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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody. Scott Bagman here for Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: to tell you my favorite picks and props for Round

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Speaker 1: one of the college football Playoff. You can tail all

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Speaker 1: of my bets, love me or hate me, you know,

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Speaker 1: right on the hot streak or fade whatever you want

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Speaker 1: to do at bettingpros dot com, slash Bogman or on

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app. Last week we were three and

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Speaker 1: one on the picks, four and three on the props.

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Speaker 1: Didn't hit any of the touchdowns, but a couple of

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Speaker 1: those were kind of far plays. This week for the playoff,

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Speaker 1: I've got three picks on the games. I have five

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Speaker 1: picks on props, and a couple of touchdowns in here

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Speaker 1: as well. Three touchdowns I actually think I have here.

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Speaker 1: So let's start out with the picks. And we're going

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Speaker 1: to start out on the Friday game Indiana at Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame here, and I'm just gonna go with the over

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Speaker 1: fifty one and a half or I believe it actually

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Speaker 1: has fallen down to fifty one in some spots now.

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Speaker 1: And I think the strategy for Indiana going into this

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Speaker 1: game should be we need to score points quickly to

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Speaker 1: make Notre Dame throw the ball against Indiana. And I

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Speaker 1: know we saw the destruction of the Hoosiers at the

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Speaker 1: hands of Ohio State a few weeks ago, right, and

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Speaker 1: it seems like Indiana's schedule was fairly soft for being

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Speaker 1: a big ten schedule. I know there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: you know, people that think that Indiana doesn't belong to

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Speaker 1: doesn't deserve to be here. They had a lot of

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Speaker 1: mistakes in that game against Ohio State, and I don't

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Speaker 1: know that Notre Dame has really been tested a lot

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Speaker 1: since this. You know, their Northern Illinois loss, which they

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Speaker 1: was embarrassing. They never should have lost that game. But

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Speaker 1: you know, Texas A and M their game one of

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Speaker 1: the season was their hardest game. USC was a tough

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Speaker 1: game and they gave up some yards in that one.

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Speaker 1: They still ended up winning fairly easily in that one.

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Speaker 1: I do think Notre Dame wins this games can be cold. It's,

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Speaker 1: you know, the battle of Indiana. Even though they're not

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Speaker 1: really rivals, they don't play each other a lot. It

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Speaker 1: could get out of hand in Notre Dame's favor if

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Speaker 1: Indiana just cannot move the ball against him like they

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Speaker 1: couldn't against Ohio State. They also had, you know, a

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Speaker 1: punt return for a touchdown, a pump blocked, they threw

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Speaker 1: a pick. There were a lot of mistakes made by

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Speaker 1: Indiana in that game. I don't think Notre Dame is

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Speaker 1: as good as Ohio State on both sides of the ball,

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Speaker 1: and I don't think that Indiana is as bad as

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Speaker 1: they played that game. So I do think that Indiana

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Speaker 1: will be able to score. And if that's the case,

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Speaker 1: I also think Notre Dame is going to be able

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Speaker 1: to score. I think they're going to be able to

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Speaker 1: run the ball, you know, against a very good Indiana defense.

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Speaker 1: They were ranked number one, But I don't know that

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Speaker 1: anyone can stop the Notre Dame running game. I maybe

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Speaker 1: you can contain them a little bit, but I don't

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Speaker 1: think you're going to stop them. So for that reason,

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Speaker 1: I think Indiana plays a little point for point here.

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Speaker 1: I leaned towards Indiana and taking the points, but I

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Speaker 1: like the over in this game. Let's go to the

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Speaker 1: Penn State game. SMU at Penn State. I am going

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Speaker 1: to lay the points and take Penn State in this game,

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Speaker 1: and I think SMU has done a good job and

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Speaker 1: I think they deserve to be here over Alabama. I

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Speaker 1: know that was a big question, but they you know,

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Speaker 1: they barely lost this game to Clemson. Their only loss

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Speaker 1: was an early season loss against b YU, who we thought.

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Speaker 1: We thought that was a bad loss, but it ended

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Speaker 1: up being a very strong loss. B YU was a

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Speaker 1: very good team this year, you know, despite what we

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Speaker 1: all thought of them coming into the season. So I

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Speaker 1: feel like in this game, it's cold, it's at Happy Valley,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be windy. SMU passes the ball a lot.

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Speaker 1: We've seen Kevian Jennings make mistakes, right, We saw him

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Speaker 1: turn the ball over five times against Duke. They had

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Speaker 1: a minus six turnover margins. Still ended up winning that game.

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Speaker 1: He had two turnovers in the first quarter against Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Also led the comeback against Clemson. But to me, it's

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Speaker 1: this defensive line for Penn State. Penn State gets the

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Speaker 1: lead and SMU has to pass the ball. Now you

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Speaker 1: have to deal with crowd noise in a physical defense

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Speaker 1: that has NFL players at all three levels in Penn State,

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Speaker 1: and the cold and the wind, I just think it's

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Speaker 1: too tall the task task SMU to go into Happy

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Speaker 1: Valley and you know, stay competitive for four quarters I

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Speaker 1: do think the only reason that this one makes me

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Speaker 1: nervous is because there is no quit int SMU. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: they've come back multiple times to win games, so I

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Speaker 1: know that they're not gonna blink when they get down.

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Speaker 1: So I lean towards the over here as well. But

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Speaker 1: I really like Penn State to pull away at the end.

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Speaker 1: I think the defense line makes the difference, forces Jennings

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Speaker 1: into a bad turnover or a fumble or just you know,

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Speaker 1: a lot of three and outs. So I just think

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Speaker 1: Penn State is going to be too strong on the

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Speaker 1: defensive line for SMU to handle it. Let's go to

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Speaker 1: Clemson at Texas. I'm a huge Texas fan. I know

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Speaker 1: you guys see this Vince Young behind me here. I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to I would lean towards taking Texas, but

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Speaker 1: my favorite play here is the under. I think Texas

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Speaker 1: defense is number one in the country by a decent margin. Here,

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Speaker 1: no one has really figured them out, and I don't

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Speaker 1: think Clemson is going to change that. Clemson is a

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Speaker 1: good offense. I don't think they're the best offense that

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Speaker 1: Texas has seen. I don't think that they are an

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Speaker 1: imposing offense, and against the SEC They've played two games

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Speaker 1: this year. They scored three against Georgia in fourteen against

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Speaker 1: South Carolina, and I think Texas defense is better than

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Speaker 1: both those teams. So I like the under in this

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Speaker 1: game not only because of that, but also because the

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Speaker 1: Texas offense has been struggling. One hundred and six in

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Speaker 1: red zone scoring. That is ridiculous for a team that

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Speaker 1: is that good, you know, to be as well regarded

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Speaker 1: as they are, to be statistically as good as they are.

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Speaker 1: Quinn Ewers is not getting this done. Burt Auburn missed

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Speaker 1: two field goals in the SEC title game as well,

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Speaker 1: so there's a little bit of that. Texas has a

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Speaker 1: hard time punching it in. They ran the ball up

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Speaker 1: and down the field on a and M only ended

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Speaker 1: up with seventeen points. Right, moved the ball well against

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Speaker 1: Arkansas ended up with only twenty points. So Texas is

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Speaker 1: not peaking on offense at all. I think that with

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Speaker 1: their defense and with their offense struggling, this game goes

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Speaker 1: to the under. Let me tell you, guys, before we

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Speaker 1: get to the props about Splash Sports College Football Playoff Contest.

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Speaker 1: do is pick each college football playoff game against the

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Speaker 1: spread and are points for each correct pick. Plus you're

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Speaker 1: gonna choose a best pick each round for double the points.

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Speaker 1: The deadline is Friday. I know a lot of you

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Speaker 1: guys are listening to this on Friday, so maybe go

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Speaker 1: over and check it out. After you're done listening to this,

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Speaker 1: join now at bettingpros dot com slash splash and make

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Speaker 1: your picks count. It's going to be a lot of fun.

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Speaker 1: Go over there and get in on the action. All right.

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Speaker 1: Props for this week, I'm going to go with three

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Speaker 1: touchdown calls. One I'm going out on a limb. That's

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Speaker 1: the first one here. Kevin Jennings, the SMU quarterback. I'm

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Speaker 1: calling for him to score a touchdown because it's plus

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Speaker 1: one eighty five, right, You're getting good odds here. He

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Speaker 1: scored rushing touchdowns in two of the last three games

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Speaker 1: that he's played. He has five this season, and I

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Speaker 1: just really like this plus number. So I think in

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Speaker 1: a fervant comeback for SMU, I think that Kevin Jennings

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Speaker 1: can walk one. Dylan Samson, the running back for Tennessee

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Speaker 1: at Ohio State, it's minus one forty. It's a tough

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Speaker 1: matchup for Samson here against Ohio State, but he has

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Speaker 1: twenty two touchdowns on the season. He scored touchdowns in

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Speaker 1: every single game except for one this season. So Dylan

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Speaker 1: Sampson at minus one forty, that number is not enough

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Speaker 1: to scare me off of Samson getting into the end

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Speaker 1: zone even against a very good Ohio State defense. And

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Speaker 1: Mecha Booka the wide receiver for Ohio State versus Tennessee

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Speaker 1: plus one ten. He has nine touchdowns this season, three

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Speaker 1: in his last five games. I do think Ohio State

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Speaker 1: is going to be able to move the ball and

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Speaker 1: score against Tennessee. So I think Abuka can get into

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Speaker 1: the end zone in this one. I got five yardage

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Speaker 1: props for you. The first one is Curtis work the

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Speaker 1: Indiana quarterback going over one hundred ninety nine and a

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Speaker 1: half yards at Notre Dame. I just think they're going

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Speaker 1: to be likely playing from behind. I don't think that

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame is going to styn me the offense as

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Speaker 1: Ohio State did. The defensive line is good but I

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Speaker 1: just I think that Curtis work will be able to

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Speaker 1: pass if given the time, and I think that he

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Speaker 1: will be given the time in this game and he'll

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Speaker 1: do a lot better than they did in that game

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Speaker 1: against Ohio State. Rushing props. Jeremiah Love. I know he's

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Speaker 1: a little nicked up, but he's good to go in

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Speaker 1: this game against Indiana. Indiana very good run defense. I

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Speaker 1: believe they're ranked number one in the country, but Jeremiah

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Speaker 1: Love is a guy that cannot be stopped. He has

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Speaker 1: big burst runs, he has after contact runs. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this dude is one of the better running backs in

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Speaker 1: college football right now, and he's hit this total in

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Speaker 1: four of his last five games. So Indiana is a

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Speaker 1: scary defense. It's the playoffs, but in the cold weather,

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Speaker 1: you hand the ball off, right. I think Jeremiah Love

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Speaker 1: gets a decent amount of carries. I think he snaps

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Speaker 1: off a big one in this game and gets a

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Speaker 1: big chunk of this on that big one. A guy

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Speaker 1: that we're going to go the opposite thought process, but

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Speaker 1: we're going to go the over on his yardage as well.

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Speaker 1: It's quinn Quin. Travian Wisner always screws the name up.

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Speaker 1: I always just yelled Wise at the television when I

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Speaker 1: mean watching the game. But Quin Travion Wise in the

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Speaker 1: running back for Texas over eighty three and a half

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Speaker 1: rushing yards. He's had so many carries over the last

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Speaker 1: three games, nineteen against Georgia last week, thirty three against

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Speaker 1: A and M, and twenty six the week before that

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Speaker 1: against Kentucky. And he's hit this in two of the

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Speaker 1: last three games. Georgia did hold him it down, and

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Speaker 1: Clemson is not Georgia. I think Wise is going to

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Speaker 1: get the ball a lot, especially since we quinn Ewers

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Speaker 1: has not been playing well. So I think establishing the

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Speaker 1: run early and giving him the ball often is going

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Speaker 1: to be the case. So for Jeremiah Love, I think

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Speaker 1: he breaks off a big one and gets the majority

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Speaker 1: of it there Wisner, It's death by a thousand cuts.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the receiving props here. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: I have two kind of weird ones. Mitchell Evans a

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Speaker 1: tight end for Notre Dame over twenty eight and a

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Speaker 1: half receiving yards forversus Indiana. If Indiana can score and play,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame is going to have to pass up at

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Speaker 1: some point. And he's seen it uptick in targets over

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Speaker 1: the last three weeks. He had seven targets, four catches,

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Speaker 1: thirty four yards in touchdown against Virginia and then five

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Speaker 1: for fifty nine in a score at USC as well.

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Speaker 1: So they've been getting Evans more involved. I think it

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Speaker 1: would be smart to throw him the ball at least

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Speaker 1: a couple times, and this total is so low at

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Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half, I think he can easily

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Speaker 1: hit it. Roderick Daniels, the SMU wide receiver, is my

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Speaker 1: last prop. I'm going to take. The total is forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half yards at Penn State. He's hit

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Speaker 1: this in three of his last four and he was

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Speaker 1: great in the ACC title game ten targets, eight catches,

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Speaker 1: ninety seven yards and a score versus Clemson, who has

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Speaker 1: a really good secondary. So I think that SMU is

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Speaker 1: gonna be playing for behind against Penn State as well.

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Speaker 1: So this one is fairly easy to me. And before

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Speaker 1: I get out of here, just want to remind you guys,

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Speaker 1: if you are looking to up your game in sports betting,

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Speaker 1: join our exclusive sports betting Discord community at betting pros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash chat. Not only can you connect with

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Speaker 1: expert andy cappers who will provide free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB,

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Speaker 1: college sports player props, live betting, and more. But now

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Speaker 1: you can also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast

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Speaker 1: your vote, see how your pick stack up against the experts,

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Speaker 1: and track your success. Easy stuff, fun stuff. Good luck

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Speaker 1: to everybody on your bets this weekend, and I hope

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Speaker 1: your teams win unless they are playing mine. So appreciate

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Speaker 1: you guys fallowing along, and I will see you guys

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Speaker 1: next week at some point. Take it easy, everybody.

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