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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the.

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Speaker 2: Kick as Black the college Football World stundus, Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 2: he stumbled and football the lateral turn a counter on

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Speaker 2: the job. Don't you believe I'm not gonna came them

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Speaker 2: off the field to night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the size of the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 3: it's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 4: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus Podcast. This is the week eleven college football betting preview.

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Speaker 4: I'm stucky in joining me as always my fellow BBC

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Speaker 4: co host Colin Wilson. Colin, we have the unofficial start

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Speaker 4: of the college football Playoff this weekend with a game

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Speaker 4: between Alabama and LSU. We'll break that game down in

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Speaker 4: just a moment. But I like the slate a lot.

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Speaker 4: There's a lot of intriguing games and two really big

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Speaker 4: ones in the SEC.

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Speaker 2: I think, you know suck. The biggest fear that I

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Speaker 2: had coming into this season was the term load management

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Speaker 2: of being thrown around like it was an NBA schedule,

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Speaker 2: where the last month, you know, before the playoff wasn't

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Speaker 2: going to matter. It's the exact opposite. This is we

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Speaker 2: have so many knockout games on the slate, like you're done,

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Speaker 2: three losses, you're done. I think the committee made it clear.

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Speaker 2: I think we have twenty two teams right now that

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Speaker 2: are zero or one loss, three losses, you're out. And

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Speaker 2: we've got a lot of those elimination games. So it's

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Speaker 2: a big podcast for us. But most of all, I'm

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Speaker 2: in the trash segment, Like I'm bringing something to the

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Speaker 2: trash segment, and I think I just can't live with

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Speaker 2: myself if I get kicked out of the trash segment.

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Speaker 2: So I'm excited to go here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I got plenty of trash for this weekend too,

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Speaker 4: some kind of power for trash.

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Speaker 2: This week we killed it on the Mac, right, so

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Speaker 2: we can go power forward trash.

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Speaker 4: On the new PCs episode. I think we had ever

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Speaker 4: eaten Mac game. Do you have three unders that hit?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, thank you?

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Speaker 4: State the Mac race is going to be pretty wild.

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Speaker 4: Speaking of elimination games, we'll talk about this new PCSBG

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Speaker 4: Western Michigan pretty close to an elimination game next week

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Speaker 4: at Bowling Green. But let's get right into it. We

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Speaker 4: have two marquee matchups this weekend before we get into cover.

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Speaker 4: I don't know, twenty five thirty games today.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for Week eleven.

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Speaker 4: Let's us start with Georgia at ole Miss three thirty

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Speaker 4: Eastern on ABC. Still feels weird to say not CBS

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Speaker 4: Georgia and around a two and a half ish point favorite.

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Speaker 4: I personally like ole Miss here. I took the three.

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Speaker 4: I do need three, I mean, but at Here's the

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Speaker 4: thing like that, it's very very bizarre NFL season in

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Speaker 4: that like the college football is becoming the NFL at

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Speaker 4: the top, like with the top thirty in the top teams.

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Speaker 4: That's why I think you're seeing like the parody and

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Speaker 4: it's not. There's like no parody in the NFL this year.

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Speaker 4: And that's why I think you're seeing underdogs do so

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Speaker 4: well in these high profile SEC games. I think they're

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Speaker 4: twenty nine and thirteen underdogs against the spread in SEC game.

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Speaker 4: Its not the biggest sample size, but I do think

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Speaker 4: that there's the market in this particular game is implying

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Speaker 4: that Georgia is what six ish points better than ole

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Speaker 4: Miss on a neutral field. I don't see that. And

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Speaker 4: if you just look at data this year, ole Miss

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Speaker 4: has been the better team. Now, there's a couple of

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Speaker 4: things that I do worry about here with ole Miss.

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Speaker 4: One it's the coaching mismatch Lane Kiffin in a big

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Speaker 4: game versus Kirby Smart in a big game. I mean,

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Speaker 4: Kirby Smart has been automatic against the spread against ranked teams.

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Speaker 4: He's twenty nine to fifteen against the spread sixty six percent.

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Speaker 4: The injury report is obviously something worth noting for ole Miss.

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Speaker 4: They have twenty seven players on it. I think Lane

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Speaker 4: Kiffin is just playing games. I mean, but he has

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Speaker 4: Trey Harris and Watkins, two of their best receivers list,

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Speaker 4: it is doubtful. I assume he's just playing games. They're

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Speaker 4: gona play, I mean, this is their season. But I

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Speaker 4: have to mention that. And then does the Georgia defensive

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Speaker 4: line just completely overwhelm the ole Miss offensive line that's

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Speaker 4: the weak link, just like it did in Austin against

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Speaker 4: Texas offensive line that's better than the ole Miss offensive line.

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Speaker 4: Those are my concerns, but I had to take a

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Speaker 4: field goal here, because I mean, right now, George's rushing

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Speaker 4: attack pretty underwhelming and their passing attack is pretty lost,

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Speaker 4: mainly because Carson Beck's just not seeing the field. He

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Speaker 4: is more turnover worth he plays than big time throws

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Speaker 4: four turnover He plays no big time throws the past

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Speaker 4: two games. Last year at this same exact point in

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Speaker 4: the season, he had two times many big time throws.

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Speaker 4: He's really struggling under pressure, thirty six percent completion percentage

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Speaker 4: with seven turnover worth. He throws under pressure. Well, he's

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Speaker 4: certainly gonna see pressure against soul. Miss is the best

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Speaker 4: unit on the entire field. The most reliable unit might

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Speaker 4: be the sole Miss defense, which is shocking to say.

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Speaker 4: They have six defenders at least twenty pressures number one

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Speaker 4: in Havoc. They're going to get to Beck here and

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Speaker 4: force him to throw under pressure. He every week you

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Speaker 4: could just count to make a couple bad throws that

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Speaker 4: result in turnovers, Like, I just can't trust him at

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Speaker 4: the moment. And this Georgia offense, like they've had just

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Speaker 4: a couple spurts where they looked they've looked great. Other

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Speaker 4: than that, it's been pretty underwhelming, And I do think

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Speaker 4: that this Georgia's secondary is attackable, So I think you

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Speaker 4: have to take the three here, even against Smart in

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Speaker 4: a big game, even with the injury concerns for ole Miss. Now,

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Speaker 4: I mean ole Miss has been the better statistical team

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Speaker 4: this season. They're the more desperate team. If Georgia loses

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Speaker 4: this game still get the two losses and make the

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Speaker 4: Collegewell playoff, they would have to take care business against

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Speaker 4: Tennessee Georgia Tech, Oh Miss. This is their season on

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Speaker 4: the line. How think you got to take the field

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Speaker 4: goal here?

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Speaker 2: This has been a really tough game for me. So

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Speaker 2: I watched every single second of Arkansas Old Miss, and

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Speaker 2: I knew that I wanted Ole Miss badly in this

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Speaker 2: game against Georgia, you know. And the biggest reason was

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Speaker 2: I know what Georgia is going through on offense, and

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Speaker 2: I know what ole Miss is capable of on defense.

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Speaker 2: It's a really good scenario for ole Miss. But as

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Speaker 2: I watched that Arkansas Old Miss game, it was player

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Speaker 2: after player after player on the ground. And this wasn't

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Speaker 2: Lane trying to stop shit. I mean they had I

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Speaker 2: don't know, they won by like what eighty points. It

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Speaker 2: wasn't like Lane was trying to pull his old fake

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Speaker 2: in crap like people were really getting taken out of

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Speaker 2: the game. Running back was depleted, Henry Parrish got taken

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Speaker 2: out of the game and with real injuries. And so

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Speaker 2: I held until until the availability report came out on

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Speaker 2: Wednesday night, and I wanted to see what kind of

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Speaker 2: junk was going to be in this thing. Trey Harris doubtful.

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Speaker 2: Of course, he's doubtful, right, He's doubtful every week. He

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Speaker 2: hasn't played in a couple of weeks. But that didn't

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Speaker 2: matter last week because Jordan Watkins had five receiving touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Huge and it was a big reason of that because

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Speaker 2: they were talking about the running backs that have protected

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Speaker 2: Jackson Dart, and Jackson Dart has time to find a

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Speaker 2: new wide receiver because Trey Harris was like forty percent

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Speaker 2: of the offense. He found Jordan Watkins. Well, guess what.

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Speaker 2: Jordan Walkins, to everybody's surprise, is listed is doubtful on

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Speaker 2: this availability report had five touchdowns against Arkansas. What the

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Speaker 2: hell is going on here? This is a joke. This

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Speaker 2: availability report is a joke. So what ninety minutes before

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Speaker 2: kickoff we're going to say, like one o'clock Central. I

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Speaker 2: got to start finding out if players are dressed in

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Speaker 2: on the field, because if those guys were healthy, and

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Speaker 2: I don't even need trade Harris for this, Like this

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Speaker 2: is Jordan Watkins and Reese mcintih at center. I'm playing

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Speaker 2: old miss so and you're right. I mean you switch

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Speaker 2: to the other side of the ball. Carson Beck. He's

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Speaker 2: been horrific eight interceptions in the past three games, and

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Speaker 2: you nailed it. Stuck exactly where his issues are. Clean

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Speaker 2: pocket two point seven percent turnover worthy play rate, pressure

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Speaker 2: pocket ten point three percent of creating a turnover worthy play.

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Speaker 2: He has been horrific. Ole miss leads the country and

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Speaker 2: tackles for loss by a large gap. Stuck. It's like

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Speaker 2: by twenty, like they have one hundred and like the

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Speaker 2: next best teams like seventy seven. So I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Like this Georgia offensive line, it's progressively getting worse in

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Speaker 2: protection of Beck and creating holes for the running game.

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Speaker 2: Now Etn is going to go here. He's not on

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Speaker 2: the this availability report from the Georgia side. But does

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Speaker 2: that help? I mean, you're gonna have to be able

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Speaker 2: to throw the ball.

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Speaker 4: Here, Old miss r No at all times. Every rushing mentri.

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Speaker 2: They're fifth, and pass rush they lead the country, and

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Speaker 2: tackles for loss they're really great. They have beaten every

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Speaker 2: RPO quarterback that they've seen, so don't think you can

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Speaker 2: get the running game going here. And Golding's nickel defense

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Speaker 2: they're twenty fifth and opponent pass explosives. So I wrote

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Speaker 2: this up for action everybody that goes and reads it,

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Speaker 2: I say at the end, I desperately want to Old Miss,

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Speaker 2: but I've got to have their center playing. I've got

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Speaker 2: to have Jordan Watkins. If you want to keep Trey Harris,

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Speaker 2: that's fine, keep him out of his game, that's fine.

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Speaker 2: But my ultimate bet that's got that went in is

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Speaker 2: Georgia under twenty seven and a half points. From a

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Speaker 2: team total perspective, I think I think that offense is broken.

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Speaker 2: I think Old Missus defense is legit, and I think

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Speaker 2: the what's going on with beck is not going to

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Speaker 2: go away in this game. I'm gonna join you on

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Speaker 2: Old Miss, but sadly we're gonna have to wait for

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Speaker 2: the Friday availability report. I'm gonna have to wait till

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Speaker 2: ninety minutes before kick. I just I don't know if

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Speaker 2: I could take old Miss missing a center and another

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Speaker 2: wide receiver, and Henry Perris shout at running back.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, obviously things have changed if these these guys are

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Speaker 4: all out. But I genuinely believe that Lane is trolling. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: they're sankey. The SEC commissioner came out and said he'd

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Speaker 4: punished coaches for the injury faking, which is a direct

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Speaker 4: shot at old Mess. Well, you know what I think

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Speaker 4: Lane is doing, faking fake injuries off the field. Uh so,

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Speaker 4: but we'll say, uh, there's definitely someone started when you

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Speaker 4: see twenty seven guys. Yeah, have to kind of take

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Speaker 4: it with a grain of salt, all right, So no,

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Speaker 4: no onely agreed to because you need the injuries.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, ladies and gentlemen, the sun will find its home

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Speaker 3: in the western sky and it will be Saturday night.

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Speaker 3: In Depth Valley.

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Speaker 4: Let's move on to a true playoff game, Alabama at

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Speaker 4: LSU in primetime In Depth Valley. LSU catching three here again.

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Speaker 4: Common theme. I don't think this is. This is implies

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Speaker 4: that there's close to a touchdown. Devin seen these two teams, No, sir,

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Speaker 4: I do not see it. I like the dog here

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Speaker 4: at Home by Way. I mean again, one of the

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Speaker 4: things I'm worried about is like the ole Miss game,

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Speaker 4: and I think both these games are going to be close,

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Speaker 4: so it could obviously go either way. But I just

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Speaker 4: think this is closer to a coin flip than a touchdown.

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Speaker 4: Brian Kelly has been very good off of by twenty

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Speaker 4: eleven and one against the spread. He's also twenty eight

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Speaker 4: thirteen and one against the spread sixty eight point three

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Speaker 4: percent as an underdog of at least a field goal.

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Speaker 4: But this is big game to boor, just like big

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Speaker 4: game Kirby Smart. So am I concerned that the boer

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Speaker 4: both these teams are off of Buye is going to

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Speaker 4: have a really good game. Plannaire with a healthier mil Row. Yes,

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Speaker 4: but here's why I like you. I've done nothing but

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Speaker 4: fade this Alabama team all year. I think that they're

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Speaker 4: extremely flawed, especially on the back end. Their secondary is

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Speaker 4: right for the picking, extremely inexperienced and really untested. And

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Speaker 4: I've been screaming about this all year, that their secondary

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Speaker 4: is vulnerable and their pass rush is not elite. Well,

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Speaker 4: Georgia exploded on them, and it's not like that's aged

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Speaker 4: really Well, who else had they faced this year? Their

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Speaker 4: secondary Western Kentucky with a quarterbacks now been benched, wisconsint

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Speaker 4: with their backup quarterback who had to come in after

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Speaker 4: the starter got hurt. USF which missed countless wide open

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Speaker 4: deep shots. Vandy, which put up forty in an upset win.

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Speaker 4: South Carolina not another not great pass knows that should

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Speaker 4: have won in Tuscaloosa, Tennessee, whose pass offense is stalling.

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Speaker 4: Who beat Alabama and Missouri with an unplayable backup quarterback,

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Speaker 4: That's who they played. Now you're going up against the

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Speaker 4: top fifteen passing offense with Garretnussmeyer a really good pass

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Speaker 4: protecting offensive line. You're going to get tested here. The

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Speaker 4: one question is Garrett Dellinger, their starting guard will be out.

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Speaker 4: Is that the weak link here that causes this to crumble? Maybe?

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Speaker 4: But it's not like Alabama has been completely dominant as

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Speaker 4: a pass rushing unit. I mean they're good, they're just

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Speaker 4: not like who you think Alabama normally is. So I

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Speaker 4: think ALSU can move the ball through the air. Maybe

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Speaker 4: you know, Caden Doran can also give them a little

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Speaker 4: bit more juice and balance in the rushing game. They

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Speaker 4: get two more weeks to work on the new run

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Speaker 4: blocking schemes. But I mean, this is an offensive line

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Speaker 4: that gives me Smaier a ton of time. I think

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Speaker 4: they're top five in sacks allowed. He can beat this

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Speaker 4: Alabama secondary. The LSU defense, it is improving on a

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Speaker 4: weekly basis under new defensive coordinator Blake Baker. Their defensive line.

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Speaker 4: I think there's an underrated group that's getting better. Alabama's

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Speaker 4: offensive line that still has issues. If you look at

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Speaker 4: some of the underlying metrics, they are ugly, So I

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Speaker 4: think that there's going to be some negative plays here

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Speaker 4: that can kill drives. The one concern that I have

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Speaker 4: is how many explosives will Alabama jail Noroe still. I

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Speaker 4: guess there's two concerns. That's one jaleis still an elite

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Speaker 4: deep ball and LSU aggressive defense. They're going to get

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Speaker 4: some negative plays, but they're also vulnerable to give an

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Speaker 4: up explosive plays. So how many of those does Milroe

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Speaker 4: connect on? But it's not like this Alabama offense been

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Speaker 4: firing on all cylinders. The other thing is does LSU

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Speaker 4: or is LSU ready for the mobile quarterback? That's what

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Speaker 4: burnt them against Texas A and M, But they clearly

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Speaker 4: weren't ready for Marcel Reid. Now you have two weeks

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Speaker 4: to prepare. I think in a way that works. It's

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Speaker 4: the perfect scenario. They just got burnt by a running quarterback.

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Speaker 4: Now you have two weeks to kind of prepare, make

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Speaker 4: those adjustments. Will they be ready? Do they have the

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Speaker 4: personnel to properly defend nor on his legs? Because if

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Speaker 4: Nora should be a bit healthier here, I think he

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Speaker 4: was dinged up, which could have been part of those

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Speaker 4: offensive woes that we've seen for stretches this year. But

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Speaker 4: I don't think that there's close to a touchdown difference

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Speaker 4: between these teams. Again, this is a game that I

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Speaker 4: think should be back and forth until the end. So

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Speaker 4: I happily took the field goal. What are you seeing here?

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Speaker 2: I wanted to go against you. I can't. There's a

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Speaker 2: better bet on the board, I think, and ultimately I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna end up joining you, But I'm ended up joining

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Speaker 2: you live. I did a deep dive on Alabama to

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Speaker 2: focus on the three game stretch that really got them

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Speaker 2: in trouble, Vanderbilt, South Carolina and Tennessee. Can I connect

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Speaker 2: the about what the hell is going on with this team?

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Speaker 2: And the data point on Missouri. I just completely threw out.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Brady Cook, all the injuries, forget it, penalties

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Speaker 2: and opposing offenses that just create first downs. Control the

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Speaker 2: clock is the biggest issue for the Alabama defense. And

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Speaker 2: then you look at the fact that there are one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty eight then penalties this season, fifteen for

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Speaker 2: one hundred and fifteen yards against the Bulls.

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Speaker 4: That was an issue last year too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's still an issue with the whole new coaching staff.

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Speaker 2: Bandy controlled the clock for forty two minutes. I don't

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Speaker 2: care how explosive you are, you don't have the ball

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Speaker 2: from Worth for nineteen minutes. And South Carolina is sixty

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Speaker 2: two percent success rate on the ground. With Lenoris Sellers

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Speaker 2: and Robert Sanders, they doubled the national average in methodical drives.

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Speaker 2: They were doing the same thing as Bandy. They're able

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Speaker 2: to keep it on the ground two plus first down drives.

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Speaker 2: Play keep away from this explosive Alabama offense. And it's

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Speaker 2: just worth noting that in all of these games, the

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Speaker 2: Alabama defense has been fantastic to come out of the gate.

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Speaker 2: The scripted portion of defensive coordinator Kane Mollmack has been

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Speaker 2: under believable this year and four of five SEC games

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Speaker 2: played already this year, Alabama has shut their opponent out

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Speaker 2: and scoring in the first quarter. You know who the

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Speaker 2: team that the one SEC team that did score on

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Speaker 2: them in the first quarter was Vanderbilt, So I kind

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Speaker 2: of throw that one out before of the five games

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Speaker 2: they played, no one scored on Alabama in the first quarter.

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Speaker 4: You also expect a good offensive script in this spot,

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Speaker 4: a big game with the board.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely, and I think that's the one thing that I

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Speaker 2: focused on with LSU because I the loss to Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M made me really go in and look

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Speaker 2: at what are they doing in zone read concepts? What

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Speaker 2: are they doing against mobile quarterbacks? Or is this is

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Speaker 2: a thing where you weren't prepared for Marcel Reid to

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Speaker 2: come in and absolutely dominate you. You look at the

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Speaker 2: edge rushers, Savion Jones, Braden Swinson. They are excellent edge rushers.

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Speaker 2: They can get you, they can on passing attempts, they

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Speaker 2: can get there. They grade very poorly against the rush.

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Speaker 2: They grade poorly and holding outside contain How much does

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Speaker 2: that matter with Jaln Milroe and busted plays or maybe

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Speaker 2: designed run attempts because Alabama runs eight ton of zone

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Speaker 2: read on the ground. How much is he going to

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Speaker 2: keep that ball and try to get outside those tackles?

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Speaker 2: And the Tigers, if you look at their run concepts

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Speaker 2: on defense, they're great against counter, They're very good at

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Speaker 2: holding their positions against counter, but they've been horrible against

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Speaker 2: inside zone. I mean, they've just been torn apart. And

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Speaker 2: you know, when you go to nus Meyer's numbers and

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Speaker 2: you look at what he did against that Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M defense, they're still a methodical I like the

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Speaker 2: passing game. They're getting healthier on the outside, it's still

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Speaker 2: a methodical that it's just short drops and I think

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Speaker 2: they're waiting for you know, full health before they start

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Speaker 2: taking shots down deep. And plus, I mean the level

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Speaker 2: of defense as LSU is playing has been best in

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Speaker 2: the nation. All in all, stuck, I love Alabama money

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Speaker 2: line in the first quarter. Womack hasn't let anybody except

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Speaker 2: Vanderbilt score in the first quarter. Their game plan has

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Speaker 2: been fantastic. I think you're going to get a better

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Speaker 2: number on LSU after the first quarter. And at that point,

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Speaker 2: if I can get what I mean, I project this

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Speaker 2: game as a pick. I think the Alabama numbers outrageous too,

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Speaker 2: So for me, I'm taking Alabama money line in the

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Speaker 2: first quarter, and you're probably going to see an LSU

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Speaker 2: bet come in right when the second quarter starts.

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Speaker 4: I don't mind that. I expect Alabama to win the

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Speaker 4: scripted portions here, but I also and I also don't

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Speaker 4: mind LSU playing from behind because I think that they

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Speaker 4: can attack the secondary.

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Speaker 2: Let's go beyond, there's no question about it.

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Speaker 4: Let's move on to the rundown Michigan at Indiana. Before

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Speaker 4: these lines came out, I said, I make it around Indiana.

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Speaker 4: Mine's fourteen. Someone DM me call him. He was like,

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Speaker 4: you're a moron. This line won't be anywhere near fourteen. Well,

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Speaker 4: it's a what is that at fourteen and a half? Now?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, fourteen and a half.

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Speaker 4: I make it around fourteen. There's there's nothing I can

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Speaker 4: do here. Would lean Indiana? I had a play. I mean,

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Speaker 4: I'll show any guys it's Signetti.

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Speaker 2: Ooh, Kurt Signetti.

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Speaker 1: Netti.

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Speaker 2: Nothing gets people decided like winning.

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Speaker 4: It's pretty simple. I win.

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Speaker 2: Google me like.

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Speaker 4: Indiana is just dominating these teams until the very end.

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Speaker 4: And Signetti's one of the smartest coaches in the country.

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Speaker 4: So I think he knows that their strength of schedule

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Speaker 4: isn't very good, right, So like just blowing these teams

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Speaker 4: out and getting style points if they do finish eleven

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Speaker 4: and one, I think matters to them, Like it could

376
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Speaker 4: end up mattering. Yeah, I don't want to get in

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Speaker 4: front of this Indiana train. If you bet Michigan plus

378
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Speaker 4: fourteen and a half last week and you bet them

379
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Speaker 4: plus fourteen and a half this week and you're down

380
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Speaker 4: fourteen late, you might get punched in the stomach again,

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Speaker 4: this time by Signetti. I think you do have a

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Speaker 4: play in this game. What do you like here?

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Speaker 2: Well, Indiana first off eight and one against the spread

384
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Speaker 2: of the season. Sure, that's impressive.

385
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Speaker 4: There will be ninety percent of that Indiana, you'll see that.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, oh yeah, But you know, probably it's been

387
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Speaker 2: a couple weeks now that where the numbers have just

388
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 2: been outrageous from a ticket money perspective, and Signette's just

389
00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 2: plowing you know. I think what's important people need to

390
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 2: know if you think that this is the week to

391
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Speaker 2: get in front of Indiana eight and one against the spread,

392
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Speaker 2: largest margin in the country and covering the number at

393
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Speaker 2: seventeen point two points, It's not even close what these

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Speaker 2: covering numbers are. So keep that in mind if you

395
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Speaker 2: think you want to fade, I am not fading Indiana.

396
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Speaker 2: I'm going to go Indiana first half. They are going

397
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Speaker 2: to go into a bye before they're a huge game

398
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Speaker 2: against Ohio State. I searched for a lot of positive

399
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,040
Speaker 2: Michigan takeaways after the Oregon game. I mean, Davis Warren

400
00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,760
Speaker 2: had two touchdowns that weren't to Colston Loveland. You know,

401
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 2: Loveland still had nine targets. The rushing attack was still predictable.

402
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:50,400
Speaker 2: If I was a Michigan fan, I'd be pretty depressed

403
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:54,520
Speaker 2: about Orgy, Donovan Edwards, Kalol Mullings. They're limited against an

404
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 2: Oregon defense. It should have given up a lot of

405
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 2: rush yards and they didn't. I think the other thing

406
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Speaker 2: that disappeared if you look into the box score, Michigan's

407
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:04,200
Speaker 2: number one pass rush defense didn't produce a damn thing

408
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 2: against the Ducks offensive line. Zero sacks, five hurries on Gabriel.

409
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,440
Speaker 2: The Ducks converted ten to fifteen on third downs. Their

410
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:13,959
Speaker 2: average distance was four point five yards. Like they just

411
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 2: organ just dominated this defense and pass rush didn't matter

412
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Speaker 2: at all. And Indiana and When you look at the

413
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Speaker 2: Indiana side now going up against Michigan, they dominate inside

414
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Speaker 2: zone too. I know it's a strength of schedule of

415
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Speaker 2: one hundred and third, but right now they're a sixty

416
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Speaker 2: five percent success rate on defense and giving opponents a

417
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 2: negative VPA that run inside zone. That's that's all Michigan does.

418
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Speaker 2: More specifically, defensive interior Tyree Tucker and Edge mkhal Kamara

419
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 2: are both top twenty five individually in PFF grading of

420
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Speaker 2: all defensive linemen against the rush like it, Indiana should

421
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 2: roll here. Rourke returned four passing tds, never left the pocket.

422
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Speaker 2: He had his thumbnail surgery. I'm sure they want to

423
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Speaker 2: keep his hands away from defenders as much as possible.

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Speaker 2: To Ohio State, so you're going to see if there's justice,

425
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 2: there's justice. Ellison props out there. I'd take him four

426
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Speaker 2: yards after first contact. I would take an over rushing

427
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 2: prop on him. Is Martindale going to blitz? Is win't

428
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,399
Speaker 2: gonna send this heavy blitz. I don't think it's going

429
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Speaker 2: to have an effect Indiana's second and have it allowed

430
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 2: their eleventh in pass walking Indiana first half. For me,

431
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 2: going into a bye Ohio State up after that. I

432
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,440
Speaker 2: just don't think it's in Signetty's best interest to be

433
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:23,639
Speaker 2: putting fifty up here. You want to cover this number fourteen,

434
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:25,120
Speaker 2: that's fine, but I'm just going to play it safe.

435
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 2: I think Indiana's balls of the walls when they come

436
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 2: out for this game.

437
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:32,960
Speaker 4: Yeah. Also, where's Michigan at Mentally? After losing to Oregon,

438
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 4: everyone knew they weren't going to the College Ball Playoff,

439
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 4: but that was the nail in the coffin, right their

440
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 4: third loss the week after, You're going on the road

441
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 4: to Indiana. I don't know. I mean, I could see

442
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,160
Speaker 4: them coming out to lat Year and it's not the

443
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 4: most well coached team, big coaching ittch for Indiana as

444
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 4: well Purdue and Ohio State's staying in the Big Ten.

445
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 4: I got nothing here. I make this thirty eight. This

446
00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 4: will come down to, like when does Ohio State park

447
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 4: the bus? They should score it? Well? Are they a

448
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 4: little flat? I don't know? I got nothing here? You

449
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 4: have something here?

450
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 2: Well? I feel like the College Football Playoffs Commune has

451
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 2: created a beauty pageant for anybody that's seated in fifth

452
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 2: through eleventh. There was a lot, there was mention of

453
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,679
Speaker 2: eye tests, There was mention of this that where we

454
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 2: seated this. I went in and read all the transcripts

455
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 2: of what was said after the show went off the air,

456
00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:23,679
Speaker 2: and I feel, man, I think maybe Signetti feels this

457
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 2: way that this is now a beauty pageant if you

458
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 2: are not going to win your conference. And I think

459
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,159
Speaker 2: it would behoove Ohio State to do everything they can

460
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 2: to lock up that fifth seed. And I think Notre

461
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 2: Dame's also on that list too. Now, Notre Dames playing

462
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,919
Speaker 2: Florida State with a huge large spread, I think it's

463
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 2: a beauty pageant for these teams that are ranked fifth

464
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 2: to eleventh. The last time Purdue hit the road, fifty

465
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 2: burgers were given up to the offenses of Illinois and

466
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 2: Wisconsin Perdue. I mean, Notre Dame put up sixty six

467
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 2: on these guys in week three. I think the bet

468
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 2: should be on Ohio State, even though I mean the

469
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: numbers outrageous, but that's the bet.

470
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 4: Maybe we'll get our first agree tap here on their

471
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:03,640
Speaker 4: Greek column're twenty one and twelve on the air, Kansas

472
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:13,120
Speaker 4: plus three against Iowa State. This is let me say,

473
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 4: is are there any plus three still out there? Yes,

474
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,119
Speaker 4: it's worth noting that this game is in arad so

475
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 4: the home field advantage is slightly diminished. And they're playing

476
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 4: Iowa State.

477
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 2: So I have family in Kansas City this weekend and

478
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,680
Speaker 2: they cannot find a hotel for a youth soccer tournament

479
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 2: because that's how many Iowa State they're. My family from

480
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,800
Speaker 2: Iowa is down in Kansas City. They can't find a hotel.

481
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 2: Let's just put it that way.

482
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like Kansas here. I know it's not the

483
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 4: ideal that Iowa State lost, but they've been showing cracks.

484
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 4: This team is you know, they can't really run the ball.

485
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 4: That's important because Kansas is run dy is really bad.

486
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 4: How do you slow down Iowa State. You got to

487
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 4: take away their two top receivers Jalen Noel Jayden Higgins. Well, Kansas,

488
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 4: that's the strength of their defense. They have two really

489
00:24:56,720 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 4: good corners in Mellow dots And and Kobe Bryant. So I

490
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 4: think it's a good matchup for the Jayoffs. And then

491
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,879
Speaker 4: Kansas their offense trending up. Elite rushing attack top ten

492
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,159
Speaker 4: nationally both THEPA and success rate. A lot of that

493
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 4: has to do with a really good back and then

494
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 4: also your quarterback Jalen Daniels in his mobility. He's also

495
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 4: been playing much better as the season has gone on.

496
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 4: They should be able to run on the Siowa State defense.

497
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 4: They've been exposed on the ground a few times this season.

498
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:26,119
Speaker 4: A lot of that has to do with some of

499
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 4: the injuries on the second level. And for me, the

500
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:31,680
Speaker 4: Big twelve is just like the SEC. There's not much

501
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 4: difference between these teams. The underdogs are intriguing me every week.

502
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,679
Speaker 4: Lance Life Hole sixteen and seven against the spread. As

503
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 4: a home underdog, I don't have much difference between these teams.

504
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:45,959
Speaker 4: It's not a huge edge. But I had to take

505
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 4: the field goal here because I also like the matchup

506
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 4: and this Kansas team. You got to remember they could

507
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,480
Speaker 4: easily be in the running. So while I would state

508
00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:01,080
Speaker 4: keen back, they have miracle comebacks against UCF Iowa. Kansas

509
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 4: is oh to five and one possession games one in

510
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 4: six against FBS teams with a minus two scoring differential

511
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 4: that's ridiculous, minus two school net scoring diferential oh and

512
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,840
Speaker 4: five in one posession games one and six against FBS

513
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,919
Speaker 4: teams insane. Uh, They've been in every game. They've just

514
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 4: been really unlucky with win. Turnovers have come, They're going

515
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 4: to be in this game. I think you have to

516
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 4: take the three.

517
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 2: You agree, Yeah, I make the game two. I'm on Kansas.

518
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 2: But it's not because of the number. I'm on this

519
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 2: game with the Jayhawks because of the way games are

520
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,480
Speaker 2: going for these teams in last two or three or four.

521
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 2: Kansas is under pressure now they have to win out

522
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,480
Speaker 2: to make a bowl. They know that. Yeah, last or ah.

523
00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 2: And and you know, Lancelipold has been very good off

524
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 2: of a bye He's won four straight straight up off

525
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:49,719
Speaker 2: of a bye week. And Devin Neil right here can

526
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 2: break the all time rushing record at the school. With

527
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 2: seven more yards, he will eclipse three thousand, eight hundred

528
00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:59,920
Speaker 2: and forty one all time Kansas leading rusher. Now, Kansas,

529
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 2: if you look at their last couple of games, they've

530
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,240
Speaker 2: lost two of their last riek by a combined six

531
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 2: points to Arizona State and Kansas State absolutely boat race.

532
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:10,200
Speaker 4: On last minute touchdowns too.

533
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, and then they absolutely boat race Houston, who's

534
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 2: beating everybody who's now showing up. They exceeded the explosive

535
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 2: drive national average mark in the past two games, the

536
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 2: national average for success rate and rushing attempts nationally is

537
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 2: forty eight percent. Kansas in the last three games over

538
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 2: sixty percent on the ground between Devin Neil and Jalen Daniels.

539
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 2: Kansas is hot right now? Who's not hot? I always

540
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:36,880
Speaker 2: say defense is not hot at all. The last four

541
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 2: teams at Texas Tech, West, Virginia, u CF, and Baylor

542
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 2: all scored on their first drives. Three of those four

543
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,719
Speaker 2: teams had a drive of at least seventy five yards

544
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 2: or more to score. Iowa State is not coming out

545
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 2: and doing well in the scripted portion of the game,

546
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 2: and they were struggling leading up to the Texas techwass

547
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 2: last week. You look at last week one point nine

548
00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 2: points per scoring opportunity and finishings. They were stuffed on

549
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:04,680
Speaker 2: nearly half of their rushing attempts against Texas Tech. They're

550
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,239
Speaker 2: below the national average and passing down success rate. And

551
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 2: that is the big thing here is Rock Obec is

552
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 2: not producing any kind of efficiency whatsoever throwing the ball.

553
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 2: They narrowly escaped Central Florida. Explain that to me, a

554
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 2: team that I've written off for the rest of the season.

555
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 2: They narrowly escaped Central Florida. Central Florida plus one point

556
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:26,680
Speaker 2: five overall yards per play. Iowa State was not supposed

557
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 2: to be in that game at all. And when you

558
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:30,360
Speaker 2: look at West Virginia, yeah it was a twelve point win,

559
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,440
Speaker 2: but West Virginia won the yards per play battle too.

560
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 2: I mean it's I always Stay is not playing good defense,

561
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 2: rock Obeck is not throwing the way that he should.

562
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 2: And Kansas right now feels the pressure to make a

563
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 2: bowl and they are. They are playing.

564
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 4: And can't really run it efficiently. That's how you just

565
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 4: gash the Kansas d Maybe another agree here. Utah plus

566
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 4: four at home against BYU for the Holy Award. It's

567
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 4: gonna be a raucous environment. They don't like us and

568
00:28:58,560 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 4: we don't like them.

569
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 2: It's going to be a do you really want me

570
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 2: to go into it?

571
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 3: Yeah?

572
00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 2: I don't like Utah in fact, I hate them. I

573
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 2: hate everything about them. I hate their program, I hate

574
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 2: their fans, I hate everything in the organization's classless days.

575
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 3: They're be lose.

576
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 4: I don't respect them. When you're doing what's right on

577
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 4: and off the field, the Lord steps in, you know,

578
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 4: plays a part in that magic happens both teams coming

579
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 4: off of bye here, Utah seasons dead. They're four and

580
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 4: four as far as like what their preseason expectations and

581
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 4: goals were. And by the way, kylewoodingas twenty seven to

582
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 4: sixteen against the president underdog A four more points sixty

583
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 4: three percent. I project this like U top plus two.

584
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 4: But the bye week, both teams coming off of a bye,

585
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 4: and BYU has been really good. I have to tip

586
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 4: my hat to them. They've beat me a couple times

587
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 4: against the spread this year, but they have been quite fortunate.

588
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 4: You know, one of the games I did beat them

589
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 4: to Oklahoma State. They should have lost that game. Oklahoma

590
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 4: State doesn't suffer some injuries and then give up that

591
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 4: late touchdown in the final seconds.

592
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 2: But why do I like you? Ty one?

593
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 4: Let's start when Yu as the ball retz laugh. He

594
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 4: has He's made some risky throws, He's gotten away some throws.

595
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 4: There's some turnovers coming. He's also struggled against cover one.

596
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 4: That's what he's gonna see a lot of against Utah.

597
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 4: Utah gonna play aggressive man on the outside, and the

598
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 4: BYU receivers are pretty good, but they're not like your

599
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:22,920
Speaker 4: prototypical speedy man beaters. So I think Utah can man

600
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 4: up here. And by the way, the bye week I

601
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:28,480
Speaker 4: think will benefit Utah more than buyu By. He was

602
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 4: rolling at all the momentum, and Utah's defense has been

603
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 4: getting no help from the offense. Needed the time off.

604
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 4: They also their offensive coordinator stepped down in October. You

605
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:40,959
Speaker 4: have an interim offensive coordinator. Now you get two weeks

606
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 4: to work with the offense put in some new wrinkles.

607
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 4: There's also the quarterback on Sertaday. Is it gonna be Rose,

608
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 4: Is it gonna be Wilson. Some of that uncertainty I

609
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 4: think helps. Who's b Yu to gonna prepare for regardless,

610
00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:58,920
Speaker 4: but who's that quarterback? And you're gonna you're gonna lean

611
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 4: on Mike Minard here or McKai Bernard. I always say Michael,

612
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 4: but it looks like Michael, but I think it's Makay

613
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 4: mcai Benard. And that's what you're gonna do here. You're

614
00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 4: gonna handle the ball, You're gonna shorten this game. You're

615
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:12,360
Speaker 4: gonna rely on your defense, which is the top ten defense,

616
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 4: and you can run on byu seventy seventh rush success

617
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 4: rate outside the top hunderd and EPA per rush. That's

618
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 4: what you're gonna do and I'm the BYU fourth down

619
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 4: regression is probably coming. They're fifteen of eighteen on the

620
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 4: season and it's a bad third down offense and now

621
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 4: you're going up against a Utah defense that's number two

622
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 4: in the country on third downs. They also have some

623
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 4: positive aggression coming Utah. I mean like, they're eight of

624
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:40,479
Speaker 4: eighteen on fourth down, they have a negative four turnover margin.

625
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 4: I think you just have to take the points here.

626
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 4: I think the points are super valuable because this will

627
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 4: be I don't mind the under either. I think Utah

628
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 4: will be able to move the ball in the ground,

629
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 4: rind this clock away, force rets left into some mistakes

630
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 4: and uh, I think they're gonna have a good shot

631
00:31:57,760 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 4: to win this game.

632
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 2: What do you say you have a speakerphone in your

633
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 2: in your recording office there, because the entire market just

634
00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 2: went from three and a half to two and a

635
00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 2: half while you were talking. No way, Yeah, I'm serious.

636
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 2: I think you have a speakerphone in there. Completely agree.

637
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 2: Took Utah plus four earlier in the week, just so

638
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 2: everybody knows. I make it a pick. I would still

639
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 2: take it at two and a half. I'd try to

640
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 2: get three but the Utah is going to be in

641
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 2: the round robin or gonna believe in Rice ecles this weekend.

642
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 2: And I think you know you're you're right about the

643
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:29,960
Speaker 2: offense and what Utah is going to try to do.

644
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, you're right. It's just got it?

645
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 2: Did it? Did? I think it's worth noting that Mike

646
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 2: Mahakien is the new intermo. C uh just an unprecedented

647
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 2: move for Whittingham to fire a coordinator mid season. I

648
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 2: think the key takeaways I got from the presser from

649
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: Whittingham was.

650
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 4: No, no, I just wrote b yu down backs and

651
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 4: redoomed Yeah quickly got I'm sorry.

652
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,719
Speaker 2: I think it's important that Whittingham said during his presser

653
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 2: that there will finally be a playbook for Wilson or Rose,

654
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 2: whoever is lining up at quarterback, depending on health, that

655
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,600
Speaker 2: suits their attributes, because they've both been trying to run

656
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 2: cam Rising his playbook. So I don't really trust in

657
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 2: Mike Bahackeyen. You look at Northwestern, you look at Boston College,

658
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 2: you look at Tennessee. Is gonna be character just hand

659
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 2: it off? Well, the problem is they're gonna be some tempo.

660
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 2: He wants all this lateral movement in the backfield as

661
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 2: plays like. It's just a lot of stuff that bothers me.

662
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,840
Speaker 2: But then again, I would not be surprised if Whittingham

663
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: picked somebody out from the defense of SIONI Vaki type

664
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 2: and says, come run the ball, and then boom, We're

665
00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 2: all like, oh my god, how did Utah find this guy?

666
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 2: I mean, that is potential here with this game. I

667
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 2: think you're right. The handicaps on the other side, right,

668
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:39,400
Speaker 2: there's just so much noise in Retsloft's numbers, like struggling

669
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 2: with pressure, seven turnover worthy plays, no big time throws

670
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 2: byu is one hundred and second and creating uncontested catches.

671
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,480
Speaker 2: That tells me the Redsloft is not accurate whatsoever. And

672
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 2: Utah's d is elite against the rush and stopping methodicals.

673
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 2: But the handicap that made this an instant bet was

674
00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 2: the fact that Utah's defense is number one in the

675
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 2: nation and creating contested catches no clane catches by opponents.

676
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 2: That's a problem for Retslaf who was not accurate whatsoever.

677
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 2: Give me you talk, get all the points you can get.

678
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 2: They're going to be in the round robin. This is

679
00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:17,239
Speaker 2: Utah's world and by us living in Colorado.

680
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 4: Texas Tech. This is the one bad number I got

681
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 4: this week. I kind of had a feeling and I

682
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 4: should have waited on Texas Tech. I know Colora was

683
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 4: a public team to be. Tech also had a number

684
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:30,320
Speaker 4: of potential injuries and this line has gone up. Maybe

685
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:33,919
Speaker 4: there's some news that I'm not privy to yet on

686
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 4: the Texas Tech injury side on their defense. But I

687
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:39,480
Speaker 4: had to play. I had to play the Red Raiders.

688
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 4: I have to play Texas Tech here, I'll say. I mean,

689
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:44,680
Speaker 4: I just can't get to this number. I can't get

690
00:34:44,680 --> 00:34:46,560
Speaker 4: it over a field goal which I had to take

691
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 4: at home. Pretty good. It's not a great spot, just

692
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 4: that you day upset I with State Colorado coming off

693
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 4: of a buy. But I think Colorado is at the

694
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 4: peak at its market value. Yes they've been good. Yes

695
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 4: they're improving. The offensive line is improving a bit, the

696
00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:00,840
Speaker 4: defense is improving a bit. They have some semblance of

697
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 4: a rushing attack. It's not great, but they gives them

698
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:09,800
Speaker 4: some balance. But it's like, who's it really come against?

699
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 4: Like the u UCF performance was impressive, but I mean,

700
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 4: just breaking down this schedule of what they've done. I mean,

701
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:22,840
Speaker 4: and they played UCF and kJ was still a quarterback.

702
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 4: He's since been benched. They beat Baylor at home in

703
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 4: overtime when they got a hail Mary. They also got

704
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 4: a hail Mary when they beat Cincinnati at home. Like

705
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 4: the resume is, I think that there's still some flaws

706
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 4: in this defense. I think Texas deck will be able

707
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 4: to move the ball. Texas Baron Morton and and todge

708
00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,319
Speaker 4: Brooks codge Brook's gonna get his on the ground does

709
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:48,879
Speaker 4: against most teams. But I think Barr Morton can move

710
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 4: the ball efficiently against this Colorado secondary, especially like over

711
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 4: the take advantage of the linebackers. There's some issues with

712
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:58,720
Speaker 4: coverage in the safeties. So I think this Colorado defense

713
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 4: hasn't proved a bit. But I still think it's overrated,

714
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 4: and I think that Texas tech ultimately can keep up here.

715
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 4: I mean, I think that's basically what this comes down to.

716
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,959
Speaker 4: You have the pressure Morton without blitzing. He's been really

717
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 4: bad under natural pressure, but against the blitz, and but

718
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 4: Colorado can't really generate pressure without blitzing, and against the blitz,

719
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:22,719
Speaker 4: Morton has been really good. So I think it's a

720
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:24,400
Speaker 4: decent matchup. Is Colorader going to score?

721
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:24,920
Speaker 2: Yeah?

722
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:27,160
Speaker 4: The Texas Tech defense is not any good. There could

723
00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 4: be some key injuries. They give up a ton of

724
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,720
Speaker 4: exposive plays through the air. That's not great against Shador

725
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 4: Sanders and these receivers. But I can't get to this number.

726
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:41,480
Speaker 4: I mean what Texas Tech was about a field goal

727
00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 4: favorite against Cincinnati against Arizona State at home field goal

728
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 4: favor And I mean I think like I have those teams,

729
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 4: I don't know, four poorish points, worse four and a

730
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 4: half point. It's worse somewhere in that ball parked in Colorado.

731
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 4: I just can't get to three. So ad over a

732
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 4: field goal. I took it by the way that the

733
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 4: Red Raiders was seventeen eight one against the spread as a

734
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 4: home dog more than a field goal since two thousand

735
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 4: and five. Over that same span, you know, it is

736
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 4: the least profitable road team all college football. It's Colorado

737
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,720
Speaker 4: thirty seven sixty four and one on the road thirty

738
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 4: six point six percent. You get that big home field advantage,

739
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:32,879
Speaker 4: that altitude at home and sometimes inflate your raiding when

740
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 4: you hit the road. Special team's edge also to Texas

741
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 4: Tech here so if this is a close back and

742
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 4: forth game, that could end up deciding it. So I

743
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:44,359
Speaker 4: had to take Texas Tech. With the points, I can

744
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 4: see the case for Colorado, but numbers wise, I'm rolling

745
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:50,759
Speaker 4: with the Red Raiders. What do you see here?

746
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 2: I would buy Texas Tech after this team. I wanted

747
00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 2: to take Texas Tech, but I knew that there would

748
00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 2: be money coming in on Colorado no matter what, and

749
00:37:57,520 --> 00:37:59,279
Speaker 2: that's just where we're at in college football that they

750
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:00,839
Speaker 2: always have since then got there.

751
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, it was such an oversight by me.

752
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:07,080
Speaker 2: Texas Tech has an advantage in special teams that you mentioned.

753
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 2: You know, Texas Tech is going to be able to

754
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 2: sit back there and throw the ball as much as

755
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,360
Speaker 2: they want. There's no pass rush being produced by Colorado.

756
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 2: Colorado gives up too many explosive plays which Texas Tech

757
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:18,280
Speaker 2: can do on the ground, which Colorado has been terrible

758
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 2: at defending. There are things that Texas Tech does bother me.

759
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty seventh and tackling per PFF.

760
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 2: They're also one hundred and twenty nine to ten broken

761
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 2: tackles allow. That is not something you want on your

762
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,560
Speaker 2: side when Travis Hunter is standing in an open field

763
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 2: trying to run with the ball. There are advantages for

764
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 2: Texas Tech to score. I think they will score. I'm

765
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:39,879
Speaker 2: just gonna try to scoop as many points as I can,

766
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:41,760
Speaker 2: so I can't say we're agreeing and going on the board.

767
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's done at four and four

768
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 2: and a half. I don't know if it's going to

769
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 2: go any farther. But I'm just I'm willing to sit

770
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 2: back and let everybody scoop up.

771
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 4: Colorado BC at home against Syracuse, I like PC took

772
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 4: them on the money line. This Syracuse team is a

773
00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 4: locking fraud. I'm sorry. I can't believe they're going to

774
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 4: beat They.

775
00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:05,279
Speaker 2: Could should have made They should Yeah, they should.

776
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:09,399
Speaker 4: Have lost to Votec's backups at home. They're now four

777
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:12,160
Speaker 4: and one on one possession games, two to zero and overtime.

778
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:14,239
Speaker 4: I can't believe they're going to beat me on my

779
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 4: wind total. And maybe if they lose this week and

780
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:20,360
Speaker 4: then lose a col still get there. I'll I'll be

781
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:25,279
Speaker 4: on cal next week. They're also fourteen of nineteen on

782
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 4: fourth down, even though they can't run the ball. There's

783
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 4: some regret. There's laate down regression coming on both sides

784
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 4: of the ball. For Syracuse. They were in a fight

785
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 4: into overtime last week. BC off of a buy that

786
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 4: should get them a bit healthier at fifteen days to

787
00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,640
Speaker 4: prepare here, I think they had the coaching edge. From

788
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 4: a schematic point of view as well, they should be

789
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 4: able to get the run game going here against Syracuse,

790
00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 4: who struggles to set the edge. That means Costianos can

791
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 4: get going on the ground. That'll set up the play

792
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 4: action and Syracuse can get lost in the sauce in

793
00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:59,240
Speaker 4: play action. And by the way, Costiano is nearly flawless

794
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,520
Speaker 4: with play action seven touchdowns, no interceptions, eighty percent adjusted

795
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 4: completion rate. I think they're gonna hit exposives, get the

796
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 4: ground game going. It's a noon kick for Syracuse at

797
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 4: BC after that big win to get them boeligible, I

798
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 4: could see them coming out a bit flat. I think

799
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:20,280
Speaker 4: BC have a great script here, and this is new staff,

800
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 4: but we'll see. This is normally when Syracuse starts to

801
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 4: fade ten and twenty two against the spread as a

802
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,680
Speaker 4: conference road dog in the month of November and December.

803
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:33,520
Speaker 4: Since two thousand and five, thirty one percent I played

804
00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 4: BC here and by the way, Tom Brenneman's on the call.

805
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:42,440
Speaker 4: Costianas is at quarterback. Come on, now, BC.

806
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 2: There's a deep drive. I agree with you. We can

807
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:48,319
Speaker 2: put it on the board, although I think I would

808
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:49,840
Speaker 2: tell everybody and see if you agree.

809
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:50,680
Speaker 4: There's no money on.

810
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's plenty of minus one twenty five out there,

811
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 2: so let's go BC minus one twenty five BC.

812
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 4: By the way, also one of the I played earlier

813
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:04,399
Speaker 4: money line, and I agree. Boston College does not kick

814
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 4: field goals, by the way, and I could see them

815
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:11,279
Speaker 4: like going for two. Boston College on the season, they've

816
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:14,120
Speaker 4: played eight games. Take a guess on how many field

817
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 4: goal attempts to have one and one. They've also missed

818
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 4: a couple extra points, so their kicking situation is not great.

819
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:26,640
Speaker 4: They lined up for one, I think, and then have

820
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:30,880
Speaker 4: like a bumbled snap. So yeah, like the kicking situation,

821
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:33,520
Speaker 4: even on extra points is dicey, and I could see

822
00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:35,879
Speaker 4: them going for two. But yeah, I like PC. Anything

823
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 4: you want to do, you want to anything else.

824
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:38,920
Speaker 2: I just want to say that, you know, the one

825
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 2: stat that popped out to me here for Boston College,

826
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:42,480
Speaker 2: besides the fact that they're going to be able to

827
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 2: create quality drives, get in the scoring position. Is the

828
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 2: fact that they are twenty six then creating broken or

829
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:50,760
Speaker 2: missed tackles. They have been very good in open space

830
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,799
Speaker 2: Syracuse one hundred and twenty six. They cannot tackle an

831
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 2: open space. So even though people will tell you about

832
00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:59,800
Speaker 2: success rate in EPA, tackling in space matters. It decides

833
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:02,080
Speaker 2: a lot of games, and in this one, it's hugely

834
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:03,480
Speaker 2: in favor of Boston College.

835
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:08,920
Speaker 4: Bottech hosting, Sarah hosting Clemson. Excuse me, I mean I

836
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:10,239
Speaker 4: know what losing feels like.

837
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:12,399
Speaker 2: I got a very clear picture of that.

838
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 3: It's much better to win.

839
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 4: Virginia Tech starting quarterback Drones. Is he gonna play? Yeah,

840
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 4: They're starting running back Tuton. Is he gonna play their

841
00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 4: best corner as well? Brent Price said all three have

842
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 4: a good chance unless it is questionable. So do you

843
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:31,560
Speaker 4: see anything here to Syah's back is six Clemson bounce back.

844
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 2: I think the numbers too high. I think the numbers

845
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:35,080
Speaker 2: should be about three and a half, not six and

846
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 2: a half. And I think that six and a half

847
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:40,600
Speaker 2: is built based upon Drones and Tutin. There is video

848
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 2: out there that I don't think has got a lot

849
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 2: of views of both Tuton and drones practicing last night

850
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 2: on a Wednesday night. Of course, it's like just drills

851
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:51,400
Speaker 2: where you're just throwing in an empty space. You know,

852
00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 2: it's not like you know, full gear tackling or anything,

853
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,399
Speaker 2: but you know that's that's the whole thing is when

854
00:42:56,440 --> 00:42:59,359
Speaker 2: they are announced on an availability report, probably Friday night,

855
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,359
Speaker 2: while we're all he at seven pm, when they come

856
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 2: through and they say that they're upgrade to probable, I

857
00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:04,920
Speaker 2: think the six and a half is going to move.

858
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:06,759
Speaker 2: I think it's going to move pretty seriously, least four

859
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:11,359
Speaker 2: and a half four. So if you're taking Virginia Tech now,

860
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 2: it's because you think that the practicing on Wednesday night

861
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:16,920
Speaker 2: is going to extend to them playing on against Clemson.

862
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:24,320
Speaker 4: Some other quarterback games, news games, Larda at Texas. Will

863
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 4: DJ lag White play is the big question mark. If

864
00:43:29,160 --> 00:43:31,960
Speaker 4: he does play, how effective will he be? Texas length

865
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 4: twenty one and a half Here on the surface, it's

866
00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:40,000
Speaker 4: a good spot for Texas. Get right spot Larida coming

867
00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 4: off that like emotional effort against Georgia. I'm not sure

868
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 4: do you do you have any updated news from on Laguay.

869
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,399
Speaker 4: He practiced, I know, but he's still I think game

870
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:55,080
Speaker 4: time decision.

871
00:43:55,640 --> 00:44:01,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I it was a soft tissue Injin and

872
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 2: Napier he kind of compared it to a concussion, and

873
00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:07,839
Speaker 2: he compared it to a hamstring. You just can't go

874
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,440
Speaker 2: until you can go, and there's certain tests that it's

875
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 2: a soft tissue injury. Couldn't give anything more about it,

876
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,680
Speaker 2: didn't have a timetable on it, and they're ramping.

877
00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:17,640
Speaker 4: Up rush this game. Is my question.

878
00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 2: Well, I mean, you could be fired any day by

879
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:23,360
Speaker 2: an interim ad. I mean, you want to do everything,

880
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:24,000
Speaker 2: you can't even.

881
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 4: He just got he just got the He just said

882
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 4: they just announced that he's going to be back next year.

883
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 4: Do you see that?

884
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, But we would still like to talk to

885
00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:34,799
Speaker 2: our own sources here to find out how strong of

886
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,400
Speaker 2: a commitment that is, right, But uh, you know, I

887
00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,279
Speaker 2: mean they're going to rely on I think the one

888
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:43,279
Speaker 2: thing they said about Aiden Warner is that he did

889
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:46,200
Speaker 2: not even show up on Florida's radar till OTA's in

890
00:44:46,239 --> 00:44:49,919
Speaker 2: the summer. He hasn't taken any practice snaps until Graham

891
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 2: Mertz was injured, so he's really only been practicing, literally

892
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:56,760
Speaker 2: only been practicing for like three weeks. And his backup

893
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,800
Speaker 2: I believe is Clay Mullen, who was the old quarterback

894
00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:04,960
Speaker 2: for Milling Milk. Yeah, claim Millon Forriever Colorado State. I think, really,

895
00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,360
Speaker 2: if you want to play Florida, I wouldn't play Florida.

896
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 2: And I think the biggest thing, yeah, I wrote this

897
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:12,719
Speaker 2: up for action. The biggest thing that stuck out to

898
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 2: me is that Isaiah Bond is practicing and Isaiah Bond

899
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 2: is probably gonna be back at wide out and that

900
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:23,480
Speaker 2: is huge trouble for a Florida defense that is going

901
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 2: to start two freshmen corners, two freshman corners that got

902
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:30,680
Speaker 2: thrown into the fire last week against Georgia because of injury.

903
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,799
Speaker 2: These are not starters, These are not second stringers. These

904
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:36,280
Speaker 2: are guys that were literally just recruited a few months ago.

905
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 2: Two corner freshman starters. I like. I like Texas's team

906
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,680
Speaker 2: total over thirty four and a half. Texas is so

907
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:46,480
Speaker 2: good in finishing drives and in red zone Sarks got

908
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:50,479
Speaker 2: that figured out. You just can't. And what's quinn yours?

909
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 2: By the way, do you see quin yours last game?

910
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 2: Like average depth of target four yards? It was all flares.

911
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:57,640
Speaker 2: I went into the route tree of his last game,

912
00:45:57,680 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 2: it's like it's all flares, it's all dumps off to

913
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:01,040
Speaker 2: the flat. I think they're going to do that here

914
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 2: and just let Bond cook.

915
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:06,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think Florida's in trouble here. By the way,

916
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 4: Clay Milton, he was like a former four star. He

917
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 4: started at Colorado State for a full year and lost.

918
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 4: He lost the third string battle to a freshman that

919
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,560
Speaker 4: never got a snap at Yale who was ranked one

920
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 4: and sixty seventh in the class of twenty twenty three.

921
00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 4: Talk about a fall off. Six of the first eight

922
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:29,440
Speaker 4: drives were three and ounce. So yeah, there's trouble. I

923
00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:32,680
Speaker 4: think this is this is a blowout Miami at Georgia Tech.

924
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:37,600
Speaker 4: More more quarterback uncertainty. Does Haines King play off the

925
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:41,440
Speaker 4: by if he does? I like Georgia Tech catching double digits.

926
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 4: You have a coach who's an underdog god especially catching

927
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:54,399
Speaker 4: this type of number, and in Brent Key, Georgia Tech

928
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:58,000
Speaker 4: should also get there, I believe. Still a question. But

929
00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:03,759
Speaker 4: there's stub linebacker neck Rollman back in the middle. He's

930
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 4: missed the past few games. But Haines King is huge here.

931
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 4: I mean, just anyone can kind of go toe to

932
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:13,759
Speaker 4: toe with Miami because their defense has so many holes.

933
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 4: I also love Georgia Tech's offensive coordinator, Buster Faulkner. I

934
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 4: think we'll have a really good scripting game plan here.

935
00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:24,360
Speaker 4: So yeah, this is all King watched, like he was

936
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:32,360
Speaker 4: named captain, but they Brent Key came out today and

937
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 4: said it's still going to be a game time decision.

938
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:37,919
Speaker 4: So I don't know. I was hearing like from people

939
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:39,520
Speaker 4: that are close to the program that he's not gonna

940
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 4: play early in the week and like, so I don't

941
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:48,600
Speaker 4: know if this is what's going on, but I like

942
00:47:48,600 --> 00:47:52,560
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech. If if Kings plays and they're still getting

943
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:56,239
Speaker 4: double digits, so like the market doesn't leak it if

944
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 4: you see it go in the app. I probably got

945
00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:02,520
Speaker 4: word that he's gonna play, but if if he doesn't,

946
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:03,760
Speaker 4: I'm probably passing.

947
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:05,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think if he plays, he gotta play the over.

948
00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:08,879
Speaker 2: There's nothing in Georgia text numbers that tell me they're

949
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 2: gonna be able to create any havoc on I can't.

950
00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 4: You can't defend the pass either.

951
00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't defend the pass, and there's nothing in

952
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 2: the secondary numbers. Plus these two teams outside the top

953
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 2: one hundred and tackling. If Haines King is playing, the

954
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:23,279
Speaker 2: over is the play. Of course, it's gonna get hit

955
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:25,839
Speaker 2: key number in this area. It's actually a pretty one

956
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 2: of the I think a top ten key number in

957
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:29,840
Speaker 2: totals of sixty five. So if you get a sniff

958
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 2: of it, the over is where I would go.

959
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:36,400
Speaker 4: And in another quarterback question Armie, Bryce and Dally, I'm.

960
00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:40,279
Speaker 2: An take two little song. I wrote deeply have.

961
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:45,279
Speaker 4: Many army, have many army. I mean imy on me imy,

962
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:51,200
Speaker 4: I'm mey imy. I played North Texas teelis say Daily's

963
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 4: out yep market to Scott had with North Texas money.

964
00:48:55,719 --> 00:48:55,959
Speaker 2: Hey.

965
00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 4: So also if he plays, is he fully healthy it's

966
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 4: a foot injury. He's kind of important to be running

967
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:03,959
Speaker 4: around and planning. You know, they have a buy too,

968
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:06,120
Speaker 4: and then Notre Dame. It's like, if he's not fully outy,

969
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 4: they might just think, hey, let's try to get this

970
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:10,919
Speaker 4: one without him. The problem is, I don't think they can.

971
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 4: That offense was ugly last week. Ugly ugly. They did

972
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:17,879
Speaker 4: put one touchdown drive together, but it was when Air

973
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 4: Force's nose tackle went out and they don't have another one,

974
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:21,919
Speaker 4: and they just ran it. Up the middle like five

975
00:49:21,920 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 4: times in a row. But Dwayne Coleman he threw for

976
00:49:24,200 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 4: forty eight yards. He only ran for two point eight

977
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,840
Speaker 4: yards per rush. And this isn't an elite I know

978
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 4: air Force knows the triple option, but you could tell big,

979
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,000
Speaker 4: big different. I think it's like a touchdown drop off

980
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:36,480
Speaker 4: between the two. So if Daily doesn't go, I mean,

981
00:49:36,520 --> 00:49:39,879
Speaker 4: I make North Texas a favorite in this game. And

982
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:45,279
Speaker 4: Army also, they just they haven't played anyone one hundred

983
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:48,920
Speaker 4: and forty fifth strength to schedule. Who's their defense played?

984
00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 2: Here?

985
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:52,400
Speaker 4: The who's who they played? If I go on my

986
00:49:52,719 --> 00:49:55,880
Speaker 4: Power my Power ratings for offenses, the average offense is

987
00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:58,760
Speaker 4: outside the top one ten, none in the top ninety.

988
00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 4: And that doesn't even include Lee, air Force, UAB, Rice, ECU, FAU, Tulsa,

989
00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:07,319
Speaker 4: and Temple. Those are some of the worst offenses in

990
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 4: the country. Four of those seven teams either started a

991
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:13,640
Speaker 4: backup or since benched their starter in that game. And

992
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 4: yet Army still outside the top eighty and success rate

993
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,680
Speaker 4: against the run and pass, this, I mean, this is

994
00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:25,440
Speaker 4: in top twenty ish. North Texas offense statistically adjusted for opponent.

995
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,960
Speaker 4: They can throw on anyone. By the way, Army also

996
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:33,200
Speaker 4: still regression coming and plus eleven turnovers. They've recovered seven

997
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 4: of the eight fumbles. North Texas, by the ways, only

998
00:50:35,680 --> 00:50:37,839
Speaker 4: recovered one fumble on the whole year. They're minus five

999
00:50:37,880 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 4: turnover margin. Also red zone fourth downs. Eventually someone's gonna

1000
00:50:43,520 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 4: score in the red zones. It was gonna get a

1001
00:50:44,640 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 4: fourth down against Army. They've been really fortunate against an

1002
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 4: easy schedule the North Texas destincts, but at least they

1003
00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:53,439
Speaker 4: have a buy to prepare for this. And I don't

1004
00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:55,719
Speaker 4: think Davis, I don't think Daily are fully healthy and

1005
00:50:55,719 --> 00:51:00,399
Speaker 4: he might not play. So yeah, I took I took

1006
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 4: North Texas here.

1007
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:03,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's a live betting game if Army

1008
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:06,840
Speaker 2: has their quarterback at full strength, So that's it's really

1009
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:08,840
Speaker 2: just injury related for me. Why I've hesitated here. I

1010
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:10,560
Speaker 2: think North Texas is the play, and that's the reason

1011
00:51:10,600 --> 00:51:13,400
Speaker 2: you've seen the drop in the in the spread. But

1012
00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:16,160
Speaker 2: at the same time, I would suggest a North Texas

1013
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 2: plus four and if you get positive news on the

1014
00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 2: Army quarterback situation, this becomes a live betting game. I

1015
00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 2: mean it's a total of sixty four and frankly, I

1016
00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 2: don't know who's stopping who?

1017
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:29,240
Speaker 4: If Daily's playing, Army is not seen a passing offense

1018
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 4: like this. By the way, quick reminder, make sure you

1019
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:34,239
Speaker 4: check out the group of five guys Mike and Mike, Mike,

1020
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:36,479
Speaker 4: i Andel, Mike Calberties. They do the Group of five

1021
00:51:36,560 --> 00:51:38,839
Speaker 4: preview each and every week to do a tremendous job

1022
00:51:39,080 --> 00:51:41,520
Speaker 4: every Wednesday. Right here. I think that's on campus.

1023
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 2: All right?

1024
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:46,400
Speaker 4: Sign four some trash.

1025
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,160
Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week.

1026
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

1027
00:51:51,440 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 2: and you know it, totally unreliable, undependently it.

1028
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:55,880
Speaker 4: That's it you've been told of.

1029
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:57,280
Speaker 2: How do you like that? Good?

1030
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:02,719
Speaker 4: All right, baby, it's time for some trash. Trash eight

1031
00:52:02,760 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 4: and four on the year. Colin is one to zero

1032
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:10,799
Speaker 4: and Colin will have his second trash pick in just

1033
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:11,240
Speaker 4: a moment.

1034
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:13,080
Speaker 2: H Rutgers.

1035
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,160
Speaker 4: I'm jumping off my Minnesota van wagon. I think it's

1036
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,680
Speaker 4: time like this is we've hit the peak of the

1037
00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:21,640
Speaker 4: market that Minnesota. They've been playing well. They're now Bowl

1038
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 4: eligible going two Rutgers noon kick Rutgers off a bye

1039
00:52:26,080 --> 00:52:30,719
Speaker 4: should be healthier. Minnesota Penn State on deck. This is

1040
00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 4: a sleepy spot if i've ever seen one. They've also

1041
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:37,320
Speaker 4: benefited from like some good situational spots, some opponent injuries,

1042
00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:39,560
Speaker 4: and you know they've won four straight. The three but

1043
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:43,680
Speaker 4: come by one possession. Rutgers I think is bottomed out. Rutgers.

1044
00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:46,359
Speaker 4: They're Runde's been so bad, but Minnesota hasn't really been

1045
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:49,600
Speaker 4: great running the ball, and you can attack Minnesota on

1046
00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:52,560
Speaker 4: the ground. I'm hoping the Nung guy plays. They are

1047
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:56,280
Speaker 4: coming off of bye Gophers. Also, plus twelve turnover margin

1048
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:58,160
Speaker 4: on the year, there's some maybe a regression coming there.

1049
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:02,359
Speaker 4: Shiano really good off of the buy and with extra

1050
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,200
Speaker 4: time repair, with ten plus days to prepare, twelve and

1051
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:07,080
Speaker 4: five against the spread, covering by ten points per game.

1052
00:53:07,920 --> 00:53:10,560
Speaker 4: I'm gonna wait for the seven, but I'm okay at

1053
00:53:10,600 --> 00:53:12,799
Speaker 4: six and a half, I think this is the time

1054
00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:13,799
Speaker 4: to sell Minnesota.

1055
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:15,520
Speaker 2: I don't like Rutgers at all.

1056
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 4: Okay, well, then you disagree. That's why it's in the

1057
00:53:18,400 --> 00:53:23,640
Speaker 4: trash segment. Okay. USF against Navy, I think USF number one.

1058
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:26,000
Speaker 4: They get an extra day to prepare Navy third straight

1059
00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:31,000
Speaker 4: game on away from home, and the third one they

1060
00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:33,359
Speaker 4: were in this huge delay until late at night at

1061
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 4: Rice USF's rundy is very very good. They can slow

1062
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 4: down Navy on the ground, I mean like very good.

1063
00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:44,040
Speaker 4: USF's like top fifteen and EPA per rush all out

1064
00:53:44,040 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 4: and rush success rate. On defense. Their secondary is bad,

1065
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:54,040
Speaker 4: but I'm not sure that Forbath is healthy with that

1066
00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:57,200
Speaker 4: thumb injury. And they they looked bad against Rice last week,

1067
00:53:57,239 --> 00:54:01,640
Speaker 4: and I look, the Mids were great early on, but

1068
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 4: they benefited from like that. The element of surprise with

1069
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:08,200
Speaker 4: their new look offense hasn't been great the past two weeks.

1070
00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:10,279
Speaker 4: They also haven't played anyone. Their schedule still outside the

1071
00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:12,440
Speaker 4: top one twenty. You know, we saw them play Notre

1072
00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:14,760
Speaker 4: Dame and Memphis, who did whatever they wanted on offense.

1073
00:54:15,160 --> 00:54:18,320
Speaker 4: South Florida's strength of schedule much better fift these spots higher.

1074
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 4: Navy's still pretty fortunate overall. You know, red zone turnovers,

1075
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:27,680
Speaker 4: there's I think there's more coming and USF should. I mean,

1076
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:30,279
Speaker 4: they haven't left the State of Florida's in September. I

1077
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:35,440
Speaker 4: think they're trending up. Is the team that like as

1078
00:54:35,480 --> 00:54:38,440
Speaker 4: one two straight. They went to Archie at quarterback because

1079
00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:43,399
Speaker 4: Brown got hurt his foot. He struggled early, but he's

1080
00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:47,880
Speaker 4: starting to pick up the offense. But USF the strength

1081
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:51,000
Speaker 4: of their offense is their backfield. Navy even against the

1082
00:54:51,040 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 4: band schedule twentieth rush success rate USF offensive line. They

1083
00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:58,080
Speaker 4: also they made some changes a couple of weeks ago

1084
00:54:58,480 --> 00:55:02,239
Speaker 4: in the interior that really paid off. Their offensive line

1085
00:55:02,280 --> 00:55:03,839
Speaker 4: is playing a lot better was It was a mess

1086
00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:06,280
Speaker 4: early on in the season. So I like the Bulls.

1087
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:08,120
Speaker 4: Yeah plus three a better.

1088
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 2: At home agreeance put it down top twenty rushing success rate,

1089
00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:14,120
Speaker 2: top twenty line yards both on defense. That's enough to

1090
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:16,320
Speaker 2: go ahead and stop that Navy attack.

1091
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,239
Speaker 4: But they also get pressure and Horvat his numbers fall

1092
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,479
Speaker 4: off a cliff went under pressure, and USF can generate

1093
00:55:22,560 --> 00:55:23,720
Speaker 4: pressure with their D line.

1094
00:55:24,000 --> 00:55:27,640
Speaker 2: USF has a major advantage in special teams tenth persp

1095
00:55:27,719 --> 00:55:29,320
Speaker 2: plus the Navy's one hundred and eleventh.

1096
00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:34,280
Speaker 4: I think we might disagree here. I'm going with Uba

1097
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:40,279
Speaker 4: at Pitt catching seven and a half. Uba got blown

1098
00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:42,480
Speaker 4: out by North Carolina in their last game. But what

1099
00:55:42,520 --> 00:55:45,160
Speaker 4: I don't think people realize is that they have all

1100
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:47,600
Speaker 4: these offensive linemen out every down to like to a

1101
00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:49,879
Speaker 4: third string center. They had one of their other offensive lineman.

1102
00:55:49,920 --> 00:55:52,120
Speaker 4: It was a disaster. They couldn't block. Well, all those

1103
00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:54,040
Speaker 4: guys are back, they're coming off of buy. They might

1104
00:55:54,080 --> 00:55:56,839
Speaker 4: get some key defenders back as well. I mean, Pitt.

1105
00:55:56,880 --> 00:55:58,560
Speaker 4: I just haven't been impressed them all year. I called

1106
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 4: last week the fraud ball. Well, the fraud ended up

1107
00:56:01,040 --> 00:56:03,240
Speaker 4: being Pit. They got blown out by SMU. They started

1108
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:05,200
Speaker 4: seven and zero. They should have lost the Cincy in

1109
00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:07,479
Speaker 4: West Virginia. It's not like those teams have been world beaters.

1110
00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:10,359
Speaker 4: They came back from double digit, double digit deficits late.

1111
00:56:10,560 --> 00:56:12,560
Speaker 4: They beat cal at home by two. They should have

1112
00:56:12,600 --> 00:56:14,640
Speaker 4: lost that game. And then they beat Syracuse because've got

1113
00:56:14,719 --> 00:56:17,360
Speaker 4: a million pick sixes. There are other wins were against

1114
00:56:17,480 --> 00:56:20,240
Speaker 4: Kent State, Youngstown State in UNC Like. Am I impressed

1115
00:56:20,239 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 4: with that resume?

1116
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:21,040
Speaker 2: No?

1117
00:56:21,760 --> 00:56:23,759
Speaker 4: I also liked. I've talked about this before. I like

1118
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:26,759
Speaker 4: the back top twenty teams off of a loss in

1119
00:56:26,800 --> 00:56:29,040
Speaker 4: top twenty games, people like, oh, they're going to be angry,

1120
00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:31,640
Speaker 4: usually overvalued and the opposite tree. You can come out

1121
00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:34,360
Speaker 4: a bit flat forty two percent against the spread historically

1122
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:37,160
Speaker 4: as a favorite more than a touchdown forty three percent

1123
00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 4: against the spread. Overall, I think UVA will come out

1124
00:56:40,760 --> 00:56:42,799
Speaker 4: here with some fire. You have to attack Pit with

1125
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:46,479
Speaker 4: explosive passes. Well, Callandrew is gonna get the start. That's

1126
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:49,920
Speaker 4: what Virginia can do. It also lost their best safety

1127
00:56:50,520 --> 00:56:52,759
Speaker 4: to injury last week. I think it's a pretty big

1128
00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:56,800
Speaker 4: drop off to the backup. They'd give up even more explosives.

1129
00:56:57,120 --> 00:56:59,040
Speaker 4: And I just think Pitt might be sleepy here, like

1130
00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:00,920
Speaker 4: they've lost that game that that end of their season,

1131
00:57:00,960 --> 00:57:04,399
Speaker 4: like collegeball playoff, that's AC championship game. Got Clemson on deck.

1132
00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:08,359
Speaker 4: Give me the seven and a half against nardog who

1133
00:57:08,480 --> 00:57:11,200
Speaker 4: uh he is six and fifteen against the spread as

1134
00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:13,560
Speaker 4: a favorite of six or more points in acc play

1135
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:15,760
Speaker 4: bailing to cover by six points.

1136
00:57:16,360 --> 00:57:18,320
Speaker 1: Watch out for Pat narjoo.

1137
00:57:18,040 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 4: Zi Holstein seventeen touchdown, six interceptions, ten big time throws,

1138
00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:28,240
Speaker 4: twenty turnoverworthy plays. There's some picks coming. They've been even

1139
00:57:28,280 --> 00:57:31,120
Speaker 4: been lucky there. I know you're on Pitt. Are you

1140
00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:33,320
Speaker 4: going head to head at seven and a half or no?

1141
00:57:34,280 --> 00:57:37,400
Speaker 2: I should? I should just because I like Pitt that much.

1142
00:57:37,440 --> 00:57:39,640
Speaker 2: The problem is that took a much better number earlier

1143
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:42,440
Speaker 2: in the week. Listen, Pitt defends the rush really well.

1144
00:57:42,440 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 2: Their fifth in the defensive lineyards. Virginia's not gonna be

1145
00:57:44,760 --> 00:57:47,720
Speaker 2: able to run and Andrea bombs. Virginia ain't running here. Yeah,

1146
00:57:47,760 --> 00:57:49,680
Speaker 2: and there's an answer for that too. I mean, right now,

1147
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:51,960
Speaker 2: Pitt is thirtieth in contested catch. Right, they're gonna be

1148
00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:54,400
Speaker 2: able to swat a couple of those fifty those arm

1149
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,600
Speaker 2: punks that clander your likes, that throw open in the air, so.

1150
00:57:56,600 --> 00:58:00,800
Speaker 4: Ye have top safety out. What is pitt epa for? Passow?

1151
00:58:00,920 --> 00:58:03,040
Speaker 2: I can't believe you're trying to defend Pitt. I don't

1152
00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:04,680
Speaker 2: want to be in this position defending Pitt.

1153
00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 4: But come on, no, don now putting it down head

1154
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:08,640
Speaker 4: to head.

1155
00:58:08,680 --> 00:58:10,280
Speaker 2: No I would if it was seven.

1156
00:58:11,160 --> 00:58:15,640
Speaker 4: Okay, next one, this one, we're gonna get scary for

1157
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:20,840
Speaker 4: the last two. Maryland, Oh god, Maryland plus twenty five.

1158
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:23,720
Speaker 4: I know, Lanning, you better not do this to me again.

1159
00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:25,880
Speaker 4: I know Lanning did it last week. But the rest

1160
00:58:25,880 --> 00:58:29,720
Speaker 4: of the year they just parked the bus. I mean

1161
00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:32,440
Speaker 4: they did it against UCLA in Michigan State. They drilled

1162
00:58:32,720 --> 00:58:36,360
Speaker 4: Illinois and Purdue, and both teams told a chance to

1163
00:58:36,360 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 4: cover late. I mean, Maryland's catching twenty five here, Illinois

1164
00:58:41,120 --> 00:58:44,080
Speaker 4: I faded. I played organizers twenty one still to sweat

1165
00:58:44,120 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 4: it because they parked the bus. I have Maryland better

1166
00:58:47,840 --> 00:58:50,800
Speaker 4: than Illinois. Now I'm getting twenty six and Maryland's coming

1167
00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,040
Speaker 4: off of a bye. By the way, Maryland, they got

1168
00:58:53,080 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 4: blown out in their last game against Minnesota. They were

1169
00:58:57,800 --> 00:59:01,160
Speaker 4: down all of their corners. They should be healthier in

1170
00:59:01,240 --> 00:59:04,200
Speaker 4: the secondary this week, and they've stay had another one

1171
00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 4: of their corners get thrown out in like the first

1172
00:59:05,600 --> 00:59:09,280
Speaker 4: quarter for targeting. Like the secondary was a disaster. I

1173
00:59:09,320 --> 00:59:11,880
Speaker 4: do worry about the offensive line here. The Merrin offense

1174
00:59:11,880 --> 00:59:13,920
Speaker 4: line is so bad against the Oregon defensive front, but

1175
00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:16,960
Speaker 4: the marrin Adsen playmakers. Marilond's rundy is actually like competent

1176
00:59:17,040 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 4: enough to much better than Illinois to like stop Oregon

1177
00:59:21,840 --> 00:59:23,720
Speaker 4: a bit on the ground and especially like if this

1178
00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:26,280
Speaker 4: the lead is big, that'll help in like preventing them

1179
00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:29,720
Speaker 4: from running it up. Boxley's horrendous in these spots, like

1180
00:59:29,760 --> 00:59:31,640
Speaker 4: he's eight and eighteen against the spread as of conference

1181
00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 4: road dog. I just have to take this because my

1182
00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:40,000
Speaker 4: assumption like Oregon they have no incentive, but also their

1183
00:59:40,400 --> 00:59:43,480
Speaker 4: top receivers out, the starting guard is out. Yeah, Marin

1184
00:59:43,520 --> 00:59:46,640
Speaker 4: offa buye. I think they'll show up here. It hurt

1185
00:59:46,640 --> 00:59:49,400
Speaker 4: to put in agree or disagree.

1186
00:59:49,280 --> 00:59:51,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, after that shit last week, you're on your own. Brother.

1187
00:59:51,960 --> 00:59:55,040
Speaker 2: I mean that I've got enough of landing that one hurt.

1188
00:59:55,320 --> 00:59:58,680
Speaker 4: I mean, TuS Johnson's gonna be out Gohutadton for punishment.

1189
00:59:59,280 --> 01:00:03,920
Speaker 4: I'm sick man for doing that. Yeah, then one more Nevada,

1190
01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:11,320
Speaker 4: oh against Boise. Gent's gonna get his. Nevada's D stinks,

1191
01:00:11,600 --> 01:00:15,080
Speaker 4: but Nevada's kind of like Service Academy asked, Like, they're slow,

1192
01:00:15,840 --> 01:00:19,000
Speaker 4: they can grind, they can shrink this game, and they're

1193
01:00:19,040 --> 01:00:22,640
Speaker 4: coming off three straight losses. They're kind of unlucky like that. Injuries, right,

1194
01:00:22,680 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 4: Like Lewis was out for part of one game and

1195
01:00:25,320 --> 01:00:27,760
Speaker 4: didn't start the other. They were minus twenty one total

1196
01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:30,920
Speaker 4: night yards versus Fresno, plus one eighteen versus Colorado State

1197
01:00:31,160 --> 01:00:34,840
Speaker 4: minus fifteen vers Hawaii. Like those scores were pretty misleading.

1198
01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:39,760
Speaker 4: They should be healthier this week overall, and they're just

1199
01:00:39,800 --> 01:00:42,360
Speaker 4: they are an intriguing team, getting twenty four and a

1200
01:00:42,400 --> 01:00:45,120
Speaker 4: half to me unlike San Diego State, Like Nevada is

1201
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:46,960
Speaker 4: just gonna grind this down. They go slow. They're top

1202
01:00:47,040 --> 01:00:49,600
Speaker 4: twenty five nationally in rushed success right EPA per rush

1203
01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:52,920
Speaker 4: Boise ninety fifth EPA pro loud per rush like you

1204
01:00:52,960 --> 01:00:56,240
Speaker 4: can run on Boise Lewis's legs against the defense, I

1205
01:00:56,280 --> 01:00:59,760
Speaker 4: can get after you. I think are important here is

1206
01:01:00,040 --> 01:01:02,520
Speaker 4: he's a well coached team. I mean, I hope that

1207
01:01:02,600 --> 01:01:04,840
Speaker 4: Danielson doesn't try to run this up. That he has

1208
01:01:04,920 --> 01:01:08,240
Speaker 4: done some weird like fourth down things late and you

1209
01:01:08,280 --> 01:01:12,720
Speaker 4: know the playoff beauty pageant he talked about. But uh,

1210
01:01:12,840 --> 01:01:15,520
Speaker 4: I'm taking over twenty four here. I think this is

1211
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:18,920
Speaker 4: like a service Academy asque type dog in this spot.

1212
01:01:20,640 --> 01:01:22,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, if it was twenty four, I'd probably go against

1213
01:01:22,360 --> 01:01:27,120
Speaker 2: you here. Nevada. I love against teams that love to pass.

1214
01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:30,080
Speaker 2: They are top five nationally and creating contested catches. They've

1215
01:01:30,120 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 2: been so good in the secondary ball hawking. It's not

1216
01:01:33,120 --> 01:01:36,920
Speaker 2: really what's gonna happen here. Nevada's outside the top one

1217
01:01:37,040 --> 01:01:40,080
Speaker 2: hundred defending the rush. Jendy's gonna go a little wild here.

1218
01:01:40,120 --> 01:01:41,520
Speaker 2: By the way, Boise, all of a sudden, now is

1219
01:01:41,520 --> 01:01:43,840
Speaker 2: the number one team in the nation offensive finishing drives.

1220
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:46,800
Speaker 2: That's gonna be a problem special teams. Nevada is one

1221
01:01:46,880 --> 01:01:47,520
Speaker 2: hundred and thirtieth.

1222
01:01:47,560 --> 01:01:49,080
Speaker 4: Oh, the special teams are worried they're bad.

1223
01:01:49,080 --> 01:01:53,080
Speaker 2: It's a problem and broken tackles allowed Nevada one hundred

1224
01:01:53,120 --> 01:01:55,520
Speaker 2: and thirty fourth dead last. So I'll go up site.

1225
01:01:55,640 --> 01:01:58,080
Speaker 2: We need a trash opposite here. Take me off the

1226
01:01:58,320 --> 01:02:00,280
Speaker 2: Minnesota rutbers thing and put me on this. This is

1227
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 2: the one. I'm going ahead to head.

1228
01:02:01,280 --> 01:02:06,640
Speaker 4: With you on, all right, and then you have some trash.

1229
01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:10,000
Speaker 1: We're talking minor nation out.

1230
01:02:09,720 --> 01:02:12,320
Speaker 4: In the west tis in town O l past So

1231
01:02:13,840 --> 01:02:18,240
Speaker 4: picks up tennisol state. You're going back to your als

1232
01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:19,760
Speaker 4: al gets. I can't agree with you on the air,

1233
01:02:19,800 --> 01:02:20,479
Speaker 4: but make your case.

1234
01:02:20,720 --> 01:02:23,200
Speaker 2: Find me another nation here fading pickles in minor nation.

1235
01:02:23,360 --> 01:02:25,120
Speaker 2: Huh boy, they're gonna hate me. I got the helmet

1236
01:02:25,120 --> 01:02:27,800
Speaker 2: behind me and everything. Listen. Scottie Waldron came out and

1237
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:30,000
Speaker 2: he said, we got to see how Skyler Lockley is doing.

1238
01:02:30,960 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 2: He's the one that took a massive lick on CUSA

1239
01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:36,200
Speaker 2: midweek a couple of weeks ago, one of the worst

1240
01:02:36,280 --> 01:02:39,160
Speaker 2: arg MC in my life. Sounds like he's almost through

1241
01:02:39,200 --> 01:02:41,480
Speaker 2: every test for concussion protocol. He has one left to go.

1242
01:02:41,560 --> 01:02:43,200
Speaker 2: I guess we'll know at the end of Friday. But

1243
01:02:43,240 --> 01:02:45,160
Speaker 2: if he can't go, it's JP Pickles. Time to run

1244
01:02:45,200 --> 01:02:47,840
Speaker 2: the pickle cat package last week, eighteen of thirty three

1245
01:02:47,840 --> 01:02:50,320
Speaker 2: passing against Middle Tennessee. He did not have a touchdown,

1246
01:02:50,720 --> 01:02:53,840
Speaker 2: did have an interception, and he was just four yards

1247
01:02:53,840 --> 01:02:58,040
Speaker 2: per carrying nineteen attempts for pickles. And I think maybe

1248
01:02:58,040 --> 01:03:00,360
Speaker 2: the book is out on JP pickles. Maybe teams are

1249
01:03:00,440 --> 01:03:02,800
Speaker 2: learning how to defend that because his rushing totals are

1250
01:03:02,800 --> 01:03:05,720
Speaker 2: going down, his yards per carrier going down the more

1251
01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:09,520
Speaker 2: that everybody sees him. The Owls, why do they beat Liberty?

1252
01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:13,040
Speaker 2: They are eighth in the nation defensively and broken misstackle

1253
01:03:13,120 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 2: rate per Sports Info Solutions. The defense does not miss

1254
01:03:17,080 --> 01:03:19,240
Speaker 2: on the ground. That is a huge reason why the

1255
01:03:19,280 --> 01:03:22,400
Speaker 2: Owls had a monster win in Conference USA. And the

1256
01:03:22,480 --> 01:03:25,400
Speaker 2: number of misstackles against a Liberty team that is heavy

1257
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:28,200
Speaker 2: on the rush. You know how many misstackles they had? Five?

1258
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 2: They're not going to miss JP pickles and I gonna

1259
01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:32,880
Speaker 2: miss anything on the ground here. And if you tip's

1260
01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 2: gonna have Scott you know lockleyer Ago Skyler Lockley here go.

1261
01:03:35,440 --> 01:03:37,200
Speaker 2: It's a little bit different of a handicap, but I

1262
01:03:37,200 --> 01:03:39,160
Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna matter. I like kennessas state here

1263
01:03:39,160 --> 01:03:40,760
Speaker 2: on the points a game that I think should be

1264
01:03:40,800 --> 01:03:41,160
Speaker 2: a pick.

1265
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:45,280
Speaker 4: Good luck to you. I want to be joining before

1266
01:03:45,280 --> 01:03:47,840
Speaker 4: we get to three and out. How about some nowhere fast.

1267
01:03:49,920 --> 01:03:52,760
Speaker 3: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

1268
01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:53,520
Speaker 3: ever seen.

1269
01:03:53,360 --> 01:03:58,400
Speaker 1: Before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the brave all meat.

1270
01:04:14,480 --> 01:04:16,240
Speaker 4: This is a Friday night game. We'll talk about Fridayized

1271
01:04:16,280 --> 01:04:18,040
Speaker 4: in just a second, but we'll get ahead. Start with

1272
01:04:18,120 --> 01:04:22,960
Speaker 4: San Diego State hosting New Mexico. Let's say two and

1273
01:04:23,000 --> 01:04:24,520
Speaker 4: a half point favorite over under sixty six and a

1274
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:25,640
Speaker 4: half over or under here.

1275
01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:28,520
Speaker 2: Under all the way, My total for this is somehow

1276
01:04:28,520 --> 01:04:30,640
Speaker 2: in the fifties. I really wanted to take the under

1277
01:04:30,680 --> 01:04:32,280
Speaker 2: initially here, but I want to see if it steams

1278
01:04:32,320 --> 01:04:35,240
Speaker 2: some more in the sixties. Sixty five is your bypoint,

1279
01:04:35,280 --> 01:04:37,480
Speaker 2: as it's going down just a little bit. Both these

1280
01:04:37,480 --> 01:04:39,520
Speaker 2: teams about twenty four seconds per play, so that's a

1281
01:04:39,520 --> 01:04:42,520
Speaker 2: little bit scary. Rush explosives is the path for New

1282
01:04:42,560 --> 01:04:45,880
Speaker 2: Mexico here. Terrible offensive finishing drivers rank at adiot, so

1283
01:04:45,880 --> 01:04:47,760
Speaker 2: if they get into the scoring position, they probably won't

1284
01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:49,760
Speaker 2: get anything. But keep in mind the strength of schedule

1285
01:04:49,760 --> 01:04:51,320
Speaker 2: for New Mexico is one hundred and fourteenth, so I

1286
01:04:51,320 --> 01:04:54,840
Speaker 2: don't take their offensive numbers that heavy. I don't take

1287
01:04:54,840 --> 01:04:58,320
Speaker 2: their explosiveness that heavy, and San Diego State is all explosive,

1288
01:04:58,480 --> 01:05:00,760
Speaker 2: zero methodical drives for this af offense. They proved it

1289
01:05:00,840 --> 01:05:04,280
Speaker 2: last week eleventh in rush EPA and New Mexico's eightieth

1290
01:05:04,280 --> 01:05:08,440
Speaker 2: and rush EPA allowed. Santye State is bottom twenty nationally

1291
01:05:08,480 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 2: and offensive momentum killer one of my favorite stats this

1292
01:05:11,720 --> 01:05:14,160
Speaker 2: time of year. Tell me what your offense does to

1293
01:05:14,200 --> 01:05:19,400
Speaker 2: shoot themselves in the foot flags, missfield goals, turnovers, negative plays.

1294
01:05:19,520 --> 01:05:22,320
Speaker 2: San Diego State is near the bottom in the nation

1295
01:05:22,440 --> 01:05:25,320
Speaker 2: offensive momentum killer. It's a problem for both teams. I

1296
01:05:25,360 --> 01:05:27,080
Speaker 2: like the under here. I think I think that total

1297
01:05:27,160 --> 01:05:29,600
Speaker 2: is way too high. It's sixty five is your last

1298
01:05:29,640 --> 01:05:30,800
Speaker 2: call in the under? All right?

1299
01:05:30,800 --> 01:05:32,840
Speaker 4: With no Arkansas football. It's on a buy. Let's go

1300
01:05:32,920 --> 01:05:33,439
Speaker 4: three and now.

1301
01:05:35,560 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1302
01:05:38,920 --> 01:05:40,760
Speaker 4: All right, first down, Friday night lights, Let's go through

1303
01:05:40,760 --> 01:05:41,280
Speaker 4: these quickly.

1304
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:46,000
Speaker 2: Let's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. Hey, let's go

1305
01:05:46,080 --> 01:05:46,840
Speaker 2: play some football.

1306
01:05:47,840 --> 01:05:52,200
Speaker 4: Hell at wake my number, say wake home dog, especially

1307
01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:55,000
Speaker 4: over a touchdown. I'm afraid of the weak secondary bit,

1308
01:05:55,920 --> 01:05:59,520
Speaker 4: but I like classing off of by here. Teams still

1309
01:05:59,560 --> 01:06:02,959
Speaker 4: fighting playing well lately, I agreed disagree there.

1310
01:06:03,560 --> 01:06:05,360
Speaker 2: I am not playing this because there are two starting

1311
01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:06,920
Speaker 2: corners that are going to be out for wake Jamar

1312
01:06:06,960 --> 01:06:08,080
Speaker 2: Glasker at Capone Blue.

1313
01:06:08,080 --> 01:06:10,960
Speaker 4: That would be a I do worry about their secondary.

1314
01:06:10,560 --> 01:06:12,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I worry about the secondary. So I'm out.

1315
01:06:13,880 --> 01:06:16,680
Speaker 4: Iowa at Ucla Iowa six and a half point favorite

1316
01:06:16,720 --> 01:06:20,200
Speaker 4: total forty four and a half. Ucla playing better of

1317
01:06:20,280 --> 01:06:28,760
Speaker 4: late Iowa potentially upgraded at quarterback with Sullivan. That's a

1318
01:06:28,800 --> 01:06:31,520
Speaker 4: tough one for me. It's seven. I wont UCLA lead

1319
01:06:31,600 --> 01:06:33,520
Speaker 4: under as well. I think you like Iowa. I do

1320
01:06:33,600 --> 01:06:34,040
Speaker 4: like Iowa.

1321
01:06:34,040 --> 01:06:35,520
Speaker 2: I would take them up to six or six and

1322
01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:36,920
Speaker 2: a half. I wouldn't do it at the seven. But

1323
01:06:37,320 --> 01:06:39,320
Speaker 2: I mean, look, you say is one hundred and eleventh

1324
01:06:39,320 --> 01:06:41,400
Speaker 2: and allowing the rush explosive Caleb Johnson's going to have

1325
01:06:41,400 --> 01:06:43,880
Speaker 2: a field day here to six tds in the last

1326
01:06:43,880 --> 01:06:48,440
Speaker 2: two games, nearly twenty five percent of every Caleb Johnson

1327
01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:51,200
Speaker 2: rush goes for at least ten yards. That's going to

1328
01:06:51,200 --> 01:06:52,600
Speaker 2: be an issue. So what you say is going to do.

1329
01:06:52,640 --> 01:06:54,800
Speaker 2: They're going to try to pass with Eden Garber's six

1330
01:06:54,840 --> 01:06:57,760
Speaker 2: to ten big time throat to turnover worthy plays. It's

1331
01:06:57,800 --> 01:06:59,760
Speaker 2: not going to really work against the Iowa top forty

1332
01:06:59,800 --> 01:07:02,960
Speaker 2: D tense when creating contested catches. Also, usually it's not

1333
01:07:02,960 --> 01:07:04,520
Speaker 2: going to run the ball. They're dead last and rushing

1334
01:07:04,560 --> 01:07:07,480
Speaker 2: success rate. There's just a massive advantage for Iowa hearing

1335
01:07:07,560 --> 01:07:10,080
Speaker 2: quality drives and finishing drives on both sides of the ball,

1336
01:07:10,120 --> 01:07:12,800
Speaker 2: fundamental special teams. I think it's all there for the Hawkeves.

1337
01:07:14,200 --> 01:07:16,640
Speaker 4: Rice at Memphis. I think Rice is getting hit again

1338
01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:21,240
Speaker 4: right now. Memphis has some injuries receiver. I also where's

1339
01:07:21,280 --> 01:07:28,160
Speaker 4: where's Memphis men mentally physically? Like they suffered that second

1340
01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:32,800
Speaker 4: loss there, they're done in the AAC race. Yeah, some

1341
01:07:33,040 --> 01:07:37,120
Speaker 4: questionable quotes from Ryan Silverfield, like talking about man coverage

1342
01:07:37,160 --> 01:07:40,120
Speaker 4: and I don't like, I don't know what's going on

1343
01:07:40,160 --> 01:07:43,200
Speaker 4: with that team. Rice, meanwhile, I think is pointing up

1344
01:07:44,000 --> 01:07:48,720
Speaker 4: and they've been playing much better out of the by E. J.

1345
01:07:48,840 --> 01:07:53,959
Speaker 4: Warner back defense, playing better. You know, I worry about

1346
01:07:53,960 --> 01:08:00,840
Speaker 4: their I don't know, they're still set at six losses,

1347
01:08:00,880 --> 01:08:04,320
Speaker 4: Like this is a game. They win this game, man,

1348
01:08:04,400 --> 01:08:07,480
Speaker 4: there might go bowling. They got UAB yeah, and then

1349
01:08:07,520 --> 01:08:10,440
Speaker 4: South Florida at home. I think you get a really

1350
01:08:10,440 --> 01:08:14,480
Speaker 4: game effort here from Rice, who I think is trending up. Memphis.

1351
01:08:14,560 --> 01:08:16,599
Speaker 4: I think could come out really flat here after last

1352
01:08:16,600 --> 01:08:19,919
Speaker 4: week and then they have some injuries as well. Obviously

1353
01:08:20,000 --> 01:08:22,240
Speaker 4: liked it better at ten and a half, but I

1354
01:08:22,280 --> 01:08:24,280
Speaker 4: think it's Rice or nothing where it's at now.

1355
01:08:24,560 --> 01:08:26,479
Speaker 2: You know Rice is winning out because I've got over

1356
01:08:26,520 --> 01:08:27,640
Speaker 2: six and a half and it was one of my

1357
01:08:27,640 --> 01:08:29,639
Speaker 2: favorite win totals. Now they're just going to get to six.

1358
01:08:30,800 --> 01:08:34,080
Speaker 2: I wanted Memphis initially. I saw you put a play

1359
01:08:34,120 --> 01:08:35,479
Speaker 2: in on the app. I paused. I wanted to go

1360
01:08:35,520 --> 01:08:37,360
Speaker 2: see what's going on with Memphis. Read all the quotes

1361
01:08:37,360 --> 01:08:41,600
Speaker 2: from Silverfield, which were quite interesting. There was no problems

1362
01:08:41,640 --> 01:08:43,720
Speaker 2: and the loss last week for Memphis. When it comes

1363
01:08:43,760 --> 01:08:46,559
Speaker 2: to an offensive perspective, Hinnigan had four tds. The offense

1364
01:08:46,600 --> 01:08:54,879
Speaker 2: was humming, the defense was atrocious, absolutely lit up, and there's.

1365
01:08:54,680 --> 01:08:56,280
Speaker 4: No way I don't know what to do, like copverage

1366
01:08:56,320 --> 01:09:00,760
Speaker 4: wise too, like that's that's that's worrisome. Byaway Blankomsy. He

1367
01:09:00,800 --> 01:09:02,160
Speaker 4: is one of the best receivers. He did get hurt

1368
01:09:02,400 --> 01:09:05,400
Speaker 4: her celebrating. I don't know he might play, but yeah,

1369
01:09:06,080 --> 01:09:06,320
Speaker 4: is the.

1370
01:09:06,280 --> 01:09:08,240
Speaker 2: Big name for Memphis here. You're gonna see movement in

1371
01:09:08,360 --> 01:09:11,040
Speaker 2: the market for demere blancomecy Uh leads the team in

1372
01:09:11,080 --> 01:09:13,599
Speaker 2: receiving touchdowns. I believe he's like two hundred and sixty

1373
01:09:13,640 --> 01:09:16,160
Speaker 2: snaps out of the slot. He is really important to Hintigan.

1374
01:09:16,920 --> 01:09:18,520
Speaker 4: Second Haunt favorite Overdog.

1375
01:09:18,880 --> 01:09:20,479
Speaker 2: It's called the Overdog parlay.

1376
01:09:20,840 --> 01:09:23,880
Speaker 4: It's for those New Year. It's our favorite favorite. I

1377
01:09:23,960 --> 01:09:28,320
Speaker 4: hinted at this earlier. I like Penn State. God on Ben,

1378
01:09:28,360 --> 01:09:31,679
Speaker 4: Penn State is a favorite again after that Illinois game.

1379
01:09:32,479 --> 01:09:34,320
Speaker 4: This is a game usually James Franklin covers. Now. I

1380
01:09:34,320 --> 01:09:36,160
Speaker 4: already said I don't really like betting the top twenty

1381
01:09:36,160 --> 01:09:39,360
Speaker 4: teams after a loss. I usually think they're over rally.

1382
01:09:39,400 --> 01:09:41,920
Speaker 4: But I make this over two touchdowns and I don't

1383
01:09:41,920 --> 01:09:44,120
Speaker 4: think it's a good spot for Washington. By the way,

1384
01:09:44,200 --> 01:09:46,240
Speaker 4: we were bawn washing last week, but they got pretty

1385
01:09:46,240 --> 01:09:49,160
Speaker 4: fortunate PreO turnover battle. They two fourth down stop slight,

1386
01:09:49,200 --> 01:09:51,920
Speaker 4: they rocking by one hundred yards. And this is they're

1387
01:09:51,960 --> 01:09:54,280
Speaker 4: traveling to the East coast again. We've already seen him

1388
01:09:54,280 --> 01:10:00,479
Speaker 4: travel to Rutgers, Iowa, Indiana, and by the way, it's Indiana.

1389
01:10:00,479 --> 01:10:02,839
Speaker 4: They lost by two touchdowns. The piece and backup quarterback

1390
01:10:02,840 --> 01:10:05,400
Speaker 4: in Indiana. Why do I like this though? I think

1391
01:10:05,439 --> 01:10:09,120
Speaker 4: the Penn State defensive line can dominate the Washington offensive line.

1392
01:10:09,800 --> 01:10:13,120
Speaker 4: Or's the turnover too. And more importantly, the strength of

1393
01:10:13,120 --> 01:10:16,800
Speaker 4: the Washington defense is their coverage. Well, the weakness of

1394
01:10:16,800 --> 01:10:18,920
Speaker 4: the Penn State offense is their wide receivers. That's kind

1395
01:10:18,920 --> 01:10:22,160
Speaker 4: of newtered you can run on Washington. Penn State's going

1396
01:10:22,200 --> 01:10:24,080
Speaker 4: to be able to run here, just like Indiana did

1397
01:10:24,120 --> 01:10:26,080
Speaker 4: in the second half. They didn't. They threw it one

1398
01:10:26,120 --> 01:10:28,880
Speaker 4: time in the second half. So I like Penn State

1399
01:10:28,880 --> 01:10:33,559
Speaker 4: de bounce back. Tough spot for Washington at home, prime time,

1400
01:10:33,680 --> 01:10:35,880
Speaker 4: white out game. I think they win this by at

1401
01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:38,960
Speaker 4: least two touchdowns. Finish your fucking drive for once, James

1402
01:10:38,960 --> 01:10:41,000
Speaker 4: frankl and Jesus.

1403
01:10:40,640 --> 01:10:43,439
Speaker 2: How is there no touchdowns last week? I'm going to

1404
01:10:43,479 --> 01:10:45,920
Speaker 2: Ohio State for my overdog here. I believe the College

1405
01:10:45,920 --> 01:10:49,920
Speaker 2: Football Playoff Committee has created a beauty contest for teams

1406
01:10:49,960 --> 01:10:53,360
Speaker 2: that are ranked fifth to eleventh, that have not that

1407
01:10:53,439 --> 01:10:56,000
Speaker 2: are not in the pole position to win their conference championship. Now,

1408
01:10:56,000 --> 01:10:58,120
Speaker 2: how they can definitely get to the Big Ten championship.

1409
01:10:58,120 --> 01:11:00,400
Speaker 2: But in in case they don't win and they fall

1410
01:11:00,439 --> 01:11:03,479
Speaker 2: the two losses, they need serious style points. And against

1411
01:11:03,520 --> 01:11:05,600
Speaker 2: Purdue is a place where a lot of teams are

1412
01:11:05,600 --> 01:11:08,439
Speaker 2: getting style points. Notre Dame had sixty six earlier on

1413
01:11:08,479 --> 01:11:09,920
Speaker 2: them this year, and the last time Perdue went on

1414
01:11:09,960 --> 01:11:11,559
Speaker 2: the road against the Big Ten, they gave up fifty

1415
01:11:11,560 --> 01:11:15,559
Speaker 2: burgers to the dynamic offenses of Illinois and Wisconsin. This

1416
01:11:15,640 --> 01:11:17,640
Speaker 2: is a name it game in Ohio. State is in

1417
01:11:17,760 --> 01:11:20,800
Speaker 2: a beauty pageant. Give me I think I put thirty

1418
01:11:20,840 --> 01:11:22,320
Speaker 2: seven and a half down on the money and then

1419
01:11:22,360 --> 01:11:23,840
Speaker 2: put in the app. I think it's at thirty eight.

1420
01:11:23,960 --> 01:11:31,520
Speaker 1: I buy it there, turning good weekends into great weekends.

1421
01:11:32,000 --> 01:11:34,600
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay.

1422
01:11:35,720 --> 01:11:40,519
Speaker 4: Third down, favorite underdog money line for underdog money line parlay.

1423
01:11:41,160 --> 01:11:43,519
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go North Texas. Talk about this earlier and

1424
01:11:43,680 --> 01:11:45,880
Speaker 4: especially with I'm certain toy at the quarterback position, which

1425
01:11:46,400 --> 01:11:47,599
Speaker 4: makes us even more valuable.

1426
01:11:47,600 --> 01:11:50,160
Speaker 2: Where you go, Oh, Kansas, you and I talked about it.

1427
01:11:50,200 --> 01:11:52,240
Speaker 2: You and I agree on it. Kansas. It's not the

1428
01:11:52,320 --> 01:11:54,840
Speaker 2: number that's the problem here. It's the direction of these

1429
01:11:54,880 --> 01:11:58,799
Speaker 2: two teams. Iowa State is struggling on defense. Everybody gets

1430
01:11:58,880 --> 01:12:01,439
Speaker 2: a free score on their first strive against him. Meanwhile,

1431
01:12:01,560 --> 01:12:03,960
Speaker 2: Kansas in the running game. Devin Neil and Jalen Daniels

1432
01:12:03,960 --> 01:12:09,439
Speaker 2: are absolutely tearing teams apart. Kansas all right, fort Down

1433
01:12:09,520 --> 01:12:13,599
Speaker 2: is now the board review Hod damn, this is fun.

1434
01:12:13,880 --> 01:12:16,760
Speaker 4: Head to head Nevada versus Boise. We're two and two

1435
01:12:16,760 --> 01:12:20,080
Speaker 4: on the head to head agree we are twenty one

1436
01:12:20,080 --> 01:12:24,040
Speaker 4: and twelve. We have Kansas Utah BC money line in

1437
01:12:24,160 --> 01:12:30,000
Speaker 4: USF this week Trash's eight and four and seeing it

1438
01:12:30,080 --> 01:12:32,920
Speaker 4: is like it makes me sick sometimes, like seeing Virginia

1439
01:12:33,160 --> 01:12:34,760
Speaker 4: Maryland Nevada.

1440
01:12:34,840 --> 01:12:38,160
Speaker 2: And Rutgers Maryland USF.

1441
01:12:37,720 --> 01:12:39,439
Speaker 4: I think is my favorite of the trash bunch, but

1442
01:12:39,800 --> 01:12:44,559
Speaker 4: they're never my favorites. And then Colin putting his perfect

1443
01:12:44,640 --> 01:12:47,719
Speaker 4: one to oh trash record on the line with kennessas

1444
01:12:47,800 --> 01:12:55,519
Speaker 4: State against Utah. That'll do it for us. Got through

1445
01:12:55,560 --> 01:12:57,880
Speaker 4: I don't know, twenty five games in an hour and

1446
01:12:57,880 --> 01:13:01,000
Speaker 4: a half. Hopefully took some value nuggets you did. Make

1447
01:13:01,080 --> 01:13:03,200
Speaker 4: sure you subscribe on subcribe, subscribe to a friend, tell

1448
01:13:03,200 --> 01:13:05,400
Speaker 4: on enemy you know the deal, leave a five star review.

1449
01:13:05,439 --> 01:13:07,240
Speaker 4: I don't care what you say. You can just say garbage,

1450
01:13:07,400 --> 01:13:10,880
Speaker 4: trash whatever. Thanks to Colin as always for joining me.

1451
01:13:10,880 --> 01:13:12,599
Speaker 4: Thanks to our producer Matt Mitchell on the back end.

1452
01:13:12,640 --> 01:13:14,760
Speaker 4: Most importantly, thanks to all of you for tuning in,

1453
01:13:15,479 --> 01:13:18,120
Speaker 4: don't forget Monday morning, we'll be back with the weekend

1454
01:13:18,360 --> 01:13:20,759
Speaker 4: recap nine to five nine bad beat for the voicemail,

1455
01:13:20,840 --> 01:13:22,920
Speaker 4: don't forget to call in, yell, scream at me for

1456
01:13:23,000 --> 01:13:26,760
Speaker 4: all my bad calls, and then we will be back

1457
01:13:26,800 --> 01:13:29,040
Speaker 4: with a new VCS on Tuesday. Group of five guys again,

1458
01:13:29,080 --> 01:13:30,439
Speaker 4: make sure you check them out. That'll be back Wednesday

1459
01:13:30,439 --> 01:13:33,400
Speaker 4: and Connoby back the week twelve college football betting preview.

1460
01:13:34,040 --> 01:13:36,599
Speaker 4: Let's stay high and I have a weekend. Good luck

1461
01:13:36,960 --> 01:13:39,559
Speaker 4: on all of your wagers and we'll see you Saturday,

1462
01:13:39,560 --> 01:13:41,719
Speaker 4: ten thirty am Easton for the live show Cheers.

1463
01:13:42,040 --> 01:13:42,719
Speaker 2: Peace Out.

1464
01:13:51,080 --> 01:13:55,600
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1465
01:13:55,640 --> 01:13:58,400
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1466
01:13:58,439 --> 01:14:01,519
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler