1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast about that action. 2 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: Throwing in so spect we're sitting. It's a cash touchtop. 4 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,599 Speaker 2: We see most gamble is when they go to gamble, 5 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:20,240 Speaker 2: they go to wind. 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: That's incredible. 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 2: Being bank small banks. I like to make money. All right, 8 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: this is the ultimate combine. 9 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: If you want to, and we are underway. 10 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: Welcome to the Favorites presented by DraftKings. We're also on 11 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 2: the Action Hour podcast feed if you are listening to 12 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: us there. It is a crossover episode wherever you're listening 13 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 2: or watching. Thank you for tuning in. I'm your host, 14 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 2: Evin Abrams, and I am joined by the one and 15 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 2: only Stucky for our NFL recap show for Wildcard weekend. 16 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 2: Just a ridiculous, ridiculous weekend of five great games. Obviously, 17 00:00:57,200 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 2: still have Houston and Pittsburgh coming up on Monday night, 18 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 2: and we will that a little bit later. We also 19 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: have Brandon Anderson's hot read before we get out of here, 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 2: so we'll get his opinion too. But before we get started, 21 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 2: I will just give you exactly what I just tweeted out, 22 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 2: which is we see some opening lines for the divisional round, 23 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 2: and it looks like Bill's Broncos kind of going a 24 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 2: little bit between. I see the Bill's favorite in some 25 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 2: of those spots. If they were to close as a 26 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 2: favorite in Denver, it would be the fourth time in 27 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 2: the last forty years we had seen a Divisional round 28 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 2: team off of a bye at home close as an underdog, 29 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 2: and I can read it right now. The last would 30 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 2: have been the Eagles in twenty eighteen against the Falcons, 31 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 2: the Niners in twenty twelve, and the Saints and then 32 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 2: the Panthers ninety six ninety seven, and in all three 33 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 2: of those positions, the home team came away with the win. 34 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 2: So we will see kind of how the market puts 35 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:53,919 Speaker 2: together the spread in that one over the next week. 36 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 2: But aside from that stuck before we get into Chargers Patriots, 37 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,639 Speaker 2: what a weekend, man, which you thought on everything? 38 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, crazy weekend. I got rinsed, sadly and I had 39 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 1: I went one in four some bad calls and some 40 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: bad breaks. I mean I had the Packers as a dog, 41 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 1: which was which was something I thought I was going 42 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: to push at worst. Yeah, after at the end, but 43 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:22,360 Speaker 1: the missed tech two missed field goals and missed extra point, 44 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:24,280 Speaker 1: the two point conversion to play the game was the 45 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: fourth and eight that Caleb got. If he doesn't convert 46 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: that fourth and eighth, the game is over. They were 47 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: down two possessions at the time they scored at the 48 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: two point conversion, And yeah, I mean McManus was a 49 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 1: disaster for them. But credit to the Bears. They were 50 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: the second team in NFL history to score twenty five 51 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: plus points in the fourth quarter or overtime of a 52 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: playoff game to overcome a fifteen plus point deficit. It 53 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:50,919 Speaker 1: was them and the Patriots and the Super Bowl against 54 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: the Falcons. I lost money on both Patriots Falcons. One 55 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:57,240 Speaker 1: of my biggest pets of all ever that I and 56 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: that I lost. So that was I mean, the Bears 57 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: outscored in twenty five to six in the fourth quarter. 58 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: That was just the Bears games all year. It was 59 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: just it was like a microcosm of the Bears season 60 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 1: in one game. And then the Packers in a sense 61 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: too with some of the losses they suffered. But the Bears, 62 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 1: they're never dead and they found a way. But like 63 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: the McManus kicks were so big because even if you 64 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: make like you make the extra point, you can kick 65 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: the field goal at the end you know, the field 66 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: goals earlier in the game. So yeah, that was just 67 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,079 Speaker 1: an incredible game, by the way, the most lead changes 68 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: we've ever seen in a single round of the postseason. 69 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 1: Already we still have one game to go. That was 70 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 1: I mean the first three, the first three games that 71 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: we saw, the winner was trailing with two minutes to go. 72 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: So yeah, just wild games. And look in the playoffs 73 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: when it's bet when it comes to betting, or you know, 74 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: just whoever wins these games out right, the margins are thin, 75 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: especially this year, everything is so wide open that you 76 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 1: like go back. I also had that one of the 77 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: other bad breaks that I had, I had the Jags 78 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: first half, so Lawrence's thigh goes down at you know, 79 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 1: the six. They get no points out of that. And 80 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 1: then the miskick again of the first half by an 81 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:21,040 Speaker 1: all pro kicker. That kick was massive, obviously, I mean 82 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: the game was a three point game. But those things, 83 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: those little things are so magnified in the playoffs. So yeah, 84 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: I thought any of the games could have went anyway. 85 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: The Panthers were super surprising. I did not expect their 86 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: offense to look that well. I'd under that it was 87 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: a terrible call and then my worst call weekd was 88 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: I had the Chargers. I mean, the Patriots were dominant 89 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: in that game. Drake may was I thought he had 90 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:49,280 Speaker 1: a pretty bad game. He could have had like three 91 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: or four turnovers, but he used his legs more effectively. 92 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 1: He hit the one big throwdown field, and on a 93 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 1: side by side basis, he looked like an all pro 94 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: compared to Herbert. I mean Herbert. Look. I don't like 95 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: to label these things for small sample size because it's 96 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 1: only been three starts, Like you know, the playoff Herbert thing, 97 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 1: and he had no help. The offensive line was really poor. 98 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:12,559 Speaker 1: I thought the Patriots had a really good game plan. 99 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 1: They just couldn't handle their stunts, their blitzes, and they 100 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: were just bringing pressure. But Herbert also played really poorly. 101 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 1: He looked like the first time starting quarterback. He looked 102 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,239 Speaker 1: like a rookie. I mean he was flustered, he missed 103 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,839 Speaker 1: some opportunities to scramble, he missed some open throws, and 104 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 1: then he was just inaccurate. I get that he was 105 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 1: under pressure and under fire, especially late in the game 106 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: once the Patriots built that lead, but there were some 107 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 1: opportunities there. I also thought Harball the whole staff was 108 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 1: extremely disapointed. I thought they got significantly out coached. You 109 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 1: went into that game, by the way, you had a 110 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:47,160 Speaker 1: buy last week, so you basically had two weeks. They 111 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 1: took a buy. They had two weeks to come up 112 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: with game plans to make up for the deficiencies that 113 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: you knew you had on the offensive line. Did you 114 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,359 Speaker 1: not think that the Patriots were gonna blitz and stunt 115 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: and there was? It just seemed like there was. I 116 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: don't know what their game plan was. I don't know 117 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: what the offensive philosophy going into that game was. And 118 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: then you had fr ball early on in the game. 119 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: He goes for it on fourth and goal with the two, 120 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 1: it doesn't get it, and then he has fourth and 121 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: goal with the two again and kicks a field goal. 122 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 1: I hate when coaches do that. You're the underdog on 123 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: the road. You were aggressive the first time. If you 124 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 1: thought it was just gonna be a field goal game, 125 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 1: then kick it both times. But he went for the 126 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,840 Speaker 1: first time. Don't get scared just because you didn't get it. 127 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 1: But those were two huge sequences and the Patriots, whose 128 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 1: red zone defense was the worst in the league this year, 129 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:33,480 Speaker 1: Chargers have struggled in the red zone of their offense. 130 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: Patriots defense won that battle. I hope they were that 131 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: they had the most convincing win of any of the 132 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: five games. 133 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean not hard to have a convincing win 134 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 2: when it felt like it came down to the wire 135 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 2: and all of them. This was I thought this was 136 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 2: going to be a closer game tonight as well. I mean, 137 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 2: three points ain't gonna do it. And of course you 138 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 2: mentioned it, like if you're not going to go for it, 139 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 2: I mean, if you're gonna go for it at first, 140 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 2: you gotta go for it again. Absolutely ridiculous, like it's 141 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:57,359 Speaker 2: part of your game plan, like you got to figure 142 00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: out one way or the other, either I need points 143 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 2: or I don't. But you're right, I'll go game by 144 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 2: game here. We can go very quickly since obviously we're 145 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:05,839 Speaker 2: going over a bunch here. But New England won the 146 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:07,919 Speaker 2: game sixteen thirteen, covered the three and a half at 147 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 2: home total under forty five and a half, just simply 148 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 2: the dominant performance from New England's defense. I mean, aside 149 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 2: from that, I think, like you said, May played okay, 150 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 2: but everyone's going to talk about probably two things. Charger's 151 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 2: defense probably played as best as they could. Think the 152 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 2: offensive line let them down. Herbert got hit seven eight 153 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 2: nine times in this game, which was on par for 154 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 2: everything we've seen from them this season. And I mean 155 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 2: just kind of looked like a Rabel defense in this game. 156 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 2: And coming up you've got Houston and Pittsburgh. I think 157 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 2: they'd probably like to see Pittsburgh, would be my guess 158 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 2: based off just you know, trying to see another defense 159 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 2: in that sense. But either way, kind of intriguing any 160 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 2: thoughts early on that New England game depending on opponent. 161 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: I mean, you can kind of have a similar game 162 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 1: plan against sir right, you have Strouded struggles against the 163 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: blitz Rogers who struggles against pressure too, you know, not 164 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 1: the most reliable offensive lines. So you know, I still 165 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: have questions about this Patriots defense. It's just like who 166 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: have they faced all year? Right, Like, yeah, they faced 167 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: Josh Allen got cooked and that that's basically the only 168 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 1: and then they did. You have to give him credit 169 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 1: for just completely bottling up Herbert, but again, the state 170 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: of that offensive line, but it might be the same 171 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: story next week against either one of those opponents. 172 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 2: You know, and did Christian Gonzalez come back. 173 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: So that's a major concerns. He was just one of things. 174 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:42,439 Speaker 1: Like the Chargers receivers were non existent, I mean, the best. 175 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 1: The only guy that I heard his name the entire 176 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: besides Herbert getting hit was Vadal He like, he picked 177 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 1: up that fumble, ran for it a couple of peg 178 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: But who who on the Chargers offense did you hear 179 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: their name called? 180 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,959 Speaker 2: Like? Also, I mean to be clear, a lot of 181 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 2: people talking about this, but they disguised the O'marian Hampton 182 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 2: injury a lot more than they probably should have, because 183 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 2: it honestly looked like he shouldn't have even played in 184 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 2: the game, and there should have been some designation. And 185 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 2: we had heard about ankle this and that he had 186 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 2: a little bit of a boot on it and basically 187 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 2: shouldn't have been out. There was the reason Herbert was 188 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 2: scrambling on over the place. And obviously the dal played 189 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 2: a ton of snaps. But all right, let's keep rolling. 190 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: Here are Patriots and you want to see the Steelers though, 191 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,319 Speaker 1: because that's fair. I mean, look, the Steelers are three 192 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 1: point home dogs against the Texans. The Steelers you can hit, 193 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 1: you can get explosives on them. That's something the Chargers 194 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 1: do take away and they did for the most part today. 195 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: But yeah, I think that the Patriots should feel good 196 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,839 Speaker 1: regardless of who they play. But the Texans I think 197 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 1: would be a stiffer test defensively, I agreed, all right, rematch, 198 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: by the way, rematch earlier the season with the Patriots. 199 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 1: The Steelers did go into New England and beat the Patriots, 200 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: but the Patriots dominated that game. It was a typical 201 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 1: voodoo Steelers win. I think the Patriots turned it over 202 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: five times, the Patriots up getting down to like the 203 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: two and not scoring. It was pretty crazy. So yeah, 204 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: I think the Patriots will be deserve his favorites at 205 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:10,319 Speaker 1: home against either. 206 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 2: All right, let's keep rolling here. Buffalo Jackson. Buffalo wins 207 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty four, one and a half point. 208 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 2: Road Dogs total under fifty one and a half fifty 209 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 2: two and a half. But right by the hook, I mean, 210 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 2: I think you and I would mention this, and you 211 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:25,319 Speaker 2: obviously had JAG's first half, but Buffalo's probably started a 212 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 2: little bit faster than maybe we had assumed. Even though 213 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 2: it included like two punts of fumble, like, it wasn't 214 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 2: exactly amazing offense in the first half but got the 215 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 2: job done. But to me, it just turned into kind 216 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 2: of an everything Josh Allen game, a ton of passing, 217 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 2: running all over the place. But the Jags rush defense 218 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 2: did their job like Cook did nothing. Fifteen of forty six, 219 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 2: just both around three yards per rush. It was just 220 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 2: other things that got them beat. I mean, Buffalo went 221 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: nine to sixteen on third down, fourth down definitely, and 222 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 2: you had mentioned it with the Caleb Williams throw, but 223 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 2: that back foot throw from Josh on first time cooked ridiculous. 224 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 2: I mean, that's those two throws like win football games. 225 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 2: And when you're talking about the margins being that thin, 226 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 2: but what did you see here? Any anything worth note? 227 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I don't think the Bills in the 228 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,079 Speaker 1: first half were great. I mean the Jags were one 229 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: and a half yards per played better. The Bills had 230 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 1: one good drive in the whole first half, but it 231 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:21,079 Speaker 1: was a great It was the meaningful drive. It was 232 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 1: six ninety four yards after Trevor Lawrence's shin went down. 233 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 1: Huge swing in that game. And then they kicked a 234 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 1: fifty yard field goal off of an interception. But those 235 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 1: those are the margins, Prater, You bang your banged up 236 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,679 Speaker 1: kicker made a fifty plus yarder and the Jags all 237 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 1: Pro kicker who made twenty in a row, missed the 238 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 1: fifty plus yarder and then in the red zone you 239 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 1: didn't get your fourth down, came up with no points. 240 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: The Bills were amazing on fourth downs. So I thought, 241 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:53,679 Speaker 1: like just watching that game, the Jags were the better 242 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 1: team on a play by play basis, like they completely 243 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 1: stopped the run. They had way more success running the ball, 244 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: but the Bills had Josh Allen and that was ultimately 245 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 1: a difference. He played amazing because he had no help 246 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: from his run game they usually do, and then the 247 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 1: second half they had to open it up and asked 248 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 1: him to go win it, and he did. I also 249 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:14,800 Speaker 1: thought in the first half the Jags really really missed 250 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:19,720 Speaker 1: Parker Washington. He was he was amazing in the second half. 251 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 1: He was amazing in the second half of the year, 252 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 1: and he missed most of the first half. I am shut. 253 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 1: I mean, it's the playoffs, like there's I guess there's 254 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 1: there's no such thing as concussions for a lot of teams. 255 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: I'm shock that he came back after what I saw, 256 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: but he was great in the second half. Did he 257 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 1: finished for I think he finished with over one hundred 258 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:42,000 Speaker 1: yards and so they missed him in the first half. 259 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 1: They missed some opportunities. But yeah, really a coin foot 260 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 1: game like Jaggs. Here's where this again where the margins 261 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 1: are small. I think mcdermoy made a huge mistake that 262 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 1: Josh Allen tush push. It's funny that they used the 263 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 1: tush push so effective and they were trying to get 264 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: it banned in the off season. I believe they were 265 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 1: one of the teams that voted against it, and they 266 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: use it now effectively in the Eagles like they went 267 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:12,679 Speaker 1: four of like their last eleven on the touch push. 268 00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:18,200 Speaker 1: But there's a minute ten left at the one on 269 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 1: first in goal and the Jags have no timeouts. I 270 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 1: one hundred percent of the time snap and fall down 271 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:31,080 Speaker 1: or snap and taken me one percent of the time, 272 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 1: And then you you have three that you then you 273 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: run forty seconds off the clock. There was like a 274 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 1: minute five that there would have been twenty seconds left. 275 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: You have your timeouts, but you don't even need it. 276 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:47,280 Speaker 1: You have three more Josh Allen touch pushes to get 277 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 1: in and then there's the Jags are done. Instead you 278 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: went you scored on the first play. Now it didn't 279 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: matter because Lawrence threw a pick. But what you shouldn't 280 00:13:57,240 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: base things off of the results. It's about the process. Yes, 281 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 1: you could say, like, look, just score that, just get 282 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 1: the points. Things can happen, you can fumble, I get it, 283 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 1: But I think in the long run, the smart move 284 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: there was to not score on first down with them 285 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 1: not having any timeouts and then score now didn't bite 286 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 1: the Bills. But just something worth noting because we've seen 287 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 1: McDermott and final minutes of playoff games go sideways before. 288 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: But just an incredible game and it was Josh and Josh. 289 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 1: You have to like Alan got beat up in that 290 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 1: game too. I mean he came in with an injury 291 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 1: to his foot. He you know here, he had his 292 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: knee twisted, he got his head hit, his hand hit 293 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,840 Speaker 1: on a helmet. I mean he the Jags defense threw 294 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: everything at him and he just made incredible throws with 295 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: like who at receiver. Shakier had a great day, but 296 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 1: they kept losing receivers. They've already so that was all 297 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 1: on Josh. Allen had tip to him. 298 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 2: I mean they saw Mitch Tubisky warming up and Josh 299 00:14:57,000 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 2: is like, no chance that's on the joh. 300 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: Going to the blue tent in the playoffs is me 301 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: rolling my eyes. They just go in there and like 302 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: give them a pat on the ass and tell them 303 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 1: to get back out there. 304 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 2: The reason you're right though about the touch push at 305 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 2: the end is because the Jaguars faked like they were 306 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 2: they wanted him the score correct, but they faked it 307 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 2: like they wanted them to look like they cared about 308 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 2: him scoring. And Liam Cohene even said in postgame he 309 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 2: was like, we let them score. It was the right move. 310 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:26,640 Speaker 2: So that's how you. 311 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: Know it was the wrong move to score. The other 312 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:32,640 Speaker 1: team is trying to let you score. So like because 313 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 1: of that, you could have like went to the inch 314 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 1: yard line and kneeled it, and the chances of you 315 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 1: scoring again from the inch yard line with the Josh 316 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 1: Allen Tousch Bush are way higher than the Jags with 317 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 1: a minute ten being able to go down the field 318 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 1: and kick a fuel goal with a kicker who has 319 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: distance from he's made. He's two for two from sixty 320 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 1: seven plus the rest of the NFL and NFL history's 321 00:15:57,920 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 1: oh for twenty two. So like all they had to do, 322 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: I think you get the midfield right, so you start 323 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: like a lot of you started the thirty five fifteen yards, 324 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: you're in range. Now it worked out for them. I'm 325 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:07,960 Speaker 1: just saying I think that was the wrong move. 326 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, sometimes it works out and it's just the wrong move, 327 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 2: and that was one of them. 328 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: I'll leave Jags by the way. He rest of the 329 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 1: I see should be happy that they're out. It was unfortunate. 330 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: Incredible year from Liam Cohen. Easily could have won that game, 331 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 1: easily could have made a run. It was unfortunate that 332 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 1: both of these teams had to play each other home. 333 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 2: While Kobe can completely agree, a lot of flak is 334 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 2: going to go to Herbert based off his performance tonight, 335 00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 2: But I did look it up. Trevor Lawrence's three playoffs 336 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 2: starts minus one point six EPA today, minus three point 337 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 2: seven in his last start, and then plus two point 338 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 2: five against Case, but negative completion percentage over expected in 339 00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 2: all three starts, qbr under fifty and all three Like, 340 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 2: he just hasn't been his best in these games. And 341 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 2: that kind I mean, he played alright today. Maybe you 342 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 2: put it on the defense, but Buffalo does put up 343 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 2: what twenty six, twenty seven points in this game, so 344 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 2: probably a stopper more there on the defense. 345 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: Now, he wasn't great, he was, he was just okay. 346 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 1: But the pick at the end was bad. The other 347 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:10,439 Speaker 1: pick was bad early that led to Buffalo points and 348 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: then you have to blame him for a shin going 349 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:16,720 Speaker 1: down just awareness. I mean, it's just him. I know 350 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: it was kind of a flukey play, but that basically 351 00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:22,240 Speaker 1: took four and a half five points on average off 352 00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 1: the board. So yeah, that he wasn't great, but I 353 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 1: hope the Jags defense played well, and it was just 354 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 1: it was just Josh Allen was just incredible. You gotta 355 00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:34,720 Speaker 1: add it. 356 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 2: To ridiculous and an unfortunate miss from Cam Little early 357 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 2: to obviously the difference. But all right, Green Bank Chicago, 358 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 2: Holy mackerel. So Chicago wins a game thirty one, twenty 359 00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 2: seven and one and a half point home Dogs total 360 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:49,159 Speaker 2: over forty six and a half. There is really not 361 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 2: much to say here other than like, if you haven't 362 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:53,879 Speaker 2: watched Chicago all year, this is exactly what you got. 363 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 2: And then from Green Bay's perspective, like they've lost five 364 00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 2: straight after this one, they have not looked the same 365 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,639 Speaker 2: and you know, basically without Micah Parsons, But I mean, 366 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:05,440 Speaker 2: when you talk about the play calling from la floor 367 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:07,960 Speaker 2: in the second half, they attempted seven runs in the 368 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 2: second half of twenty one three, it was minus two, 369 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 2: one six, zero, one, zero and zero. First four drives 370 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 2: in the second half they gained nine totally yards, and 371 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,159 Speaker 2: I think the worst part about it was they knocked 372 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 2: off like four minutes on the clock in total in 373 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 2: those four drives, So he just really got shit before 374 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 2: they even scored a touchdown in the second half and 375 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,960 Speaker 2: really got something going. It was already twenty one sixteen 376 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:33,919 Speaker 2: and it was a ballgame, so it just you had 377 00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 2: kind of ruined the entire lead based off of your 378 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 2: play calling, and you could just see it like after 379 00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 2: they got up, they were just allowing Chicago to do 380 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:45,159 Speaker 2: kind of what they wanted and stick around, and that 381 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 2: honestly ended up being the problem. And you mentioned it. 382 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 2: The fourth and eighth throw to Rome is just, I mean, 383 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 2: something you will see forever in Chicago, no matter what happens, 384 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,919 Speaker 2: because it was just that unreal of a throw from 385 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,159 Speaker 2: a guy that talented and also very cool that he 386 00:18:58,200 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 2: looked like Michael Jordan in the middle of the air. 387 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 2: Either way, absolutely ridiculous. So what do you make from 388 00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 2: green Bay Chicago? 389 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the green Bay injuries, I think that 390 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,439 Speaker 1: caught they were dead, So I mean, like Cooper, they 391 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,880 Speaker 1: had some more offensive line injuries, Doc Tom not starting. 392 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 1: Although they were up twenty one three, missed the Fueld 393 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: goal at the end of that they should be up 394 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:18,119 Speaker 1: twenty four to three. You have to win that game. 395 00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:24,479 Speaker 1: And they're up twenty one six in the fourth quarter, like, 396 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:26,919 Speaker 1: you have to win that game no matter what. And 397 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,159 Speaker 1: it just, I mean, it just was just your typical 398 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 1: Bears game. Also another underrated play obviously the fourth and 399 00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 1: eight and if they didn't call the false start, the 400 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:36,760 Speaker 1: snap goes over the head before then and the game 401 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 1: is over. The fourth and eight is incredible throw by Kalb. 402 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:44,120 Speaker 1: Then they score a touchdown, they get the two point 403 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:48,160 Speaker 1: conversion slept on conversion because if you don't get that 404 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: the Packers at the end. Now, the Packers missed the 405 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 1: Fueld goal after that, but then they have the ball 406 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: at the very end of the game. At the Bears 407 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 1: twenty timeout management wasn't great for the fourth they had 408 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,879 Speaker 1: no timeouts left, there was a runoff. It was a mess. 409 00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: But if there was so many things that could have 410 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: happened where the Packers could have kicked the game winning 411 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 1: field and now they probably would have missed it again. 412 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 1: But they missed two field goals, an extra point, and 413 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 1: the Bears got a two point conversion, not at the 414 00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: nine points of those hidden points, and all of those 415 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 1: cumulatively led to a four point lead. If one of 416 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: those things goes the other way, the Packers are kicking 417 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 1: a field load to tie or to take the order 418 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: to win. Instead they have to throw off a hail Mary. 419 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 1: And at the end they had their backup right tackle, 420 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,159 Speaker 1: their third string center, and their backup left tackle in 421 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,439 Speaker 1: the game. But I did think that Dennis Allen. I 422 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 1: thought the Lafour play call wasn't great, but I thought 423 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 1: that Dennis allen adjustments on defense and the additional some 424 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 1: of the pressure packages that he was bringing, I thought 425 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 1: were very nice in the second half, because that's a 426 00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 1: bad defense. But it just felt like a choke, and 427 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:04,920 Speaker 1: it just felt like every Bears game all this year. 428 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,119 Speaker 1: I mean, that's their seventh win this year, NFL record, 429 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 1: seventh win when trailing with under two minutes to go, 430 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: And as someone who had I had the Packers plus one. 431 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:15,520 Speaker 1: Now again, I thought I was gonna push it worse. 432 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:20,359 Speaker 1: The losing that game is a nightmare. But the fourth 433 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,679 Speaker 1: and eight, once they got that, I said, I'm in trouble. 434 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,119 Speaker 1: I would have exhaled the game was over if they 435 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 1: didn't convert that. But that was the play of the game. 436 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 2: Seriously, I mean that play is just unbelievable when you 437 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,159 Speaker 2: look at I'm back at it, especially almost getting sacked, 438 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 2: like throwing an almost mid air, just absolutely ridiculous. 439 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,360 Speaker 1: The one thing because Packers had just scored a touchdown 440 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: to go up twenty seven to sixteen with six to go, 441 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: and like, now there's what there was like five to go, 442 00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: fourth and eight at midfield. You don't get that it's over. 443 00:21:55,080 --> 00:22:00,040 Speaker 1: The game's over. So given the circumstances, the stage, and 444 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: then just how incredible that throw you have to hatchip 445 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:07,160 Speaker 1: Caleb Williams, now the Bears get I mean, how based 446 00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: on how everything broke, It's pretty crazy that the Seahawks 447 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:18,639 Speaker 1: were they were, It looked like they were going to 448 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 1: get the Packers, and the Packers had a bunch more 449 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: injuries and then the Bears win. So then you're a 450 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: Seahawks fan, you say, shit, we got to play the Rams. 451 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 1: And then the Eagles get upset at home, which there's 452 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 1: not a lot of people including myself, saw happening, and 453 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 1: now they get the forty nine ers. So it went 454 00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,439 Speaker 1: from oh, we're getting the Packers for sure up twenty 455 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:47,119 Speaker 1: one set of twenty one to three, to oh god, 456 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: we're getting the Rams, to okay, we're getting the forty 457 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 1: nine ers. So what roller coaster promotions for Seahawks fans despite. 458 00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 2: Not playing seriously, absolutely unreal to go back and forth 459 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,080 Speaker 2: and now Seattle looks like there are seven and a 460 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 2: half point favorite against the Niners and Rams are land 461 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 2: three and a half at the moment in Chicago. So 462 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 2: interesting lines. 463 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 1: Nonetheless, touch down swing Seriously the Eagles result, you would 464 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:18,880 Speaker 1: go from a toss up game probably to somewhere around 465 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:22,919 Speaker 1: of pick. I mean, now a touchdown plus favor crazy. 466 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 2: All right, let's do that at San Francisco Philly game quickly. 467 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,719 Speaker 2: So San Francisco does end up winning twenty three nineteen 468 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 2: five and a half point road dogs total under forty 469 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:32,080 Speaker 2: four and a half. I thought this one. This line 470 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 2: is fantastic. So from Shield Capatia, who used to work 471 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 2: with me at ESPN. Niners produced the highest single game 472 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:41,399 Speaker 2: offensive success rate against the Eagles since Fangio became their DC. 473 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:45,200 Speaker 2: It was just the perfect game plan for what Shanahan 474 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,439 Speaker 2: put together here. San Francisco defense pretty much showed up 475 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,919 Speaker 2: here with their six seventh eighth linebackers out there, But 476 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 2: really it was probably just an inept Philly offensive game. 477 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,719 Speaker 2: It hurts his fifteen in completions, just one hundred and 478 00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:02,199 Speaker 2: sixty eight yards passing Rady under QBR of forty and 479 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,120 Speaker 2: to me, this is what probably gets at the most. 480 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:08,120 Speaker 2: So late passdowns he was at thirty one percent success 481 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:12,399 Speaker 2: right and passing to Davanta Goddard, Barkley and aj he 482 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 2: went eighteen of thirty one, So that's thirteen incompletions, a 483 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 2: lot off target, a lot in pass breaks to those guys. 484 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 2: And this one was the best, which Juwan Jennings had 485 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:27,200 Speaker 2: more completed passes of fifteen plus yards air than Jalen 486 00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:31,240 Speaker 2: Hurts did, who went zero for five. Just absolutely terrible 487 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 2: from my opinion on the offensive side of the ball. 488 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 2: That really let him up, because Saquan had a good game. 489 00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,119 Speaker 2: But what do you make of this one? 490 00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 1: Yes, one thing I got right this weekend was the 491 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 1: under which I thought, which I thought was gonna get 492 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:43,760 Speaker 1: ruined at the toast. 493 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:45,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought the. 494 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:48,399 Speaker 1: Eagles were going down at scoring. But this is again 495 00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:52,040 Speaker 1: a microcosm of the year for the Philadelphia Eagles. And 496 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 1: even playing this beat up and already bad forty nine 497 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,560 Speaker 1: ers defense that were down their top four linebackers, they 498 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:03,640 Speaker 1: score are they go on a sixteen play, ninety four 499 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 1: yard nine minute drive to call thirteen to seven midway 500 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 1: through the second quarter, and then from on their next three, four, five, 501 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:22,400 Speaker 1: their next five drives twenty seven plays for twenty six yards, 502 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 1: taking them midway through the fourth quarter. That was the 503 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 1: Eagles offense all year, no matter who they were playing, 504 00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 1: they would go these long stretches where they couldn't do anything. 505 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:38,720 Speaker 1: I mean, it is and like it to play calling 506 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,360 Speaker 1: is bad. We know Patoola is bad. It's not creative. 507 00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:44,639 Speaker 1: It's just hitch routes. And some of the runs were 508 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,520 Speaker 1: But the biggest thing is their offensive line is so 509 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 1: much like how many times did you see Barkley who 510 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 1: still have you actually just give them space? He will 511 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 1: go for ten to fifteen plus yards. How many times 512 00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 1: all year, including today was Barkley hit as soon as 513 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: you're handing the ball off, hit stuffed in the backfield. Ian. 514 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,400 Speaker 1: They were thirtieth in the NFL and stuff right. Obviously, 515 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 1: no Lane Johnson today hurt their offenses night and day 516 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:13,439 Speaker 1: with him. But this was it kind of just summed 517 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,960 Speaker 1: up the Eagle season with their offense and the drafts 518 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 1: that they went on. The u have Siriani blowing up 519 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 1: on the sidelines with AJ Brown and then AJ Brown 520 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 1: doesn't catch a pass, a couple drops the whole rest 521 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:29,719 Speaker 1: of the way, the AJ Brown discourse and the Sirianni 522 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:35,919 Speaker 1: Putuila discourse on WIP and what is the ninety seventy 523 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 1: five whatever the radio station is For the next couple 524 00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 1: of weeks, it's going to be interesting in Philly. But yeah, 525 00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: I was shot at the Niners with and even after 526 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 1: losing Kittle. Yeah, and they lost the turnover battle to 527 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:54,280 Speaker 1: nothing pretty had two bad picks. But I was shot 528 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 1: that they were able to push the ball down the 529 00:26:56,680 --> 00:27:01,879 Speaker 1: field and hit explosives on this Eagles defense in twenty 530 00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:03,680 Speaker 1: five to thirty mile an hour wins. They had a bunch. 531 00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:08,200 Speaker 1: I mean, DeMarcus Robinson had a day. He went off 532 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 1: and look, everyone knew the Eagles offense had issues. Everyone 533 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:17,000 Speaker 1: knew Jake Elliott had a down year. And by the way, 534 00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:19,600 Speaker 1: I know san Fran missed an extra point, but Elliots 535 00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 1: missed extra point. You had that ind you can kick 536 00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,240 Speaker 1: a field goal late, like these little things in the 537 00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 1: playoffs makes such a difference. But I would be remiss 538 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 1: if I didn't give you gave Shanahan credit. I'll look 539 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:37,159 Speaker 1: at it from the other side. The Eagles defense deserves 540 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 1: criticism here. This was the unit that's carried them all 541 00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 1: year and you're going up against you know, I mean 542 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,320 Speaker 1: Fango has own Shanahan in the past four head to 543 00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:48,400 Speaker 1: head meetings. He's averaged ten and a half points per game, 544 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 1: never cleared fifteen. And the forty nine ers, even after 545 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 1: losing Kittle, there's no Ricky Piersoll. They gained three hundred 546 00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:01,480 Speaker 1: and sixty one yards six point two yards per play, 547 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,239 Speaker 1: and there was no run game to speak of, and 548 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,879 Speaker 1: there was thirty mile an hour wins. And you have 549 00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:13,199 Speaker 1: the lead late, kick a field goal, I'll off of 550 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:17,119 Speaker 1: an interception and you let them go ten plays sixty 551 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: six yards and score a touchdown that you cannot let them. 552 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:23,640 Speaker 1: At worst, you have to hold them to a field 553 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:28,160 Speaker 1: goal there. But credit to forty nine ers. The Eagles defense, 554 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: they were great all year. They do deserve blame for 555 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,280 Speaker 1: that performance today because it wasn't great. So yeah, credit 556 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,919 Speaker 1: to the forty nine ers is an all I sawad 557 00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 1: was great. They didn't allow the explosives there was. I mean, 558 00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 1: Eric Hendricks made the made he deflected the game winning pass, 559 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 1: and like, yeah, there was the toola can't be back? 560 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 1: You have this roster has way too much talent to 561 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,600 Speaker 1: be coordinated like that. I don't even know, well, SIRIANNII back, 562 00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 1: I don't know, I mean not he The Eagles are ruthless, 563 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,479 Speaker 1: they have a very good organization, a very good GM. 564 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 1: They're run very well. Yeah, like. 565 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 2: This is a loss that just can't happen, right, I 566 00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,760 Speaker 2: mean like even watching this game, Phillies up three, Phillies 567 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 2: up six, whatever it was, it was like, Okay, they're 568 00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,600 Speaker 2: gonna do enough to win this and we're gonna talk 569 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 2: the entire week about how it didn't look good but 570 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 2: they want anyway. Uh And San Francisco was like screw that, 571 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:29,000 Speaker 2: Like we're we're honestly just gonna take this game no 572 00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:31,600 Speaker 2: matter who's on the field. Yeah. I kind of had forgetten, 573 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 2: like forgotten and then blanked out about the Kittle thing. 574 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,240 Speaker 2: But I mean not, I mean adding the Kittle injury 575 00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,560 Speaker 2: to everything else they were going through and then they 576 00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:43,240 Speaker 2: still come out on top. Just honestly, probably one of 577 00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 2: those shocks. I mean, if Carolina had one, which we'll 578 00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 2: talk about in a second, obviously more shocking. But this 579 00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 2: was it. I mean, this was the craziest. I couldn't 580 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 2: have even imagined this with all the injuries. I line 581 00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:54,920 Speaker 2: got up to six middle of the week, close at 582 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,360 Speaker 2: five and a half, but wild nonetheless, And the thing 583 00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:00,720 Speaker 2: was San Francisco also gave them two turnovers, so they 584 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 2: turn them, well, yeah, to nothing. The thing that's crazy 585 00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 2: is and I just look, I looked this up before 586 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 2: we came on, Sirianni has now lost four straight when 587 00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 2: the opponent has two plus turnovers. He was twenty five 588 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,240 Speaker 2: and two prior to that. So, I mean, lately it 589 00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,640 Speaker 2: just no matter what happens, close game and Philly's offense 590 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:17,360 Speaker 2: doesn't come through. 591 00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 1: But shot, there's like these the Hurts never turns it over, right, 592 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 1: they don't they The Eagles never turn Sometimes. That's like 593 00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 1: I feel like it's bad in a way because they 594 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 1: just they don't take risks, right, They're like, it's just 595 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 1: these how many times on second and long and sometimes 596 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: on third long were they running the ball. 597 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 2: Play not to lose. 598 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, they're just playing to like pull these games out 599 00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 1: by a field goal bear, and like that's tough to do. 600 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 1: They just need a whole new offense, new off score, 601 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:52,320 Speaker 1: in a new philosophy. 602 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 2: This is like, this is like not making the playoffs, honestly, 603 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:57,600 Speaker 2: like it pretty much is going to be looked at 604 00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:59,680 Speaker 2: very similarly to lose a game as like a six 605 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 2: point favorite at home to a team that's the walking dead. 606 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 1: All right, I will say the line moves something that. 607 00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:06,440 Speaker 2: Look. 608 00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:08,800 Speaker 1: The best thing you can do betting the NFL, and 609 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,680 Speaker 1: even in the playoffs, where lines are even more efficient, 610 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 1: is get the best of the number. It's the best 611 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,600 Speaker 1: thing you can do. Now, this weekend didn't really work out. 612 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 1: Didn't work out for me in particular. I could think 613 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 1: of Packers. I had the Panthers under forty nine Ers 614 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:28,360 Speaker 1: under least worked out. But if you had the Jags, 615 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 1: I mean Jags took real money. Jags at some sharp 616 00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 1: shops closed two and a half, opened a dog. And 617 00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 1: then the Eagles they were sitting three and a half close. 618 00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:43,360 Speaker 1: I think it closed five and a half right there, Yeah, 619 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 1: close five and a half linked with Lane Johnson now 620 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:50,480 Speaker 1: Trent Williams in. But you beat that line. Over the 621 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: long run, that's going to work out. But this week 622 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 1: for some of the bigger line moves didn't work out. 623 00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 1: But short sample size, can't overreact all. 624 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 2: Right, speak of lines in craziness. Rams beat the point 625 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 2: Panthers thirty four to thirty one. They close a ten 626 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:08,520 Speaker 2: point road favorites total over forty five. So yeah, Carolina 627 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:10,880 Speaker 2: does close plus ten time for the biggest home dog 628 00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 2: in playoff history. But listen, Carolina was inside or pushing 629 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 2: the number the entire game, the entire game. So I mean, 630 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:20,320 Speaker 2: there was a chance for the Rams to go up. 631 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 2: You know, it could have been it could have been thirteen, 632 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 2: that could have been sixteen or seventeen. But there was 633 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,720 Speaker 2: an opportunity there that kind of blow the game away, 634 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 2: and they almost really blew this one. I mean seriously, 635 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:35,280 Speaker 2: a few opportunities there late in the game where it 636 00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:38,520 Speaker 2: could have definitely gone Carolina's way, especially after that late turnover. 637 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 2: I will say this home dog's of four plus and 638 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 2: now nine to zerogainst the spread last fifty years. In 639 00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 2: the playoffs, we will see if the Bears get there. 640 00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 2: Pretty crazy for a two seed home dog in the 641 00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:52,200 Speaker 2: divisional round. But nonetheless, all I really have to say 642 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 2: is like Bryce Young played formidable, Like the numbers were 643 00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:59,480 Speaker 2: all right, he had a positive EPA. But he goes 644 00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:03,280 Speaker 2: four of seventeen passing under pressure. Just not something you 645 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 2: can do and something typical to what Bryce Young usually does. 646 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 2: And then you look at the other side, Stafford, three touchdowns, 647 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 2: no picks, two hundred and forty four yards in a 648 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 2: clean pocket, and under pressure he goes five to thirteen 649 00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 2: with an interception and the what you would have expected, 650 00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 2: thirty one targets to Pooka and Davante. So going to 651 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 2: the people he trusts in this one. 652 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:29,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was at This game was played out nothing 653 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,520 Speaker 1: like I thought it would. Carolina came out throwing. I 654 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:34,840 Speaker 1: thought they were going to try to run, control the clock, 655 00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 1: shorten the game. Now maybe because they got behind that 656 00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:39,040 Speaker 1: all changed. But yeah, I mean Young threw the ball 657 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 1: forty times. The only ran it I think twenty Now 658 00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,760 Speaker 1: they didn't have much success running it. I thought Quentin Lake, 659 00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:48,320 Speaker 1: who returned from injury, had a really bad game. He's 660 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:49,720 Speaker 1: a good player, and I thought it was gonna help 661 00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:51,600 Speaker 1: the defense. But that looked like there was some rust 662 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 1: and the speed wasn't there. And I mean Davante missing time. 663 00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 1: He didn't look great. I mean he had five catches, 664 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,000 Speaker 1: he was targeted. How many times was he targeted a lot? 665 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:09,160 Speaker 1: Like fourteen times? Yeah, so Nikoua was incredible. Stafford, I 666 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:14,239 Speaker 1: thought he struggled a bit against again his old coordinator. 667 00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 1: These these coverages where they disguise and shift post snap, 668 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,880 Speaker 1: these mass coverages. He struggled a bit again, but in 669 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:28,200 Speaker 1: the end they were covered and they put that drive 670 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:30,280 Speaker 1: together at the end of the game. Seven plays, seventy 671 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 1: one yards, incredible throw by Stafford down the sidelines and 672 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:40,800 Speaker 1: they got a Yeah. That was crazy. So I was 673 00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:42,919 Speaker 1: shocked at the The Banter scored thirty one the first 674 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 1: time it won, but that was on you know, a 675 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 1: pick six, a couple of fourth down busted plays. I 676 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:50,439 Speaker 1: did not think they were going to get to thirty 677 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,360 Speaker 1: one this time around. So I'm I'm not sure what 678 00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:56,879 Speaker 1: the make of the Rams. In short, like I thought, 679 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:58,640 Speaker 1: like a month ago, this is a team. If you 680 00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:01,839 Speaker 1: said who's in the Super Bowl. I would have confidently said, 681 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,919 Speaker 1: all right, I'm going to pick the Rams, and then 682 00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:09,680 Speaker 1: you know, down they're up. They're dominating. The Seahawks look 683 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 1: like they're poised to get the one seed. They melt 684 00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:18,399 Speaker 1: away that game they lose in Atlanta. They don't look 685 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,160 Speaker 1: great and you know, wanting to try for the first 686 00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:24,040 Speaker 1: two and a half quarters against the Cardinals, and they 687 00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:27,759 Speaker 1: eke this game out against Carolina. I got to dig 688 00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 1: more into the Rams on what's going on because it 689 00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:30,959 Speaker 1: hasn't looked pretty for the last month. 690 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:33,160 Speaker 2: Ano they're lay in three and a half or four 691 00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 2: in the Chicago team who maybe won't be there in 692 00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,080 Speaker 2: the first half, but you know they will be there 693 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,240 Speaker 2: in the second. The two things I'll. 694 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:42,000 Speaker 1: Set the Bears when they go down seventeen. 695 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:44,360 Speaker 2: The two things I saw from the Rams in this 696 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,279 Speaker 2: game that I guess are kind of puzzling. So they 697 00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,839 Speaker 2: get nine penalties and this is coming from the least 698 00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,080 Speaker 2: penalized team in the NFL during the season. 699 00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:53,400 Speaker 1: The least penalized team in five years. 700 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:57,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, they had twelve percent of their entire regular season 701 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,600 Speaker 2: penalties in this game. I mean that that is how crazy, 702 00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:04,120 Speaker 2: And I guess undisciplined to a tee. They were in 703 00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:05,759 Speaker 2: this one and the other this is the other one, 704 00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:08,160 Speaker 2: and you had mentioned it. But Carolina going four to 705 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:10,719 Speaker 2: four in the red zone and Cocher and Tech going 706 00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:13,680 Speaker 2: fourteen of two fifteen, that's a problem. And you had 707 00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:17,680 Speaker 2: mentioned Lake. But their secondary, the pass players they allow. 708 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:19,799 Speaker 2: To me, that's like part of the issue. And you're 709 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,279 Speaker 2: going up against I'm gonna call them the magician, but 710 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,920 Speaker 2: right now that's kind of what Caleb's doing. So I 711 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:28,520 Speaker 2: mean between Burden and Rome getting another week of healthy 712 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,000 Speaker 2: coming off of this one, and I just there's on 713 00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:33,320 Speaker 2: DJ Moore, there's a lot of options there for Chicago. 714 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 2: I think it's a little bit of a worry. 715 00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Rams secondary by far is the most questionable 716 00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:41,879 Speaker 1: aspect of their team and what ultimately might hold them 717 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:43,920 Speaker 1: back for ast of well, I mean going back to 718 00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:50,000 Speaker 1: let's start the November thirtieth when they played the Panthers, 719 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,000 Speaker 1: they gave up thirty one and lost. They played the 720 00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:56,799 Speaker 1: Cardinals with like they were a backup team. But the 721 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,680 Speaker 1: Cardinals are moving the ball in that game, like throwing 722 00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:01,560 Speaker 1: the ball. Oh well, they give up. Then they give 723 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:05,240 Speaker 1: up thirty four to the Lions. Thirty eight to the Seahawks, 724 00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,560 Speaker 1: twenty seven of the Falcons in a loss, and then 725 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,759 Speaker 1: you know they play the backup Cardinals again. Cardinals are 726 00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,800 Speaker 1: moving the ball in that game too, and then thirty 727 00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,480 Speaker 1: one of the Panther. So like, this defense over the 728 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:18,160 Speaker 1: last month and a half has regularly given up thirty 729 00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:21,880 Speaker 1: one to thirty three thirty eight points sets, and the 730 00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:25,600 Speaker 1: Bears have the talent to take advantage. We'll just see 731 00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:26,920 Speaker 1: how far behind they get first. 732 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 2: Yeah. Crazy, Well that was wild card weekend. Here's your 733 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:33,239 Speaker 2: weekly reminder to sign up for Action Pro. Action pro 734 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:35,440 Speaker 2: users get real time alerts as soon as expert's like 735 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:38,200 Speaker 2: Stuck Brand Anderson Chris Raybaund all tracked their picks in 736 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:40,879 Speaker 2: the app. You also get real time money percentages see 737 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:43,440 Speaker 2: where the smart money's flowing, and access to our NFL 738 00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:46,319 Speaker 2: player prop projections powered by Sean Kerner. The cool thing 739 00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,480 Speaker 2: about those projections too, that are available live, so some 740 00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:52,640 Speaker 2: live betting opportunities you can get with Action Pro. Just 741 00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:54,880 Speaker 2: go to action every dot Com slash pro To get started. 742 00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,880 Speaker 2: Use promo code POD twenty for twenty dollars off an 743 00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:01,600 Speaker 2: annual subscription. That's Promo Code p twenty for twenty dollars 744 00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:14,719 Speaker 2: off Monday night football time. So right now, if I 745 00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:19,000 Speaker 2: look at the board, it is Texans minus three, sitting 746 00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:20,840 Speaker 2: at minus one oh five, so that seems to be 747 00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:23,760 Speaker 2: coming down a bit thirty eight and a half. Which 748 00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:25,560 Speaker 2: the fun thing about thirty eight and a half, It 749 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:30,000 Speaker 2: is the lowest playoff total since I believe brock Osweiler 750 00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:33,560 Speaker 2: Connor Cook twenty sixteen seventeen, So we haven't seen a 751 00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:37,360 Speaker 2: playoff total this low in some time. But stuck, I 752 00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:38,839 Speaker 2: will leave it to you, like, what do you think 753 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:40,759 Speaker 2: about this game? I have a pick or two and 754 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 2: some trends, but what do you make of this one? 755 00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:47,680 Speaker 1: I mean, I think the line. I think like taking 756 00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:49,320 Speaker 1: out all the three and a half on the Steelers 757 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:53,880 Speaker 1: made sense. The low scoring game home dog Rogers can 758 00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,319 Speaker 1: get the ball out quick to neutralize some of that 759 00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,279 Speaker 1: Texans pressure. The issue is going to be is if 760 00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,879 Speaker 1: they don't, it's gonna be hard to maintain drives. Right, 761 00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:07,880 Speaker 1: So like if you you could have a couple first downs, 762 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:09,720 Speaker 1: but then if you have if you're incomplete on first 763 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:13,080 Speaker 1: run for two on second on those third and longs. 764 00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:16,440 Speaker 1: Rogers against that pressure, and he's been bad against pressure 765 00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,279 Speaker 1: year it's not gonna go well. On the other end, 766 00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:23,080 Speaker 1: Stroud has been really bad against the Blitz. The Steelers 767 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,480 Speaker 1: defense is getting healthier. You never know what you're gonna 768 00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:27,319 Speaker 1: get from the Steelers defense. So like some weeks they 769 00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:29,680 Speaker 1: look incredible, some weeks it looks broken. There's gonna be 770 00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,800 Speaker 1: some bus which adds some variants here, but they also 771 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,640 Speaker 1: tend to have those splash plays from their defensive line, 772 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:40,879 Speaker 1: the strip sacks, the interceptions, how many of those can 773 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:43,640 Speaker 1: they get will probably go a long way in determining 774 00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,440 Speaker 1: this game. You know, it's also we'll see how you know, 775 00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,279 Speaker 1: Stroud and an indoor team going to outdoors and in 776 00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:53,480 Speaker 1: freezing cold temperatures. That's at least worth noting. I think 777 00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:54,799 Speaker 1: if you want to bet this game, I don't have 778 00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,080 Speaker 1: anything right now, but this game is on Monday, you're 779 00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:02,320 Speaker 1: gonna have lines. How you know, you already have the Seahawks, Niners, 780 00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:06,560 Speaker 1: line out the Rams Bears if you like something next week. 781 00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:09,719 Speaker 1: I think the Steelers are a good teaser piece to 782 00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: pair with, you know, say, getting Seattle from seven and 783 00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:18,080 Speaker 1: a half to one and a half. It's just an 784 00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:20,439 Speaker 1: ideal teaser piece. The total is thirty eight and a half. 785 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,040 Speaker 1: I know it's not the line's at two and a half, 786 00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:25,759 Speaker 1: but it's a juice three, you know, so you're crossing three, four, 787 00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:30,719 Speaker 1: six seven. So yeah, I think the Steelers teaser piece 788 00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,080 Speaker 1: is a good look, but this will probably come down 789 00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:39,800 Speaker 1: to which defense can force the more critical turnover because 790 00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:42,440 Speaker 1: this one should be tight throughout. 791 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, if I had to pick a winner, 792 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:47,480 Speaker 2: I like Houston, but I think the line's just right 793 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:49,440 Speaker 2: and I'm not comfortable really laying three to three and 794 00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 2: a half with a three eight and a half total, 795 00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:53,719 Speaker 2: so I buy that. The one thing I think is 796 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:55,800 Speaker 2: interesting is obviously you get t game Metcalf back in 797 00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,319 Speaker 2: the game, but if you've watched any Steelers games this year, 798 00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,759 Speaker 2: the chemistry between Metcalf and Rodgers is pretty much zero. Like, 799 00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,640 Speaker 2: I feel like he is not his favorite target. Now 800 00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:06,560 Speaker 2: will he force it there? Like he tends to just 801 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:10,400 Speaker 2: throw to his guys mvs or the tight ends. Like 802 00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:13,040 Speaker 2: it's just Rogers is set in his ways. So it'll 803 00:41:13,080 --> 00:41:16,000 Speaker 2: be interesting to me how Metcalf kind of gets brought 804 00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:19,839 Speaker 2: back into the picture after two plus weeks of them 805 00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:23,160 Speaker 2: trying to deal without him, So that to me is interesting. 806 00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:25,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think I don't think mecav being back 807 00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:29,799 Speaker 1: is as important in some matchups. You know, he could, 808 00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:33,160 Speaker 1: He's worth a couple of points, sure like, but here 809 00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:39,680 Speaker 1: us Stingley, who can just man up against him because 810 00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:41,799 Speaker 1: a lot of times you even in the red zone right, 811 00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:45,800 Speaker 1: you'll see like a safety you know, kind of hovering 812 00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 1: on his side, cheating decide and it might open up 813 00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:51,880 Speaker 1: some other things. But the Texans, you know, with their corners, 814 00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:56,200 Speaker 1: they can trust Stingley. By the way, Leonora followed a J. 815 00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:58,719 Speaker 1: Browny he never followed all year, and he followed a J. 816 00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:00,719 Speaker 1: Brown today. Don't they just kive him on he didn't 817 00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:02,360 Speaker 1: follow jsn all year. I'm curious to see if that 818 00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:05,680 Speaker 1: they changed that next week. But yeah, so he's not 819 00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:08,120 Speaker 1: as important, but he does have the big play ability, 820 00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:11,960 Speaker 1: so like he does have the chance of like taking 821 00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,560 Speaker 1: a slant seventy yards right, whereas no one else on 822 00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:17,279 Speaker 1: the Steelers does. So he gives you a little bit 823 00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:20,399 Speaker 1: more upside. But in this particular matchup, I don't think 824 00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:24,400 Speaker 1: he's as big as he would be compared to others. 825 00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:26,800 Speaker 2: And you had mentioned the Stroud thing, I think it 826 00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:28,640 Speaker 2: is worth noting. I mean, he's two and oh straight 827 00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:30,240 Speaker 2: up and against the spread at home in the playoffs, 828 00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,920 Speaker 2: zero to two on the road and those you know, 829 00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,399 Speaker 2: you hear quarterback stats and you're like, I need more context. Well, 830 00:42:36,600 --> 00:42:39,160 Speaker 2: I mean on those two road games, they've scored twenty 831 00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:42,200 Speaker 2: four total points, scoring fourteen or less in both games. 832 00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:44,880 Speaker 2: You don't need much more contact than that. So that 833 00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:46,840 Speaker 2: has to change if Houston's going to be able to 834 00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:48,799 Speaker 2: produce what they need to do to win this game. 835 00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:51,480 Speaker 2: So to me, that's noteworthy. And then I tweeted this out. 836 00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,320 Speaker 2: It's just kind of bonkers that the Steelers have started 837 00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,080 Speaker 2: so slow in playoff games. They've been outscored seventy three 838 00:42:57,080 --> 00:43:00,560 Speaker 2: to nothing in their six game playoff lou streak in 839 00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:03,839 Speaker 2: the first quarter, So, I mean, they've scored seven points 840 00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,040 Speaker 2: or less than sixty nine straight first quarters. Like you're 841 00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:08,759 Speaker 2: gonna probably need some sort of offense at some point. 842 00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:11,680 Speaker 2: You don't want to fall down seven, ten, thirteen, whatever. 843 00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:14,520 Speaker 2: Is nothing to Houston with that defense. So Pittsburgh's got 844 00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:16,680 Speaker 2: to try to change things up there. So those are 845 00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:18,919 Speaker 2: the things that I thought were kind of noteworthy. I'll 846 00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 2: give you, just sixty. 847 00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:23,680 Speaker 1: Nine straight without scoring more than seven points in the 848 00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:25,280 Speaker 1: first quarter is insane. 849 00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:29,120 Speaker 2: Insane, and it's just and that's through Rudolph and all 850 00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:33,440 Speaker 2: sorts of different garbage. But nonetheless, the three things I 851 00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:35,479 Speaker 2: were looking at were I kind of like wooding marks 852 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:37,400 Speaker 2: again in the end zone, even in a low scoring game. 853 00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:39,240 Speaker 2: If I had to pick a touchdown, that would probably 854 00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,239 Speaker 2: be my guy. I actually really like mvs. Over nine 855 00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:45,000 Speaker 2: and a half for saving yards. I just feel like 856 00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:47,960 Speaker 2: in this type of game, even with Metcalf back, he's 857 00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:49,600 Speaker 2: going to force it into the tight ends. But I 858 00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:51,200 Speaker 2: also think he's going to force it into the guys 859 00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:53,360 Speaker 2: he likes, because that's just who the hell Rodgers is. 860 00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:55,520 Speaker 2: So I like that nine and a half, and I 861 00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:57,960 Speaker 2: would look at Boswell over one and a half field goals. 862 00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:00,279 Speaker 2: I don't love it in this type of game, but again, 863 00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,880 Speaker 2: I see Pittsburgh moving the ball up to a certain 864 00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:05,720 Speaker 2: point and then just being Steinmied and Rogers getting sacked 865 00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,560 Speaker 2: and whatever. It ends up being incompletions and then they 866 00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:10,439 Speaker 2: end up having to kick field goals. So I don't 867 00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:11,840 Speaker 2: even know what that line is. I didn't look at 868 00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:13,520 Speaker 2: the juice, but over one and a half field goals 869 00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:15,759 Speaker 2: feels like something that'll hit for Boswall. So those are 870 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:16,439 Speaker 2: my three looks. 871 00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:21,560 Speaker 1: I believe the Giants have the record for that record 872 00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:24,560 Speaker 1: for consecutive games without scoring more than seven points in 873 00:44:24,600 --> 00:44:27,120 Speaker 1: the first quarter, and I think it's current. I think 874 00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:30,680 Speaker 1: it's eighty one. Maybe they broke it this year, but 875 00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:36,759 Speaker 1: I don't think. I think it's eighty games. I'm Giants 876 00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:41,440 Speaker 1: eighty games without scoring. 877 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,480 Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh stack goes back to September of twenty twenty two, 878 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:49,239 Speaker 2: which is a lot of time for Pittsburgh in a 879 00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:50,120 Speaker 2: lot of different quarterbacks. 880 00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:51,759 Speaker 1: This one goes back to twenty twenty. I don't know. 881 00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:55,600 Speaker 1: Let me say, wow, I could be making this up. 882 00:44:56,960 --> 00:44:59,120 Speaker 2: Even if you are, it sounds impressive. Yeah. 883 00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:01,040 Speaker 1: The New York Giants had a streak of eighty consecutive 884 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:02,960 Speaker 1: games where they scored no more than seven points in 885 00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:05,320 Speaker 1: the first quarter. Began during the twenty twenty season and 886 00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:08,480 Speaker 1: continued until early in the twenty twenty five season, so 887 00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,720 Speaker 1: it ended earlier this year. It's the second longest streak 888 00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:13,840 Speaker 1: in NFL history. 889 00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:18,200 Speaker 2: The longest is oh, you know what, it might have 890 00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:20,399 Speaker 2: been russ In like that early Cowboys game. 891 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:28,279 Speaker 1: Yes, that's a guess. The record is held by the 892 00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:32,200 Speaker 1: Brooklyn Dodgers from nineteen thirty to nineteen thirty seven eighty 893 00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:33,520 Speaker 1: six Jackie Robinson. 894 00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:35,320 Speaker 2: All right, so if you want to tell some of 895 00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:37,440 Speaker 2: these Monday night football bets, make sure to look for 896 00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:39,480 Speaker 2: the clicks up link in the podcast in video description 897 00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:42,440 Speaker 2: or go to Action hour dot com slash bet now now. 898 00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:44,799 Speaker 2: But finally, before we get out of here, let's hear 899 00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:46,919 Speaker 2: from Brandon Anderson and his Hot Read picks for next 900 00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:52,160 Speaker 2: week Hot Wrap bo seventy on ice right, ice cream. 901 00:45:53,280 --> 00:46:01,080 Speaker 3: Hold, I'm gonna start with forty nine ers Seahawks. Gimme 902 00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:04,320 Speaker 3: the under under forty six and a half. Typically you 903 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,280 Speaker 3: want overs in the division round and usually with the Niners. 904 00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:09,760 Speaker 3: But y'all look a little below the surface here. Obviously, 905 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,719 Speaker 3: these teams just played two weeks ago Seattle thirteen to three, 906 00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:16,680 Speaker 3: dominant win. Niners thirty six percent success rate terrible one 907 00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:19,520 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy three yards, three points. Both of those 908 00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:22,480 Speaker 3: they're lowest since their debut game with kel Shanahan back 909 00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:25,759 Speaker 3: in twenty seventeen. Nine first downs all game. They got 910 00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,440 Speaker 3: totally shut down on their money play as sand Fran 911 00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:32,000 Speaker 3: number number one, red zone number one. On late downs, 912 00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:34,640 Speaker 3: they were two of eleven on late downs. Oer of 913 00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:36,279 Speaker 3: one in the red zone of that game. This is 914 00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:39,160 Speaker 3: what Seattle went out to get Mike McDonald four for 915 00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:44,480 Speaker 3: these Shanahan McVay offenses, Seahawks defense is awesome. Number one dvoay, 916 00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:47,719 Speaker 3: Top two against the run and the pass, and importantly 917 00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:52,040 Speaker 3: top seven are better against motion play action under center 918 00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:56,160 Speaker 3: middle of the field, all those money Shanahan areas. That 919 00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:59,600 Speaker 3: is what Seattle defends best. And it turns out that 920 00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:03,120 Speaker 3: really wasn't new for the Niners offense to stall. We 921 00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:05,960 Speaker 3: saw it again today against a real defense. Check out 922 00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:09,560 Speaker 3: these splits. Since brock pretty returned from injury, Niners have 923 00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:13,160 Speaker 3: played four games against defenses twentieth or worse, four games 924 00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:15,960 Speaker 3: against anyone better like twentieth is not even good, just 925 00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:18,840 Speaker 3: even league average or better. This is including like Carolina 926 00:47:18,880 --> 00:47:22,239 Speaker 3: and Cleveland. In those four games against the bad defenses, 927 00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:26,200 Speaker 3: average scored the game just under seventy points a game 928 00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:29,840 Speaker 3: forty or fifty four percent success rate for the Niners offense, 929 00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:33,560 Speaker 3: and the other four games again against any defense with 930 00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:37,200 Speaker 3: a pulse forty percent success rate down from fifty four. 931 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:41,000 Speaker 3: Average score of those games not seventy anymore, Try thirty 932 00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:45,120 Speaker 3: thirty point three max score of forty two. The Niners 933 00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:48,359 Speaker 3: offense is just not scoring against top defenses. I think 934 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:50,680 Speaker 3: they got a little bit inflated based on some of 935 00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:54,000 Speaker 3: those bad matchups. Now, obviously George Kittle is out, that's 936 00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,759 Speaker 3: a huge loss, especially in this matchup. Seattle has not 937 00:47:56,880 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 3: defended tight ends that great. Trent Williams is a question 938 00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:03,239 Speaker 3: as always. He missed the last game. Ricky Piersoll is 939 00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:06,319 Speaker 3: an unknown. Niners offense has just not been good enough, 940 00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:09,359 Speaker 3: and Sales offense really hasn't been that top notch either. 941 00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:12,439 Speaker 3: Week eleven, a RAMS game, we saw the RAMS count 942 00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:15,600 Speaker 3: of exposed Seattle, and since that game forward, Seattle went 943 00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:18,880 Speaker 3: from the number one passing offense to twenty fifth. That's 944 00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:22,840 Speaker 3: bottom quarter of the league. Seattle, even against the Niners, 945 00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:24,640 Speaker 3: probably not going to hang a huge number. They have 946 00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:27,680 Speaker 3: been an under team, especially first half thirteen and four 947 00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:29,560 Speaker 3: to the under, so I will probably look for a 948 00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:32,200 Speaker 3: first half under as well. But this forty six and 949 00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:34,560 Speaker 3: a half, this is the same total the Niners open 950 00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:36,759 Speaker 3: against the Eagles, and I don't close forty four. I 951 00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:39,879 Speaker 3: think this goes the same direction that's already going down. 952 00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:42,680 Speaker 3: Forty seven is a key number. We're on the wrong 953 00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:44,799 Speaker 3: side of it. But I think we get towards forty four, 954 00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:47,080 Speaker 3: which is the next key number down. Give me the 955 00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:51,600 Speaker 3: under forty six and a half at DraftKings, Seahawks and Niners. 956 00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:54,400 Speaker 3: And while we're here, quick second, high red, keep it 957 00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:58,800 Speaker 3: nice and easy, Seahawks rams, money line parlay. It's even 958 00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,600 Speaker 3: odds right now, this color shot, I think that is 959 00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:04,600 Speaker 3: our NFC championship game. Let's start with the Seahawks. 960 00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:05,279 Speaker 2: We're just there. 961 00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:09,160 Speaker 3: This is a bet on that Mike McDonald defense. Niners 962 00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:12,600 Speaker 3: injured everywhere, all those offensive injuries, and Seattle is rested 963 00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,160 Speaker 3: now because they got that thirteen to three row to win. 964 00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,719 Speaker 3: This is what they get is the home game with 965 00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:21,719 Speaker 3: the rest against this tired Niners team. I don't really 966 00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:24,399 Speaker 3: want to trust Darnold in that offense yet, but San 967 00:49:24,520 --> 00:49:27,080 Speaker 3: Franz defense should be just enough for them to get there. 968 00:49:27,160 --> 00:49:29,640 Speaker 3: Seattle's zero of three in the red zone that game, 969 00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:32,040 Speaker 3: so probably it shouldn't have been been as close as 970 00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:34,799 Speaker 3: it did. Turn out. Seattle and they have fans at 971 00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:39,120 Speaker 3: home games. Ten straight playoff wins, third longest streak in 972 00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,000 Speaker 3: NFL history. I think they get an eleventh one here 973 00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,840 Speaker 3: and host the NFC Championship game against the Rams. This 974 00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:49,840 Speaker 3: is an easy sell high spot for the Bears, obvious 975 00:49:49,960 --> 00:49:53,120 Speaker 3: letdown spot emotionally after I can they won their Super Bowl, right, 976 00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:56,400 Speaker 3: we saw the comeback, the crazy, crazy game against the Packers. 977 00:49:56,760 --> 00:49:59,600 Speaker 3: But don't forget though the first three quarters count there too. 978 00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:02,880 Speaker 3: Chicago has been totally outplayed through three quarters twice now 979 00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,520 Speaker 3: in the last month against the Packers, really against some 980 00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:09,279 Speaker 3: of the Packers' backups before that big finish. Bears lose 981 00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:12,400 Speaker 3: their starting left tackle, they lose their best linebacker and 982 00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:15,520 Speaker 3: TG Edwards. Their corners are all banged up. This is 983 00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:17,960 Speaker 3: really a good get right spot I think for the Rams, 984 00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:20,920 Speaker 3: especially that Rams offense. I think they can name their 985 00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:24,160 Speaker 3: number against the Bears defense. Bears d by far the 986 00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,239 Speaker 3: weak link on the field, similar to Santa fran in 987 00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:29,960 Speaker 3: the other game. Stafford's fingers supposedly looks fine. I'm going 988 00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:31,200 Speaker 3: to count of the Rams to score. 989 00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:32,880 Speaker 2: Do the Bears score? 990 00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:36,680 Speaker 3: They might Ben Johnson might find some answers. Rams defense 991 00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:38,279 Speaker 3: has been a little bit leaky, but you don't want 992 00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:40,239 Speaker 3: to want to shootout against the Rams, not with that 993 00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:44,360 Speaker 3: Bears defense. Rams didn't get the one seed, but they 994 00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:46,920 Speaker 3: did kind of get lucky here they get Carolina and 995 00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:49,319 Speaker 3: now this banged up Bears team rather than a road 996 00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:51,400 Speaker 3: game in a failure or something like that. This is 997 00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,440 Speaker 3: my Super Bowl pick, my favorite. I think they're the 998 00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:56,480 Speaker 3: surer win of these teams, even though they're a bit 999 00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:58,680 Speaker 3: shorter on the line. So I'll probably be back on 1000 00:50:58,880 --> 00:51:01,200 Speaker 3: Rams and Alters this week, so I'm just going to 1001 00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:03,120 Speaker 3: ride the two favorites here. I think the public will 1002 00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:04,719 Speaker 3: as well, especially with all. 1003 00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:05,359 Speaker 2: The injury news. 1004 00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:08,600 Speaker 3: So I think these lines do rise a little bit, 1005 00:51:09,040 --> 00:51:12,120 Speaker 3: maybe towards six ish for the Rams, maybe to seven 1006 00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:14,800 Speaker 3: or past for Seattle. We're getting plus one hundred on 1007 00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,920 Speaker 3: the moneyline parlay. I think by game day next weekend 1008 00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:20,760 Speaker 3: maybe more like minus one twenty five one to thirty. 1009 00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:25,480 Speaker 3: So let's grab a Rams Seattle moneyline parlay at evan 1010 00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:27,960 Speaker 3: odds plus one hundred and called a wrap. Let's get 1011 00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:29,799 Speaker 3: to the NFC Championship. 1012 00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:33,240 Speaker 2: All righty? Then, thank you Brandon, as always, we appreciate 1013 00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:35,000 Speaker 2: it and we miss you. That'll do it here on 1014 00:51:35,080 --> 00:51:37,880 Speaker 2: the Favorites and the Action Hour podcast for our crossover 1015 00:51:38,040 --> 00:51:42,239 Speaker 2: NFL Wildcard weekend recap episode presented by DraftKings. Give us 1016 00:51:42,239 --> 00:51:44,600 Speaker 2: a like on the YouTube video and do not forget 1017 00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:48,040 Speaker 2: five star ratings and reviews wherever and whenever you are listening, 1018 00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,680 Speaker 2: we always appreciate it. If you haven't yet check out 1019 00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:53,640 Speaker 2: our new aiquicks Abot on X. Just tag Playbook at 1020 00:51:53,680 --> 00:51:56,359 Speaker 2: Playbook till to grab whatever bets you're looking for. It'll 1021 00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:58,520 Speaker 2: create a quick slip link for you in a matter 1022 00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:02,000 Speaker 2: of seconds. We'll be back for Action Island right before 1023 00:52:02,120 --> 00:52:06,799 Speaker 2: Monday night football game right here Steelers Texans video comes 1024 00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:09,120 Speaker 2: out midday. It'll be live all day to check out 1025 00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:12,239 Speaker 2: and more best bets from Brandon, the six pack from 1026 00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:15,120 Speaker 2: Ray Bond and Stuck Anytime, Touchdowns from Jill and all 1027 00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:17,560 Speaker 2: of our guys and more on the podcast Speed next 1028 00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:20,719 Speaker 2: week for the divisional round. Thank you for listening, Good 1029 00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:22,920 Speaker 2: luck with all your bets, oh man, what a weekend. 1030 00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:43,239 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1031 00:52:43,280 --> 00:52:46,080 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1032 00:52:46,080 --> 00:52:49,160 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler