4>but how we were working with firms to make these

0:26:33.359 --> 0:26:37.159
<v Speaker 4>investments more attractive in the United States. And you know,

0:26:37.720 --> 0:26:40.520
<v Speaker 4>I think there's a broad recognition that being able to

0:26:40.880 --> 0:26:45.720
<v Speaker 4>build industrial capacity in the US has benefits beyond just

0:26:45.800 --> 0:26:49.920
<v Speaker 4>the balance sheet. That being said, I do think it's

0:26:49.960 --> 0:26:55.320
<v Speaker 4>an ongoing discussion with the investment community on how do

0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 4>we build certainty in these you know, government programs. Right. So,

0:26:59.840 --> 0:27:02.080
<v Speaker 4>the the biggest thing that the Chips Program Office did

0:27:02.240 --> 0:27:06.440
<v Speaker 4>was it gave firms confidence in what their returns would

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:08.640
<v Speaker 4>look like if they invested in the US because they

0:27:08.680 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 4>had a tax credit and award dollars that would come

0:27:12.000 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 4>to them, and they could go to their investors and say, hey, look,

0:27:14.720 --> 0:27:17.359
<v Speaker 4>there is a cost disadvantage, but we feel confident that

0:27:17.359 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 4>we'll be able to reduce it with the public dollars

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:23.040
<v Speaker 4>that are coming in. And I really think the biggest

0:27:23.119 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 4>lever that the government can pull is giving firms certainty

0:27:26.520 --> 0:27:30.440
<v Speaker 4>when they're making twenty to hundred billion dollar investments, because

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:32.439
<v Speaker 4>they don't want to be caught on the wrong side

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:36.320
<v Speaker 4>by a policy change that now gets them underwater on

0:27:36.480 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 4>a facility that's half done, And the sunk costs of

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:43.240
<v Speaker 4>building a facility and half getting it half equipped are

0:27:43.320 --> 0:27:47.120
<v Speaker 4>really large, and so I think that is the challenge

0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:49.560
<v Speaker 4>for a lot of these firms and for investors. They

0:27:49.600 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 4>want to be able to say, hey, is what we're

0:27:51.600 --> 0:27:55.120
<v Speaker 4>modeling really going to hold in the long term from

0:27:55.119 --> 0:27:57.240
<v Speaker 4>a cost structure basis for us to feel comfortable in

0:27:57.280 --> 0:27:58.280
<v Speaker 4>what the returns are going to be.

0:27:59.240 --> 0:28:03.000
<v Speaker 2>I just have one last question myself, is what was accomplished?

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:05.119
<v Speaker 2>We don't know what the future is or maybe you

0:28:05.119 --> 0:28:07.639
<v Speaker 2>can give some insight into what is going on at

0:28:07.720 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 2>CHIPS today in April twenty twenty five. But you said

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:13.879
<v Speaker 2>at the beginning about like what was accomplished during CHIPS

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:16.199
<v Speaker 2>And I'm aware the projects have been started and some

0:28:16.240 --> 0:28:19.760
<v Speaker 2>have been completed, et cetera. But what did we get

0:28:19.920 --> 0:28:22.320
<v Speaker 2>from all of these efforts and should we be happy

0:28:22.359 --> 0:28:22.560
<v Speaker 2>with it?

0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:26.359
<v Speaker 4>So if the top line number that you know, we

0:28:26.480 --> 0:28:29.520
<v Speaker 4>used while the Biden administration was still around was four

0:28:29.600 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 4>hundred and fifty billion dollars in announced investment, and you

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:34.800
<v Speaker 4>started to see this with the data from the Census

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:39.640
<v Speaker 4>showed that we were making more investments in electronics facilities

0:28:39.720 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 4>construction spend in twenty twenty three and twenty twenty four

0:28:43.000 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 4>than we had in the last two decades combined.

0:28:45.680 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 2>What about like actual like production? What I care about

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 2>is actual things to go into computers, cars.

0:28:51.520 --> 0:28:54.440
<v Speaker 4>And one hundred percent. So we got to recognize too,

0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 4>right that these are not going to happen overnight. These

0:28:56.560 --> 0:28:58.920
<v Speaker 4>facilities aren't going to over The bill was passed in

0:28:58.960 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 4>August of twenty twenty two, right, so within a couple

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:05.400
<v Speaker 4>of years you had you know, four hundred, like I said,

0:29:05.400 --> 0:29:08.280
<v Speaker 4>four and fifty billion dollars if investments announced. And I

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:10.960
<v Speaker 4>think the biggest thing is that firms have to feel

0:29:11.000 --> 0:29:14.400
<v Speaker 4>comfortable moving forward with those plans. So let's take TSMC

0:29:14.440 --> 0:29:16.280
<v Speaker 4>as an example. TSMC, by the end of the Biden

0:29:16.280 --> 0:29:19.680
<v Speaker 4>administration has started pumping chips out for Apple and AMD

0:29:19.960 --> 0:29:23.760
<v Speaker 4>out of its facility in Arizona. And as it continues

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:26.480
<v Speaker 4>to move forward with the second and third facilities, that

0:29:26.600 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 4>ecosystem is going to mature to the point where the

0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:31.720
<v Speaker 4>cost differentials versus Taiwan are going to be reduced. The

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:35.400
<v Speaker 4>scale is going to bring more suppliers on shore, so

0:29:35.400 --> 0:29:37.360
<v Speaker 4>they're going to have more of their coems and their

0:29:37.400 --> 0:29:40.560
<v Speaker 4>gases and their you know, consumable materials sourced from the

0:29:40.640 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 4>United States. And as that happens, you start to you know,

0:29:44.640 --> 0:29:48.520
<v Speaker 4>build out a broader ecosystem because you know, we heard

0:29:48.720 --> 0:29:51.720
<v Speaker 4>all the time from suppliers who were saying, Hey, we're

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:54.680
<v Speaker 4>building a facility in the United States to service all

0:29:54.680 --> 0:29:56.600
<v Speaker 4>the fabs that are coming online. Because we can now

0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.560
<v Speaker 4>justify the investment based off of the number of downstream

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:02.479
<v Speaker 4>investments that have been made. And as they build out

0:30:02.480 --> 0:30:04.400
<v Speaker 4>their facilities, then their suppliers are going to come here.

0:30:04.400 --> 0:30:06.840
<v Speaker 4>So I think there's going to be an ecosystem maturation

0:30:07.000 --> 0:30:10.560
<v Speaker 4>that's going to continue, hopefully through the rest of the decade.

0:30:10.640 --> 0:30:13.520
<v Speaker 4>That's going to bring not just you know, front end

0:30:13.600 --> 0:30:18.360
<v Speaker 4>fabrication facilities, but their suppliers facilities and then their suppliers

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 4>suppliers facilities, And now you talk about getting the sort

0:30:20.800 --> 0:30:24.760
<v Speaker 4>of industrial ecosystems that really had atrophy in the United States.

0:30:25.240 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 4>And when you start to go you know, N plus

0:30:27.360 --> 0:30:29.440
<v Speaker 4>two in terms of the supplier level, you're no longer

0:30:29.600 --> 0:30:32.959
<v Speaker 4>just serving the semiconductor industry. You're building fabricated machine parts

0:30:33.160 --> 0:30:36.920
<v Speaker 4>that go into semiconductor manufacturing equipment and also going to

0:30:37.160 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 4>say airplanes or automobiles, and you now you know, buttress

0:30:41.440 --> 0:30:45.720
<v Speaker 4>the entire industrial ecosystem, even though you're starting from just

0:30:45.840 --> 0:30:49.480
<v Speaker 4>building semiconductor manufacturing plants. Right. So I think that is

0:30:49.480 --> 0:30:51.360
<v Speaker 4>what the long term is going to look like. But

0:30:51.440 --> 0:30:53.000
<v Speaker 4>we have to you know, in this where I have

0:30:53.040 --> 0:30:55.920
<v Speaker 4>to come back to the point on we have to

0:30:55.960 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 4>also be honest about where we were right. We weren't

0:30:59.040 --> 0:31:01.520
<v Speaker 4>building these fabs. There's a reason it took so long,

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:04.880
<v Speaker 4>and it's not going to happen overnight. And if we're

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:09.120
<v Speaker 4>not willing to maintain the investments and the programs that

0:31:09.160 --> 0:31:10.880
<v Speaker 4>we have, I think a lot of firms are going

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:13.320
<v Speaker 4>to say, Hey, the uncertainty isn't worth it for me

0:31:13.360 --> 0:31:16.240
<v Speaker 4>to continue to invest. Because I can't go to my

0:31:16.280 --> 0:31:20.760
<v Speaker 4>shareholders and say this investment has a solid return. They're

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:22.320
<v Speaker 4>going to look at it and they're gonna discount it

0:31:22.360 --> 0:31:24.920
<v Speaker 4>with all that uncertainty and pressure me to not make

0:31:24.960 --> 0:31:27.760
<v Speaker 4>these investments, or to reduce the investments I make and

0:31:27.760 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 4>focus on places where the returns are much more solid.

0:31:30.640 --> 0:31:33.040
<v Speaker 4>I think that's the situation that we absolutely should avoid.

0:31:33.400 --> 0:31:36.280
<v Speaker 4>And you even hear that from the Trump administration, where,

0:31:36.320 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 4>for example, Jade Vance at a speech at the American

0:31:38.960 --> 0:31:42.720
<v Speaker 4>Dynamism Conference talked about making adjustments to tax credits for

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 4>firms in terms of bonus appreciation and the R and

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:47.920
<v Speaker 4>D tax credit, those are very much in line with

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:52.000
<v Speaker 4>making these investments less risky for firms the United States.

0:31:52.080 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 4>So if the Trump administration continues down that vein, I

0:31:54.920 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 4>think you'll see firms feel confident that they can expand

0:31:57.520 --> 0:32:00.240
<v Speaker 4>these investments and build out these ecosystems to a a

0:32:00.360 --> 0:32:03.920
<v Speaker 4>size and scale that's globally competitive. Right. And then you

0:32:04.000 --> 0:32:07.120
<v Speaker 4>tap into the broader tech stack that we have here,

0:32:07.200 --> 0:32:10.560
<v Speaker 4>where now the smartest engineers from Nvidia, Apple, and am

0:32:10.640 --> 0:32:12.440
<v Speaker 4>D don't have to fly to Taiwan. They can fly

0:32:12.560 --> 0:32:15.719
<v Speaker 4>to Arizona to make sure that they're getting their designs

0:32:15.720 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 4>taped out correctly, and they're working with universities all across

0:32:19.120 --> 0:32:22.080
<v Speaker 4>the United States on future designs and technologies. And then

0:32:22.080 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 4>you get an industrial ecosystem that really leverages our capabilities. Right.

0:32:27.840 --> 0:32:29.840
<v Speaker 4>One last point on this one. I think a lot

0:32:29.840 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 4>of people made this criticism when the Chips Act was

0:32:31.920 --> 0:32:33.800
<v Speaker 4>passed that the United States should have just continued to

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:36.960
<v Speaker 4>invest in R and D and that's what we should leverage.

0:32:36.960 --> 0:32:40.960
<v Speaker 4>We should leverage our R and D capabilities. But here's

0:32:41.000 --> 0:32:43.120
<v Speaker 4>another trivia question for the two of you. When was

0:32:43.160 --> 0:32:46.400
<v Speaker 4>the quiz?

0:32:46.480 --> 0:32:48.680
<v Speaker 2>Right now? So actually we're going to use these and

0:32:48.800 --> 0:32:50.760
<v Speaker 2>just we're putting on a trivia event. So we're going

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:52.600
<v Speaker 2>to use your questions and turn them into questions.

0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:54.480
<v Speaker 4>All right, keep going, I'll send you some When was

0:32:54.520 --> 0:33:00.640
<v Speaker 4>the first EUV machine installed in the United States. It

0:33:00.680 --> 0:33:03.400
<v Speaker 4>was two thousand and six at Sunny Albany, which is

0:33:03.400 --> 0:33:07.680
<v Speaker 4>the nanotech complex in upstate New York. We didn't have

0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:12.920
<v Speaker 4>high volume manufacturing with an EUV machine until December of

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:17.840
<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty four out of TSMC eighteen years, right, So

0:33:18.560 --> 0:33:21.800
<v Speaker 4>I think the critics who said we should double down

0:33:21.840 --> 0:33:24.640
<v Speaker 4>on R and D actually failed to grapple with the

0:33:24.640 --> 0:33:28.840
<v Speaker 4>fact that the R and D first approach was empirically failing. US.

0:33:29.160 --> 0:33:32.880
<v Speaker 4>We invented EUV technology through our DD National Labs and

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:36.800
<v Speaker 4>in partnership with ASML, we installed the first alpha tools

0:33:36.800 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 4>in both Europe and the United States. And then, I

0:33:40.320 --> 0:33:43.760
<v Speaker 4>mean the United States was a half decade behind East

0:33:43.760 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 4>Asia in bringing EUV manufacturing to scale, right, so that

0:33:49.720 --> 0:33:52.760
<v Speaker 4>formula wasn't working. And one of the shortages that TSMC

0:33:52.840 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 4>talked about was that they didn't have enough workers who

0:33:54.760 --> 0:33:58.000
<v Speaker 4>knew how to install and bring up EUV machines. So

0:33:58.040 --> 0:34:01.720
<v Speaker 4>you can see how this sort of scades the ecosystem atrophies.

0:34:01.760 --> 0:34:03.560
<v Speaker 4>And then when firms come and try to do foreign

0:34:03.600 --> 0:34:05.480
<v Speaker 4>direct investment, they come and say, well, you don't have

0:34:05.520 --> 0:34:08.120
<v Speaker 4>the skills that we need, even though we can point

0:34:08.120 --> 0:34:09.839
<v Speaker 4>to all the R and D investments, and I think

0:34:10.080 --> 0:34:11.719
<v Speaker 4>the problem was we were sort of making these R

0:34:11.760 --> 0:34:14.000
<v Speaker 4>and D investments in a vacuum and kind of hoping

0:34:14.360 --> 0:34:18.279
<v Speaker 4>that they'd get sucked into an industrial ecosystem that, you know,

0:34:18.360 --> 0:34:21.239
<v Speaker 4>despite what a lot of economists say about America still

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 4>having a very high value add for manufacturing, you look

0:34:24.800 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 4>on the ground and there are tons of anecdotes that

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:30.200
<v Speaker 4>the manufacturing ecosystem has atrophied and we have to make

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:32.799
<v Speaker 4>investments in order to bring it back up to be

0:34:32.920 --> 0:34:36.080
<v Speaker 4>globally competitive. And I think an anecdote exactly like the

0:34:36.120 --> 0:34:38.800
<v Speaker 4>delay in bringing EUV manufacturing to scale in the US,

0:34:38.920 --> 0:34:42.359
<v Speaker 4>exemplifies why the old approach wasn't working. And we can

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:45.120
<v Speaker 4>debate like what the right ways are and how industrial

0:34:45.120 --> 0:34:48.239
<v Speaker 4>policy should be structured, and what tax credits, etc. Need

0:34:48.280 --> 0:34:50.160
<v Speaker 4>to be done, and trade reforms need to be done,

0:34:50.239 --> 0:34:52.080
<v Speaker 4>but I don't think you can debate whether or not

0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:56.040
<v Speaker 4>the old you know, let's call it pre twenty twenty

0:34:56.480 --> 0:35:01.920
<v Speaker 4>approach was actually maintaining America's industrial competitiveness, because it wasn't.

0:35:03.600 --> 0:35:06.200
<v Speaker 3>I have just one more question, and that is what's

0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:10.279
<v Speaker 3>next for the Chips Program Office itself? Because I mean,

0:35:10.360 --> 0:35:14.520
<v Speaker 3>under the Trump administration, fiscal spending doesn't really seem to

0:35:14.560 --> 0:35:17.720
<v Speaker 3>be very popular, to put it mildly, and there's obviously

0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:21.839
<v Speaker 3>a bon fight over who gets to control the pocketbook

0:35:22.000 --> 0:35:24.799
<v Speaker 3>of America, whether it's Congress or the president. At the

0:35:24.840 --> 0:35:29.400
<v Speaker 3>same time, we have DOGE, which is implementing sweeping changes

0:35:29.520 --> 0:35:33.640
<v Speaker 3>on the government itself, you know, entire agencies going away

0:35:33.840 --> 0:35:36.719
<v Speaker 3>and stuff like that. And then finally, the other thing

0:35:36.760 --> 0:35:39.960
<v Speaker 3>happening which we should definitely ask about, is tariffs. Right,

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:44.280
<v Speaker 3>and maybe tariffs end up being good for domestic manufacturing

0:35:44.400 --> 0:35:47.760
<v Speaker 3>like semiconductors, but I can imagine that there are also

0:35:48.040 --> 0:35:53.840
<v Speaker 3>still either components or materials that chips manufacturing actually needs

0:35:53.920 --> 0:35:56.799
<v Speaker 3>to import. So I guess my question is, how are

0:35:56.800 --> 0:35:59.520
<v Speaker 3>you weighing all these different things that are going on

0:35:59.719 --> 0:36:00.000
<v Speaker 3>right now?

0:36:00.000 --> 0:36:00.200
<v Speaker 4>Now?

0:36:00.320 --> 0:36:02.480
<v Speaker 3>What do they mean for the actual Chips Act and

0:36:02.640 --> 0:36:03.600
<v Speaker 3>for manufacturing.

0:36:04.320 --> 0:36:06.360
<v Speaker 4>So let me give you one one small anecdote to

0:36:06.400 --> 0:36:10.319
<v Speaker 4>show you how firms are trying to understand what's happening. Right,

0:36:10.400 --> 0:36:13.000
<v Speaker 4>I was talking to a supplier that wants to build

0:36:13.160 --> 0:36:18.279
<v Speaker 4>a facility outside of Arizona. Right, they're exemplifying that ecosystem

0:36:18.360 --> 0:36:21.320
<v Speaker 4>development that I talked about that's coming out of TSMC's investment.

0:36:21.800 --> 0:36:23.919
<v Speaker 4>And I was on a call with them in late

0:36:24.000 --> 0:36:27.760
<v Speaker 4>March and they basically said, we don't understand what's happening.

0:36:27.840 --> 0:36:29.600
<v Speaker 4>We don't know what our cost structure is going to

0:36:29.600 --> 0:36:35.080
<v Speaker 4>look like, and you know, our project is undergoing change

0:36:35.120 --> 0:36:39.560
<v Speaker 4>constantly because our cost structure is undergoing change. So, you know,

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:42.200
<v Speaker 4>for a lot of these firms, before they're willing to

0:36:42.200 --> 0:36:44.040
<v Speaker 4>make bets that you know, in some of these smaller

0:36:44.080 --> 0:36:46.680
<v Speaker 4>firms can be like, you know, life or death size

0:36:46.719 --> 0:36:49.759
<v Speaker 4>bets for the firm, they really want to have an

0:36:49.920 --> 0:36:52.440
<v Speaker 4>understanding of what the policy framework is going to look like.

0:36:52.680 --> 0:36:55.200
<v Speaker 4>And I think we have to sort of get through

0:36:55.239 --> 0:36:59.000
<v Speaker 4>the period of you know, a new headline rocking markets

0:36:59.080 --> 0:37:01.759
<v Speaker 4>every day or it to shake out to understand how

0:37:01.800 --> 0:37:03.840
<v Speaker 4>it'll affect the long term decisions a lot for a

0:37:03.840 --> 0:37:05.440
<v Speaker 4>lot of these firms. You know, the sense I got

0:37:05.480 --> 0:37:07.320
<v Speaker 4>from talking to that firm and from other firms was

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:08.799
<v Speaker 4>that they're going to kind of wait it out and

0:37:08.840 --> 0:37:10.480
<v Speaker 4>see They're going to try and buy as much time

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:12.800
<v Speaker 4>as they can to see where things reach a steady

0:37:12.800 --> 0:37:17.400
<v Speaker 4>state before reevaluating their investment plans. I think on the

0:37:17.440 --> 0:37:21.319
<v Speaker 4>flip side, However, there is a bipartisan agreement on the

0:37:21.360 --> 0:37:24.279
<v Speaker 4>need to bring industrial manufacturing back to the United States, right,

0:37:24.680 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 4>So I think the question is going to be on

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:29.480
<v Speaker 4>the methods by which we do it. So you know,

0:37:29.520 --> 0:37:32.560
<v Speaker 4>I go back and you say, is it through tax incentives,

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:36.160
<v Speaker 4>is it through trade policy? Is it through industrial policy?

0:37:36.200 --> 0:37:39.360
<v Speaker 4>I think all of those tools interact with each other. Obviously,

0:37:39.400 --> 0:37:41.799
<v Speaker 4>different administrations have different approaches, so I don't know where

0:37:41.800 --> 0:37:44.480
<v Speaker 4>we'll end up with that. The last thing I'll say

0:37:44.520 --> 0:37:48.120
<v Speaker 4>is the methods that we developed in the Chips Program

0:37:48.120 --> 0:37:51.520
<v Speaker 4>Office for trying to get firms comfortable with making investments

0:37:51.560 --> 0:37:54.400
<v Speaker 4>in the United States and working to accelerate their investments

0:37:54.440 --> 0:37:58.400
<v Speaker 4>by working with stakeholders across you know, environment, workforce, and

0:37:58.440 --> 0:38:01.840
<v Speaker 4>other policy objectives. I think that is actually going to continue.

0:38:01.840 --> 0:38:04.480
<v Speaker 4>If you look at the Investment Accelerator Executive Order that

0:38:04.520 --> 0:38:07.120
<v Speaker 4>was announced by President Trump a few weeks back, the

0:38:07.239 --> 0:38:10.400
<v Speaker 4>sorts of activities that he's saying, the White Glove Service,

0:38:11.040 --> 0:38:14.120
<v Speaker 4>I think that was pioneered in the Chips Program Office,

0:38:14.120 --> 0:38:17.080
<v Speaker 4>where we worked with firms to get through the labor issues,

0:38:17.120 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 4>to get through the environmental issues, and permitting questions to

0:38:20.120 --> 0:38:22.120
<v Speaker 4>make sure that these projects could move forward. It's why

0:38:22.160 --> 0:38:25.560
<v Speaker 4>I've said repeatedly that there were no Chips Act construction

0:38:25.600 --> 0:38:28.480
<v Speaker 4>projects that were held up by Neeper review. And I

0:38:28.480 --> 0:38:31.080
<v Speaker 4>think they're going to take that recipe that was developed

0:38:31.080 --> 0:38:33.759
<v Speaker 4>and try to scale it across multiple sectors. You know,

0:38:33.920 --> 0:38:36.640
<v Speaker 4>certainly going to be different contextual challenges. But if they

0:38:36.719 --> 0:38:38.640
<v Speaker 4>do that, I think it's going to be a vote

0:38:39.040 --> 0:38:41.719
<v Speaker 4>in favor of the work that we were doing at

0:38:41.719 --> 0:38:44.840
<v Speaker 4>the policy level to make sure in manufacturing investments in

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:47.680
<v Speaker 4>the United States are viable for firms, and that's going

0:38:47.760 --> 0:38:50.160
<v Speaker 4>to have to be complemented with a you know, approach

0:38:50.200 --> 0:38:52.600
<v Speaker 4>to make them financially viable. I don't know, and I

0:38:52.600 --> 0:38:54.279
<v Speaker 4>don't know that any of us can say what the

0:38:54.320 --> 0:38:57.719
<v Speaker 4>Trump administration is going to finalize its policy mix on.

0:38:58.080 --> 0:38:59.719
<v Speaker 4>And I think firms are going to wait to see

0:38:59.719 --> 0:39:02.000
<v Speaker 4>what that policy mix looks like from the Trump administration

0:39:02.120 --> 0:39:05.160
<v Speaker 4>before you know, placing further large bets. So if there's

0:39:05.160 --> 0:39:07.480
<v Speaker 4>a lot of policy uncertainty, you may see some companies

0:39:07.520 --> 0:39:10.080
<v Speaker 4>come out and say, hey, we're gonna do price increases

0:39:10.200 --> 0:39:14.640
<v Speaker 4>and we're gonna maybe pause equipment purchases until we really

0:39:14.680 --> 0:39:18.160
<v Speaker 4>know what the fiscal impact of tariffs or other. You know,

0:39:18.400 --> 0:39:20.720
<v Speaker 4>new trade negotiations are going to be for our project.

0:39:21.200 --> 0:39:24.040
<v Speaker 2>Huss and con. Thank you so much for coming back

0:39:24.080 --> 0:39:26.960
<v Speaker 2>on odd Lage, and I'm sharing with us lessons that

0:39:27.040 --> 0:39:30.080
<v Speaker 2>you learned during your stint in the public sector. Thank

0:39:30.120 --> 0:39:32.400
<v Speaker 2>you for your service. I learned a lot, so appreciate

0:39:32.440 --> 0:39:33.000
<v Speaker 2>you coming back on.

0:39:33.560 --> 0:39:36.920
<v Speaker 4>Joe Tracy. Always a pleasure. And the last thing I'll

0:39:36.920 --> 0:39:40.160
<v Speaker 4>say is, I think the CHIP was an experiment in

0:39:40.280 --> 0:39:44.200
<v Speaker 4>what industrial policy could look like. The scoreboard, the early

0:39:44.239 --> 0:39:48.080
<v Speaker 4>returns look good, but I think the real measure of

0:39:48.080 --> 0:39:50.120
<v Speaker 4>whether it was successful we'll know by the end of

0:39:50.120 --> 0:39:53.080
<v Speaker 4>the Trump administration if these other projects come on.

0:39:53.120 --> 0:39:55.040
<v Speaker 2>Fine, all right, well have you.

0:40:08.880 --> 0:40:10.000
<v Speaker 4>Tracy? That was really good.

0:40:10.040 --> 0:40:12.640
<v Speaker 2>It's cool that one of our past guests like started

0:40:12.640 --> 0:40:14.919
<v Speaker 2>this whole other career between the last time we talked

0:40:14.920 --> 0:40:17.360
<v Speaker 2>to them, Yeah, which is like in maybe early twenty

0:40:17.400 --> 0:40:20.080
<v Speaker 2>twenty one, then went and got this job. And then

0:40:20.160 --> 0:40:22.000
<v Speaker 2>we've been doing this a long time and someone had

0:40:22.000 --> 0:40:23.759
<v Speaker 2>like a whole chunk of their career that they could

0:40:23.760 --> 0:40:26.399
<v Speaker 2>fill us in on between times that we talked to them.

0:40:26.480 --> 0:40:28.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's kind of crazy. So we feel old. Yes,

0:40:29.040 --> 0:40:31.480
<v Speaker 3>On the plus side, we get an inside look at

0:40:31.480 --> 0:40:34.480
<v Speaker 3>the Chips Program Office, which is pretty cool. I do

0:40:34.600 --> 0:40:38.279
<v Speaker 3>take a Hassan's point about I guess like building up

0:40:38.320 --> 0:40:43.279
<v Speaker 3>the muscle of manufacturing and his point that, well, we

0:40:43.640 --> 0:40:46.400
<v Speaker 3>had been doing it a certain way, which is basically

0:40:46.440 --> 0:40:49.680
<v Speaker 3>all through private capital for many many years, and it

0:40:49.760 --> 0:40:53.239
<v Speaker 3>hasn't resulted in the purpose that we now want, which

0:40:53.280 --> 0:40:56.400
<v Speaker 3>is actually building factories to produce these things. And so

0:40:56.480 --> 0:41:00.240
<v Speaker 3>you really need some sort of catalysts to get stuff going,

0:41:00.320 --> 0:41:03.239
<v Speaker 3>to get people excited about it. Yeah, maybe change the

0:41:03.440 --> 0:41:07.319
<v Speaker 3>calculation in terms of profit margins and the result is

0:41:07.320 --> 0:41:08.000
<v Speaker 3>the Chips Act.

0:41:08.160 --> 0:41:11.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm so depressed about the twenty tens and like, seriously,

0:41:11.400 --> 0:41:13.640
<v Speaker 2>just like the way we let everything hollow out, you know,

0:41:13.640 --> 0:41:17.200
<v Speaker 2>we talk about it with housing and sawmills and all

0:41:17.239 --> 0:41:20.279
<v Speaker 2>of this stuff that we just like didn't do when

0:41:20.320 --> 0:41:22.799
<v Speaker 2>we could have, and then the costs that imposes on

0:41:22.880 --> 0:41:24.520
<v Speaker 2>us or we haven't like build a fab in forever

0:41:24.560 --> 0:41:26.840
<v Speaker 2>and we forgot. I do think it's interesting like this

0:41:27.000 --> 0:41:30.239
<v Speaker 2>question of you know, even with TSMC's second fab or

0:41:30.480 --> 0:41:32.280
<v Speaker 2>you know, you don't see any of those same headlines

0:41:32.320 --> 0:41:35.040
<v Speaker 2>that you saw with the first one. That is encouraging.

0:41:35.560 --> 0:41:39.000
<v Speaker 2>Maybe you have a sort of template to quickly navigate

0:41:39.040 --> 0:41:43.040
<v Speaker 2>the state and local issues. Some of the questions around

0:41:43.239 --> 0:41:46.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, the quote stakeholders, et cetera. Which every system

0:41:46.680 --> 0:41:49.960
<v Speaker 2>has stakeholders. If this isn't not unique in that, I mean, obviously,

0:41:50.200 --> 0:41:52.360
<v Speaker 2>you know, every system has to have a way. I

0:41:52.360 --> 0:41:55.080
<v Speaker 2>think what's important, you know some of the I remember

0:41:55.120 --> 0:41:58.640
<v Speaker 2>we did a conversation about nuclear construction in China, and

0:41:58.640 --> 0:42:00.200
<v Speaker 2>it's like they have their own you know, it's not

0:42:00.280 --> 0:42:02.560
<v Speaker 2>like there aren't environmentalists in China, et cetera. What they

0:42:02.560 --> 0:42:05.120
<v Speaker 2>have is like a system for allocating like who wins

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:06.640
<v Speaker 2>and what the priorities are, et cetera.

0:42:07.640 --> 0:42:09.520
<v Speaker 3>And top down leadership.

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:11.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there are many. Yeah, a much more sort of

0:42:11.880 --> 0:42:14.799
<v Speaker 2>straightforward system in that respect. But uh no, I thought

0:42:14.800 --> 0:42:17.920
<v Speaker 2>that was interesting, and you know, I'm hopeful that Husson

0:42:18.000 --> 0:42:18.920
<v Speaker 2>wasn't totally dooming.

0:42:19.440 --> 0:42:22.279
<v Speaker 3>You know what they say about factories, Joe, No, the

0:42:22.320 --> 0:42:25.239
<v Speaker 3>best time to build a factory was twenty years ago. Yeah,

0:42:25.280 --> 0:42:28.080
<v Speaker 3>the second best time to build a factory is today.

0:42:28.160 --> 0:42:30.640
<v Speaker 2>All right, Well, you know, I wonder, I wonder we're

0:42:30.680 --> 0:42:32.640
<v Speaker 2>recording this April eighth. I wonder if there's a single

0:42:32.719 --> 0:42:35.920
<v Speaker 2>new factory green broken ground today right now. I kind

0:42:35.920 --> 0:42:36.319
<v Speaker 2>of doubt it.

0:42:36.920 --> 0:42:38.440
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, all right, shall we leave it there?

0:42:38.520 --> 0:42:39.279
<v Speaker 2>Let's leave it there.

0:42:39.480 --> 0:42:41.920
<v Speaker 3>This has been another episode of the odd Lots podcast.

0:42:42.080 --> 0:42:45.080
<v Speaker 3>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.

0:42:45.200 --> 0:42:47.520
<v Speaker 2>And I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at the

0:42:47.560 --> 0:42:51.239
<v Speaker 2>Stalwart Fellow Husson Khan. He's at Husson Khan. Follow our

0:42:51.280 --> 0:42:54.640
<v Speaker 2>producers Carman, Rodriguez at Carmen Erman, Dash Ol Bennett at

0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:58.880
<v Speaker 2>dashbod and kel Brooks at cal Brooks. More Odd Laws content,

0:42:58.920 --> 0:43:01.319
<v Speaker 2>go to Bloomberg dot com odd Lots. We have all

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:03.920
<v Speaker 2>of our episodes in the daily newsletter, and you can

0:43:04.000 --> 0:43:07.319
<v Speaker 2>chat about all of these topics, including semiconductors twenty four

0:43:07.360 --> 0:43:11.360
<v Speaker 2>to seven in our discord discord dot gg slash Oddlins.

0:43:11.600 --> 0:43:15.320
<v Speaker 3>And if you enjoy when we talk about industrial policy

0:43:15.400 --> 0:43:18.640
<v Speaker 3>and remind everyone that the Chips Act actually exists, then

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