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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into an Opening

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Speaker 1: day version a Thursday of the Daily Juice podcast with

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Speaker 1: me Matt Barolt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter. This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: Some good offer it's going on right now for opening

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Speaker 1: Day at betmgm dot com, including our own one one

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars first bet offer for new users with the

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Speaker 1: promo code Juice at betmgm dot com one thousand bucks

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Speaker 1: first bet offer for new users Welcome to Baseball season

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Speaker 1: betmgm dot com promo code Juice. All right, so I'm

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Speaker 1: on to on then I could add up two and two.

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Speaker 1: I don't know player prop missed. DeMar Derozen had twenty

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Speaker 1: two points. We bet over twenty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: One bucket short bummer. He had a couple of looks.

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Speaker 1: Couldn't get there, kind of a bummer. DeAndre eight in

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Speaker 1: to score more than fifteen and a half points is

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Speaker 1: not great in the first half, but maybe he gets

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Speaker 1: after it the second half. Sons have looked a little

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Speaker 1: bit off tonight against the Tea Wolves. I have a

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Speaker 1: play on them. I took plus six, but you know,

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Speaker 1: we'll see how that winds up going for me personally

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Speaker 1: on that game. The way tonight's going not great. I

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Speaker 1: had a no goal in the first ten minutes for

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Speaker 1: the Wild in Colorado. That game is currently now three

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Speaker 1: to one. The under six is going to be tight,

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Speaker 1: and so we need the Wild to sit on that

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Speaker 1: lead here and win the game four to one or

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Speaker 1: potentially win it five to one and we get to

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Speaker 1: push out of the six. Otherwise, not gonna be a

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Speaker 1: good night. So it's like, I mean, chances are it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a losing night anyway. I just don't

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Speaker 1: know exactly what we're gonna wind up doing. So I

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Speaker 1: wanted to get on here and tape. Got a lot

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Speaker 1: of things going on and into baseball Baseball Day opening day.

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Speaker 2: Full disclosure.

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Speaker 1: I had a horrible baseball year last year betting, and

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Speaker 1: I really want to do better this year.

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Speaker 2: I really do.

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Speaker 1: We had the one future I gave out yesterday with

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Speaker 1: the over seventy six and a half or it's seventy

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Speaker 1: five and a half, I can't remember which one. For

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Speaker 1: the Marlins, I like that get that up for two units.

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Speaker 1: I think they win eighty games, so I don't care either.

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Speaker 1: Numbers fine, seventy five is better than seventy six, but

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Speaker 1: either numbers fine. I like over I win eighty games

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Speaker 1: this year. The Marlins to have a much better year.

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Speaker 1: They play today, Marlins in the Mets today, man under

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Speaker 1: six and a half.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to that in a bit. But I am

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Speaker 2: going to effort in this year. I'm gonna work hard.

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Speaker 1: As soon as hockey gets done with the regular season,

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Speaker 1: we're into the postseason. You know, you got to be

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Speaker 1: much more controlled with the betting and hockey right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean we're heading down the stretch with the NBA

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Speaker 1: playoffs right around the corner, the NHL playoffs right around

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Speaker 1: the corner. We've got to be careful, all right. March

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Speaker 1: is really hard. It's a difficult, difficult month to bet

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Speaker 1: for a variety of reasons. The books have so much data,

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Speaker 1: they're so sharp on their numbers. It's it's difficult. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go crazy. I'm going to have two

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Speaker 1: or three bets a day here for a little while.

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Speaker 1: And in baseball, I've got two bets for Opening Day

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Speaker 1: one future I'm gonna give you with a win total

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Speaker 1: that I like, But I'm not gonna go nuts, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to have five bets on opening Day.

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Speaker 2: I don't trust it because.

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Speaker 1: New rules, new bases, new players in new positions, and

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Speaker 1: new places. It's it's definitely going to be an interesting

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Speaker 1: month of April for baseball, so we got to be careful.

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Speaker 2: You don't want to get killed.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to put myself into a massive hole

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Speaker 1: here out of the gate, but I will. It's Opening Day.

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Speaker 1: I love Opening Day. It's such a fun time. I'm

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Speaker 1: a huge baseball fan, just not a very good baseball better.

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Speaker 1: So hopefully I'll get I'll get better this year. Hopefully

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Speaker 1: I'll be able to find my way to some bets

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Speaker 1: that I like. Your fie nurfees, first fives and all

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Speaker 1: the fun stuff for back here with baseball. If you

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Speaker 1: would like to get yourself even more in depth into baseball,

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Speaker 1: into prop betting, well you have that coming up here

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Speaker 1: with the one year premium upgrade available with Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: That contest will wrap today and then you will get

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Speaker 1: a name announcement tomorrow as to who is gonna win

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Speaker 1: for the month of March. But that doesn't mean you

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Speaker 1: can't win for the month of April. You must like

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Speaker 1: this video you must subscribe to this YouTube channel and

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Speaker 1: then leave a comment underneath me, and when you do,

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Speaker 1: you could be eligible for an upgrade with Betting Pros Premium.

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Speaker 1: Whether you're looking for exclusive picks, top rad player props,

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Speaker 1: or customer analysis of your betting performance, Betting Pros Premium

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Speaker 1: has the tools to help you cash more bets. If

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Speaker 1: you don't want to wait for the giveaway, however, you

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Speaker 1: can simply sign up today at bettingpros dot com, slash

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Speaker 1: upgrade and start betting smarter, not harder. Okay, so let's

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Speaker 1: talk a little bit here about the San Diego Padres

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Speaker 1: their win total. You can get it heavily juiced at

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Speaker 1: ninety two and a half, or you can get it

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Speaker 1: at betmgm at ninety three and a half and pay

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Speaker 1: minus one oh five on the juice.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna hope they win ninety four games, all right.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet over on the pod to win ninety

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Speaker 1: four games over ninety three and a half at minus

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Speaker 1: one oh five. I'm putting two units down on it

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Speaker 1: at betmgm dot com. Now Here is my theory. Fernando

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Speaker 1: Tatis has got to serve a twenty game suspension for

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Speaker 1: the ped positive test. He will come back on April

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Speaker 1: the twentieth, which gives him a ton of time to

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Speaker 1: be ready to go for the Major League Baseball Season's

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Speaker 1: gonna be playing at Tripaa with the Chihuahuas and al

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Speaker 1: Paso before he goes and joins the team here with

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Speaker 1: this lineup. But when he does join the lineup, this team,

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Speaker 1: according to Baseball America, has the same grade as the Padres,

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Speaker 1: sorry as the Dodgers, rather do the Padres lineup. Their

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Speaker 1: top four hitters are Fernando Tatists, Junior Juan Soto, Manny Machado,

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Speaker 1: and Xander Bogarts. It's insane. They're one through four is

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Speaker 1: maybe the best in baseball. Now, the rest of the

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Speaker 1: lineup needs some work. I'll give you that. Matt Carpenter,

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Speaker 1: Austin Nola needs to say healthy, Trent Grisham needs to

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Speaker 1: hit more.

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Speaker 2: Get all that, okay? But they're pitchings?

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Speaker 1: Is you Darvish, Blake Snell, Joe Musgrove, Michael Waka and

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Speaker 1: Nick Martinez? Now is it as good as the Dodgers?

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Speaker 2: No?

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Speaker 1: But Darvish and Snell and Musgrove that one, two three

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Speaker 1: should get the job done, all right? Their bullpen is

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Speaker 1: good enough, Josh Hater as the closer, one of the

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Speaker 1: better closers in game. They have Suarez, Luis Garcia. They

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Speaker 1: got some guys they need to develop, Okay, They've got

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Speaker 1: some pitchers that need to have bigger years, and if

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Speaker 1: they don't, this could be a problem for this team.

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Speaker 1: But they're going to score so many runs that I

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Speaker 1: think they're going to be okay. The different schedule, I

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Speaker 1: actually like it a lot. There's less games against the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers and the Giants for the Padres. They're playing teams

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Speaker 1: that they should be able to beat up against, the

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Speaker 1: teams that don't have their number, teams that don't play

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Speaker 1: them as much. That I think matters to me. Teams

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Speaker 1: like the Padres. When you get to play outside of

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Speaker 1: your division, when you know how tough every NL West

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Speaker 1: game is going to be, you're eliminating five to six

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Speaker 1: games off the other four teams. Now, I would rather

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Speaker 1: play the Rockies a lot, Okay, I would love to

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Speaker 1: play eighteen games against.

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Speaker 2: The Rockies if I were the Padres.

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Speaker 1: But not playing the Dodgers as much, not playing the

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Speaker 1: Giants as much, even though I think the Giants are

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Speaker 1: gonna be down it's still a big divisional game whenever

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Speaker 1: they play each other.

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Speaker 2: So I like that a lot for this bet to have.

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Speaker 1: It go over ninety three and a half wins, because

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Speaker 1: I do think this pitching staff is good enough, and

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Speaker 1: when this offense gets going, they make it off to

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Speaker 1: kind of a slower start, Okay, but man, I think

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Speaker 1: that they are going to go crazy when the weather

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Speaker 1: is nice around the country and early mid May, early June,

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Speaker 1: when the team is fully there. I think Tatist Junior

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Speaker 1: could have a big season coming back with a lot

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Speaker 1: to prove. He's got a lot of questions about who

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Speaker 1: he is and how he positive test it positive for steroids.

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Speaker 1: And then Manny Machado getting Xender Bogarts to bat behind

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Speaker 1: him is huge. Bogarts is a great hitter. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if I bat him fourth every night, but it's big.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Bogarts is a fin n a phenomenal short

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Speaker 1: stole up. I'm a Red Sox fan. I've watched Spoguards

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Speaker 1: play forever. Maybe that's why the Padres are my team

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Speaker 1: this year. But Red Sox are gonna stink. Padres are not.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting over ninety three and a half wins for

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Speaker 1: two units at minus one oh five at bet mgm

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Speaker 1: for the for the Padres. They might win the division. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they really might. They're right there with the Dodgers. They

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Speaker 1: need some things to happen. Keep Austin Nola healthy, get

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Speaker 1: some production from the bottom of their lineup, but that

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Speaker 1: top four of.

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Speaker 2: Their lineup is absolutely monster.

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Speaker 1: Love it for the for the Padres over ninety three

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Speaker 1: and a half wins at bet mgm at minus one

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Speaker 1: zh five for two units. Now two opening day, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the first game of the day.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Corbyn's pitching for the Nationals, who are going to

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Speaker 1: be horrible, worse than the Rockies. I don't know, but

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Speaker 1: it's going to be a debate as to who's the

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Speaker 1: worst team in the National League, the national the Nats

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Speaker 1: or the Rockies. If you want a lean all right,

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Speaker 1: yr Fee here a run in the first inning is

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Speaker 1: even money. Patrick Corbin faced the Braves early last year,

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Speaker 1: faced him on April the twelfth.

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Speaker 2: He got shilled. He went two and two thirds, nine hits,

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Speaker 2: six earned runs and only last in the final score

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Speaker 2: was sixteen to four. All Right, this team can really,

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Speaker 2: I mean well, anybody can. Rake this guy.

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Speaker 1: He's opening his first start last year against the Mets

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Speaker 1: when four innings gave up two earned runs. Wasn't horrible,

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Speaker 1: but they lost the game five to one. He pitched

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Speaker 1: against the Pirates in his third start last year when

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Speaker 1: five and a third gave up two earned runs. There

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Speaker 1: you know, three hits and two earned runs. But I

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Speaker 1: mean he lost five to one, sixteen to four, five three,

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Speaker 1: seven to one, three two five two four two eight nothing,

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Speaker 1: five to one. He didn't get a win last year

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Speaker 1: until May twenty sixth, and the Nationals are actually worse

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Speaker 1: this year than they were last year. If you can that,

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Speaker 1: I think the team total here is the way to go.

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Speaker 1: Even if he does come out and k goes four

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Speaker 1: innings give up two earned runs, the bullpen is so bad.

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Speaker 1: The Braves are at home here. It's opening day for

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Speaker 1: the Braves. The Braves killed Corbyn and the Nationals last year.

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Speaker 1: In fact, they almost run line them on every game

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Speaker 1: except four last year. Max free to the hill. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is going to be bad news. So I like

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Speaker 1: the yurfie a run in the first inning here, but

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Speaker 1: it's the first game and the first inning. I don't know, okay,

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Speaker 1: I just I don't know, and maybe it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a higher scoring game. Maybe runs are gonna be way

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Speaker 1: up this year because of the new rules, the lack

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Speaker 1: of the shift. I'm gonna go with the Braves team

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Speaker 1: total it's four and a half at minus one point fifteen.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a better way of playing this game.

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Speaker 1: I think Corbyn could give up five runs himself. I

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Speaker 1: think the Braves are gonna score at least five. They

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Speaker 1: may score ten against the Nationals here an opening Day.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna blow them out. I don't mind

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Speaker 1: the run line laying one and a half runs here,

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Speaker 1: but that's minus one forty five. So I think if

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Speaker 1: the run line hits, I don't see it being a

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Speaker 1: three to one baseball game. Okay, just don't if the

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Speaker 1: run line's gonna hit, I think the over team total

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Speaker 1: is gonna hit less. Juice better bet on Opening Day,

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Speaker 1: I think to come in. Yes, it's early, Yes it's

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Speaker 1: a day game in Atlanta, but I just think there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of excitement in Opening Day, a lot of jitters.

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Speaker 1: Corbyn's horrible bullpen's awful, one point one five units down.

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Speaker 1: Braves team total over four and a half here today.

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Speaker 1: The game total is eight, which is kind of like wow, really,

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Speaker 1: but that's mostly go to the Nationals. I think the

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Speaker 1: Nationals aren't going to score, so I'm going over over

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Speaker 1: four and a half runs braves against the Nationals for

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Speaker 1: one point one five units. Second bet, man, the Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: Affillies are going to have a tough, tough time of it.

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Speaker 1: So the Rangers' offense last year at home in particular,

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Speaker 1: not awful. Okay, middle of the pack scoring wise, but

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Speaker 1: you know, a top fifteen offense. They've got Jacob de

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Speaker 1: Grom going to the Hill today up against the Phillies

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Speaker 1: who do not have two of their best players for

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Speaker 1: most of the season. Okay, Hoskins is out, Harper's gone,

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Speaker 1: is out till August, so not a lot of pop.

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Speaker 1: And we've got a pitcher who's now in the American League,

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Speaker 1: but he knows this team, like Jacob de Grom knows

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Speaker 1: all about the Phillies. He's getting to pitch against a

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Speaker 1: National League team. He was awesome last year. He was

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Speaker 1: nine and one in twenty starts against them, Like that's

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Speaker 1: in twenty starts. He has a nine in one record

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Speaker 1: against the Phillies in his career. Last year he was unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: So if he goes five innings, which we think he

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Speaker 1: will probably go five innings, now there's always the fear

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Speaker 1: you get, Hi, Matt, whyting you bet the first five

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Speaker 1: and not have to worry about the bullpen because I

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Speaker 1: don't know enough to go with the first five of

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Speaker 1: these things. I just again, we're flying blind here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So it's mis one twenty six on the money line

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Speaker 1: for the Rangers. Maybe they let de Gram go a

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Speaker 1: little bit farther. Maybe the Rangers won't have the same

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Speaker 1: hook that the Mets had on him and let him

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Speaker 1: go for a little while, let him pitch, you know,

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Speaker 1: six seven innings. Who knows, maybe pitches really well, and

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Speaker 1: they'll let him go to the seventh inning and on

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Speaker 1: Opening Day to show off to the Ranger fans, this

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Speaker 1: new toy that they've got in Jacob deGrom. I just

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Speaker 1: think this Phillies team is not going to score very much.

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Speaker 1: I think the Rangers should be able to score here,

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Speaker 1: and you have de Grom, and I think backing to

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Speaker 1: Gram with a price tag of just one miss one

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Speaker 1: twenty five mis one twenty six, I think it's too

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Speaker 1: good to pass.

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Speaker 2: Up here all right.

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Speaker 1: Again, first five might be the way to take this.

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Speaker 1: And I do have a lien on betting on the

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Speaker 1: Rangers first five, not taking the Rangers full game. But

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Speaker 1: I don't want to start, you know, betting your fees

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Speaker 1: in first fives an opening day. There's too many variables

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Speaker 1: going on here right now. Okay, same reason why I

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Speaker 1: don't want to bet totals. You want another lean. The

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Speaker 1: Marlins are taking on the Mets total six and a half.

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Speaker 1: You have Sandy al Contra going for the Marlins. His

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Speaker 1: games always go under. The Marlins don't score. In games

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Speaker 1: he pitches, the Marlins don't score. So how do I

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Speaker 1: sit there and say, yeah, I want to take a

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Speaker 1: position on an under. With the new rules, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: With the pitch clock, I don't know. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: comfortable betting it. You can bet if you want. I'll

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Speaker 1: personally have some plays on it. And you know, I

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Speaker 1: think there's other options, like Corbyn Burns going for the

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Speaker 1: Brewers today against the Cubs laying miss one thirty five mins,

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Speaker 1: one thirty six somewhere in that range. I think that's

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Speaker 1: a good bet too. I think the Cubs are going

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Speaker 1: to struggle early, new guys, new positions, new ballpark for

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Speaker 1: a lot of them. And you have a pitcher who

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Speaker 1: wasn't great in spring training, but a guy who won

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Speaker 1: the side on twenty twenty one and was great in

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Speaker 1: twenty two and could be even better in twenty three.

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Speaker 1: I don't care about your you know, spring ball numbers.

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Speaker 1: Let's see what he does when the lights are on

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Speaker 1: for real. I like the Brewers to win the game

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Speaker 1: outright today, But because of the fact that you've got

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Speaker 1: these new rules and the Cubs are a team that

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Speaker 1: I want to watch a little bit before I bet

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Speaker 1: them out right, I don't know. So like I'm taking

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Speaker 1: Rangers money line officially for one point twenty five one

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Speaker 1: point twenty six units. Okay, so two plays officially for

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Speaker 1: baseball here today, Braves team total over four and a

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Speaker 1: half runs at minus one fifteen and Rangers money line

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Speaker 1: and minus one twenty six. Now NBA player props. I

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Speaker 1: potentially could have NBA player props here tonight. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: that's a potential. If I jump in here, I got

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Speaker 1: I was two, and it's weird. I've gone two and

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Speaker 1: oh zho and two two and oh maybe oho and two.

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Speaker 1: So we're kind of going back and forth here, ping ponging.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of weird. Will be down the juice on this,

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Speaker 1: but I like the prop bet cheat sheet works. I

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Speaker 1: really cannot on Mondays and Wednesdays. I've got to remember

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Speaker 1: that this is just I don't have the time to

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Speaker 1: do the deep deep dive.

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Speaker 2: I do a dive.

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Speaker 1: I can go into it, but I don't have as

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Speaker 1: much time as I want to really go through it

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Speaker 1: and research the way I want to. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna do player props Wednesdays. I gotta stop myself. I

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Speaker 1: want a bit NBA player props and Wednesdays, but I

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Speaker 1: gotta stop myself.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna do that anymore. Even if eight hits,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to do that anymore. But I do

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Speaker 2: like Thursday.

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Speaker 1: I will have time, so I will be involved in

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Speaker 1: player props, most likely here today. So probably have two

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Speaker 1: and a half units of play or more a little

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Speaker 1: when closer to three units in play here for us

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Speaker 1: on a Wednesday or Thursday rather and we'll see. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take a break from hockey. You could do if

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Speaker 1: you really want another crazy lean, you could do a

340
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Speaker 1: bees a SE's and a Socks parlay. You really want

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Speaker 1: to get crazy Red Sox, Celtics, Bruins, they're all playing.

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Speaker 1: You can do that parlay if you want Red Sox

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Speaker 1: playing the Orioles. They're favored, the Blue Jackets are gonna

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Speaker 1: get killed by the Bruins, and the Celtics are playing

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Speaker 1: the Bucks. So scary on the Celtic side of things,

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Speaker 1: to be honest, but you're gonna get a lot of

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Speaker 1: a big price on that if the Boston selicent beat

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Speaker 1: the Milwakee Bucks, who are on a back to back,

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Speaker 1: who just killed Indiana last night.

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Speaker 2: So another side.

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Speaker 1: So officially, Padres two units team total over for wins

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Speaker 1: this season at ninety three and a half at miss

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Speaker 1: one oh five, Rangers money line minus one twenty six today,

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Speaker 1: Braves team total over four and a half runs at

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Speaker 1: minus one fifteen today, but Leans are Marlins under six

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Speaker 1: and a half against the Mets A your fee in

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Speaker 1: the Braves game and even money Brewers money line up

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Speaker 1: against the Cubs. I m as one thirty six BC's

359
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Speaker 1: in Red Sox parlay if you want to jump in

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Speaker 1: on that as well, so take whatever out of that

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Speaker 1: as you want. Officially, just two bets going in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel for player props later on today, bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: slash Chat or the link is underneath me MIAs Matt Parreltz,

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Speaker 1: following me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and

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Speaker 1: every morning it is a Diljuice podcast being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BET'MGM.

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Speaker 2: A present is compant and presented, and presentment