1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 2: A single best idea. The news flow this August is extraordinary. 3 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 2: Of course, Ann Marie Horden in Anchorage. We'll have really 4 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 2: special coverage tomorrow from Alaska on a summit, or as 5 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 2: Tina Fordham said, maybe it's a non summit. We'll have 6 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: to see on that. Lindy Fox was wonderful with CFR 7 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 2: in Germany as well, but you know, it'll be interesting 8 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 2: day at tomorrow. It has been an interesting week as well. 9 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: One of the high points with Jonathan Ferrell's really informative 10 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,920 Speaker 2: interview which let us see a snapshot, if you will, 11 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 2: a movable feast almost of how the Secretary of Treasure 12 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 2: he is thinking, this is mister Bessant, and he was 13 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 2: really quite something about cutting interest rates. There has been 14 00:00:56,640 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: a firestorm of response on Wall Street. Here's Jim Bianco 15 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 2: Bianco Research. 16 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 1: He basically said, any model suggests that that interest rates 17 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,399 Speaker 1: should be cut by one and a half to one 18 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 1: and three quarter percent, I'll come back and say to 19 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: you that there's no model that says that if you 20 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 1: have a three percent interest rate, that you should be 21 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 1: cutting interest rates by that much. And John Author's authored 22 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 1: does something about that yesterday, and he'll talk more about that. 23 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 1: That the idea that interest rates should go below the 24 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 1: inflation rate when the inflation rate is this high is unprecedented. 25 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 1: It's never been there when it's been above three percent. 26 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 1: It should stay above the inflation rate by some premium. 27 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: And that's why I think that the current funds rate 28 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: at four and a quarter to four and a half 29 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: is very close to neutral. And that's why I was 30 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 1: saying earlier. If you want to cut interest rates and 31 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 1: the fedies looks like they're going to, you're not going 32 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: to get the desired economic growth outcome. You're going to 33 00:01:57,960 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: get an inflationary outcome. 34 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 2: Biancle there with one view. Let us remind ourselves that 35 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 2: eighteen months ago, almost two years ago, he was courageous 36 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 2: in calling for resilient inflation. He was very lonely in 37 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 2: that call. Since we taped that, we got the PPI 38 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,519 Speaker 2: report and it was really something. I can't say enough 39 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 2: about the heat of the research notes coming out after 40 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 2: eight point thirty this morning, high point of the day. 41 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 2: We're going to rip up the script here. Scott Ladner 42 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 2: joined us. He has an incredible career in derivative mathematics 43 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 2: and in trading investment at WA Covia and now on 44 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 2: the Horizon and he came in and I said, what's 45 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: up and he said, you know his interns and AI. 46 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 2: This is riveting for every parent battling the modern technology 47 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 2: with their kids. On your children and the effect of 48 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 2: artificial intelligence Scott Ladner Horizon. 49 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 3: It doesn't look like it actually. That's that's sort of 50 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 3: the peril of AI right now that we're we're starting 51 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 3: to trying to figure out is like like how much 52 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 3: like how much below the surface are some of these 53 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 3: kids getting and are they using it as a crush 54 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 3: the sort of like hide how little they actually know? 55 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 1: You know? 56 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 3: This is like it's it's a real thing, and we're 57 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 3: figuring it out in real time, and it's like what 58 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 3: we've seen so far is it's a little bit scary, 59 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 3: Like I don't I don't love what I see right 60 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 3: now out of really really young ones like that twenty 61 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 3: four to twenty five year old. You know, they're still kids, 62 00:03:25,480 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 3: but they but they know enough still to use it 63 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 3: to be productive. But they're really young ones. I'm worried 64 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 3: right now they're using it too much, too much of a. 65 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 2: Crouch and Aside there for August and back to school. 66 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 2: We're on podcasts, We're on Apple, we're on Spotify, on 67 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 2: YouTube podcasts. It's single best idea