1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,040 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: We begin with the war in the Middle East. This 5 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: is the final day of an extended six day ceasefire 6 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: between Israel and Hamas. The Palestinian group handed over a 7 00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: dozen more hostages last night, ten Israelis and two citizens 8 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:23,319 Speaker 1: of Thailand. White House National Security spokesman John Kirby says 9 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: he hopes the ceasefire can be extended so more Americans 10 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:26,599 Speaker 1: can be freed. 11 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 3: I don't want to I'll give you a handicap here 12 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 3: on this or bet nods. 13 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 4: I can just tell you that. 14 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: We want to see all the hostages out. 15 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 3: The way to do that is these pauses. 16 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 1: My White House spokesman John Kirby spoke with reporters outside 17 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: Air Force one CIA director Bill Burns is and caught 18 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,480 Speaker 1: her for talks about extending the ceasefire. Secretary of State 19 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 1: Anthony Blincoln will be back in Israel later this week, 20 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 1: and in a post on ex President Biden called for 21 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: an end of the fighting. He says Hamas fears nothing 22 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: more than Israelis and Palestinians living side by side in peace. 23 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 2: And now Nathan the financial world. EA is mourning and 24 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 2: remembering the life of Charlie Munger. Munger, who helped build 25 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 2: Berkshire Hathaway with Warren Buffett, died yesterday at the age 26 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 2: of ninety nine, and we have more with Bloomberg's John Tucker, 27 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: John and. 28 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 5: Karen with wit, wisdom and one liners. Charlie Munger served 29 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 5: as Warren Buffett's alter ego, often telling it with brutal 30 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 5: honesty what wouldn't work. Munger was known for steering Buffett 31 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 5: away from purchasing what Buffett called cigar butts mediocre companies 32 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:30,119 Speaker 5: had a puff of smoke left and could be bought 33 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 5: for very cheap prices, and instead favoring quality. A lawyer 34 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 5: by training, Monger recalled how he was steered toward investing. 35 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 6: When I met Warren. 36 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 7: He immediately started telling me how much better his way 37 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 7: of making a living was than mine, and that I 38 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 7: was too smart to stay in such a silly businesses 39 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 7: law practice when I could go into his business of 40 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 7: running an investment partnership. And it took me about two 41 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 7: or three years to realize he was right. 42 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 5: His death, Lee's Buffett without his law time sounding board 43 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 5: for investors, maybe his most enduring legacy is Berkshire's performance 44 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 5: under their management. Berkshire average an annual gain of twenty 45 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 5: percent from nineteen sixty five through twenty twenty two. I'm 46 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 5: John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. 47 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: All right, John, thanks, of course. Charlie Munger is also 48 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: going to be remembered for his roles as straight man 49 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 1: and scold of corporate excesses at Berkshire's annual meetings in Omaha. 50 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Senior analyst Matthew Pallasola remembers Monger's special relationship 51 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 1: with Warren Buffett. 52 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 4: They're recalling individual meetings that they had, you know, forty 53 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 4: fifty years ago, and Bussett is forgetting a couple of things, 54 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 4: and Munger's reminding him of, well, this guy said that, 55 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 4: and we said this, and we made this much money 56 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 4: in these meetings. I mean it was, you know, truly 57 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 4: a partnership for all of that time. And their interaction 58 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 4: was just amazing. They would finished each other sentences. 59 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: And Bloomberg Intelligence Senior analyst Matthew Pallasola there. Charlie Munger 60 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: died yesterday at a hospital in California. He was a 61 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: longtime resident of Los Angeles. 62 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 2: Well Nathan, we turn to the market, specifically the economy 63 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 2: now and billionaire investor Bill Ackman, who's betting the Federal 64 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:14,679 Speaker 2: Reserve will begin cutting interest rates sooner than markets are predicting. 65 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 8: I think there's a risk of a hard landing if 66 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 8: the FED doesn't start cutting rates, you know, pretty soon. 67 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 8: So I think the market expects sometime middle of next year. 68 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 8: I think it's more likely, probably as early as key. 69 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: One and Bill Lackman added that he's not convinced the 70 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 2: US economy is headed for a soft landing. The billionaire 71 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 2: investor made the comments in an upcoming episode of The 72 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 2: David Rubinstein Show. Here to Beer Conversations on Bloomberg Television. 73 00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: Well Karen Bill Ackman's comments come as two of the 74 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: fed's most hawkish rate setter signal they could be comfortable 75 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 1: holding rates steady for now. Here's what FED Governor Christopher 76 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 1: Waller told the American Enterprise Institute in Washington. 77 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:53,839 Speaker 6: I am increasingly confident the policy is currently well positioned 78 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 6: to slow the economy and get inflation back to two percent. 79 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: Chris Waller's view as echoed by a fellow FED governor, 80 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: Michelle Bowman, who said she remains willing to support great 81 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: hikes if inflation progress stalls, but she did stop short 82 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: of endorsing an increase next month. 83 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 3: Well. 84 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 2: In Washington, Nathan, the House of Representatives may be voting 85 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 2: on whether to expel George Santos today or tomorrow, and 86 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Ed Baxter has that story. 87 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 9: Motions in the House have been formally introduced, saying ethics 88 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 9: findings violate the accepted policies of the body. Now, many 89 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 9: of those members who voted against the first one November one, 90 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 9: are saying they will vote to expel now, and Santos 91 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 9: has responded saying the body is just theater. 92 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 10: I went to San Diego last week. 93 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 4: It is terrible, terrible. 94 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 10: That's what we should be putting our energy on, not 95 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 10: on censuring one another, expelling one another, which hunts against 96 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 10: the political class. 97 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:49,720 Speaker 6: Nobody cares. 98 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 9: Congress has forty eight hours to act under the resolution. 99 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 9: Ed Baxter Bloomberg Radio. 100 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 6: Okay and thank you. 101 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: President Biden won't be there, but Vice President Kamala Harris 102 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: this is attending the COP twenty eighth Climate Summit in Dubai. 103 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: We get details from Bloomberg's Amy Morris. 104 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 11: Harris will join Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln and other 105 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 11: US officials at the two week event that begins tomorrow. 106 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 11: She is expected to address the summit this week. Formal 107 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 11: negotiations at COP twenty eight will center on the response 108 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:22,039 Speaker 11: to warnings that countries are falling short and cutting their emissions, 109 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 11: and possible commitments to phase down fossil fuels in Washington, 110 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 11: Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. 111 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 2: All Right, Amy, thanks for the Incorporate news and a 112 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 2: surprise memo. Jack ma urged Ali Baba Group to correct 113 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 2: course civilionaire call for fundamental change across the company he 114 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 2: co founded decades ago. Ma has mostly stayed away from 115 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 2: day to day operations since twenty twenty, and Ali Baba 116 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 2: wants China's best candidate to become a trillion dollar company 117 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 2: is trading at a fraction of its peak in twenty twenty. 118 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 2: Time now for a look at some of the other 119 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 2: stories making news around the world. For that, we're joined 120 00:05:58,120 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 2: by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. 121 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 1: Good morning, Good morning, Karen. 122 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 11: Congressional negotiators are reportedly ready to drop plans to use 123 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 11: the annual defense policy build of Titan controls on US 124 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 11: investment in Chinese technology. Sourses tell Bloomberg that House Financial 125 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 11: Services Chairman Patrick McHenry is effectively blocking a measure that 126 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:20,920 Speaker 11: would require firms to notify the government about certain investments 127 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 11: in China and other countries of concern. The Biden administration 128 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 11: meanwhile getting pushedback from auto dealers on those mandates for 129 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 11: switching over to electric vehicle production. Bloomberg's Nancy Llons has 130 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 11: that part of the story. 131 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 12: The mandate calls for two out of every three vehicles 132 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 12: sold in the US by twenty thirty two be battery electric, 133 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 12: but nearly four thousand auto dealers, who are calling themselves 134 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 12: EV Voice of the Customer say most car buyers, even 135 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 12: with incentives, are disinterested in the technology due to the 136 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:52,239 Speaker 12: higher cost, the lack of charging stations, and the loss 137 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 12: of driving range and hot and cold weather. The dealers 138 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 12: are asking President Biden to slow down and let the 139 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 12: battery technology and infrastructure improve before forcing EV purchases. The 140 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:05,039 Speaker 12: White House says the proposed standards are not a mandate 141 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 12: and do not ban gas vehicles in Washington, Nancy Lyons 142 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 12: Bloomberg Radio. 143 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:14,240 Speaker 11: Republican Congressman Anthony Disposedesposito made a motion on the House 144 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 11: floor to force a vote on House Ethics Committee Chairman 145 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 11: Michael Guests resolution that would expel Congressman George Santos. Minutes later, 146 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 11: Santos took to the House floor himself to defiantly say 147 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 11: he will not resign. 148 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 10: Are we to now assume that one is no longer 149 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 10: innocent until proven guilty, and they are in fact guilty 150 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 10: until proven innocent, Or are we now to simply assume 151 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 10: that because somebody doesn't like you, they get. 152 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 1: To throw you out of your job. 153 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 11: The House Ethics Committee report alleged Santos used campaign cash 154 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 11: to pay for personal expenses. He's also facing federal charges. 155 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 11: A US military Osprey aircraft carrying eight people as crashed 156 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 11: into the sea off southern Japan. The Japanese Coast Guard 157 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 11: is heading to the site for search and rescue operations. 158 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 11: Host Guard official says they don't have details yet about 159 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 11: what happened to the osprey nor to the people on board. 160 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 11: He says the Coastguard received an emergency call from a 161 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 11: fishing boat near the crash site off Yakushima. The osprey 162 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 11: was believed to be heading to Okinawa. Global News twenty 163 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 11: four hours a day and whenever you want it with 164 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 11: Bloomberg News Now. I'm Maybe Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen. 165 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 2: All right, Amy, thank you well. We do bring you 166 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 2: news throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio. As 167 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 2: Amy said, but now you can get the latest news 168 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 2: on demand whenever you want it. You can just subscribe 169 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 2: to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at 170 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 2: the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. 171 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 2: You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on 172 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com plus Apple, Spotify, 173 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for 174 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Sports Update, here's John stash Hour John Darren. 175 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 13: The NBA started this season with an in season tournament 176 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 13: to drum up some interest early in the regular season, 177 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 13: taking a page out of what you see in European soccer. 178 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 6: Last night they. 179 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 13: Determined which eight teams are advancing to the knockout round 180 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 13: next Monday. In the East, Boston will play at Indiana, 181 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 13: and then on Tuesday it's the Knicks in Milwaukee. Monday 182 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 13: in the West, New Orleans and Sacramento, followed the night 183 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,679 Speaker 13: later by Phoenix at the Lakers. The winners will advance 184 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 13: in the semifinals December seventh in Las Vegas, with the 185 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 13: championship on December ninth. Minnesota Timberwolves have the best wrecker 186 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:30,320 Speaker 13: in the West. They won last night. They're thirteen to four. 187 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 13: They're not advancing, but the Knicks are. They beat Charlotte 188 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:36,319 Speaker 13: one fifteen to ninety one. The Celtics moving on. They're 189 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 13: eight to zero. At home, they beat the Bulls one, 190 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:42,199 Speaker 13: twenty four to ninety seven. Jalen Brown scored thirty. Milwaukee 191 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 13: got thirty three from Jannis on to the compo in 192 00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 13: a one to thirty one to one twenty four win 193 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 13: at Miami College Hoops and the sec ACC Challenge the 194 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 13: SEC one four, including twelfth rank Kentucky beating eighth rank 195 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 13: Miami ninety five to seventy three. We heard from the 196 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:01,079 Speaker 13: College Football Playoff Committee. Time we'll hear from them will 197 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:04,839 Speaker 13: be Sunday with the final four announcing who's going to 198 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 13: be in the playoffs. Georgia's rank number one. Michigan, with 199 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 13: the big win over Ohio State, moves up to second. 200 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 13: Everyone moves up a spot. Washington now third, Florida State fourth, 201 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 13: Oregon fifth. Washington plays Oregon on Friday for the pac 202 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 13: twelve Championship Ohio State. With the loss dropped the sixth 203 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,559 Speaker 13: John Stasheward Bloomberg Sports. 204 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 14: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 205 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 14: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on siriusxam, the Bloomberg Business 206 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 14: app in Bloomberg dot com. This is Bloomberg day Break. 207 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 6: Good morning. 208 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,959 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager. On this final day of an extended 209 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 1: six day ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, the Palestinian militant 210 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:51,199 Speaker 1: group is handing over more hostages and pressure is building 211 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 1: on both sides to see if this pause in the 212 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: fighting can be extended even further. For the very latest, 213 00:10:58,240 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 1: let's go to Tel Aviv and check in with bloom 214 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:03,439 Speaker 1: Israel Bureau chief Ethan Bronner. Ethan, it's good to have 215 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: you back with us. What are the prospects that we 216 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 1: could see this ceasefire extended beyond today? 217 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 3: Hey, Nathan, I think the prospects are pretty good. I 218 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 3: think that both sides have been comfortable with this pause, 219 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:22,440 Speaker 3: they would like it to extend. I think it's a 220 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 3: breather for Hamas, it's a breezer for the Israeli defense forces, 221 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:30,679 Speaker 3: and also it allows more humanitarian aid to get into 222 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 3: those in great need who are suffering from hunger and 223 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 3: the outbreak of disease in Gaza. And of course it's 224 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 3: bringing back to Israel hostages. So the deal is, you know, 225 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 3: ten hostages a day, another day of a ceasefire, and 226 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,440 Speaker 3: it seems like that could go on at least two 227 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:50,319 Speaker 3: more days. 228 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 1: Will it be a ceasefire or could it be a 229 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:59,400 Speaker 1: resolution to this conflict? We've seen commentary from President Biden 230 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 1: himself one of his latest posts on the social platform 231 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 1: X saying that Hamas fears nothing more than Israelis and 232 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: Palestinians living side by side. To continue down the path 233 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: of terror, violence, killing and war is something we can't do. 234 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 1: Is pressure building to end this war? 235 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:22,679 Speaker 6: It is? 236 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 3: And that was an interesting tweet. I don't know if 237 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 3: you still call it a tweet. An interesting post on 238 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 3: X by the President which suggests that he is slightly 239 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 3: moving away from a full embrace of an Israeli continuation 240 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 3: of the war. I think it's a little hard to tell. 241 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 3: The Israelis very much want to destroy Hamas, and they 242 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 3: believe they can, and they believe they must take this 243 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,599 Speaker 3: opportunity to do so. They believe that they want to 244 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 3: get as many hostages out as possible and then go 245 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 3: back into war. It is clearly the case with the 246 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 3: President and many many people abroad think that the war 247 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,319 Speaker 3: has should stop. Too many people have died, too much 248 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:07,960 Speaker 3: suffering has occurred. And I think that politically President Biden 249 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 3: is worried. He's also facing internal dissent in his own administration. 250 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 3: But you know, it could also be that they sort 251 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,560 Speaker 3: of thread this needle in the way that allows the 252 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 3: Israelis to go ahead in some days time, but in 253 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 3: a way that is more targeted, there's less civilian death, 254 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 3: and that allows them to declare a victory. We shall see. 255 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: Are we seeing that play out in the thinking among 256 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 1: Israeli officials leaders in Israel that we could see a 257 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:43,080 Speaker 1: more targeted approach and what would that look like? 258 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, and what would that look like is a great question. 259 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,680 Speaker 3: We are it's very very hard at the moment to 260 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 3: get any transparency on what the next military phase will 261 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:58,400 Speaker 3: look like. When you ask, you're told, sorry, pal, we're 262 00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 3: not sharing it with you. But it is clear from 263 00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:05,199 Speaker 3: public statements and also from pressure from Washington, that they 264 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 3: have to reduce them the kind of bombardment that began 265 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 3: in these first weeks of this. This is now almost 266 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 3: an eight week conflict, and it is clear that they 267 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 3: want to go after the leaders of Hamas and it's 268 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 3: military infrastructure. They are saying that they've killed about five 269 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:23,640 Speaker 3: thousand Hamas guys. They were saying there were about thirty 270 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 3: thousand of them, So you know, from their perspective, they've 271 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 3: made progress, but they've hardly gotten everything they need. Now, 272 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 3: what would it mean to go in a more targeted way. 273 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 3: You're going to have two million people sort of crowded 274 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 3: into the southern part of Gaza. I don't know how 275 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:42,760 Speaker 3: you're going to go get underground there without killing people. 276 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 3: So I don't know how they're going to do it, 277 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 3: but that's clearly something the Americans are demanding of them 278 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 3: before they let this go forward. 279 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: What do we know about the hostage releases that are 280 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 1: expected today. 281 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 3: Well, we know that these rulis have been given another 282 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 3: list of ten. Again, only women and children have been 283 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 3: and gate involved in these exchanges so far, and I 284 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 3: expect there'll be more women and children in the next 285 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 3: day or two. Then the question is would they get 286 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 3: to some men, some soldiers and that's I think a 287 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 3: more difficult thing. So far, it's been three Israeli three 288 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:22,120 Speaker 3: prisoners Palston prisoners for each hostage. That may have to change. 289 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, we do know that there have been talks underway 290 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 1: and caught her with the CIA director Bill Burns to 291 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:33,360 Speaker 1: potentially get that ceasefire and hostage deal extended beyond women 292 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: and children, something else for us to follow. And no, 293 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 1: we will be doing that as well. Ethan Bronner, thank 294 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 1: you so much for being with us this morning. Ethan Bronner, 295 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: Israel bureau chief for Bloomberg News, joining us this morning 296 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: from Tel Aviv. And now we want to bring you 297 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 1: our conversation with the founder and CEO of Pershing Square Capital, 298 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: Bill Ackman. He says the Fed's going to cut rates 299 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 1: sooner than many of us expect. Bill Ackman joined Bloomberg's 300 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 1: David Rubinstein for peer to peer conversations. They discuss the FED, 301 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 1: the outlook for the US economy, and the twenty twenty 302 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 1: four presidential elections. So let's bring you part of that 303 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 1: conversation right now. 304 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 8: I do think the economy is weakening. We're seeing evidence 305 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 8: of that in some of our companies. You're seeing I 306 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 8: have some concerns. There's been a huge subsidy in terms 307 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 8: of low interest rates and companies. Most companies fix their 308 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 8: rates or their debt at very low rates, and certainly 309 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 8: real estate investors did the same. And that works until 310 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 8: it doesn't work, And so I think we're what's going 311 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 8: to be interesting is to see what happens when people 312 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 8: get have to reprice their debt, and I think that 313 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 8: can have sort of a cliff like effect, and you're 314 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,320 Speaker 8: certainly seeing that in real estate now. 315 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 15: The markets are assuming, and the markets are not always right, 316 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 15: but the markets are assuming that there's going to be 317 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,760 Speaker 15: a FED discount cut sometime next year. 318 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 6: As we talk now just about the end of November. 319 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 6: It's not clear what the Fed will do. 320 00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 15: But some people say that the Fed, if they were 321 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 15: to cut interest rates next year year, would help the 322 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 15: Democrats and therefore be seen as very political. The other hand, 323 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 15: some people say the Fed can't wait till after the 324 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,440 Speaker 15: election because the economy might need a stimulus. 325 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 6: So you have a view on what the Fed is 326 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 6: likely to do. 327 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 8: I think they're gonna cut rates, and you know, I 328 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 8: think they're gonna cut rates sooner than people expect, because 329 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:19,120 Speaker 8: you know, what's happening is the real rate of interest ultimately, 330 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:23,520 Speaker 8: which is what impacts the economy, keeps increasing as inflation declines. Right, 331 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 8: So if the FED keeps rates in the sort of 332 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 8: middle fives and inflation is you know, trending below three 333 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 8: percent or you know, that's a very high real rate 334 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 8: of interest, and I think that is having a sort 335 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 8: of retarding effect on the economy. And then of course, 336 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 8: again you know, many businesses and certainly many individuals have 337 00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:44,640 Speaker 8: the benefit of fixed rate debt, and that fixed rate debt, 338 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 8: certainly for companies and for commercial real estate, starts to 339 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 8: roll off. So I think there's a risk of a 340 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 8: hard landing if the FED doesn't start cutting rates, you know, 341 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 8: pretty soon. So you know, I think the market expects 342 00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 8: sometime middle of next year. I think it's more likely 343 00:17:57,560 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 8: probably as early as key. 344 00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:00,959 Speaker 15: One by its own and miss and the FED probably 345 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:04,879 Speaker 15: missed inflation initially they said it was transitory, but they 346 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:08,919 Speaker 15: played catch up and they've increased rates considerably since that time. 347 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 6: Do you think the FED made a mistake. 348 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,840 Speaker 15: In not handling inflation differently at the beginning, And how 349 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 15: do you think they've done since they started increasing interest rates? 350 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 6: They certainly made a mistake. 351 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:20,560 Speaker 8: I mean, I think they would have FED generally as 352 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 8: an institution, would admit that. I think that they caught 353 00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:28,359 Speaker 8: up and effectively. So you give them credit for acknowledging 354 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,120 Speaker 8: the mistake and being pretty aggressive. And then I think, 355 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:34,919 Speaker 8: you know, you want to make sure that they're you know, 356 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:39,320 Speaker 8: German Powell's desire not to have a legacy of causing 357 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 8: or contributing to long term inflation, doesn't, you know, cause 358 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:45,160 Speaker 8: them to make the opposite mistake, I mean, keep rates 359 00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 8: too high for too long, and I think the market 360 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,040 Speaker 8: expectation is you know, called it middle of next year, 361 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 8: July something like this for the beginnings of easing. I 362 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 8: think the economy will likely demand an earlier move. And 363 00:18:57,440 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 8: I don't think of the FED as a or at 364 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,640 Speaker 8: least this FED, a particularly political institution. I think they're 365 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:02,679 Speaker 8: really trying to do the right thing. 366 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 15: President Biden has called his economic program biden Nomics, which 367 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 15: has met some derision in Republican circles. You've been an 368 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:13,280 Speaker 15: active supporter of Democrats, I think more than Republicans. 369 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 6: Is that right? 370 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 8: I would say historically I have you know, I would 371 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 8: say today I certainly consider myself and have for years 372 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 8: now a centrist, okay, and I'm much more open to 373 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 8: Republican candidates that I am to re electing President Biden. 374 00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 8: So I you know, you would say otherwise. You know, again, 375 00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 8: I want to elect the best leader of the country, 376 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 8: whether that person is a Republican or a Democrat. 377 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,199 Speaker 15: But you haven't publicly said you're supporting President Trump if 378 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:38,920 Speaker 15: he's the nominee. 379 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 4: Ye. 380 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 8: I've been supportive of you know, I've been supportive of 381 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 8: Nikki Haley. 382 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 6: I've been supportive of Chris Christy. 383 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 8: I know, the vag Ramswani and I was, you know, 384 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 8: pre his launch of his candidacy, I was, uh, you know, 385 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 8: supportive of his having a young, smart, talented, uh you know, 386 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 8: business leader as a next president. He's just been a 387 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 8: little too far off, too far to the right, and 388 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 8: also been disappointed a bit with his you know, geopolitics 389 00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 8: and how he's thinking about dealing with some of the 390 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,920 Speaker 8: wars that we find ourselves in the midst of today. 391 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:16,080 Speaker 6: For the economy itself. 392 00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 15: Do you think it really is going to make a 393 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 15: difference if President Trump is if he's the Republican nominee 394 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 15: it gets selected, or President Biden is the Democratic nominee 395 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 15: he's selected, who either one. Would it make a big 396 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 15: difference for the economy in the next year or so 397 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,879 Speaker 15: if either one is the president or the economy. 398 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 6: Is going to do what it's going to do. 399 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 8: You know, I do think leadership matters enormously in everything 400 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:41,119 Speaker 8: from the economy to geopolitics, and I hope we're going 401 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 8: to have a broader selection than Trump and Biden. There's 402 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 8: actually an interesting candidate who just announced his candidacy on 403 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,360 Speaker 8: the Democratic side that I would say, no one has 404 00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,679 Speaker 8: heard of a congressman named Dean Phillips. You probably have 405 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 8: heard of him, may know him. Met with him recently. 406 00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 8: I was impressed. I think the best I think Biden 407 00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,879 Speaker 8: done a lot of good things, but I think his 408 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 8: legacy will not be a good one if he if 409 00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 8: he is the nominee, I do think the right thing 410 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,439 Speaker 8: for Biden to do is to step aside and to 411 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,160 Speaker 8: say he's not going to run and create the opportunity 412 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,879 Speaker 8: for some competition of alternative Do you think that I 413 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,440 Speaker 8: think that I think he's past his prime in kind 414 00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 8: of meaningful way. I think the global security, I would say, 415 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 8: and is going to become a very high profile issue 416 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 8: for I think the country. I think people are concerned 417 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 8: about what's going on in terms of Russia, Ukraine, you know, 418 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:41,159 Speaker 8: the Israel Hamas situation. You know, Russia and China are 419 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:44,159 Speaker 8: pretty belligerent today. Our relationships are not good. So I 420 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 8: think you know, you, I do think of It's a 421 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:48,679 Speaker 8: bit like being CEO of a major company. It's a 422 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 8: it's a it's a full time job, and you need 423 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 8: to be at your you know, you need to be strong, 424 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 8: you need to be at your intellectual best. And I 425 00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:58,120 Speaker 8: don't think Biden is there. 426 00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 427 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 1: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 428 00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 429 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 430 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 431 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 432 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,720 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 433 00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:24,639 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 434 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 435 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:29,359 Speaker 1: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 436 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,880 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 437 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:38,359 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 438 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,960 Speaker 1: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, seriusxmb 439 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager 440 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 1: and I'm Karen Moscow. 441 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,119 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 442 00:22:50,240 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak