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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Do us proud?

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Speaker 2: Read enough?

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Speaker 3: There were running again?

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Speaker 1: So smooth, so sweet, slipid sixteen just glorious execution.

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Speaker 2: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 2: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 3: How shot with that?

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Speaker 1: Shop with mind? Good buddy, and.

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Speaker 2: That's why you see your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 3: Look at his movements the most.

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Speaker 1: Dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying. The love is.

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Speaker 2: Left too, the wide eyed.

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Speaker 3: Drilled bibus how old Earth.

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Speaker 1: Pick that happens? Hello everyone, and welcome back to a

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Speaker 1: brand new season of Wonder Goal at the Soccer Betting

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Speaker 1: podcast from the Action Network, presented to you by Betree

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Speaker 1: sixty five. My name is Michael Leebuff and joining me

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Speaker 1: for this season BJ Cunningham and Sam Ingram from Betting

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Speaker 1: Expert dot com. Sam is back. We had such a

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Speaker 1: good time with him in the Euros. Football didn't come home,

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Speaker 1: but it almost came home once again. We'll try again

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six, but for this we will be

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Speaker 1: talking Premier League. We'll be talking about our favorite futures.

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Speaker 1: Do a little season preview stuff outrights, relegation, top four,

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Speaker 1: top six, top half, bottom half, point totals, Golden Boot,

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Speaker 1: Golden Glove, top assist, top and we're gonna cover everything here.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be a lot of fun and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: get right into it. We don't want to waste your time.

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Speaker 1: Season starts in a couple of days. We're recording this

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Speaker 1: on August the eighth, so we're just over a week

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Speaker 1: away from the start of a brand new Premier League season. BJ,

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna open up blank canvas. If you had

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Speaker 1: to pick one future bet don't, I don't care what

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Speaker 1: it is, what category it comes from, one that is

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Speaker 1: at the top your list, one that you would actually

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Speaker 1: rush to the window to make there in Iowa, what

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Speaker 1: would it be?

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Speaker 2: Newcastle top four two to one would be my favorite

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Speaker 2: pick of anything they have on this board. You know,

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Speaker 2: I think if we look at Newcastle's season last year,

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Speaker 2: it was one that was riddled with injuries, match fixed

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Speaker 2: your pile ups and just honestly it went south in

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Speaker 2: a hurry. But over the last two about two and

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Speaker 2: a half months of the season, Newcastle really turned it

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Speaker 2: on and was legitimately the third best offense in the

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Speaker 2: Premier League. Now We're coming into a new season where

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Speaker 2: they haven't sold anybody significantly in the transfer market, they

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Speaker 2: haven't really bought anybody significant, but they are rumored to

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Speaker 2: be in for a lot of really good players that

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Speaker 2: could really strengthen their squad. And the main thing about

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Speaker 2: Newcastle is we saw two years ago how great they

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Speaker 2: were under Eddy House system that is very reliant on

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Speaker 2: intensity and physicality, just playing one match a week and

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Speaker 2: only focusing on the Premier League. They get to do

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Speaker 2: that again this season because they're not playing in Europe.

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Speaker 2: So I think with Newcastle, how their squad is honestly

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Speaker 2: stayed together. They're gonna get a lot of the key

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Speaker 2: guys that they had injured for most of the season back.

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Speaker 2: I think they're set up perfectly to make a run

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Speaker 2: of the top four. And I think that the Premier

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Speaker 2: League as it's structured right now is very similar to

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Speaker 2: La Liga, where you have three teams that are kind

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Speaker 2: of at the top and above everybody else and that

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Speaker 2: fourth spot is up for grabs, and I think Newcastle's

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Speaker 2: positioned better than a lot of all these other teams

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Speaker 2: to get to that fourth spot. So I like the

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Speaker 2: Matuda Wan to finish in the top four.

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Speaker 1: All right, Sam, welcome back. We're very happy to have

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Speaker 1: you here for this Premier League season.

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Speaker 3: What about you, Yes, gents, thrilled to be back. Thanks

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Speaker 3: for having me. I just want to quickly say more

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Speaker 3: importantly before we go on, Michael, that mustache is looking

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Speaker 3: brilliant perfectly to you. My favorite outright, Alexander Essac top

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Speaker 3: gohost scorer each way at sixteen to one. So I'm

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Speaker 3: kind of just going to piggyback onto what BJ was saying.

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Speaker 3: I really like the thought of Newcastle this season without

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Speaker 3: European football, without European commitments, and Eddie Howell having all

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Speaker 3: week to prepare his team on the training pitch for

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Speaker 3: a game on the Saturday. I really like the thought

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Speaker 3: of that. And for me, Alexander Reesact ticks a lot

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Speaker 3: of boxes for what to be top goal scorer, hit

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Speaker 3: over twenty goals last season, didn't play the majority of

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Speaker 3: the season. I think with E's Act, the main concern

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Speaker 3: and this this kind of market, is is he going

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Speaker 3: to be fit enough for the whole of the season,

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Speaker 3: where if you look at the summary's just ad and

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Speaker 3: if you look at if you consider the campaign he's

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Speaker 3: got coming up ahead of him with no Europe. As

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Speaker 3: I mentioned then, I think that that main concern, that

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Speaker 3: main red flag is it's quelled a little bit, so

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Speaker 3: it'll be our favorite out right. Yeah, Alexander's act top

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Speaker 3: goal score each way sixteen to one.

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Speaker 1: All right for me, We're just going to stay on

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Speaker 1: this Newcastle train. I like tricass. You can get at

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Speaker 1: bed re six five, Manchester City finishing first, Newcastle finishing second,

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Speaker 1: and Arsenal finishing third. That's one hundred and one. Don't

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Speaker 1: need to really go into it too much because you

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Speaker 1: guys talked about the love for Newcastle we have here.

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Speaker 1: One thing I do find funny here is that there

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Speaker 1: was all that talk about Newcastle when the Saudis took

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Speaker 1: over the team. They had that a ton of hype

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Speaker 1: going into less season, like their number just shortened all

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Speaker 1: summer long to win the title. Then everyone kind of

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Speaker 1: forgot about. It's like the Saudi's never even came in.

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Speaker 1: They're kind of laying in wait here. They look like

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a post hype team. So I

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Speaker 1: think finishing second is definitely on the cards. They're you know,

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Speaker 1: that ten twelve to one to do, so I'd much

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Speaker 1: rather try to nail it with a tricast and you can.

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Speaker 1: You can even do Arsenal Newcastle City if you're an

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Speaker 1: Arsenal believer. But we do feel pretty confident that it'll

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Speaker 1: be City Arsenal in at the top. And if Newcastle

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Speaker 1: can be the gate crasher, you have a chance for

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Speaker 1: a really fun sweat if they can turn it into

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Speaker 1: a three horse race. All right, so those are our

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Speaker 1: favorite outrights. Now let's get into it. We'll do some

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Speaker 1: more big picture stuff, give out some bets along the

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Speaker 1: way for outrights relegation, et cetera, et cetera. Let's size

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Speaker 1: up the odds. Of course, these odds are from our

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Speaker 1: friends at Petrie six five, who are our sponsor once

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Speaker 1: again this season. We thank them for that keeping the

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Speaker 1: lights on for us here at Wonder Goal. We really

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Speaker 1: really do appreciate that. Okay, Manchester City, why don't you

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Speaker 1: know they are your clear and consensus favorites to win

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Speaker 1: the Premier League. It would be five on the spin

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Speaker 1: for them, extending their record. They became the first team

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Speaker 1: to four pete. Now they'll look to become the first

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Speaker 1: team to five pete. Their plus one ten Arsenal is

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Speaker 1: the second choice at plus twenty eighty seven, then a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a jump to Liverpool at seven to one,

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Speaker 1: then a bigger jump to Chelsea at twenty, Man United

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Speaker 1: at twenty two, Tottenham twenty five, Newcastle thirty three and

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Speaker 1: Villa at fifty Brighton one fifty to one west Ham Palace, Bourne. Myth,

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Speaker 1: no matter what, we can keep going, but that's really

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Speaker 1: where we should stop. Bj you're an Arsenal supporter, you were.

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Speaker 1: I guess they kind of strung you along last year.

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Speaker 1: We fun a little bit, but you never really gave up. Hope.

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Speaker 1: Is this number kill enough? Michael?

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Speaker 2: It's the hope that kills you.

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Speaker 1: It is the hotel, especially with that team. And I

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Speaker 1: also saw that Mikhail Arteda hired a bunch of professional

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Speaker 1: pickpockets to go around at a dinner at first team

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Speaker 1: to show them to always be alert. I think that

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Speaker 1: could be the difference maker. Is that enough to push

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Speaker 1: you over the edge of plus what eighty seven?

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Speaker 2: I was already over the edge and now I'm just

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Speaker 2: diving straight into the pool. Yeah. So you know, I

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Speaker 2: came to last season and I said that, you know,

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Speaker 2: I thought that Arsenal and City were even teams. And

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Speaker 2: I think how the season played out then ended up

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Speaker 2: being true. Arsenal had a better expected goal of Frenchal

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Speaker 2: than City over the entire course of the season. And

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Speaker 2: first I want to kind of dive into City because

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Speaker 2: I think there is some real regression signs for them,

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Speaker 2: and I know we say that like every season, and

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Speaker 2: now they've won four straight, but you know, I think

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Speaker 2: the real regression signs come for them defensively. Last season

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Speaker 2: they allowed point nine to five expect goals per ninety manage,

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Speaker 2: which I know sounds like a great number, but you

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Speaker 2: compare that to the season before and it was point

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Speaker 2: eight three and the season before that it was point

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Speaker 2: sixty seven. So I think there's some clear regression for

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Speaker 2: them defensively. And really what it comes down to, and

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Speaker 2: we said it off last season, is that their press

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Speaker 2: is not as good as it once was. Last season

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Speaker 2: they finished ninth and pass per defensive action and eleventh

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Speaker 2: and opponent build up completion percentage allowed. It's been a

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Speaker 2: pretty quiet summer for City. You know, they bring in

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Speaker 2: Savio for the third left winger that they really didn't

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Speaker 2: need to begin with, and I think selling Ulian Alvarez,

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Speaker 2: and you know, obviously the transwinder was not closed and

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Speaker 2: they can still do business. But if they don't sign

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Speaker 2: another striker, Holland is the only striker they have on

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Speaker 2: the roster. And I get he's the best striker in

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Speaker 2: the world, but he dealt with a lot of injuries

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Speaker 2: last season, specifically that foot injury, which is what was

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Speaker 2: a very nagging injury for him throughout the entire season.

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Speaker 2: And guess what, the Champions League expanded, so you're playing

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Speaker 2: more matches and so Holland can't play every single match.

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Speaker 2: So City has to go out and find another striker.

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Speaker 2: And I'm quite frankly, I don't think they're really going

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Speaker 2: to find a striker to the quality of Ulian Alvarez.

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Speaker 2: So with Cities those numbers kind of declining defensively, you

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Speaker 2: have to sit back and ask, okay, like, how do

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Speaker 2: they really improve defensively. They haven't made any signings, so

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Speaker 2: it's kind of going to be the same old Also

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Speaker 2: last season, we forget that in ten matches against the

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Speaker 2: big six in the Premier League, City only won three

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Speaker 2: of them. Two of them came against that futured Manchester

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Speaker 2: United team that will get to later in the podcast,

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Speaker 2: and one came against Tottenham and the second to last

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Speaker 2: day that they didn't even really need to win, and

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Speaker 2: then a loss would have cost their rivals the title.

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Speaker 2: So I think that Arsenal is in a well positioned

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Speaker 2: and should be priced accordingly. Evenly with City. We know

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Speaker 2: that Arsenal is the best out of possession team in

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Speaker 2: the world. They only allowed point seven to three expected

200
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Speaker 2: goals for ninety minutes last season. The question marks that

201
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Speaker 2: throughout Arsenal is can they get to the level of

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Speaker 2: City from open play as it currently stands. I do

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Speaker 2: believe Arsenal needs just needs to buy a striker. There

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Speaker 2: are rumors that they might be willing to meet Napoli's

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Speaker 2: asking price for Victor Oshman, which if that happens, they

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Speaker 2: definitely should be same price as Manchester City. But even

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Speaker 2: as the team is currently constructed, I mean, you know,

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Speaker 2: kind of going off on a tangent a little bit.

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Speaker 2: You know, they signed cal Califiori from Beyond Blownia this

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Speaker 2: summer essentially have six center backs now that you can

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Speaker 2: interchange across your back line. I was thinking of the

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Speaker 2: other day, how Arsenal can play like a six to

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Speaker 2: three to one and just go straight terrorism ball and

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Speaker 2: just not let anybody score because it's honestly, I don't

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Speaker 2: know how a lot of teams score on Arsenal this season.

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Speaker 2: I mean last year only in five Premier League matches

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Speaker 2: teams created over one non penalty expected goal against them

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Speaker 2: five matches. And now they get another center back. They

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Speaker 2: bring Erie and Timber back from injury. They have everything

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Speaker 2: across their back line, they have depth, they have you know,

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Speaker 2: for my money, the second best defensive midfielder in the

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Speaker 2: Premier League in Declan Rice Sokka Martinelli ode guard like

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Speaker 2: even Hertz as a false nine like Arsenal is well positioned,

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Speaker 2: and they still average two expected goals for ninety minutes

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Speaker 2: last season, like it wasn't a bad offense. So I

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Speaker 2: think Arsenal should be priced accordingly with City in terms

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Speaker 2: of the odds. So I like Arsenal plus one ninety.

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Speaker 2: That's the best price you can find right now. They

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Speaker 2: do play City, I believe the third or fourth match

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Speaker 2: of the season at Manchester City, So if you wanted

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Speaker 2: to wait on that price, you probably could to see

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Speaker 2: what happens in that match. But in any case, you know,

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Speaker 2: I projected this out and I have art City at

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Speaker 2: eighty seven point four points and Arsenal eighty seven point one.

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Speaker 2: So I think they're even teams, so I think the

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Speaker 2: odds should be reflecting that. So I like Arsenal plus

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Speaker 2: one ninety.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they play City the fifth match of the season.

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Speaker 1: They go they have Wolves, Villa and Brighton before the

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Speaker 1: international break that it's the North London Derby and City

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Speaker 1: right out. Yeah, it's so you could be exactly which

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Speaker 1: is what you know that the tried and true method

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Speaker 1: has been just wait for the City number to trip.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you're suggesting, yeah, wait for Arsenal. I talked about

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Speaker 1: my way, I'd attack the outright market. I think you

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Speaker 1: should try to plug Newcastle in its second either City

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Speaker 1: or Arsenal over the top as in a forecast or

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Speaker 1: a trycast, because I do think that Newcastle has the

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Speaker 1: opportunity to nip one of them if they do come back.

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Speaker 1: Like you talked about a BJ the Holland issue, is

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Speaker 1: there any depth behind him? City's played so much soccer

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Speaker 1: over the past few years. Do they just tire out

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Speaker 1: like Kevin de Bruyna, those kind of key contributors, they

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Speaker 1: just don't stop playing. So I think there are passed

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Speaker 1: for them both to come back to the pack a

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Speaker 1: little bit and turn this into a three four horse

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Speaker 1: race rather than just the two horse race that we've seen,

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Speaker 1: you know, as we get to like the last two

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Speaker 1: or three match weeks of the season. So Newcastle would

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Speaker 1: be my team to start nipping at the heels here, Sam,

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Speaker 1: because I you know, Liverpool with the change, it's maybe

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Speaker 1: the numbers just too thin to get involved considering clop leaving.

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Speaker 1: So I'd much rather take a shot with Newcastle to

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Speaker 1: be to finish behind one of these Juggernauts. Any thoughts

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Speaker 1: on you from you and this title race?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I can see why you take Newcastle on and

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Speaker 3: if quickly go back to what bj was saying and

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Speaker 3: Julian Alvarez leaving and on the need to replace him.

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Speaker 3: He played thirty six Premier League games last season seven

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Speaker 3: Champions League matches, although in the Champions League a lot

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Speaker 3: of them were from the bench. Edison might be off

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Speaker 3: to Saudi Arabia potentially. If you think of Julian Alvarez,

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Speaker 3: you think of backup to Harland if he leaves. It's

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Speaker 3: not the end of the world, but you need more

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Speaker 3: than eleven players to compete for and win the Premier League.

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Speaker 3: Titles and that it shows his qualities going for like

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Speaker 3: ninety odd million, I think eighty millions, So if he leaves,

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Speaker 3: they definitely need to replace him. And in terms of

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Speaker 3: the outrights in the Premier League, I have the same

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Speaker 3: opinion as most people on this, similar to the boot makers,

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Speaker 3: I think Cities should win it in what might be

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Speaker 3: Pep's final season. If the players know that he's off

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Speaker 3: and that's common knowledge in the dressing room and this

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Speaker 3: is his last campaign, that they'll get him, They're going

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Speaker 3: to run through brick walls for him, even more so

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Speaker 3: than they do now. I like Arsenal to be with

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Speaker 3: them all the way, very strong from defense all the

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Speaker 3: way up to the top end of the pitch. We've

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Speaker 3: seen that BJ's gone through their numbers last season. I'm

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Speaker 3: hopeful Gabrielle Haesu so Martinelli can have a bigger impact

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Speaker 3: this season. And also as BJ said that they may

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Speaker 3: well recruit up at the top end of the pitch

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Speaker 3: before the window was out. Two City at plus one

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Speaker 3: ten Arsenal plus one ninety. I think the bookmakers are

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Speaker 3: on the same wavelength as us. It's not something I'm

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Speaker 3: going to bet on. I'm not interested in taking this

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Speaker 3: on in the slightest really, I think Arsenal are too short,

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Speaker 3: but that is largely because of the lumen points deduction

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Speaker 3: for city which may or or may not ever come

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Speaker 3: city it plus one ten but only sixteen to one

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Speaker 3: to be relegated. Because of the charges, I don't think

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Speaker 3: you can bet on them with any real conviction and

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Speaker 3: because of that, Arsenal are much shorter than they would

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Speaker 3: have been. But yeah, on on field. On the field,

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Speaker 3: Arsenal was still going to have to compete with this

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Speaker 3: city side, which of one four on the bounce. Now,

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Speaker 3: Manchester City are not unbeatable, but they're not far off it.

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Speaker 3: So in terms of taking a bet here, I'm not

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Speaker 3: too keen and getting involved as a punter. I think

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Speaker 3: you want everything laid out in front of you when

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Speaker 3: you're approaching a market. You want to know the ins

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Speaker 3: and the outs of what you're betting on. This is

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Speaker 3: like betting in general, especially on the football. On soccer's

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Speaker 3: it's really tough. Like's, it's not easy, and so you

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Speaker 3: need all the cards laid out on the table and

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Speaker 3: I just don't think we have it here, So I

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Speaker 3: think we're in the dark a little bit. At the prices,

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Speaker 3: and with everything that's going on, I'm not keen to

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Speaker 3: take either City or Arsenal. You mentioned Liverpool. There plenty

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Speaker 3: of question marks there as well. We don't really know

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Speaker 3: what we're going to get and they may come out

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Speaker 3: on fire and they may tear their legal we don't know.

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Speaker 3: It's not something I really want to take on at

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Speaker 3: the prices either. If I was going to have a

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Speaker 3: little bit of money, it would probably be on Tottenham

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Speaker 3: or new Castle.

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Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, I can agree with you there. One thing.

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Speaker 2: One thing I want to mention about cities charges from

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Speaker 2: what I've read and the you know, we'll get into

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Speaker 2: this later because unfortunately that is the case. We got

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Speaker 2: to talk about all, you know, lawyers and off the

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Speaker 2: field stuff. But from what I've read, it looks like

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Speaker 2: their court date is this summer, this upcoming summer. So

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Speaker 2: I think they're gonna let Pep walk out the door,

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Speaker 2: head held high, and then the charges come down. I

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Speaker 2: think is what they're going to do. But again I

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Speaker 2: don't know.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would be shocked. If the lawyers would.

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Speaker 2: Be funny, it would be funny.

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Speaker 1: It would be funny. To be a real shame, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on to the bottom of the table. Then

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Speaker 1: the race at the bottom a lot of times is

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Speaker 1: a lot more fun, although it's been flipped the past

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Speaker 1: couple seasons than the race at the top to be relegated.

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Speaker 1: Leicester City, who just won the championship by one point

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Speaker 1: over Ipswich Town. They are minus two fifty to go

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Speaker 1: right back down to the championship. We'll get into why

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Speaker 1: in a second. Ipswich is also odds on at minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty eight. Southampton, the third newly promoted team they

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Speaker 1: yo you would back up there plus one twenty five Everett.

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Speaker 1: The Juggernauts are plus one seventy five, not Dingham Forest

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Speaker 1: who also had a point deduction last year along with Everett,

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Speaker 1: and they are two to one. Wolverhampton plus three fifty

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Speaker 1: Brentford plus five hundred Fulham plus five fifty. Bourne myth

355
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Speaker 1: is nine to one. Pallace is nine to one, the

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Speaker 1: City is sixteen to one. West ham brighton twenty Chelsea

357
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Speaker 1: also twenty. Villa United triple digits, so is Newcastle Totdam.

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Speaker 1: There's no really reason again at Arsenal Liverpool, there's really

359
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:36,120
Speaker 1: no really real reason to get outside side of those

360
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Speaker 1: those first you know, eight to ten teams plus City

361
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Speaker 1: that I mentioned. Okay, so the situation is that Leicester

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Speaker 1: City is pretty it's imminent that they're going to get

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Speaker 1: a point seduction. We just don't know how much. I've

364
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Speaker 1: heard the error bars six points to sixteen. Obviously, if

365
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Speaker 1: it's sixteen points, we're dealing with a major catastrophe and

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Speaker 1: there's really no point for them to even play the

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Speaker 1: season anymore. I'm gonna guess it's gonna lean more towards

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Speaker 1: like six and because of what I just said. Who

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Speaker 1: knows though, how this bears out, though Sam, It's it's

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00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,080
Speaker 1: such a confusion market to bet it should be so

371
00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,199
Speaker 1: black and white, but now it's so confusing because of

372
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Speaker 1: financial fair play. What we saw with Evidence last year,

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Speaker 1: what we saw with Forrest, and now what we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see with Lester. The one team that I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: build around though, is Fulham. I want. I think Fulham

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Speaker 1: is going to be close enough to the relegation battle,

377
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 1: even if if as long as Lester doesn't get absolutely

378
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 1: paddled so Ipswich Southampton Fulham as a relegation try cast

379
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:36,919
Speaker 1: to go down as forty to one. That's really the

380
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,280
Speaker 1: only bet I can get even remotely excited about in

381
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,920
Speaker 1: this market, just because everything is just so convoluted with

382
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:48,480
Speaker 1: the lawyers and I don't know Leicester City's in the dock.

383
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Speaker 1: I don't know what you got here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's interesting. Are you opt in for Fulham because

385
00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:57,640
Speaker 3: of Paulina is not the and I thought.

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00:18:57,800 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 1: I don't trust him to score enough and without him

387
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,560
Speaker 1: winning the ball in the midfield, they were really We've

388
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:06,040
Speaker 1: changed our tune on Fulham quite a bit throughout last

389
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Speaker 1: season that they started to become a team that could

390
00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,200
Speaker 1: actually start to defend. They became like almost an opposite

391
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 1: version of themselves from the previous season under Silva. And

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Speaker 1: I also don't know if Silva's going to stick around

393
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,399
Speaker 1: the whole season. I feel like if the he's the

394
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 1: type of guy that's always kind of connected to other jobs,

395
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:26,439
Speaker 1: and if a big job in you know, Spain opens up,

396
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:30,879
Speaker 1: what he's going to be mentioned or and could he

397
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:32,680
Speaker 1: walk out of this team And who's going to score

398
00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 1: their goals? Not totally sure. I know that they brought

399
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 1: in BJ's got Emil Smith Row don't think he's going

400
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,160
Speaker 1: to you know, set the world a light. So they're

401
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 1: the team that I kind of want to build around

402
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,080
Speaker 1: to add a price to this market, just because I

403
00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:48,480
Speaker 1: don't think you're going to get good prices otherwise, so

404
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:50,640
Speaker 1: you got to take a shot. Fulham would be my pick.

405
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 1: I think BJ and I are both relatively bullish on

406
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 1: Brentford having a better season than they were last year.

407
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,679
Speaker 1: The whole world is bullish on Bourne myth in Palace,

408
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:00,399
Speaker 1: so I don't think that they're going to be involve didn't.

409
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,880
Speaker 1: God knows how Brighton's gonna be, but I don't think

410
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Speaker 1: that they've got too much talent to be in there.

411
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Speaker 1: So the one team of the three teams that kind

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00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 1: of feel like they'll be in there with the newly

413
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Speaker 1: promoted teams Everton, n In and Forest in Fulham. The

414
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,400
Speaker 1: prices are just so much better on Fulham, so I'm

415
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 1: going to try to build around them.

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00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 3: That makes sense. I've seen them linked with Andre from

417
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 3: Fluminents in Brazil. If they can get someone of that

418
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,639
Speaker 3: quality over the line. Obviously he may or may not

419
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 3: be Premier League ready, he's not got the experience, but

420
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 3: and it's big shoes to feel, but they really need

421
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 3: to get someone in. I think they will so be

422
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 3: interesting to see they get in. But in terms of

423
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Speaker 3: the relegation picks I've got in front of me, I've

424
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Speaker 3: actually got three picks. Some I'm a bit greedy, so

425
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Speaker 3: my first one, and they're not all in the relegation

426
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:49,080
Speaker 3: market itself, but they're kind of born from it. So

427
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Speaker 3: I've got Ipswich higher than Lester. Minus one twenty is

428
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Speaker 3: probably the smallest price you have on this podcast. Today

429
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Speaker 3: Southampton relegated at plus one seventy five and Ester bottom

430
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Speaker 3: on Christmas Day at plus one twenty. So I like

431
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 3: Southampton to be relegated. I think that's the value pick

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Speaker 3: for me in the relegation market in the Premier League

433
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 3: at the prices. However, on more hot on Ipswich out

434
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 3: doing Leicester and Lester having a bad season than I

435
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,840
Speaker 3: am on Southampton getting relegated. So that's where I'm going

436
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 3: to head with this. Got a question, lads, how many

437
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 3: points do you think Leicester will return from the seventeen

438
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 3: the seventeen games from the opening day up until Christmas.

439
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 3: I'll give you a bit more information if bear in

440
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,520
Speaker 3: mind that Leicester's a in this season is to survive obviously,

441
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 3: so looking at last season at Christmas Forrest who at

442
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 3: one place in seventeenth above the relegation zone. They had

443
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 3: fourteen points come Christmas Day, So how many do we

444
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,439
Speaker 3: think Leicester are going to have?

445
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 2: Oh boy, are we counting the the points deduction? No,

446
00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 2: not yet, that's I would probably say, yeah, fifteen or

447
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 2: sixteen would be Yeah.

448
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 1: I between like fourteen and eighteen.

449
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that. I think I think most people

450
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,639
Speaker 3: will be along those lines. And I don't want to

451
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 3: keep speaking about it because it is boring. But what

452
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:16,920
Speaker 3: Michael touched on in terms of the points deductions, everything

453
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:18,639
Speaker 3: I've read, I think this is going to be the

454
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 3: biggest points deduction deduction from a PSR breach that we've

455
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:30,440
Speaker 3: ever had. So we could have fifteen, sixteen, even twelve.

456
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 3: So let's speak conservative and say Lester get a nine

457
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:37,919
Speaker 3: points deduction. That would take them down to probably four

458
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:42,200
Speaker 3: or five six points. And I think it's in everyone's

459
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 3: best interests the Premier League, Leicester, the club, the fan

460
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 3: base in terms of like a competitive the Premier League

461
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 3: being a competitive landscape is in everyone's best interest to

462
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 3: get this point deduction out of the way. We don't

463
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 3: want another ever, and we definitely don't want another Forest

464
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:04,720
Speaker 3: which came in March of last season. We don't want that.

465
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 3: That's a face. No one wants that. So I think

466
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,919
Speaker 3: this points deduction is imminent and I think it's going

467
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 3: to come before Christmas, so you can get Leicester bottom

468
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 3: on Christmas Day at plus one twenty. I really like that.

469
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,199
Speaker 3: And I know I know about ten minutes ago I

470
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 3: was saying, don't be betting on things, so all the

471
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,320
Speaker 3: cards aren't laid out on the table, and this is

472
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 3: exactly what I'm telling you to do here, So I'm

473
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:31,120
Speaker 3: a bit mindful about that. So that's probably why I've

474
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 3: got the other two selections that I mentioned above Leicester

475
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 3: bottom on Christmas Day. But it's an interesting angle and

476
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,199
Speaker 3: I think it's one that people should maybe consider and

477
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 3: just keep an ear out to see, you know, how

478
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 3: the procedure is moving. On my other bet, yeh ipswich

479
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 3: higher than Leicester if Leicester get a big old points deduction,

480
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 3: and I don't regardless of the deductions, I think Leicester

481
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 3: squad it has to be one of the weakest in

482
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 3: the division in my eyes. Keen and Jewsbury Hall, their

483
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 3: best player the championship, was brilliant in the Championship he's

484
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 3: gone to Chelsea Maresca didn't want to stick around to

485
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:08,640
Speaker 3: sample Premier League foot wiver. They look really light up top.

486
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 3: And another question gents like who scores the goals to

487
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 3: keep Lester in the Premier League.

488
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 2: Jamie Vardy Park Jamie Vardy is like, oh, it's thirty

489
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 2: seven years old. I was looking at that. I was like,

490
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 2: he's like the favorite to be their top goal scorer

491
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 2: and I'm like, really, seven.

492
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 3: I would love nothing more than Jamie Vardy to hit

493
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,600
Speaker 3: twenty five thirty goals, but some for the radar for

494
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 3: six imagine. Yeah, no, I'd love it, but the chances

495
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 3: are slim. So I'm really concerned for Lester this season.

496
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 3: You've got a squad which it doesn't look like it's

497
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 3: full of goals or creativity, a manager that's coming in

498
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 3: in really tricky circumstances. So to get Leicester, I know

499
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,880
Speaker 3: it's an anti post bet and you got away all

500
00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 3: seasons from minus one twenty to Cashland. Well that's not

501
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 3: it's not thrilling, but for me, that's as close as

502
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 3: I don't want to say, that's his closest banker material

503
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 3: as I've seen in the Premier League. Really around even money,

504
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:15,160
Speaker 3: So I really like that. But for the podcast, I'm

505
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 3: going to put up Southampton relegated at plus one seven

506
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 3: five because I think Leicester are going to be right

507
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 3: down there and I think Ipswich is probably down there too.

508
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 3: But in terms of Southampton, more than anything, it's their

509
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 3: style of football and Russell Martin, and I think if

510
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 3: they enter this Premier League season and play the way

511
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 3: they did in the Championship and play Russell Martin's style

512
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 3: of football, which he's put on show for us all

513
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:44,920
Speaker 3: the way through his career in the English Football League,

514
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 3: I think he's going to get found out and I

515
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:48,920
Speaker 3: don't think he's going to have a plan B cold,

516
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 3: So that's my main reason. I think they're all all

517
00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 3: three of them are going to be down there this season.

518
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,119
Speaker 3: But that's the value pick for me. Southampton relegated plus

519
00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:57,840
Speaker 3: one seventy five.

520
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,679
Speaker 1: It's like what we saw with company in Burnley issue right,

521
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 1: like you gotta have it, You just gotta have a

522
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: plan B. You can't just run all over Manchester City

523
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 1: with Burnley.

524
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:10,200
Speaker 3: B.

525
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 2: J thoughts here on relegation, Yeah, along those same lines,

526
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:17,439
Speaker 2: I really like if Switch to be relegated and if

527
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,199
Speaker 2: you've been following me on Twitter. This is probably the

528
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 2: biggest UH future position that I've taken in a really,

529
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 2: really long time. But you know, kind of going along

530
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,719
Speaker 2: the same line as of what Sam was saying about Southampton.

531
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 2: You know, Kieren McKenna may very well be one of

532
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 2: the you know, brightest and best young managers out there,

533
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 2: but I don't think that bringing a squad with the

534
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 2: talent level of essentially Lowton Town of last year and

535
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:49,080
Speaker 2: playing a style very similar to Burnley is going to

536
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 2: work out at all. If you know anything about ipswitch like,

537
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 2: they're very innovative. They like to build out of the back,

538
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:55,920
Speaker 2: like to use a lot of short passes, like to

539
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 2: drop a lot of guides to deep and build up. There's

540
00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,640
Speaker 2: a lot of Deservee esque type of things that come

541
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 2: with Ipswich Town. You know, they controlled fifty three percent

542
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 2: of the ball in the championship last season. But my

543
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,440
Speaker 2: question marks surrounding these teams and I think we need

544
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 2: to learn from what happened to Burnley last season. If

545
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 2: you remember, Company came in tried to play this aggressive

546
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,120
Speaker 2: build up and aggressive pressing style, which, by the way,

547
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 2: Ipswich had the best pass per defensive action mark in

548
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 2: the championship last season. They're very aggressive with their high

549
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 2: press that by November company had to switch to a

550
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:28,639
Speaker 2: four to four to two and then suddenly he didn't

551
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,439
Speaker 2: have a squad that was built to play a four

552
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:33,719
Speaker 2: to four to two counter attacking football like it just

553
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 2: it didn't work. So if you look at the business

554
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 2: that Ipswich has done this season, they've brought in, you know,

555
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,919
Speaker 2: they've made Amari Hutchinson a permanent signing. They've brought in

556
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,639
Speaker 2: a good center back, they brought in some depth along

557
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 2: their back line, which obviously helps them, right, But my

558
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 2: question marks are you know, I mean Ipswitch's squad is

559
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 2: valued at ninety million per transfer market dot Com right now,

560
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 2: Lester's at one hundred and eighty three million, and they're

561
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 2: in second, second, the last place. So if you're bringing

562
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,399
Speaker 2: a squad of this low of talent level and trying

563
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 2: to play a very modern build out of the back

564
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 2: high pressing style, to borrow Sam's phrase, you're gonna get

565
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:13,919
Speaker 2: found out really quick and you better have a plan B.

566
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 2: And I'm not so sure that because of the talent

567
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 2: level that they have assembled that they actually have a

568
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 2: plan B. I'm not sure because we've seen you know,

569
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,919
Speaker 2: we rag on Marco Silva a lot. But when Fulham

570
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 2: came to the Premier League, he really he recognized from

571
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 2: the get go that they were not going to be

572
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 2: able to play the way they played in the championship,

573
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 2: so he made them into a low block transitional type

574
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 2: team and you're starting to see them get better and better.

575
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 2: And now that we're in year three of that. Right,

576
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 2: so you look at the bottom of the table and

577
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 2: obviously this price is minus one twenty because there's points

578
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 2: deductions everywhere, right, And I'll get to Everton in a second.

579
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,640
Speaker 2: Who you know at worst? I guess we're looking at

580
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 2: a nine point administrative type situation, I guess. But teams

581
00:28:54,640 --> 00:29:01,959
Speaker 2: like Nottingham, Forest, Wolves, Fulham, Brentford, Everton, what do all

582
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 2: those teams have in common? They are really solid and

583
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 2: at least average to above average teams defending in defensive blocks,

584
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:13,080
Speaker 2: defending their peneled area. You know, from January on, Wolves

585
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 2: had the worst expected gold the French in the Premier League.

586
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 2: Like they were from an underlying data perspective, they were terrible,

587
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 2: but they were the best team in the Premier League

588
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 2: at defending their penalty area and that is what kept

589
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 2: them in the Premier League. And obviously Gary and O'Neill

590
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,680
Speaker 2: is a great tactician as well. I'm not so sure

591
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 2: Ipswich is ready to defend and only hold thirty five

592
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,160
Speaker 2: percent of the ball for most matches, because that is

593
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 2: what's going to happen. In the championship. Last season, they

594
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 2: were middle of the road in terms of blocking shots

595
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 2: and defending crosses in their penalty area. One stat I

596
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 2: love to use in terms of evaluating teams how they

597
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,720
Speaker 2: play in low blocks is final third to box entry

598
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 2: conversion right. Essentially, once a team enters the final third,

599
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 2: how often are they getting in the penalty area. Ipswich

600
00:29:56,320 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 2: was twelve in the championship. That is incredibly average. Again,

601
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 2: even if Kieran McKenna comes in and plays a style

602
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 2: which I don't think is going to be successful, if

603
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 2: he decides to switch to a Plan B, I don't

604
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 2: think they have the talent or the personnel to be

605
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 2: able to defend in that type of area. Their midfield

606
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 2: is so weak. If you go to transfer market dot

607
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 2: Com right now, I think they may be a one

608
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,680
Speaker 2: player valued at over a million dollars. Like that is

609
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 2: really really weak, and they really need to do some

610
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 2: business to bulk up that midfield and find some ball

611
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 2: winners because if they don't, they're going to be in

612
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 2: a world of trouble. So I think because of the

613
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,040
Speaker 2: low talent level, because of the style of play, and

614
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 2: really the Plan B, even if they go to Plan

615
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 2: B not really going to their squad's really not set

616
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 2: up to do that. I think ipswitch is going down,

617
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,680
Speaker 2: and they're going down in a hurry. So I really

618
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 2: love them at minus one twenty to be relegated. The

619
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 2: other one I like, kind of going along the same

620
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 2: lines of what Sam said about Lester in Southampton, is

621
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 2: all three newly promoted teams to be relegated at five

622
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 2: to one. I don't think people truly have grasped the

623
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 2: financial impact of all three newly promoted teams going down

624
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 2: last season, because as the Premier League payment structure as

625
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 2: it is structured, is the longer you stay in the

626
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:13,959
Speaker 2: Premier League, the more money you get, right, So teams

627
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 2: like Nottingham Forest and Fulham and Bournemouth and Brentford who

628
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 2: have stayed in for now three or four years are

629
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 2: getting more and more money and I know they're now

630
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 2: in financial trouble in terms of financial fair play. But

631
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:26,400
Speaker 2: over the course of those two and three years they've

632
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 2: been able to spend money and get their squad to

633
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 2: a level that is Premier League capable and one that

634
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 2: doesn't put them in the relegation zone. So obviously Lester's

635
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 2: in financial trouble. Southampton, you know, like Sam said, I

636
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 2: think they're in a world of heard. You know, Russell

637
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 2: Martin's never managed in the Premier League. He can play,

638
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 2: you know, controlling sixty three percent of the ball in

639
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 2: the Championship and in League One, but try and doing

640
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 2: that in the Premier League with the talent level they

641
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 2: have is just not going to work. So all three

642
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 2: promoted teams to be relegated at five to one, I

643
00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 2: think has a lot of value. And finally, Michael ever

644
00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:00,320
Speaker 2: did to stay up a minus two to fifty. From

645
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 2: everything I've read about Everton, it's not going well in

646
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 2: terms of finding new owners. They obviously have the stadium

647
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 2: project going on that's costing them a lot of money.

648
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 2: At worst, it sounds like they're going into administration. It's

649
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 2: an automatic nine point deduction if I'm not mistaken. Bring

650
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 2: it on, Bring it on, because last season they had

651
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 2: an eight point deduction and they still finished with forty

652
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 2: two points. And I would ask people, you know, if

653
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 2: this was like a college football game over the course

654
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 2: of a season, if you gave Everton minus nine against

655
00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 2: Ipswich or Southampton, who are you taking. I'm taking Everton

656
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 2: all day, because I legitimately think they're fifteen or twenty

657
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 2: points better than both of those teams. So even if

658
00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: Everton gets a point deduction, that's the reason why they're

659
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 2: only minus two fifty to you know, to stay up.

660
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 2: I think that that number is way way too short.

661
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,200
Speaker 2: So I like Everton to stay up. It'll be fun,

662
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 2: you know, taking a future at minus two fifty to

663
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 2: tie up for over the course of eight months, but

664
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,040
Speaker 2: especially I think they ever done a value on it.

665
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 2: So I'm with you, Michael, with Evertson all year long

666
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 2: to stay up.

667
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: We talked so much about evertting down the stretch last

668
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 1: season that we'll just well, I'm going to try to

669
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 1: talk about them as little as possible here. They just

670
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 1: have everyone nuts, all right, Let's talk top four, top

671
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 1: six bets, top half if you want, bottom half, those

672
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 1: those kind of bets, those placing bets, one team and

673
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 1: I'm going to save them for the end because I

674
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,200
Speaker 1: have a you won't believe this, but I have a

675
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 1: bet in the triple digits that I really like for

676
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: this season. I wanted to give it off at the top,

677
00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: but I figured I'll save it for the end, keep

678
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 1: people sticking around. There's I think there's two Darlings this season,

679
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 1: and one of them is Crystal Palace, which was a

680
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,520
Speaker 1: darling two seasons ago with when Patrick Vieira looked like

681
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:49,600
Speaker 1: the next big thing, and they're back to being a

682
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 1: darling again because it looks like Oliver Glassner is the

683
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:57,160
Speaker 1: next big thing. The other team is Boorne Myth. I

684
00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 1: think you know similarly, and Doni era Iola has kind

685
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: of already proved himself to be a really, really sharp manager.

686
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 1: The one concern I have about Eiola is similar to Silva,

687
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 1: like I just don't know if he sticks around the

688
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 1: entire season. If a huge job opens up, that's really

689
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:19,399
Speaker 1: scary for this Bourne Myth team. But assuming he does

690
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 1: and he sees this thing out to the end of

691
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,479
Speaker 1: the year, I think Born with fourteen to one, top six,

692
00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 1: I think Born With fifty to one and top four,

693
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 1: And like I said, I have a triple digit play

694
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 1: I'll talk about later on Bournemouth, but I'm in on

695
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 1: the Cherries here. I think that they're the team that

696
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 1: could just fool around and all of a sudden find

697
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 1: themselves in the top six. I'll like, you know, right

698
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:42,480
Speaker 1: in a couple of seasons ago, just hang around. I

699
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:44,759
Speaker 1: know it's really hard to crash it. I mean, Chelsea

700
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 1: finished thirteen points ahead of like eighth or ninth last

701
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:53,800
Speaker 1: year and they weren't very good. But yeah, born with Sam,

702
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 1: I think that they could be the team that really

703
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: outruns there their odds here. The scary thing, of course,

704
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,839
Speaker 1: or you're going to this, is that they might lose

705
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 1: their striker in the coming days.

706
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 3: Yes, I love that you bringing along a free digit

707
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 3: Bournemouth based punt to the pod because I'm so pro

708
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 3: Bournmouth this season. You mentioned i Iola. I think he's

709
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 3: a brilliant coach. In terms of Top four, I've not

710
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 3: got them, not got them down. I've not been as

711
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,000
Speaker 3: bold and as brave as you in front of me.

712
00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,359
Speaker 3: I've got Newcastle and Spurs, and I think Newcastle may

713
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:33,120
Speaker 3: get spoken about, so I'll kind of lean into Spurs.

714
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 3: I don't know if you want to have a rant

715
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 3: about man United, now save it later in the show

716
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:41,839
Speaker 3: because I'm fully on board. Just give me the nod.

717
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 3: They're at plus four hundred at the minute. To get

718
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 3: top four doesn't interest me in the slightest. And I'll

719
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 3: tell you what doesn't interest me even less. Chelsea at

720
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 3: plus one three seven. Oh my goodness. Look if you're

721
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,799
Speaker 3: looking at that and you're thinking for I like a

722
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 3: bit of that, then you need you need a check

723
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 3: up of some kind. Yeah, yeah, yeah, that'll do it.

724
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 3: So Chelsea and United, I'm just going to swear them completely.

725
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 3: I don't I don't even need to get into it.

726
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 3: I don't think it's it's fairly obvious. Some shock that

727
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 3: Eric ten hag is still in Manchester. I'll get it.

728
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,760
Speaker 3: I know why he's still there. There's no one really

729
00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 3: maybe to come in and take this squad right now

730
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 3: to another level. Are there any managers kind of available

731
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 3: with that skill set and who would be willing as well?

732
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 3: Maybe not, but to move over to lean towards the

733
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:40,680
Speaker 3: Tottenham punt. Yeah, I'm a big fan of Angi Pasta

734
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:43,320
Speaker 3: Cogli his Spur side for a lot of last season.

735
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:49,240
Speaker 3: To watch at times were brilliant play some really good football,

736
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 3: scored a lot of goals, and they just couldn't stick

737
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:54,760
Speaker 3: it out for the season. There were a lot of injuries.

738
00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 3: I can't remember which match it was, but there were

739
00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:59,319
Speaker 3: one match where I think they lost like three four

740
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:02,360
Speaker 3: players to win. Every time, like the ball kind of

741
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,959
Speaker 3: got put in from from out of place, someone would

742
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 3: be on the floor and they'd be off injured. So yeah,

743
00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 3: there were a lot of injuries and that's why they

744
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,280
Speaker 3: didn't get top four or close to it last season.

745
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 3: But they aim for this season, and his aim will

746
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 3: be for top four, and I fancy them to be

747
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,480
Speaker 3: right amongst it for that final Champions League place. I

748
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 3: think the top three is probably sewn up. If you

749
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:28,200
Speaker 3: want to include Liverpool in that, I think they'll be

750
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:31,560
Speaker 3: good enough to maybe get the top three. Maybe not,

751
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 3: but yeah, that of the odds in front of me

752
00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 3: plus two hundred neck and neck with Newcastle, I think

753
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:44,799
Speaker 3: I like that for Tottenham to kick on, if we

754
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 3: can get those Tottenham performances and we can stretch out

755
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:49,800
Speaker 3: for a thirty eight game season. I know they're in

756
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:53,239
Speaker 3: the Europa League, but if we can get that, I

757
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 3: think they need a few more reinforcements. Dominic Selankey's mentioned

758
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:59,879
Speaker 3: up top, that'd be a great signing if they don't

759
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:02,880
Speaker 3: at him the kind of fees that are touted around

760
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:05,640
Speaker 3: sixty five million for a striker. If they don't get Selanky,

761
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 3: you can imagine what kind of striker they're going to

762
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 3: bring in. So I like, I like Tottenham's chances. I

763
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,480
Speaker 3: want to see a little bit more activity in the window.

764
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,799
Speaker 3: But that's that's where I've ended in terms of Top four.

765
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 3: Quick mention to Villa expanded Champions League format eight games

766
00:38:20,200 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 3: instead of six in the group phase. It's not called

767
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:27,359
Speaker 3: group phase now league phase. I think I think all

768
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:29,320
Speaker 3: their eggs are going to be in the Champions League basket.

769
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 3: They're not. They're not a club familiar with the Champions League.

770
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:33,879
Speaker 3: They're going to put everything into and it will take

771
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 3: away from the Premier League. So that's why I've overlooked them.

772
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 3: But I love Villa. I just think they'll miss out yep.

773
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 1: And as we know, and we say all the time

774
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 1: on this podcast, we we love that via real team

775
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 1: that Unyamori took deep into the Champions League. Great tournament manager,

776
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,239
Speaker 1: he loves himself for a tournament like that BJ So

777
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,320
Speaker 1: we'll see what he can what kind of noise you

778
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 1: can make with the new this new Swiss model. But

779
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:56,920
Speaker 1: what do you got here in these markets?

780
00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:59,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think honestly, I think Astonville is kind of

781
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,080
Speaker 2: kind of interesting, and I think their summer has been

782
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 2: so they obviously sold Douglas Louis, but they brought in

783
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:08,879
Speaker 2: so much depth. Because of the expanded Champions League, they're

784
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 2: gonna be playing so many matches, and they just brought

785
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 2: in a ton of guys to be able to cope

786
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 2: with that. So, like Sam said, you know, Uniamori knows

787
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 2: how to manage in the Champions League, and I think

788
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:19,839
Speaker 2: they're gonna probably, like he said, they're gonna caroll those

789
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 2: eggs in that basket. So I agree with that. I

790
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 2: don't think there's really anything you can buy from Astonville

791
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 2: in terms of top four top six, but I mentioned

792
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 2: earlier my favorite bet was Newcastle top four. I even

793
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 2: like a if you want to do a two or

794
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:34,239
Speaker 2: even three unit play on Newcastle top six, I think

795
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,359
Speaker 2: is is honestly a great bet.

796
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:38,160
Speaker 1: So let's go through what.

797
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 2: Happened with Newcastle last season. So they came in if

798
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 2: you remember, they pumped Asonville in the first match just

799
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:46,040
Speaker 2: absolutely destroyed them and they looked like the team that

800
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,239
Speaker 2: we saw that finished in top four. Then they went

801
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 2: through a bit of a lull, then they went on

802
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,799
Speaker 2: a big winning streak, and then they hit a point

803
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 2: where they were dealing with a ton of injuries and

804
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 2: had Champions League obligations. So Eddie Howe couldn't unleash his

805
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:04,319
Speaker 2: patented I press, which, like I mentioned, is so necessary

806
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 2: for that to be successful. Is that not only having

807
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 2: players fit, but being physical and being intense. So the

808
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 2: requirements of those three things, you know, it doesn't really

809
00:40:14,640 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 2: work when you're playing three matches in a week and

810
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,400
Speaker 2: you have a bunch of injuries, right, So now aren't

811
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 2: a position of they don't have to do that. So

812
00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:23,279
Speaker 2: midway through the last season they switched to like a

813
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 2: passive four or five to one type of block, and

814
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:29,239
Speaker 2: that didn't work. If you remember, they went through a

815
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 2: point where they lost four straight matches, one to City, Liverpool,

816
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 2: Nottingham Forest and to I believe it was Brentford as well.

817
00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:44,719
Speaker 2: And that Liverpool match they got seven expected goals put

818
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 2: on them. It was the most ever at a Premier

819
00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 2: League match. So then they were out of the Champions League.

820
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:52,919
Speaker 2: They were kind of, you know, sitting in the middle

821
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:55,640
Speaker 2: of the table, and when we got to the end

822
00:40:55,719 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 2: of January that's when they really started to kind of

823
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,359
Speaker 2: turn things on that point. It was the Aston Villa

824
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 2: match on January thirtieth that Eddie House said, we're not

825
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 2: doing the four or five to one anymore. We're just

826
00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:07,800
Speaker 2: going back to our pattent high press and we're just

827
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,400
Speaker 2: going for it right and even if our squad is

828
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,399
Speaker 2: a little bit depleted, even if we have slow guys

829
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,759
Speaker 2: on our back line, they're gonna come up and date

830
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 2: in the press and just it is what it is.

831
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,000
Speaker 2: We're going for it, which created a lot of high

832
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 2: scoring matches, which is kind of goes along with Sam's

833
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:22,360
Speaker 2: point about e Shach being the top goal scorer is

834
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 2: they're going to be in a lot of high scoring matches.

835
00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 2: But from January thirtieth on to the end of the season,

836
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 2: Newcastle light a plus eleven point five expected gold differential

837
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:34,400
Speaker 2: that was fourth in the Premier League behind the three Dogs,

838
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 2: Arsenal City in Liverpool. And I think we forget the

839
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:42,360
Speaker 2: injuries that they sustained. Joe Linton is a huge, huge

840
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 2: part of their high press. He's the most physical guy

841
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 2: that they have in terms of marking the team's you know,

842
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 2: opposing defensive midfielder. He was out for pretty much the

843
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:53,319
Speaker 2: entire second half of the season. Even Sven Baltman, who

844
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,640
Speaker 2: is you could say arguably one of their best center backs,

845
00:41:55,680 --> 00:41:58,480
Speaker 2: missed the basically the entire second half of the season.

846
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 2: Nick Pope as well. They're starting Colcie or missed the

847
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:05,319
Speaker 2: excuse me the second half of the season. They brought

848
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 2: in Lloyd Kelly, which I think is a really smart

849
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:09,759
Speaker 2: signing for them, add some depth across their back line,

850
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:11,120
Speaker 2: a guy who played in a kind of a similar

851
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 2: system at Bournemouth. They're rumored to be in the market

852
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:16,960
Speaker 2: for Mark Gahey in the region of sixty five million pounds,

853
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 2: which would be an incredible signing for them and really

854
00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 2: would put them over the edge. But now that they

855
00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 2: don't have Europe and they can focus just on the

856
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:27,439
Speaker 2: Premier League, I think Newcastle is in the exact same

857
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,359
Speaker 2: position they were two years ago, and I think they're

858
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,560
Speaker 2: in a way better position than Chelsea. In Manchester United,

859
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 2: it's probably going to be close between them and Tottenham,

860
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,879
Speaker 2: But I mean this Newcastle team is set up so well,

861
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:43,640
Speaker 2: and they're high press. Nobody's really when they're truly fit

862
00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:46,359
Speaker 2: and able to figure it out, and nobody's really been

863
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 2: able to figure it out. And also Sandra Tanali's coming

864
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 2: back at the end of August here from his suspension,

865
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 2: so you add another midfielder there. I mean, Newcastle set

866
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 2: up so well here, so I like them Top four

867
00:42:57,760 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 2: two to one, top six one twenty.

868
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk top half bottom half bets. Well,

869
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:09,959
Speaker 1: we're here too, Like we were saying, Sam, you're we're

870
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:11,799
Speaker 1: all in under story with teams, so you want to

871
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 1: go into that one.

872
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:16,720
Speaker 3: Yes, please. So if we're looking at the top half

873
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:20,640
Speaker 3: finish betting, we've got eight teams the buttmakers think are

874
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:24,640
Speaker 3: nailed on. So what we're looking at now is maybe

875
00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:27,880
Speaker 3: two spots up for grabs. Got west Ham, Brighton and

876
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:32,239
Speaker 3: both odds on Palace and then Bournemouth, which you can

877
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:36,920
Speaker 3: get at plus four fifty in some places over here

878
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 3: in the UK. Hopefully you can get that over there. Yeah.

879
00:43:41,200 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 3: I love the Cherries under Aroyola. Massive improvements from last

880
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:47,840
Speaker 3: season when he was able to get his ideas across

881
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:51,000
Speaker 3: and stop piecing results together. Think he's such a good coach,

882
00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:53,600
Speaker 3: and we saw as much in Spain. He's come over

883
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 3: from railway Ocano and bor a sticky patch. Over the

884
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 3: first eleven or twelve games, he's been a breath of

885
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,240
Speaker 3: fresh air down on the south coast of England and

886
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 3: like in terms of the neutral like his football is

887
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:10,200
Speaker 3: brilliant to watch. It's like an aggressive press operates in

888
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:15,240
Speaker 3: the opposition's half nearer their eighteen yard bocks and really

889
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 3: he looks to put whoever they're playing under real pressure.

890
00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 3: Defenders want time on the ball when the ball is

891
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 3: at their feet. I don't care who you are. The

892
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:26,720
Speaker 3: game might be evolving and defenders becoming much more adept

893
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 3: to receiving the ball and the pressure, but you can

894
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:31,480
Speaker 3: be sure they'd much rather have six, seven, eight seconds

895
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 3: to progress and move the ball than one or two.

896
00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:39,240
Speaker 3: So I like Bournemouth. I think in every single Premier

897
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:42,040
Speaker 3: League game we can expect them to really take the

898
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:44,200
Speaker 3: game to teams and for a lot of clubs in

899
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:46,200
Speaker 3: the Premier League they won't like that. They're going to

900
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:49,240
Speaker 3: pick up a lot of results, a lot of wins

901
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 3: over the course of the season. Now they're entering the

902
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 3: season knowing their style philosophy's shape. However you want to

903
00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:00,160
Speaker 3: address it up. They're going into game one and they're ready.

904
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 3: Last season it was different. Obviously took him eleven or

905
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 3: twelve games, as I mentioned, So in terms of getting

906
00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:08,799
Speaker 3: top half over the line with a full thirty eight

907
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:11,760
Speaker 3: game stretch, I like the thought of that. We spoke

908
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:15,440
Speaker 3: about dom Solanki going it's a major concern linked with

909
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 3: a sixty five million pound move to Tottenham. I think

910
00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:23,640
Speaker 3: that's his release clause, but I'm pretty sure Bournemouth reinvests

911
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:26,120
Speaker 3: that money going off how the owners come across and

912
00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:29,480
Speaker 3: how ambitious they are. But that would be a big

913
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:32,319
Speaker 3: blow because he's so good in Eiola system. He's doing

914
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:35,439
Speaker 3: so well. But in terms of this Bournemouth top half bet,

915
00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:38,040
Speaker 3: it is a red flag. So maybe you should wait

916
00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:41,960
Speaker 3: until the window closes to be as pro Bournemouth as

917
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 3: I am. But unfortunately I'm on a podcast on the

918
00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 3: eighth of August, so I don't have that luxury. But

919
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,239
Speaker 3: if I was to pick out a price and a

920
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 3: bet and a team who I think are gonna go

921
00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:55,440
Speaker 3: all the way and really put a stamp down this season,

922
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 3: put a marker down under a really impressive progressive coach.

923
00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:02,359
Speaker 3: It's Bournemouth plus four fifty if you can gall out price.

924
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:05,440
Speaker 2: One thing I want to add on to what Sam

925
00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:08,279
Speaker 2: was saying, you know it took them eleven or twelve

926
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:10,560
Speaker 2: matches to figure it out. I think November eleventh is

927
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:12,439
Speaker 2: the date that you can point out when they beat

928
00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:16,080
Speaker 2: Newcastle at home. From that point on November eleventh to

929
00:46:16,120 --> 00:46:19,240
Speaker 2: the end of the season, Bournemouth had a plus twelve

930
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:22,200
Speaker 2: point six non penalty expected goal differential, which was fourth

931
00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:24,839
Speaker 2: best in the Premier League. Eight point eight pass per

932
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:29,480
Speaker 2: defensive action was third best behind Liverpool and Tottenham. It's

933
00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:32,440
Speaker 2: a really good team.

934
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, they are. We're it's going to be fun to

935
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:38,800
Speaker 1: watch them just break our hearts. They do have a

936
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 1: I want to wanted to mention this when I was

937
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:43,560
Speaker 1: talking about their top four top six markets, and they

938
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:46,879
Speaker 1: do have a relatively tough start to the schedule. Their

939
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:51,840
Speaker 1: first five matches see them play Newcastle, they open with

940
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 1: Forrest and they've taken Newcastle, Everton, Chelsea, Liverpool. So their

941
00:46:57,080 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 1: first five matches you're talking about three of the teams

942
00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 1: that are expected at least projected by the bookmakers to

943
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 1: be top six contenders. So you might as Sam said,

944
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:09,320
Speaker 1: you might be able to just afford to wait anyways,

945
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 1: because we saw last year that they are not a

946
00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 1: team that you can just right off after a slow start,

947
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:18,200
Speaker 1: because they they came alive, as BJ said, right around

948
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:22,520
Speaker 1: the Veterans Day holiday or Armissist Day over there for

949
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 1: you guys, BJ, your thoughts here top half, bottom half, Yeah, I.

950
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:30,240
Speaker 2: Think there's you know, I like the same long lines

951
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 2: of Bournemouth like you mentioned, Michael. I think waiting until

952
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,879
Speaker 2: the end of the window and seeing how the first

953
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:38,759
Speaker 2: cold matches play out here might be you know, the

954
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,120
Speaker 2: right play with them, but definitely want to bet on Bournemouth.

955
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 2: But I think a team people forgotten Sam, You're gonna

956
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:47,360
Speaker 2: learn really quickly. This is the team of the podcast. Brentford.

957
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:51,360
Speaker 2: I think people forgot about them. I think people forgot

958
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:56,279
Speaker 2: about how unlucky they were last season. You know, they

959
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:58,760
Speaker 2: went through a point in the middle of the season

960
00:47:59,239 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 2: where did they picked up nine points in eighteen matches

961
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,440
Speaker 2: and they still finished with thirty nine points And in

962
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:08,360
Speaker 2: the end Brentford had a plus two point two expect

963
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 2: a gold differential and fifty two point nine expected points

964
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 2: on the season. That was right around the middle of

965
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 2: the table, and we know who they are at this

966
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 2: point under Thomas Frank. We know how good they are

967
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 2: defending in that low defensive block. Like I mentioned, one

968
00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:23,799
Speaker 2: of the stats I really like when evaluating teams that

969
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 2: play tend to play a little more passively, like Brentford

970
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:28,920
Speaker 2: his final third to box entry conversion. Right, they're consistently

971
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 2: in the top five of that every single season in

972
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,680
Speaker 2: the Premier League. They're very versatile when they play as

973
00:48:33,719 --> 00:48:37,399
Speaker 2: an underdog. You know, one of the stats, I'm trying

974
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:38,600
Speaker 2: to remember it off the top of my head, but

975
00:48:38,719 --> 00:48:42,040
Speaker 2: up until about midway point through the last season, it

976
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 2: was something like eighteen matches when they've held under thirty

977
00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:47,359
Speaker 2: five percent of the ball. They've only lost like two

978
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:49,120
Speaker 2: of them, and like one of them was to City

979
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:51,719
Speaker 2: and another one was when they had a red card

980
00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 2: against aston Villa. It's just an astonishing stat and they're

981
00:48:55,040 --> 00:48:57,160
Speaker 2: just so good at playing without the ball. But I

982
00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 2: think we also forget how many injuries they sustain, and

983
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:02,800
Speaker 2: injuries to key players. You know, the three five to

984
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:09,120
Speaker 2: two system, it's really reliant on having your best fullbacks available, right,

985
00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:11,720
Speaker 2: because a team like Brentford, they're not going to dominate

986
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:13,640
Speaker 2: the middle of the pitch, like they are going to

987
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:15,439
Speaker 2: get the ball into wide areas and try to send

988
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:19,000
Speaker 2: in crosses. Well, Rico Henry and Aaron Hickey were injured

989
00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:21,400
Speaker 2: for literally the entire season last year, so they were

990
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:25,879
Speaker 2: operating with backup fullbacks for the entire season. Ivan Toni

991
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,640
Speaker 2: was suspended for half the season, Brian and Boemus had

992
00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:31,680
Speaker 2: the injury that took him out for multiple months. Even

993
00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,759
Speaker 2: Kevin Shade, who is the striker that they brought in

994
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 2: to replace ivan Tony, he was injured. So now you

995
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:42,960
Speaker 2: have all everybody healthy back and ready to go. I

996
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:45,399
Speaker 2: haven't seen anything in which Brian and Buemo and ivan

997
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 2: Toni are leaving this window. I don't think anybody is

998
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 2: really going to pay the money that Brentford is asking for,

999
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 2: so I think that those two guys are going to

1000
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 2: stick with us at least through the first half of

1001
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:58,120
Speaker 2: the season. And the other thing is is they brought

1002
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:02,479
Speaker 2: in Ego Thiago from Club Brush, who was a really

1003
00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 2: good transition striker had a point eight one xtually per

1004
00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:07,279
Speaker 2: nine minute scoring rate in the Belgian Pro League. So

1005
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 2: like they have a lot of good different attackers, then

1006
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:13,720
Speaker 2: it's pretty much the same squad that we saw last season,

1007
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,759
Speaker 2: so with how much they overperformed, excuse me, how much

1008
00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 2: they underperformed last season. And I think the mark is

1009
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 2: just you know, they're they're basing it on their actual results,

1010
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:24,560
Speaker 2: which is not true. I mean the match that I

1011
00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:26,239
Speaker 2: keep going back to is the match where they drew

1012
00:50:26,360 --> 00:50:28,800
Speaker 2: United one to one, when they absolutely pounded them, so

1013
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 2: United just snatched the leg goal and then they luckily

1014
00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 2: Brentford ended up drawing one to one. But I mean,

1015
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:36,399
Speaker 2: this team is so good under Thomas Frank and they're

1016
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:39,000
Speaker 2: such a fun team to bet on, and they finished

1017
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:40,879
Speaker 2: in the top half two years ago at five to one,

1018
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:43,239
Speaker 2: and I think they can do the exact same thing here.

1019
00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:46,399
Speaker 2: So I like them top half finish at four to one.

1020
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 2: And I'll save the other bet on Brentford for the

1021
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:51,040
Speaker 2: next sections of the pod.

1022
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:56,720
Speaker 1: But before we get to that, a reminder that wonder

1023
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 1: goal is proudly presented by Bet three sixty five. At

1024
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:01,440
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1025
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 1: more boosts with them than anyone else. Every day they

1026
00:51:03,640 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 1: power up the odds on hundreds of bets to give

1027
00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:07,440
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1028
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:10,360
Speaker 1: five boost specific markets, your winnings and even parlays, and

1029
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,440
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1030
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,680
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1031
00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 1: out the boosts and see why it's never ordinary. At

1032
00:51:17,680 --> 00:51:19,719
Speaker 1: bet three six y five. You must be twenty one

1033
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:23,320
Speaker 1: or older and president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

1034
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:27,080
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, or eighteen and older

1035
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,520
Speaker 1: in Kentucky. If you or anyone you know has a

1036
00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:32,600
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1037
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,840
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms conditions

1038
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Speaker 1: and restrictions apply. Okay, let's move on to some points

1039
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 1: totals or some points handicaps, which might be a little

1040
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:47,239
Speaker 1: bit new to American betters. Basically your betting, can a

1041
00:51:47,280 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 1: specific team finish within you know, a spread so to speak,

1042
00:51:51,640 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 1: of the top of the table, So if you bet

1043
00:51:54,840 --> 00:51:58,640
Speaker 1: Liverpool plus ten points or ten points, can they finish

1044
00:51:58,719 --> 00:52:02,800
Speaker 1: within that number? To whoever finishes at the top in

1045
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:06,399
Speaker 1: point totals as well, which obviously we know over here

1046
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:09,239
Speaker 1: pretty well as Sam. But we we'll just talk more

1047
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:10,960
Speaker 1: about Bournemouth, So take it over.

1048
00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I've got two more bets on Bournemouth. I

1049
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:18,000
Speaker 3: do recognize that this is like the eighth that I've

1050
00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 3: put up about Bournemouth, so sorry about that, but yeah,

1051
00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 3: I've gone for Bournemouth over forty six points total. So

1052
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:30,360
Speaker 3: they registered forty eight points last campaign and we've already

1053
00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:35,080
Speaker 3: spoken about it. They navigated the first eleven games poorly

1054
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:40,000
Speaker 3: where they had to really fight to adapt to Antoni

1055
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 3: Royola's new philosophy approach. So I think it is as

1056
00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:52,080
Speaker 3: easy as Bournemouth got forty eight points last season having

1057
00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:55,839
Speaker 3: played a third with maybe their hands behind their tied

1058
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:58,440
Speaker 3: behind their back a little bit. So now we can

1059
00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:03,160
Speaker 3: get plus one ten for over forty six points, a

1060
00:53:03,200 --> 00:53:07,759
Speaker 3: figure that they hit last season. Yeah, plus one ten.

1061
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:10,439
Speaker 3: So I think I think the bookmakers have got this wrong.

1062
00:53:10,600 --> 00:53:14,200
Speaker 3: This was the biggest standout for me across the whole market.

1063
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 3: I think Bournemouth are going to match what they did

1064
00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 3: last season and I think they may well coast over

1065
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:23,520
Speaker 3: that forty six point line. And that brings me nicely

1066
00:53:23,600 --> 00:53:26,320
Speaker 3: onto my other Bournemouth bet, my eighth bom of bet

1067
00:53:27,440 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 3: Bournemouth plus thirty nine on the handicap at fifteen to one.

1068
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:37,000
Speaker 3: So if we fancy them to hit over forty six points,

1069
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:40,839
Speaker 3: as we just mentioned, Let's say let's say they reached

1070
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:43,799
Speaker 3: fifty five points this season, which I think they've got

1071
00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 3: in them. If Bournemouth get the rubber of the green

1072
00:53:46,400 --> 00:53:49,920
Speaker 3: in some games, alongside showing their quality and approaching games

1073
00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:53,440
Speaker 3: in a manner where they really take the game to

1074
00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 3: the majority of Premier League sides, I fancy them too, yeah,

1075
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:01,400
Speaker 3: to reach fifty five points. So if you add the

1076
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 3: plus thirty nine handicap at fifteen to one to that,

1077
00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:07,040
Speaker 3: that will get them to ninety four points. If you

1078
00:54:07,080 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 3: want to be a little bit more conservative, let's say

1079
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:12,200
Speaker 3: they hit fifty points, then that will get them to

1080
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 3: eighty nine points. So it's a total that will have

1081
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:17,920
Speaker 3: them right up there. We just need them to maybe

1082
00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:22,480
Speaker 3: overperform a little bit and I think they may win

1083
00:54:22,520 --> 00:54:25,400
Speaker 3: this at fifteen to one. Having a look back at

1084
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:29,040
Speaker 3: last season twenty twenty three twenty four, aston Villa won

1085
00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:32,320
Speaker 3: the bet three six to five handicap with one hundred points,

1086
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:35,680
Speaker 3: so they managed sixty eight points in the season and

1087
00:54:35,719 --> 00:54:38,759
Speaker 3: they had a thirty two point handicap. Then it was

1088
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 3: Arsenal and then Bornemouth were in third, who managed forty

1089
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:46,560
Speaker 3: eight points despite eleven games. At the start of the

1090
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:49,560
Speaker 3: season we mentioned that were Paul. They had a fifty

1091
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:51,920
Speaker 3: point handicap, so they ended on ninety eight, so they

1092
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:54,400
Speaker 3: were very close to pipin Villa who had one hundred.

1093
00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,520
Speaker 3: But this time around, Jay, if they overperformed, we've got

1094
00:54:57,719 --> 00:54:59,839
Speaker 3: a shorter handicap than they did last season. But if

1095
00:54:59,840 --> 00:55:02,000
Speaker 3: they overperform a little this season, I think they'll be

1096
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:03,080
Speaker 3: white up there again.

1097
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:05,920
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I'm fully on Boyd with this one. Basically,

1098
00:55:06,200 --> 00:55:08,560
Speaker 1: you're just asking can you flip three of those losses

1099
00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:11,160
Speaker 1: into wins and you should be in really really good

1100
00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:14,040
Speaker 1: shape in this market, and you're getting fifteen to one

1101
00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:16,640
Speaker 1: on it. It's a I think it's a really really

1102
00:55:16,640 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 1: good bet. BJ anything here point totals and handicaps, Well.

1103
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:23,400
Speaker 2: I just want to say this handicap bet is one

1104
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:25,120
Speaker 2: of the more fun bets on the board right now

1105
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,440
Speaker 2: because you're basically just betting who's going to overperform what

1106
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:30,319
Speaker 2: the market believes. So for me going along in those

1107
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:34,200
Speaker 2: same lines, I like Brentford plus forty two points. You know,

1108
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:37,760
Speaker 2: if we take what they're expected points were last season

1109
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 2: at fifty two point nine when they sustained all those

1110
00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:43,600
Speaker 2: injuries and they went through this horrible run of underperformance,

1111
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:46,040
Speaker 2: Like that's going to get them to ninety four ninety

1112
00:55:46,040 --> 00:55:48,680
Speaker 2: five points, which could really elevate them and put them

1113
00:55:48,719 --> 00:55:51,319
Speaker 2: on that level. So I like them plus forty two

1114
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:53,680
Speaker 2: in the handicap. I also like them over forty four points.

1115
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:55,919
Speaker 2: But I need to do my yearly Manchester United rant

1116
00:55:55,920 --> 00:55:59,520
Speaker 2: because I like them under sixty four points. What's going

1117
00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:02,320
Speaker 2: to change this year with United? What's going to suddenly

1118
00:56:02,400 --> 00:56:05,480
Speaker 2: just completely turn everything around and have them vaulted in

1119
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:07,680
Speaker 2: the top four Because I don't see anything right now

1120
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:11,040
Speaker 2: if Eric tenhagg is still in charge. You know, I

1121
00:56:11,080 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 2: read something about him that made a lot of sense

1122
00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:17,400
Speaker 2: because if you remember United over this basically over to

1123
00:56:17,440 --> 00:56:19,520
Speaker 2: like the last four or five months of the season,

1124
00:56:19,920 --> 00:56:22,320
Speaker 2: we're just playing, for lack of a better word, basketball

1125
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:24,680
Speaker 2: matches with every team in the Premier League. I mean,

1126
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 2: they conceded six hundred and sixty shots. They got out

1127
00:56:28,920 --> 00:56:30,920
Speaker 2: shot by one hundred and twenty shots by their opponents

1128
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:34,640
Speaker 2: last season. So the thing about ten hag is is

1129
00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:39,080
Speaker 2: that he's a tactical extremist. So because of Sandra Martinez

1130
00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:41,239
Speaker 2: and Luke Shaw were injured. He thought that, well, we

1131
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:42,759
Speaker 2: can't really build out of the back or else we're

1132
00:56:42,760 --> 00:56:44,200
Speaker 2: going to expose. So we just got to send the

1133
00:56:44,239 --> 00:56:46,040
Speaker 2: ball along and we just got to play transition back

1134
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:47,840
Speaker 2: and forth, back and forth, back and forth. But the

1135
00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:49,839
Speaker 2: problem is you don't have a team that's set up

1136
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:52,200
Speaker 2: to play that way. The press was just, hey, let's

1137
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:54,400
Speaker 2: just press with our attackers, but hey, we can't have

1138
00:56:54,480 --> 00:56:56,319
Speaker 2: the center backs and the fullbacks eight in the press

1139
00:56:56,320 --> 00:56:59,719
Speaker 2: because we're gonna get exposed. So this goes all the

1140
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:02,759
Speaker 2: way back to Ralph Ragnick in my opinion, because he

1141
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:05,600
Speaker 2: tried to play this pressing system with United and if

1142
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:08,439
Speaker 2: you remember, it was a complete flop over the second

1143
00:57:08,480 --> 00:57:11,480
Speaker 2: half the season because the core players that United have,

1144
00:57:11,640 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 2: like Marcus Rashford, like Bruno Fernanz, et cetera, are not

1145
00:57:15,320 --> 00:57:19,120
Speaker 2: set up to play this elite high pressing system. Now

1146
00:57:19,120 --> 00:57:21,280
Speaker 2: we've seen in a couple of the preseason matches, specifically

1147
00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:23,920
Speaker 2: the one against Liverpool, that they're starting to allow the

1148
00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:26,120
Speaker 2: center backs to come up and actually aid in the press.

1149
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:28,160
Speaker 2: The problem is they're pressing out of four to four

1150
00:57:28,160 --> 00:57:29,880
Speaker 2: to two and a lot of the great teams are

1151
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 2: going to face who will build up, are going to

1152
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 2: play put five people on the back line, which is

1153
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:36,840
Speaker 2: going to allow them to get overloaded. So they're continually

1154
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:38,880
Speaker 2: going to be in this type of scenario where I

1155
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:40,560
Speaker 2: don't think they're physical enough and I don't think they

1156
00:57:40,600 --> 00:57:43,080
Speaker 2: have the right pressing system that's ever going to work

1157
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 2: with you know what ten Hog wants to do. He

1158
00:57:45,600 --> 00:57:47,560
Speaker 2: did bring in Rude van Nistelroy to I think help

1159
00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:49,480
Speaker 2: him with some of the out of possession stuff, which

1160
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:53,680
Speaker 2: I gets is a positive step. But you know, United

1161
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 2: had sixty points last season and if you look at

1162
00:57:57,880 --> 00:58:00,680
Speaker 2: their expected points, they had forty four point too. They

1163
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:05,080
Speaker 2: had a minus twelve expected goal differential. The core problem,

1164
00:58:05,120 --> 00:58:08,640
Speaker 2: as well, aside from the pressing, is that two years

1165
00:58:08,640 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 2: ago Casamiro carried their entire midfield and it was the

1166
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:14,360
Speaker 2: reason why they finished in the top four. Relying on

1167
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:16,800
Speaker 2: only Kobe Menu to do the exact same thing that

1168
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:20,440
Speaker 2: Casimiro did is incredibly naive and not going to happen.

1169
00:58:20,960 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 2: So I think that United is in a position to

1170
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:25,040
Speaker 2: completely fall off the cliff. They're gonna have to play

1171
00:58:25,080 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 2: in the Europa League, which is going to require essentially

1172
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:29,880
Speaker 2: more matches than they ever would have if they wouldn't

1173
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:32,520
Speaker 2: have won the FA Cup. But they got nothing in

1174
00:58:32,520 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 2: their midfield that really gets me to a point where

1175
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:39,040
Speaker 2: they can actually be what they were two years ago. Also,

1176
00:58:39,080 --> 00:58:41,480
Speaker 2: their offense kind of sucks one point three to four

1177
00:58:41,560 --> 00:58:44,440
Speaker 2: non penalty XG for ninety minutes last season. If you

1178
00:58:44,440 --> 00:58:46,800
Speaker 2: want to play a build up style, Raspus Toilan's not

1179
00:58:47,120 --> 00:58:49,240
Speaker 2: the striker that you want bring in. Xerxe Is that's

1180
00:58:49,240 --> 00:58:50,920
Speaker 2: a guy you want to play with a build up system,

1181
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:54,200
Speaker 2: like he was really good under at Bologna playing you

1182
00:58:54,200 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 2: know that type of system. Hoyland is a transition striker,

1183
00:58:57,720 --> 00:58:59,960
Speaker 2: So I think they have a lot of square peg

1184
00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:02,360
Speaker 2: in round holes and I'm not sure it's getting fixed

1185
00:59:02,360 --> 00:59:04,720
Speaker 2: anytime soon. And what we know about ten Hog is

1186
00:59:05,040 --> 00:59:07,440
Speaker 2: if things start to go south, they'll start blaming everybody

1187
00:59:07,480 --> 00:59:09,640
Speaker 2: else and change the system to something that they don't

1188
00:59:09,640 --> 00:59:11,480
Speaker 2: really need to do, and we're gonna be in the

1189
00:59:11,520 --> 00:59:14,000
Speaker 2: exact same scenario that we were last year. So United

1190
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:16,320
Speaker 2: I think the best bet on the board, because again

1191
00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:19,000
Speaker 2: not to finish in top six and not to finish

1192
00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:21,280
Speaker 2: in top four or like you know, not finish top

1193
00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:23,160
Speaker 2: four is like minus four hundred, Like not to finish

1194
00:59:23,240 --> 00:59:25,600
Speaker 2: top six is like even money or whatever. It's just

1195
00:59:25,600 --> 00:59:28,080
Speaker 2: not big enough a price. So I think under sixty

1196
00:59:28,120 --> 00:59:30,000
Speaker 2: four points on the season, which is at minus one

1197
00:59:30,080 --> 00:59:32,360
Speaker 2: twenty right now, is the best bet on the board

1198
00:59:32,360 --> 00:59:35,000
Speaker 2: of United. But again, we're gonna have a lot of

1199
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:37,240
Speaker 2: fun this year. I'm gonna betting aainst United quite a bit.

1200
00:59:39,680 --> 00:59:41,840
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be right there with you. I think I

1201
00:59:41,840 --> 00:59:44,480
Speaker 3: don't really have I don't have much more to add

1202
00:59:45,240 --> 00:59:48,439
Speaker 3: apart from their lacking of real go scoring presence up top.

1203
00:59:48,520 --> 00:59:52,640
Speaker 3: I like Hoyland, but in terms of Premier League ready

1204
00:59:53,080 --> 00:59:57,560
Speaker 3: level striker up top for Manchester United to kind of

1205
00:59:57,880 --> 01:00:00,320
Speaker 3: take on the burden a lot number number. I m

1206
01:00:00,360 --> 01:00:02,800
Speaker 3: a tan shirt up tar, but they just don't have it.

1207
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:04,840
Speaker 3: And what I really wanted to see from United with

1208
01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:08,680
Speaker 3: the new ownership coming on board in terms of recruitment

1209
01:00:08,800 --> 01:00:15,720
Speaker 3: was something really targeted, some interesting, some interesting targets in

1210
01:00:15,800 --> 01:00:18,600
Speaker 3: terms of recruitment, And to be honest, I don't know

1211
01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:20,680
Speaker 3: much about him Lenny Yarral, but he's an eighteen year

1212
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:23,600
Speaker 3: old and they spent sixty plus million on him. Zerxy

1213
01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:28,960
Speaker 3: decent also fairly young, he's twenty three, twenty four, but

1214
01:00:29,000 --> 01:00:32,960
Speaker 3: they spent one hundred million on two lads who I

1215
01:00:33,000 --> 01:00:34,840
Speaker 3: don't think are going to come in straight away and

1216
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:37,520
Speaker 3: move the needle of this United team. Wanted to see

1217
01:00:37,560 --> 01:00:39,560
Speaker 3: something a little bit different, but it looks like maybe

1218
01:00:39,680 --> 01:00:43,120
Speaker 3: recruitment's going to carry on along similar line. Sixty million

1219
01:00:43,160 --> 01:00:46,600
Speaker 3: for an eighteen year old And yeah, I mentioned it

1220
01:00:46,640 --> 01:00:50,920
Speaker 3: earlier in the show. Tan Hag's still there somehow, and

1221
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:53,120
Speaker 3: I just don't think he's good enough to be Manchester

1222
01:00:53,200 --> 01:00:55,120
Speaker 3: United manager. He may prove me wrong, but he's had

1223
01:00:55,120 --> 01:00:57,080
Speaker 3: a fairwell to do it and he's still not done it,

1224
01:00:57,160 --> 01:01:00,280
Speaker 3: so we will see. But I'm going to be along

1225
01:01:00,320 --> 01:01:03,880
Speaker 3: the same lines as Bja and probably siding against them

1226
01:01:03,920 --> 01:01:06,360
Speaker 3: for the majority of the first half of the season anyway.

1227
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 2: The one thing about Lenny Orro he is a he

1228
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:11,000
Speaker 2: is a very promising, very good young center back, but

1229
01:01:11,040 --> 01:01:13,080
Speaker 2: he's also gonna be injured for the first two months

1230
01:01:13,080 --> 01:01:16,439
Speaker 2: of the season and just throwing an eighteen year old

1231
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:18,480
Speaker 2: in in the back line in the Premier League. He

1232
01:01:18,600 --> 01:01:20,600
Speaker 2: was good at at lil in League gun doing in

1233
01:01:20,680 --> 01:01:23,040
Speaker 2: the Premier League is a much much different story, especially

1234
01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 2: against the caliberdies we've been playing, So he may very

1235
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:27,160
Speaker 2: well turn out to be one of the best, like

1236
01:01:27,200 --> 01:01:30,160
Speaker 2: young center backs, but just like you know, throwing him

1237
01:01:30,160 --> 01:01:33,920
Speaker 2: into sink or swim, especially coming off an injury, that's tough.

1238
01:01:34,120 --> 01:01:35,400
Speaker 2: And I'm not sure. I mean, they're gonna have to

1239
01:01:35,400 --> 01:01:38,200
Speaker 2: play Harry McGuire back there alongside los ange Martinez. Then

1240
01:01:38,640 --> 01:01:41,760
Speaker 2: you know, we've seen Los Angeer Martinez be incredibly vulnerable

1241
01:01:41,840 --> 01:01:44,080
Speaker 2: to injuries, and the second he gets injured, the entire

1242
01:01:44,120 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 2: build up system falls apart. So I don't know, I

1243
01:01:47,320 --> 01:01:50,600
Speaker 2: think it's a house of cards just waiting to fall.

1244
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:54,000
Speaker 3: Anything can be better than that, Casamiro Johnny Evans sent

1245
01:01:54,320 --> 01:01:57,240
Speaker 3: partnership so they're until winner.

1246
01:01:57,400 --> 01:01:58,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was so bad.

1247
01:01:58,600 --> 01:01:59,320
Speaker 3: I remember that.

1248
01:02:01,080 --> 01:02:03,240
Speaker 1: All right, how about a pro United bet? Next markets,

1249
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:05,400
Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about Golden boot. Marcus Rashford is one

1250
01:02:05,440 --> 01:02:08,400
Speaker 1: hundred to one, so you were just were talking about

1251
01:02:08,440 --> 01:02:13,560
Speaker 1: them not having a striker option. That means why not Rashford,

1252
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:16,920
Speaker 1: Like he's scored seventeen goals two seasons ago, he scored

1253
01:02:16,960 --> 01:02:22,360
Speaker 1: seventeen two of the last five. Everyone is so down

1254
01:02:22,400 --> 01:02:24,640
Speaker 1: on him. Everyone's so down on United and ten Hug

1255
01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:28,640
Speaker 1: and there's so much kind of just tumult around the

1256
01:02:28,680 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 1: feeder of dreams and I understand that, so just buy.

1257
01:02:31,640 --> 01:02:33,720
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna buy the dip here with Rashford. And

1258
01:02:33,840 --> 01:02:35,800
Speaker 1: is he going to win this? Is he going to

1259
01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:38,760
Speaker 1: score more goals than early Holland? Almost certainly not. Is

1260
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:41,160
Speaker 1: he gonna win the Golden Boot? Almost certainly not. But

1261
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:43,680
Speaker 1: he's one hundred to one. Two seasons ago, he'd be

1262
01:02:43,720 --> 01:02:45,680
Speaker 1: near the top of the board, you know, coming off

1263
01:02:45,720 --> 01:02:50,200
Speaker 1: of that seventeen goal season. He's a player that I

1264
01:02:50,200 --> 01:02:52,960
Speaker 1: think he's streaky. If he gets going, comes out and

1265
01:02:53,000 --> 01:02:56,400
Speaker 1: we see some you know, maybe some poor injury luck

1266
01:02:56,440 --> 01:03:00,680
Speaker 1: for Holland, which is always a possibility, I think that's

1267
01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:05,600
Speaker 1: uh certainly possible and opens the door for someone I know.

1268
01:03:06,280 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 1: I'm going to endorse the the fellow that you two

1269
01:03:10,160 --> 01:03:13,080
Speaker 1: guys are are both on. Sam tipped him at the

1270
01:03:13,120 --> 01:03:14,360
Speaker 1: top of the show is his favorite bet for the

1271
01:03:14,520 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 1: entire season. But I think Rashford at one hundred to

1272
01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:22,480
Speaker 1: one is actually a decent way too. If you are

1273
01:03:22,520 --> 01:03:24,520
Speaker 1: a United person or do you want to have some

1274
01:03:24,640 --> 01:03:28,920
Speaker 1: sort of pro United bets in your pocket, that'd be

1275
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:31,320
Speaker 1: my favorite one. The other two I like here, I

1276
01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:36,200
Speaker 1: like Phil Foden. We talked about Julian Alvarez moving on

1277
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:40,520
Speaker 1: no backup for Holland. Foden was right up there in

1278
01:03:40,560 --> 01:03:43,040
Speaker 1: terms of goal totals last year. So if he can

1279
01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:45,640
Speaker 1: throw a through a few more in his pocket and

1280
01:03:45,720 --> 01:03:47,600
Speaker 1: if they need to spread it out a little bit

1281
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:50,520
Speaker 1: more with with Alvarez and uh if Holland goes down,

1282
01:03:50,800 --> 01:03:53,400
Speaker 1: Foden's interesting and a guy that everybody in the world

1283
01:03:53,440 --> 01:03:58,040
Speaker 1: was on last year, including bj myself, Evan Ferguson. He's back.

1284
01:03:59,400 --> 01:04:00,360
Speaker 1: What did he go on? Fun?

1285
01:04:01,000 --> 01:04:03,280
Speaker 2: He went off at thirty to one but one last.

1286
01:04:03,160 --> 01:04:04,920
Speaker 1: Year, and I know he was he didn't he did

1287
01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:07,760
Speaker 1: any kind of out of the games hat, but it

1288
01:04:07,800 --> 01:04:10,920
Speaker 1: didn't work out. I think he ended up on six, which.

1289
01:04:10,680 --> 01:04:12,120
Speaker 2: Is he didn't Play's not gonna win you the goal

1290
01:04:12,200 --> 01:04:12,760
Speaker 2: to boot.

1291
01:04:12,600 --> 01:04:15,840
Speaker 1: In the Premier League. Yeah, he just but yeah, exactly,

1292
01:04:15,880 --> 01:04:17,640
Speaker 1: just didn't play enough. I think one hundred to one

1293
01:04:17,640 --> 01:04:19,920
Speaker 1: on him is also interesting. But Rashford honestly is my

1294
01:04:19,960 --> 01:04:21,640
Speaker 1: favorite in this entire market.

1295
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:24,080
Speaker 3: Sent Yeah, you can also get him if you're not

1296
01:04:24,080 --> 01:04:26,000
Speaker 3: as brave as Michael. You can get him at plus

1297
01:04:26,040 --> 01:04:29,000
Speaker 3: four hundred for top team go scorer and see. I

1298
01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:31,360
Speaker 3: think Hoylan's out for a number of weeks. To start

1299
01:04:31,360 --> 01:04:35,400
Speaker 3: the season's actually great. Yeah, So if you fancy him

1300
01:04:35,440 --> 01:04:39,280
Speaker 3: to Rashford, to come in the team kind of make

1301
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:42,960
Speaker 3: that spot his own out wide, then then that could

1302
01:04:42,960 --> 01:04:45,080
Speaker 3: be a good show I've gone for. As you know,

1303
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:48,800
Speaker 3: Alexander's that top goal scorer each way at sixteen to one,

1304
01:04:48,880 --> 01:04:52,240
Speaker 3: so he just ticks all the boxes for me at

1305
01:04:52,280 --> 01:04:56,080
Speaker 3: the prices. He's had a very quiet summer, no Euros

1306
01:04:56,120 --> 01:05:01,120
Speaker 3: with Sweden, no Olympic football, so looking at him in

1307
01:05:01,160 --> 01:05:04,040
Speaker 3: preseason he's looked really sharp. Eddie Howe's come out and

1308
01:05:04,080 --> 01:05:08,360
Speaker 3: said he's looked really sharp and as if he's arrived

1309
01:05:08,800 --> 01:05:11,280
Speaker 3: kind of in preseason to do exactly the same as

1310
01:05:11,320 --> 01:05:13,800
Speaker 3: last year plunder twenty goals in the Premier League, which

1311
01:05:13,880 --> 01:05:16,480
Speaker 3: is no mean feat. But I think it's something that

1312
01:05:16,560 --> 01:05:19,200
Speaker 3: he's got in him again. He's on penalties, he's a

1313
01:05:19,240 --> 01:05:23,880
Speaker 3: goal scorer. Callum Wilson's influencing that squad is waning. I

1314
01:05:23,880 --> 01:05:26,120
Speaker 3: don't even know if he'll be there to come the

1315
01:05:26,200 --> 01:05:29,120
Speaker 3: end of the summer, but he's not. He's nowhere near

1316
01:05:29,240 --> 01:05:33,120
Speaker 3: the number one man up top anymore. He's actually got

1317
01:05:33,160 --> 01:05:35,960
Speaker 3: the pace and movement to find space in and around

1318
01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:38,360
Speaker 3: the box. He can get away from defenders. All he

1319
01:05:38,440 --> 01:05:41,000
Speaker 3: needs is that split second or two because he is

1320
01:05:41,080 --> 01:05:44,720
Speaker 3: so clinical, so composed, and with a player like that

1321
01:05:44,800 --> 01:05:47,240
Speaker 3: at the top end of the pitch, everyone behind him

1322
01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:50,040
Speaker 3: in that Newcastle team, they're just going to be instantly

1323
01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:52,200
Speaker 3: wanting to seek him out. And BJ mentioned we've got

1324
01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:55,040
Speaker 3: tonally Back who is on the ball, a very good

1325
01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:59,960
Speaker 3: passer of the football, So the Newcastle players will know

1326
01:06:00,120 --> 01:06:03,479
Speaker 3: if you've got if you can get him on the ball,

1327
01:06:03,920 --> 01:06:06,480
Speaker 3: you have a much better chance of winning Premier League

1328
01:06:06,520 --> 01:06:08,840
Speaker 3: games of football. And the main concern I mentioned it

1329
01:06:08,880 --> 01:06:12,840
Speaker 3: earlier is can you keep Alexander Eazach fit well. I'd

1330
01:06:12,960 --> 01:06:19,200
Speaker 3: argue that we've arrested summer with a an upcoming schedule

1331
01:06:19,240 --> 01:06:22,960
Speaker 3: without the rigors of European competition. I'd argue his chances

1332
01:06:22,960 --> 01:06:28,640
Speaker 3: of playing thirty two, thirty five, thirty six, thirty seven games,

1333
01:06:28,640 --> 01:06:32,040
Speaker 3: I'd argue his chances are much better than last season.

1334
01:06:33,120 --> 01:06:34,960
Speaker 3: If you look at if you want like dig into

1335
01:06:35,000 --> 01:06:39,080
Speaker 3: his stats from from last season, he registered twenty point

1336
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:43,520
Speaker 3: three XG in twenty five point one nineties. That is

1337
01:06:43,720 --> 01:06:47,280
Speaker 3: zero point eighty one XG per ninety That is incredible.

1338
01:06:47,520 --> 01:06:51,840
Speaker 3: It's not quite earling Harlan Standards, who probably should mention

1339
01:06:52,040 --> 01:06:54,760
Speaker 3: hit twenty nine point two XG in twenty eight point

1340
01:06:54,760 --> 01:06:57,720
Speaker 3: four nineties. It's not quite early in Harland. But then again,

1341
01:06:58,200 --> 01:07:01,080
Speaker 3: the City front Man is minus five to two to

1342
01:07:01,160 --> 01:07:04,240
Speaker 3: be top Premier League scorer and Eazak is sixteen to one.

1343
01:07:04,920 --> 01:07:09,360
Speaker 3: So at those prices, obviously I'm gonna go with Eazak.

1344
01:07:09,440 --> 01:07:11,720
Speaker 3: And it's big enough that you can take each way,

1345
01:07:11,880 --> 01:07:14,760
Speaker 3: so that Betford six five are offer in top four places.

1346
01:07:14,760 --> 01:07:16,880
Speaker 3: So if Eazak scores a shed load of goes but

1347
01:07:16,880 --> 01:07:19,960
Speaker 3: they're just there's just three players better than him, fair enough,

1348
01:07:20,240 --> 01:07:22,720
Speaker 3: he ends up fourth top goal scorer. He was third

1349
01:07:22,760 --> 01:07:25,280
Speaker 3: top goal scorer last year. If that happens again, then

1350
01:07:25,320 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 3: you get paid out as something maybe around three to one,

1351
01:07:28,040 --> 01:07:30,800
Speaker 3: a little bit less than that. So yeah, I think

1352
01:07:30,840 --> 01:07:32,600
Speaker 3: it's a great bet, and like I said, it's it's

1353
01:07:32,600 --> 01:07:34,720
Speaker 3: probably my favorite outright in the Premier League.

1354
01:07:35,160 --> 01:07:37,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I must say, And that's my that's my favorite

1355
01:07:37,240 --> 01:07:38,520
Speaker 2: goal of it as well. There's not much I can

1356
01:07:38,560 --> 01:07:40,320
Speaker 2: really add on to that. The one thing I'll just

1357
01:07:40,560 --> 01:07:43,440
Speaker 2: say is, you know, betting in this market unfortunately because

1358
01:07:43,800 --> 01:07:45,520
Speaker 2: it's not as fun because we have a guy who's

1359
01:07:45,560 --> 01:07:48,160
Speaker 2: minus one fifty To win it, you got to find

1360
01:07:48,160 --> 01:07:50,280
Speaker 2: somebody who can match the production of Holland. So how

1361
01:07:50,360 --> 01:07:52,240
Speaker 2: unless these an average four shots for ninety in a

1362
01:07:52,280 --> 01:07:54,560
Speaker 2: one point zero two act sheep for ninety minut scoring rates.

1363
01:07:54,600 --> 01:07:57,440
Speaker 2: So the one guy that ticks all those pocket box is,

1364
01:07:57,520 --> 01:08:00,360
Speaker 2: like Sam said, as e Shak, like he maybe is

1365
01:08:00,400 --> 01:08:02,320
Speaker 2: not getting the shop production, but he's getting an extra

1366
01:08:02,400 --> 01:08:05,680
Speaker 2: per ninety production close to what Holland does. And over

1367
01:08:05,720 --> 01:08:08,160
Speaker 2: the last three months of the season for Newcastle, when

1368
01:08:08,160 --> 01:08:10,920
Speaker 2: they started to play very very aggressively, their offense was

1369
01:08:10,960 --> 01:08:13,720
Speaker 2: averaging two point seven eight x cheaper ninety minutes and

1370
01:08:13,720 --> 01:08:15,760
Speaker 2: obviously E Shack is a huge part of that. So

1371
01:08:17,280 --> 01:08:19,920
Speaker 2: with no Europe, I think E Shak at sixteen to

1372
01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:21,800
Speaker 2: one is the best value on the board as well.

1373
01:08:21,800 --> 01:08:26,080
Speaker 2: Along with Sam, all right, let's wrap up.

1374
01:08:26,360 --> 01:08:28,639
Speaker 1: We'll just go rapid fire through some of our favorite bets.

1375
01:08:28,640 --> 01:08:31,719
Speaker 1: I did tease a triple digit long shot on Bournemouth.

1376
01:08:31,720 --> 01:08:33,719
Speaker 1: I'll give that one out in a little bit BJA.

1377
01:08:33,840 --> 01:08:36,840
Speaker 1: But anything else you want to touch on before we

1378
01:08:36,880 --> 01:08:37,559
Speaker 1: get out of here.

1379
01:08:37,720 --> 01:08:40,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm with Sam Lester Bottom of Christmas at

1380
01:08:40,560 --> 01:08:42,200
Speaker 2: plus one twenty I think is a great you know,

1381
01:08:42,280 --> 01:08:45,880
Speaker 2: not only the off the field stuff, but transitioning from

1382
01:08:46,120 --> 01:08:49,800
Speaker 2: Marescus you know system which is primarily built out of

1383
01:08:49,800 --> 01:08:51,800
Speaker 2: the back high pressing to Steve Cooper's three five to

1384
01:08:51,800 --> 01:08:54,080
Speaker 2: two low block is going to take some time to

1385
01:08:54,479 --> 01:08:56,680
Speaker 2: get used to that. So, you know, we've seen a

1386
01:08:56,760 --> 01:08:59,160
Speaker 2: lot of times when teams transition when they come and

1387
01:08:59,160 --> 01:09:00,840
Speaker 2: not even when they come in the Premier League, but

1388
01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:03,960
Speaker 2: when they transition systems, it takes them a long time

1389
01:09:03,960 --> 01:09:05,880
Speaker 2: to figure that out. So bottom at Christmas on top

1390
01:09:05,920 --> 01:09:08,000
Speaker 2: of the points deduction of plus one twenty I think

1391
01:09:08,080 --> 01:09:12,960
Speaker 2: is a great bet. I have a trifecta Arsenal Liverpool

1392
01:09:13,040 --> 01:09:18,040
Speaker 2: City as you're front three. I think that Liverpool is

1393
01:09:18,120 --> 01:09:20,720
Speaker 2: kind of interesting, uh for lack of a better term,

1394
01:09:20,760 --> 01:09:23,479
Speaker 2: and I think that there's a chance that they're way

1395
01:09:23,520 --> 01:09:26,200
Speaker 2: better under Arnie Sloth than they were under Jurgen Klop.

1396
01:09:26,720 --> 01:09:26,840
Speaker 3: Uh.

1397
01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:30,799
Speaker 2: The thing that Slot will do is he will force

1398
01:09:31,400 --> 01:09:34,960
Speaker 2: Liverpool to start to control matches more often. And the

1399
01:09:35,000 --> 01:09:37,919
Speaker 2: thing about Klop was, you know, he was a gambler

1400
01:09:38,200 --> 01:09:40,000
Speaker 2: in the sense of just like we're going for this,

1401
01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:42,120
Speaker 2: we're playing transition, we're going back and forth and we're

1402
01:09:42,160 --> 01:09:43,880
Speaker 2: not going to have much control of matches, but we're

1403
01:09:43,880 --> 01:09:46,400
Speaker 2: going to be better in transition than you, So in

1404
01:09:46,439 --> 01:09:48,360
Speaker 2: the end it works out right like he you know,

1405
01:09:48,400 --> 01:09:52,120
Speaker 2: the ceiling of what Klop had was really high, but

1406
01:09:52,240 --> 01:09:55,120
Speaker 2: you also lower your floor when you're you know, not

1407
01:09:55,280 --> 01:09:58,080
Speaker 2: having controller matches. Slot is not only going to give

1408
01:09:58,120 --> 01:10:01,200
Speaker 2: them control and raise their floor, but out of possession,

1409
01:10:01,520 --> 01:10:04,800
Speaker 2: he's doing the exact same things that Klopp was doing.

1410
01:10:05,160 --> 01:10:07,519
Speaker 2: So you know, Liverpool has had kind of a quiet summer.

1411
01:10:07,600 --> 01:10:10,120
Speaker 2: Zuba Mendi looks like is coming in from Rial Socidad,

1412
01:10:10,120 --> 01:10:12,200
Speaker 2: which is a really really good signing in terms of

1413
01:10:12,200 --> 01:10:15,000
Speaker 2: defense at midfield, which is something they really need. So

1414
01:10:15,560 --> 01:10:20,800
Speaker 2: I think that there is a world where Liverpool is

1415
01:10:21,000 --> 01:10:23,880
Speaker 2: right up there with City and Arsenal, maybe even leaving

1416
01:10:23,880 --> 01:10:25,880
Speaker 2: the Premier League for an extended period. But I do

1417
01:10:25,920 --> 01:10:27,639
Speaker 2: believe Arsenal is the best team in the Premier League

1418
01:10:27,640 --> 01:10:29,840
Speaker 2: and them to win, and if you think that City

1419
01:10:29,880 --> 01:10:32,000
Speaker 2: is going to kind of fall off, well in Arsenal

1420
01:10:32,080 --> 01:10:35,720
Speaker 2: Liverpool City trifecta is twenty five to one, which I

1421
01:10:35,760 --> 01:10:37,679
Speaker 2: think is a really good price on that as well.

1422
01:10:37,880 --> 01:10:42,320
Speaker 2: And finally, my guy met my guy, Martin Odegard for

1423
01:10:42,680 --> 01:10:45,040
Speaker 2: most assists at sixteen to one, led the Premier League

1424
01:10:45,040 --> 01:10:48,000
Speaker 2: with eleven point two expected assists last season. De Bruyne

1425
01:10:48,000 --> 01:10:50,600
Speaker 2: is obviously the favorite. Question market with him is not

1426
01:10:50,640 --> 01:10:52,000
Speaker 2: only is he going to get the assists, but can

1427
01:10:52,000 --> 01:10:54,800
Speaker 2: he stay healthy if he you know, he's battled injury

1428
01:10:54,880 --> 01:10:56,880
Speaker 2: last season and the season before that as well. If

1429
01:10:56,920 --> 01:10:58,880
Speaker 2: he can't stay healthy, especially with all the matches that

1430
01:10:58,920 --> 01:11:01,519
Speaker 2: city's going to have, I'm not sure he's gonna get

1431
01:11:01,600 --> 01:11:03,840
Speaker 2: enough matches to potentially win this award. But ode Guard

1432
01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:09,120
Speaker 2: again is the conductor of Arsenal's offense and again led

1433
01:11:09,160 --> 01:11:11,360
Speaker 2: I'm really get expected assist So I don't think he

1434
01:11:11,360 --> 01:11:13,120
Speaker 2: should be sixteen to one. I think you should be

1435
01:11:13,120 --> 01:11:15,760
Speaker 2: closer one of the favorites, around eight or nine to one.

1436
01:11:17,920 --> 01:11:23,200
Speaker 1: Okay, Uh. For me, Bournemuth is four hundred to one

1437
01:11:23,240 --> 01:11:24,640
Speaker 1: to be the top team at Christmas.

1438
01:11:26,400 --> 01:11:26,760
Speaker 3: Love it.

1439
01:11:26,760 --> 01:11:28,479
Speaker 1: It's not gonna it's not gonna happen.

1440
01:11:28,840 --> 01:11:32,519
Speaker 2: But well, like ten matches in if they're up there,

1441
01:11:32,560 --> 01:11:32,840
Speaker 2: I mean, this.

1442
01:11:32,880 --> 01:11:35,559
Speaker 1: Is exactly you're sitting with that seven hundred exactly, and

1443
01:11:35,640 --> 01:11:38,920
Speaker 1: this is so this is my thinking here is I'm

1444
01:11:38,920 --> 01:11:42,880
Speaker 1: expecting a step back from each of the top two

1445
01:11:42,960 --> 01:11:47,120
Speaker 1: to three teams, right like Liverpool City and Arsenal. If

1446
01:11:47,120 --> 01:11:49,760
Speaker 1: you look at the past two years the Christmas the table.

1447
01:11:49,800 --> 01:11:53,080
Speaker 1: At Christmas, you basically needed between thirty seven and forty

1448
01:11:53,120 --> 01:11:55,240
Speaker 1: points to finish at the top. It's it's asking a

1449
01:11:55,280 --> 01:11:57,000
Speaker 1: lot out of Bourne myth to get that from their

1450
01:11:57,040 --> 01:12:00,719
Speaker 1: first seventeen games. But if you look at the Christmas

1451
01:12:00,720 --> 01:12:03,080
Speaker 1: table last year, so Arsenal was at the top at forty,

1452
01:12:03,400 --> 01:12:05,920
Speaker 1: then it was Liverpool and Villa at thirty nine, Spurs

1453
01:12:05,960 --> 01:12:09,360
Speaker 1: thirty six, City was thirty fourth. There is a universe

1454
01:12:09,400 --> 01:12:11,880
Speaker 1: here where Bournemouth can be the Villa team, right, they

1455
01:12:11,880 --> 01:12:13,960
Speaker 1: can be the team that just nips at the heels

1456
01:12:13,960 --> 01:12:17,680
Speaker 1: to those first few months of the season. City, notorious

1457
01:12:17,680 --> 01:12:20,800
Speaker 1: slow starter. Arsenal is going to have a fixture pile

1458
01:12:20,880 --> 01:12:23,439
Speaker 1: up as we get closer to the holidays. Liverpool, who

1459
01:12:23,479 --> 01:12:26,479
Speaker 1: knows with the new managers. There's enough of a pathway

1460
01:12:26,479 --> 01:12:28,080
Speaker 1: here that you're getting four hundred to one on a

1461
01:12:28,080 --> 01:12:30,639
Speaker 1: team that the ceiling could just be really, really high

1462
01:12:30,680 --> 01:12:33,040
Speaker 1: on the Storemouth team. It could be where Brighton was

1463
01:12:33,040 --> 01:12:34,920
Speaker 1: a couple of seasons ago. It could be you know

1464
01:12:34,920 --> 01:12:37,280
Speaker 1: where Villa was last year. Who knows how high it is?

1465
01:12:37,400 --> 01:12:39,200
Speaker 1: So the way I want to bet into that is,

1466
01:12:39,240 --> 01:12:41,320
Speaker 1: by taking at least one big, big shot on them.

1467
01:12:41,760 --> 01:12:45,759
Speaker 1: Four hundred and one definitely satisfies that need in Sam.

1468
01:12:45,800 --> 01:12:48,439
Speaker 1: I know in England Christmas is a huge deal. It's

1469
01:12:48,439 --> 01:12:53,200
Speaker 1: obviously a huge deal. Here in the Basque Country. Their

1470
01:12:53,280 --> 01:12:57,240
Speaker 1: version of Santa Claus is all zero And he looks great.

1471
01:12:57,680 --> 01:12:59,880
Speaker 1: He's much looks much cooler. I love the way Santa Claus.

1472
01:13:00,400 --> 01:13:02,400
Speaker 1: This guy is a much cooler version of Sanna. He

1473
01:13:02,439 --> 01:13:04,920
Speaker 1: smokes a pipe, he's got a walking stick, he wears

1474
01:13:04,920 --> 01:13:08,519
Speaker 1: one of those fast beats. If if Bournemuth can come

1475
01:13:08,520 --> 01:13:11,160
Speaker 1: through with this bet and dony E Rayola will become

1476
01:13:11,560 --> 01:13:15,000
Speaker 1: my Santa start believing in onlin Zaro rather than Saint Nick.

1477
01:13:15,560 --> 01:13:18,200
Speaker 1: So four hundred and one on Bourne myth, that is

1478
01:13:18,280 --> 01:13:20,880
Speaker 1: my I think. Look, it's not the bet that I

1479
01:13:20,880 --> 01:13:24,439
Speaker 1: think has the best chance of cashing, you know, and

1480
01:13:24,439 --> 01:13:26,439
Speaker 1: that I've given out tonight. But it is my actual

1481
01:13:26,560 --> 01:13:27,880
Speaker 1: like the one that I'm going to hold near and

1482
01:13:27,880 --> 01:13:30,040
Speaker 1: dear to my heart the most here and it'll probably

1483
01:13:30,040 --> 01:13:31,680
Speaker 1: be done. It'll probably be cooked when they lose their

1484
01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:35,000
Speaker 1: first two matches too. Other than that, the other two

1485
01:13:35,280 --> 01:13:37,080
Speaker 1: bets I want to talk about, I like Dwight McNeil

1486
01:13:37,080 --> 01:13:39,400
Speaker 1: in the most assists market at fifty to one. He's

1487
01:13:39,400 --> 01:13:41,640
Speaker 1: gonna be taking those corners for Everden, and they've just

1488
01:13:41,720 --> 01:13:44,200
Speaker 1: got so many big lads that they can just throw

1489
01:13:44,240 --> 01:13:46,920
Speaker 1: the ball into. He's great on set pieces. He's fifty

1490
01:13:46,960 --> 01:13:49,200
Speaker 1: to one. Do you know who led the league in

1491
01:13:49,280 --> 01:13:52,120
Speaker 1: assists last year? BJ I was shocked and I saw this.

1492
01:13:52,120 --> 01:13:54,000
Speaker 2: I do. It was Ollie Watkins, Yeah.

1493
01:13:53,800 --> 01:13:56,240
Speaker 1: Ali Watkins at thirteen. Then it was co Palmer at eleven.

1494
01:13:56,280 --> 01:13:58,000
Speaker 1: So it's not a huge number that you're asking from.

1495
01:13:58,040 --> 01:14:01,400
Speaker 1: I think McNeil can at least be around there. And

1496
01:14:01,479 --> 01:14:03,800
Speaker 1: then of course the Golden Gloves. I don't know who's

1497
01:14:03,800 --> 01:14:05,840
Speaker 1: going to start for Crystal Palace, whether it's gonna be

1498
01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:08,920
Speaker 1: Sam Johnson or Dean Henderson. It sounds like Sam Johnson

1499
01:14:09,000 --> 01:14:11,559
Speaker 1: might go to Wolves, but I've got no clue who's

1500
01:14:11,560 --> 01:14:14,120
Speaker 1: gonna start. But whoever is their starting goalie, they're both

1501
01:14:14,120 --> 01:14:16,360
Speaker 1: at thirty three to one right now. I'm gonna wait

1502
01:14:16,360 --> 01:14:19,880
Speaker 1: for that to sort of settle itself out. As close

1503
01:14:19,920 --> 01:14:22,439
Speaker 1: as I can get to opening Day in a couple

1504
01:14:22,479 --> 01:14:25,080
Speaker 1: of days, I'm going to back one of them at

1505
01:14:25,080 --> 01:14:27,719
Speaker 1: thirty three to one last year was David Rye at sixteen.

1506
01:14:28,200 --> 01:14:32,400
Speaker 1: Jordan Pickford was second at thirteen, and I think you're

1507
01:14:32,800 --> 01:14:36,519
Speaker 1: this bet doesn't really equate to the best team. It's

1508
01:14:36,640 --> 01:14:40,120
Speaker 1: just very random. So because you look at the top four,

1509
01:14:40,800 --> 01:14:43,160
Speaker 1: Burned Alano and Jordan Pickford, we're in there alone with

1510
01:14:43,200 --> 01:14:45,640
Speaker 1: Betterson and Rya, so you could see a surprise. So

1511
01:14:45,680 --> 01:14:47,800
Speaker 1: born with four hundred and one topic Christmas pal one

1512
01:14:47,800 --> 01:14:50,120
Speaker 1: of the Palace goalies, whoever's going to start thirty three

1513
01:14:50,200 --> 01:14:52,439
Speaker 1: to one? And then McNeil most assists to wrap up

1514
01:14:52,439 --> 01:14:54,599
Speaker 1: the show for me, Sam, what about you?

1515
01:14:56,560 --> 01:15:00,320
Speaker 3: Sorry one second, I'm just making a Paul can put

1516
01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:02,960
Speaker 3: them together, no worries. That was going to be a

1517
01:15:02,960 --> 01:15:05,719
Speaker 3: big one. I was going to do Handerson, Bournemouth and MacNeil.

1518
01:15:05,800 --> 01:15:09,240
Speaker 3: But that great, that would be great.

1519
01:15:09,280 --> 01:15:11,439
Speaker 1: Maybe never see any of us again.

1520
01:15:13,720 --> 01:15:16,400
Speaker 2: Message Neil and Henderson, can we do that?

1521
01:15:17,160 --> 01:15:20,439
Speaker 3: Maybe with everything to stay up, I'm going.

1522
01:15:20,360 --> 01:15:23,799
Speaker 2: To relegated with those two. That's funny.

1523
01:15:24,840 --> 01:15:29,559
Speaker 3: What Avoyd got left of the show. I've got one

1524
01:15:29,600 --> 01:15:35,080
Speaker 3: bet Ipswich top promoted club points deduction for Leicester. I

1525
01:15:35,120 --> 01:15:37,920
Speaker 3: won't go on about it, but for me in this market,

1526
01:15:37,960 --> 01:15:42,480
Speaker 3: I'm just forgetting about them. I'm scratching them from the conversation,

1527
01:15:42,640 --> 01:15:44,639
Speaker 3: I think they're going to finish last. I don't think

1528
01:15:44,640 --> 01:15:46,400
Speaker 3: they're going to be able to catch up to the

1529
01:15:46,439 --> 01:15:50,720
Speaker 3: other clubs with the deduction. So for me, we've essentially

1530
01:15:50,720 --> 01:15:54,160
Speaker 3: got a season match bet of Southampton at one point

1531
01:15:54,200 --> 01:15:59,479
Speaker 3: eight three and Ipswich at three point zero zero. Obviously decimal. Sorry,

1532
01:16:00,160 --> 01:16:03,920
Speaker 3: and I just don't think that's that's right. I foresee

1533
01:16:04,439 --> 01:16:08,360
Speaker 3: the performance from these two clubs this season I've been

1534
01:16:08,960 --> 01:16:11,960
Speaker 3: I've been really close together. I don't know who's going

1535
01:16:12,040 --> 01:16:15,639
Speaker 3: to finish as the top promoter club. I'm not too sure,

1536
01:16:15,680 --> 01:16:18,680
Speaker 3: but I am sure that the price is here at

1537
01:16:18,680 --> 01:16:22,760
Speaker 3: bet pre six five plus four hundred for Ipswich, I

1538
01:16:22,800 --> 01:16:25,400
Speaker 3: think I don't think it's right. So in that case,

1539
01:16:26,080 --> 01:16:28,920
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure the value is on Ipswich. So therefore

1540
01:16:28,920 --> 01:16:30,439
Speaker 3: I'm going to go yeah, EPs, so it's top promoter

1541
01:16:30,520 --> 01:16:33,760
Speaker 3: club plus four hundred. Southampton needed playoffs to get up

1542
01:16:33,800 --> 01:16:38,000
Speaker 3: out of the Championship, so I think yeah, I think

1543
01:16:38,000 --> 01:16:39,840
Speaker 3: they should be Pribby similar And like I said, I'll

1544
01:16:39,840 --> 01:16:41,840
Speaker 3: worry for Russell Martin in his style of prey in

1545
01:16:41,840 --> 01:16:43,880
Speaker 3: the Premier League. I think he might get found out.

1546
01:16:43,960 --> 01:16:46,280
Speaker 3: So at the prices yeah, plus four hundred. I'll take that.

1547
01:16:47,000 --> 01:16:50,320
Speaker 2: Glotontown was the top promoted team last year three to one,

1548
01:16:50,640 --> 01:16:52,320
Speaker 2: so can happen again?

1549
01:16:52,880 --> 01:16:55,840
Speaker 1: All right? That I'll do it for this Our Premier

1550
01:16:55,920 --> 01:16:59,080
Speaker 1: League preview hopefully left you with enough bets to get

1551
01:16:59,080 --> 01:17:01,040
Speaker 1: you through the next few days before we get to

1552
01:17:01,840 --> 01:17:08,040
Speaker 1: Manchester United and Fulham on Friday August the sixteenth. Of course,

1553
01:17:08,240 --> 01:17:10,800
Speaker 1: we'll preview match week one. We'll go match by match

1554
01:17:11,040 --> 01:17:14,559
Speaker 1: for the Premier League, talk some other matches that are

1555
01:17:14,560 --> 01:17:16,559
Speaker 1: going on that weekend as well. BJ and I will

1556
01:17:16,600 --> 01:17:19,840
Speaker 1: be back to do a preview for the other European leagues.

1557
01:17:19,840 --> 01:17:21,559
Speaker 1: Then well, you know, a couple weeks we'll be getting

1558
01:17:21,560 --> 01:17:24,479
Speaker 1: at the Champions League stuff. But this is the beginning

1559
01:17:24,560 --> 01:17:27,640
Speaker 1: of another long season of soccer, so you're going to

1560
01:17:27,680 --> 01:17:29,599
Speaker 1: be hearing from us quite a bit from now until May.

1561
01:17:30,280 --> 01:17:34,160
Speaker 1: Thank you to our sponsors BET three six five as always,

1562
01:17:34,200 --> 01:17:35,800
Speaker 1: Thank you to you the listener. Thank you to our

1563
01:17:35,840 --> 01:17:38,679
Speaker 1: producers on the back end. Best of luck putting together

1564
01:17:39,320 --> 01:17:42,360
Speaker 1: your season long Premier League portfolio. We'll see you in

1565
01:17:42,400 --> 01:17:49,320
Speaker 1: a couple of days.

1566
01:17:50,400 --> 01:17:54,920
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or

1567
01:17:54,920 --> 01:17:57,120
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1568
01:17:57,360 --> 01:18:00,400
Speaker 3: Help is available twenty four to seven at one hundred

1569
01:18:00,400 --> 01:18:00,839
Speaker 3: Gambler