1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 2: This is the Blueberg daybreakur podcast, available every morning on Apple, 3 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 2: Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Friday, the thirtieth of May. 4 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 2: Here in London. I'm Caroline Hepka. Coming up today. Markets 5 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: drop as Trump wins a temporary tariff reprieve in an 6 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 2: appeals court ruling, and the Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessen concedes 7 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: that trade talks with China have stalled the Bank of 8 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 2: England's Andrew Bailey wades into UK politics and calls for 9 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 2: closer EU ties to reverse the damage of Brexit. Plus, 10 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 2: Hidden in Plane Sight, we discuss the obscure tax item 11 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 2: buried deep in the President's massive tax and spending bill 12 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 2: that is giving wall Streets sleepless nights. Let's start with 13 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:58,639 Speaker 2: a roundup of our top stories. President Trump's global tariffs 14 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 2: will remain in place for now. That's after an appeals 15 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 2: court temporarily paused a ruling on Wednesday that had blocked them. 16 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 2: JOm has hailed the ruling in a social media post 17 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 2: on Thursday night, while calling the original decision quote so 18 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:19,399 Speaker 2: wrong and so political. Derek Wallbang is our senior editor 19 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: for US economics and government. 20 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,479 Speaker 3: This is going to work through the US legal process. 21 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 3: In the meantime, though, it has kind of complicated the 22 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 3: idea that the Trump administration in this ninety day pause 23 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 3: window was going and trying to do deals with individual countries. 24 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 3: We really haven't seen a ton of deals come through 25 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 3: with that. We've had the UK, a lot of others 26 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 3: are said to be maybe close or nearer, but haven't 27 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 3: gotten over the line. 28 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 2: Darry Wallbank says that despite the temporary reprieve, the possibility 29 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 2: remains that the appeals court could ultimately back the original 30 00:01:56,200 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 2: ruling and block President Trump's tariff policy that would reduce 31 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 2: the effective US tariff rate to below six percent from 32 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 2: a high of almost twenty seven percent last month. However, 33 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 2: White House official stress that Trump has options to pursue 34 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 2: similar tariffs through other authorities if appeals ultimately fall short. Now, 35 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 2: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bestent says that trade talks with 36 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 2: China are currently at a bit of a standstill. Bestent 37 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 2: told Fox News a call may be required between President 38 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 2: Trump and Chinese President Shijinping in order to reach a deal. 39 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 4: I would say that they are a bit stalled. I 40 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 4: believe that We will be having more talks with them 41 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 4: in the next few weeks, and I believe we may 42 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 4: at some point have a call between the President and 43 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 4: party chair. 44 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 5: She. 45 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 2: That was Treasuy Sectary Scott Bessent speaking on Fox News. 46 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 2: The last time Trump and She spoke was in January, 47 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 2: days ahead of President Trump's inauguration. The US President said 48 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: that he would speak to the Chinese leader in the 49 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 2: days after trade talks in mid May, though the call 50 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 2: never materialized, and in their first in person meeting since 51 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:17,640 Speaker 2: the inauguration, President Trump pushed the FED Chair, Jerome Powell 52 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 2: to lower interest rates. The US President has publicly and 53 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 2: repeatedly lashed out at the policymaker, calling him a quote loser. 54 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 2: White House Press Secretory Caroline Levitt says that Trump urged 55 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 2: Powell to cut rates. 56 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 6: The President did say that he believes the FED chair 57 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 6: is making a mistake by not lowering interest rates, which 58 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 6: is putting US at an economic disadvantage to China in 59 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 6: other countries, and the President's been very vocal about that 60 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 6: both publicly and now I can reveal privately as well. 61 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 2: The White House Press Secretary there the FED officials have 62 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: held interest rates steady this year, arguing that a patient 63 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 2: approach to policy is appropriate amid economic uncertainty caused by tariffs. 64 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 2: The Central Bank says that Chair Pow quote stress the 65 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 2: path of policy will depend entirely on incoming economic information 66 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 2: and what that means for the outlook. While moving on 67 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 2: to some corporate news, the CEO of City Group says 68 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 2: that the economic outlook for the US does remain stronger 69 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 2: than Europe despite sweeping policy uncertainty from trade and tariffs. 70 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 7: Bloomberg's un Potts has more. 71 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 8: There's nothing like being in Europe to make you feel 72 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 8: a bit better about the US. City Groups Shane Fraser 73 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 8: not mincing her words. She was speaking in a wide 74 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:34,159 Speaker 8: ranging interview at a financial conference, where she also expressed 75 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 8: skepticism that the EU will pursue its long delayed plan 76 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 8: for capital markets union and drive economic growth. On the 77 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 8: prospects for the US economy, Fraser said her eye is 78 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 8: on the unemployment figures, but Addie, the consumer spending so 79 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 8: far appears to be showing signs of resilience in London. 80 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 7: I'm you in pots Blimberg Radio. 81 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 2: Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has urged the British 82 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 2: government to strike a deeper EU trade deal. The Central 83 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 2: bank head warned that quote something has gone wrong with 84 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 2: the global trading system. 85 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 9: If you believe that tariff action is needed to create 86 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 9: the shock and or to get these issues onto the 87 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 9: table and dealt with, I'm afraid that means something's gone 88 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 9: wrong with the multilateral system. Yeah, these things ought to 89 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 9: be dealt with without having to get to this point. 90 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:22,279 Speaker 9: And we need to deal with that something. And it 91 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 9: matters to central bankers and economic policymakers because our jobs 92 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 9: are much harder, much harder if we face more inflexible 93 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 9: and uncertain supply conditions in our economies, as we appear 94 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 9: to do today. 95 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 2: The Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey he sees rebuilding 96 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 2: ties with the EU as the best way to drive 97 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 2: sorely needed UK growth. Since the recent trade deal with Europe, 98 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 2: UK business confidence has jumped to a nine month high 99 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 2: in a sharp rebound. And lastly, a fifty three year 100 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:55,919 Speaker 2: old man is due in court later today accused of 101 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 2: driving a car into crowds of people at Liverpool's trophy parade. 102 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 2: Paul Doyle, who is from the West Derby area of 103 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:06,840 Speaker 2: the city, is charged with seven offenses including dangerous driving, 104 00:06:06,920 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 2: malicious wounding and intent to cause grievous bodily harm. Jenny 105 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 2: Simms is the Assistant Chief Constable of Merseyside Police. 106 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 7: This continues to be. 107 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 10: A large and complex investigation and detectives are reviewing a 108 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 10: huge volume of CCTV and mobile phone footage submitted by 109 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 10: the public and businesses. 110 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 2: Jenny Simms speaking there. Seventy nine people were injured in 111 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 2: Monday's incident in Liverpool, with seven people still in hospital. 112 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 2: Those are our top stories this morning. Let me take 113 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 2: you through the markets now. So the legal battle over 114 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 2: President Trump's tariffs and the uncertainty injected by a fresh 115 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 2: court decision has weighed on markets. The masci Asia Pacific 116 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 2: indegs down half of one percent, the Hank Saying dropping 117 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 2: one and a half percent this morning. We also had 118 00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 2: data out yesterday showing the US economy shrank at the 119 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 2: start of this year, weaker consumer spending and even bigger 120 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:07,719 Speaker 2: impact from trade than had been initially thought. Stock futures 121 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 2: for the US and for Europe are in the red 122 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 2: this morning. We're down two tenths for the S and 123 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 2: P five hundred e Many futures you've also got in 124 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 2: terms of the BlueBag dollar Spot index. A stronger dollar, 125 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 2: a weeker euro, weeker pound a Japanese yen, though, is 126 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 2: gaining two tenths of one percent. I've read an interesting 127 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 2: report that global investors have become net buyers of cash 128 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 2: Japanese equities for the last eight weeks in a row. 129 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 2: So this goes to that theme of investors looking elsewhere 130 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 2: and away from just the kind of US exceptional trade 131 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 2: in stocks. Looking at the bond markets this morning, little 132 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 2: movement actually in tenny US treasure yields forty two is 133 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 2: where we stand. So those are the markets in a moment. 134 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 2: I'm going to bring you more in the latest when 135 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 2: it comes to the Trump administration winning a temporary tariff 136 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 2: reprieve in the appeals Cord. Plus also why Wall Street 137 00:07:56,960 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: is alarmed by a tax measure that's buried in the 138 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 2: big beautiful bill that's currently working its way through Congress. 139 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 2: So we'll get to those stories. But somebody else caught 140 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: my eye this morning. Summer is rolling around, and so 141 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 2: soon the corridors of your firm, I imagine, and mine 142 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 2: and maybe many others will be filled with interns, which 143 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 2: got me to thinking, why I'm in the world of Ahi, 144 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 2: do we still have interns? I was staggered to learn though, 145 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 2: how intense the competition for internships is now. Three hundred 146 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 2: and fifteen thousand people applied for an internship at Goldman 147 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 2: Sachs for two seven hundred places that they offer. JP 148 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 2: Morgan was even more staggering, almost half a million applications 149 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 2: for four thousand positions at JP Morgan for like a 150 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 2: ten week internship. Much harder to get an internship than 151 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 2: it is to get into Harvard. Mark Rubinstein, who writes 152 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Net Interest newsletter, dug out this story for us 153 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,440 Speaker 2: and has written all about it. He explains that there's 154 00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 2: been a huge surge in applications because of online platforms 155 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 2: making it easier to find out about internships and apply 156 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 2: for those opportunities. 157 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 7: The salary doesn't hurt. 158 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 2: One hundred and twenty five thousand dollars is the annual 159 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 2: salary the equivalent of that, But mainly it's that internships 160 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 2: are the prime route to get a graduate job, and 161 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 2: the prime route now into the top ranks of banking 162 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 2: and finance. So there you go. Some thoughts for you. 163 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 2: It's a real kind of audition for leadership potential from people. 164 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 2: So now you can have to on that as you 165 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:36,079 Speaker 2: think about interns arriving perhaps in your office this summer. Now, 166 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 2: a reprieve for President Trump on taris from a federal 167 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 2: appeals court, but a legal fight that threatens to inject 168 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 2: even more uncertainty into the global economy. Joining me now 169 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 2: is Bloomberg reporter cat Demitrieva Katty. 170 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 7: Good morning. 171 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 2: Just tell me what did the court actually decide. It 172 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,360 Speaker 2: seems to extend the timeline now for this legal fight 173 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 2: over Trump's tariffs. 174 00:09:58,280 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 7: Yeah, it certainly does. 175 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 5: And we're still, frankly trying to unpack exactly what this 176 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 5: all means, because there are still a lot of questions 177 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 5: about where we go from here. But essentially with the 178 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 5: US Court of International Trade, they're in Manhattan. What they ruled, 179 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 5: these three judges is that the Trump administration was wrong. 180 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 5: They wrongfully invoked this emergency law to justify their reciprocal levee. 181 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 5: So for that, we'd have to go back to April. 182 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 7: Second. 183 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:32,719 Speaker 5: That was when they announced, you know, on Liberation Day, 184 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 5: these reciprocal tariffs against or what they called reciprocal tariffs 185 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 5: against a number of countries, and there was about a 186 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 5: sixty countries that they had targeted, and so the court 187 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:47,439 Speaker 5: found that that was not actually legal, that was not allowed, 188 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 5: so they blocked effectively the tariffs. Now, the administration very 189 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:56,679 Speaker 5: quickly and as expected, filed an appeal. That appeal was 190 00:10:56,760 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 5: granted very recently, and so that effectively stays that initial order. 191 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:07,679 Speaker 5: But basically, what this means is a protracted legal fight 192 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 5: between the US administration and the courts. It will likely 193 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 5: go all the way up to the Supreme Court, and 194 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 5: as we know, this takes a lot of time. 195 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:21,320 Speaker 7: Yeah, what workarounds? Then? Does the Trump administration have? 196 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 2: What is it looking at in order to deliver on 197 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 2: its tariff's aims, because that's what the administration has said 198 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,080 Speaker 2: it would do given this legal battle. 199 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 5: Now, Yeah, and I think that markets are assuming, I 200 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 5: mean everyone is assuming at this point that there's no 201 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:41,079 Speaker 5: way around tariffs. You know, initially when the ruling came down, 202 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 5: there was some optimism, but very quickly soured because of 203 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:49,360 Speaker 5: the stay, but also because the Trump administration has a 204 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 5: very clear trade strategy. They want to impose, they want 205 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:56,440 Speaker 5: to add tariffs, and there are other ways to do that, right, 206 00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 5: So the emergency law was kind of the biggest broadest 207 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 5: way to do it and the quickest way to do it. 208 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 5: There are other methods that take time. So there's for example, 209 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:12,560 Speaker 5: the two three two tariffs, and that would apply sort 210 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:18,400 Speaker 5: of pharmaceutical there's semiconductors. It also doesn't impact tariffs that 211 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 5: were imposed under Section three oh one, which is to 212 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 5: do with unfair trade practices. And the administration can also 213 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 5: do a lot of They could just do investigations. You know, 214 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 5: this is the power of the US government to launch 215 00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:38,080 Speaker 5: investigations against specific products, against specific countries. And so we 216 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:42,000 Speaker 5: do know that there are a lot of these other 217 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 5: tools that would use national security powers to be able 218 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 5: to add levy so that they're not necessarily going away. 219 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 2: Okay, Katy, thank you so much for being with us 220 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:55,960 Speaker 2: this morning. Right, so we are awaiting then quite a 221 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 2: protracted battle when it comes to imposing twists, Bloomberg reported, 222 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 2: Katya Demitrievia, thank you. Now. Another aspect of what's happening 223 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 2: with the Trump administration, very deep in more than a 224 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:12,080 Speaker 2: thousand pages of tax and spending information in the bill 225 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 2: that President Trump is pushing through Congress is an obscure 226 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 2: tax measure that is setting off alarm bells on Wall 227 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:22,839 Speaker 2: Street and beyond our opening trade Ancha Critti Gupti is 228 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 2: here to explain why this matters. Pretty good morning. Just 229 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 2: tell me about this measure. It's known as Section eight 230 00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 2: ninety nine. 231 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 7: It is, it is. 232 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:35,680 Speaker 11: It's called the Enforcement of Remedies against Unfair Foreign Taxes, 233 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 11: aptly named for exactly what it does, which is simply 234 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 11: this idea that when you're looking or comparing this to 235 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:44,079 Speaker 11: other countries that have as would be deemed by the 236 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 11: Trump administration as tax policies that are discriminatory, which again 237 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 11: is a fairly vague term, so we don't actually know 238 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:52,640 Speaker 11: which countries that applies to, but we know it's something 239 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 11: that Donald Trump has talked about in his previous iterations 240 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 11: in terms of tax barriers when it comes to the 241 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:00,040 Speaker 11: likes of the European Union, for example. This is a 242 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,080 Speaker 11: measure that would include raising tax rates on passive income 243 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 11: as you suggest, but interests and dividends as well. And 244 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 11: the reason this is so important is because when you 245 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 11: are talking about international investors and how they are positioned 246 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 11: and exposed to the United States, a lot of them 247 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 11: aren't necessarily trading stocks day in day out, trading the 248 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 11: headline risk you've seen a little bit of a jump 249 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 11: in that at the moment, but a lot of them 250 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 11: are talking about saying having the majority of their exposure 251 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 11: to the US and sitting in those assets, so to 252 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,760 Speaker 11: be taxed on that passive income or those dividends actually 253 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 11: threatens trillions of dollars that would incentivize a foreigner to 254 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 11: enter the States in the first place. 255 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that could be absolutely huge if signed 256 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:42,400 Speaker 2: into law. The sense is that it would therefore drive 257 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 2: away foreign investors. 258 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 11: It's interesting because there's a couple of ways that this 259 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 11: would show up, because it also measure talks about not 260 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 11: only the interest, but dividends as well. We know that 261 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 11: right now in this current market environment, something that a 262 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 11: lot of stocks are saying companies are issuing is not 263 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 11: only share buybacks, which is a big one, but in 264 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 11: times of recession, they will pull back on those share 265 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 11: buybacks and issue dividends instead to their shareholders. 266 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 7: So to be now taxed on that basically. 267 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 11: Return for shareholders returns of capital is a concerning way 268 00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:14,960 Speaker 11: for a lot of companies actually want to keep their 269 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 11: investors interested and not see a sharper decline in their 270 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 11: share price. 271 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 7: So why has it been put into the bill then. 272 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 11: Two as a negotiating tactic, it seems. And again this 273 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 11: really falls in line with some of the rhetoric you've 274 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,320 Speaker 11: heard from Donald Trump. I think the most easiest one, 275 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,640 Speaker 11: although it's not specifically MEAs mentioned in this bill, is 276 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 11: the vat tax. He calls that an unfair, discriminatory tax, 277 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 11: something that he thinks the European Union can pull down 278 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 11: very easily. 279 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 7: Us sitting on the side. 280 00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 11: Of the Atlantic note that is a very tricky thing 281 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 11: to do just from an internal European perspective, but from 282 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 11: the outside that is how he's viewing it. 283 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 7: But it's not just him. You've had these other. 284 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:53,600 Speaker 11: Tax barriers in other places as well, not just in 285 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 11: the European Union, but India, Switzerland, some others. Globally speaking, 286 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 11: the US has one of the lowest tax rates in 287 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 11: the world, and that has been a beneficiary for both 288 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 11: corporates and for passive investors. 289 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 290 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 1: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 291 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, 292 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 2: Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 293 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 294 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,359 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 295 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 296 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 297 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,800 Speaker 1: I'm Caroline Hepka and I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again 298 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 1: tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start 299 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 1: your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe