1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: Okay, we we're gonna a look at the Facebook and 2 00:00:02,880 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: Instagram owner meta meta platforms, giving a revenue forecast that 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,120 Speaker 1: was at the low end of endless estimates. Getting over 4 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: now to David Kirkpatrick, who has found an editor in 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: chief of Techonomy. David, thank you so much for joining. 6 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:16,920 Speaker 1: Is I think you make the valid point here that 7 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,120 Speaker 1: everything in the results which came out earlier were at 8 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: or above expectations except for one key parameter. Profit That's 9 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: not not ideal, is it. Here's a company that really 10 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: has gone through a historic transformation since it changed its 11 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 1: name just a year ago. Uh. Not only were you know, 12 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: revenues down for the second quarter in a row, but 13 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 1: that wasn't expected, but profits were more than fifty below 14 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: a year ago. And it's largely because this is a 15 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: company that has shifted from a priority on its central business, 16 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: which is social media for three point seven billion people 17 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: in the world. Just per say that to yourself a 18 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: few times, to a a prospective business that doesn't exist 19 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:06,320 Speaker 1: and may not exist for many years around the metaverse 20 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:10,559 Speaker 1: that they're spending ten billion a year on plus Uh 21 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:14,680 Speaker 1: and it's just not working. Yeah. This letter of from 22 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: Altimeter from Brad Gursner got a lot of play and Uh, 23 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: basically I'm curious whether or not you agree with a 24 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: lot of this. It's almost like, um, they need a 25 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: ruth poor Ade or something there to help with the management. 26 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: That they should be more mindful of profit. They should 27 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 1: be more mindful of expenses. Like you said the Reality Labs, 28 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 1: the expenditure there more than ten billion a year and 29 00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: and Brad wrote in his letters should be more like 30 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,959 Speaker 1: five billion. Um, there's a lot of a lot of 31 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: interesting points here. Do you do you? I mean, what 32 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: would your prognostication be for for how Facebook could write 33 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: the ship? Well, don't forget for fourteen years until just 34 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: a month or so ago, they had an ex Google 35 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: senior leader, Cheryl Sandberg, who was in there helping, and 36 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: she maybe voted with her feet by leaving. She doesn't 37 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 1: seem to believe in what they're doing. What they need 38 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 1: to really write the ship, unfortunately doesn't seem in prospect, 39 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: which is governance and collective leadership of the type that 40 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 1: any company with an active board is familiar with. But 41 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: this is a company where all power resides in one 42 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,639 Speaker 1: individual who has no obligation to listen to anybody, because 43 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 1: he literally controls more than of the voting shares, and 44 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: he is obsessed with this metaverse future and doesn't seem 45 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 1: to care that much about the existing businesses, despite all 46 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: kinds of reasons why any rational person at least on 47 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: the outside, believes he should do that. So that I 48 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: don't think even a Rutport type person coming in would 49 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:51,799 Speaker 1: make any difference unless Mark Zuckerberg decided to listen to them. 50 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: But he doesn't listen even to his board. That's it 51 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 1: isn't it's it doesn't does it? This is coming now? 52 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 1: If if it is an obsession, that probably the intriment 53 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 1: of as you mentioned earlier, the cool business and the 54 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: cool business perhaps could by this I suppose neglect lead 55 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: to it being in trouble for all sorts of things 56 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 1: such as oversight. Well, I mean it's in trouble because 57 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 1: when when the stock since this morning, the stock is 58 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: down to almost and you know, it's down from its peak. 59 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 1: This is one of the great growth stories of modern 60 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 1: business that has suddenly turned into something completely different, and 61 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: it's it's almost hard to contemplate what a turnaround this 62 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 1: is for what was for a long time the most 63 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 1: profitable company in capitalism on a per dollar of revenue basis. 64 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 1: So um, it's hard to understand why there isn't a 65 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: sense of you know, ten ten bell alarm to to 66 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: do things differently. But they just keep acting like, yes, 67 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: this is the kind of what it was going to 68 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: be like, and we're okay. So the work doesn't on 69 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 1: the direction going forward. I mean, there's nothing wrong with 70 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: pursuing the metaverse. I suppose perhaps it just needs to 71 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: happen more slowly and so the expenses would be you know, 72 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: less of a drag. What else I mean, he's not 73 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 1: reducing Yeah, he said that they should they should cut 74 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:21,239 Speaker 1: their investment in the metaverse at least by half. That also, 75 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: they said that they should reduce their head count by 76 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 1: about which sounds reasonable. They still have over more people 77 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 1: than they had a year ago, so you know, they 78 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: could lose a lot of people and still be a 79 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 1: very robust, well governed company from an employee point of view, 80 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: a lot of people that are very capable. But again, 81 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 1: it's weird because the sense of crisis doesn't really seem 82 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: to be there. And you know, when you have somebody 83 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 1: who has absolute power who doesn't seem to care what 84 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 1: other people think. It's a very unusual situation in a 85 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: company of this scale. At some point he'll hear what 86 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: other investors are saying. We don't have time now, unfortunately, David, 87 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 1: But uh, you know, I mean, it's only a matter 88 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 1: of time. I think many would say that messages like 89 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: that one that we we talked about from Brad Gersoner 90 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: and others, and you, uh, he'll he'll ultimately hear it, 91 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 1: I suppose, is the argument. David Kirkpatrick, founder and editor 92 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: in chief of Teconomy