1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: DAYBAC podcast, available every morning on Apple, Spotify or wherever 3 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: you listen. It's Tuesday, the twenty fifth of June in London. 4 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:18,760 Speaker 1: I'm Caroline Hepcare and. 5 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Carroll coming up today. Four hundred and thirty 6 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 2: billion dollars has wiped off the value of Nvidia as 7 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,480 Speaker 2: the chip maker suffers the biggest three day lass in history. 8 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: Julian Massage is to return home. The wikileague's founder agrees 9 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: a plea deal with the US that we'll see him 10 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: avoid further jail time. 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 2: Plus a housing crisis so big it would need a 12 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,839 Speaker 2: city the size of London to fix it, we look 13 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 2: at why Britain has fallen so far behind its European 14 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 2: peers in delivering new homes. 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 16 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 2: Nvidia's share price has entered correction territory after four hundred 17 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: and thirty billion dollars was wiped off the AI chip 18 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 2: giants value in just three trading days after briefly holding 19 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: the title is the world's most valuable company. The thirteen 20 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: percent drop puts in videos valuation back below three trillion dollars, 21 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 2: below that of both Microsoft and Apple. According to data 22 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 2: compiled by Bloomberg, it is the biggest three day value 23 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 2: loss for any company in history. Wealth Enhancement Group portfolio 24 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 2: manager Ayako Yoshioka says markets are struggling to accurately value 25 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 2: in video right now. 26 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 3: I think it's really difficult to really ascertain what the 27 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 3: total addressable market really is for artificial intelligence. It used 28 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 3: to be sort of a rule of thumb when I 29 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 3: was growing up in this business that, you know, anything 30 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 3: over ten times price to sales was just too expensive. 31 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 3: And at twenty three times, it's well above that, and 32 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 3: so it does become very difficult and so and it 33 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 3: becomes more of a short term guessing game in terms 34 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 3: of supply and demand. 35 00:01:56,640 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 2: Ayako Yoshioka. They're speaking to Booberg Technologies ed Ludlow. Even 36 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 2: with the selloff over the last few days, and videos 37 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 2: still the second best performer on the S and P 38 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 2: five hundred this year, up nearly one hundred and forty percent. 39 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 1: Now, the Federal Reserve has shown other US regulators a 40 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 1: three page document of possible changes to their bank capital overhaul. 41 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg understands that the changes would significantly lighten the load 42 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:26,600 Speaker 1: on Wall Street lenders. The revision is understood to walk 43 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:29,839 Speaker 1: back key parts of the Landmark proposal and could lead 44 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: to significant reductions in how much additional capital large banks 45 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: are required to hold. Bloomberg's Banking Regulations Report of Katanga 46 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: Johnson says that the move would be seen as a 47 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: victory for Wall Street banks generally. 48 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 4: While there aren't any specific targets that the FED has made, 49 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 4: sources that we've spoken to say that if all the 50 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 4: changes in this term she were to take a fact, 51 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 4: we could see a hike of at least or as 52 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 4: low as five percent, as opposed to the sixteen percent 53 00:02:59,000 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 4: across the board. 54 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: Katanga Johnson says that US officials haven't yet reached an 55 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:07,639 Speaker 1: agreement on the bank capital revamp, and it's still unclear 56 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: whether a revised package will get across the finish line 57 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 1: before the presidential election in November. 58 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 2: Julian Asand plans to plead guilty to leaking US national 59 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 2: security documents as part of a deal with the US 60 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 2: that will allow him to return home. The Wiki leak's 61 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 2: founder has spent the past five years in a British prison. 62 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 2: The deal with the Department of Justice will mean his 63 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 2: return to Australia. The current editor in chief of Wiki Leagues, 64 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 2: Kristin Ranson, says that Assand has left the UK. 65 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 5: I just came out of Belmar's prison in what I 66 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 5: hope is my last visit to see Julian here in 67 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 5: this prison where he's spent five years, two months and 68 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 5: two weeks. And if you're seeing this, it means he 69 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 5: is out. 70 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 2: A's Kristin Ranson there, speaking in a pre recorded statement. 71 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 2: The Plea Agreement seeks to end an international fight to 72 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 2: prosecute a sanje Over League's publication of sensitive US military documents, 73 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 2: including war logs and diplomatic cables in twenty ten and 74 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 2: twenty eleven. It was one of the largest breaches of 75 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 2: state secrets in US history. 76 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: France's president says that the policies of the far right 77 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 1: in the upcoming elections could spark a quote civil war. 78 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 1: Manu and Macon told the Generation Do It Yourself podcast 79 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 1: that the national rally parties plans tackle crime focusing on 80 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 1: people's religion or origins is divisive and could lead to unrest. 81 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,279 Speaker 1: He also said that there were risks from far left 82 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: policies It comes after the far right leader Jordan Bardella 83 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 1: said that his party is ready to govern if it 84 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 1: wins the election. 85 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 6: Seven lone years of machronism have weakened the country, the 86 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:51,599 Speaker 6: budget situation at an air bankruptcy, as well as the 87 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 6: security and migration disorders. 88 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 7: Power call for unity. The Nationality today is the only 89 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 7: movement capable of imp the aspirations clearly expressed by the 90 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 7: French people in a reasonable manner. In three words, We're ready. 91 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: That was the national rally president Jordan Bardella, speaking there 92 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 1: through a translator. His party is leading in the polls 93 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: head of the first round of voting on Sunday, with 94 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 1: one survey suggesting that the party could secure an absolute 95 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:24,280 Speaker 1: majority in the French Parliament. 96 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 2: The UK's two largest parties are both warning that the 97 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 2: other would break the economy, as a leading think tank 98 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 2: says they have dubbed hard fiscal choices. Leaders Kirs Armer 99 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:36,839 Speaker 2: and Richie Sunac have both invokes the memory of Liz 100 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 2: Tross as they traded barbs on tax and spend policies. 101 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 2: It comes as Poles suggests Sunac faces an electoral wipeout. 102 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 2: Conservative Kemmy Badenoch didn't rule out standing to replace Ritchie Sunac. 103 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: In a Bloomberg debate between the two potential next business secretaries. 104 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 8: I'm already the secual of Business and Trade and it's 105 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 8: actually been the job of a lifetime. We need to 106 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 8: focus on this lie. The choice is going to be 107 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 8: between us or between them. I can be afraid if 108 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:06,359 Speaker 8: it is them, is all I would say. And we 109 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 8: will talk about leadership things after an election. 110 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 2: You can listen to the full deblate between Mmy Badenoch 111 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 2: and Labor's shadow business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds on YouTube or 112 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,479 Speaker 2: in the Bloomberg UK Politics podcast feed. In a moment, 113 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 2: we'll look at the sudden drop and in video's Dark 114 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:23,679 Speaker 2: Price and bring you new Bloomberg analysis on the size 115 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 2: of the whole in the UK's housing market, with both 116 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: the Tory and Labor parties promising to build more homes. 117 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 2: But the story that caught our eye this morning technology 118 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,040 Speaker 2: colliding with the creative industries. 119 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is such an interesting piece. So the biggest 120 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:40,119 Speaker 1: record labels in the world are now suing a couple 121 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 1: of AI startups for their training models, using allegedly massive 122 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:50,159 Speaker 1: amounts of copyrighted sound recordings. So it's the industry body 123 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: that's doing it, the Recording Industry Association of America. They 124 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: filed lawsuits against SONOAI and also Uncharted Labs, which is 125 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:03,799 Speaker 1: the developer of ud Ai. It's a really interesting story. 126 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 1: I actually had a look online at some DJs using 127 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 1: Udeo to make songs. They were making them in like 128 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:11,920 Speaker 1: sixty seconds with prompts, so it was so so quick. 129 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 2: We really love the example of the story. People could 130 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 2: go short written prompt like an electropop song about strawberries. 131 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 2: I want to know what that sounds like. 132 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 5: Well. 133 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: The reason that you do that, according to the CEO 134 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: of the business, is obviously you can't use an artist's 135 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: name or particular album, but you can just ask in 136 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: general for that music. The issue, though, is that the 137 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: trade is looking for damages. Do you want to know 138 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: how much? 139 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 2: It's huge? 140 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:43,840 Speaker 1: One hundred and fifty thousand dollars per work infringed. So 141 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: this is all going to court then, yes, Creative industries 142 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 1: and ar clashing. 143 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, indeed, an interesting reflection I suppose on how the 144 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 2: creative industries are adapting to this huge change in technology 145 00:07:56,960 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 2: as well and the sort of challenges that it could present. 146 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 2: As we you know, AI being increasingly used in different 147 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 2: industries and more extensively using as well. As This is 148 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 2: going to be a really closely watched case to see 149 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 2: how artists can protect their music and also crucially how 150 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 2: record labels can do that as well. 151 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: Now let's think about, well, the big move in US 152 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: stock markets yesterday, of course, and videos share price drop 153 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 1: thirteen percent since it briefly overtook Microsoft last week as 154 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: the world's most valuable company. It has pushed in Videos 155 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 1: shares into a technical correction and seems to have shaken 156 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 1: also the broad optimism about US equities, which have posted 157 00:08:38,400 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 1: record after record this year. Joining us to discuss is Boomberg. 158 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: Opinion columnists covering technology in Asia, Tim culprin Good Morning, Tim, 159 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 1: many explanations for the sudden route in Video's shares were 160 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 1: down on Monday alone six point seven percent. Why do 161 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 1: you think it's happened over these last few days. 162 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 9: Well, there's nothing fundamental that's actually changed in the company. 163 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 9: Has been outlook change or anything like that. There's been 164 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 9: no major announcements. It's worth putting in context that they're 165 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 9: estimated priced earnings ratio is forty four times, so that's 166 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 9: pretty high. It takes forty four years to get back 167 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 9: your money if you're invested in video. But there's a 168 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:17,839 Speaker 9: few things happening kind of on the ground level that 169 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 9: I think shareholders, investors, fundam mentioners are starting to hear. 170 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 9: And one of them is that there is concerns that 171 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 9: those who are buying in video chips, these chips that 172 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 9: go into the massive AI data centers, may not be 173 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 9: able to install them quickly enough. And it's not easy 174 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 9: to install an AI data center. They suck up a 175 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 9: hell of a lot of energy, lots on lots of electricity, 176 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 9: and on the other side of that, there's a lot 177 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 9: of heating that needs to be dealt with. They need 178 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 9: to cool them down. They're using liquid cooling systems like 179 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 9: massive refrigerators attached to these server farms, and this is 180 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 9: really really difficult stuff. So what I'm hearing on the 181 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 9: ground in Asia, which is also a belief persistem throughout 182 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:58,319 Speaker 9: both North America and Europe, is that the big companies, 183 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 9: the big cloud service providers that want to install AI 184 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 9: data centers are struggling to make the data centers that 185 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 9: can really meet these standards. And if they can't meet 186 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 9: those standards, they're not going to be able to buy 187 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 9: more in via chips going forward because they just can't 188 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 9: install them, they can't pew them, they can't call them, 189 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 9: and so forth. So that is a concern going forward, 190 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 9: and I do wonder whether some investors are starting to 191 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 9: hear those things. 192 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 2: Does this go as far as undermining confidence in the 193 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 2: AI story? 194 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 9: Tem No, Look, the AI boom is here. I think 195 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 9: we're really looking at, you know, nineteen twenties automobiles. There's 196 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 9: going to be some pickups. There's going to be times 197 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:36,720 Speaker 9: where you know, cars crash or there's not enough petrol 198 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 9: stations or gas stations to fuel the cars, or the 199 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 9: roads are not that great. But you know, the long 200 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 9: term future of AI is definitely assured. At the belief 201 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 9: right now is, of course, is that in video is 202 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 9: the biggest winner of that. Who also the winners TSMC, 203 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 9: maybe Amazon, maybe Apple, and all the other companies have 204 00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 9: their own AI plays. But the bigger thesis is absolutely intact. 205 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:00,719 Speaker 9: It's just a matter of what bumps are going to 206 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 9: be on the way. 207 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, what do you think it means? 208 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:02,719 Speaker 8: Though? 209 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: For the wider markets, I mentioned the kind of optimism 210 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 1: that we've seen, is it thirty one record highs for 211 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: US equities this year. 212 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 9: Yeah, looks so much of what's going on in the 213 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 9: US is about these companies. You know, the eight largest 214 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 9: companies in the world, seven of them American, two of 215 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,319 Speaker 9: them one is Saudi Aramco, the oil company. The eight 216 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 9: one is TSMC, which is in some ways de fecto American. 217 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 9: So you've got Apple, You've got Nvid, you've got Microsoft, Amazon. 218 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 9: All these companies are in the AI space. So all 219 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,559 Speaker 9: the trinion dollar companies are somehow connected to AI, except 220 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:37,680 Speaker 9: Saudi Aramco, who's oil, I guess is powering some power stations. 221 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,559 Speaker 9: So you know, AI is really the big story of 222 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 9: tox right now, especially in the United States. 223 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 2: Okay, Tim Colpen, Bloomberg opinion columnists covering technology in Asia, 224 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 2: thank you very much for joining us with your analysis 225 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 2: this morning. Well, let's take you to a story here 226 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 2: in the UK. Now, Britain's housing crisis become so acute 227 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:56,200 Speaker 2: that the next government will need to build the equivalent 228 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 2: of another city the size of London to make up 229 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 2: for five decades of low target construction. That's according to 230 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,839 Speaker 2: Bloomberg analysis of official data. The trend has contributed to 231 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 2: high living costs for many and as pricing so much 232 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 2: of the population out of owning a home. Housing one 233 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 2: of the key issues in the UK election as well. 234 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 2: And our reporter aim And Farhart is joining us now 235 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 2: for more. Good morning to you, Aim and so give 236 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 2: us an explanation. How did you arrive at a city 237 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 2: the size of London? How many houses are needed in 238 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 2: the UK? 239 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 10: Yeah, exactly, I mean it's four point three million houses. 240 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:30,080 Speaker 10: What we basically we looked at almost like the last 241 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 10: fifty years and we tried to compare how much the 242 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 10: UK was building and how much Western Europe, so countries 243 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 10: like France, Germany, Spain, how much they were building. And 244 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 10: if you kind of if we were to have kept 245 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 10: up with the peace of the rate of growth of 246 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 10: housing in Europe, we would have had four point three 247 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 10: million more homes. And that's what we should have. That's 248 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 10: what kind of research I think we should have to 249 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:51,640 Speaker 10: have a housing market that isn't under as much pressure. 250 00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 10: Four point three million, which is bigger than London actually 251 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 10: when it comes to the number of homes. 252 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a staggering figure, isn't it. In terms 253 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:02,200 Speaker 1: of the shortfall then obviously perhaps quite a number of explanations. 254 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:05,479 Speaker 1: So why we haven't built enough over all those years? 255 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean one thing is when you talk about 256 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,560 Speaker 10: the housing deficit, it's one hand about you know the 257 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 10: fact that we haven't had you know, the kind of 258 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,200 Speaker 10: planning system that allows for the housing that we need. 259 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 10: It's you know, the fact that the kind of public 260 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 10: housing stock also has dropped quite low, especially kind of 261 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 10: studying in the kind of seventies eighties, and that's for 262 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 10: historic reasons when market Thatcher was in power. And it's 263 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 10: also about population growth. You know, there are some parts 264 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 10: of the country where the population has grown quite quickly 265 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:32,760 Speaker 10: and there just hasn't been the housing to keep up 266 00:13:32,760 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 10: with it. So, you know, one hand, it's about the supply, 267 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 10: but also the demand for housing, which in some places 268 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 10: is going you know, it's about ten to one ten 269 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 10: people have kind of an age to the population in 270 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 10: some areas to every one house that has been built. 271 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 2: Which areas the UK are we talking about as being 272 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 2: the worst affected? Is this a London problem? 273 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 10: Aiman? I mean, it's interesting when you look at the data, 274 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:52,560 Speaker 10: London does come up as being you know, quite bad, 275 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 10: but actually it's sometimes the place is kind of around 276 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 10: in and around London. So you know, places like Luton 277 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 10: comes up as being one of the worst places in UK, 278 00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 10: Birmingham comes off as being somewhere that's quite bad. I mean, 279 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 10: i'd say that actually it's not just another problem. This 280 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 10: is some thing that's been felt across the UK. You know, 281 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 10: it's obvious that you know where big cities are, where 282 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 10: the jobs are often is where the housing is most stressed. 283 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 10: But even you know commuter towns places up north as well. 284 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 10: This is something that's being held and felt by people 285 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 10: across you know, from Scotland down to data south of England. 286 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: And also of course in this election campaign moment, how 287 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 1: the party's hoping to fix this I suppose Also why 288 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 1: have they not managed to fix it In the past 289 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: there has been a house building target that was then 290 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 1: softened by the Conservatives in office, and Labor have a 291 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 1: big pledge on this too. 292 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 10: Yeah, so whilst conceptives are an officer, was this two 293 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:42,000 Speaker 10: in one thousand homes per year target that was never reached. 294 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 10: Labor now have said they're going to build one point 295 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 10: five million homes in the next parliament, which is also 296 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 10: three in one thousand homes. I mean, just to say 297 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 10: one thing is that all the target said about there 298 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 10: would not you know, remove this deficit. It would take 299 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 10: I think about you know, fourteen fifteen years with no 300 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 10: population growth at the rates that they're talking about to 301 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 10: remove the deficits. So it's quite difficult. I mean, it 302 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 10: comes down to planning. I think, I think the labor 303 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 10: you know, they're talking a lot about these these goals, 304 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 10: but it's about reforming the planning system and really getting 305 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 10: big number of homes you know, built that could actually 306 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 10: make a different and that's what really has held it 307 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 10: back up to now. 308 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 309 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 2: stories making news from London to Wall Streets and beyond. 310 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 311 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 312 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 313 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 314 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 315 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 316 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 1: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 317 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,040 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 318 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 2: the news you need to start your day. Right here 319 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 2: on Bloomberg day Break Europe