WEBVTT - GE Splitting Into Three Units, Ending Conglomerate for Good

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg, Clovel News so Bloomberg. Sarah McBride writing

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<v Speaker 1>today that early last year, at the outset of the

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<v Speaker 1>coronavirus pandemic, there was a small genetics startup. Call company

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<v Speaker 1>was called Color Genomics. It's set up a COVID nineteen

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<v Speaker 1>testing lab. It was the company's really first step towards

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<v Speaker 1>what we've become a full transformation of its business. Well

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<v Speaker 1>today the company continuing that transformation. It's now known as Color.

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<v Speaker 1>It completed another round of funding today that gives it

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<v Speaker 1>a four point six billion dollar valuation triple Katie. What

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<v Speaker 1>it was just like a love and months ago. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's been quite a bump up. Let's get more. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>bring in our guests. Utman Laura Key. He's co founder

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<v Speaker 1>and CEO of color Ink, and he joins us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone in San Francisco. I'm nice to have you

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<v Speaker 1>here with Katie and myself. How are you good? Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for having me. Well, tell us a little bit about

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<v Speaker 1>what you guys are doing right now and how it

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<v Speaker 1>fits into what's going on more broadly, of course when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to COVID, Sure, maybe I can give you

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of context about colors. So fundamentally, what

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<v Speaker 1>we do is we make public health happen where public

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<v Speaker 1>life also happens. And what I mean by that is that,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, today we're running about seven thousand sites across

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<v Speaker 1>the country between testing and vaccination sites UM, where we

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<v Speaker 1>deliver essential services in context where that are like directly

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<v Speaker 1>connected to where people's lives actually happen. So for example,

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<v Speaker 1>thousands of schools, workplaces, um, churches, other community centers. And

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<v Speaker 1>what we found is that when you take essential health

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<v Speaker 1>services directly into people's community and so that they're immediately

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<v Speaker 1>accessible in the context of where their lives actually happened.

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<v Speaker 1>You're able to make these basic services dramatically more accessible

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<v Speaker 1>than if people have to jump through hoops in order

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<v Speaker 1>to to to access to access them like they normally do.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know thet what we think of a standard

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<v Speaker 1>healthcare And let's talk about your latest financing round, a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollars Series E that has your valuation of

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<v Speaker 1>four point six billion dollars. What do you plan to

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<v Speaker 1>do with that money? YEA. So, our our overall approach

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<v Speaker 1>on this is that we believe that UM, in part

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<v Speaker 1>through the pandemic or due to the effects of the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>we have been decidedly forced i thing, to really change

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<v Speaker 1>gears and how we deliver basic care UM. And we

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<v Speaker 1>view this as kind of this pretty durable transformation in

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<v Speaker 1>that expectation and how basic health care will work. And

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<v Speaker 1>so our our goal and our plan for the over

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<v Speaker 1>the next years is to keep building services in these

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<v Speaker 1>kind of access points that are uh immediately part of

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<v Speaker 1>the community. So I'll give you a few examples, if

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<v Speaker 1>that's helpful. So, for example, we work with UM large

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<v Speaker 1>employer basis so essential care essential workers, whether they're UM

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<v Speaker 1>farm workers or tech workers and so on, and one

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<v Speaker 1>of the biggest things that's happened over the pandemic in

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<v Speaker 1>addition obviously to dealing with the effects of the COVID pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>has been that people have been falling behind on their

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<v Speaker 1>basic preventative care, so literally your annual checkups, basic medications

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<v Speaker 1>and so on. UM. So we've been asked by a

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<v Speaker 1>number of our partners started developing solutions that are similar

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<v Speaker 1>to our approach to managing COVID testing and vaccinations, but

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<v Speaker 1>to make basic care accessible to these road distributed workforces

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<v Speaker 1>and going from like farm workers all the way to

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<v Speaker 1>white collar workers. UM. That's one example, but there are

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<v Speaker 1>many other examples in other contexts. For example, if you

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<v Speaker 1>look at schools again being a UM one of the

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<v Speaker 1>places where a very big part of our society lives

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<v Speaker 1>as in like all this all the school children, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and thinking of the school systems as themselves being a

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<v Speaker 1>place where you can deliver basic health care services such

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<v Speaker 1>as vaccines and so right now we started working with

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<v Speaker 1>initially with testing, but we're rolling out vaccinations within schools,

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<v Speaker 1>initially for COVID, but then broadening that to other types

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<v Speaker 1>of organizations. Well, that's what I'm interesting. Will you stay

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<v Speaker 1>kind of the immunization route. Is that enough of a

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<v Speaker 1>sustainable business long term or do you then build out

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<v Speaker 1>the types of services that you might provide, almost like

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<v Speaker 1>bringing urgent care, whether it's to rural communities or to

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<v Speaker 1>churches or to workplaces. And so we've do this suff

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<v Speaker 1>something that UM will likely end up applying to abroad

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<v Speaker 1>surface area of how we think of healthcare. Like I'll

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<v Speaker 1>give you another example that we're working right now in

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<v Speaker 1>public health, which is around managing HIV and other sexually

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<v Speaker 1>transmitted diseases. Similar to challenges that we're faced with COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>there is the challenge of immediacy and access UM and

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<v Speaker 1>using that same model, for example, for creating fully integrated

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<v Speaker 1>HIV management programs within communities UM that go from initial

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<v Speaker 1>screening to counseling all the way to medications and management

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<v Speaker 1>for people but in a context that is much more

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<v Speaker 1>part of their lives as opposed to requiring them to

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<v Speaker 1>go out of their lives to seek basic care UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And so this overall approach we viewed as applying to

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<v Speaker 1>infectual diseases, to metabolic and other kind of UM CHRONICCT

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<v Speaker 1>disease management that you know, whether it's psych cholesterol and

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<v Speaker 1>so on. Women's health is another very large area. I

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<v Speaker 1>think when we step back ten years from now, I think, well,

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<v Speaker 1>we're likely to to look back and it'll feel very

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<v Speaker 1>much how our lives have shifted with e commerce and retail,

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<v Speaker 1>where initially it felt like, you know, only a few

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<v Speaker 1>things would be interesting to buy online, but it turns

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<v Speaker 1>out over time that convenience and immediacy is one of

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest features and drivers of people being able to

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<v Speaker 1>access any form of service. And I think healthcare is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be no difference. No, I think you're you're

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<v Speaker 1>totally onto something. Um one quick question, just got about

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five seconds left here. Can you find the labor

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<v Speaker 1>force that you need to be able to continue to

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<v Speaker 1>build out as you hope just quickly? I believe. So.

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<v Speaker 1>I think what happens here is that there's much more

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<v Speaker 1>leverage on technology, especially through I think public health has

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<v Speaker 1>been incredibly innovative through through this phase. So we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>all of our partners in big departments of public health

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<v Speaker 1>like California, Masters and so on, I think themselves also

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<v Speaker 1>being very innovative and how they think about this. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think it actually going to create a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>leverage on the on the labor force. We're gonna leave

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<v Speaker 1>it there. Hey, um, hopefully you'll come back and give

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<v Speaker 1>us updates as you continue into the new year, uh

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<v Speaker 1>and rolling out what you're doing in terms of services

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<v Speaker 1>up in Laraki. He is chief executive officer, co founder

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<v Speaker 1>of Color Incorporated. Joining us on the phone in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 1>You listen to Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic

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<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. So we've been hinting at it a

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<v Speaker 1>change in leadership at the Fed. How likely is it?

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<v Speaker 1>As news of Fed Governor Lal Branard being interviewed by

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<v Speaker 1>President Binden, a Bloomberg scoop, by the way, interviewed last

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<v Speaker 1>week for the top spot at the US Central Bank,

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<v Speaker 1>leaked out. We've seen it playing out in the financial

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<v Speaker 1>markets today. So let's get to it. Joining us with

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<v Speaker 1>a look at it is Peggy Collins, Bloomberg News Washington

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<v Speaker 1>Bureau chief, a friend of our show, a favorite person

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<v Speaker 1>to talk with. She is in her Bloomberg not anyone

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<v Speaker 1>studio in the nation's cappele. Peggy is so good to

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<v Speaker 1>have you here with Katie and myself. So, first of all, congratulations,

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<v Speaker 1>great Bloomberg scoop by the Washington team. What do we

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<v Speaker 1>know about the President sitting down with Leo Branard? Yes, Carol,

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<v Speaker 1>and great to be with you and Katie today. As

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<v Speaker 1>you said, we had a great scoop out by my

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<v Speaker 1>colleagues Craig Tourist, Jennifer Jacobs and Slamson. Basically what it

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<v Speaker 1>could what it tells us is that the White House

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<v Speaker 1>has interviewed up Brainerd for the chair spots. So people

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<v Speaker 1>were know know that Brainard was in consideration for for

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<v Speaker 1>one of the open seats at the FED um. But

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<v Speaker 1>what we didn't know was that when she was at

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<v Speaker 1>the White House last week that the interview was specifically

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<v Speaker 1>for the FED chair slot as opposed to one of

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<v Speaker 1>the other open seats. She has been talked about as

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<v Speaker 1>a top contender for the vice chair of Supervision slot,

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<v Speaker 1>which Randall Quarrels was in until October and just yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>said he was going to be exiting the FED at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the year. And that vice chair slot

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<v Speaker 1>of Supervision is really the FEDS top regulator of Wall Street.

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<v Speaker 1>So Brainard is still considered in the running potentially for

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<v Speaker 1>one of those open seats, and particularly that one as well.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's clear that she now she and Powell are

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<v Speaker 1>the two top contenders for the FED chair slot, and

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<v Speaker 1>powell seat is open in February of this year for

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<v Speaker 1>that and so, Peggy, something I've been thinking about is

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<v Speaker 1>the saying that, you know, a wartime president always gets

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<v Speaker 1>re elected, and if we look at the US economy,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a light at the end of the tunnel, but

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<v Speaker 1>obviously still in a pretty tense place. So I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>one are the odds that pal actually gets replaced at

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<v Speaker 1>this juncture with the FED, you know, starting to actually

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<v Speaker 1>taper and enter this really interesting period of normalization. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's great question, Katie. I do think, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic economy is something that really is in Powell's pro

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<v Speaker 1>column in the sense that a lot of people credit

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<v Speaker 1>him for having handled the crisis, particularly in March and April,

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<v Speaker 1>when the FED really stepped in not only on a

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<v Speaker 1>US level but a global level to try to inject

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<v Speaker 1>tons of support into the economy and markets and for

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<v Speaker 1>businesses kind of opening up the floodgates to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>that interest rates were as low as they could go

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<v Speaker 1>and that business has had access to funding. So there's that,

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<v Speaker 1>But I also do think the markets, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>no brainerd well as as well. She's on been on

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<v Speaker 1>the FED board since um she's certainly seen as one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most accomplished people like in the business she's

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<v Speaker 1>worked at Treasury. She definitely has been like a key

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<v Speaker 1>architect alongside her FED colleagues of the feds new framework

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<v Speaker 1>that they created in August, which really put more of

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<v Speaker 1>the focus on full employment being broad and inclusive, which

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<v Speaker 1>is very much so in line with the Biden administration's goals.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think, you know, I think there's certainly an argument,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think markets and economists up until now had

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<v Speaker 1>really waited their expectations in the column of Powell. But

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<v Speaker 1>the longer that this has gone on, the more question

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<v Speaker 1>marks have arisen in terms of whether the Biden administration

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<v Speaker 1>would take this moment to shake things up. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>but well, the Fed's not supposed to be political. We

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<v Speaker 1>know that politics will be at play. Um lyle Brennard

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<v Speaker 1>is what the only Democrats serving on the FED board,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, how might politics play in her favor or

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<v Speaker 1>against her? And just got about thirty seconds pack. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a question market, did you say, Carol, The

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<v Speaker 1>tradition in the past, up until the Trump administration had

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<v Speaker 1>been to keep with the FED chair of the incoming president.

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<v Speaker 1>So that will be something that the Biden administration has

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<v Speaker 1>to pest it away in terms of independence of the

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<v Speaker 1>FED and politics and how that may be seen in

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<v Speaker 1>light of past tradition. Alright, TikTok. We'll have to wait

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<v Speaker 1>and see what happens. And there are a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>FED positions. We have a lot of FED officials leaving

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<v Speaker 1>and I know or are up for you know, is

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<v Speaker 1>it Clarata, Rich Clarata Right, his term as governor expires

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of January. There's a lot of potential

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<v Speaker 1>movements for open spots of accounted correctly, and you think

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<v Speaker 1>about what that impact those changes could mean in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of FED policy longer term. Um, Peggy Collins, she's our

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<v Speaker 1>Washington burea chief of Bloomberg News, joining us from our

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<v Speaker 1>not anyone studio in the nation's capital. You're listening to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Well, first came this estimate

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<v Speaker 1>then z prices, then I buying, and then of course

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<v Speaker 1>there was the damage in the fallout. So tracking it all,

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about the story that is Zillo. That stock,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, it is down about sixty seven percent

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<v Speaker 1>from its February sixteenth high this year, so tracking it

0:12:02.800 --> 0:12:06.000
<v Speaker 1>all is Bloomberg News real estate reporter Patrick Clark reports

0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:08.880
<v Speaker 1>on Zillow's trajectory that changes for the upcoming issue of

0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:11.079
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg business Week, which is due out later this week

0:12:11.360 --> 0:12:13.520
<v Speaker 1>online at Bloomberg dot com, on business Week dot com,

0:12:13.640 --> 0:12:15.960
<v Speaker 1>and on the Bloomberg pat joining us on the phone

0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:19.240
<v Speaker 1>in New York City. This is just an amazing story.

0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:21.160
<v Speaker 1>And I think back when it was I believe a

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:24.120
<v Speaker 1>cover story Business Week magazine just a few years ago

0:12:24.160 --> 0:12:28.920
<v Speaker 1>about Zillo wanting to flip your house. Um what ultimately

0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:36.360
<v Speaker 1>went wrong? They did it poorly? Well said, it's you're

0:12:36.400 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 1>exactly right. We did a long Business Week story on Zillo,

0:12:39.559 --> 0:12:44.440
<v Speaker 1>which is, uh, you know, best known for one publishing

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:47.280
<v Speaker 1>homeless ins what you can then go in Browns and

0:12:47.400 --> 0:12:50.640
<v Speaker 1>too publishing what they called estimates, which is, you know,

0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:53.160
<v Speaker 1>an attempt to approximate the value of just about every

0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 1>home or I don't know, I think it's more than

0:12:54.760 --> 0:13:00.000
<v Speaker 1>a hundred million homes in America for first sport. Basically, Uh,

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.440
<v Speaker 1>at some point, I guess in two thousand eighteen, they

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 1>decided to take all the people and technology that they

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 1>used for those first two things and apply them to

0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:12.040
<v Speaker 1>flipping houses, which is a you know, I would say,

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:15.880
<v Speaker 1>a notoriously sort of risky business. It's it's it's it's

0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:19.080
<v Speaker 1>not the first time that a company or you know,

0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>offen an individual has gotten the business of buying and

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 1>selling and had home prices move on them in the

0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:29.520
<v Speaker 1>interim period and gotten burned. And so about you write

0:13:29.520 --> 0:13:34.320
<v Speaker 1>that this is a five hundred sixty million dollar cautionary tail.

0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:37.959
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious what are the takeaways that Zillo is going

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:40.240
<v Speaker 1>to take from this. I mean, obviously they've paused the

0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:44.679
<v Speaker 1>home flipping experiment. Do you expect this to bleed into

0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:48.680
<v Speaker 1>some of the other ways that they operate. I think

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 1>that their old business should be fine. Um, people are

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 1>still going to go to Zillow's websites and apps and

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:57.600
<v Speaker 1>look at houses, and that's still going to be a

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.079
<v Speaker 1>great place for a real estate agent to getting on

0:14:00.160 --> 0:14:03.920
<v Speaker 1>a you know, house centers. Basically, Uh, they shouldn't have

0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:07.040
<v Speaker 1>trouble making money that way. The question is, you know,

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:09.920
<v Speaker 1>number one, how are they going to sail the sort

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:14.240
<v Speaker 1>of pull in their strategic purpose that that ending this

0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:18.439
<v Speaker 1>Dellow Offers program creates? And then too, you know, I

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:21.920
<v Speaker 1>mean I think there is a big push not just Dillow.

0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't just Billow doing this. There there are other

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:26.960
<v Speaker 1>companies in the same I buying sort of tech power

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:29.160
<v Speaker 1>flipping business as they are. And then there are other

0:14:29.200 --> 0:14:32.000
<v Speaker 1>companies that are are buying off different pieces of the

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>housing transaction. Uh it seems fairly likely to me that

0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:38.880
<v Speaker 1>some of them will succeed in some form, and we won't,

0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're not tied to this sort of hundred

0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:45.200
<v Speaker 1>year old method of buying or selling house. So not

0:14:45.280 --> 0:14:47.160
<v Speaker 1>only did Zilo you know, sort of plush some money

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 1>down the drain, but they also they also wasted time

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 1>that they could have been using to, you know, figure

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:54.840
<v Speaker 1>out what the big opportunity is. Well, and I feel

0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:56.920
<v Speaker 1>like until Weber come on in of course the editor

0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:00.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week, I felt like, algorithms, can't we trust them?

0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:03.880
<v Speaker 1>Like don't they know? All right? Yeah? Totally? Um, And

0:15:03.960 --> 0:15:06.560
<v Speaker 1>now that that was sort of I think, Um, you

0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 1>know what what sort of inticated Pat wanting? I wanted

0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:12.640
<v Speaker 1>Pat to write this story for the for the magazine

0:15:12.680 --> 0:15:15.360
<v Speaker 1>was like, look, as a society, like we've come to

0:15:15.680 --> 0:15:18.440
<v Speaker 1>put a lot of faith in algorithms and entire business

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 1>models will rest on it. And in this case, the

0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:23.680
<v Speaker 1>sort of the future of Zillo is sort of intrinsically

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 1>tied to this al go. And Pat, you know, just curious, like,

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 1>what do we know changed? Did they? Did they juice it?

0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.840
<v Speaker 1>Did they did they try and get more than than

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 1>might have they might have wanted? In hindsight, my best

0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:42.880
<v Speaker 1>understanding is, uh, this was more human failure that a

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:47.560
<v Speaker 1>technology failure. I mean they you know, on the individual um,

0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:51.200
<v Speaker 1>on the level of an individual home. Uh, it's you know,

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a computer program telling Zello, here's how much we

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 1>think it's worth. But number one, when they first started

0:15:57.880 --> 0:16:01.240
<v Speaker 1>doing this, they had human eyeballs every offer and multiple

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 1>touch points where a person was saying that this makes sense.

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 1>And and you know, as they did it more, they

0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.000
<v Speaker 1>got more confident in their ability to get pricing right.

0:16:09.400 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 1>And uh so that's that's number one. Um, if they

0:16:13.560 --> 0:16:17.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of took away all of the the human touch ones.

0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 1>But the other thing is they were sort of flagging

0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:24.280
<v Speaker 1>their competition. And you know, there there's open door technologies,

0:16:24.320 --> 0:16:26.880
<v Speaker 1>which is the biggest of these eye buyers were playing

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>way more homes and billows or very ambitious plans to

0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:35.280
<v Speaker 1>catch up. And uh, you know, they they was very

0:16:35.360 --> 0:16:38.280
<v Speaker 1>clear to them that if they made more aggressive offers,

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>they would be able to buy more homes. And and

0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 1>and they believed they had to buy an awful lot

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 1>of homes, you know, in order to make the business work,

0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>and and and so they basically just started feeding, uh,

0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, to the best of my knowledge, started just

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:57.640
<v Speaker 1>feeding the algorithms more aggressive assumptions of home price appreciation.

0:16:58.160 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, so if if, if instance, like they had

0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 1>been assuming that home prices were going to grow twelve

0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 1>per said year over yere, you know what they said, Well,

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:09.360
<v Speaker 1>let's let's let's see what happens to pcent. I'm sure

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:11.840
<v Speaker 1>enough they bought a lot of homes. Um, you know,

0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:16.480
<v Speaker 1>the home prices appreciation. It's home prices are still growing,

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:21.520
<v Speaker 1>but at a slightly slower pace than they were earlier

0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:23.760
<v Speaker 1>in the year. And what those executives have said is

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.360
<v Speaker 1>the the sort of slow down was outside the sort

0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 1>of range of outcomes they thought more likely. But you

0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:32.760
<v Speaker 1>know that's why when people when they got into this business,

0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 1>people say said, well, you're exposing yourself to a lot

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:37.760
<v Speaker 1>of market risks. So you've got a lot of houses

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:41.160
<v Speaker 1>that are suddenly on the market, um that that Zelo

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:44.280
<v Speaker 1>would bought. Do we have any since yet? Who's gonna

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:48.720
<v Speaker 1>buy these? Um? Yeah, we'll see. I mean they've they've

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:53.359
<v Speaker 1>sent you know, information on you know, something like seven

0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:57.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand homes the large single family landlords um. And that

0:17:58.080 --> 0:18:00.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean so much money that has gone in to

0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:04.399
<v Speaker 1>this from an institutional standpoint, right there's been an enormous

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:08.440
<v Speaker 1>amount of money that's come into that business. Um during

0:18:08.440 --> 0:18:12.200
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic in particular, very appealing way to invest behind

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 1>like millennial household formation, you know, migration to the south

0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:19.119
<v Speaker 1>and southwest, and also just like you gotta put you know,

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:20.920
<v Speaker 1>if you're if you're a pensive, but you gotta put

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:24.440
<v Speaker 1>your money somewhere and rental houses. Uh is a hot

0:18:24.480 --> 0:18:28.480
<v Speaker 1>idea right now. I think that you know, there's so

0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:32.520
<v Speaker 1>much demand and if it's not clear yet, you know,

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:35.399
<v Speaker 1>the agree to which Zilo wants to transact you know

0:18:35.440 --> 0:18:38.359
<v Speaker 1>at a at a bulk scale. But you know, people

0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 1>have been telling me that if if you could buy um,

0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:43.679
<v Speaker 1>if you could buy two thousand homes, and you know,

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.240
<v Speaker 1>the snap of the fingers, and it's not a snap

0:18:46.280 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 1>of the fingers, right if there's a lot of due

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:50.679
<v Speaker 1>diligence in time, but you would you might not have

0:18:50.720 --> 0:18:53.040
<v Speaker 1>to pay, you might not get a discount. Right, There's

0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:55.560
<v Speaker 1>like a there's a premium you get for being able

0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:58.119
<v Speaker 1>to deliver bulk to an investor. Right now you a

0:18:58.160 --> 0:19:00.719
<v Speaker 1>little be able to tap into that. Well, it's an

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>interesting story. Uh. The CEO is still in place, the

0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:06.640
<v Speaker 1>co founder still in place. Uh, and you get into

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:09.720
<v Speaker 1>why because he certainly owns a certain type of stock

0:19:09.760 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 1>that enables him to still be there. But it's a

0:19:11.880 --> 0:19:14.480
<v Speaker 1>great uh right through of what's been going on at

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:16.880
<v Speaker 1>Zillo and how it got there. Um, thank you so much,

0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:20.200
<v Speaker 1>really appreciated. Bloomberg News real estate reporter Pat Clark, along

0:19:20.240 --> 0:19:24.800
<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg Business Editor Jill Webber. This is Bloomberg Business

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:32.520
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio three. Maybe better than one, at least

0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:35.359
<v Speaker 1>that's how General Electric investors seem to be voting today

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:37.919
<v Speaker 1>by bidding up shares of GE as the couple announces

0:19:38.280 --> 0:19:41.399
<v Speaker 1>it will split into three units, ending a remarkable and

0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:44.639
<v Speaker 1>long run as an industrial behemoth that was revered a

0:19:44.720 --> 0:19:47.280
<v Speaker 1>market and economic bell weather, once the world's most valuable

0:19:47.320 --> 0:19:50.840
<v Speaker 1>company until it wasn't well. David Weston caught up with

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:54.240
<v Speaker 1>the current GE CEO, Larry Colp, earlier on Bloomberg TV,

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 1>talking about the breakup. These businesses will be more focused,

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 1>will be a higher, greater level of accountability. We should

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:07.080
<v Speaker 1>have sharper capital allocation, more strategic flexibility, and frankly, I

0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:08.560
<v Speaker 1>think it's gonna be good for the team as well.

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:12.720
<v Speaker 1>I think we'll end up with investor bases focused on

0:20:12.760 --> 0:20:15.439
<v Speaker 1>these pure plays, investors that are probably under invested in

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:18.439
<v Speaker 1>GE today. You put all that together, it's clear this

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:22.720
<v Speaker 1>is the best path for us to unlock and create value.

0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:26.080
<v Speaker 1>G e CEO Larry Colp speaking to Bloomberg's David Weston

0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:29.000
<v Speaker 1>earlier about that stunning breakup of G. Let's get more

0:20:29.040 --> 0:20:31.560
<v Speaker 1>on the slaying of the gebs that Jack Welch built.

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Brooks Sutherland Bloomberg Opinion, Deals and Industrials columnists in our

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 1>Interactive Broker studio here in New York City. It is stunning.

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:41.560
<v Speaker 1>Like when you saw the news, you have followed this company,

0:20:41.560 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>you follow the industrial sector, but you've all this company

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 1>for a long time. Were you just kind of speechless?

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Or I always thought that this was the way that

0:20:50.880 --> 0:20:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the saga was going to end. But I do have

0:20:53.080 --> 0:20:55.960
<v Speaker 1>to say, I don't think anybody saw it coming this week,

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 1>UM this year even in so I think in that

0:20:59.359 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>way it shocking, but I think that this is sort

0:21:01.760 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 1>of the way that g E had to go. It

0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:07.360
<v Speaker 1>had to adapt to the modern times, and it's um

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:10.639
<v Speaker 1>combination of businesses has never really made a lot of sense,

0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:14.119
<v Speaker 1>but particularly in recent years, just with UM, you know,

0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:16.720
<v Speaker 1>all of the breakups that we've seen across the industrial sector,

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that the logic tying these businesses together had

0:21:19.520 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 1>had really been tested. And then, of course, just with

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:24.520
<v Speaker 1>all of the challenges that g E had, a lot

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 1>of that can be traced back to its complexity. It

0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:30.680
<v Speaker 1>just was too complex for investors, for customers, and ultimately

0:21:30.720 --> 0:21:32.920
<v Speaker 1>for its own good. And so Brooke, you had a

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 1>great column out today and you write that you know

0:21:35.840 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>this will be messy, but breaking up is the right

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:41.720
<v Speaker 1>thing to do. What kind of messy. Are we talking

0:21:41.720 --> 0:21:43.480
<v Speaker 1>about what should we be keeping an eye on the

0:21:43.480 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 1>next few months in a year? Sure? So, like I said,

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:48.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's not really a strategic logic to keep

0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:51.960
<v Speaker 1>these businesses together. But they are different in that the

0:21:52.000 --> 0:21:54.639
<v Speaker 1>healthcare business tends to be shorter cycle and it's casual

0:21:54.760 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 1>tends to be much steadier, much more reliable. And so

0:21:58.600 --> 0:22:01.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, the aviation in power businesses outside of the

0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:04.439
<v Speaker 1>recent periods of crisis have tended to benefit from that

0:22:04.520 --> 0:22:08.120
<v Speaker 1>steady supply of cash flow because those are businesses where

0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:11.119
<v Speaker 1>you need sort of longer term investments that tend to

0:22:11.160 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 1>be very expensive drag out over a number of years,

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:16.720
<v Speaker 1>and the healthcare businesses we've seen has been sort of

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:20.280
<v Speaker 1>a reliable backstop when those businesses do run into tough times,

0:22:20.280 --> 0:22:22.840
<v Speaker 1>whether those are of g zone making or more recently

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:25.200
<v Speaker 1>with the pandemic. And so I think there is a

0:22:25.320 --> 0:22:28.760
<v Speaker 1>question of what will these businesses look like when they're

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:31.560
<v Speaker 1>on their own, what will that capital structure look need

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:34.439
<v Speaker 1>to be um in order that yet, right, that's the

0:22:34.480 --> 0:22:37.040
<v Speaker 1>thing that's tricky, and I know, uh, in David's interview

0:22:37.080 --> 0:22:38.359
<v Speaker 1>with Larry Hope, I think he was trying to get

0:22:38.400 --> 0:22:40.440
<v Speaker 1>to a little bit more of the specifics. We didn't

0:22:40.480 --> 0:22:43.440
<v Speaker 1>get it. We don't have very many specifics at all. UM,

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 1>they've sort of left that is that will be clarified

0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:48.640
<v Speaker 1>at a later date. But what specifically do we want

0:22:48.680 --> 0:22:50.400
<v Speaker 1>to know about that? I think we want to know

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:52.959
<v Speaker 1>what kind of debt is going to be allocated to

0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:55.879
<v Speaker 1>these companies. Another big question is what will they be called?

0:22:55.920 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>The g E brand, for all of the company's struggle,

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:01.320
<v Speaker 1>still has a lot of value, So who gets to

0:23:01.400 --> 0:23:05.520
<v Speaker 1>keep that brand? UM? What do the leadership structures look

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:07.639
<v Speaker 1>like once you get past the CEO level. We do

0:23:07.720 --> 0:23:10.200
<v Speaker 1>know sort of the the key CEO leaders of these

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 1>three divisions, but what what else? What goes into that UM?

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 1>And so I think those are the big question marks,

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>and also just the plan for these businesses and a

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:21.200
<v Speaker 1>little bit more clarity on what they're going to look like.

0:23:21.800 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 1>It is this was sort of a big picture idea,

0:23:25.040 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's it's a huge moment for g

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:29.680
<v Speaker 1>even to be going down this path. This is something

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:32.240
<v Speaker 1>that passed. CEO has certainly gotten a lot of questions about,

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:33.800
<v Speaker 1>but none of them have been willing to sort of

0:23:33.840 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 1>make this break. And so I don't want to take

0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:37.240
<v Speaker 1>away from the fact that it's a key step, but

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:40.080
<v Speaker 1>there's still a huge amount of information that we need

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:42.200
<v Speaker 1>to know to understand what exactly this is going to

0:23:42.280 --> 0:23:44.600
<v Speaker 1>look like once it's all done. And it's interesting. I

0:23:44.600 --> 0:23:47.600
<v Speaker 1>mean you said that a lot of CEOs have been

0:23:47.760 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 1>sort of badgered about this step. Talk a little bit

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:53.639
<v Speaker 1>about Larry Colt, because I mean, he didn't come up

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>through the ranks. He's an outsider to this company. How

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 1>much did that play a factor in your view? I

0:23:59.080 --> 0:24:02.160
<v Speaker 1>think it helps and that you know, it gives him

0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:05.480
<v Speaker 1>more of a dispassionate look at how all of these

0:24:05.480 --> 0:24:08.200
<v Speaker 1>businesses fit together versus if you you know, had really

0:24:08.200 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 1>come up through the ranks working in healthcare, working with aviation,

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, really had a culture where they moved their

0:24:13.080 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 1>executives around, and I think that sort of naturally breeds attachment.

0:24:17.160 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 1>But I did, you know, talk to Larry today and

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 1>I think he would be the first to admit that

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:23.679
<v Speaker 1>this wasn't necessarily his game plan when he first started.

0:24:23.720 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 1>And if you look back in there was so much

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:29.359
<v Speaker 1>to do just to get ge and sort of a

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:32.399
<v Speaker 1>steady state and make sure that it could pay its debts.

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>UM and was financially sound, and so I think a

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:37.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of work had to be done to get to

0:24:37.080 --> 0:24:39.159
<v Speaker 1>this point. And that's to Larry Colpe's credit, whether it

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:42.200
<v Speaker 1>was asset sales or just helping GE clean up its

0:24:42.200 --> 0:24:43.600
<v Speaker 1>act a little bit. I mean a lot of this

0:24:43.680 --> 0:24:45.760
<v Speaker 1>you really can't see from the outside looking in, but

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:48.359
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of basic stuff of how do we make

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:50.840
<v Speaker 1>sure that customers get their orders, how do we manage

0:24:51.160 --> 0:24:53.160
<v Speaker 1>um you know, our side of the business, to make

0:24:53.160 --> 0:24:56.120
<v Speaker 1>sure that we're doing everything productively and efficiently and all

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 1>it helps. Just just got that twenty five seconds. So conglomerates,

0:24:59.560 --> 0:25:02.520
<v Speaker 1>are we done? It feels like this or is it

0:25:02.600 --> 0:25:04.600
<v Speaker 1>just this is the EBB? I mean, I feel like

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:07.560
<v Speaker 1>G represented sort of the worst of the conglomerate genre.

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 1>And I think there are companies out there where the

0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 1>structure still does make sense. But it's a different kind

0:25:11.800 --> 0:25:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of conglomerate from what you think of from like the

0:25:14.160 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 1>nineteen sixties and fifties and all of that. And there

0:25:16.840 --> 0:25:18.920
<v Speaker 1>is a future if you can really tell a narrative

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:21.360
<v Speaker 1>and if the businesses actually put it together. Who's next?

0:25:21.400 --> 0:25:23.359
<v Speaker 1>Three AM? Just quickly? I think three M is a

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:25.080
<v Speaker 1>hard one to break up because because they have so

0:25:25.160 --> 0:25:27.880
<v Speaker 1>much overlap on the technology side, they shared a lot

0:25:27.880 --> 0:25:31.120
<v Speaker 1>of research. You're always a Mustary brook Sutherland. She's deals

0:25:31.119 --> 0:25:33.880
<v Speaker 1>in industrials columnist at Bloomberg Opinion. Thank you, thank you,

0:25:34.080 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg. Yeah, I'll bet you. Let me drive.

0:25:39.359 --> 0:25:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no no, this is not a twin

0:25:43.000 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 1>home O night Please, I want to drive. It's good question,

0:25:51.880 --> 0:26:01.800
<v Speaker 1>drive Drive to the clothes down radio. All right, just

0:26:01.800 --> 0:26:04.399
<v Speaker 1>about Timmy's left in today's trading session, getting ready to

0:26:04.440 --> 0:26:08.440
<v Speaker 1>wrap up that Tuesday trade, and definitely a different tone

0:26:08.440 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 1>than what we've seen, certainly yesterday and what we've seen

0:26:11.000 --> 0:26:13.040
<v Speaker 1>in the last what was it, Katie eight, It would

0:26:13.040 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 1>have been nine days, That would have been nine days.

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 1>No longer. Cheez, come on markets, Come on, bulls. No,

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:21.639
<v Speaker 1>I embrace you all bulls and bears alike. All right,

0:26:21.680 --> 0:26:23.720
<v Speaker 1>let's get to it, the Drive to the close. Jessica

0:26:23.720 --> 0:26:26.040
<v Speaker 1>Biemer is with us. She's portfolio manager at the asset

0:26:26.080 --> 0:26:30.720
<v Speaker 1>management company Easterly Investment Partners. She's on the phone in Pennsylvania.

0:26:30.880 --> 0:26:34.280
<v Speaker 1>So good to have you here, Jessica. Today's tone definitely

0:26:34.280 --> 0:26:37.240
<v Speaker 1>a different one. We have all talked about the different reasons.

0:26:37.280 --> 0:26:41.479
<v Speaker 1>Maybe it's a different FED chief looking at just some

0:26:41.520 --> 0:26:45.919
<v Speaker 1>different reasons inflation concerned. What do you make of the trade?

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:47.880
<v Speaker 1>Are we just taking a breather? How do you see

0:26:47.920 --> 0:26:50.679
<v Speaker 1>it or how do you interpret it? Yeah, Hi, Carol

0:26:50.720 --> 0:26:52.800
<v Speaker 1>and Katie, it's so nice to be with you today.

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:55.480
<v Speaker 1>It feels less like a Tuesday and more like a Friday.

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:58.200
<v Speaker 1>We've had a really long WEEKO that we wish. I mean,

0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:01.280
<v Speaker 1>lots of news flow today and we're three quarters of

0:27:01.280 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the way through earning season. Um, we have a lot

0:27:04.520 --> 0:27:06.960
<v Speaker 1>of news. We're still processing it. And then we get

0:27:06.960 --> 0:27:09.520
<v Speaker 1>news from GE. I mean they reported two weeks ago

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:13.080
<v Speaker 1>and then just today decided to split up the company. Um,

0:27:13.119 --> 0:27:15.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, six thirty am up early with an eight

0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:20.040
<v Speaker 1>fifteen am call. I think, uh, so very busy and UM,

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:22.119
<v Speaker 1>I think some of that is related to the fact

0:27:22.160 --> 0:27:25.840
<v Speaker 1>that companies are acting less defensively for the first time

0:27:25.880 --> 0:27:28.760
<v Speaker 1>in a really long time. They're going on the offensive

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:32.159
<v Speaker 1>and they're really starting to shift their strategies. UM. I

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:35.080
<v Speaker 1>think some of that's just the recovery from COVID, but

0:27:35.119 --> 0:27:39.880
<v Speaker 1>they're also looking across landscape and and seeing the macro economy. UM.

0:27:39.920 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 1>But you know, we're also looking at the upcoming holiday season.

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:47.440
<v Speaker 1>We're sixteen days away from Thanksgiving, and I gotta tell you,

0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:50.159
<v Speaker 1>and Kate's made me very nervous a little earlier in

0:27:50.200 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>your show with that statistic that turkey supplies are down

0:27:53.320 --> 0:27:57.800
<v Speaker 1>six I mean that's a big number. Um, we're looking

0:27:57.840 --> 0:28:02.640
<v Speaker 1>at that kind it's time. But you know the other

0:28:02.680 --> 0:28:05.399
<v Speaker 1>thing that's interesting about her stats with air travels up

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:09.920
<v Speaker 1>eighty percent. So we're all going to celebrate Thanksgiving one

0:28:09.920 --> 0:28:13.520
<v Speaker 1>way or another, right, Um, we may be eating a

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:15.879
<v Speaker 1>different type of turkey this year, but we're all going

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:18.240
<v Speaker 1>to be celebrating. We heard it from Dr Kathy Faucci

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>talking to her David Western earlier on blueber TV. I mean, Katie,

0:28:21.200 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 1>they were talking about thought. She said, you know, we're

0:28:22.760 --> 0:28:24.439
<v Speaker 1>going to be together as a family, which was not

0:28:25.080 --> 0:28:27.480
<v Speaker 1>really how it was last year. I know, I mean

0:28:27.640 --> 0:28:30.320
<v Speaker 1>think back twelve months ago, totally different landscape. But we

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:34.000
<v Speaker 1>are headed into the holiday season expected to be a

0:28:34.119 --> 0:28:36.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of fraud one. And just I was looking through

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>some of your stock pick picks. I see Hasbro, Carter's,

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Cole's retail. I find that really interesting because you know,

0:28:44.120 --> 0:28:46.240
<v Speaker 1>with all these supply chain issues, a lot of people

0:28:46.280 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 1>have warned that it's gonna be really hard to actually

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.400
<v Speaker 1>shop for the holidays. I'm curious what you see as

0:28:51.560 --> 0:28:54.440
<v Speaker 1>the bowl case for some of these names. Yeah, so

0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:57.240
<v Speaker 1>we're going to find out a lot more next week

0:28:57.320 --> 0:29:00.520
<v Speaker 1>from retailers in general. Although we had a lot of

0:29:00.680 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 1>the majority of SMP companies have reported, only about half

0:29:04.160 --> 0:29:06.760
<v Speaker 1>of retailers have reported, So we're going to get a

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:10.080
<v Speaker 1>lot more news there. But from what we've heard so far, UM,

0:29:10.120 --> 0:29:12.520
<v Speaker 1>there are a couple issues that I think are going

0:29:12.560 --> 0:29:15.920
<v Speaker 1>to affect the near term but but probably work themselves

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:18.960
<v Speaker 1>out over the next few quarters. We're talking about things

0:29:18.960 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 1>like freight and shipping costs, which has clearly weighed on

0:29:21.680 --> 0:29:25.959
<v Speaker 1>results at various companies UM. But we're also seeing tremendous

0:29:26.000 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 1>consumer demand and I think that we're seeing that across

0:29:29.240 --> 0:29:32.719
<v Speaker 1>the board as the delta variant really peaked in September.

0:29:33.240 --> 0:29:36.920
<v Speaker 1>UM banks during earning season talked about higher purchase volumes

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:39.640
<v Speaker 1>UM and increased use of credit cards. So people are

0:29:39.680 --> 0:29:43.400
<v Speaker 1>going out and shopping. The demand is certainly there, UM,

0:29:43.440 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 1>but I expect there to be a rocky conversation from

0:29:46.360 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of companies about certainly their ability to get

0:29:49.920 --> 0:29:54.520
<v Speaker 1>inventory into the country. We started hearing about that this summer. UM.

0:29:54.600 --> 0:29:57.680
<v Speaker 1>This conversation is going to continue and then we'll certainly

0:29:57.720 --> 0:30:00.400
<v Speaker 1>have a very detailed conversation on earning. It is called

0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:04.080
<v Speaker 1>about labor and to the extent that UM. A lot

0:30:04.120 --> 0:30:08.680
<v Speaker 1>of these companies typically hire UM people seasonally bring them

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:11.560
<v Speaker 1>in and my guess is that this year that will

0:30:11.600 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 1>be a lot more challenging. And that's one of the

0:30:13.800 --> 0:30:18.000
<v Speaker 1>reasons why I think we've been hearing so much about

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:21.880
<v Speaker 1>supply chain issues in the news and in headlines. I

0:30:21.880 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 1>think companies themselves want us to come in early, and UM,

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:27.360
<v Speaker 1>I think that will start to do that. Hey, one

0:30:27.360 --> 0:30:30.040
<v Speaker 1>thing I wanted to ask you, Jessica, you Overwright Consumer Discretionaire,

0:30:30.040 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 1>which is getting beat up today. It's done about one

0:30:31.800 --> 0:30:33.960
<v Speaker 1>point five percent. If I look at the eleven major

0:30:34.000 --> 0:30:35.880
<v Speaker 1>industry groups in the S and P five hundred, you

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:39.360
<v Speaker 1>like industrial as you mentioned, companies kind of rethinking and

0:30:39.360 --> 0:30:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the big news at a g E today. Do you

0:30:41.880 --> 0:30:45.600
<v Speaker 1>like General Electric more has someone who follows the industrial

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:49.000
<v Speaker 1>sector as a broken up company, three separate companies? Does

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:51.720
<v Speaker 1>that make is it more attractive to you as an investor?

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:55.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, I have to say, it's more interesting today

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:57.560
<v Speaker 1>or it will be when they break up. I think

0:30:57.680 --> 0:31:00.680
<v Speaker 1>part of the challenge in being an analyst on G

0:31:01.120 --> 0:31:03.520
<v Speaker 1>is that it's such a large company. I mean, they

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:06.680
<v Speaker 1>have thirty p m L statements and many of their

0:31:06.720 --> 0:31:10.240
<v Speaker 1>business models are are just so different and hard to

0:31:10.320 --> 0:31:12.600
<v Speaker 1>follow as an analyst, And so it may be the

0:31:12.640 --> 0:31:15.560
<v Speaker 1>case that UM as they split up, will have more

0:31:15.600 --> 0:31:19.760
<v Speaker 1>granular detail by by business line and by segment, so

0:31:19.800 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 1>that it's more easy to compare it to the direct peers. UM. Also,

0:31:24.400 --> 0:31:26.080
<v Speaker 1>at the same time, it will be harder for them

0:31:26.120 --> 0:31:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to hide problems in different you know, in different parts

0:31:29.120 --> 0:31:31.400
<v Speaker 1>of the business as they become smaller, and so I

0:31:31.440 --> 0:31:34.720
<v Speaker 1>think it'll just be an interesting transition. The big question

0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 1>for me UM with G, and one of the reasons

0:31:37.440 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>why we're not currently investing there, is their legacy liabilities

0:31:42.000 --> 0:31:45.280
<v Speaker 1>and what that long term care book looks like. Where

0:31:45.480 --> 0:31:48.680
<v Speaker 1>is going to be once the company splits up, and

0:31:48.800 --> 0:31:52.240
<v Speaker 1>who's really responsible over the long term. So I think

0:31:52.320 --> 0:31:54.920
<v Speaker 1>there is going to be a process by which all

0:31:54.960 --> 0:31:59.120
<v Speaker 1>of the sell side analysts to really understand the different

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:03.760
<v Speaker 1>individual spun off business models and and we'll really begin

0:32:03.840 --> 0:32:06.600
<v Speaker 1>to understand if there's an investment case there and just go.

0:32:06.760 --> 0:32:09.120
<v Speaker 1>I want to do your your thoughts on the financials

0:32:09.120 --> 0:32:11.280
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more because you are bullish on some

0:32:11.320 --> 0:32:14.440
<v Speaker 1>of the big banks Wells, Fargo, Bank of America, JP,

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 1>Morgan Chase, And it feels like those names. I mean,

0:32:17.680 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 1>they've posted blowout after blowout quarter when it comes to trading,

0:32:21.160 --> 0:32:23.960
<v Speaker 1>but it seems like they follow the trajectory of treasury

0:32:24.000 --> 0:32:28.040
<v Speaker 1>yields more than anything else. Curious about how you consider

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 1>those names. And we have about thirty seconds left. Yeah,

0:32:31.920 --> 0:32:35.280
<v Speaker 1>that's that's true. I mean, we we are focused on, um,

0:32:35.320 --> 0:32:37.400
<v Speaker 1>a few things with the banks. I think one of

0:32:37.440 --> 0:32:39.760
<v Speaker 1>them is loan growth, and it's something that we've all

0:32:39.760 --> 0:32:42.240
<v Speaker 1>been waiting for. We really haven't been able to see

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:45.840
<v Speaker 1>the full power of earnings with loan growth and with

0:32:45.920 --> 0:32:50.120
<v Speaker 1>a normalized credit cycle, so we're looking for some upside there. Um.

0:32:50.160 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 1>These are very stable balance sheets, they're very shareholder friendly,

0:32:53.920 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 1>and I think there's a lot more to come in

0:32:55.560 --> 0:32:57.920
<v Speaker 1>terms of what they're able to earn for investors. All Right,

0:32:57.920 --> 0:32:59.560
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna leave on that note. He thank you so much.

0:32:59.640 --> 0:33:02.920
<v Speaker 1>Jessica Beamer. She is portfolio manager at Easterly Investment Partners,

0:33:03.000 --> 0:33:06.680
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Pennsylvania. Thanks for listening

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:10.200
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:12.480
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:33:12.480 --> 0:33:15.040
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0:33:15.160 --> 0:33:17.960
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube. Search to Bloomberg Global News.